یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

EUR/USD pair ne Wednesday ko kya kiya? Yeh apne upward movement ko continue kiya. Din bhar mein, sirf ek report publish hui thi Nonfarm Payrolls ki annual revision ke bare mein, jo ki forecasts se bhi worse nikli. Asal mein, agar yeh expected se better bhi hoti, toh dollar phir bhi fall karta. Monday aur Tuesday ko, dollar ko macroeconomic backdrop ki zaroorat nahi thi apne decline ko sustain karne ke liye. Toh, yeh kehna mushkil nahi hai ki U.S. labor market ke ek aur weak report ne U.S. currency ko further fall kar diya. Lekin, U.S. dollar daily fall raha hai, regardless of these reports, aur correct bhi nahi kar pa raha hai.

Nonfarm Payrolls report previously published reports ki correction nahi hai; yeh sirf annual figure ki adjustment hai. Market ne pehle weaker monthly reports ko account kiya, phir annual one ko, jo ki essentially same data ko reflect karta hai. Abhi traders ko sirf ek sawal puchna chahiye ki yeh relentless rise kab tak continue karega. Upside par trading easy, simple, aur convenient lagta hai, lekin sirf first glance par, kyunki traders likely samajhte hain ki euro almost out of the blue rise kar raha hai. Isliye, yeh movement kisi bhi moment par end ho sakta hai. Currency ko buy karna jab aapko nahi pata ki yeh kyun rise kar raha hai, yeh pleasant task nahi hai. Phir bhi, uptrend ke ending ke signs nahi hain, price continue rise kar sakti hai 1.1185 aur 1.1234 ke targets ke sath.

Wednesday ko, sirf ek trading signal forma hua - U.S. trading session mein 1.1137 level surpass hua. Din ke end par, euro sirf 15 pips rise kiya, lekin volatility currently low hai, aur movement one-sided hai. Yeh trade Thursday tak hold ki ja sakti hai 1.1185 ke target ke sath.

EUR/USD hourly time frame mein steady aur measured upward movement sustain kar raha hai. Last week, new U.S. inflation reports ne market ko dollar ko sell karne ka ek aur reason diya. Is week, market Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell se dovish rhetoric expect kar raha hai. Market har available opportunity ko seize kar raha hai dollar ko sell karne ke liye. Ab humare paas do ascending trendlines hain, jo ki euro ko support kar rahe hain. General mein, koi bhi indicators currently suggest nahi kar rahe hain ki uptrend end ho raha ha

EUR/USD ka next target strong seller supply resistance area 1.1245-1.1250 tak pohnch sakta hai. Moving Average ko trend strength monitor karne ke liye use karna bohat effective strategy hai, especially jab resistance aur support levels ko identify karna ho. Pending order buy stop

H4 timeframe par market mapping ke natayij ke mutabiq jo mene banaye hain, yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke buyers ne 1.1040 ke defense level ko kamiyabi se tor diya hai. Agar hum market ko dekhein, to kam az kam EUR/USD currency pair ke mazeed upar janay ka imkaan hai. Iss hafte market ab tak bullish trend dikhata hai jo ke ek wide range ke saath niche se correction kar raha hai. Juma raat tak ke movement ko dekhein to lagta hai ke market abhi tak bullish direction mein chal raha hai, halan ke kal raat seller's ki taraf se kuch pressure aaya tha jisme price 1.1066 tak gir gaya tha, lekin ab hume sirf upar ke movement ka intezar hai jab tak ke price 1.1125 level ko chhoo nahi leta. Agar price is level ko torne mein kamiyab hota hai, to andaza lagaya ja raha hai ke trend agle chand dinon tak barhne ka potential rakhta hai.

MACD indicator par histogram bar jo ke zero level ke upar aane mein kamiyab hua hai, yeh market mein ab tak buyers ka control dikhata hai. Hum akhri chand hafton ke trading sessions mein dekh sakte hain ke price movement ab tak upar jaane mein kamiyab rahi hai. Mera khayal hai ke aakhri market trend ke mutabiq abhi bhi bullish potential mojood hai. Upar di gayi graph mein dekha ja sakta hai ke candlestick position ab tak 1.1050 ke level ke upar aram se khel raha hai, jo mere mutabiq ek indication ho sakta hai ke trend mazeed barhne ka imkaan rakhta hai. Haalankeh seller's ki taraf se pressure ki koshish hui thi, lekin yeh sirf ek corrective movement thi, kyun ke phir bullish trend mein ek significant range ke saath reversal hua. Agle hafte ke liye andaza lagaya ja raha hai ke bullish trend ka silsila barqarar rahega.

USD ki price patterns par behas Is waqt hum EUR/USD currency pair ki price behavior ka analysis kar rahe hain. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, H1 time frame par market mein buy intentions ke saath enter hona munasib lagta hai. Price abhi bhi 200 moving average ke upar hai, jo ek prevailing bullish trend ko zahir karta hai. Guzishta din ke akhri hissay mein, pair consistent tor par din ke opening level se upar trade karta raha aur trading session bhi higher close kiya. Din ke dauran, price quotes ne neeche se upper Bollinger Band ko cross kiya, jo bullish sentiment aur aage bhi upward movement ke imkaan ko mazboot banata hai. Yeh tamam technical indicators mixed outlook zahir karte hain, jis mein bullish momentum ke barqarar rehne ya kisi corrective pause ke imkaanat hain, jo aane wale sessions mein critical levels aur market behavior par depend karega. In thresholds ki monitoring trading decisions ke liye zaroori hogi. Is waqt, RSI favorable reading de raha hai jo potential buy actions ko support karta hai, kyunke uske values buying ke liye valid range se mutabiq hain. EUR/USD pair ke hawale se, 4-hour time frame ke graphical analysis ki buniyad par ek trading signal saamne aaya hai, jo Head and Shoulders reversal pattern dikha raha hai. Yeh setup British pound ke saath bhi dekha gaya tha. Euro ke liye, sellers ne trading close par price ko support level 1.1047 tak neeche push kiya. Quotes Monday raat trading resume hone par is horizontal line ke aas paas hover karte rahenge. Is liye, yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke breakdown hoga ya nahi. Corrective decline mumkin hai ke barqarar rahe, lekin range ab zyada constrained lagti hai. Primary support level 1.0989 aik critical target hai. Is point se, main buy positions open karne par ghour karunga. Dusri taraf, agar support level 1.1047 par barqarar rehta hai aur break nahi hota, toh downward correction khatam ho sakta hai aur upward trend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin, is baat ka bhi imkaan hai ke price 1.1047 se 1.1105 ke trading range mein sideways move kare

Yeh EUR/USD ke market pair ka tajziya aur tajwez hai:

Kal, Jumme ke din, trading ka waqt initially buyers ke dominion mein tha jo price ko upar le aaye bullish trend mein, lekin buyers seller's resistance area, jo ke 1.1123-1.1120 par tha, ko penetrate nahi kar paaye. Yeh resistance area sellers ne mazbooti se maintain kiya aur phir price ko wapas bearish trend mein le aaye.

Daily time window par Moving Average indicator ka tajziya karte hue, price ab bhi MA 50 Red area ke upar nazar aa rahi hai, jo ke 1.0943-1.0945 par hai, aur yeh distance kaafi wide hai. Lekin sellers ne ek strong bearish candlestick bana kar trading mein surprise kar diya hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke agle hafte, khaaskar Monday ko, sellers dominant honge aur price ko niche push karenge bearish trend mein. Next target MA 50 Red area aur strong buyer demand support area hoga.

Agle Monday ko trading mein expected hai ke sellers apni bearish momentum ko maintain rakhenge aur price ko niche push karenge buyer support area tak, jo ke 1.1067-1.1065 par hai. Agar yeh area bhi penetrate ho jata hai, to EUR/USD pair ki price aur zyada kamzor ho sakti hai, agla target buyer demand support area hoga jo ke 1.1028-1.1025 par hai.

Nateejah:

Buy trading options tab ki ja sakti hai agar price seller's resistance area ko successfully penetrate kar le. Iske liye pending buy stop order 1.1127-1.1130 ke area par place karen aur TP area 1.1173-1.1175 ke price par rakhain.

Sell trading options tab ki ja sakti hai agar price buyer's support area ko successfully penetrate kar le. Iske liye pending sell stop order 1.1070-1.1067 ke area par place karen aur TP area 1.1030-1.1027 ke price par rakhain.

EUR/USD Analysis, Forecast

Aapke H4 timeframe se market mapping ke nateeje ke madde nazar, yeh dekha gaya hai ke buyers ne 1.1040 ke defense level ko successfully penetrate kar liya hai. Agar aap market ko dekhein, to EURUSD currency pair ke liye upar ki taraf movement ka mauka hai. Is hafte market abhi bhi bullish trend dikha rahi hai jo ke downward correction ke sath wide range mein chal rahi hai. Overall, market ka movement Friday raat tak bullish direction mein dikhayi de raha hai, halankeh kal raat ko sellers ne pressure dal kar price ko 1.1066 ke level tak gira diya tha. Ab humein upar ki movement ka intezar karna chahiye jab tak price 1.1125 ke level tak nahi pohnchti. Agar price movement is level ko penetrate kar leti hai, to trend ke agle kuch dinon mein barhne ki potential hai.

MACD Indicator par histogram bar jo zero level se upar uth gaya hai, yeh dikhata hai ke market abhi bhi buyers ke control mein hai. Aakhri kuch hafte ke trading sessions mein, price movement upar chalti rahi hai. Meri raaye mein, naye market trend ke madde nazar, bullish potential abhi bhi hai. Upar ke graph se yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke candlestick position 1.1050 ke price level ke upar comfortable hai, jo ke ek indication ho sakta hai ke trend phir se barhne ki ummeed hai. Halankeh sellers ka pressure dekha gaya, lekin yeh sirf corrective movement thi, kyunki phir se bullish trend ka reversal significant range ke sath aaya. Agle hafte ke liye, yeh andaza hai ke bullish trend ki continuation rahegi.

US Federal Reserve ke hawale se dheema approach ki ummeed ne bazaar ke dynamics ko significant tor par tabdeel kar diya hai, aur traders ko interest rate ke ghatne ya dheere dheere barhne ke imkaan ka speculations hai, jo US ke mixed economic indicators ke jawab mein hai . Halankeh inflationary pressures ab bhi barqarar hain, economic activity mein dheemapan ke nishan ne euro ko mazbooti di hai, jabke Fed ke zyada accommodating hone ki umeed barh gayi hai. Is ke muqablay, Eurozone mein economic recovery uneven rahi hai, jahan growth member countries ke darmiyan farq karti hai. European Central Bank (ECB) ne apni cautious stance ko barqarar rakha hai, jo euro ko support deta hai aik challenging economic backdrop ke darmiyan. ECB ke policy direction ke hawale se bazaar ka jazbaat EUR/USD pair ke liye aik ahem factor rahega. Global geopolitical uncertainties aur aane wale US economic data ke asraat ke mad e nazar, Fed ke policy decisions ko nazar e sanbhal se dekha jayega. **Technical View Of EUR/USD:** Technical pehlu se, EUR/USD pair mein kaafi fluctuations dekhe gaye hain, jo significant support aur resistance levels ke darmiyan trade kar raha hai. May se early June tak bearish trend ke baad, jab price 1.1100 se gir kar 1.0700 tak pohnchi, market ne kai fair value gaps (FVGs) dekhe jo baad mein balance talash karte hue bhar diye gaye. July mein aayi recovery ke doran, jab price 1.1100 ke nazdeek wapas chali gayi aur kai FVGs aur daily liquidity zones (DLiq) ko paar kiya, August mein price 1.1270 tak pohnchi, lekin 1.1250 ke aas-paas resistance ka samna kiya. Filhal, EUR/USD pair 1.1085 ke nazdeek consolidate kar raha hai heightened volatility ke baad. Price 34-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke upar hai, jo ek prevailing bullish trend ko darshata hai. Lekin, MACD signal line se pull back kar gaya hai, jo uptrend mein ek potential pause ya reversal ko signal karta hai. Key support levels mein 1.1000 mark, aur 50-day aur 200-day moving averages se additional support shamil hai. 1.1100 par resistance ab bhi ek critical factor hai jo future price movements ko determine kareg

EURJPY kuch arsay ke liye 160-164 ke beech range mein reh sakta hai. Pound is waqt hamari mentioned resistance 1.3250 ke neeche acha hold kar raha hai, aur jab tak is par ek strong break nahi aata, yeh 1.31 ya usse neeche gir sakta hai. Aussie crucial level 0.68 ke ird gird oscillate kar raha hai, jisse agar break hota hai toh yeh 0.6850 tak ja sakta hai. Abhi ke levels par price action ko gaur se dekhen. USDCNY ko 7.12 ke upar sustain karna hoga taake yeh 7.18 tak wapas rise kar sake. EURINR agle kuch sessions mein 93-92 tak wapas gir sakta hai jab tak yeh 94 se neeche hai. USDINR nazdeek muddat ke liye 84.00-83.75 ke region mein trade karta reh sakta hai.
US Treasury yields bounce par hold kar rahe hain. Halan ke resistances upside ko cap kar sakte hain agar yeh aur barhte hain. Broader trend neeche hai, aur yields dubara se lower reverse ho sakte hain. German yields ek corrective rise par hain. Aage move karne ki jagah hai jab tak ke overall downtrend resume hoti hai aur yields phir se gir jati hain. 10Yr GoI rise karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Ahem resistances aage hain jo rise ko restrict karenge aur yields ko dubara neeche le ja sakte hain.

Dow Jones aur Nifty ke paas 41800-42000 aur 25500 tak rise karne ka scope hai jab tak support 40800 aur 24500 par hai. DAX resistance ke upar breach karne ke signs de raha hai aur mazeed upside target kar raha hai. Nikkei ek narrow range mein stuck hai lekin iske paas scope hai ke eventually upper end of the range ko break kar sake. Shanghai 2840 ke upar hover kar raha hai lekin outlook ab bhi bearish hai, aur 2800 tak girne ka chance hai.

Crude prices Tuesday ko sharply gir gayi jab Goldman Sachs ne apni 2025 Brent crude forecast $82 per barrel se kam karke $77 per barrel kar di lekin immediate supports hain jo hold kar sakte hain aur bounce back produce kar sakte hain. Gold, Silver aur Copper mein follow through rise ki kami hai lekin ab bhi 2600, 31-31.50 aur 4.4 tak rise karne ka scope hai. Natural gas gir raha hai lekin downside 2.0-1.9 tak limited ho sakta hai

USD pair ne Wednesday ko kya kiya? Yeh apne upward movement ko continue kiya. Din bhar mein, sirf ek report publish hui thi Nonfarm Payrolls ki annual revision ke bare mein, jo ki forecasts se bhi worse nikli. Asal mein, agar yeh expected se better bhi hoti, toh dollar phir bhi fall karta. Monday aur Tuesday ko, dollar ko macroeconomic backdrop ki zaroorat nahi thi apne decline ko sustain karne ke liye. Toh, yeh kehna mushkil nahi hai ki US labor market ke ek aur weak report ne US currency ko further fall kar diya. Lekin, US dollar daily fall raha hai, regardless of these reports, aur correct bhi nahi kar pa raha hai. Nonfarm Payrolls report previously published reports ki correction nahi hai; yeh sirf annual figure ki adjustment hai. Market ne pehle weaker monthly reports ko account kiya, phir annual one ko, jo ki essentially same data ko reflect karta hai. Abhi traders ko sirf ek sawal puchna chahiye ki yeh relentless rise kab tak continue karega. Upside par trading easy, simple, aur convenient lagta hai, lekin sirf first glance par, kyunki traders likely samajhte hain ki euro almost out of the blue rise kar raha hai. Isliye, yeh movement kisi bhi moment par end ho sakta hai. Currency ko buy karna jab aapko nahi pata ki yeh kyun rise kar raha hai, yeh pleasant task nahi hai. Phir bhi, uptrend ke ending ke signs nahi hain, price continue rise kar sakti hai 1.1185 aur 1.1234 ke targets ke sath.

Wednesday ko, sirf ek trading signal forma hua - US trading session mein 1.1137 level surpass hua. Din ke end par, euro sirf 15 pips rise kiya, lekin volatility currently low hai, aur movement one-sided hai. Yeh trade Thursday tak hold ki ja sakti hai 1.1185 ke target ke sath.

EUR/USD hourly time frame mein steady aur measured upward movement sustain kar raha hai. Last week, new US inflation reports ne market ko dollar ko sell karne ka ek aur reason diya. Is week, market Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell se dovish rhetoric expect kar raha hai. Market har available opportunity ko seize kar raha hai dollar ko sell karne ke liye. Ab humare paas do ascending trendlines hain, jo ki euro ko support kar rahe hain. General mein, koi bhi indicators currently suggest nahi kar rahe hain ki uptrend end ho raha ha
EUR/USD ka next target strong seller supply resistance area

Yeh apne upward movement ko continue kiya. Din bhar mein, sirf ek report publish hui thi Nonfarm Payrolls ki annual revision ke bare mein, jo ki forecasts se bhi worse nikli. Asal mein, agar yeh expected se better bhi hoti, toh dollar phir bhi fall karta. Monday aur Tuesday ko, dollar ko macroeconomic backdrop ki zaroorat nahi thi apne decline ko sustain karne ke liye. Toh, yeh kehna mushkil nahi hai ki U.S. labor market ke ek aur weak report ne U.S. currency ko further fall kar diya. Lekin, U.S. dollar daily fall raha hai, regardless of these reports, aur correct bhi nahi kar pa raha hai. Nonfarm Payrolls report previously published reports ki correction nahi hai; yeh sirf annual figure ki adjustment hai. Market ne pehle weaker monthly reports ko account kiya, phir annual one ko, jo ki essentially same data ko reflect karta hai. Abhi traders ko sirf ek sawal puchna chahiye ki yeh relentless rise kab tak continue karega. Upside par trading easy, simple, aur convenient lagta hai, lekin sirf first glance par, kyunki traders likely samajhte hain ki euro almost out of the blue rise kar raha hai. Isliye, yeh movement kisi bhi moment par end ho sakta hai. Currency ko buy karna jab aapko nahi pata ki yeh kyun rise kar raha hai, yeh pleasant task nahi hai. Phir bhi, uptrend ke ending ke signs nahi hain, price continue rise kar sakti hai 1.1185 aur 1.1234 ke targets ke sath.

Wednesday ko, sirf ek trading signal forma hua - U.S. trading session mein 1.1137 level surpass hua. Din ke end par, euro sirf 15 pips rise kiya, lekin volatility currently low hai, aur movement one-sided hai. Yeh trade Thursday tak hold ki ja sakti hai 1.1185 ke target ke sath.

EUR/USD hourly time frame mein steady aur measured upward movement sustain kar raha hai. Last week, new U.S. inflation reports ne market ko dollar ko sell karne ka ek aur reason diya. Is week, market Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell se dovish rhetoric expect kar raha hai. Market har available opportunity ko seize kar raha hai dollar ko sell karne ke liye. Ab humare paas do ascending trendlines hain, jo ki euro ko support kar rahe hain. General mein, koi bhi indicators currently suggest nahi kar rahe hain ki uptrend end ho raha ha
EUR/USD ka next target strong seller supply resistance area 1.1245-1.1250 tak pohnch sakta hai

USD pair ne Wednesday ko kya kiya? Yeh apne upward movement ko continue kiya. Din bhar mein, sirf ek report publish hui thi Nonfarm Payrolls ki annual revision ke bare mein, jo ki forecasts se bhi worse nikli. Asal mein, agar yeh expected se better bhi hoti, toh dollar phir bhi fall karta. Monday aur Tuesday ko, dollar ko macroeconomic backdrop ki zaroorat nahi thi apne decline ko sustain karne ke liye. Toh, yeh kehna mushkil nahi hai ki US labor market ke ek aur weak report ne US currency ko further fall kar diya. Lekin, US dollar daily fall raha hai, regardless of these reports, aur correct bhi nahi kar pa raha hai. Nonfarm Payrolls report previously published reports ki correction nahi hai; yeh sirf annual figure ki adjustment hai. Market ne pehle weaker monthly reports ko account kiya, phir annual one ko, jo ki essentially same data ko reflect karta hai. Abhi traders ko sirf ek sawal puchna chahiye ki yeh relentless rise kab tak continue karega. Upside par trading easy, simple, aur convenient lagta hai, lekin sirf first glance par, kyunki traders likely samajhte hain ki euro almost out of the blue rise kar raha hai. Isliye, yeh movement kisi bhi moment par end ho sakta hai. Currency ko buy karna jab aapko nahi pata ki yeh kyun rise kar raha hai, yeh pleasant task nahi hai. Phir bhi, uptrend ke ending ke signs nahi hain, price continue rise kar sakti hai 1.1185 aur 1.1234 ke targets ke sath.
Wednesday ko, sirf ek trading signal forma hua - US trading session mein 1.1137 level surpass hua. Din ke end par, euro sirf 15 pips rise kiya, lekin volatility currently low hai, aur movement one-sided hai. Yeh trade Thursday tak hold ki ja sakti hai 1.1185 ke target ke sath.

EUR/USD hourly time frame mein steady aur measured upward movement sustain kar raha hai. Last week, new US inflation reports ne market ko dollar ko sell karne ka ek aur reason diya. Is week, market Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell se dovish rhetoric expect kar raha hai. Market har available opportunity ko seize kar raha hai dollar ko sell karne ke liye. Ab humare paas do ascending trendlines hain, jo ki euro ko support kar rahe hain. General mein, koi bhi indicators currently suggest nahi kar rahe hain ki uptrend end ho raha ha
EUR/USD ka next target strong seller supply

Federal Reserve ke hawale se dheema approach ki ummeed ne bazaar ke dynamics ko significant tor par tabdeel kar diya hai, aur traders ko interest rate ke ghatne ya dheere dheere barhne ke imkaan ka speculations hai, jo US ke mixed economic indicators ke jawab mein hai . Halankeh inflationary pressures ab bhi barqarar hain, economic activity mein dheemapan ke nishan ne euro ko mazbooti di hai, jabke Fed ke zyada accommodating hone ki umeed barh gayi hai. Is ke muqablay, Eurozone mein economic recovery uneven rahi hai, jahan growth member countries ke darmiyan farq karti hai. European Central Bank (ECB) ne apni cautious stance ko barqarar rakha hai, jo euro ko support deta hai aik challenging economic backdrop ke darmiyan. ECB ke policy direction ke hawale se bazaar ka jazbaat EUR/USD pair ke liye aik ahem factor rahega. Global geopolitical uncertainties aur aane wale US economic data ke asraat ke mad e nazar, Fed ke policy decisions ko nazar e sanbhal se dekha jayega. **Technical View Of EUR/USD:** Technical pehlu se, EUR/USD pair mein kaafi fluctuations dekhe gaye hain, jo significant support aur resistance levels ke darmiyan trade kar raha hai. May se early June tak bearish trend ke baad, jab price 1.1100 se gir kar 1.0700 tak pohnchi, market ne kai fair value gaps (FVGs) dekhe jo baad mein balance talash karte hue bhar diye gaye. July mein aayi recovery ke doran, jab price 1.1100 ke nazdeek wapas chali gayi aur kai FVGs aur daily liquidity zones (DLiq) ko paar kiya, August mein price 1.1270 tak pohnchi, lekin 1.1250 ke aas-paas resistance ka samna kiya. Filhal, EUR/USD pair 1.1085 ke nazdeek consolidate kar raha hai heightened volatility ke baad. Price 34-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke upar hai, jo ek prevailing bullish trend ko darshata hai. Lekin, MACD signal line se pull back kar gaya hai, jo uptrend mein ek potential pause ya reversal ko signal karta hai. Key support levels mein 1.1000 mark, aur 50-day aur 200-day moving averages se additional support shamil hai. 1.1100 par resistance ab bhi ek critical factor hai jo future price movements ko determine kareg

EUR/USD pair abhi bhi higher high - higher low structure mein hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke price movement ka direction aagey barh sakta hai. Jo current decline ho raha hai, woh sirf ek correction phase hai jismein higher low ban raha hai. Agar price downward correction phase se guzarta hai, toh invalidation level 1.0778 ke low prices ko paar karne se price pattern mein change ho sakta hai, jahan structure lower low - lower high ki taraf badal sakta hai.

Is waqt, price do Moving Averages lines ke upar hai, aur ab tak na toh EMA 50 aur na hi SMA 200 ko touch kiya hai. Agar price correct ho ke neeche jata hai, toh mumkin hai ke woh EMA 50 ya RBS area 1.0949 ke aas-paas pohanch jaye. RSI indicator (14) ne overbought zone (80 - 70 level) se bahar nikal kar yeh dikhaya hai ke price downward correction phase mein hai. Misal ke taur par, agar RSI level 50 ki taraf jate hue rejection face karta hai, toh price ke wapas upar move karne ke chances hain.
Lekin agar RSI parameter level 50 ko paar karke oversold zone (30 - 20 level) ki taraf jata hai, toh iska matlab hoga ke downward correction phase jari rahega. Short-term plan mein yeh socha jaa sakta hai ke ek SELL entry position tab li jaye jab price nearest low prices range 1.1027 ko successfully cross kar le. Kyun ke do hafton se zyada ke impulsive rally ke baad, ek downward correction phase hona chahiye strong bullish trend ke beech mein.
Confirmation ensure karta hai ke RSI indicator (14) level 50 ko cross kare. Take profit ka target RBS area 1.0949 pe rakha jaaye aur stop loss high prices 1.1152 pe set kiya jaye.

Kal ke trading ke doran, price gir gayi aur red channel ke neeche close hui jab ke price channels ki middle lines bilkul theek thi. Pichle do hafton ke price movement ko dekhte hue, yeh saaf hai ke red channel price ke liye mazboot resistance ka darja rakhta hai. Is mahine, price ne monthly pivot level ke upar trading shuru ki aur rising red channel ke andar thi, lekin yeh gir gayi aur dono toot gaye. Blue channel line se support milne ke baad, price phir se upar aayi aur pivot monthly level ke upar settle hui. Jab price girne ki koshish karti hai, tab red channel line se resistance milta hai aur monthly pivot level se support milta hai. Agle haftay mein, price red channel ke andar trading ke baad upar ki taraf chal sakti hai. Ek aur mumkinat yeh hai ke price monthly pivot level tak girti hai aur phir se upar aati hai. Hum agle haftay mein pair ko trade karne ke liye kai levels par focus kar sakte hain. Fed rate cuts ke liye September mein traders ne pura price in kiya hai, lekin bets ab bhi split hain ke central bank dheere dheere 25 basis points (bps) ya zyada 50 bps ka cut karega. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, 30-day Federal Funds Futures pricing data yeh dikhata hai ke September mein 50-bps interest rate reduction ki likelihood 34.5% hai, jabke baaki log 25 bps ka cut prefer karte hain. Naye cues ke liye, investors United States (US) core Personal Consumption Expenditure Inflation (PCE) data ka intezar kar rahe hain jo Friday ko publish hoga. PCE Price Index report ke mutabiq annual core inflation 2.7% tak barh sakti hai, jo June ke 2.6% se upar hai, aur monthly figures steadily 0.2% tak barh rahi hain. Agar underlying inflation mein mazeed girawat dekhne ko mili, to Fed ki aggressive policy-easing ki ummeed barh sakti hai. Baraks, agar figures sticky rahe, to yeh jumbo rate-cut scenario ko dampen kar sakta hai. EUR/USD ne 1.1200 ke fresh highs se girawat dekhi jab Euro (EUR) kamzor hua. Euro apne major peers ke muqablay mein underperform kar raha hai kyunki investors ko lagta hai ke European Central Bank (ECB) September mein dobara interest rates cut karega. ECB ne June mein interest rates ko reduce karna shuru kiya jabke policymakers ko lagta hai ke Eurozone mein price pressures 2% target tak wapas aayenge 2025 tak. Lekin, July mein key borrowing rates ko unchanged rakha gaya kyunki officials ko dar tha ke aggressive policy easing se inflationary pressures dobara barh sakte hain. EUR/USD ne 1.1200 pe fresh swing high banane ke baad 1.1150 ke qareeb gir gayi. Major currency pair ka broader outlook ab bhi mazboot hai kyunki yeh weekly time frame pe Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern ka breakout hold kar rahi hai. Upward-sloping 20-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo 1.0900 ke qareeb hai, aage ke upside ko support karta hai.

EURJPY kuch arsay ke liye 160-164 ke beech range mein reh sakta hai. Pound is waqt hamari mentioned resistance 1.3250 ke neeche acha hold kar raha hai, aur jab tak is par ek strong break nahi aata, yeh 1.31 ya usse neeche gir sakta hai. Aussie crucial level 0.68 ke ird gird oscillate kar raha hai, jisse agar break hota hai toh yeh 0.6850 tak ja sakta hai. Abhi ke levels par price action ko gaur se dekhen. USDCNY ko 7.12 ke upar sustain karna hoga taake yeh 7.18 tak wapas rise kar sake. EURINR agle kuch sessions mein 93-92 tak wapas gir sakta hai jab tak yeh 94 se neeche hai. USDINR nazdeek muddat ke liye 84.00-83.75 ke region mein trade karta reh sakta hai. US Treasury yields bounce par hold kar rahe hain. Halan ke resistances upside ko cap kar sakte hain agar yeh aur barhte hain. Broader trend neeche hai, aur yields dubara se lower reverse ho sakte hain. German yields ek corrective rise par hain. Aage move karne ki jagah hai jab tak ke overall downtrend resume hoti hai aur yields phir se gir jati hain. 10Yr GoI rise karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Ahem resistances aage hain jo rise ko restrict karenge aur yields ko dubara neeche le ja sakte hain.

Dow Jones aur Nifty ke paas 41800-42000 aur 25500 tak rise karne ka scope hai jab tak support 40800 aur 24500 par hai. DAX resistance ke upar breach karne ke signs de raha hai aur mazeed upside target kar raha hai. Nikkei ek narrow range mein stuck hai lekin iske paas scope hai ke eventually upper end of the range ko break kar sake. Shanghai 2840 ke upar hover kar raha hai lekin outlook ab bhi bearish hai, aur 2800 tak girne ka chance hai.

Crude prices Tuesday ko sharply gir gayi jab Goldman Sachs ne apni 2025 Brent crude forecast $82 per barrel se kam karke $77 per barrel kar di lekin immediate supports hain jo hold kar sakte hain aur bounce back produce kar sakte hain. Gold, Silver aur Copper mein follow through rise ki kami hai lekin ab bhi 2600, 31-31.50 aur 4.4 tak rise karne ka scope hai. Natural gas gir raha hai lekin downside 2.0-1.9 tak limited ho sakta hai

EUR/USD currency pair mein Thursday ko Asian trading session ke dauraan thoda decline dekha gaya, jis ki wajah US dollar ki mazbooti aur US Treasury bonds ke high returns the. Lekin, dollar ki taaqat kam ho gayi jab July ke Jolts job openings report aayi, jo ummeed se kam rahi, yeh indicate karta hai ke labor market mein potential slowdown ho sakta hai. Ab traders ka focus aanewale US Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) aur initial jobless claims par hai. Saath hi, Friday ko aanewala non-farm payrolls data bhi Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts ke potential ke baare mein zyada insight dega. Atlanta ke Federal Reserve Bank ke head, Rafael Postic ne monetary policy par ek neutral view rakha aur yeh suggest kiya ke Fed abhi achi position mein hai, lekin restrictive policies ko zyada der tak maintain nahi karna chahiye.
Eurozone mein, consumer price index (CPI) July mein quarterly basis par 0.8% increase hua, jab ke services PMI aur composite PMI mein decline dekha gaya. In data se yeh lagta hai ke European Central Bank (ECB) September mein interest rates reduce kar sakta hai, jis se euro par pressure aa sakta hai. EUR/USD pair abhi 20-day simple moving average (SMA) aur support 1.1050 ke region ke kareeb hai. Technical indicators, jaise ke Stochastic Index aur relative strength index, mein kuch improvement dekhne ko mili hai. Agar price 1.1050 level ke upar break kare toh woh pehle ke summit 1.1200 ko challenge kar sakta hai, aur shayad July 2023 ke high 1.1275 tak bhi pahunch sakta hai. Agar price mein zyada decline hota hai, toh target 1.0870 level ho sakta hai, uske baad 200-day moving average 1.0850 par aa jayega.

Neeche ki taraf, agar closure 1.1100 se neeche record hota hai toh price 20-day simple moving average (SMA), jo ke 1.1000 ke kareeb hai, ki taraf ja sakta hai. Agar prices drop hoti hain, toh sabka focus July 2023 ke broken resistance trendline aur 50% Fibonacci 1.0940 par hoga. Uske baad, extension to 1.0780 par rok lag sakti hai 50- aur 200-day SMAs jo 1.0880 aur 1.0845 par hain. Agar yeh sab nahi hota, toh selling pressure badh sakta hai aur move karke 1.0725 ki taraf ja sakta hai.