Eurusd forum

European session se pehle, Wednesday ko, EURUSD ke four-hour timeframe pe nazar daalain to market ka jazbaat dollar ko bechne ka lagta hai, jo ke established trend ko follow kar raha hai. Magar ab ye saaf hai ke market ab anticipation mode mein chali gayi hai, aur agle round ki news ka intezaar kar rahi hai jo USD ke baare mein hogi. Market ke hissedaar yeh samajhna chahte hain ke Fed 25 ya 50 basis points ka interest rate cut karega. Is sawal ka jawab kuch had tak Friday ke personal spending statistics pe depend karta hai, jo ke Fed ke liye ek aham inflation indicator hai. Aaj, price 1.1150 ke aas-paas fluctuate kar sakti hai, aur shayad 1.1140 pe trend line ki taraf retrace kare. Agar price is se neeche girti hai, to mujhe filhal koi zyada niche jaane ki potential nazar nahi aati. Statistics ka intezaar karna padega.

Market ke mood ka asar trading decisions pe padta hai, aur abhi ke liye dollar ki strength pe shak hai. Agar market ka reaction negative hota hai ya economic data expectations se mismatch karta hai, to dollar ko kuch nuksan ho sakta hai. Is waqt, traders ko market trends aur upcoming economic data ka dhyan rakhna zaroori hai. Friday ke personal spending figures ki base par trading strategy adjust ki ja sakti hai. Yeh bhi dekhna hoga ke Fed ki policy statement aur economic indicators ke beech ka taluq kaisa hai, aur market kis direction mein ja rahi hai. Overall, abhi ke liye stability aur market ke upcoming news ka intezaar zaroori hai.

time frame ke linear regression channel ki taraf dilwana chahta hoon, jo ke upwards slope kar raha hai, aur ye buyers ke trend ka izhar kar raha hai. Is beech bears bhi apni activity dikha rahe hain, jo price ko neeche push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Main observe kar raha hoon ke price 1.09196 se neeche break kar rahi hai, jo channel ki lower boundary 1.09228 ke bahar hai, aur ye 1.09095 tak ke possible decline ka signal de sakta hai. Lekin, ye bhi worth noting hai ke 1.09095 ke level par buyers ki taraf se sellers ko strong resistance face karna par sakta hai. Analysis suggest karta hai ke 1.09095 tak sell kiya ja sakta hai, lekin main recommend karta hoon ke is level par positions close kar den ya at least order ko breakeven par secure kar len. Jaise ke hamesha, ehtiyaat aur proper risk management successful trading ke key principles hain! Mera strategic goal hai ke main downtrend par position hold karun aur 1.09095 ke level par barrier ko break karun. Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke hourly channel ke position ko bhi madde nazar rakha jaye kyunki yeh downward movement ko limit kar sakta hai. Isliye, main sabhi risks ko consider karta hoon aur necessary analysis conduct karta hoon taake losses ko protect aur minimize kiya ja sake.

Hourly chart par, linear regression channel bhi upwards slope kar raha hai, jo buyers ki strength ko dikhata hai jo market par dominate kar rahe hain. Is case mein, H1 channel M15 se zyada significance rakhta hai. Agar channel ki lower boundary 1.09095 tak pohanchi, to yeh ek strong buyer ka izhar ho sakta hai. Filhal, M15 par linear regression ek correction suggest karta hai, jiske baad bulls zyada active ho sakte hain. Agar market 1.09095 ke level par hold karta hai, to yeh ek buying opportunity ho sakti hai, jo ek accha idea ho sakta hai. Target 1.09425 ka hoga. Is target ko achieve karne ke baad, agar koi active seller 1.09425 ke level par appear hota hai to market ka direction bearish ho sakta hai. Agar price 1.09095 ke neeche break kar jata hai, to yeh selling ka signal ho sakta hai, kyunki yeh trend reversal ka indication de sakt

Forex price movement ka tajziya karte hue EUR/USD ke aaj ke liye jo candlestick shape dekha gaya hai, usse yeh lagta hai ke price ke barhne ki probability ab bhi zyada hai. Yeh nishkarsh is baat par hai ke aakhri EUR/USD trade ek bullish candlestick bana. Jaise ke aakhri daily trade mein dikhaya gaya, closing price trade ke opening price se upar thi.
Bullish candlestick ke formation ka matlab hai ke buyers ne market ko pichli trade mein control mein rakha. Isliye aaj ke EUR/USD price movement analysis ke mutabiq, price barhne ke taraf hi rahegi. Is hisaab se, sabse relevant transaction option buy hai. Pichle EUR/USD price movement ko dekhte hue, jab currency pair 1.1130 par open hua tha, usne lowest trading price 1.1100 par banayi. Is lowest price level par, EUR/USD ko buyers ka support mila aur phir yeh barh gaya. Barhne ka silsila tab tak chala jab tak price ne highest trading price 1.1175 ko touch kiya. Is highest price level par, EUR/USD sirf sideways move karta raha aur finally trading 1.1150 par band hui.

EUR/USD market conditions ko dekhte hue, ajeng4x ka nazariya yeh hai ke EUR/USD abhi bhi bullish hone ke liye inclined hai, isliye buy transaction option aaj ke trading mein sabse behtar hai. Lekin transaction execute karne ke liye, behtar hoga ke sahi momentum ka intezaar kiya jaye, jaise ke smaller time frame par bullish candlestick pattern ka ubharna.

Isse yeh hoga ke jo transactions kiye jayenge, unmein quality open positions milengi, ideal risk-reward calculations ke saath aur achhi winning rate probabilities ke sath. Transaction decisions lene mein sabse nazdeek ke support resistance levels ka dhyan rakhna zaroori hai. Yeh support resistance levels Bollinger Bands indicator, Moving Average, Horizontal Line ke zariye ya Psychological prices ka istemal karke dekha ja sakta hai:

Agar price support area mein reject hoti hai, to buy transaction instantly ki ja sakti hai. Lekin agar support ka breakout hota hai, to buy transaction option ko dobara dekhna chahiye. Forex market ke price movements bohot dynamic hain aur market ko bearish condition mein bhi le ja sakti hain. Buy option tab bhi kiya ja sakta hai agar EUR/USD price pehla resistance breakout kar jaye, lekin open position ke liye behtar hoga ke price correction ke baad resistance area tak wapas aaye, isse Resistance Become Support (RBS) kehte hain. Isliye, abhi se risk calculations ka intezam karna zaroori hai, taake jo actions lene hain, woh trading plan ke mutabiq ho. Agar market unpredictable move karti hai, to losses measured aur risk limits ke andar honge jo pehle

Euro ki qeemat apni decline ko continue karte hue $1.0825 ke support level tak pohanchi hai, jo ke chaar maheenon ke sabse highest level $1.094 se door ho gayi hai, jo ke 17 July ko touch kiya tha, jab euro zone, Germany aur France ke weak PMI data release hue the. In reports ke baad yeh umeed barh gayi ke European Central Bank iss saal do aur dafa interest rates cut karega. Economic calendar ke mutabiq, Flash Eurozone PMIs ne July mein private sector activity mein unexpected slump ki taraf ishara kiya, jo ke manufacturing mein zyada contraction aur services mein slowdown ki wajah se hua. Germany aur France broader region mein underperform karte rahe. Iske nateejay mein, traders ne European Central Bank ke do aur interest rate cuts ki bets ko 80% se badhakar 90% tak kar diya hai PMI data ke baad.

Europe mein, German Treasuries aur French oats yields ke darmiyan yield gap barhkar 71.70 basis points tak pohanch gaya, jo ke France mein political tensions ki wajah se hua. Far-left National Front party ke taraf se pension reform ko reverse karne ka proposal, jo President Macron ne approve kiya tha, far-right National Front party ki support ke sath, ne fiscal spending aur France ke debt par risk premium ke hawalay se concerns ko barha diya hai. President Macron ne kaha hai ke unki government Olympics ke dauran mid-August tak barqarar rahegi, aur left-wing coalition ke efforts ko reject karte hue naye prime minister ko appoint karne se inkaar kar diya hai.

Daily chart par Euro ke price ke performance ke mutabiq, EUR/USD currency pair abhi bhi mazbooti se important psychological support level 1.0800 ke tor par inclined hai, aur agar yeh break hota hai, to bears ko aur zyada momentum milega ke woh price ko neeche le jayein. Aur agle most important support levels 1.0745 aur 1.0660 par honge, respectively. Dusri taraf, isi time period ke dauran, aur jaisa ke maine pehle bhi mention kiya, general trend mein upar ki taraf koi strong aur important shift tab tak nahi aayegi jab tak yeh wapas psychological resistance 1.1000 ke level tak na pohanche. Aaj Euro Dollar ki qeemat European Central Bank ke Governor Lagarde ke statements aur German IFO reading ke announcement, aur phir important American economic data, jo GDP growth reading, weekly unemployed claims, aur durable goods orders ke hawalay se hai, se affect hogi.

EUR/USD Ka Technical Analysis
Hello, sabko. Aaj, euro ki price 1.1190 level se gir ke 1.1100 level tak aayi hai. Lagta hai ke bearish trend aage bhi continue rahega aur price 1.1040 level tak pohnch sakti hai. Pichle haftay, euro ne apni growth continue rakhi aur naye local highs set kiye. 1.1033 mark ko successfully break karne ke baad, price ne pehle 1.1121 ko touch kiya, phir 1.1198 tak pohnchi aur wahan ruk gayi. Iska matlab hai ke target area capture kar liya gaya aur successfully achieve ho gaya. Is waqt, price chart super trendy green zone mein hai, jo buyers ke market control ko indicate karta hai.

Eurozone ka consumer confidence index European consumers ke economic situation ke baare mein pessimism ko highlight karta hai. September data ke mutabiq, Germany ka GfK consumer confidence index -22.00 points tak gir gaya hai jo August mein -18.6 points tha. EUR/USD pair 1.1183 tak ucha, jo ke previous day's close se 1.1160 tha. Pair ne 1.1190 se girke 1.1150 tak aayi.



Pair abhi apne weekly highs ke upar trade kar raha hai. Key support area ko test kiya gaya aur intact rakha gaya hai, jo quotes ko limits ke andar rakhta hai aur rebound cause karta hai, isse upward vector ki relevance indicate hoti hai. Price ko rise continue karne ke liye, 1.1121 level ke upar firmly consolidate karna hoga, jo ke ab key support area se bordered hai. Agar is area ka successful retest hota hai aur subsequent pullback aata hai, to higher move ki opportunity milegi, targeting area between 1.1283 aur 1.1373.

Agar support break hota hai aur price 1.1033 pivot level ke neeche girti hai, to current scenario cancel ho jayega.

Technical Analysis of EUR/USD

Assalam-o-Alaikum sab ko. Aaj, euro ka daam 1.1190 level se gir kar 1.1100 level tak aagaya. Aage bhi bearish trend ki umeed hai jo 1.1040 level tak pohanch sakta hai. Pichle hafte, euro ne apni growth continue rakhi aur naye local highs set kiye. 1.1033 mark ko successfully break karne ke baad, price ne pehle 1.1121 ko target kiya aur phir 1.1198 tak pohanch gayi aur wahan ruk gayi. Iska matlab hai ke target area capture ho gaya aur successfully captured hua. Is waqt, price chart super trendy green zone mein hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke buyers market ko control kar rahe hain.

Eurozone consumer confidence index yeh highlight karta hai ke European consumers economic situation ke bare mein pessimistic hain. September ke data ke mutabiq, Germany ka GfK consumer confidence index -22.00 points par gir gaya hai jo August mein -18.6 points tha. EUR/USD pair 1.1183 tak barh gaya jo pichle din ke close 1.1160 ke muqablay mein hai. Yeh pair 1.1190 ke high se gir kar 1.1150 ke low tak aagaya.

Jo pair hai, wo filhal apne weekly highs se kafi upar trade kar raha hai. Key support area ko test kiya gaya hai aur wo intact raha hai, jo quotes ko limits ke andar rakhta hai aur rebound ka sabab banta hai, jo upward vector ki relevance ko indicate karta hai. Agar rise continue karna hai, to price ko 1.1121 level ke upar firmly consolidate karna hoga, jo abhi key support area ke saath border kar raha hai. Agar is area ka successful retest aur uske baad pullback hota hai, to ek aur upar ki move ki opportunity milegi, jo 1.1283 aur 1.1373 ke beech target karegi.

Agar support break hota hai aur price 1.1033 ke pivot level ke neeche girti hai, to current scenario cancel ho jayega.

EUR/USD ko dabao ka samna karna par raha hai jab Euro ECB ke rate cuts ke imkaanat ke bawajood kamzor hota hai. Eurozone ki kamzor ma'eeshat ECB ke September ke liye rate cut ke bets ko support karti hai.

US Dollar apni position ko mazbooti se wapas hasil karta hai jab US core PCE inflation data par nazar rakhi ja rahi hai. EUR/USD Wednesday ke European session mein 1.1150 ke qareeb thoda correct hota hai. Yeh major currency pair tab girta hai jab US Dollar (USD) apni position ko wapas hasil karta hai jo is hafte ke naye saal ke low par pahunch gaya tha. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ke 6 bade currencies ke khilaf value ko track karta hai, naye lows 100.50 se thoda upar 100.80 ke qareeb chala gaya hai.

US Dollar ki halki recovery abhi ke liye ek chhoti si pullback lagti hai, jo market participants ke liye bechne ke mauke ke taur par istemal ho sakta hai. Greenback ka near-term outlook abhi bhi fragile hai, khas taur par Fed ke September mein interest rates kam karne ki umeed par.

Jab Fed ke September mein rate cuts ko traders ne puri tarah se price in kar liya hai, bets ab bhi is baat par divided hain ke central bank dheere dheere 25 basis points (bps) ka cut karega ya 50 bps ka bada cut. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, 30-day Federal Funds Futures pricing data dikhata hai ke 50-bps ke interest rate reduction ka imkaan 34.5% hai, jabke baaki 25 bps ke cut ko zyada support milta hai.

Rate-cut size ke fresh cues ke liye, investors Friday ko United States (US) core Personal Consumption Expenditure Inflation (PCE) data ka intezar kar rahe hain. PCE Price Index report ka andaza hai ke annual core inflation 2.7% tak barh jayegi, jo June ke reading 2.6% se upar hai, aur monthly figures steady 0.2% se barh rahi hain. Agar underlying inflation mein mazeed kami dekhne ko milti hai, to Fed ke aggressive policy-easing approach ki umeed barh jayegi. Iske baraks, agar figures sticky rahte hain to jumbo rate-cut ke scenarios kamzor ho sakte hain.

EUR/USD naye highs 1.1200 se girti hai jab Euro (EUR) kamzor hota hai. Euro apne major peers ke muqablay mein underperform karta hai kyunki investors ka confidence hai ke European Central Bank (ECB) September mein interest rates phir se kam karega.

ECB ne June mein interest rates ko kam karna shuru kiya jab policymakers ko lagta hai ke Eurozone mein price pressures 2025 tak bank ke 2% target par wapas aayengi. Lekin, July mein isne key borrowing rates ko unchanged rakhna decide kiya kyunki officials ko dar tha ke aggressive policy easing inflationary pressures ko dobara badha sakti hai. EUR/USD 1.1200 par naye swing high se gir kar 1.1150 ke qareeb aa gaya hai. Major currency pair ka broader outlook abhi bhi mazboot hai kyunki yeh weekly time frame par Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern ka breakout hold karta hai. Upward-sloping 20-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo 1.0900 ke qareeb hai, mazeed upside support karta hai.

14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) bullish range 60.00-80.00 mein ghoom raha hai, jo strong upside momentum ko suggest karta hai. Upside par, July 2023 ka high 1.1275 aur January 2022 ka high 1.1500 Euro bulls ke liye agle targets honge. Downside par, 1.1000 ke psychological support ke qareeb support dekhne ko milne ki umeed hai.

Humara discussion abhi EUR/USD currency pair ki current price behavior assessment par focus kar raha hai. EUR/USD ki price lagbhag 1.1169 par thi. Mere paas trading, zindagi, aur simplicity ke mutaliq alag soch hai, lekin is topic par baad mein baat karenge. Har koi apni zindagi khud chalata hai. Aaj bears ne price ko 1.1149 tak neeche le jaane mein kamyabi hasil ki. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh hum jaldi se 1.1099 area tak gir sakte hain. Lekin yeh abhi door hai, aur bears ke liye yeh rasta mushkil hoga. Jab hum top par pohonch jayein, toh hum 11th figure ke middle se neeche jaa sakte hain. Aakhirkar, hum neeche jaayenge. Ek significant correction month ke end tak ho sakta hai. Jaise jaise hafte mein aage barhenge, U.S. se aane wali news ka asar price ke reaction par hoga, khaaskar 1.1199 par. 1.1199 level pair ke liye strong resistance hai, aur agar bulls ise break karne mein nakam hotay hain, toh reversal ho sakta hai.

EUR/USD pair dhire dhire 1.1199 ke qareeb pohonch gaya hai. Recent four-hour candlesticks red ho gayi hain, green ki jagah, lekin moving average line ab bhi green hai, jo ke growth ki taraf ishara kar rahi hai. Price apne upward movement ke end ke qareeb hai aur decline ki taraf shift ho sakti hai. EUR/USD pair 1.1199 se neeche gir gaya hai bina resistance ko tod ke. Ye level aam tor par intense, psychological, aur rounded hota hai. Aksar prices aise levels ko kai baar test karte hain, aur agar woh upar na ja sakein, toh woh neeche turn karna shuru kar dete hain. Pair ne daily candle ka high update nahi kiya, jo is baat ki taraf ishara kar raha hai ke decline jari reh sakta hai 1.1149 aur 1.1129 ki taraf. Jumma ke din price Powell ke speeches ke baad barhi thi. Poore din mein EUR/USD chart ko dekh kar mujhe nazar aaya ke pullback shuru ho gaya hai. Cost ke mutabiq 1.1149 level ko test karegi.

EUR/USD Forum analysis

EUR/USD ka price abhi bhi 100-period simple moving average zone ke upar stable hai, jo ek uptrend market situation ko indicate karta hai. Pichle haftay market ka trend bhi upar ki taraf tha, jo pichle mahine ke bullish trend ke mutabiq hai. Mahine ke aghaz mein price increase ne candlestick ko 1.1202 ke position tak le aya. Is mahine ke price increase kaafi zyada lag rahi hai, lekin abhi tak yeh trading session ke dauran continue nahi hui hai, kyunke market mein correction ho rahi hai. Aaj subah tak price ka safar Uptrend zone mein move karne ki koshish kar raha hai.

Tuesday raat ko price upar janay ki koshish kar rahi thi, lekin weekly price opening ko cross nahi kar saki. Raat ke increase ne is cheez ka moka diya ke price aur upar move kar sake, kyunke correction ka momentum aksar bullish trend ko lamba kar deta hai. Aaj tak price monthly opening price zone se kaafi door chali gayi hai, jo 1.0824 par tha. Mera khayal hai ke candlestick abhi bhi upar move karna chahti hai, jaise ke pichle haftay ka market trend tha. EUR/USD pair ka market situation ab active hona shuru ho gaya hai, halan ke buyers ka price increase karne ka effort abhi tak itna strong nahi hai. Shaid kuch mukhtalif situation us waqt paida ho jab market American session mein enter karegi.

Agar price ke travel pattern aur pichle haftay ke movement ka rujhan dekha jaye, to lagta hai ke trend bullish side ki taraf ja raha hai. 4-hour time frame mein bhi yeh nazar aa raha hai ke market pichle haftay ki position se ab tak consolidate kar raha hai. Mera andaza hai ke market ke pass upar move karne ka moka ho sakta hai aur shaayad yeh highest monthly area tak bhi pahunch jaye. Is waqt market slow move kar rahi hai, to mein suggest karta hoon ke Buy Option ka intezar karein jab tak market mein high volatility period na aa jaye. Aaj ke economic news ke mutabiq shayad market mein ziada significant movement na ho.


**Transaction Options:**

- Buy in the 1.1196 area, Take Profit: 1.1248, Stop Loss: 1.1160

Main aapki tawajjo M15 time frame ke linear regression channel ki taraf dilwana chahta hoon, jo ke upwards slope kar raha hai, aur ye buyers ke trend ka izhar kar raha hai. Is beech bears bhi apni activity dikha rahe hain, jo price ko neeche push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Main observe kar raha hoon ke price 1.09196 se neeche break kar rahi hai, jo channel ki lower boundary 1.09228 ke bahar hai, aur ye 1.09095 tak ke possible decline ka signal de sakta hai. Lekin, ye bhi worth noting hai ke 1.09095 ke level par buyers ki taraf se sellers ko strong resistance face karna par sakta hai. Analysis suggest karta hai ke 1.09095 tak sell kiya ja sakta hai, lekin main recommend karta hoon ke is level par positions close kar den ya at least order ko breakeven par secure kar len. Jaise ke hamesha, ehtiyaat aur proper risk management successful trading ke key principles hain!

Mera strategic goal hai ke main downtrend par position hold karun aur 1.09095 ke level par barrier ko break karun. Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke hourly channel ke position ko bhi madde nazar rakha jaye kyunki yeh downward movement ko limit kar sakta hai. Isliye, main sabhi risks ko consider karta hoon aur necessary analysis conduct karta hoon taake losses ko protect aur minimize kiya ja sake.

Hourly chart par, linear regression channel bhi upwards slope kar raha hai, jo buyers ki strength ko dikhata hai jo market par dominate kar rahe hain. Is case mein, H1 channel M15 se zyada significance rakhta hai. Agar channel ki lower boundary 1.09095 tak pohanchi, to yeh ek strong buyer ka izhar ho sakta hai. Filhal, M15 par linear regression ek correction suggest karta hai, jiske baad bulls zyada active ho sakte hain. Agar market 1.09095 ke level par hold karta hai, to yeh ek buying opportunity ho sakti hai, jo ek accha idea ho sakta hai. Target 1.09425 ka hoga. Is target ko achieve karne ke baad, agar koi active seller 1.09425 ke level par appear hota hai to market ka direction bearish ho sakta hai. Agar price 1.09095 ke neeche break kar jata hai, to yeh selling ka signal ho sakta hai, kyunki yeh trend reversal ka indication de sakta hai.

Ab hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price fluctuations ka tajziya karenge. Friday ko, humne EUR/USD pair ko H1 time frame par trade kiya tha planned sideways movement ke andar, jo ke 9th din se qaim hai. Jaise expect kiya gaya tha, humne weekend se pehle is sideways pattern se exit nahi kiya, aur Monday ko yeh range mein hi continue karega. Lekin, Tuesday aur Wednesday tak, jab economic calendar active ho jayega, tab hum consolidation se break dekh sakte hain. Critical sawal yeh hai ke market kis direction mein move karega, lekin breakout direction ko predict karna mushkil hai kyunki theoretically yeh dono taraf ho sakta hai. Attached chart potential targets ko illustrate karta hai is movement ke liye. Yeh predict karna challenging hai ke EUR/USD pair ka upcoming trading week mein kis taraf break hoga, especially given ke resistance ka narrow range, jo ke 1.0966 aur 1.0947 ke beech identify kiya gaya hai, iski recent decline ke darmiyan.

Lekin, agar price is range ke upar stabilize ho jati hai, to bulls ko ek fresh local maximum ki taraf drive kar sakti hai. Main estimate karta hoon ke dono scenarios ke liye 50% chance hai, halaan ke main thoda bullish outcome ki taraf lean karta hoon. Price mein lower boundary of the triangle, jo ke minimum level 1.0449 ke ird gird hai, tak retreat karne ka potential hai. Iske bawajood, upside breakout zyada feasible lag raha hai. Price current upper boundary ko break karne ya neeche move karne ki koshish kar sakti hai, halaan ke ab tak lower boundary tak nahi pohnchi. Isliye, main maximum ko update karne ki possibility 1.1009 tak rule out nahi kar sakta. U.S. Dollar Index ko dekhte hue, weakening ke signs zahir hain. Hum index mein further decline dekh sakte hain, jo ke minimum ko 102.14 tak update kar sakta hai

Aaj, Monday ko, hum D1 period ka EURUSD currency pair ka chart dekhain ge. Wave structure upward direction mein hai, aur MACD indicator bhi upper purchase zone mein barh raha hai, signal line se upar. Guzishta trading hafta ne bears ko koi mauqa nahi diya. Din ke dauran jo choti corrections aayi, woh bhi mushkil se hui. Market ek dum upar push ho raha tha, jaise koi jack ke zariye utha raha ho. Lagta tha ke ab neeche girne ka waqt aa gaya hai, magar Wednesday ki candle itni choti thi ke lagta tha ke yeh girawat ka signal hai. Agle din girawat ko develop karne ki koshish hui, magar dekhain ke kya anjaam hua. Pure din halki si girawat ke sath market ruk gayi aur lagta tha ke kafi sellers ne yeh socha ke ab price itni height se zaroor neeche aayegi. Magar phir Friday ko jab US ki ahem news aayi, toh sab kuch badal gaya.

US Federal Reserve ke head Jerome Powell ki speech hui aur saath hi nayi housing sales ke data ne market ko hila diya. Is news ke baad price achanak aur taqat se upar chali gayi. Shayad kaafi logon ke accounts is move se jal gaye, kam az kam bohot logon ke stops lag gaye. Sirf euro ke muqable mein hi nahi, US dollar pooray market mein kamzor hua.

Agar hum first wave ke bottom par Fibonacci grid lagain, toh dekh sakte hain ke target poora ho chuka hai - 161.8 ka level hit ho gaya hai aur ab shayad hum 200 level tak pohanch sakain. Jab ke minimum target poora ho chuka hai, aur price pichlay saal 2023 ke aakhri maximum se aagay nikal gayi hai, toh yeh aik potential sales zone ho sakta hai. CCI indicator ab upper overheating zone mein hai aur wahan se bahar nikalne ke liye tayyar hai. Yahan hum mirror level ki formation dekh sakte hain choti period par, misal ke tor par H1 chart par.

Waisay bhi, guzishta hafton mein US dollar kafi kamzor hua hai aur market mein ek correction ka intezar hai. Doosri currency pairs bhi apni strong support ya resistance zones par hain. Agar hum choti, yani 4-hour chart par dekhein, toh MACD indicator bearish divergence dikhata hai.

EUR/USD pair ne Wednesday ko temporary pullback experience kiya, recent rally ke baad jo saal ke naye highs tak pohanchi thi. Yeh decline zyada tar is liye hua kyunke September mein Federal Reserve (Fed) ke rate cut ki expectations thi, jis ne market ke risk appetite ko thoda dull kar diya. Mid-week economic calendar kafi quiet hai, lekin Thursday ko US GDP data release hone wala hai, jis par sab ki nazar hogi. Consensus forecast yeh suggest karta hai ke second-quarter GDP growth stable rahegi lagbhag 2.8% par, jisse kisi bhi bara market reaction ki umeed kam hai. Is haftay ka key data release US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) inflation data hai jo ke Friday ko aayega. Investors eagerly wait kar rahe hain signs ke inflation continue slow ho raha hai ya kam se kam rapidly accelerate nahi ho raha jo ke Fed ko September 18 ko rate cut karne se rok sake. Technical perspective se dekha jaye toh EUR/USD pair abhi 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) 1.0850 ke upar test kar raha hai. Agar decline continue raha toh yeh 50-day EMA ke near 1.0940 tak retreat kar sakta hai. Recent pullback ke bawajood, EUR/USD pair ne August mein strong gains exhibit kiye hain, 1.0776 se significant rally karke near 1.1200 tak pohanch gaya hai. Yeh performance euro ke liye positive outlook suggest karti hai, lekin caution zaroori hai kyunke Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Stochastics overbought conditions show kar rahe hain, jo potential selling pressure indicate karte hain. 1.1240-1.1274 area, jo 2021-2022 downtrend ka 61.8% Fibonacci retracement aur 2022 low ki trendline include karta hai, pair ke liye near-term resistance provide kar sakta hai. Agar yeh area ke upar break hota hai toh further gains ke liye door khul sakte hain, potential upside targets 1.1340 se 1.1370 ke beech ho sakte hain. Lekin, 1.1480 area significant hurdle represent karta hai jo upward momentum ko limit kar sakta hai. In sab factors ke ilawa, geopolitical tensions aur global economic uncertainties bhi EUR/USD pair ko influence kar sakte hain. Ukraine mein ongoing conflict, trade disputes, aur potential global recession ki concerns currency market mein volatility create kar sakte hain. Overall, EUR/USD pair ko economic, geopolitical, aur technical factors ki combination influence karegi. Investors ko in developments ko closely monitor karne ki zarurat hai taake informed trading decisions le sakein

Compresensive analysis ki buniyad par trading
EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Kal mai thoda hairan hua jab euro/dollar ke jode ne baad ke karobar me ooper ki taraf raftar hasil karna shuru kar diya. Mai tawaqqo kar raha tha keh qimat ek nayi bulandi tak pahunch jayegi, lekin yah ulat gayi aur wapas mukhalif simt me chali gayi.
Natije ke taur par, Euro ek nayi bulandi tak pahunchne me nakam raha, jabkeh Bartanwi pound ek nayi bulandi par pahunch gaya.
Aaj, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh euro/dollar ka joda 1.1135 ki satah tak gir jayega, jahan long positions par gaur kiya ja sakta hai. Is dauran, behtar yahi hoga keh aap filhal sambhal kar rahein kiyunkeh tejarati sargar mi ab bhi kafi sust hai.
Mujhe short ya long positions ke liye koi shart nazar nahin aati. Macroeconomic calendar me aisi koi aham khabar nahin hai jo market ke jazbat par gahra asar dal sake, kal ke liye sirf GDP data sceduled hai. Jumah mahine ka aakhri karobari din hai, lehaza hafte ke aakhir tak market me utar-chadhaw badhne ka imkan hai.

USD Main aapki tawajjo M15 time frame ke linear regression channel ki taraf dilwana chahta hoon, jo ke upwards slope kar raha hai, aur ye buyers ke trend ka izhar kar raha hai. Is beech bears bhi apni activity dikha rahe hain, jo price ko neeche push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Main observe kar raha hoon ke price 1.09196 se neeche break kar rahi hai, jo channel ki lower boundary 1.09228 ke bahar hai, aur ye 1.09095 tak ke possible decline ka signal de sakta hai. Lekin, ye bhi worth noting hai ke 1.09095 ke level par buyers ki taraf se sellers ko strong resistance face karna par sakta hai. Analysis suggest karta hai ke 1.09095 tak sell kiya ja sakta hai, lekin main recommend karta hoon ke is level par positions close kar den ya at least order ko breakeven par secure kar len. Jaise ke hamesha, ehtiyaat aur proper risk management successful trading ke key principles hain!

Mera strategic goal hai ke main downtrend par position hold karun aur 1.09095 ke level par barrier ko break karun. Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke hourly channel ke position ko bhi madde nazar rakha jaye kyunki yeh downward movement ko limit kar sakta hai. Isliye, main sabhi risks ko consider karta hoon aur necessary analysis conduct karta hoon taake losses ko protect aur minimize kiya ja sake.

Hourly chart par, linear regression channel bhi upwards slope kar raha hai, jo buyers ki strength ko dikhata hai jo market par dominate kar rahe hain. Is case mein, H1 channel M15 se zyada significance rakhta hai. Agar channel ki lower boundary 1.09095 tak pohanchi, to yeh ek strong buyer ka izhar ho sakta hai. Filhal, M15 par linear regression ek correction suggest karta hai, jiske baad bulls zyada active ho sakte hain. Agar market 1.09095 ke level par hold karta hai, to yeh ek buying opportunity ho sakti hai, jo ek accha idea ho sakta hai. Target 1.09425 ka hoga. Is target ko achieve karne ke baad, agar koi active seller 1.09425 ke level par appear hota hai to market ka direction bearish ho sakta hai. Agar price 1.09095 ke neeche break kar jata hai, to yeh selling ka signal ho sakta hai, kyunki yeh trend reversal ka indication de sakta hai.

Ab hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price fluctuations ka tajziya karenge. Friday ko, humne EUR/USD pair ko H1 time frame par trade kiya tha planned sideways movement ke andar, jo ke 9th din se qaim hai. Jaise expect kiya gaya tha, humne weekend se pehle is sideways pattern se exit nahi kiya, aur Monday ko yeh range mein hi continue karega. Lekin, Tuesday aur Wednesday tak, jab economic calendar active ho jayega, tab hum consolidation se break dekh sakte hain. Critical sawal yeh hai ke market kis direction mein move karega, lekin breakout direction ko predict karna mushkil hai kyunki theoretically yeh dono taraf ho sakta hai. Attached chart potential targets ko illustrate karta hai is movement ke liye. Yeh predict karna challenging hai ke EUR/USD pair ka upcoming trading week mein kis taraf break hoga, especially given ke resistance ka narrow range, jo ke 1.0966 aur 1.0947 ke beech identify kiya gaya hai, iski recent decline ke darmiyan.

Lekin, agar price is range ke upar stabilize ho jati hai, to bulls ko ek fresh local maximum ki taraf drive kar sakti hai. Main estimate karta hoon ke dono scenarios ke liye 50% chance hai, halaan ke main thoda bullish outcome ki taraf lean karta hoon. Price mein lower boundary of the triangle, jo ke minimum level 1.0449 ke ird gird hai, tak retreat karne ka potential hai. Iske bawajood, upside breakout zyada feasible lag raha hai. Price current upper boundary ko break karne ya neeche move karne ki koshish kar sakti hai, halaan ke ab tak lower boundary tak nahi pohnchi. Isliye, main maximum ko update karne ki possibility 1.1009 tak rule out nahi kar sakta. U.S. Dollar Index ko dekhte hue, weakening ke signs zahir hain. Hum index mein further decline dekh sakte hain, jo ke minimum ko 102.14 tak update kar sakta hai

tawajjo M15 time frame ke linear regression channel ki taraf dilwana chahta hoon, jo ke upwards slope kar raha hai, aur ye buyers ke trend ka izhar kar raha hai. Is beech bears bhi apni activity dikha rahe hain, jo price ko neeche push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Main observe kar raha hoon ke price 1.09196 se neeche break kar rahi hai, jo channel ki lower boundary 1.09228 ke bahar hai, aur ye 1.09095 tak ke possible decline ka signal de sakta hai. Lekin, ye bhi worth noting hai ke 1.09095 ke level par buyers ki taraf se sellers ko strong resistance face karna par sakta hai. Analysis suggest karta hai ke 1.09095 tak sell kiya ja sakta hai, lekin main recommend karta hoon ke is level par positions close kar den ya at least order ko breakeven par secure kar len. Jaise ke hamesha, ehtiyaat aur proper risk management successful trading ke key principles hain!
Mera strategic goal hai ke main downtrend par position hold karun aur 1.09095 ke level par barrier ko break karun. Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke hourly channel ke position ko bhi madde nazar rakha jaye kyunki yeh downward movement ko limit kar sakta hai. Isliye, main sabhi risks ko consider karta hoon aur necessary analysis conduct karta hoon taake losses ko protect aur minimize kiya ja sake.

Hourly chart par, linear regression channel bhi upwards slope kar raha hai, jo buyers ki strength ko dikhata hai jo market par dominate kar rahe hain. Is case mein, H1 channel M15 se zyada significance rakhta hai. Agar channel ki lower boundary 1.09095 tak pohanchi, to yeh ek strong buyer ka izhar ho sakta hai. Filhal, M15 par linear regression ek correction suggest karta hai, jiske baad bulls zyada active ho sakte hain. Agar market 1.09095 ke level par hold karta hai, to yeh ek buying opportunity ho sakti hai, jo ek accha idea ho sakta hai. Target 1.09425 ka hoga. Is target ko achieve karne ke baad, agar koi active seller 1.09425 ke level par appear hota hai to market ka direction bearish ho sakta hai. Agar price 1.09095 ke neeche break kar jata hai, to yeh selling ka signal ho sakta hai, kyunki yeh trend reversal ka indication de sakta hai.

Ab hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price fluctuations ka tajziya karenge. Friday ko, humne EUR/USD pair ko H1 time frame par trade kiya tha planned sideways movement ke andar, jo ke 9th din se qaim hai. Jaise expect kiya gaya tha, humne weekend se pehle is sideways pattern se exit nahi kiya, aur Monday ko yeh range mein hi continue karega. Lekin, Tuesday aur Wednesday tak, jab economic calendar active ho jayega, tab hum consolidation se break dekh sakte hain. Critical sawal yeh hai ke market kis direction mein move karega, lekin breakout direction ko predict karna mushkil hai kyunki theoretically yeh dono taraf ho sakta hai. Attached chart potential targets ko illustrate karta hai is movement ke liye. Yeh predict karna challenging hai ke EUR/USD pair ka upcoming trading week mein kis taraf break hoga, especially given ke resistance ka narrow range, jo ke 1.0966 aur 1.0947 ke beech identify kiya gaya hai, iski recent decline ke darmiyan.

Lekin, agar price is range ke upar stabilize ho jati hai, to bulls ko ek fresh local maximum ki taraf drive kar sakti hai. Main estimate karta hoon ke dono scenarios ke liye 50% chance hai, halaan ke main thoda bullish outcome ki taraf lean karta hoon. Price mein lower boundary of the triangle, jo ke minimum level 1.0449 ke ird gird hai, tak retreat karne ka potential hai. Iske bawajood, upside breakout zyada feasible lag raha hai. Price current upper boundary ko break karne ya neeche move karne ki koshish kar sakti hai, halaan ke ab tak lower boundary tak nahi pohnchi. Isliye, main maximum ko update karne ki possibility 1.1009 tak rule out nahi kar sakta. U.S. Dollar Index ko dekhte hue, weakening ke signs zahir hain. Hum index mein further decline dekh sakte hain, jo ke minimum ko 102.14 tak update kar sakta hai