یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

factors contribute kar rahe hain. Pehla, broader economic indicators aur monetary policies Eurozone aur United States mein aisa context create kar rahe hain jahan Euro Dollar ke muqable mein underperform kar raha hai. Eurozone ko economic challenges ka samna hai, jisme slower growth aur inflationary pressures shamil hain, jo Euro par bohot zyada burden daal rahe hain. Dusri taraf, US economy relatively stronger rahi hai, supported by robust economic data aur Federal Reserve ki more aggressive monetary policy stance ki wajah se. Yeh divergence in economic health aur policy direction EUR/USD pair ke current bearish sentiment mein crucial role play kar rahe hain. Technical analysis bhi is bearish outlook ko support karta hai. Pullback to 1.0769 yeh indicate karta hai ke currency pair upward momentum gain karne mein struggle kar raha hai. Agar price resistance level of 1.0779 ke neeche rehti hai, to yeh likely bearish trend ko reinforce karega. Technical indicators jaise ke moving averages, relative strength index (RSI), aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) bhi bearish pattern reflect kar rahe hain. Misal ke taur par, agar 50-day moving average 200-day moving average ke neeche cross kar jata hai, to yeh bearish crossover signal hoga, jo downward trend ko further confirm karega.

Traders ko 1.0779 resistance level ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Agar yeh level break nahi hota, to yeh suggest karta hai ke bearish trend likely to continue karega. Conversely, if price is resistance ko breach kar leti hai, to yeh potential shift in market dynamics indicate kar sakta hai, possibly leading to a bullish reversal. However, given the current economic backdrop aur technical indicators, aisa breakout ki likelihood limited lagti hai.
Summary mein, EUR/USD currency pair pullback experience kar raha hai aur filhal 1.0769 par trade kar raha hai. Primary resistance level 1.0779 hai. Broader economic conditions aur technical analysis suggest karte hain ke pair likely bearish hi rahega jab tak price is resistance level ke neeche rehti hai. Traders aur analysts ko market developments par nazar rakhni chahiye aur pair ke price action mein potential fluctuations ke liye prepared rehna chahiye. Bearish sentiment expected hai ke persist karega jab tak koi significant shift in economic fundamentals ya notable change in market sentiment

EUR/JPY H1

1-hour chart par price ne 173.03 ke support level par ek new low banaya hai.
1-hour chart par, aur naye trading day ke shuruwat mein, price ek bullish pattern ke andar trade kar rahi thi, kyunki humare paas rising price channels hain jo pechle do dinon ke dauran price movement ka direction represent karte hain.
Price ne weekly level 173.03 ke upar bhi trade kiya jab yeh break aur retest hua.
Pichle kuch ghanton ke downward trend ke bawajood, price behavior ab ek upward wave ki shuruwat indicate kar raha hai jo aaj weekly level 173.87 tak pahunch sakti hai.

Economic side par, investors ko National Rally party, jise Marine Le Pen lead karti hain, ke France mein early parliamentary elections ke first round mein decisive victory hasil na karne se rahat mili. Optimism pehle hi fade ho rahi hai. Is wajah se, stock aur bond prices open par jump hui jab Le Pen's party opinion polls se choti margin se finish hui, aur opponents ne second round mein majority jeetne se rokne ke strategies develop karna shuru kiya. CAC 40 ne apne gains ko half kar diya aur bonds ne rally ko quickly erase kar diya.

Agar yeh plan implement hota hai, toh mein expect karta hoon ke price wapas support level 171.588 ya support level 170.890 tak aa sakti hai. Support level ke qareeb, mein bullish signals dhoondta rahunga anticipation mein ke upward price movement phir se resume ho. Zaroori baat yeh hai ke door ke southern targets ko bhi target karne ka possibility hai, jo mere analysis ke mutabiq 168.294 ya 167.516 par located hain. Lekin, agar established plan implement bhi hota hai, mein support level ke qareeb bullish signals dhoondta rahunga anticipation mein ke upward price movement phir se resume ho.

Mukhtasir mein, aaj se, mein consider karta hoon ke price north ki taraf nearest resistance level ki taraf move karti rahegi, aur market situation ke mutabiq actions liye jayenge.

EUR/USD currency pair forex market ka sabse zyada dekha jaane wala exchange rate hai, jo euro ki value ko US dollar ke against represent karta hai. Haal hi mein, yeh pair 1.0692 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, jo bearish trend ko indicate karta hai. Bearish trend ka matlab hai ke euro dollar ke muqable mein kamzor ho raha hai, jo traders aur investors ke liye significant implications rakhta hai.

Kayi factors EUR/USD pair ke bearish trend mein contribute kar rahe hain. Pehla, Eurozone ki economic data United States ke muqable mein kam robust rahi hai. Kamzor economic indicators, jaise ke GDP growth aur declining industrial production in major Eurozone economies like Germany aur France, ne euro par bojh dala hai. Yeh economic slowdown Eurozone ke economic outlook par concerns raise kar raha hai, jis se investors relative safety of the US dollar ki taraf move kar rahe hain.

Dusra, European Central Bank (ECB) ne Federal Reserve ke muqable mein zyada dovish stance rakha hai. Jabke Fed inflation ko combat karne ke liye interest rates raise kar raha hai, ECB zyada cautious raha hai, aur economic growth ko support karne ke liye rates lower rakhe hain. Is monetary policy divergence ne US dollar ko investors ke liye zyada attractive bana diya hai, kyunki higher interest rates typically higher returns on investments denominated in USD le kar aati hain.

Iske ilawa, geopolitical uncertainties, jaise ke ongoing conflict in Ukraine aur economic sanctions on Russia, ne euro ke towards investor sentiment ko further dampen kar diya hai. Yeh geopolitical risks euro mein volatility ko badha rahe hain, aur investors stability of the US dollar ki taraf move kar rahe hain.

EUR/USD pair ka bearish trend kuch implications bhi rakhta hai. European exporters ke liye, ek weaker euro beneficial ho sakta hai kyunki yeh unki goods ko cheaper aur international markets mein zyada competitive banata hai. Lekin, consumers aur businesses jo imported goods par rely karte hain, unke liye ek weaker euro higher costs aur inflationary pressures le kar aa sakta hai.


Traders ke liye, yeh bearish trend short-selling euro against the dollar ke opportunities present karta hai. Lekin, yeh economic indicators aur central bank policies ko carefully monitor karne ki bhi zarurat banata hai, kyunki economic conditions ya monetary policy stances mein koi bhi shifts EUR/USD pair ki direction ko impact kar sakti hain.

Summary mein, EUR/USD currency pair currently weaker economic data from the Eurozone, a dovish ECB compared to the Fed, aur geopolitical uncertainties ki wajah se ek bearish trend experience kar raha hai. Yeh trend traders aur investors ke liye significant implications rakhta hai, aur vigilant market analysis aur strategic positioning ki zarurat ko highlight karta hai.

EUR/USD Currency Pair ka Live Analysis


Main is waqt EUR/USD currency pair ki movements ka live analysis kar raha hoon. Meri medium-term upper level lagbhag 1.1101 ke aas-paas hai. Short-term upper level identify karna challenging hai, lekin yeh maximum 1.0846 tak hona chahiye. Abhi, trend zyada bearish lag raha hai din ke andar. Ek level 1.0836 par hai, lekin agar yeh point upward move kare to bearish correction delay ho sakta hai. H4 timeframe ab bhi current levels par bullish trend ke liye obstacles create kar raha hai. General taur par, upward pullbacks ab desirable nahi hain. Intraday levels par wapas aate hue, humne recently 1.0821 update kiya hai.
Medium-Term aur Short-Term Levels


Meri medium-term analysis mein, upper level 1.1101 ek significant resistance point hai. Yeh level pehle test ho chuka hai aur upar ki taraf move ke liye strong barrier sabit hua hai. Zaroori hai ke price ke reaction ko monitor karein jab yeh level ke kareeb aayegi. Agar price 1.1101 ke upar sustain kar jaye to yeh medium-term trend mein bearish se bullish shift ka signal ho sakta hai.

Lekin, short-term upper level ko identify karna zyada complex hai. Filhal, mein is level ko lagbhag 1.0846 par estimate karta hoon. Yeh level recent price action aur technical indicators se derive hota hai. Agar price is level ke kareeb aakar test karti hai, to dekhna zaroori hoga ke kya yeh isko break kar sakti hai ya phir resistance face karke downward trend ki taraf wapas jaati hai.
Bearish Trend aur Key Levels


Din ke andar overall trend zyada bearish lag raha hai. Key level 1.0836 bohot important hai. Agar price is level ke upar move karti hai, to yeh expected bearish correction ko delay kar sakta hai. Yeh level ek critical resistance point ke taur par kaam karta hai. Agar yeh level break nahi hota, to yeh bearish trend ko reinforce kar sakta hai.

H4 timeframe current levels par koi bhi bullish trend ke liye obstacles create karta hai. H4 chart ke indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke market abhi tak ek sustained upward movement ke liye tayar nahi hai. In obstacles ko carefully monitor karna zaroori hai kyunki yeh price direction par significant impact dal sakte hain.
Intraday Levels aur Recent Updates


Intraday levels par focus karte hue, humne recently key level ko 1.0821 par update kiya hai. Yeh level short-term trading decisions ke liye crucial hai. Is level ke aas-paas price action immediate market direction ke insights provide karega. Agar price 1.0821 ke upar hold karti hai, to yeh bearish trend se temporary respite indicate kar sakta hai. Iske baraks, agar yeh level break hota hai to further downward movement ka signal ho sakta hai.
Conclusion


Summary mein, EUR/USD currency pair is waqt din ke andar bearish trend experience kar raha hai. Medium-term upper level 1.1101 ke aas-paas identified hai, jo ke ek significant resistance point serve karta hai. Short-term upper level lagbhag 1.0846 estimate kiya gaya hai, halanki is level ko identify karna challenging hai. Key level 1.0836 par focus karna zaroori hai, kyunki is point ke upar upward movement bearish correction ko delay kar sakti hai. H4 timeframe current levels par bullish trend ke liye obstacles create karta hai. Upward pullbacks general taur par desirable nahi hain in current market conditions. Intraday levels ko recently 1.0821 par update kiya gaya hai aur is level ke aas-paas price action immediate market direction ke further insights provide karega. In levels ko closely monitor karna aur trading strategies ko accordingly adjust karna zaroori hai taaki current market conditions ko effectively navigate kiya ja sake

EUR/USD ANALYSIS 19 JULY 2024




Good morning,

Governor of European Central Bank nay apni statement ka aghaz kam mutmaeen lehje mein kiya, yani ke doosri quarter mein economic growth pehle quarter ke 2024 ke muqablay mein slow hone ka imkaan hai. Magar, dilchasp baat ye hai ke agle statement mein jobs zyada create hone ka zikar hua, khaaskar services sector mein, jis se overall labor market ziada resilient nazar aata hai.

Economic recovery ki support household consumption se hone ki umeed hai, yeh is baat ki nishani hai ke Europe mein inflation stable reh sakti hai jab tak basic energy prices bohot zyada volatile nahi hoti. Iss statement se interest rates cut karne ka koi ishara nahi mila, toh Mrs. Lagarde ka yeh bayan kuch vague tha, jis ka natija yeh hua ke raat se Euro kamzor hota gaya aur aaj subah ke Asian session ke aghaz tak bearish ho gaya, jis se pehle se formed bullish signal bearish ban gaya.

Technically, daily chart pe left side pe, yeh wazeh hai ke price bearish engulf candle ke sath close hui, jo ke pehla ishara hai ke price agle fresh demand area 1.0812 ki taraf aur ziada gir sakti hai, kyun ke aaj subah tak buyers 1.0894 ke demand area ko hold karne mein nakam rahe. Shayad yeh girawat dheere dheere hogi, kyun ke pehle buyers ne 1.0872 ke area mein ek rejection create ki thi jis se bullish pinbar candlestick bani thi. Agar yeh level breakout hota hai, toh zarur price 1.0812 tak niche aa sakti hai, kyun ke yeh area EMA50 blue, EMA200 red aur lower Bollingerbands lines ke dynamic support lines ka milan ka nuqta hai, jo ke agle movement mein ek attractive entry buy area banayega, kyun ke general movement support 1.0666 se resistance 1.0949 tak abhi bhi bullish trend mein hai.

Price action ko H1 intraday movement mein dekhte hue, yeh nazar aata hai ke price ne pivot zone 1.0912 - 1.0924 se kaafi door open kiya, jo ke seller pressure ke bohot strong hone ka pehla ishara hai, agar price pullback kar ke pivot zone tak upar jati hai, toh yeh ek acha mauqa hoga sell position kholne ka with minimal loss limit placement. Magar, yeh pullback scenario shayad na ho kyun ke overly dominant sell pressure hai, is liye traders instant buy position khol sakte hain kyun ke aaj raat Europe aur America ke economic calendar schedule se koi event nahi hai, toh market generally weekly trend ko continue karega bina kisi excessive pullback ke, kyun ke Stochastic indicator bhi niche ki taraf point kar raha hai jab ke pehle intraday oversold side se upar move kar raha tha. Aisi market conditions mein, trading plan kuch is tarah banaya ja sakta hai.

Trading Setup SELL LIMIT

agar price pullback karke pivot zone 1.0912 - 1.0924 ke qareeb jaye with SL 1.0935 aur TP 1.0872

Main euro dollar pair mein mazeed girawat ki umeed kar raha hoon. Jab berozgaari ka data aaya, maine resistance 1.09052 tak mazeed growth ka andaza lagaya tha. 4-hour chart par, 1.09052 ke upar, mujhe already pair ka overbought section nazar aa raha tha. Maximum jo maine andaza lagaya tha wo upper boundaries ka false breakout tha aur uske baad wapas aane ki umeed thi. Main yeh assume karta hoon ke pair 1.08216 ke support tak jayega, jo ke lower boundaries hain gray range ki. Yeh marks 1.07449 hain. Matlab, main yeh assume karta hoon ke pair is range mein chalega jab tak ke inflation stagnation se bahar nahi aata. Aur jab tak inflation stagnation se bahar nahi aata, main nahi samajhta ke pair grow karega, to girawat yahan pe hai.

Haan, euroSure, here's the translation in Roman Urdu:

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Main euro dollar pair mein mazeed girawat ki umeed kar raha hoon. Jab berozgaari ka data aaya, maine resistance 1.09052 tak mazeed growth ka andaza lagaya tha. 4-hour chart par, 1.09052 ke upar, mujhe already pair ka overbought section nazar aa raha tha. Maximum jo maine andaza lagaya tha wo upper boundaries ka false breakout tha aur uske baad wapas aane ki umeed thi. Main yeh assume karta hoon ke pair 1.08216 ke support tak jayega, jo ke lower boundaries hain gray range ki. Yeh marks 1.07449 hain. Matlab, main yeh assume karta hoon ke pair is range mein chalega jab tak ke inflation stagnation se bahar nahi aata. Aur jab tak inflation stagnation se bahar nahi aata, main nahi samajhta ke pair grow karega, to girawat yahan pe hai.

Haan, euro

dollar pair par reversal mumkin hai, khaaskar jab bear support level 1.0895 ke neeche consolidate ho chuka hai. Magar, main ab bhi intezar karna chahta hoon ek gehri southern decline ka taake sale mein enter kar sako. Aur agar correction hota hai, to main khushi se 1.0895 level ke area mein sale karunga. Aane wale hafta mein market khulne ke baad price north aur south dono taraf shoot kar sakti hai, is liye north aur south dono taraf pehle confirmation ka intezar karna zaroori hai aur phir decide karna hai ke kis direction mein enter karna hai.

dollar pair par reversal mumkin hai, khaaskar jab bear support level 1.0895 ke neeche consolidate ho chuka hai. Magar, main ab bhi intezar karna chahta hoon ek gehri southern decline ka taake sale mein enter kar sako. Aur agar correction hota hai, to main khushi se 1.0895 level ke area mein sale karunga. Aane wale hafta mein market khulne ke baad price north aur south dono taraf shoot kar sakti hai, is liye north aur south dono taraf pehle confirmation ka intezar karna zaroori hai aur phir decide karna hai ke kis direction mein enter karna hai.

EUR/USD: EUR/USD pair ka waqt guzarta bullish sentiment dekhne ko mil raha hai, jisme mazeed fayda uthane ka potential abhi poori tarah se samajh nahi aaya. Aaj kai key drivers is pair ki movement ko influence karne wale hain, khaaskar European Central Bank (ECB) ki monetary policy ka faisla 15:15 GMT par announce hone wala hai, jiske baad ek press conference bhi hogi.

Investors aur traders dono hi ECB meeting ka intezar kar rahe hain, kyunki aise events aksar significant market catalysts ke tor par kaam karte hain. ECB officials ki taraf se possible policy shifts ya clarifications ki umeed se hi market volatility barh sakti hai aur trading strategies ko influence kar sakti hai. Aam tor par market participants aise events se pehle apni position adjust kar lete hain ya anticipated outcomes ke basis par speculative positions lete hain.

Jab yeh likha ja raha hai, to pair ki price me thoda downside ki taraf retracement dekhne ko mil raha hai. Yeh temporary pullback kuch market participants ke nazar me bullish positions me enter ya add karne ka ek mauqa ho sakta hai favorable prices par. Is retracement ka shallow nature suggest karta hai ke underlying bullish momentum ab bhi mazboot hai, short-term fluctuations ke bawajood.

ECB ke monetary policy decisions aur unke saath aane wale statements ko market participants ghore se dekhte hain future economic conditions aur policy directions ke insights ke liye Eurozone ke andar. Aise factors jaise interest rate decisions, quantitative easing programs me changes, aur forward guidance jo ECB officials dete hain, yeh sab currency valuations ko significantly impact kar sakte hain, including EUR/USD pair.

Technical analysis ke perspective se, traders key support levels aur resistance zones ko monitor kar sakte hain potential breakout ya reversal patterns ke intezar me following ECB announcements. Technical indicators aur chart patterns ka effectiveness aksar depend karta hai ke market participants fundamental news aur events jaise central bank meetings ko kaise interpret aur react karte hain.

EUR/USD H-4 Time Frame Chart
Aapko salam. Pichlay 4 hafton mein Euro ke liye bechne walon ne kharidne walon ka muqabla kiya hai. Lekin, is hafta ke aakhri do dinon mein, mazid mazboot signal ke liye hamein qareebi levels 1.08708 aur 1.08609 ka breakout dekhna hoga. Inka breakout hamein upar jaati hui trend mein do breaks dega aur ho sakta hai ke girawat ka silsila jaari rahe. Is surat mein target 1.08045 hoga. Magar kyunke kharidne walay pehle bina kisi serious setback ke barh rahe thay, hamein momentum se ek aur upward wave banane ki koshish ki umeed hai. Target 1.09474 ka current peak hai, agar hum isey break karke stabilize kar lein, to hum aur ziada price increase ki umeed kar sakte hain, jo 1.09630 tak ja sakti hai. Pair EUR/USD H4:

1 - 4-hour chart pe Euro ne price ranges ke central area mein ruk gaya hai, aur ranges khud horizontal position mein aa rahi hain. Price action ka ishara hai ke qareebi mustaqbil mein downward move aa sakta hai. Fractal analysis ke mutabiq, ek naya aur qareebi fractal neeche ban gaya hai, jo ishara karta hai ke price 16 July se pehle ke fractal level 1.08708 ko reach kar sakta hai. Magar, qareebi upward fractal kaafi door hai, is liye mazid price growth ke liye ek naya aur qareebi upward fractal banne ka intizar karna zaroori hai. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator negative area mein zero line cross karne ke baad increase dikhata hai. Agar hum agle hafte mein ziada pronounced acceleration dekhein, to yeh price girne ke liye ek strong push ka signal ho sakta hai. Isi tarah, agar zero line cross hoti hai aur positive zone mein active increase hoti hai, to yeh Euro ke barhne ka signal de sakta hai.

EUR/USD H4 chart
US Dollar ka resurgence aik aham kirdar ada kar raha hai jo pair ke downtrend ka sabab bana hai. Federal Reserve ne interest rates per hawkish stance barqarar rakha hai, yeh kehte hue ke rate cuts par ghoor karne se pehle mehngai ko neechay rakhna zaroori hai. Is jazbat ne US Dollar Index (DXY) ko mazbooti di hai, jo ke haal hi mein aik aham resistance level 104.46 par qareeb hai. May ke US inflation figures mein thodi si kami dekhi gayi hai, magar policymakers isay aik arzi phenomenon samajhte hain jo foran rate adjustments ke liye kaafi nahi hai. Is stance ne Dollar ki mazbooti ko barqarar rakha hai mukhtalif currencies, jin mein Euro bhi shamil hai, ke against. Filhal, pair ka immediate resistance 1.0905 ke ird gird hai, aur agla upside barrier 1.0950 ke qareeb hai jo ke aik ascending channel mein hai. 14-day timeframe per Relative Strength Index (RSI) neeche 50 level par subdued momentum ko darsha raha hai, jo pair ke liye cautious sentiment ka ishara de raha hai. Agar yeh level tor dia jata hai, to EUR/USD psychological barrier 1.1000 ki taraf barh sakta hai, jo ke iski descending channel ke upper boundary ke sath align karta hai.

Dusra imkaan yeh hai ke price giray, kyunke price weekly pivot level ko choo kar wapas upar janay ki umeed hai. Dusra level buying ka aaj ke liye yeh hoga agar upward price action formation weekly pivot level ke sath hoti hai. Buying ke liye stop loss level weekly pivot level 1.0872 ke neeche rakha ja sakta hai. Economic side par, agarche US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell pessimistic nazar aate hain, lekin euro-dollar is se faida nahi utha pa raha. US Federal Reserve ke sarbarah ne apne recent interview mein "dovish" note ka izhar kiya. Magar euro price in comments se faida nahi utha paayi. Powell ka interview Economic Club mein Washington, DC mein hua, jahan unhon ne pichle haftay ke lower-than-expected US inflation numbers par ghoor kiya. Is par comment karte hue, Sam Hill, jo Lloyds Bank ke head of market insights hain, ne kaha: "Powell pessimistic lag rahe thay. Yeh us data trend ki improvement ko darsha raha tha jo Fed ne dosray quarter ke dauran dekhi, khas tor par aakhri teen inflation publications mein."

EUR/USD Pair Ka Uplift Trend Barqarar Hai, Mumkin Hai Kuch Hiccups:

EUR/USD currency pair apne medium-term uplift trend ko barqarar rakhe hue hai, aur iska consistent growth nazar aa raha hai. Yeh trend tab bhi intact hai jabke traders Friday ke key events ya announcements ki taraf dekh rahe hain jo market ko surprise kar sakte hain. Pair ki is trajectory ko sustain karne ki salahiyat underlying strength aur euro par market confidence ko dikhati hai.

Trading week ke aakhri din EUR/USD ka price 1.0906 par close hua, jo ke pair ke persistent bullish sentiment ko dikhata hai jo pichle hafton se pair ko upar ki taraf le ja raha hai. Market participants ne euro ko khareedne mein zyada rujhan dikhaya, jo ke pair ko steadily upward push kar raha hai.

Aane wale dino mein dekhne wali baat yeh hogi ke pair apne upper resistance limits ke saath kaise interact karta hai. Current growth momentum 1.0921 level ke aas paas ya thoda upar tak culminate ho sakti hai, kyunki yeh significant resistance point hai. Yeh resistance level fixed nahi hai aur market dynamics ke saath shift hota rahega, jo ke continuous buying pressure ko reflect karta hai.

Is sustained upward trend ke piche kuch key factors hain. Pehla, Eurozone se aane wale economic indicators kafi positive rahe hain, jo euro ki strength ke liye ek solid foundation provide karte hain. Behtar economic performance, higher consumer confidence, aur favorable trade balances euro ko support kar rahe hain. Dusri taraf, U.S. dollar ko kuch challenges ka samna karna pad raha hai, mixed economic data aur Federal Reserve ke monetary policy ke baare mein ongoing uncertainties ke sath. Yeh dollar ko thoda kamzor bana raha hai, jisse euro investors ke liye zyada attractive option ban gaya hai.



Market sentiment bhi bohot important role ada karti hai. Euro ke towards overall sentiment optimistic raha hai, investors ko Eurozone mein continued economic recovery aur stability ki umeed hai. Yeh positive outlook euro ki demand ko barhawa de raha hai, jo EUR/USD pair par upward pressure daal raha hai.

Aane wale dino mein traders ko kisi bhi major economic announcements ya geopolitical developments ke liye alert rehna chahiye jo pair ko impact kar sakti hain. Friday ko agar kisi form mein economic data releases ya unexpected geopolitical events aati hain, to yeh short-term volatility ko janam de sakti hain. Lekin medium-term upward trend kaafi robust lagta hai, jo suggest karta hai ke kisi bhi dip ko bullish traders buying opportunities ke taur par dekh sakte hain.

Summary yeh hai ke EUR/USD pair ka medium-term upward trend solid hai aur week ko 1.0906 par close kar raha hai, jahan momentum 1.0921 resistance level ya usse thoda upar push hone ki ummeed hai. Traders ko potential market-moving events par nazar rakhni chahiye lekin pair ke sustained growth phase par confidence rakh sakte hain.

EUR/USD Analysis

H4 Time Frame Analysis
Price 1.0986 aur 1.0806 ke darmiyan hai, jo clear momentum aur direction ki zarurat ko reflect karta hai. H4 timeframe mein critical support level 1.0986 pe hai, jab ke resistance level 1.0806 pe hai. Traders ko potential breakout pe nazar rakhni chahiye 1.0826 pe downward entry ke liye ya 1.0856 pe upward entry ke liye. Jab tak koi decisive move nahi hota, is range ke andar trading prudent approach ho sakti hai. Buying opportunities support level 1.0986 ke qareeb consider ki ja sakti hain jab ke selling opportunities resistance level 1.0806 ke paas viable ho sakti hain. Dollar ka recent support, shayad positive ADP data ke influence se, situation ko aur complex banata hai. Technical indicators jaise ke RSI overbought ya neutral conditions dikhate hain narrow trading range ke wajah se, jab ke MACD lack of momentum ko indicate kar sakta hai. Traders ko range trading strategies ko consider karna chahiye, buying opportunities ke liye jab price 1.0826 ke ooper move kare aur selling ko consider karna chahiye jab price 1.0986 ke neeche drop kare.

Fundamental Analysis
Fundamentally, ane wali economic data aur key figures jaise ke Powell ke statements pe nazar rakhna crucial hai, kyun ke yeh significantly pair ki movement ko influence kar sakte hain. Recent data releases current market sentiment ko influence karte hain, aur koi nayi information current range se breakout ko lead kar sakti hai. Overall, EUR/USD pair H4 timeframes pe range-bound hai, aur abhi koi clear direction nahi hai. Market ki lack of clear direction aur significant economic events ke potential impact ko dekhte hue, patience exercise karna aur over-leveraging se bachna wise hai. Vital economic releases ko monitor karna aur market sentiment ke baray mein informed rehna essential hoga in uncertain conditions ko navigate karne ke liye.

EUR/USD pair ki technical analysis Euro ki keematon mein US dollar ke khilaf faida ruk gaya jab ke EUR/USD resistance level 1.0922 par ruk gaya aur neeche jaane laga, jisay likhte waqt 1.0875 ke qareeb stable dekha gaya. Powell ka bayan bhi dikhaya ke euro-dollar is fazool ko faida nahi utha saka. America ke Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne apne halqay mein "dovish" note jataaya, lekin euro ke daam is bayan se faida uthane mein na-kamiyaab raha.

Powell ne Washington, DC ke Economic Club mein interview diya, jahan unho ne pichle haftay ke muntakhib hone wali America ki inflation ki numbers par guftugu ki. Lloyds Bank ke market insights ke head Sam Hill ke mutabiq, "Powell nakaam nazar aaye." "Ye us trend ko reflect karta hai jo Fed ne doosre quarter mein dekha, khaas tor par last teen inflation reports mein."

"Hamain yeh sahi karna hai," Powell ne izafi farmaya.
US dollar ne is qisam ke bayan par kam asar dikhaya. Jab Powell ne 3 July ko ECB's Forum on Central Banking mein kaha ke inflation par bari progress hui hai aur disinflation process wapas track par hai, to dollar mein mazeed kami aayi. Portugal ke Sintra mein kaha ke agar labor market "unexpectedly weak" ho jaye to hum is par react karenge. Powell ne apne nazariye ko dobara izhar kiya ke interest rates ke neutral level ko pehle se zyada samjha jata hai, lekin policy ab bhi mehdood hai.

Isi tarah, analysts ne izafi kaha ke "Market prices iske baad aur bhi kam hone ki taraf raftar badhane lagi, aur September se shuru hone wale easing cycle ke baad saal ke do cuts ki tawajjo di jaa rahi hai, jin mein se teen cuts hone ke 60% ke qareeb imkaan hai."

Aam toor par, Thursday ko European Central Bank ki agle interest rate decision pe sab nigahein hon gi. Interest rates ko unchanged rehne ki umeed hai lekin market ko ishaara chahiye ke mazeed rate cuts nazdeek hain. Market ne ECB ke September interest rate cut ko bhi aam tor par puri tarah se price kar liya hai, jo ke ishara deta hai ke euro versus dollar mein koi maani taslees nahi aayegi, jo exchange rate ko 1.09 ke neeche stable rakh sakta hai aur ek naye breakout ke liye tayar kar sakta hai.

EUR/USD aaj ke forecast:

Din bhar ke chart ke mutabiq, bulls ab bhi euro ke daam ke direction par mazboot qabza rakhte hain aur unhein 1.1000 ke psychological resistance ko todna zaroori hai taake general trend bullish ho jaaye. Agar yeh nahi hota to yeh us time period par head and shoulders pattern bana sakta hai, jo ke bechare ki dabao ki wapas aane ki alaamat ho sakti hai aur 1.0790 support ko todne ki khatra hai jo ke haal hi mein upar ki taraf tashkeel ho chuki tezi ko khatam kar sakta hai. Euro/dollar ke daam European Central Bank ke faislon ka reaction tak mazeed range-bound rahega jo ke kal Thursday tak rahega.Click image for larger versions

Kal raat se EURUSD currency pair ka movement bearish trend condition mein hai aur agle waqt mein yeh 1.08700 ki price tak gir sakta hai. Yeh girawat Euro ke exchange rate ke kamzor hone ki wajah se hai jo ECB policy ke under interest rates 4.25% par rakhti hai. Yeh is liye ta ke inflation ka khatra barkarar na ho agar 4.5% ka increment kiya jaye. Is haftay Euro consumers ka trade balance bhi 12.3 billion se kam ho gaya hai, jo ke EURUSD par bearish signal ko mazid mazboot kar raha hai. Iske ilawa, US dollar ka exchange rate bhi kaafi mazboot hai jab ke retail sales data ne 0.4% positive data show kiya aur Philly FED manufacturing index bhi 13.9 tak barh gaya. Halaanke kal ki unemployment data mein 243 hazar berozgar afrad ka izafa hua, magar in data ki roshni mein EURUSD ka movement ab bhi SELLERS ke pressure mein hai aur yeh 1.08700 tak gir sakta hai. Meri fundamental analysis ke nateejay mein maine aaj raat EURUSD ko 1.08700 ki price tak SELL karne ka faisla kiya hai.



Ab agar hum technical analysis ko dekhein to agle waqt ke EURUSD movement ko samajhne ke liye, raat ki technical analysis ke mutabiq EURUSD apni girawat ko jari rakhta hai aur yeh 1.08700 tak gir sakta hai. Yeh girawat H1 time frame par bearish candle engulfing formation ki wajah se hai, jo EURUSD ke further girne ka indication deti hai. Magar humein SELL EURUSD order place karne mein ehtiyat baratni chahiye kyun ke relative strength index indicator 14 ke mutabiq EURUSD oversold yaani ke zyada bech diya gaya hai. Is wajah se yeh mumkin hai ke raat ko EURUSD ek upward correction ka samna kar sakta hai aur yeh 1.0900 ki price tak barh sakta hai. BUY EURUSD ka signal SNR method se bhi strongly support hota hai kyun ke EURUSD price 1.0875 pe Resistance Become Support area mein hai jo ke aaj raat ke liye ek mazboot BUY EURUSD signal hai. Meri technical analysis ke nateejay mein maine aaj raat EURUSD ko 1.0900 ki price tak BUY karne ka faisla kiya hai.

Main euro dollar pair mein mazeed girawat ki umeed kar raha hoon. Jab berozgaari ka data aaya, maine resistance 1.09052 tak mazeed growth ka andaza lagaya tha. 4-hour chart par, 1.09052 ke upar, mujhe already pair ka overbought section nazar aa raha tha. Maximum jo maine andaza lagaya tha wo upper boundaries ka false breakout tha aur uske baad wapas aane ki umeed thi. Main yeh assume karta hoon ke pair 1.08216 ke support tak jayega, jo ke lower boundaries hain gray range ki. Yeh marks 1.07449 hain. Matlab, main yeh assume karta hoon ke pair is range mein chalega jab tak ke inflation stagnation se bahar nahi aata. Aur jab tak inflation stagnation se bahar nahi aata, main nahi samajhta ke pair grow karega, to girawat yahan pe hai.

Haan, euroSure, here's the translation in Roman Urdu:

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Main euro dollar pair mein mazeed girawat ki umeed kar raha hoon. Jab berozgaari ka data aaya, maine resistance 1.09052 tak mazeed growth ka andaza lagaya tha. 4-hour chart par, 1.09052 ke upar, mujhe already pair ka overbought section nazar aa raha tha. Maximum jo maine andaza lagaya tha wo upper boundaries ka false breakout tha aur uske baad wapas aane ki umeed thi. Main yeh assume karta hoon ke pair 1.08216 ke support tak jayega, jo ke lower boundaries hain gray range ki. Yeh marks 1.07449 hain. Matlab, main yeh assume karta hoon ke pair is range mein chalega jab tak ke inflation stagnation se bahar nahi aata. Aur jab tak inflation stagnation se bahar nahi aata, main nahi samajhta ke pair grow karega, to girawat yahan pe hai.

Haan, euro

dollar pair par reversal mumkin hai, khaaskar jab bear support level 1.0895 ke neeche consolidate ho chuka hai. Magar, main ab bhi intezar karna chahta hoon ek gehri southern decline ka taake sale mein enter kar sako. Aur agar correction hota hai, to main khushi se 1.0895 level ke area mein sale karunga. Aane wale hafta mein market khulne ke baad price north aur south dono taraf shoot kar sakti hai, is liye north aur south dono taraf pehle confirmation ka intezar karna zaroori hai aur phir decide karna hai ke kis direction mein enter karna hai.

dollar pair par reversal mumkin hai, khaaskar jab bear support level 1.0895 ke neeche consolidate ho chuka hai. Magar, main ab bhi intezar karna chahta hoon ek gehri southern decline ka taake sale mein enter kar sako. Aur agar correction hota hai, to main khushi se 1.0895 level ke area mein sale karunga. Aane wale hafta mein market khulne ke baad price north aur south dono taraf shoot kar sakti hai, is liye north aur south dono taraf pehle confirmation ka intezar karna zaroori hai aur phir decide karna hai ke kis direction mein enter karna hai

EUR/USD ANALYSIS 17 JULY 2024



EUR/USD Currency Pair

Aisa lagta hai ke price niche jayegi. Pichle trading week mein euro ne buyers ko apni strong growth se khush kiya. US mein kuch news thi, jinke indicators expected se worse the, aur price jump hui. Lekin sirf euro ne hi American dollar ko weaken nahi kiya, ye almost market ke entire spectrum pe effect hua. Shayad Canadian dollar ke ilawa, jo currency unshakable rahi, baqi sab, hatta ke long-suffering yen bhi weaken hui.

Wave structure apna order upward build kar rahi hai, MACD indicator upper buy zone mein hai, lekin apni signal line ke niche hai. Growth structure of five waves visible hai, aisa lagta hai ke fifth wave khatam ho gayi hai, last week ka maximum update hua aur kuch ne last month's maximum ko bhi exceed kar diya, ye ek potential sales zone hai. Five waves ek full cycle hai, plus MACD indicator pe bearish divergence form hui hai. Iske ilawa, second CCI indicator bhi upper overheating zone se fall hone ko tayar hai aur iske upar bhi ek small bearish divergence hai.

Iske ilawa, is waqt MACD bhi bearish divergence show kar raha hai. Zaroor, fifth wave thodi abnormal lagti hai yahan, ye zyada der tak chal rahi hai. Main chahunga ke price maximum se agey jaye. Agar aap first wave pe Fibonacci grid targets lagayen, to successful targets - levels 161.8 aur 200 dekh sakte hain. Har level pe downward correction hui thi, kyunki wahan long positions ka clear fixation tha. Aur price aur aage gayi, ab horizontal resistance level 1.0913 ko reach kar rahi hai aur ek false breakout banaya, jo ke apne aap mein ek sell signal hai.



Technical Reference: Sell as long as below 1.09295

Resistance 1: 1.09215
Resistance 2: 1.09295
Support 1: 1.08775
Support 2: 1.08685

EUR/USD ke paas mauqa hai ke wo US session mein raat ko (16/7/24) apne ek haftay ke highest level se door chala jaye. Ye isliye dikhayi de raha hai kyunke price bullish channel se breakout kar chuki hai jo ke pichle haftay se increase ko support kar raha tha, iska matlab hai ke sellers market ko control karna shuru kar rahe hain.

Wahi cheez MACD indicator bhi dikhata hai, histogram ab negative area mein hai, jo ke bearish signal hai.

One-hour chart movement ke analysis ke mutabiq, 15 M chart pe bhi EUR/USD ke girne ka chance hai kyunke ye bearish channel mein hai. Is se EUR/USD ko support level 1.08685 ki taraf push hone ka potential milta hai.