یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

**EUR/USD Price Action**

EUR/USD ka price action analysis yeh darshata hai ke is waqt EUR/USD pair ka rukh niche ki taraf hai, aur kai indicators bearish trend ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. Hal hi mein jo upar ki movement hui thi, woh lagta hai ke khatam ho chuki hai, is liye agle hafte bearish outlook rakhna zyada behtar hai, halankeh yeh soch thodi simplistic lag sakti hai. Mera tajwez hai ke price 1.1007 level tak decline kar sakti hai, aur agar yeh level breach ho gaya, to aage aur bhi girawat ka potential hai. Technically, setup yeh dikhata hai ke uptrend khatam hone ke high chances hain, aur significant downward move ka darwaza khul raha hai. Current levels ko dekhte hue selling ki recommendation hai. Pehli targets 1.1079 par hain, jabke 1.1094 level ek critical threshold hai jo downward correction ko negate kar sakti hai. Main 1.1079 level ko nazar mein rakhunga, lekin kuch nuances hain—specifically, is level ki ahmiyat tab barhegi jab price pehle 1.1042 minimum ko break karegi aur phir 1.1079 tak pohnchegi. Agar yeh hota hai, to Wednesday ko bearish momentum kam ho sakta hai.

Ideal situation yeh hogi ke 1.1042 level ko Asian trading ke doran update kiya jaye, aur phir 1.1079 European session ke doran target ban jaye. Additional levels trading ke dauran relevant ho sakte hain, jo pair ke immediate direction ko gauge karne mein madad karenge. Agar EUR/USD 1.1099 ke niche trade karta rahe, to haftay ke end tak negative track par rehne ke chances hain. Monthly US inflation data ne market expectations ko meet kiya, lekin significant reaction trigger nahi hui. Pair Thursday ke range ke andar trade kar raha hai aur 1.1099 ke critical resistance level ke niche dip ho gaya hai. Short term mein, EUR/USD ka outlook stable lagta hai kyunke 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) upar ki taraf trend kar raha hai. Downtrend critical psychological support 1.0999 ke paas limit rahega. Filhal, pair ek sideways trend mein phansa hua hai

EUR/USD pair ne Wednesday ko kya kiya? Yeh apne upward movement ko continue kiya. Din bhar mein, sirf ek report publish hui thi Nonfarm Payrolls ki annual revision ke bare mein, jo ki forecasts se bhi worse nikli. Asal mein, agar yeh expected se better bhi hoti, toh dollar phir bhi fall karta. Monday aur Tuesday ko, dollar ko macroeconomic backdrop ki zaroorat nahi thi apne decline ko sustain karne ke liye. Toh, yeh kehna mushkil nahi hai ki U.S. labor market ke ek aur weak report ne U.S. currency ko further fall kar diya. Lekin, U.S. dollar daily fall raha hai, regardless of these reports, aur correct bhi nahi kar pa raha hai. Nonfarm Payrolls report previously published reports ki correction nahi hai; yeh sirf annual figure ki adjustment hai. Market ne pehle weaker monthly reports ko account kiya, phir annual one ko, jo ki essentially same data ko reflect karta hai. Abhi traders ko sirf ek sawal puchna chahiye ki yeh relentless rise kab tak continue karega. Upside par trading easy, simple, aur convenient lagta hai, lekin sirf first glance par, kyunki traders likely samajhte hain ki euro almost out of the blue rise kar raha hai. Isliye, yeh movement kisi bhi moment par end ho sakta hai. Currency ko buy karna jab aapko nahi pata ki yeh kyun rise kar raha hai, yeh pleasant task nahi hai. Phir bhi, uptrend ke ending ke signs nahi hain, price continue rise kar sakti hai 1.1185 aur 1.1234 ke targets ke sath.

Wednesday ko, sirf ek trading signal forma hua - U.S. trading session mein 1.1137 level surpass hua. Din ke end par, euro sirf 15 pips rise kiya, lekin volatility currently low hai, aur movement one-sided hai. Yeh trade Thursday tak hold ki ja sakti hai 1.1185 ke target ke sath.

EUR/USD hourly time frame mein steady aur measured upward movement sustain kar raha hai. Last week, new U.S. inflation reports ne market ko dollar ko sell karne ka ek aur reason diya. Is week, market Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell se dovish rhetoric expect kar raha hai. Market har available opportunity ko seize kar raha hai dollar ko sell karne ke liye. Ab humare paas do ascending trendlines hain, jo ki euro ko support kar rahe hain. General mein, koi bhi indicators currently suggest nahi kar rahe hain ki uptrend end ho raha ha

EUR/USD currency pair ne Thursday, 29 August 2024 ko trading mein ek resistance area form kiya jo 1.1140 se 1.1135 ke price levels ke darmiyan tha. Isi tarah, support area 1.1050 se 1.1060 ke price levels par form hua. Thursday ko EUR/USD ne lagbhag 90 pips ka daily trading range record kiya, aur pair mein girawat dekhi gayi.

Friday, 30 August 2024 ko EUR/USD currency pair ne resistance area ko 1.1090 se 1.1095 ke price levels par post kiya. Isi din, support area 1.1055 - 1.1060 ke level ko tod kar, pair ne 1.1040 se 1.1045 tak naya support area form kiya.

Is trading week ke end tak, Fibre (EUR/USD) 1.1050 tak gir gaya aur yeh pair lagataar teesre din downward trend mein raha. US Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) ke numbers expectations ke qareeb hi rahe, jinhon ne Federal Reserve (Fed) ke agle rate meeting pe rate cuts ke andazey ko mazid support diya, jo 18 September ko hona hai. Europe ka inflation data bhi kuch khaas impress nahi kar saka.

July ke US PCE data ne trading week ke end tak koi khaas surprises nahi diye. MoM (Month-over-Month) core PCE inflation 0.2% par stable raha, jabke YoY (Year-over-Year) core PCE inflation bhi 2.5% par hi stable raha, jahan 2.6% ki prediction thi. Rate markets mein ab tak 30% traders Fed ke do dafa rate cuts ki umeed rakh rahe hain, pehli cut 18 September ko 50 basis points ke hisaab se ho sakti hai. Baqi 70% traders ek quarter-point cut ki umeed kar rahe hain. CME ke FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, rate traders 2024 mein total 100 basis points ke cuts ko price kar rahe hain.

Spot price ne 1.1050 ke key support level ke upar stability barqarar rakhi. Yeh pair Friday ke din ke banaye gaye range mein trade karta raha, jabke investors closely dekh rahe hain ke ECB aur US Federal Reserve (Fed) ki interest rates mein kya tabdeeliyan ho sakti hain baaki saal ke liye.
Market ka Focus September Rate Cut ke Prospects par:

Markets ka main focus ab September interest rate cut ke prospects par hai. Current market expectations ne fully price kiya hai ke Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ki meeting 18 September ko rate-cutting cycle shuru kar sakti hai. Lekin, pehli baar 50 basis points cut hone ki sambhavana thori kam hui hai, ab yeh chances 50% se thoda zyada hain, jabke pehle is hafte ke shuru mein yeh nearly 70% the. CME’s FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, traders 53.5% probability de rahe hain ke September mein 50 basis points cut hoga, aur 2024 ke end tak do additional 25 basis points cuts ki bhi ummeed hai.

US Job Data ne Economic Concerns ko Kam kiya Better-Than-Expected Claims ke Saath:

US labor market se recent data ne economic weakness ke concerns ko kam kar diya hai. August 2 ko khatam hone wale hafte ke liye Initial Jobless Claims ki kam hone wali figures ne 233,000 tak drop kiya, jo forecasted 240,000 aur pehle ke figure 250,000 se zyada achha hai (jo pehle 249,000 se revise hua tha). TD Securities ke head of US rates strategy Gennadiy Goldberg ne data par positive comments diye, kehte hue, “Yeh markets ke liye ek bohot positive print hai. Yeh yeh reinforce karta hai ke labor market ka momentum usi tarah se slow nahi ho raha hai jaisa payroll report se laga, aur yeh bhi reinforce karta hai ke economy mein bahut zyada layoffs nahi ho rahe.”

H1 Chart EUR/USD ko Positive Signals ke Baawajood Mushkil Hoti Hai:

Friday ko, pair ne apni late rebound ko 1.1050 ke low se banaya, lekin Asian session mein upward momentum banaye rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kiya. Market ke band hone par, pair 1.1046 ke aas-paas trade kar raha tha, din ke liye 0.55% se zyada girawat ke saath. Yeh girawat ek recent winning streak ko khatam kar rahi thi aur pair ko key 1.1100 level ke neeche le gayi, jo suggest karta hai ke bullish momentum shayad kam ho raha hai. Pair ab shayad ek downward trend mein wapas ja sakta hai jo iske 2024 ke performance ko characterize karta hai.

Recent bounce Thursday ko 1.1150 resistance level se jo ab support ban gaya hai, bullish traders ko faida de raha hai. Iske ilawa, hourly chart par technical indicators achhe signals de rahe hain aur abhi tak overbought conditions tak nahi pahunche hain, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke EUR/USD pair mein ab bhi additional gains ki potential ho sakti hai

Pair ne ek khaamosh trading hafta apne starting point ke qareeb mukammal kiya, aur yeh sirf 1% ke thode se zyada range mein chali. Tuesday ko 1.1050 level ke neeche upar jane ki ek koshish hui, magar pair ne aakhir kar familiar technical zones mein wapas drift kiya jese hafta guzarta gaya. Yeh consolidation forex markets mein stability ka izhar karta hai, jab traders naye cues ka intezaar kar rahe hain.

**Fed Rate Cut Ki Speculations Aur Middle East Tensions Ka EUR/USD Pe Asar:**

Federal Reserve (Fed) ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut ke imkaanat pe speculation kaafi zyada hai, jo EUR/USD pair ko mutasir kar raha hai. CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, 25-basis point rate cut ka imkaan 51.5% tak barh gaya hai, jo ke pichlay haftay sirf 26.0% tha. Iske ilawa, ab traders 50-basis point ki reduction ka imkaan 46.5% samajhte hain, jabke pehle yeh 85% probability thi. Yeh tabdeeliyaan US recession ke khatmaat ke dar kam hone se judi hain, jo USD ki performance ko asar andaz kar rahi hain.

Magar, Euro jo ke global risks ke liye sensitive hai, Middle East mein barhati hui geopolitical tensions ke wajah se challenges ka samna kar sakta hai. Haali reports yeh batati hain ke Iran ki military activities ek bara hamla Israel par karne ke tayari kar rahi hain, jo ke Gaza leader Ismail Haniyeh ke Tehran mein qatal ka jawab ho sakta hai. Yeh development, jo Axios ke writer Barak Ravid ne highlight ki hai, uncertainty ko barha rahi hai jo ke market sentiment aur Euro ki stability pe asar dal sakti hai.

**EUR/USD Ka Technical Analysis:**

Pair ne 2024 ka naya high 1.1088 pe choa, jab market sentiment risk-on ho gaya. Euro ka US Dollar ke khilaf oopar jana zahir hai jab yeh 1.1000 level ke ooper firmly push hui, aur buyers ne pair ko 1.1100 tak dhakel diya. Halan ke bullish momentum ne poori tarah se is key level ko reclaim nahi kiya, buying interest abhi bhi strong hai, jo pair ko upward trajectory par rakhta hai.

September ke aghaaz se, EUR/USD apne peak se takreeban 1% decline ka shikar hui, jo ke 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb 1.1060 ke swing low se upar ayi thi. Is drop ke bawajood, Relative Strength Index (RSI) yeh darshata hai ke pair abhi bhi bullish phase mein hai, aur yeh ek bullish flag pattern bana rahi hai jo ke mazeed gains ke imkaan ko zahir karta hai.

Fundamental Analysis

Mangalwaar ko European session ke doran 1.1080 ke foran resistance level ko barhane me nakami ke baad, EUR/USD ne wapas girna shuru kar diya. US dollar (USD) apni gains ko pakde hue hai, jo ke lagbhag do hafton ki unchai pe hai, jab ke US dollar index (DXY) jo ke greenback ki value ko chhay badi currencies ke muqablay me mapta hai, 101.80 pe trade kar raha hai. Leading currency pair gir raha hai.

Jab investors apni nazar US ke August ke Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data pe rakhenge, jo Friday ko release hone wala hai, US dollar mazid majboot ho raha hai. Investors labor market ke statistics pe nazar rakhenge taake yeh pata chal sake ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September ke monetary policy me kitni interest rate decrease ki umeed hai. Market players ab bhi optimistic hain ke is mahine US central bank ke policies normalization ki taraf shift karengi. Manufacturing sector ke baare me ISM report ke mutabiq, PMI ka girna pichle publication me 46.8 se 47.5 tak dheere hone ki umeed hai.

Technical Analysis

EUR/USD Monday ke trading range ko occupy kar raha hai, jab ke yeh 1.1100 ke critical resistance level ke neeche steadily gir gaya. Major currency pair ke short-to-long-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs upar ki taraf trend kar rahe hain, jo ke near-term outlook ko stable dikhata hai.

Pehle, leading currency pair ne Rising Channel pattern ko consistently breach karke momentum gain kiya. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) overbought area me 75.00 ke aas-paas gaya tha aur ab 60.00 ke neeche aa gaya hai.

Euro bulls ke liye agle targets recent high 1.1200 aur July 2023 ka high 1.1275 hain. Neeche ki taraf, downside ko psychological support level 1.1000 ke paas roknay ki umeed hai.

HAPPY KILLER TRADING DISCUSSION

Daily Timeframe

Daily chart par aik kaafi interesting picture hai jo gradual reversal ko north ki taraf dikhati hai. Pehle, descending price channel break hua, phir aik ascending channel with a small slope, aur phir aik ascending channel with an aggressive slope break hua. Ab yeh kehna mushkil hai ke EUR/USD pair ab current levels se kahan jayegi, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke growth ki probability high hai. Bahut kuch daily trading candle ke close par depend karega. Agar daily candle green close hoti hai, to aap kal purchases mein safely enter kar sakte hain, aur bulls ke liye target hoga 1.1100 level tak growth karna. Agar yeh level break aur consolidate hota hai, to hum 1.1150 level tak bhi ja sakte hain. Lekin mujhe pair wahan tak pahunchne ki umeed nahi hai, zyada likely hai ke 1.1100 level par growth stop ho jayegi aur pair sideways trading par chalegi, kyunki pehle maine market sentiment chart analyze kiya tha, jo hume sideways trading ka signal deta hai due to equal number of buyers aur sellers.

M30 Minutes Timeframe

EUR/USD pair ke half-hour chart par, descending price channel break ho gaya hai, jisme EUR/USD pair actually trade kar rahi thi local maximum 1.1200 se rebound karne ke baad aur local minimum 1.1045 ke banne se pehle. Sellers ko is price level se neeche nahi aane diya gaya, yahan se low se rebound hua aur EUR/USD pair corrective growth ki taraf move kiya. Natiijatan, resistance line break ho gayi aur southern price channel bhi break ho gaya.

Ab, jab main yeh analytical post likh raha hoon, major 1.1069 par trade kar raha hai. Technically, current price levels se aap safely purchases mein enter kar sakte hain aur previous local maximum 1.1095 tak buy kar sakte hain.

EURUSD (Euro/US Dollar) ka technical analysis H1 timeframe par ek behtareen moqa faraham karta hai ke hum profit kamane ke liye ek trade mein dakhil ho sakein, aur yeh forecast ko kamiyabi se anjaam dene ke liye ek high probability ka signal hai. Optimal entry point chunne ka algorithm chand steps par mabni hai. Sabse pehle, hum higher timeframe H4 par current trend ka direction identify karte hain taake market movement ke khilaf na jayein. Hum apne instrument ka 4-hour timeframe ka chart kholte hain aur is baat ka yaqeen karte hain ke H1 aur H4 timeframes par trend movements ek doosre se mutabiq hain. Aaj humein market ek behtareen moqa faraham kar raha hai ke hum long positions mein enter kar sakein.

Iske baad hum teen indicators - HamaSystem, RSI Trend, aur Magnetic_Levels_Color ke indicators par rely karte hain. Hum intezar karte hain ke jab Hama aur RSI Trend indicators ka color blue aur green mein tabdeel ho jaye, jo ke yeh zahir karta hai ke buyers ko sellers par barhtri hasil hai. Jab yeh shara'it poori ho jaati hain, toh hum long position mein enter karte hain. Market se exit karna magnetic levels indicator ke mutabiq hota hai. Aaj sabse probable levels jahan forecast execute hone ki umeed hai, wo 1.12110 hain. Phir hum chart par price ki movement ko magnetic levels ke qareeb dhehan se dekhte hain, aur faisla karte hain ke market mein position ko aglay magnetic level tak hold karein ya phir jo profit kamaya hai usko lock kar lein.

Jaisay hi investors apna dhyaan US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data par laga rahe hain jo ke August ke liye Friday ko release hone wala hai, US dollar mazid mazboot ho raha hai. Investors closely labor market statistics ko dekhenge taake September ke monetary policy mein Federal Reserve (Fed) ke anticipated interest rate decrease ke extent ka andaza lagaya ja sake. Market players ab bhi is mahine mein US central bank ke policies ke normalization ki taraf shift hone ki umeed rakhte hain. ISM report ke mutabiq manufacturing sector ka kam hone ka imkaan hai, jahan PMI 47.5 tak girne ka khayal hai jo ke pichle publication mein 46.8 tha.

EUR/USD pair ne Wednesday ko kya kiya? Yeh apne upward movement ko continue kiya. Din bhar mein, sirf ek report publish hui thi Nonfarm Payrolls ki annual revision ke bare mein, jo ki forecasts se bhi worse nikli. Asal mein, agar yeh expected se better bhi hoti, toh dollar phir bhi fall karta. Monday aur Tuesday ko, dollar ko macroeconomic backdrop ki zaroorat nahi thi apne decline ko sustain karne ke liye. Toh, yeh kehna mushkil nahi hai ki U.S. labor market ke ek aur weak report ne U.S. currency ko further fall kar diya. Lekin, U.S. dollar daily fall raha hai, regardless of these reports, aur correct bhi nahi kar pa raha hai.
Nonfarm Payrolls report previously published reports ki correction nahi hai; yeh sirf annual figure ki adjustment hai. Market ne pehle weaker monthly reports ko account kiya, phir annual one ko, jo ki essentially same data ko reflect karta hai. Abhi traders ko sirf ek sawal puchna chahiye ki yeh relentless rise kab tak continue karega. Upside par trading easy, simple, aur convenient lagta hai, lekin sirf first glance par, kyunki traders likely samajhte hain ki euro almost out of the blue rise kar raha hai. Isliye, yeh movement kisi bhi moment par end ho sakta hai. Currency ko buy karna jab aapko nahi pata ki yeh kyun rise kar raha hai, yeh pleasant task nahi hai. Phir bhi, uptrend ke ending ke signs nahi hain, price continue rise kar sakti hai 1.1185 aur 1.1234 ke targets ke sath.

Wednesday ko, sirf ek trading signal forma hua - U.S. trading session mein 1.1137 level surpass hua. Din ke end par, euro sirf 15 pips rise kiya, lekin volatility currently low hai, aur movement one-sided hai. Yeh trade Thursday tak hold ki ja sakti hai 1.1185 ke target ke sath.

EUR/USD hourly time frame mein steady aur measured upward movement sustain kar raha hai. Last week, new U.S. inflation reports ne market ko dollar ko sell karne ka ek aur reason diya. Is week, market Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell se dovish rhetoric expect kar raha hai. Market har available opportunity ko seize kar raha hai dollar ko sell karne ke liye. Ab humare paas do ascending trendlines hain, jo ki euro ko support kar rahe hain. General mein, koi bhi indicators currently suggest nahi kar rahe hain ki uptrend end ho raha ha
EUR/USD ka next target strong seller supply resistance area 1.1245-1.1250 tak pohnch sakta hai. Moving Average ko trend strength monitor karne ke liye use karna bohat effective strategy hai, especially jab resistance aur support levels ko identify karna ho. Pending order buy stop aur sell stop strategy bhi agle hafte ke price movements ko anticipate karne ke liye acha plan hai

Market Overview

EURUSD pair current mein H4 timeframe par strong bullish trend ko dikha raha hai. Price action ne higher highs aur higher lows form kiye hain, jo sustained upward momentum ko indicate karta hai.

Key Levels

Immediate Support: 1.1142 - Ye level past mein strong support ka kaam kiya hai aur potential entry point ke liye retested ho sakta hai agar temporary pullback hota hai.

Strong Support: 1.1070 - Ye level deeper support zone ko represent karta hai aur potential bullish reversals ke liye significant level ho sakta hai.

Immediate Resistance: 1.1210 - Ye level resistance ka kaam kiya hai, lekin current bullish momentum ke wajah se, ye soon break ho sakta hai.

Strong Resistance: 1.1210 ke upar clear resistance level nahi hai, jo further upside ke liye potential dikha raha hai.

Indicators

RSI (14): Currently 75.75 par, RSI overbought territory mein hai, jo upward momentum ke exhaustion ko suggest karta hai. Lekin RSI extended period ke liye is level par hovering hai, jo strong bullish momentum ko indicate karta hai.

MACD (12,26,9): MACD line signal line ke upar hai, aur histogram positive hai, jo bullish trend ko confirm karta hai. Ye increasing bullish momentum ko indicate karta hai.

Order Blocks

Potential Order Block: 1.1142 - Ye level potential order block ke liye long positions ke liye kaam kar sakta hai agar price is level par retrace hota hai aur bullish reversal ke signs dikha raha hai.

Potential Order Block: 1.1210 - Ye level potential order block ke liye short positions ke liye kaam kar sakta hai agar price is level par retrace hota hai aur bearish reversal ke signs dikha raha hai.

Best Areas for Buying and Selling

Buy: Potential buy entry 1.1142 support level par consider ki ja sakti hai agar price pullback hota hai aur bullish reversal ke signs dikha raha hai.

Sell: Selling opportunities limited hain due to strong bullish trend. Lekin potential sell entry consider ki ja sakti hai agar price new resistance level par bearish engulfing pattern forma, lekin ye current bullish outlook ko
invalidate karega.

/USD ki price patterns par behas Is waqt hum EUR/USD currency pair ki price behavior ka analysis kar rahe hain. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, H1 time frame par market mein buy intentions ke saath enter hona munasib lagta hai. Price abhi bhi 200 moving average ke upar hai, jo ek prevailing bullish trend ko zahir karta hai. Guzishta din ke akhri hissay mein, pair consistent tor par din ke opening level se upar trade karta raha aur trading session bhi higher close kiya. Din ke dauran, price quotes ne neeche se upper Bollinger Band ko cross kiya, jo bullish sentiment aur aage bhi upward movement ke imkaan ko mazboot banata hai. Yeh tamam technical indicators mixed outlook zahir karte hain, jis mein bullish momentum ke barqarar rehne ya kisi corrective pause ke imkaanat hain, jo aane wale sessions mein critical levels aur market behavior par depend karega. In thresholds ki monitoring trading decisions ke liye zaroori hogi. Is waqt, RSI favorable reading de raha hai jo potential buy actions ko support karta hai, kyunke uske values buying ke liye valid range se mutabiq hain. EUR/USD pair ke hawale se, 4-hour time frame ke graphical analysis ki buniyad par ek trading signal saamne aaya hai, jo Head and Shoulders reversal pattern dikha raha hai. Yeh setup British pound ke saath bhi dekha gaya tha. Euro ke liye, sellers ne trading close par price ko support level 1.1047 tak neeche push kiya. Quotes Monday raat trading resume hone par is horizontal line ke aas paas hover karte rahenge. Is liye, yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke breakdown hoga ya nahi. Corrective decline mumkin hai ke barqarar rahe, lekin range ab zyada constrained lagti hai. Primary support level 1.0989 aik critical target hai. Is point se, main buy positions open karne par ghour karunga. Dusri taraf, agar support level 1.1047 par barqarar rehta hai aur break nahi hota, toh downward correction khatam ho sakta hai aur upward trend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin, is baat ka bhi imkaan hai ke price 1.1047 se 1.1105 ke trading range mein sideways move kare

Trading Opportunities with EUR/USD Prices

Hamara topic abhi EUR/USD currency pair ki current price behavior review ka hai. Agar hum daily ascending range pe focus karein, toh euro-dollar sellers ke liye agla target 1.0988 ka level ho sakta hai. Lekin, mujhe shak hai ke EUR/USD seedha apni current position se is level tak pohonchay. Agar buyers ascending range ke upper bounds ko test kar rahe hain aur liquidity zone (dotted diamond) se aage barhne ki koshish kar rahe hain, toh unhein challenges ka samna ho sakta hai. Aaj ke din EUR/USD pe pressure manufacturing sector mein negative business activity aur major stock indices ke girne ki wajah se ho sakta hai. Aam tor par aise factors jaldi adjust ho jate hain. Is liye, EUR/USD apni girawat ko daily range ke level 1.0988 tak continue kar sakti hai. Humein dekhna hoga ke trading ke aakhri chaar ghante kaise guzarte hain.





EUR/USD pair ki daily candle aik bearish engulfing pattern jesi lag rahi hai, lekin yeh change ho sakti hai close hone se pehle. Yeh downtrend ke continuation ka ishara de sakti hai. Yeh girawat chand dino mein shuru ho sakti hai agar price monthly resistance zone 1.1016 se neeche girti hai. Mera primary target EUR/USD ke liye downside pe monthly support range 1.0445 se 1.0541 hai. Yeh forecast is baat pe mabni hai ke hum aik prolonged sideways movement mein hain jo ke aik saal se zyada ka arsa cover karta hai. Dosri taraf, agar price support level 1.1049 se rebound karti hai, toh yeh resistance level 1.1107 ki taraf barh sakti hai. Agar yeh horizontal resistance ke upar breakout hota hai, toh upward trend resume hoga, aur resistance 1.1152 target banega. Is ke baad agla significant resistance level 1.1241 hoga.

EUR/USD pair ne Wednesday ko kya kiya? Yeh apne upward movement ko continue kiya. Din bhar mein, sirf ek report publish hui thi Nonfarm Payrolls ki annual revision ke bare mein, jo ki forecasts se bhi worse nikli. Asal mein, agar yeh expected se better bhi hoti, toh dollar phir bhi fall karta. Monday aur Tuesday ko, dollar ko macroeconomic backdrop ki zaroorat nahi thi apne decline ko sustain karne ke liye. Toh, yeh kehna mushkil nahi hai ki U.S. labor market ke ek aur weak report ne U.S. currency ko further fall kar diya. Lekin, U.S. dollar daily fall raha hai, regardless of these reports, aur correct bhi nahi kar pa raha hai. Nonfarm Payrolls report previously published reports ki correction nahi hai; yeh sirf annual figure ki adjustment hai. Market ne pehle weaker monthly reports ko account kiya, phir annual one ko, jo ki essentially same data ko reflect karta hai. Abhi traders ko sirf ek sawal puchna chahiye ki yeh relentless rise kab tak continue karega. Upside par trading easy, simple, aur convenient lagta hai, lekin sirf first glance par, kyunki traders likely samajhte hain ki euro almost out of the blue rise kar raha hai. Isliye, yeh movement kisi bhi moment par end ho sakta hai. Currency ko buy karna jab aapko nahi pata ki yeh kyun rise kar raha hai, yeh pleasant task nahi hai. Phir bhi, uptrend ke ending ke signs nahi hain, price continue rise kar sakti hai 1.1185 aur 1.1234 ke targets ke sath.
Wednesday ko, sirf ek trading signal forma hua - U.S. trading session mein 1.1137 level surpass hua. Din ke end par, euro sirf 15 pips rise kiya, lekin volatility currently low hai, aur movement one-sided hai. Yeh trade Thursday tak hold ki ja sakti hai 1.1185 ke target ke sath.

EUR/USD hourly time frame mein steady aur measured upward movement sustain kar raha hai. Last week, new U.S. inflation reports ne market ko dollar ko sell karne ka ek aur reason diya. Is week, market Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell se dovish rhetoric expect kar raha hai. Market har available opportunity ko seize kar raha hai dollar ko sell karne ke liye. Ab humare paas do ascending trendlines hain, jo ki euro ko support kar rahe hain. General mein, koi bhi indicators currently suggest nahi kar rahe hain ki uptrend end ho raha ha

**EUR/USD Analysis**

Chart D1 - EURUSD currency pair. Is baray waqt kay dauran wave structure abhi tak ascending order mein bana hua hai. MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai magar apni signal line se neechay gir raha hai, jo kay correction phase ka ishara hai. Mera khayal hai ke yeh decline abhi khatam nahi hui. Aaj hum ne neechay ki taraf movement dekhi hai aur qareebi target 1.1015 ka horizontal support level hai jo candles ki closing prices par bana hua hai, lekin ab tak yeh level touch nahi hua. Mera andaaza hai ke yeh level limit nahi hoga aur price main support level 1.0956 tak pohanchay gi, jo ke abhi bhi lagbhag 90 points ka faasla hai. Agar meri open sales hoti, toh main unhein hold karta aur 1.0956 ke qareebi level par close karta, kyun ke wahaan se ek accha upward rebound zaroor hoga. Iske ilawa, yeh level sirf daily nahi, balki weekly bhi hai, jahan se sirf rebound nahi balki aik nayi wave of growth bhi develop ho sakti hai jo ke general senior upward trend ke sath ho.

Aaj ke liye jo news note karne wali hai: 15-30 Moscow time - US Export Volume, US Import Volume, US Trade Balance. 17-00 - US Joint Open Jobs on the Labor Market (JOLTS), US Industrial Orders. Agar hum pehle neechay nahi jatay, toh is news ke nikalne par main expect karta hoon ke qareebi already mentioned level 1.1015 tak decline hoga. Doosray pairs, allies aur opponents, US dollar ke haq mein movement continue karne ka irada rakhtay hain. Market ke mutabiq, agle do dinon mein US dollar ke mazid strong hone ka imkaan hai. Do trading din guzar chukay hain magar abhi tak koi khas movement nahi hui, isliye mera khayal hai ke kisi bhi growth formation ko skip karna chahiye jab tak level 1.0955 touch nahi hota.

Aaj hum EUR/USD currency pair ki price movements ka analysis karain ge. Pehle toh yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke ascending channel abhi tak break nahi hua; chart abhi bhi trend ke andar adjust ho raha hai. Friday ka upward momentum is liye critical hai kyun ke iss se ascending channel mein growth barqarar reh sakti hai, aur 11th figure ke qareeb jo support level hai, wo buyers ke liye bohot important hai. Yeh level ascending channel ke andar akhri clear reference minimum ko represent karta hai. Agar kal ke din mein accumulation se maximum mein bara update hota, sirf kuch points ka nahi, toh ek naya minimum establish hota ascending channel mein. Magar yeh nahi hua, isliye mujhe lagta hai ke channel pressure mein hai, lekin ab tak break nahi hua. Ek rebound, preferably triangle formation ki taraf, channel ko break karna asaan kar dega aur ek solid reversal pattern establish kar dega.

Agar hum EUR/USD pair ke daily chart ka jaiza lain, toh pair kayi dinon se sideways move kar raha hai, aur aaj bhi yeh range ke andar move kar raha hai. Ab yeh dekhna hoga ke aage situation kaise develop hoti hai, yeh sideways trend continue karta hai ya koi breakout hota hai. Aaj ke technical analysis ko dekhein, toh moving averages neutral hain, lekin technical indicators strongly sell ki taraf ishara karte hain. Overall recommendation sell ki hai, lekin humein ehtiyaat se kaam lena hoga aur sahi moment ka intezaar karna hoga. Aaj US se aane wali essential news negative lean karti hai, jo ke pair ko affect kar sakti hai. 5 saal ke US Treasury notes ka auction chal raha hai, aur Euro group meeting khatam ho chuki hai, magar euro zone se koi significant news nahi aayi. Is context mein, pair downward trend karne ke chances hain, aur yeh support level ke qareeb 1.1099 tak pohanch sakta hai. Dosri taraf, ek brief rise bhi ho sakta hai resistance level ke qareeb 1.1129 tak.