𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃

n ko mazid mazboot karti hai. Ye stability ka period aik consolidation phase ko suggest karta hai, jahan market recent gains ko absorb kar raha hai aur aglay move ki tayari kar raha hai. Aage dekhtay hue, market participants apna focus 1.0790 level par shift kar rahe hain, jo aik critical monthly resistance point ke tor par identify kiya gaya hai. Ye level technical analysis mein significant importance rakhta hai aur future price action ke liye aik pivotal marker ka kaam kar sakta hai. Agar EUR/USD pair apni upward momentum ko qaim rakh sakta hai aur 1.0790 resistance level ko successfully breach kar leta hai, to ye bullish trend ke mazid mazboot hone ka signal hoga. Is level ke upar breakout additional buying interest ko attract karega, kyunke traders isay uptrend ki confirmation ke tor par interpret karenge. Ek significant resistance point ka breach aksar increased volatility aur trading activity mein surge ko lead karta hai, jab market participants apni positions ko naye market dynamics ke mutabiq adjust karte hain. 1.0790 level ki significance uski historical context se underscore hoti hai. Resistance levels ko aksar previous price action ke basis par identify kiya jata hai, jahan market baar baar higher move karne mein fail hota hai. Aise levels traders ke liye psychologically important ho jate hain, kyunke ye price advancement ke potential barriers ko represent karte hain. In levels ka breach market sentiment ko badal sakta hai, buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan power balance ko shift kar sakta hai. Technical factors ke ilawa, traders fundamental influences ko bhi consider karenge jo EUR/USD pair ko impact kar sakti hain. Economic indicators, central bank policies, aur geopolitical events sab crucial roles play karte hain market sentiment ko shape karne mein. Misal ke tor par, Eurozone se positive economic data ya Federal Reserve se dovish signals euro ko dollar ke against bolster kar sakte hain, 1.0790 level ki taraf aur uske baad upward movement ko support karte hue
Main apne khayal mein yaqeen rakhta hoon ke American trading session nichay ki taraf hoga, pehle se mojood bearish trend ki wajah se. Usi waqt, meri raay mein EUR/USD bullish rukh par hai, is liye samajh mein aata hai ke EUR/USD ko bechne se pehle 1.0772 ke level ka intezar karna munasib hai. Hum aasani se keh sakte hain ke bullish trend jari nahi rahega, aur jab hum is ahmiyat se bharpoor level ke qareeb pohanchte hain, to hume ek kami ka intezar karna chahiye, aur is level ke baad koi izafi umeed nahi hai. Shayad hamara maqsad is waqt yeh hai ke din bhar mein bohat zyada liquidity jama ki jaye. Aaj Bank of England Day hai, lekin yeh abhi tak nazar nahi aa raha, haalaanki rate pehle se hi announce ho chuka hai. Shayad din ke ikhtitam tak kuch dikhai dega aur sout mein kuch dikhai dega. Sab se zaroori baat yeh hai ke support level 1.0670 ka update aur toot ho. Main short term ke liye 1.0666 ke kam level ka toot hone ka intezar kar raha hoon, aur sout ki jariyat pehle se hi jari hai jab tak ke 1.0600 digit toot na jaye. Aaj jodi kamzor ho rahi hai, aur maqsad neechay hai. Mujhe ummeed thi ke descending channel ke neechay ki simat 1.0688 ke is level ko pohanch sakta hai, lekin keemat ne abhi tak maqsad tak nahi pohancha, is liye keemat ko neechay ki simat umeed hai ke pair ko descending channel ke neechay ki simat tootna shru ho jaye aur is level pe 1

**EUR/USD Trading Discussion**

Friday ko EUR/USD mein, ek slight northward pullback ke baad, price reverse hui aur hesitantly south ki taraf gayi, jo ek uncertainty candle banane ka nateeja tha, jiska slight bearish advantage tha. Is candle ka southern shadow nearest support level 1.06675 se thoda pehle ruk gaya. Agle hafte, mujhe poora yaqeen hai ke sellers yeh designated support level ko test karne ki koshish karenge. Mere markings ke mutabiq, yeh support level 1.06711 par bhi ho sakta hai. Do scenarios ho sakte hain:

1. **Pehla Scenario**: Ek reversal candle banegi aur upward price movement resume hoga. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to mein wait karunga ke price resistance level 1.08522 ya 1.09160 tak return kare. Agar price in resistance levels ke upar settle hoti hai, to mein further northward movement expect karunga, jo resistance level 1.09812 tak ja sakti hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, mein ek trading setup ka intezar karunga jo trading ki future direction determine karne mein madad karega. Yeh bhi acknowledge karta hoon ke designated northern targets ki taraf movement ke doran southern pullbacks ho sakti hain, jinko mein bullish signals search karne aur upward price movement resume karne ke liye use karne ka plan rakhta hoon.

2. **Alternative Scenario**: Jab price support level 1.06675 ya 1.06711 ko test karegi aur in levels ke neeche settle hogi, to further southward movement ka plan hoga. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to mein expect karunga ke price support level 1.05211 ki taraf move kare. Is support level ke qareeb, mein bullish signals search karunga aur upward price movement resume hone ki umeed karunga.

**Summary**: EUR/USD currency pair ka current positioning 1.0732 resistance level ke qareeb ek critical juncture par hai jo iski short-term trajectory ko determine kar sakta hai. Traders aur analysts is level ko closely watch kar rahe hain, taake technical aur fundamental analysis ko use karke informed decisions le saken. Yeh pair resistance break karta hai ya direction reverse karta hai, yeh market sentiment, economic data aur technical signals ka combination determine karega. Jaise hi market is key level ko navigate karta hai, outcomes broader trends aur EUR/USD currency pair ke potential future movements par valuable insights provide karenge.

**EUR/USD/D1 ka Analysis**

Adaab. Sell trades waqai achi lagti hain, kyunke zyada imkan hai ke EUR/USD pair giray ga. Ichimoku, Heiken Ashi, Stochastic aur doosre technical indicators pehle se hi pair ke girne ka ishara de rahe hain. Pair ne 1.0724 ke support level ko toor diya hai aur mazeed girne ke liye tayyar hai jo 1 May, 2024 ki kamzor taqat tak pohanchega. Pair bhi indicator lines ke neeche trade kar raha hai, aur Marlin oscillator neeche ki taraf trend zone mein move kar raha hai. Trading ke liye soch: pairs ke current quotes ke saath bechnay ke liye offer lagana.

Ek aur option hai ke strong support ke chakkar mein phir se izafa ho. Bullish direction mein correction jaari rakhna risky hai, is liye D1 time frame par ek side-ways direction maintain karna munasib hai. Mukhya direction Wednesday tak ka anumaan hai, jahan tak mukhtalif trend ke mutabiq khareedna ya bechna tay hoga. Bechna zyada pasandeeda nazar aata hai, shayad mazeed bechnay ko taal dena chahiye. Stochastic indicator bhi neeche ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Pichle trading session mein, pair ka girawat jaari rahi, jahan sheron ne pivot level ke neeche apni position mazboot karne ki koshish ki, jo ab 1.0718 par trade ho raha hai. Intraday sales ke targets classic Pivot levels ke support ko shaamil karte hain. Aaj, hum mazeed girne ke continue hone ko dekheinge ab ke levels se, aur 1.0628 ke support level ka tootna ek naye girawat ki leher ko le aayega, pair ko mazeed bearish bana ke 1.0554 ke qareeb support line ke neeche laayega.

Thursday ke trading tips:
Hourly chart par, EUR/USD ne aakhir kar ek maqami neeche ki taraf trend banana shuru kiya hai. Hum ab bhi pair ko 1.0600, 1.0450, aur shayad 1.0200 ke levels tak girne ki umeed rakhte hain. Magar yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke price sirf kuch hafton mein yeh targets tak nahi pohanchega; yeh medium-term hain. Misal ke taur par, pair ek aur haftay tak aazaadi se ek correction phase mein ja sakta hai. Halanki, hum medium-term mein euro ki izafa karne ki koi wajah nahi dekhte.

EURUSD


Euro ko wapas aane ki koshish kar raha hai ek khatarnak girawat ke baad jo pichle Jumme ko 1.0670 tak thi. Is haftay ka aaghaz zyada optimistic note par ho raha hai jahan investors riskier assets ko favor kar rahe hain, jiski wajah se US dollar kamzor aur Euro mazboot ho raha hai. Yeh positive sentiment aik quieter Tuesday session se pehle hai. Koi bara economic data release na hone ki wajah se, traders policy makers ke comments ka intezar kar rahe hain taake week ke direction ko samajh saken. Haftay ke aakhri dinon mein bara economic data release hoga. Jumeraat ko US GDP figures aayengi, phir German retail sales data aur Jumme ko latest US inflation data release hoga. Ittila ke mutabiq, Tuesday ko US trading session mein Federal Reserve officials ke mutaddid speeches bhi expect ki ja rahi hain. Unka stance market movements ko khas tor par mutasir kar sakta hai. Jab ke kuch German economic data jo Monday ko release hua tha expectations se kam tha, Euro phir bhi broader market ke positive mood se faida uthata nazar aa raha hai. Yeh optimism is wajah se bhi hai kyun ke European Central Bank se aik rate cut ki umeed hai, mumkin hai ke 25 basis points ka ho. Market predictions ke mutabiq, takriban 70% chance hai ke US Federal Reserve bhi September mein aisa hi rate cut karegi, financial data ke mutabiq.



Magar Euro ke recovery ka raasta asaan nahi hai. Haal hi ke rise ke bawajood, uski bullish momentum 200-hour moving average ke resistance ke paas ruk gayi. Daily charts ka bara picture ek bearish outlook dikhata hai, jahan Euro crucial 200-day moving average se neeche trade kar raha hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke Euro ko aik sustainable recovery secure karne ke liye abhi thoda maidan tay karna padega. Tuesday ke speeches Federal Reserve officials se bohot ahmiyat rakhti hain. Unka tone market direction ko determine kar sakta hai, khaaskar jab ke koi bara economic data release nahi ho raha. Jumeraat aur Jumme ke aanewale data, jisme US GDP aur German retail sales shamil hain, respective economies ki health ke hawale se mazeed insights provide karenge. September mein ECB aur Fed dono ke rate cut ki loom possibility bhi aik bara factor hai jo consider karna zaroori hai. Agar yeh cuts materialize hotay hain, toh yeh EUR/USD exchange rate ko significant tor par impact kar sakte hain. Aakhir mein, jab ke Euro kuch behteri ke asar dikhata hai, aane wale din bohot ahmiyat rakhte hain iski recovery ki strength aur sustainability ko determine karne ke liye.

AJ ko mazid mazboot karti hai. Ye stability ka period aik consolidation phase ko suggest karta hai, jahan market recent gains ko absorb kar raha hai aur aglay move ki tayari kar raha hai. Aage dekhtay hue, market participants apna focus 1.0790 level par shift kar rahe hain, jo aik critical monthly resistance point ke tor par identify kiya gaya hai. Ye level technical analysis mein significant importance rakhta hai aur future price action ke liye aik pivotal marker ka kaam kar sakta hai. Agar EUR/USD pair apni upward momentum ko qaim rakh sakta hai aur 1.0790 resistance level ko successfully breach kar leta hai, to ye bullish trend ke mazid mazboot hone ka signal hoga. Is level ke upar breakout additional buying interest ko attract karega, kyunke traders isay uptrend ki confirmation ke tor par interpret karenge. Ek significant resistance point ka breach aksar increased volatility aur trading activity mein surge ko lead karta hai, jab market participants apni positions ko naye market dynamics ke mutabiq adjust karte hain. 1.0790 level ki significance uski historical context se underscore hoti hai. Resistance levels ko aksar previous price action ke basis par identify kiya jata hai, jahan market baar baar higher move karne mein fail hota hai. Aise levels traders ke liye psychologically important ho jate hain, kyunke ye price advancement ke potential barriers ko represent karte hain. In levels ka breach market sentiment ko badal sakta hai, buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan power balance ko shift kar sakta hai. Technical factors ke ilawa, traders fundamental influences ko bhi consider karenge jo EUR/USD pair ko impact kar sakti hain. Economic indicators, central bank policies, aur geopolitical events sab crucial roles play karte hain market sentiment ko shape karne mein. Misal ke tor par, Eurozone se positive economic data ya Federal Reserve se dovish signals euro ko dollar ke against bolster kar sakte hain, 1.0790 level ki taraf aur uske baad upward movement ko support karte hue hota hai

Jumma ko Eurozone ki maeeshat ke mutaliq naye aazae paish aaye, jab HCOB nay apni taaza PMI survey data jaari ki. Riport ne ek pareshani ka manzar paish kiya, jahan manufacturing aur services sectors dono mein rukh ki alamaat zahir ho rahi thi. Eurozone mein manufacturing activity June mein 15wein consecutive mahine tak ghatey, jab PMI sector ne 45.6 par gir kar ek chhe mahine ka record kam darj kiya. Market ki tawanaion ko pura karne se chook gaya. Ye continued girawat manufacturing ke liye mukhtalif masail ka samna karne ka nishaan hai, shayad supply chain disruptions ya global demand ki kamzori ki wajah se. Services sector jo ke aam tor par manufacturing se zyada mazboot tha, usne bhi momentum kho dikhaya. EU services PMI June mein 52.2 par gir gaya, teen mahine ka record kam darj kar diya aur market ke tajwezat se neeche gir gaya. Halan ke yeh abhi bhi expansion territory mein hai, ye slowdown Eurozone mein services ke liye tawanaion mein narmi ki alamaat ko dikhata hai. Dono sectors mein mukhtalif kamzori Eurozone Composite PMI (HCOB) mein dekhi gayi, jo June mein 50.8 par gir gaya. Ye reading teen mahine ka sab se kam hai, jo Eurozone ki maeeshat ko majboor tor par ya to barabar barhata hai ya usay girata hai.

Mandi mein hone wale PMI data ne Euro par asar dala. EUR/USD currency pair ne haal ki girawat ko barha diya, din mein 0.20% gir gaya. Yeh kamzori Euro ko ahem technical support levels ke neeche le gayi, jo ke uski 50-day aur 200-day moving averages shamil hain. Pair ne December mein shuru ki gayi ek downtrend line ko bhi toor diya, Euro ke mazeed ke girne ka khatra barha diya. Agar mojooda bearish momentum qaim rehta hai, to EUR/USD haal ki kamzori par mukabla kar sakta hai aur 1.0666 ki haal ki kamzori ko challenge kar sakta hai. Is point ke neeche girne se, 1.0595 ki taraf slide ko trigger kiya ja sakta hai, jo ke ek ahem Fibonacci retracement level hai. Yeh level ek ahem technical rukawat ko darust karta hai, aur isko paar karna ek mazeed girawat ka darwaza khol sakta hai. Magar, Euro ke ek comeback ka bhi imkan hai. Agar Euro thoda sa hosla kar sake aur 1.0711 par 61.8% Fibonacci resistance ke upar uth sakta hai, to ye ek mojooda ulta ko signal kar sakta hai. Is level ko paar karne se bulls ko mazeed Fibonacci retracement levels ka nishana banane ki sambhavna hai, jo ek aara ka aghaaz kar sakta hai. Agle kuch dino mein EUR/USD aur Eurozone ki maeeshat ki rukh ko kai factors par mabni ho gi. Aane wale ma'ashiyati data ko khas tor par nazar andaz kiya jayega, sath hi Eurozone ke mustaqbil ke challenges ko hal karne ki salahiyat par investors ka jazba bhi dekha jayega. Agar Eurozone girawat ka samna karne ke liye kamyab policies ko amal mein la sakti hai, to ye ek zyada ummeed afroz nazar ke mukhtalif aur mojooda manzar ko mazboot kar sakta hai.

Euro (EUR) ne Peer ko US Dollar (USD) ke khilaaf jhool gira, haalaanki pehle ke nuqsanat se thori bahas se bach gaya. Pair pehle European trading mein 1.0700 nishan ke aas paas ghoom raha tha, Eurozone mein jari muzamat se giraan tha. Pehle to, siyasi be-bunyaadgi, khaaskar anay wale French elections, investors ko ehtiyaat se rakh rahi hai. Khof hai ke Eurozone ke doosre bara economy par ek naya hukumat ka asar euro ke liye manfi hoga. Doosri baat, mazboot US dollar dabaav barha raha hai. Jumeraat ko musbat US PMI data ne USD ko izafa diya, EUR/USD jor-tor par bhaarav dal raha hai. Ye data arzi taur par America mein jaari hai, jo ke Dollar ko investors ke liye mazeed attract banata hai. Takniki tor par, EUR/USD ke liye manzarnama bearish hai. Pair apni 4 ghantay ka chart dekhtay hain, 100 muddat ka EMA ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke ek neeche ke rukh ko darust karta hai. Yeh bearishness Relative Strength Index (RSI) ke qareeb 40.0 ke paas, oversold territory mein hone se sabit hoti hai, jo ke mazeed girawat ka pehla intishaar deta hai. Ek mukh resistance ke lehaz se, EUR/USD ko 1.0762 par ek bada rukawat ka samna hai. Yeh level 100 muddat ke harkatli avarage aur Bollinger Bands ki ittifaq hai. Is nishaan ke upar guzar jaane ke liye khaas bullish momentum ki zarurat hogi.

Further north mein June 15th ki unchi 1.0815 hai, jo agla rukawat hai. Sahara ke lehaz se, 1.0700 ke neeche girne se pair May ki kami 1.0650 ko dobara test kar sakta hai. Jab bareelviyon ne 1.0850 aur 200 muddat SMA par trend line sahara ko paar karne mein nakami ka saamna kiya. Iske ilawa, 1.0745 ke qareeb ek pehla resistance level mazeed neeche ka dabaav diya. Lekin, EUR/USD ke liye kuchh ummeed ki roshni hai. Dono RSI aur Stochastic indicators ab oversold territory mein hain. Ye yeh dikhata hai ke pair aane waale sessions mein thori muddat ki barqarar hali talash kar sakta hai. Iske ilawa, pichle uptrend ka 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level 1.0666 ke qareeb hai, jise sahara zone ke tor par kaam karta hai. Mazeed is par, 2023 aur 2024 ke adabon ko jodne wali pehli support trend line bhi 1.0650 ke aas paas hai, jo May ki kami ke saath ittefaq karta hai. Agar EUR/USD is mulahiza mein yeh mushkil sahara ilaqa qaim rakhta hai, to yeh 1.0600 ke darjaat tak mazeed slide ko rok sakta hai. Kul mila kar, EUR/USD apne aap ko ek khatarnak maqam mein paata hai. Jabke fori mustaqbil bearish nazar aata hai, oversold indicators aur ahem sahara ke levels waqtan-fa-waqtan ki rehaai ka mouqa dete hain.

Aslam-o-Alaikum. Asian session mein, kharidar ne apni positions ko maani rakha hai jis par Monday ke band ke darmiyan ek chhota sa farq hai jo ab pura ho gaya hai. Aaj ke market ko dekhte hue, nazdeek tareen EUR/USD daily H1 timeframe chart ka support level lag raha hai taqreeban 1.0691 ke aas paas. Is noqte se, do mumkin scenarios hain. Pehla manzar hai ke support level par reversal candle banta hai, jo ke qeemat mein izafa karne ka ek markazi baab hai. Agar yeh waqe ho, to qeemat ki taraf ka ek movement mutawaqqa hai. Agar qeemat is resistance level ke upar mustqil ho jati hai, to is ke aage bhi isay mukhtalif challenges ka samna karne ka imkaan hai. Khulasa mein, traders ab apni positions ko qayam rakhte hain jinhein support level par nigahein band hai. Market ke rad-e-amal par munhasir ho kar, qeemat ya to uparward rebound kar sakti hai ya phir mazeed resistance challenges ka samna kar sakti hai.

Mawad mein ab waqtan-fa-waqtan market ki mojooda halat par guftagu hoti hai, jismein Asian trading session ke doran kisi bhi significant fluctuations ki kami par tanqeed ki gayi hai. Yeh mustaqil pan ki tawazo ko mubtala hai ke market activity ki kami ki wajah se yeh din bhar jari rahegi. Mojudah mein, quotes EUR/USD daily M30 timeframe chart ko 1.0692 ke resistance level ke thodi si nichle taraf dekha ja raha hai. Indicators is level ko torne ki mumkinat ko isha'arat dete hain, jo ke mazeed izafa ki taraf le ja sakta hai agle resistance level tak. Magar itne unchi targets set karna ghair mamooli hai shuru'at mein kam market activity ke bais. Mutawazin agar bearish traders qeemat ko neeche rakhne mein kamyabi hasil karte hain, to doosre mansoobe ko shamil kiya jana chahiye. Aik aise manzarname ki mumkinat hai jismein qeemat laal moving average ke neeche girne ka imkaan hai, jo ke ek mazeed izafay ka natija ban sakta hai. Yeh ek ahem manzil hai jahan market ya to buland ho sakta hai ya phir neeche girne ka safar jari rahay ga, is par mabni hai ke ya to resistance ya support levels tor diye jayein.

Euro (EUR) Monday ko US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf lari, waise bhi pehle ke nuqsan se thori tawazun hasil ki. Pair ne early European trading mein 1.0700 ke qareeb tawajju rakhi, Eurozone mein jari musibaton ki wajah se daba hua hai. Sab se pehle, siyasi la-shaor, khaas tor par anay wale French elections, investors ko ehtiyaat dilane mein madad kar rahi hai. Eurozone ke doosre bara economy ko negaitive taur par asar dalne ka khatra hai, Euro ke liye josh ko kum kar raha hai. Dusra, taqatwar US dollar pressure barha raha hai. Jumairat ko musbat US PMI data ne USD ko barhava diya, EUR/USD pair ke liye hawaaon ka rukh bana diya. Ye data America mein musalsal maeeshat ka izafa dikhata hai, jis ke natije mein Federal Reserve ke interest rate barhane ka khatra, jo investors ke liye USD ko mazeed attract banata hai. Technically, EUR/USD ke liye manzar bearish hai. Pair 4 ghanton ke chart par apni ahem 100-period EMA ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke ek nichli rukh ki nishaandahi karta hai. Ye bearishness Relative Strength Index (RSI) ke qareeb 40.0 par oversold territory mein hone se mazid girawat ki sambhavna ko darust karta hai. Resistance ke lehaz se, EUR/USD ko 1.0762 par bara rukawat ka samna hai. Ye level 100-period moving average aur Bollinger Bands ka ittehad dikhata hai. Is noqtay se guzarna bara bullish momentum ko darkaar karega.

Further north mein June 15th ki 1.0815 ki bulandiyon mein, jo agle rukawat ka shikar ho sakti hai. Support ke lehaz se, 1.0700 ke neeche guzar jaane se pair May ki kami 1.0650 ko dobara test kar sakta hai. Ye tazz girawat tab shuru hui jab bull trend line support 1.0850 aur 200-period SMA ko paar karne mein kamyab nahi hui. Is ke ilawa, 1.0745 ke qareeb ka pehla resistance level mazeed niche dabao deta tha. Magar, EUR/USD ke liye kuch ummeed ki kirnen hain. Dono RSI aur Stochastic indicators ab oversold territory mein hain. Ye dikhata hai ke pair aane wale sessions mein kuch muddati mustaqil barqarar mizaaj pa sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, pehle ke uptrend ke 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level 1.0666 ke qareeb hai, jo ke aik support zone ka kaam kar sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, 2023 aur 2024 ke pastad lows ko jorne wali pehli support trend line bhi 1.0650 ke aas paas hai, jo May ki kami ke saath milta hai. Agar EUR/USD is mila howa support area ke neeche reh sakta hai, to ye 1.0600 level ke aur tezi se slide ko rok sakta hai. Kul mila kar, EUR/USD khud ko aik saanji position mein paata hai. Halankeh foran mustaqbil bearish nazar aata hai, lekin oversold indicators aur key support levels muddati rahat ke liye aik moqa faraham karte hain.

EUR/USD/D1
Ham EUR/USD currency pair ki price fluctuations ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Apke paas 1.0698 ka level hai, jabke mere paas 1.0725 hai, jo sirf Monday ke liye lagu hota hai. Hum update kar sakte hain, isliye tehreer barhne ka moqa hai jab tees minute guzre jayenge. Magar iske ilawa, dusre factors bhi hain. Iske alawa, mamooli upward zigzag jo aksar ek cycle ka ant darust karta hai phir bearish jaari rakhne se pehle, D1 par abhi tak mukammal nahi hua hai. Jab cycles adhoori rehti hain, qeemat aksar unko mukammal karne se pehle durust hoti hai. Humein weekdays par intraday levels ka track karna hoga taake pata chale ke bullish correction kab hone wala hai. Phir, opened zigzag loops ko targets par ghaur karna hoga. Main mazeed 1.0759 aur 1.0809 ki wapsi ka tawaqquq rakhta hoon, magar mere paas 1.0829 hai, thoda kam. Humain intezar karna chahiye ke intraday level uttar ki taraf move ko tasdeeq kare.

Continuing its upward movement. Magar, jab ke price Kijun line ke neeche gir gaya aur bearish "dead cross" ko tasdeeq kiya, to neeche ki raftar jari rahi, jisse hafteywi aur rozana format mein bearish rehne ki taraf barhti rahi. Qareebi ahem resistance ke liye EUR/USD ka 1.0731 par cloud ke neeche ki simat hai. Agar toota, to bulls apni pullback ko 1.0791 par upper cloud border tak barha sakte hain, magar ye trading ke doran wazeh ho jayega. Ek mumkin pullback ke baad, qeemat neeche ki taraf jaari rahegi 1.0629/1.0589 ya shayad kam ke liye. Ye taraqqi ye dikhata hai ke market indicators aur intraday levels ka qareebi nigrani mein rehna zaroori hai takay EUR/USD ka raasta effectively navigate kiya ja sake. Mojudah technical indicators aur price patterns neechey ki raftar jari rakhne ki taraf ishara dete hain, lekin fluctuations aur corrections mumkin hain. In factors par tawajju denay se, traders mutaghraf faislay kar sakte hain, mauqe ka faida uthate hue aur market ke tabdeel hone wale mawajibat ko control karte hue.

EUR/USD/D1
Hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price fluctuations ka tajziyah kar rahe hain. Aap ke paas 1.0698 ka level hai, jabke mere paas 1.0725 ka level hai, jo sirf Monday ke liye laagu hota hai. Hum isay update kar saktay hain, isliye 30 minutes ke guzarne se upper break hone ka khatra hai. Magar, is ke ilawa aur factors bhi hain. Mazeed, aam upward zigzag jo aksar cycle ka khatam hone ka ishaara deta hai phir bearish jaari rehti hai, yeh abhi bhi D1 par mukammal nahi hua hai. Jab tak cycles mukammal nahi hoti, price aksar unhein mukammal karne se pehlay correct hoti hai. Humain weekdays par intraday levels ko track karne ki zaroorat hai taake bullish correction ka pata chale. Phir, khule hue zigzag loops par nazar rakhni chahiye. Main bhi 1.0759 aur 1.0809 levels par farz karta hoon, magar mere paas 1.0829 hai, thoda kam. Humen intraday level ka intezar karna chahiye takay northward move ko confirm kiya ja sake.

Jari rakhne ki possibility hai. Magar, jab price Kijun line ke neeche gir gaya aur bearish "dead cross" ko confirm kiya, to neeche ka rukh jari raha, haftawarana aur rozana formats mein dominant hua. EUR/USD ke liye qareebi ahem resistance cloud ke neeche ke border par 1.0731 par hai. Agar yeh toot jaye, to bullish ko pullback ko upper cloud border tak extend kar sakte hain 1.0791 par, magar yeh trading ke doran saaf ho jayega. Ek moghtane ka baad, price neeche ke taraf jari rahay ga support zone 1.0629/1.0589 ya shayad kam. Yeh development market indicators aur intraday levels ko mukammal tor par monitor karne ki zaroorat ko dikhata hai taake EUR/USD ka raasta effectively navigate kiya ja sake. Mojudah technical indicators aur price patterns neeche ke trend ko jari rakhne ki taraf ishaara karte hain, magar fluctuations aur corrections mumkin hain. In factors par tawajju rakh kar, traders informed decisions le saktay hain, opportunities ko capitalize karte hue aur ever-changing market ke risks ko manage karte hue.

EURUSD pair ne kafi tezi se react kiya hai, aur hum pehle hi 1.0850 level ko test kar rahe hain. Lekin agar aap doosre major pairs dekhein, to wahan bhi United States ke inflation data par mazboot reaction hai. Aur shayad baat ye hai ke inflation do mahine se lagataar kam ho rahi hai, aur yeh farq nahi padta ke yeh har mahine 0.1% hai. Is raftar se, isay maqbool 2% tak pohanchne mein ek aur saal lagega, aur yeh bina Fed rate cut ko shaamil kiye. Aur agar Fed ne rate cut ka faisla kar bhi liya, to yeh 0.1% mahine ka inflation reduction subah ke dhund ki tarah gaib ho sakta hai. Mera khayal hai ke Fed ko bhi yeh baat achi tarah se samajh aa rahi hai aur woh market ki rate cut ke optimism se ittefaq nahi rakhte Kuch American banks ne kaha hai ke woh is saal rate cut ki umeed nahi kar rahe. To aaj ke FOMC comments market ke liye surprises la sakte hain. Haal ke halat ke mutabiq, daily candle kaafi powerful hai, aur woh 9th figure ko target kar rahe hain. Lekin Fed ka intezar karna behtar hai; main 1.0800 tak rollback ko exclude nahi karta
yeh zaroori baat hai. Ye pehli baar nahi hua; pichli dafa bhi kami thi. Aur pichli dafa bhi 0.1% kami thi; kisi ne is par dhyan nahi diya. Shayad yeh unke representatives ke bolne se hai—jo unhone pehle kaha tha ke unke liye do baar inflation ki kami dekhna kafi hai. Lekin do baar inflation ko choti si percentage se kam karna kuch ajeeb sa lagta hai. Phir hamein agle meeting mein 100% kami ki umeed rakhni chahiye. Matlab, aaj, mujhe pata bhi nahi tha ke meeting ho rahi hai.
Aur lagta hai ke yeh sab wapas chala jayega. Mera nahi khayal ke Fed representatives 0.2% inflation reduction se mutma'in honge; yeh sirf mazahiya baat hai

retest pattern ke zariye se safar kar raha hai, jo aksar is baat ki alamat hoti hai keh mojooda neeche ki trend jaari rakhne ki taraf muntaqil hone ki. Yeh technical pattern amooman tab dekha jata hai jab keemat, pehle channel se bahar nikalne ke baad, us channel ke hudood ko dobara test karne ki koshish karti hai, phir apni asal trend direction mein chalti hai, is mamle mein, neeche ki taraf. Traders aur analysts isay umooman bearish nishaan ke tor par samajhte hain, jis se kehte hain keh neeche ki taraf momentum jaari rahega.
Is mahine, keemat ne ek naye ubharte hue lal channel mein trading shuru ki. Yeh channel khaas tor par ehmiyat rakhta hai kyun keh is mein pichle mahine ke dekhe gaye keemat ke harkat shamil hain. Yani keh ubharte hue lal channel pichle mahine ki trading behavior ka tasawwur deta hai, aur is se samajhne ki koshish karta hai keh keemat agle tarah se kaise move karegi.

Is ubharte hue lal channel ki tashkeel, ek tora toota channel retest ke sakhtar mein, aik ahem taraqqi hai. Is se yeh zahir hota hai keh jabke lal channel ke andar temporary upar ki harkat hai, overall trend neeche ki taraf rehta hai. Ubharte hue lal channel ko correction ya phir bara retracement bhi dekha ja sakta hai neeche ki zyada bari trend ke kontext mein. Aise patterns aksar markets mein dekhe jate hain jahan keemat seedhi line mein nahi chalti, balki ek silsile mein leharo aur zigzags ke saath, jahan bari trend ke andar temporary palatne aur durustiyon ke mouqe hote hain.

Lal channel ki jhukavat yeh ishara karti hai keh kharidne wale waqtan faqtan qaboo mein le liya hai, keemat ko upar ki taraf dhakel rahe hain. Lekin yeh upar ki harkat alag alag levels par rukawaton ka saamna karne ki ummeed hai, khaas tor par toota hua channel ke upper boundary par. Agar keemat in rukawaton ko paar nahi kar sakti, to ummeed hai keh woh apni neeche ki taraf raftar ko dobara pakrega, jaisa ke toota hua channel retest pattern ne pehle hi bearish trend ki taraf ishara diya tha.

Is tarah ke technical pattern s ki tashkeel mein keemat ki harkat ko qareeb se nazar andaz karna hota hai, khaas tor par ahem support aur resistance levels par. Traders mukhtalif candlestick patterns ya momentum indicators jaise ke khaas signals ke liye dekhte hain, jis se keemat ke neeche ki taraf jaari rehne ya phir bara palatne ki haqeeqat maloom ho sake.

n ko mazid mazboot karti hai. Ye stability ka period aik consolidation phase ko suggest karta hai, jahan market recent gains ko absorb kar raha hai aur aglay move ki tayari kar raha hai. Aage dekhtay hue, market participants apna focus 1.0790 level par shift kar rahe hain, jo aik critical monthly resistance point ke tor par identify kiya gaya hai. Ye level technical analysis mein significant importance rakhta hai aur future price action ke liye aik pivotal marker ka kaam kar sakta hai. Agar EUR/USD pair apni upward momentum ko qaim rakh sakta hai aur 1.0790 resistance level ko successfully breach kar leta hai, to ye bullish trend ke mazid mazboot hone ka signal hoga. Is level ke upar breakout additional buying interest ko attract karega, kyunke traders isay uptrend ki confirmation ke tor par interpret karenge. Ek significant resistance point ka breach aksar increased volatility aur trading activity mein surge ko lead karta hai, jab market participants apni positions ko naye market dynamics ke mutabiq adjust karte hain. 1.0790 level ki significance uski historical context se underscore hoti hai. Resistance levels ko aksar previous price action ke basis par identify kiya jata hai, jahan market baar baar higher move karne mein fail hota hai. Aise levels traders ke liye psychologically important ho jate hain, kyunke ye price advancement ke potential barriers ko represent karte hain. In levels ka breach market sentiment ko badal sakta hai, buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan power balance ko shift kar sakta hai. Technical factors ke ilawa, traders fundamental influences ko bhi consider karenge jo EUR/USD pair ko impact kar sakti hain. Economic indicators, central bank policies, aur geopolitical events sab crucial roles play karte hain market sentiment ko shape karne mein. Misal ke tor par, Eurozone se positive economic data ya Federal Reserve se dovish signals euro ko dollar ke against bolster kar sakte hain, 1.0790 level ki taraf aur uske baad upward movement ko support karte hue

EUR/USD


Today, I'm analyzing the EUR/USD chart. Yesterday, there was unexpectedly strong bullish momentum on the first day of the week, and today we might see continued strength in this bullish trend.

Moving on to fundamentals and macroeconomics, Monday saw no significant reports from either the Eurozone or the US, leaving the market without new data to react to. Despite this, the fundamental backdrop remains unchanged. The global downtrend persists, suggesting expectations for the euro to weaken.



It's important to note that since the European Central Bank started cutting rates (in contrast to earlier expectations of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in March), the euro has faced downward pressure. However, this doesn't imply an immediate crash towards parity in the coming weeks. Capital flows are slow, and EUR/USD volatility remains traditionally low.

From a technical analysis perspective, the EUR/USD pair has shown an average volatility of 48 pips over the last five trading days as of June 25, indicating low volatility. Predictions suggest the pair could fluctuate between 1.0680 and 1.0776 today. While the upper linear regression channel has turned upwards, the overall downtrend persists. The CCI indicator has entered oversold territory, yet strong growth isn't anticipated presently. The pair remains near its moving average in the 4-hour timeframe, reinforcing the continuation of the global downtrend.

Previous analyses have advised against long positions, advocating instead for waiting for further downtrend confirmation. Short positions with targets at 1.0681 and 1.0620 are still considered valid. Despite recent upward corrections triggered by rebounds from 1.0681, buying the euro isn't recommended as the overarching downtrend remains intact, and there are limited grounds for sustained growth.