𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃

Kal, EUR/USD ne kam volatility ke darmiyan thora sa bullish trend dikhaya. Volatility itni kam ho gayi thi ke intraday trading karne ka koi matlab nahi tha. Agar koi movement hi nahi hai, to kaise koi bhi munafa kamane ka intezam kar sakta hai? Na sirf koi movement nahi thi, balki koi khabar bhi nahi thi. Eurozone aur U.S. ke economic calendars kaafi sunsaan the. Is tarah, market ko kisi cheez ka reaction karne ke liye koi wajah nahi mili aur woh positions kholne ka koi sabab nahi samjha.
Ek neechay ki taraf jaane wala channel bana hai, lekin yeh sab kuch behtar nahi bana raha. Price mazeed waqt ke liye apne hudood mein rehne ka imkaan hai kyun ke practically sab timeframes par pair ne neechay ki taraf rukh liya hai. Halanki, abhi euro girne ki taraf barhavat hai uthane ki nisbat. Is liye, traders ko short positions par tawajjo deni chahiye aur sell signals par focus karna chahiye. Isi waqt, pair ek hafte ya do ke liye aaram se correction kar sakta hai, kyun ke EUR/USD hamesha mazboot movement ke liye jaani jaati dastiyabat mein nahi hai.




Sirf ek trading signal 5-minute timeframe par bana tha. Jaisa ke upar ke chart mein dekha gaya hai, price ne range 1.0726-1.0733 se bilkul bounce kiya, jiske baad 15 pips ki chadhav hui. Yeh beginners ke liye us din ki sirf itni hi kamai thi, kyun ke pair ne mazeed movement dikhane mein nakam raha. Yah bhi ahem hai ke waise bhi buy signal ideal tha, lekin isse bohat kam munafa hasil hua. Masla signals mein nahi tha, balke market mein movement ke mojudgi mein tha.

French currency mein siyasati ghair mutwazna ke darmiyan koi neechay ki alamaat nazar nahi aati, jo ke euro ko thoda sa mazboot kar rahi hai. Magar yeh palat sakta hai, jaisa ke pichle haftay ke movement ko jhalakne mein aaya tha. Volume indicator market mein hissa lene mein roozana kami ko dikha raha hai, jo ke ek naye mazboot impulse ko khatre mein daal raha hai. Sentiment analysis ke mutabiq, U.S. mein overbought shuruyat kal ke session ke dauran taqreeban hal ho chuki hai, jahan khuli sell-to-buy trades ki ratio ab 47/52 hai, pichle dinon ki 40/59 ke muqablay mein. Taaza retail sales data nakis natijay dikhata hai, jahan ek indicator behtari nahi dikha raha aur doosra kam umeed growth ko ishara karta hai. Yeh sab aaj ke giravat mein hissa daal raha hai. Agar stock market barhega, to EUR/USD pair EMA50 par 1.0764 tak chadh sakta hai. Magar agar 1.0719 ke neeche trading wapas ho jati hai, to correction ka jari rehne ka inkar hoga, jise mein mazeed giravat ki umeed hai, haalaanki market abhi bhi tight hai.

EUR/USD KEEMATI FA'ALIYAT
Aaj hum EUR/USD currency pair ki keemat ki fa'aliyat ke tafseeli jayeza mein guftagu karenge. Keemat rozana time frame mein 1.0644 ke support level tak gir sakti hai. Yeh ek potential rollback ka sabab ban sakta hai. Lekin, pehle is baat ka pata chalna zaroori hai ke humein pichle haftay ke minimum level 1.0665 ko toorna hoga. Waqt yeh batayega ke hum samne bari bullish correction ya seedha bearish rukh dekhte hain. Agar session mein momentum nahi aaya toh barhta hua market activity mumkin hai. Pichle haftay mein kam fa'aliyat ne tezi se harkat ko roka hua hai. Mera nishana euro ke liye hai ke 1.0665 ke nichle level se neeche girna, hosakta hai ke 1.0759-1.0769 ke darjay tak ya phir sath hi 7 figure ke aas paas bhi ja sake. Market review mein koi tabdeeli nahi hai.




Correction acha nahi kar raha hai aur dollar mein takleef hai, jo ke ek neeche ki taraf ki taraf isharaat de raha hai. Peshango mein yeh bhi shamil hai ke aane wale Amreeki retail sales reports dollar ko mazbooti de sakte hain. H1 time frame par, 1.0708 ko toorna ka irada hai aur 1.0665 ke gap ko band karne ke liye neeche girne ka maqsad hai, shayad is se bhi kam ho. Behtar selling opportunities ke liye ideal hai ke 1.0749-1.0769 area tak uth jaye, lekin yeh mumkin nahi lag raha hai. Mojooda keemat selling ke liye munasib nahi hai. Temporary news-driven push kehte hain ke Amreeki session mein logon ko kharidna shuru karna chahiye. 1.0727 ke level ke liye yeh mumkin tha, lekin mere level 1.0749 tha, jo ke 10 points ke liye mumkin tha. Updated data se resistance ab 1.0779 par move ho chuki hai, jo ke ek potential selling point hai, lekin behtar ho sakta hai ke 1.0799 level khul gaya ho.

Main maan raha hoon, Tatyana, ke EURUSD abhi tak southern rehta hai. Is liye main apni tehlikaat abhi nahi chhoo raha hoon. Lekin, maan leta hoon, thoda boring bhi hai. Keemat barh rahi hai. )) Theory ke mutabiq, lagta hai ke aaj yeh instrument lagbag tees points ke qareeb uttar ja sakta hai. Is ke liye tayyar rehna zaroori hai. Aur sochna hoga ke is museebat se kaise bacha jaye. Toh, hamare pass daily chart ke readings ke mutabiq kya hai wave technique ke liye: - Kya wohi inclined sidewall kaam kar raha hai? Ham December se andar ja rahe hain. Ab keemat, jaisa ke aap screen se dekh sakte hain, range ke darmiyan mein hai. Situation pehle se hi catastrophic hai, jab behtar hai ke market mein dakhil na ho aur bank par wait kiya jaye takay keemat kam az kam kisi bhi threshold tak pohanch jaye. Ab hum teesre daily candle ke sath uttar ki taraf chal rahe hain. Is waqt humare pass ek ascending channel hai, jahan se hum lower border se push off karte hain aur upper border tak jaate hain - yani ke 1.0770 ke level tak. - MA100 floor ke parallel position mein kaam kar raha hai - yeh ek signal hai ke pair depths mein flatten hone ke liye tayyar hai. Lekin MA18 downtrend ki taraf tilted hai - trend angle tees degrees ka. Abhi abhi - yeh indicator MA100 se upar se bury ho gaya hai, jise ke top se bottom cross karne ka khatra hai. Humain ek aur sell signal mil jayega - a dead cross. - Nichimoku Cloud bulls ke sath apni akhri taqat ke sath hai, lekin forecast ke nazariye se, yeh bears ki taraf move kar raha hai. Main sab yeh padhna chahunga ke ek girawat ke liye tayyar hone ke liye. Pehle EURUSD ko utarne ki ichha hai

Maujooda tawajjo EUR/USD currency pair ke keemat ke fluctuations par hai. Bears ne 7th figure ko toorna mein koshish ki hai, jis se ek upward correction ki taraf jana hai. Jabke 0.779 level tak pohanchna mumkin hai, lekin 8th figure ko toorna ke imkanat abhi tak ghair yaqeeni hain. Keemat H4 chart par 8th figure ke upar uth sakti hai aur EMA200 moving average tak pohanch sakti hai, phir dobara girne ke liye. Lekin aisi uthan sellers ko trap kar sakti hai, jise ke naye growth ke wave ko trigger karne ki mumkinat hai. Humen dollar ke prospects mein umeedwar rehna chahiye, aane wale dinon mein taqatwar trend ka intezar karte hue. Is maqsad ke liye humein pichle haftay ke 1.0665 ke neeche tootne aur 1.0644 ke support level tak girne ki umeed hai. Market is waqt stable hai. Euro ke crucial 1.071 threshold se guzarna ek pivotal moment hai. Jab is tashrih ki ja rahi hai, currency ne taqreeban 20 points ki tezi se surge dekhi hai, jis se isne din ke pehle halat ko sudhara hai. Agar yeh musbat momentum jaari rahe, toh yeh mumkin hai ke yeh aik makhsoos waqia ho, jisme behtar rate par sale ka mouqa diya jaye ga.
Kal, humein pehle minimum ko update karne ki zaroorat hai. Aaj ke news mein Germany aur Eurozone ke ZEW indices mubham hain, jabke CPI inflation data pehle ke reports ke mutabiq hai. Yeh factors ECB ko rate ko kam karne se rok nahi sake, jis se euro ko faida nahi hua. Aaj ke statistics ne muqarrar tajziya pe kam reaction dikhaya hai, is liye hum Amreeki statistics aur retail sales forecasts ka intezar karte hain, jo dollar ko faida pohanchane ke imkanat rakhte hain. Isi wajah se main euro ke decline ka scenario maintain karta hoon.




Moving Average jo ke 119 period ke saath hai, iska bhi ek bearish direction indicate karta hai, kyun ke iski line keemat ke upar hai. Zig-zag indicator ke mutabiq sellers buyers par ghalib hain, jis se keemat ka movement mumkin hai ke neeche jaari rahe. Is liye behtar hai ke intraday trading ke liye 1.0719 ke price level se sales ka tawajjo dein, pehle profit target 1.0679 aur doosra profit target 1.0639 par rakhte hue. Stop loss 1.0749 par rakha jaye. Agar pair 1.0779 par stable ho jaye, toh main khareedne ka sochunga, take-profit target 1.0819 aur stop 1.0749 ke saath. Waise ke bearish trend dobara shuru ho sakta hai, lekin bears abhi bhi dabaav dal rahe hain, jis se bullish zig-zag ko 1.0719 resistance level tak jaari rehne ki sambhavna hai.

Keemat ke movement se lagta hai ke 1.0759 se 1.0769 ke narrow range ke andar upcoming development ki high probability hai. Agar yeh scenario samne aaye, toh yeh ek faida-mand mouqa pesh kar sakta hai, jisme H1 chart par minimum level ke neeche tootne ki nazar ki jaye.

Rozana Time Frame Ki Tashkeel
Guftagu aaj EUR/USD market pair ki taraf muntashir hai jo ke jumeraat ko hukoomat dene wale ne bechon ko control mein rakha tha taake keemat ko bearish tarz mein neeche le jane se rok sake lekin ab tak unhe khareedon ke support area ko toorna mein kamyabi nahi mili jo ke 1.0730-1.0725 ke qeemat par hai jis ne khareedon ko keemat par qaboo hasil karne mein kamyab kiya aur phir zyada taqatwar bullish dabaav lagaya keemat ko bullish tarz mein agay le jane ke liye.

Daily time window mein Moving Average indicator ke istemal se nazar andaz kiya ja sakta hai ke keemat ya mumkin hai kehne wale se laal MA 50 area ke qareeb jaa raha hai jo ke 1.0768-1.0765 ke qeemat par hai aur dobara bullish Doji candlestick ke zariye ke liye taqatwar dabaav se hukoomat kiya ja raha hai jo ke EurUsd market pair ki guftagu par trading dikhata hai. Yeh keemat ko khareedon ke control mein rakhna jari rahega aur yeh mumkin hai ke qeemat ko bulandiyon par pohancha karne ke liye muaawiq seller resistance area ko test karne ki taraf le jayega jo ke laal 50 MA area mein hai. Agar is mein kamyabi hasil hoti hai to EurUsd pair ki keemat aur bhi buland hogi jis ke agle target Yellow MA 200 area tak jaa sakta hai jo ke 1.0785-1.0790 ke qeemat par hai.

Jumeraat ke din Asian market session mein aaj subha trading dikhata hai ke keemat ab bhi khareedon ke control mein hai jo ke apne bullish momentum ko barqarar rakhne ke liye bari barai se dakhil ho rahe hain aur keemat ko bulandiyon par pohanchane ke liye seller resistance area ko test karne aur iske agle target ko chhuna chahte hain jo ke mazboot supply resistance area sellers ke pass 1.0800-1.0810 ke qeemat par hai.




Nateeja:

Khareed ya khareed trading options ko amal mein laiye agar keemat seller resistance area ko toornay mein kamyab hoti hai jis ke qeemat 1.0760-1.0765 ke qareeb buy stop area par pending order rakh kar TP area 1.0800-1.0810 ke qareeb ho.

Farokht ya farokht trading options ko amal mein laiye agar keemat buyer support area ko kamyabi se toor deti hai to jis ke qeemat 1.0732-1.0728 ke qareeb sell stop order rakh kar TP area 1.0710-1.0700 ke qareeb ho.

EURUSD Tashkeel
Aaj hum EUR/USD ke currency pair ki tashkeel par ghaur karenge. America ke markets ne mizajat ki saalgirah ke liye budhwar ko band rakha tha, jis se EUR/USD din bhar mein istirahat ki kashish mein badla. Ab trading haftay ke aakhri dinon mein mid-tier data faraham karega, isliye investors ko jumeraat ke Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) activity figures ko nazar andaz karne ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye, jo mizajat ko dono taraf mutassir karne wale ahem data releases honge. 200-hour Exponential Moving Average (EMA), jo ab 1.0767 par hai, EUR/USD ko rokawat faraham kar raha hai, jis se currency pair ko 1.0750 ke upar jaane mein mushkil ho rahi hai. Keemat ne haal hi mein 1.0670 ke neeche se kuch had tak aitadal hasil kiya hai, phir bhi uthne wali raftaar ko rukawat aayi hai. Daily candlesticks ishara dete hain ke bullish advance 200-day EMA ki taraf ho sakta hai, jo 1.0800 par hai.




Bullish momentum ko taizi se roka ja raha hai, magar late December ke unchaaiyon ke qareeb 1.1140 ke technical resistance ke mojudgi se. Agar yeh tajziya jari rahe to EUR/USD ek downward reversal ka samna kar sakta hai jo 2024 ke naye neechey qeemat 1.0600 ke neeche bhi girne ka natija ho sakta hai. Kal EURUSD ke qeemat ne 1.0760$ ke level par taqat ka naya saboot diya. EMA50 is saath support faraham karta hai, apni taqat mein izafa karte hue. Ab hum bearish bias ka lota phirne aur humare negative maqasid jo ke 1.0675 aur 1.0600 hain, ke taraf phirne ka muntazir hain. Negative trend scenario abhi bhi maqwam aur fa'ali hai, jis mein 1.0795$ ko toorna mukhtalif bearish wave ke khatme aur keemat mein izaafa ka signal deta hai. Aaj ke muntazir range resistance ($1.0800) aur support ($1.0660) ke darmiyan hai.

Aaj ka mansooba, hum ab bhi kharidne ko ahmiyat dete hain, umeed hai ke 1.0803 ke qadar khatra tor kar keemat ko torparah keematon par munafa lena hai 1.0945 se lekar 1.0961 ke darjaat tak. Dusri taraf, agar keemat ko durust kiya gaya, to EMA 36 H1 line ke ird gird junoon ka muntazir re-buy koshish ki jayegi. Agar keemat ko rad kiya gaya, to kharidne ka intekhab 1.0803 ke barabar take profit calculation ke saath shuru kiya jayega
hai. Price levels ka range narrow hai, jo stop-losses ko manageable rakhta hai. Main patiently breakout ka intezar kar raha hoon taake price movement ko capture kar saku. Aaj, bearish sell level at 1.0867 ne ek downward signal trigger kiya, jisse maine dobara sell kiya. Mera minimum target 1.0838 par hai, aur further potential declines support levels 1.07889, 1.0763, aur 1.0754 par hain. Jaise jaise price decline karti hai, bullish trends possible rahi hain, signalling ke further volume downward move ko favor kar sakta hai. Lekin agar bullish buy level at 1.0896 likely hai, toh main apni strategy growth-oriented approach ki taraf shift karunga aur buying consider karunga. Aise scenario mein, growth targets resistances 1.0925, 1.0943, aur 1.0977 par honge.
Iske ilawa, agar price daily level ko surpass kare aur thoda higher internal level par ruk jaye, toh yeh point bhi shorts ke liye potential entry samjha ja sakta hai. Yahan critical factor stop loss level hai. Trend predominantly downward hai. Jabke ek pullback possible hai, technical analysis suggest karta hai ke yeh 1.0639-1.0600 quote range se emerge hona chahiye, jo ek corrective pullback ko indicate karta hai. Isliye, bearish trading currently advisable hai. Fundamental analysis bhi EUR/USD pair mein decline show karti hai, ke eurozone ki economic health significantly US se peeche hai, jo sell-off ko support karti hai.
Forex market participants mein bhi bearish trend evident hai. Chaar ghante ki scale par, RSI indicator lower 50/70 range mein movement show karta hai, jo traders mein prevalent downward sentiment ko signify karta hai. Alligator indicator ke mutabiq, MA moving lines downward trend kar rahi hain. Isliye, recommendations sirf sales ke liye hain

EUR/USD Currency Pair Analysis
EUR/USD currency pair ab aik ahem mauqay par hai, jahan woh aham resistance aur support levels ke darmiyan trade kar raha hai. Pair ka primary resistance level 1.07756 par hai, jabke primary support level 1.06017 par hai. In levels ke aas paas price action pair ke short-term direction par bohat zyada asar andaz hoga. Agar EUR/USD price upper boundary 1.0747 ko toorna chaahe, to yeh signal hosakta hai ke ek upward movement ka aaghaz ho raha hai. Yeh toot is baat ki alamat hogi ke buyers control mein aa rahe hain, aur price mazeed upar ja sakti hai. Is potential upward breakout ke baad, agla crucial resistance level jo dekha jaega woh 1.07756 hai. Is resistance ko paar karna bullish trend ke aur confirmation ke tor par samjha jayega. Agar price 1.07756 ke upar safal ho jaaye, to EUR/USD mazeed taqat hasil kar sakta hai, aur agle resistance level 1.0817 ki taraf rukh kar sakta hai. Yeh level price ke liye aik cap ki tarah kaam kar sakta hai, lekin agar toota to yeh strong bullish momentum ki alamat hogi aur mazeed izafa ke raste mein madadgar sabit hosakta hai.

Dusri taraf, yeh bhi mumkin hai ke price rebound karke neeche jaaye. Agar EUR/USD ke current price ne rebound kiya aur 1.07817 central point ke neeche toota, to yeh is baat ki alamat hogi ke sellers control mein wapas aa gaye hain. Is central point ke neeche tootna bearish signal hoga, jo yeh ishara karega ke price neeche ja sakta hai. Is downward movement ka immediate target support zones 1.0808 aur 1.0757 ke neeche honge. Yeh support levels bohat ahem hain kyunki yeh price ke descent ke liye barriers ka kaam kar sakte hain. Agar price in support levels ke neeche jaaye, to yeh bearish trend ko confirm karega aur mazeed girawat ke raste mein le ja sakta hai. Traders ko in crucial levels ke aas paas price action ko nazdeek se monitor karna chahiye. Agar 1.0747 ke upar toot jaaye, to yeh bullish trend ki taraf ishara karega, jahan targets 1.07756 aur 1.0817 honge. Ulti is taraf, agar 1.07817 ke neeche toot jaaye, to yeh bearish trend ki taraf ishara karega, jahan targets 1.0808 aur 1.0757 honge. Yeh levels EUR/USD pair ke future direction mein ahem insights faraham karenge.




Agar aap euro mein izafa ki umeed rakhte hain, to higher time frames mein reversal pattern ka intezaar karen. 4-hour chart par, euro Bollinger Bands ke central area mein consolidate ho raha hai, neeche ke band ke saath move karne ke baad. Chahe woh bahar open ho ya phir responsive na ho, price drop ke liye aik active approach zaroori hai. Yeh dekhen ke bands outward open hoti hain ya phir unresponsive rehti hain. Price drop ke liye target nearest fractal down hai. Isko toorna aur iske neeche consolidate hone se price May 9 fractal level 1.0724 tak pahunch sakti hai. Nearest fractal up bohat door hai, isliye humein potential price growth ko support karne ke liye closer fractal formation ki zaroorat hai.

Akhiri tor par, EUR/USD pair ke future movement crucial support aur resistance levels par depend karta hai. Traders ko in points ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur market indicators ke zariye pair ki volatility ko handle karna chahiye.

EUR/USD ka primary resistance level 1.2306 hai. Kharidarein ka agla price target hai ke woh 1.3938 ke untested resistance ko penetrate kar sakein. Phir EUR/USD pair ke pass potential hai ke woh apni bullish movement jaari rakhe agle resistance level tak jo 1.5123 hai. Ek dusri taraf, primary support zone 0.9689 par aur secondary zone 0.8571 par EUR/USD price decline se breach ho sakta hai. Uske baad, pair support level 0.8121 ke neeche break karne mein kamiyaab ho sakta hai. Is hafte dekhte hain ke kya ho ga. Aaj main wait karunga ke price kaise react karta hai jab woh weak support area ko penetrate karne ki koshish karta hai. Agar price valid tareeqe se isey penetrate kar sakta hai,
EUR/USD ka push sab kuch bullish direction mein le ja sakta hai. Agar bulls ek pullback correction karein aur price daily level 1.07305 par ruk jaye, aur trading stagnant rahe, toh yeh situation bullish weakness ko indicate kar sakti hai aur yeh shorts ke liye ek entry point ho sakta hai.
Iske ilawa, agar price daily level ko surpass kare aur thoda higher internal level par ruk jaye, toh yeh point bhi shorts ke liye potential entry samjha ja sakta hai. Yahan critical factor stop loss level hai. Trend predominantly downward hai. Jabke ek pullback possible hai, technical analysis suggest karta hai ke yeh 1.0639-1.0600 quote range se emerge hona chahiye, jo ek corrective pullback ko indicate karta hai. Isliye, bearish trading currently advisable hai.
EUR/USD ke rate mein izafi tijarat mein shamil hone wala hai aur yeh nishana joosh ke bad mukhtalif gharelo tajarbat aur technical indicators ishara karte hain ke jab keemat is resistance point tak pohanchti hai, ulatne ka amal sambhav hai.
EUR/USD pair ko impact kar sakti hain. Economic indicators, central bank policies, aur geopolitical events sab crucial roles play karte hain market sentiment ko shape karne mein. Misal ke tor par, Eurozone se positive economic data ya Federal Reserve se dovish signals euro ko dollar ke against bolster kar sakte hain, 1.0790 level ki taraf aur uske baad upward movement ko support karte hue

mazid mazboot karti hai. Ye stability ka period aik consolidation phase ko suggest karta hai, jahan market recent gains ko absorb kar raha hai aur aglay move ki tayari kar raha hai. Aage dekhtay hue, market participants apna focus 1.0790 level par shift kar rahe hain, jo aik critical monthly resistance point ke tor par identify kiya gaya hai. Ye level technical analysis mein significant importance rakhta hai aur future price action ke liye aik pivotal marker ka kaam kar sakta hai. Agar EUR/USD pair apni upward momentum ko qaim rakh sakta hai aur 1.0790 resistance level ko successfully breach kar leta hai, to ye bullish trend ke mazid mazboot hone ka signal hoga. Is level ke upar breakout additional buying interest ko attract karega, kyunke traders isay uptrend ki confirmation ke tor par interpret karenge. Ek significant resistance point ka breach aksar increased volatility aur trading activity mein surge ko lead karta hai, jab market participants apni positions ko naye market dynamics ke mutabiq adjust karte hain. 1.0790 level ki significance uski historical context se underscore hoti hai. Resistance levels ko aksar previous price action ke basis par identify kiya jata hai, jahan market baar baar higher move karne mein fail hota hai. Aise levels traders ke liye psychologically important ho jate hain, kyunke ye price advancement ke potential barriers ko represent karte hain. In levels ka breach market sentiment ko badal sakta hai, buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan power balance ko shift kar sakta hai. Technical factors ke ilawa, traders fundamental influences ko bhi consider karenge jo EUR/USD pair ko impact kar sakti hain. Economic indicators, central bank policies, aur geopolitical events sab crucial roles play karte hain market sentiment ko shape karne mein. Misal ke tor par, Eurozone se positive economic data ya Federal Reserve se dovish signals euro ko dollar ke against bolster kar sakte hain, 1.0790 level ki taraf aur uske baad upward movement ko support karte hue

Maujooda keemat ki harkat yeh zahir kar rahi hai keh market ek tora toota channel retest pattern ke zariye se safar kar raha hai, jo aksar is baat ki alamat hoti hai keh mojooda neeche ki trend jaari rakhne ki taraf muntaqil hone ki. Yeh technical pattern amooman tab dekha jata hai jab keemat, pehle channel se bahar nikalne ke baad, us channel ke hudood ko dobara test karne ki koshish karti hai, phir apni asal trend direction mein chalti hai, is mamle mein, neeche ki taraf. Traders aur analysts isay umooman bearish nishaan ke tor par samajhte hain, jis se kehte hain keh neeche ki taraf momentum jaari rahega.

Is mahine, keemat ne ek naye ubharte hue lal channel mein trading shuru ki. Yeh channel khaas tor par ehmiyat rakhta hai kyun keh is mein pichle mahine ke dekhe gaye keemat ke harkat shamil hain. Yani keh ubharte hue lal channel pichle mahine ki trading behavior ka tasawwur deta hai, aur is se samajhne ki koshish karta hai keh keemat agle tarah se kaise move karegi.

Is ubharte hue lal channel ki tashkeel, ek tora toota channel retest ke sakhtar mein, aik ahem taraqqi hai. Is se yeh zahir hota hai keh jabke lal channel ke andar temporary upar ki harkat hai, overall trend neeche ki taraf rehta hai. Ubharte hue lal channel ko correction ya phir bara retracement bhi dekha ja sakta hai neeche ki zyada bari trend ke kontext mein. Aise patterns aksar markets mein dekhe jate hain jahan keemat seedhi line mein nahi chalti, balki ek silsile mein leharo aur zigzags ke saath, jahan bari trend ke andar temporary palatne aur durustiyon ke mouqe hote hain.

Lal channel ki jhukavat yeh ishara karti hai keh kharidne wale waqtan faqtan qaboo mein le liya hai, keemat ko upar ki taraf dhakel rahe hain. Lekin yeh upar ki harkat alag alag levels par rukawaton ka saamna karne ki ummeed hai, khaas tor par toota hua channel ke upper boundary par. Agar keemat in rukawaton ko paar nahi kar sakti, to ummeed hai keh woh apni neeche ki taraf raftar ko dobara pakrega, jaisa ke toota hua channel retest pattern ne pehle hi bearish trend ki taraf ishara diya tha.

Is tarah ke technical patterns ki tashkeel mein keemat ki harkat ko qareeb se nazar andaz karna hota hai, khaas tor par ahem support aur resistance levels par. Traders mukhtalif candlestick patterns ya momentum indicators jaise ke khaas signals ke liye dekhte hain, jis se keemat ke neeche ki taraf jaari rehne ya phir bara palatne ki haqeeqat maloom ho sake.

Maujooda keemat ki harkat yeh zahir kar rahi hai keh market ek tora toota channel retest pattern ke zariye se safar kar raha hai, jo aksar is baat ki alamat hoti hai keh mojooda neeche ki trend jaari rakhne ki taraf muntaqil hone ki. Yeh technical pattern amooman tab dekha jata hai jab keemat, pehle channel se bahar nikalne ke baad, us channel ke hudood ko dobara test karne ki koshish karti hai, phir apni asal trend direction mein chalti hai, is mamle mein, neeche ki taraf. Traders aur analysts isay umooman bearish nishaan ke tor par samajhte hain, jis se kehte hain keh neeche ki taraf momentum jaari rahega.

Is mahine, keemat ne ek naye ubharte hue lal channel mein trading shuru ki. Yeh channel khaas tor par ehmiyat rakhta hai kyun keh is mein pichle mahine ke dekhe gaye keemat ke harkat shamil hain. Yani keh ubharte hue lal channel pichle mahine ki trading behavior ka tasawwur deta hai, aur is se samajhne ki koshish karta hai keh keemat agle tarah se kaise move karegi.

Is ubharte hue lal channel ki tashkeel, ek tora toota channel retest ke sakhtar mein, aik ahem taraqqi hai. Is se yeh zahir hota hai keh jabke lal channel ke andar temporary upar ki harkat hai, overall trend neeche ki taraf rehta hai. Ubharte hue lal channel ko correction ya phir bara retracement bhi dekha ja sakta hai neeche ki zyada bari trend ke kontext mein. Aise patterns aksar markets mein dekhe jate hain jahan keemat seedhi line mein nahi chalti, balki ek silsile mein leharo aur zigzags ke saath, jahan bari trend ke andar temporary palatne aur durustiyon ke mouqe hote hain.

Lal channel ki jhukavat yeh ishara karti hai keh kharidne wale waqtan faqtan qaboo mein le liya hai, keemat ko upar ki taraf dhakel rahe hain. Lekin yeh upar ki harkat alag alag levels par rukawaton ka saamna karne ki ummeed hai, khaas tor par toota hua channel ke upper boundary par. Agar keemat in rukawaton ko paar nahi kar sakti, to ummeed hai keh woh apni neeche ki taraf raftar ko dobara pakrega, jaisa ke toota hua channel retest pattern ne pehle hi bearish trend ki taraf ishara diya tha.

Is tarah ke technical patterns ki tashkeel mein keemat ki harkat ko qareeb se nazar andaz karna hota hai, khaas tor par ahem support aur resistance levels par. Traders mukhtalif candlestick patterns ya momentum indicators jaise ke khaas signals ke liye dekhte hain, jis se keemat ke neeche ki taraf jaari rehne ya phir bara palatne ki haqeeqat maloom ho sake.

Hafta abhi adha guzara hai aur phir hum EURUSD currency pair ki taraf dekhein ge - chart H4 par. Is haftay ke pehle teen dinon mein ek urooj ki correction tha, MACD aur CCI indicators se milne wale urooj signal ko process kiya gaya tha, aur in par bullish divergence bhi bana tha - ek taqatwar urooj ke liye signal. Lekin amooman trend neeche ki taraf rehta hai, wave structure apni tarteeb neeche ki taraf bana rahi hai, aur MACD indicator ne sell zone mein rehne ka order jari rakha hai, walaupun keh signal line ke oopar grow kar raha hai. Urooj ke doran, keemat ne 1.0730 ke horizontal resistance level ko pohancha aur aisa lag raha tha keh isay kisi tarah se guzar gaye hain, lekin isay breakout samajhna kuch mushkil tha. Agar aap is level ko daily chart par closing prices se mark karen, to breakout nazar nahi aata. Ab bikne walon aur kharidne walon ke darmiyan ek muqabla hai, aur har cheez aaj ke news par nazar rakhne wali hai. Moscow waqt ke 15-30 baje - US mein issued building permits ki tadad, US mein unemployment benefits prapt karne wale afrad ki kul tadad, US mein naye gharo ke volume, US ke current account balance of payments, US mein naye gharo ke volume, US mein initial applications submit karne ke liye unemployment benefits ki tadad, Philadelphia Fed se manufacturing activity index, Philadelphia Fed se employment index. Yeh sabhi news par shayad log apna dhyan lagayenge, lekin main phir bhi isay neeche jaane ki umeed rakhta hoon. Bilkul be sabab keemat bas aise hi idhar udhar ghoom rahi hai, hum news ka intezaar kar rahe hain aur technically neeche dekh rahe hain, aur news aksar technical tasawwur ke saath mil jati hai, chahe jo bhi result aaye. Shayad yehi hoga: keemat pehle urooj karegi, extra bikne walon ko nikal degi, aur phir hafte ke anth tak use neeche le jayegi.

EURUSD pair ne kafi tezi se react kiya hai, aur hum pehle hi 1.0850 level ko test kar rahe hain. Lekin agar aap doosre major pairs dekhein, to wahan bhi United States ke inflation data par mazboot reaction hai. Aur shayad baat ye hai ke inflation do mahine se lagataar kam ho rahi hai, aur yeh farq nahi padta ke yeh har mahine 0.1% hai. Is raftar se, isay maqbool 2% tak pohanchne mein ek aur saal lagega, aur yeh bina Fed rate cut ko shaamil kiye. Aur agar Fed ne rate cut ka faisla kar bhi liya, to yeh 0.1% mahine ka inflation reduction subah ke dhund ki tarah gaib ho sakta hai. Mera khayal hai ke Fed ko bhi yeh baat achi tarah se samajh aa rahi hai aur woh market ki rate cut ke optimism se ittefaq nahi rakhte
Kuch American banks ne kaha hai ke woh is saal rate cut ki umeed nahi kar rahe. To aaj ke FOMC comments market ke liye surprises la sakte hain. Haal ke halat ke mutabiq, daily candle kaafi powerful hai, aur woh 9th figure ko target kar rahe hain. Lekin Fed ka intezar karna behtar hai; main 1.0800 tak rollback ko exclude nahi karta
yeh zaroori baat hai. Ye pehli baar nahi hua; pichli dafa bhi kami thi. Aur pichli dafa bhi 0.1% kami thi; kisi ne is par dhyan nahi diya. Shayad yeh unke representatives ke bolne se hai—jo unhone pehle kaha tha ke unke liye do baar inflation ki kami dekhna kafi hai. Lekin do baar inflation ko choti si percentage se kam karna kuch ajeeb sa lagta hai. Phir hamein agle meeting mein 100% kami ki umeed rakhni chahiye. Matlab, aaj, mujhe pata bhi nahi tha ke meeting ho rahi hai.
Moscow waqt ke 15-30 baje - US mein issued building permits ki tadad, US mein unemployment benefits prapt karne wale afrad ki kul tadad, US mein naye gharo ke volume, US ke current account balance of payments, US mein naye gharo ke volume, US mein initial applications submit karne ke liye unemployment benefits ki tadad, Philadelphia Fed se manufacturing activity index, Philadelphia Fed se employment index. Yeh sabhi news par shayad log apna dhyan lagayenge, lekin main phir bhi isay neeche jaane ki umeed rakhta hoon. Bilkul be sabab keemat bas aise hi idhar udhar ghoom rahi hai, hum news ka intezaar kar rahe hain aur technically neeche dekh rahe hain, aur news aksar technical tasawwur ke saath mil jati hai,

EURUSD pair ne kafi tezi se react kiya hai, aur hum pehle hi 1.0850 level ko test kar rahe hain. Lekin agar aap doosre major pairs dekhein, to wahan bhi United States ke inflation data par mazboot reaction hai. Aur shayad baat ye hai ke inflation do mahine se lagataar kam ho rahi hai, aur yeh farq nahi padta ke yeh har mahine 0.1% hai. Is raftar se, isay maqbool 2% tak pohanchne mein ek aur saal lagega, aur yeh bina Fed rate cut ko shaamil kiye. Aur agar Fed ne rate cut ka faisla kar bhi liya, to yeh 0.1% mahine ka inflation reduction subah ke dhund ki tarah gaib ho sakta hai. Mera khayal hai ke Fed ko bhi yeh baat achi tarah se samajh aa rahi hai aur woh market ki rate cut ke optimism se ittefaq nahi rakhte
Kuch American banks ne kaha hai ke woh is saal rate cut ki umeed nahi kar rahe. To aaj ke FOMC comments market ke liye surprises la sakte hain. Haal ke halat ke mutabiq, daily candle kaafi powerful hai, aur woh 9th figure ko target kar rahe hain. Lekin Fed ka intezar karna behtar hai; main 1.0800 tak rollback ko exclude nahi karta
yeh zaroori baat hai. Ye pehli baar nahi hua; pichli dafa bhi kami thi. Aur pichli dafa bhi 0.1% kami thi; kisi ne is par dhyan nahi diya. Shayad yeh unke representatives ke bolne se hai—jo unhone pehle kaha tha ke unke liye do baar inflation ki kami dekhna kafi hai. Lekin do baar inflation ko choti si percentage se kam karna kuch ajeeb sa lagta hai. Phir hamein agle meeting mein 100% kami ki umeed rakhni chahiye. Matlab, aaj, mujhe pata bhi nahi tha ke meeting ho rahi hai.
Aur lagta hai ke yeh sab wapas chala jayega. Mera nahi khayal ke Fed representatives 0.2% inflation reduction se mutma'in honge; yeh sirf mazahiya baat hai