Aaj mai EUR/USD chart dekh raha hoon. Kal unexpectedly EUR/USD ne week ke pehle din strong bullish momentum dikhaya aur aaj ho sakta hai ke hum aur zyada bullish momentum dekh sakain.
Chaliye fundamentals aur macroeconomics par baat karte hain. Monday ko Eurozone ya US mein koi significant reports nahi thi. Market ko react karne ke liye kuch nahi tha, aur upward movement ka taluq us din ke scheduled minor reports se nahi tha. General tor par, fundamental background unchanged hai, aur ye samajhna zaroori hai. Global downtrend ab bhi waise hi hai. Is liye, hum euro ke decline ki umeed karte hain
Ye baat note karne layak hai ke jab se European Central Bank ne rates ko kam karna shuru kiya hai (jo ke Federal Reserve ke mukablay mein hai, jisse sab log March mein rate cut ki umeed kar rahe the), euro market pressure ke neeche hai. Jaisa ke humne pehle bhi kaha tha, iska matlab ye nahi ke pair foran se price parity tak crash kar jayega kuch hafton mein. Capital flow kaafi slow hota hai, aur EUR/USD pair traditionally low volatility mein hota
Technical analysis ke mutabiq, EUR/USD pair ki last five trading days ki average volatility June 25 tak 48 pips hai, jo ke low value consider hoti hai. Hum expect karte hain ke pair Tuesday ko 1.0680 aur 1.0776 ke beech move karega. Higher linear regression channel upward turn ho gaya hai, magar global downtrend intact hai. CCI indicator oversold area mein enter ho gaya hai, lekin is waqt hum strong growth ki umeed nahi karte. EUR/USD pair global downtrend ko maintain karte hue 4-hour timeframe mein moving average ke kareeb hai. Pichle reviews mein humne kaha tha ke hum long positions consider nahi karte aur hume downtrend ke continuation ka intezar karna chahiye. Iss waqt, short positions 1.0681 aur 1.0620 ke targets ke sath ab bhi valid hain. 1.0681 se rebound hone par ek aur upward correction round shuru ho gaya. Hum euro ko kharidne ka mashwara nahi dete, kyun ke hum believe karte hain ke global downtrend resume ho gaya hai, aur single currency ke paas growth ke koi grounds nahi hain. Magar price kuch aur waqt tak correction ke andar rise ho sakti hai.
Chaliye fundamentals aur macroeconomics par baat karte hain. Monday ko Eurozone ya US mein koi significant reports nahi thi. Market ko react karne ke liye kuch nahi tha, aur upward movement ka taluq us din ke scheduled minor reports se nahi tha. General tor par, fundamental background unchanged hai, aur ye samajhna zaroori hai. Global downtrend ab bhi waise hi hai. Is liye, hum euro ke decline ki umeed karte hain
Ye baat note karne layak hai ke jab se European Central Bank ne rates ko kam karna shuru kiya hai (jo ke Federal Reserve ke mukablay mein hai, jisse sab log March mein rate cut ki umeed kar rahe the), euro market pressure ke neeche hai. Jaisa ke humne pehle bhi kaha tha, iska matlab ye nahi ke pair foran se price parity tak crash kar jayega kuch hafton mein. Capital flow kaafi slow hota hai, aur EUR/USD pair traditionally low volatility mein hota
Technical analysis ke mutabiq, EUR/USD pair ki last five trading days ki average volatility June 25 tak 48 pips hai, jo ke low value consider hoti hai. Hum expect karte hain ke pair Tuesday ko 1.0680 aur 1.0776 ke beech move karega. Higher linear regression channel upward turn ho gaya hai, magar global downtrend intact hai. CCI indicator oversold area mein enter ho gaya hai, lekin is waqt hum strong growth ki umeed nahi karte. EUR/USD pair global downtrend ko maintain karte hue 4-hour timeframe mein moving average ke kareeb hai. Pichle reviews mein humne kaha tha ke hum long positions consider nahi karte aur hume downtrend ke continuation ka intezar karna chahiye. Iss waqt, short positions 1.0681 aur 1.0620 ke targets ke sath ab bhi valid hain. 1.0681 se rebound hone par ek aur upward correction round shuru ho gaya. Hum euro ko kharidne ka mashwara nahi dete, kyun ke hum believe karte hain ke global downtrend resume ho gaya hai, aur single currency ke paas growth ke koi grounds nahi hain. Magar price kuch aur waqt tak correction ke andar rise ho sakti hai.
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