𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

GBP/USD Currency Pair Analysis: Key Levels and Market Trends
GBP/USD currency pair ne haal hi mein mixed performance dikhayi hai, jahan dollar ne non-farm payroll data release ke baad tezi se kamzori dikhayi. Is initial decline ke bawajood, buyers ne price ko upar push karne mein mushkil ka samna kiya, jaise ke is subah ke major movement ki kami se zahir hota hai. Buyers ko momentum gain karne aur price ko upar le jane ke liye zaroori hai ke wo 1.28394 ke levels ko tod kar unhe maintain karen. Agar ye level successfully breach ho jata hai, toh aage ke gains ke liye raasta khul sakta hai, jahan agla key target 1.28637 set hai.

Agar price 1.28637 ke upar break aur consolidate karti hai, toh ye downward trend mein potential shift ko signal karega, jo suggest karta hai ke pair aage bhi rise kar sakta hai. Iske muqabil, sellers ko dekhna hoga ke price 1.27772 ke niche drop aur consolidate kare, taake bearish trend continue kar sake. Agar ye level breach ho jata hai, toh agla target decline ke liye 1.27063 hoga.

4-hour chart (GBP/USD H4) par, pair Bollinger Bands ke central area mein hai, jo indicate karta hai ke market consolidation phase mein hai. Is position se movement kisi bhi direction mein swing kar sakti hai, yeh depend karta hai ke price bands se breakout karti hai ya nahi. Clear direction identify karne ke liye, traders ko upper ya lower band se definitive exit ka intezaar karna chahiye, aur dekhna chahiye ke bands expand ya contract hoti hain.

Fractal analysis ne ek nayi upward fractal formation ko dikhaya hai. Agar price is fractal ke upar breakout aur consolidate karti hai, toh price previous fractal (July 31 ko) ki taraf ja sakti hai, jo 1.28637 par hai. Iske muqabil, agar price recent downward fractal ke niche break karti hai, toh agla significant fractal target July 3 ka hoga, jo 1.26772 par hai.

Additionaly, Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator filhaal negative zone mein hai lekin fading ke signs dikhata hai. Agar AO zero se transition kar ke positive zone mein increase karta hai, toh ye GBP/USD pair ke bullish outlook ko reinforce karega. Agar negative area mein continued movement hoti hai, toh ye potential further declines ko suggest karega.

GBP/USD Trading Signals:

Hamari discussion GBP/USD currency pair ke real-time price action ke evaluation par mabni hai. Technical analysis ke liye, maine resistance aur support ko represent karne ke liye diagonal lines plot ki hain. Agla qadam hai ke hum US Federal Reserve System ke head ki speech ko 16:39 Moscow time par bariki se dekhein. Is ke ilawa, 16:59 par labor market vacancy statistics release honge, jo local volatility ka sabab ban sakte hain. Humne 1.2614 tak ke decline ko manage kiya, aur price ab 59 points barh gayi hai. Spread ko chhod kar, ye nateeja kafi acha hai. Hum GBP/USD situation ko 18:01 ke baad dobara assess karenge, Fibonacci grid ka review karte hue, chhote time intervals par 100 – 161.7 range par focus karte hue. Filhaal price view aur sentiment mein koi tabdeeli nahi dikhayi de rahi.

Kal chhutti hai, lekin trading limited form mein chalegi, aur Thursday ko complete holiday hoga. Is wajah se trading week skewed hai aur Friday ko significantly start hoga, jo major players ko investing se roka sakta hai. Agar sirf speculative movements hoti hain, to wahi sawal uthta hai. Mera aaj ka main concern ye hai ke Americans apni holidays aaj ya kal se shuru karenge; lagta hai ke aaj se hi shuru karenge.

GBP/USD ka rebound barh gaya hai, meri target zone 1.2639-59 tak pohnch gaya hai. Filhaal ke impulse se neeche ki taraf ek pullback zaroori hai, jiska aim 1.2700 level ke nazdeek hona chahiye, shayad isse bhi break kar sake. Kal ka high ko surpass karna mushkil hai, lekin movement ke dauran closely observe karna zaroori hai. Maine apni position already close kar di hai, current profit ko potential gains par preference dete hue. Overall, situation abhi bhi uncertain hai. Ye scenarios possible outcomes ko reflect karte hain. Agar slope break hoti hai to buyers ko upper hand mil sakta hai.

GBP/USD Trading Signals:

Hamari discussion GBP/USD currency pair ke real-time price action ke evaluation par mabni hai. Technical analysis ke liye, maine resistance aur support ko represent karne ke liye diagonal lines plot ki hain. Agla qadam hai ke hum US Federal Reserve System ke head ki speech ko 16:39 Moscow time par bariki se dekhein. Is ke ilawa, 16:59 par labor market vacancy statistics release honge, jo local volatility ka sabab ban sakte hain. Humne 1.2614 tak ke decline ko manage kiya, aur price ab 59 points barh gayi hai. Spread ko chhod kar, ye nateeja kafi acha hai. Hum GBP/USD situation ko 18:01 ke baad dobara assess karenge, Fibonacci grid ka review karte hue, chhote time intervals par 100 – 161.7 range par focus karte hue. Filhaal price view aur sentiment mein koi tabdeeli nahi dikhayi de rahi.

Kal chhutti hai, lekin trading limited form mein chalegi, aur Thursday ko complete holiday hoga. Is wajah se trading week skewed hai aur Friday ko significantly start hoga, jo major players ko investing se roka sakta hai. Agar sirf speculative movements hoti hain, to wahi sawal uthta hai. Mera aaj ka main concern ye hai ke Americans apni holidays aaj ya kal se shuru karenge; lagta hai ke aaj se hi shuru karenge.

GBP/USD ka rebound barh gaya hai, meri target zone 1.2639-59 tak pohnch gaya hai. Filhaal ke impulse se neeche ki taraf ek pullback zaroori hai, jiska aim 1.2700 level ke nazdeek hona chahiye, shayad isse bhi break kar sake. Kal ka high ko surpass karna mushkil hai, lekin movement ke dauran closely observe karna zaroori hai. Maine apni position already close kar di hai, current profit ko potential gains par preference dete hue. Overall, situation abhi bhi uncertain hai. Ye scenarios possible outcomes ko reflect karte hain. Agar slope break hoti hai to buyers ko upper hand mil sakta hai.

GBP/USD market mein, ek buy order place karna jis ka profit target 20-30 pips ho, ek strategic approach hai. Magar, yeh bohot zaroori hai ke news events ko ghoor se dekhain jo market dynamics ko asar karte hain. Khaaskar, US news events bohot zyada volatility laati hain aur kuch hi minutes mein GBP/USD market ko bara asar kar sakti hain. In developments se update rehnay se, traders apni strategies ko tezi se adjust kar sakte hain taake risk ko kam karein aur opportunities se faida uthayein. Price 1.2884 ka resistance zone cross kar sakta hai baad mein. Hum daily ya weekly time charts ka istemal kar sakte hain jo ek ongoing practice honi chahiye. Market conditions tezi se badal sakti hain, is liye charts aur patterns ka musalsal monitoring karna zaroori hai taake potential moves ko identify kiya ja sake.
Tuesday ko Asian market session mein ab bhi sellers dominate kar rahe the jo apna bearish momentum barqarar rakhne ki koshish kar rahe the, buyers ke bullish efforts ko rokte hue. Sellers ne dynamic resistance area ko majboot banaya jo 1.2864-1.2865 ke price par tha. Bearish sellers ka target ye hai ke GBP/USD pair price ko niche push karain buyer support area ki taraf jo ke 1.2815-1.2810 par hai, taake bearish opportunity ke liye rasta khula jaaye aur agla target buyer demand support area ki taraf ho jo ke 1.2770-1.2765 par hai.

GBP/USD Trading Signals:

Hamari discussion GBP/USD currency pair ke real-time price action par mabni hai. Technical analysis ke liye, maine diagonal lines plot ki hain jo resistance aur support ko represent karti hain. Agla qadam ye hai ke US Federal Reserve System ke head ki speech ko 16:39 Moscow time par bariki se dekhein. Is ke ilawa, 16:59 par labor market vacancy statistics release honge, jo local volatility ka sabab ban sakte hain. Humne 1.2614 tak ke decline ko manage kiya, aur ab price 59 points barh gayi hai. Spread ko chhod kar, ye nateeja kaafi acha hai. Hum GBP/USD ki situation ko 18:01 ke baad dobara assess karenge, Fibonacci grid ka review karte hue, chhote time intervals par 100 – 161.7 range par focus karte hue. Filhaal, price view aur sentiment mein koi tabdeeli nahi dikhayi de rahi.

Kal chhutti hai, lekin trading limited form mein chalegi, aur Thursday ko complete holiday hoga. Is wajah se trading week skewed hai aur Friday ko significantly start hoga, jo major players ko investing se roka sakta hai. Agar sirf speculative movements hoti hain, to wahi sawal uthta hai. Mera aaj ka main concern ye hai ke Americans apni holidays aaj ya kal se shuru karenge; lagta hai ke aaj se hi shuru karenge.

GBP/USD ka rebound barh gaya hai, meri target zone 1.2639-59 tak pohnch gaya hai. Filhaal ke impulse se neeche ki taraf ek pullback zaroori hai, jiska aim 1.2700 level ke nazdeek hona chahiye, shayad isse bhi break kar sake. Kal ka high ko surpass karna mushkil hai, lekin movement ke dauran closely observe karna zaroori hai. Maine apni position already close kar di hai, current profit ko potential gains par preference dete hue. Overall, situation abhi bhi uncertain hai. Ye scenarios possible outcomes ko reflect karte hain. Agar slope break hoti hai to buyers ko upper hand mil sakta hai.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis:

H4 timeframe par jo movement dekhi ja rahi hai, usse kaha ja sakta hai ke main trend phir se strong bullish movement mein hai. Kal is pair ne 1.270 ke important area ko asani se penetrate kiya aur iske ilawa 1.275 ke area ke upar bhi chala gaya, halanki ye position zyada der tak barqarar nahi rahi aur phir niche aaya. Aaj subah bhi GBP/USD 1.275 ke aas-paas hi dikhai de raha hai.

Agar H4 timeframe ke oscillator par nazar daalain, to decline ki opportunity ab bhi khuli hui hai. Pichle dino mein overbought position ko enter karne ke baad, ab niche aane ki possibility bhi hai. Ye movement ke series se ye clear hota hai ke GBP/USD ke niche aane ka mauka ab bhi mojood hai. Lekin filhaal main extreme sell candle ka intezar kar raha hoon aur bina kisi analysis ke sell nahi karna chahta.

Technical Reference:
- Buy while above 1.27065
- Resistance 1: 1.27750
- Resistance 2: 1.27875
- Support 1: 1.27210
- Support 2: 1.27065

GBP/USD ke paas US trading session (4/7/24) ke dauran rise karne ka mauka hai. Ye potential increase Moving Average (MA) indicator se supported hai jo current price ke upar hai, indicating ke one-hour moving average ab bhi upar ki taraf barhega. MACD bhi bullish opportunity dikha raha hai kyunki histogram positive area mein enter ho raha hai, jo indicate karta hai ke price upar ki taraf move kar sakti hai.

15 M chart par bhi GBP/USD increase ka mauka de raha hai kyunki MACD indicator ab positive area mein hai, jo buyers ke dominate karne ka signal hai. Agar scenario ke mutabiq, GBP/USD resistance level 1.27875 tak pohnch sakta hai.

GBP/USD currency pair ki condition pichle trading session se, jo ke Monday ko tha, bilkul bullish hi dikhai de rahi hai. Yeh movement ek narrow range mein ho rahi hai jahan buyers ki dominance ab bhi zahir hai. Pichli raat market ne ek strong push gain kiya jisse price 1.2776 ke level tak phir se upar gayi. Chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke candlesticks dheere-dheere rally path par move kar rahe hain, Moving Average indicator se door hote ja rahe hain, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke upward trend ko abhi tak sellers ki taraf se koi major resistance nahi mila hai.

Agar is hafte ke end tak bullish movement 1.2850 ke upar se break kar leti hai, to yeh possibility hai ke price aur upar jaaye aur trend ka continuation bullish direction mein ho. Yeh ek important reference point banega agle trading position ke liye, jahan price market mein bullish trend direction mein move karti rahegi, halanke chhoti timeframes par GBP/USD currency pair ne thodi si bearish correction bhi dekhi hai.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator ki Lime Line se dekha jaye to yeh phir se level 70 tak rise kar rahi hai, jo ke market conditions ke bullish continuation ki early notification hai. Jo analysis kiya gaya hai uske mutabiq, price ab bhi upward direction mein hi move karti dikhai de rahi hai. Buyers ki taraf se jo upward push hai woh weak volatility ke sath price ko target level tak pohnchane mein madad karega. Isliye, pichle din ke weak seller pressure ke bawajood bullish trend ke waapas aane ki potential hai aur target increase bhi 1.2810 ke range tak ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis (28-6-2024):

Aaj ka technical analysis ke mutabiq, GBP/USD currency pair upward movement dikhata hai according to hourly, H4, aur daily outlooks. Aap buy trade open kar sakte hain 1.2646 aur 1.2619 ke beech. Agar price 1.2613 ke level se neeche break kar deti hai, to yeh short-term bullish outlook invalidate ho jayegi. Is bullish move ka projected target 1.2694 hai. Safe trading ke liye aap apne half position ko 1.2669 par close kar sakte hain.

**Daily Outlook:**
Kal market ne 1.2618 level se open kiya. Kal ke trading session ke dauran, market ne 1.2669 ka high aur 1.2612 ka low banaya. Is tarah kal ka trading range lagbhag 57 pips tha. Market ka sentiment bullish hai aur yeh daily pivot level ke upar trade kar raha hai. Aane wale trading sessions mein yeh daily resistance levels R1 aur R2 ko hit kar sakta hai.

**H4 Outlook:**
Daily time frame ke mutabiq, GBP/USD ne higher peaks aur valleys banayi hain. Mere strategy indicators bhi market ke bullish strength ko support karte hain. Market ne kal weekly support level 0.2621 ko hit kiya. RSI4 is level par oversold ho gaya. Weekly support level par bullish engulfing pattern appear hua. Yeh bullish engulfing pattern baad mein dusre bullish candlesticks ke sath confirm hua, jo market ke bullish strength ko confirm karta hai. MACD bullish divergence bhi market ke bullish strength ko support karta hai.

**Hourly Outlook:**
Price action ke mutabiq, pair ka upar move karna most likely hai. Yeh third strike pattern bana raha hai. Yeh EMA-30 ke upar move kar raha hai aur daily pivot level ke upar open ho raha hai.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis (28-6-2024):

Aaj ka technical analysis ke mutabiq, GBP/USD currency pair upward movement dikhata hai according to hourly, H4, aur daily outlooks. Aap buy trade open kar sakte hain 1.2646 aur 1.2619 ke beech. Agar price 1.2613 ke level se neeche break kar deti hai, to yeh short-term bullish outlook invalidate ho jayegi. Is bullish move ka projected target 1.2694 hai. Safe trading ke liye aap apne half position ko 1.2669 par close kar sakte hain.

**Daily Outlook:**
Kal market ne 1.2618 level se open kiya. Kal ke trading session ke dauran, market ne 1.2669 ka high aur 1.2612 ka low banaya. Is tarah kal ka trading range lagbhag 57 pips tha. Market ka sentiment bullish hai aur yeh daily pivot level ke upar trade kar raha hai. Aane wale trading sessions mein yeh daily resistance levels R1 aur R2 ko hit kar sakta hai.

**H4 Outlook:**
Daily time frame ke mutabiq, GBP/USD ne higher peaks aur valleys banayi hain. Mere strategy indicators bhi market ke bullish strength ko support karte hain. Market ne kal weekly support level 0.2621 ko hit kiya. RSI4 is level par oversold ho gaya. Weekly support level par bullish engulfing pattern appear hua. Yeh bullish engulfing pattern baad mein dusre bullish candlesticks ke sath confirm hua, jo market ke bullish strength ko confirm karta hai. MACD bullish divergence bhi market ke bullish strength ko support karta hai.

**Hourly Outlook:**
Price action ke mutabiq, pair ka upar move karna most likely hai. Yeh third strike pattern bana raha hai. Yeh EMA-30 ke upar move kar raha hai aur daily pivot level ke upar open ho raha hai.

GBP/USD/H1

Kal GBP/USD ne previous daily range ka maximum update karne ke baad price reverse ho gayi aur din ke aakhir mein ek uncertainty candle banayi, jisme thodi bullish advantage thi. Overall, main abhi bhi is instrument ke liye apne plans nahi badal raha aur nearest resistance level par nazar rakha hai, jo mere analysis ke mutabiq 1.28000 par hai. Jab price is resistance level tak pahunchti hai, to do scenarios ho sakte hain. Jaise maine pehle bhi kaha, pehla priority scenario hai ke price is level ke upar consolidate kare aur further growth dekhe. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main price ko resistance level 1.28938 ki taraf move karte hue dekhunga. Jab price is resistance level ke upar consolidate karegi, tab main further northward movement ki ummeed karunga, jo resistance level 1.29956 tak ja sakti hai. Is resistance level ke paas, main ek trading setup ka intezaar karunga jo further trading direction ko determine karne mein madad karega. Yahan tak ki zyada door ke northward targets bhi achieve kiye ja sakte hain, lekin filhal main isse nahi dekh raha kyunki iski quick realization ki perspective nahi lagti.

Resistance level 1.28000 ko test karne par ek alternative scenario yeh hoga ke ek reversal candle banayi jaye aur southward movement resume ho. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main price ke wapas support level 1.26568 ya support level 1.26340 par jaane ka intezaar karunga. In support levels ke paas, main bullish signals dhoondhta rahunga, aur upward price movement ke resume hone ki ummeed rakhta rahunga. General taur par, abhi ke liye mera assumption yeh hai ke ongoing accumulation ek impulsive northward price breakout ke sath khatam hogi aur buyers nearest resistance levels ko test karenge, phir main market situation ko accordingly assess karunga.

**Economic Calendar Par Nazar:**
Economic calendar par Britain mein is hafte zyada activity nahi hai, lekin United States se kuch interest honi chahiye. Sabki nazar US Core Personal Consumption Expenditure release par hai jo Friday ko aayega aur US Federal Reserve ke interest rate expectations ke liye important mana jata hai. Core personal consumption expenditures rate ki expectation monthly basis par 0.1% aur annual basis par 2.6% hai. Agar yeh expectations se zyada hota hai, to dollar week ko highest level par close kar sakta hai aur pound sterling ke price mid-May ke baad se lowest levels tak ja sakti hai.

Lekin agar data expectations se kam hota hai, to GBP/USD mein achi rally dekhne ko mil sakti hai jo near term mein outlook ko stabilize kar sakti hai. Lekin, strength limited ho sakti hai kyunki US dollar ko US stock market ke outperformance ka fayda ho raha hai. Is context mein, Credit Agricole kehti hai ke US stocks ki superior performance international capital ko US stock markets mein attract karti rahegi, jo US dollar ko support karti hai.

GBP/USD
04.07.2024

Achha din. Aaj bade movements ki ummeed nahi hai, kyunki kal jo movements hui thi, unke baad aaj kuch khaas expect nahi kiya ja sakta, khas taur se shaam ke session mein, USA ke holiday ke bawajood.

Pound ke liye, hum ab ek interesting level par hain. Yahan interest ke clash ka mamla ho sakta hai. Ek taraf, H4 timeframe par ek sell signal hai, aur main isse bhool nahi gaya; iski potential ek blue column se target 1.25855 tak mark ki gayi hai. Jaise ke dekha ja sakta hai, market target level tak nahi pahunchi, lekin kaafi kareeb aa gayi. Ek taraf, main is idea ke liye behtar prices ka intezaar kar raha tha, kyunki hamara stop-loss level 1.28588 ke main peak ke paar hai. Kal, 1.27687 level tak pahuncha gaya, jo medium-term sellers ke liye apni positions enter karne ke liye 1:2 ka risk-reward ratio provide karta hai. Iske ilawa, 1.27946 level bhi chahiye taake aur bhi behtar sales kiya ja sake. Agle level par, risk-reward ratio 1:3 hoga. Magar is structure ke sath decline dekhna kafi unattractive lagta hai, yaani ki bilkul bhi attractive nahi hai. Agar hum weekly timeframe par switch karein, to weekly candle par ek bohot strong rise dekha gaya hai, halanke ise abhi tak consider nahi kiya ja sakta kyunki hafte ka end nahi hua. Yahan hum do worlds ke beech mein hain. Dono hi rise aur fall logical lagte hain. Lekin rise ke liye, H4 par indicator signal trigger ho chuka hai aur further targets abhi visible nahi hain. Dusri taraf, euro ke sath mujhe zyada increase ki ummeed hai, aur wo bhi achi growth. Pound aur euro ek dusre se zyada different nahi honge, kyunki dono abhi bhi correlated hain.

Dusre chart par, maine Fibonacci grid apply ki hai. Yahan, main ise ruler ke tor par use karta hoon aur hum dekh sakte hain ki kal ka rise grid par "1 to 2" level tak precisely gaya. Maine "1 to 3" level mark nahi kiya, kyunki ye case mein almost 23.6% level ke sath coincide karta hai aur generally hamesha karta hai. Further levels "1 to 4" aur aage ki levels hote hain, jo market entry ke idea ke sath enter karne ke ratios ko dikhate hain. Yahan grid ko gaps ko consider kiye bina stretch kiya gaya hai, matlab ruler ko quote errors aur 1.28588 (peak level se) gap ke liye extend kiya ja sakta hai.

GBP/USD pair ka izafa tab hua jab Fed Chairman ne aisa bayan diya jo analysts aur market participants ke nazdeek, September mein rate cut ki umeed ko barhata hai. Jerome Powell ke ECB Central Bank Forum mein bayan dene ke baad stock prices barh gayi aur dollar aam tor par kamzor ho gaya. Powell ne kaha ke inflation ke liye kaafi taraqqi hui hai aur inflation ko kam karne ka process dobara track par hai. Unhone yeh bhi kaha ke "labor market mein ghaflati kamzori bhi humein jawab dene par majboor karegi."

Investors yeh soch rahe hain ke Fed kya September mein interest rates cut kar paayegi, aur rate cut ke outcome par bharosa barhne ke sath dollar gir gaya. Forex Trading ke mutabiq, GBP/USD ne Powell ke bayan ke baad 1.2615 tak girne ke baad 1.2688 ke resistance tak izafa kiya.

Week ke shuru mein GBP/USD exchange rate izafa hua jab investors ne European assets ko kharida, is waqt ke signs ke saath ke French election mein koi bhi party akela majority jeetne wala nahi hai. Lekin, din ke doran gains khatam ho gayi aur pair abhi likhne ke waqt 1.2613 ke five-day low par trade kar raha hai.

Monday ko, U.S. Supreme Court ne faisla sunaaya ke former presidents ko office mein official actions ke liye absolute immunity milti hai, magar informal actions ke liye nahi. Yeh landmark ruling ka matlab hai ke Donald Trump ke election interference case ko lower court ke paas bhej diya jayega, jo phir decide karega ke rule ko kaise apply karna hai.

Daily chart ki performance ke mutabiq, GBP/USD exchange rate 1.2600 support level ke niche further declines se bachne ki koshish kar raha hai. Yeh koshish tab tak kamiyab nahi hogi jab tak pair 1.2775 aur 1.2830 ke resistance levels ki taraf nahi barhta. Aaj pair ko last Fed meeting ke minutes ke contents ki release se asar padega, aur kal British general election se bhi. Iske ilawa, investors ke risk lene ya na lene ki capacity bhi important hai.

Sab ko salam! Kal British currency pair ne achi bullish momentum li aur humne jo pullback expect kiya tha, usse zyada, price ne weekly resistance level ke upar stabilize kar liya. Ab hum is position ko currency ki buying ke liye dekh rahe hain. Filhaal, volumes kaafi kam ho gaye hain, jo market ki low volatility ko dikhata hai, isliye humein ek neutral signal mil raha hai. Lekin, agar news updates aati hain, to upar ki taraf growth continue ho sakti hai. Weekly chart par price ne triangle ke upper boundary ko break kiya, jo growth ke continuation ke liye ek signal hai.

Agar non-farm payrolls ke data se market ko upar ki taraf push milta hai, to 1.2856 tak growth dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Yeh level strong resistance hai aur theoretical monthly price high bhi hai. Medium-term correction ke bina, hum is level tak nahi pahunch sakte, lekin growth ka potential abhi bhi hai, isliye yeh priority par hai. Technical analysis ke hisaab se, price AO indicator ke positive zone mein hai, jo abhi bhi growth ki choti si umeed deta hai. Bollinger Bands ki divergence ka bhi intezar karna zaroori hai taake forecast ki sahi honay ka confirmation mil sake.

Higher time frames par bhi, actual selling corrections hain, jo short-term trades ke liye relevant hain. Price abhi thodi indication de rahi hai, lekin volumes aur liquidity important factors hain. Yahan se support dhoondha ja sakta hai, aur analysis ka confirmation figure 29 ke completion ke saath expected hai. Sab ko shukriya aur profitable trading week ki dua.

Hello, GBP/USD abhi European session mein Thursday ko 1.2750 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Aam tor par kamzor US dollar ne is pair ko support diya hai, lekin traders naye bets se bach rahe hain kyunki UK voters polls ki taraf ja rahe hain. GBP/USD filhaal 1.2750 ke nazdeek trade kar raha hai (static level). Agar yeh level support ke roop mein confirm hota hai, to 1.2800 (psychological level, static level) agla resistance ban sakta hai, uske baad 1.2860 (June 12 high) dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Niche ki taraf, 20-day simple moving average 1.2700 par support ke roop mein align hota hai, uske baad 1.2670 (50-day SMA) aur 1.2650 (100-day SMA) hain.

GBP/USD ne 1.2800 ki taraf move kiya aur apne highest level tak pahuncha jo Wednesday, June 13 se tha. Thursday ko market action dheema hone ke saath, pair 1.2750 ke aas-paas consolidation phase mein chala gaya. US dollar par dobara selling pressure ne GBP/USD ko upar ki taraf push kiya, jab market ne disappointing macroeconomic data releases ka reaction diya. ADP ke monthly publication ke mutabiq, June mein private sector payrolls 150,000 se badh gayi, jabki market ki expectation 160,000 thi. Labor Department ne bhi announce kiya ki June 29 ke hafte mein unemployment badh gayi, jab pehli baar 238,000 benefit applications receive hui, jo pichle hafte se zyada hai (233,000). ISM Services PMI bhi June mein 48.8 par aaya, jabki May mein 53.8 tha, jo service sector ke business activity mein slowdown ko dikhata hai. Survey ke details ne Employment Index aur Price Paid Index ko 46.1 aur 56.3 tak girne ka zikr kiya.

Thursday ko US economic calendar mein koi macroeconomic data release nahi hoga, aur stock aur bond markets Independence Day holiday ke liye band hain. Is beech, British voters general election mein vote dene wale hain jo Prime Minister Rishi Sunak ke dwara bulaya gaya hai. Opinion polls kehte hain ki opposition Labor Party ko landslide victory milne ki sambhavana hai, aur Sir Keir Starmer agle Prime Minister ban sakte hain. Exit polls voting ke band hone ke baad 22:00 local time (21:00 GMT) par announce honge, aur final results shayad Friday subah tak confirm ho jayenge. Friday ko, US Bureau of Labor Statistics labor market data release karega. Is important data release se pehle, investors bade positions lene se bach sakte hain, khaaskar UK election aur US holiday ke context mein.

Aaj ke trading landscape mein GBP/USD currency pair par strategic advice yeh hai ke current level par buying opportunities ka faida uthaya jaye. Traders ko apne stop-loss levels price channels ke niche set karne chahiye taake risk ko kam kiya ja sake. Dusri taraf, selling opportunities tab nazar aayengi jab price in channels ko successfully break karegi. Ek additional selling strategy yeh hai ke retest pattern ka intezar kiya jaye, jo price peak ko channel lines ke saath align karta hai, isse sell entry kiya ja sakta hai towards 1.2757 level.

**Economic Factors Influencing the Market:**

US dollar ki recent decline kuch key economic indicators ki wajah se hui hai. Ek weekly survey ke mutabiq, US unemployment benefits ke liye filings badh gayi hain, jo labor market mein potential weaknesses ko dikhata hai. Lekin, dollar ki decline ka main driver ek ISM survey tha, jo services sector ke activity mein zyada slowdown dikhata hai. Yeh unexpected contraction American economy ke largest sector mein significant market reactions ka sabab bana.

ISM Services PMI June mein 48.8% tak gir gaya, jo May ke 53.8% se kam hai. Yeh contraction market expectations se kafi neeche tha, jahan reading 52.5% ke aas-paas honay ki ummeed thi. PMI 50% se neeche hone ka matlab hai ke sector shrink ho raha hai, jo overall economic health aur growth prospects ke liye concerns raise karta hai. Yeh data speculation ko barhawa diya ke Federal Reserve shaayad jaldi interest rates ko kam karne par ghoor karega, shayad September mein.

**Market Reactions:**

Economic data ke jawab mein, US bond yields gir gaye, dollar kamzor hua, aur stock prices barh gayi. GBP/USD pair ne significant jump kiya, 1.2780 ke resistance level tak pahuncha, jo do hafton se zyada ka highest level hai, aur Thursday ke trading session ke shuruat mein 1.2740 ke aas-paas stabilize ho gaya. Yeh movement American holiday aur upcoming British parliamentary elections ke anticipation se bhi affect hui, jo market mein uncertainty aur volatility ko barhawa diya.

**Economic Context:**

ISM Services PMI ka drop economists aur investors ke liye particularly concerning hai, kyunki yeh US economy mein potential vulnerabilities ko highlight karta hai. Services sector finance, healthcare, aur hospitality jaise vital industries ko include karta hai. Is sector ka contraction broader economic issues ko signal kar sakta hai, jo employment, consumer spending, aur overall economic confidence ko affect karta hai.

**Political Factors:**

British parliamentary elections ki anticipation ne market dynamics ko aur complex bana diya. Political events currency values ko significantly impact kar sakti hain kyunki yeh uncertainty ko introduce karti hain aur economic policy mein changes ka sabab ban sakti hain. Traders aise environments mein cautious approach adopt karte hain, apne positions ko potential outcomes aur unke implications ke mutabiq adjust karte hain.

**Strategic Trading Considerations:**

Traders ke liye economic data aur market movements ke beech interplay ko samajhna crucial hai. Current advice ke mutabiq, present level par buying opportunities par focus kiya jana chahiye, jo observed market conditions aur dollar weakness ke potential par based hai. Stop-loss levels ko price channels ke niche set karna risk manage karne mein madadgar hota hai. Selling strategy mein channels ko break karne aur retest pattern ka intezar karna shamil hai, jo sell entry ko secure karta hai towards 1.2691 level.

In conclusion, recent economic data aur political developments ne dynamic aur volatile trading environment create kiya hai. Key indicators ke baare mein informed rah kar aur strategically apne trades ko manage karke, investors emerging opportunities ko capitalize kar sakte hain. Economic conditions, market reactions, aur political events ke beech interplay ek well-rounded aur informed trading strategy ki importance ko highlight karta hai.