𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

11 August 2024 ko GBPUSD ke market pair ka trading time window dekhne par, kal Friday ko buyers ke control mein tha jo ke price ko bullish le jaane mein kaamyab rahe. Pehle sellers ne market ko control kar liya tha lekin wo buyer support area jo ke 1.2733-1.2735 par tha, usse neeche girane mein naakaam rahe. Is wajah se sellers ne price ko neeche push karne ka mouqa kho diya aur buyers ne isse faida uthate hue price ko phir se bullish kar diya.
Daily time window par Moving Average indicator ka istemal karte hue dekhne par, price ya candle abhi bhi Red MA 50 area ke neeche nazar aati hai, jo ke yeh zahir karti hai ke bearish pressure abhi bhi kaafi strong hai. Lekin, aakhri kuch dino mein buyers ne trading mein jo dominance dikhai hai aur jo bullish candlesticks ke saath nazar aayi hai, us se buyers ko agle hafte trading mein price ko bullish le jaane ke mouqe milte hain. Agla bullish target Red MA 50 area jo ke 1.2780-1.2783 par hai, wahan re-test karne ka hoga. Agar yeh price iss Red MA 50 area ko break karke upar rehne mein kaamyab hoti hai, to GBPUSD pair ke movement mein mazeed taghviat ki potential hai.

Monday ko trading ke douran sellers se bearish pressure hone ke imkaanaat hain kyun ke buyers abhi tak seller ke resistance area jo ke 1.2770-1.2768 par hai, usse torh nahi paaye hain. Is se sellers ko price ko neeche push karne ka mouqa milta hai aur price ko buyer support area jo ke 1.2735-1.2733 par hai, wahan laane ka imkaan hota hai. Agar yeh support area torh diya jata hai, to GBPUSD pair ki price mazeed kamzor hokar agla target jo ke demand support area 1.2675-1.2673 par hai, wahan jaa sakti hai. Lekin agar buyers support area ko hold karne mein kaamyab hoti hai, to price phir se bullish hokar apne long-term bullish trend ko continue karne ki potential rakhti hai.

Nateeja:

Buy trading options tab liye ja sakte hain jab price seller resistance area ko torh kar upar jaane mein kaamyab hoti hai. Is case mein pending buy stop order area 1.2768-1.2770 par rakha ja sakta hai aur TP area 1.2835-1.2835 par rakha ja sakta hai.

Sell trading options tab liye ja sakte hain jab price buyer support area ko torh kar neeche jaane mein kaamyab hoti hai. Is case mein pending sell stop order area 1.2735-1.2733 par rakha ja sakta hai aur TP area 1.2675-1.2670 par rakha ja sakta hai.

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GBP/USD Market Pair Analysis on Daily Timeframe

Kal, Jumma ke din GBP/USD market pair ke trading session mein buyers ka control dekhne ko mila. Buyers ne price ko bullish territory mein push kiya, jab ke pehle sellers ka control tha. Magar, sellers buyer support area jo ke 1.2733-1.2735 ke price range mein hai, ke niche push karne mein nakam rahe. Is wajah se, sellers ko price ko neeche le jane ka moka kho diya, aur buyers ne ye moka istemal karte hue price ko wapas bullish zone mein le aaya.

Moving Average Indicator Analysis

Daily time window par agar Moving Average (MA) indicator ka istemal kiya jaye, to price ya candle abhi bhi Red MA 50 area ke neeche dekhi ja sakti hai. Yeh indicate karta hai ke bearish pressure abhi tak kaafi strong hai. Magar, pichle kuch dinon se buyers ka market mein dominant rehna aur bullish candlesticks ka zyada hona is baat ka signal deta hai ke buyers ke paas agle hafte ki trading mein price ko further bullish le jane ka moka hai. Agla bullish target 1.2780-1.2783 ke price range mein hai, jahan Red MA 50 area ko dobara test kiya ja sakta hai. Agar buyers is Red MA 50 area ko successfully penetrate karte hain aur price iske upar rehti hai, to GBP/USD pair ki movement aur bhi ziada strong hone ki potential rakhti hai.

Monday’s Trading Outlook

Agle hafte ke pehle din, yani Monday ke trading session mein bearish pressure sellers ki taraf se aane ka imkaan hai, kyunki buyers abhi tak sellers ke resistance area jo ke 1.2770-1.2768 ke price range mein hai, ko break karne mein kamiyab nahi ho paye. Yeh sellers ke liye ek moka hai ke wo price ko neeche push kar sakein buyer support area ki taraf jo ke 1.2735-1.2733 ke price range mein hai. Agar yeh area penetrate ho jata hai, to GBP/USD pair ki price mazid kamzor ho kar agle target yani demand support area 1.2675-1.2673 ke price range tak ja sakti hai. Magar agar buyer is support area ko secure karne mein kamiyab rehta hai, to price ka phir se bullish hona aur apne long-term bullish trend ko continue karna mumkin hai.

Conclusion

Trading options ke liye buyers ke liye ek achi opportunity tab ho sakti hai agar price sellers ke resistance area ko penetrate karne mein kamiyab hoti hai. Is ke liye ek pending buy stop order area 1.2768-1.2770 ke price range mein set kiya ja sakta hai, jisme TP area 1.2835-1.2835 ke price range mein rakha jaye.

Doosri taraf, sell trading options tab consider kiye ja sakte hain agar price buyer support area ko penetrate karne mein kamiyab hoti hai. Iske liye pending sell stop order 1.2735-1.2733 ke price range mein set kiya jaye, jisme TP area 1.2675-1.2670 ke price range mein rakha jaye.

Yeh strategy market ke current conditions ke mutabiq adjust ki jani chahiye, aur proper risk management ko hamesha madde nazar rakhte hue trade karna chahiye. Trading ke decisions market sentiment, economic indicators, aur technical analysis par mabni honay chahiye taake maximum profit aur minimum risk hasil ho sake.

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GBP/USD Currency Pair Analysis in Roman Urdu

Thursday ke din, GBP/USD currency pair mein aik significant decline dekha gaya, jisme pair ne critical 1.2700 support level ko breach kar diya US trading session ke dauran. Yeh sharp drop tab aya jab July US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report ka release hua, jis ne weaker-than-anticipated inflationary pressures ko show kiya. Annual headline aur core CPI figures dono hi decelerate hue, jahan annual rates 3% aur 3.3% tak gir gaye. Iske ilawa, monthly headline CPI bhi unexpected tareeqay se 0.1% contract kar gaya, jab ke economists ne steady increase ka forecast diya tha.
GBP/USD ke Fundamentals:


Ab focus UK ke economic data par shift ho gaya hai jo ke Thursday ko release hoga, jisme monthly Gross Domestic Product (GDP) aur factory output figures for June shaamil hain. Economists predict kar rahe hain ke GDP mein 0.2% expansion hoga, jo ke April ke dauran dekhi gayi stagnation ke baad hoga. Iske ilawa, Industrial aur Manufacturing Production bhi month-over-month aur annual basis par growth show karne ki umeed hai, jo ke recent declines ke baad ka potential recovery ho sakta hai.

GBP traders abhi Bank of England (BoE) ke August mein rate cut karne ke imkanaat par soch rahe hain, halan ke BoE policymakers ne week ke start mein kuch caution show kiya tha. Aane wale UK Industrial Production figures is regard mein bohot crucial honge, jo ke rate cut ki expectations ko shape karenge. Forecasts suggest karte hain ke Industrial Production ka figure month-over-month growth mein 0.2% tak recover karega, jo ke pehle -0.9% decline se aaya tha.
Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:


Technical analysis ke hawale se dekha jaye, to pair ke liye 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo ke 1.2775 level par hai, significant support provide kar sakta hai. Agar yeh support breach ho jata hai, to selling pressure mein izafa ho sakta hai, jo ke pair ko descending channel ke lower boundary ke qareeb 1.2660 tak push kar sakta hai. Additional support 1.2611 ke throwback area ke qareeb locate ho sakta hai.

Ye analysis yehi indicate karta hai ke GBP/USD pair abhi aik critical juncture par hai, jahan short-term aur long-term trends ke liye kuch important levels ki monitoring zaroori hai. Agar price neechay 1.2700 support level ke niche stable rehne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to yeh bearish sentiment ko aur zyada bolster kar sakta hai, aur further decline ka risk barh jata hai. Lekin agar price yeh level hold karti hai, to buyers ke liye yeh aik acha opportunity ho sakta hai ke wo market mein entry karein aur price ko bullish direction mein le jayein.

Is waqt ke market sentiment aur future predictions kaafi hat tak economic indicators par mabni hain, jo ke UK aur US dono taraf se release hone walay hain. Traders ko is waqt apni positions carefully manage karni chahiye, aur market conditions aur key support aur resistance levels ko nazar mein rakhte hue trading decisions lene chahiye.

Final outcome depend karega kis tarah ke economic data aur market sentiments develop hoti hain, aur agar price 1.2700 ke critical support level ko successfully breach kar jati hai ya nahi. Aane wale dinon mein economic events aur news releases par close watch rakhna zaroori hoga, taake price movements aur market behavior ko samajhne mein asani ho aur accordingly trading strategies ko adjust kiya ja sake.

GBP/USD pair ne Friday ko decline experience kiya aur day ka closure lagbhag 1.2730 par hua. Ye downward movement broader market sentiment ki caution ko reflect karti hai, jaisa ke S&P 500 ki slight decrease se zahir hota hai. US dollar ne relatively narrow trading range mein trading maintain ki, kyun ke investors ne Federal Reserve ke September mein interest rate cuts par focus kiya. Current projections suggest karti hain ke 50 basis points ka reduction hone ka 56.5% chance hai. Agle hafte US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for July ki release crucial hogi Fed ki future monetary policy actions ko determine karne mein. Pound Sterling ke liye key economic indicators closely monitor kiye jayenge. UK employment data for July aur July CPI figures Bank of England ke potential interest rate decisions ke liye insights provide karenge.
Technically, GBP/USD pair ne higher lows form kiye hain, jo ke potential upward trend ka ishara dete hain. Lekin, RSI indicator currently 40 level ke qareeb hai, jo ke low buying interest ko indicate karta hai. Pair apni 200-day EMA ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, aur agar recent low 1.2665 ke neeche break hota hai to further decline initiate ho sakta hai towards June low 1.2613 ya phir April high 1.2570 tak. Dosri taraf, agar August 6 high 1.2800 ke upar sustained move hoti hai to target August 2 high 1.2840 aur significant resistance level 1.2900 ho sakta hai. Overall, Pound Sterling ko domestic aur global economic uncertainties se headwinds ka saamna hai. Jab ke technical indicators potential upside suggest karte hain, pair abhi bhi downside risks ke liye vulnerable hai agar market sentiment deteriorate hota hai ya economic data disappoint karta hai.

Jab price broken bullish channel aur 1.2814 level ke upar rise karne mein naakaam hui, to worries barh gayin ke price neeche move continue karegi, jise current negative correction ka lead mila. Kya bearish development 1.2670 support region ke through roki ja sakegi? Technically, jab price apni 20- aur 50-day SMAs ke neeche drop hui, to ye likely hai ke bears is level ko breach kar lenge. Price decline ko RSI aur MACD bhi support karte hain, jo dono hi bearish zone mein slow down ho rahe hain.

GBP/USD Currency Pair Ka Analysis aur Technical Forecast

Assalam o Alaikum sab ko! Trading week ke akhir mein, British Pound aur US Dollar ka currency pair thora increase hua. Lekin situation ab kuch zyada complicated ho gayi hai, kyunki hum kafi arsay se ek khoobsurat downtrend dekh rahe hain. Magar ab jab ke price 1.27 ke level ke upar move hui hai, jo ke last week ka minimum tha, to yeh ek achi reversal formation ki shakal ikhtiyar kar sakta hai. Aakhir kaar, har trend ka ek waqt aata hai jab wo khatam hota hai.

Agar hum smaller time frames par switch karein, to abhi tak humein koi clear sell signals nazar nahi aa rahe, siwaye upper line of the descending channel se bounce hone par entry ke. Phir bhi, mai usual taur par current trend ko follow karna pasand karta hoon, halan ke mujhe samajh hai ke ek reversal signal aa sakta hai. Buying ke options ko consider karna behtar hoga agar GBP/USD currency pair agle trading week mein channel ke upar break karne aur wahan stay karne mein kamiyab hota hai.

Current Market Overview


Ab tak ke market ko dekhte hue, GBP/USD ka pair aik descending channel mein trade kar raha hai, jahan har retracement ke baad selling pressure dikhai diya hai. Yeh pattern kaafi consistent hai, aur abhi tak buyers ke liye koi major breakthrough nazar nahi aaya. Iska matlab hai ke sellers abhi tak market ko control kar rahe hain, aur downward pressure maintain hai.

Technical Indicators Ki Positioning


Technical indicators ki baat karein to Moving Averages aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) jaise tools bhi abhi tak downtrend ko support kar rahe hain. Moving Averages ke analysis se yeh samajh aata hai ke price abhi tak longer-term moving averages ke neeche hai, jo ke downward momentum ko signify karta hai. RSI bhi abhi tak neutral se thora neeche hai, jo ke overbought ya oversold nahi hai, lekin sellers ka dominance dikhata hai.

Support Aur Resistance Levels


Agar support aur resistance levels ki baat karein, to 1.2700 ka level ek key support area hai, jo ke ab resistance mein convert ho sakta hai agar price wahan se neeche aati hai. Agle important support levels 1.2650 aur 1.2600 ke aas paas hain, jahan price pehle bhi halt hui hai. Resistance ki taraf dekha jaye to 1.2800 aur 1.2850 levels major hurdles ban sakte hain agar price upar ki taraf move karti hai.

Trading Strategy


Agle week ke liye trading strategy ko consider karte hue, sellers ke liye acha moka tab ho sakta hai jab price upper channel line se bounce karti hai, jahan se neeche ki taraf selling pressure ka chance barhta hai. Agar price descending channel ke upper line ko break karti hai aur wahan se sustain rehti hai, to yeh buyers ke liye ek bullish signal ho sakta hai. Aise mein, short-term buyers ke liye 1.2800 aur 1.2850 targets ho sakte hain.

Lekin agar price neeche ke levels ko retest karti hai aur wahan se support hold nahi hota, to sellers ke liye agle targets 1.2650 aur 1.2600 ho sakte hain. Yeh levels monitor karna zaroori hai taake trend ka proper direction samajh mein aaye aur accordingly trading decisions liye ja sakein.

Conclusion


Summing up, GBP/USD pair abhi bhi ek delicate phase mein hai jahan ek reversal ke imkanaat hain, lekin overall trend abhi bhi bearish hai. Aise mein, trade karte waqt caution lazmi hai, aur key support aur resistance levels ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai. Agar price agle week mein channel ke upar break karti hai, to yeh buyers ke liye ek acha signal ho sakta hai, lekin agar downtrend continue hota hai, to sellers ke liye agle targets ready hain. Market conditions ko samajhna aur trend ke saath chalna trading mein success ke liye zaroori hai.

11 August 2024
Good morning doston aur forum ke sabhi dostoon ko weekend ki chhutti mubarak ho. Umeed hai ke aapka holiday maze mein guzray aur hum sab achi sehat mein rahein aur har kaam mein asaani ho. Is subah ke moqay par main GBPUSD market ka analysis karunga taake kal subah jab market open ho to entry ke liye tayar ho sakein. Poori analysis ke liye neeche dekhte hain.

GBPUSD currency pair ne Friday ke trading mein bullish move kiya aur 1.2754 par close hua, jo ke pichle din ke opening price se zyada hai. D1 time frame par jo candle form hui hai, uski position abhi bhi MA 200 line ke upar hai aur MA 24 line ke qareeb hai, jaisa ke upar ke tasveer mein dikh raha hai. Stochastic indicator 5.3.3 bhi pehle level 20 se level 50 ki taraf ja raha hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke buyers ne market mein enter hona shuru kar diya hai aur agle hafte ke trading mein market ko dominate karne ki koshish kar rahe hain.

Fundamentals ke lehaz se, USD index bhi dabav mein aa raha hai aur kamzor ho raha hai, jo ke GBPUSD market ki movement par asar daal sakta hai aur is se agle hafte ke trading mein strengthen hone ka potential ho sakta hai. Upar ki analysis ke mutabiq, agle hafte trading ke liye GBPUSD currency pair se bullish trend ko continue karne ki umeed hai aur hum is GU pair par buy action lene ke mouqe dhoond sakte hain. Magar hamesha apne mm (money management) ko theek se implement karte hue trading karni chahiye taake account resilience mazboot aur achi tareeke se maintained rahe.

Aur kal subah ke liye mere trading plan mein, main 1.2754 ke price par buy order place karunga aur profit target 1.2784 par rakhunga, jab ke stoploss 1.2724 ke price par rakha jayega. Saath hi saath lot size ko apne trading account ki resilience ke mutabiq measure aur adjust karte hue. Ye hai trading journal ka update jo main is subah aap tak pohanchana chahta hoon, umeed hai ke ye mufeed hoga aur doosre dost isay samajh sakenge aur forex business mein hamari insight barhane mein madadgar hoga.

GBP/USD

GBP/USD market pair ka trading time window kal, Friday ko, buyers ke control mein tha, jo ke price ko bullish karte hue upar le gaye. Is se pehle sellers ka control tha lekin wo 1.2733-1.2735 ke buyer support area ko break karne mein kamiyab nahi ho sake. Is wajah se sellers ne price ko neeche push karne ka moka kho diya, aur buyers ne price ko wapas bullish kar diya.

Daily time window par Moving Average indicator se monitor karne par, price ya candle abhi bhi Red MA 50 area ke neeche dikhayi de rahi hai, jo ke yeh indicate kar rahi hai ke bearish pressure abhi bhi kaafi strong hai. Lekin, pichle kuch dino mein buyers ke trading mein dominate karne ke baad bullish candlesticks ki dominance ke sath, buyers ke liye yeh moka khul gaya hai ke wo agle hafte ke trading mein price ko wapas bullish karen aur Red MA 50 area ko re-test karen jo ke 1.2780-1.2783 par hai. Agar yeh area successfully break ho jata hai aur price is area ke upar stay karti hai, to GbpUsd pair ka movement aage chal kar aur bhi zyada strong ho sakta hai.

Monday ko trading ke doran bearish pressure sellers ki taraf se aasakta hai kyun ke abhi tak buyers 1.2770-1.2768 ke seller's resistance area ko break karne mein kamiyab nahi ho sake hain, jo ke sellers ko yeh moka deta hai ke wo price ko 1.2735-1.2733 ke buyer's support area ki taraf push karen. Agar yeh area break ho jata hai, to GbpUsd pair ki price aur zyada weak ho sakti hai, aur next target demand support area 1.2675-1.2673 par hoga. Agar buyers is support area ko secure karne mein kamiyab ho jate hain, to price ke wapas bullish hone ke chances hain, aur long-term bullish trend continue kar sakta hai.

**Nateejah**:

- Buy trading options tab ki ja sakti hain agar price seller's resistance area ko break kar le, iske liye pending buy stop order area 1.2768-1.2770 par rakha ja sakta hai, aur TP area 1.2835-1.2835 par ho.

- Sell trading options tab ki ja sakti hain agar price buyer's support area ko break kar le, iske liye pending sell stop order area 1.2735-1.2733 par rakha ja sakta hai, aur TP area 1.2675-1.2673 par ho.

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GBP/USD Time Frame Chart Analysis

H4 time frame chart par GBP/USD pair ka tajzia ek baraq market scenario ko zahir karta hai, jahan Bollinger Bands ka expansion dekhne ko milta hai. Lekin, price ke upper band ke qareeb hone ke bawajood, ek classic breakout signal nahi mil raha. Yeh is wajah se hai kyun ke lower band ka expansion upper band ki tarah active nahi hai, jiski wajah se ek decisive signal develop nahi ho raha. Is wajah se, price wapas se Bollinger Bands ke central zone mein aagayi hai, jahan yeh abhi mojood hai.

Haal ka Market Itidal (Equilibrium)


Price ka Bollinger Bands ke darmiyan central position mein hona yeh batata hai ke market is waqt ek equilibrium ki state mein hai. Yeh indicate karta hai ke market kisi bhi direction mein move kar sakta hai. Is uncertainty ki wajah se, ek ehtiyati trading strategy zaroori hai, kyun ke next significant move abhi clear nahi hai. Is scenario ko dekhte hue, traders ke liye sabse behtar approach yeh hogi ke wo price ke upper ya lower Bollinger Band ke qareeb anay ka intezar karein. In levels ko monitor karna market ke next direction ko samajhne ke liye zaroori hoga.

Strategic Iqdamat


Jab price kisi Bollinger Band ko touch ya break karta hai, traders ko dekhna chahiye ke dono bands outward expand karte hain ya nahi. Aisi expansion yeh signal degi ke price movement apne breakout direction mein continue karegi. Yeh ek critical indicator hai, kyun ke yeh confirm karta hai ke market mein itni momentum aa gayi hai ke wo trend ko sustain kar sake. Yeh traders ke liye ek clear entry signal faraham karega.

Ahem Levels Jo Dekhne Chahiye

1. Resistance at 1.0780: Agar aaj price is resistance level ko break kar leta hai, to yeh aglay resistance 1.0968 ki taraf barh sakta hai. Yeh movement yeh suggest karegi ke aaj ke liye ek potential bullish trend ho sakta hai, jo traders ke liye long positions enter karne ka mauqa faraham karega.
2. Resistance at 1.0865: Agar price is resistance level ko break nahi kar pata, to ek reversal ho sakta hai, jo support level 1.0900 ka retest kar sakta hai. Yeh scenario ek potential bearish reversal ki taraf ishara karega, jo traders ko short positions consider karne ka mauqa dega.

Zyada Volatility Ka Imkan


Haal hi mein fractal patterns ka ubharna, jo ke upward aur downward dono directions mein dekhne ko mila, yeh signal deta hai ke market mein zyada volatility ka imkan hai. Yeh patterns aam tor par significant price swings ka ishara hoti hain, jo traders ke liye dekhne ke qabil indicators hain. Fractals ki mojoodgi yeh batati hai ke market achanak aur sharp movements ka shikar ho sakta hai, jiski wajah se ehtiyat aur choksi zaroori hai.

Natija


Aakhir mein, GBP/USD pair ke H4 chart ka tajzia ek balanced scenario ko zahir karta hai, jahan upward aur downward dono movements ka imkan hai. Is environment mein successful trading ki kunji sabr aur dekh bhaal mein hai. Traders ko upper aur lower Bollinger Bands ko gaur se dekhna chahiye, sath hi recently formed fractal patterns ko bhi, taake next significant move ke liye clear signals identify kiye ja sakein. Critical levels ke qareeb price aane ka intezar karna aur band expansion ke zariye direction confirm karna, traders ko informed decisions lene aur profitable opportunities ko capture karne mein madad dega. Yeh strategic approach market ki uncertainty ko navigate karne mein madadgar hogi aur potential breakouts ya reversals ka faida uthane ka mauqa degi.

GBP/USD ki request, jo main ne June ke subah se cover ki hai, us mein bearish side dekhi gayi hai jab tak yeh simple moving average zone of period 100 se neechay nahi gir gayi. Jab July ka aghaz hua, to upward trend buyers ke control mein aa gaya aur prices ne susti se barhane ki koshish ki. Iss hafte ki trading session tak, price increase ne 1.2614 ka position touch kar liya. Halanki kal raat ko thori si bearish correction hui, lekin upward trend jaari raha kyunki subah tak price uptrend mein chal rahi thi. Agar current candlestick position dekhi jaye, to yeh abhi bhi simple moving average zone of period 100 ke upar hai jo yeh dikhata hai ke buyers mein abhi bhi price ko bullish side par le jaane ki khwahish mojood hai.

Request yeh dikhati hai ke price ne saal ke sab se chhote position ko chhod kar upar ki taraf move karna shuru kar diya hai, aur subah tak price ek chhoti si range mein chal rahi hai. Subah se month ke shuruat tak price trip ka rujhan yeh lagta hai ke bullish trip abhi bhi doosray buyers ki taraf se supported hai. Pehle ke price increase ne candlestick ko month ke shuruat mein opening zone se upar move karne mein madad ki, aur lagta hai ke buyers ab higher price area tak pohanchne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Is hafte GBP/USD pair ne 1.2649 par open kiya, aur 4-hour time frame se yeh dikhai de raha hai ke pichlay month se prices ko barhane mein buyers ka asar hai.

Early trading week se buyers ne prices ko barhane ki koshish ki hai. Agar hum larger time frame trend ko dekhain to yeh bullish lag rahi hai. Lagta hai ke request abhi tak agle upward momentum ka intezar kar rahi hai jo ke ya to aaj ho sakta hai ya phir agle hafte. Candlesticks jo ke comfortably 100-period simple moving average line ke upar chal rahi hain, usse main yeh andaza lagata hoon ke agar fundamentals ne upward trend ko support kiya, jaise ke Non-Farm Payroll tonight, to price apni bullish journey ko jaari rakh sakti hai. Magar subah ke aramdeh market conditions ke sabab, humein aaj dopeher ya shaam tak intezar karna hoga taake ek wazeh trading signal mil sake.

GBP/USD ke D1 time frame chart par nazar daalain to kuch interesting cheezein samajh mein aati hain. Sergey, hello! Yeh sun kar acha laga ke sab badi companies mein growth ne aapko bhi kuch relief nahi diya. Main unemployment data ko sales ke scatter ke saath publish karne ka khushamdeed karta hoon. Kyunki main uss musafir ki tarah hoon jo train miss kar gaya sirf sans phooli hone ki wajah se, bilkul uss principle par: oh, ab waqt ho gaya hai. GBPUSD ne subah mein aur bhi zyada izafa kiya hai. Iska sabab kya hai? - kuch aur averaging out. Daily chart ke mutabiq, indicator technique iss waqt kuch yeh picture dikha rahi hai.

MA100 parallel space mein kaam kar raha hai, jo is haftay ke doran flat mood ka ishara hai. Sab candles MA100 ke upar ke area mein hain, jo yeh batata hai ke bulls abhi bhi flat mein control mein hain. Teenon Bollinger Bands bhi MA100 ke upar ke area mein thay, magar ab is indicator ka lower band MA100 ke neeche ke area mein move ho gaya hai. Yeh baat yeh zahir karti hai ke ek restructuring ho rahi hai jo ke ek zyada confident decline ke liye hai.

Abhi ke liye kaam karne ka sab se bara signal global sell signal hai jo semaphore se mila hai. Yahan koi galti nahi hai: yeh signal June ke shuruat mein ek technical zone mein set hua tha - price ne candle ko upper Bollinger band se bahar le aaya, jo dikhata hai ke bulls ne apne kuch maqasid hasil kar liye hain, ab bilkul mumkin hai ke price neechay ja sakti hai. Aaj price upper Bollinger band tak pohanch gayi, aur semaphore ne phir se ek sell signal set kiya - ek rollback.

Ab bechna zaroori hai. Aur basement bundles of indicators ke mutabiq, maine neeche screen par sab kuch mark kar diya hai, taake zyada tafseel mein bayaan karna zaroori na ho - downtrend mood bhi wazeh tor par nazar aa raha hai.

GBP/USD ke chart par nazar dalain to dekhne mein aata hai ke GBPUSD ne ek short-term local maximum banaya hai, magar upar ka control point form kiye baghair, currency pair ab tak 6/8 (1.26953) level ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Aage chal kar jo trading executions dekhi ja rahi hain, wo priority decisions ke tor par samjhi ja rahi hain. Short-term mein, currency pair ka downward movement dekhne ko mil sakta hai jo 5/8 (1.22070) level tak jaye ga.

Medium-term mein, downward trend ko develop karne ki koshish ki jayegi, jismein main goal yeh hoga ke support/resistance ke level 4/8 ko touch kiya jaye. 6/8 level ke border tak pohanchna, is border ko top se bottom tak torna, aur price ko is specified border ke neeche fix karna yeh sab zyada chances hain. Agar local minimum ko update kiya jaye medium-term asset ka - ZZ average period ka, aur lower control point ka value (593.9 points) ho, to yeh confirm karega ke downward trend ka phase shuru ho chuka hai. 5/8 level ke border tak pohanchna, is border ko top se bottom tak torna, aur quotes ko is specified border ke neeche fix karna bhi same trend ko barqarar rakhega.

Immediate target downward movement ka yeh hi 6/8 level ka border hai. Jo scheme short-term, medium-term, aur long-term ke liye guide aur execution ke tor par apnayi gayi thi, wo ab bhi barqarar hai.

Kal ke din D1 time frame par candle ne pehle wali candle ke maximum 1.2778 ko cross nahi kiya tha, jo t/f D1 par upward movement ke rukne ka signal tha. Aaj ke din, current candle ne kal ke maximum 1.2766 ko cross kar liya hai, magar main maximum tak nahi pohanchi aur upward movement ke rukne ka signal ab tak cancel nahi hua. Aaj Friday hai, agar aaj ke din price maximum 1.2775 ko cross nahi kar paayi, to bull positions ke close hone ke chances zyada hain.

H4 Chart Analysis for USD/JPY: Roman Urdu Mein


H4 time frame chart par USD/JPY pair ka halat kuch naazuk hai, jahan Bollinger Bands ka darja phail gaya hai. Magar, jabke price upper band ke kareeb aa rahi hai, lekin ab tak koi classic breakout signal samne nahi aaya. Yeh is liye hai ke lower band ka phailna upper band ke muqable mein itna active nahi hai, jo decisive signal ki kami ko darust karta hai. Is wajah se, price ab central zones ke andar aa gayi hai, jahan yeh filhal maujood hai.
Halat-e-Shirkat


Price ka Bollinger Bands ke beech rehna ek equilibrium ki surat-e-haal ko darust karta hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke market dono taraf move kar sakti hai. Yeh na-pehchani kisi bhi trade ke liye ehtiyaat ka talq hai, kyun ke agla aham move ab tak wazeh nahi hai. Is markazi halat ke mad-e-nazar, traders ke liye sab se behtar strategy yeh hai ke price ko upper ya lower Bollinger Band tak pohanchne ka intezar karna chahiye. In levels ka nazar rakhna ahem hai agle market direction ka tayun karne ke liye.
Strategic Pehlu


Jab price kisi bhi Bollinger Band ko chooey ya usay tor deti hai, traders ko dekhna chahiye ke kya dono bands phail rahe hain. Aisi phailan price movement mein continued momentum ko darust karti hai, jo ek wazeh entry signal faraham karti hai traders ke liye.
Ahm Levels ki Nazar Rakhni

1. Resistance at 1.0780: Agar price is resistance level ko aaj tor deti hai, to yeh shayad agle resistance 1.0968 ki taraf barhne lagegi. Yeh movement din ke liye ek potential bullish trend ko darust karega, traders ko long positions mein enter karne ka mauqa faraham karega.
2. Resistance at 1.0865: Agar price is resistance level ko torne mein nakam rahti hai, to ek reversal aa sakta hai, jo support level 1.0900 ko dobara test karne ka sabab ban sakta hai. Yeh surat-e-haal potential bearish reversal ka ehsas dilayegi, jo traders ko short positions par ghor karne ka mauqa de sakta hai.

Volatility ke Barhne ka Potential


Haal mein bane hue fractal patterns, dono upward aur downward, market mein volatility barh khushi ka ehsas de rahe hain. Yeh patterns aksar badi price swings ki sambhavana darust karte hain, jo traders ke liye nazar rakhne ke liye zaroori hai. In fractals ki hazri ye darshati hai ke market mein achanak aur tezi se hilne ki sambhavana hai, jo ihtiyaat aur vigilance ki zarurat ko phir se darust karta hai.
Nateeja


Akhir mein, USD/JPY pair ke liye haalaat ka H4 chart analysis ek balanced surat-e-haal darust karta hai, jahan dono taraf ke movements ki sambhavana hai. Is environment mein successful trading ka raaz sabr aur dekhbhall mein hai. Traders ko upper aur lower Bollinger Bands ke sath sath haali fractal patterns par nazar rakhni chahiye, taake market mein agle aham move ke liye wazeh signals dikhai dein. Waqt guzarte waqt critical levels tak pohanchne aur direction ki tasdeeq ke liye band expansion ka intezar karna, traders ko behtar faisle lene aur munafa hasil karne ki sambhavana barhata hai. Yeh strategic approach market ki na-pehchani se nikalne aur potential breakouts ya reversals ka faida uthane mein madad karega.

Aaj hum GBP/USD currency pair ka analysis karne ja rahe hain, khas tor par H4 chart par. Pichlay hafte ke doran, yeh pair zyada tar sideways movement mein tha, lekin akhri do dino mein bullish trend nazar aya. Ab dekhna yeh hai ke Monday ko yeh upward aur sideways movement barqarar rahti hai ya phir koi doosra scenario samnay aata hai. Aaj ke comprehensive technical analysis ke baad, yeh wazeh hota hai ke moving averages strong selling signal de rahe hain aur technical indicators bhi active sale ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. Is liye, yeh tajwez di ja rahi hai ke pair ke liye bearish movement expect ki jaye.

Monday ko aane wali important news ke hawale se baat ki jaye to US ka manufacturing employment index positive hone ki umeed hai, jabke UK ka house price index neutral forecast kar raha hai. In factors ke madde nazar, meri tajwez hai ke pair mein bearish trend dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

4-hour chart par dekhain to price ne ek local trend banaya hai jo bearish focus rakhta hai. Technical analysis ke doran, kuch growth potential bhi nazar aata hai, lekin yeh worth waiting hai. AO convergence ke aane ke chances hain, aur agar hum zero value ke beyond positive zone dekhain, to medium-term orders ke liye buying bhi mumkin hai. Halaanki, bearish channel ke upper zone ka breakout dekhna filhal suspicious aur weak lagta hai, kyonke price constant neeche ki taraf pull kar rahi hai. Agar hum 1.2611 range ke support level ke neeche dip karte hain, to mein loss orders add karna continue karunga taake price action ko puri tarah samajh sakoon. Market ke khulne ka intezar karna hoga, aur 20-31 points ka potential gain dekhne ki umeed hai. Movement ka type market liquidity par depend karega. Ek upward impulse zaroor dekhne ko milega, lekin yeh mere liye abhi tak ek correction scenario hai. Hum price movement par nazar rakhenge, khas tor par 1.2691 range se pehle.

Trading ke liye pehla moka current level 1.2610 par hai, jahan se yeh 1.2760 level tak pohanchta hai, jo doosra moka hoga. Dusri surat mein, jab price weekly pivot point tak drop hoti hai aur phir upward bounce karti hai, to upward price action form hoti hai, aur yahan se stock ko buy karne ka moka mil sakta hai. Agar price weekly support level 1.2545 ko 4-hour chart par break karti hai aur price channels ko bhi break karti hai, to pair ko sell karna mumkin ho sakta hai.

**GBP/USD Analysis - 05 July 2024**

Subah bakhair! Aaj subah US Dollar global currencies ke muqable mein dabao mein hai, kyun ke price quote daily pivot se neeche hai. GBP/USD aik aisa pair hai jo price action ke lehaaz se kaafi interesting hai, kyun ke isne 160 pips ka bullish movement record kiya hai. Abhi bhi is baat ka mauka hai ke yeh resistance level 1.2858 ko paar kar le aur weekly range ko 240 pips tak mukammal kare. Is analysis mein, main technical aspects ko discuss karunga aur multi-timeframe analysis ke zariye aaj ke trading ke liye ek optimal trading setup ka zikr karunga.

Jab se Asian market khuli hai, price weekly high area 1.2776 par hai. Yeh level potential sell area ho sakta hai agar price is process mein barhna mein nakam hoti hai aur buyers apne profits ko realize karte hue open positions ko close karte hain. Magar daily timeframe par, candle abhi tak upper Bollinger Band (BB) ko touch nahi kar saki aur ismein abhi bhi 1.2800 tak barhne ki guzarish hai. Iske ilawa, 1.2858 tak barhne ka potential bhi kaafi zyada hai, kyun ke aaj raat ko NFP (Non-Farm Payroll) data release hoga jo forex market mein zyada volatility lata hai. Lekin agar price market close par apne level ko barqarar rakhne mein nakam hoti hai, to yeh daily reject candle bana sakti hai jo agle trading session mein decline ka sabab ban sakti hai. Iss condition se humein yeh samajh aata hai ke price ke fake out hone ka potential hai.

**Trading Setup:**

1. **BUY ON BREAKOUT:** Agar supply zone 1.2757 - 1.2766 ka breakout hota hai solid bullish candle ke saath, to buy ki strategy adopt ki ja sakti hai. Is scenario mein stop loss (SL) 1.2730 par set karein aur take profit (TP) 1.2843 par target karein.

2. **BUY LIMIT:** Agar price pullback karti hai to yellow rectangle demand area 1.2691 - 1.2678 mein buy limit place karein, taki potential pullback ka faida utha sakein. Is scenario mein SL 1.2650 par set karein aur TP1 1.2766 aur TP2 1.2843 par target karein.

Yeh trading setup aaj ke liye optimal lagta hai, lekin market conditions ko dekhte hue apni trading strategy ko adjust karna zaroori hai. Market ke movement aur NFP data release ke hawale se jaari volatility ko dekhte hue apni trades ko monitor karte rahain.

GBP/USD Ka Jaiza


GBP/USD currency pair ne rally karne ki koshish ki, magar isne 1.2867 par mazboot resistance ka saamna kiya, jo ke ek pullback ki taraf le gaya aur M15 timeframe ko bullish se bearish mein badal diya. Agar 1.2862 par break out hota hai, toh yeh bearish trend ki continuation ki taraf ishara karega. Doosri taraf, agar price aur neeche girti hai aur recent low se neeche chali jaati hai, toh iska girna H1 pivot point par 1.2757 ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Filhal, H1 timeframe bearish nazar aa rahi hai. Agar price 1.2901 ke aas paas break kare, jo H1 pivot 1.2910 ke kareeb hai, toh isse H1 timeframe par bullish reversal ka signal mil sakta hai.
Timeframe Insights


H4 timeframe abhi bearish territory mein hai, lekin agar pair 1.2931-1.2961 resistance zone se upar jaata hai toh yeh bullish ho sakti hai. Daily timeframe overall bullish nazar aa raha hai; magar agar price daily pivot 1.2696 se neeche girti hai toh bearish reversal ka potential ban sakta hai. M15 timeframe par nazar aane wali bearish trend tab tak jaari rahegi jab tak uptrend waapis nahi chalu hota, jo H1 timeframe ki bearish sentiment se door jaane mein madadgar hoga.
Overbought Conditions aur Resistance


Filhal GBP/USD overbought territory mein hai aur daily channel mein resistance ke kareeb hai. Pichle breakout ke baad ek pullback aaya hai, jo technical analysis trends ke sath mail khata hai. Jumme ke din ki daily candle mein dekhi gayi rukawat ne ek neutral "top" banaya. Yeh trend weekly timeframe se bhi milta hai, jo is baat ki sanket deta hai ke agar current resistance pakki rahti hai toh channel mein correction ka end ho sakta hai. Agar buyers is level ko maintain nahi karte, toh price daily channel ke support line ki taraf neeche chali ja sakta hai is ongoing correction mein. Agar trendline toot jaata hai, toh long positions ka dobara jaiza lena padega, jismein decide karna hoga ke hold karein, close karein ya selling positions par switch karein.
Potential Trading Opportunities


Agar price 1.2879 level se upar jaati hai aur us par tikti hai, toh yeh ek buying opportunity ban sakti hai. Iske baraks, agar bearish correction 1.2851 level ko todti hai, toh yeh lambi growth ka ishara de sakta hai. Buying signal ke liye confirmation yeh hoga ke bullish momentum price ko 1.2906 se upar le jaaye, jo 1.2911 ko break kare.

Agar price 1.2891 se upar chali jaati hai, toh yeh ek behter buying opportunity ki nishani ho sakti hai, jo 1.2906 ke upar further gains ki taraf le ja sakti hai. Lekin agar price 1.2936 se upar nahi jaati aur nai high establish nahi karti, toh yeh buying interest ki kami ka ishara ho sakta hai. Sellers ke liye, 1.2848 level par girna ek behtar selling opportunity ka signal ho sakta hai. Agar price 1.2848 ko test karne ke baad phir 1.2911 se upar bounce karti hai, toh yeh buying signal de sakti hai, jo agle hafte ke liye buying ke liye saaf mauqe pradan karega.



Risk Assessment aur Technical Execution


Aaj hum is trade signal ke liye risk threshold se upar hain. Mukhtalif price levels par entry ratios ko saaf karne ke liye hareed aur gray bars ka istemal kiya gaya hai. Pichli growth impulse ke baad, H4 timeframe par ek reverse signal (buy signal) mila, jo bina kisi pullback ke targets achieve kar gaya. Yeh udaan mehfooz tareeqe se pullback ke baghair hui, isliye lower time frames par entry karna mushkil raha jab yeh signal tezi se aaghe barha.

Aam tor par, pound ki technical execution behtareen rahi hai. Agar pound local maxima ko todta hai, toh yeh ek asli breakout ka ishara karega, jisse false breakout ka uncertainty door hoga. Pehli growth ki lahrein dekhte hue, pound apne lows ko maintain kar raha hai aur ek well-structured third major wave mein position banaye huye hai. Haal hi mein aayi decline ne paanch waves bana di hain, jo ek nihayat atypical situation hai. Pehli wave lambhi thi, jabke teesri wave chhoti thi, jabke paanchvi wave teesri ki tarah ki hai. Iske ilawa, chauthi wave teesri wave ke zone mein retrace kar rahi hai, jo corrections ke dauran aam tor par hota hai.