یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

Mera ye andaza tha ke din mein upar ki taraf harqat hogi aur yeh Thursday ke price action par mabni tha, jab euro ne 1.11322 ke resistance level ko tor diya tha aur 1.11934 ke resistance ke qareeb band hua tha. Is buniyad par, maine umeed ki thi ke price barhti rahegi aur oonche levels ki taraf jaayegi. Lekin market ne is raaste par nahi chali, aur mera Monday ka forecast bhi mutabiq nahi raha. Maine yeh peishgoi ki thi ke 1.12560 ke level tak aur barhna chahiye kyunki price ne 1.11934 ke resistance ko sahi tareeke se test nahi kiya tha. Yeh lag raha tha ke market mein upar ki momentum barh rahi hai, aur maine umeed ki thi ke market is push ko jaari rakhegi. Lekin, meri peishgoi ke bar'aks, jumme ke din ka price action is baat par khatam hua ke euro ne wahi price level par close kiya jahan se din ka aghaz kiya tha. Mera jo barhne ka forecast tha, uske bajaye market ne consolidation dekhi, aur ab lagta hai ke price neeche gir rahi hai.
Abhi ke liye, euro ne 1.11322 ke ahem support level ko tod diya hai, jo pehle resistance tha. Is girawat ke sath, pair ab agle bade support level 1.10603 ki taraf barh rahi hai. Yeh neeche ki harakat market mein ek significant pullback ko dikhati hai, kyunki selling pressure barh gaya hai. Iss stage par price ab tak wapas nahi uthi, aur yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke market in ahem levels ke ird gird kaisa react karti hai.

Chhoti muddat ke liye, 1.11322 ka level ab ek key zone hai jis par focus karna chahiye. Agar price aaj ke trading session ke aakhir mein is level se upar close karti hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara hoga ke buyers market mein waapis aa rahe hain, jo meri pehle wali forecast ko support karega ke 1.12560 ke level tak barh sakti hai. Agar price 1.11322 ke upar close karti hai, to yeh naye bullish momentum ka signal hoga, aur market upar ki taraf jaa sakti hai jahan resistance levels ko dobara test kiya ja sakta hai.

Lekin agar price aaj 1.11322 ke level se neeche close hoti hai, to yeh koi bhi nazdeek muddat ka bullish outlook khatam kar dega. Is surat mein, girawat ka imkana barh jayega, aur market agle significant support 1.10603 ki taraf girti rahegi. Agar price 1.11322 ke neeche close hoti hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara hoga ke sellers ab bhi control mein hain

EUR/USD ki 30-minute chart main aik zabardast bullish rally dekhai de rahi hai, jaisay hi pair 1.11928 level ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Pehlay price 1.11200 aur 1.11600 ke darmiyan consolidation main tha, lekin ab yeh key resistance ko tod kar upar ki taraf ja raha hai. Chart par kuch significant liquidity zones (DLiq) bhi hain, jahan price ne kai martaba interaction ki hai. Yeh upward momentum fair value gaps (FVG) 1.11200 level ke aas-paas fill honay se mazboot hua hai, jo ke current upward move ko support kar raha hai.Is rally se pehlay, 19 tarikh ke qareeb ek tezi se girawat hui jahan price ne 1.10800 ke support level ko test kiya, jo ke liquidity grab ki waja se hua. Buyers ne iss region main strong entry ki, jis se price dobara range main aaya aur phir 1.11600 ke resistance ko tod dia. Yeh area, jo pehlay fair value gap tha, ab support ki tarah act kar raha hai, jo bullish sentiment ko mazid fuel kar raha hai.Aindah ke liye, pair ab 1.12000 ke aas-paas key supply zone ke qareeb hai, jo ke pehlay bhi resistance act kar chuka hai. Agar price ne yeh level tod dia, toh mazeed upside move ke chances hain, jahan price 1.12200 ya us se aagay ke levels ko target kar sakta hai. Lekin traders ko ehtiyat baratni hogi kyun ke pullback ka bhi chance hai jo ke previous support zones, khas tor par 1.11600 ke aas-paas retest ho sakta hai. Agar retracement hua, toh 1.11200-1.11400 ki range critical support area hogi, kyun ke yahan recent price interaction aur liquidity dekhne ko mili hai. Yeh area hold nahi kar pata, toh pair wapis lower levels ja sakta hai, jaisay 1.10800, lekin abhi ke liye bias bullish hi hai ongoing upward momentum ki waja se.Traders ko key resistance zones ko monitor karna hoga aur dekhna hoga ke kya price 1.12000 se upar breakout karta hai ya nahi, jo uptrend ki further confirmation dega.

Monday ka din kaafi intense growth ka tha aur ek dafa phir mai suggest karta hoon ke EUR/USD currency pair ka H4 period chart consider karein. Price is waqt descending channel mein move kar rahi hai aur abhi apni upper border par hai. Wave structure abhi tak downward move ki taraf hai. MACD indicator is waqt upper purchase zone mein grow kar raha hai aur apni signal line ke upar hai. Price ne descending channel ke top ko touch kiya hai, lekin indicators ne strong signals diye hain ke yahan se downward rebound ho sakta hai. CCI indicator par aap classic bearish divergence dekh sakte hain. Doosray MACD indicator par bearish convergence ka signal hai, jo ek sell signal hota hai. In factors ki base par lagta hai ke yahan se most likely price downward jaaye gi, aur mera andaza hai ke yeh Friday ka low touch kare gi, ho sakta hai ke horizontal support level 1.1047 tak pohanch jaaye, jo ek mirror level hai, aur wahan se growth dobara shuru ho sakti hai. Abhi chhoti time frames M5-M15 par aap sale ke formation ko dekh sakte hain, ussi mirror level ko support se resistance banakar downward kaam kiya ja sakta hai.
Aaj ke economic calendar mein koi important economic news nahi hai, is liye aap technical rebound ko channel ke top se aram se work kar sakte hain, bina kisi surprise ke. Waise chhoti time frame, hourly chart, jiski yahan koi khaas zarurat nahi hai, us par bhi bearish divergence hai, lekin MACD indicator par, CCI pe nahi. Sab kuch line par based hai, aur plus ek resistance zone hai level 1.1122 ke aas paas jo closing prices par bana hai. Halanki ab yeh area break hone ki koshish kar raha hai, lekin mera andaza hai ke yeh false attempt hogi aur akhir mein price correction ke liye niche chali jaay

EUR/USD ka price action is waqt kaafi aggressive upward trend mein hai. Aaj ke movement ko dekhte hue lagta hai ke yeh trend 1.1199 daily resistance level tak ja sakta hai aur shayad is se bhi aage. Ab tak, price ne minimal resistance show kiya hai aur agar aaj ka candle current level par ya is se ooper close hota hai, toh ek **bullish engulfing pattern banne ke chances hain jo ek bullish impulse ko trigger kar sakta hai.
Lekin, yeh movement fragile bhi hai, aur agar price 1.1199 ko todta hai toh sharp reversal ka chance bhi zyada hai, jo trading ka risk barhata hai. Is current situation mein profits lena mushkil ho sakta hai aur stops easily trigger ho sakte hain. Europe se aane wale economic data negative hai, magar us ke bawajood, major currencies dollar ke against rise kar rahi hain. Yeh shayad stock markets ke indices ki wajah se ho raha hai jo roz naye highs hit kar rahe hain. Lekin, meri expectation hai ke market mein jald hi correction aaye gi, jo dollar ko wapas mazboot kar sakti hai.
Filhal, upward momentum barqarar hai aur kal ke liye EUR/USD ka 1.1199 tak pohanchne ka chance hai. 1.1164-59 ke aas paas rebound ka intezar hai taake selling ko consider kiya ja sake, lekin abhi sell karna jaldi hoga kyun ke upward trend intact hai. Agar pair 1.1164-59 ka resistance tod leta hai, toh yeh 1.1199 tak push kar sakta hai. Reversal ke waqt yeh bohot zaroori hoga ke price 1.1215 ka northern resistance line tod de. Mere mutabiq, agar yeh hota hai, toh hum 1.1258 tak north ki taraf move karne ke qabil honge, khas tor par agar Bears EUR/USD par zyada short bets fill karna shuru kar dete hain. Jo traders "north" mein positions hold kar rahe hain, unke liye situation achi nazar aa rahi hai. Bas yeh zaroori hai ke northward vector barqarar rahe, kyun ke ismein mazeed potential hai upar jane ka.

**Sham bakhair, pyare traders. Aaj hum 1.0845 ke shetra mein gir gaye hain, jo ek ahm support area hai. Jab hum 1.0930 se 1.0890 tak ke correction levels ka istemal karte hain, to is surat mein 36.8% ka range 1.0970 par hai. Yeh achi release ki nishani hai. Agar 1.0870 ke upar breakdown aur consolidation hoti hai, to yeh upar ki taraf barhne ka acha mauqa ho sakta hai. Iske ilawa, 1.0875 ka resistance level bhi torhna expect kiya ja raha hai. Agar yeh wahaan apni jagah bana leta hai, to kharidne ka ek behtareen mauqa mil sakta hai.

Agar galat breakdown hota hai, to yeh bechne ka ek ahem signal hai, jis ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye. Jab hum 1.0647 ke shetra ko tor kar wahan fix ho jate hain, tab bechne ka ek behtareen mauqa milta hai. EUR/USD ka expect hai ke yeh 1.0965 tak gire, jab yeh pehle 1.08785 ka support zone dekhta hai.

Aaj, ek baar phir 1.1060 ke shetra ko torne mein kamiyabi mili hai, aur iske baad barhna continue ho sakta hai. H4 chart par 1.0965 ka false breakout nazar aata hai; agar yeh is se upar fix hota hai, to yeh barhne ka signal confirm karega. Aage kharidari tab mumkin hogi jab yeh 1.1060 ke range ko tor kar wahan fix hota hai. 1.0720 ke false breakdowns kharidne ka behtareen signal honge, jo munafa ka khaas potential rakhte hain.

1.0894 ka level torna bohot zaroori hai, taake currency ko aur barhne ka mauqa mile. Agar yeh 1.0900 ke niche girta hai, to bechne ka mauqa hoga. Fibo levels ka istemal karte hue, is surat mein 38.4% ka critical corrective range 1.0953 par nazar aata hai agar rising wave 1.0910 se 1.0890 tak ke correction levels ke saath dekha jaye.

Hamesha yaad rakhein, trading mein samajh aur analysis bohot zaroori hai. Aapko market ke movements ka dhyan rakhna chahiye aur apne strategies ko behtar banana chahiye. Yeh market ke trends ko samajhne aur unhe profit mein tabdeel karne ka ek behtareen mauqa hai. Aapka din acha guzre!**

EUR/USD ka halat kal k trading session mein kaafi strong bearish movement dekha gaya, jo ke ek temporary correction hai. Magar ye bearish movement mein kafi power nazar ayi, jiske wajah se mazeed significant bearish movement ka potential bhi dikh raha hai. Yeh dekhna dilchasp hoga ke EUR/USD mein yeh bearish correction kitna door tak jata hai. EUR/USD abhi bhi ek bullish trend mein hai. Maine H4 timeframe se ek tasveer banayi hai jo MA 50, MA 100, aur MA 200 ko dikhati hai. Jo bearish movement hua hai, wo abhi MA 50 ke samne hai jo ek dynamic support level hai, aur yeh MA 50 chart ke top par hai. Agar EUR/USD ka movement MA 50 ko todta hai, toh yeh aur bhi zyada bearish movement ko janam de sakta hai. Lekin agar yeh MA 50 ko break karne mein fail hota hai ya usse rejection milta hai, toh EUR/USD ke bullish trend mein wapis jaane ka chance hai. Meri analysis ke mutabiq, kal ka strong bearish movement sirf ek temporary correction tha. Mera maan-na hai ke MA 50 ko rejection milega ya kam se kam MA 100 ke pass se wapis upar jayega. Isliye main intizaar karunga ke MA 50 ke upar ek significant bullish movement aaye, jo market mein enter karne ka behtareen waqt ho sakta hai. Meri nazar mein 1.1214 ek potential bullish target ho sakta hai. Ek strong seller resistance area 1.1200-1.1205 ke price ke aas-paas buyer ko upar push karne se rok raha hai. Is resistance ki wajah se kal ke trading session mein EUR/USD kaafi strong bearish movement dikhaya, aur sellers ne market par poori tarah se qaboo kar liya.

4 hour time frame par agar dekha jaye, toh iss haftay ke darmiyan EUR/USD market mein chal rahi situation bullish trend ke continuation ko zahir karti hai, jab ke kal raat ke candlestick ne ek downward correction banaya tha. Yeh bhi weekly aur monthly time frame par ek bullish candlestick ke formation se wazeh hota hai. Market abhi tak uptrend par hai, aur main ye dekh raha hoon ke kya candlestick ab bhi buyers ke control mein hai ya nahi, bilkul waise hi jaise kal raat ki market mein tha.Hafte ke aghaz mein market 1.1164 ke position se chal raha tha, aur price correct hote hue 1.1084 par aa gaya. Stochastic Indicator 5,3,3 zone 20 mein hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke kal raat ka correction bohot drastic tha, lekin candlestick abhi tak simple moving average zone period 100 ke upar hai, jo buyer control ka ishara hai. 4-hour time frame par price abhi tak simple moving average 100 ke zone ke upar hai, aur candlestick ka safar abhi tak buyers ke control mein hai.Aaj ka din buyers ke liye ek moqa ho sakta hai ke wo apne buying transactions mein interest barhayein, taake price ko upar move kar sakein. Dheere dheere yeh dikh raha hai ke buyers ki support hai, jo price ko uptrend zone mein aage badhne mein madad de sakti hai, aur price zone 1.1226 tak pohanchne ke potential hai. Agar buyers price ko is target zone ke upar le jane mein kamiyab hotay hain, toh technically bullish continuation ke chances barh jate hain.
Mera trading plan yeh hai ke Buy option ko abhi bhi consider karna chahiye. Ek downward correction ka chance hai pehle ke American session shuru ho. Is waqt ke liye, EUR/USD ke critical resistance level 1.1199 par hai, aur critical support level 1.1005 par. Agar EUR/USD is support level 1.1005 ke neeche break karta hai, toh EUR/USD aur neeche 1.0886 ya 1.0778 tak ja sakta hai. Lekin agar EUR/USD upper resistance 1.1199 ko break karta hai, toh yeh aur strong ho sakta hai aur 1.1655 ya 1.2134 tak pohanch sakta hai, jo 2nd aur 3rd levels of resistance hain.Agar market mojooda range ke neeche decline karti hai, toh yeh sell ka behtareen waqt hoga. Aap ke comments ka intizaar rahega. Mera khayal hai ke sab ko profitable deals hon.

EUR/USD currency pair is is waqt 1.1141 par trade ho rahi hai, jo ke market mein ek bearish trend ko reflect karti hai. Is neeche ki taraf ki harkat yeh dikhati hai ke Euro apni qeemat US Dollar ke muqable mein kho raha hai, jo ke mukhtalif iqtisadi asrat, jaise ke European Central Bank (ECB) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke darmiyan monetary policy ke farq ki wajah se ho raha hai.
Chand ahem iqtisadi ashariyat agle dinon mein EUR/USD ko mutasir kar sakti hain. Maslan, Fed ke haal ke interest rate faislay aur iqtisadi outlook ne Dollar ko mazid mazboot kiya hai, jabke Eurozone ki iqtisadi stability, inflation rates, aur growth forecasts par shubhat Euro ko neeche lekar jaa rahe hain. Tajir inflation reports aur employment data par qareebi nazar rakh rahe hain, kyun ke yeh central bank policies ko khas tor par mutasir kar sakti hain.

Maujooda bearish sentiment ke bawajood, bohat se tajziya karnay wale is baat ka andaza laga rahe hain ke EUR/USD pair mein aglay dinon mein kisi bade harkat ka imkaan hai. Jaise ke geopolitical developments, sarmaiya daron ke jazbat mein tabdeeli, ya kisi ghair mutawaqqa iqtisadi data ka release market mein volatility peda kar sakta hai. Agar Eurozone apni iqtisadi bahali ke asar dikhata hai ya ECB zyada hawkish rukh apnaata hai, toh hum is waqt ke trend mein ulat dekh sakte hain. Dusri taraf, agar US ka iqtisadi data mazid behtari dikhata hai, toh Dollar aur mazid mazboot hoga aur EUR/USD ko neeche le ja sakta hai.

Akhir mein, jabke mojooda trend EUR/USD ke liye bearish hai 1.1141 par, aik bari harkat ka imkaan mustaqbil mein nazar aa raha hai. Tajiron ko chaukanna rehna chahiye aur un ahem iqtisadi reports aur geopolitical developments par nazar rakhni chahiye jo market sentiment ko mutasir kar sakti hain. Hamesha ki tarah, risk management strategies ko istemal karna in utaar chadhaav ko samajhnay ke liye nihayat ahem hoga.

EUR-USD H4 time frame par dekha gaya hai ke is haftay ke darmiyan jo surat-e-haal EUR-USD market mein ho rahi hai, woh is baat ki nishandahi kar rahi hai ke bullish trend ka silsila barqarar rehne ka imkaan hai, jabke kal raat ke candlestick ne neeche ki taraf correction kar sakta hai. Yeh baat weekly aur monthly time frame mein ek bullish candlestick ke formation se bhi zahir hoti hai. Market ki surat-e-haal abhi bhi ek uptrend journey par hai, aur main is waqt monitor kar raha hoon ke candlestick abhi bhi buyer ke qaboo mein hai ya nahi, bilkul kal raat ke market ke taraah. Weekly aur monthly time frame par, bullish candlestick ban chuki hai, meri rai mein yeh ek asar hai ke price ek upward trend par chal raha hai.
Hafte ke aghaz mein market 1.1164 ke position se chal rahi thi, aur price neeche correct hoke 1.1084 ke position tak aa gayi. Agar aap Stochastic Indicator 5,3,3 dekhein, to yeh zone 20 mein hai jo yeh dikhata hai ke kal raat ka correction kaafi drastic tha, magar candlestick abhi bhi simple moving average zone period 100 ke upar hai jo is baat ki dalalat karta hai ke buyers ka control hai. H4 time frame mein price abhi simple moving average zone 100 ke upar hai. Agar hum candlestick ke safar ki tareekh dekhein to yeh abhi tak buyers ke qaboo mein hi hai.

Aaj buyers ke liye ek moka hai ke woh apni kharidari mein dilchaspi barhayein taake price ko upar move kar sakein. Dheere dheere dekhne ko mil raha hai ke buyers ka support maujood hai jo price ko uptrend zone mein chalne mein madad kar sakta hai aur 1.1226 ke price zone tak pohanchnekharidari mein dilchaspi barhayein taake price ko upar move kar sakein. Dheere dheere dekhne ko mil raha hai ke buyers ka support maujood hai jo price ko uptrend zone mein chalne mein madad kar sakta hai aur 1.1226 ke price zone tak pohanchne ka potential hai. Agar buyer price ko target zone ke upar le jaane mein kamiyab ho jata hai, to technically is se bullish continuation ka imkaan barhta hai. Trading plan ke liye, meri rai mein Buy option abhi ka potential hai. Agar buyer price ko target zone ke upar le jaane mein kamiyab ho jata hai, to technically is se bullish continuation ka imkaan barhta hai. Trading plan ke liye, meri rai mein Buy option abhi bhi kaafi qabil-e-ghaur hai. Ameeki session ke start hone se pehle ek downward correction ka chance hai.

**T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S** **E U R / U S D**

Subah bakhair sab forum ke doston ko. EUR/USD is waqt 1.1138 par trade kar raha hai jabke yeh likha ja raha hai. Aaj ke EUR/USD market price ke tabadlon ko dekhte hain. Kal ke muqablay mein EUR/USD price mein zyada tabadla nahi aaya. Mojooda surat-e-haal mein EUR/USD price ne seller ke area mein dakhil hoti hui nazar aa rahi hai. Ab mujhe sirf market sentiment ke response ka intezar hai. Agar buyer sentiment zyada dominant hota hai to is baat ka imkaan hai ke EUR/USD ki price wapas upar chali jaye.

Chart par, **Relative Strength Index (RSI)** indicator sell signals dikha raha hai. **RSI** ka value is waqt 47.8139 par hai. Is waqt **moving average convergence divergence (MACD)** indicator EUR/USD ko sell karne ka signal de raha hai kyunke signal line ya slow line zero line ya midline ke neeche hai. **Moving average indicator** sellers ki strength ko dikha raha hai. EUR/USD is waqt 20-day exponential moving average ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Saath hi, 50-day exponential moving average bhi mojooda EUR/USD price ke upar hai, jo ke ek bearish signal ko zahir karta hai.

Mene jo targets iss time frame chart par dekhe hain, woh attached diagram mein dikhaye gaye hain. EUR/USD ka critical resistance level 1.1199 hai, aur critical support level 1.1005 hai. Is waqt agar EUR/USD 1.1005 ke support ke neeche break karta hai, to EUR/USD mazid gir ke 1.0886 ya 1.0778 tak ja sakta hai. Lekin agar EUR/USD upper resistance 1.1199 ko break karta hai, to EUR/USD mazid mazboot hote hue 1.1655 ya 1.2134 tak ja sakta hai, jo ke doosra aur teesra resistance level hain. Agar market mojooda range ke neeche girti hai, to yeh behtareen waqt hoga sell karne ka. Mujhe aapke comments ka intezar rahega. Main aap sab ke liye ache aur munafa baksh deals ki duaa karta hoon.

Chart mein istemal hone walay indicators:
**MACD indicator:**
**RSI indicator period 14:**
**50-day exponential moving average color Orange:**
**20-day exponential moving average color Magenta:**

**EUR/USD Forex Signal: 1.1190 ke upar bohot bullish**
**Bearish View**
EUR/USD pair ko sell karen aur take-profit 1.1060 par set karen.
Stop-loss 1.1215 par rakhen.
**Timeline:** 1-2 din.

**Bullish View**
Buy-stop 1.1188 par set karen aur take-profit 1.1265 par rakhen.
Stop-loss 1.1060 par rakhen.

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EUR/USD pair ne Conference Board ki report ke baad steady raha, jismein dikhaya gaya ke US consumer confidence September mein tezi se gir gaya. Yeh ab 1.1167 par trade kar raha hai, is mahine ke high 1.1188 ke kuch points neeche.

**US Consumer Confidence**
Consumer confidence ka report Federal Reserve ke officials aur economists ke liye bohot ahmiyat rakhta hai kyunke consumers ka economy mein bohot bada kirdar hota hai.
Consumer spending GDP ka takriban 70% banata hai. Aam tor par, agar consumers confident hote hain to woh zyada paisa kharch karte hain, aur iske ulat bhi sahi hai.

Conference Board ke mutabiq, confidence August mein 105.6 se gir kar September mein 98.7 par aa gaya, jo analysts ki 103.9 ki prediction se kam hai. In mein se zyada tar consumers mulk ke labor market ko lekar pareshan hain, jo pichle kuch mahino mein kaafi kamzor hua hai.

Is pair ne Moody's ki warning par bhi react kiya, jismein unhoon ne mulk ke debt load ke bare mein chetavani di. Rating agency ne kaha ke agle administration ko budget deficits ko barhane ka samna karna padega. Yeh bayan Moody's ke taraf se ek saal baad aaya hai, jab unhoon ne sovereign debt profile ke liye negative outlook ka elan kiya tha.

Moody's ka yeh bayan is liye ahmiyat rakhta hai kyunke yeh sirf ek agency hai jo US government ka top rating rakhti hai. S&P Global aur Fitch ne 2011 aur 2023 mein apni ratings kam ki thi.

Yeh bayan ek hafta baad aaye hain jab Federal Reserve ne interest rates ko 0.50% se kam kiya aur is baat ka ishaara diya ke mazeed cuts bhi ho sakte hain.

Europe ka haal bhi behtar nahi hai, jo weak flash manufacturing aur services PMIs se zahir hota hai. Report ne dikhaya ke bloc ka manufacturing PMI August mein 45.8 se gir kar 44.8 par aa gaya, jabke services PMI 52.9 se gir kar 50.5 tak aaya.

Is liye, European Central Bank bhi agle kuch meetings mein interest rates ko kam karne ka amal jari rakh sakta hai.

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**EUR/USD Technical Analysis**
EUR/USD exchange rate is hafte mein ek tight range mein raha hai. Yeh key resistance point 1.1188 ke thoda neeche raha, jahan yeh double-top chart pattern banata hai, jo ek bearish sign hai. Relative Strength Index ne bhi bearish divergence pattern banaya hai.

Positive pehlu yeh hai ke pair ne cup and handle chart pattern banaya hai. Yeh 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar bhi bana raha hai.

Is liye, dekhne ke liye key level 1.1188 hoga. Agar yeh double-top point ke upar move karta hai to yeh double-top pattern ko invalidate karega aur mazeed upside ki taraf ishara karega. Is nazariye ka stop-loss 1.1100 par rakha jayega.

EUR/USD Currency Pair Analysis
Aaj main EUR/USD currency pair ka hourly chart dekh raha hoon. Yahaan par pair kaafi volatile ho gaya aur unemployment data ke baad gira, jo sell limits ko trigger karta hai jab yeh 1.11389 ki resistance ko todne ki koshish kar raha tha. Pair ne support level 1.10839 tak pohanch gaya, jahan volume barh gaya. Mera khayal hai ke pair aage chal kar support level 1.09833 tak gira sakta hai. Phir main expect karta hoon ke pair is support ke paas se ulta chale aur 1.10839 ki resistance ko tod de. Federal Reserve ki speech se pehle, pair ne upar ki taraf movement ki aur speech ke baad pehle wale high ko naya kiya. Federal Reserve ne interest rate cut ka elan kiya hai, jo ke 50 basis points tak ho sakta hai. Unhone easing policy shuru karne ka bhi elan kiya hai, aur bohot se logon ka kehna hai ke agla rate cut bhi 50 basis points hoga, ya phir agle do meetings mein do 25 basis points ke cuts honge. Mujhe lagta hai ke pair 1.09833 ki taraf gir sakta hai kyunki high inflation ka asar interest rate cuts par hota hai. Is situation mein mujhe nahi lagta ke pair mein koi growth dekhne ko milegi, khaaskar jab inflation 3.2% hai. UK ke interest rates na cut karne ka irada samajhna mushkil hai, lekin yeh unka masla hai. EUR/USD pair ki situation thodi alag hai. Europe mein factories band ho rahi hain aur log unemployment benefits par hain, jo ke economic growth ke liye achi baat nahi hai.
Aasani se kehna mushkil hai ke pair ki girawat kab ulat jayegi, lekin mujhe umeed hai ke kal ya agle hafte kuch achha dekhne ko milega. Din ki close ke liye growth ka target 1.1180 hai aur US Glass volume 1.1185 par hai. Maujooda trading volumes ke hisaab se, pair ko upar push kiya ja sakta hai, lekin major arrays ki prices abhi bhi low hain. Nazdeek ka support 1.1150 hai. **EUR/USD Pair EUR/USD pair ne upar ki taraf movement shuru kar di hai, halankeh yeh ab tak latest local high ko nahi tod paya. Pichlay reviews mein humne kaha tha ke hum beech muddat mein euro mein sirf giraawat ki umeed rakhte hain, kyunki naye growth ko bekaar samjha jayega. Yeh sambhavna hai ke market ne future Fed rate cuts ko puri tarah ya lagbhag puri tarah se price mein shamil kar liya hai. Agar aisa hai, toh dollar ke girne ki aur koi wajah nahi hai.
Agar price moving average ke neeche consolidate hota hai, toh short positions par ghoor kiya ja sakta hai, jahan targets 1.0986 aur 1.0925 hain. Agar aap sirf technical analysis par trade kar rahe hain, toh long positions tab tak relevant hain jab tak price moving average ke neeche consolidate nahi hota.

EUR/USD pair ne hafta ke aakhir mein apni upar ki lehr mein rukawat dekhi, aur Wednesday ko pohanchay gaye pehle se high ko nahi touch kar paya. Halankeh recent sell-off ke bawajood US dollar (USD) ke, spot price 1.1125 level se upar hai. Euro ko support milne ka ek aham wajah US labor market ka kamzor hona hai. Wednesday ko release hui data se pata chala ke March mein US employment growth kafi kam thi jo pehle estimate se bahut kam thi. Is ke ilawa, unemployed logon ki bharat se labor market ke thanda hone ka imkaan hai, jo economic slowdown ki chinta ko barhata hai. Is wajah se Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September mein interest rate cut ka imkaan barh gaya hai, jo Euro ko madad de raha hai. Jabke kamzor US dollar EUR/USD ko kuch madad de raha hai, mixed Eurozone Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data bullish sentiment ko kuch had tak dheela kar raha hai. Preliminary Eurozone PMI expectations se niche aaya, lekin 50 level se upar raha, jo expansion ko darshata hai. Lekin, Germany jo Eurozone ka sabse bara economy hai, dusre maheenay ke liye contraction ka shikaar raha. Eurozone mein slow wage growth bhi EUR/USD pair ke barhne ki sambhavnayein kam kar sakta hai. ECB ka July policy meeting bhi is ka izhaar karta hai. Recent data se ye bhi samne aaya hai ke US job growth March tak kafi kamzor thi. US Weekly Initial Jobless Claims ke barhne se labor market ke thanda hone ka andaza lagaya ja raha hai. US Manufacturing PMI ke girne se bhi economic slowdown ke imkaan barh gaye hain. Ye factors mil kar market mein speculation barhati hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) shayad September se rate-cutting cycle shuru kar de. Jabke USD ne apne saal ke low se kuch recovery dekhi hai, ye recovery broader economic concerns se dhaki hui hai, jo EUR/USD pair ko mixed Eurozone PMI data ke bawajood support deti hai. ECB ke July ki policy meeting minutes ke mutabiq, September ka meeting monetary policy restriction ko dobara assess karne ka sahi waqt maana ja raha hai. ECB Governing Council member Martins Kazaks ne 2% inflation target ko achieve karne par confidence zahir kiya aur economic uncertainties ko bhi maangliya. Unhone September mein ek aur interest rate cut ke liye tayyari ka bhi izhaar kiya. Is liye, agar EUR/USD mein koi upar ka movement hota hai, toh wo resistance ka samna kar sakta hai, lekin Greenback ke bearish sentiment Euro ko madad de sakta hai.

Peer soomwar ko, Euro ne North American trading ke doran thoda sa rebound dekha, jab ke Asian session mein ye kafi nuqsan utha chuka tha. 1.11 ka level chhote waqt ke charts par mazboot support faraham kar raha hai, jo market ke liye ek ahm psychological zone hai. Itihaas mein, EUR/USD aksar bade gol numbers ke darmiyan ghoomta hai, is liye agar Euro aur girta hai, to agla maqool target 1.10 level hoga.
1.10 ka mark pehle bhi ek ahm support area ke tor par kaam kar chuka hai, aur agar Euro is level ke neeche girta hai, to ye ek mazboot bottom banne ki nishani ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar market recover hota hai, to 1.12 ka level resistance ke tor par kaam karega. Filhal, pair kafi choppy aur sideways action ka samna kar raha hai, is liye traders ko in key round numbers par tawajjoh deni chahiye jab market inke darmiyan oscillate kar raha ho. Is pair ki technical nature, jo high liquidity aur mazboot options market se asarandaz hoti hai, in levels ko khaas tor par sensitive banati hai.

Is waqt, Eurozone aur U.S. economy dono ke uncertain halaat ke chalte, ye pata lagana mushkil hai ke Euro aur U.S. dollar mein se kaun sa lambay arse ka winner ban sakta hai. Is liye, ek zyada strategic approach ye ho sakti hai ke U.S. dollar ki taqat ko map karain aur ise doosri currency pairs par lagoo karain. Maslan, agar dollar Euro ke muqablay mein mazid mazboot hota hai, to dollar ko kisi tez chalne wali ya exotic currency ke khilaf trade karna zyada faida mand ho sakta hai.

EUR/USD pair ke liye, ye zyada suitable hai ke short-term chart analysis par tawajjoh di jaye, di gayi market volatility aur price level ke fluctuations ko mad e nazar rakhte hue. Eurozone aur U.S. economies mein uncertainties ke mad e nazar, traders ko EUR/USD pair mein 1.10 aur 1.12 levels par khaas tawajjoh deni chahiye. Ye levels significant support aur resistance points hain, jo short-term trading decisions ko guide kar sakte hain.

Market ki in key levels par sensitivity central bank policies aur global economic conditions ke asar se barh gayi hai. Jab ke ECB aur Federal Reserve apne easing measures ko jari rakhte hain, pair mein volatility barhne ki umeed hai, jo short-term trades ko long-term positions par zyada faida mand banata hai. Traders ko ehtiyaat aur agility barqarar rakhni chahiye, taake wo current market environment ko behtar taur par navigate kar sakein

EUR/USD pair mein mojooda upward momentum ek notable trend hai, aur kai traders is movement ko dhyan se dekh rahe hain. Yeh potential ke saath ke pair kal 1.1199 tak pohanch sakta hai, ek bullish outlook ko darust karta hai, khaaskar jab iske recent price action ki taqat ko dekha jaye. Yeh upward trajectory kuch factors ke zariye support kiya gaya hai, jisme economic indicators, market sentiment, aur technical analysis shamil hain.

Short term mein, 1.1164-1.1159 zone ke aas paas ek rebound ki ummeed hai. Yeh area ek key support level ka kaam karta hai, aur kai traders is par nazar rakh rahe hain taake price action ke signs dekhein jo selling opportunities provide kar sakte hain. Is zone se ek bounce aksar sellers ko attract karega, jo temporary peak par profit uthane ki koshish karte hain. Lekin, is waqt sell position lena kuch jaldi ho sakta hai, kyun ke overall upward trend abhi tak strong hai. Jab upward momentum intact ho, to sell position lena nuqsan ka sabab ban sakta hai, khaaskar agar price resistance levels ko paar karne lagti hai.

Agar EUR/USD pair 1.1164-1.1159 resistance zone ko breach karne mein kamiyab hota hai, to yeh ek strong bullish signal ki taraf ishaara karega. Aisa breakout price ko 1.1199 tak upar le ja sakta hai, jo market mein bullish sentiment ko mazid mazboot karega. Traders aksar entries aur exits par confirmation ki talash mein rehte hain, aur is resistance ka successful breach upward trend ka validation dega. Is point par volume aur momentum indicators par nazar rakhna bhi zaroori hai, kyun ke agar buying interest barhta hai to yeh trend continuation ka ishaara hai.

Technical analysis ke nazariye se, Relative Strength Index (RSI) ya Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) ko dekhna additional insights de sakta hai. Agar RSI ka reading 70 se upar hota hai, to yeh indicate karta hai ke market overbought hai, jo traders ko agle upward moves par cautious kar sakta hai. Is ke muqabil, agar RSI is level ke neeche rehta hai jab price barh rahi hai, to yeh yeh darust karta hai ke abhi bhi growth ka mauqa hai pehle kisi correction ke.

Iske ilawa, macroeconomic factors bhi currency movements ko asar dalte hain. Economic data releases, central bank announcements, aur geopolitical developments sab EUR/USD exchange rate ko asar daal sakte hain. Traders ko relevant news aur economic indicators se waqif rehna chahiye, kyun ke yeh volatility create kar sakte hain aur overall trend ko asar dal sakte hain.

Jaise hi halat badalte hain, risk management bohot zaroori hoga. Stop-loss orders set karna capital ko bachane mein madadgar ho sakta hai agar market anjaane taur par reverse hota hai. Is ke ilawa, trailing stops ka istemal karke traders profit lock kar sakte hain jab price favorable move karti hai.

Aakhir mein, jab ke EUR/USD pair ka upward momentum intact hai, entry aur exit points par dhyan dena zaroori hai. 1.1164-1.1159 zone ke aas paas anticipated rebound ek selling opportunity de sakta hai, lekin traders ko prevailing bullish trend ko dekhte hue cautious rehna chahiye. Is resistance ke upar breakout upward trajectory ko mazid confirm karega, jo shayad 1.1199 ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Technical indicators, economic news, aur market sentiment par nazar rakhna is trading environment ko effectively navigate karne ke liye key hoga. Jaise hamesha, ek achi strategy aur risk management successful trading decisions ka buniyad banegi.