یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

EUR/USD currency pair abhi apni recent kamyabi ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kar rahi hai. Do din tak positive movement ke baad, yeh pair US session ke dauran ek narrow trading band mein oscillate kar rahi hai. Abhi ke liye spot prices 1.1180 ke critical level ke thoda upar hain aur lagbhag unchanged hain jabke dealers US ki ahem economic data ka intezar kar rahe hain. Aakhri update ke mutabiq, EUR/USD takriban 1.1140 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai.
Aage dekhte hue, Euro ke bulls ka focus kuch ahem resistance levels par hai, jisme 1.1200 ka recent high aur July 2023 ka 1.1276 peak shamil hain. Doosri taraf, 1.1100 ka psychological support level neeche ki taraf movement ke khilaf ek barrier ke tor par kaam kar sakta hai. Yeh resistance aur support levels ka balance near-term mein pair ki performance ke liye ihtiyat pasand optimism ko zahir karta hai.

### EUR/USD ke Fundamentals
Haal hi mein aaye data ne Eurozone ki economic challenges ko ujagar kiya hai, khaaskar uski do bari economies mein. Germany ki industrial production mein July mein 2.4% ki significant girawat aayi, jo expected sirf 0.3% decline ke muqable mein thi. France ne bhi ek downtrend report kiya, jisme industrial output 0.5% se kam hui. Yeh disappointing numbers bearish outlook ko faroogh dete hain, jaise ke Reuters ke ek survey mein dikhaya gaya jo August 30 se September 5 tak conduct hua, jisme 85% economists ne anticipate kiya ke European Central Bank (ECB) aane wale meetings mein interest rate cuts apply karegi.

In economic challenges ko madde nazar rakhte hue, kai ECB officials market ke potential interest rate cuts ke hawale se comfortable nazar aa rahe hain. ECB Executive Board ke member Piero Cipollone ne ek interview mein is khauf ka izhar kiya ke "ECB ka stance bohat zyada restrictive ho sakta hai." Yeh jazba Eurozone ki economic situation par badhne wali fikr ko zahir karta hai aur monetary policy mein ek shift ke imkaan ko faroogh deta hai.

### Continual Time Frame Technical Outlook
1.1150 level ke upar earnings ko barqarar rakhne mein nakami ke bawajood, EUR/USD ka near-term outlook ihtiyaat ke saath optimistic lag raha hai. Pair ne 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke paas support establish kiya hai, jo ke lagbhag 1.1157 par hai. Iske ilawa, longer-term indicators jaise 50-day aur 100-day EMAs, jo 1.1144 aur 1.1135 par hain, upward trend dikhate hain, jo future growth ka imkaan zahir karta hai. Iske ilawa, currency pair hourly chart par Rising Channel mein apni position barqarar rakhti hai, jo positive momentum ko zahir karta hai.

Technical indicators EUR/USD ke liye ek mixed picture paint karte hain. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.00 mark ke neeche aa gaya hai, jabke is se pehle yeh overbought status par 75.00 ke kareeb tha. Yeh decline is baat ka ishara karta hai ke momentum thanda ho sakta hai, jo traders ko upcoming economic data aur market developments ke hawale se apni positions dobara assess karne par majboor kar sakta hai.

Euro, jo ke abhi major currencies ke muqable mein underperform kar raha hai, ne Wednesday ki New York trading session ke dauran apne recent highs 1.1055 se significant decline dekha. Market sentiment abhi zyada ter ECB ke September mein ek aur interest rate cut ki umeed ke asar mein hai. Is move ke anticipation ne intensity gain ki hai jab inflation rates gir rahe hain, jo ke yeh suggest karta hai ke yeh rate-cutting cycle September ke baad bhi barh sakta hai. Abhi spot price 1.1016 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai.

ECB ke potential interest rate decisions ka andaza lagane ke liye investors German aur Eurozone HICP data ka closely jaiza lenge jo Thursday aur Friday ko release honge. Analysts expect karte hain ke Eurozone ka annual headline HICP, jo ke overall inflation ko measure karta hai, 2.3% tak decelerate karega, jab ke core HICP, jo ke volatile items ko exclude karta hai, 2.8% tak moderate hoga.

**EUR/USD ke fundamentals:**ECB ke aur zyada interest rate cuts ki umeed badh gayi hai Eurozone ke economic outlook aur wage growth slowdown ke hawale se barhati hui uncertainties ki wajah se. Hiraan kun baat yeh hai ke Eurozone ki economic activity August mein unexpected upar gayi, flash HCOB PMI report ke mutabiq. Magar yeh uptick ziada ter France mein Olympic Games ki wajah se aayi demand ki wajah se hua. Economists isay temporary boost samajhte hain, naa ke kisi fundamental economic change ko.

ECB ke Chief Economist Philip Lane ne JH Symposium ke dauran Saturday ko yeh kaha ke restrictive monetary policy ki zarurat hai. Lane ne inflation ke khilaf ladai mein ki gayi taraqqi ko acknowledge kiya, magar yeh bhi kaha ke lambi muddat tak success ka koi yaqeen nahi hai. Unki baat ne ECB ke inflationary pressures ko manage karne aur market expectations ko guide karne ke challenges ko ujagar kiya.

**Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

Wednesday ko pair 1.1010 level ke neeche slip kar gaya jab buyers ko upward momentum banaye rakhne mein mushkil hui. Pair abhi 50-day EMA ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke 1.0962 par hai, magar agar decline jari rehta hai to price 20-day EMA ke paas wapas aa sakti hai, jo ke 1.1050 ke qareeb hai. EUR/USD buyers ke liye resistance 14-day SMA par 1.1026 ke aas-paas dekhi ja sakti hai.

Pair ko 1.1000 ke crucial psychological level ke breach hone ka khatra hai. Technical indicators jaise ke MACD aur RSI bearish outlook ki taraf ishara karte hain. Agar downward momentum barqarar rehti hai, to traders ko

Guzishta haftay ke market trading ke dauran, pehle lagta tha ke sellers ka downward pressure hai jisse candlestick 1.1087 area tak gir gayi. Lekin, bearish situation last week ke aakhir tak nahi rahi kyun ke buying volume kaafi barh gaya, jisse price dobara shuruati haftay ke opening zone mein wapas aa gayi. Is upward trend ke aage barhne ki potential abhi bhi hai, jo weekly low area se door hoti ja rahi hai. Ye is baat ki tasdeeq karti hai ke buyers market ko apne qabze mein le rahe hain jabke sellers pehle price ko neeche dhakelne mein nakam rahe. Ab inka target qareebi support level tak pahunchna hai. Lekin agar ye support level tor diya gaya, toh ho sakta hai ke price aur neeche jaaye, mazid strong support level tak. Aakhir mein trading ke dauran, price ne apna dynamic barhaya aur qareebi resistance level 1.1182 ko cross kar liya, jisse 1.1246 area mein naya resistance level bana. Ye ek mazboot evidence hai ke buyers abhi market ko fully control kar rahe hain. H4 time frame chart ko dekh kar maloom hota hai ke pehle ka price increase pichlay haftay ke high area ko cross kar chuka hai, aur buyers ne is momentum ka faida uthaya hai price ko aur upar push karne ke liye. 5.3.3 stochastic indicator abhi bhi price increase ka signal de raha hai. Abhi price ek resistance area mein hai jo jald support ban sakti hai, aur candlestick upar ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Ye buyers ki dominance ko zahir karta hai, aur bohot zyada chances hain ke price resistance level ko break karke aur upar jaye, jo ke bullish trend ke mustaqbil ka taayun karegi. Agar ye level successfully break ho jata hai, toh price ke aur upar bullish target level tak jaane ke chances hain. Is technical analysis ki base par.

Hello everyone! EUR/USD currency pair ko dekh kar mein kuch yeh observe kar raha hoon: M15 chart par linear regression channel upar ki taraf slope kar raha hai, jo market mein strong buying pressure ko zahir karta hai. Buyers ki activity ek zabardast buying opportunity ka ishara karti hai, khaaskar jab price lower channel boundary 1.11914 par hoti hai. Agla andaza hai ke market 1.12151 ke level tak rise karega, jiske baad ek correction ki umeed hai. Yeh correction lower boundary ki taraf hoga, jahan se dobara buying opportunities consider ki ja sakti hain. Agar price is level se neeche break karti hai, toh hum further girawat dekh sakte hain, aur aise mein buying positions cancel kar di jayengi. Market channels ke sath grow karta hai jab wo upar ki taraf dekh raha ho. Sales ki umeed upper channel boundary 1.12151 se hai, jahan entry ka mauqa ho sakta hai. Mere liye zaroori hai ke main pullback par entry karun, jitna ho sake lower boundary ke qareeb. H1 higher timeframe ko analyze karte hue, mujhe dikhai deta hai ke linear regression channel upward slope mein hai. Mere liye yeh M15 se zyada ahmiyat rakhta hai, kyun ke yeh strong bullish sentiment ko dikhata hai. M15 channel se jo signal mila, wo buying ka mashwara deta hai, jo meri buying ki desire ko reinforce karta hai. Bas mujhe sahi level par price ka intizaar karna hai aur wahan se buying opportunity dekhni hai. Jis jagah par mein buying opportunities dekh raha hoon wo current situation mein lower channel boundary 1.10973 par hai. Wahan se, mein dobara buy karne ki koshish karunga taake 1.12036 tak ka target achieve ho. Agar yeh target achieve hota hai, toh yeh strong upward movement ka ishara hoga. 1.12036 se ek correction ki umeed hai, kyun ke bullish movement select ki gayi hai. Bulls dobara apne movement ko restore karne ki koshish karenge. Agar entry point 1.10973 par breach hoti hai neeche ki taraf, toh yeh bearish interest ka sign hai. Aise mein, buying ka trading plan reconsider karna aur market situation ko dobara assess karna zaroori hoga. Eurodollar ka shape ab ek triangle ke jese lagta hai, jisme ek wedge bhi shamil hai. Haan, wahan par jo shandar shadow hai, wo image ko kharab karne ki salahiyat rakhta hai, lekin agar price uss direction mein nahi jata, phir bhi upper trend neeche rahega. Main dusri baar 1.1001 level

Main EURUSD currency pair par baat karunga. Guzishta haftay ke market trading ke dauran, pehle lagta tha ke sellers ka downward pressure hai jisse candlestick 1.1087 area tak gir gayi. Lekin, bearish situation last week ke aakhir tak nahi rahi kyun ke buying volume kaafi barh gaya, jisse price dobara shuruati haftay ke opening zone mein wapas aa gayi. Is upward trend ke aage barhne ki potential abhi bhi hai, jo weekly low area se door hoti ja rahi hai. Ye is baat ki tasdeeq karti hai ke buyers market ko apne qabze mein le rahe hain jabke sellers pehle price ko neeche dhakelne mein nakam rahe. Ab inka target qareebi support level tak pahunchna hai. Lekin agar ye support level tor diya gaya, toh ho sakta hai ke price aur neeche jaaye, mazid strong support level tak. Aakhir mein trading ke dauran, price ne apna dynamic barhaya aur qareebi resistance level 1.1182 ko cross kar liya, jisse 1.1246 area mein naya resistance level bana. Ye ek mazboot evidence hai ke buyers abhi market ko fully control kar rahe hain. H4 time frame chart ko dekh kar maloom hota hai ke pehle ka price increase pichlay haftay ke high area ko cross kar chuka hai, aur buyers ne is momentum ka faida uthaya hai price ko aur upar push karne ke liye. 5.3.3 stochastic indicator abhi bhi price increase ka signal de raha hai. Abhi price ek resistance area mein hai jo jald support ban sakti hai, aur candlestick upar ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Ye buyers ki dominance ko zahir karta hai, aur bohot zyada chances hain ke price resistance level ko break karke aur upar jaye, jo ke bullish trend ke mustaqbil ka taayun karegi. Agar ye level successfully break ho jata hai, toh price ke aur upar bullish target level tak jaane ke chances hain. Is technical analysis ki base par, EURUSD currency pair ke liye bullish trend ko follow karna ek achha option ho sakta hai.

Agla andaza hai ke market 1.12151 ke level tak rise karega, jiske baad ek correction ki umeed hai. Yeh correction lower boundary ki taraf hoga, jahan se dobara buying opportunities consider ki ja sakti hain. Agar price is level se neeche break karti hai, toh hum further girawat dekh sakte hain, aur aise mein buying positions cancel kar di jayengi. Market channels ke sath grow karta hai jab wo upar ki taraf dekh raha ho. Sales ki umeed upper channel boundary 1.12151 se hai, jahan entry ka mauqa ho sakta hai. Mere liye zaroori hai ke main pullback par entry karun, jitna ho sake lower boundary ke qareeb. H1 higher timeframe ko analyze karte hue, mujhe dikhai deta hai ke linear regression channel upward slope mein hai. Mere liye yeh M15 se zyada ahmiyat rakhta hai, kyun ke yeh strong bullish sentiment ko dikhata hai. M15 channel se jo signal mila, wo buying ka mashwara deta hai, jo meri buying ki desire ko reinforce karta hai. Bas mujhe sahi level par price ka intizaar karna hai aur wahan se buying opportunity dekhni hai. Jis jagah par mein buying opportunities dekh raha hoon wo current situation mein lower channel boundary 1.10973 par hai. Wahan se, mein dobara buy karne ki koshish karunga taake 1.12036 tak ka target achieve ho. Agar yeh target achieve hota hai, toh yeh strong upward movement ka ishara hoga. 1.12036 se ek correction ki umeed hai, kyun ke bullish movement select ki gayi hai. Bulls dobara apne movement ko restore karne ki koshish karenge. Agar entry point 1.10973 par breach hoti hai neeche ki taraf, toh yeh bearish interest ka sign hai. Aise mein, buying ka trading plan reconsider karna aur market situation ko dobara assess karna zaroori hoga. Eurodollar ka shape ab ek triangle ke jese lagta hai, jisme ek wedge bhi shamil hai. Haan, wahan par jo shandar shadow hai, wo image ko kharab karne ki salahiyat rakhta hai, lekin agar price uss direction mein nahi jata, phir bhi upper trend neeche rahega

EUR/USD ka movement kaafi violent tha, jismein yeh currency pair takreeban 75 pip move hua. Yeh movement is liye dekha gaya kyun ke high-impact news release hui thi, jiss ki wajah se Euro ki value US dollar ke muqablay mein gir gayi. Pehle Euro ka movement sideways tha, lekin candle 1.1180 ke qareebi barrier ko torhne mein naakaam rahi aur wapis 1.1088 ke price par aa gayi. Jab hum analysis kar rahe thay, EUR/USD mein thori si recovery dekhi gayi, lekin mujhe lagta hai yeh ek temporary phenomenon tha. Agar H1 timeframe ka analysis kiya jaye, tou ab bhi yeh mumkin hai ke EUR/USD mazeed neeche jaaye jab tak ke supply area 1.1187 ko upar se break nahi kiya jata. Mere khayal mein agar koi rise hoti hai tou woh sirf ek correction ho sakti hai. Resistance ka sabse mota layer abhi torhna mushkil lagta hai. Candle ko mazeed girne ke liye H1 support 1.1088 ke price ko break karna hoga. Abhi ke liye, candle SBR region 1.1132 ko cross karne mein naakaam rahi hai, aur EUR/USD ke decline ki tayari lag rahi hai. Shayad retracement ya price bounce ho sakta hai is se pehle ke EUR/USD phir se giray. Ichimoku indicator ki madad se agar analysis kiya jaye, tou tenkan aur kijun sen lines intersect kar chuki hain, jo ke yeh signal de rahi hain ke EUR/USD ka downtrend shuru ho chuka hai. Candle ki position ab line ke neeche move kar gayi hai, jo ke bearish trend ka ishara hai. Is waqt, ichimoku signal kehti hai ke euro jaldi kamzor ho sakta hai, aur candle ne kumo cloud ko bhi cross kar liya hai. Stochastic indicator ke mutabiq, EUR/USD abhi ke liye almost oversold state mein hai kyun ke candle apne lowest level ke qareeb hai, jo ke 20 hai. Jab tak stochastic line neeche ki taraf point kar rahi hai, EUR/USD ka movement decline karta rahega, lekin aapko hoshiyaar rehna hoga kyun ke yeh kabhi bhi upar ja sakti hai.
EUR/USD pair par downward pressure aata hai. German ZEW Economic Sentiment euro ko boost de sakti hai, lekin US dollar ki strength ke chances bhi hain, is liye trading ko ehtiyat se handle karna chahiye. Ek fundamental strategy adopt karna better hoga, khaaskar UK session ke dauran jab market movements zyada hoti hain. Is period mein significant price changes market direction ka clear signal de sakti hain. Fundamental analysis ko apne strategy mein shaamil karke informed trading decisions liye ja sakte hain, economic data releases aur unke implications ko samajh kar. Mujhe umeed hai ke aaj ka market condition buyers ke haq mein hoga, aur EUR/USD pair aage upar move kare ga. Agar positive momentum barqarar raha, toh market 1.1166 level tak pohanch sakta hai. Yeh target ek important resistance point hai, aur agar price yeh level touch karti hai, toh yeh sustained bullish strength ko indicate karega. Overall, economic news par nazar rakhna aur ek acchi strategy adopt karna aaj ke market ko effective tareeqe se navigate karne mein madadgar hoga.

index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga

Main EURUSD currency pair par baat karunga. Guzishta haftay ke market trading ke dauran, pehle lagta tha ke sellers ka downward pressure hai jisse candlestick 1.1087 area tak gir gayi. Lekin, bearish situation last week ke aakhir tak nahi rahi kyun ke buying volume kaafi barh gaya, jisse price dobara shuruati haftay ke opening zone mein wapas aa gayi. Is upward trend ke aage barhne ki potential abhi bhi hai, jo weekly low area se door hoti ja rahi hai. Ye is baat ki tasdeeq karti hai ke buyers market ko apne qabze mein le rahe hain jabke sellers pehle price ko neeche dhakelne mein nakam rahe. Ab inka target qareebi support level tak pahunchna hai. Lekin agar ye support level tor diya gaya, toh ho sakta hai ke price aur neeche jaaye, mazid strong support level tak. Aakhir mein trading ke dauran, price ne apna dynamic barhaya aur qareebi resistance level 1.1182 ko cross kar liya, jisse 1.1246 area mein naya resistance level bana. Ye ek mazboot evidence hai ke buyers abhi market ko fully control kar rahe hain. H4 time frame chart ko dekh kar maloom hota hai ke pehle ka price increase pichlay haftay ke high area ko cross kar chuka hai, aur buyers ne is momentum ka faida uthaya hai price ko aur upar push karne ke liye. 5.3.3 stochastic indicator abhi bhi price increase ka signal de raha hai. Abhi price ek resistance area mein hai jo jald support ban sakti hai, aur candlestick upar ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Ye buyers ki dominance ko zahir karta hai, aur bohot zyada chances hain ke price resistance level ko break karke aur upar jaye, jo ke bullish trend ke mustaqbil ka taayun karegi. Agar ye level successfully break ho jata hai, toh price ke aur upar bullish target level tak jaane ke chances hain. Is technical analysis ki base par, EURUSD currency pair ke liye bullish trend ko follow karna ek achha option ho sakta hai.

EURUSD currency pair par baat karunga. Guzishta haftay ke market trading ke dauran, pehle lagta tha ke sellers ka downward pressure hai jisse candlestick 1.1087 area tak gir gayi. Lekin, bearish situation last week ke aakhir tak nahi rahi kyun ke buying volume kaafi barh gaya, jisse price dobara shuruati haftay ke opening zone mein wapas aa gayi. Is upward trend ke aage barhne ki potential abhi bhi hai, jo weekly low area se door hoti ja rahi hai. Ye is baat ki tasdeeq karti hai ke buyers market ko apne qabze mein le rahe hain jabke sellers pehle price ko neeche dhakelne mein nakam rahe. Ab inka target qareebi support level tak pahunchna hai. Lekin agar ye support level tor diya gaya, toh ho sakta hai ke price aur neeche jaaye, mazid strong support level tak. Aakhir mein trading ke dauran, price ne apna dynamic barhaya aur qareebi resistance level 1.1182 ko cross kar liya, jisse 1.1246 area mein naya resistance level bana. Ye ek mazboot evidence hai ke buyers abhi market ko fully control kar rahe hain. H4 time frame chart ko dekh kar maloom hota hai ke pehle ka price increase pichlay haftay ke high area ko cross kar chuka hai, aur buyers ne is momentum ka faida uthaya hai price ko aur upar push karne ke liye. 5.3.3 stochastic indicator abhi bhi price increase ka signal de raha hai. Abhi price ek resistance area mein hai jo jald support ban sakti hai, aur candlestick upar ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Ye buyers ki dominance ko zahir karta hai, aur bohot zyada chances hain ke price resistance level ko break karke aur upar jaye, jo ke bullish trend ke mustaqbil ka taayun karegi. Agar ye level successfully break ho jata hai, toh price ke aur upar bullish target level tak jaane ke chances hain. Is technical analysis ki base par, EURUSD currency pair ke liye bullish trend ko follow karna ek achha option ho sakta

Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237

Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karn

Main EURUSD currency pair par baat karunga. Guzishta haftay ke market trading ke dauran, pehle lagta tha ke sellers ka downward pressure hai jisse candlestick 1.1087 area tak gir gayi. Lekin, bearish situation last week ke aakhir tak nahi rahi kyun ke buying volume kaafi barh gaya, jisse price dobara shuruati haftay ke opening zone mein wapas aa gayi. Is upward trend ke aage barhne ki potential abhi bhi hai, jo weekly low area se door hoti ja rahi hai. Ye is baat ki tasdeeq karti hai ke buyers market ko apne qabze mein le rahe hain jabke sellers pehle price ko neeche dhakelne mein nakam rahe. Ab inka target qareebi support level tak pahunchna hai. Lekin agar ye support level tor diya gaya, toh ho sakta hai ke price aur neeche jaaye, mazid strong support level tak. Aakhir mein trading ke dauran, price ne apna dynamic barhaya aur qareebi resistance level 1.1182 ko cross kar liya, jisse 1.1246 area mein naya resistance level bana. Ye ek mazboot evidence hai ke buyers abhi market ko fully control kar rahe hain. H4 time frame chart ko dekh kar maloom hota hai ke pehle ka price increase pichlay haftay ke high area ko cross kar chuka hai, aur buyers ne is momentum ka faida uthaya hai price ko aur upar push karne ke liye. 5.3.3 stochastic indicator abhi bhi price increase ka signal de raha hai. Abhi price ek resistance area mein hai jo jald support ban sakti hai, aur candlestick upar ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Ye buyers ki dominance ko zahir karta hai, aur bohot zyada chances hain ke price resistance level ko break karke aur upar jaye, jo ke bullish trend ke mustaqbil ka taayun karegi. Agar ye level successfully break ho jata hai, toh price ke aur upar bullish target level tak jaane ke chances hain. Is technical analysis ki base par, EURUSD currency pair ke liye bullish trend ko follow karna ek achha option ho sakta hai

Wednesday ko release hui data se pata chala ke March mein US employment growth kafi kam thi jo pehle estimate se bahut kam thi. Is ke ilawa, unemployed logon ki bharat se labor market ke thanda hone ka imkaan hai, jo economic slowdown ki chinta ko barhata hai. Is wajah se Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September mein interest rate cut ka imkaan barh gaya hai, jo Euro ko madad de raha hai. Jabke kamzor US dollar EUR/USD ko kuch madad de raha hai, mixed Eurozone Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data bullish sentiment ko kuch had tak dheela kar raha hai. Preliminary Eurozone PMI expectations se niche aaya, lekin 50 level se upar raha, jo expansion ko darshata hai. Lekin, Germany jo Eurozone ka sabse bara economy hai, dusre maheenay ke liye contraction ka shikaar raha. Eurozone mein slow wage growth bhi EUR/USD pair ke barhne ki sambhavnayein kam kar sakta hai. ECB ka July policy meeting bhi is ka izhaar karta hai. Recent data se ye bhi samne aaya hai ke US job growth March tak kafi kamzor thi. US Weekly Initial Jobless Claims ke barhne se labor market ke thanda hone ka andaza lagaya ja raha hai. US Manufacturing PMI ke girne se bhi economic slowdown ke imkaan barh gaye hain. Ye factors mil kar market mein speculation barhati hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) shayad September se rate-cutting cycle shuru kar de. Jabke USD ne apne saal ke low se kuch recovery dekhi hai, ye recovery broader economic concerns se dhaki hui hai, jo EUR/USD pair ko mixed Eurozone PMI data ke bawajood support deti hai. ECB ke July ki policy meeting minutes ke mutabiq, September ka meeting monetary policy restriction ko dobara assess karne ka sahi waqt maana ja raha hai. ECB Governing Council member Martins Kazaks ne 2% inflation target ko achieve karne par confidence zahir kiya aur economic uncertainties ko bhi maangliya. Unhone September mein ek aur interest rate cut ke liye tayyari ka bhi izhaar kiya. Is liye, agar EUR/USD mein koi upar ka movement hota hai, toh wo resistance ka samna kar sakta hai, lekin Greenback ke bearish sentiment Euro ko madad de sakta hai

Spot price ka girawat European Central Bank (ECB) ke aane wale monetary policy faislay se pehle rukh gaya, jab price ne 1.1009 ka daily low hit kiya aur phir wapas 1.1050 ke area ki taraf bounce kiya. Aik ahem factor jo is pair par asar andaz ho raha hai, woh money market futures traders ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke aane wale rate cut ke hawalay se expectations ka tabadla hai. 50 basis points (bps) cut ki probability takreeban 40% se gir kar 15% par aa gayi hai, jabke 25 bps cut ki umeed 66% se barh kar 85% tak chali gayi hai. Aakhri update ke mutabiq, EUR/USD ab 1.1034 ke ird gird trade ho raha hai.

ECB ke monetary policy decision ke qareeb aate hue, market participants har us signal ko ghaur se dekh rahe hain jo future rate hikes ya dovish moves ke baray mein ho. Is ke sath hi, Fed ka interest rates ke hawalay se guidance market sentiment ko US Dollar ki taraf modhne mein ahem kirdar ada karega. Sarmayakar ehtiyaat se kaam le rahe hain jab tak ECB aur Fed ke updates nahi aate, kyun ke ye donon central banks ke faislay EUR/USD pair ke direction mein bari tabdeeliyan la sakte hain.

### EUR/USD ke Fundamentals:

US Dollar (USD) dabao mein hai jab ke US Treasury yields apni neeche ki taraf ki trajectory ko barqarar rakhe hue hain. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo USD ko chheeh ahem currencies ke muqable mein track karta hai, apni teen din ki winning streak ko rok chuka hai aur ab takreeban 101.80 ke qareeb trade ho raha hai. Sath hi, 2 saal aur 10 saal ke US Treasury bonds ke yields bhi 3.57% aur 3.62% par hain, jo USD ke hawalay se software sentiment ko zahir karte hain jab markets aane walay economic data par react kar rahi hain.

Dusri taraf, Euro (EUR) bhi dabao ka shikar hai jab ke German inflation data ka izhaar hua hai. Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) ne August mein 2.0% year-on-year izafa dikhaya, jo market expectations ke mutabiq tha. Isi tarah, monthly index mein bhi 0.2% ka decline aya, jo forecast ke mutabiq tha. Consumer Price Index (CPI) bhi August mein 1.9% year-on-year par stable raha, jo ke markets ke liye koi surprise nahi tha lekin Eurozone ki bari economy mein subdued inflation ka narrative barqarar rakha.

### Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

October 3 ka low 1.1007 ke qareeb initial support level ke tor par kaam karega, jab ke agla significant support 1.1047 par hai, jahan 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) hai. Agar pair in levels ke neeche break karta hai, toh yeh 1.1021 ke mark ko test kar sakta hai, jo ke September 3 ka low tha. Aik mazeed girawat pair ko trend channel ke lower limit 1.0983 tak la sakti hai. In risks ke bawajood, bullish momentum mazid taqat pakad raha hai, jisme pair ke 1.1276 ke resistance level ki taraf rally karne ka potential hai, jab ke major support 1.0971 par moujood hai.