یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

**EUR/USD H-1**

Main EUR/USD currency pair ka hourly chart dekh raha hoon. Yahaan par pair kaafi volatile raha aur unemployment data ke baad girawat dekhi gayi, jisse sell limits trigger hui jab yeh resistance 1.11389 ko break karne ki koshish kar raha tha. Pair ne 1.10839 ka support haasil kiya, volume mein izafa hua aur mujhe lagta hai ke yeh pair 1.09833 ka support haasil karega. Iske baad hum dekhenge ke pair is support ke qareeb reverse hoke 1.10839 ka resistance tod dega. Fed ki takrir se pehle yeh upar gaya aur Fed ke baad pehle wala high refresh kar diya.

Federal Reserve ne 50 basis points tak interest rate cut ka elaan kiya. Sath hi, easing policy ka aghaz bhi shuru kiya aur aksar log yeh samajhte hain ke agla rate cut phir se 50 basis points ka hoga. Ya phir baqi ke 2 meetings mein 25 basis points ke 2 rate cuts dekhne ko milenge. Mera andaza hai ke pair girkar support 1.09833 tak pohanch jayega kyun ke high inflation interest rate cuts ka sabab ban raha hai. Is surat-e-haal mein mujhe nahi lagta ke pair mein kisi qisam ka growth hoga, khaaskar kyun ke inflation 3.2% ka base tha.

**EUR/USD H-4**

Yeh abhi tak wazeh nahi hai ke UK kis wajah se iss maashi surat-e-haal mein interest rates cut nahi kar raha, lekin yeh unka masla hai. Jab ke EUR/USD ki surat-e-haal thodi mukhtalif hai. Jaise ke kuch logon ne post mein ishara diya, Europe mein factories band ho rahi hain aur log unemployment benefits par ghar baithay hain, jo maashi growth ka sabab nahi ban sakti. United States mein ab kuch funds hain jo economy achi hone par acquisitions kartay hain, lekin agar sach kaha jaye, toh mujhe samajh nahi aati ke itni unchi levels par buy back kaise karte hain. Shayad yeh bara capital ka khel hai aur direction us taraf nahi hai.

Dar asal, mujhe lagta hai ke pair ka girawat jald reverse hoga. Chahe kal ho ya agle haftay, lekin yeh zaroor overwhelming hoga. Main ghalat bhi ho sakta hoon, lekin aaj kal ki technology ke sath hum pechlay haftay ke jumay jaisa growth dekh rahe hain. Asal mein, kuch din se, khaaskar jumay ke din, major currencies growth dikhayi de rahi hain aur US dollar ke high value ko rewrite kar rahi hain, lekin pehle mein exchange rate ke expected direction par soch raha tha, aaj har cheez theek lag rahi hai. Shayad yeh aadat se hota hai.

Toh, aaj ke close ka dekhte hain, growth target 1.1180 par hai aur US Glass volume 1.1185 par. Maujooda trading volumes ke basis par, pair ko ooper push kiya jaa sakta hai. Lekin major arrays ke prices ab bhi kam hain. Sabse qareebi support 1.1150 par hai.

ستمبر 20 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

یورو کی کل 1.1186 پر مزاحمت پر قابو پانے کی دوسری کوشش ناکام رہی - قیمت کو 1.1076 پر سپورٹ سے شروع ہونے والے دن کی کم ترین سطح سے بہت دور چڑھنا پڑا۔ بیلوں کے پاس لڑنے کے لیے کچھ ہے، کیونکہ جولائی 2023 کی چوٹی کو 1.1276 پر توڑنے سے ایک طویل مدتی ترقی کا نقطہ نظر کھلتا ہے، جو ممکنہ طور پر 1.2270 کی سطح سے اوپر، 2020/21 کی ڈبل چوٹی تک پہنچ جاتا ہے۔



تاہم، اس طرح کی اسٹریٹجک سطح کے قریب ہونے کے باوجود، اہم مندی کا منظر نامہ اتنا مضبوط ہے کہ ہم توقع کرتے ہیں کہ قیمت 1.0882-1.0905 کے ہدف کی حد میں 20 دنوں کے اندر، 20 پیپس فی تجارتی دن کی شرح سے۔ اس بنیادی منظر نامے کی ترقی کو متحرک کرنے کے لیے سگنل بنانے کے لیے، مارلن آسیلیٹر کو زیرو لائن کو نیچے کی طرف توڑنا چاہیے۔ پہلا ہدف 1.1076 سپورٹ ہے۔

قیمت چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر دونوں اشارے لائنوں سے اوپر اٹھنے کی کوشش کر رہی ہے۔ یہاں تک کہ ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن اوپر کی طرف اشارہ کر رہی ہے۔ لیکن بنیادی منظر نامے کو سرکردہ مارلن آسیلیٹر کی حمایت حاصل ہے، جو کل بیئرش علاقے میں تھا اور اب باؤنڈری کو دوبارہ جانچنے کے لیے مڑ رہا ہے۔ چونکہ قیمت نے 1.1076-1.1186 رینج کو آزادانہ نقل و حرکت کے ایک زون میں تبدیل کر دیا ہے، اس لیے ایک الٹ سگنل تب آئے گا جب قیمت اس حد کی نچلی حد سے نیچے چلے گی۔ ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن اس سطح کے قریب پہنچ رہی ہے، حمایت کو تقویت دینے کی کوشش کر رہی ہے۔



.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

**EUR/USD Forecast Request**

Sab ko subha bakhair aur mubarakbad!

ECB ke President ki taqreer EUR/USD ke kharidaaron ki madad kar sakti hai taake wo 1.1165 zone ko paar kar saken. Lekin, US ke economic data itne achhe nahi the, aur kharidaar is US dollar ki kamzori ka faida uthane mein bhi nakam rahe. Is kamzor dollar se aam tor par doosri badi currencies ki value barh sakti hai aur risk-taking behavior ko bhi badhava de sakta hai, kyunki kam interest rates se udhaar lena sasta hota hai aur investment ko encourage karta hai. Equities, khaaskar technology aur real estate jaise sectors, ek zyada pacifist outlook se faida utha sakte hain, jabke bond market mein yields girne ka bhi imkaan hai. EUR/USD ke traders ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke wo flexible rahein aur badalte hue market environment ke saath samanjh karen.

Specialized analysis price trends, support aur resistance levels, aur historical market behavior ke bare mein zaroori insights faraham kar sakta hai, lekin fundamental analysis bhi broader economic environment ko samajhne ke liye essential hai. Harker ki taqreer is baat ka acha misaal hai ke kis tarah fundamental factors jaise monetary policy aur economic indicators market movements ko drive karte hain. Woh traders jo technical aur fundamental analysis dono mein achhi tarah se aware hain, unke paas informed decisions lene, risk manage karne, aur market opportunities ka faida uthane ki behtar tayyari hoti hai.

Umeed hai ke EUR/USD ka market 1.1165 ki resistance zone ko paar karega. Yeh bhi note karna zaroori hai ke Harker ki taqreer is hafte ka akhri significant news event hai jo US dollar se related hai, jo isay aur bhi ahmiyat deta hai. Kai traders is taqreer ko weekend ke liye market movements ka catalyst samjhenge. Trading ke liye, mujhe umeed hai ke EUR/USD ke kharidaar is market mein achhe se kaam kar sakenge.

Khush rahiye aur mehfooz rahiye!

EURUSD dusre din ke liye niche trade kar rahi hai aur blue moving average ke neeche wapas aa gayi hai chaar ghante ke chart par, jo ke continued decline ka ishara hai, aur support 1.0877 par mil raha hai. Is measure par poora bharosa nahi hai. Indicators already bohot strong oversold conditions dikhate hain, aur bulls ke market mein wapas aane ki possibility ko nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Isliye, agar quotes 1.0877 level ke neeche rehti hain, to main downward trend ke continue hone ki ummeed karta hoon. Doosri scenario ko bhi nahi bhoolna chahiye, agar quotes 1.0927 resistance ke upar wapas aati hain, to main long-term rise aur ek aur uchaai ki ummeed karta hoon. EUR/USD pair taqatwar bullish trends ka dikhawa kar raha hai. Yeh behad nichay 1.1000 ke levels se tezi se ubhar raha hai, chand waqton ke liye 1.0950 se oopar chala gaya hai. Pair ne 200-din EMA par 1.0826 se bhi guzar gaya hai, jo taqatwar short-term bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Yeh technical tor par breakthrough yeh darust karta hai ke upri trend jari reh sakta hai, traders resistance levels aur potential breakout points ko qareeb se nigrani me rakhte hue. Ikhtisar mein, Euro ke US Dollar ke muqable mein haal ki quwwat ko kamzor US economic indicators aur European markets mein itminani sentiment ka milaap mana jata hai. Jab EUR/USD pair ahem resistance levels ke qareeb pounchega, market participants qareeb aanay wale economic data aur geopolitical developments ko nigrani me rakhtay hue is currency pair ke mustaqbil ke harkaton par asar dalne wale cheezon ka tawaju se intezar karenge.

EUR/USD Currency Pair Ki Pricing Behavior Ka Jaiza

Hamara mauzoo is waqt EUR/USD currency pair ke pricing behavior ka analysis hai. Market mein sab ke sab Federal Reserve ke interest rates mein hone wale tabdeeliyon ka intezaar kar rahe hain, aur kal aane wale Consumer Price Index (CPI) report par bhi sab ki tawajjo hai. Yeh report aane ke baad significant movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai. EUR/USD pair yeh intezaar nahi karega ke Fed ka faisla aajaye, balke is dauran bhi kuch na kuch harkaatein zaroor hongi. Iss ke ilawa, European Central Bank (ECB) ka Thursday ko meeting hai, jo ke bohot relevant hai is pair ki future movements ke liye.

Mein ne jab forecast calendar ka jaiza liya to mujhe yeh dekh kar hairani hui ke ECB se 0.6 basis points ki rate reduction ki tawaqo hai, jisse interest rate 4.25% se gir kar 3.64% tak aayega. Agar yeh forecast sach sabit hota hai, to EUR/USD mein ziada downward movement dekhne ko nahi milegi. Lekin is baat ka bhi risk hai ke ECB sirf 0.5 ya 0.2 points se rate reduce kare, jisme EUR/USD ko thodi strength mil sakti hai. Aise mein, ECB ki yeh rate cut dollar ko mazid mazboot karne mein kaam karegi, jab ke EUR/USD ko kamzor kar de gi. Haan, yeh baat lagti hai ke zyada log is waqt south side ke trend ki taraf rujhan rakhte hain.

Fed Ka Faisla Aur Interest Rate Ka Asar

Yeh movement zyada tar Fed ke faislay ki wajah se ho sakti hai, ke jo 25 basis points se interest rates ko neeche laayega. Halaanke kuch din pehle, jab US inflation data ka release hona tha, to 50 basis points ki reduction ki tawaqo thi. Yeh aam baat hai ke jab interest rates girti hain, to national currency ki value bhi girti hai, kyun ke currency ka supply barh jata hai. Yeh kehnay ka matlab hai ke dollar ko 25 basis points ki kami ke saath downward pressure face karna chahiye, jo ke EUR/USD pair ke southward movement ke liye ek umeed bana sakta hai.

Zyada tar market participants ka khayal hai ke dollar ke saath kuch stability aayegi aur EUR/USD southward movement ko face karega. Lekin, Fed ka irada hai ke iss saal ke dauran interest rates ko 100 basis points tak reduce kare aur 2025 tak aur 100 basis points se neeche le aaye. Yeh koi itni buri baat nahi hai ke September mein rates ko 500 basis points se reduce nahi kiya ja raha, balki October mein ya aglay kuch months tak yeh reduction dekhne ko milegi. Mere khyal mein yeh ho sakta hai ke Fed 4 dafa mein 25 basis points ki reduction karay.

Meri Predictions Aur Ainday Ka Mansooba

Meri basic prediction yeh hai ke EUR/USD pair abhi 1.1070 se northward movement karega. Yeh straight upward movement ho sakti hai, aur humay expansion dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Lekin yeh depend karta hai ke upcoming economic data aur Fed ka faisla kis taraf jata hai. Agar Fed interest rates ko bohot zyada nahi ghatata, to shayad dollar thoda stable ho jaye. Aur agar ECB bhi apne interest rates ko aggressively cut karta hai, to EUR/USD pair ko thoda support mil sakta hai.

Halaanke kuch log yeh bhi soch rahe hain ke Fed ka aggressive rate cut bhi aasakta hai. Agar yeh hota hai, to dollar weaken ho sakta hai aur EUR/USD upward movement kar sakta hai. Market ka iss waqt bohot zyada economic data par depend karna zaroori hai. Kal aane wale CPI report se humein clear signal milega ke inflation kis level par hai aur uske mutabiq Fed ka agla qadam kya hoga.

Lekin ab tak ke trend se yeh lagta hai ke majority logon ka rujhan south ki taraf hai. EUR/USD ka downward movement ziada probable hai, lekin agar ECB bohot bara rate cut karta hai, to dollar ko mazid strength mil sakti hai aur EUR/USD neeche gir sakta hai. Fed ke meetings aur ECB ke decisions iss pair ke future movements mein critical role play karenge.

Iss dauran, humay market ka closely observation karna chahiye. Yeh bhi dekha jaana zaroori hai ke market ka reaction kya hota hai jab Fed aur ECB apne decisions announce karte hain. Agar inflation data bohot zyada high ata hai, to Fed shayad apni interest rates ko aggressively ghataye. Aur agar inflation under control hota hai, to Fed apne rates ko dheere dheere ghatayega, jo ke dollar ko weaken karega aur EUR/USD ko upward push dega.

EUR/USD Trading Pair Par Nazar

EUR/USD currency pair ne haal hi mein kaafi utar-chadhav dekha hai, aur iske peeche kuch aham wajahain hain. Ek badi wajah hai US Dollar ki kamzori, jo bazar mein apni taqat kho raha hai. Bohat se traders USD bech rahe hain kyunki unhein umeed hai ke US Federal Reserve (America ka central bank) jald hi interest rates ghatayega. Jab rates girte hain, to aksar currency ki value bhi girti hai. Is wajah se Euro jaise currencies, jo USD ke saath paired hain, ki value barh jaati hai. Is liye, US Dollar ki kamzori EUR/USD pair ko support kar rahi hai.

European side par filhal koi khaas data nahi hai, isliye traders zyadatar US ke halat par dhyan de rahe hain. Lekin, European Central Bank (ECB) par bhi nazar hai. Agar ECB apni monetary policy mein tabdeeli laata hai, to iska Euro ki value par asar ho sakta hai. Magar filhal sab ki nazar US Federal Reserve par hai, aur interest rate cuts ki koi bhi nishaniyan EUR/USD pair ki movements ko shape kar rahi hain. Yeh ek uncertainty ka mahol hai, lekin filhal pair mein stability ke asar nazar aa rahe hain.

Charts ko dekhte hue, EUR/USD ne kuch key price levels ke aas paas movement kiya hai. Kal, pair ne thoda girawat dekhi, lekin expected target tak nahi pohonch paya aur phir se ubhar gaya. Isne 1.1115 ka support level test kiya, jahan buyers ne entry ki aur isse girne se roka. Uske baad price wapas ghoom gayi aur ab tak lagbhag 1.1160 par trade kar rahi hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke halan ke selling pressure tha, buyers ki taqat iski value ko zyada ghatne se rokne ke liye kafi thi.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) ek important tool hai jo traders momentum measure karne ke liye istemal karte hain. Filhal, yeh middle range mein hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke pair na to overbought hai aur na hi oversold. RSI thoda upar ki taraf ja raha hai, jo yeh sanket deta hai ke pair shayad aane wale waqt mein thoda upar jaa sakta hai. Awesome Oscillator (AO) bhi ek aur tool hai jo market direction dikhata hai. Yeh weak buy signal de raha hai, jo yeh sanket deta hai ke price shayad thoda aur barh sakta hai, lekin signal utna mazboot nahi hai.

Filhal, price pichle din ke range se thoda upar trade kar rahi hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke buyers control mein hain. Technical signals thodi si price rise ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain, lekin inka overall strength kam hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke pair jald hi 1.1189 ka resistance level test kar sakta hai, lekin shayad isse zyada nahi jaa payega aur aakhir mein wapas gir sakta hai. Agar yeh waapas girta hai, to agla target shayad 1.1125 ka support level hoga.

Maqala: EUR/USD ki Halat aur Federal Reserve ki Iltijaat

Mangal ko, EUR/USD ka jor 1.1111 par thoda neeche aaya. Yeh kami isliye hui hai ke yeh jor US Dollar ke muqable mein taqat hasil kar raha hai. Is harkat ka asal sabab yeh hai ke umeed hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) apne aane wale September meeting mein aham interest rate ka cut kar sakta hai. Aisa karne se USD par asar padta hai, kyunki kam interest rates se foreign investors ki taraf se is currency ki dilchaspi kam hoti hai, jo capital inflows mein kami ka sabab banta hai.

Federal Reserve ka Mumkin Rate Cut: Bazaar ki Umeedain

Bazaar mein rate cut ke liye umeedain dheere-dheere barh rahi hain. CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, bazar mein yeh khayal hai ke Fed kam se kam 25 basis points ka reduction karega. Federal Reserve Atlanta ke President, Raphael Bostic, jo ke FOMC par hawkish raye rakhte hain, ne haal hi mein kaha ke "ab move karne ka waqt hai" rate cuts par. Iska sabab hai inflation ka kam hona aur be-rozgari ka rate ummeed se zyada hona.

Maujooda Bazar Ki Pricing aur Mustaqbil Ki Peshgoiyan:

Mali bazar is waqt 25 basis points ke rate cut ki 70% sambhavana ko daikh rahe hain. CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, 50 basis points ka zyada substantial cut hone ki sambhavana 30% hai. Jab ke investors mazeed wazahat ka intezar kar rahe hain, unka dhyan Friday ko release hone wale US employment data par hoga. Yeh data mustaqbil ke rate cuts ki disha ke liye mazeed roshni dal sakta hai.

EUR/USD ka Technical Analysis:

Pichle mahine, jor ne 13 maheene ka high 1.1202 par pohanch gaya tha. Lekin, haal ke trends se Greenback ki flow mein thoda girawat aayi hai, jis se traders ko apne bullish positions dobara dekhna par raha hai. Phir bhi, lambay arse ka nazariyat optimistic hai. 50-day aur 100-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) 1.1083 aur 1.1086 par ooper ki taraf ja rahe hain. Iske ilawa, EUR/USD jor abhi bhi ek Rising Channel mein hai, jo ke 4 ghante ke time frame par dekhne ko mil raha hai, jo bullish jazbat ko darshata hai.




Spot price abhi bhi 100-day EMA se kafi ooncha hai, jo ke is waqt 1.1086 par hai. Lekin, traders 50-day EMA (1.1083) ke thoda upar ke levels par dhyan de rahe hain, jis wajah se bearish retracement ka samna hai. Iske alawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.00 se neeche aa gaya hai, jab ke pehle yeh 75.00 ke kareeb overbought condition mein tha, jo market sentiment mein tabdeel hone ka ishara hai.

Maqala: EUR/USD Trading Strategy

Meri subah ki forecast mein, maine 1.1117 level par tawajjo di thi aur is par trading decisions banane ka plan kiya tha. Ab chaliye 5-minute chart ko dekhte hain aur samajhte hain ke kya hua. 1.1117 ke aas-paas ek kami aur false breakout ne euro ke liye buy signal diya, jis ke natije mein jor 25 points se zyada barh gaya. Ab hum din ke doosray hisse ke liye technical picture ko dobarah dekhte hain.

EUR/USD par Long Positions Khulne ke Liye:

Jaise ke umeed thi, euro ne ZEW institute ke Germany aur Eurozone se kamzor data ki wajah se kami ka jawab diya, jis ne jor ki upar ki potential ko rok diya. Din ke doosray hise mein, U.S. economy se mutaliq kuch zyada dilchasp aur aham statistics aane ki umeed hai. Hum August ke retail sales volume ka tabdeel hona, industrial production, aur manufacturing output ke figures dekh rahe hain. FOMC ki member Lorie K. Logan ka taqreer itna dilchasp nahi hoga, kyunki wo future rate prospects par nahi baat karengi. Agar bohot mazboot data aata hai aur bearish reaction hota hai, to mujhe umeed hai ke buyers 1.1117 ke support level par wapas aayenge, jahan pehla hissa achha raha. Wahan ek false breakout sab kuch tayar karega long positions ke liye, bullish trend ko 1.1150 ke aas-paas recovery ki taraf barhata hai, jo ke pichle hafte ka high hai. Is range par breakout aur upar consolidation hone par jor barhega aur 1.1176 ka test hone ka moka milega. Aakhri target 1.1199 hoga, jahan main profits le loonga. Agar EUR/USD girta hai aur din ke doosray hise mein 1.1117 ke aas-paas koi activity nahi hoti, to pair par pressure barh jayega, jo badi sell-off ka sabab banega. Is surat mein, main sirf tab enter karunga jab 1.1097 ke aas-paas ek false breakout banta hai, jahan moving averages thodi upar hain. Main 1.1074 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan bana raha hoon, intraday upward correction ke liye 30-35 points ka target rakhta hoon.




EUR/USD par Short Positions Khulne ke Liye:

Saaf saaf kehna chahunga, sellers ko kam moka hai, isliye main sirf tab kaam karunga jab jor barhta hai aur naya weekly high banta hai. Level 1.1150 mere liye munasib hai, jahan ek false breakout, strong U.S. statistics ke sath, short positions ke liye achhe halat tayar karega, jiska aim 1.1117 par support ko test karna hai, jise aaj hum nahi tod sake. Is range ke neeche breakout aur consolidation ke sath, neeche se upar retest hone par ek aur selling point milega jo 1.1097 ki taraf le jaega. Aakhri target 1.1074 hoga, jo bulls ke euro ke aage barhne ke plans ko khatam kar dega. Wahan main profits loonga. Agar EUR/USD barhta hai aur 1.1150 ke aas-paas bears nahi hote, to buyers bullish trend ko barqarar rakhenge aur resistance 1.1176 ka test karne ka moka milega. Main wahan bhi bechunga, lekin sirf jab consolidation na ho. Main 1.1199 se rebound par turant short positions kholne ka plan bana raha hoon, downward correction ke liye 30-35 points ka target rakhta hoon.

Maqala: EUR/USD ki Halat aur Market Analysis

Currency pair chhoti moti lehron ka samna kar raha hai, aur abhi 1.1115 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, jab yeh teen din ki girawat se ubharne ki koshish kar raha hai, Tuesday ki subah ke European session mein. Is waqt jor 1.1125 ke kareeb hai. Yeh haal ka tabdeel hona US Federal Reserve ki dovish policy ki wajah se hai, jis ne Greenback ko kamzor kar diya hai aur Euro ko kuch support faraham kiya hai.

European Central Bank (ECB) ke Governing Council ke member François Villeroy de Galhau ne haal hi mein yeh kaha hai ke ECB ko September mein rate cut par ghor karna chahiye. Bloomberg ke mutabiq, Villeroy de Galhau ka kehna hai ke naye rate cut ka faisla aane wali meeting, jo 12 September ko hai, mein kiya jaana chahiye. Unka kehna hai ke aisa kadam karna maujooda maashi surat-e-haal ke liye munasib aur samajhdari bhara hoga.

EUR/USD ke Buniyadi Pehlu:

CME FedWatch tool bazar ki umeedon par roshni dalta hai. Iske aakhri data ke mutabiq, Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein 50 basis points ka interest rate cut hone ki sambhavana 30.5% hai. Yeh pichle hafte ke 36% se kam hai. Yeh tabdeeli market sentiment ke badalti soorat-e-haal ko darshati hai, jo EUR/USD ke movements ko asar dalti hai.

Eurozone se aane wale haal ke inflation data mixed signals de rahe hain. Ek preliminary Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) report ke mutabiq, headline inflation July mein 2.6% se ghat kar 2.2% ho gaya hai, jo ke energy prices ke ghatne ki wajah se hai. Lekin core HICP, jo khuraak, energy, alcohol, aur tobacco jese volatile categories ko chhodta hai, 2.8% tak barh gaya hai, jab ke pichla figure 2.9% tha. Yeh inflation figures ECB ke policy decisions par asar dalte hain.




Hourly Time Frame ka Technical Outlook:

Technically, EUR/USD pair August 26 ko 1.1202 par peak karne ke baad girawat ka shikaar hai. Yeh girte hue peaks aur troughs ka silsila ek short-term downtrend ka ishara deta hai. "The trend is your friend" ka principle yeh darshata hai ke neechi prices aane wale waqt mein continue kar sakti hain. Lekin agar jor 1.1150 ke upar close hota hai, to yeh maujooda downtrend ko challenge kar sakta hai aur reversal ka ishara de sakta hai.

Hourly chart se yeh bhi pata chalta hai ke Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator apni signal line ke neeche cross kar chuka hai. Yeh naya downward movement ka ishara hai. Traders aur analysts ko is indicator par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunki yeh mustaqbil ke price actions ka andaza lagane mein madadgar hota hai.

EUR-USD Pair Ka Jaiza

EUR-USD pair ab bhi bullish taraf jane ki rujhan rakhta hai, isliye aaj ki trading mein buy transaction ka option mukhya chunav ho sakta hai. Lekin, transaction execute karne ke liye behtar hai ke sahi momentum ka intezar kiya jaye, jaise ke chhote time frame par bullish candlestick pattern ka samna hona. Iska maqsad yeh hai ke jo transactions kiye jayenge, wo baad mein achi quality ke open positions hasil kar sakein, ideal risk-reward calculations ke sath aur achi winning rate ki sambhavana rakhein.

Transaction decisions banate waqt, nazdeek ke support resistance levels par dhyan dena zaroori hai. Yeh support resistance Bollinger Bands indicator, Moving Average, Horizontal Line ya Psychological prices ke zariye hasil kiye ja sakte hain:

- Resistance 2 = 1.1170
- Resistance 1 = 1.1150
- Support 1 = 1.1110
- Support 2 = 1.1090

Agar price support area mein rejection ka samna karti hai, to buy transaction foran kiya ja sakta hai. Lekin agar support ka breakout hota hai, to buy transaction ka option dobara ghoor karna chahiye. Forex market mein price movements bahut dynamic hote hain, jo market ko bearish condition mein wapas le ja sakte hain.




Buy option tab bhi kiya ja sakta hai agar EUR/USD price pehle resistance ko break karne mein kamiyab hota hai. Lekin transaction ki open position ke liye behtar hai ke tab intezar karein jab price correction ke sath us resistance area par wapas aaye jo break hua hai; isay Resistance Become Support (RBS) kaha jata hai.

Isliye, humein ab se risk calculations ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye, taake trading plan ke mutabiq zaroori actions le sakein. Taake agar market be-samajh rahe chale, to honay wale losses ko maapna aasaan ho aur wo pehle se tayar kiye gaye risk limits ke mutabiq ho.

EUR/USD Pair Ka Jaiza

ECB ki umeed hai ke wo apne September 2024 ke meeting mein interest rates ko 25 basis points se kam karega, jo is saal ka doosra cut hoga, pichle June mein kiye gaye cut ke baad. Is se funding operations ka main interest rate 4%, deposit facility rate 3.5%, aur marginal lending rate 4.25% par aa jayega. Yeh kadam Eurozone mein inflation ke 2.2% tak girne ke bawajood ho raha hai, jo July 2021 ke baad ka sabse kam hai, jab ke core inflation bhi 2.8% tak aaya hai. Wage growth dheemi pad gayi hai aur GDP growth Q2 ke liye 0.2% tak revise kiya gaya hai. Investors future ECB actions aur mazeed interest rate cuts ke liye clues talash kar rahe hain, bahut se log har quarter 25 basis point ka cut hone ki umeed kar rahe hain, jo agle saal September tak chalega. Iske ilawa, naye economic forecasts bhi release honge.

EUR/USD Currency Pair Ka Analysis:

EUR/USD currency pair ke price action par humara jaiza hoga. Haal hi mein, price ne hourly chart par inverted triangle se breakout kiya, jo upar ki taraf chalne ka ishara tha. Lekin, kal ke price action ne is trend ko palat diya, jisse girawat hui. Monday se, mujhe umeed hai ke price inverted triangle ke upper boundary par takriban 1.1057 tak gir jayegi, uske baad 1.1154 tak ki rally ki sambhavana hai. Pichle trading week ke end par, currency pair ne H4 chart par bullish signal diya, lekin yeh poori tarah se nahi bana, jo selling potential ka ishara hai.




Agar buy karna hai, to behtareen entry 1.1049 ke aas-paas hogi, jiska risk-to-reward ratio 1:2 hona chahiye. Growth target 1.1144 hai, aur stop-loss 1.1001 ke neeche hona chahiye. Upar ya neeche jane ki sambhavana lagbhag barabar hai, 50-50. Trading karte waqt, kam se kam 1:2 ka risk-to-reward ratio ensure karein, behtar hoga agar yeh isse bhi zyada ho.

Filhal, EUR/USD ka trend bearish hai, jahan pair 1.1010 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, lekin aane wale dinon mein badi movement hone ki strong sambhavana hai. Market ek flux mein hai, jahan kai key factors hain jo pair ko neeche ya temporary rebound ki taraf le ja sakte hain. Traders ko aane wali ECB meeting, U.S. economic data releases, aur market sentiment indicators par nazar rakhni chahiye.

Short term mein, agar EUR/USD 1.1010 ke neeche trade karta raha, to humein 1.0999 support zone ki taraf aur girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Lekin, upar correction ki sambhavana ko bhi nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta, khaas taur par agar ECB ya U.S. data market ko surprise de. Maujooda market conditions ko dekhte hue, traders ko disciplined approach apnani chahiye aur risk management strategies ka istemal karna chahiye taake potential opportunities ka faida utha sakein aur adverse price movements se bach sakein.

EUR-USD D1 Analysis Chart

Salam, dosto! Aapki USD/EUR mein kharidari kis jagah hai, is par depend karta hai. Agar kuch logon ki tarah aap baarah figure ya us se zyada ki talash mein hain, toh yeh kaam lamba chalega. Maine kal bechne ki koshish ki; sab kuch average kar ke zero par band kiya. Ab yeh instrument koi khaas dilchaspiyat nahi rakhta.

Wave technique ke mutabiq, daily chart par humare paas yeh hai: - MA100 ek paanch darje ki halki trend angle par kaam kar raha hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke yeh pair filhal bohot optimistic hai. MA18 ne pehle hi floor ke parallel kaam shuru kar diya hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke EUR/USD is hafte flat rahega. - Ichimoku cloud is waqt bullish rangon mein hai, lekin yeh zyada khud ko nahi dikhata.

Koi zyada pump nahi hua hai. Lekin, future mein yeh clearly badhte huye volumes le raha hai. Yeh sabit hai ke bears ke liye koi jagah nahi hai. Dono basement indicator bundles filhal solid overbought condition dikhate hain, lekin kahin bhi sell signals nahi hain. Sab kuch thoda edge par hai. Lekin, asal mein hum ab bhi bull market mein hain.



Mere liye, yeh dekhna interesting hai ke kuch badal raha hai: agar price pehli calculated support - level 1.1085 ke neeche consolidate karne mein kaamyaab hoti hai, toh correction 1.1074 ke aas-paas ho sakti hai, jo kal ka minimum hai. Asal mein, daily candle ke opening par price teen din pehle ke din ke minimum ke bohot kareeb tha. Natije mein, opening ki ongoing upward trend ki wajah se, humne price gain dekha. Lekin, aaj, is growth se pehle, humein ek half-figure decline dekhne ka mauqa mil sakta hai. Magar, main kisi bhi tarah se na toh koi bechne ka amal karunga aur na hi bechunga. Mere paas purchases hain.

Euro (EUR) Aur US Dollar (USD) Ka Hal

Euro (EUR) ne apni recent upward momentum ko Tuesday ko roka, jab yeh 1.1100 ke aas-paas settle hua. Traders Federal Reserve (Fed) ke interest rate faislay ka intezar kar rahe the jo Wednesday ko aana tha. Is hafte ke liye European economic calendar mein kuch khaas nahi tha, is liye market ki tawajjo Fed ke rate cut par thi. August ke liye US retail sales ka data kuch support provide kiya, jo 0.1% growth ke saath thoda behtar tha jabke prediction -0.2% contraction thi. July ke retail sales figures ko bhi 1.1% tak revise kiya gaya. Magar core retail sales, jo auto purchases ko exclude karti hain, sirf 0.1% barh gayi, jabke expectation 0.2% thi. Fed ka aane wala interest rate meeting Wednesday ko is hafte ka sabse aham waqia hai. Investors ne saal ke shuru se rate cut ki umeed laga rakhi hai, aur March mein reduction ki guftagu tez ho rahi hai. CME ka FedWatch tool abhi yeh darshata hai ke market 50 basis point ka rate cut anticipate kar raha hai, lekin 25 basis point ka reduction hone ki bhi achi sambhavna hai.




EUR/USD pair ki recent rally ne Tuesday ko resistance ka samna kiya, aur long-term bulls cautious rahe. August ke aakhir mein ek saal ke high se peeche hatne ke baad, price action technical consolidation mein phas gaya hai, jabke last week ka bullish bounce 1.1000 se aaya tha. Tuesday ko bullish open ne 1.1116 ke aas-paas supply zone ko touch kiya aur usse bahar nikal gaya, aur current bullish range ka mid-point 1.1129 par khatam hua. 1.1100 ya Point of Control (POC) 1.1088 par pullback ki umeed hai, jahan bulls is level ko defend karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Agle supply zone ke potential targets 1.1150 aur 1.1166 hain, jo 80% aur 100% Fibonacci extension levels ke kareeb hain. Jab Fibonacci extension tak pohanch jaaye, toh 1.1072 aakhri relevant support level ke taur par confirm hoga. Is waqt ke upside move ke liye, 1.1002 aakhri valid support level hai.

Euro (EUR) Aur US Dollar (USD) Ka Hal

Euro (EUR) ne apni recent upward momentum ko Tuesday ko roka, jab yeh 1.1100 ke aas-paas settle hua. Traders Federal Reserve (Fed) ke interest rate faislay ka intezar kar rahe the jo Wednesday ko aana tha. Is hafte ke liye European economic calendar mein kuch khaas nahi tha, is liye market ki tawajjo Fed ke rate cut par thi. August ke liye US retail sales ka data kuch support provide kiya, jo 0.1% growth ke saath thoda behtar tha jabke prediction -0.2% contraction thi. July ke retail sales figures ko bhi 1.1% tak revise kiya gaya. Magar core retail sales, jo auto purchases ko exclude karti hain, sirf 0.1% barh gayi, jabke expectation 0.2% thi. Fed ka aane wala interest rate meeting Wednesday ko is hafte ka sabse aham waqia hai. Investors ne saal ke shuru se rate cut ki umeed laga rakhi hai, aur March mein reduction ki guftagu tez ho rahi hai. CME ka FedWatch tool abhi yeh darshata hai ke market 50 basis point ka rate cut anticipate kar raha hai, lekin 25 basis point ka reduction hone ki bhi achi sambhavna hai.




EUR/USD pair ki recent rally ne Tuesday ko resistance ka samna kiya, aur long-term bulls cautious rahe. August ke aakhir mein ek saal ke high se peeche hatne ke baad, price action technical consolidation mein phas gaya hai, jabke last week ka bullish bounce 1.1000 se aaya tha. Tuesday ko bullish open ne 1.1116 ke aas-paas supply zone ko touch kiya aur usse bahar nikal gaya, aur current bullish range ka mid-point 1.1129 par khatam hua. 1.1100 ya Point of Control (POC) 1.1088 par pullback ki umeed hai, jahan bulls is level ko defend karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Agle supply zone ke potential targets 1.1150 aur 1.1166 hain, jo 80% aur 100% Fibonacci extension levels ke kareeb hain. Jab Fibonacci extension tak pohanch jaaye, toh 1.1072 aakhri relevant support level ke taur par confirm hoga. Is waqt ke upside move ke liye, 1.1002 aakhri valid support level hai.

EUR/USD ka tajziyah
Assalam Alaikum!
Euro/dollar ki jodi ke mustaqbil ke imkanat ke bare me, takniki tasweer kuch ghair yaqini suratehal ko zahir karti hai. Aisa lagta hai keh yah rujhan ooper ki taraf hai, lekin niche hal hi me tashkil diye gaye debt ki satah se pata chalta hai keh yah jodi ab bhi 1.1080-1.1070 ki hadd tak gir sakti hai.
Yahi wajah hai keh mai ab is jodi ko kharidne ke liye jaldi me nahin hun, kiyunkeh ek zyadah dilchasp mauqa paida ho sakta hai. Mai farokht ke ehkamaat par bhi gaur kar raha hun, lekin munasib khatre ke sath, kiyunkeh agar qimat badh jati hai to, mujhe ausat se aala satah par add karne ki zarurat hogi.
Aaj Jumah hai, aur yah ek dilchasp din ho sakta hai. Warna, mai Peer ke roz kuch movement ki tawaqqo karunga jab aham statistical data jari hone