𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

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GBP/USD H4 Analysis

GBP/USD ne apni bounce ke baad 1.2745 tak pohanch kar bullish trend ko barqarar rakha. Kal UK session ke doran, yeh pair 1.2765 tak pahunch gaya. Aaj ke dynamics ko dekhte hue, mujhe umeed hai ke yeh growth aaj bhi jari rahegi aur price 1.2735 ya 1.2770 tak ja sakti hai, magar ismein thoda waqt lag sakta hai. Agar price 1.2670 par reverse hoti hai, to downtrend shuru ho sakta hai. Yeh tab hota hai jab support level 1.2805 hota hai. Agar yeh level pohanch gaya, to ek bullish reversal ho sakta hai, aur agla target 1.2820 ho sakta hai. Ab dekhte hain ke kya hota hai.

Is movement ke doran, GBP/USD ke liye support levels 1.2710, 1.2745, aur 1.2765 hain, jo ek stronger bearish movement ke liye warning sign hain. Kareeb ke resistance areas 1.2810, 1.2830, aur 1.2875 hain. Har bounce par, yeh pair ek top seller bana rehta hai, jab tak ke Britain ko European Union se nikalne ke liye negotiations jari hain. Fibo Network ke mutabiq, hum jaldi intraday support ko hit karenge. Aaj ke liye, yeh unlikely hai ke hum 1.2760 se neeche jayein, kyun ke ab tak 1.2785 se range dekh chuke hain.

Ab, jaise ke hum dekh rahe hain, agar northern trend ko resume karna hai, to humein resistance level 1.2772 ko overcome karna hoga. Phir doosra step hoga level 1.2800 ko overcome karna. Lekin GBP/USD ko sell karne ke liye yahan thodi mukhtalif situation hai. Pehle signs of decline milenge agar GBP/USD price 1.2724 se neeche jati hai, aur phir 1.2700 par. Agar price 1.2700 ka level tod deti hai, to kuch had tak northern trend ko cancel kar degi, aur 1.2662 priority ban jayega. Monday ko, quotes sideways price range 1.2725-1.2773 ke darmiyan rehenge. Yeh unlikely hai ke yeh levels ke neeche/upar consolidate kar sakein, halan ke north east ka impulse acha hai. Agar sellers strength gain nahi karte, to sideways range se upar breakout aur exit ka chance hai, magar yeh sirf ek assumption hai. Ab Monday ke opening ka intezar karte hain.

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GBP/USD Market Analysis - 12 August, 2024

Agar hum candlestick pattern ko dekhein, to ab tak yeh buyers ke zariye dominate ho raha hai, aur price bhi 1.2700 zone se breakout kar chuki hai. Aise mein, agle GBP/USD pair ki candlestick journey ke liye yeh prediction hai ke yeh ab bhi upar jane ka rujhan rakhta hai. Meri istimaal ki gayi technique ke mutabiq, jo ke simple moving average aur stochastic pe mabni hai, yeh ab tak bullish expectations ko jari rakhta hai. Stochastic indicator 5,3,3 ab 80 zone ko touch kar chuka hai, jo ke buyer control ko zahir karta hai. Guzishta hafta ke trading period mein, market ne bearish shape ke sath band hui thi, magar akhir mein price ne dheere dheere ek uptrend ko shuru kar diya, halan ke yeh abhi tak kaafi nahi hua.

4-hour time frame ka zahoor yeh dikhata hai ke short-term trend ab upar ki janib jana shuru ho gaya hai. Filhaal price 1.2758 zone ke aas paas chal rahi hai, aur lagta hai ke abhi bhi mazeed izafa hone ke chances hain kyun ke candlestick ab simple moving average zone of period 100 ke kareeb jaane ki koshish kar rahi hai. Aise mein, aaj ke market situation ko dekhte hue, meri prediction hai ke GBP/USD pair mein ab tak buyers dominate kar rahe hain aur market control kar rahe hain. Lagta hai ke agle chand dinon tak price uptrend side ki taraf jane ka rujhan rakhegi. Buyers ki success, jo ke sellers ki koshishon ko naksam kar rahi hai, yeh price ko neeche lanay mein der tak chal sakti hai.

Lagta hai ke candlestick ab tak upar ja sakti hai taake market trend ko wapas la sake, jaise ke July mein tha, jo ke waqai mein bullish tha. Signal ke direction ke mutabiq aur price position jo ke 1.2727 zone se upar gayi hai, yeh zahir karta hai ke market trend mein abhi bhi bullish continuation ka moqa hai. Agar price upar ja sakti hai, to meri prediction hai ke target jo ke lagbhag 1.2731 zone ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Agar bullish target week ke darmiyan touch ho jata hai, to yeh buyers ke liye moqa ho sakta hai ke candlestick ko 1.2774 price area tak upar le jayein.

Trading Recommendation: BUY (4-Hour Chart)

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GBP/USD Analysis - H11.2703

Salam colleague! Umeed hai ke aapka Saturday acha guzar raha hoga. Kal ke din bulls ne mujhe thoda mayoos kiya. Woh yellow moving average ke upar toh nikal gaye, magar apni upward movement ko barqarar nahi rakh sake. Jo technique mein ne istimaal ki thi, uske mutabiq, movement ko four-hour chart ke current trading range ke upper limit ke taraf jana chahiye tha, jo ke 1.2800 ke level ke aas paas hai, lekin aisa nahi ho saka. Aksar round levels traders ke liye kaafi attractive hoti hain, aur quotes in ke qareeb aane ya inhe pierce karne ki koshish karti hain, magar iss baar aisa nahi hua.

Ab chart par complete uncertainty hai. Ek taraf, yellow moving average ke upar positions ka consolidation ab bhi upward movement ke continuation ka ishara de raha hai. Dusri taraf, indicator ab reversal show kar raha hai, jo ke, bulls ke resistance level 1.2776 ke upar na ja sakne ke sath mil kar, downward movement ke dobara shuru hone ka indication de raha hai, jo ke support level 1.2703 tak work out kar sakti hai.

Ab bohot se investors confused hain, Federal Reserve System ke comments ki wajah se. Is hafta, US Dollar ke liye ek key determinant June ka Consumer Price Index (CPI) data hoga, jo ke Thursday ko release hoga. Analysts ka forecast hai ke core inflation—jo ke volatile food aur energy sectors ko exclude karta hai—month-over-month 0.2% aur year-over-year 3.4% tak badh sakti hai. Agar yeh data disinflation mein koi slowdown ya reversal dikhata hai, toh yeh market expectations ko temper kar sakta hai ke Fed September mein rate cut karega. Dusri taraf, agar inflation figures weak aati hain, toh yeh expectations ko mazid barhawa mil sakta hai.

GBP/USD/H11.2703.

Fed ke policy normalization ki taraf shift ki anticipation ke bawajood, Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne Tuesday ko apni semi-annual Congressional testimony mein is saal ke liye koi specific rate-cut trajectory outline karne se parheiz kiya. Powell ne is baat par zor diya ke interest rates ko current levels par barqarar rakhne ki zaroorat hai jab tak inflation ke Fed ke 2% target ke qareeb aane ka concrete evidence nahi milta.

Ab dekhte hain ke market is uncertainty mein kaise react karta hai. Chart ke mutabiq, ab upward aur downward movement dono ke possibilities hain. Investors ko thoda sabr rakhna hoga, aur CPI data ke release ka intazar karna hoga, jo ke Thursday ko aaye ga, uske baad hi market ke direction ke bare mein kuch clear hoga.

Recommendation: Market ko observe karte rahiye, aur jaldbaazi mein koi decision lene se parheiz karen. Situation ke clear hone ke baad hi apne positions ko adjust karen.

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GBP/USD Market Pair Analysis on Daily Timeframe

Kal, Friday ke din, GBP/USD market pair ne bullish movement dikhayi, jahan buyers ne market par apna control barqarar rakha. Buyers ki dominating presence ne sellers ke pressure ko handle kiya, jo ke 1.2730-1.2735 ke buyer support area ko penetrate karne mein nakam rahe. Is ke natijay mein, price ya candle ne phir se bullish movement dikhayi.

Agar hum is movement ko Daily timeframe par Bollinger Bands indicator ke zariye monitor karein, toh yeh saaf hai ke price abhi bhi buyers ke control mein hai. Buyers ne Lower Bollinger Bands ke area ke upar price ko maintain rakha, jo ke ek bullish signal hai. Buyers ne ek bullish Doji candlestick bhi banayi, jo yeh indicate karti hai ke market abhi bhi buyers ko support kar raha hai. Yeh support price ko Middle Bollinger Bands ke area ki taraf le ja sakti hai, jo ke 1.2835-1.2837 ke price area mein hai. Agar price is level ko successfully penetrate kar leti hai, toh market mein aur bhi bullish opportunity khul sakti hai, jiska agla target Upper Bollinger Bands area hoga.

Monday ko Asian market session mein trading ke dauran buyers ne apni bullish momentum ko barqarar rakha, aur price ko bullish direction mein le jane ki koshish ki. Unhone seller resistance area ko test kiya, jo ke 1.2760-1.2765 ke price level par hai. Agar buyers is area ko successfully penetrate kar lete hain, toh is se market mein ek aur strong bullish path khul sakta hai, jiska agla target 1.2775-1.2777 ke seller supply resistance area hoga.

Nateeja:

• Sell Entry: Agar sellers nearest buyer support area ko 1.2745-1.2743 ke price level par successfully penetrate kar lete hain, toh sell entry ki ja sakti hai. Is case mein TP target area 1.2728-1.2725 hoga.
• Buy Entry: Agar buyers nearest seller resistance area ko 1.2760-1.2765 ke price level par successfully penetrate kar lete hain, toh buy entry ki ja sakti hai. Is case mein TP target area 1.2775-1.2777 hoga.

Market abhi buyers ke favor mein hai, lekin dono taraf ki possibilities ko dekhte hue, trading decisions mein ihtiyaat baratni chahiye. Buyers ka focus ab agle resistance levels par hoga, jabke sellers support levels ko break karne ki koshish karenge. Is dauran, Bollinger Bands aur candlestick patterns par close monitoring zaroori hai. Trading strategy ko market ke current condition ke mutabiq adjust karna behtreen approach hogi.

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GBP/USD Market Pair Analysis on Daily Timeframe

Pichle kal, Friday ke din, GBP/USD market pair mein bullish movement dekhi gayi, jahan buyers ne apni taqatwar maujoodgi ke saath market par control qaim rakha. Buyers ne apna influence barqarar rakha, jiski wajah se sellers ke pressure ko khatam kar diya gaya. Sellers ke liye buyer support area 1.2730-1.2735 ko torna mushkil sabit hua, aur iski wajah se price ya candle ne dubara bullish movement dikhayi.

Agar hum is movement ko Daily timeframe par Bollinger Bands indicator ke zariye dekhein, toh yeh wazeh hai ke price abhi bhi buyers ke qabze mein hai. Buyers ne Lower Bollinger Bands ke area ke upar price ko achi tarah se barqarar rakha, jo ke ek mazid bullish signal hai. Buyers ne ek bullish Doji candlestick bhi banayi, jo yeh dikhati hai ke market abhi bhi buyers ko support faraham kar raha hai. Yeh support price ko Middle Bollinger Bands ke area ki taraf le ja sakti hai, jo ke 1.2835-1.2837 ke price area mein hai. Agar price is level ko successfully tor leti hai, toh market mein mazeed bullish opportunities samnay aa sakti hain, jinka agla target Upper Bollinger Bands area hoga.

Monday ke Asian market session mein trading ke dauran buyers ne apni bullish momentum ko qaim rakha aur price ko mazeed bullish direction mein le jane ki koshish ki. Buyers ne seller resistance area ko test kiya, jo ke 1.2760-1.2765 ke price level par hai. Agar buyers is area ko successfully cross kar lete hain, toh is se market mein ek aur mazid strong bullish path khul sakta hai, jiska agla target 1.2775-1.2777 ke seller supply resistance area hoga.

Nateeja:

• Sell Entry: Agar sellers, nearest buyer support area ko 1.2745-1.2743 ke price level par successfully tor dete hain, toh sell entry ki ja sakti hai. Is case mein TP target area 1.2728-1.2725 hoga.
• Buy Entry: Agar buyers, nearest seller resistance area ko 1.2760-1.2765 ke price level par successfully cross kar lete hain, toh buy entry ki ja sakti hai. Is case mein TP target area 1.2775-1.2777 hoga.

Market ka rujhan filhaal buyers ke haq mein hai, magar dono taraf ki possibilities ko dekhte hue, trading decisions mein ihtiyaat baratni zaroori hai. Buyers ka focus ab agle resistance levels par hoga, jabke sellers apne efforts se support levels ko torne ki koshish karenge. Is dauran, Bollinger Bands aur candlestick patterns ka ghehra mutaalaah karna lazmi hoga. Market ke current conditions ke mutabiq apni trading strategy ko adjust karna ek behtareen tareeqa hoga.

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British pound ne European morning trading mein 1.2770 ke level par US dollar ke muqable mein apni position open ki. Federal Reserve ki September mein interest rate cut ki umeed ne pehle to pound ko support diya, lekin uske baad ke developments ne currency pair ke trajectory ko mushkil bana diya. Market ki anticipation of Federal Reserve rate cut, jo CME FedWatch tool ke zariye fueled thi, ne US Treasury yields par downward pressure dala, jisse US dollar kamzor hua aur GBP/USD pair ko thoda support mila.

Lekin, Kansas City Federal Reserve ke President Jeffrey Schmid ke comments, jo ke aur mazeed monetary tightening ke imkaniyat ko dikhate hain agar inflation kam hoti hai, ne in umeedon ko thoda neutralize kiya, jiski wajah se pound ki upside potential limited rahi. Dosri taraf, Bank of England ne pichle haftay apne interest rates ko quarter point se 5% tak kam karne ka faisla kiya, jo ke pound ke liye ek setback sabit hua. Policy makers ke behtareen confidence ki kami ne GBP ko weaker-than-expected bana diya.

Iske ilawa, Middle East mein barhte hue geopolitical tensions, khaaskar Gaza area mein Israeli airstrikes ke intensification ne investors mein risk aversion ko barha diya, jiski wajah se pound ki gains par mazid pressure aaya.

Technical Analysis:

Technically, GBP/USD pair ko significant resistance 1.2814 level par darpaish hai, jo ke ek broken channel ke upper boundary ke sath coincide karta hai. 20-day moving average aur 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level jo ke 1.2867 par hai, woh bhi upward momentum ke liye hurdles pose karte hain. Niche ki taraf, agar 1.2670 support level breach hota hai, toh yeh ek deeper correction ko trigger kar sakta hai jo 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at 1.2583 ya phir 1.2512 level tak le ja sakti hai. Agar yeh decline in levels se niche sustain hoti hai, toh strong uptrend jo ke 1.2443 ke qareeb hai, focus mein aa sakta hai.

Nateeja:

GBP/USD pair is waqt conflicting forces ke darmiyan ghiri hui hai. Federal Reserve rate cut ki potential ne kuch support diya hai, lekin geopolitical risks, domestic monetary policy challenges aur technical resistance ne pound ki upside potential ko limited kar diya hai. Traders ko ehtiyaat baratni chahiye aur developments ko closely monitor karna chahiye jab yeh currency pair is complex environment ko navigate kar raha hai.

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Ab jab ke haftay ka aghaz ho gaya hai, chaliye GBP/USD currency pair ka H4 chart analyze karte hain. Guzishta trading week kaafi productive tha, aur meri raaye mein yahan har koi, chahe wo sellers ho ya buyers, khush hoga kyunke price ne upar aur neeche dono taraf movement ki, jo sabko apne points lene ka moka diya.

Week ke pehle hisse mein hum predictably neeche ki taraf gaye, kyunke 1.2810 par ek horizontal resistance level tha, aur is se do martaba profitable selling ki ja sakti thi. Uske baad, jab price aur neeche girne lagi, toh is level ka retest hua. Phir hum neeche ke level par phans gaye aur ek aur resistance level 1.2732 par sell karne ka moka mila. Buyers ke liye, neeche MACD indicator par ek bullish divergence bana, jo ke kuch intezar ke baad upar ki taraf kaam kar gaya.

Uske baad sab kuch technical aur beautifully execute hua - ek bounce descending resistance line se bilkul decline ke edge par mirror level tak hua jo 1.2723 par tha. Aur phir is level se upar ki taraf bounce hua. In sab levels aur lines se bounces hue, aur market ne har jagah do-tin dozen points diye. Yeh is baat ka numaya misaal hai ke sirf position open karna aur ek side ke breakthrough ka intezar karna sahi approach nahi hai.

Ab yahan ek uncertainty ka mahaul hai, price squeezed ho rahi hai. 1.2767 par upar se ek resistance level aur neeche se 1.2723 par support level bana hua hai. Aur pound ke liye yeh range kaafi choti hai. Yahan kuch karne ka faida nahi, yeh sirf ek position accumulation zone ho sakti hai agle movement ke liye. Aur ek taraf entry lena sirf tab mumkin hai jab yeh range breakout hoti hai.

General tor par, main zyada neeche ki taraf dekhne ko tarjeeh deta hoon kyunke trend downward hai. Mera khayal hai ke price ka target 1.2611 ke qareeb hoga, jo ke daily downward wave ka minimum hai.

برطانوی پاؤنڈ (GBP) نے منگل کے روز قابلِ ذکر نقصان کا سامنا کیا کیونکہ تاجر ہفتے کے درمیان آنے والے اقتصادی ڈیٹا کی ریلیزز کی تیاری کر رہے تھے۔ یہ کمی اہم مقامی اقتصادی ڈیٹا کی اشاعت سے پہلے آئی ہے، جو برطانیہ اور امریکہ دونوں سے جاری ہونے والے ہیں، اور اس کا سرمایہ کاروں کے جذبات اور کرنسی کی قدر پر بڑا اثر پڑنے کی توقع ہے۔ ایک اہم واقعہ جو کیلنڈر پر ہے وہ S&P پرچیزنگ مینیجرز انڈیکس (PMI) سرگرمی کے اعداد و شمار کا اجراء ہے۔ برطانیہ بدھ کے روز اپنا PMI نتیجہ اعلان کرے گا، اور تجزیہ کار خدمات کے شعبے میں معمولی بحالی کی توقع کر رہے ہیں۔ جون میں برطانیہ کا خدمات کا PMI سات ماہ کی کم ترین سطح 52.1 پر پہنچ گیا تھا، لیکن اس مرتبہ مارکیٹ 52.5 تک معمولی بہتری کی پیش گوئی کر رہی ہے۔

دوسری جانب، امریکہ بھی جولائی کے خدمات PMI ڈیٹا کا اجراء کرے گا۔ یہاں معمولی کمی کی توقع ہے، جو جون کے 55.3 سے کم ہو کر جولائی میں 54.4 تک پہنچ سکتی ہے۔ اس ممکنہ سست روی نے امریکی اقتصادی ترقی اور فیڈرل ریزرو کی شرح سود میں کمی کے امکان کے بارے میں خدشات کو جنم دیا ہے، جو ستمبر میں ہو سکتی ہے۔ عالمی منڈیاں اس شرح میں کمی کا شدت سے انتظار کر رہی ہیں، اور تاجر تقریباً یقین رکھتے ہیں کہ ستمبر 18 کو فیڈرل اوپن مارکیٹ کمیٹی (FOMC) کے اجلاس کے دوران چوتھائی پوائنٹ کی کمی کی جائے گی۔ یہ توقع امریکی معیشت کے مزید اشاروں کی نگرانی پر مبنی ہے۔

ڈیٹا کی یہ سلسلہ پورے ہفتے جاری رہے گا، اور امریکہ جمعرات کو اپنی دوسری سہ ماہی کے جی ڈی پی اپڈیٹ کا اعلان کرنے کی توقع کر رہا ہے۔ ماہرینِ اقتصادیات سالانہ جی ڈی پی کی شرح میں معمولی اضافہ کی پیش گوئی کر رہے ہیں، جو کہ پچھلی سہ ماہی کی 1.4% سے بڑھ کر 1.9% تک پہنچ سکتی ہے۔ ہفتہ امریکی پرسنل کنزمپشن ایکسپنڈیچر (PCE) پرائس انڈیکس کے اجراء کے ساتھ ختم ہوگا، جو کہ مہنگائی کا ایک اہم اشارہ ہے۔ تجزیہ کار توقع کرتے ہیں کہ بنیادی PCE مہنگائی میں مزید کمی ہو سکتی ہے، جو جون کی 2.6% سے کم ہو کر 2.5% تک پہنچ سکتی ہے۔

اس وقت GBP/USD جوڑی پر نیچے کی جانب دباؤ ہے، اور تاجر 1.2860-1.2890 کے قریب سپورٹ لیولز کا بغور مشاہدہ کر رہے ہیں۔ اگر یہ زون ٹوٹ جاتا ہے تو یہ ایک بڑی کمی کا آغاز کر سکتا ہے، جو ممکنہ طور پر 50 دن کی سادہ موونگ ایوریج 1.2760 پر اور ایک اوپر کی طرف بڑھتی ہوئی لائن کے ارد گرد 1.2740 تک پہنچ سکتی ہے۔ اس کے برعکس، اگر 1.2890 کی قیمت کے قریب ایک ری باؤنڈ ہوتا ہے تو یہ ممکنہ اوپر کی جانب حرکت کا اشارہ دے سکتا ہے، جس سے جوڑی پچھلی بلند ترین قیمتوں 1.3045 کے قریب دوبارہ کوشش کر سکتی ہے۔ اگر مثبت رفتار برقرار رہتی ہے، تو یہ جولائی 2023 کی بلند ترین سطح 1.3140 کو بھی چیلنج کر سکتی ہے۔

آخر میں، آنے والے دنوں میں اعلیٰ اثر والے اقتصادی ڈیٹا کے اعلانات ہوں گے جو GBP/USD کے تبادلے کی شرح پر نمایاں اثر ڈالیں گے۔ توجہ PMI اعداد و شمار، جی ڈی پی کی ترقی، اور مہنگائی کے ڈیٹا پر ہوگی، جو کہ سرمایہ کاروں کے جذبات کو متاثر کرنے اور کرنسی کی حرکت کو آگے بڑھانے کا سبب بنیں گے۔





4o

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GBP/USD is waqt 1.2760 ke aas paas hover kar raha hai, aur hum ne is haftay ke liye 1.2855 ka peak dekha hai. Is ke baad price mein significant drop aaya jo ke ab current range mein hai. Agar price naye resistance level 1.2915 ko surpass kar jati hai, toh hum agle haftay ke liye bullish trend ko confirm kar sakte hain aur expected breakout level 1.2890 hoga. Buyers GBP/USD pair mein strong rahenge aur price ko previous swing zone 1.2835 tak push karne ki koshish karenge. Halanki price ne pichle trading session mein reversal kiya, lekin phir bhi narrow range mein hi raha. 1.2865 ke bottom ko test karne ke baad, moving price D-1 chart par ab bhi higher levels par hai.

1.2810 ke high tak pahunchne ke baad, price ne wapas 1.2770 tak drop kiya. Agar price massive top ko break karte hue upar jati hai, toh 1.2755 ka top aasani se reach ho sakta hai. MACD indicator par overbought zone nazar aa raha hai. Agar bulls zyada aggressive hote hain, toh horizontal resistance area 1.2740 ko test kiya ja sakta hai. Is level ka successful test karne ke baad, spot price 1.2670 se aage badhne ki koshish karega. Agar price ka direction change hota hai, toh yeh wapas 1.2660 tak aa sakti hai. Phir bhi, market participants agle din 1.2730 ke low ko target karenge taake zyada long-term risks le sakein.

GBP/USD ne 1.2710 ke initial part ko reach kar liya hai, aur ab price ko upper cloud ke upar conquer karna zaroori hoga. Agar bearish forces wapas aati hain aur price ko 37.30% Fibonacci level 1.2895 se neeche le jaati hain, toh 1.2830 aur 1.2850 ke darmiyan significant support area exist kar sakta hai. Agar price aur neeche jati hai, toh SMA-100 day line ke buffer zone 1.2900 mein close aur slight dip at 1.2940 50.00% Fibo power ko trigger hone se rokh sakte hain agar price thoda aur neeche jati hai. Yeh bearish market scenario kehta hai ke 1.2845 Fibonacci retracement 62.30% retracement ke tor par adjust ho sakta hai.

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GBP/USD Price Studies

Hum GBP/USD currency pair ke live dynamics ka analysis karte hain. Meri pehli analysis mein, GBP/USD currency pair ne 2729 ke aas-paas temporarily stall kiya, jabke targets 2829 tak the. Momentum ki kami thi, lekin technical indicators ke strict adherence zaroori hai, bina kisi emotional influence ke. Har din naye mauqe le kar aata hai, aur Friday ke close par, GBP/USD mein continued growth ke signs hain. Local maximum bana, aur buying volume barh gaya, jo Monday ke market action ke liye stage set karta hai. Agla step 2779 level ko break karna hai, jo ke 2799 tak reach karne ki potential rakhta hai, aur buying ke liye primary target 2859 hai. Lekin is level ko hit karne ke baad, market ko dobara assess karna zaroori hoga. Main ne initially 2759 level se sell ka plan banaya tha, lekin yeh opportunity nahi mili. Optimal buying range 2759 ke aas-paas hai lekin 2729 se upar, jiske targets 2799 aur 2859 hain.

Agar price 2729 tak drop karti hai, toh buy trades ko dobara consider karna ya completely stop karna chahiye. Pound-Dollar (GBP/USD) pair trading week ke end par local growth ke signs dikhata hai. Haftay ke end par, GBP/USD exchange rate Forex par 1.2764 tha. Moving averages bearish trend ko indicate karte hain, prices 1.2809 ke neeche trade ho rahi hain, jo ke ongoing seller pressure aur decline ke possible continuation ko signal karta hai. Agle haftay, British Pound ka US Dollar ke against rally attempt karne ka potential hai, 1.2809 ke aas-paas resistance test karne ka. Is level ko reach karne ke baad, pair likely pull back karega aur US Dollar ke against apni decline resume karega. Is decline ke liye forecasted target 1.2659 ke aas-paas hai.

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GBP/USD Prices Ka Analysis

GBP/USD currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior ka analysis karna zaroori hai. Monday ko Asia market mein trading ek flat range ke andar hogi, jo ke 1.2762 aur 1.2739 ke beech rahegi. Ek choti si entry sales zone mein dekhne ko mil sakti hai jo ke 1.2794 aur 1.2762 ke beech ban rahi hai. Direction ko bilkul certainty ke saath predict karna mushkil hai, lekin mujhe declines ka potential nazar aata hai, jo subtle indications se support hota hai—agar dollar par sustained pressure na ho, tab bearish movement ki possibility hai. Current growth ke hisaab se, minimum rise 1.279 ke aas-paas ho sakti hai, jo ke 1.2849 tak bhi reach kar sakti hai. Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke 1.279-1.2809 ya 1.2839 levels ke upar position secure na karein, kyunki agar yeh levels break hoti hain, toh ascending channel mein wapas aane ka signal mil sakta hai, jo ke further growth ki chances ko significantly barha sakta hai. Lekin, yeh growth sirf corrective movement bhi ho sakti hai.

Agar aap sell karne ka soch rahe hain, toh 1.2849 ek viable point hai, aur 1.2819 tak retreat ek favorable opportunity de sakti hai. 1.249 ka target sirf ek ambitious desire nahi hai; pair sabse pehle 1.259-1.2608 ke level tak aim kar sakti hai, aur agar breach hota hai, toh kam se kam 1.229 tak decline dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Yeh scenario potential rakhta hai, khaaskar agar Bank of England Federal Reserve ki tarah rate reductions ko continue karta hai. Lekin, U.S. economy ki behtar condition zyada robust safety margin offer karti hai. Aage dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke August mein current contract level 1.2629 ke neeche decline dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jo ke decline ka 75% correction tak ho sakta hai, aur growth 1.2849 tak pahunch sakti hai bina expected trajectory ko change kiye hue. Yeh scenario daily chart par bearish head and shoulders pattern ke taur par bhi manifest ho sakta hai. Agar Friday ko normal correction nahi hoti, toh rapid rise 1.2849 ki taraf ho sakti hai. Short-term benchmarks Monday ko growth resume hone par 1.2811-1.2836 range tak pahunch sakte hain.

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GBP/USD Market Analysis

Hello colleagues. Pichle haftay, GBP/USD ka trend niche ki taraf tha aur yeh trend kuch hafton se chal raha tha. Aane wale haftay ke liye main is pair ki movement ka forecast karne ki koshish karunga. Chaliye dekhte hain ke technical analysis kya recommend karta hai aur kaise aane wale haftay mein trade ki planning karni chahiye.

Technical Analysis

Technical analysis ke mutabiq, moving averages aur technical indicators dono hi bullish signals de rahe hain. Yeh signals indicate karte hain ke market mein buying pressure dominant hai. Moving averages ka trend buy ki taraf hai aur technical indicators bhi bullish signals de rahe hain. Yeh saare indicators milkar yeh conclude karte hain ke GBP/USD pair mein buying opportunities zyada hain aur bullish trend ko support karte hain. Isliye, technical analysis ke hawale se, trading strategy ko bullish rakhna ek samajhdari ka qadam hai.

Important News Releases

Aane wale haftay mein, GBP/USD pair ke liye kuch important news releases ki umeed hai jo market ki movement ko affect kar sakti hain. US se kuch ahem news aane wali hain, jo ke market ke sentiment ko negative side par lean kar sakti hain. Thursday ko 15:30 par, US se ek series of important news releases expected hain aur inka forecast negative hai. Yeh news releases US dollar ke strength ko impact kar sakti hain aur GBP/USD pair ke liye volatility create kar sakti hain.

Isi tarah se, England se bhi important news releases expected hain, jo ke current moment par negative forecast de rahi hain. England se bhi Thursday ko 09:00 par important news releases scheduled hain. Yeh news releases GBP ki movement ko bhi affect kar sakti hain aur market ko sideways ya bearish movement ki taraf le ja sakti hain.

Market Movement Forecast

Aane wale haftay ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke GBP/USD pair zyadatar sideways movement dikha sakta hai. Resistance level 1.2850 tak buying opportunities milne ki umeed hai, jabke sales support level 1.2660 tak pahunchnay ki sambhavnayein hain. Yeh sideways movement market ke technical indicators aur news releases ke forecast ko madde nazar rakhtay hue possible hai.

Buying and Selling Opportunities

Agar hum buying opportunities ki baat karein, toh resistance level 1.2850 tak price pahunchne ke baad, buying opportunities zyada honge. Yeh level pair ke liye ek key resistance point hai aur agar price is level ko break kar leti hai, toh market mein bullish momentum ko further support milega. Is level par buying karna ek achi opportunity ho sakti hai, lekin is level ko break karne ke baad market ki behavior ko closely monitor karna zaroori hoga.

Sales ke liye, support level 1.2660 tak price pahunchne par sales ki opportunities dekhne ko mil sakti hain. Agar price is support level ke neeche chali jati hai, toh yeh bearish trend ko signify kar sakta hai aur market mein further decline ke chances badh sakte hain. Isliye, agar market support level 1.2660 ko break kar deti hai, toh sales position lena ek strategic move ho sakta hai.

Sideways Movement

Aane wale haftay mein, sideways movement ka scenario bhi dekha ja sakta hai. Technical indicators aur news releases ke mutabiq, market ki movement sideways ho sakti hai. Iska matlab hai ke price ek narrow range ke andar fluctuate karegi aur kisi clear direction ko follow nahi karegi. Yeh movement trading opportunities ko limited kar sakti hai aur traders ko careful planning aur risk management ke sath trade karna padega.

Trading Plan

Mere trading plan ke mutabiq, aane wale haftay mein sideways movement ke bawajood bhi, buying aur selling opportunities ko consider karna zaroori hai. Resistance level 1.2850 aur support level 1.2660 ke darmiyan movement ko closely monitor karna hoga. Agar price is range ke andar move karti hai, toh traders ko short-term trades aur quick decisions lene ki zaroorat hogi.

Buying opportunities ko utilize karte hue, resistance level 1.2850 ke paas buying position lena behtar ho sakta hai, jabke support level 1.2660 ke paas selling position lena bhi ek option hai. Iske ilawa, market ke trend aur news releases ko closely follow karte hue trading strategy ko adjust karna bhi zaroori hoga.

Conclusion

Aane wale haftay ke liye, GBP/USD pair mein sideways movement ka scenario zyada probable lagta hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, buying aur selling opportunities dono hi available hain, lekin market ki movement ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai. Resistance level 1.2850 aur support level 1.2660 ke darmiyan price movement ko observe karte hue trading decisions lene chahiye. News releases aur technical indicators ke basis par trading strategy ko adjust karte hue risk management par focus karna hoga. Yeh mera trading plan hai aane wale haftay ke liye. Sabko trading mein achi luck aur success ki dua.

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GBP/USD Daily Price Forecasts

GBP/USD ka daily chart dekh kar hum current price action ko samajh sakte hain. Abhi tak jo signals north ki taraf hain, unmein koi interruption nahi aayi hai. Halaanki, descending trend line ko break karna baqi hai, aur agar yeh level break hota hai, toh hum aage ke growth ki umeed kar sakte hain. Agar price 1.2725 ke niche wapas chali jati hai, toh yeh bullish trend ka end ho sakta hai. Is level ke neeche consolidation hone se bulls ke sab efforts bekaar ho sakte hain aur market ki upward movement band ho sakti hai.

UK ke budget mein ek bohot bada deficit hai, jo kal nahi bana. Pichle Prime Minister ke sab waade, jo budget ki situation ko improve karne ke liye kiye gaye the, woh sab fail ho gaye. Ab government ko thoda borrow karna padega aur Central Bank ke refinancing rate ko kam karne ki wajah se budget par debt burden kam hoga. Iska matlab hai ke short-term mein kuch stability dekhne ko mil sakti hai, lekin long-term mein budget deficit abhi bhi ek concern hai.

Is hafte ke liye, sabse important news American consumer price statistics ki publication hogi. Yeh news market mein significant volatility la sakti hai, khaaskar agar data expectations se kaafi different nikla. Agar consumer price data bahut hi surprising aati hai, toh yeh GBP/USD pair par direct impact daal sakti hai, aur market mein sharp movements dekhne ko mil sakti hain.

Filhal, GBP/USD quotes 1.2758 ke neeche wapas aa rahi hain. Is level ke break hone ke baad long-term movement ki expectation nahi rakhni chahiye. Halaanki, yeh possibility hai ke quotes 1.2722 tak neeche aayen, taake is support level ko test kiya ja sake. Agar yeh support level bhi break ho jata hai, toh market ko aur niche dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

Technical Analysis:

GBP/USD ke daily chart pe, jo current trend hai usko samajhna zaroori hai. Abhi tak, price ne 1.2810 ke aas-paas ek local maximum achieve kiya, aur phir wapas gir gayi. Yeh downward trend tab tak continue ho sakta hai jab tak price 1.2725 ke neeche rehti hai. Agar yeh level hold nahi hota, toh market ko neeche dekhne ki umeed rakhi ja sakti hai.

Technical indicators jaise ke moving averages aur MACD bhi downward trend ko confirm kar rahe hain. Moving averages ne bearish signals diya hai, aur MACD bhi downward momentum ko support kar raha hai. In indicators ke basis par, market ko support levels ke around dekhna chahiye, aur agar yeh levels break hote hain, toh downward movement further badh sakti hai.

Market Sentiment:

Market sentiment bhi important role play karta hai. Agar market participants ki sentiment bearish hai, toh yeh downward movement ko aur strengthen kar sakta hai. Is waqt, US ki economic conditions aur consumer price data ka impact dekhna zaroori hai. Agar data negative aata hai, toh USD par pressure badh sakta hai aur GBP/USD pair ko support mil sakta hai.

UK ki domestic issues bhi market sentiment ko impact kar rahe hain. UK ke budget deficit aur economic policies market ke liye concerns ban rahe hain. Is wajah se, agar UK ke economic conditions improve nahi hoti, toh GBP par downward pressure ban sakta hai.

Upcoming Weeks' Outlook:

Aane wale hafte ke liye, GBP/USD ki movement ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai. Agar price 1.2758 ke neeche rehti hai aur 1.2722 ke support level ko test karti hai, toh market mein further downward movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Lekin agar price 1.2725 ke upar consolidate karti hai aur resistance levels ko break karti hai, toh bullish trend bhi develop ho sakta hai.

Overall, market ko technical indicators aur news releases ke basis pe analyze karna zaroori hai. Is waqt, technical indicators bearish trend ko support kar rahe hain, aur upcoming economic data market sentiment ko impact kar sakta hai. Trading decisions ko carefully plan karna chahiye, aur support aur resistance levels ke around trading opportunities dekhni chahiye.

Agar aap trading kar rahe hain, toh market ki volatility aur news releases ka dhyan rakhein. Risk management aur strategic planning se trading decisions ko guide karein, taake market ki fluctuations ka sahi use kiya ja sake. Overall, GBP/USD ka trend abhi downward lag raha hai, lekin market conditions aur economic data ke basis pe quick adjustments zaroori honge.

GBP/USD



Hello everyone, I prefer GBP/USD for technical analysis and use the hourly chart. The pound's price is currently trading below the 50 simple moving average. There is a need to keep the price above 1.2815. A new decline began, and the price settled below the 1.2695 support level. A simple moving average of 50 and 1.2760 are below the current pound price. At 1.2720, it traded low and is now trying to break out. The price has risen above the Fibonacci retracement level in the past few months from 1.2750 to 1.2770. The hourly chart also showed a break above a significant downtrend line with resistance near 1.2835. Both resistance levels are 50 simple moving average and a 1.2845 simple moving average. Bulls are facing a significant resistance near 1.2925. This price is close to the Fib retracement level of the recent drop from the 1.2840 high to the 1.2865 high. The price may rise if the resistance level of 1.2830 is cleared. 1.2880 is the next significant resistance at the top, and the price will likely move higher towards 1.2890. As long as the suitable catalyst emerges, the relative strength indicator remains in the mid range on the hourly chart. Initial support is near 1.2720 on the downside. Around 1.2740 is the next significant support level. Breaking below 1.2670 support may require more gains and losses. In the case above, the price may decline towards 1.2650 support in the near term. In the chart, I have marked that if the market closes its candle below the 50 simple moving average and rejects the moving average, it is likely to go down if it closes its candle below the 50 simple moving average. According to my explanation, if the price of a candle closes above its 50 simple moving average, the market may rise as a result.


CHART:

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GBP/USD Analysis Update - 11 August 2024

Aakhri trading session, jo Friday ko tha, mein GBP/USD pair zyada tar buyers ke control mein raha. Sellers ke pressure ke baad, price ne 1.2733-1.2735 ke area mein strong support find kiya, jo further decline ko rokne mein madadgar sabit hua. Isse buyers ko momentum mila aur price ko upar push karne mein madad mili, jisse din ka close bullish raha.
Moving Average Analysis


Daily chart pe Moving Average (MA) indicator ka analysis karte waqt, price abhi bhi Red MA 50 line ke neeche hai, jo indicate karta hai ke overall bearish pressure abhi bhi mojood hai. Lekin, recent days mein jo bullish momentum dekha gaya hai, wo suggest karta hai ke buyers ki strength badh rahi hai. Key area jo monitor karna hai wo hai Red MA 50 zone, jo 1.2780-1.2783 ke aas-paas hai. Agar price is level ko successfully break karti hai aur iske upar sustain hoti hai, toh bullish trend continue ho sakta hai aur agle dinon mein further gains dekhne ko mil sakte hain.
Monday ke Trading Outlook


Agle Monday ke trading session ke liye, sellers ki taraf se renewed bearish pressure ka potential hai. Yeh isliye hai kyunki buyers abhi tak significant resistance zone 1.2770-1.2768 ko break nahi kar paaye hain. Agar sellers is opportunity ka faida uthate hain, toh price critical support area 1.2735-1.2733 ki taraf lower ho sakti hai. Agar yeh support level break hota hai, toh further decline dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jiska next target demand support zone 1.2675-1.2673 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai.

Lekin, agar buyers 1.2733 support area ko defend kar lete hain aur price ko upar push karte hain, toh GBP/USD pair apne upward trajectory ko continue kar sakta hai, aur long-term bullish trend resume ho sakta hai.
Trading Strategy


Buy Strategy: Traders ko buy consider karna chahiye agar price seller's resistance area ko break kar deti hai. A pending buy stop order 1.2768-1.2770 range mein place kiya ja sakta hai, jiska take-profit area 1.2835 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai.

Sell Strategy: Wahi, sell strategy ko employ kiya ja sakta hai agar price buyer's support area ko break kar deti hai. A pending sell stop order 1.2735-1.2733 zone mein set kiya ja sakta hai, jiska take-profit target 1.2675-1.2670 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai.
Conclusion


GBP/USD pair ab ek critical juncture pe hai, jahan buyers aur sellers dono control ke liye compete kar rahe hain. Key levels jo monitor karne chahiye wo hain resistance area 1.2770 ke aas-paas aur support area 1.2733 ke paas. Kisi bhi direction mein breakout hone se market mein next significant move ka trend set ho sakta hai. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur price action ke unfolding ke basis pe buy aur sell opportunities ko consider karna chahiye.