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EUR/USD Ka Jaiza
Daily Trading Window Mein Eur/Usd Ka Analysis

Tuesday ke din Eur/Usd market pair par trading mein sellers ka ghalba raha, jo ke price ko seller ke resistance area (1.1050-1.1048) ke neeche rakhne mein kamiyab rahe. Is wajah se bullish buyers ka pace wapas fail ho gaya, aur price neeche bearish direction mein kafi tez gir gaya.

Technical Indicators Ka Istemaal:

Daily time window mein Moving Average (MA) indicator ke zariye dekha gaya toh price abhi tak Red MA 50 area ke upar (1.0960-1.0962) par hai. Price aur MA ke darmiyan fasla kafi kam hai, aur bearish candle ka dubara banna yeh ishara deta hai ke Eur/Usd market abhi bhi kafi strong bearish potential mein hai. Seller ka agla target price ko neeche Red MA 50 area tak le jaana hoga. Agar yeh level toot gaya, toh Eur/Usd pair aur kamzor hote hue Blue MA 100 area (1.0870-1.0872) ki taraf ja sakta hai.

Wednesday Ke Din Ka Trading Jaiza:

Aaj Wednesday ke din buyers ne market mein ghalba paaya, aur bearish sellers ke rate ko buyer support area (1.1018-1.1020) par rokne mein kamiyab rahe. Is se buyers ne price ko wapas bullish direction mein le ja kar seller ke resistance area (1.1060-1.1063) tak pohncha diya. Agar yeh area strong tor par breach hota hai, toh Eur/Usd pair ka price mazeed barh kar agle target, yani strong seller resistance area (1.1080-1.1083) tak pohnch sakta hai.

Nateeja:

- Buy Trading Options: Agar price seller resistance area ko breach kar leta hai, toh pending buy stop order ko 1.1060-1.1063 par set kiya ja sakta hai, aur TP area 1.1080-1.1083 par rakha ja sakta hai.

- Sell Trading Options: Agar price buyer support area ko breach karta hai, toh pending sell stop order 1.1028-1.1025 par set karain, aur TP area 1.1007-1.1005 ke aas paas rakha ja sakta hai.

EUR/USD Ka Jaiza
Daily Trading Window Mein Eur/Usd Ka Analysis

Tuesday ke din Eur/Usd market pair par trading mein sellers ka ghalba raha, jo ke price ko seller ke resistance area (1.1050-1.1048) ke neeche rakhne mein kamiyab rahe. Is wajah se bullish buyers ka pace wapas fail ho gaya, aur price neeche bearish direction mein kafi tez gir gaya.

Technical Indicators Ka Istemaal:

Daily time window mein Moving Average (MA) indicator ke zariye dekha gaya toh price abhi tak Red MA 50 area ke upar (1.0960-1.0962) par hai. Price aur MA ke darmiyan fasla kafi kam hai, aur bearish candle ka dubara banna yeh ishara deta hai ke Eur/Usd market abhi bhi kafi strong bearish potential mein hai. Seller ka agla target price ko neeche Red MA 50 area tak le jaana hoga. Agar yeh level toot gaya, toh Eur/Usd pair aur kamzor hote hue Blue MA 100 area (1.0870-1.0872) ki taraf ja sakta hai.

Wednesday Ke Din Ka Trading Jaiza:

Aaj Wednesday ke din buyers ne market mein ghalba paaya, aur bearish sellers ke rate ko buyer support area (1.1018-1.1020) par rokne mein kamiyab rahe. Is se buyers ne price ko wapas bullish direction mein le ja kar seller ke resistance area (1.1060-1.1063) tak pohncha diya. Agar yeh area strong tor par breach hota hai, toh Eur/Usd pair ka price mazeed barh kar agle target, yani strong seller resistance area (1.1080-1.1083) tak pohnch sakta hai.

Nateeja:

- Buy Trading Options: Agar price seller resistance area ko breach kar leta hai, toh pending buy stop order ko 1.1060-1.1063 par set kiya ja sakta hai, aur TP area 1.1080-1.1083 par rakha ja sakta hai.

- Sell Trading Options: Agar price buyer support area ko breach karta hai, toh pending sell stop order 1.1028-1.1025 par set karain, aur TP area 1.1007-1.1005 ke aas paas rakha ja sakta hai.

Fundamental Outlook of EUR/USD

EUR/USD karansi jori is waqt aik mushkil soorat-e-haal se guzar rahi hai, jo kay kai factors se mutasir hai. Aik bara element jo iss jori ko asar andaz kar raha hai woh European Central Bank (ECB) ki sood ki sharah kam karne ki bartan hoti ummeed hai, jiska jaldi hi elaan kiya ja sakta hai. Sarmayakaaran is mumkin sood ki sharah mein kami par baray ghore se nazar rakhay hue hain kyun ke sood ki sharah mein kami aik karansi ko kamzor kar deti hai. Euro pehle se hi dusri bari karansiyon ke muqablay mein mushkil ka shikar hai, aur yeh rujhaan jari reh sakta hai agar ECB sood ki sharah mein kami ka faisla karta hai. Sood ki sharah mein kami ka sabab Eurozone mein afraat-e-zar mein ahista rone ki wajah se hai. Tajaazya garon ka andaza hai ke afraat-e-zar, jo ke Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) se naapta jata hai, mazeed thanda hota rahega. August ke liye HICP ki mukammal sharah 2.3% tak girne ki tawaqo hai, jab ke core inflation jo zyada utar chadhaw walay components ko nikaal kar nape jati hai, uske 2.8% tak girne ki paishgoi hai. Yeh afraat-e-zar ki adad o shumaar yeh izhar karti hain ke ECB ko sood ki sharah ko mazeed kam karna par sakta hai taake maeeshat ko sahara diya ja sake
Eurozone ki bari maeeshati soorat-e-haal ab bhi ghair yaqiniyat se do-chaar hai, jo Euro ke liye mazeed mushkilat paida kar rahi hai. Hal hi mein aye maeeshati data ne maeeshati sar-garmi mein maamooli behtari ka izhaar kiya, khas tor par France mein Paris Olympics ki wajah se, magar yeh izafa mawamlaat waqt tak mehdood samjha jata hai. Eurozone ki maeeshati soorat-e-haal ke hawalay se ab bhi ehtiyat pasandi ka rawaiya hai, kamzor nuqta nazar ke saath jo karansi par dabao daal raha hai. ECB ke aham shaksiyat, iske ahdaaydar, is shay par tawajjoh dein hain ke afraat-e-zar par qaabu paane ki jari koshishain aakhir kar mein kaamyaab hongi ya nahi. Is ghair yaqiniyat ke saath, tajaray apni soch mein yeh mansoobay shamil kar rahe hain. Iske ilawa, European Union ki Main Refinancing Rate ki jari karwai is Jumairat ko mazeed bazaar mein utar chadhav la sakti hai, kyunke yeh sood ki sharah ECB ke mustaqbil ki maali policies ke hawalay se mazeed asharaat faraham karegi.

EUR/USD Technical Overview:

Technical tor par, EUR/USD aik ahem nuqtay par trade kar raha hai. Yeh jori aik ahem support level 1.1010 se neeche gir gayi hai, jo bazaar mein kamzori ki nishandahi karta hai. Kai technical indicators, jin mein Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) shamil hain, bearish trend ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. Yeh is baat ki dalalat karta hai ke bazaar qareeb waqt mein neeche ki taraf chal sakta hai. Agar yeh jori mazeed girti hai, toh agla ahem support level 1.0999 ke aas-paas hai, aik psychological had hai jo agar toot jaye toh mazeed bechne aur mumkin tor par qeemat mein mazeed tezi se girawat ka sabab ban sakta hai Iske bawajood, kuch tajaray aik muktasar upar ki taraf islah ki mumkinat ka intezaar kar rahe hain. Yeh is liye hai kyunke qeemat abhi bhi aham moving averages, maslan 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), ke kareeb hai, aur wahan se aik choti si bounce ho sakti hai is se pehle ke qeemat dobara neeche ki taraf apni rujhaan mein lautay. Abhi ke liye, qeemat apni haftawari range se neeche trade ho rahi hai aur tajaray ECB ke sood ki sharah ke faislay se pehle short-selling ke mauqay dhoond rahe hain. Agar qeemat 1.1003 se wapas uthti hai, toh yeh 1.11339 tak barh sakti hai. Iske baraks, agar bearish pressure khabron ke baad bhi qayim rehta hai, toh yeh jori 1.08739 ke level ki taraf ja sakti hai. Is liye, tajaray in ahem nuqtay par bariki se nazar rakh rahe hain aur aane wali taja tor par apni position adjust kar rahe hain

EUR/USD mein Long Positions kholne ke liye Germany ka GDP figures economists ki forecasts ke mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon,
GBP/USD currency pair ke neeche jaane ke chances abhi bhi hain, halanki ab thoda stronger nazar aa raha hai. Iska reason yeh hai ke candle supply area ko 1.3255 par penetrate nahi kar paayi. Iske alawa, Ichimoku indicator se bhi candle position Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke neeche hai, jo trend ko bearish banata hai. Isliye, main recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair mein trade karte hain, wo sirf sell positions par focus karein. Aap take profit target ko nearest support 1.3070 par set kar sakte hain aur stop loss ko nearest resistance 1.3268 par rakh sakte hain

1.1153 level par focus kiya tha aur market mein entry decisions is par banaane ka plan kiya tha. Ab hum 5-minute chart dekhtay hain aur dekhte hain kya hua. Girawat hui, lekin is level par na to koi test hua aur na hi false breakout formation hui. Low volatility ki wajah se koi suitable entry points nahi milay. Phir bhi, doosray half of the day ke liye technical picture ko thora revise kiya EUR/USD mein Long Positions kholne ke liye Germany ka GDP figures economists ki forecasts ke mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon, lekin sirf unsuccessful consolidation ke baad. Main short positions foran rebound par 1.1274 se kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki downward correction ka target rakhte

EUR/USD ka Fundamental Outlook:

EUR/USD currency pair is waqt kafi mushkil surat-e-haal se guzar raha hai, jo kai factors se mutasir hai. Sab se bara asar jo is pair par hai wo ye hai ke European Central Bank (ECB) ke interest rates kam karne ki umeed barh rahi hai. Yeh elaan jald kiya ja sakta hai. Sarmayakaar is rate cut ka ghoor se dekh rahe hain kyun ke kam interest rates aik currency ko kamzor karte hain. Euro pehle hi dosray major currencies ke muqablay mein kamzor hai, aur agar ECB rate cut karti hai to yeh trend barqaraar reh sakta hai. Rate cut ka sabab Eurozone mein inflation ka ahista honay ka process hai. Analysts ka kehna hai ke Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) se inflation ka aindah bhi kam honay ka imkaan hai. HICP ke mutabiq August ka headline inflation 2.3% tak ghir sakta hai, jabke core inflation (jo ziada volatile components ko nikal kar dekha jata hai) 2.8% rehne ka andaza hai. Yeh inflation ke figures dikhate hain ke ECB ko aane wale waqt mein aur bhi rate cut karne par majboor ho sakta hai taake economy ko support mil sake.

Eurozone ka wasee economic outlook bhi abhi tak ghair yaqiniyat ka shikar hai, jo Euro ke liye aur zyada challenges peda karta hai. Haal hi ke data mein economic activity mein halka behtri ka asar dekha gaya, khaaskar France mein Paris Olympics ke sabab, magar yeh behtri mukhtasir arsa ke liye hai. Eurozone ki economic surat-e-haal abhi bhi kamzor hai, aur slow growth prospects currency par dabao daal rahe hain. ECB ke aham afraad ne bhi is baat par chinta ka izhaar kiya hai ke inflation control karne ki jo koshishain ho rahi hain wo kab tak kamyab rahengi. Iss ghair yaqiniyat ke hote huay, traders apne faislay in concerns ko madde nazar rakh kar kar rahe hain. Is ke ilawa, European Union ka Main Refinancing Rate jo Thursday ko release hoga, market mein mazeed volatility la sakta hai, kyun ke yeh rate ECB ke future monetary policies par roshni daalega.




EUR/USD Technical Overview:

Technical tor par, EUR/USD ek aham point par trade kar raha hai. Pair ne 1.1010 ka aham support level tor diya hai, jo market mein kamzori ka signal hai. Kai technical indicators, jese ke Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) aur Relative Strength Index (RSI), bearish trend ki taraf ishaara karte hain. Yeh dikhata hai ke market qareebi future mein neeche ja sakta hai. Agar pair aur neeche gira, to agla significant support level 1.0999 ke aas-paas hoga, jo ek psychological threshold hai. Agar yeh break hota hai, to zyada selling ho sakti hai aur price mein aur zyada girawat ka imkaan hai.

Lekin, kuch traders ek chhoti si upward correction ki umeed kar rahe hain. Yeh is liye ke price abhi bhi aham moving averages ke qareeb hai, jese ke 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), aur price ke girne se pehle ek chhota rebound ho sakta hai. Abhi ke liye, price apne weekly range se neeche trade kar raha hai, aur traders ECB ke rate decision se pehle short-selling opportunities dekh rahe hain. Agar price 1.1003 se bounce kar jata hai, to yeh 1.11339 tak barh sakta hai. Magar agar bearish pressure barqaraar rehta hai to pair 1.08739 level tak gir sakta hai. Traders is waqt in key levels ko ghoor se dekh rahe hain aur apni positions upcoming developments ke mutabiq adjust kar rahe hain.

Din bhar mein, sirf ek report publish hui thi Nonfarm Payrolls ki annual revision ke bare mein, jo ki forecasts se bhi worse nikli. Asal mein, agar yeh expected se better bhi hoti, toh dollar phir bhi fall karta. Monday aur Tuesday ko, dollar ko macroeconomic backdrop ki zaroorat nahi thi apne decline ko sustain karne ke liye. Toh, yeh kehna mushkil nahi hai ki US labor market ke ek aur weak report ne US currency ko further fall kar diya. Lekin, US dollar daily fall raha hai, regardless of these reports, aur correct bhi nahi kar pa raha hai. Nonfarm Payrolls report previously published reports ki correction nahi hai; yeh sirf annual figure ki adjustment hai. Market ne pehle weaker monthly reports ko account kiya, phir annual one ko, jo ki essentially same data ko reflect karta hai. Abhi traders ko sirf ek sawal puchna chahiye ki yeh relentless rise kab tak continue karega. Upside par trading easy, simple, aur convenient lagta hai, lekin sirf first glance par, kyunki traders likely samajhte hain ki euro almost out of the blue rise kar raha hai. Isliye, yeh movement kisi bhi moment par end ho sakta hai. Currency ko buy karna jab aapko nahi pata ki yeh kyun rise kar raha hai, yeh pleasant task nahi hai. Phir bhi, uptrend ke ending ke signs nahi hain, price continue rise kar sakti hai 1.1185 aur 1.1234 ke targets ke sath.
Wednesday ko, sirf ek trading signal forma hua - US trading session mein 1.1137 level surpass hua. Din ke end par, euro sirf 15 pips rise kiya, lekin volatility currently low hai, aur movement one-sided hai. Yeh trade Thursday tak hold ki ja sakti hai 1.1185 ke target ke sath.
EUR/USD hourly time frame mein steady aur measured upward movement sustain kar raha hai. Last week, new US inflation reports ne market ko dollar ko sell karne ka ek aur reason diya. Is week, market Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell se dovish rhetoric expect kar raha hai. Market har available opportunity ko seize kar raha hai dollar ko sell karne ke liye. Ab humare paas do ascending trendlines hain, jo ki euro ko support kar rahe hai

Euro ne trading week ke doran halka sa recovery dekha, aur 1.11 level tak pohnch gaya. Lekin, yeh movement kuch zyada impactful nahi thi, aur noisy price action ka shikaar thi. Yeh baat zaroori hai ke Federal Reserve ke interest rates ko jaldi cut karne ki ummeed hai, lekin 1.12 mark ke upar ek significant level of resistance hai. Is barrier ko todne ke liye kaafi effort ki zaroorat hogi, jo shayad euro ko near term mein sideways trade karne par majboor kare. Agar market 1.10 level ke neeche break hoti hai, to hum 200-week EMA ka test aur phir 1.09 support level tak movement dekh sakte hain.

Dusri taraf, agar euro resistance ko break karne mein kamiyab hota hai, to shayad 1.1240 level ko todne ke liye kai attempts ki zaroorat pade. Yeh area significant hai kyunki early 2022 mein yahan bade sell-off huye the. Federal Reserve aur European Central Bank ke interest rate decisions ke sath, market ka movement in policies ke outcomes par depend karta hai. Federal Reserve se expected rate cuts ki number abhi bhi uncertain hai, aur traders Fed ke September decision ke baad press conference, khas taur par Jerome Powell ke statement, ko closely watch karenge.

Filhal, euro apne trading range ke upar ke end ke qareeb hai jahan yeh kaafi saalon se trade kar raha hai. Technical aur fundamental factors ke madde nazar, significant gains achieve karna mushkil ho sakta hai jab tak economic conditions ya policy mein major shift na aaye. Ab ke liye, euro ko resistance levels aur cautious market sentiment se struggle karna pad sakta hai.

Hello dear forum members, aaj main apne analysis share kar raha hoon EUR/USD pair ke baare mein. Umeed hai ke yeh aap ko profitable trader banane mein madad karega aur aap ki trading skills mein behteri laye ga. Aaj, H1 aur lower time frames par technical corrections lagane ke baad, aik descending trend channel dekha ja sakta hai. Mera focus abhi pichle descending channel ke trend support par hai jo H1 se H4 time frames tak hai, aur hum iske qareeb pahunch rahe hain. Bunyadi sawal yeh hai ke kya yeh support hold karega aur rebound cause karega ya phir break hoke channel ko invalidate karega. Mujhe umeed hai ke hum is support ko todenge, jahan pehla target 1.09382 hoga hourly chart par, jo H4 timeframe se 61.8% Fibonacci level ko represent karta hai. Yeh sirf mera nazariya hai.
Mujhe samajh nahi aa raha ke kon se sources Fed ke interest rate mein izafa ke imkaan ki baat kar rahe hain. Konsi tabloids yeh report kar rahi hain? Jahan tak Fed ke balance sheet ke tabdiliyon ka taluq hai, yeh mahana tor par update hoti hai, toh pandemic ke douran tabdiliyon ka hona herangi ki baat nahi hai. Market ko maloom hai ke balance mein kaafi izafa ho raha hai.

EUR/USD ke technical analysis ke hisaab se, hum is waqt short-term downward trend dekh rahe hain ek bearish channel ke andar hourly time frame par. Price decline ka immediate target key support level hai 1.0990 par. Lekin, main yeh bhi consider kar raha hoon ke agar breakdown hota hai, toh yeh drop ho kar support level 1.0949 par aa sakta hai, jo daily time frame ke ascending trend channel ke lower boundary ke sath align karta hai.

Aaj ki trading session ke khatam hone mein kuch zyada se zyada aik ghanta baqi hai. Is waqt hum dekh sakte hain ke daily candle aik inverted cross doji pattern bana rahi hai. Jis descending wave ka aaghaz pichle Friday ko hua tha, uske tanazur mein aaj ki candle un speculators ke liye achi nahi hai jo short positions hold kar rahe hain. Yeh wazeh indication hai, agar northern reversal nahi bhi hota, tab bhi south ki halt ka. In points ko dekhte hue, main apne trading plans banaunga. Khusoosan, mujhe umeed hai ke kal kharidaron ki taraf se 1.10500 level ko test karne ki koshish ki jayegi EUR/USD par.

1.1153 level par focus kiya tha aur market mein entry decisions is par banaane ka plan kiya tha. Ab hum 5-minute chart dekhtay hain aur dekhte hain kya hua. Girawat hui, lekin is level par na to koi test hua aur na hi false breakout formation hui. Low volatility ki wajah se koi suitable entry points nahi milay. Phir bhi, doosray half of the day ke liye technical picture ko thora revise kiya EUR/USD mein Long Positions kholne ke liye Germany ka GDP figures economists ki forecasts ke mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon, lekin sirf unsuccessful consolidation ke baad. Main short positions foran rebound par 1.1274 se kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki downward correction ka target rakhte

EUR/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya behas ka mawzoo hai. Forex neural network ke technical algorithm ne yeh potential dikhaya hai ke price resistance level 1.1140 ki taraf upward movement karegi. Bulls kaafi strong lagte hain ke price ko upar dhakelte rahain, jo is scenario ko plausible banata hai. Yeh forecast ek clear upward trajectory ko zahir karta hai, aur agar buyers current resistance range ke ooper position secure kar lete hain, toh ek barqarar upward movement dekhi jaa sakti hai, jo buying ke liye strong forecast ko mazid mustahkam karti hai. Lekin agar bulls apna momentum barqarar rakhne mein nakam hote hain, toh sellers control haasil kar sakte hain. Yeh bhi zaroori hai ke false breakout ka imkaan note kiya jaye, jo aise scenarios mein aam hota hai. Jabke primary outlook successful upward move ki taraf hai, ek alternative scenario bhi mumkin hai. Agar buyers fail karte hain, toh sellers price ko ek significant support level tak le ja sakte hain, isse pehle ke wapas se upside reversal ho.

Eurozone mein, S&P Global ki taraf se preliminary composite Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) ka figure 54.1 tha, jo expected 53.5 se thoda zyada tha, magar pichlay mahine ke 54.3 se kam tha. Positive reading ke bawajood, Germany, jo Eurozone ki sabse bari economy hai, se troubling signs aayi hain. Germany mein business activity doosri martaba musalsal contracted hai, jo initial expectations se zyada hai. Iske ilawa, Euro area mein negotiated wage growth 2024 ke doosray quarter mein 3.55% tak slow hui, jabke pehle quarter mein yeh 4.74% thi. Yeh factors European Central Bank (ECB) ki taraf se is saal do aur rate cuts ke imkaan ko mazid mustahkam karte hain, jo euro ki bullish momentum ko limit kar sakte hain. Doosri taraf, Atlantic ke us paar, USD Index, jo dollar ko chhay major currencies ke against measure karta hai, mein tezi se decline dekha gaya, aur yeh 101.00 ke aas paas aa gaya—jo level saath mahine se zyada ka nahi dekha gaya tha. Yeh girawat ek brief rebound ke baad dekhi gayi, jo qareeban 101.60 tak gaya tha. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ke Jackson Hole Symposium mein recent comments ne market expectations ko mazid mutasir kiya. Powell ne interest rate reductions ki zaroorat ko highlight kiya, aur evolving labor market conditions par concern zahir kiya, aur ek strong job market ko support karne ki zaroorat ko emphasize kiya. Unke statements ne Fed ke readiness ko policy ko economic shifts ke response mein adjust karne ke liye mazid highlight kiya.

Roman Urdu mein:

Price Action Insights: EUR/USD

Aaj hum EUR/USD currency pair ki price action analysis par baat karenge. ECB kal apne Monetary Policy Meeting ki report release karega. ECB aur Fed ne interest rates ko simultaneously lower karne ka faisla kiya hai market disruptions ko minimize karne ke liye. Volatility ke liye, impact 9 points se lekar 101 points tak ho sakta hai, lekin recent market reactions ke mutabiq, volatility upward trend karegi. Previous meeting mein specifics ki lack thi, lekin yeh meeting clarity provide karegi.

Humne do din notable intraday movements dekhe hain, jisse volatility dono directions mein hoga, ultimately growth ko le jayega. Sellers likely upper boundary par pair ko reach hone ka wait kar rahe hain ascending channel ke, phir selling ko more favourable price par karne ke liye. Critical sawal yeh hai, purpose kya hai, aur kis ko benefit hoga? Dollar ko bearish pressure ka samna hoga aur weaken hoga U.S. market ke opening ke saath.




Lekin, yeh mere perspective hai, chart mein dikha hai, jahan long-term sideways movement significant attention kheench raha hai. Hum euro/USD pair ki market situation ko analyze karte hain. Daily chart ko review karne ke baad, maine hourly chart par focus kiya hai. Yahan, humne sell signal receive kiya hai ascending price channel ke lower boundary 1.1119 par breakdown ke baad. Isne corrective decline ko lead kiya, aur analysis ke mutabiq, euro/dollar pair 1.1114 par trade kar raha hai. Technically, pair ko further bearish decline ho sakti hai is level se, potentially 1.1079 par fall kar sakti hai, daily chart ke mutabiq. Lekin, main sell karne se hesitant hoon market sentiment chart ke liye, jo strong bias ko selling ki taraf dikha raha hai. Aisi imbalance ke saath, significant player likely price ko upward push karega, corrective declines ya pullbacks ko buying karke

Roman Urdu mein:

EUR/USD pair ne apne recent upward momentum par build karte hue strong bullish sentiment ko continue kiya hai. Guzarne wale kuch dinon mein, humne daily chart par consistent ascending candles dekhe hain, jahan price movements 60 se 65 pips ke beech mein rahe hain. Is pattern ke mutabiq, main aaj bhi similar performance ki expectation kar raha hoon, jahan pair current level 1.1109 se 1.1169 ki taraf move karega, aur potentially 1.1187 tak bhi pahunch sakta hai aggressive gains ke liye.

Apne trades ko clearer perspective ke saath manage karne ke liye, maine daily chart par focus kiya hai aur patiently next move ka wait kar raha hoon. Yeh possibility hai ki hum European traders ke exit aur American session ke takeover ke waqt higher levels 1.1169 ya 1.1187 par pahunch sakte hain. Lekin, yeh note karna zaroori hai ki hum south ki taraf significant pullback dekh sakte hain FOMC minutes ke release ke waqt 21:00 MSK par. Yeh event game-changer nahi ho sakta hai, lekin yeh temporary strength US dollar ko de sakta hai, jisse EUR/USD ki upward trajectory impact ho sakti hai.





Key level 1.1071 hai. Agar price is level se neeche break karta hai, yeh current bullish outlook ko invalidate karega aur suggest karega ki bearish reversal shuru ho sakta hai. 1.1071 ke break tak, main cautious hoon aur premature bearish trades se avoid kar raha hoon. Agar pullback tonight materialize nahi hota hai, tomorrow lower breakout level northern movement ki continuation ke liye 1.1109 ke aaspaas hoga.

Abhi, mera strategy wait and see ka hai, key levels par close eye rakh kar. Agar bullish trend continue hota hai, hum strong move upward dekh sakte hain, lekin main potential pullback ke liye bhi prepared hoon jo new trading opportunities create kar sakta hai. Stay tuned aur trade wisely

EUR/USD Price Interpretation

EUR/USD currency pair ka price behavior ka tajziya ek aham topic hai. Forex neural network ke technical algorithm ka kehna hai ke price 1.1140 ke resistance level ki taraf upward movement dekh sakti hai. Bulls itne strong lag rahe hain ke upward push ko continue rakh sakte hain, jo is scenario ko plausible banata hai. Ye forecast ek clear upward trajectory ko indicate karta hai, aur agar buyers is current resistance range ke upar position secure kar lete hain, toh hum sustained upward movement dekh sakte hain, jo instrument ko buy karne ka forecast solidify kar sakta hai. Lekin, agar bulls ye upward momentum maintain nahi kar paate, toh sellers control le sakte hain. False breakout ka possibility bhi note karna zaroori hai, jo in scenarios mein aam hota hai. Jab ke primary outlook successful upward move ke taraf hai, ek alternative scenario bhi dekhna chahiye. Agar buyers fail ho jaate hain, toh sellers price ko ek significant support level tak neeche le ja sakte hain phir se upside reversal ke liye.

Eurozone mein, S&P Global se preliminary composite Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) 54.1 report hua hai, jo expected 53.5 se thoda zyada hai lekin pichle mahine ke 54.3 se neeche hai. Overall positive reading ke bawajood, Germany se kuch troubling signs hain, jo Eurozone ki sabse badi economy hai. Germany mein business activity dusre consecutive month ke liye contract hui hai, jo downturn ke initial expectations se zyada hai. Iske ilawa, Euro area mein negotiated wage growth second quarter of 2024 ke liye 3.55% tak slow ho gayi hai, jo first quarter mein 4.74% thi. Ye factors European Central Bank (ECB) se is saal ke baad do aur rate cuts ke chances ko mazid barhate hain, jo euro ki bullish momentum ko limit kar sakte hain. Dusri taraf, USD Index, jo dollar ko chhah major currencies ke against measure karta hai, ne 101.00 ke aas-paas sharp decline dekha hai—a level jo pichle saat mahine se nahi dekha gaya. Ye drop ek chhoti rebound ke baad aayi hai jo lagbhag 101.60 tak gayi thi. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ke recent comments Jackson Hole Symposium mein market expectations ko aur influence kiya hai. Powell ne interest rate reductions ki zaroorat ko highlight kiya, evolving labor market conditions aur robust job market support ke concerns ko bayan kiya. Unki statements ne Fed ke policy adjustments ke readiness ko reinforce kiya hai.

EUR/USD Price Forecast: Technical Outlook

Wall Street ne session ko positive note par khatam kiya, jabkay Greenback (US Dollar) mazid strong raha US Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) mein izafa ke wajah se. August ka Core CPI 0.3% MoM barh gaya, jo ke pichlay month ke 0.2% se zyada hai aur ummedon se behtar hai. Baaqi ke inflation figures, jaise ke annual aur monthly headlines aur yearly core CPI, apni estimate ke mutabiq aaye.

EUR/USD ka decline European Central Bank (ECB) ki monetary policy ke faislay ke intezar mein ruk gaya, jismein ye pair ne daily low 1.1001 ko choo kar foran 1.1010-1.1020 area ki taraf bounce back kiya.

Doosra waja jo EUR/USD par asar andaz hui, woh yeh thi ke money market futures traders ne apni expectations mein kami ki regarding Federal Reserve (Fed) ke agle haftay 50 basis points (bps) ka rate cut karne ki umeed, jo pehle 40% thi, ab 15% ho gayi. 25 bps ke rate cut ki umeed barh kar 66% se 85% ho gayi.

Eurozone (EU) ka economic calendar ECB ka decision ahead of the week feature karega. ECB se expect kiya ja raha hai ke woh 25 bps ka rate cut karega jab Germany ki inflation 1.9% YoY ko hit kar gayi, aur PMI readings bhi economic slowdown ko darsha rahi hain. Is ke bawajood, ECB ke hawks expect kiye ja rahe hain ke woh opposition show karein ge kyun ke kuch inflation components abhi bhi sticky hain.

Forward guidance ke hawalay se, Reuters ke hawalay se sources ne note kiya ke ECB ki monetary policy ke faislay September ke baad ziada complicated ho sakte hain.

Across the pond (America mein), US ka economic calendar Initial Jobless Claims report release karega September 7 tak ke week ke liye, sath hi Producer Price Index (PPI) bhi release hoga.

EUR/USD neutrally biased lag raha hai, lekin ab bhi 1.1000 figure ke upar hai, jo ECB ke decision ke intezar mein hai. Momentum bearish ho gaya hai, jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) mein dekha ja sakta hai, lekin iska slope ab upward ki taraf hai.

Agar EUR/USD September 11 ke peak 1.1054 ko cross karta hai, toh ye 1.1100 mark tak ka move sponsor karega. Doosri taraf, agar pair 1.1000 se neeche girta hai, toh bulls ka pehla defense line 50-day moving average (DMA) ho ga jo ke 1.0967 par hai, uske baad July 17 ka swing high jo support mein tabdeel ho chuka hai 1.0948 par.