𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

US dollar ki price ne decline ka samna kiya jab ek weekly survey ne dikhaya ke unemployment benefits ke liye filing badh gayi hai. Yeh downward trend aur bhi barh gaya jab Institute for Supply Management (ISM) ka ek significant survey ne services sector ki activity mein unexpected aur sharp slowdown ka pata diya. Iske natije mein, British pound ne US dollar ke muqablay mein surge kiya, aur 1.2777 ke resistance level tak pahuncha, jo do hafton se zyada ka highest level tha, phir Thursday ke trading ke shuruat mein 1.2740 ke aas-paas stabilize ho gaya. Yeh movement American holiday aur looming British parliamentary elections ke context mein hui.

Economic calendar ke results ne situation ke severity ko highlight kiya. US ISM Services PMI (Purchasing Managers' Index) June mein 48.8% tak gir gaya, jo activity mein contraction ko signal karta hai. Yeh May ke 53.8% se significant drop hai aur market ki expectations se kafi neeche hai, jahan reading 52.5% ke aas-paas hone ki ummeed thi. Services sector, jo American economy ka largest component hai, economic assessments aur forecasts mein crucial role play karta hai. PMI ka marked decline market participants ko speculate karne par majboor karta hai ke Federal Reserve shayad September mein US interest rates ko lower karne ka faisla kar sakta hai. Iske natije mein, US bond yields gir gaye, dollar kamzor hua, aur stock prices mein izafa dekha gaya.

ISM Services PMI ka sharp contraction economists aur market analysts ke liye concern ka sabab hai. 50% se neeche ki reading yeh darshati hai ke services sector, jo finance, healthcare, aur hospitality industries ko include karta hai, shrink ho raha hai. Yeh contraction overall economic health ke liye far-reaching implications rakh sakta hai. June ka figure 48.8% na sirf expectations se neeche tha, balki pichle mahine ke figure se bhi significant downturn ko highlight karta hai, jo current economic landscape ki volatility aur unpredictability ko darshata hai.

Investors in indicators ko closely monitor karte hain kyunki yeh broader economic trends aur Federal Reserve ki potential policy responses ke insights provide karte hain. Bond yields ki girawat aur dollar ka subsequent fall market sentiment shift ko reflect karta hai, jahan investors apni portfolios ko potential rate cuts ke anticipation mein adjust kar rahe hain. Lower interest rates aam taur par weaker dollar ko lead karte hain kyunki yeh US assets ko foreign investors ke liye less attractive bana dete hain jo higher returns ki talash mein hain. Yeh dynamic market ki reaction mein evident hai, jahan British pound dollar ke decline se faida utha raha hai.

Currency values aur economic indicators ke beech relationship complex hai aur various factors se influence hota hai, including investor sentiment, geopolitical events, aur policy decisions. British parliamentary elections ki anticipation ne market mein ek aur layer of uncertainty add ki, kyunki political developments market movements ko significantly impact kar sakti hain. Traders aur investors aise environments mein cautious approach adopt karte hain, latest data aur potential outcomes ke basis par apni positions adjust karte hain.

Summary mein, US dollar ki recent decline rising unemployment claims aur services sector ki activity mein stark slowdown ki combination se driven hai, jo ISM Services PMI se evident hai. Yeh economic data market speculation ko barhawa diya ke Federal Reserve shayad interest rates ko lower karne par ghoor karega, jisne bond yields ko giraya aur dollar ko kamzor kiya. British pound ne is situation mein surge kiya, global financial markets ke interconnectedness ko reflect karte hue. Jaise economic aur political developments unfold hoti hain, market participants vigilant rahte hain aur evolving landscape ke mutabiq adapt karte hain.

GBP/USD trading signals par humare discussion ka focus real-time price action ki evaluation par hai. Technical analysis ke liye, maine resistance aur support ko diagonal lines ke zariye plot kiya hai. Agla step US Federal Reserve System ke head ki speech ko 16:39 Moscow time par dekhna hai. Iske ilawa, 16:59 par labor market vacancy statistics release honge jo local volatility ka sabab ban sakte hain. Humne 1.2614 tak girawat orchestrate ki thi, aur price 59 points se upar gayi hai. Spread ko exclude karte hue, yeh result kaafi acha hai. GBP/USD ki situation ko hum 18:01 ke baad dobara assess karenge, jisme Fibonacci grid ka review bhi shamil hoga, chhote intervals par 100 – 161.7 range par focus karte hue. Filhal price view aur sentiment mein koi change ka sign nahi hai.

Kal holiday hai, magar trading limited form mein chalti rahegi, Thursday ko poora holiday hoga. Iska matlab hai ke week skewed ho jayega, aur Friday ko trading significant start hogi, jo major players ko invest karne se rokh sakti hai. Agar sirf speculative movements hoti hain, to wahi sawal utha hai. Mera aaj ka main concern yeh hai ke Americans apne holidays aaj shuru karenge ya kal; lagta hai aaj ke din yeh hone ki sambhavana zyada hai. GBP/USD ka rebound badh gaya hai, aur meri target zone 1.2639-59 tak pahuncha hai. Impulse downward se pullback zaroori hai, jitna close ho sake 27th figure ke paas, shayad break bhi kar sake. Kal ka high surpass karna mushkil hai, magar movement ke doran nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Maine apni position already close kar di hai, current profit ko potential gains ke upar rakha hai. Overall, situation abhi bhi uncertain hai. Yeh scenarios possible outcomes ko reflect karte hain. Agar slope break hota hai, to buyers ko advantage milega.

GBP/USD Currency Pair ka Technical Analysis

US dollar ki price tab gir gayi jab weekly survey ne US unemployment benefits ke liye apply karne walon ki taadaad mein izafa darj kiya. Lekin, ISM services sector survey se zyada bechne ki khwahish peak par thi, jab isne activity mein achanak aur tez slowdown dikhaya. Iske natije mein, British pound ki price US dollar ke muqable 1.2777 resistance level tak chali gayi, jo ke do hafton mein sab se zyada level tha, aur phir Thursday ke trading ke aghaz par 1.2740 level par stabilize ho gayi. Yeh movement American holiday aur British parliamentary elections ke intezaar ke darmiyan hui.

Economic calendar ke results ke mutabiq, US headline ISM Services PMI June mein 48.8% tak gir gayi, jo activity mein contraction ko darshata hai, May ke 53.8% se niche. Yeh girawat expectations se zyada thi, kyunki consensus 52.5% ki reading ke liye tayyar tha. Service companies American economy ka sab se bara sector hain. Markets is loss ke size ka reaction de rahe hain aur speculation kar rahe hain ke Federal Reserve September mein US interest rates ko cut kar sakta hai. Iska jawab dete hue, US bond yields gire, dollar kamzor hua, aur stock prices mein izafa dekhne ko mila.

ISM report ne dikhaya ke US companies jo naye orders ki umeed rakhti hain woh 47.3% tak gir gayi, jo ke Great Financial Crisis ke baad sab se kam hai aur 2001 recession se bhi niche. Price index June mein 56.3% record kiya, jo ke May ke 58.1% se 1.8 percentage points kam hai. ING Bank ke analysts kehte hain: “Yeh zaroor September mein Fed ke rate cut ke case ko mazid majbooti deta hai kyunki yeh weak growth, slowing inflation aur deteriorating jobs market ke tamam boxes ko tick karta hai.” “Fed recession ko avoid karna chahta hai agar yeh mumkin ho.”

Kal, Labor Department ne report kiya ke naye unemployment benefits ke claims pichle haftay 4,000 se barhkar 238,000 tak pahunche, jab ke consensus forecast 235,000 tha. US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne Tuesday ko kaha tha ke agar labor market kharab hota hai to interest rates cut karne ka mauka hai. Yeh signal tha ke Fed inflation 2.0% target tak moderate hone se pehle interest rates cut karne ko open hai.

Iska matlab hai ke jobs market par depend karta hai ke interest rate cuts deliver kare jo bohot se US households, businesses aur investors chahte hain.

Aaj ke liye GBP/USD forecast:

Jaisa ke maine pehle zikar kiya, agar GBP/USD price 1.2775 resistance ke upar stabilize hoti hai to yeh bulls ko higher movement mein madad degi. Agla stop zyada bullish control ke liye 1.2830 hoga, aur 1.3000 psychological resistance area tak wapas aane ke baare mein baatein badh rahi hain. Yeh kamzor US job numbers aur British parliamentary elections ke results se sterling ki confidence ka wapas aana zaroori hai. Dusri taraf, daily chart par support level 1.2600 bears ke control ke liye sab se important rahega.

# GBP/CAD (British Pound to Canadian Dollar) Ka Exchange Rate Aur Rujhan

Filhal GBP/CAD ka exchange rate 1.7372 hai aur is mein nihayat hi mandha rujhan dekha ja raha hai. Yeh zahir karta hai ke GBP, CAD ke muqablay mein kamzor ho raha hai, jo mukhtalif maqasiadi, siyasi aur bazar ke khaas asbab ki wajah se ho sakta hai. In asbab ko samajhna mustaqbil mein GBP/CAD pair ke harakat ka andaza lagane ke liye nihayat zaroori hai.

### Maujooda Bazar Ka Jaiza

#### Maqasiadi Asharaat
GBP/CAD mein mandha rujhan mukhtalif maqasiadi asharaat se mutasir ho sakta hai. Maslan, UK ke maqasiadi data, jaise GDP growth rates, mehangai, rozgaar ke adad-o-shumaar, aur Bank of England ki policy, ahem kirdar ada karti hain. Bank of England ki monetary policy, khas tor par sood ki faislay aur quantitative easing iqdamat, GBP ko mutasir kar sakti hain. Aik dovish rujhan, jo ke sood ko kam rakhnay ya asset purchases barhane par mabni hota hai, aksar GBP ko kamzor kar deta hai.

Doosri taraf, Canadian economy ki performance bhi nihayat ahem hai. Ahem asharaat mein Bank of Canada ke sood ke faislay, GDP growth, mehangai ki rate, aur rozgaar ke statistics shamil hain. Iske ilawa, commodity prices, khas tor par tail, CAD par bara asar dalti hain, kyunki Canada aik bara tail export karne wala mulk hai. Oil prices mein kami aksar CAD ko kamzor karti hai, jabke barhte hue prices isay mazboot bana sakte hain.

#### Siyasi Mahol
Siyasi waqiaat aur nawaihda bhi exchange rate ke rujhan ko mutasir karte hain. UK mein, Brexit se mutaliq taraqqiyat, hukoomati policies, aur siyasi stability ahem factors hain. Kisi bhi uncertainty ya instability se GBP ke girne ka khatra hota hai. Canada mein, siyasi faislay, trade policies, aur bade trading partners jaise ke US ke sath talluqat CAD ko mutasir kar sakte hain.

#### Bazar ka Jazba
Bazar ka jazba aur sarmaiya karon ka rawaya short-term movements mein nihayat ahem hota hai. Maslan, global uncertainty ya risk aversion ke waqt, sarmaiya karon USD jese safe-haven currencies ki taraf jate hain, jo GBP aur CAD ko kamzor karti hain. Iske baraks, risk appetite ke dauran, higher-yielding currencies ziada investment ko attract karti hain.

### Bari Harakat Ka Andaza Lagana

Maujooda mandha rujhan ke madde nazar, woh mukhtalif catalysts ko dekhna zaroori hai jo GBP/CAD exchange rate mein ahem harakat la sakte hain.

#### Maqasiadi Data Ka Ijra
UK aur Canada se aanewale maqasiadi data ke ijraat ahem catalysts ka kirdar ada kar sakte hain. Maslan, agar UK mazboot GDP growth ya rozgaar mein nihayat kami report karta hai, to yeh GBP ko barhawa de sakta hai. Isi tarah, positive maqasiadi data Canada se CAD ko mazboot kar sakta hai.

#### Markazi Bank Ke Iqdamat
Bank of England ya Bank of Canada se aanewale announcements ya iqdamat bhi nihayat ahem harakat ko trigger kar sakte hain. Maslan, agar Bank of England monetary policy ko sakht karne ya sood barhane ka ishara deta hai, to yeh GBP mein tezi la sakta hai. Iske baraks, agar Bank of Canada ziada hawkish stance apnata hai, to CAD mazboot ho sakta hai.

#### Geopolitical Waqiaat
Geopolitical taraqqiyat, jaise trade policies mein tabdeeli, international conflicts, ya bade siyasi waqiaat se currency markets mein ziada volatility aa sakti hai. Kisi bhi nawaihda geopolitical waqiaat se GBP/CAD pair mein nihayat ahem harakat ho sakti hai.

### Technical Analysis

Technical perspective se, price charts aur indicators ka jaiza lene se mustaqbil ki harakat ka andaza lagaya ja sakta hai. Support aur resistance ke ahem levels, moving averages, aur trend lines technical analysts ke liye zaroori tools hain. Agar GBP/CAD aik ahem support level ko break karta hai, to yeh mazeed downside potential ko zahir kar sakta hai. Iske baraks, agar yeh support level se wapas bounce karta hai aur resistance ko break karta hai, to yeh mandha rujhan ke reversal ka ishara de sakta hai.

### Nateeja

Jabke maujooda rujhan GBP/CAD mein mandha hai, mukhtalif asbab aanewale dino mein ahem harakat ko janam de sakte hain. Maqasiadi data ka ijra, markazi bank ke iqdamat, aur geopolitical waqiaat volatility ke potential catalysts hain. Traders aur investors ko in asbab par qareebi nazar rakhni chahiye aur fundamental aur technical analysis dono ka istamal karte hue informed faislay lene chahiye. Currency markets apne andar unpredictability rakhti hain, aur ghair-mutawaqqa waqiaat ke liye tayar rehna successful trading aur investment strategies ke liye nihayat zaroori hai.

Kal GBP/USD ne bhi ek mazboot uchaal dikhaya, jo ke kamzor US macro data ke sabab se tha. Humne aapko ISM aur ADP reports par dhyan dene ka kaha tha. Dono reports, agar puri tarah se nafrat ke layak na bhi thi, magar ummeed se kamzor thi. Is liye, din ke doosre hisse mein dollar ka girna bilkul ghair-mumtina tha. Afsoos, bazar ab bhi US economy ki kamzori ki kisi bhi khabar par faal hai, halanke yeh UK se zyada mazboot hai. Bazar ko ab ye bhi parwaah nahi ke Federal Reserve apne sood ko foran kam karne ka plan nahi bana raha. Pound sterling ko 1.23 ke niche gir jana chahiye tha, lekin yeh 6 mahine se ziada se ek flat range mein phansa hua hai, jo daily timeframe par saaf nazar aata hai. Hourly chart par bhi pair ke sideways movement ka trend saaf hai. Aaj hum sirf kal ke uchaal ke baad ek correction ki umeed kar sakte hain, aur pair mein kamzor volatility dekhi ja sakti hai.

5-minute timeframe par ek behtareen buy signal tab bana jab price ne 1.2684-1.2693 area ko break kiya. Uske baad, price 1.2748 level tak uchi aur phir niche aayi. Is liye, novice traders ne apne long positions ko ya to 1.2748 level ke upar band kar dena chahiye tha ya jab price niche aakar aur sell signal banaya. Har surat mein, profit kam se kam 40 pips tha. Yaad rahe, trading signals aur achi profit hasil karne ke liye zaroori hai ke trend achi ho. Agar bazar flat hai, to kisi bhi type ka signal profit nahi dega.

### Trading Tips for Thursday

Hourly chart par GBP/USD ab bhi downtrend banane ki umeed dikhata hai, lekin iska matlab yeh nahi ke pair uchaal bhi nahi bana sakti. Pair ne recent hafton mein kaafi sideways action dekha hai aur pehli significant support area – 1.2605-1.2633 – ko paar nahi kar payi. Isliye, British currency phir se uchi hai aur overall, yeh erratic movements dikhata hai.

Thursday ko, pound sterling kal ke uchaal ke baad peechay ho sakta hai. Lekin, US markets Independence Day holiday ke sabab band hain, isliye pair se strong movements ki umeed nahi hai.

5M chart par key levels hain: 1.2457, 1.2502, 1.2541-1.2547, 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791-1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, aur 1.2980. Aaj, UK second estimate of the Construction PMI data publish karega. Yeh ek secondary indicator hai jo sirf chhoti si market reaction provoke kar sakta hai.

GBP/USD (British Pound / US Dollar) par H1 timeframe par technical analysis se yeh zahir hota hai ke ek profitable trade mein enter karne ka acha mauka hai, jismein forecast ke sahi hone ki high probability hai. Optimal entry point chunne ka algorithm kuch steps par mabni hai. Sabse pehle, hum higher timeframe H4 par current trend ki direction determine karte hain taake market movement ke khilaf na chalein. Hum apne instrument ka chart 4-hour timeframe par kholte hain aur ensure karte hain ke H1 aur H4 timeframes par trend movements match karte hain. Aaj market humein long positions enter karne ka ek behtareen mauka de rahi hai.

Agla step indicators ka istemal hai - HamaSystem, RSI Trend, aur Magnetic_Levels_Color. Agar price selling movements continue karti hai, to agla target chart par 1.2593 support level tak pahunch sakta hai. Yeh level ahem hai kyunki yeh ek strong support zone ka kaam karta hai, aur is level tak pahunchna bearish trend ki strength ko confirm karega. Traders ko in indicators aur overall market sentiment par nazar rakhni chahiye. Stochastic indicator aur SMA crossovers bhi selling trend ki reliable confirmation provide karte hain. In technical signals ko monitor karna traders ko informed decisions lene aur trading strategies ko enhance karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai.

Aakhir mein, GBP/USD currency pair abhi strong sell signals dikha raha hai aur current price action aur technical indicators bearish trend ko align karte hain. Traders ko in factors ko consider karna chahiye aur apne trades ko accordingly plan karna chahiye taake potential downward movement ka faida utha sakein. Jaise hamesha, risk management aur proper analysis successful trading ke liye key hain.

GBP/USD H-4 Timeframe Chart

#GBP/USD

Salam. Yeh ajeeb hai ke US par itni negativity release ki ja rahi hai, aur agar Friday ko kuch positive news aati hai jo is growth ko cancel kar de, to main hansunga. Sawal yeh hai ke open vacancies ke barhne ke bawajood, initial applications for unemployment benefits mein bhi izafa hua hai. Ajeeb. Khair, aaj pair flat hai aur 1.2740 ke support par hai, jahan ek flag formation ho raha hai, aur ye lagta hai ke yeh south ki taraf move kar sakta hai. Aaj, UK mein elections hain, aur shaam ko voting ke results ke mutabiq ek interesting movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai, lekin zyada likely hai ke yeh movement Friday tak chalu rahe. Abhi south ki taraf jaana mushkil lag raha hai, lekin weekly triangle ki boundary 1.2785 par hai, aur jab tak pair is se bahar nahi nikalti aur merge nahi karti, south ki taraf reversal ki probability ab bhi kaafi high hai. Filhal trading range 1.2785 aur 1.2740 ke beech hai, aur uske baad support EMA8 par 1.2720 hai. EMA50 aur EMA200 agar "golden cross" pattern banati hain to north ki taraf continue kar sakti hain, lekin is case mein main agle hafte south ki taraf reversal aur 26th figure par jaldi wapas aane ki ummeed karta hoon. Lekin main galat bhi ho sakta hoon.

GBP/USD H-1 Timeframe Chart

Forum ke tamam members ko hello jo currency market ko study aur trade karte hain. Chaliye, GBP/USD currency pair ke chart par exact entry point dhoondhne ki koshish karte hain. Chart par ek level form hota hai jahan se 1.2680 par purchase karna behtareen rahega. Is purchase ka goal 1.2770 par pehle ke maximum ko update karna hai. Agar structure breakdown hota hai aur reversal signal milta hai, to 1.2650 par loss fix karna chahiye. Ab future mein, broken level 1.2680 se sale consider ki ja sakti hai. Sabse important cheez market mein volatility hai. Har kisi ko faida hota hai.

GBP/USD

Hello, Sergey! Aapka point acha laga, lekin aapne wahan kyun roka? Aapko punctuation marks ko words mein likhna chahiye tha, is se post mein characters kaafi badh jayenge )) #GBP/USD ke baare mein kya kahoon? Yahan sab kuch patience par depend karta hai. Yeh clear hai ke decline ki zaroorat hai. Lekin lagta hai ke itni saari log is instrument ko already sell kar chuke hain, aur market makers ke liye yeh faydemand nahi hoga ke British pound ko south ki taraf jane dein. Isliye, hum north ki taraf ja rahe hain. Indicators ke readings ke mutabiq:

- MA100 floor ke parallel kaam kar rahi hai - yeh flat mood ka sign hai is haftay ke liye. Hamari sab candles filhal MA100 ke upar build ho rahi hain, isliye mood kaafi bullish lag raha hai. Flat market mein north ki taraf jaana aasan nahi hai.
- Bollinger bhi apni teen bands ke saath MA100 ke upar consolidate karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Filhal, lower band MA100 ke niche chali gayi hai. Lekin north ki taraf transition abhi nahi hui, jabke south ke signals clearly pump nahi ho rahe.
- Abhi ka main signal Semafor se global sales ka hai. Yeh ek technical zone mein set hai - price ne upper Bollinger band ko cross kiya, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke bulls ne kuch goals achieve kar liye hain aur battlefield ko bears ke liye chhodne ke liye tayaar hain.

Kal ke bullish candle par, Semafor ne phir se ek sell signal diya - is baar ek rollback signal. Dono differently configured stochastics oversold zone mein shortfall dikha rahe hain. Debt ko close karna padega.

General overview se, main sell signals ka intezar kar raha hoon. Agar price selling movements ko continue karti hai, to next target 1.2593 support level tak pohanch sakta hai. Yeh level crucial hai kyunki yeh ek strong support zone ka kaam karta hai, aur is level tak pohanchne se bearish trend ki strength confirm hogi. Traders ko in indicators aur overall market sentiment par nazar rakhni chahiye. Stochastic indicator, SMA crossovers ke saath, selling trend ka reliable confirmation provide karta hai. In technical signals ko monitor karna traders ko informed decisions lene aur trading strategies ko enhance karne mein madad dega. Aakhir mein, GBP/USD currency pair strong sell signals dikha raha hai aur technical indicators bearish trend ko align kar rahe hain. Traders ko in factors ko dhyan mein rakhte hue apne trades plan karne chahiye taake potential downward movement ka faida utha sakein. Hamesha ki tarah, risk management aur proper analysis successful trading ke liye key hain.

British Pound (GBP) abhi recent trends mein achi perform kar raha hai aur 27 June se momentum gain kar raha hai. Yeh positive trend zyada tar aane wale national elections mein Labour Party ke jeet ke expectations ki wajah se hai, jaisa ke Reuters ne report kiya hai. Mitsubishi Bank ke foreign exchange research expert Derek Hull Benny ke mutabiq, agar Labour Party jeet jati hai to yeh zyada stable government ko darshata hai, jo pound ke confidence ko boost karega. Lekin currency market ab bhi complex hai. Daily chart dekh kar pata chalta hai ke pound ek downward channel ke andar trade kar raha hai, jo ke future mein decline ka indication de raha hai. Magar, kuch positive signs bhi hain. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke upar hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke koi bhi downward movement halki ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, agar channel ke upper limit ko 1.2780 ke aas-paas break kiya jaye, to yeh rise ko trigger kar sakta hai aur June ke high 1.2860 ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Downside par, GBP/USD pair ke liye key support 4-period exponential moving average (EMA) par hai jo 1.2694 hai. Agar price is level se neeche girti hai, to exchange rate par pressure aa sakta hai, jo isse channel ke lower boundary ke aas-paas 1.2570 ki taraf push kar sakta hai. Agar yeh weakness continue hoti hai, to 1.2610 aur 20-period simple moving average (SMA) 1.2570 ke support levels bhi test ho sakte hain. Agar yeh levels fail ho jate hain, to pound ko zyada steep decline ka samna karna pad sakta hai, jo 1.2465 area tak ya usse bhi neeche ja sakta hai.

Immediate future ko dekhte hue, pair ko 1.2740 par resistance ka samna karna padega pehle, uske baad 20-day moving average ka hurdle. Is hurdle ko overcome karne se upper channel boundary 1.2820 ke retest ka potential hai. Aakhir mein, pound mid-November se ek trading range mein stuck hai, aur recent short-term weakness dekhne ko mili hai. Aane wale elections aur technical indicators currency ke liye mixed picture paint kar rahe hain. Political stability, agar strong Labour Party jeeti, pound ko lift kar sakti hai, lekin technical analysis suggest karta hai ke near term mein dono upward aur downward movements ke chances hain. Agle kuch din GBP/USD pair ke liye major move determine karne mein crucial honge.

Aapka Saturday achha guzre! Kal bulls ne mujhe naraaz kar diya, kyunki unhone yellow moving average ke upar achhi tareh se break kiya, lekin upward movement ko continue nahi kiya. Aur according to technique, four-hour chart ke trading range ke upper limit tak, jo ke 1.2800 ke level ke aas-paas hai, ki movement clearly outline hui thi. Round levels aksar bahut attractive hote hain, quotes ko inke paas jaane ya inhe pierce karne ka mann hota hai, lekin aisa nahi hua. Ab chart par puri uncertainty hai, ek taraf yellow moving average ke upar position consolidation upward movement ki possibility ko indicate kar rahi hai, lekin doosri taraf, indicator reversal show kar raha hai, jo ke bulls ke resistance level 1.2776 ke upar na uthane ke saath milkar downward movement ki likelihood ko darsha raha hai, jo support level 1.2703 ko target karne ki shuruat ho sakti hai. Ab kai investors Federal Reserve System ke comments se confuse hain. Is hafte US Dollar ke liye key determinant June ka Consumer Price Index (CPI) data hoga, jo Thursday ko release hoga. Analysts ki forecast hai ke core inflation—jo ke food aur energy sectors ko exclude karta hai—0.2% month-over-month aur 3.4% year-over-year badhne ki umeed hai. Agar data inflation ke deceleration ya reversal ko reveal karta hai, to market expectations ko Fed rate cut ke September mein dekhne ki umeed kam ho sakti hai. Waisay, kamzor inflation figures se wo expectations barh sakti hain.

Fed ke policy normalization ki umeed ke bawajood, Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne apne semi-annual Congressional testimony mein specific rate-cut trajectory outline nahi ki. Powell ne emphasize kiya ke interest rates ko current levels par rakha jana chahiye jab tak inflation Fed ke 2% target ke kareeb concrete evidence nahi dikhati.

**GBP/USD: Market Movements Analysis**

Yeh tajziya GBP/USD currency pair ke recent price movements ka jaiza leta hai, jismein key price movements, technical indicators, resistance levels, aur overall market outlook ko highlight kiya gaya hai.

**Recent Price Movements**

Pichle teen trading dino mein, GBP/USD pair ne limited volatility dikhayi hai, jo 1.2901 aur 1.2941 ke beech fluctuate kar raha hai. Aane wale economic data par market ka future direction heavily dependent hai, halankeh filhal koi significant developments nahi ho rahi. Filhaal, market critical support level 1.2901 ko test kar raha hai. Agar yeh level mazboot raha, toh market sideways movement continue kar sakta hai ya ek corrective rally attempt kar sakta hai. Lekin agar 1.2901 support breach ho jata hai, toh next support level 1.2851 ki taraf decline dekha ja sakta hai, aur iske baad further declines bhi mumkin hain.

**Technical Indicators**

Hourly chart ka tajziya karne se yeh nazar aata hai ke GBP/USD pair ke liye downward trend hai. Currency pair filhaal Ichimoku cloud ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo market mein bearish sentiment ko indicate karta hai. Stochastic indicator bhi sell signal ko corroborate karta hai. Recent trading session mein, pair ne pivot level ko test kiya hai lekin downward movement barqarar rahi. Market mein strong bearish momentum hai aur filhaal pair 1.2905 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Intraday declines support level 1.2858 ke qareeb hain. Agar yeh level break ho jata hai, toh naye selling pressure ka daur shuru ho sakta hai, jo market ko next support level 1.2808 ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

**Resistance Levels aur Market Outlook**

Koi bhi bullish reversal ki koshish 1.3001 level par resistance ka samna karegi. Lekin upward movement ki ummeed kam lagti hai, kyunki market abhi bhi prevailing bearish trend par focus kar raha hai. Overall, market sentiment continued downward pressure ki taraf point karta hai, jab tak fundamental economic factors mein koi significant changes nahi aati.

GBP/USD ne Friday ko US jobs report ke baad 0.20% se zyada ka acha gain register kiya. June ke data ne dikhaya ke economy ne expect kiye gaye se zyada jobs add ki, magar April aur May ke figures mein revision ne yeh hint diya ke labor market mazeed weak ho raha hai. GBP/USD ab 1.2790 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke apni opening price se upar hai, aur isne din ka low 1.2752 par hit kiya tha.

GBP/USD din ke doran 1.2800 ke psychological level ke aaspaas fluctuate kar raha hai, aur yeh crucial resistance trendlines ke upar daily close karne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ab tak support ban chuki hain, kareeb 1.2660/75 par.

Momentum bullish lag raha hai, jaisa ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) ne dikhaya, jo 50-neutral line ko June 2 ko cross karne ke baad mazeed upar jaane ka aim kar raha hai. Is liye, GBP/USD ka resistance ka path upward lag raha hai. Agar buyers daily close 1.2800 ke upar karne mein kamyab ho jate hain, toh yeh year-to-date (YTD) high 1.2894 ko challenge karne ka rasta banayega. Is level ko cross karne par mazeed upside dekhi ja sakti hai, jisme agla resistance 1.2900 par hoga, uske baad July 27, 2023 ka high 1.2995, aur phir 1.3000 ka level aa sakta hai.

Agar bearish reversal hoti hai, toh sellers yeh expect karenge ke exchange rate July 4 ke daily low 1.2733 se neeche gir jaye. Yeh phir April 8 ka high expose karega, jo ke ab support ban gaya hai, aur 1.2709 par hai. Iske baad 1.2700 ka level exposed hoga, aur mazeed losses par 50-day moving average (DMA) 1.2673 par expose ho sakta hai.

Overall, GBP/USD ka technical outlook bullish hai, magar support aur resistance levels ko closely monitor karna zaroori hoga, kyun ke yeh currency pair ke agle movement ko determine karenge. Buyers ke liye 1.2800 ke upar daily close critical hoga, jab ke sellers ke liye 1.2733 ke neeche fall hona zaroori hoga ek strong bearish signal ke liye.

change, ISM services PMI aur FOMC minutes ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke Wednesday ko release hone wale hain. 100-day aur 50-day SMAs 1.2640 par ek mazboot technical area bana rahe hain. Agar yeh level hold karta hai, to sellers ki interest barqarar reh sakti hai. Neeche ki taraf, 1.2600 (ek psychological aur static level) ko interim support samjha ja sakta hai, jo ke 1.2580 (Fibonacci 50% retracement of the latest uptrend) aur 1.2520 (Fibonacci 61.8% retracement) ke qareeb hai.

1.2640 ko pehla resistance level mana ja raha hai. Agar daily close is level se ooper hota hai, to yeh technical buyers ko attract kar sakta hai. 1.2700 (20-day SMA, psychological level) aur 1.2720 (Fibonacci 23.6% retracement) aglay resistance levels ke tor par dekhay ja sakte hain. GBP/USD ne Monday ko 1.2700 se ooper rise kiya aur US session mein June 20 se apna sab se high level touch kiya. Lekin din ke akhir mein pair ne traction lose ki aur 1.2650 par lagbhag unchanged raha. Tuesday ko pair ne apni back foot position barqarar rakhi aur 1.2640 ke key technical level ke neeche trade kiya.

Tuesday ko risk sentiment mein negative shift ne US dollar ko demand dilai aur GBP/USD ko rebound karne se roka. Is douran, US stock index futures mein 0.3% se 0.5% ka downfall dekhne ko mila. Doosray hissay mein, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ECB Forum on Central Banking mein policy outlook par baat karain gay. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, markets mein takriban 35% chance hai ke Fed September mein policy rates ko unchanged chor dega. Agar Powell last Friday ke personal consumption expenditures price index ke baad inflation outlook mein improvement acknowledge karte hain, to USD ko demand paane mein mushkil ho sakti hai. Dusri taraf, market positioning yeh suggest karti hai ke agar Powell September mein rate cut ke expectations ke khilaf chaltay hain, to USD mein mazid strength dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

GBP/USD pair is waqt bearish movements dikhata hai, jo key moving averages aur stochastic indicator se rejections se confirm hoti hain. Agla significant support level 1.2593 par hai, aur agar yeh level break hota hai, to mazid declines aa sakte hain. Wazeh hai ke agar price 1.2689 se ooper move karta hai, to yeh phir se bullish trend ki taraf shift ka indication ho sakta hai. Traders ko in critical levels ko monitor karte hue informed trading decisions lene chahiye.

1.2610 level selling opportunities ke liye ek clear entry point hai. Aap stop loss ko 1.2650 se ooper set karke, lower red channel line ke upar target kar ke pair ke potential decline ko confidently navigate kar sakte hain. Sales opportunities current candle ke 4-hour chart par sab se lowest price ke neeche arise hoti hain. Stop loss ko adjust kar ke usi candle ke highest price ke ooper set karna chahiye, aur weekly support level 1.2580 ke upar target karna chahiye.

GBP/USD ka technical analysis:

Pair ke 1.2745 par bounce back karne ke baad, bullish trend continue raha. Kal UK session ke doran, pair ne 1.2765 ka level touch kiya. Maujooda dynamics ko dekhte hue, expect hai ke aaj growth 1.2735 ya 1.2770 tak continue karegi, magar isme thora waqt lag sakta hai. Agar price 1.2670 par reverse ho jati hai, tou downtrend bhi ho sakta hai. Yeh tab hota hai jab support level 1.2805 par hota hai. Bullish reversal ho sakti hai jab yeh level reach ho jaye, aur agla target 1.2820 hoga. Dekhte hain kya hota hai.

H1 time frame mein GBP/USD:

Agar breach hoti hai tou pair ke liye following support levels 1.2710, 1.2745, aur 1.2765 hain, jo Pound Sterling ke against ek strong bearish movement ka warning hai. Sabse qareebi resistance areas 1.2810, 1.2830, aur 1.2875 hain. Har bounce par, yeh pair top seller rehta hai jab tak Britain ke European Union se nikalne ke negotiations continue rehti hain. Fibo Network ke mutabiq, hum jald intraday support hit karenge. Aaj ke din, yeh unlikely hai ke hum 1.2760 se neeche jayen, kyun ke ab tak humne range 1.2785 dekhi hai.



Summary:

Aaj ke liye trading plan yeh hai: Price 1.2745 ke range mein gir sakti hai, jahan humein cautiously buy karna chahiye. Hum chahtay hain ke price level ko jaldi se jaldi 1.2840 par wapas le jayein. Kyun ke ye possibility hai ke sellers top par move karne se refuse karein, hum wahan move nahi karenge. Sabko trading mein success aur achay profits ki duaen.

GBP/USD ka Technical Analysis:

1.2745 ke level se pair ka bounce back hone ke baad, bullish trend jari rahi. Kal UK session ke dauran, pair ne 1.2765 ka level chua. Mojooda dynamics ko dekhte hue, aaj bhi growth continue hone ki umeed hai 1.2735 ya 1.2770 ke taraf, lekin ye thoda waqt le sakta hai. Agar price 1.2670 par reverse hoti hai toh downtrend aasakta hai. Jab support level 1.2805 ho, toh bullish reversal ho sakta hai, aur agla target 1.2820 ho sakta hai. Dekhte hain kya hota hai.

H1 time frame mein GBP/USD:

Breach ka support milega, aur pair ke liye agle support levels 1.2710, 1.2745, aur 1.2765 honge, jo Pound Sterling ke against zyada bearish movement ki warning denge. Qareebi resistance areas hain 1.2810, 1.2830, aur 1.2875. Har bounce par, yeh pair ek top seller rehta hai, kyun ke Britain ko European Union se nikalne ke liye negotiations jari hain, aur Fibo Network ke mutabiq, humein intraday support jald milna chahiye. Aaj ke din 1.2760 se neeche jaane ka imkaan kam hai, kyun ke humne ab tak 1.2785 ka range dekha hai.



Summary mein, aaj ka trading plan kuch is tarah hai: Price 1.2745 ke range tak gir sakti hai, jahan humein ehtiyaat ke saath buy karna chahiye. Hum price level ko jald se jald 1.2840 par wapas le jaana chahte hain. Kyun ke sellers ke upper move karne se inkaar ka imkaan hai, hum wahan move nahi karenge—meri sab ko trading mein kamyabi aur mustaqbil mein acha munafa kamane ki dua hai.