Eurusd forum

Hello everyone! EUR/USD currency pair ko dekh kar mein kuch yeh observe kar raha hoon: M15 chart par linear regression channel upar ki taraf slope kar raha hai, jo market mein strong buying pressure ko zahir karta hai. Buyers ki activity ek zabardast buying opportunity ka ishara karti hai, khaaskar jab price lower channel boundary 1.11914 par hoti hai. Agla andaza hai ke market 1.12151 ke level tak rise karega, jiske baad ek correction ki umeed hai. Yeh correction lower boundary ki taraf hoga, jahan se dobara buying opportunities consider ki ja sakti hain. Agar price is level se neeche break karti hai, toh hum further girawat dekh sakte hain, aur aise mein buying positions cancel kar di jayengi. Market channels ke sath grow karta hai jab wo upar ki taraf dekh raha ho. Sales ki umeed upper channel boundary 1.12151 se hai, jahan entry ka mauqa ho sakta hai. Mere liye zaroori hai ke main pullback par entry karun, jitna ho sake lower boundary ke qareeb.
H1 higher timeframe ko analyze karte hue, mujhe dikhai deta hai ke linear regression channel upward slope mein hai. Mere liye yeh M15 se zyada ahmiyat rakhta hai, kyun ke yeh strong bullish sentiment ko dikhata hai. M15 channel se jo signal mila, wo buying ka mashwara deta hai, jo meri buying ki desire ko reinforce karta hai. Bas mujhe sahi level par price ka intizaar karna hai aur wahan se buying opportunity dekhni hai. Jis jagah par mein buying opportunities dekh raha hoon wo current situation mein lower channel boundary 1.10973 par hai. Wahan se, mein dobara buy karne ki koshish karunga taake 1.12036 tak ka target achieve ho. Agar yeh target achieve hota hai, toh yeh strong upward movement ka ishara hoga. 1.12036 se ek correction ki umeed hai, kyun ke bullish movement select ki gayi hai. Bulls dobara apne movement ko restore karne ki koshish karenge. Agar entry point 1.10973 par breach hoti hai neeche ki taraf, toh yeh bearish interest ka sign hai. Aise mein, buying ka trading plan reconsider karna aur market situation ko dobara assess karna zaroori hoga. Eurodollar ka shape ab ek triangle ke jese lagta hai, jisme ek wedge bhi shamil hai. Haan, wahan par jo shandar shadow hai, wo image ko kharab karne ki salahiyat rakhta hai, lekin agar price uss direction mein nahi jata, phir bhi upper trend neeche rahega. Main dusri baar 1.1001 level ko test karne ka mauqa dekhoonga. Dollar ki value kam hone ki wajah se pair ko upar jane ki zarurat hai. Ab kyunke main kisi bhi indicators par reliance nahi karta, technically mere liye kuch specify karna mushkil hai. Bas mein sirf figures sketch karta hoon. EUR/USD pair waqai 1.12 ke round mark ko paar kar leta hai aur upar barhta hai.

Chaliye baat karte hain EUR/USD currency pair ki price action aur is se kya analysis milta hai. EUR/USD ke liye aapka target lagbhag 1.1374 ke aas-paas bilkul mumkin lagta hai, khaaskar yeh dekhte hue ke aise moves aksar broader fundamentals par depend karte hain. Yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke aane wale events kya prices ko itna upar le ja sakte hain—shayad upcoming elections is mein kirdar ada kar sakti hain, jo humein bina kisi significant chart disruption ya invalid candle patterns ke is point tak trade karne ka mauqa de sakti hain. Main is broader projection se aam tor par muttahid hoon, lekin yaad rahe ke short term mein, khaaskar weekly aur daily charts par, hum 1.1065 ke neeche gir sakte hain, shayad 1.1024 tak bhi. Filhal, mera bias selling ki taraf hai, kyunki mujhe nahi lagta ke pair ko significantly upar le jaane ke liye koi mazboot buniyad maujood hai, lekin kabhi bhi kuch bhi kehna mushkil hai. Yeh levels sirf andazay hain, lekin main technical analysis par dhyan de raha hoon, bearish move ko pasand karte hue jab tak trading 1.1111–1.1120 range ke neeche rahe.
Aaj 14:00 GMT par eurozone mein consumer confidence ka preliminary data release hoga. Is index ke August mein -13.5 se September mein -13 tak thodi improvement hone ki umeed hai. New York session ke doran, American investors Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia ke President Patrick Harker ke speeches par dhyan denge, jo 18:00 par interest rates par naye guidance dene ke liye honge. North American session ke doran, euro ne 1.1150 ke upar rehne ki koshish ki. Jabke 20-day moving average (EMA) 1.1088 ke kareeb aa raha hai, currency pair ke liye aakhri prospects optimistic hain. Main currency mazboot hai, kyunki yeh daily frame par breakouts ko dobara test karne ke baad confidently recover hui hai (1.1000 ke psychological support position ke paas). Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi 60.00 ke upar chala gaya hai. Agar yeh level ke upar bana rahe, to momentum mein izafa hoga.

Upar ki taraf dekhte hue, 1.1200 ka

hafte ke economic calendar ke shuruat mein aram ne dollar ko takreeban tamam badi currencies ke khilaf kuch support dila diya, siwaye yen ke, jisne EUR/USD par niche ka dabao dala. Ye Friday ke girawat ke baad hua jab latest US employment data ne Fed ke employment mein kamzori ke khauf ko tasdeeq kiya. Fed ke chairman ne pehle hi August mein yeh confirm kar diya tha ke September se interest rates mein kami aayegi, is liye jobs report itni kamzor nahi thi ke investors ko 50 basis point cut ka andaza ho. Is wajah se dollar mein halki recovery hui. Friday ki soft jobs report ne rate markets mein pehle to halchal machai, lekin phir sentiment aur sakke par shift ho gaya, aur aglay FOMC meeting ke liye 25 basis point cut ki umeed barh gayi.

Lekin ab umeedain barh rahi hain ke is saal ke baad aur aglay saal ke shuruat mein aur zyada aggressive rate cuts ho sakte hain, utsalar ek Fed official ne “frontloading” ko kam karne ka mashwara diya hai. Lekin US ke kamzor data, girti hui oil prices, aur dovish Fed turn ke bawajood, EUR/USD ka forecast abhi bhi thora bullish hai jab tak ke is hafte ke aane wale macro events mein koi bara surprise na ho. Hum baat kar rahe hain aaj ke latest US inflation report aur kal ke ECB ke rate faislay ki. Pichlay hafte ke jobs data ke baad, mein abhi bhi CPI release se pehle dollar ke bare mein bearish hun. Market rate cut ki size par tafreeq mein hai, aur koi clear consensus nahi hai. Fed, jo aglay hafte apni meeting mein dollar ko ziyata hilne se rokna chahta hai, umeed kar raha hoga ke is hafte ka inflation data market uncertainty ko settle karne mein madadgar hoga.

Jabke US CPI Fed ke target ke qareeb aa raha hai, Powell pehle hi is baat ka ishara de chuke hain ke September 18 FOMC meeting mein rate cuts ka tasdeeq karenge. Ye CPI report is meeting se pehle aakhri bara data point hoga jo policymakers ko guide karega ke 50 basis point cut karna hai ya aam 25

**Sham bakhair, pyare traders. Aaj hum 1.0845 ke shetra mein gir gaye hain, jo ek ahm support area hai. Jab hum 1.0930 se 1.0890 tak ke correction levels ka istemal karte hain, to is surat mein 36.8% ka range 1.0970 par hai. Yeh achi release ki nishani hai. Agar 1.0870 ke upar breakdown aur consolidation hoti hai, to yeh upar ki taraf barhne ka acha mauqa ho sakta hai. Iske ilawa, 1.0875 ka resistance level bhi torhna expect kiya ja raha hai. Agar yeh wahaan apni jagah bana leta hai, to kharidne ka ek behtareen mauqa mil sakta hai.

Agar galat breakdown hota hai, to yeh bechne ka ek ahem signal hai, jis ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye. Jab hum 1.0647 ke shetra ko tor kar wahan fix ho jate hain, tab bechne ka ek behtareen mauqa milta hai. EUR/USD ka expect hai ke yeh 1.0965 tak gire, jab yeh pehle 1.08785 ka support zone dekhta hai.

Aaj, ek baar phir 1.1060 ke shetra ko torne mein kamiyabi mili hai, aur iske baad barhna continue ho sakta hai. H4 chart par 1.0965 ka false breakout nazar aata hai; agar yeh is se upar fix hota hai, to yeh barhne ka signal confirm karega. Aage kharidari tab mumkin hogi jab yeh 1.1060 ke range ko tor kar wahan fix hota hai. 1.0720 ke false breakdowns kharidne ka behtareen signal honge, jo munafa ka khaas potential rakhte hain.

1.0894 ka level torna bohot zaroori hai, taake currency ko aur barhne ka mauqa mile. Agar yeh 1.0900 ke niche girta hai, to bechne ka mauqa hoga. Fibo levels ka istemal karte hue, is surat mein 38.4% ka critical corrective range 1.0953 par nazar aata hai agar rising wave 1.0910 se 1.0890 tak ke correction levels ke saath dekha jaye.

Hamesha yaad rakhein, trading mein samajh aur analysis bohot zaroori hai. Aapko market ke movements ka dhyan rakhna chahiye aur apne strategies ko behtar banana chahiye. Yeh market ke trends ko samajhne aur unhe profit mein tabdeel karne ka ek behtareen mauqa hai. Aapka din acha guzre!**

EUR/USD ke movement par jo analysis kiya gaya hai, us main dekha ja raha hai ke euro ne 1.1150 ka level cross kar liya hai jab US dollar weak hua, specially Federal Reserve ke rate cut ke baad. Market mein expectation hai ke agay aur bhi easing measures ho sakti hain, jo euro ko mazeed strength de rahi hai against the dollar.
Is waqt jo major resistance level hai wo 1.12 par hai, aur agar yeh level break hota hai to hum aur bhi gains dekh sakte hain. Support zone abhi 1.1075 aur 1.1125 ke darmiyan hai. Agar aap trading karna chahtay hain to yeh level bohot important hain.
DXY USD Index, jo US dollar ko track karta hai, wo 100.70 ke neeche aa gaya hai jab wo apnay weekly high 101.50 ko hold nahi kar saka. Federal Reserve ne apni lending rate ko 50 basis points se cut kar diya hai, jo ab 4.75%-5.00% range mein aa gayi hai. Yeh decision dikhata hai ke policymakers labor market ko support karna chahte hain aur unko inflation ke 2% target ke baray mein confidence hai. Euro zone se aane walay inflation data ne European Central Bank ko bhi support diya hai ke wo apni rate-cutting cycle ko dheere dheere continue kar sakein, jo EUR/USD ko aur upar le ja sakta hai. EUR/USD ke overall trend main abhi tak koi tabdeeli nahi aayi. Upward movement abhi bhi dominant hai, aur mazeed growth ka potential hai jab tak 1.1151 ka critical level breach nahi hota. Is waqt pair narrow range main 1.1100 ke upar trade kar raha hai, lekin kuch pressure ki wajah se price bearish ho sakti hai. Yeh development achi hai, kyun ke ek significant pullback hamesha trading ke liye acha hota hai. Lekin dollar ka impact aaj bohot aham rahega, khas tor par Federal Reserve ke actions ke baad. Market kisi bhi direction main move kar sakta hai, aur yeh narrow range shaayad upcoming news ka pehla signal ho. Powell ki remarks bhi next move par important asar dalenge.
Despite is uncertainty ke, mera outlook bullish hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke price upar jaayegi. Lekin agar price 1.111 ke neeche girti hai, khaaskar 1.1051 region tak, to main buying ka sochunga un levels par
Tuesday ko U.S. retail sales release hongi, magar substantial volatility ki umeed tab tak nahi hai jab tak data expectations se bohat zyada different na ho. August ke liye U.S. retail sales growth slow hone ki umeed hai 0.2%, jab ke July mai yeh 1.0% thi. Core retail sales, jo autos ko exclude karti hain, 0.3% tak gir sakti hain, jo pehle 0.4% thi. Investors yakin rakhte hain ke Fed Wednesday ko ek naya rate cut cycle start karega, aur ab debate cut ki timing se zyada uske magnitude par ho raha hai. Interest rate traders lagbhag 60% chances dekh rahe hain ke Fed aakhri chaar saalon mai pehli dafa rates ko 50 basis points se kam karega, jab ke 40% expect karte hain ke yeh cut 25 basis points ka hoga. CME ke FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, traders anticipate kar rahe hain ke December tak 125-150 basis points ke total rate cuts ho sakte hain, aur December 18 tak federal funds rate 400-425 basis points tak pohanchne ke 80% chances hain.

EUR/USD

Is hafta, EUR/USD ke kharidaaron ko 1.1120 ke level par mazboot support mila. Is liye, zyada mumkin hai ke kharidaaron ke stops is level ke peechay honge. Mujhe lagta hai ke agle hafta in kharidaaron ke stops nikaale jaayenge, aur 1.1120 ka support level tootaega. Breakout ki type (false ya true) ke hisaab se hum dekhenge ke agla rukh kya hoga. Main reversal ki taraf soch raha hoon.

4-hour chart par EUR/USD ka dekhne se yeh pata chalta hai ke ek ascending channel hai, lekin yeh bhi dekhne ko milta hai ke kharidaar 1.1200 ke resistance ko puri tarah se toord nahi paa rahe aur channel ki upper border tak nahi pohanch rahe. Is liye, hum dekh rahe hain ke ascending trend mein slowdown ho raha hai. Yeh bhi saaf hai ke lower trend par active pressure hai aur sellers baar-baar ise tod rahe hain. Is surat-e-haal mein, sellers ke liye yeh mumkin hai ke woh trend ko push karein aur local ascending trend ko toad deyen.

Agle hafta, EUR/USD ke liye buniyad Monday ko banegi jab Germany ke liye inflation figures release honge, aur Tuesday ko Eurozone ke liye inflation figures aayenge. Agar inflation France aur Spain ki tarah kam hota hai, to EUR/USD in data par kaafi gir sakta hai. Market ka expect hai ke ECB December mein rate cut karegi, lekin agar Eurozone ka inflation agle hafta 2% tak girta hai, to October mein rate cut hone ki umeed aur barh jayegi.

Aur haan, Friday ko ek aur nonfarm payroll report hai, aur usse pehle Wednesday ko ADP se employment ka preliminary data release hoga. Weekly chart par price consolidation dekhne ko mil rahi hai, jo agle hafta ya to 1.1120 ke breakout ke saath khatam hogi, jisse pair 1.0850 ke area ki taraf gir sakta hai, ya phir price 1.1230 ko toad kar EUR/USD 1.15 ki taraf barh sakta hai.

Hum filhal EUR/USD currency pair ki price behavior analysis par ek dilchasp guftagu kar rahe hain. August 27 ke peak ke qareeb resistance area ka ek "false" breakout dekha gaya. Aise false breakouts aksar ulte rukh ki taraf, shayad neeche ki taraf, movement ka sabab bante hain, jo agle sessions mein dekhne ko mil sakta hai. False breakout tab hota hai jab bade market players aur sellers ke paas counter-liquidity nahi hoti jo consequential orders ko support kar sake. Jab zone se breakout hota hai, to wahan rakhi gayi orders—mainly buy-stop aur market-buy orders—trigger hoti hain. Isliye, jab aap "false" breakout dekhte hain, to reversal ki umeed rakhna behtar hai.

Agar aaj ka low toota, to 1.1096 level ki taraf rasta khulega aur phir EMA 200 par 1.1066 tak bhi ja sakta hai. Lekin yeh is baat par depend karta hai ke aaj ka low kitna mumkin hai. Pair EMA 50 se rebound karne ki koshish kar raha hai aur is moving average ke upar trading resume karne ki koshish kar raha hai.

EUR/USD ke chart ko dekhte hue, aaj ek bullish scenario ubhar raha hai. Maujooda price 1.1113 hai, aur bullish momentum taqat pakar raha hai jab kharidaar market mein apni dominance dikhate hain. Bulls apni taqat mein izafa kar rahe hain, jo ek strong upward trend ka ishara hai. Yeh surge yeh darshata hai ke aane wale ghante EUR/USD pair ke liye pivotal ho sakte hain.

Agar bullish trend jari rahta hai, to yeh kaafi mumkin hai ke price jald hi 1.1145 resistance level ko test kare. Yeh level ek crucial threshold hai jo agar tooti, to bullish outlook ko aur validate kar sakta hai aur potential gains ka darwaza khol sakta hai.

Is scenario mein, investors ko un technical pehluon ka khayal rakhna chahiye jo market movement ko influence karte hain. Technical tools jaise moving averages, trend lines, aur momentum indicators istemal karna valuable insights de sakta hai aur informed trading decisions mein madadgar ho sakta hai. Yeh tools key support aur resistance levels ko identify karne, current trend ki taqat ko assess karne, aur potential reversals ya continuations ko anticipate karne mein madad karte hain. Apne account ka sahi management karna bohot zaroori hai, khaaskar volatile environment mein jahan price movements rapid aur significant ho sakte hain.

### T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S
E U R / U S D

Mere doston! Aap sab kaise hain aaj? Ab chaliye aaj ke chart par baat karte hain jo is waqt ke liye tayyar kiya gaya hai. Is price chart par, EUR/USD ne Mangal ko $1.1163 ka hissa liya. EUR/USD is waqt 1.1163 par trade kar raha hai. Is waqt ke frame par, hum dekhte hain ke market price chart par ek downtrend bana hua hai aur yeh girta ja raha hai. Agar hum Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator ko dekhein, to yeh humein batata hai ke market neeche hai. Filhal, RSI indicator ka value 45 se 55 ke beech hai, jo ke 49.2009 hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator par, MACD ke lines neeche ki taraf ja rahe hain, jo dikhata hai ke EUR/USD ne apna bullish move roka hai, aur ab sellers mazboot nazar aa rahe hain. Moving average indicator par bhi, moving average ke lines neeche ki taraf ja rahe hain, jo ek bearish signal dikhata hai.

T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S


E U R / U S D

Market price ke liye EUR/USD ka main resistance level 1.1175 hai. Mere khayal mein, yeh mumkin hai ke EUR/USD resistance level 2 tak mazboot ho sakta hai, jo ke price range 1.1213 mein hai. Agar price is resistance level ko todne ki koshish kare, to iske upar ek bohot mazboot resistance level hai aur agla market price 1.1732 hoga.

Dusri taraf, EUR/USD ke market price ke liye main support level 1.1128 hai. Mere khayal mein, yeh mumkin hai ke EUR/USD support level 2 tak kamzor ho sakta hai, jo ke price range 1.1068 mein hai. Agar price is support level ko todne ki koshish kare, to iske neeche ek bohot mazboot support level hai aur agla market price 1.0721 hoga. Khush rahen aur mehfooz rahen.
Indicators Used in the Chart:

• MACD Indicator
• RSI Indicator (Period 14)
• 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (Color: Orange)
• 20-Day Exponential Moving Average (Color: Magenta)

EUR/USD Analysis

Daily Time Frame:

Umeed hai aap khair maqdam hain. Main aapko naye saal ki khushiyan aur sehat ki dua deta hoon. Pichle Jumme ko London session ke doran, EUR/USD currency pair par mazboot buyers ka raaj tha. Agar hum H1 time frame ko dekhein, toh wahan ek bullish candle hai jiska body 80 pips hai. EUR/USD ne ek aham consolidation ke baad limited price movement dekha.

Agar bullish candlestick aur bearish pin bar maujood hain, toh overbought EUR/USD mein correction ho sakti hai, lekin yeh pair shayad phir se mazboot ho jaye. Filhal, EUR/USD currency pair resistance level 1 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, jo ke 1.1170 ke aas paas hai.

Deep Analysis

Trend line ya level 1 support mein 1.1060 price range mein kamzori price reversal se pehle ho sakti hai. Aaj ke trading mein, EUR/USD currency pair shayad resistance level 1, jo ke 1.060 price range mein hai, ko todne mein nakam rahe.

Yeh mumkin hai ke EUR/USD resistance level 1 ko tab tod de jab yeh trend line tak kamzor ho jaaye, uske baad apne consolidation process ko dobara shuru kare. Pichle haftay ki trading session ke end par EUR/USD ke price action ka range zyada tha, isliye yeh pair 1.1165 - 1.1220 ke range mein limited price movements ka samna kar sakta hai.

Jaise ki umeed hai, price pehle resistance level ko tod kar doosre resistance level 1.1190 tak pahunch sakta hai. Market ka broader nazar rakhen toh RSI indicator 55.40 par hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke hum support ki taraf girne ke process mein hain.

EUR/USD pair ne hafta ke aakhir mein apni upar ki lehr mein rukawat dekhi, aur Wednesday ko pohanchay gaye pehle se high ko nahi touch kar paya. Halankeh recent sell-off ke bawajood US dollar (USD) ke, spot price 1.1125 level se upar hai. Euro ko support milne ka ek aham wajah US labor market ka kamzor hona hai. Wednesday ko release hui data se pata chala ke March mein US employment growth kafi kam thi jo pehle estimate se bahut kam thi. Is ke ilawa, unemployed logon ki bharat se labor market ke thanda hone ka imkaan hai, jo economic slowdown ki chinta ko barhata hai. Is wajah se Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September mein interest rate cut ka imkaan barh gaya hai, jo Euro ko madad de raha hai. Jabke kamzor US dollar EUR/USD ko kuch madad de raha hai, mixed Eurozone Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data bullish sentiment ko kuch had tak dheela kar raha hai. Preliminary Eurozone PMI expectations se niche aaya, lekin 50 level se upar raha, jo expansion ko darshata hai. Lekin, Germany jo Eurozone ka sabse bara economy hai, dusre maheenay ke liye contraction ka shikaar raha. Eurozone mein slow wage growth bhi EUR/USD pair ke barhne ki sambhavnayein kam kar sakta hai. ECB ka July policy meeting bhi is ka izhaar karta hai. Recent data se ye bhi samne aaya hai ke US job growth March tak kafi kamzor thi. US Weekly Initial Jobless Claims ke barhne se labor market ke thanda hone ka andaza lagaya ja raha hai. US Manufacturing PMI ke girne se bhi economic slowdown ke imkaan barh gaye hain. Ye factors mil kar market mein speculation barhati hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) shayad September se rate-cutting cycle shuru kar de. Jabke USD ne apne saal ke low se kuch recovery dekhi hai, ye recovery broader economic concerns se dhaki hui hai, jo EUR/USD pair ko mixed Eurozone PMI data ke bawajood support deti hai. ECB ke July ki policy meeting minutes ke mutabiq, September ka meeting monetary policy restriction ko dobara assess karne ka sahi waqt maana ja raha hai. ECB Governing Council member Martins Kazaks ne 2% inflation target ko achieve karne par confidence zahir kiya aur economic uncertainties ko bhi maangliya. Unhone September mein ek aur interest rate cut ke liye tayyari ka bhi izhaar kiya. Is liye, agar EUR/USD mein koi upar ka movement hota hai, toh wo resistance ka samna kar sakta hai, lekin Greenback ke bearish sentiment Euro ko madad de sakta hai.

### EUR/USD Market Analysis

Jaisa ke hum dekh sakte hain, EUR/USD pair mein bears ka southern correction zyada der tak khush nahi reh paya, halankeh humne kal hi is baare mein warning di thi aur andaza lagaya tha ke EUR/USD ki price 1.1135 ke support se rebound karegi.

Haqeeqat yeh hai ke price thodi der ke liye is support se neeche gayi, jabke 4-hour chart par rising Ichimoku Cloud ke upper boundary ko bhi test kiya, lekin yahan koi confirmation nahi mila. Is liye, is forecast ko higher timeframes ke liye margin of error ko madde nazar rakhte hue reliable samjha ja sakta hai.

Mujhe lagta hai ke ab hum EUR/USD mein nayi growth wave ka intezar kar sakte hain, jo currency strength indicator aur rising stochastic ki madad se aaye ga. Is ke ilawa, ab hamare paas teen complete pairs hain local highs aur lows ke, jo is tarah se arranged hain ke har aik pichle se upar hai, jo ke four-hour movement mein ascending price corridor ko darshata hai.

Filhal, EUR/USD quotes 1.11 ke level ke darmiyan trade kar rahe hain aur TMA indicator ke median se upar hain, jo ke 14-period moving average ki taraf upward breakout ko test karne ka irada rakhte hain. Agar yeh trend develop hota hai, toh humein ummid hai ke bulls 1.1230 ke resistance tak pahunchenge, agar market is ek waqt ke strong level ko yaad rakhta hai.

Iske ilawa, regional PMIs, jisme Chicago Fed National Activity Index, Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index, FHFA Housing Index, S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index, nai aur pending home sales, aur final Michigan Consumer Sentiment figures shamil hain, inka bhi jaiza lena zaroori hai.

Europe mein, preliminary purchasing managers' indices ke estimates September ke economic performance ka update denge. Eurozone aur Germany mein manufacturing sector mein contraction aur services mein slowing growth dekhne ki umeed hai. Iske ilawa, German business climate index ke decline hone ki bhi umeed hai, jabke consumer confidence mein izafa dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Germany unemployment figures, households aur businesses ko loans, Eurozone mein businesses aur consumer sentiment, France aur Spain ke preliminary inflation figures, aur Italy mein business aur consumer confidence ka data bhi release karega.

Jaisa ke hum dekh rahe hain: euro/dollar pair mein southern correction ke bears zyada khush nahi rahe, halanke humne kal iski warning di thi aur andaza lagaya tha ke EUR/USD ki price 1.1135 ke support se wapas bounce karegi.

Dar asal, hum dekhte hain ke price thodi si is support se niche gir gayi, saath hi 4-hour chart par rising Ichimoku Cloud ki upper boundary ko test karti hai, lekin is par koi tasdiq nahi hui, isliye forecast ko un higher timeframes ke liye margin of error ko mad e nazar rakhte hue reliable samjha ja sakta hai.

Mujhe lagta hai ke ab hum EUR/USD mein naye growth ke leher ki umeed kar sakte hain, jo currency strength indicator aur rising stochastic ki support se hogi. Iske ilawa, main ye bhi kehna chahunga ke ab humare paas teen poore pairs hain local highs aur lows ke, jo aise arranged hain ke har ek pehle wale se zyada upar hai, jo ke char ghante ke movement mein ek ascending price corridor ke mutabiq hai.

Filhal, EUR/USD pair ke quotes 1.11 level ke darmiyan trade kar rahe hain aur pehle se hi TMA indicator ke median ke upar hain, 14-period moving average ko upside breakout ki taraf test karne ka aim rakhte hue. Aur, theory ke mutabiq, agar ye trend develop hota hai, toh humein ummed karni chahiye ke bulls 1.1230 ke resistance tak pahunchenge, agar market ab bhi is ek baar mazboot level ke hone ko yaad rakhti hai.

Regional PMIs jaise ke Chicago Fed National Activity Index, Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index, FHFA Housing Index, S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index, naye aur pending home sales, aur final Michigan Consumer Sentiment figures ki updates milegi. Europe mein, preliminary purchasing managers' indices estimates September ki economic performance par ek update denge. Eurozone aur Germany ke manufacturing sector mein contraction aur services mein dheema growth dekhne ki umeed hai. Iske ilawa, German business climate index ke girne ki umeed hai, jabke consumer confidence barh sakta hai. Germany unemployment figures, households aur businesses ko loans, aur Eurozone mein consumer sentiment ke sath-sath preliminary inflation figures France aur Spain ke liye release karega, aur Italy mein business aur consumer confidence bhi dekhne ko milega.

Aakhri chand dinon mein, market ke price movement par sellers ka raj raha hai, jo ke price ko neeche le jane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Magar, chart dikhata hai ke bearish attempts ab tak 1.1004 level ko todne mein nakam rahe hain, jo is hafte support level ke taur par kaam kar sakta hai. Iska matlab hai ke agar sellers is support zone ko todne mein nakam rehte hain, toh trend mazid mazboot ho sakta hai. Is liye, main ek comprehensive trading plan tayar karunga taake yeh andaza laga sakoon ke price kab upar ki taraf chalne shuru karegi aur agla target kya hoga, jo ke H4 time frame par mabni hoga. Is ke ilawa, main apni analysis ko mazeed behtar banane ke liye stochastic oscillator indicator aur support aur resistance boundary lines ka istemal kar raha hoon.

H4 time frame chart par, EUR/USD ki price movement ne shuru mein ek reversal signal dikhaya, jo bearish correction candlestick pattern se zahir hota hai. Daily time frame dekhne par, hum dekh sakte hain ke pichle hafte ki trading sessions mein buyers bullish trend ko barqarar nahi rakh sake, aur market sellers ke pressure ki wajah se neeche aaya. Is hafte, bearish attempts jari rahi hain, lekin Thursday ko mazboot buying interest ne candlestick ki position ko behtar banaya, jo ek bullish rally ke liye raasta khol raha hai, bilkul waisa hi jaisa trend August ke akhir mein dekha gaya tha.

Stochastic indicator ka mazeed jaiza lene par yeh pata chalta hai ke signal line 80 zone tak uthi hai, jo market ke growth ki potential ko darust karta hai. Aaj bhi buyers ke paas shayad itna momentum hai ke woh EUR/USD prices ko upar le ja sakte hain. Is waqt, market movement 1.1078 level ke around static hai. Mere khayal se, main aaj ke din aur upar ki movement ke signs ka intezaar kar raha hoon, kyunki ab tak market transactions mein koi khaas volatility nahi dekhi gayi.

Pichle mahine ke benchmark ke mutabiq, steady growth dekhi gayi hai, halanke uske sath kuch downward corrections bhi hain. Halankeh overall market ka nazar bullish hai, main intzaar karunga ke buyers 1.1096 resistance zone ko tod dein taake ek clear buy signal ko validate kiya ja sake. Aaj ke market movement ke liye, yeh nuqsan rahega kyunki is Jumere ko USD ke liye koi high-impact news schedule nahi hai. Isliye, main market ko dhyan se dekh raha hoon taake kisi bhi breakout signals ka intezaar kar sakoon pehle ke further decisions lene se pehle.

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/USD ke 4-hour (H4) chart ko dekh raha hoon. Yeh logical hai ke pair increase kar raha hai kyun ke yeh Federal Reserve ke bayan ke baad apne pehlay highs ko surpass kar chuka hai. Jab sellers ki limits trigger hui, toh ek strong movement dekhne ko mili, aur mujhe laga ke yeh pair mazeed barhta rahega, gray range ke lower bounds tak pohanchne ki imkaan hai.Mujhe yeh bhi laga ke, Federal Reserve ke subsequent 50 basis points ki rate cut ke bawajood, inflation 3.2% par hi rahegi, aur jab tak inflation mazeed kam nahi hoti, pair ki mazeed rise mushkil hogi. Federal Reserve ke bayan ke baad price mein kami ayi. Pehlay ke peaks ko hit karne ke baad, ek dip aayi lekin pair ne apne pichle peak ko update kiya.Yeh dono abhi bhi develop ho rahe hain aur waqt ke sath wapis jaate hain. Sab kuch perfectly sense bana raha hai, lekin yeh thora ajeeb hai ke jab Federal Reserve ne interest rates ko kam kiya, toh pound unprecedented heights tak soar kar gaya. Mai abhi bhi yeh manta hoon ke pair gray area ke bottom bounds ki taraf jayega, jo 1.09231 ke aas paas support karega, jab tak inflation kam hona shuru nahi hota. EUR/USD pair apne expansion ke early stages mein lag raha hai, chahey woh 1.0700 se barh chuka ho, jo ke paanch growth figures se zyada ko represent karta hai.Iski wajah yeh hai ke mujhe lagta hai ke US Federal Reserve apni agli October meeting mein mazeed 0.5% ka rate cut karega. Aur kyun ke hum is zone ke upar trade kar rahe hain, mujhe umeed hai ke hum 1.1227 - 1.1246 ke resistance zone tak grow karenge, jahan se rollback ka imkaan hai, lekin uske baad bhi zyada se zyada current levels, yaani 1.1180 ke region tak hi wapas aaye ga. Filhaal technology bhi is point of view ko support kar rahi hai. Support zone levels 1.1120 - 1.1138 se limited hai

Abhi ke liye, price EMA 50 se ooper move kar gaya hai aur 1.1189 ke high ko test karne ka mauqa hai takay psychological level 1.1200 ko touch kar sake. Lekin Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo overbought zone mein 90-80 ke levels tak pahunch gaye hain, yeh signal dete hain ke buying saturation point jaldi hit ho sakta hai. Agar price consistently 2 Moving Average lines aur 1.1100 ke psychological level se ooper rehta hai, toh rally bullish trend direction mein continue kar sakti hai. Awesome Oscillator (AO) ka histogram jo level 0 ya negative area mein hai, yeh dikhata hai ke downtrend momentum weak ho raha hai, kyun ke histogram volume abhi tak widen nahi ho pa raha aur positive area ko cross karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Substantial decline ka imkaan kam hai, lekin pehle jo momentum tha woh fade ho gaya hai. Price ko aaj ke opening level ke neeche consolidate karna padega. Oscillators ne bearish turn le liya hai, aur histogram pe local bearish divergence bhi dikhai de rahi hai. Aaj ke price increase ne histogram bars ko zero line ke ooper move nahi karwaya, jo weak upward momentum ko dikhata hai. Hamein dekhna padega ke aaj ka session kaise close hota hai before making further decisions. Channels abhi bhi upward trend kar rahe hain, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke primary movement abhi bhi bullish hai aur koi breakdown nahi hua. Agar junior channel ka mid line senior channel ke mid line se neeche pull ho jata hai ya koi clear downtrend signal milta hai, toh selling opportunity ka mauqa ho sakta hai. Is situation mein target weekly opening level ho sakta hai, jo ke 1.1076 ke aas paas marked hai. Lekin jab tak koi clear shift in direction ka indication nahi milta, caution zaroori hai. Agar pair 1.10 level tak girta hai aur yeh level hold karta hai, toh pair 1.0961 tak neeche ja sakta hai. Yeh decline recent gains ko erase kar sakta hai jo Fed rate expectations ke wajah se aaye the. ECB bhi further rate cuts karne wala hai, lekin decline Fed ke sharp movements ke mukable surprisingly gradual hai. Agar bullish outlook ko dekhain, toh EUR/USD ko 1.1071 break karna hoga, jo ke din ka peak hai. Ek recovery pair ko 1.11 ya usse upar le ja sakti hai. Main pair ko closely monitor kar raha hoon jab yeh possible bottom ke near hai. 1.0951 ka support strong hai, followed by 1.0931. 1.10 level bhi significant hai, lekin 1.0987 ki relevance clear nahi hai. Price bullish