Eurusd forum

EUR/USD currency pair ki qeematon ka tajziya mukhtalif pehluon se kiya ja raha hai. Abhi, euro ne apne growth targets ko weekly chart par pura kar liya hai, jo ke H4 chart par bhi nazar aate hain. Weekly time frame par gray bar buy signal ki potential ko darshata hai, jabke orange arrow maximum stop-loss aur red arrow minimum stop-loss ko indicate karte hain. Dono maximum aur minimum increments ke hone ke imkaan hain. Is waqt bechne ke mauqe nazar nahi aa rahe, isliye niche ki movement par focus nahi kiya ja sakta. Lekin, aage ke upward movement ke liye ehtiyaat zaroori hai. Weekly, H4, aur daily charts ke targets achieve ho chuke hain. H4 chart par MACD indicator ek divergence show kar raha hai, jo aage ki growth mein hesitation ko darshata hai. Euro ki recent aggressive rise bhi chinta ka sabab ban rahi hai. Green bar buy signal ke potential ko highlight karti hai aur targets ko 1.1034 par set kiya gaya hai. Yeh growth expectation aksar dekhi gayi hai. Market ne abhi tak koi significant pullback nahi diya, aur 1-to-1 ratio ka hissa bhi nahi banaya, kyunki quotes signal level 1.0906 ke thoda neeche hain. Growth targets ko hit karne ke baad ek downward impulse nazar aayi, jo traders ke liye initial reversal signal ban sakti hai.

Is waqt, aggressive growth ek wedge pattern bana rahi hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke agla upper bound update ho. Lower boundary teen bar touch ho chuki hai aur support kar rahi hai. Daily aur H4 levels ke goals achieve ho chuke hain, isliye ab weekly target par focus karna waqt ki baat hai. Ehtiyaat baratna zaroori hai, kyunki market ki recent movement aur indicators ke madde nazar, aage ka direction clear nahi

Monthly trading period ke liye market conditions ko bullish monitor kiya gaya hai. Yeh analysis 4-hour timeframe par moving average indicator ko refer karta hai, jahan trend abhi bhi bullish hai, aur indicator ka slope upar ki taraf point karna shuru ho gaya hai. Price ke paas dobara rise karne ka moka hai aur Uptrend ko continue karne ka bhi. Buyers ke paas upward momentum ko maintain karne ya market ko kal tak dominate karne ka moka hai. EurUsd chart par, ek bullish travel pattern ko monitor kiya gaya hai jo pichlay hafte ke trading period se shuru hua tha. Mujhe lagta hai ke buyer shayad 100 period ki simple moving average line ke upar price ko maintain karne mein kamyab ho sakta hai. Pichlay hafte ka market trend abhi bhi bullish tha, aur is haftay bhi lagta hai ke buyers apni koshish mein kamyab rahe hain aur market ko control kar rahe hain.
Pichlay hafte ke bullish market situation se li gayi technical analysis ke mutabiq, is haftay ka izafa bhi aglay dino mein trend par asar daal sakta hai, is liye meri rai mein shayad bullish trend is haftay ke akhir tak continue rahe. Lekin agar price ko aur upar jana hai, to buyers ko 1.1202 ke price zone ko break karne ke liye struggle karna hoga. Technically, trading plans ke liye market mein Buy position open karna behtar lagta hai jab tak price 100 period ki simple moving average line ke upar chal rahi hai.

Kyunkay buyer sellers ki koshish ko nakaam bana sakte hain jo price ko lower zone mein le jana chahte hain, aisa lagta hai ke candlestick ko higher price zone par le jane ki koshish ho rahi hai. Candlestick ka position pichlay haftay ke highest area ke kareeb hai, meri rai mein yeh indication hai ke market ke paas izafa continue karne ka moka hai. Shakhsan, main umeed kar raha hoon ke market dobara upar jaye aur apna bullish safar jari rakhe. Aise mauqe par, technical analysis ke natije ke mutabiq Buy position par focus karna comfortable lagta hai

Monthly trading period ke liye market conditions ko bullish monitor kiya gaya hai. Yeh analysis 4-hour timeframe par moving average indicator ko refer karta hai, jahan trend abhi bhi bullish hai, aur indicator ka slope upar ki taraf point karna shuru ho gaya hai. Price ke paas dobara rise karne ka moka hai aur Uptrend ko continue karne ka bhi. Buyers ke paas upward momentum ko maintain karne ya market ko kal tak dominate karne ka moka hai. EurUsd chart par, ek bullish travel pattern ko monitor kiya gaya hai jo pichlay hafte ke trading period se shuru hua tha. Mujhe lagta hai ke buyer shayad 100 period ki simple moving average line ke upar price ko maintain karne mein kamyab ho sakta hai. Pichlay hafte ka market trend abhi bhi bullish tha, aur is haftay bhi lagta hai ke buyers apni koshish mein kamyab rahe hain aur market ko control kar rahe hain. Pichlay hafte ke bullish market situation se li gayi technical analysis ke mutabiq, is haftay ka izafa bhi aglay dino mein trend par asar daal sakta hai, is liye meri rai mein shayad bullish trend is haftay ke akhir tak continue rahe. Lekin agar price ko aur upar jana hai, to buyers ko 1.1202 ke price zone ko break karne ke liye struggle karna hoga. Technically, trading plans ke liye market mein Buy position open karna behtar lagta hai jab tak price 100 period ki simple moving average line ke upar chal rahi hai.

Kyunkay buyer sellers ki koshish ko nakaam bana sakte hain jo price ko lower zone mein le jana chahte hain, aisa lagta hai ke candlestick ko higher price zone par le jane ki koshish ho rahi hai. Candlestick ka position pichlay haftay ke highest area ke kareeb hai, meri rai mein yeh indication hai ke market ke paas izafa continue karne ka moka hai. Shakhsan, main umeed kar raha hoon ke market dobara upar jaye aur apna bullish safar jari rakhe. Aise mauqe par, technical analysis ke natije ke mutabiq Buy position par focus karna comfortable lagta hai

Forex Trading: EUR/USD Prices

Humari discussion mein, hum EUR/USD currency pair ki price ka tazkira karenge. Reading session jo kay kaafi dynamic rahi, Asian session ke dauran decline se shuru hui jo din bhar jaari rahi. Maine aksar EUR/USD pair ko observe kiya, doosre primary currency trades par focus karte hue. Pehle, maine kuch key levels mark kiye the, 1.1134 per, jahan se ek chhota sa rebound dekhne ko mila, aur support level 1.1109 per, jahan price aakhir kaar settle hui. Yeh support level pehle bhi naye growth phases ka sabab bana hai. Mujhe yakeen nahi ke current levels kisi resurgence growth ki taraf layenge, magar mujhe shak hai ke yeh downward trend asaan hoga. Yeh pair mumkin hai ke kal US GDP data release hone tak sideways move karega. Kal ke GDP data release se situation mazeed pechida ho sakti hai, aur Jumma ke din ki monthly candle ka closing bhi volatility laa sakta hai. Main abhi bhi ehtiyaat se kaam le raha hoon, aur 1.1099 se neeche break hone ka intezar kar raha hoon taa ke mazeed aggressive selling opportunities consider karoon.

Upward momentum ko continue rakhne ke liye, buyers ko EUR/USD quotes ko resistance levels 1.1150 aur 1.1166 ke upar push karna hoga. Agar aisa hota hai, tou euro-dollar pair agay badh kar aglay resistance 1.1238 tak pohanch sakta hai. Lekin agar pair ek potential pullback ke dauran 1.1116 ko hold karne mein naakam hota hai, tou yeh downward movement ko wapas se shuru kar sakta hai, aur ascending fan ke central corner aur 1.1059 level ki taraf ja sakta hai. Yahan se, price ya tou upward rebound kar sakti hai ya phir decline karte hue support level 1.1007 aur mumkin hai ke 1.0991 tak gir jaaye. Aaj ki trading khatam hotay waqt, kisi significant tabdeeli ki umeed nahi, aur din mumkin hai sellers ke haq mein band ho. Magar aaj ki candle ka exact volume abhi bhi namaloom hai. Bears ne apni taqat dikhayi hai, khas kar jab pair 11th figure ko hold karne mein naakam raha.

, EUR/USD pair dosray musalsal din ke liye selling pressure mein raha, lekin Australian trading session ke aghaz mein 1.1120 ke critical level ke upar rehne mein kamiyab raha. Ye decline zyada tar US Dollar (USD) ki recent buying ki waja se hai. Magar traders ko yeh andaza lagane se pehle ehtiyaat baratni chahiye ke 1.1200 ke psychological level se pullback poore hafta jaari rahega.

EUR/USD ke Fundamentals:

Aane wala inflation data bohot ahmiyat rakhta hai, ye tay karega ke European Central Bank (ECB) ke mazeed rate cuts par market ka speculation jaiz hai ya nahi. ECB ne June mein apni policy-easing cycle ka aghaz kiya tha, lekin July mein rate cut implement karne se parheiz kiya, is khauf se ke aggressive monetary easing inflationary pressures ko aur barha sakta hai. Mojooda forecasts yeh suggest karte hain ke annual headline aur core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP)—jo ke food, energy, alcohol, aur tobacco jese volatile items ko exclude karta hai—2.4% aur 2.8% tak decelerate hone ki umeed hai.

Kamzor German economic performance ne business sentiment par negative asar dala hai. German IFO Business Climate index, jo ke mojooda economic conditions aur mustaqbil ke expectations ka aik ahm measure hai, July mein 87 tak gir gaya, jabke umeed thi ke yeh June ke 88.6 se barh kar 88.9 hoga. Expectations index bhi unexpectedly 86.9 tak gir gaya, jo ke estimated 89.0 se kam hai aur pehle ke revised reading 88.8 se bhi neechay hai.

Chaar ghantay ka Technical Outlook:

Pair 2024 mein dominate karne wale descending channel ke upper range mein navigate kar raha hai. Halanke pair recent technical resistance levels ke bahar trade kar raha hai, bullish momentum abhi bhi kamzor hai aur price 1.1150 ke upar break karne mein mushkilat ka samna kar raha hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.00-80.00 range mein move karne ki koshish kar raha hai; agar RSI 60.00 ke upar rehata hai, to yeh bullish momentum ki taraf shift ki nishani ho sakta hai.



Daily candlestick charts par higher lows ka pattern nazar aa raha hai, jo ke EUR/USD ke liye kuch support suggest karta hai. Magar agar buyers dobara engage nahi hotay aur pair ko new near-term highs tak push nahi karte, to yeh 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke aas paas 1.1127 ko dobara dekh sakta hai. Agar current downtrend jaari rehta hai, to yeh level critical support provide kar sakta hai.

USD Main aapki tawajjo M15 time frame ke linear regression channel ki taraf dilwana chahta hoon, jo ke upwards slope kar raha hai, aur ye buyers ke trend ka izhar kar raha hai. Is beech bears bhi apni activity dikha rahe hain, jo price ko neeche push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Main observe kar raha hoon ke price 1.09196 se neeche break kar rahi hai, jo channel ki lower boundary 1.09228 ke bahar hai, aur ye 1.09095 tak ke possible decline ka signal de sakta hai. Lekin, ye bhi worth noting hai ke 1.09095 ke level par buyers ki taraf se sellers ko strong resistance face karna par sakta hai. Analysis suggest karta hai ke 1.09095 tak sell kiya ja sakta hai, lekin main recommend karta hoon ke is level par positions close kar den ya at least order ko breakeven par secure kar len. Jaise ke hamesha, ehtiyaat aur proper risk management successful trading ke key principles hain!

Mera strategic goal hai ke main downtrend par position hold karun aur 1.09095 ke level par barrier ko break karun. Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke hourly channel ke position ko bhi madde nazar rakha jaye kyunki yeh downward movement ko limit kar sakta hai. Isliye, main sabhi risks ko consider karta hoon aur necessary analysis conduct karta hoon taake losses ko protect aur minimize kiya ja sake.

Hourly chart par, linear regression channel bhi upwards slope kar raha hai, jo buyers ki strength ko dikhata hai jo market par dominate kar rahe hain. Is case mein, H1 channel M15 se zyada significance rakhta hai. Agar channel ki lower boundary 1.09095 tak pohanchi, to yeh ek strong buyer ka izhar ho sakta hai. Filhal, M15 par linear regression ek correction suggest karta hai, jiske baad bulls zyada active ho sakte hain. Agar market 1.09095 ke level par hold karta hai, to yeh ek buying opportunity ho sakti hai, jo ek accha idea ho sakta hai. Target 1.09425 ka hoga. Is target ko achieve karne ke baad, agar koi active seller 1.09425 ke level par appear hota hai to market ka direction bearish ho sakta hai. Agar price 1.09095 ke neeche break kar jata hai, to yeh selling ka signal ho sakta hai, kyunki yeh trend reversal ka indication de sakta hai.

Ab hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price fluctuations ka tajziya karenge. Friday ko, humne EUR/USD pair ko H1 time frame par trade kiya tha planned sideways movement ke andar, jo ke 9th din se qaim hai. Jaise expect kiya gaya tha, humne weekend se pehle is sideways pattern se exit nahi kiya, aur Monday ko yeh range mein hi continue karega. Lekin, Tuesday aur Wednesday tak, jab economic calendar active ho jayega, tab hum consolidation se break dekh sakte hain. Critical sawal yeh hai ke market kis direction mein move karega, lekin breakout direction ko predict karna mushkil hai kyunki theoretically yeh dono taraf ho sakta hai. Attached chart potential targets ko illustrate karta hai is movement ke liye. Yeh predict karna challenging hai ke EUR/USD pair ka upcoming trading week mein kis taraf break hoga, especially given ke resistance ka narrow range, jo ke 1.0966 aur 1.0947 ke beech identify kiya gaya hai, iski recent decline ke darmiyan.

Lekin, agar price is range ke upar stabilize ho jati hai, to bulls ko ek fresh local maximum ki taraf drive kar sakti hai. Main estimate karta hoon ke dono scenarios ke liye 50% chance hai, halaan ke main thoda bullish outcome ki taraf lean karta hoon. Price mein lower boundary of the triangle, jo ke minimum level 1.0449 ke ird gird hai, tak retreat karne ka potential hai. Iske bawajood, upside breakout zyada feasible lag raha hai. Price current upper boundary ko break karne ya neeche move karne ki koshish kar sakti hai, halaan ke ab tak lower boundary tak nahi pohnchi. Isliye , main maximum ko update karne ki possibility 1.1009 tak rule out nahi kar sakta. U.S. Dollar Index ko dekhte hue, weakening ke signs zahir hain. Hum index mein further

EUR/USD pair ne Wednesday ko set kiye gaye new high 1.1175 se decline kiya hai 1.1130 par, jab US Dollar (USD) rise hua lekin 2024 ke new low ke qareeb reh gaya. Central currency pair thoda down trade kar raha hai 1.1130 par. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo US dollar ki value ko measures karta hai six other major currencies ke relative, ab 101.00 par trade kar raha hai.
Federal Reserve (Fed) September mein interest rates ko lower karne ki track par hai, US dollar ke liye prognosis abhi bhi bleak hai. Is move se, Fed apni first dovish interest rate decision ko almost four years mein kar raha hai. March 2022 se, US central bank ne tight monetary policy ko pursue kiya hai inflation ko reduce karne ke liye.

Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes July 30-31 policy meeting se indicate karte hain ki "vast majority" Fed officials September mein policy-easing ko appropriate samajhte hain, given continued easing inflationary pressures. Yeh market speculation ko strengthen karta hai Fed interest rate cuts ke liye.

FOMC minutes ne bhi reveal kiya ki some decision-makers July se interest rates ko lower karne ke liye prepared the. Investors Fed Chair Jerome Powell ki address ko watch karenge Jackson Hole (JH) Symposium mein Friday ko 14:00 GMT se, interest rates ki direction ke liye clues ke liye. Woh September ke interest rate decreases ki extent aur Fed is year ke potential reductions ke hints bhi dhoondenge.

Investors US flash S&P Global PMI data ko watch karenge August ke liye Thursday ko 13:45 GMT se release hone ke liye. Preliminary PMI data se anticipate kiya ja raha hai ki July mein Composite PMI 54.3 se 53.5 par gir gaya.

Price Evaluation

Investors ki attention Fed Powell ki address par focused hai JH Symposium mein Friday ko, EUR/USD pair Wednesday ke trading range mein trade kar raha hai. Main currency pair year-to-date high 1.1775 par trade kar raha hai, isliye anticipate kiya ja raha hai ki woh apni four-day winning streak ko extend karega. Standard currency pair ne previously momentum gain kiya hai daily time frame breakout ke channel formation se. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) short-to-long-term trend ko indicate kar rahe hain, upward pointing. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) upward solid momentum ko indicate karta hai, bullish region 60.00–80.00 mein oscillating. Leki momentum indicator overbought zone mein hai, corrective downturn ki probability zyada hai.

Roman Urdu mein:

Main ne 1.1131 level par focus kiya aur apne trading decisions ko is par base kiya. 5-minute chart ko dekhne ke liye, yeh dekhte hain ki kya hua. Upward movement hua, lekin 1.1131 level par false breakout nahi hua, so mere paas koi entry points nahi the.

EUR/USD par Long Positions Kholne Ke Liye:

Eurozone statistics ki lack aur euro ki recent overbought condition market ko trend continue karne se rok rahi hai. FOMC meeting minutes ka release second half of the day mein expected hai. Is document se kuch naya reveal hone ki ummeed nahi hai, so dollar ko sell karne aur euro ko buy karne ka outlook hai, lekin yeh actions highly unbalanced market mein li jani chahiye, kyunki volatility return karne ki ummeed nahi hai.

Current conditions mein, euro ki overbought condition ke saath, decline par act karna best hai aur 1.1102 support level par false breakout ke baad, jahan moving averages hain, bulls ko favor karte hain. Yeh long positions kholne ke liye favorable condition hoga, anticipating further euro growth aur bullish trend ko strengthen karne ke liye.





EUR/USD par Short Positions Kholne Ke Liye:

Sirf very hawkish FOMC minutes release hi euro sellers ko pair mein correction karne ki chance dega, jo ki long overdue hai. Euro growth ki attempts mein, main sellers ko 1.1131 resistance level par expect karta hoon, jahan hum first half of the day mein nahi pahuche. False breakout yahan short positions kholne ka reason hoga, targeting decline towards 1.1102 support

Chaliye, H4 period chart par Eurusd ke trading instrument ko dekhte hain. Is haftay EUR/USD ne pichlay haftay ke mazboot izafay ko correct kiya, jo dollar ki taqat mein izafay ki wajah se hua. Ye surat-e-haal zyada tezi se barhnay wali US economy ki growth ki wajah se paida hui. Doosri taraf, US mein mahngai (inflation) bhi ab tak qabil-e-qabool had tak mustahkam hai, jo ke guzishtah mahine jaise hi hai. Is ka sabab yeh hai ke afrad ka kharcha barh gaya hai kyun ke unki aamdani mein izafa hua hai. Dosri taraf, European Union mein mahngai ki raftar slow ho gayi hai aur ab 2% ke qareeb pohanch rahi hai. Is wajah se European Central Bank (ECB) agle mahine dobara se sood ki shara (interest rate) kam kar sakta hai. Wahan dosri taraf, Federal Reserve (Fed) is taraqqi par ehtiyaat se kaam ley ga.



Ye surat-e-haal ECB aur Fed ke darmiyan sood ki sharoon mein zyada farq paida kar sakti hai, jo ke euro ko kamzor karne ka ba-ais banay gi. Kam az kam tab tak jab tak market ko dono central banks ke faislay ka yaqeen nahi ho jata jo agle mahine liya jay ga. Iss soorat mein, technically, EUR/USD par dabao ne triangle area mein wapas khinchnay ki potential rakhti hai, khas tor par agar yeh SMA200 aur SMA5 ke dynamic support ko weekly period mein tor de, jo ke 1.10618 aur 1.10228 ke price range mein hain. Isliye, agar daily basis par price ka pressure RBS area ko 1.10417 ke price par tor deta hai, to ye triangle area mein pullback ka moqa faraham kare ga. Wahan dosri taraf, agar support se ooper hi pressure reject ho jata hai, to ye wapas ooper bounce karne ke imkaanat hain. Is tarah ye SMA5 ke dynamic resistance ke taraf 1.11204 ke price range mein gap ko close karne ki potential rakhta hai. Magar agar yeh support ke neeche hi rehta hai, to ye zahir karta hai ke price pressure barqarar rahay ga. Khas tor par agar SMA5 aur SMA10 ke curves ne neeche ki taraf intersect kar diya hai. Iss tara, ye surat-e-haal is baat ki tasdeeq karay gi ke trend mein bearish potential hai. Wahan doosri taraf, agar yeh asal mein SMA5 ke curve se ooper bounce karne mein kaamyab ho jata hai, to is mein 1.12124 ke price par inside bar pattern ke aathween projection tak retrace karne ka moqa ho ga.

Intraday details yeh dikhati hain ke pressure ab tak H4 time frame mein SMA100 ke dynamic support ke zariye reject ho raha hai aur market oversold condition mein hai. Is liye, agar yeh support ko torne mein nakam rehta hai, to yeh dynamic resistance of SMA50 ki taraf wapas bounce karne ki potential rakhta hai. Khas tor par agar yeh dynamic resistance of SMA5 aur SMA10 ko tor kar ooper jata hai aur unka curve upwards intersect ho jata hai. Dosri taraf, agar yeh dono curves ke neeche hi rehta hai aur SMA100 ke dynamic support ko tor deta hai, to ye mazeed decline ki potential ko dynamic support of SMA200 tak barhane ka moqa deta hai. Khas tor par agar yeh flip area ko 1.10339 se 1.10226 ke price par torne mein kaamyab ho jata hai.

EUR/USD

Yeh behas EUR/USD ki qeemat ke rawaiye ka tazkirah karti hai. Hum abhi 1.1224 ke level par hain, jahan se rebound ho sakta hai aur bechnay ka mauqa mil sakta hai. Lekin hum dhehan se dekhenge ke market kaise khulta hai, kyun ke Hezbollah ke Israel par hamlay ke sabab se bearish price gap ka imkaan hai. Iske bawajood, Monday ko 1.1134 tak girawat ki bhi gunjaish hai. Yeh abhi tak tay nahi hai ke yeh izafa 1.1224 se upar jaye ga, khaaskar jab yeh saal ka sab se uncha level bhi nahi hai. Aisa izafa, sirf umeedon par mabni hai, jismain na to Amreeka ki achi soorat-e-haal shamil hai aur na hi Europe ki buree khabarain, yeh sab spekulative lagta hai. Bherhal, yeh speculation zyada der tak ke liye hai. Guzishta hafta, EUR/USD ne ooper ki taraf izafa kiya.

Jackson Hole mein Salana Economic Symposium ke douran Powell ke remarks kaafi mushkil nazar aate hain. Magar Powell dono taraf ki parties ko khush karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, Democrats aur Republicans dono ko.




Republicans ko ek kamzor dollar ki zaroorat hai business mafadaat ke liye. Mujhe shak hai ke U.S. dollar shayad aakhri baar neeche ki taraf jaye (lekin yeh meri khwahish bhi ho sakti hai ke yeh 1.1000 se neeche gir jaye). ECB ne pichli dafa rate cut kiya tha, aur mazeed cuts ki bhi guftagu ho rahi hai. Bank of England ne bhi ek cut kiya, jab ke Fed ne koi tabdeeli nahi ki. Lekin dollar dabao mein hai rate cut ki umeedon ki wajah se, jo ke bahaar ke mausam mein shuru hua tha jab rate pehli dafa nahi hua tha. June mein ek girawat ki tawaqqo thi, jis ki wajah se dollar bechne ka silsila shuru ho gaya tha, aur ab tawajjo September par hai. Powell ke Friday ke remarks ne in umeedon ko tasdeeq kiya, halaan ke unhon ne wazeh tor par nahi kaha. Maahiron ne isko mumkin rate cut ke tor par samjha hai, jo ke aik achi khabar hogi kiyonke is se sab tawajjo maashi ashariyon par lag sakegi. Monday ke liye trading range 1.1224 aur 1.1134 ke darmiyan hai.

EUR/USD Pair Ki Technical Analysis

1-hour chart par, EUR/USD ki qeemat ab gir rahi hai jab ke woh ek resistance area ka saamna kar rahi hai, jo ke weekly pivot level aur upper blue channel line hai.

Aaj, qeemat ne trading shuru ki hai girti hui channels ke andar, jo ke pichlay do trading dino ke douran harakat ki simt ko darsha rahi hain. Surkh channel ko tod kar qeemat ne blue channel line ki taraf rukh kiya, jis ki wajah se izafa ruka aur ab ek sideways area ki tashkeel hui hai. Tawaqqo hai ke qeemat wapas uthe gi aur weekly pivot level ko break karne ki koshish karegi, saath hi blue channel ko bhi. Is soorat mein, mazeed izafa ki umeed hai, aur mumkin hai ke qeemat ke pivot level aur blue channel ke upar stable honay ke baad khareedari ki jaye.

Dosra imkaan yeh hai ke agar upar jaane ki koshish nakam hoti hai, toh sale mein shamil hona mumkin hai jab qeemat chart par mukarrar ki gayi safed line ko todti hai.

Iqtisadi soorat-e-haal ki baat ki jaye toh euro ne Group of Ten ki doosri badi currencies ke saath milkar faida uthaya hai is umeed mein ke Federal Reserve September mein Amreeki sood ki sharaah mein kami karega. Yeh umeedain Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ke halia Jackson Hole Symposium mein bayan se mazeed mazboot ho gayi hain, jahan unhon ne kaha ke "ab waqt aa gaya hai" amal karne ka.




Tajziya kaarne walay is baat ki taraf ishara karte hain ke EUR/USD ka izafa eurozone ki kamzor buniyadi soorat-e-haal ke bawajood hai, jis ko iss haftay German GDP ke adad-o-shumar ne wazeh kiya hai, jo ke yeh batatay hain ke is ilaqay ki sab se bari maashiat ne doosray quarter mein quarter-on-quarter 0.1% ki tanazul dekhi hai. German Ifo survey ne dikhaya ke halat August mein mazeed bigar gaye, aur September ke liye German consumer confidence bhi tawaqqo ke khilaf gir gayi. Teesray quarter ke survey data ke muqable mein doosray quarter ke mukablay mein tanazul se Germany mein shallow recession ka risk barh raha hai. Iske saath-saath, guzishta haftay eurozone PMI data ke jaari honay se eurozone ke companies ke hawalay se ayeindah ke liye soorat-e-haal bigarti nazar aa rahi hai, jis se aane wale maheenon mein slow down ka ishara mil raha hai.

EUR/USD

EUR/USD ne Wednesday ko apne haaliye izafat ko trim kiya, aur saal ke naye highs par pohanchne ke baad neeche ki taraf aaya hai. Yeh broad-market ki tawajjo Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September mein rate cut ke imkaan par hai, jis ne market ke risk appetite ko upar tak pohanchaye rakha hai.

Trading week ke darmiyani hisson mein maashi calendar mein kuch khaas nahi hai, lekin Thursday ko Amreeki GDP (Gross Domestic Product) ke figures ka update aayega, jis par sab ki nazar rahegi. Yahan bhi kuch zyada harkat ki tawaqqo nahi hai kyun ke markets ne aam tor par Q2 ke annualized GDP growth ko lagbhag 2.8% par stable hone ke liye price-in kiya hua hai.

Friday ka data docket bhi markets ke liye boredom ki soorat-e-haal paida kar sakta hai, jab ke Europe mein subah subah pan-EU Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) inflation ke naye figures aayenge. Tawakkho hai ke core EU HICP inflation har maidan mein girawat dekha rahi hai, aur August mein YoY 2.8% par chaapne ki umeed hai, jab ke pichlay chaapne mein yeh 2.9% tha.

EUR/USD ne 1.1107 par maujood aham Fibo support se wapas uthaan li hai, jaisay ke US Dollar ke bechne mein nayi lehar dekhi ja rahi hai. Risk aversion aur German inflation aur US GDP se pehle ki pareshani is pair ke izafa ko mahdoob kar sakti hai.

Rozana technical setup nazdeek mustaqbil ke liye EUR/USD ke liye mazboot nazar aata hai. EUR/USD ne Thursday ki subah wapas green zone mein dastak di hai, Wednesday ki sakht sell-off ka kuch hissa reverse karte hue. Lekin aagay ki taraf izafa mushkil nazar aata hai agar risk aversion barhta hai aur US Dollar (USD) ki safe-haven demand ko dobara zinda karta hai.

Markets ehtiyaat ke saath trade kar rahe hain, Nvidia, jo ke ek Amreeki AI giant hai, ke disappointing sales forecast ke baad aur is haftay ke top-tier economic data ke jaari honay ki pareshani ke darmiyan.

Germany apne ibtedai inflation data ko publish karne ke liye tayyar hai jab ke Amreeki calendar mein Thursday ko GDP ka dusra estimate bhi shaamil hoga.

Short-term technical perspective se dekha jaye toh, EUR/USD ka uptrend tab tak barqarar rahega jab tak 1.1107 ka support mazbooti se thaamta rahega. Yeh level August rally ke 23.6% Fibonacci Retracement (Fibo) level ke barabar hai jo 1.0775 se 1.1202 tak hui thi, jo ke 13 saal ka high hai.

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 se upar mazbooti se qaim hai, abhi 63 ke qareeb hai, jo major ki bullish potential ko darshaata hai.

1.1150 ke psychological level se upar ki taraf rozana close hone ki zaroorat hai taake saal ke top ko jo ke 1.1200 se thoda upar hai, usay dobara test kiya ja sake. Isse pehle, Wednesday ka high 1.1186 bearish commitments ko challenge kar sakta hai.

Dusri taraf, agar 23.6% Fibo support 1.1107 se neeche ka sustainable break hota hai, toh girawat ka rukh 38.2% Fibo level ki taraf khul sakta hai, jo ke 1.1045 par aligned hai.




EUR/USD ke khareedaar phir turant support 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) par 1.1026 par dhoondhenge. Mazeed girawat se 1.1000 ke round level ko rokne mein mushkil paida ho sakti hai.

EUR/USD Ka Haal

Thursday ki subah, yeh pair lagataar doosray din bhi selling pressure mein raha, lekin Australian trading session ke douran yeh 1.1120 ke aham level se upar rehne mein kamyab raha. Yeh girawat zyada tar US Dollar (USD) ki haaliye khareedari ki wajah se hai. Lekin traders ko ehtiyaat baratni chahiye is se pehle ke woh samjhein ke 1.1200 ke psychological level se pullback poore haftay jari rahega.

EUR/USD Ke Buniyadi Asbaab:

Aane wala inflation data ye faisla karnay mein aham hoga ke kya European Central Bank (ECB) ke mazeed rate cuts ke hawalay se market ki speculation durust hai ya nahi. ECB ne June mein apna policy-easing cycle shuru kiya tha, lekin July mein rate cut nahi kiya, is khauf se ke aggresive monetary easing se mehngai ke dabao mein mazeed izafa ho sakta hai. Moujooda forecast se yeh lagta hai ke saal ke headline aur core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP)—jo ke ghair mustaqil items jaisay ke khoraak, urja, sharab, aur tambaku ko shamil nahi karta—mein kami aa sakti hai aur yeh mutawatar taur par 2.4% aur 2.8% tak ger sakti hai.

Kamzor German maashi performance ne business sentiment ko manfi taur par mutasir kiya hai. German IFO Business Climate index, jo ke halat-e-hazra aur aanay walay waqt ke tawaqqoat ko napta hai, July mein gir kar 87 par aa gaya, jab ke tawaqqu thi ke yeh June ke 88.6 se barh kar 88.9 ho jaye ga. Expectations index bhi tawaqqo ke baraks gir kar 86.9 par aa gaya, jo ke 89.0 ki pehlay se estimate ki gayi shara se kam tha, jab ke pichla reading bhi 89.0 se revise ho kar 88.8 par aa gaya tha.

Chaar Ghantay Ke Waqt Ka Technical Outlook:

Yeh pair 2024 ke dauran apni harkat par haawi ek descending channel ke upper range mein navigate karta nazar aata hai. Yeh pair abhi haaliye technical resistance levels se thora bahar trade kar raha hai, lekin bullish momentum abhi bhi kamzor hai, aur qeemat ko 1.1150 ke upar jaane mein mushkil ho rahi hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.00-80.00 ke range mein move karne ki koshish kar raha hai; agar RSI 60.00 se upar rehta hai, toh yeh bullish momentum ki taraf shift ki nishani ho sakta hai.




Daily candlestick charts par higher lows ka pattern saamne aa raha hai, jo ke EUR/USD ke liye kuch support darshata hai. Lekin agar buyers dobara market mein nahi aate aur pair ko naye near-term highs ki taraf nahi le jate, toh yeh 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb 1.1127 par wapas ja sakta hai. Yeh level aham support faraham kar sakta hai agar moujooda downtrend jari rehta hai.

analysis aur trading plan kaafi comprehensive aur insightful hai. Aapne market ki bullish trend aur moving average indicator ki upward slope ko achi tarah se analyze kiya hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke aap har waqt market ki current situation aur trends ko dekhte rahain, aur apne trading decisions ko un insights ke mutabiq adjust karte rahain.

Market ke bullish hone ka matlab hai ke buyers ka control zyada hai aur price upward momentum dikhati hai. Moving average indicator ka upward slope is baat ka zikar kar raha hai ke short-term trend positive hai aur price ko upar barhne ka potential hai. Is waqt EUR/USD ke chart par bullish pattern dekhne ko mil raha hai jo pichle haftay se bullish raha hai, isse yeh suggest hota hai ke trend continue ho sakta hai.

Agar buyers 1.1202 ke price zone ko break kar lete hain, to yeh bullish trend ko support karega. Jab tak price simple moving average line (period 100) ke upar hai, aapki buy position kholna ek strategic move hai. Aapne yeh bhi sahi kaha ke buyers ne sellers ke efforts ko roknay mein kamyabi hasil ki hai, jo bullish trend ko support karta hai.

Candlestick patterns ke analysis ke zariye aapne market ke current behavior ko accurately gauge kiya hai. Agar candlestick patterns pichle haftay ke highest area ke qareeb hain, to yeh bullish trend ko further support karta hai. Yeh bhi zaroori hai ke aap stop-loss aur risk management strategies ko bhi apne trading plan mein shamil karein, taake unexpected market movements se bach sakein.

Aapka trading plan technical analysis aur market trends par mabni hai jo aapke analysis ko justify karta hai. Har waqt market updates aur news ko follow karna na bhoolain, kyunki kabhi kabhi economic events aur global developments bhi market trends ko impact kar sakte hain. Overall, aapka plan sound hai aur agar market conditions wahi rehti hain, to aapka bullish trend ko continue karne ka expectation sahi lag raha

analysis aur trading plan kaafi comprehensive aur insightful hai. Aapne market ki bullish trend aur moving average indicator ki upward slope ko achi tarah se analyze kiya hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke aap har waqt market ki current situation aur trends ko dekhte rahain, aur apne trading decisions ko un insights ke mutabiq adjust karte rahain.

Market ke bullish hone ka matlab hai ke buyers ka control zyada hai aur price upward momentum dikhati hai. Moving average indicator ka upward slope is baat ka zikar kar raha hai ke short-term trend positive hai aur price ko upar barhne ka potential hai. Is waqt EUR/USD ke chart par bullish pattern dekhne ko mil raha hai jo pichle haftay se bullish raha hai, isse yeh suggest hota hai ke trend continue ho sakta hai.

Agar buyers 1.1202 ke price zone ko break kar lete hain, to yeh bullish trend ko support karega. Jab tak price simple moving average line (period 100) ke upar hai, aapki buy position kholna ek strategic move hai. Aapne yeh bhi sahi kaha ke buyers ne sellers ke efforts ko roknay mein kamyabi hasil ki hai, jo bullish trend ko support karta hai.

Candlestick patterns ke analysis ke zariye aapne market ke current behavior ko accurately gauge kiya hai. Agar candlestick patterns pichle haftay ke highest area ke qareeb hain, to yeh bullish trend ko further support karta hai. Yeh bhi zaroori hai ke aap stop-loss aur risk management strategies ko bhi apne trading plan mein shamil karein, taake unexpected market movements se bach sakein.

Aapka trading plan technical analysis aur market trends par mabni hai jo aapke analysis ko justify karta hai. Har waqt market updates aur news ko follow karna na bhoolain, kyunki kabhi kabhi economic events aur global developments bhi market trends ko impact kar sakte hain. Overall, aapka plan sound hai aur agar market conditions wahi rehti hain, to aapka bullish trend ko continue karne ka expectation sahi lag raha