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EUR/USD Price Activity Ka Tajziya

EUR/USD currency pair ke price action ko humari guftagu ka markaz banaya gaya hai. Recent mein, price ne hourly chart par inverted triangle se breakout kiya, jo ke upar ki taraf movement shuru ki. Magar, kal ke price action ne is trend ko reverse kar diya, jisse girawat hui. Monday se, main ummeed karta hoon ke price inverted triangle ke upper boundary par, jo lagbhag 1.1057 ke aas-paas hai, gir jayegi, uske baad 1.1154 tak rally ho sakti hai. Pichle trading week ke end par, currency pair ne H4 chart par bullish signal generate kiya, lekin yeh fully materialize nahi hua, jo ke selling potential ko indicate karta hai. Agar buying karni hai, toh best entry 1.1049 ke aas-paas hogi, with a similar 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio. Growth target 1.1144 hai, aur stop-loss 1.1001 ke neeche hona chahiye. Dono directions—upar ya neeche—ki probability lagbhag barabar hai, 50-50. Agar aap trading karte hain, toh risk-to-reward ratio kam se kam 1:2 hona chahiye, preferably zyada.

Filhal, hum ek minor decline ko ek grey descending channel ke andar observe kar rahe hain. Khaaskar, is decline ki teesri wave ne lower boundary tak nahi pohnch paayi, jo ke weak downward move ko suggest karta hai. Red triangle line support ke tor par act kar rahi hai, jo daily chart par zyada clearly dikhayi deti hai. Market current levels se decline continue kar sakti hai ya uptrend shuru kar sakti hai. Halankeh buy signal maujood hai, lekin structure ideal nahi hai. Iske muqabil, decline ko trade karne ka risk hai ke aap correction phase ke end par enter karenge, kyunki H4 chart par overall trend bullish hai. Sell position ke liye, optimal entry point lagbhag 1.1065 ke aas-paas hai, jo ke 1:2 ka risk-to-reward ratio offer karta hai. Stop-loss 1.1151 ke upar hona chahiye, aur reduction target lagbhag 1.0954 ke aas-paas hona chahiye.

Hamari guftagu mein hum currency pair ke qeemat mein tabdeeli ko analyze karain ge. Din ke dauran, sabse zyada qeemat 1.1102 tak pohanchi, jabke sabse kam point 1.1069 tha. Hourly chart ke technical analysis ke mutabiq, signals filhal sellers ke haq mein hain. MACD indicator, jo abhi bhi positive zone mein hai, neeche ki taraf jhukti hui nazar aati hai. Yeh pair expected hai ke apne downward trend ko jari rakhte hue 1.0874 ka target kare. Kal ke daily aur weekly closings EUR/USD ke liye 1.1099 par hui thi.

Nikolai ko salam! Umeed hai ke aapka weekend acha guzra. Resistance apni jagah mazboot tha lekin closing price phir bhi 1.1069 ke upar rahi, jahan pe initial bearish signs dikhayi dena shuru hue thay. Is waqt bulls ne lagta hai control wapas le liya hai. Overall trend upward lag raha hai, lekin margin analysis ke mutabiq, Monday ke liye short-term bearish trend ka intezar hai. 1.1039-49 ke range mein prices selling ke liye ek behtareen moka ho sakti hain. Agar ek reversal zigzag form hota hai, to yeh ek aur acha selling point ho sakta hai jahan pe pehle pullback ke baad stop-loss lagaya ja sakta hai.





Halanki, theory mein main confident nazar aata hoon, lekin meri pasand bearish shift ki taraf hai, jaise meri intuition keh rahi hai. Main andaza lagata hoon ke qeemat meri chhoti si 1.0859 ke target tak gir sakti hai, lekin aage ke developments ka intezar hai. Yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke EUR/USD ki situation mushkil hai, kyun ke koi clear objectives saamne nahi aaye hain. Yeh pair 1.099 se neeche girne mein pareshani ka shikar raha, lekin 1.109 se upar mazboot position nahi bana saka. Kal ki session ek downward shift ke sath khatam hui, aur daily chart par ek pin chhor gayi, jo aage aur declines ka ishara de rahi hai. Federal Reserve ka meeting agle hafte hona hai, jiski wajah se zyada volatility ki umeed hai. Magar, main is waqt ke levels par sell karne ke haq mein nahi hoon aur long positions par focus karoon ga. Agar qeemat 1.1024 se neeche jati hai, to main buying consider karoon ga chhoti si stop-loss ke sath.

EUR/USD: Key Patterns and Signals

Hamari guftagu abhi EUR/USD currency pair ke pricing behavior analysis par hai. Market Fed ke interest rates mein hone wale tabdeeliyon ka intezaar kar rahi hai, aur kal aane wale Consumer Price Index (CPI) report par bhi tawajju di ja rahi hai. Is release ke baad significant movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai. EUR/USD Fed ke faislay tak stagnant nahi rahega. Aap European Central Bank (ECB) ke Thursday ke meeting ka bhi zikr kar rahe hain, jo relevant hai.

Maine forecast calendar ka jaiza liya aur hairani hui ke 0.6 basis points ki rate reduction ka plan hai, jo rate ko 4.25% se 3.64% tak le aayega. Agar yeh forecast sahi sabit hota hai, toh EUR/USD ko kam downward movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Lekin, 0.5 ya 0.2 points ki minor reduction ka bhi khatra hai. Aise mein, EUR/USD ko strength mil sakti hai. ECB ka aisa rate cut dollar ko strengthen kar sakta hai aur EUR/USD ko kamzor kar sakta hai.

Support and Outlook Analysis

Support Levels: Support is likely to be found in the 1.0939-1.0949 range, especially if the anticipated 24 basis point interest rate cut materializes as expected.

Forecast: By the end of the month, I expect the EUR/USD pair to approach the 1.12 range. The deeper the price drawdown, the more advantageous the buying opportunities become.

Technical Analysis:

• Hourly and Four-Hour Charts: On both hourly and four-hour charts, the price remains below the Ichimoku cloud and the moving average, indicating a consistent medium-term downward trend.
• MACD Indicator (12.26.8): The MACD indicator is pointing downward, which confirms the bearish sentiment.
• CCI Indicator (9): The CCI indicator is also turning down in the weakly oversold area, reinforcing the bearish outlook.

Price Behavior: All signs suggest a further decline. If the price fails to update its recent lows, it may indicate that buyers are temporarily pausing. The European session is expected to provide more clarity on this.

Resistance Levels: There is still a potential delay around the 1.1079 level. We are likely to reach this level once the price clears some of the softer resistance levels.

Hamari guftagu mein hum currency pair ke qeemat mein tabdeeli ko analyze karain ge. Din ke dauran, sabse zyada qeemat 1.1102 tak pohanchi, jabke sabse kam point 1.1069 tha. Hourly chart ke technical analysis ke mutabiq, signals filhal sellers ke haq mein hain. MACD indicator, jo abhi bhi positive zone mein hai, neeche ki taraf jhukti hui nazar aati hai. Yeh pair expected hai ke apne downward trend ko jari rakhte hue 1.0874 ka target kare. Kal ke daily aur weekly closings EUR/USD ke liye 1.1099 par hui thi.

Nikolai ko salam! Umeed hai ke aapka weekend acha guzra. Resistance apni jagah mazboot tha lekin closing price phir bhi 1.1069 ke upar rahi, jahan pe initial bearish signs dikhayi dena shuru hue thay. Is waqt bulls ne lagta hai control wapas le liya hai. Overall trend upward lag raha hai, lekin margin analysis ke mutabiq, Monday ke liye short-term bearish trend ka intezar hai. 1.1039-49 ke range mein prices selling ke liye ek behtareen moka ho sakti hain. Agar ek reversal zigzag form hota hai, to yeh ek aur acha selling point ho sakta hai jahan pe pehle pullback ke baad stop-loss lagaya ja sakta hai.




Halanki, theory mein main confident nazar aata hoon, lekin meri pasand bearish shift ki taraf hai, jaise meri intuition keh rahi hai. Main andaza lagata hoon ke qeemat meri chhoti si 1.0859 ke target tak gir sakti hai, lekin aage ke developments ka intezar hai. Yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke EUR/USD ki situation mushkil hai, kyun ke koi clear objectives saamne nahi aaye hain. Yeh pair 1.099 se neeche girne mein pareshani ka shikar raha, lekin 1.109 se upar mazboot position nahi bana saka. Kal ki session ek downward shift ke sath khatam hui, aur daily chart par ek pin chhor gayi, jo aage aur declines ka ishara de rahi hai. Federal Reserve ka meeting agle hafte hona hai, jiski wajah se zyada volatility ki umeed hai. Magar, main is waqt ke levels par sell karne ke haq mein nahi hoon aur long positions par focus karoon ga. Agar qeemat 1.1024 se neeche jati hai, to main buying consider karoon ga chhoti si stop-loss ke sath.

Euro phir se intrigue mode mein hai. Pichle trading hafte ke akhir mein, currency pair ne H4 timeframe par growth ka signal diya, lekin yeh signal fulfill nahi hua aur H4 timeframe par bechne ke liye signal diya.

General taur par, ab kuch choti details ko replace karna zaroori hai. Misal ke taur par, hum gray descending channel mein girawat dekh rahe hain. Lekin note karain ke third wave mein quotes ne lower border ko bhi nahi touch kiya, jo yeh bata sakta hai ke girawat kamzor thi. Saath hi, humare paas ek triangle line hai, jo red mein mark ki gayi hai, jo support ke liye kaam kar rahi hai. Yeh triangle daily timeframe se zyada visible hai. Maujooda waqt mein, market dono tarah se chal sakti hai—ya toh girawat continue hogi ya phir growth hogi. Growth trading ke liye signal hai, lekin suitable structure nahi hai. Aur girawat trading ke liye, hum correction ke end mein aa sakte hain kyunki H4 timeframe par bhi main direction growth hai.

Ab hum sales ki baat karte hain. Agar hum sellers hain, toh ek profitable entry point H4 sell signal ke relative level 1.10651 se hoga, jo ke risk to profit ratio 1 to 2 ke saath hoga. Saath hi, hamara stop-loss 0.0% mark ke upar hona chahiye, yani ke 1.11506 ke level ke peechay, aur decline ke target 1.09538 (100% on the grid) par honge.

Teesre chart par, agar hum buyers hain, toh behtar hoga ke hum level 1.10486 se khariden. Is situation mein bhi, risk to profit ratio 1 to 2 ke saath hoga. Growth ke targets 1.11437 par hain, aur stop-loss is situation mein 1.10011 ke level ke neeche hona chahiye. Main is area mein probability ko 50 to 50 ke barabar samjhta hoon. Yani ke growth aur decline dono yahan kaam kar sakte hain. Agar aap kisi bhi direction mein risk le rahe hain, toh risk to profit ratio kam se kam 1 to 2 hona chahiye, aur behtar hai ke isse bhi zyada ho.

### EUR/USD Analysis
**Daily Timeframe**

Shuruat mein, mein EUR/USD currency pair ka D1 period chart dekhne ka mashwara dunga. Is hafte, price ne pichle hafte ke minimum ko update kar liya aur expected target - 1.1015 ka support level tak pahunch gayi. Yeh wave structure abhi bhi upar ki taraf build ho raha hai. MACD indicator, jo ke upper purchase zone mein hai, yeh bhi is trend ko support karta hai.

Sabse nazdeek aur main target 1.1015 ka horizontal support level hai, jo ke candles ke closing prices par bana hai. Is level se kafi strong growth shuru hui hai. CCI indicator kal lower overheating zone mein tha aur upward move ke liye ready tha, jo ke ab dekhne ko mila.

Ab hum ek crossroads par hain: Kya yeh rebound se hi khatam ho jayega aur phir se decline shuru hoga, ya phir upward trend continue karega aur last August ke maximum ko update karega? Mera specific expectation yeh hai ke rapid growth ke baad ek rollback hoga, jo ke 1.1047 ke broken level tak ho sakta hai. Choti four-hour chart par yeh level behtar nazar aayega.

General trend yeh hai ke decline ne 1.0955 ke important level ko nahi touch kiya, jo daily aur weekly level hai. Agar 1.1047 ka level break ho jata hai, toh price candles ke closing prices par bana hai. Is level se kafi strong growth shuru hui hai. CCI indicator kal lower overheating zone mein tha aur upward move ke liye ready tha, jo ke ab dekhne ko mila.

Ab hum ek crossroads par hain: Kya yeh rebound se hi khatam ho jayega aur phir se decline shuru hoga, ya phir upward trend continue karega aur last August ke maximum ko update karega? Mera specific expectation yeh hai ke rapid growth ke baad ek rollback hoga, jo ke 1.1047 ke broken level tak ho sakta hai. Choti four-hour chart par yeh level behtar nazar aayega.

General trend yeh hai ke trend ko continue karegi. September ke adhe mahine ke baad bhi price zyada move nahi hui hai; yeh lagbhag wahi jagah par hai jahan se mahina shuru hua tha. Filhaal, mujhe lagta hai ke price ko 1.0955 try karna hoga, phir hi upward movement dekhne ko milegi.

**EUR/USD Analysis**
EUR/USD currency pair ne Monday ke Asian trading session mein 1.1095 ka higher level dekha, jo ke kamzor US dollar ke wajah se tha. Investors Federal Reserve ki monetary policy meeting ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo Wednesday ko scheduled hai, jahan unhe Fed ke rate cut ke aggressiveness ke baare mein aur insights mil sakti hain.

EUR/USD pair abhi bhi four-hour chart par downtrend channel ke andar confined hai. Lekin, major pair ka overall outlook positive hai kyunki prices crucial 100-period exponential moving average (EMA) ke upar hain. Bullish momentum Relative Strength Index (RSI) ke support se hai, jo midline ke upar 63.65 par trade kar raha hai, indicating an upward bias.

Agar 1.1100-1.1105 area, jo psychological levels aur trend channel ki upper boundary ko include karta hai, par decisive break hota hai, toh rally ki ummeed ki ja sakti hai towards September 6 high at 1.1155. Dusri taraf, September 14 ka low at 1.1072 major pair ke liye initial support level hai. Agla support level 1.1061 hai, jo**EUR/USD Analysis**

EUR/USD currency pair ne Monday ke Asian trading session mein 1.1095 ka higher level dekha, jo ke kamzor US dollar ke wajah se tha. Investors Federal Reserve ki monetary policy meeting ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo Wednesday ko scheduled hai, jahan unhe Fed ke rate cut ke aggressiveness ke baare mein aur insights mil sakti hain.

EUR/USD pair abhi bhi four-hour chart par downtrend channel ke andar confined hai. Lekin, major pair ka overall outlook positive hai kyunki prices crucial 100-period exponential moving average (EMA) ke upar hain. Bullish momentum Relative Strength Index (RSI) ke support se hai, jo midline ke upar 63.65 par trade kar raha hai, indicating an upward bias.

Agar 1.1100-1.1105 area, jo psychological levels aur trend channel ki upper boundary ko include karta hai, par decisive break hota hai, toh rally ki ummeed ki ja sakti hai towards September 6 high at 1.1155. Dusri taraf, September 14 ka low at 1.1072 major pair ke liye initial support level hai. Agla support level 1.1061 hai, jo 100-period moving average ke saath coincide karta hai. In levels ke niche break hone se decline 1.1026 tak ho sakta hai, jo September 3 ka low hai.

EUR/USD pair ne 1.1015 level ke aas-paas support paaya aur uptrend channel mein wapas aa gaya. Price psychological level 1.1000 ko break nahi kar payi, aur koi bhi upward movement market ke liye valuable ho sakti hai. Lekin, red Tenkan-sen abhi bhi blue Kijun-sen ke against flat hai, jabke RSI 50 level ke aas-paas hover kar raha hai. Stochastic oversold zone mein rise karne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo suggest karta hai ke downward correction shayad khatam ho gaya hai. Pair 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 1.1085 ke upar break kar sakti hai aur 1.1150 ke paas strong resistance ko challenge kar sakti hai. Lekin, 1.1200 area ek significant obstacle hai, jo pichle mahine upside movement ko severely limit kar chuka hai.
**EUR/USD Analysis**

EUR/USD currency pair ne Monday ke Asian trading session mein 1.1095 ka higher level dekha, jo ke kamzor US dollar ke wajah se tha. Investors Federal Reserve ki monetary policy meeting ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo Wednesday ko scheduled hai, jahan unhe Fed ke rate cut ke aggressiveness ke baare mein aur insights mil sakti hain.

EUR/USD pair abhi bhi four-hour chart par downtrend channel ke andar confined hai. Lekin, major pair ka overall outlook positive hai kyunki prices crucial 100-period exponential moving average (EMA) ke upar hain. Bullish momentum Relative Strength Index (RSI) ke support se hai, jo midline ke upar 63.65 par trade kar raha hai, indicating an upward bias.

Agar 1.1100-1.1105 area, jo psychological levels aur trend channel ki upper boundary ko include karta hai, par decisive break hota hai, toh rally ki ummeed ki ja sakti hai towards September 6 high at 1.1155. Dusri taraf, September 14 ka low at 1.1072 major pair ke liye initial support level hai. Agla support level 1.1061 hai, jo 100-period moving average ke saath coincide karta hai. In levels ke niche break hone se decline 1.1026 tak ho sakta hai, jo September 3 ka low hai.

EUR/USD pair ne 1.1015 level ke aas-paas support paaya aur uptrend channel mein wapas aa gaya. Price psychological level 1.1000 ko break nahi kar payi, aur koi bhi upward movement market ke liye valuable ho sakti hai. Lekin, red Tenkan-sen abhi bhi blue Kijun-sen ke against flat hai, jabke RSI 50 level ke aas-paas hover kar raha hai. Stochastic oversold zone mein rise karne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo suggest karta hai ke downward correction shayad khatam ho gaya hai. Pair 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 1.1085 ke upar break kar sakti hai aur 1.1150 ke paas strong resistance ko challenge kar sakti hai. Lekin, 1.1200 area ek significant obstacle hai, jo pichle mahine upside movement ko severely limit kar chuka hai.

Pullback ke dauran immediate support 1.1015 ke aas-paas expect kiya ja sakta hai, jabke bears minor downward move par 50-day moving average jo ke abhi 1.0965 ke paas hai aur 1.0950 level ko break karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Agar price in areas ke niche girti hai, toh 200-day moving average at 1.0870 aur 1.0860 vulnerable ho sakti hai speculation ke liye.
Pullback ke dauran immediate support 1.1015 ke aas-paas expect kiya ja sakta hai, jabke bears minor downward move par 50-day moving average jo ke abhi 1.0965 ke paas hai aur 1.0950 level ko break karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Agar price in areas ke niche girti hai, toh 200-day moving average at 1.0870 aur 1.0860 vulnerable ho sakti hai speculation ke liye. 100-period moving average ke saath coincide karta hai. In levels ke niche break hone se decline 1.1026 tak ho sakta hai, jo September 3 ka low hai.

EUR/USD pair ne 1.1015 level ke aas-paas support paaya aur uptrend channel mein wapas aa gaya. Price psychological level 1.1000 ko break nahi kar payi, aur koi bhi upward movement market ke liye valuable ho sakti hai. Lekin, red Tenkan-sen abhi bhi blue Kijun-sen ke against flat hai, jabke RSI 50 level ke aas-paas hover kar raha hai. Stochastic oversold zone mein rise karne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo suggest karta hai ke downward correction shayad khatam ho gaya hai. Pair 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 1.1085 ke upar break kar sakti hai aur 1.1150 ke paas strong resistance ko challenge kar sakti hai. Lekin, 1.1200 area ek significant obstacle hai, jo pichle mahine upside movement ko severely limit kar chuka hai.

Pullback ke dauran immediate support 1.1015 ke aas-paas expect kiya ja sakta hai, jabke bears minor downward move par 50-day moving average jo ke abhi 1.0965 ke paas hai aur 1.0950 level ko break karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Agar price in areas ke niche girti hai, toh 200-day moving average at 1.0870 aur 1.0860 vulnerable ho sakti hai speculation ke liye.

Salam, sathi! Tum global soch rahe ho, 12th figure ke bare mein likh rahe ho. Aur hum yahan EURUSD par hain, asal mein abhi bhi tenth figure mein hi phansay hue hain. Aur bara sawaal ye hai ke kya hum eleventh figure tak jayenge ya nahi. Daily chart par wave technique ke liye jo dekh raha hoon:

- Ek ascending channel hai, jo maine June ke mahine mein zigzags ke tops ke saath draw kiya tha, wo ab bhi relevant hai. Pehla sell wave develop ho gaya hai, aur kaafi clearly limits ke along. Ab lagta hai ke doosra wave decline ke liye lead kiya gaya hai. Aur sab kuch kaafi technical tha, lekin kisi wajah se ab phir se mod gaya hai aur range ke middle mein aa gaya hai. Yahan main resistance level ke sath kaam dekh raha hoon, jo MA18 visualized level 1.1090 hai. Jab tak hum iske neeche hain, iske upar fix nahi kar rahe - kehne ka matlab haidoosra wave decline ke liye lead kiya gaya hai. Aur sab kuch kaafi technical tha, lekin kisi wajah se ab phir se mod gaya hai aur range ke middle mein aa gaya hai. Yahan main resistance level ke sath kaam dekh raha hoon, jo MA18 visualized level 1.1090 hai. Jab tak hum iske neeche hain, iske upar fix nahi kar rahe - kehne ka matlab - tab tak umeed hai ke hum doosre sell wave ko theek se correct karenge - minimum pe hum channel ke lower border tak jayenge - level 1.1005. Maximum pe, hum MA100 - level 1.0880 tak bhi ja sakte hain.

Basement indicator bundles abhi flat hain. Light stochastic ne already oversold zone se buy signal diya hai, aur ye apni tape ko north ki taraf pull kar raha hai. Aur reinforced indicator bundle abhi bhi bullish formations ke development mein hai, lekin sales signals ka initial stage wahan hai.

Main abhi bhi sales par hi zor de raha hoon.

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EUR-USD CURRENCY PAIR

Tumhein naye trading-working week ki mubarak ho! Main bhi girawat ko events ke development ka main scenario samajhta hoon. Jumay ko maine apni sell ko 1.1077 se mazid strong kiya. Abhi thoda minus mein hai. Stop loss 1.1150 ke maximum ke peechay hai. Agar price is resistance ko todta hai aur iske upar consolidate karta hai, to humari EURUSD currency pair mein growth ka silsila 1.1200 tak dekhne ko milega. Abhi tak mujhe is par yaqeen nahi. Main 1.1070 ke support ke breakout aur asset ki girawat ke silsile ko dekh raha hoon. Lekin, four-hour chart par dekhne ko milta hai ke price ne sirf profitable sales zone 1.1099-1.1122 ko test kiya hai. Aur ismein upper border of the channel tak growth ka potential hai.

Ab main price movement ko dekh raha hoon. Jab reversal formation banegi, to main expect karta hoon ke average moving line, jo abhi 1.1053 par hai, ka test ho, aur phir breakout ke baad girawat lower border of the channel tak ho, jo 1.0993 par hai. Moving average red hai, iska matlab ye hai ke sellers ka buyers par priority hai. Aam tor par, ab ek acha entry point hai, aur mushkil lagta hai ke aglay haftay Bulls ke paas itni taqat hogi ke wo ek northern jerk karke 1.12 tak pohanch sakein. Agar aisa koi ajeeb option hota bhi hai, tab bhi ek channel hai jo southern correction ki talab karta hai. Overall, main level 1.115 ka test ko ideal entry point samajhta hoon, aur zyada chances hain ke hum in values tak nahi pohanchengebreakout ke baad girawat lower border of the channel tak ho, jo 1.0993 par hai. Moving average red hai, iska matlab ye hai ke sellers ka buyers par priority hai. Aam tor par, ab ek acha entry point hai, aur mushkil lagta hai ke aglay haftay Bulls ke paas itni taqat hogi ke wo ek northern jerk karke 1.12 tak pohanch sakein. Agar aisa koi ajeeb option hota bhi hai, tab bhi ek channel aur current ones se door ho jayenge.

Yaad rahe ke correction transactions sab se zyada mushkil hoti hain, aur minimal chance hai ke EURUSD sirf rollbacks par northern cut ko bardasht karega. Aam tor par, main expect karta hoon ke price aglay hafton mein 1.08 tak jayegi, aur in values se phir se ek bara player ke positions mein shamil hone ke options dekhna zaroori hoga.

EUR/USD pair ne hafta ke aakhir mein apni upar ki lehr mein rukawat dekhi, aur Wednesday ko pohanchay gaye pehle se high ko nahi touch kar paya. Halankeh recent sell-off ke bawajood US dollar (USD) ke, spot price 1.1125 level se upar hai. Euro ko support milne ka ek aham wajah US labor market ka kamzor hona hai. Wednesday ko release hui data se pata chala ke March mein US employment growth kafi kam thi jo pehle estimate se bahut kam thi. Is ke ilawa, unemployed logon ki bharat se labor market ke thanda hone ka imkaan hai, jo economic slowdown ki chinta ko barhata hai. Is wajah se Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September mein interest rate cut ka imkaan barh gaya hai, jo Euro ko madad de raha hai. Jabke kamzor US dollar EUR/USD ko kuch madad de raha hai, mixed Eurozone Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data bullish sentiment ko kuch had tak dheela kar raha hai. Preliminary Eurozone PMI expectations se niche aaya, lekin 50 level se upar raha, jo expansion ko darshata hai. Lekin, Germany jo Eurozone ka sabse bara economy hai, dusre maheenay ke liye contraction ka shikaar raha. Eurozone mein slow wage growth bhi EUR/USD pair ke barhne ki sambhavnayein kam kar sakta hai. ECB ka July policy meeting bhi is ka izhaar karta hai. Recent data se ye bhi samne aaya hai ke US job growth March tak kafi kamzor thi. US Weekly Initial Jobless Claims ke barhne se labor market ke thanda hone ka andaza lagaya ja raha hai. US Manufacturing PMI ke girne se bhi economic slowdown ke imkaan barh gaye hain. Ye factors mil kar market mein speculation barhati hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) shayad September se rate-cutting cycle shuru kar de. Jabke USD ne apne saal ke low se kuch recovery dekhi hai, ye recovery broader economic concerns se dhaki hui hai, jo EUR/USD pair ko mixed Eurozone PMI data ke bawajood support deti hai. ECB ke July ki policy meeting minutes ke mutabiq, September ka meeting monetary policy restriction ko dobara assess karne ka sahi waqt maana ja raha hai. ECB Governing Council member Martins Kazaks ne 2% inflation target ko achieve karne par confidence zahir kiya aur economic uncertainties ko bhi maangliya. Unhone September mein ek aur interest rate cut ke liye tayyari ka bhi izhaar kiya. Is liye, agar EUR/USD mein koi upar ka movement hota hai, toh wo resistance ka samna kar sakta hai, lekin Greenback ke bearish sentiment Euro ko madad de sakta hai.

Buyers ki strength ko dikhata hai jo market par dominate kar rahe hain. Is case mein, H1 channel M15 se zyada significance rakhta hai. Agar channel ki lower boundary 1.09095 tak pohanchi, to yeh ek strong buyer ka izhar ho sakta hai. Filhal, M15 par linear regression ek correction suggest karta hai, jiske baad bulls zyada active ho sakte hain. Agar market 1.09095 ke level par hold karta hai, to yeh ek buying opportunity ho sakti hai, jo ek accha idea ho sakta hai. Target 1.09425 ka hoga. Is target ko achieve karne ke baad, agar koi active seller 1.09425 ke level par appear hota hai to market ka direction bearish ho sakta hai. Agar price 1.09095 ke neeche break kar jata hai, to yeh selling ka signal ho sakta hai, kyunki yeh trend reversal ka indication de sakta hai. Ab hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price fluctuations ka tajziya karenge. Friday ko, humne EUR/USD pair ko H1 time frame par trade kiya tha planned sideways movement ke andar, jo ke 9th din se qaim hai. Jaise expect kiya gaya tha, humne weekend se pehle is sideways pattern se exit nahi kiya, aur Monday ko yeh range mein hi continue karega. Lekin, Tuesday aur Wednesday tak, jab economic calendar active ho jayega, tab hum consolidation se break dekh sakte hain. Critical sawal yeh hai ke market kis direction mein move karega, lekin breakout direction ko predict karna mushkil hai kyunki theoretically yeh dono taraf ho sakta hai. Attached chart potential targets ko illustrate karta hai is movement ke liye. Yeh predict karna challenging hai ke EUR/USD pair ka upcoming trading week mein kis taraf break hoga, especially given ke resistance ka narrow range, jo ke 1.0966 aur 1.0947 ke beech identify kiya gaya hai, iski recent decline ke darmiyan.

Lekin, agar price is range ke upar stabilize ho jati hai, to bulls ko ek fresh local maximum ki taraf drive kar sakti hai. Main estimate karta hoon ke dono scenarios ke liye 50% chance hai, halaan ke main thoda bullish outcome ki taraf lean karta hoon. Price mein lower boundary of the triangle, jo ke minimum level 1.0449 ke ird gird hai, tak retreat karne ka potential hai. Iske bawajood, upside breakout zyada feasible lag raha hai. Price current upper boundary ko break karne ya neeche move karne ki koshish kar sakti hai

4-hour chart par, currency pair ka price peechlay do hafton ke dauran sideways price channels mein trade kar raha tha. Is ka matlab hai ke price aik range mein move kar rahi thi. Aaj ke din ke aghaz mein price ko weekly pivot level se support mila, jis ki wajah se price upper channel line aur weekly resistance level 1.1116 tak pohanch gaya. Ab yeh resistance level break ho chuka hai, aur is se yeh signal milta hai ke upward trend iss haftay ke dauran continue ho sakta hai.

Is waqt price ka channel lines ke upar stabilize hone ki umeed hai, aur yeh price weekly resistance level 1.1158 tak pohanch sakta hai. Uske baad yeh price dobara broken channels ko retest karne ke baad phir se upper side ki taraf move kar sakta hai, aur yeh resistance level 1.1215 tak ja sakta hai.

Economic side par, European Central Bank ne apni last Thursday ki meeting mein interest rates ko 25 basis points se cut kiya, jo ke expected tha. Maukay ke mutabiq, currency fluctuations kam rahi aur euro ne pound sterling aur US dollar ke muqablay mein halka sa stability dekha. Is haftay ke aghaz par, euro aur US dollar ke darmiyan 1.1100 resistance ke aas paas stability rahi, jab ke US dollar doosri bari currencies ke muqablay mein gir gaya, jab tak US interest rate cut ka faisla nahi hota.

European Central Bank ne koi clear guidance nahi di, lekin yeh aam hai ke mazeed cuts saal ke end tak aasakte hain, jab ke economic expectations weak growth aur low inflation ka ishara karte hain. Last Thursday ko financial markets relatively stable rahi, jab Wednesday ko US inflation release ke baad volatile session ke baad, stock markets sharply upar gayi. S&P 500 initially 1.5% girne ke baad 1% higher band ho gaya. Is dauran, US dollar slightly bara, jab ke Fed ke 50 basis point cut ki probability aglay hafte ke liye sirf 11% rahi.

Aaj ke weekend mein hum dobara EUR/USD currency pair ka jaiza lete hain, D1 period chart ke zariye. Iss haftay price ne pichlay haftay ka minimum update kar liya hai aur expected target, yani support level 1.1015, tak pohanch chuki hai. Wave structure abhi bhi senior period mein ascending (upar jaane wala) order mein bana hua hai. MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai, jo ke buying ke zone ko dikhata hai.
Qareebi aur main target, jo ke horizontal support level 1.1015 hai, candles ki closing prices par banaya gaya tha, ab work out ho chuka hai, aur ye saaf hai ke is level se kaafi strong growth shuru hui hai. CCI indicator kal lower overheating zone mein tha aur upar jaane ke liye tayar tha, jo ke growth ke imkaan ko barhane ka hint de raha tha, aur exactly yehi hua.

Ab hum ek crossroads par hain, ya to yeh growth ek achi rebound tak mehdoood rahegi aur phir decline ka silsila shuru hoga, ya upward trend ka silsila continue rahega aur hum August ke maximum ko update karne ka prospect dekh rahe hain.

Khaas tor par, mujhe lagta hai ke pehle ke tezi se growth ke baad kuch rollback hoga, yani price wapas gir kar 1.1047 ke area mein aa sakti hai, jo ke younger four-hour chart mein zyada behtar dikhai dega. Halanke, decline ne ab tak zyada important level 1.0955 ko touch nahi kiya, jo ke daily aur weekly level hai. Nazariyat ke tor par, yeh level touch hona chahiye, aur wahan ka prospect bura nahi lagta. Magar yeh dekhna zaroori hoga ke kya downward direction mein kaam karna theek hoga ya nahi.

Agar level 1.1047 neeche ki taraf break hota hai, to mein expect karta hoon ke price aur zyada downward trend ke sath chali jaye gi. Half September guzar chuki hai, lekin price kaheen zyada move nahi hui, yeh takreeban wahi hai jahan month open hua tha.

EUR/USD pair mein do din ki uptrend ke dauran bears ke liye koi critical cheez nahi hui. Technical standpoint se, humne phir se December ke daily resistance zone ko retest kiya aur wapas neeche aaye hain. Iska matlab yeh hai ke humare EUR/USD par sales abhi bhi valid hain. Candlestick analysis bhi is idea ko support karta hai, kyon ke hume resistance zone se ek bearish Pin Bar rejection mila hai. 1.1070 se neeche yeh pattern pending order ke sath sell kiya ja sakta hai.

Is liye, is waqt candlestick, technical, aur indicator analysis sabhi EUR/USD ke liye selling ki taraf lean kar rahe hain. Magar, yeh sirf meri rai hai.

Main EUR/USD pair ki movement par nazar rakhoon ga kyunke aglay haftay yeh aik trading mauqa ho sakta hai. Guzashta haftay ke aghaz se market ki halat ne position 1.1084 se safar shuru kiya tha aur 1.1003 ke area tak neeche jaanay ki koshish ki, yeh 4-hour time frame chart se dekhne ko mila. Aisa lagta tha ke Friday ya Saturday raat ko market ke khulnay ke baad buyers ki strength nazar aayi thi, jo ke market ka trend mazid mazboot kar sakti thi. Lekin yeh rise haftay ke aghaz ke level ko cross nahi kar saka.
Overall, lagta hai ke is haftay ke trading session mein market abhi bhi neeche ki taraf ka rujhan dikhata hai. Point 1.1075 par candlestick ka safar kuch arsay ke liye ruk gaya. Abhi bhi market sellers ke haath mein hai jo ke prices ko mazid neeche le jaa sakte hain aur highest monthly zone se door kar sakte hain. Jo monthly candlestick shuru mein bullish thi, wo aakhir kar ke is haftay EUR/USD pair ke price girne ki wajah se opening position ke neeche chali gayi.
Mujhe lagta hai ke ab bhi sellers ka control bana reh sakta hai, jo ke prices ko neeche le jaane ki koshish kar rahay hain, aur aglay haftay ke liye market ka yeh hi pattern ho sakta hai. Is haftay ka sabse neecha price level 1.1003 par hai. Agar aglay haftay yeh level break hota hai to lagta hai ke market ka downtrend lamba chalay ga. Hafta ke aakhir mein thori si buying interest dekhne ko mili, lekin woh market ko upar rehne nahi de saka. Trend pattern yeh dikhata hai ke sellers ka raaj rahe ga, is liye mujhe lagta hai ke aglay haftay bhi sellers market ko control mein rakhein ge.
Bearish side ko barqarar rakhne ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke price neeche ki taraf move karne ki koshish karta rahe ga. Subah jo candlestick khatam hui thi, wo 100 simple moving average zone ke neeche thi, jo yeh dikhata hai ke market ka trend mazid decline karne ka imkaan hai. Agar selling candlestick ko 1.1046 ke price zone ke neeche le jaane mein kamyaab hoti hai, to aglay haftay bhi bearish trend market par haavi reh sakta hai.

EUR/USD currency pair ke mojooda price behavior ka gehra tajziya kar rahe hain. Euro/Dollar pair dheere dheere gir raha hai aur ab 1.10 ke qareeb pohanch raha hai; is ke ilawa, aaj ke United States ke statistics ke baad lamba girawat ka bhi mumkin hai, jisme manufacturing sector mein PMI ki significant kami dekhi gayi. Yeh dekhne ko mil raha hai ke government statistics jo US economy ke growth rate ko show karte hain aur manufacturing sector ki halat mein ek imbalance hai, jo Federal Reserve ki refinancing rate ko 25 basis points se zyada kam karne ki khwahish ko kam kar sakta hai . Yeh factor dollar quotes ko positive impact de sakta hai. Bears ab bhi market mein hain aur EUR/USD ko niche trade karte rahenge. Euro/Dollar ab 1.1032 par trade kar raha hai; technical nazariye se, iska probability high hai ke decline aaj Asia mein bhi dekhne ko milegi, jo pichle levels 1.1070 tak wapas aa rahi hai, aur breakdown test kar rahi hai, breakdown ke baad continued growth ke liye. Four-hour chart par halat zyada tabdeel nahi hui; quotes lagatar bearish direction mein chal rahi hain aur aaj ke US statistics is decline ko roknay mein naakam rahe. Mujhe ab bhi lagta hai ke round level 1.1000 tak pohanchna zaroori hai, jo ke Fibonacci grid ke 38.2% level ke barabar hai jo is period ke dauran stretch kiya gaya hai; agar quotes isse neeche break karte hain, to hum lambi movement expect kar sakte hain jo Fibonacci grid ke average border 1.0938 ke area mein work out ho sakti hai. Daily chart upar tha, aur ab main half-hour time frame ko dekhna chahunga. Ek strong downward price channel pehle dheere dheere develop ho raha tha, jis ke dauran EUR/USD pair kafi lamba trade hota raha. Ab hum dekh rahe hain ke bearish price channel break ho gaya tha, EUR/USD pair ne 1.1065 par resistance line ko break kiya, lekin strong US economic data ke release ke baad, EUR/USD pair girawat ko continue kar raha ha