𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃

EUR/USD ka tajziya

EUR/USD ne session ko 1.0885-1.0890 zone mein muft hafton ke uchay darjat par shuru kiya lekin aik baar phir mahol ki sakoonat aur berha garam US dollar ke harkaton ki wajah se kuch difai tor par trade kiya. Bond yields Europe aur US dono mein gir rahi hain, jis ke natije mein EUR/USD thori si nichayon ki taraf ja rahi hai ek laahida monetary policy stance aur mazid matiwariat se pehle is haftay ECB ki meeting mein khaas farq nahi honay ka andaza hai, sath hi US inflation data aur Fed minutes ke ijtima ke samne ehtiyaat barh gayi hai jo mangal ko aane wale hain. Is natije mein, Federal Reserve aur European Central Bank dono ek easing cycle shuru karne ki umeed hain, jis ka ibteda shayad June mein ho. Dono central banks mukhtalif tactics ikhtiyaar kar sakti hain, lekin ECB ko Fed ke peechay kafi peechay na jaane ka intezar nahi hai.
Fed ke front par, Chicago Fed ke A. Goolsby ne FED ko apne sakhti se amal ke asar ko lekar istidraj mein rahne ki zaroorat par zor diya, jabke Minneapolis Fed ke nawak N. Kashkari ne kaha ke agar mehngai qaim rahe to is saal ke potential rate cuts khatre mein hain. Fed Governor M. Bowman ne kaha ke mehngai ko kam karne ki koshishon ke liye resistance hai.

Jodi ke liye pehle resistance points ka intezar hai jo 1.0885 (9 April), 1.0981 (8 March) aur 1.0998 (11 Jan) aur zehni toor par 1.1000 hai. Is ke mutabiq, EUR/USD ke mazeed faiday December 2023 ke high 1.1139 ko test kar sakte hain. Neeche ki taraf, EUR/USD ko 1.0832 ke key 200-day moving average se milenge pehle phir 1.0724 (2 April) aur 1.0694 (14 Feb) ki low 2024 ko todenge. Is ke baad November 2023 ki low (1.0516), weekly low (1.0495), October 13, 2023 ki low (10.448) aur October 2023 ka round number line (1.0440) hain.

4 ghanton ka chart dikhata hai ke EUR/USD jodi ke liye musbat fehmi abhi tak mojood hai. Agla upside target 1.0885 hai, aur phir 1.0942. 100 simple moving average aur 55 simple moving average, jo ke 1.0828 aur 1.0809 ke aspas hain, EUR/USD ke liye neeche ki taraf resistance levels hain, 1.0791 ke baad. Relative strength index lagbhag 55 ke aspas gir chuka hai, jabke moving average convergence divergence (MACD) signal musbat hai.

EUR/USD daily H4 timeframe chart dikhata hai ke kaise geopolitical tensions, trade disputes, aur global uncertainties investor sentiment par significant asar dal sakti hain, jo currency values mein noticeable fluctuations ka sabab banti hain. Aakhri kuch saalon mein euro ne bohot challenges face kiye hain Eurozone ke political instabilities ke wajah se, jaise ke ongoing Brexit negotiations, Italian debt ke concerns, aur member states ke darmiyan fiscal strategies par tensions. Yeh uncertainties euro par pressure dalti hain, jo major currencies ke against, especially US dollar ke against, increased volatility ka sabab banti hain. US dollar ka status as the primary reserve currency worldwide usko global financial markets mein ek unique position deta hai. US monetary policies, economic indicators, aur geopolitical events mein changes aksar widespread effects dalti hain currency markets par, trading dynamics ko influence karti hain, including EUR/USD pair.

EUR/USD currency pair ek crucial barometer ke taur par function karta hai market sentiment ka, jo Eurozone aur United States ke darmiyan relative economic strengths aur weaknesses ko reflect karta hai. Traders aur investors bohot saare factors ko meticulously examine karte hain, including economic data releases, central bank decisions, geopolitical developments, aur prevailing market sentiment, taake EUR/USD currency pair ke future movements ko predict kar sakein. Har ek element intricate interplay mein contribute karta hai jo currency market dynamics ko shape karta hai.

Bunyadi taur par, EUR/USD currency pair economic indicators, central bank policies, geopolitical events, aur prevailing market sentiment jaise bohot saare influences ke liye vulnerable rehta hai. Recent speculation about weakened German inflation data ne ongoing market discussions ko ek aur layer of complexity de di hai. Yeh multifaceted factors collectively highlight karte hain currency market dynamics ki intricate nature ko. Recent speculation about potential ECB interest rate cuts ne euro par pressure ko badhaya hai, investors closely monitoring kar rahe hain inflation data from both Eurozone aur United States, aur ISM Services PMI from the US. Traders ek complex landscape ko navigate kar rahe hain aur in factors ko carefully analyze karna zaroori hai taake well-informed decisions le sakein aur forex market mein opportunities ko seize kar sakein.

EUR/USD

Hi, folks! As Salam O Alaikum, umeed hai ke aap sab discussions executives, arbitrators, aur Instaforex specialist administrators ko sab theek chal raha hoga. Aaj mein Euro market par baat karunga. Mera EUR/USD exchange analysis sab group friends aur Instaforex brokers ke liye faidamand hoga. May mein US unemployment 3.9% se barh kar 4.0% ho gayi jabke labor force participation rate 62.7% se gir kar 62.5% ho gayi, non-farm payrolls ne 272k naye jobs add kiye jo ke 182k ke forecast ke muqablay mein zyada hain aur hourly wage growth 0.4% thi. Gold 3.45% se gir gaya, copper 4.94%, Brent crude oil -0.54%, wheat -1.92%, S&P 500 -0.11%, 5-year US government bonds ka yield 4.29% se 4.46% par chala gaya, euro ne apni value ka 0.78% khona. Dollar ki taraf yeh "tectonic" shift European Central Bank rate cut ke delayed reaction ke tor par samjhi ja sakti hai. Trading volume bhi Thursday ke muqablay mein noticeably zyada thi.



Agar hum daily chart dekhein, to hum is baat se agree kar sakte hain ke term "tectonic" bilkul exaggerate nahi hui. Price MACD(12,26,9) line ke support tak pohonch gayi, jiske nichey consolidate karna long-term decline ka aghaz ho sakta hai jo parity ke qareeb area tak ja sakta hai. Aise movement ke pehle branch ka end 1.0369 par dekha ja sakta hai - August 2022 ke high par.

Daily chart par, MOM(14) oscillator ki signal line bearish territory mein move kar gayi hai. Market opening se gap ke saath price 1.0788 ke support se overcome kar gayi, jo ke MACD(12,26,9) line se reinforced tha. Level ko overcome karna nearest target 1.0724 ko open karta hai - jo ke ek strong support hai, December se May tak valid hai.

4-hour chart par, MOM(14) oscillator ya to oversold area mein enter ho chuka hai ya qareeb hai. Opening gap 25 pips ka hai. Hum market ke is gap ko close hone ka intezar kar rahe hain, yani Euro ka correction start hone ka, uske baad hum expect karte hain ke price 1.0788 level ke nichey consolidate hogi aur 1.0724 ki taraf giregi.

jante hain ke aakhri dino mein EUR-USD kaarobaar aam tor par side mein rehta hai. Us waqt, shama sirf qareebi support aur resistance ke aas paas upar neeche hoti hai. Magar yeh cheez Jumeraat ko lagoo nahi hoti kyun ke kal raat NFP data ka ikhtetam EUR-USD ko foran gehre girne ka sabab bana. Main ne hisaab lagaya ke currency pair lagbhag 90 pips ke qareeb gir gaya. Shama 0.6180 se 0.6095 ke area tak ja saki. Is giravat ke nateejay mein, ab qareebi support 0.6174 pe daakhil ho gaya hai. Ab shama ka mahol khud ko darkhwast mein dekhta hai.

Agar H1 time frame se tajziya kia jaye, to filhal shama abhi tak 0.6095 ke qeemat pe demand area mein nahi ghus sakti. Jab tak yeh area nahi guzara gaya, mujhe lagta hai ke eurusd dobara uth sakta hai. Magar yeh izafa sirf ek taqleef hai kyun ke eurusd trend ab bearish hone ka izhar kar raha hai. Is ka zahir hona 0.6174 ke qeemat pe qareebi support ko tor kar darust hua tha. Mera manna hai ke agar market eurusd ke liye zyada nahi, to yeh 0.6174 ke qeemat tak uthay ga. Wahan tak pohnchne ke liye eurusd ko qareeb 80 pips ka safar tay karna hoga. Magar 0.6174 ke qeemat tak pohnchne ke baad, SBR zone ke doran, yeh mumkin hai ke giravat mazeed gehri ho jaye.

Anay wale haftay mein EURUSD jodi ke liye ek mawazna hoga. Agar Eurozone ke data nakam hote hain aur America ki ma'ashi haisiyat mazbooti ka izhar karta hai, to Euro kamzor ho sakta hai aur mukhya support level 1.0814 ke neeche gir sakta hai. Is se ek mazeed giravat ka silsila shuru ho sakta hai jo 1.0765 ke area tak ja sakti hai, jo 20-day moving average ke zariye darust kiya gaya hai. Magar Eurozone se ek musarrat ya America ki naukriyon ke bazar mein rukawat, Euro ko 1.0895 ke upar utha sakta hai aur 1.0940 resistance level ko dobara test kar sakta hai. Is nuqsan se aagay nikalna iss point se door kar sakta hai aur 1.0980-1.1000 zone tak ikhtiyar kar sakta hai, jo Euro bulls ke liye ek ahem rukawat hai. Kul mila kar, is haftay EURUSD traders ke liye aham imkanaat hai ke dono janib se ma'ashi data ke izharat ke zariye chal rahi sambhal ke faiday utha sakte hain.

Mukhtasar mein, EURUSD currency pair ne kafi arse tak aik flat range mein trade kiya hai, jis mein qeemat 1.0831 ke moving average ko test karne ke liye tayar hai. Yeh technical level jodi ke liye ek ahem point ho sakta hai, jo ke shayad 1.0830-1.0810 area ki taraf correction ki alamat kar sakta hai. Maloomat hasil karke aur mukhtalif technical analysis tools ka istemal karke, traders bazar mein behtar tareeqay se safar kar sakte hain aur is potentional qeemat ke harkat ka intezar kar ke insafiyana faislay kar sakte hain.

EUR/USD currency pair ne aik lambi daira-e-bandi ka dor dikhaya hai, jo ke aik lambi muddat ke liye aik tang shor mein tajziya kar raha hai. Is maharat ki kami ne kai traders ko pareshan rakha hai, jo aik breakout ya raah ka intezar kar rahe hain. Meri apni strategy ko aik downward correction ke intezar par mojood hai, jis ka nishana 1.0830 se 1.0810 ke darmiyan mukarrar hai. Yeh mutawaqqa correction aik aham mauqa faraham karega market mein dobara position lenay ke liye. Chaar ghantay ka chart tehqiqat is manzar par mazeed insights faraham karta hai. Technical indicators ke mutabiq, qeemat ek ahem juncture par pohanch rahi hai, jahan yeh moving average line ko imtehaan denay ki tawaqqa hai. Abhi, yeh moving average 1.0831 par maujood hai, aik level jo ke kisi ahem technical ahmiyat ka hamil hai. Moving average ke sath ta'alluq mein mukhtalif lafzat kiya jata hai jo ke mustaqbil ki qeemat ke harkat par asar daaltay hain.
Trading ke mansoobe mein, moving average aik aam istemal kiya janay wala aala hai jo ke kisi makhsoos muddat ke doran qeemat ke data ko halka karke mukhtasir karta hai, is tarah saaray trend ka saaf nazar aata hai. Jab qeemat is line ke qareeb hoti hai, to yeh aik dynamic support ya resistance level ka kaam karta hai. Aik kamiyabi ka imtehaan aur moving average se pehlay wapas chalay jaanay ka ishara mojooda trend ka jari rehna hai, jabke is darje par upar rahne mein kami naqami ya gehra correction ka ishaara hosakta hai. Is ke ilawa, mojooda market ka jazba aur ma'ashiyati indicators bhi ghor kiye jaana chahiye. Asool jaise ke interest rate ke faislay, ma'ashiyati data ki takhleeq aur siyasi waaqiyat sab currency ki harkat par asar daal sakte hain. Ye barguzida factors ka nazar andaaz karna mazeed context faraham kar sakta hai aur potential market reactions ko pehchanne mein madad faraham kar sakta hai.

Ikhtitami tor par, EUR/USD currency pair aik ahem technical juncture par hai, jahan qeemat chaar ghantay ke chart par 1.0831 par moving average ko imtehan denay ko tayar hai. 1.0830 se 1.0810 range tak southern correction ki tawakkal is par mojooda technical analysis aur tareekhi qeemat ke patterns par mabni hai. Jabke market aik flat range ke andar trading jaari rakhta hai, to aane wale moving average ka imtehan qeemat ke mustaqbil ki raah par mazeed roshni daal sakta hai. Traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye, technical indicators aur baray ma'ashiyati factors ko dono ke taur par ghor karte hue is mumkinah mutasir dor ko asan tareeqay se guzarna chahiye.

Good morning. Euro jaari hai, mujhe kuch yaad nahi aa raha, jab pehli baar yeh lagbhag 100 points se gira tha, aur phir aage gap ke saath open hua. Aur yeh sab is baat ke peechay tha ke ECB ne key rate ko kam kar diya; lagta hai unhone jaldi mein kuch action liya tha isse pehle ke Fed kuch kare. Aur agar is haftay Powell apni speech mein Fed ke faisle ke baad phir se kuch chalaak baat keh dete hain, toh hum Dollar ki mazeed mazbooti dekh sakte hain. Nazriya mein, abhi ke liye price girne ka target level 1.07230 hai. Agar yeh level hasil kar le aur wahan tik jaye, toh phir hum 1.06484 mark ke taraf harkat ka intezar kar sakte hain.

EURUSD H4 pair:

1- 4-hour active chart par euro lower band ke saath chal raha hai, dono bands bahar ki taraf wide khul rahe hain, jo ke price girne ke mumkin continuation ka signal dete hain. Is surat mein, hum sirf yeh dekh sakte hain ke yeh signal apna development hasil karta hai ya nahi. Agar hum fractals ke nazariye se dekhein, toh price ne nearest fractal ko neeche ki taraf toor diya hai aur May 10 ke fractal ke level par pohanch gaya hai. Agar yeh wahan tik jaye, toh hum phir price ke May 9 ke fractal ke level 1.07230 ki taraf harkat ka soch sakte hain. Abhi tak nearest upward fractal form nahi hua hai, aur price growth ke direction mein kuch rehti sahari ke liye, qareeb fractal ke zahoor ka intezar karna padega.

2- Active AO indicator negative zone mein grow kar raha hai zero mark ko cross karne ke baad, abhi tak yeh clear nahi ke pehla peak kab form hoga, aur yeh is baat ka ishara karta hai ke price ka girna mazeed barqarar reh sakta hai.

Euro gir gaya jab reports aayi ke right-wing parties ne bohot zyada support hasil kiya hai kai European mulkon mein, khaaskar France mein. Yeh tabdeeli France mein early elections aur Belgian prime minister ke isteefa ka sabab bani, jiski wajah se siyasi adam itminan aur dabao euro par barh gaya. Geopolitical concerns euro par asar andaz hain, khaaskar US dollar ke maqable mein.
Currency ne Asian trade mein neeche shuruat ki aur tab se girti hi ja rahi hai. Halanki char ghante ka jadwal pessimistic outlook dekha raha hai, lekin ab kuch behtari nazar aa rahi hai. Ahem imtihan 1.08 level par hoga, jo resistance ka kaam kar sakta hai agar euro wapas recover karne ki koshish karta hai.

Iske neeche, 1.07 level support aur mumkin manzil ho sakti hai. Lagta hai ke euro dheere dheere nahi girega baghair kisi significant decline ke. Siyasi events par market reactions aam tor par short-term instability laati hain, to yeh surat-e-haal lambi muddat ke recession mein nahi badal sakti. Magar, 1.08 level phir bhi ahem hai; agar euro wapas wahan tak pahunchta hai, to yeh agle 100 points ka rukh tay kar sakta hai.

Mojooda siyasi aur economic climate ko dekhte hue, traders ko in fundamentals se hoshyar rehna chahiye. Euro ka movement siyasi developments aur market sentiment se mutasir hota rahega. Agar euro 1.08 tak wapas charhta hai, to usay significant resistance ka samna ho sakta hai jo agle marahil ka pata dega. Iske bar’aks, agar 1.07 tak girta hai, to yeh mazeed girawat ka ishara ho sakta hai.

Kul mila ke, euro ek adami itminan ke daur se guzar raha hai, jo siyasi volatility aur geopolitics se mutasir hai. Traders aur investors ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur dekhna chahiye ke yeh developments kaise jari rehti hain aur currency ke performance par kis tarah asar andaz hoti hain US dollar ke muqablay mein.

Euro gir gaya jab reports aayi ke right-wing parties ne bohot zyada support hasil kiya hai kai European mulkon mein, khaaskar France mein. Yeh tabdeeli France mein early elections aur Belgian prime minister ke isteefa ka sabab bani, jiski wajah se siyasi adam itminan aur dabao euro par barh gaya. Geopolitical concerns euro par asar andaaz hain, khaaskar US dollar ke muqablay mein.
Currency ne Asian trade mein neeche shuruat ki aur tab se girti hi ja rahi hai. Halanki char ghante ka jadwal pessimistic outlook dekh raha hai, lekin ab kuch behtari nazar aa rahi hai. Ahem imtihan 1.08 level par hoga, jo resistance ka kaam kar sakta hai agar euro wapas recover karne ki koshish karta hai.

Iske neeche, 1.07 level support aur mumkin manzil ho sakti hai. Lagta hai ke euro dheere dheere nahi girega baghair kisi significant decline ke. Siyasi events par market reactions aam tor par short-term instability laati hain, to yeh surat-e-haal lambi muddat ke recession mein nahi badal sakti. Magar, 1.08 level phir bhi ahem hai; agar euro wapas wahan tak pahunchta hai, to yeh agle 100 points ka rukh tay kar sakta hai.

Mojooda siyasi aur economic climate ko dekhte hue, traders ko in fundamentals se hoshiyar rehna chahiye. Euro ka movement siyasi developments aur market sentiment se mutasir hota rahega. Agar euro 1.08 tak wapas charhta hai, to usay significant resistance ka samna ho sakta hai jo agle marahil ka pata dega. Iske bar’aks, agar 1.07 tak girta hai, to yeh mazeed girawat ka ishara ho sakta hai.

Kul mila ke, euro ek adam itminan ke daur se guzar raha hai, jo siyasi volatility aur geopolitics se mutasir hai. Traders aur investors ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur dekhna chahiye ke yeh developments kaise jari rehti hain aur currency ke performance par kis tarah asar andaaz hoti hain US dollar ke muqablay mein.

EUR/USD currency pair ke 4-hour chart par wave pattern abhi tak badal nahi hai. Hum mojooda doranee mein wave 3 of 3 ya c ki formation ko dekh rahe hain. Agar yeh sach hai, to quotes ki kami ka silsila kafi arsa jari rahega, kyunke is segment ki pehli wave ne apni formation ko 1.0450 mark ke aspas mukammal kiya. Isliye, is trend segment ka teesra wave neeche khatam hoga.

1.0450 mark sirf teesre wave ke liye nishandah hai. Agar mojooda doranee mein niche girne wala segment impulsive saabit hota hai, to hume paanch waves ki poori tawaqquh hoti hai, aur euro 1.0000 mark ke neeche gir sakta hai. Halankeh, is qism ki nateeja aaj tak mushkil se qabil-e pesh-goi hai, lekin currency market ne pichle saalon mein bohot se hairat angez waqiaat dekhe hain.

Kya wave pattern mein kisi tabadla ki koi sambhavna hai? Haal hi mein, jodi aksar bulandi par thi, lekin jald hi, market ko ECB ki monetary policy ko shuru karna hoga, jo euro ki darkhwast ko kam kar degi. Agar 1.0788 mark ko torne ka kamyab dastavez hai, to yeh manzur hai ke yeh manzar pur asar hoga.

ECB ne bulandi darjaton ke natije ko tareef se dekha.

EUR/USD pair ne mangalwar ko aur 30 basis points giraya. Ye kuch nahi hai, lekin euro ke liye, khabar ki kami mein, 20-30 points ki harkat normal hai. Aaj koi ma'ashiyati tehqiqaat nahi hueen. Magar, main ECB Governor Olli Rehn ka taqreer ko highlight kar sakta hoon, jinhone kaha ke woh peechle do saalon se taqatwar monetary policy par khush hain. Unke mutabiq, keemat ka dabaav nihayat kamzor hua hai, aur maqsad darja-e hararat ko kam karne mein kafi taraqqi hui hai.

Olli Rehn ke alfaz bina par euro ki darkhwast ko kam karne ki ijaazat dene wale hain. Agar keemat ka dabaav kamzor hua hai, to ECB darjaton ko mazeed kam karne jari rakh sakti hai. Haalanki, Christine Lagarde ne pichle hafte kehte huye keval 2025 tak maqsad darja-e hararat ko pohanchne ka imkaan hai, ab market ko yeh wazeh hai ke mojooda consumer prices ki haalat aur policy mein mazeed aasan hone ki ijazat deti hai.

Upar di gai baten dekhte hue, main yeh manta hoon ke ECB darjaton ko kam karne jari rakhega. Agla daur September mein ho sakta hai. Magar yeh yeh nahi ke euro tab tak akheer na ho. Is ki darkhwast is doraan dheere-dheere kam ho sakti hai. Niche ki trend segment ko kuch waqt tak khatra mein tha, lekin ab woh khatra guzar gaya hai. Main 100.0% Fibonacci level tak girne ka umeed karta hoon, kamyab dastavez, aur jodi ke mazeed girne ka.

Euro ke dollar ke khilaf action ko Thursday ko achanak strong American data ne roka jab central bank ke rate hikes ke khatam hone ki umeed phir se jaag uthi. Euro ko pehle U.S. aur Europe se aayi acchi khabron se hosla mila tha. Magar, American services industry PMI ka 51.3 se 54.8 tak barhna umeed se zyada tha, jis se sarmayadar dollar mein panah dhoondne lage. Yeh data Federal Reserve ke ek aur rate hike ka khatra paida kar raha tha. Pehle, September mein ek rate hike ki umeed thi, lekin traders ab kam umeed rakhte hain ke yeh hi final ho ga. Market pehle yeh samajh rahi thi ke 2024 ke end tak kam az kam chhay rate cuts honge, magar naye data se yeh baat mushkil nazar aati hai. Traders ko ummeed thi ke December mein hi kuch action hoga.Aage dekhte hue, Germany ke Q1 GDP figures 0.2% par stability dikhane ki umeed hai. Iske ilawa, April ke U.S. durable goods orders mein 0.8% ki kami ka imkan hai, jo pehle 2.6% ke izafay ke baad aaye ga. Euro ki technical resistance 1.0895 aur 1.0900 par hai. Agar buyers yeh resistance tod lein, to 1.0940 ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Agli resistance 1.0980-1.1000 zone mein hai, jo dealers ke liye bara challenge ho ga. Dosri taraf, agar euro 1.0814 support level ke neeche girta hai, to further decline ho sakta hai. Is decline ka result 1.0785 par downtrend line aur 200-day aur 50-day simple moving averages ke qareeb ek test ho ga. Extreme bearishness 1.0765 par 20-day moving average ko bhi tor sakti hai. Agar yeh level bhi gir jaye, to 1.0720 ka darja tor sakta hai, jis se bearish trend confirm ho jayega.Kul mila kar, euro ka fori manzar apni ability par mabni hai ke woh 1.0895 aur 1.0900 ki resistances ko paar kar sakta hai. Agar yeh resistance break ho jaye, to euro mein mazeed izafa ho sakta hai. Magar agar price 1.0814 support level ke neeche gir jati hai, to naye selling ka silsila shuru ho sakta hai.indicating that most traders are uncertain about what to do next. Neither Lagarde's speeches nor economic data help clarify this. Bears seem completely absent from the market, while bulls attack only when there are reasons to do so. And there are no reasons every day. On the 4-hour chart, the pair consolidated above the "wedge" pattern and rose to the 50.0% Fibonacci level at 1.0862. The last segment of the euro's growth looks somewhat ambiguous, so I am unsure of its continuation. However, to expect a decline, we need sell signals, which are currently absent. No pending divergences are observed today, either. The upward process may continue towards the next corrective level at 61.8%-1.0959.

Euro ke dollar ke khilaf action ko Thursday ko achanak strong American data ne roka jab central bank ke rate hikes ke khatam hone ki umeed phir se jaag uthi. Euro ko pehle U.S. aur Europe se aayi acchi khabron se hosla mila tha. Magar, American services industry PMI ka 51.3 se 54.8 tak barhna umeed se zyada tha, jis se sarmayadar dollar mein panah dhoondne lage. Yeh data Federal Reserve ke ek aur rate hike ka khatra paida kar raha tha. Pehle, September mein ek rate hike ki umeed thi, lekin traders ab kam umeed rakhte hain ke yeh hi final ho ga. Market pehle yeh samajh rahi thi ke 2024 ke end tak kam az kam chhay rate cuts honge, magar naye data se yeh baat mushkil nazar aati hai. Traders ko ummeed thi ke December mein hi kuch action hoga.Aage dekhte hue, Germany ke Q1 GDP figures 0.2% par stability dikhane ki umeed hai. Iske ilawa, April ke U.S. durable goods orders mein 0.8% ki kami ka imkan hai, jo pehle 2.6% ke izafay ke baad aaye ga. Euro ki technical resistance 1.0895 aur 1.0900 par hai. Agar buyers yeh resistance tod lein, to 1.0940 ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Agli resistance 1.0980-1.1000 zone mein hai, jo dealers ke liye bara challenge ho ga. Dosri taraf, agar euro 1.0814 support level ke neeche girta hai, to further decline ho sakta hai. Is decline ka result 1.0785 par downtrend line aur 200-day aur 50-day simple moving averages ke qareeb ek test ho ga. Extreme bearishness 1.0765 par 20-day moving average ko bhi tor sakti hai. Agar yeh level bhi gir jaye, to 1.0720 ka darja tor sakta hai, jis se bearish trend confirm ho jayega.Kul mila kar, euro ka fori manzar apni ability par mabni hai ke woh 1.0895 aur 1.0900 ki resistances ko paar kar sakta hai. Agar yeh resistance break ho jaye, to euro mein mazeed izafa ho sakta hai. Magar agar price 1.0814 support level ke neeche gir jati hai, to naye selling ka silsila shuru ho sakta hai.indicating that most traders are uncertain about what to do next. Neither Lagarde's speeches nor economic data help clarify this. Bears seem completely absent from the market, while bulls attack only when there are reasons to do so. And there are no reasons every day. On the 4-hour chart, the pair consolidated above the "wedge" pattern and rose to the 50.0% Fibonacci level at 1.0862. The last segment of the euro's growth looks somewhat ambiguous, so I am unsure of its continuation. However, to expect a decline, we need sell signals, which are currently absent. No pending divergences are observed today, either. The upward process may continue towards the next corrective level at 61.8%-1.0959.

EUR/USD pair ab 1.0800 resistance level ke aas paas dilchasp harkaat dikha raha hai. Agar yeh jodi is resistance ke oopar jaama ho sake, to ye muaqay ki temporary tezi ka ishaara hosakta hai. Magar zaroori hai ke note kiya jaye ke overall trend bearish hai. Trend ko sach mein bullish mein tab badalne ke liye, EUR/USD ko kai ahem resistance levels ko tor kar unke oopar qaim rehna hoga
Abhi EUR/USD ahem support levels ko test kar raha hai. Peer ke market activity ne pair ke agle rukh ka tay karna mein ahmiyat rakhti hai. Aik mumkin manzar hai ke 1.0809 resistance level tak punah chadhai ho, jo ke ek potential downtrend ke sath hosakti hai. Ye matlab hai ke jabke thori der ke liye is resistance level tak izafa ho sakta hai, lekin overall downtrend is nukta ke baad phir se shuru hosakta hai. Traders jo ek clear signal talash rahe hain entry point ke liye, ek 1.0776 level ke neeche break zaroori hai. Jab price is level ke neeche gir jaaye aur iske neeche jamah ho jaaye, to ye ek selling entry point ko tasdeeq karega. Ye jamah dikhayega ke sellers ne control ko barqarar rakha hai aur price ko mazeed neeche dabaane ke liye mustahiq hain
EUR/USD pair par Asian market ke asar ko bhi monitor karna zaroori hai. Asian market mein activity, pair ke trading dynamics par bade asar daal sakti hai. Agar sellers price ko 1.0763-1.0741 range ke neeche le ja sakte hain, to ye bearish trend ko mazeed tasdeeq dega. Ye range ahem hai kyunki in levels ke neeche safal dabaav, mazboot bechne ka dabaav darshata hai aur mazeed girawat ki taraf le ja sakta hai
Jabke ek mumkinat hai ke EUR/USD pair 1.0800 resistance level ke oopar jamah ho sake, overall trend bearish hai. Dekhne ke liye ahem resistance level 1.0809 hai, aur is level tak punah chadhai ko ek downtrend ke sath hosakta hai. Ek selling entry point ke liye, traders ko 1.0776 level ke neeche break aur jamah ko talash karna chahiye. Is ke alawa, Asian market ka asar aur sellers ki quwwat ko 1.0763-1.0741 range ke paar jaane ki salahiyat, Monday ke trading dynamics ko shakal dene mein ahem hai. In levels aur market asar ko qareeb se nazar rakhte hue, traders ko maqool faislay karne aur EUR/USD pair ke agle qadmon ka intizaar karna mein madad milegi

EUR/USD:
EUR/USD pair abhi dilchaspi angaiz harekatein dikhata hai, khaaskar 1.0800 resistance level ke aas paas. Agar jodi is resistance ke upar stabilize ho sakti hai, to ye ek temporary momentum ka tabadla darust kar sakta hai. Magar, yaad rakhiye ke mukhtasar trend abhi bhi bearish hai. Trend bilkul bullish banne ke liye, EUR/USD ko kai ahem resistance levels ko tod kar un par qayam karna hoga.

Abhi EUR/USD ahem support levels ko test kar raha hai. Hafta ke pehle din ka market activity jodi ke agle rukh ka tay karna mein ahem hai. Ek mumkinah manzar ye hai ke 1.0809 resistance level ki taraf ek retracement ho, jo ke phir ek mogheera downtrend ke baad ho sakta hai. Yani ke jab ke thodi dair ke liye jodi is resistance level tak chadha sakti hai, lekin is point ke baad mukhtasar neeche ki taraf trend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Un traders ke liye jo ek saaf signal chahte hain ke ek selling position mein dakhil ho, 1.0776 level ke neeche ka break ahem hai. Jab price is level ke neeche giregi aur iske neeche stabilize hogi, to ye ek selling entry point ko tasdeeq karega. Ye stabilization ye dikhayega ke sellers ko control qaim karna kaamyaab raha hai aur wo zyada neeche ke liye daaka daalne ke liye tayyar hain.

Asian market ka asar EUR/USD jodi par bhi nigaah rakhna zaroori hai. Asian market ki fa'alat jodi ke liye trading dynamics par gehra asar daal sakti hai. Agar sellers price ko 1.0763-1.0741 range se guzarwa sakte hain, to ye bearish trend ko mazeed tasdeeq karega. Ye range ahem hai kyunki is range ke neeche safal daaka lagana mazboot selling dabao ko darust karega aur mazeed girawat ka sabab ban sakta hai.

EUR/USD jodi ke 1.0800 resistance level ke upar stabil honay ki mumkinat hai, lekin mukhtasar trend abhi bhi bearish hai. Dekhne ke liye ahem resistance level 1.0809 hai, aur ek mumkinah retracement is level ki taraf ek downtrend ke baad ho sakta hai. Ek selling entry point ke liye, traders ko 1.0776 level ke neeche break aur consolidation ka intezar karna chahiye. Mazeed se, Asian market ka asar aur sellers ka 1.0763-1.0741 range se guzarne ki salahiyat, Monday ko trading dynamics ko shakl dene mein ahem hai. In levels aur market influences par nigaah rakhna traders ko agahi se faisle karne mein madad karegi aur EUR/USD jodi ke agle qadam ka intezaar karne mein madad karegi.

Euro ne Wednesday ko dollar ke muqable mein ek brief surge dekha. Yeh izafa tab aya jab US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation figures expectations se kam the, jo inflation mein slowdown ka ishara dete hain. Magar, overall market sentiment kuch factors ki wajah se cautious raha. Pehla, lower inflation data ke bawajood, latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) aur Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) ne Fed ke hawkish bias ko interest rates ke hawale se reveal kiya. Iska matlab yeh hai ke 2024 mein anticipated interest rate cut ab choti quarter-point reduction ke tor par expect kiya ja raha hai, bara reduction ke bajaye. Dusra, financial markets ab bhi September 18th tak kam az kam 0.25% interest rate cut ki high probability (CME's FedWatch tool ke mutabiq 60% se zyada) price kar rahe hain. Yeh future rate cuts ka expectation euro ke gains par kuch countervailing pressure create kar raha hai. Thursday aur Friday ko release hone wali economic data bhi market jitters mein role play kar rahi hain. Thursday ko US jobless claims data release hogi, jisme pichle hafte se slight decrease ka expectation hai. Friday ko European Central Bank officials ke speeches aur University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index release hongi. Yeh events euro ke performance ko mazeed influence kar sakte hain.
Technically, EURUSD pair apne 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) 1.0803 ke around congested zone mein stuck hai. Wednesday ka rise pair ko wapas is zone mein le aaya, lekin ek trendline se resistance face ki jo year's highs se draw ki gayi hai. Yeh resistance euro ke liye ek vulnerable spot create kar rahi hai, jahan se downside move back towards week's lows near 1.0720 ho sakta hai. Is level ke neeche break downtrend ko resume karwa sakta hai towards 1.0647 area. Nateeja yeh hai ke euro ka Wednesday ko dollar ke muqable mein rise interest rates aur upcoming economic data releases ke hawale se broader market concerns se tempered tha. EURUSD pair ke technical picture mein bhi kuch uncertainty hai, resistance levels potentially renewed weakness lead kar sakte hain.

inflation data, overshadowing the rest of the week's trading. Market dynamics revolve around reacting to key economic indicators, with other days characterized by subdued activity. The current outlook for the pair appears uncertain regarding future prospects. Potential growth initiated on Friday may lead towards resistance at 1.0907, where I'm inclined to consider selling. Further upward movement could prompt selling from 1.0925. I'm not considering buying at the current levels. However, a correction towards strong support around 1.0820 would entice me to buy, anticipating continued growth towards 1.1000, a key attraction level.EUR/USD jodi ne doosre maqil din ke liye musbat raftar ikhtiyar ki hai, jo jumma ke early Asian session mein 1.0881 ke qareeb se shuru hui. Ye upar ka trend Eurozone Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) ke taqreeban munfarid pehli nazar ka moshaaheda ko support kar raha hai, jo Euro ko barhawa deta hai May mein. Lekin, ECB ke interest rates ko kam karne ke ishtiharat ke bawajood, jo taqreeban 1.0881 tak hai, ye pair ke liye mazeed izafaat ko rok sakta hai.Musbat US Ma'ashiyati Peshgunaam ECB Rate Cut Ke Bawajood:United States mein, April mein Durable Goods Orders mein 0.7% mahina se mahina ke barhne ka izafa dekha gaya, jo ke March ki 0.8% ke nichle tajwez ko muntaqil karta hai, ye -0.8% ke tajwez se ziyada tha. Is ke ilawa, University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index May mein 69.1 tak barh gaya, April ke 67.4 se, jo ke muntaqil hone wale 67.5 se ziyada tha. UoM paanch saal ke inflation ke tajwez thode se halka gaye, 3% se 3.1% tak.Ye sab musbat ma'ashi peshgunaamuon ke bawajood, ECB ke interest rates ko Federal Reserve se pehle kam karne ka tajwez barh raha hai, jo EUR par farokht dabaav dal raha hai. ECB President Christine Lagarde ne yakeeniyaat izhaar ki hai ke Eurozone ki mudai inflation control mein hai aur next month ek mumkinah interest rate cut par ishara kiya hai. Financial markets, LSEG data ke mutabiq, mojooda tor par ek 25 basis point (bps) cut ko June mein qeemat tay kar rahe hain.EUR/USD Takneeki Tafseeli Jayeza:Joda 1.0890 ke aas paas tashadud kar raha hai jab traders Eurozone aur US dono se ahem inflation data ka besabri se intezar kar rahe hain. Pair ne rozana chart par Symmetrical triangle pattern se nikalne ki qowat ko barqarar rakha hai. Nazdeek tabeer mazboot hai, jab ke pair tamam short-to-long-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) ke oopar trade kar raha hai. Is level ka ikhtetami tod aghaz kar sakta hai jis se asset ko qareebi 1.0951 aur nafsiyati rukawat 1.1000 ke qareeb le ja sakta hai. Lekin, 200-day EMA ke neeche ek lehar 1.0800 ki taraf chalne ka sabab ho sakta hai. Regarding the EUR/USD H1 timeframe, I prefer a scenario where the pair initially declines before pursuing northern targets. Analyzing the situation, after breaching the 1.0812 level, conditions for a northward zig-zag pattern were set, with a Fibonacci expansion target at 1.0914. Given the pair's characteristic steadiness, there's a possibility of starting the week with continued growth, testing 1.09, or specifically 1.0914, before any decline. However, prevailing market sentiment against the US dollar suggests technical justifications may be overridde