𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

GBPUSD Tajziya Updates
11 August 2024





Kal, Jummah ko GBPUSD bazar mein trading ka waqt kharidariyon ke control mein tha, jinhon ne pehle farokht karon ke control ke baad keemat ko buland kar diya. Yeh dekha gaya ke keemat kharidari support area 1.2733-1.2735 ke neeche nahi gir paayi, jiski wajah se farokht karon ka mauqa kho gaya aur kharidariyon ne is mauqe ka faida utha kar keemat ko wapas buland kiya.

Daily time window par Moving Average indicator ki madad se dekha gaya hai ke keemat ya candle abhi bhi Red MA 50 area ke neeche hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke bearish pressure abhi bhi kaafi mazboot hai. Lekin, kharidariyon ki aakhri kuch dinon ki domination ke sath, jisme bullish candlesticks dikhaayi di hain, yeh kharidariyon ko agle hafte me keemat ko buland karne ka mauqa de sakta hai, jiska agla bullish target Red MA 50 area par 1.2780-1.2783 tak hai. Agar yeh is Red MA 50 area ko tor kar uske upar rehne mein kamyab hota hai, to GBPUSD ki harkat aage bhi mazboot ban sakti hai.

Kal, Somwar ko trading par farokht karon ka bearish pressure dekhne ko mil sakta hai kyun ke kharidari abhi tak farokht karon ke resistance area ko torne mein nakam rahe hain jo 1.2770-1.2768 par hai. Is wajah se farokht karon ko ye mauqa mil sakta hai ke keemat ko kharidari support area 1.2735-1.2733 ki taraf neeche ki taraf push kar sakein. Agar yeh area tor diya jata hai, to GBPUSD ka keemat agle target par 1.2675-1.2673 ki taraf aur kamzor ho sakta hai. Lekin agar kharidariyon ne support area ko mazbooti se pakad liya, to keemat phir se bullish hone ka potential rakhti hai jisse iska long-term bullish trend jaari reh sakta hai.

Nateejah:

Buy trading ke liye, tab kiya ja sakta hai agar keemat farokht karon ke resistance area ko tor le, iske liye pending buy stop order 1.2768-1.2770 par rakhein aur TP area 1.2835-1.2835 par set karein.

Sell trading ke liye, tab kiya ja sakta hai agar keemat kharidari support area ko tor le, iske liye pending sell stop order 1.2735-1.2733 par rakhein aur TP area 1.2675-1.2670 par set karein.

June ke aghaz se GBP/USD market ka jo movement main monitor kar raha hoon, woh zyadatar bearish raha hai jab tak ke yeh simple moving average zone of period 100 se neeche nahi gir gaya. Jab market July mein dakhil hui, to buyers ne upward trend ko control mein le liya aur prices dheere dheere barhna shuru ho gayi. Iss hafte ke trading session tak, price increase 1.2614 ke position ko touch kar sakti thi. Halankeh kal raat ek halka sa bearish correction aaya, lekin upward trend jari raha kyun ke aaj subah tak price uptrend mein chal rahi hai. Agar aap current candlestick position par nazar dalain, to yeh ab bhi simple moving average zone of period 100 ke upar hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke buyers ab bhi price ko bullish side par le jaane ki koshish kar rahe hain.

Market yeh dikha rahi hai ke price apni sabse neeche ki monthly position se upar ja rahi hai, aur aaj subah tak price aik chhoti si range mein chal rahi hai. Mahine ke aghaz se price journey ka rujhan lagta hai ke bullish journey abhi tak doosre buyers se support ho rahi hai. Pehle ke price increase ne candlestick ko mahine ke aghaz mein opening zone se door le jaane mein madad di hai, lagta hai ke buyers ab bhi isse aur bhi higher price area tak le jaane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Is hafte GBP/USD pair ne 1.2649 par open kiya, aur 4-hour time frame se yeh pata chal raha hai ke pichle mahine se buyers ke influence ki wajah se prices barh rahi hain.

Trading week ke aghaz se hi buyers ne prices ko barhane ki koshish ki hai. Agar hum larger time frame trend par dhyan dein, to yeh bullish hai. Lagta hai ke market ab bhi agle upward momentum ka intezaar kar rahi hai, jo aaj ya agle hafte ho sakta hai. 100-period simple moving average line ke upar comfortably chalti candlesticks ke wajood ki buniyad par, main yeh predict karta hoon ke price apni bullish journey jari rakh sakti hai agar fundamentals, jaise ke aaj raat ka Non-Farm Payroll data, upward trend ko support karte hain. Lekin, subah ke waqt market ki sukoonat ki wajah se, humein dopahar ya sham tak ruk kar ek wazeh trading signal ka intezaar karna hoga.

**Transaction Options:**
Is waqt market mein multiple transaction options hain jo price ki movement par depend karte hain. Aik option yeh hai ke agar price current support level ko break karte hue neeche jaati hai, to yeh selling opportunity ho sakti hai. Agar price upper resistance ko cross karte hue upar jaati hai, to buying ki strategy apply ki ja sakti hai. Hamesha trading mein risk management ka khayal rakhna chahiye aur market conditions ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye.

Aaj subah ke waqt, US Dollar global currencies ke muqable mein dabao mein hai kyun ke price quote daily pivot se neeche hai. GBP/USD aik interesting pair hai jise agar price action ke perspective se dekha jaye to, isne 160 pips ki bullish movement record ki hai, jo ke resistance level 1.2858 ko break karne ka mauqa de sakti hai aur weekly range 240 pips tak poori karne ka chance banta hai. Is analysis mein hum aaj ke trading ke liye technical aspects aur optimal trading setup par baat karenge, multi timeframes ka istemal karte hue.

Asian market ke khulne ke baad se, price weekly highest area 1.2776 par hai. Yeh level aik potential sell area ban sakta hai agar price growth karne mein nakam hoti hai jab buyers apne profits realize karte hue open positions ko close karte hain. Lekin, daily timeframe par dekha jaye to candle ab tak upper Bollinger Band ko touch nahi kar payi hai aur 1.2800 tak barhne ki kafi gunjaish hai. Is ke ilawa, 1.2858 tak pahunchne ka potential bhi mojood hai, kyun ke aaj raat ko Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data release hoga, jo forex market mein bohat zyada volatility la sakta hai. Agar market close tak price apne aap ko sustain nahi kar pati, to yeh aik daily reject candle banayegi, jo agli trading mein decline ko trigger kar sakti hai. Is condition se humein yeh general tasveer milti hai ke price ke fake out hone ka potential hai.

4-hour timeframe par price movement yeh dikhati hai ke buyers ne orange downtrend line ko successfully break karte hue uptrend start kar diya hai, lekin price position blue rectangle supply zone 1.2757 - 1.2766 mein phans gayi hai. Agar price growth karne mein nakam hoti hai, to yeh yellow rectangle demand zone 1.2691 - 1.2678 tak decline ko trigger kar sakti hai. Yeh demand zone interestingly aik weekly re-entry buy zone hai. Bar'aks, agar buyers successfully breakout karte hain, to price movement green rectangle resistance area 1.2843 - 1.2856 ki taraf barh sakti hai. Agar hum RSI 14 aur Stochastic oscillator indicators ka observation karein, to yeh overbought area mein flat dikhai dete hain, jo ke yeh indicate karta hai ke bullish trend abhi bhi dominant hai. ZZL yaani Zero Loss signal bhi form ho chuka hai jahan MA5/MA10 High aur Low lines aur middle Bollinger band line ne blue EMA50 trend line ko cross karte hue upar rise kiya hai. Jab yeh death cross pattern form hota hai, to aam tor par price pull back hoti hai jo aik optimal buy position open karne ka mauqa de sakti hai.

**Trading Setup:**
- **BUY ON BREAKOUT**: Agar supply zone 1.2757 - 1.2766 ka breakout hota hai aik solid bullish candle ke saath, to Stop Loss (SL) 1.2730 aur Take Profit (TP) 1.2843 hoga.
- **BUY LIMIT**: Yellow rectangle demand area 1.2691 - 1.2678 mein possible pullback anticipate karte hue, SL 1.2650 aur TP1 1.2766 - TP2 1.2843 rakha ja sakta hai.

Jumeraat ke din currency market mein thami si halaat thi, jab GBP/USD traders UK election ke final nataij aur Friday ko aane wale aham US jobs report ka intezaar kar rahe the. Kyun ke US markets chhutti ke din band thi, is wajah se trading volume kam tha, lekin umeed hai ke Friday ko activity phir se barh jayegi. Sarmaiadaar khaaskar US non-farm payrolls data mein dilchaspi le rahe hain, jo ke yeh dikha sakta hai ke US economy mein slowdown ho raha hai. Agar jobs report kamzor hoti hai, to yeh Federal Reserve ke rate cut ke case ko mazid mazboot karegi, jo ke un sarmaiadaaron ke liye umeed ki kiran hai jo ke kam borrowing costs se faida uthana chahte hain. June ke payrolls numbers mein kami ke paishgoi ki ja rahi hai, jo ke 272,000 se gir kar 190,000 tak aa sakte hain, jab ke unemployment likely 4.0% par barqarar rehne ka imkaan hai. Average hourly earnings bhi thodi si girne ki tawaqo hai, jisse saalana growth 3.9% tak aa sakti hai, jab ke pichle saal yeh 4.1% thi.

Is dauran, GBP/USD pair ne apne 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke upar 1.2610 par support dhoondne ke baad ek choti si comeback ki hai. Yeh us waqt hua jab 1.2800 resistance zone ke upar break karne ki koshish nakam hui. Mazid directionless moves na hone ke bawajood, is pair ne kisi significant decline se bachne mein kamiyabi hasil ki, aur yeh lagbhag 1.2300 level ke aas-paas apna floor banane mein kamiyab raha.

Technical indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke mazid downside ka potential mojood hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab tak downtrend line ke neeche hai aur key 50 level se neeche, jo ke bearish momentum ko indicate karta hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi apni signal line aur zero line ke neeche hai, aur momentum mein kamzori dikhayi de rahi hai. Agar decline jari rehti hai, to bears 1.2465 area ko target kar sakte hain, jo ke recent trading range ke lower end 1.2300 ke bilkul qareeb hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to yeh pair upper boundary 1.2820 ko dobara retest karne ki koshish kar sakta hai.

Sar-an-jam, GBP/USD market iss waqt "wait-and-see" mode mein hai, jahan UK election ke nataij aur US jobs data market ki agle qadam ka faisla karenge. Jab ke is pair ne haal hi mein kuch resilience dikhayi hai, technical indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke agar data disappointing hota hai, to downside bias ban sakta hai.

Jumeraat ke din currency market mein sanata chhaya raha jab GBP/USD traders UK election ke final nataij aur Friday ko aane wale aham US jobs report ka intezaar kar rahe the. Kyun ke US markets chhutti ke din band thi, is wajah se trading volume kam tha, lekin umeed hai ke Friday ko activity phir se barh jayegi. Sarmaiadaar khaaskar US non-farm payrolls data mein dilchaspi le rahe hain, jo ke yeh dikha sakta hai ke US economy mein slowdown ho raha hai. Agar jobs report kamzor hoti hai, to yeh Federal Reserve ke rate cut ke case ko mazid mazboot karegi, jo ke un sarmaiadaaron ke liye dilchasp hoti hai jo kam borrowing costs ka faida uthana chahte hain.

Paishgoi hai ke June ke payrolls numbers mein kami aayegi, jo ke 272,000 se gir kar 190,000 tak ho sakte hain, jab ke unemployment likely 4.0% par barqarar rehne ka imkaan hai. Saath hi, average hourly earnings mein bhi thodi kami ke umeed hai, jisse saalana growth 3.9% tak gir sakti hai, jo ke pichle saal 4.1% thi.

Is dauran, GBP/USD pair ne apne 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke upar 1.2610 par support paane ke baad ek chhoti si comeback ki hai. Yeh us waqt hua jab 1.2800 resistance zone ke upar break karne ki koshish nakam hui. Jab ke mazid taqatwar directional moves dekhne ko nahi mile, is pair ne kisi significant decline se bachne mein kamiyabi hasil ki hai, aur yeh lagbhag 1.2300 level ke aas-paas apni jagah banane mein kamiyab raha.

Technical indicators yeh ishara dete hain ke mazid downside ka potential abhi bhi mojood hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab tak downtrend line ke neeche hai aur key 50 level se neeche, jo ke bearish momentum ko zahir karta hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi apni signal line aur zero line ke neeche hai, aur momentum mein kamzori dikhayi de rahi hai. Agar decline jari rehti hai, to bears 1.2465 area ko target kar sakte hain, jo ke recent trading range ke lower end 1.2300 ke bilkul qareeb hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to yeh pair upper boundary 1.2820 ko dobara retest karne ki koshish kar sakta hai.

Sar-an-jam mein, GBP/USD market is waqt ek intezar aur dekhne ki halat mein hai, jahan UK election ke nataij aur US jobs data market ki agle qadam ka faisla karenge. Jab ke is pair ne haal hi mein kuch resilience dikhayi hai, technical indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke agar data disappointing hota hai, to downside ka rujhan ho sakta hai.

Jumeraat ke din currency market mein khamoshi thi jab GBP/USD traders UK election ke final natayij aur aham US jobs report ka intezar kar rahe the jo ke Jumma ke din aani thi. Chhutti ke din hone ke bawajood US markets band thi, jiski wajah se trading volume kam tha. Lekin umeed hai ke Jumma ke din trading activity phir se barh jayegi. Sarmaiadaar khaaskar US non-farm payrolls data mein dilchaspi le rahe hain, jo yeh zahir kar sakta hai ke US economy mein slowdown ho raha hai. Agar jobs report kamzor hoti hai, to yeh Federal Reserve ke rate cut ke liye ek mazboot case ban sakti hai, jo ke investors ko lower borrowing costs se faida uthane ka moka de sakta hai.

Paishgoiyan yeh hai ke June ke payrolls numbers mein kami aayegi, jo 272,000 se gir kar 190,000 ho sakte hain, jab ke unemployment likely 4.0% par barqarar rehne ka imkaan hai. Sath hi, average hourly earnings mein bhi thodi si kami ke umeed hai, jisse saalana growth 3.9% tak gir sakti hai, jo ke pehle 4.1% thi.

Is dauran, GBP/USD pair ne ek chhoti si comeback ki hai jab ke is ne apne 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke upar 1.2610 par support hasil kiya. Yeh us waqt hua jab 1.2800 resistance zone ke upar break karne ki koshish nakam hui. Mazid taqatwar directional moves ke baghair, is pair ne ek significant decline se bachne mein kamiyabi hasil ki hai, aur lagbhag 1.2300 level ke aas-paas apni jagah bana li hai.

Technical indicators yeh ishara dete hain ke mazid downside ka potential abhi bhi mojood hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab tak downtrend line ke neeche hai aur key 50 level se neeche, jo ke bearish momentum ko zahir karta hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi apni signal line aur zero line ke neeche hai, aur momentum mein kamzori dikhayi de rahi hai. Agar decline jari rehti hai, to bears 1.2465 area ko target kar sakte hain, jo ke recent trading range ke lower end 1.2300 ke bilkul qareeb hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to yeh pair upper boundary 1.2820 ko dobara retest karne ki koshish kar sakta hai.

Sar-an-jam mein, GBP/USD market is waqt intezar aur dekhne ke mode mein hai, jahan UK election ke nataij aur US jobs data market ki agle qadam ka faisla karenge. Jab ke is pair ne haal hi mein kuch resilience dikhayi hai, technical indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke agar data disappointing hota hai, to downside ka rujhan ho sakta hai.

Aane wale ghanton aur kal GBP/USD ke market mein upar ki taraf ka rujhan dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Aaj price ne achi support area se trading shuru ki hai, jab ke price weekly level 1.2740 ke upar stabilize ho gayi thi, aur ascending price channels ke lower lines ke paas bhi thi.

Aaj ke trading advice ke mutabiq, abhi ke level se buying ka mauka focus mein rakhein aur stop loss level ko price channels ke niche set karen. Jab price channels ko break kar degi, tab selling ka bhi mauka milega. Selling ke liye, price ke channels ko break karne ke baad ek retest pattern ka intezar karna hoga, jahan price peak banaye aur channel lines ke sath ho. Iske baad sell karke 1.2691 level tak jana sahi rahega.

Economic side se, US dollar ka price gira hai, jab ek weekly survey ne US unemployment benefits ki seekh karne walon ki tadaad mein izafa zahir kiya. Lekin selling ki khwahish apne peak par pahunch gayi hai, jab ISM services sector survey ne activity mein ghazab ki rukawat dikhayi. Iske natije mein, GBP/USD price 1.2780 resistance level tak uchhal gayi, jo ke pichle do hafton ka sabse high level hai, phir Thursday ke trading ke shuruat par 1.2740 level ke aas-paas settle ho gayi. Yeh sab kuch American holiday aur British parliamentary elections ke intezar ke beech ho raha hai.

Economic calendar ke natije ke mutabiq, June mein US headline ISM Services PMI 48.8% par pahunch gaya, jo ke contraction ka ishara hai, May ke 53.8% se gira. Yeh decline expectations se kaafi zyada tha, kyun ke consensus 52.5% ke reading ka tha. Service companies American economy ka sabse bara sector hain. Markets is loss ke size ka reaction de rahe hain aur betting kar rahe hain ke Federal Reserve September mein US interest rates cut kar sakti hai. Is response mein, US bond yields gira, dollar gir gaya, aur stock prices barh gayi.

Pound ke liye, hum ab ek interesting level par hain. Yahan par interests ki takraar ho sakti hai. H1 timeframe par sell signal hai, aur iski potential blue column se target 1.25855 tak mark kiya gaya hai. Market ne target level ko nahi pachha, lekin kaafi qareeb aaya. Main zyada favorable prices ka intezar kar raha tha, kyun ke stop-loss level 1.28588 ke upar hai. Kal 1.27687 level tak pahunch gaya, jo medium-term sellers ke liye enter karne ka level hai, risk-reward ratio 1 to 2 ke sath. 1.27946 level bhi chahiye, jo aur bhi advantageous sales ke liye hoga. Agle level par risk-reward ratio 1 to 3 tak pahuncha sakte hain. Lekin is structure ke sath decline dekhna kaafi unattractive lagta hai. Agar weekly timeframe par switch karein, to weekly candle par ek strong rise hai, lekin abhi tak consider nahi kiya ja sakta kyun ke week close nahi hui hai. Dono rise aur fall logically lagte hain, lekin rise ke liye H1 indicator signal trigger ho chuka hai aur further targets abhi tak visible nahi hain.

GBP/USD currency pair mera #1 trading pair hai kyunki ye mujhe acchi kamai ke zyada chances deta hai. Filhal, price 1.2629 levels par trade kar rahi hai. H4 chart par, price ne 1.2689 sell level se breakout ke baad strong bullish movement dikhayi hai. Ye decline bhi selling trends ko majbooti se support kar raha hai. Maine stochastic indicator ko chart par apply kiya hai, jo price ke selling trends ko confirm karta hai. Price ka major aur current trend bearish hai, jo indicate karta hai ke ye niche ki taraf girti rahegi. Iske ilawa, price ne 50 aur 100 Simple Moving Averages (SMA) ke neeche cross kiya hai, jo sell signal ko aur zyada support karta hai. Stochastic indicator khas taur par overbought ya oversold conditions ko identify karne mein madadgar hai. Is case mein, ye show karta hai ke price strong bearish zone mein hai, jo negative trend ko confirm karta hai. 50 aur 100 SMA ka cross hona bhi ek aur strong bearish signal hai.

Price selling direction mein move karti ja rahi hai, aur agla target chart par 1.2593 ka support level ho sakta hai. Ye level crucial hai kyunki ye ek strong support zone ka kaam karta hai, aur is level tak pohnchna bearish trend ki majbooti ko confirm karega. In indicators aur overall market sentiment ko traders ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Stochastic indicator aur SMA crosses, sell trend ka reliable confirmation dete hain. In technical signals ko check karna traders ko informed decisions lene mein madad karta hai aur unki trading strategies ko optimize karta hai.

In conclusion, current price action aur technical indicators GBP/USD currency pair ke liye bearish trend ko point out kar rahe hain, jo strong sell signals ko indicate kar raha hai. Traders ko in elements ko consider karke apne trades plan karne chahiye taake expected downward movement ka faida uthaya ja sake. Jaise hamesha, risk management aur proper analysis successful trading ke liye zaroori hai.

GBP/USD currency pair ke value activity par humari discussion hogi. Pichle hafte hourly chart par, pound-dollar ki value 1.26534 ke trading level tak gir gayi thi. Is level ke aas-paas se price ne rebound kiya aur 1.27541 ke resistance ki taraf move kiya. Jab price ne is resistance ko touch kiya, toh phir se 1.26534 ke level par wapas aayi. Thursday ke end tak price is level ko reach kar chuki thi. Friday ke din, price ne chhoti si range mein trade kiya, aur phir is level ko break kar diya, jo sell signal ko generate karta hai towards support level at 1.25324. Yeh sell signal Monday ke liye bhi important hai. Jaise ke doosre major currencies, pound bhi week ke end par negative move ki taraf gaya, jisne US dollar ko kuch losses recover karne ka mauka diya. Sterling pichle mahine mein 1.2804 ke upar aur neeche fluctuate karta raha, jahan 1.2689 pe support mila, jo buyers triangle se aaya, jo ke horizontal support level 1.2567 ke closing prices se alag hai.

Chahe buyers jitni koshish kar lein, mere hisaab se price eventually neeche jayegi. Kyunki upar se ek descending line triangle bana rahi thi, isliye decline expect kiya ja raha tha. Magar indicators par bearish divergence ke sath ek false breakdown bhi dekha gaya. Ek five vertical waves ka pattern bhi dekha gaya aur iske baad aksar ek correction hota hai. Ye sab kuch multiple factors ki wajah se hua. Recent decline ne previous base ko update kiya hai.

MACD indicator abhi bhi upper buy zone mein hai, lekin ye apne signal line ke neeche gir raha hai. Main maanta hoon ke downward pressure continue karega, aur 80-90 points tak decline dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Pound ke liye yeh kuch ghanton mein ho sakta hai, lekin abhi tak pound dheere dheere move kar raha hai aur distance ideal nahi lag raha. Aaj US ke liye news scheduled hain: Moscow time ke 16:45 par, US Services Sector Purchasing Index (PMI), US Manufacturing PMI, aur US Composite PMI from S&P Global aayega. 17:00 par, US ke secondary real estate market ke deals aur leading economic indicators ke reports aayenge. 18:00 par, US Federal Reserve ka monetary policy report bhi aayega.

Dear, hello! Aaj kal sab major currencies bullish mood mein hain, lekin GBP/USD ke liye lagta hai ke yeh bullish trend ab khatam hone ko hai. Daily chart par wave technique ke mutabiq jo cheezen dekhne ko mil rahi hain woh yeh hain:

- MA100 ab horizontal direction mein chal raha hai, jo currency ka flat mood dikhata hai poore haftay ke liye.
- MA18 pehle trend ke angle par niche aa raha tha, lekin ab thoda sa stabilize ho gaya hai aur horizontal direction mein move kar raha hai. Saari candles ab moving averages ke upar aur local Ichimoku Cloud ke upar hain, jo bullish trend ko darshata hai.
- Ichimoku Cloud bhi bullish colors mein hai aur growth ke liye ready lagta hai.
- Stochastic indicator ab overbought zone ke test ke kareeb hai. Iski bands itni inconsistent hain ke lagta hai growth shayad khatam hone ko hai. Ab hum decline ke liye prepare kar rahe hain, bas sell signal ka intezaar hai.
- MACD kaafi weak lag raha hai aur zero level ke upar move kar raha hai, jo bullish wave ka signal de raha hai.
- Oscillator zero level ke upar hai aur abhi tak koi sell signal nahi mila hai.
- RSI moving averages abhi bhi oversold zone ko test karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, lekin ab tak nahi hua. Iski position ko correct karna zaroori hai.

Aaj unemployment data bhi aane wala hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke yeh data south ki taraf move karne mein madadgar hoga.

Currency market ne Thursday ko ekdum khamoshi ikhtiyar ki jab GBP/USD traders UK election ke final results aur Friday ko aane wale crucial US jobs report ka intezaar kar rahe the. US markets holiday ki wajah se band thi, isliye trading volume kaafi low tha, lekin Friday ko trading activity ke barhne ki ummeed hai. Investors khaaskar US non-farm payrolls data ke intezaar mein hain, jo US economy mein slow down ko darshane ki umeed hai. Kamzor jobs report Federal Reserve ke rate cut ke case ko mazid majboot kar sakta hai, jo investors ko lower borrowing costs se faida uthane ka mauka dega. Forecasts ke mutabiq, June ke payrolls numbers 272,000 se 190,000 tak girne ki umeed hai, jabke unemployment 4.0% par barqarar rehne ka andaza hai. Average hourly earnings thodi si kami ke saath 3.9% annual growth tak girne ki umeed hai, jabke pichle saal yeh 4.1% tha.

Is dauran, GBP/USD pair ne 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) 1.2610 ke upar support milne ke baad ek mini-comeback kiya. Yeh comeback 1.2800 resistance zone ke upar break karne ki koshish ke bawajood aaya, jo fail ho gayi thi. Mazid strong directional moves ke bina, yeh pair ne significant decline se bach kar 1.2300 level ke aas-paas ek floor find kar liya hai.

Technical indicators abhi bhi neeche ke potential ko darshate hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) downtrend line aur key 50 level ke neeche hai, jo bearish momentum ko indicate karta hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi apni signal line aur zero line ke neeche hai, aur momentum kamzor ho raha hai. Agar decline jari raha, to bears 1.2465 area ko target kar sakte hain, jo recent trading range ke lower end 1.2300 ke paas hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to pair phir se 1.2820 ke upper boundary ko retest kar sakta hai. Summary mein, GBP/USD market wait-and-see mode mein hai, aur UK election aur US jobs data ke outcome se agla move determine hoga. Jabke pair ne recently kuch resilience dikhayi hai, technical indicators suggest karte hain ke agar data disappointing hota hai to downside bias ke chances hain.

Aaj GBP/USD pair apne opening se niche close hua, jo ke uski modest downward trend ko continue karta hai. Pair ne lagbhag 38 pips ke range mein move kiya, jo comparatively chhoti hai. Lekin, candle ne H1 support 1.2658 ko tod diya. Is support ke break hone ke baad, GBP/USD ne 1.2640 tak gir gaya. Yeh decline 19 June, 2024 se chal raha hai. GBP/USD tab girna shuru hua jab candle SBR (support becomes resistance) zone ko penetrate nahi kar paayi. Is wajah se, GBP/USD ko 1.2740 price tak pahunchne ke baad bhi apni rise ko continue nahi kar paayi.

GBP/USD ka decline broader market sentiment aur technical factors ko reflect karta hai jo pair ko influence kar rahe hain. 1.2740 par SBR zone ko break na kar paana ek significant resistance level ko mark karta hai jo traders ne closely monitor kiya. Jab pair is level ko surpass nahi kar paayi, to traders ko signal mila ki upward momentum kamzor ho raha hai, jisne sentiment shift aur selling pressure ko badhawa diya. H1 chart par 1.2658 support level ka breach hone se bearish sentiment aur confirm ho gaya. Support levels technical analysis mein critical hote hain kyunki yeh price points ko represent karte hain jahan currency pair historically girne mein mushkil hoti hai. Aise level ko break karna aksar tez downward movement ko trigger karta hai, stop-loss orders ko activate karta hai aur aur zyada selling ko encourage karta hai.

Friday ko 38 pips ki movement, jo ki chhoti thi, ne GBP/USD ko is crucial support level ke niche push kar diya, jo yeh dikhata hai ki significant price points market psychology aur trading behavior ko kitna impact kar sakte hain. 1.2640 tak ki girawat ne dikhaya ki support ke break hone ke baad sellers ka haath upper ho gaya, jo pair ko niche ki taraf kheench raha hai. Yeh price action forex trading mein technical analysis ki importance ko highlight karta hai. Jo traders ne 1.2740 par SBR zone aur 1.2658 par support level ko identify kiya, unhone potential price movements ke liye tayyari ki hogi. SBR zone ko break na karna indicate karta hai ki pair ko resistance face karna pad sakta hai, jabke support level ka breach further downside potential ko signal karta hai.

19 June, 2024 se shuru hui downward trend broader market context aur shayad fundamental factors ko reflect karta hai jo GBP aur USD ko affect kar rahe hain. Macroeconomic data, interest rate expectations, aur geopolitical events sab currency movements ko influence kar sakte hain. Is case mein, technical indicators ne clear signals diye jo traders ko market ke direction ko anticipate aur react karne mein madad ki. GBP/USD pair ki decline Friday ko, key support levels ko break karte hue, forex trading mein technical analysis ki importance ko underscore karta hai. Yeh dikhata hai ki price levels jaise SBR zones aur support lines market direction aur trader behavior ko determine karne mein crucial roles play karte hain. Have a good day.

Trading instrument GBP/USD - H4 period chart. Kal ki trading session ke doran, is currency pair ki price mein ek mazboot upward movement dekhi gayi, jo technical analysis se support hui. Din bhar jo news release hui, unhone pound ki rise ko aur tez kar diya, kyunki saare US indicators kal expect se worse aaye, jisne price increase ko tez kar diya jo din ke dauran zahir hua. Lekin sirf pound hi US dollar ke muqablay mein kamzor nahi hua, dollar market spectrum mein har jagah kamzor hua, sirf Japanese yen ke siwa. Yen wahan bilkul bhi kamzor nahi hona chahta, thoda bahut kamzor hua lekin growth ke muqablay mein kuch bhi nahi.

Wave structure ne upward momentum banana shuru kar diya, MACD indicator overbought zone mein aur apni signal line ke upar rise kar raha hai. Kal ke tezi se baad, ek corrective pullback sabse nazdeek support level 1.2733 tak hua, aur ab price wahan se uthane ki koshish kar rahi hai. Agar hum Fibonacci target grid ko pehli wave par apply karein, to dekh sakte hain ke price ne rise ke doran minimum target - 161.8 level tak pohanch gayi, momentum ki wajah se thoda sa exceed bhi kiya. Lekin pullback tabhi shuru hua jab is level ko reach kar liya, kyunki buyers ne apni purchases ko fix karna shuru kar diya, isliye market niche ki taraf pullback hui. Ye kaafi mumkin hai ke growth is grid ke mutabiq 200 level tak continue kare, lekin seedha yahan se jana mushkil lagta hai.

CCI indicator ne abhi overbought zone se exit kiya hai aur niche ki taraf point kar raha hai, isliye ek gehra descent kaafi mumkin hai, 1.2700 level ke aas-paas, jahan buy karne ka faisla kiya jayega. Filhaal positions ko further movement ke liye accumulate kiya ja raha hai, agar zyada buyers ikattha hotay hain, to price niche jayegi, aur agar zyada sellers, to upar jayegi. Aaj economic calendar mein koi khaas news nahi hai.

Din ke dauran M15 chart par, price support level 1.2748 ko break karne ki koshish kar rahi hai, agar ye break hota hai, to niche se test par selling possible hogi, kyunki ye ek mirror level hoga.

GBP/USD PAIR REVIEW

US dollar ki price gir gayi jab weekly survey ne US unemployment benefits ke liye aane wale logon ki taadaad mein izafa dikhaya, lekin bechne ki khwahish pehle hi peak par thi jab ISM services sector survey ne gati hui activity dikhayi. Iske natije mein, British pound ne US dollar ke muqablay mein 1.2777 ke resistance level ki taraf jump kiya, jo ke do hafton se zyada ka highest level hai, aur phir Thursday ke trading ke shuruat mein 1.2740 ke aas-paas settle ho gaya. Ye sab American holiday aur British parliamentary elections ki intezar mein tha.

Economic calendar ke natije ke mutabiq... US headline ISM Services PMI June mein 48.8% tak pohnch gaya, jo ke contraction ka indication deta hai, May mein 53.8% se gir gaya. Ye girawat expectations ke muqablay mein significant thi kyunki consensus 52.5% ka reading expect kar raha tha. Overall, service companies American economy ka sabse bada sector hain. Markets is loss ki size ko dekh kar bet kar rahi hain ke Federal Reserve September mein interest rates cut karne par ghoor karega. Iske natije mein, US bond yields gir gayi, dollar kamzor hua, aur stock prices barh gayi.

ISM report ne dikhaya ke US companies jo naye orders ke liye ummeed rakh rahi thi unki taadaad 47.3% tak gir gayi, jo ke Great Financial Crisis ke baad ka sabse kam level hai aur 2001 recession se bhi kam hai. Price index June mein 56.3% record hua, jo ke May ke 58.1% se 1.8 percentage points kam hai. ING Bank ke analysts kehte hain: “Ye zaroor September ke liye rate cut ke case ko mazid majbooti deta hai kyunki ye weak growth, slowing inflation, aur deteriorating jobs market ke sabhi boxes ko tick karta hai.” “Fed recession ko avoid karna chahta hai agar wo kar sakta hai.”

Kal, Labor Department ne report kiya ke naye unemployment benefits ke liye claims 4,000 se barh kar 238,000 tak pohnch gayi, jabki consensus forecast 235,000 tha. US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne Tuesday ko kaha ke agar labor market deteriorates to interest rates cut karne ka mauka ho sakta hai. Ye signal tha ke Fed inflation ke 2.0% target tak moderates hone se pehle interest rates cut karne ke liye khula ho sakta hai.

Iska matlab hai ke jobs market par depend karta hai ke woh wo interest rate cuts provide kare jo kai US households, businesses, aur investors chahte hain.

US dollar ke liye, interest rate cut ki barhati hui mumkinat kamzori ki taraf le jaati hai. Continuing claims for unemployment insurance 1.858 million tak pohnch gayi, jo late 2021 ke baad ka highest level hai. PNC Bank ke Gus Faucher kehte hain: “Labor market ab bhi strong hai, lekin hiring slow ho rahi hai.” “Ongoing claims ka message zyada clear hai. Ye 2022 ke second half aur 2023 ke dauran ke levels se barh gayi hai. “Halankeh labor market historically stronger hai, unemployed workers ko jobs milne mein thoda zyada waqt lag raha hai.”

Tuesday ko Fed Chairman Powell ne Portugal ke Sintra mein kaha ke agar labor market “unexpectedly weak... to ye humein bhi respond karne par majboor karega.”

Markets ne isse yeh signal samjha ke labor market developments policy makers ke liye September tak zyada ahmiyat rakhengi. Kal, Friday ko non-farm payrolls report ye tay karegi ke US dollar week ko strong basis par khatam karega ya July mein clearer sell-off ka samna karega.

Sterling Dollar ka forecast aaj:
Jaise ke maine pehle kaha, agar GBP/USD price 1.2775 ke resistance ke upar stabilize hoti hai to bulls ko aage barhne mein madad milegi. Agla stop bullish control ke liye 1.2830 hoga, aur wapas 1.3000 psychological resistance area ki baatein barh rahi hain. Ye weak US job numbers aur British parliamentary elections ke results se sterling mein wapas confidence ke saath zaroori hai. Dusri taraf, daily chart mein, 1.2600 ka support level bears ke control ke liye sabse important rahega.

Trading Signals in GBP/USD: In-Depth Analysis

Aaj hum GBP/USD currency pair ki real-time price action ka jaiza le rahe hain. Sab se pehle, maine apne charts par diagonal lines plot ki hain jo resistance aur support levels ko represent karti hain. Ye lines trade ke potential entry aur exit points ko identify karne ke liye zaroori hain. Agla aham qadam ye hai ke hum US Federal Reserve System ke head ki speech ko 16:39 Moscow time par bariki se dekhein. Is speech ka market sentiment par kafi asar hone ki umeed hai aur is se GBP/USD pair mein volatility barh sakti hai.

Is ke ilawa, 16:59 par labor market vacancy statistics release kiye jayenge. Is data release se market mein local volatility ka asar hoga. Filhaal, humne 1.2614 level tak ka decline dekha hai, jahan se price 59 points barh gayi hai. Spread ko chhod kar, ye nateeja achha hai aur hamari strategy ki effectiveness ko dikhata hai.

Hum plan kar rahe hain ke GBP/USD situation ko 18:01 ke baad dobara assess karein, Fibonacci grid ka review karte hue. Hum chhote time intervals par 100 – 161.7 range par focus karenge. Is waqt tak overall price view aur market sentiment mein koi badlav nazar nahi aata.

Yeh bhi note karna zaroori hai ke kal chhutti hai, lekin trading limited form mein chalti rahegi. Thursday ko complete holiday hone ke wajah se trading week skewed hai aur Friday ko significantly start hoga. Ye major players ko is period mein significant investments se roka sakta hai. Sab se bada sawal ye hai ke American traders aaj ya kal se apni holidays shuru karenge; lagta hai ke kai traders aaj se hi shuru karenge.

GBP/USD ka rebound badh gaya hai, meri target zone 1.2639-1.2659 tak pohnch gaya hai. Filhaal ke upward impulse se ek pullback zaroori hai, aur target 1.2700 level ke nazdeek hona chahiye, jo shayad break bhi ho sakta hai. Kal ka high tough resistance ka samna kar raha hai, lekin market movement ke dauran closely observe karna zaroori hai. Maine apni position already close kar di hai, current profit ko future gains par priority dete hue. Overall, situation abhi bhi uncertain hai, jo forex trading ki complex aur dynamic nature ko reflect karta hai. Ye scenarios possible outcomes ko highlight karte hain, aur agar current slope break hoti hai to buyers ko upper hand mil sakta hai.

Summary mein, jab ke GBP/USD ka immediate outlook volatility aur significant movement ke potential se bhara hua hai, traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye. Key events jaise Federal Reserve ki speech aur labor market data ko monitor karna crucial hai. US mein upcoming holidays trading environment ko aur complex bana deti hain. Isliye, informed rehna aur trading strategies ko accordingly adjust karna zaroori hai.