یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

Pichlay trading hafta, Euro ne 1.0926 ka mark break kiya magar mazeed aage barhne mein nakam raha aur apne tamam gains kho diye, support area mein mazid strong hotay hue. Is tarah se expected development scenario poora nahi ho saka kyun ke target territory tak nahi pohonch saka aur abhi bhi kaam kar raha hai. Is darmiyan, price chart super trendy green zone mein rehta hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke buyers abhi bhi control mein hain. In data ne market mein optimism ko barhaya, jis se US stocks mein izafa hua. US dollar index Euro ki qeemat ke muqable mein 102.70 points tak gir gaya, jo ke 1.10159 points ke qareeb tha. Aaj ke trading din mein, Euro ne maximum 1.10169 points tak pohoncha, jab ke minimum 1.0992 points tha. Yeh data Federal Reserve ke qareebi rate cut ka rasta kholti hai aur yeh expectations barha sakti hai ke Fed apni September meeting mein rate cuts shuru karega.
news ab bhi ek ahem factor hai jo ke Euro ki trajectory ko affect kar sakta hai. Consensus yeh expect kar raha hai ke US ka CPI 0.2% se barhay ga, aur market ka reaction is baat par depend karega ke asal numbers is forecast se kitne match ya deviated hote hain.

Agar CPI expected se zyada garam aata hai aur Euro ko 1.0980 ke neeche gira deta hai, toh phir se 1.09 level tak girawat ka imkaan hai. Magar agar data expectations ke mutabiq hota hai, toh hum Euro ko mazeed barhte hue dekh sakte hain, jaisay ke recent
Pair is waqt har hafta flat trade kar raha hai, weekly highs set karne ke baad magar unhe hold karne mein nakam. Key support area ko test kiya gaya, aur mazid strong pressure ke bawajood, is ne apni integrity barqarar rakhi, jo ke prices ko range mein rakhta hai, aur yeh upside vector ki ahmiyat ko zahir karta hai. Aagey barhnay ke liye, 1.0926 level ke upar strong consolidation ki zaroorat hai, jahan main support area border karta hai. Agar is area ka kamiyab retest hota hai aur subsequent rebound hota hai, to nayi move higher ki taraf ho sakti hai, target area 1.1033 aur 1.1121 ke darmiyan ho sakta hai

Euro (EUR) ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein ek mashhoor pattern ko dobara anjaam diya, jo ke ek achi tareekay se established range mein fluctuating tha aur aakhir mein 1.1100 mark ke upar close kiya. Lekin, pair upper limit par naye ground ko break karne mein nakam raha. European Central Bank ki President Christine Lagarde ne ehtiyaat barathtay huay kaha ke European Union mein inflation temporarily baseline levels se neeche ja sakta hai, lekin saal ke aakhir tak wapis barh sakta hai. Yeh bayan EU mein inflation data ke release honay se pehlay diya gaya, jo ke Tuesday ko aayega, aur expected hai ke preliminary harmonized index of consumer price inflation (HICP) 1.9% tak gir sakta hai, jabke pehlay yeh 2.2% tha. Halanki overall inflation ne moderation dikhayi hai, Lagarde ne is baat ka ishara diya ke October mein inflation zyada ho sakta hai, kyunke central bankers market participants ke overly optimistic expectations ko manage kar rahe hain jo interest rate cuts ke bare mein hain. United States mein, market non-farm payrolls report ka ghor se intezaar kar rahi hai, jo ke September ke liye Friday ko release hogi. Kuch Federal Reserve ke officials bhi Monday ko data release karne wale hain. Atlanta Fed ke President Raphael Bostic ne labor market ki ahmiyat par zor diya aur is baat ka ishara diya ke agar economic data zaroorat ka ishara kare, toh rate cuts aur zyada ho sakte hain. Bostic ne kaha ke agar non-farm payrolls number 100,000 net new jobs se kam hota hai, toh yeh Fed ko aur zyada aggressive action lene par majboor kar sakta hai. Bostic ke bayanat ke baad, Fed ke Chairman Powell ne wazeh kiya ke investors ko aur zyada aggressive rate cuts ki umeed nahi rakhni chahiye jab tak US economy mein koi significant deterioration na ho. Is elan ke baad US dollar barh gaya aur interest rate traders ne November mein 50 basis point rate cut ki apni umeedon ko dobara sochna shuru kar diya. Powell ne ishara diya ke September mein ek sharp rate cut ke baad, Fed mazeed do 25 basis point rate cuts implement kar sakti hai, jis se market ke November mein 50 basis point rate cut ki umeedon mein kami aayi.

EUR/USD

Euro, jo ke abhi major currencies ke muqable mein underperform kar raha hai, ne Wednesday ki New York trading session ke dauran apne recent highs 1.1055 se significant decline dekha. Market sentiment abhi zyada ter ECB ke September mein ek aur interest rate cut ki umeed ke asar mein hai. Is move ke anticipation ne intensity gain ki hai jab inflation rates gir rahe hain, jo ke yeh suggest karta hai ke yeh rate-cutting cycle September ke baad bhi barh sakta hai. Abhi spot price 1.1016 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai.

ECB ke potential interest rate decisions ka andaza lagane ke liye investors German aur Eurozone HICP data ka closely jaiza lenge jo Thursday aur Friday ko release honge. Analysts expect karte hain ke Eurozone ka annual headline HICP, jo ke overall inflation ko measure karta hai, 2.3% tak decelerate karega, jab ke core HICP, jo ke volatile items ko exclude karta hai, 2.8% tak moderate hoga.

**EUR/USD ke fundamentals:**ECB ke aur zyada interest rate cuts ki umeed badh gayi hai Eurozone ke economic outlook aur wage growth slowdown ke hawale se barhati hui uncertainties ki wajah se. Hiraan kun baat yeh hai ke Eurozone ki economic activity August mein unexpected upar gayi, flash HCOB PMI report ke mutabiq. Magar yeh uptick ziada ter France mein Olympic Games ki wajah se aayi demand ki wajah se hua. Economists isay temporary boost samajhte hain, naa ke kisi fundamental economic change ko.

ECB ke Chief Economist Philip Lane ne JH Symposium ke dauran Saturday ko yeh kaha ke restrictive monetary policy ki zarurat hai. Lane ne inflation ke khilaf ladai mein ki gayi taraqqi ko acknowledge kiya, magar yeh bhi kaha ke lambi muddat tak success ka koi yaqeen nahi hai. Unki baat ne ECB ke inflationary pressures ko manage karne aur market expectations ko guide karne ke challenges ko ujagar kiya.

**Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

Wednesday ko pair 1.1010 level ke neeche slip kar gaya jab buyers ko upward momentum banaye rakhne mein mushkil hui. Pair abhi 50-day EMA ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke 1.0962 par hai, magar agar decline jari rehta hai to price 20-day EMA ke paas wapas aa sakti hai, jo ke 1.1050 ke qareeb hai. EUR/USD buyers ke liye resistance 14-day SMA par 1.1026 ke aas-paas dekhi ja sakti hai.

Pair ko 1.1000 ke crucial psychological level ke breach hone ka khatra hai. Technical indicators jaise ke MACD aur RSI bearish outlook ki taraf ishara karte hain. Agar downward momentum barqarar rehti hai, to traders ko apni positions ka jaiza lena hoga aur potential reversals ke liye hoshiyaar rehna hoga

Hello everyone! EUR/USD currency pair ko dekh kar mein kuch yeh observe kar raha hoon: M15 chart par linear regression channel upar ki taraf slope kar raha hai, jo market mein strong buying pressure ko zahir karta hai. Buyers ki activity ek zabardast buying opportunity ka ishara karti hai, khaaskar jab price lower channel boundary 1.11914 par hoti hai. Agla andaza hai ke market 1.12151 ke level tak rise karega, jiske baad ek correction ki umeed hai. Yeh correction lower boundary ki taraf hoga, jahan se dobara buying opportunities consider ki ja sakti hain. Agar price is level se neeche break karti hai, toh hum further girawat dekh sakte hain, aur aise mein buying positions cancel kar di jayengi. Market channels ke sath grow karta hai jab wo upar ki taraf dekh raha ho. Sales ki umeed upper channel boundary 1.12151 se hai, jahan entry ka mauqa ho sakta hai. Mere liye zaroori hai ke main pullback par entry karun, jitna ho sake lower boundary ke qareeb. H1 higher timeframe ko analyze karte hue, mujhe dikhai deta hai ke linear regression channel upward slope mein hai. Mere liye yeh M15 se zyada ahmiyat rakhta hai, kyun ke yeh strong bullish sentiment ko dikhata hai. M15 channel se jo signal mila, wo buying ka mashwara deta hai, jo meri buying ki desire ko reinforce karta hai. Bas mujhe sahi level par price ka intizaar karna hai aur wahan se buying opportunity dekhni hai. Jis jagah par mein buying opportunities dekh raha hoon wo current situation mein lower channel boundary 1.10973 par hai. Wahan se, mein dobara buy karne ki koshish karunga taake 1.12036 tak ka target achieve ho. Agar yeh target achieve hota hai, toh yeh strong upward movement ka ishara hoga. 1.12036 se ek correction ki umeed hai, kyun ke bullish movement select ki gayi hai. Bulls dobara apne movement ko restore karne ki koshish karenge. Agar entry point 1.10973 par breach hoti hai neeche ki taraf, toh yeh bearish interest ka sign hai. Aise mein, buying ka trading plan reconsider karna aur market situation ko dobara assess karna zaroori hoga. Eurodollar ka shape ab ek triangle ke jese lagta hai, jisme ek wedge bhi shamil hai. Haan, wahan par jo shandar shadow hai, wo image ko kharab karne ki salahiyat rakhta hai, lekin agar price uss direction mein nahi jata, phir bhi upper trend neeche rahega. Main dusri baar 1.1001 level

Chaliye baat karte hain EUR/USD currency pair ki price action aur is se kya analysis milta hai. EUR/USD ke liye aapka target lagbhag 1.1374 ke aas-paas bilkul mumkin lagta hai, khaaskar yeh dekhte hue ke aise moves aksar broader fundamentals par depend karte hain. Yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke aane wale events kya prices ko itna upar le ja sakte hain—shayad upcoming elections is mein kirdar ada kar sakti hain, jo humein bina kisi significant chart disruption ya invalid candle patterns ke is point tak trade karne ka mauqa de sakti hain. Main is broader projection se aam tor par muttahid hoon, lekin yaad rahe ke short term mein, khaaskar weekly aur daily charts par, hum 1.1065 ke neeche gir sakte hain, shayad 1.1024 tak bhi. Filhal, mera bias selling ki taraf hai, kyunki mujhe nahi lagta ke pair ko significantly upar le jaane ke liye koi mazboot buniyad maujood hai, lekin kabhi bhi kuch bhi kehna mushkil hai. Yeh levels sirf andazay hain, lekin main technical analysis par dhyan de raha hoon, bearish move ko pasand karte hue jab tak trading 1.1111–1.1120 range ke neeche rahe.
Aaj 14:00 GMT par eurozone mein consumer confidence ka preliminary data release hoga. Is index ke August mein -13.5 se September mein -13 tak thodi improvement hone ki umeed hai. New York session ke doran, American investors Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia ke President Patrick Harker ke speeches par dhyan denge, jo 18:00 par interest rates par naye guidance dene ke liye honge. North American session ke doran, euro ne 1.1150 ke upar rehne ki koshish ki. Jabke 20-day moving average (EMA) 1.1088 ke kareeb aa raha hai, currency pair ke liye aakhri prospects optimistic hain. Main currency mazboot hai, kyunki yeh daily frame par breakouts ko dobara test karne ke baad confidently recover hui hai (1.1000 ke psychological support position ke paas). Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi 60.00 ke upar chala gaya hai. Agar yeh level ke upar bana rahe, to momentum mein izafa hoga.

Upar ki taraf dekhte hue, 1.1200 ka integer resistance Euro ke liye ek main rukawat ban jayega. Agar is level ka decisive break hota hai, to asset ko July 2023 mein 1.1276 tak le ja sakta hai. Aane wale levels mein, psychological price 1.1000 aur 17 July ka High Point main support area ban jayega.

EUR/USD Trading Analysis


EUR/USD doosre din ke liye niche trade kar rahi hai aur blue moving average ke neeche wapas aa gayi hai chaar ghante ke chart par. Yeh continued decline ka ishara hai, aur support 1.0877 par mil raha hai. Lekin is measure par poora bharosa nahi kiya ja sakta. Indicators abhi bohot strong oversold conditions dikhate hain, aur bulls ke market mein wapas aane ki possibility ko nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta.

Agar quotes 1.0877 level ke neeche rehti hain, to main downward trend ke continue hone ki ummeed karta hoon. Lekin doosri scenario ko bhi nahi bhoolna chahiye; agar quotes 1.0927 resistance ke upar wapas aati hain, to main long-term rise aur ek aur uchaai ki ummeed karta hoon.

EUR/USD pair taqatwar bullish trends ka dikhawa kar raha hai. Yeh behad nichay 1.1000 ke levels se tezi se ubhar raha hai, aur chand waqton ke liye 1.0950 se oopar chala gaya hai. Pair ne 200-din EMA par 1.0826 se bhi guzar gaya hai, jo taqatwar short-term bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Yeh technical breakthrough yeh darust karta hai ke upri trend jari reh sakta hai, traders resistance levels aur potential breakout points ko qareeb se nigrani me rakhte hue.

Ikhtisar mein, Euro ke US Dollar ke muqable mein haal ki quwwat ko kamzor US economic indicators aur European markets mein itminani sentiment ka milaap mana jata hai. Jab EUR/USD pair ahem resistance levels ke qareeb pounchega, market participants qareeb aanay wale economic data aur geopolitical developments ko nigrani me rakhtay hue is currency pair ke mustaqbil ke harkaton par asar dalne wale cheezon ka tawaju se intezar karenge.

Technical analysis ke context mein, yeh scenario naye participants ko bhi attract kar sakta hai jo pehle cautious ya bullish trend ke confirmation ka wait kar rahe the. In technical indicators ka alignment unhe confirmation data hai, jo ek stronger conviction offer karta hai ke uptrend sustainable hai. Yeh increased participation bullish momentum ko further fuel kar sakta hai, jise naye buyers existing upward pressure ko add karte hain.

Summary yeh hai ke price ka 100-period SMA ke upar hona weekly chart par, aur positive oscillator readings ke sath, currency pair ke liye strong bullish momentum ka indication hai. Yeh technical setup yeh darshata hai ke upward pressure likely hai ke continue rahega, kyunki yeh price action aur momentum indicators dono ke sath well-supported trend ko reflect karta hai. Traders aur investors isse bullish signal ke roop mein dekhenge, jo continued buying aur near term mein further price appreciation ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

EUR/USD ke upar jane ke chances abhi bhi hain.


4o miniEUR/USD Trading Analysis EUR/USD doosre din ke liye niche trade kar rahi hai aur blue moving average ke neeche wapas aa gayi hai chaar ghante ke chart par. Yeh continued decline ka ishara hai, aur support 1.0877 par mil raha hai. Lekin is measure par poora bharosa nahi kiya ja sakta. Indicators abhi bohot strong oversold conditions dikhate hain, aur bulls ke market mein wapas aane ki possibility ko nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta.

Agar quotes 1.0877 level ke neeche rehti hain, to main downward trend ke continue hone ki ummeed karta hoon. Lekin doosri scenario ko bhi nahi bhoolna chahiye; agar quotes 1.0927 resistance ke upar wapas aati hain, to main long-term rise aur ek aur uchaai ki ummeed karta hoon.

EUR/USD pair taqatwar bullish trends ka dikhawa kar raha hai. Yeh behad nichay 1.1000 ke levels se tezi se ubhar raha hai, aur chand waqton ke liye 1.0950 se oopar chala gaya hai. Pair ne 200-din EMA par 1.0826 se bhi guzar gaya hai, jo taqatwar short-term bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Yeh technical breakthrough yeh darust karta hai ke upri trend jari reh sakta hai, traders resistance levels aur potential breakout points ko qareeb se nigrani me rakhte hue.

Ikhtisar mein, Euro ke US Dollar ke muqable mein haal ki quwwat ko kamzor US economic indicators aur European markets mein itminani sentiment ka milaap mana jata hai. Jab EUR/USD pair ahem resistance levels ke qareeb pounchega, market participants qareeb aanay wale economic data aur geopolitical developments ko nigrani me rakhtay hue is currency pair ke mustaqbil ke harkaton par asar dalne wale cheezon ka tawaju se intezar karenge.

Technical analysis ke context mein, yeh scenario naye participants ko bhi attract kar sakta hai jo pehle cautious ya bullish trend ke confirmation ka wait kar rahe the. In technical indicators ka alignment unhe confirmation data hai, jo ek stronger conviction offer karta hai ke uptrend sustainable hai. Yeh increased participation bullish momentum ko further fuel kar sakta hai, jise naye buyers existing upward pressure ko add karte hain.

Summary yeh hai ke price ka 100-period SMA ke upar hona weekly chart par, aur positive oscillator readings ke sath, currency pair ke liye strong bullish momentum ka indication hai. Yeh technical setup yeh darshata hai ke upward pressure likely hai ke continue rahega, kyunki yeh price action aur momentum indicators dono ke sath well-supported trend ko reflect karta hai. Traders aur investors isse bullish signal ke roop mein dekhenge, jo continued buying aur near term mein further price appreciation ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

EUR/USD ke upar jane ke chances abhi bhi hain.

EUR/USD Mein Long Positions Khulne Ka Mauqa


Germany ke GDP figures economists ki forecasts ke mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada. Ye is liye hai ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein.

Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain. Lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon.

Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ka acha moka hoga. Is se euro ka rise aur bullish trend mazid mazbooti hasil kar sakta hai, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aane ka mauqa milega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga.

Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue.

EUR/USD mein short positions kholne ke liye sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approach apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain.

Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga.

Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga.

Is waqt GBP/USD currency pair ke neeche jaane ke chances abhi bhi hain.
EUR/USD Mein Long Positions Khulne Ka Mauqa Germany ke GDP figures economists ki forecasts ke mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada. Ye is liye hai ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein.

Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain. Lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon.

Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ka acha moka hoga. Is se euro ka rise aur bullish trend mazid mazbooti hasil kar sakta hai, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aane ka mauqa milega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga.

Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue.

EUR/USD mein short positions kholne ke liye sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approach apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain.

Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga.

Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga.

Is waqt GBP/USD currency pair ke neeche jaane ke chances abhi bhi hain.

Euro Ki Higher High Banane Ki Umeed


Yeh dekhna kaafi dilchasp hoga ke kya Euro GBP ki tarah ek aur higher high banata hai. Yeh bilkul mumkin hai, halaan ke GBP ne reversal ke signs dena shuru kar diye hain, jo abhi tak EUR/USD mein nahi dekhe gaye.

Agar hum daily chart se analysis shuru karein, toh aisa lagta hai ke ek fifth wave ka growth form ho raha hai, aur mujhe abhi tak koi aise wajah nazar nahi aa rahi ke yeh na ho. Pehle ek signal aaya tha Euro ke rise hone ka, jiska target 1.12301 tha, aur yeh abhi tak meri chart par purple line ke tor par mojood hai.

Lekin ab hum ek different level aur signal par baat kar rahe hain, jo hourly timeframe se hai. Yeh thoda qareebi target deta hai, lekin agar growth jaari rahi toh dono targets achieve ho sakte hain.

Chaliye ab hourly timeframe par nazar daalte hain. Dusri chart par H4 timeframe hai, lekin targets dekhne ke liye hum hourly buy signal par discussion karenge. Signal level 1.11446 par consider kiya ja raha hai.

Is signal level se neeche aur stop-loss level se ooper jo bhi buy entries hoti hain, wo advantageous aur sahi buying points hain. Stop-loss level ko 1.10677 ke neeche consider kiya gaya hai. Target jo mention kiya gaya hai, wo 1.12209 hai. Agar hum signal level se ooper buying karte hain, toh risk-to-reward ratio 1 to 1 se kam ho jata hai, jo ke long-term mein profitable nahi hoga.

Dosre lafzon mein, buying entry point aise select karna chahiye ke wo 1 to 1 ratio se neeche na ho. Agar 1 to 2 ratio achieve karna hai, toh buy entries 1.11187 se start karni chahiye. Aur agar 1 to 3 ratio achieve karna hai, toh entries 1.11038 se start karni hongi.

Maine chart par grid aise set kiya hai ke wo ek ruler ki tarah lagta hai. Yani, 0.0% stop hai, 100% profit hai, aur 50% level signal level hai.

Currency pair EUR/USD ne Thursday ke din low level 1.10680 se reversal le kar northwards move kiya. Abhi pair Bollinger Bands ke bullish zone mein 1.11625 ke level par hai. MACD histogram zero mark se ooper hai, aur RSI midline ke ooper hai.

Agle hafte price ka mazid strong hona aur 261.8% level (1.13133) tak pohanchna expect kiya ja raha hai.

EUR/USD Mein Long Positions Kholne Ka Mauqa


Aaj Germany ke GDP figures economists ki forecasts ke mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada. Ye is liye ke pehlay se hi data ne second quarter mein GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain.

Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain. Lekin agar ye indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai. Main is surat-e-haal ka fayda uthane ka soch raha hoon.

Agar EUR/USD 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ka acha moka hoga. Is se euro ka rise aur bullish trend mazid mazbooti pakar sakta hai, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aane ka mauqa mil sakta hai. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Mera aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga.

Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue.

Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approach apnaya hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain.
EUR/USD Mein Long Positions Kholne Ka Mauqa Aaj Germany ke GDP figures economists ki forecasts ke mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada. Ye is liye ke pehlay se hi data ne second quarter mein GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain.

Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain. Lekin agar ye indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai. Main is surat-e-haal ka fayda uthane ka soch raha hoon.

Agar EUR/USD 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ka acha moka hoga. Is se euro ka rise aur bullish trend mazid mazbooti pakar sakta hai, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aane ka mauqa mil sakta hai. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Mera aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga.

Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue.

Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approach apnaya hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain.

EUR/USD Market Analysis


EUR/USD doosre din ke liye niche trade kar rahi hai aur blue moving average ke neeche wapas aa gayi hai chaar ghante ke chart par. Yeh continued decline ka ishara hai, aur support 1.0877 par mil raha hai. Is measure par poora bharosa nahi hai. Indicators pehle se hi bohot strong oversold conditions dikhate hain, aur bulls ke market mein wapas aane ki possibility ko nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Isliye, agar quotes 1.0877 level ke neeche rehti hain, to main downward trend ke continue hone ki ummeed karta hoon.

Lekin doosri scenario ko bhi nahi bhoolna chahiye. Agar quotes 1.0927 resistance ke upar wapas aati hain, to main long-term rise aur ek aur uchaai ki ummeed karta hoon. EUR/USD pair taqatwar bullish trends ka dikhawa kar raha hai. Yeh behad niche 1.1000 ke levels se tezi se ubhar raha hai, aur chand waqton ke liye 1.0950 se oopar chala gaya hai. Pair ne 200-din EMA par 1.0826 se bhi guzar gaya hai, jo taqatwar short-term bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Yeh technical tor par breakthrough yeh darust karta hai ke upri trend jari reh sakta hai, traders resistance levels aur potential breakout points ko qareeb se nigrani me rakhte hue.

Ikhtisar mein, Euro ke US Dollar ke muqable mein haal ki quwwat ko kamzor US economic indicators aur European markets mein itminani sentiment ka milaap mana jata hai. Jab EUR/USD pair ahem resistance levels ke qareeb pounchega, market participants qareeb aanay wale economic data aur geopolitical developments ko nigrani me rakhtay hue is currency pair ke mustaqbil ke harkaton par asar dalne wale cheezon ka tawaju se intezar karenge.

Iske ilawa, technical analysis ke context mein, yeh scenario naye participants ko bhi attract kar sakta hai jo pehle cautious ya bullish trend ke confirmation ka intezar kar rahe the.


4o miniEUR/USD Market Analysis EUR/USD doosre din ke liye niche trade kar rahi hai aur blue moving average ke neeche wapas aa gayi hai chaar ghante ke chart par. Yeh continued decline ka ishara hai, aur support 1.0877 par mil raha hai. Is measure par poora bharosa nahi hai. Indicators pehle se hi bohot strong oversold conditions dikhate hain, aur bulls ke market mein wapas aane ki possibility ko nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Isliye, agar quotes 1.0877 level ke neeche rehti hain, to main downward trend ke continue hone ki ummeed karta hoon.

Lekin doosri scenario ko bhi nahi bhoolna chahiye. Agar quotes 1.0927 resistance ke upar wapas aati hain, to main long-term rise aur ek aur uchaai ki ummeed karta hoon. EUR/USD pair taqatwar bullish trends ka dikhawa kar raha hai. Yeh behad niche 1.1000 ke levels se tezi se ubhar raha hai, aur chand waqton ke liye 1.0950 se oopar chala gaya hai. Pair ne 200-din EMA par 1.0826 se bhi guzar gaya hai, jo taqatwar short-term bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Yeh technical tor par breakthrough yeh darust karta hai ke upri trend jari reh sakta hai, traders resistance levels aur potential breakout points ko qareeb se nigrani me rakhte hue.

Ikhtisar mein, Euro ke US Dollar ke muqable mein haal ki quwwat ko kamzor US economic indicators aur European markets mein itminani sentiment ka milaap mana jata hai. Jab EUR/USD pair ahem resistance levels ke qareeb pounchega, market participants qareeb aanay wale economic data aur geopolitical developments ko nigrani me rakhtay hue is currency pair ke mustaqbil ke harkaton par asar dalne wale cheezon ka tawaju se intezar karenge.

Iske ilawa, technical analysis ke context mein, yeh scenario naye participants ko bhi attract kar sakta hai jo pehle cautious ya bullish trend ke confirmation ka intezar kar rahe the.

EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Kal, mujhe ummid thi keh euro/dollar ka joda ooper ki taraf palat jayega, lekin isne nuqsanat ko badhaya. Americi mulazmaton ke aidad o shumar ne European currency par dawab dala, jo pahle hi inflation ke aidad o shumar ke dawab me thi. Yah bat qabile gaur hai keh koi fauri hadaf nahin hai, jo jis bat ki nishandahi karta hai keh jode ki girawat ka imkan mahdud hai. Aage dekhte hue, aaj ke macroeconomic calendar me America ke aham aidad o shumar ka rk batch shamil hai. Halankeh mai filhal market se bahar hun, lekin mai maujudah satahon se short positions kholne ki tajwiz nahin karunga. Sath hi, mujhe yaqin hai keh euro/dollar ka joda 1.1000 ke nishan se niche gir sakta hai. Is satah par false breakout ki surat me, long positions kholne par gaur karna danishmandi hogi.

اکتوبر 3 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

کل، واحد یورپی کرنسی میں 22 پِپس کی کمی ہوئی، جبکہ اسٹاک مارکیٹ (ایس. اینڈ. پی. 500) میں 0.01% اضافہ ہوا۔ مجموعی طور پر، اسٹاک انڈیکس ملے جلے بند ہوئے، لیکن VIX انڈیکس میں 1.87% کی کمی واقع ہوئی، اور اسے ستمبر کے 23.76 کی اپنی چوٹی تک پہنچنے کے لیے اب بھی 25.7% اضافے کی ضرورت ہے۔ خطرے سے پرواز کا کوئی نشان نہیں ہے۔ یہاں تک کہ گزشتہ روز تیل کی قیمتیں گر گئیں، اور سرمایہ کار اپنے محکموں میں امریکی حکومت کے بانڈز رکھنے کے خواہشمند نہیں تھے۔



ہفتہ وار یورو/امریکی ڈالر چارٹ پر، قیمت مضبوط سپورٹ تک پہنچ گئی ہے - وہ نقطہ جہاں کجن - سین لائن 138.2% فبونیکی ریٹیسمنٹ لیول کے ساتھ آپس میں ملتی ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر پر موجود چینلز نزول اور چڑھتے دونوں چینلز کی نچلی حدود کے چوراہے پر ایک مضبوط ممکنہ ریورسل پوائنٹ بھی بناتے ہیں۔ نیچے کی حرکت کے دوران پیدا ہونے والا انحراف پلٹ سکتا ہے۔

یومیہ چارٹ پر، قیمت کجن - سین لائن کے نیچے مستحکم ہونے کے قریب ہے، جس کے لیے آج کا اس لائن سے نیچے ہونا ضروری ہے۔ مارلن نیچے کے رجحان والے علاقے میں تھوڑا سا اوپر کی طرف مڑ رہا ہے۔ ہفتہ وار چارٹ پر صورت حال پر غور کرتے ہوئے، ممکنہ طور پر اگلے ہفتے اہم واقعات سامنے آئیں گے۔



قیمت چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر 1.1076 کی سطح سے نیچے گر رہی ہے جبکہ آسیلیٹر بڑھ رہا ہے۔ آج، ستمبر کے لیے یورو زون کے لیے پی ایم آئ اشاریہ جات جاری کیے جائیں گے، اور پیشین گوئیاں منفی ہیں۔ یہ عنصر یورو کی بحالی میں رکاوٹ کا امکان ہے۔ کل، امریکی ملازمت کے اعداد و شمار کے اجراء کے ساتھ (اگست میں 142k کے مقابلے میں نان فارم پے رولز کی پیشن گوئی 144k ہے، جس سے تجاوز کیا جا سکتا ہے)، خطرے کے لیے سرمایہ کاروں کی بھوک بڑھ سکتی ہے۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Euro (EUR) ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein ek mashhoor pattern ko dobara anjaam diya, jo ke ek achi tareekay se established range mein fluctuating tha aur aakhir mein 1.1100 mark ke upar close kiya. Lekin, pair upper limit par naye ground ko break karne mein nakam raha. European Central Bank ki President Christine Lagarde ne ehtiyaat barathtay huay kaha ke European Union mein inflation temporarily baseline levels se neeche ja sakta hai, lekin saal ke aakhir tak wapis barh sakta hai. Yeh bayan EU mein inflation data ke release honay se pehlay diya gaya, jo ke Tuesday ko aayega, aur expected hai ke preliminary harmonized index of consumer price inflation (HICP) 1.9% tak gir sakta hai, jabke pehlay yeh 2.2% tha. Halanki overall inflation ne moderation dikhayi hai, Lagarde ne is baat ka ishara diya ke October mein inflation zyada ho sakta hai, kyunke central bankers market participants ke overly optimistic expectations ko manage kar rahe hain jo interest rate cuts ke bare mein hain. United States mein, market non-farm payrolls report ka ghor se intezaar kar rahi hai, jo ke September ke liye Friday ko release hogi. Kuch Federal Reserve ke officials bhi Monday ko data release karne wale hain. Atlanta Fed ke President Raphael Bostic ne labor market ki ahmiyat par zor diya aur is baat ka ishara diya ke agar economic data zaroorat ka ishara kare, toh rate cuts aur zyada ho sakte hain. Bostic ne kaha ke agar non-farm payrolls number 100,000 net new jobs se kam hota hai, toh yeh Fed ko aur zyada aggressive action lene par majboor kar sakta hai. Bostic ke bayanat ke baad, Fed ke Chairman Powell ne wazeh kiya ke investors ko aur zyada aggressive rate cuts ki umeed nahi rakhni chahiye jab tak US economy mein koi significant deterioration na ho. Is elan ke baad US dollar barh gaya aur interest rate traders ne November mein 50 basis point rate cut ki apni umeedon ko dobara sochna shuru kar diya. Powell ne ishara diya ke September mein ek sharp rate cut ke baad, Fed mazeed do 25 basis point rate cuts implement kar sakti hai, jis se market ke November mein 50 basis point rate cut ki umeedon mein kami aayi.

EURUSD currency pair abhi consolidation phase mein hai jab ke yeh apni 50-day moving average ke thoda upar chala gaya hai, pichlay haftay ki momentum ko continue karte hue. Lekin pair ko naye buyers nahi mil rahe aur yeh 1.1207 ke key resistance level ke neeche hi hai. Market participants Eurozone ke important data ka intezar kar rahe hain, khaaskar inflation figures ka, jo ECB ki aindah policy par asar daal sakta hai. Agar data strong economic growth ya elevated inflation ko zahir karta hai, toh ECB apni monetary policy ko maintain ya tighten kar sakti hai, jo Euro ko support karega. Dosri taraf, agar data weak aaya toh ECB apni policy ko zyada accommodative karne ka soch sakti hai, jo Euro ko kamzor kar ke EUR/USD ko neeche le jaayega. US ki taraf se, Federal Reserve ne aggressive rate cuts ki umeedon ko thanda kar diya hai, recent statements ke zariye yeh zahir karte hue ke woh ab cautious approach le rahe hain. Pehle optimism tha ke large-scale rate cuts honge, lekin ab Fed ka tone zyada measured hai, jo US Dollar ko kuch support de raha hai. Haan, lekin upcoming Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data is narrative ko badal sakta hai. Agar yeh data labor market mein slow down dikhata hai, toh Fed ko zyada substantial rate cuts karne ke liye majboor kar sakta hai, jo Dollar ko kamzor kar ke EUR/USD ko upar le jaayega. Is liye market dono key events ka intezar kar raha hai—Eurozone ka data aur NFP report—jo pair ke next move ka rukh tay karega. Agle haftay, EUR/USD ke liye foundation Monday se banana shuru ho ga, jab Germany ka inflation data release hoga, aur Tuesday ko Eurozone ka overall inflation data. Agar inflation France aur Spain ki tarah gir gaya toh EUR/USD is data par significant girawat dekh sakta hai. Market expect kar raha hai ke ECB December mein rate cut karega, lekin agar Eurozone ka inflation aglay haftay 2% tak gir gaya, toh ECB ke October mein rate cut karne ki umeedein barh jayengi. Aur, Friday ko Non-Farm Payrolls data bhi aana hai, aur is se pehle Wednesday ko ADP ki taraf se preliminary employment data US ka aayega. Weekly chart par price consolidation ho rahi hai, jo aglay haftay ya toh 1.1120 ka breakout kar ke pair ko 1.0850 ki taraf le jaayegi, ya phir 1.1230 ka breakout hoga aur EUR/USD 1.15 ki taraf chala jayega.

USD mein Long Positions kholne ke liye Germany ka GDP figures economists ki forecasts ke mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke t