یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

EUR/AUD market trend ko main ne mahine ke aghaz se monitor kiya hai, aur ye bullish side par chal raha tha jab tak is ne 100-period simple moving average zone ko cross nahi kar liya. Lekin jab market mahine ke darmiyan mein thi, to upward trend ko continue karna mushkil lag raha tha. Qeemat jo pehle upar ja rahi thi, ab neeche ki taraf chali gayi hai. Kal raat ke trading period tak qeemat 1.6256 ke level ko touch kar gayi thi. Agar candlestick ki position dekhi jaye, to ab wo 100-period simple moving average zone ke neeche aa gayi hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke sellers ki taraf se qeemat ko bearish side ki taraf le jaane ki koshish ho rahi hai.

Market conditions ye dikha rahe hain ke qeemat abhi bhi weekly low position se upar ki taraf correction kar rahi hai. Aaj subah tak, qeemat dheere dheere 1.6301 area ke aas paas move kar rahi hai. Agar is haftay ke aghaz se qeemat ke safar ka rujhan dekha jaye, to bearish movement ko market mein sellers ka support mil raha hai. Qeemat ke girne ne candlestick ko mazeed neeche move karne mein madad di hai aur haftay ke aghaz mein market ke opening zone se door ja rahi hai. Aisa lagta hai ke sellers mazeed neeche ke price area ko haasil karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Guzishta haftay ke aghaz mein, EUR/AUD pair ne apni market journey 1.6470 ke position se shuru ki thi. 4-hour time frame ke analysis ke mutabiq, guzishta chand dinon mein sellers ke asrat dekhe gaye hain jo candlestick ki position ko neeche le jaane mein kamiyab hue hain.

Agli market movement ki prediction ke mutabiq, agar sellers ka pressure jo ab tak kaafi mazboot hai, us par nazar dali jaye to subah tak market upward correction kar rahi hai. Mere khayal mein abhi bhi trend reversal ke indications hain, lekin latest trend ke mutabiq qeemat ka movement ab bhi ziada probability ke sath bearish direction mein jaane ka imkaan rakhta hai. Market ka condition abhi bhi correction mode mein dikhai de raha hai, aur movement 1.6387 ke level ke aas paas ruk gaya hai. Magar dhyan dena hoga ke qeemat phir se pehle ke bearish trend ko continue kar sakti hai. Agar support level 1.6333 par breakout hota hai, to decline ka potential zahir hota hai. Magar agar qeemat dobara upar jaati hai aur resistance area 1.6412 ko break kar leti hai, to is baat ka imkaan hai ke hafte ke aakhir mein bullish trend ka movement dekhne ko mile.

Support level ab tak mazeed bearish movement ko rok raha hai, magar market ka rujhan girawat ki taraf hai, jo bearish trend ka imkaan barhata hai. Yeh batata hai ke qeemat ke girne ka mauqa hai, jis par trading decisions lete waqt dehan dena chahiye. Agar stochastic indicator 5.3.3 ko dekha jaye, to yeh market trend mein selling action ko zahir karta hai, jo signal line ke level 20 ki taraf girne se zahir hota hai. Guzishta chand dinon ke trading session mein qeemat ke girne ne market signal ko bhi kamzor kar diya hai. Signal line ke neeche safar se sellers ki dominance zahir hoti hai, aur qeemat level 50 ke neeche girne mein kamiyab rahi hai, jo market mein continued bearish signal ko dikhata hai. Aaj raat tak market trend ke sellers ke asrat mein rehne ka imkaan hai.

USD H1 time frame chart par, abhi exchange rate 1.1150 ke aas paas hai, aur market mein clear bearish trend nazar aa raha hai. Yeh downtrend Euro ki U.S. Dollar ke muqable mein kamzori ko dikhata hai, jo kai factors ki wajah se hai, jaise ke economic data, geopolitical developments, aur overall market sentiment. Traders ko in factors par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyun ke yeh market ki current momentum ko samajhne mein madadgar hain. Technical indicators, jaise Moving Average (MA) aur Relative Strength Index (RSI), bhi is bearish outlook ko reinforce kar rahe hain. Yeh pair apne 50-period aur 100-period moving averages ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo downside momentum ko signal karta hai. RSI bhi oversold zone ke qareeb hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke short-term bounce ho sakta hai, magar overall trend tab tak bearish rahega jab tak koi sustained reversal na ho. Is waqt EUR/USD pair bearish phase mein hai H1 time frame par, aur kai factors euro ki weakness ka sabab ban rahe hain U.S. dollar ke muqable mein. Traders ko aanay wali economic data releases aur geopolitical developments par ghore se nazar rakhni chahiye, kyun ke yeh pair ki direction ko aur bhi mutasir kar sakte hain. Abhi ke liye, long positions mein ehtiyaat karni chahiye, jab ke market ko short karne wale traders key technical levels par nazar rakh kar behtar entry points ko dekhen. Candle analysis ke mutabiq, EUR/USD mein girawat hai aur trend analysis bhi bearish outlook ko confirm karta hai. Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke sirf gold hi nahi, balki yen aur franc jesi currencies bhi dollar ke muqable mein gain kar rahi hain. Yeh broader market mein risk aversion ko darshata hai. Mujhe lagta hai yeh Middle East mein barhti hui tensions ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jahan Iran ke involvement ka khatra hai. Oil prices mein izafa hua hai is rumor ki wajah se ke Iran Israel par missile strike kar sakta hai, aur Israel ne bhi retaliation ka wada kiya hai. Is uncertainty ne market mein declines ko trigger kiya hai. Agar ye tensions raat tak kam ho jati hain, toh kal tak EUR/USD phir se 1.1099 level par aa sakta hai. Aksar aise geopolitical risks jaldi reverse ho jate hain agar situation de-escalate ho jaye. Technical perspective se dekha jaye toh euro ne ek ascending wedge se breakout kiya hai aur 1.1049 tak pura retrace kar chuka hai. Agar Iran aur Israel ka conflict aur barhta hai, toh yeh pair 1.0999 level tak gir sakta hai

/USD is iss waqt transition zone channel ke lower end par trade kar raha hai, takreeban 1.1064 ke aas paas. Yeh level yeh signal de raha hai ke pair neeche break karne ki koshish kar raha hai, magar is baat ka koi yaqeen nahi hai. Traders ko yeh samajh nahi aa raha ke yeh pair aur neeche jaye ga ya phir bounce back kar ke upar aa jayega. Rozana price reversals ko dekhna is pair ke potential direction ko samajhne mein madad de sakta hai.
Trading channels ke hawale se ek theory hai ke price aksar channel ke upper boundary ki taraf wapas jata hai. Is case mein upper boundary takreeban 1.1136 par hai. Agar price abhi ke level se rebound karta hai, toh yeh mumkin hai ke yeh upper boundary tak wapas ja sakta hai, khas tor par jabke rozana range 1.1132 tak dikh rahi hai, jo ke kaafi qareeb hai. Iska matlab hai ke upper boundary tak bounce back karna feasible hai.

Lekin yeh baat note karni zaroori hai ke abhi koi bara momentum nahi dikh raha jo ke ek significant breakout upar ki taraf suggest kare. Rozana range abhi ke liye koi strong upward movement ko support nahi kar rahi. Agar EUR/USD pair mein itni taqat nahi hoti ke yeh upar push kare, toh yeh sideways move karta reh sakta hai, jo ke "trading in a flat" kehlata hai.

Traders aksar transition zones aur channels ke concept ka istemal karte hain taake potential price movements ko pehchaan sakein. Is scenario mein, achi chance hai ke price wapas upar bounce kar sakta hai, lekin traders ko ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye. Agar yeh pair channel ke lower boundary se neeche girta hai aur key levels ko break karta hai, toh yeh ek aur significant downward trend ka ishara de sakta hai

EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga

Euro ki Haal aur Mustaqbil

Trading haftay ki shuruat par Euro ko kuch challenges ka samna karna pada. Lekin, yeh jaldi hi apne raaste ko badalta hai, jisse iski value mein kafi kami dekhi gayi, jo ke 1.10 ke critical level ke neeche chali gayi. Yeh girawat mazboot U.S. employment reports ke sath hui, jo Euro par pressure daal rahi thi. Iska natija yeh hai ke market ka outlook yeh darshata hai ke Euro ab kuch waqt tak chhoti si range mein fluctuate kar sakta hai. U.S. ke mazboot labor data ne Federal Reserve ko mushkil mein daal diya hai, jisse inhe aane wale waqt mein interest rates ko kafi zyada kam karna mushkil hoga. Yeh halat aage chal kar U.S. dollar ki mazid taqatwar hone ki sambhavnayein darshata hai.

European CPI aur U.S. Employment Data ka Asar

Europe se aane wale CPI numbers thode se saste hain, jabke U.S. se behtar employment data ne Euro ko consolidation ki taraf le jaane ki sambhavnayein barha di hain. Aane wale sessions mein, aisa lagta hai ke Euro dheere dheere 1.08 ya us se bhi neeche gir sakta hai agle hafte ke doran.

Key Level: 1.08

Is waqt, bazar ka intezar hai ke kuch faisle liye jayein. Level 1.08 ek ahem mod ban sakta hai jahan traders is surat-e-haal ko dobarah dekh sakte hain, aur yeh is currency pair ke liye agla bada qadam tay karega. Filhal, aisa lagta hai ke Euro pressure mein rahega, dheere dheere apne neeche ke trend ko jari rakhega.

Aane wale Faisle aur Market ka Outlook

Bazar waqt ke sath kuch aham faisle lene ke liye tayaar hai. Jab tak yeh faisle nahi hote, traders ko kuch erratic movements ki umeed rakhni chahiye, jab yeh currency pair is wider range mein rahega. Agar Euro 1.08 se neeche girta hai, to yeh mazeed nuqsan ki sambhavna khol sakta hai, lekin filhal, yeh sochna zaroori hai ke Euro apne dheere descent ko jari rakhega.

Kul mila kar, is waqt ka halat Euro ke liye ek challenging environment darshata hai, jo ke U.S. se aane wale mazboot ma'ashi indicators aur Europe ki taraf se ehtiyaat bhare outlook se chalay raha hai.

### EUR/USD ka Haal

EUR/USD currency pair ki maujooda price behavior par guftagu ki ja sakti hai. Halankeh EUR/USD ne 1.10 ka level nahi chhoya, lekin kuch ibtidaai nishan aise nazar aa rahe hain jo kisi activity ki taraf ishaara karte hain. Mujhe is area mein koi significant rally ki umeed nahi hai, kyunki recent decline bina kisi mazboot wajah ke hui hai. Yeh girawat shayad technical factors ki wajah se hai, fundamental shifts se nahi. Yeh abhi tak wazeh nahi hai ke kya yeh pair aage aur girta rahega, kyunki kuch mazboot support levels hain jo bearish trend ko darshate hain.

Is hafte ke shuru mein, ek aisi hi girawat ke baad tezi se recovery hui thi, lekin aaj ka halat kuch alag lag raha hai. Market ka jazba mein koi tabdeel nahi aayi, aur price bullish hai. Magar, weekly price close bullish momentum ke liye acha nahi nazar aa raha. 1.12036 se correction ka intezar karna samajhdari hai, kyunki markets aksar significant resistance levels tak pohanchne ke baad pullbacks ka shikaar karte hain. Is potential ko samajhna better risk management aur agle trades ki planning ke liye madadgar hai.

Agar bullish movement established hota hai target tak pohanchne ke baad, toh price action ko nazar rakhna bohot zaroori hoga taake hum bulls ki taqat aur iraade ko samajh sakein ke kya woh prices ko aur upar push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Is ke muqabil, agar entry point 1.12098 par milta hai, toh yeh nazar rakhna zaroori hoga.

Market mein niche ki taraf chalne ka asar bearish shift in sentiment ko darshata hai. Trading strategy mein flexibility rakhna zaroori hai, taake naye information par dobara guftagu aur tabdeel kar sakein. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh buying opportunities ko dobara dekhna pad sakta hai, kyunki yeh darshata hai ke market sellers ko zyada tarjeeh de raha hai.

Is adjustment mein naye support levels dhoondna ya trend reversal ka clear confirmation ka intezar karna shamil ho sakta hai. Halankeh trader ab bhi bullish taraf hai aur 1.1176 ki taraf recovery ki umeed rakhta hai. Aaj pair ki performance kuch ajeeb rahi, kyunki yeh shuru mein 1.12 ke level se upar gaya lekin phir lagbhag 101 points tak gir gaya. Trader ne technical perspective se corresponding lines chart ki hain, jo is instrument ke liye ek mazboot trading strategy offer karte hain. Magar bearish trend ab bhi price ko neeche kheench raha hai, khaaskar H4 time frame mein, jo pair ke liye upar rally karna mushkil bana raha hai. Fibonacci grid, jo 101-161.9 range tak phaili hui hai, kai dinon se effective rahi hai, isliye yeh ek crucial factor hai jo dekhna zaroori hai. Market mein bohot se log apne investments bechne ki koshish kar rahe hain, jo is halat ko aur bhi mushkil bana raha hai.

### EUR/USD Ka Jaiza H4 Time Frame Par

H4 time frame chart ko dekhte hue, EUR/USD pair ka market structure bohot achi tarah se samajh aata hai, jo ke recent market developments se asar daal raha hai. Yeh pair economic data aur external factors dono se mutasir ho raha hai, jo iski current market positioning ko tay kar rahe hain. Price ek defined range mein move kar rahi hai, jisse traders ke liye pair ki behavior ko track karna aur potential breakout ya breakdown scenarios ko samajhna asaan ho gaya hai. Daily chart par jaane par, EUR/USD ka overall market behavior aur bhi wazeh ho jata hai.

Pair ki movements key support aur resistance levels se khaas taur par mutasir hoti hain, jo entry aur exit points tay karne mein bohot ahmiyat rakhti hain. Support levels wo zones hain jahan price aksar wapas uthti hai, jabke resistance levels wo barriers hain jo upward momentum ko rok dete hain. In levels ki pehchan karna asan raha hai, jo traders ke liye in movements ka faida uthane mein madadgar sabit ho raha hai. Is wazeh structure ko dekhte hue, traders ko EUR/USD pair par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunke market sentiment ya major economic news mein koi tabdeeli nai trading opportunities ka zariya ban sakti hai, jo critical technical levels ke asar par mabni hoti hai.

### H1 Time Frame Analysis

H1 time frame chart par focus karte hue, hum EUR/USD ki current market conditions aur is hafte ke liye potential trading opportunities ka jaiza lete hain. Filhal, EUR/USD pair 1.0975 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, jo short-term market movements se faida uthane wale traders ke liye khaas zone hai. H1 chart price action ka tafsili nazar faraham karta hai, jo recent fluctuations ko highlight karta hai aur future trends ka andaza lagane mein madad deta hai.

Aaj ki analysis mein, hum dekh rahe hain ke EUR/USD relatively narrow range mein move kar raha hai, jahan buyers aur sellers dono ehtiyaat se kaam le rahe hain. Magar, yeh consolidation phase kisi bhi direction mein breakout ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo key support aur resistance levels ko nazar rakhne wale traders ke liye nai trading opportunities tayar kar sakta hai. Agar price 1.1000 level ko break karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, toh yeh bullish momentum ka signal hoga. Is ke muqabil, agar yeh 1.0950 zone ke aas paas support ko barqarar nahi rakh sakti, toh humein market mein mazeed downside pressure dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

H1 time frame khas taur par short-term trends aur day traders ke liye entry aur exit points ko pehchanne mein madadgar hai. Is chart ka jaiza le kar, traders apni strategies ko market dynamics ke mutabiq adjust kar sakte hain aur choti price swings ke doran opportunities ka faida utha sakte hain. Filhal ki conditions ko dekhte hue, yeh zaroori hai ke aane wale economic data releases ya market news par nazar rakhein, jo EUR/USD pair par khaas asar daal sakti hain aur is hafte mein trading opportunities barh sakti hain.

**EUR/USD Ka H4 Time Frame Analysis**

EUR/USD currency pair ka H4 time frame chart ka jaiza lene par hamein market structure kaafi wazeh nazar aata hai, jo ke haal ki market developments se khaas tor par mutasir hai. Yeh pair economic data aur bahari asraat se bhi mutasir hai, jo iski maujooda market positioning ko shape de rahe hain. Price movements ek defined range mein ho rahi hain, jis se traders ko pair ke behavior ko track karna aur potential breakout ya breakdown scenarios ka andaza lagana asaan ho gaya hai. Jab hum daily chart ki taraf barhte hain, toh EUR/USD ka overall market behavior aur bhi wazeh hota hai.

Is pair ki movements khaas tor par key support aur resistance levels se mutasir hoti hain, jo entry aur exit points tay karne ke liye bohot ahmiyat rakhti hain. Support levels woh zones hote hain jahan prices aksar wapas uthti hain, jabke resistance levels un rukawat ka kaam karti hain jo upar ki taraf ke momentum ko rok deti hain. In levels ko pehchanana traders ke liye aasan ho gaya hai, jo unhein price movements se faida uthane ka bohot acha mauqa deta hai. Is wazeh structure ke mad-e-nazar, traders ko chahiye ke EUR/USD pair par nazar rakhein, kyunki market sentiment mein koi bhi tabdeeli ya bara economic news naye trading opportunities paida kar sakti hai, jo critical technical levels par mabni hoti hain.

**H1 Time Frame Analysis**

Ab hum H1 time frame chart par focus karte hain taake EUR/USD ke maujooda market conditions aur agle hafte ke liye potential trading opportunities ka jaiza le sakein. Filhal, EUR/USD pair 1.0975 level ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, jo short-term traders ke liye ek khaas zone hai jo market movements se faida uthana chahte hain. H1 chart price action ka tafsili jaiza dene mein madadgar hai, jo recent fluctuations ko highlight karta hai aur future trends ka andaza lagane mein madad karta hai.

Aaj ka analysis yeh darust karta hai ke EUR/USD pair ek nisbatan tang range mein move kar raha hai, jahan buyers aur sellers dono ehtiyaat se kaam le rahe hain. Lekin, yeh consolidation phase kisi bhi direction mein breakout ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo traders ke liye naye trading opportunities ka mauqa de sakta hai agar wo key support aur resistance levels par nazar rakhein. Agar price 1.1000 level se upar break karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, toh yeh bullish momentum ka signal hoga. Iske muqabil, agar yeh 1.0950 level par support ko hold nahi kar paati, toh hamein market mein additional downside pressure dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

H1 time frame day traders ke liye short-term trends aur entry aur exit points ko pehchanne ke liye khaas tor par madadgar hai. Is chart ka jaiza le kar, traders apne strategies ko market dynamics ke mutabiq adjust kar sakte hain aur choti price swings ka faida utha sakte hain. Maujooda halaat ko dekhte hue, yeh zaroori hai ke traders upcoming economic data releases ya market news par nazar rakhein, jo EUR/USD pair par khaas asar dal sakti hain aur is haftay trading opportunities ko barha sakti hain.

GBP/USD Pair Review

Pound sterling ka price Thursday ko $1.27 par qaim raha, jo ke teen hafton ke sabse oonchay level ke qareeb tha, jab England, Scotland, Wales aur Northern Ireland mein parliamentary elections ke liye votes daalay gaye. Centre-left Labor Party opinion polls mein aage thi, aur mumkin hai ke yeh British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak ki Conservative Party ko gira de. Kuch andazay yeh bhi hain ke Labor Party ko aksariyat milne ka imkaan hai, jo ke 2005 ke baad general elections mein unka pehla fatah hoga. US jobs numbers ka elan honay se pehle GBP/USD ka price resistance level 1.2780 ke qareeb stable tha.

Kuch analysts ka kehna hai ke yeh siyasi tabdeeli pound sterling, stock market, aur Britain mein investments par acha asar daal sakti hai, aur Britain ki "safe haven" ke tor par shohrat ko bahal kar sakti hai, jab ke doosray ilaqay siyasi uncertainty ka shikar hain. Monetary policy ke hawalay se, investors yeh tawaqqa kar rahe hain ke August mein Bank of England ke faida ke rates mein cut hoga, jab ke inflation central bank ke 2% target tak gir chuki hai.

Trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year bond yield apni recent highs se neeche hai, aur sab ki nazarain elections par hain. British government bonds par 10-year yield Thursday ko takreeban 4.18% thi, jo ke Monday ko chhuti 4.28% se kam thi, jab England, Scotland, Wales aur Northern Ireland mein elections ho rahe thay. Labour Party opinion polls mein aage hai aur Conservative Party ko girane ka imkaan hai, jise Prime Minister Rishi Sunak lead kar rahe hain.

Forex market trading ke mutabiq, British pound ne 2024 ke general election mein achi performance dikhai hai, lekin 10pm par exit poll ke elan ke waqt kuch volatility aasakti hai. Exit poll Thursday raat ko 10pm par ek bara waqt hoga kyun ke yeh ziada tar accurate andaza deta hai ke agla Prime Minister kaun hoga aur uska control kitna mazboot hoga. Base case ke tor par, agar Keir Starmer ki Labour Party ko bari jeet milti hai, to hum expect karte hain ke pound mein izafa hoga jab yeh natija confirm ho jata hai.

Currencies ko certainty pasand hoti hai, aur ek bari Labour jeet sterling exchange rates mein baqi rahne wale risk premium ko khatam kar degi, chahe yeh kitna bhi chhota ho. Barclays Bank ke mutabiq, “British general elections is haftay ka main focus hain, aur ziada tar plausible scenarios, jo ke available opinion polls ke mutabiq hain, pound ki mazeed taqat ko stimulate karte hain.” Is leehaz se, Barclays pound ko euro ke against buy kar raha hai, jo ke French election ke natije ke baad limited recovery dikhayega.

Latest large-scale YouGov poll ke mutabiq, Conservatives sirf 102 MPs tak ghatte nazar aate hain, jo ke party ne pichlay 5 saal mein jeeti hui seats ka 70% kho dene ka matlab hai, aur Labour ko 1832 ke baad se apni sabse bari aksariyat milegi. Deutsche Bank ke Gopal ka andaza hai ke agar Labour achi performance dikhati hai, to pound ki rate ziada tabdeel nahi hogi, aur “EUR/GBP ka risk premium zyada rates par mabni rahega.”

Lekin agar Conservatives opinion polls se behtar karti hain, to yeh sterling ke liye tail risk ho sakta hai, jo ke mumkin hai kyun ke kai voters ab tak faisla nahi kar paye. Agar hung parliament hota hai – jisme koi party aksariyat nahi jeetti – to yeh uncertainty peda karega, jis se sterling kamzor hosakta hai. Yeh sochte hue, pound-euro exchange rate 1.18 se neeche gir sakta hai. Agar French election bhi hung legislature ka natija deta hai, to phir 1.1750 aur 1.17 ke midpoints tak ka rasta saaf hoga. Issi waqt, GBP/USD exchange rate wapas 1.27 tak gir sakti hai, lekin hum samajhte hain ke US ka jobs report Friday ko final asar dalega.

Sterling Dollar ka aaj ka forecast:

Aaj ke US jobs numbers ka reaction GBP/USD ke liye is haftay ke trading ka closing price tay karega, jo ke ek bullish weekly close ke qareeb hai. Jaise pehle zikar kiya, resistance 1.2775 bulls ke control mein wapas anay ke liye sabse important station hai, aur daily chart ke performance ke mutabiq, price resistance levels 1.2830 aur 1.2900 tak pohonch sakti hai. Doosri taraf, agar price wapas 1.2660 ke support area tak jati hai, to yeh upward rebound ke liye khatra hai.

**EUR/USD Ka H4 Time Frame Analysis**

EUR/USD currency pair ka H4 time frame chart ka jaiza lene par hamein ek wazeh market structure nazar aata hai, jo recent market developments se khaas tor par mutasir hai. Yeh pair economic data aur bahari asraat se bhi mutasir hai, jo iski maujooda market positioning ko shape de rahe hain. Price movements ek defined range mein ho rahi hain, jis se traders ko pair ke behavior ko track karna aur potential breakout ya breakdown scenarios ka andaza lagana asaan ho gaya hai. Jab hum daily chart ki taraf barhte hain, toh EUR/USD ka overall market behavior aur bhi wazeh hota hai.

Is pair ki movements khaas tor par key support aur resistance levels se mutasir hoti hain, jo entry aur exit points tay karne ke liye bohot ahmiyat rakhti hain. Support levels woh zones hote hain jahan prices aksar wapas uthti hain, jabke resistance levels un rukawat ka kaam karti hain jo upar ki taraf ke momentum ko rok deti hain. In levels ko pehchanana traders ke liye aasan ho gaya hai, jo unhein price movements se faida uthane ka bohot acha mauqa deta hai. Is wazeh structure ke mad-e-nazar, traders ko chahiye ke EUR/USD pair par nazar rakhein, kyunki market sentiment mein koi bhi tabdeeli ya bara economic news naye trading opportunities paida kar sakti hai, jo critical technical levels par mabni hoti hain.

**H1 Time Frame Analysis**

Ab hum H1 time frame chart par focus karte hain taake EUR/USD ke maujooda market conditions aur agle hafte ke liye potential trading opportunities ka jaiza le sakein. Filhal, EUR/USD pair 1.0975 level ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, jo short-term traders ke liye ek khaas zone hai jo market movements se faida uthana chahte hain. H1 chart price action ka tafsili jaiza dene mein madadgar hai, jo recent fluctuations ko highlight karta hai aur future trends ka andaza lagane mein madad karta hai.

Aaj ka analysis yeh darust karta hai ke EUR/USD pair ek nisbatan tang range mein move kar raha hai, jahan buyers aur sellers dono ehtiyaat se kaam le rahe hain. Lekin, yeh consolidation phase kisi bhi direction mein breakout ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo traders ke liye naye trading opportunities ka mauqa de sakta hai agar wo key support aur resistance levels par nazar rakhein. Agar price 1.1000 level se upar break karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, toh yeh bullish momentum ka signal hoga. Iske muqabil, agar yeh 1.0950 level par support ko hold nahi kar paati, toh hamein market mein additional downside pressure dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

H1 time frame day traders ke liye short-term trends aur entry aur exit points ko pehchanne ke liye khaas tor par madadgar hai. Is chart ka jaiza le kar, traders apne strategies ko market dynamics ke mutabiq adjust kar sakte hain aur choti price swings ka faida utha sakte hain. Maujooda halaat ko dekhte hue, yeh zaroori hai ke traders upcoming economic data releases ya market news par nazar rakhein, jo EUR/USD pair par khaas asar dal sakti hain aur is haftay trading opportunities ko barha sakti hain.

*EUR/USD Ka H4 Time Frame Analysis**
EUR/USD currency pair ka H4 time frame chart ka jaiza lene par hamein market structure kaafi wazeh nazar aata hai, jo ke haal ki market developments se khaas tor par mutasir hai. Yeh pair economic data aur bahari asraat se bhi mutasir hai, jo iski maujooda market positioning ko shape de rahe hain. Price movements ek defined range mein ho rahi hain, jis se traders ko pair ke behavior ko track karna aur potential breakout ya breakdown scenarios ka andaza lagana asaan ho gaya hai. Jab hum daily chart ki taraf barhte hain, toh EUR/USD ka overall market behavior aur bhi wazeh hota hai.

Is pair ki movements khaas tor par key support aur resistance levels se mutasir hoti hain, jo entry aur exit points tay karne ke liye bohot ahmiyat rakhti hain. Support levels woh zones hote hain jahan prices aksar wapas uthti hain, jabke resistance levels un rukawat ka kaam karti hain jo upar ki taraf ke momentum ko rok deti hain. In levels ko pehchanana traders ke liye aasan ho gaya hai, jo unhein price movements se faida uthane ka bohot acha mauqa deta hai. Is wazeh structure ke mad-e-nazar, traders ko chahiye ke EUR/USD pair par nazar rakhein, kyunki market sentiment mein koi bhi tabdeeli ya bara economic news naye trading opportunities paida kar sakti hai, jo critical technical levels par mabni hoti hain.

**H1 Time Frame Analysis**

Ab hum H1 time frame chart par focus karte hain taake EUR/USD ke maujooda market conditions aur agle hafte ke liye potential trading opportunities ka jaiza le sakein. Filhal, EUR/USD pair 1.0975 level ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, jo short-term traders ke liye ek khaas zone hai jo market movements se faida uthana chahte hain. H1 chart price action ka tafsili jaiza dene mein madadgar hai, jo recent fluctuations ko highlight karta hai aur future trends ka andaza lagane mein madad karta hai.

Aaj ka analysis yeh darust karta hai ke EUR/USD pair ek nisbatan tang range mein move kar raha hai, jahan buyers aur sellers dono ehtiyaat se kaam le rahe hain. Lekin, yeh consolidation phase kisi bhi direction mein breakout ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo traders ke liye naye trading opportunities ka mauqa de sakta hai agar wo key support aur resistance levels par nazar rakhein. Agar price 1.1000 level se upar break karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, toh yeh bullish momentum ka signal hoga. Iske muqabil, agar yeh 1.0950 level par support ko hold nahi kar paati, toh hamein market mein additional downside pressure dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

H1 time frame day traders ke liye short-term trends aur entry aur exit points ko pehchanne ke liye khaas tor par madadgar hai. Is chart ka jaiza le kar, traders apne strategies ko market dynamics ke mutabiq adjust kar sakte hain aur choti price swings ka faida utha sakte hain. Maujooda halaat ko dekhte hue, yeh zaroori hai ke traders upcoming economic data releases ya market news par nazar rakhein, jo EUR/USD pair par khaas asar dal sakti hain aur is haftay trading opportunities ko barha sakti hain.

Hello everyone! EUR/USD currency pair ko dekh kar mein kuch yeh observe kar raha hoon: M15 chart par linear regression channel upar ki taraf slope kar raha hai, jo market mein strong buying pressure ko zahir karta hai. Buyers ki activity ek zabardast buying opportunity ka ishara karti hai, khaaskar jab price lower channel boundary 1.11914 par hoti hai. Agla andaza hai ke market 1.12151 ke level tak rise karega, jiske baad ek correction ki umeed hai. Yeh correction lower boundary ki taraf hoga, jahan se dobara buying opportunities consider ki ja sakti hain. Agar price is level se neeche break karti hai, toh hum further girawat dekh sakte hain, aur aise mein buying positions cancel kar di jayengi. Market channels ke sath grow karta hai jab wo upar ki taraf dekh raha ho. Sales ki umeed upper channel boundary 1.12151 se hai, jahan entry ka mauqa ho sakta hai. Mere liye zaroori hai ke main pullback par entry karun, jitna ho sake lower boundary ke qareeb. H1 higher timeframe ko analyze karte hue, mujhe dikhai deta hai ke linear regression channel upward slope mein hai. Mere liye yeh M15 se zyada ahmiyat rakhta hai, kyun ke yeh strong bullish sentiment ko dikhata hai. M15 channel se jo signal mila, wo buying ka mashwara deta hai, jo meri buying ki desire ko reinforce karta hai. Bas mujhe sahi level par price ka intizaar karna hai aur wahan se buying opportunity dekhni hai. Jis jagah par mein buying opportunities dekh raha hoon wo current situation mein lower channel boundary 1.10973 par hai. Wahan se, mein dobara buy karne ki koshish karunga taake 1.12036 tak ka target achieve ho. Agar yeh target achieve hota hai, toh yeh strong upward movement ka ishara hoga. 1.12036 se ek correction ki umeed hai, kyun ke bullish movement select ki gayi hai. Bulls dobara apne movement ko restore karne ki koshish karenge. Agar entry point 1.10973 par breach hoti hai neeche ki taraf, toh yeh bearish interest ka sign hai. Aise mein, buying ka trading plan reconsider karna aur market situation ko dobara assess karna zaroori hoga. Eurodollar ka shape ab ek triangle ke jese lagta hai, jisme ek wedge bhi shamil hai. Haan, wahan par jo shandar shadow hai, wo image ko kharab karne ki salahiyat rakhta hai, lekin agar price uss direction mein nahi jata, phir bhi upper trend neeche rahega. Main dusri baar 1.1001 level
kam thi jo pehle estimate se bahut kam thi. Is ke ilawa, unemployed logon ki bharat se labor market ke thanda hone ka imkaan hai, jo economic slowdown ki chinta ko barhata hai. Is wajah se Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September mein interest rate cut ka imkaan barh gaya hai, jo Euro ko madad de raha hai. Jabke kamzor US dollar EUR/USD ko kuch madad de raha hai, mixed Eurozone Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data bullish sentiment ko kuch had tak dheela kar raha hai. Preliminary Eurozone PMI expectations se niche aaya, lekin 50 level se upar raha, jo expansion ko darshata hai. Lekin, Germany jo Eurozone ka sabse bara economy hai, dusre maheenay ke liye contraction ka shikaar raha. Eurozone mein slow wage growth bhi EUR/USD pair ke barhne ki sambhavnayein kam kar sakta hai. ECB ka July policy meeting bhi is ka izhaar karta hai. Recent data se ye bhi samne aaya hai ke US job growth March tak kafi kamzor thi. US Weekly Initial Jobless Claims ke barhne se labor market ke thanda hone ka andaza lagaya ja raha hai. US Manufacturing PMI ke girne se bhi economic slowdown ke imkaan barh gaye hain. Ye factors mil kar market mein speculation barhati hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) shayad September se rate-cutting cycle shuru kar de. Jabke USD ne apne saal ke low se kuch recovery dekhi hai, ye recovery broader economic concerns se dhaki hui hai, jo EUR/USD pair ko mixed Eurozone PMI data ke bawajood support deti hai. ECB ke July ki policy meeting minutes ke mutabiq, September ka meeting monetary policy restriction ko dobara assess karne ka sahi waqt maana ja raha hai. ECB Governing Council member Martins Kazaks ne 2% inflation target ko achieve karne par confidence zahir kiya aur economic uncertainties ko bhi maangliya. Unhone September mein ek aur interest rate cut ke liye tayyari ka bhi izhaar kiya. Is liye, agar EUR/USD mein koi upar ka movement hota hai, toh wo resistance ka samna k

Currencies ko certainty pasand hoti hai, aur ek bari Labour jeet sterling exchange rates mein baqi rahne wale risk premium ko khatam kar degi, chahe yeh kitna bhi chhota ho. Barclays Bank ke mutabiq, “British general elections is haftay ka main focus hain, aur ziada tar plausible scenarios, jo ke available opinion polls ke mutabiq hain, pound ki mazeed taqat ko stimulate karte hain.” Is leehaz se, Barclays pound ko euro ke against buy kar raha hai, jo ke French election ke natije ke baad limited recovery dikhayega.


Aaj ke US jobs numbers ka reaction EUR/USD ke liye is haftay ke trading ka closing price tay karega, jo ke ek bullish weekly close ke qareeb hai. Jaise pehle zikar kiya, resistance 1.09775 bulls ke control mein wapas anay ke liye sabse important station hai, aur daily chart ke performance ke mutabiq, price resistance levels 1.09830 aur 1.0900 tak pohonch sakti hai. Doosri taraf, agar price wapas 1.09660 ke support area tak jati hai, to yeh upward rebound ke liye khatra hai.

Market Is waqt ke sath kuch aham faisle lene ke liye tayaar hai. Jab tak yeh faisle nahi hote, traders ko kuch erratic movements ki umeed rakhni chahiye, jab yeh currency pair is wider range mein rahega. Agar Euro 1.0800 se neeche girta hai, to yeh mazeed nuqsan ki sambhavna khol sakta hai, lekin filhal, yeh sochna zaroori hai ke Euro apne dheere descent ko jari rakhega. Kul mila kar, is waqt ka halat Euro ke liye ek challenging environment darshata hai, jo ke U.S. se aane wale mazboot ma'ashi indicators aur Europe ki taraf se ehtiyaat bhare outlook se chalay raha hai.

mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha
jaari rahi toh dono targets achieve ho sakte hain. Chaliye ab hourly timeframe par nazar daalte hain.Dusri chart par H4 timeframe hai, lekin targets dekhne ke liye hum hourly buy signal par discussion karenge. Signal level 1.11446 par consider kiya ja raha hai. Is signal level se neeche aur stop-loss level se ooper jo bhi buy entries hoti hain, wo advantageous aur sahi buying points hain. Stop-loss level ko 1.10677 ke neeche consider kiya gaya hai. Target jo mention kiya gaya hai, wo 1.12209 hai. Agar hum signal level se ooper buying karte hain, toh risk-to-reward ratio 1 to 1 se kam ho jata hai, jo ke long-term mein profitable nahi hoga. Dosre lafzon mein, buying entry point aise select karna chahiye ke wo 1 to 1 ratio se neeche na ho. Agar 1 to 2 ratio achieve karna hai, toh buy entries 1.11187 se start karni chahiye. Aur agar 1 to 3 ratio achieve karna hai, toh entries 1.11038 se start karni hongi. Maine chart par grid aise set kiya hai ke wo ek ruler ki tarah lagta hai. Yani, 0.0% stop hai, 100% profit hai, aur 50% level signal level hai. Currency pair EUR/USD ne Thursday ke din low level 1.10680 se reversal le kar northwards move kiya. Abhi pair Bollinger Bands ke bullish zone mein 1.11625 ke level par hai. MACD histogram zero mark se ooper hai, aur RSI midline ke ooper hai. Agle hafte price ka mazid strong hona aur 261.8% level (1.13133) tak pohanchna expect kiya ja raha hai. EUR/USD apni taraf se barhkar saal ki unchi simat 1.1200 ke nazdeek pahuncha hai, jab ke US Dollar (USD) ko pressure ka saamna hai kyun ke China ke taraf se bada stimulus plans ka elan hua hai jo unki ma'ashi slowdown ke khataron se nikalne ke liye hai. Aam tor par, khushgawar market sentiment ke doran US Dollar mein investment flows kam hote hain.
China ke is bade stimulus ke ilawa, Federal Reserve (Fed) ke taraf se November mein bade rate cuts ki umeedon mein izafa ne bhi US Dollar ko pichhe dhakel diya hai

EUR/USD ke D1 time frame par, hum EUR/USD currency pair ke live price movements ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Guzishta hafte ki performance ne wazeh signals diye ke sellers market par poori tarah se haavi thay. Momentum bears ke haq mein shift hua, jis ke natijay mein pair ke value mein kafi kami aayi. Yeh downward movement zyada hairat angaiz nahi thi, kyun ke kai technical indicators ne pehle hi sell-off ka ishara diya tha.Ek ahem indicator jo bearish sentiment ko flag kar raha tha wo MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) tha. MACD par ek bearish divergence bana tha, jo is baat ka ishara tha ke jab price higher highs bana raha tha, tab asli momentum kamzor ho raha tha. Yeh divergence aksar ek strong sell signal mana jata hai, kyun ke yeh dikhata hai ke upward trend apni taqat kho raha hai aur reversal qareeb hai. Jo traders is signal ko dekhne mein chust thay, unhone is moqa ka faida uthaya hoga aur sell positions initiate ki hongi pehle se pehle drop se pehle.
Daily chart par price action ye tasdeeq karta hai ke sellers market par mazboot pakar rakhtay hain. EUR/USD pair lagataar neeche ki taraf move karta raha, key support levels ko torhta gaya aur bearish trend ko reinforce karta raha. Jab price neeche gira, to yeh wazeh ho gaya ke buyers ka interest limited tha, jis ne sellers ko pair ko aur negative territory mein dhakelne ka moka diya.Aage dekhte hue, traders ke liye sawal yeh hai ke kya bearish momentum barqarar rahega ya phir pair ek potential reversal ke liye tayar hai. Ek ahem factor jo consider karna hoga wo current support levels par response hoga. Agar EUR/USD pair critical support ke upar rehta hai, to humein consolidation ka period ya thoda bounce dekhne ko mil sakta hai jab buyers market mein control wapas lenay ki koshish karte hain. Lekin agar yeh levels fail ho jate hain, to bearish trend jari reh sakta hai, jo short trades ke liye mazeed opportunities faraham karega.Iske ilawa, Eurozone aur US se aane wala economic data bhi next moves ko tay karne mein ahem kirdar ada karega. Agar koi strong economic reports US dollar ke haq mein aati hain, to yeh euro par aur zyada pressure daal sakti hain, jabke kamzor data pair ko kuch relief faraham kar sakta hai.
Guzishta hafte sellers ki dominance aur MACD par bearish divergence ne traders ke liye ek ideal selling scenario bana diya tha. Aage chal kar, support levels aur upcoming data releases par qareebi nazar rakhna EUR/USD pair ke agle direction ko samajhne mein nihayat ahem hoga.