𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃

Ham idhar dekh sakte hain ke aik girawat nazar aa rahi hai jo ke 200 MA (neela) ke moving limit ko cross kar gayi hai, aur aik bearish Gap bhi 200 MA limit ke paar ban gaya hai. Yeh tasdeek karta hai ke trend pehle se hi bearish phase mein hai. Aane wali girawat ne gap area ko band karne ka waqt nahi mila aur neeche ki taraf support area ko test karne ki koshish ki, jo ke 1.0722 par waqe hai. RSI 30 level par oversold area ke neeche girawat ke sabab bearish efforts ko thodi rukawat ka samna hai aur qeematain bullish retracement ke zariye qareebi SBR area 1.0759 ko test karne ki koshish kar rahi hain. Correction phase ke liye izafa ke imkanat abhi bhi khule hain, jo agle SBR area 1.0787 tak pahunchne aur gap area ko MA200 (neela) ke limit 1.0800 par band karne ki koshish kar sakti hain. Mukhtasir muddat mein, 1.0740-1.0750 ke range mein kharidari ko madh nazar rakhna mumkin lagta hai.

TP 1 ka plan 1.0780 tak pahunchne ka hai aur TP 2 ka plan 1.0800 tak pahunchne ka hai. Yeh kharidari ka plan risk limit ko support area ke neeche 1.0720 par rakh sakta hai. Bearish trend ke continuation ke liye bechne ka plan yeh range 1.0780-1.0800 mein dakhal kar sakta hai. Iss price level range se girawat ka imkan hai ke neeche support area 1.0722 ko test kar sakti hai. Bearish trend tab invalidate hoga agar buyers qeemat ko upar le kar jayein aur (red) movement limit ko cross kar lein, jo 1.0855 par hai.



TF Daily reference mein dekha ja sakta hai ke aik girawat ke haalat jo ke bearish trend ka ibtedai phase hai, candle movement ke 200 MA limit (neela) ke neeche girne ke baad dikhayi di hai. Agle bearish effort ka target, 3 support levels 1.0722, 1.0660 aur 1.0600 ke range mein test karne ka imkan hai. Jab tak qeemat MA 100 (sabz) area 1.0810 par ke upar nahi jati, sales transactions par focus rakha ja sakta hai. Lambi muddat mein, bearish trend ka imkan kaafi zyada khula lagta hai ke is saal ke lowest price barrier 1.0600 ko paar kar sake. Mazeed girawat pechle saal ke lowest price area 1.0445 tak pahunchne ki koshish bhi kar sakti hai. Kharidari ko dekhte hue, behtar hoga ke 1.0810 ke level ke upar izafa ka intezar kiya jaye. Is price level ke upar movement pechle haftay ke highest price limit ko test karne ka imkan de sakta hai.

Ham idhar dekh sakte hain ke aik girawat nazar aa rahi hai jo ke 200 MA (neela) ke moving limit ko cross kar gayi hai, aur aik bearish Gap bhi 200 MA limit ke paar ban gaya hai. Yeh tasdeek karta hai ke trend pehle se hi bearish phase mein hai. Aane wali girawat ne gap area ko band karne ka waqt nahi mila aur neeche ki taraf support area ko test karne ki koshish ki, jo ke 1.0722 par waqe hai. RSI 30 level par oversold area ke neeche girawat ke sabab bearish efforts ko thodi rukawat ka samna hai aur qeematain bullish retracement ke zariye qareebi SBR area 1.0759 ko test karne ki koshish kar rahi hain. Correction phase ke liye izafa ke imkanat abhi bhi khule hain, jo agle SBR area 1.0787 tak pahunchne aur gap area ko MA200 (neela) ke limit 1.0800 par band karne ki koshish kar sakti hain. Mukhtasir muddat mein, 1.0740-1.0750 ke range mein kharidari ko madh nazar rakhna mumkin lagta hai.

TP 1 ka plan 1.0780 tak pahunchne ka hai aur TP 2 ka plan 1.0800 tak pahunchne ka hai. Yeh kharidari ka plan risk limit ko support area ke neeche 1.0720 par rakh sakta hai. Bearish trend ke continuation ke liye bechne ka plan yeh range 1.0780-1.0800 mein dakhal kar sakta hai. Iss price level range se girawat ka imkan hai ke neeche support area 1.0722 ko test kar sakti hai. Bearish trend tab invalidate hoga agar buyers qeemat ko upar le kar jayein aur (red) movement limit ko cross kar lein, jo 1.0855 par hai.



TF Daily reference mein dekha ja sakta hai ke aik girawat ke haalat jo ke bearish trend ka ibtedai phase hai, candle movement ke 200 MA limit (neela) ke neeche girne ke baad dikhayi di hai. Agle bearish effort ka target, 3 support levels 1.0722, 1.0660 aur 1.0600 ke range mein test karne ka imkan hai. Jab tak qeemat MA 100 (sabz) area 1.0810 par ke upar nahi jati, sales transactions par focus rakha ja sakta hai. Lambi muddat mein, bearish trend ka imkan kaafi zyada khula lagta hai ke is saal ke lowest price barrier 1.0600 ko paar kar sake. Mazeed girawat pechle saal ke lowest price area 1.0445 tak pahunchne ki koshish bhi kar sakti hai. Kharidari ko dekhte hue, behtar hoga ke 1.0810 ke level ke upar izafa ka intezar kiya jaye. Is price level ke upar movement pechle haftay ke highest price limit ko test karne ka imkan de sakta hai.

EURUSD pair ne kafi tezi se react kiya hai, aur hum pehle hi 1.0850 level ko test kar rahe hain. Lekin agar aap doosre major pairs dekhein, to wahan bhi United States ke inflation data par mazboot reaction hai. Aur shayad baat ye hai ke inflation do mahine se lagataar kam ho rahi hai, aur yeh farq nahi padta ke yeh har mahine 0.1% hai. Is raftar se, isay maqbool 2% tak pohanchne mein ek aur saal lagega, aur yeh bina Fed rate cut ko shaamil kiye. Aur agar Fed ne rate cut ka faisla kar bhi liya, to yeh 0.1% mahine ka inflation reduction subah ke dhund ki tarah gaib ho sakta hai. Mera khayal hai ke Fed ko bhi yeh baat achi tarah se samajh aa rahi hai aur woh market ki rate cut ke optimism se ittefaq nahi rakhte
Kuch American banks ne kaha hai ke woh is saal rate cut ki umeed nahi kar rahe. To aaj ke FOMC comments market ke liye surprises la sakte hain. Haal ke halat ke mutabiq, daily candle kaafi powerful hai, aur woh 9th figure ko target kar rahe hain. Lekin Fed ka intezar karna behtar hai; main 1.0800 tak rollback ko exclude nahi karta
yeh zaroori baat hai. Ye pehli baar nahi hua; pichli dafa bhi kami thi. Aur pichli dafa bhi 0.1% kami thi; kisi ne is par dhyan nahi diya. Shayad yeh unke representatives ke bolne se hai—jo unhone pehle kaha tha ke unke liye do baar inflation ki kami dekhna kafi hai. Lekin do baar inflation ko choti si percentage se kam karna kuch ajeeb sa lagta hai. Phir hamein agle meeting mein 100% kami ki umeed rakhni chahiye. Matlab, aaj, mujhe pata bhi nahi tha ke meeting ho rahi hai.
Aur lagta hai ke yeh sab wapas chala jayega. Mera nahi khayal ke Fed representatives 0.2% inflation reduction se mutma'in honge; yeh sirf mazahiya baat hai

T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S
E U R / U S D
Subh bakhair colleagues, aaj main phir se apni analysis ko update karunga aur EUR/USD par apne trading setup aur estimates ke saath aage badhunga. To chaliye aaj ki EUR/USD analysis shuru karte hain is time frame chart ke saath. EUR/USD ki trading abhi 1.0703 par chal rahi hai jab main likh raha hoon. Agar aap is chart ko dekhte hain, to aap dekhenge ki market lagatar downtrend mein ja rahi hai, aur yeh samay behtar hai ek sell trade karne ka aur acchi munafa kamane ka.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator ki value abhi 47 hai. RSI ki girawat market ke keemat mein kami ki taraf ishara karta hai. Saath hi, moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator ka value -0.00755 hai, jo ek majboot market trend ko darshata hai. Prices jo ki pehle se hi 50 aur 20 moving averages ke neeche hain, iska matlab hai ki prices ki tendency down ki taraf jaane ki hai.

Is tarah se, market ki haliyaat ko dekhte hue main yeh suggest karunga ki aap sell trade ka moka pakad sakte hain.

I hope this helps!

Here's the information converted into Roman Urdu:

EUR/USD ka primary resistance level 1.2306 hai. Kharidarein ka agla price target hai ke woh 1.3938 ke untested resistance ko penetrate kar sakein. Phir EUR/USD pair ke pass potential hai ke woh apni bullish movement jaari rakhe agle resistance level tak jo 1.5123 hai. Ek dusri taraf, primary support zone 0.9689 par aur secondary zone 0.8571 par EUR/USD price decline se breach ho sakta hai. Uske baad, pair support level 0.8121 ke neeche break karne mein kamiyaab ho sakta hai. Is hafte dekhte hain ke kya ho ga. Aaj main wait karunga ke price kaise react karta hai jab woh weak support area ko penetrate karne ki koshish karta hai. Agar price valid tareeqe se isey penetrate kar sakta hai, to main sell order place karunga.

Chart mein istemaal hone wale indicators:
- MACD indicator:
- RSI indicator period 14:
- 50-day exponential moving average rang Orange:
- 20-day exponential moving average rang Magenta:

EUR/USD


EUR/USD pair ki haalat aur mazid bheja gaya employment data: Mutaqib ke baad Federal Reserve ke rate cuts mein taakhi ki umeed badh gayi hai, jo US dollar ko qasar muddat mein mazid mazboot bana sakti hai. Lekin, yeh bhi dekha gaya hai ke yeh pair kuch arse se aik range mein qaid hai, aur foran is mein tabdeeli ki koi alamat nazar nahi aati.

EUR/USD

Aham Support Level - 1.08:

Aik ahem support zone jo 1.08 ka hai, traders is par gehri nazar rakhein hain. Agar yeh level toot jata hai, to yeh market ke jazbat ko tabdeel kar sakta hai. Halanki, filhal aisa lagta nahi ke yeh waqia hogi. Yeh bhi yaad rakhna chahiye ke traders weekend se pehle bade moves karne se katraate hain, khas taur par jab market mein ziada halchal ho.

EUR/USD

Short-term Buying Opportunity:

Is surat-e-haal ko dekhte huye, aik short-term buying opportunity zarur ho sakti hai, lekin market apni range mein hi rehne ke asar hain. Agar euro 1.08 se neeche girta hai, to agla target 1.07 ho sakta hai. Yeh market saal ke aksar hisse mein volatile aur mobile rahegi, jo ke iske aam trends ke mutabiq hai.


EUR/USD

ECB aur Federal Reserve ke Rate Cuts:

Halanki ECB ne hal hi mein rates kaat diye hain, Federal Reserve se bhi is saal ke baad rate cuts ki umeed ki ja rahi hai.




EUR/USD

Khulasah:

1. Euro ke girne ka sabab strong U.S. jobs report hai jo ke U.S. dollar ko qasar muddat mein mazboot banata hai.
2. Primary support level 1.08 ahem hai, aur agar yeh level toot jata hai, to yeh further declines ko 1.07 ki taraf le ja sakta hai.
3. Market volatile aur range-bound rehne ke asar hain, khas taur par jab traders abhi bhi Federal Reserve ke rate cuts ke intezar mein hain.
4. Har qadam ko badi ehtiyaat se uthana chahiye, jab tak market ka range-bound nature barqarar hai.

g mein Asian session mein, keemat ab bhi rozana kholne aur nazdeeki rukawat 1.0903 aur 1.0919 ke darmiyan mehdood mein move kar rahi hai. Ek waqtanfarosh rozana kholne se sab se qareebi sahara 1.0887 par hai. EMA 200 keemat ke harkat ke neeche hai aur jo taaqat paai gayi khaaskar raat ko American session mein, us ne EMA 12 aur EMA 36 ko phir se ooper latakne par majboor kiya hai.

Moving average indicator ka istemal karke strategy ki technical taraf se, mojooda waqt sab indicator lines, ya'ni ke 100, 200 aur 50 MA lines, tamaam chal rahe keemat ke neeche hain. Ye yeh darust karta hai ke EUR-USD jora ke keemat ki harkat aaj tak ke dopahar mein oopri raftar ko jari rakhti hai.

Aaj ka mansooba, hum ab bhi kharidne ko ahmiyat dete hain, umeed hai ke 1.0803 ke qadar khatra tor kar keemat ko torparah keematon par munafa lena hai 1.0945 se lekar 1.0961 ke darjaat tak. Dusri taraf, agar keemat ko durust kiya gaya, to EMA 36 H1 line ke ird gird junoon ka muntazir re-buy koshish ki jayegi. Agar keemat ko rad kiya gaya, to kharidne ka intekhab 1.0803 ke barabar take profit calculation ke saath shuru kiya jayega

hai. Price levels ka range narrow hai, jo stop-losses ko manageable rakhta hai. Main patiently breakout ka intezar kar raha hoon taake price movement ko capture kar saku. Aaj, bearish sell level at 1.0867 ne ek downward signal trigger kiya, jisse maine dobara sell kiya. Mera minimum target 1.0838 par hai, aur further potential declines support levels 1.07889, 1.0763, aur 1.0754 par hain. Jaise jaise price decline karti hai, bullish trends possible rahi hain, signalling ke further volume downward move ko favor kar sakta hai. Lekin agar bullish buy level at 1.0896 likely hai, toh main apni strategy growth-oriented approach ki taraf shift karunga aur buying consider karunga. Aise scenario mein, growth targets resistances 1.0925, 1.0943, aur 1.0977 par honge. Ek confirmed bullish scenario bearish trend line ko break karega, jo upward movement ke liye additional volume release kar

Aaj ka focus EUR/USD currency pair ke price movements ka analysis karna hai. Jab potential rollback ki baat hoti hai, toh yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke yeh kyun successful ho sakta hai. Dollar fundamentals itne disruptive nahi hain ke woh sab kuch derail kar dein. Iska matlab yeh hai ke agar specific decline pattern possible hai, toh iske corrective phase ka bhi high likelihood hai. Dekhte hain ke yeh scenario plausible hai ke nahi.

Main unkay pairs par baat nahi karunga jo euro ko upwards le ja sakte hain, kyunke yeh movements EUR/USD ke bullish direction par depend karti hain. Jab EUR/USD upwards trend karega, toh doosre pairs bhi follow karenge. Isliye, current setup kuch euro pairs ke liye favorable lagta hai, aur EUR/USD ka push sab kuch bullish direction mein le ja sakta hai. Agar bulls ek pullback correction karein aur price daily level 1.07305 par ruk jaye, aur trading stagnant rahe, toh yeh situation bullish weakness ko indicate kar sakti hai aur yeh shorts ke liye ek entry point ho sakta hai.


Iske ilawa, agar price daily level ko surpass kare aur thoda higher internal level par ruk jaye, toh yeh point bhi shorts ke liye potential entry samjha ja sakta hai. Yahan critical factor stop loss level hai. Trend predominantly downward hai. Jabke ek pullback possible hai, technical analysis suggest karta hai ke yeh 1.0639-1.0600 quote range se emerge hona chahiye, jo ek corrective pullback ko indicate karta hai. Isliye, bearish trading currently advisable hai. Fundamental analysis bhi EUR/USD pair mein decline show karti hai, ke eurozone ki economic health significantly US se peeche hai, jo sell-off ko support karti hai.

Forex market participants mein bhi bearish trend evident hai. Chaar ghante ki scale par, RSI indicator lower 50/70 range mein movement show karta hai, jo traders mein prevalent downward sentiment ko signify karta hai. Alligator indicator ke mutabiq, MA moving lines downward trend kar rahi hain. Isliye, recommendations sirf sales ke liye hain.

n ko mazid mazboot karti hai. Ye stability ka period aik consolidation phase ko suggest karta hai, jahan market recent gains ko absorb kar raha hai aur aglay move ki tayari kar raha hai. Aage dekhtay hue, market participants apna focus 1.0790 level par shift kar rahe hain, jo aik critical monthly resistance point ke tor par identify kiya gaya hai. Ye level technical analysis mein significant importance rakhta hai aur future price action ke liye aik pivotal marker ka kaam kar sakta hai. Agar EUR/USD pair apni upward momentum ko qaim rakh sakta hai aur 1.0790 resistance level ko successfully breach kar leta hai, to ye bullish trend ke mazid mazboot hone ka signal hoga. Is level ke upar breakout additional buying interest ko attract karega, kyunke traders isay uptrend ki confirmation ke tor par interpret karenge. Ek significant resistance point ka breach aksar increased volatility aur trading activity mein surge ko lead karta hai, jab market participants apni positions ko naye market dynamics ke mutabiq adjust karte hain. 1.0790 level ki significance uski historical context se underscore hoti hai. Resistance levels ko aksar previous price action ke basis par identify kiya jata hai, jahan market baar baar higher move karne mein fail hota hai. Aise levels traders ke liye psychologically important ho jate hain, kyunke ye price advancement ke potential barriers ko represent karte hain. In levels ka breach market sentiment ko badal sakta hai, buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan power balance ko shift kar sakta hai. Technical factors ke ilawa, traders fundamental influences ko bhi consider karenge jo EUR/USD pair ko impact kar sakti hain. Economic indicators, central bank policies, aur geopolitical events sab crucial roles play karte hain market sentiment ko shape karne mein. Misal ke tor par, Eurozone se positive economic data ya Federal Reserve se dovish signals euro ko dollar ke against bolster kar sakte hain, 1.0790 level ki taraf aur uske baad upward movement ko support karte hue

mazid mazboot karti hai. Ye stability ka period aik consolidation phase ko suggest karta hai, jahan market recent gains ko absorb kar raha hai aur aglay move ki tayari kar raha hai. Aage dekhtay hue, market participants apna focus 1.0790 level par shift kar rahe hain, jo aik critical monthly resistance point ke tor par identify kiya gaya hai. Ye level technical analysis mein significant importance rakhta hai aur future price action ke liye aik pivotal marker ka kaam kar sakta hai. Agar EUR/USD pair apni upward momentum ko qaim rakh sakta hai aur 1.0790 resistance level ko successfully breach kar leta hai, to ye bullish trend ke mazid mazboot hone ka signal hoga. Is level ke upar breakout additional buying interest ko attract karega, kyunke traders isay uptrend ki confirmation ke tor par interpret karenge. Ek significant resistance point ka breach aksar increased volatility aur trading activity mein surge ko lead karta hai, jab market participants apni positions ko naye market dynamics ke mutabiq adjust karte hain. 1.0790 level ki significance uski historical context se underscore hoti hai. Resistance levels ko aksar previous price action ke basis par identify kiya jata hai, jahan market baar baar higher move karne mein fail hota hai. Aise levels traders ke liye psychologically important ho jate hain, kyunke ye price advancement ke potential barriers ko represent karte hain. In levels ka breach market sentiment ko badal sakta hai, buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan power balance ko shift kar sakta hai. Technical factors ke ilawa, traders fundamental influences ko bhi consider karenge jo EUR/USD pair ko impact kar sakti hain. Economic indicators, central bank policies, aur geopolitical events sab crucial roles play karte hain market sentiment ko shape karne mein. Misal ke tor par, Eurozone se positive economic data ya Federal Reserve se dovish signals euro ko dollar ke against bolster kar sakte hain, 1.0790 level ki taraf aur uske baad upward movement

EUR/USD currency pair haal hi mein bullish trend ka muzahira kar rahi hai, jo Euro ke rate ko US dollar ke khilaf izafa ki taraf ishara deta hai. Is izafi raftar ke maqam par, EUR/USD ko 1.0734 ke ahmiyat se upar bechna munasib maloom ho sakta hai. Yeh keemat kai wajahat ki bunyad par ahmiyat rakhti hai aur bohat se traders is par qareebi nazar rakh rahe hain.

Sab se pehle, 1.0734 ke level ko aik ahmiyat se pakar jata hai. Resistance levels ke asool yeh hotay hain ke ye price points hotay hain jahan currency pair ke liye aam tor par upar jaane mein mushkil hoti hai. Ye levels aksar aisi rukawat ka kaam karte hain jo pair ke izafi harkat ko rok sakti hain.

Is mozuat ke hawale se, jari bullish trend ke dauran, 1.0734 mark EUR/USD ke liye aik bunyadi had ka ahsas karta hai jise traders yakeeni tor par guzarish ke sath par kar saktay hain. Is level tak pohanchne se pehle, hume bazaar mein tezi aur shadeed maqami garmi ki tawaqo ho sakti hai. Yeh price point mukhtalif trading volumes ko apne andar jama karne ki salahiyat rakhta hai jab traders ya to bullish harkat se faida uthatay hain ya ulatne ke liye tayyar ho jatay hain.



1.0734 ke qareeb pohanchne ki tawaqo is par hai ke EUR/USD ke rate mein izafi tijarat mein shamil hone wala hai aur yeh nishana joosh ke bad mukhtalif gharelo tajarbat aur technical indicators ishara karte hain ke jab keemat is resistance point tak pohanchti hai, ulatne ka amal sambhav hai.

Main apne khayal mein yaqeen rakhta hoon ke American trading session nichay ki taraf hoga, pehle se mojood bearish trend ki wajah se. Usi waqt, meri raay mein EUR/USD bullish rukh par hai, is liye samajh mein aata hai ke EUR/USD ko bechne se pehle 1.0772 ke level ka intezar karna munasib hai. Hum aasani se keh sakte hain ke bullish trend jari nahi rahega, aur jab hum is ahmiyat se bharpoor level ke qareeb pohanchte hain, to hume ek kami ka intezar karna chahiye, aur is level ke baad koi izafi umeed nahi hai. Shayad hamara maqsad is waqt yeh hai ke din bhar mein bohat zyada liquidity jama ki jaye. Aaj Bank of England Day hai, lekin yeh abhi tak nazar nahi aa raha, haalaanki rate pehle se hi announce ho chuka hai. Shayad din ke ikhtitam tak kuch dikhai dega aur sout mein kuch dikhai dega. Sab se zaroori baat yeh hai ke support level 1.0670 ka update aur toot ho. Main short term ke liye 1.0666 ke kam level ka toot hone ka intezar kar raha hoon, aur sout ki jariyat pehle se hi jari hai jab tak ke 1.0600 digit toot na jaye. Aaj jodi kamzor ho rahi hai, aur maqsad neechay hai. Mujhe ummeed thi ke descending channel ke neechay ki simat 1.0688 ke is level ko pohanch sakta hai, lekin keemat ne abhi tak maqsad tak nahi pohancha, is liye keemat ko neechay ki simat umeed hai ke pair ko descending channel ke neechay ki simat tootna shru ho jaye aur is level pe 1

Aaj ka focus EUR/USD currency pair ke price movements ka analysis karna hai. Jab potential rollback ki baat hoti hai, toh yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke yeh kyun successful ho sakta hai. Dollar fundamentals itne disruptive nahi hain ke woh sab kuch derail kar dein. Iska matlab yeh hai ke agar specific decline pattern possible hai, toh iske corrective phase ka bhi high likelihood hai. Dekhte hain ke yeh scenario plausible hai ke nahi.

Main unkay pairs par baat nahi karunga jo euro ko upwards le ja sakte hain, kyunke yeh movements EUR/USD ke bullish direction par depend karti hain. Jab EUR/USD upwards trend karega, toh doosre pairs bhi follow karenge. Isliye, current setup kuch euro pairs ke liye favorable lagta hai, aur EUR/USD ka push sab kuch bullish direction mein le ja sakta hai. Agar bulls ek pullback correction karein aur price daily level 1.07305 par ruk jaye, aur trading stagnant rahe, toh yeh situation bullish weakness ko indicate kar sakti hai aur yeh shorts ke liye ek entry point ho sakta hai.


Iske ilawa, agar price daily level ko surpass kare aur thoda higher internal level par ruk jaye, toh yeh point bhi shorts ke liye potential entry samjha ja sakta hai. Yahan critical factor stop loss level hai. Trend predominantly downward hai. Jabke ek pullback possible hai, technical analysis suggest karta hai ke yeh 1.0639-1.0600 quote range se emerge hona chahiye, jo ek corrective pullback ko indicate karta hai. Isliye, bearish trading currently advisable hai. Fundamental analysis bhi EUR/USD pair mein decline show karti hai, ke eurozone ki economic health significantly US se peeche hai, jo sell-off ko support karti hai.

Forex market participants mein bhi bearish trend evident hai. Chaar ghante ki scale par, RSI indicator lower 50/70 range mein movement show karta hai, jo traders mein prevalent downward sentiment ko signify karta hai. Alligator indicator ke mutabiq, MA moving lines downward trend kar rahi hain. Isliye, recommendations sirf sales ke liye hain

Euro (EUR) ne Thursday ko US Dollar (USD) ke khilaaf ek girawat ki taraf rukh kiya aur 1.0700 ke aas paas technical levels ko dubara dekha. Is kamzor hawalay ne aane wale economic data releases ke baad aya, jo Eurozone aur United States dono mein nakami ka silsila tha. US taraf se data ummeed se kamzor aaya, jo Dollar ki safe-haven appeal ko badhaya. June ke liye Philadelphia Fed ke manufacturing survey mein 1.3 ki bari kami dekhi gayi, jo 5.0 ki analysts ki tajweez se kam reh gayi. Isi tarah, May mein naye US home construction projects ki tadad bhi estimates se kam aayi, jabki ummeed 1.37 million thi lekin haqiqi mein sirf 1.277 million projects the. Eurozone mein bhi halat kuch pareshan kun nazar aaye. May Producer Price Index (PPI) mein saalana izafa zaroor hua tha, lekin ye tawaqo' se kam tha. Index 0.0% par aa gaya tha, jabke tajweez ki gayi 0.3% izafa se dor reh gaya tha. Saalana figures mein bhi kamzori nazar aayi, jahan PPI -2.2% par aa gaya tha, jabke ummeed -2.0% recovery ki thi.



Aage dekhte hain, market naye data ke liye teyar hain jo Friday ko aane wale hain. Tawajjo Eurozone aur US se Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) reports par hogi. Eurozone mein thora sa izafa tawaqo' hai, jahan manufacturing PMI 47.9 par pohanchne ki ummeed hai 47.3 se aur services PMI ki 53.5 par izafa ki tawaqo' hai 53.2 se. Lekin US PMI figures mein kami ka izafa tawaqo' hai, jahan manufacturing 51.0 par girne ki ummeed hai 51.3 se aur services 53.7 par girne ki tawaqo' hai 54.8 se. EUR/USD pair is disappointing technical trend ko follow kar raha hai. Currency pair ne Thursday ke trading session mein mazeed nuqsanat dekhe jab 200-hour exponential moving average (EMA) 1.0750 se neeche chala gaya. Farokht dabaav ne Euro ke qeemat ko 1.0700 tak nicha daba diya, jo keh last week ke 1.0670 ke qareeb pohanch gaya tha. Agar yeh dabaav jari rahe, to EUR/USD April mein chue hue 1.0600 ke aas paas 2024 ke low ko dubara dekh sakta hai. Dusri taraf, kisi bhi ahem bullish recovery ki soorat mein 200-day EMA ko nishana banaya jayega jo ab 1.0800 par hai.

Aaj ka focus EUR/USD currency pair ke price movements ka analysis karna hai. Jab potential rollback ki baat hoti hai, toh yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke yeh kyun successful ho sakta hai. Dollar fundamentals itne disruptive nahi hain ke woh sab kuch derail kar dein. Iska matlab yeh hai ke agar specific decline pattern possible hai, toh iske corrective phase ka bhi high likelihood hai. Dekhte hain ke yeh scenario plausible hai ke nahi.

Main unkay pairs par baat nahi karunga jo euro ko upwards le ja sakte hain, kyunke yeh movements EUR/USD ke bullish direction par depend karti hain. Jab EUR/USD upwards trend karega, toh doosre pairs bhi follow karenge. Isliye, current setup kuch euro pairs ke liye favorable lagta hai, aur EUR/USD ka push sab kuch bullish direction mein le ja sakta hai. Agar bulls ek pullback correction karein aur price daily level 1.07305 par ruk jaye, aur trading stagnant rahe, toh yeh situation bullish weakness ko indicate kar sakti hai aur yeh shorts ke liye ek entry point ho sakta hai.


Iske ilawa, agar price daily level ko surpass kare aur thoda higher internal level par ruk jaye, toh yeh point bhi shorts ke liye potential entry samjha ja sakta hai. Yahan critical factor stop loss level hai. Trend predominantly downward hai. Jabke ek pullback possible hai, technical analysis suggest karta hai ke yeh 1.0639-1.0600 quote range se emerge hona chahiye, jo ek corrective pullback ko indicate karta hai. Isliye, bearish trading currently advisable hai. Fundamental analysis bhi EUR/USD pair mein decline show karti hai, ke eurozone ki economic health significantly US se peeche hai, jo sell-off ko support karti hai.

Forex market participants mein bhi bearish trend evident hai. Chaar ghante ki scale par, RSI indicator lower 50/70 range mein movement show karta hai, jo traders mein prevalent downward sentiment ko signify karta hai. Alligator indicator ke mutabiq, MA moving lines downward trend kar rahi hain. Isliye, recommendations sirf sales ke liye hain

H4 Trading Chat On EURUSD:

Hafta abhi adha guzara hai aur phir hum EURUSD currency pair ki taraf dekhein ge - chart H4 par. Is haftay ke pehle teen dinon mein ek urooj ki correction tha, MACD aur CCI indicators se milne wale urooj signal ko process kiya gaya tha, aur in par bullish divergence bhi bana tha - ek taqatwar urooj ke liye signal. Lekin amooman trend neeche ki taraf rehta hai, wave structure apni tarteeb neeche ki taraf bana rahi hai, aur MACD indicator ne sell zone mein rehne ka order jari rakha hai, walaupun keh signal line ke oopar grow kar raha hai. Urooj ke doran, keemat ne 1.0730 ke horizontal resistance level ko pohancha aur aisa lag raha tha keh isay kisi tarah se guzar gaye hain, lekin isay breakout samajhna kuch mushkil tha. Agar aap is level ko daily chart par closing prices se mark karen, to breakout nazar nahi aata. Ab bikne walon aur kharidne walon ke darmiyan ek muqabla hai, aur har cheez aaj ke news par nazar rakhne wali hai. Moscow waqt ke 15-30 baje - US mein issued building permits ki tadad, US mein unemployment benefits prapt karne wale afrad ki kul tadad, US mein naye gharo ke volume, US ke current account balance of payments, US mein naye gharo ke volume, US mein initial applications submit karne ke liye unemployment benefits ki tadad, Philadelphia Fed se manufacturing activity index, Philadelphia Fed se employment index. Yeh sabhi news par shayad log apna dhyan lagayenge, lekin main phir bhi isay neeche jaane ki umeed rakhta hoon. Bilkul be sabab keemat bas aise hi idhar udhar ghoom rahi hai, hum news ka intezaar kar rahe hain aur technically neeche dekh rahe hain, aur news aksar technical tasawwur ke saath mil jati hai, chahe jo bhi result aaye. Shayad yehi hoga: keemat pehle urooj karegi, extra bikne walon ko nikal degi, aur phir hafte ke anth tak use neeche le jayegi.