یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

Hamari EUR/USD currency pair ke analysis ke mutabiq, is waqt market mein kuch challenges aur opportunities dono mojood hain. EUR/USD ne ahem price levels, jaise ke 1.0979 aur 1.099, ko chhoo liya hai aur in par se guzri hai. Lekin, 1.099 ke upar break karna shayad ek false signal tha, kyunki pair ne consistently is level ko maintain nahi kiya.

Bhawajood is potential false breakout ke, EUR/USD ka primary trend abhi bhi upward hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke market sentiment ab bhi long positions ke haq mein hai. Yeh upward trend market ke important initiatives se support ho raha hai, jo buyers ke dominance ko indicate karta hai. Magar, recent price action kuch complexities ko saamne laata hai jo trading decisions lene se pehle ghor karna zaroori hai.

Aaj, U.S. dollar ne thodi izafa dekhaya, lekin uske baad wapis pullback kiya lekin phir bhi 1.089 level ke upar raha. Yeh pullback kisi significant drop mein nahi badla, jo ke situation ko ambiguous banata hai. Current price level yeh suggest karta hai ke naye transactions initiate karna is waqt theek nahi hoga, kyunki market kis taraf bhi ja sakta hai. Lekin agar price phir se 1.0979 ke upar chali jati hai, toh yeh ek selling opportunity ho sakti hai, khas tor par is liye ke is scenario mein stop-loss bohot minimal hoga, jo risk ko kam karega.

Current price action yeh hint karta hai ke EUR/USD pair mein agle trading hours ke doran girawat aa sakti hai. Is liye, is waqt buying consider karte hue ehtiyaat lazmi hai. Indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke pair downward pressure face kar sakti hai, jo ke long positions ke liye unfavorable environment banata hai. Is stage par behtar yeh hoga ke clear signals ka intezar karein, ya agar price 1.0979 level ko dobara hit kare, toh selling consider karein.

In conclusion, jab ke overall trend EUR/USD ke liye upward hai, recent price action yeh dikhata hai ke market ek critical juncture par hai. Traders ko ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye, impulsive buying se bachna chahiye aur agar price key resistance levels ko dobara hit kare toh selling ke liye tayar rehna chahiye. Price movements aur market signals ko closely monitor kar ke, traders informed decisions le sakte hain aur current market environment ke complexities ko behtar tor se navigate kar sakte hain.

EUR/USD ki Technical Analysis: Pichlay trading hafta, Euro ne 1.0926 ka mark break kiya magar mazeed aage barhne mein nakam raha aur apne tamam gains kho diye, support area mein mazid strong hotay hue. Is tarah se expected development scenario poora nahi ho saka kyun ke target territory tak nahi pohonch saka aur abhi bhi kaam kar raha hai. Is darmiyan, price chart super trendy green zone mein rehta hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke buyers abhi bhi control mein hain.

In data ne market mein optimism ko barhaya, jis se US stocks mein izafa hua. US dollar index Euro ki qeemat ke muqable mein 102.70 points tak gir gaya, jo ke 1.10159 points ke qareeb tha. Aaj ke trading din mein, Euro ne maximum 1.10169 points tak pohoncha, jab ke minimum 1.0992 points tha. Yeh data Federal Reserve ke qareebi rate cut ka rasta kholti hai aur yeh expectations barha sakti hai ke Fed apni September meeting mein rate cuts shuru karega.
news ab bhi ek ahem factor hai jo ke Euro ki trajectory ko affect kar sakta hai. Consensus yeh expect kar raha hai ke US ka CPI 0.2% se barhay ga, aur market ka reaction is baat par depend karega ke asal numbers is forecast se kitne match ya deviated hote hain.

Agar CPI expected se zyada garam aata hai aur Euro ko 1.0980 ke neeche gira deta hai, toh phir se 1.09 level tak girawat ka imkaan hai. Magar agar data expectations ke mutabiq hota hai, toh hum Euro ko mazeed barhte hue dekh sakte hain, jaisay ke recent
Pair is waqt har hafta flat trade kar raha hai, weekly highs set karne ke baad magar unhe hold karne mein nakam. Key support area ko test kiya gaya, aur mazid strong pressure ke bawajood, is ne apni integrity barqarar rakhi, jo ke prices ko range mein rakhta hai, aur yeh upside vector ki ahmiyat ko zahir karta hai. Aagey barhnay ke liye, 1.0926 level ke upar strong consolidation ki zaroorat hai, jahan main support area border karta hai. Agar is area ka kamiyab retest hota hai aur subsequent rebound hota hai, to nayi move higher ki taraf ho sakti hai, target area 1.1033 aur 1.1121 ke darmiyan

Euro dheere dheere upar ki taraf barh raha hai, aur ye chal jhonk kharidar aur bechne wale dono traders ke liye nerv-wracking sabit ho rahi hai. Sellers is intezaar mein hain ke kab price giray, aur yeh price fluctuations unko lagataar pareshaan kar rahi hain. Dosri taraf, buyers is intezaar mein hain ke price unke target levels tak pohonche, aur har pullback unki position ko emotional decision-making ki taraf le jaata hai.
Ab tak, sab kuch plan ke mutabiq chal raha hai. Humein kaafi signals mil rahe hain jo ke upside ki taraf hain, aur yeh sab H4 (ya phir even daily) higher timeframe ko follow kar rahe hain. Hourly timeframe par bhi signal hai, aur M15 par bhi. Pehli chart mein, main is waqt M15 par discussion kar raha hoon aur socha tha ke yeh kal tak play out ho jata. Purple bar jo level 1.09456 tak hai, us signal ka potential dikhata hai. Is signal ke boundaries Fibonacci levels 0.0% aur 100% se marked hain. Hamare case mein, 100% target ko represent karta hai, jabke 0.0% risk level hai jo ke 1.08812 par hai. Jab tak yeh levels nahi pohonchti, signal idea valid hai. Agar Euro ne zyada pull back kiya aur target levels tak nahi pohonch saka, toh 1.09026 aur/ya 1.08964 se long positions enter karne ki koshish ki ja sakti hai. Pehli case mein, risk-to-reward ratio 1:2 hoga, aur doosri case mein 1:3.

Filhaal, humein M15 timeframe par sell signal mila hai. Lekin, hum yahan sell enter nahi kar rahe. Yeh signal ya to play out ho sakta hai ya phir ek correction ke baad reversal mein badal sakta hai. Agar ab buys enter ki jayein, toh risk level choose karne mein mushkilat hogi. Maine fractals ko red rectangles mein mark kiya hai, lekin inki taadad zyada hai aur ye samajhna mushkil hai ke risk kahan place karein. Aakhri fractal ke peeche try kiya ja sakta hai, jo filhaal sell signal de raha hai. Agar yeh reversal mein badalta hai, toh ek short stop-loss ke sath acha potential capture karna mumkin hai. Lekin is idea mein sahi risk overall 1.08812 ke beyond hona chahiye. Isliye humein heraan nahi hona chahiye agar Euro achanak liquidity grab kare, aur levels 1.09026 aur/ya 1.08964
tak pohonch jaye

Yeh EUR/USD currency pair aakhri kuch dino se nazar mein raha hai. Bears, jo strategically rokhe gaye the, ko market correction ke dauran break even ya choti moti nuqsan ka samna karne ka mauka mila. Yeh strategy choti gains dene ke liye nahi thi, balke unke trading funds ko khatam karne ke liye thi. 1 August ko kuch sellers achanak hairaan reh gaye aur apni positions se nikalne mein mushkilat ka samna kiya. Ab jab zyadatar sellers upward trend ka samna kar rahe hain, to speculation hai ke 1.10 level ceiling ban sakta hai. Agar losses ko abhi current levels se cut karna chahein to 1.11 level tak pohanchne se pehle mushkil ho sakta hai, aur losses itne bade ho sakte hain ke positions close karna bekaar ho. Sellers shayad stop-out ka intezar karein, jo unhe aise situation mein le aaye jahan se profit milne ke chances hain. Is situation ne euro-dollar buyers ko 1.0981 level par choti si qarz ada karne ka mauka diya. Euro-dollar ke liye key resistance aakhri descending fan ke point aur 1.0991 level par hai.

Euro-dollar ka pichla high 1.1008 tha, aur primary support 1.0959 par hai. Is support level se EUR/USD price ya to rebound kar sakti hai ya phir downward trend continue kar sakti hai, agle support levels 1.0929/1.0922 aur bearish starting point 1.0902 ki taraf. Hamara maqsad H4 time frame par dominant trend ko identify karna aur market entry point ko maximum profit ke liye theek se determine karna hai. Halanki currency pair aaj growth dikhati hai, iski technical outlook wahi hai aur future performance kal ke market conditions par depend karegi. H1 time frame par medium-term movements ko accurately predict karke profit kamane ka potential hai.

H4 timeframe par, yeh dekhna mushkil hai ki EURUSD pair phir se neechay jana chahta hai, lekin EMA50 ke important area mein penetrate karne mein thodi mushkil ho rahi hai, aur abhi price mid BB se thoda upar hai, jo is movement se clear picture deta hai ki bullish abhi bhi ho sakta hai, lekin main EURUSD par focus sell ki opportunities dhoondna chahta hoon aur EMA50 ke neechay price ko trade karne ka intezaar karna chahta hoon.

Future mein, EURUSD ki movement ki opportunity abhi bhi kisi bhi taraf ho sakti hai, kyunki H4 par koi definite trend nahi hai, isne last week ke shuruwat mein big bullish movement kiya tha, lekin slowly but consistently EURUSD neechay gaya hai, lekin EMA50 area mein penetrate karne mein mushkil ho rahi hai.

Agar EURUSD H4 candle ko EMA50 ke neechay close kar sakta hai, toh main phir se sell karna chahta hoon, ideal target area 1.0800 ke liye, lekin yeh mushkil lagta hai.

H1 intraday movement mein, seller pressure last few hours mein stronger dikh raha hai, kyunki bearish candle ka size reaction candle se kafi bada hai, lekin blue key level 1.0903 - 1.0890 ke khilaf breakout attempt successful nahi hua, agar aap morning se afternoon tak structure ko dekhte hain, toh neechay key level area ko test karne ki potential hai, lekin agar aap instant sell trading option kholte hain, toh yeh breakout strategy se riskier hoga, kyunki market ko sideways move karne ki potential hai momentum kho dete hue.

Agar solid breakout blue key level par hota hai, toh seller fresh demand area ko target karega jo ki price 1.0800 se kafi neechay hai, lekin agar breakout fail hota hai, toh market bearish mother candle mein sideways move karega, aur non-trending move karega. Is potential se, yeh behtar hai ki non-trending market mein na phans jaye, toh main personal choice sell karna chahta hoon agar solid breakout 1.0890 level ke khilaf hoga minimum 1 hour timeframe mein. Kyunki sideways potential wide open hai agar price yellow resistance aur blue support mein trap ho jaye

**Euro ka US Dollar ke muqable me recent girawat**
Euro ne haali me US Dollar ke muqable me girawat dekhi, jo 1.1000 ke aham level se neeche chala gaya, halankeh investor ka hosla barh gaya tha. Yeh girawat tab hui jab US retail sales ki report ne 18 mahine ka aik naya record bana diya, aur economic slowdown ke khauf ko kam kar diya. Lekin, bazaar ki react se kuch mixed thi. Pehle, positive economic data ne market ke jazbe ko barhawa diya, magar isne Federal Reserve se tez interest rate hikes ki umeed ko bhi thanda kar diya. Ab investors dheere dheere approach ki taraf jhuk rahe hain, aur September me 25 basis point ki increase ka zyada imkaan hai. Yeh rate hike expectations ka shift US Dollar ki appeal ko kam kar raha hai, jis se EUR/USD pair ko kuch resilience mili hai.

**Technical Analysis**

Technical nazariye se, EUR/USD pair filhaal apne recent rally ke baad consolidation dikhata hai. 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo 1.0826 par hai, aik mumkinah support level ban sakta hai. Lekin, overall trend yeh darshata hai ke EUR/USD shayad 2024 ke dauran dominate kiye gaye downtrend channel me wapas aa sakta hai. Agar pair 1.0940–1.0970 ke resistance levels ko break kar deta hai, to yeh 1.1000 ke psychological mark ko target kar sakta hai. Agar yeh 1.1045 ke upar rehta hai, to agla target 1.1100 level ho sakta hai, jo 1.1150 area tak extend kar sakta hai. Wahi agar pair 1.0940-1.0970 ke upar nahi rehta, to yeh downtrend me wapas aa sakta hai, jahan 200-day EMA aik critical support level ban sakta hai.

**Short-Term Outlook**

Short term me, 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) jo 1.0875 par hai aur October-December upward swing ka 38.2% Fibonacci retracement selling pressure ko roknay me madadgar sabit ho sakte hain. Lekin agar bearish momentum is level ko break kar deta hai, to girawat tez ho sakti hai aur 1.0700 mark tak pohnch sakti hai.

**Market Sentiment**


Overall, jabke EUR/USD pair temporary setbacks ka saamna kar raha hai, market sentiment cautiously optimistic hai. Pair ka future direction largely upcoming economic data, interest rate expectations, aur geopolitical factors par depend karega.

**Economic Data ne Euro ko US Dollar ke muqable me Barhawa De Dia**
Haal ke economic data ne euro ko US dollar ke muqable me barhawa diya hai. Yeh tabdeeli American economy ke health ke bare me barhte hue concerns ko reflect karti hai aur Federal Reserve se tez interest rate cuts ke imkaan ko uthaati hai.

**US Economy ke Bare me Pareshaniyan**

Key indicators pareshani ke trends ko darshate hain. June me job growth expectations se kam raha, ADP data ke mutabiq girawat mainly lower-wage sectors jaise hospitality aur entertainment me hui. Iske ilawa, initial jobless claims barh gayi hain, aur ISM Services PMI do saal ki sabse neeche level par chala gaya hai. Yeh data points US economy me slowdown ko darshate hain, jo dollar ki appeal ko kam kar rahe hain.

**Euro ko Momentum Milta Hai**

Jab US dollar ne girawat ka samna kiya, euro ne is mauqe ka faida uthaya, aur briefly 1.0800 level ko surpass kiya. Yeh positive sentiment Europe se mixed economic data se barhawa mila. Pan-EU HCOB PMI for June ne unexpected growth dikhai, jo manufacturing activity ke expansion ko darshata hai. Lekin, Eurozone me producer prices May me noticeable contraction bhi dikhaya.

**Aane Wale Economic Events**

Aage dekhte hue, US Independence Day holiday aur German factory orders data currency pair ko influence karne ki ummeed hai. US markets band honay ke bawajood trading activity shayad dheemi ho sakti hai. German factory orders ke May me rebound ki umeed hai, jo euro ke performance ko aur bhi affect kar sakta hai.

**Technical Resistance Levels**

Euro filhaal 1.0788 level aur 200-day moving average par technical resistance ka samna kar raha hai. Agar is zone ke upar decisive break hota hai, to yeh significant rally ke liye raasta khol sakta hai, jo October 2023 me establish hui uptrend line 1.0955 tak pohnch sakta hai.

**Conclusion**


Summary me, euro kai factors se faida utha raha hai: US dollar ki kamzori, jo slowing US economy aur Federal Reserve ke accommodative monetary policy ke hints se hai. Lekin, technical resistance levels aur US aur Europe se aane wale economic releases euro ke gains ko sustain karne me crucial role play karenge.

**EURUSD D1 Analysis**
**Market Overview**
EURUSD pair daily timeframe par range-bound behavior dikhata raha hai. Halankeh breakout ke attempts hue hain, pair ne bar-bar apne trading range me wapas aa gaya, jo market participants ke indecision ko darshata hai.

**Support aur Resistance Levels**
- **Strong Support: 1.0850** - Yeh level past me significant support provide kar chuka hai aur yeh bullish reversals ke liye key area ho sakta hai.
- **Immediate Support: 1.0979** - Yeh level recent range me support ke tor par kaam aaya hai.
- **Immediate Resistance: 1.1055** - Yeh level resistance ke tor par kaam aayi hai, upward price movement ko cap karte hue.
- **Strong Resistance: 1.1120** - Is level ke upar break hone se bullish breakout ka signal mil sakta hai.

**Order Blocks**
- **Potential Order Block: 1.0850** - Yeh level strong support ban sakti hai aur agar price is level tak retrace karti hai aur bullish reversal dikhati hai to long positions ke liye potential order block ho sakti hai.
- **Potential Order Block: 1.0979** - Yeh level long ya short positions ke liye order block ban sakti hai, price action ke hisaab se. Is level ke upar break hone se yeh support level ban sakta hai, jabke is level ke neeche break hone se resistance level ban sakta hai.
- **Potential Order Block: 1.1055** - Yeh level short positions ke liye order block ban sakti hai agar price is level tak retrace karti hai aur bearish reversal dikhati hai.
- **Potential Order Block: 1.1120** - Agar price is level tak pohnchti hai aur wapas hoti hai, to yeh long positions ke liye potential order block ban sakti hai.

**Indicators**
- **RSI (14):** RSI overbought territory me hai, jo upward momentum ke exhaustion ka signal de sakta hai. Lekin, price aur RSI ke beech divergence ka bhi dhyan rakhna zaroori hai.
- **MACD (12,26,9):** MACD histogram flatten ho raha hai, jo momentum ke decrease ka indication hai. Clear bearish crossover potential trend reversal ka signal de sakta hai.

**Best Areas for Buying and Selling**
- **Buy:** A potential buy entry consider ki ja sakti hai agar price 1.1120 resistance level ko break kar deti hai strong bullish momentum aur follow-through ke saath.
- **Sell:** A potential sell entry consider ki ja sakti hai agar price 1.0850 support level ke neeche break kar deti hai strong bearish momentum aur follow-through ke saath. Lekin, recent price action ko dekhte hue, false breakout ko bhi nazarandaaz nahi kiya ja sakta.



**Additional Considerations**
EURUSD pair currently range-bound phase me hai. Traders ko caution baratni chahiye aur clear breakout ke upar resistance ya neeche support ke niche enter karne se pehle intezar karna chahiye. Risk effectively manage karne ke liye stop-loss orders ka istemal zaroori hai.

EUR/USD ke liye outlook
Assalam Alaikum! Kal, tezi ke hajam me kami ke bad, euro aur pound dono ko America se musbat khabron ka samna karna pada, jiski wajah se girawat aayi. Halankeh, is bat ka zyada imkan hai keh qimat kal ki 1.10155-1.09500 ki hadd ke andar rahegi. 4-ghante ke chart par, growth index ab bhi tezi ke ilaqe me hai, jo tajwiz karta hai keh ooper ki taraf rujhan din bhar ghalib ho sakta hai.
E--ghante aur 30-minute ke chart par, Asian session ke dauran tezi ka hajam badh raha tha. Is se Asian session tak euro/dollar ke jode me qalil muddati izafa ho sakta hai. Halankeh, bechne wale qadam utha sakte hain aur jodi ko kal ki kamtarin satah 1.09500 tak niche dhakel sakti hain. Kisi bhi aham harkat ke liye, jode ko ek wazeh simt dikhani chahiye, ya to ooper ya niche. Waise, kal ibtedai kami thi.
Kal, euro/dollar ka joda Baratnwi khabron ko nazar andaz karte hue Americi khabron ka intear kar raha hai. Aaj, aham building permits report ki publication se qimaton ki naqal o harkat ka imkan hai. Agar qimat 1.09880 tak badh jati hai to, kharidar muzahmat ko todne aur Americi trade ke dauran jodi kal ki bulandi 1.10150 ki taraf dhakelne ki koshish kar sakte hain.

EUR USD Forum Analysis,Forecast

EURUSD currency pair ki daily timeframe par candlestick movement ke characteristics ke mutabiq, is hafte ka movement ab bhi bullish hai, jaise ke pichle kuch hafton mein dekha gaya. Trend direction ko dekhte hue jo ek upar ki taraf move kar raha hai, aisa lagta hai ke price bullish rally phase mein hai. Isliye, overall trend is hafte mein ab bhi upar ki taraf move kar raha hai aur iski range kaafi wide hai. Monday ko candlestick ne 1.0917 ke level se bullish movement shuru ki aur aaj ke session tak 1.0979 ke level tak pohanch gayi. Thursday raat ke trading mein closing price level Monday ke market opening price level ke upar tha. Is hafte ki candlestick ki position bhi aisa lagta hai ke last week ke highest price level 1.1008 ko break karne ki koshish kar rahi hai, aur EURUSD currency pair ke bullish trend ki taraf phir se move karne ke chances hain.

Aage, main market analysis ke liye use kiye gaye indicators ko monitor karunga. MACD indicator (12,26,29) par yellow dotted line ab bhi upar ki taraf point kar rahi hai, jo market ke bullish hone ko darshata hai. Histogram bar ka position bhi zero level ke upar hai aur size moderate hai. Relative Strength Index indicator (14) par Lime Line ab level 70 ke qareeb pohanch gayi hai. Yellow Simple Moving Average 60 indicator bhi ab red Simple Moving Average 150 indicator ke upar comfortably move kar rahi hai, jo daily timeframe mein market trend ke bullish hone ko darshata hai.

Is shaam ki technical data ko complete karte hue, H4 timeframe chart se yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke EURUSD price movement last kuch hafton se bullish candlesticks se dominate ho rahi hai aur upward trend ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Agar pichle mahine ke shuru mein candlestick yellow Simple Moving Average 60 indicator ke neeche thi, is mahine yeh upar chadh gayi hai. Yeh condition price ko har din higher level par close karne ka sabab bana rahi hai, jo bullish market conditions ko darshata hai. Last Thursday ko buyer force ne price ko upar push kar diya.

Is technical analysis ke ilawa, Relative Strength Index indicator (14) ki Lime Line jo level 50 ke upar hai, yeh signal deti hai ke market bullish state mein hai. MACD indicator (12,26,29) par yellow line jo downward turn ho rahi hai aur histogram bar shape jo shrink kar raha hai, yeh signal hai ke market ab bhi moderate strength ke saath correct ho rahi hai. Candlestick ab bhi Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators ke upar comfortably play kar rahi hai, jo market ke buyer’s control mein hone ka indication hai.

Conclusion:

Market conditions ka jo reading indicators se milti hai, wo daily aur H4 timeframes par bullish trend ko darshati hai aur expected hai ke yeh upward movement continue karegi. Mere khayal se, BUY trading position kholna achi opportunities provide karta hai jo profits generate kar sakti hai. Lekin, transaction ke liye ideal candlestick position tab milegi jab price 1.0990 level tak barh jaye. Agle bullish target ko 1.1045 level par place kiya ja sakta hai, aur stoploss level ko 1.0955 price level par rakhna chahiye.

EUR-USD PAIR KE MOVEMENT

EURUSD currency pair ki daily timeframe par candlestick movement ke characteristics ke mutabiq, yeh dekhne ko milta hai ke is hafte ka movement abhi bhi bullish hai, jaise pichle kuch hafton mein tha. Agar market ke trending direction ko dekha jaye jo ek direction mein upar ki taraf move kar rahi hai, to lagta hai ke price bullish rally phase mein hai. Toh overall, is hafte ka trend abhi bhi upar ki taraf move kar raha hai aur range bhi kafi wide hai. Monday ko candlestick ne 1.0917 ke level se bullish movement shuru ki aur aaj ke session tak 1.0979 ke level tak upar gayi. Yeh bhi dekha ja sakta hai ke Thursday raat ki trading ka closing price level Monday ke market opening price level se upar tha. Is hafte ke candlestick ka position lagta hai ke pichle hafte ke highest price level 1.1008 ko break karne ki koshish kar rahi hai, aur EURUSD currency pair ke bullish trend ki taraf wapas move karne ke chances abhi bhi hain.

Aage chal kar, main market ko analyze karne ke liye istemal kiye gaye indicators ko monitor karunga. MACD indicator (12,26,29) par, ek dotted yellow line upar ki taraf point kar rahi hai kyunki market abhi bhi bullish hai. Histogram bar ka position bhi zero level ke upar hai aur size moderate hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator (14) par Lime Line ab level 70 ke paas aa gayi hai. Isi tarah, yellow Simple Moving Average (SMA) 60 indicator bhi abhi bhi red Simple Moving Average (SMA) 150 indicator ke upar hai, jo daily timeframe par market trend ko bullish dikhata hai.

**CONCLUSION:**

Market conditions ke analysis se jo results milte hain, unke mutabiq, daily aur H4 timeframes par market trend abhi bhi bullish hai aur iska upward movement continue rehne ki umeed hai. Mere khayal se, BUY trading position open karne se achhi profit opportunities mil sakti hain. Lekin, yeh bhi zaroori hai ke ideal candlestick position ka intezar kiya jaye jab price 1.0990 level tak upar jaye. Agar next bullish target ke liye baat ki jaye, to yeh 1.1045 level par set kiya ja sakta hai, aur stop loss level 1.0955 price level par rakha ja sakta hai.

EURUSD currency pair ke candlestick movement ki characteristics ke mutabiq, jab daily timeframe ke graph par nazar dali jaye, to is haftay ki movement ab bhi bullish lag rahi hai, bilkul pichle kuch hafton ki tarah. Agar trending market ki direction dekhi jaye jo ke ek hi direction mein upar ki taraf move kar rahi hai, to aisa lagta hai ke price ek bullish rally phase experience kar rahi hai. Overall, is haftay trend ki direction ab bhi kaafi wide range ke saath upar ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Monday ko candlestick ne apna bullish movement 1.0917 ke level se start kiya aur aaj ki session tak ye 1.0979 ke level tak barh gaya. Thursday raat ke trading session mein closing price level Monday ke market opening price level ke upar tha. Issi dauran, is haftay ke candlestick ki position aise lag rahi hai ke ye pichle haftay ke highest price level 1.1008 ko break out karne ki koshish kar raha hai, aur zyadatar chances hain ke EURUSD currency pair dobara bullish trend ki taraf move kare.

Agay, main indicators ka monitoring karunga jo market ko analyze karne ke liye istemal hotay hain. MACD indicator (12,26,29) par dekha ja sakta hai ke ek dotted yellow line upar ki taraf ishara kar rahi hai kyun ke market ab bhi bullish move kar raha hai. Histogram bar ki position bhi zero level ke upar hai aur iska size moderate hai. Relative Strength Index indicator (14) par Lime Line ki position ab level 70 ke qareeb barh rahi hai. Is tarah, yellow Simple Moving Average 60 indicator ki position ab bhi red Simple Moving Average 150 indicator ke upar move kar rahi hai jo ke daily timeframe mein market trend ka bullish hona darshata hai.

Dopahar ke technical data ko poora karte hue, H4 timeframe chart se dekha ja sakta hai ke EURUSD price movement trading mein pichle kuch hafton se bullish candlesticks se dominate ho rahi hai ya upar ki taraf trend ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Agar pichle maheene ke aaghaz mein candlestick ab bhi yellow Simple Moving Average 60 indicator ke neeche thi, to is maheene yeh iske upar barh gayi hai. Yeh condition price position ko har din ek higher level par close karne ka sabab ban rahi hai, iska matlab hai ke market conditions bullish ki taraf move kar rahi hain. Last Thursday ko buyers ne force lagaya jo ke price ko aur upar push karne mein kamiyab rahe.

Is technical analysis ke ilawa, main Relative Strength Index indicator (14) ke Lime Line ki instructions dekhta hoon jo ke level 50 ke upar hai, jo ke signal hai ke market bullish state mein hai. MACD indicator (12,26,29) par broken yellow line ne neeche ki taraf mudna shuru kiya hai aur histogram bar ka shape shrinking ho raha hai jo ke signal hai ke market ab bhi moderate strength ke saath correct ho raha hai. Issi dauran, yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke candlestick ab bhi Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators ke upar comfortable play kar raha hai, jo ke yeh tasveer pesh karta hai ke market ab bhi buyers ki control mein hai.

اگست 16 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

بیلوں اور ریچھوں کی لڑائی شدت اختیار کرتی جا رہی ہے۔ کل، یورو 1.0964 اور 1.1010 کے درمیان دونوں سمتوں میں اوورلیپ کے ساتھ پوری رینج سے گزرا۔ آج، پیسفک سیشن کے دوران جوڑا تھوڑا سا بڑھ گیا۔ کالی موم بتی کے ساتھ بند ہونے والا ہر دن بلاشبہ درمیانی مدت کے رجحان میں تبدیل ہونے کے امکانات کو بڑھاتا ہے، کیونکہ مارلن آسیلیٹر اپنے چینل کی بالائی حد سے مزید دور جاتا ہے، بالواسطہ طور پر قیمت کو اپنے ساتھ کھینچتا ہے۔

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اگر قیمت 1.0964 کی سطح سے نیچے مستحکم ہو جاتی ہے، تو مارلن منفی علاقے میں داخل ہو سکتا ہے، لیکن اسے وہاں ایک نئے امتحان کا سامنا کرنا پڑے گا- اس چینل کی نچلی باؤنڈری کی حمایت، جہاں سے اوپر کی طرف الٹ پھیر ہو سکتی ہے۔ اس منظر نامے کو ڈیشڈ لائن سے نشان زد کیا گیا ہے۔ اگر قیمت 1.0905 کی سپورٹ لیول تک پہنچ جائے تو ایسا منظر ممکن ہے۔ جیسا کہ ہم نے کل ذکر کیا، 18 ستمبر کو فیڈرل ریزرو کے اجلاس تک غیر یقینی صورتحال برقرار رہ سکتی ہے۔ خطرے میں قیاس آرائی کرنے والوں کی دلچسپی برقرار ہے- کل ملے جلے اقتصادی اشارے کے درمیان s&p 500 میں 1.39 فیصد اضافہ ہوا۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ میں، قیمت 1.0964 کی سطح سے اوپر مضبوط ہونا شروع ہو رہی ہے۔ اسی طرح، مارلن آسیلیٹر صفر نیوٹرل لائن کے ساتھ کھینچنے کا ارادہ ظاہر کرتا ہے۔ سطح کے نیچے ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن (1.0940) ہے، جو اضافی مدد فراہم کرتی ہے۔ اس طرح، اگر یورو اس سطح سے نیچے گرتا ہے تو آسانی سے اتار چڑھاؤ کا سامنا کر سکتا ہے۔

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.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

## EUR/USD Ko US Dollar Ki Dobara Demand Ki Wajah Se Dabaav Ka Samna: Aham Factors Jo Dekhne Chahiye

EUR/USD pair ne Jumeraat ko Asian trading session ke dauran pehle apni strength dikhayi, aur 1.0987 ki high par pahuncha. Lekin, iske baad US Dollar ki dobara demand ki wajah se isne niche ki taraf pressure face kiya. Abhi pair 1.0980 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, aur market participants aane wale US economic data, including June ke retail sales figures aur Federal Reserve member Adriana Kugler ke speech ko nazar mein rakh rahe hain. Iske ilawa, European Central Bank (ECB) ke interest rate decision ka bhi market sentiment par aham asar hone ki umeed hai.

### EUR/USD Pair Ko Drive Karne Wale Fundamentals

Market sentiment ki shift ko September mein Federal Reserve ke potential interest rate cut ki ummeed se jora ja sakta hai. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke recent remarks ne is speculation ko barhawa diya hai. Powell ne kaha ke central bank shayad inflation ke 2% target tak pahunchnay ka intezaar na kare, aur kaha, "Agar aap intezaar karein ke inflation 2% tak pohanch jaye, to aap shayad bohot dair kar chuke hain." Yeh is baat ka ishara hai ke Fed shayad inflation ko 2% ke threshold ke neeche jane se rokne ke liye pehle se hi action le.

Iske ilawa, Mary Daly, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, ne kaha ke jabke inflation thoda cool ho raha hai aur 2% target ko achieve karne ki ummeed hai, lekin kisi bhi interest rate decision ke liye zyada data ki zaroorat hai. Yeh ongoing anticipation ke Fed rate cut ke bajay US Dollar par niche ki taraf pressure bana sakti hai, jo EUR/USD pair ke liye faida mand ho sakta hai.

### Daily Time Frame Par Technical Outlook

Technical perspective se, EUR/USD pair ne hapte ke shuru mein chaar mahine ki high tak pahuncha, lekin key resistance level 1.1100 ko break karne mein asam raha. Higher levels ko sustain na kar pana technical consolidation ka sabab bana, aur ab pair ek descending channel ke upper end par trade kar raha hai. Yeh consolidation teen din ke winning streak ke baad hua hai, jo bullish stance se shift ka ishara de raha hai jo pichle sessions mein pair ko upar le gaya tha.

Recent gains ke bawajood, pair 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar hai, jo positive longer-term trend ko indicate karta hai. Lekin, Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bearish territory mein hai, jo 43.0 ke qareeb hai. Yeh is baat ka ishara hai ke pair ko nazdeek ke waqt aur niche ki risk ka samna karna pad sakta hai. Agar RSI aur girta hai, to selling pressure barh sakta hai, aur potential support level 1.0914 ke aas-paas dekhne ko mil sakta hai jo ek throwback support level ban sakta hai.

### Conclusion

EUR/USD pair ek complex landscape ko navigate kar raha hai, jo shifting market sentiment se driven hai, jo Federal Reserve ke potential rate cuts aur aane wale ECB interest rate decision ke expectations se hai. Jabke pair 100-period EMA ke upar technically positive hai, RSI ke bearish signals indicate karte hain ke downside risks ko nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Traders ko aane wale US economic data aur central bank communications ko dhyan se monitor karna chahiye taake pair ke direction ke baare mein behtar insights mil sake. Key levels jo dekhne chahiye wo hain resistance 1.1100 aur support 1.0914 ke aas-paas, jo pair ke agle move ke liye critical clues de sakte hain.

Kal ka bearish signal EUR/USD ke liye abhi bhi active hai, aur aaj ke liye main apne targets 1.0940 aur 1.0920 rakha hai. Aaj Friday hai, isliye pair ke in levels ke neeche girne ke zyada chances hain, lekin mujhe badi girawat par shaq hai. Agar current bearish outlook ko counter karna hai, toh EUR/USD ko 1.1015 ke upar chadhna hoga. Lekin agar aisa hota bhi hai, mujhe strong bullish movement ki umeed nahi hai kyunki daily chart par 1.1030 aur 1.1040 ke levels resistance ke tor par kaam karenge.

Medium-term perspective se dekha jaye toh red zigzag pattern yeh suggest karta hai ke ek bara corrective phase khatam hone hi wala hai. Aaj ke din ke liye koi clear bullish signal nahi hai, isliye pehle ka bearish scenario valid hai lekin shayad khatam hone ke qareeb hai.

Current market conditions ko dekhte hue, aaj EUR/USD ke liye achi trading opportunities nahi lagti. Aam tor par, jab price me significant impulse aati hai, market fluctuate karti hai, jo ke unpredictable price action ko janam deti hai. Isliye, excessive risk lene se bachna aur trades me zyada ambitious nahi hona behtar hai. Kal trading conditions kafi favorable thi, isliye aaj market ki behavior ko dekhte hue cautious rehna zaroori hai.

**Intraday Levels:**

- **Support:** 1.0940, 1.0920
- **Resistance:** 1.1015, 1.1030, 1.1040

**Medium-Term Outlook:**

Bearish scenario abhi bhi chal raha hai, lekin shayad is phase ka end nazdeek hai. Aaj koi strong bullish signal na hone ki wajah se, market consolidation ya range me reh sakti hai, trend strongly kisi bhi direction me nahi ban sakta. Hamesha flexible rehna aur market movements ke saath adapt karna zaroori hai, sath hi risk ko effectively manage karna chahiye.