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EUR/USD ki Technical Analysis
Euro ne pichlay trading week mai growth resume karne ki koshish ki, magar support nahi mila aur pair range-bound raha. Price 1.1121 ke upper border se wapas 1.1033 ke signal zone ke neeche chali gai. Is tarah expected sustainable growth ka scenario kaam nahi kar saka, magar target area ab bhi workable hai. Saath hi price chart trend zones ke darmiyan move kar raha hai, jo uncertainty ko highlight karta hai.

Aaj ki technical picture ko dekha jaye tou, 4-hour chart per price ko 1.1040 ke neeche achi support mili hai, jab ke stochastic positive signal dikhane ki koshish kar raha hai. Magar simple moving average ab bhi daily price curve ko support kar raha hai. Agar hum 1.1040 ke support level ka clear aur strong break dekhtay hain, tou downtrend ka continuation ho sakta hai, jo price ko 1.0990 aur phir 1.0950 tak le jayega. Agar price consolidation ke zariye 1.1100 ke upar wapas jati hai, tou pair wapas positive trading session mein shamil ho jaye ga aur targets 1.1140 se shuru ho kar upar tak ja sakte hain.



Iss waqt pair mixed trading kar raha hai aur weekly basis par neutral position maintain ki hui hai. Key support area ab bhi pressure mein hai, magar ab tak intact hai, jo price ko extreme limits ke andar rakhta hai, aur yeh upward movement ke liye achi sign hai. Ager price 1.1121 ke level ke upar consolidate karti hai, tou ye upward move ka chance provide karega, jiska target area 1.1283 se 1.1373 ke darmiyan ho ga.

Lekin agar price 1.1033 ke reversal level se neeche girti hai, tou current scenario cancel ho jaye ga.

Kal ka forecast sach sabit hua hai, aur EUR/USD currency pair ab bhi decline kar raha hai niche ke boundary ki taraf jo ke pehle dikhayi gayi thi. Lekin agar aap chart ke left part par dhyan dein, to aap dekh sakte hain ke price ab ek wide order flow zone mein hai, jo kisi specific level par support ban sakta hai aur future mein upward reaction de sakta hai. Filhal, price ne 1.1000 ke poore level par reaction diya hai aur thoda ruk gaya hai. Ab hum intezaar karein ke price niche ke boundary tak girti hai, phir dekhte hain ke aage kaise behave karti hai.

Maine EUR/USD kharidne ka faisla kiya. Raat ko bech diya aur haal hi mein bearish impulse par position band kar di. Maine 200th moving average se kharida, kyunki mujhe lagta hai ke wo isko break nahi kar paayenge. Yeh situation hai ke price thodi gir rahi thi, aur phir moving average ko test karne ke liye tezi se neeche gayi. Mujhe lagta hai ke yeh jaan-bujh kar kiya gaya hai aur ab buyers EUR/USD ko apne control mein le lenge aur price gradually reverse ho jayegi. Main 200 points ke growth ki ummeed kar raha hoon. Yeh distance maximum tak hai, mujhe poora yakin hai ke price bullish trend ko continue karegi. Zyada chances hain ke maximum se current rollback bears ke liye kaafi hona chahiye aur ab EUR/USD trend ki taraf wapas chalega. Overall, jab tak main deal ko hold kar raha hoon, thoda sa drawdown hai, jo ke bilkul normal hai, isliye main bas reversal ka intezaar kar raha hoon.

Certainly! Here is the EUR/USD analysis translated into Roman Urdu:

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EUR/USD Analysis

Daily Timeframe
Chaliye EUR/USD trading instrument ko daily chart par dekhte hain. Is haftay hum dheere dheere gir rahe hain aur price ne pichle haftay ka minimum update kiya hai. Is senior period par wave structure ab bhi upar ki taraf ban raha hai. MACD indicator, halanke yeh upper purchase zone mein hai, apni signal line ke neeche gir raha hai, jo ek correction phase ko indicate karta hai. Mere khayal se, girawat khatam nahi hui hai, price ab bhi mushkil se gir rahi hai; pehle ki growth bahut asaan thi, yeh upar baar baar chal gayi thi. Qareeb aur main target horizontal support level 1.0950 hai jo candle ke closing prices par bana hai. Mera kehna hai ke hum aakhir mein is tak pohnch jayenge; yeh na sirf daily level hai, balke weekly bhi hai. Pichle haftay price ne girawat se upar ki taraf correction banayi aur mirror level 1.1150 tak pohnch gayi, jo ek bohot powerful sales zone hai. Friday ko USA se aayi news par price tezi se upar gayi thi, lekin utni hi tezhi se neeche bhi gir gayi thi. Mera maan na hai ke pichle mahine ke itne zyada growth ke baad, ek downward correction model kam az kam teen waves tak hoga. Agar hum pehli downward wave ke size ko superimpose karain, to price movement kaafi hai 1.0955 level tak pohnchne ke liye jo candle ke closing prices par bana hai. Price aksar aise cycle mein chalti hai jahan pehli wave aur teesri wave ka size qareeb hota hai, aur yeh mukhtalif periods par hota hai, lekin yeh ek pattern hai. Isliye mujhe lagta hai ke yeh girawat yahin se jaari rahegi. Yahan Fibonacci target grid bhi pehli wave par superimpose kiya ja sakta hai. Lekin asal mein, yeh zaroori nahi hai, target ab bhi 1.0950 level hai. Aaj raat se hum 1.1013 support level se rebound kar rahe hain, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke yeh temporary phenomenon hai aur jald hum phir se neeche jaayenge specified target tak. Aaj ki news jo note ki jaani chahiye: 15:30 Moscow time par - USA ka Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) mahine aur saal ke hisaab se. Consumer Price Index (CPI) bhi USA ka mahine aur saal ke hisaab se.

Euro ne trading week ke dauran thori si recovery dikhayi, aur 1.11 level tak pohoncha. Magar, ye movement kafi weak thi aur noisy price action se bhari hui thi. Yeh baat zaroori hai ke jabke Federal Reserve se umeed hai ke wo jald interest rates cut karega, 1.12 ke mark ke thodi upar ek significant resistance hai. Is barrier ko todna kaafi mushkil ho sakta hai, jiske wajah se euro near term mein sideways trade kar sakta hai. Agar market 1.10 level ke neeche break karta hai, toh hum 200-week EMA ka test dekh sakte hain, aur phir 1.09 support level ki taraf move hona mumkin hai.

Doosri taraf, agar euro resistance ko break kar leta hai, toh 1.1240 level ko cross karne ke liye kai attempts lag sakte hain. Ye area is liye important hai kyunki early 2022 mein yahan se ek bara sell-off hua tha. Federal Reserve aur European Central Bank ke interest rate decisions se market ki movement kaafi had tak in policies ke results par depend karegi. Federal Reserve se expected rate cuts ab tak clear nahi hain, aur traders September ke decision ke baad Jerome Powell ke press conference ko ghor se dekh rahe honge.




Filhaal, euro apne trading range ke upar ke qareeb hai, jo kai saal se chali aa rahi hai. Maujooda technical aur fundamental factors ko dekhte hue, koi bhi significant gain tab tak mushkil hai jab tak economic conditions ya policies mein koi bara shift nahi hota. Abhi ke liye, euro resistance levels aur cautious market sentiment ki wajah se struggle karta rahega.

EUR/USD

Aaj hum EUR/USD currency pair ki price movement ka gehra analysis kar rahe hain. Euro/dollar pair dheere dheere niche ja raha hai aur 1.10 ke mark ke qareeb aane wala hai. Aaj ke din United States se aayi economic statistics, jisme manufacturing sector ka PMI significant tor par kam hua, ke baad yeh decline lamba bhi ho sakta hai. Yeh bhi dekhne ko mil raha hai ke US economy ke growth rate aur manufacturing sector ki halat mein kuch imbalance hai, jo Federal Reserve ko refinancing rate ko 25 basis points se zyada kam karne ka jazba kam kar sakta hai. Yeh woh factor hai jo filhal dollar ke qeematon par positive asar daal sakta hai. Bears abhi bhi market se hatenge nahi aur EUR/USD ko niche le jaane ka rukh jari rakhenge. Euro/dollar filhal 1.1032 par trade kar raha hai, aur technically, yeh decline kaafi likely lag raha hai. Asia session mein market ne wapas 1.1070 ke level ko test kiya, breakdown ke baad wapas growth ki taraf dekhne ka imkaan hai.

Four-hour chart par bhi situation zyada nahi badli; quotes abhi bhi smoothly bearish direction mein move kar rahe hain, aur aaj ki US statistics ne is decline ko roknay mein madad nahi ki. Main ab bhi expect karta hoon ke price 1.1000 ka round level test karega, jo Fibonacci grid ke 38.2% level ke mutabiq hai. Agar quotes is level ke neeche break karti hain, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price aur zyada neeche jaye aur Fibonacci grid ke average border, jo 1.0938 ke qareeb hai, tak pohonche.




Daily chart ke baad ab main 30-minute time frame ko dekhna chahta hoon. Pehle kaafi strong downward price channel tha, jis mein euro/dollar pair kaafi arsa trade karta raha. Ab hum dekh rahe hain ke bearish price channel break ho chuka hai, aur EUR/USD ne 1.1065 ki resistance line ko break kar liya tha, magar strong US economic data ke release ke baad EUR/USD pair ka decline jari raha.

EUR/USD

Yeh pair haal hi mein 1.1060 ke round-level support se ek notable comeback kar chuka hai. Is rebound ka matlab hai ke investors Euro ko US Dollar ke muqable mein mazid barhawa denay ki koshish kar rahe hain. Magar is resurgence ke bawajood, Euro ab bhi doosri bari currencies ke muqable mein peeche hai kyun ke market sentiment mein ehtiyaat barh raha hai. Yeh tajziya hai ke European Central Bank (ECB) September mein aik dafa phir interest rates kam kar sakta hai, jo Euro ki underperformance ka ek bara sabab hai.

US Economic Kamzori aur ECB ke Esharay EUR/USD Outlook ko Tashkeel De Rahe Hain

Haal hi mein aayi data se yeh pata chala hai ke US mein job growth March ke end tak pehle ke estimation se kaafi kamzor thi. Iske ilawa, US Weekly Initial Jobless Claims mein izafa ka matlab hai ke labor market thanda ho raha hai. Saath hi, US Manufacturing PMI mein girawat se yeh pata chalta hai ke iqtisadiyat mein slowdowns aa rahe hain. Yeh tamam factors mil kar market mein yeh speculation barhane ka sabab ban rahe hain ke Federal Reserve (Fed) September tak apne rate-cutting cycle ka aghaz kar sakta hai. Halaanke USD ne apne saal ke lowest point se rebound kiya hai, lekin is recovery par US ki broader economic concerns ka saya hai, jis se EUR/USD pair ko kuch support mil raha hai, chahe Eurozone PMI data mix raha.

ECB ke July ke policy meeting ke minutes se yeh maloom hota hai ke September ki meeting ek moqe ka waqt mana ja raha hai ta ke monetary policy restrictions ka jaiza liya ja sake. ECB Governing Council ke member Martins Kazaks ne yeh yaqeen dilaaya ke 2% inflation target hasil karna mumkin hai, magar saath hi woh iqtisadi uncertainty ka iqrar karte hain. Unhone September mein doosra interest rate cut discuss karne ke liye tayyari bhi zahir ki. Is wajah se EUR/USD mein agar upward movement aati hai, toh yeh resistance ka samna kar sakta hai, lekin Greenback ke bearish sentiment se Euro ko ab bhi support mil sakta hai.

Euro ke Mazboot August ke Gains ke Baawajood Pullback ka Khatar




Yeh pair apni strongest single-month performance dekh raha hai November 2022 ke baad, jisme August mein Euro mein 3.1% se zyada ka izafa hua. Halaanke Friday ko ek technical pullback aya, Euro ne apni resilience dikhayi, chaar consecutive hafton tak gains hasil kiye aur 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo 1.1089 par hai, us se kaafi ooper trade kar raha hai. Yeh performance Euro ki strength ko highlight karti hai, chaahe market mein volatility bhi ho.

Magar, bullish trend ke bawajood, bearish pullback ka khatar ab bhi mojood hai. Pair ka current momentum challenges ka samna kar sakta hai, aur agar upward drive ka josh kam ho gaya, toh price 20-day EMA jo 1.1103 par hai, us taraf gir sakti hai. Traders ko ehtiyaat baratni chahiye aur reversal ya consolidation ke asaar dekhne chahiye.

EUR/USD

EUR/USD pair ne haftay ke aakhir mein apni upward momentum mein rukawat dekhi, aur Wednesday ko hasil ki gayi pehle wali high tak pohanchne mein nakam raha. Halaanke recent mein US dollar (USD) ki sell-off hui, spot price ab bhi 1.1125 level ke upar hai. Euro ko support dene wala aik ahem factor kamzor hota US labor market hai. Wednesday ko release hone wali data ne dikhaya ke March mein US employment growth initial estimates se kaafi kam thi. Saath hi, berozgar afrad ki tadaad mein izafa labor market ke cooling ki nishani hai, jo iqtisadi slowdown ke hawalay se concerns ko barha rahi hai. Is se yeh imkaan barh gaya hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) September mein interest rate cut karega, jo euro ke liye supportive hai.

Kamzor US dollar ne EUR/USD ko thoda support diya hai, magar Eurozone ke Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data ka mix result bullish sentiment ko thanda kar raha hai. Eurozone ka preliminary PMI expectations se kam raha, halaanke yeh ab bhi 50 ke level se upar hai, jo expansion ka ishara hai. Magar Germany, jo Eurozone ki sab se bari iqtisadiat hai, doosre month bhi contraction face kar raha hai. Is ke ilawa, eurozone mein slow wage growth EUR/USD pair ki significant appreciation ki potential ko limit kar sakti hai. European Central Bank (ECB) ki July policy meeting ne is baat ki taraf ishara diya.

Abhi tak, market mein bearish forces dominate kar rahi hain, aur bulls se zyada resistance nazar nahi aa raha, jis se short positions lene ka faida ho sakta hai. Maine apne profits ko sab se qareebi 1.11385 support level par stop karne ka faisla kiya, taake future gains ko risk na kiya jaye. 1.11888 ka level stop loss ke qareeb hoga. Sellers ka momentum ab bhi barh raha hai, aur 1.11385 ka level break ho chuka hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke market ki surat e haal ab bhi bearish hai. Halanki, meri nazar mein EUR-USD ke liye growth ka silsila barqarar rahega. Ek dafa phir yeh rule lagta hai: "Rumors par buy karo, facts par sell karo." September mein rate kam hoga, is mein mujhe shak nahi, sawal sirf yeh hai ke kitna? Zyada imkaan yeh hai ke 25 points tak hoga. Lambi muddat ke inflation ke forecasts yeh dikhate hain ke yeh 2% tak gir sakta hai.




Aakhri baat yaad rakhni chahiye ke guzashta haftay revised NFP statistics aayi thi, aur wahan poore saal mein published data ke muqable mein 800K jobs ka reduction hua, yani ke labor market ka haal acha nahi hai. Halanki, correction ke natayij mein abhi yeh decline bohat ahista ho raha hai. Mera khayal hai ke hum jald hi ek naye growth phase mein dakhil honge aur 12th figure tak mazid barhawa hoga. Main 1.1230 ke qareeb sell karne ke liye tayar rahunga.

EUR/USD market ka position upward trend ko barqarar rakhta hai, khaaskar jab ise four-hour aur daily time frames mein analyze kiya jaye. Main weekly chart ka jaiza lene ka plan bana raha hoon taake dekh sakoon ke ascending channel ka lower boundary kahan ho sakta hai. Yeh boundary 1.0999 ke support level ke qareeb ho sakta hai, jahan ek notable bearish correction ho sakta hai, jo un traders ke liye entry points ka moqa dega jo continued upward movement se faida uthana chahte hain.

EURUSD dusre din ke liye niche trade kar rahi hai aur blue moving average ke neeche wapas aa gayi hai chaar ghante ke chart par, jo ke continued decline ka ishara hai, aur support 1.0877 par mil raha hai. Is measure par poora bharosa nahi hai. Indicators already bohot strong oversold conditions dikhate hain, aur bulls ke market mein wapas aane ki possibility ko nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Isliye, agar quotes 1.0877 level ke neeche rehti hain, to main downward trend ke continue hone ki ummeed karta hoon. Doosri scenario ko bhi nahi bhoolna chahiye, agar quotes 1.0927 resistance ke upar wapas aati hain, to main long-term rise aur ek aur uchaai ki ummeed karta hoon.
EUR/USD pair taqatwar bullish trends ka dikhawa kar raha hai. Yeh behad nichay 1.1000 ke levels se tezi se ubhar raha hai, chand waqton ke liye 1.0950 se oopar chala gaya hai. Pair ne 200-din EMA par 1.0826 se bhi guzar gaya hai, jo taqatwar short-term bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Yeh technical tor par breakthrough yeh darust karta hai ke upri trend jari reh sakta hai, traders resistance levels aur potential breakout points ko qareeb se nigrani me rakhte hue.
Ikhtisar mein, Euro ke US Dollar ke muqable mein haal ki quwwat ko kamzor US economic indicators aur European markets mein itminani sentiment ka milaap mana jata hai. Jab EUR/USD pair ahem resistance levels ke qareeb pounchega, market participants qareeb aanay wale economic data aur geopolitical developments ko nigrani me rakhtay hue is currency pair ke mustaqbil ke harkaton par asar dalne wale cheezon ka tawaju se intezar karenge.
Iske ilawa, technical analysis ke context mein, yeh scenario naye participants ko bhi attract kar sakta hai jo pehle cautious ya bullish trend ke confirmation ka wait kar rahe the. In technical indicators ka alignment unhe confirmation data hai, jo ek stronger conviction offer karta hai ke uptrend sustainable hai. Yeh increased participation bullish momentum ko further fuel kar sakta hai, jise naye buyers existing upward pressure ko add karte hain.
Summary yeh hai ke price ka 100-period SMA ke upar hona weekly chart par, aur positive oscillator readings ke sath, currency pair ke liye strong bullish momentum ka indication hai. Yeh technical setup yeh darshata hai ke upward pressure likely hai ke continue rahega, kyunki yeh price action aur momentum indicators dono ke sath well-supported trend ko reflect karta hai. Traders aur investors isse bullish signal ke roop mein dekhenge, jo continued buying aur near term mein further price appreciation ki taraf le ja sakta hai
EUR/USD ke upar jane ke chances abhi bhi hain. Iske ilawa, white kumo penetrate ho chuki hai aur iska color brown mein tabdeel ho gaya hai, jo yeh bhi indicate karta hai ke buyer ka pressure zyada ho raha hai. Lekin candle ke shoulder area mein rukne se yeh bhi mumkin hai ke yeh dono lines cross kar jayein aur EUR/USD phir se neeche gir jaye.
Stochastic indicator se bhi yeh idea milta hai ke EUR/USD overbought condition mein hai, kyunki line ne h1 timeframe par 80 level ko penetrate kar liya hai. Lekin abhi ke liye yeh line upar ki taraf hai, chahe condition overbought hi kyu na ho. Filhaal koi neeche jane ke signs nazar nahi aa rahe. Neeche girne ki condition tab hogi jab yeh line neeche ki taraf move karegi

Dmitry, weekend mubarak! Agar meri samajh sahi hai, to aapka expectation hai ke price 1.1169 se niche jayegi. Mujhe nahi pata ke price itni high tak ja sakti hai ya nahi. Mera maanna hai ke hamari currency pair 1.1120–1.1140 tak upar ja sakti hai, jaisa ke maine pehle predict kiya tha. Maine 1.1120 se pending sale order place kiya tha. Ab, agreement thoda positive hai. Chuki lot choti hai, agar price significantly barh bhi jaye—jaise weekly maximum se upar—mujhe itna concern nahi hoga.
Asset ko reduce karna main idea hai. Main 1.0822 pe daily channel ka lower border par trade ko hold karunga. Maan leta hoon ke agar price channel ke lower edge tak girti hai, to yeh thodi movement dekhne ko milegi aur aur bhi choti ho sakti hai. Filhal, daily chart ka moving average green hai, jo buyers ko sellers se upar indicate karta hai. Lekin, moving average eventually sellers ki superiority ko highlight karne lagayegi.

Agar ek single sale breakeven stop par end hoti hai to theek hai. Lekin, maine kal EUR/USD ko 1.1108 se ek baar phir becha, aur is baar bhi zyada shorts breakeven par end hue. CME ne Friday, September 6 ke liye Volatility Range extend kiya hai aur dono non-farm payrolls aur unemployment ki preparation mein hai.

Technical indicators bhi is view ko support karte hain ke pair ek substantial move ke qareeb ho sakti hai. 4-hour chart fluctuation ko major support aur resistance levels ke beech dikhata hai, jahan pair mukhtalif liquidity zones aur fair value gaps (FVGs) se guzarti hai. Key levels jaise 1.1050 ke around multiple FVGs ki maujoodgi yeh suggest karti hai ke market abhi recent developments ke sath adjust ho rahi hai aur ek pronounced directional move ke liye tayaar ho sakti hai.

Technical factors ke sath-sath fundamental aspects bhi EUR/USD ke trajectory ko shape karne mein crucial role play karte hain. Eurozone aur U.S. mein recent developments ne market sentiment ko influence kiya hai. European Central Bank (ECB) ne cautious stance rakha hai jab ke Federal Reserve ne zyada dovish stance adopt kiya hai. Monetary policy expectations ke is divergence ne current market dynamics ko contribute kiya hai, jahan euro ne zyada strength gain kiya hai amid a more accommodating Fed outlook.

Aage chal kar, EUR/USD pair ka behavior upcoming economic data aur geopolitical developments se influence hoga. Significant movement ka potential in factors ke interplay par depend karega. Agar pair key resistance 1.1100 ko break kar sakti hai aur is level ke upar sustain kar sakti hai, to yeh further upward movement ka signal ho sakta hai, jo 1.1200 ya usse upar test kar sakta hai. Conversely, agar support levels, khaaskar 1.1000, ke upar hold nahi karte, to deeper retracement ka indication mil sakta hai, aur lower levels jaise 1.0900 tak revisit hone ka possibility hai.

EUR/USD pair ne Monday ko kaafi interesting trading ki. Pure din ke doran downward movement dekhi gayi, lekin koi macroeconomic ya fundamental backdrop nahi tha. Phir bhi, price recent local lows se neeche nahi gayi. Ek naya descending trend line US dollar ke rise ko support kar raha tha. Lekin hum sab jante hain ke koi bhi macroeconomic report dollar ko girane ka sabab ban sakti hai. Is hafte ek super-important inflation report publish honi hai. Market is par kaise react karegi, yeh ek bara mystery hai. Federal Reserve ke September 18 ko kya actions honge aur 2024 ke end tak kya hoga, yeh bhi ek bara mystery hai. Hum kehna chahte hain ke dollar abhi bhi apni decline resume kar sakta hai kyunke market participants ya market makers apni inflated aur "ultra-dovish" expectations ko Fed ke monetary policy ke liye continue kar sakte hain.
Technical perspective se, agar price Ichimoku indicator lines aur trend line ke neeche hai, toh sirf downward movement expect ki ja sakti hai. Price asani se Tuesday-Wednesday ko Kijun-sen line tak correct kar sakti hai aur phir gir sakti hai. Market ne already 100% Fed ke September mein rate cut ko price in kar liya hai.

Monday ko sirf ek trading signal bana. Price ne overnight 1.1092 ke level se bounce kiya, aur Kijun-sen line ne 40 pips ke aas-paas gir gaya. European trading session ke opening par, price formation point se zyada door nahi gayi, toh short positions open ki ja sakti hain. Nearest target level 1.1006 tak nahi pohncha, isliye trades ko ya toh shaam ko manually close karna pada ya phir is hafte target ke hit hone ke liye chhodna pada. Hourly time frame par, EUR/USD pair ab finally baseless upward trend ko end karne ka ek real chance rakhta hai. Ek naya downtrend establish ho gaya hai. Fed ki meeting ke ek hafte aur dheere se US dollar ki rampant selling resume ho sakti hai, lekin ab kam se kam technical grounds hain jo dollar ke girne ki umeed dikhate hain. Price Ichimoku indicator line ke neeche hai, jo US dollar ke liye kuch prospects open karta hai.

September 10 ke liye, hum trading ke liye following levels highlight karte hain: 1.0658-1.0669, 1.0757, 1.0797, 1.0843, 1.0889, 1.0935, 1.1006, 1.1092, 1.1137, 1.1185, 1.1234, 1.1274, aur Senkou Span B (1.1122) aur Kijun-sen (1.1090) lines. Ichimoku indicator lines din ke doran move kar sakti hain, isliye trading signals identify karte waqt yeh zaroor consider karna chahiye. Stop Loss ko 15 pips move hone ke baad break even par set karein. Yeh aapko potential losses se bachayega agar signal galat ho.

Monday ko US mein koi significant events ya releases nahi hain, aur Germany August ke inflation ka second estimate release karega. Yeh second estimate pehle se zyada different hone ki ummeed nahi hai, isliye is report par strong market reaction expect nahi hai. Pair ko

Aaj hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price action analysis par baat karenge. Main mid-to-long term mein U.S. dollar ke khasa kamzor hone ki umeed karta hoon; lekin mujhe lagta hai ke woh girne se pehle aik aakhri surge kar sakta hai. Kya aapne yeh socha hai ke agar price 1.1025 pe release ki jaye, toh aik unstoppable bear run shuru ho sakta hai? Hafte ke pehle hissa mein, ECB meeting ke waja se euro par pressure aane ke imkaan hain, khaaskar jab ke interest rate cut abhi tak expect ki ja rahi hai, magar price ne abhi response nahi diya. Bohat kuch U.S. inflation data par bhi munhasir hoga. Shayad aap fundamentals par tawajjo na dete ho, lekin yeh analysis aglay 1.4 haftay mein, September 17 se shuru, bohat ahm hoga. Hamesha soch samajh kar trade karein, lekin Fed aur ECB policies mein tabdeeliyan bhi barabar zaroori hain. Mujhe umeed hai ke is pair ki price gir kar kam az kam mere target 1.0859 tak pohanchay gi.

Mid-term outlook ko dekhte hue abhi khareedna sirf us surat mein moazoon lagta hai, jab potential 8th figure ke aas paas ho. Yeh baat bilkul theek hai ke intraday kuch bhi ho sakta hai. Agar aap European market trends se hum aahang hain, toh sham ka range 1.1069-1.1089 thoda raahnuma sabit ho sakta hai. Yeh range shayad itni oonchi na ho, lekin news ke baad isko zaroor madde nazar rakhna chahiye. Is range ke ooper buying theek hai; neechay selling behtar rahegi. EUR/USD pair ke liye mujhe bhi lagta hai ke selling zaida moazoon hai, kyun ke technical indicators H1 aur H4 charts par bearish hain, aur Friday se baqi rehne wali movement ko bhi zahir kar rahe hain. Monday ko koi solid foundation nahi hai jo price ko achanak upar karay, toh technical analysis dominate kar sakti hai. Opening par, main 1.0165 ke aas paas level ko dekh raha hoon, aur short-term target 1.1024 feasible lag raha hai, jo k jaldi poora ho sakta hai. Yeh haqeeqat mein mumkin hai ke hum technically level 10 ke qareeb pohanch jaayein.
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EUR/USD ne Tuesday ke European session ke dauran 1.1080 mark ko todne mein nakami ke baad phir se girawat dekhi. US dollar index, jo dollar ki value ko chhay doosri currencies ke muqablay mein maapta hai, 101.80 ke qareeb trade ho raha tha kyun ke major currency pairs gir rahe the aur greenback apni upward trend ko barhate hue do haftay ke high ki taraf badh raha tha. August ke liye non-farm payrolls (NFP) data ne dikhaya ke US dollar kharidari ke nishana bana. Investors ab labor market data ka dhyan rakh rahe hain taake Federal Reserve ke September economic statement mein potential actions ko dekha ja sake. European trading day ke dauran, EUR/USD ne lagbhag 1.1050 tak girawat dekhi. Thursday ko August ke liye US ADP employment change 145,000 tak jump karne ki umeed hai, jabke pichle mahine ye 122,000 tha; magar is hafte ka main US labor force data Friday ko release hone wala NFP data hai.
European Central Bank (ECB) se is mahine leisure quotations kam hone ki umeed hai, jo base currency pair par zordaar pressure bana raha hai jab euro ek baar phir se barh raha hai. Haal hi mein gains 1.1050 par stable hain. Labor Day ke din US markets band hone ki wajah se trading activity kam thi aur markets ne Monday ko dobara shuru kiya. Long weekend ke baad, US markets Tuesday ko trading resume karenge, jisme US labor data pe khaas dhyan diya jayega jo hafte ke dauran release hoga. Monday ko EUR/USD ka trading erratic raha aur yeh 1.1100 ke usual resistance level ke neeche band hua. Sab short-to-long-term exponential moving averages (EMAs) upar ki taraf hain, isliye near-term outlook major currency pairs ke liye abhi bhi positive hai. Positive tareeqe se, euro bulls apne ultimate targets ko 1.1200 ke present high aur July 2023 ke high 1.1275 tak pahunchane ki umeed rakhte hain. Is dauran, girawat psychological support 1.1000 ke qareeb supported rehne ki umeed hai.

EURUSD dusre din ke liye niche trade kar rahi hai aur blue moving average ke neeche wapas aa gayi hai chaar ghante ke chart par, jo ke continued decline ka ishara hai, aur support 1.0877 par mil raha hai. Is measure par poora bharosa nahi hai. Indicators already bohot strong oversold conditions dikhate hain, aur bulls ke market mein wapas aane ki possibility ko nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Isliye, agar quotes 1.0877 level ke neeche rehti hain, to main downward trend ke continue hone ki ummeed karta hoon. Doosri scenario ko bhi nahi bhoolna chahiye, agar quotes 1.0927 resistance ke upar wapas aati hain, to main long-term rise aur ek aur uchaai ki ummeed karta hoon.
EUR/USD pair taqatwar bullish trends ka dikhawa kar raha hai. Yeh behad nichay 1.1000 ke levels se tezi se ubhar raha hai, chand waqton ke liye 1.0950 se oopar chala gaya hai. Pair ne 200-din EMA par 1.0826 se bhi guzar gaya hai, jo taqatwar short-term bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Yeh technical tor par breakthrough yeh darust karta hai ke upri trend jari reh sakta hai, traders resistance levels aur potential breakout points ko qareeb se nigrani me rakhte hue.
Ikhtisar mein, Euro ke US Dollar ke muqable mein haal ki quwwat ko kamzor US economic indicators aur European markets mein itminani sentiment ka milaap mana jata hai. Jab EUR/USD pair ahem resistance levels ke qareeb pounchega, market participants qareeb aanay wale economic data aur geopolitical developments ko nigrani me rakhtay hue is currency pair ke mustaqbil ke harkaton par asar dalne wale cheezon ka tawaju se intezar karenge.
Iske ilawa, technical analysis ke context mein, yeh scenario naye participants ko bhi attract kar sakta hai jo pehle cautious ya bullish trend ke confirmation ka wait kar rahe the. In technical indicators ka alignment unhe confirmation data hai, jo ek stronger conviction offer karta hai ke uptrend sustainable hai. Yeh increased participation bullish momentum ko further fuel kar sakta hai, jise naye buyers existing upward pressure ko add karte hain.
Summary yeh hai ke price ka 100-period SMA ke upar hona weekly chart par, aur positive oscillator readings ke sath, currency pair ke liye strong bullish momentum ka indication hai. Yeh technical setup yeh darshata hai ke upward pressure likely hai ke continue rahega, kyunki yeh price action aur momentum indicators dono ke sath well-supported trend ko reflect karta hai. Traders aur investors isse bullish signal ke roop mein dekhenge, jo continued buying aur near term mein further price appreciation ki taraf le ja sakta hai
EUR/USD ke upar jane ke chances abhi bhi hain. Iske ilawa, white kumo penetrate ho chuki hai aur iska color brown mein tabdeel ho gaya hai, jo yeh bhi indicate karta hai ke buyer ka pressure zyada ho raha hai. Lekin candle ke shoulder area mein rukne se yeh bhi mumkin hai ke yeh dono lines cross kar jayein aur EUR/USD phir se neeche gir jaye.
Stochastic indicator se bhi yeh idea milta hai ke EUR/USD overbought condition mein hai, kyunki line ne h1 timeframe par 80 level ko penetrate kar liya hai. Lekin abhi ke liye yeh line upar ki taraf hai, chahe condition overbought hi kyu na ho. Filhaal koi neeche jane ke signs nazar nahi aa rahe. Neeche girne ki condition tab hogi jab yeh line neeche ki taraf move karegi

Euro Ka Halat aur EUR/USD Ka Jaiza
Euro ko major currencies ke muqable mein kamzoor hotay hue dekha gaya hai, jisse currency pair mein Wednesday ki New York trading session ke dauran 1.1055 ke recent highs se kafi girawat hui hai. Market sentiment mein European Central Bank (ECB) ke taraf se September mein ek aur interest rate cut ki umeed ke wajah se bohot asar para hai. Jaise jaise inflation rates girti ja rahi hain, yeh umeed aur mazid barh gayi hai ke ECB ka rate-cutting cycle is maheene ke baad bhi jari rahega. Filhaal, spot price 1.1016 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai.

ECB ke mazeed interest rate faislay ko samajhne ke liye, investors German aur Eurozone ke Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) ke August ke data par nazar rakhain ge. Yeh figures Thursday aur Friday ko release hongay. Analysts yeh umeed kar rahe hain ke Eurozone ka annual headline HICP, jo ke overall inflation ko napta hai, 2.3% tak gir jaye ga, jab ke core HICP, jo ke volatile items ko exclude karta hai, 2.8% tak moderate hone ki umeed hai.

EUR/USD ke Fundamentals:

Market mein ECB ke mazeed interest rate cuts ki umeed barh gayi hai Eurozone ke economic outlook ke hawale se barhati hui uncertainties aur wage growth mein slow down ki wajah se. August mein Eurozone ke economic activity mein ek achanak izafa dekhne ko mila, jo flash HCOB PMI report ke mutabiq tha. Lekin yeh izafa ziada ter France mein barhti hui demand ki wajah se tha, jo ke Paris Olympics se mutaliq hai. Economists isay ek temporary boost samajhte hain, na ke koi bunyadi tabdeeli.

ECB ke Chief Economist Philip Lane ne JH Symposium mein Saturday ko monetary policy ke zarurat ko highlight kiya. Lane ne yeh tasleem kiya ke inflation ke khilaf kafi progress hui hai, lekin lambi muddat ke liye kamiyabi hasil karna abhi bhi uncertain hai. Un ke comments ne yeh bataya ke ECB ko inflationary pressures ke sath deal karna aur market ke expectations ko manage karna abhi bhi ek challenge hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Wednesday ko EUR/USD pair 1.1010 level se neeche gir gaya, jab buyers ko upward momentum barqarar rakhne mein mushkil hui. Pair abhi 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar 1.0962 par trade kar raha hai, lekin agar girawat jari rehti hai toh yeh price 20-day EMA ke qareeb, jo ke 1.1050 par hai, tak wapas aa sakta hai. EUR/USD buyers ke liye resistance ka samna 14-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) par 1.1026 ke qareeb ho sakta hai.

Technicals Ka Jaiza:

Yeh pair ab 1.1000 ke ahm psychological level ke breach hone ke khatre mein hai. MACD aur RSI jaise technical indicators ek bearish outlook ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. Agar yeh downward momentum jari rehti hai, toh traders ko apni positions ko dobara evaluate karna ho ga aur possible reversals ke liye hoshiyar rehna ho ga.

Euro Ka Halat aur EUR/USD Ka Jaiza
Euro ko major currencies ke muqable mein kamzoor hotay hue dekha gaya hai, jisse currency pair mein Wednesday ki New York trading session ke dauran 1.1055 ke recent highs se kafi girawat hui hai. Market sentiment mein European Central Bank (ECB) ke taraf se September mein ek aur interest rate cut ki umeed ke wajah se bohot asar para hai. Jaise jaise inflation rates girti ja rahi hain, yeh umeed aur mazid barh gayi hai ke ECB ka rate-cutting cycle is maheene ke baad bhi jari rahega. Filhaal, spot price 1.1016 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai.

ECB ke mazeed interest rate faislay ko samajhne ke liye, investors German aur Eurozone ke Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) ke August ke data par nazar rakhain ge. Yeh figures Thursday aur Friday ko release hongay. Analysts yeh umeed kar rahe hain ke Eurozone ka annual headline HICP, jo ke overall inflation ko napta hai, 2.3% tak gir jaye ga, jab ke core HICP, jo ke volatile items ko exclude karta hai, 2.8% tak moderate hone ki umeed hai.

EUR/USD ke Fundamentals:

Market mein ECB ke mazeed interest rate cuts ki umeed barh gayi hai Eurozone ke economic outlook ke hawale se barhati hui uncertainties aur wage growth mein slow down ki wajah se. August mein Eurozone ke economic activity mein ek achanak izafa dekhne ko mila, jo flash HCOB PMI report ke mutabiq tha. Lekin yeh izafa ziada ter France mein barhti hui demand ki wajah se tha, jo ke Paris Olympics se mutaliq hai. Economists isay ek temporary boost samajhte hain, na ke koi bunyadi tabdeeli.

ECB ke Chief Economist Philip Lane ne JH Symposium mein Saturday ko monetary policy ke zarurat ko highlight kiya. Lane ne yeh tasleem kiya ke inflation ke khilaf kafi progress hui hai, lekin lambi muddat ke liye kamiyabi hasil karna abhi bhi uncertain hai. Un ke comments ne yeh bataya ke ECB ko inflationary pressures ke sath deal karna aur market ke expectations ko manage karna abhi bhi ek challenge hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Wednesday ko EUR/USD pair 1.1010 level se neeche gir gaya, jab buyers ko upward momentum barqarar rakhne mein mushkil hui. Pair abhi 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar 1.0962 par trade kar raha hai, lekin agar girawat jari rehti hai toh yeh price 20-day EMA ke qareeb, jo ke 1.1050 par hai, tak wapas aa sakta hai. EUR/USD buyers ke liye resistance ka samna 14-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) par 1.1026 ke qareeb ho sakta hai.

Technicals Ka Jaiza:

Yeh pair ab 1.1000 ke ahm psychological level ke breach hone ke khatre mein hai. MACD aur RSI jaise technical indicators ek bearish outlook ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. Agar yeh downward momentum jari rehti hai, toh traders ko apni positions ko dobara evaluate karna ho ga aur possible reversals ke liye hoshiyar rehna ho ga.