یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

USD mein Long Positions kholne ke liye Germany ka GDP figures economists ki forecasts ke mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke t

Tawaqo hai ke NZD/USD ka market agle hafte 0.6275 zone ko cross kar sakta hai. Iske ilawa, in bara elaano ka negative impact kuch positive developments se halka ho gaya. Ek aisi hi positive development Philly Fed Manufacturing Index se aayi. Yeh indicator Philadelphia region mein manufacturing sector ki health ko napta hai, aur iske results umeed se zyada achay aaye. Manufacturing indicator par strong reading ko aksar broader economy mein growth aur expansion ka nishan samjha jata hai. Manufacturing sector mein kaarobaron ne izafa shuda production aur orders report kiye, jo is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke kuch areas mein economic activity barh rahi hai. Lekin yeh positive data broader negative sentiment ko neutralize karne ke liye kaafi nahi tha, aur US dollar poore hafte pressure mein raha. EUR/USD mein izafa dekha gaya, lekin jaldi hi reversal aaya jab yeh wazeh hua ke U.S. mein inflation abhi bhi zyada hai, aur Fed ke rates cut na karne ki baat hui. Jab U.S. inflation stagnant hone laga, toh pair ne pehle ke lows ko dubara dekha aur range bound trade karna shuru kiya, aur phir 1.11810 resistance level ka samna kiya.Haalat yeh hain ke Federal Reserve interest rates cut kar raha hai, lekin inflation abhi bhi 3.2% pe hai, jo ke is growth ko sustainable nahi banata. Aapko shak hai ke yeh growth mazid barqarar reh payegi, aur aap expect kar rahe hain ke pair wapas move karega, shayad 1.07684 mark ko cancel karte hue. Jab unemployment data announce hoga, aap anticipate kar rahe hain ke selling pressure wapas aaye aur pair mein decline ho. aglay hafte ke liye exp ect karte hain ke pair kam az kam 1.11450 tak decline karega, aur agay chal kar 1.11183 ka test hoga. Yeh levels technical tor par bohat important hain kyun ke 1.11450 Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level ke qareeb hai, aur 1.11183 FE61.8 level hai, jo ke ek aham decision making zone hai.Agar price in levels ke neeche break karta hai, toh aap expect karte hain ke decline 1.10050 tak jaa sakta hai.

analysis ki koshish ki. Yeh kaafi dilchaspi ka sabab tha kyun ke maine dekha ke raat ke market trend mein izafa hone ka mauqa phir se nazar aa raha hai. Yeh ek reversal signal hai jahan guzishta kuch dino mein market mein price movement asal mein sellers ke qabze mein thi jo ke neeche le jane ki koshish kar rahe thay, lekin chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke bearish koshish abhi bhi 1.1004 level se breakout karne mein nakaam rahi hai, jo is haftay support ke taur par istemal ho sakti hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke agar seller support area ko naheen tod pate, toh trend mein izafa hota rehne ke imkaanat hain Isliye, main ek puri trading plan banaonga taake yeh andaza laga sakuun ke kab price upar ki taraf harakat karna shuru karegi aur agla maqsad kya hoga H4 time frame ke mutabiq. Iske ilaawa, main stochastic oscillator indicator aur support resistance boundary line ki madad bhi istemal kar raha hoon. H4 time frame ke chart par EURUSD ki price movement ne pehle ke bearish correction candlestick ki shape se reversal signal dikhaya hai. Hum daily timeframe mein monitor kar sakte hain ke guzishta hafte ke trading session mein buyers bullish trend ko continue na kar sake kyun ke sellers ke pressure ke waja se market correction ke liye neeche ki taraf chal gayi Is haftay ki bearish koshish asal mein abhi bhi jari hai, lekin guzishta Thursday ko achi buying interest ne candlestick ki position ko behtar banaya aur market ke liye bullish rally ka rasta khola, bilkul us trend ki tarah jo August ke aakhir mein tha. Phir stochastics ke saath mazeed analysis se yeh maloom hota hai ke signal line 80 zone tak barh gayi hai, jo market ke phir se izafa hone ke imkaanaat ka tasavvur deta hai. Buyers ke paas aaj bhi EURUSD ki prices ko barhane ke liye momentum mil sakta hai Maujooda market movement abhi bhi 1.1078 ke aas paas static hai. Main khud aaj dopahar se mazeed izafa ke signal ka intezaar kar raha hoon kyun ke abhi tak market transactions mein koi volatility nahi hui hai. Guzishta mahine se benchmark ke mutabiq, wahan par ek mustahkam izafa nazar aa raha hai jo neeche ki taraf corrections ke saath mix hai. Chahe market zyada bullish hi kyon na ho, main intezaar karunga jab tak buyers 1.1096 resistance zone ko breakout kar ke buy signal ko valid na bana le. Aaj ke

Spot price ne DXY ke muqable mein teesre din bhi girawat jari rakhi, aur budh ke din 0.6880 ke qareeb tha. Shuru mein RBA Governor Michele Bullock ke hawkish remarks ki wajah se kuch sahara mila, magar baad mein price dabao mein aagayi. Bullock ne RBA ki tawajjo ko inflation risks par qaboo paane ke liye rate cuts na karne ka irada zahir kiya. Yeh strategy inflation ko rokne aur iqtisadi stability ko barqarar rakhne ke darmiyan balance qaim karne ki koshish hai, jaisa ke ABC News ne report kiya.
RBNZ ka Rate Cut aur Market ke Reactions:

Market ko Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ke unexpected rate cut ne mazeed mutasir kiya, jisme rates mein 25 basis points ka kami ki gayi. Saath hi, RBNZ ne yeh bhi zahir kiya ke 50-basis-point ka cut bhi barhawa diya gaya tha. Is move ne Kiwi aur Australian Dollar par bhi bura asar dala. Is dauran chahe US Dollar kamzor hua, lekin AUD/USD pair ne apna girawat jari rakhi, iski wajah copper aur iron ore futures ka girna tha, jo ke Australia ke aham exports hain.

Cheen ke Iqtisadi Slowdown ka Asar:

Cheen se anay wali kharab credit data aur kamzor commodities ki demand ne Australian Dollar ki mushkilat ko barhawa diya. Australia ke liye Cheen ek bara trading partner hai, aur iron ore jaise commodities ki kamzor demand market ke jazbat ko seedha asar daalti hai. Yeh commodities ki zyada supply aur Cheen ke iqtisadi slowdown ke saath, AUD par mazeed dabao daal rahi hai.

Inflation aur Labor Market ki Pareshaniyan:

RBA ke Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser ne yeh bhi wazeh kiya ke persistent inflation ka sabab weak supply chains aur tight labor market hain. Yeh asbaab iqtisadi forecast ko naqabil-e-peshgoi bana rahe hain. Isi tarah, US Federal Reserve ki Governor Michelle Bowman ne yeh bataya ke inflation risks ab bhi barhawa par hain, aur US labor market ki mazbooti Fed ko September ke meeting mein interest rates cut karne se rok sakti hai, jaisa ke Bloomberg ne report kiya.

AUD/USD ka Technical Analysis:

Is pair ke liye agla bara support 0.6875 ke qareeb hai, agar is point ke neeche gir gaya to pair 0.6850 tak chala ja sakta hai. Agar bearish momentum jari raha, to 0.6800 ke aham psychological level ke neeche girawat yeh zahir karegi ke recent upward trend khatam ho gaya hai, aur market ka rujhan sellers ke haq mein ho jayega.

Technical Indicators:

Relative Strength Index (RSI) ke hisaab se market balance mein hai, kyunke yeh 50 ke qareeb hai, magar RSI thoda northward point kar raha hai, jo ek bullish signal ki nishani ho sakta hai. Traders ghor se dekh rahe hain ke AUD/USD 0.6800 ke upar reh sakta hai ya nahi, jab ke resistance 0.6903 ke aas paas expect kiya ja raha hai.

technical analysis of the EURUSD pair

Price Analysis in Support Zone

Price 4-hour chart par aik support zone mein trade kar raha hai, jahan price weekly support level 1.1023 tak pohanch gaya. Is hafte, pair ki price mazbooti se gir gayi, jab ye hafte ke shuru mein resistance level 1.1223 tak pohanchi, phir giraawat shuru hui, aur price channels aur weekly pivot level ko todte hue is level tak pahunch gayi. Ye do mumkinat ki taraf le ja sakta hai:

Pehli mumkinat: Sideways movement support level ke upar, phir giraawat, support ko todna, aur downward trend ko jari rakhna.

Dusri mumkinat: Support milna aur correction ke liye upar uthna, kyunki 1.1093 ka level correction ke liye sab se nazdeek hai.

Economic Context: Economic pehlu se, pair ki price giraawat risk-off flows, region mein September ke liye kamzor price pressures, aur United States mein mixed leading job indicators ki wajah se hui. Aane wala ADP non-farm employment change report, jo pichle mahine ke liye employment mein halka sa recovery dikhane ki umeed hai, ye tay karega ke US dollar kahan jata hai.

Saath hi, ye bhi note karein ke Middle East mein nayi tensions bhi risk-off flows ko barhawa de rahi hain, aur is wajah se US dollar ko safe haven ke tor par faida mil raha hai. Iran ne Israel par missile attacks kiye hain do Hezbollah leaders ke qatal ke jawab mein, jo global economic activity ke liye contagion aur consequences ka khauf barha rahe hain. Is ke muqabil, Eurozone se koi major reports nahi aa rahi, isliye traders zyada tar US reports aur overall market sentiment se cues le sakte hain. Geopolitical tensions ka barhna low-yielding dollar ko mazeed faida de sakta hai, jabke tensions ka kam hona recent gains par profit-taking ko dikhata hai.

EUR/USD ka 30-minute chart ek wazeh bearish momentum dikhata hai, jahan price ab 1.10384 ke aas paas hai, jo ke lower support zones ko test kar raha hai. Ye downtrend 26 September ko shuru hua jab price ne 1.1200 ke aas paas resistance ko todne mein nakam rahi, jis se ek inefficiency bani jo FVG (Fair Value Gap) kehlati hai, 1.1150 aur 1.1170 ke darmiyan. Ye area ab supply zone ke tor par kaam kar raha hai, jo kisi bhi bullish retracement ki koshish ko rok raha hai. Bechne walon ne is FVG ka faida uthaya, jisse price neeche ki taraf chal gaya. Ek aham liquidity sweep 1.1100 level par nazar aati hai, jahan price ne sell-side liquidity (Dliq) ko tap kiya, jo ke mazeed downward pressure ka sabab bana. Agla downward liquidity zone 1.1030 ke paas hai, jo agar current bearish trend jaari raha to mazeed bechne walon ko apni taraf khench sakta hai. Price action ne 30 September ko ek choti FVG ko bhi bhar diya, jo kuch waqt ke liye support di, lekin aakhir mein market ko upar nahi le ja saki. Iske bajaye, ye mazeed girawat ke liye ek base ban gayi.

Support ab 1.1030-1.1040 ke aas paas test ho raha hai, jahan pehle ka Dliq zone baar baar tap kiya gaya hai. Agar price is level ko sambhalne mein nakam rahi, to 1.1000 ki taraf agla qadam lena mumkin lagta hai, kyunki beech mein koi significant support nahi hai. 1.1000 ka psychological level ek aham area hoga dekhne ke liye, kyunki ye ya to strong support ki tarah kaam kar sakta hai ya mazeed bearish action ki taraf rahnumai kar sakta hai, jo price ko neeche ki deeper liquidity zone mein le ja sakta hai.

Upar ki taraf, pehla resistance level 1.1090 aur 1.1110 ke darmiyan FVG ke aas paas hai, jo ke pehle ke liquidity grabs se milta hai. Kisi bhi upward move ka yahan rok jana mumkin hai, kyunki current conditions mein buyers ki kami hai. Is zone se upar nikalna trend mein possible shift ka signal dega, lekin broader sentiment abhi bhi bearish hai.

Khulasa ye hai ke agar 1.1030 ke aas paas support toot gaya to EUR/USD mazeed girawat ka samna kar sakta hai, jahan downside targets 1.1000 ke paas hain. Resistance 1.1090-1.1110 FVG par mazboot hai, aur overall sentiment bearish continuation ki taraf hai.

mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed

rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls k e haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed

### EUR/USD Analysis

EUR/USD pair dheere dheere apne target level 1.1 ki taraf badh raha hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke ye aaj ya kal tak pohanch jayega, uske baad upar ki taraf rollback ho sakta hai. Lekin, range ke upper limit 1.12 tak poora growth hona ab shaki hai. Ab sab Israel ki taraf se jawab ka intezar kar rahe hain, aur Iranian nuclear facilities par strike ki baatein ho rahi hain. Umeed hai ke aisa nahi hoga, lekin is tarah ki baatein tension create karti hain. Isliye risk se door bhagne ka pressure bana rahega.

Saath hi, kal euro futures par Open Interest (OI) mein ek aur kami hui. Long positions continue ho rahi hain jo quotes ke movement par asar daal rahi hain. Lekin abhi ke liye, girawat corrective nature ki hai. Jab girawat ke sath OI mein izafa hota hai, tab hum sentiment mein badlav ka keh sakte hain, jo ke sab natije la sakta hai. Hum abhi haath dekh rahe hain. Is base par, is currency pair ke liye jo decline hai, wo final stage mein hai, jiske baad upar ki taraf rollback mumkin hai. Sab ko shubhkaamnaayein.

Aaj humne 1.1024 tak pohanch gaya hai, halankeh mujhe nahi samajh aata ke ye kyun ahmiyat rakhta hai, lekin chalo koi baat nahi. Har haal mein, kal kuch prerequisites the ke palatne ki koshish ki jaye, lekin girawat jaari rahi aur ab hum bhi southern direction mein pressure bana rahe hain. Mere liye neeche koi clear targets nahi hain, lekin platform ab bhi maximums par hai. Aur ye zaroori hai ke dollar aage kaise trade karega, jo ab support hasil kar raha hai. Humein States se bohot saari ahmiyat ki statistics milne wali hain. Har haal mein, abhi ke liye main kisi bhi direction mein transactions ka soch nahi raha. Lekin mujhe lagta hai ke hum 1.10 se neeche ja sakte hain aur agar koi false breakout hota hai, to main kharidne ki koshish karunga.

### EUR/USD Analysis

Asian session aur European session ke shuru hone par, EUR/USD currency pair apne southern course ko jaari rakhta hai. Pehle, maine instrument ke upward trend ke liye August aur September ke lows ke saath ek support line banayi thi. Lekin is trend ko is current trading week mein tod diya gaya hai, aur ab buyers ke liye naye support dekhna samajhdari hai.

Mujhe lagta hai ke currency speculators jo long positions par focus kar rahe hain, wo downward wave ko 1.10 EUR/USD ke horizontal line ke aas paas rok sakte hain. Main sochta hoon ke jab hum is figure ke kareeb pahunchen, to long position lene ki koshish karni chahiye.

EUR/USD

EUR/USD jo dheere dheere apne target level 1.1 ki taraf barh rahi hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke yeh aaj ya kal tak pahunche gi, uske baad upar ki taraf ek rollback mumkin hai. Lekin 1.12 par upar ki taraf poori tarah se growth ab shak ki nazar hai. Ab sab Israel ke jawab ka intezar kar rahe hain, aur Iranian nuclear facilities par hamle ki baatein ho rahi hain. Main umeed karta hoon ke aisa na ho, lekin is tarah ki baatein khud mein tanav paida karti hain. Isliye risk se door hone ka pressure barqarar rahega.

Saath hi, kal euro futures par OI (Open Interest) mein ek aur kami hui. Long positions band ho rahi hain, jo quotes ke harkat par asar daal rahi hain. Lekin filhal, girawat ka rukh sirf corrective hai. Lekin agar girawat OI ke barhne ke sath hoti hai, to hum sentiment mein tabdeeli ki baat kar sakte hain, jo sab asraat ko saath la sakta hai. Hum is par nazar rakhte hain. Is hisab se, is currency pair ke liye jo prescribed girawat hai, wo akhri marahil mein daakhil ho chuki hai, jiske baad upar ki taraf ek rollback mumkin hai. Sab ko shubh kaamnaayein.

Aaj humne 1.1024 tak pahuncha hai, halankeh mujhe samajh nahi aata ke yeh kyun ahem hai, lekin koi baat nahi. Har surat mein, kal aisa lag raha tha ke palatne ki koshish ki ja sakti hai, lekin girawat jaari rahi aur ab hum bhi neeche ki taraf dabaav bana rahe hain. Halankeh mere liye neeche koi wazeh targets nahi hain, lekin platform abhi bhi maximums par hai. Aur zaroori hai ke dollar kis tarah se aage trade karega, jo ab support hasil kar raha hai. Lekin humein States ke liye bohot saari ahem statistics milne wali hain. Har surat mein, filhal main in prices se kisi bhi taraf transactions par ghor nahi kar raha. Lekin mujhe lagta hai ke hum 1.10 ke neeche ja sakte hain aur agar koi false breakout hota hai, to main kharidne ki koshish karunga.

**EUR/USD Ki Halaat**

Asian session aur European session ke shuruat ke doran, EUR/USD currency pair apni neeche ki taraf ka rukh jaari rakhta hai. Pehle, maine is instrument ke upward trend ke liye August aur September ke lows ke saath ek support line banayi thi. Lekin yeh trend is trading week mein toot gaya hai, aur ab kharidaaron ke liye naye support ki talash karna behtar hai.

Main yeh andaza lagata hoon ke currency speculators jo long positions par focus kar rahe hain, wo 1.10 EUR/USD ke horizontal line ke ilaqe mein is neeche ki lehar ko rokne mein kaamyab ho sakte hain. Mujhe lagta hai ke is figure ke qareeb aane par long position lene ki koshish karni chahiye.

Technical Analysis of EUR/USD
Pichlay week euro ne growth continue karne ki koshish ki magar critical barrier par aa kar ruk gaya aur usay break nahi kar paya. Price ne 1.1198 ko touch kiya magar foran wapas 1.1121 tak aa gaya, jahan se recovery start hui jo is level pe pressure bana rahi hai. Expected sustainable development scenario poora nahi ho saka aur target area abhi bhi intact hai. Price chart super-trend green zone me trade kar raha hai jo buyers ka control show karta hai.

Aaj ke technical picture me dekhein to pair psychological resistance 1.1200 ke upar temporarily stabilize nahi ho paya, jiski wajah se kuch negative moves dekhe gaye. 240-minute chart me Stochastic ek negative signal dene ki koshish kar raha hai, jab ke price simple moving average ke upar consolidate karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Uptrend ab tak strong hai kyun ke intraday trading 1.1100 ke strong support ke upar hai. Agar price 1.1200 ke upar break ho gayi to uptrend aur strong ho jayega, aur pehla direct target 1.1250 ka mark ho sakta hai, followed by 1.1300. Lekin agar 1.1100 ka break confirm hota hai, to expected bullish scenario khatam ho jayega aur pair negative pressure ke niche aa sakta hai, jahan retesting ke liye 1.1065 aur 1.1030 targets ho sakte hain.



Pair is waqt weekly highs ke thoda upar trade kar raha hai. Critical support area test ho chuka hai aur apni integrity maintain kar raha hai, jo price ko bounce karne aur upward vector ko relevant banaye rakhta hai. Agay barhne ke liye price ko 1.1121 ke upar consolidate karna zaroori hoga, jahan major support area ki boundaries hain. Agar yeh area retest hota hai aur rebound hota hai to price ko aglay move ka mauqa milay ga jisme 1.1283 aur 1.1373 ka target hoga.

Lekin agar channel support 1.1033 pivot level ke niche break ho jati hai, to current scenario cancel ho jayega.

EUR/USD ka movement kaafi violent tha, jismein yeh currency pair takreeban 75 pip move hua. Yeh movement is liye dekha gaya kyun ke high-impact news release hui thi, jiss ki wajah se Euro ki value US dollar ke muqablay mein gir gayi. Pehle Euro ka movement sideways tha, lekin candle 1.1180 ke qareebi barrier ko torhne mein naakaam rahi aur wapis 1.1088 ke price par aa gayi. Jab hum analysis kar rahe thay, EUR/USD mein thori si recovery dekhi gayi, lekin mujhe lagta hai yeh ek temporary phenomenon tha. Agar H1 timeframe ka analysis kiya jaye, tou ab bhi yeh mumkin hai ke EUR/USD mazeed neeche jaaye jab tak ke supply area 1.1187 ko upar se break nahi kiya jata. Mere khayal mein agar koi rise hoti hai tou woh sirf ek correction ho sakti hai. Resistance ka sabse mota layer abhi torhna mushkil lagta hai. Candle ko mazeed girne ke liye H1 support 1.1088 ke price ko break karna hoga. Abhi ke liye, candle SBR region 1.1132 ko cross karne mein naakaam rahi hai, aur EUR/USD ke decline ki tayari lag rahi hai. Shayad retracement ya price bounce ho sakta hai is se pehle ke EUR/USD phir se giray. Ichimoku indicator ki madad se agar analysis kiya jaye, tou tenkan aur kijun sen lines intersect kar chuki hain, jo ke yeh signal de rahi hain ke EUR/USD ka downtrend shuru ho chuka hai. Candle ki position ab line ke neeche move kar gayi hai, jo ke bearish trend ka ishara hai. Is waqt, ichimoku signal kehti hai ke euro jaldi kamzor ho sakta hai, aur candle ne kumo cloud ko bhi cross kar liya hai. Stochastic indicator ke mutabiq, EUR/USD abhi ke liye almost oversold state mein hai kyun ke candle apne lowest level ke qareeb hai, jo ke 20 hai. Jab tak stochastic line neeche ki taraf point kar rahi hai, EUR/USD ka movement decline karta rahega, lekin aapko hoshiyaar rehna hoga kyun ke yeh kabhi bhi upar ja sakti hai.
EUR/USD pair par downward pressure aata hai. German ZEW Economic Sentiment euro ko boost de sakti hai, lekin US dollar ki strength ke chances bhi hain, is liye trading ko ehtiyat se handle karna chahiye. Ek fundamental strategy adopt karna better hoga, khaaskar UK session ke dauran jab market movements zyada hoti hain. Is period mein significant price changes market direction ka clear signal de sakti hain. Fundamental analysis ko apne strategy mein shaamil karke informed trading decisions liye ja sakte hain, economic data releases aur unke implications ko samajh kar. Mujhe umeed hai ke aaj ka market condition buyers ke haq mein hoga, aur EUR/USD pair aage upar move kare ga. Agar positive momentum barqarar raha, toh market 1.1166 level tak pohanch sakta hai. Yeh target ek important resistance point hai, aur agar price yeh level touch karti hai, toh yeh sustained bullish strength ko indicate karega. Overall, economic news par nazar rakhna aur ek acchi strategy adopt karna aaj ke market ko effective tareeqe se navigate karne mein madadgar hoga.

EURUSD currency pair abhi consolidation phase mein hai jab ke yeh apni 50-day moving average ke thoda upar chala gaya hai, pichlay haftay ki momentum ko continue karte hue. Lekin pair ko naye buyers nahi mil rahe aur yeh 1.1207 ke key resistance level ke neeche hi hai. Market participants Eurozone ke important data ka intezar kar rahe hain, khaaskar inflation figures ka, jo ECB ki aindah policy par asar daal sakta hai. Agar data strong economic growth ya elevated inflation ko zahir karta hai, toh ECB apni monetary policy ko maintain ya tighten kar sakti hai, jo Euro ko support karega. Dosri taraf, agar data weak aaya toh ECB apni policy ko zyada accommodative karne ka soch sakti hai, jo Euro ko kamzor kar ke EUR/USD ko neeche le jaayega. US ki taraf se, Federal Reserve ne aggressive rate cuts ki umeedon ko thanda kar diya hai, recent statements ke zariye yeh zahir karte hue ke woh ab cautious approach le rahe hain. Pehle optimism tha ke large-scale rate cuts honge, lekin ab Fed ka tone zyada measured hai, jo US Dollar ko kuch support de raha hai. Haan, lekin upcoming Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data is narrative ko badal sakta hai. Agar yeh data labor market mein slow down dikhata hai, toh Fed ko zyada substantial rate cuts karne ke liye majboor kar sakta hai, jo Dollar ko kamzor kar ke EUR/USD ko upar le jaayega. Is liye market dono key events ka intezar kar raha hai—Eurozone ka data aur NFP report—jo pair ke next move ka rukh tay karega. Agle haftay, EUR/USD ke liye foundation Monday se banana shuru ho ga, jab Germany ka inflation data release hoga, aur Tuesday ko Eurozone ka overall inflation data. Agar inflation France aur Spain ki tarah gir gaya toh EUR/USD is data par significant girawat dekh sakta hai. Market expect kar raha hai ke ECB December mein rate cut karega, lekin agar Eurozone ka inflation aglay haftay 2% tak gir gaya, toh ECB ke October mein rate cut karne ki umeedein barh jayengi. Aur, Friday ko Non-Farm Payrolls data bhi aana hai, aur is se pehle Wednesday ko ADP ki taraf se preliminary employment data US ka aayega. Weekly chart par price consolidation ho rahi hai, jo aglay haftay ya toh 1.1120 ka breakout kar ke pair ko 1.0850 ki taraf le jaayegi, ya phir 1.1230 ka breakout hoga aur EUR/USD 1.15 ki taraf chala jayega.

EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon,
EUR/USD tab tak purani halat mein nahi rahe ga jab tak Fed ka faisla nahi aata. Aap shayad European Central Bank (ECB) ke meeting ka bhi zikar kar rahe hain, jo Thursday ko hai, jo is maamle mein ahmiyat rakhti hai. Maine forecast calendar ko dekha aur mujhe dekhar hairani hui ke 0.6 basis points ka rate reduction plan kiya gaya hai, jo rate ko 4.25% se 3.64% tak le aayega. Agar yeh forecast theek raha, toh EUR/USD mein kam zyada girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Lekin, agar ECB sirf 0.5 ya 0.2 points ka reduction karta hai, toh EUR/USD ko mazid taqat mil sakti hai. Aise mein ECB ka rate cut dollar ko mazid majboot karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai aur EUR/USD ko kamzor kar sakta hai.
Pichle Jumme ko EUR/USD pair ne khaas taur par behtareen recovery dikhai, jo ke kuch 4 hafton ke baad sab se neechi levels se upar aya. Yeh positive momentum pair ko haftay ke trading range ke upar end tak le gaya, jo lagbhag 1.1090 ke aas-paas tha. Is upar chadhai ko kamzor US dollar ne support diya, jo ke weaker-than-expected US Producer Price Index (PPI) report ki wajah se tha. PPI data ne Federal Reserve ke agle haftay zyada aggressive rate cut ki umeed ko mazid barhadiya. Is positive risk sentiment ke sath, US dollar ne girawat dikhai aur is ka natija yeh hua ke EUR/USD pair ki qeemat mein izafa hua. Iske ilawa, European Central Bank (ECB) ka apne current interest rate stance ko barqarar rakhna euro ko support diya, jo currency pair ke liye buying interest ko mazid barhata hai

Hum filhal EUR/USD currency pair ki price behavior analysis par ek dilchasp guftagu kar rahe hain. August 27 ke peak ke qareeb resistance area ka ek "false" breakout dekha gaya. Aise false breakouts aksar ulte rukh ki taraf, shayad neeche ki taraf, movement ka sabab bante hain, jo agle sessions mein dekhne ko mil sakta hai. False breakout tab hota hai jab bade market players aur sellers ke paas counter-liquidity nahi hoti jo consequential orders ko support kar sake. Jab zone se breakout hota hai, to wahan rakhi gayi orders—mainly buy-stop aur market-buy orders—trigger hoti hain. Isliye, jab aap "false" breakout dekhte hain, to reversal ki umeed rakhna behtar hai.
Agar aaj ka low toota, to 1.1096 level ki taraf rasta khulega aur phir EMA 200 par 1.1066 tak bhi ja sakta hai. Lekin yeh is baat par depend karta hai ke aaj ka low kitna mumkin hai. Pair EMA 50 se rebound karne ki koshish kar raha hai aur is moving average ke upar trading resume karne ki koshish kar raha hai.

EUR/USD ke chart ko dekhte hue, aaj ek bullish scenario ubhar raha hai. Maujooda price 1.1113 hai, aur bullish momentum taqat pakar raha hai jab kharidaar market mein apni dominance dikhate hain. Bulls apni taqat mein izafa kar rahe hain, jo ek strong upward trend ka ishara hai. Yeh surge yeh darshata hai ke aane wale ghante EUR/USD pair ke liye pivotal ho sakte hain.

Agar bullish trend jari rahta hai, to yeh kaafi mumkin hai ke price jald hi 1.1145 resistance level ko test kare. Yeh level ek crucial threshold hai jo agar tooti, to bullish outlook ko aur validate kar sakta hai aur potential gains ka darwaza khol sakta hai.

Is scenario mein, investors ko un technical pehluon ka khayal rakhna chahiye jo market movement ko influence karte hain. Technical tools jaise moving averages, trend lines, aur momentum indicators istemal karna valuable insights de sakta hai aur informed trading decisions mein madadgar ho sakta hai. Yeh tools key support aur resistance levels ko identify karne, current trend ki taqat ko assess karne, aur potential reversals ya continuations ko anticipate karne mein madad karte hain. Apne account ka sahi management karna bohot zaroori hai, khaaskar volatile environment mein jahan price movements rapid aur significant ho sakte hain