𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

GBP/USD Pair Analysis - Roman Urdu

GBP/USD pair mazboot upward momentum dikha rahi hai, jo zyada tar recent US economic statistics ki wajah se hai. Yeh rise pair ko 1.3000 level ke aas-paas ek significant resistance zone tak le aaya hai. Is resistance ki strength ko dekhte hue, yeh expect karna realistic hai ke is point par selling pressure aayega, jo ke current upward trend ko reverse kar sakta hai.

Is anticipation ke madde nazar, maine short positions open ki hain despite upcoming weekend. Mere immediate target ke liye yeh downward movement 1.2890 level tak hai. Yeh level pehle ek significant resistance tha jo recent news ke bawajood aasani se break hua tha. Is breakout ki ease yeh suggest karti hai ke 1.2890 ek key level ho sakta hai retest ke liye.




Market dynamics ke nature ko dekhte hue, yeh level ka retest highly probable lagta hai, jahan pehle broken resistance levels pullback par support ban jaate hain. Agar pair 1.2890 tak descend karta hai, to yeh market ki willingness ko test karega ke higher prices ko support karta hai ya nahi.

Meri analysis yeh suggest karti hai ke downward movement 1.2890 par nahi rukega. Mujhe umeed hai ke price wedge pattern ke structure mein fall karte hue 1.2750 level tak jaayegi. Yeh level ek aur significant support zone ko represent karta hai aur GBP/USD chart par broader technical patterns se align karta hai.

Wedge pattern ek common technical formation hai jo potential reversal ya continuation of trend ko indicate karta hai, breakout ke direction ke mutabiq. Is case mein, 1.2750 support tak descent bearish reversal ke narrative mein fit hota hai jo strong rise to 1.3000 ke baad aayega.

Mujhe umeed hai ke yeh scenario agle hafte unfold hoga, jab market recent economic data ko digest karegi aur traders apni positions adjust karenge. Resistance at 1.3000 aur support at 1.2750 ke darmiyan ka interplay crucial hoga pair ke next significant move ko determine karne mein.

Summary mein, GBP/USD pair ek critical juncture par hai, jahan 1.3000 resistance level shayad downward correction ka start mark kare. 1.2890 ka retest likely hai, followed by ek deeper decline towards 1.2750 support within the wedge pattern. Yeh analysis underline karta hai ke in key levels ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai aane wale dinon mein.

GBP/USD Analysis - Roman Urdu

Good morning. Haan, buyers ne pichle 2 hafton se momentum dikhaya hai, aur agle hafte bhi price ko upar push kar sakte hain. Higher timeframes par abhi bhi growth ka room hai, jahan 1.31417 ka mark target ke tor par serve kar raha hai. Agar Dollar ke against aur bhi strong news aayi, to price aapke outlined ascending channel ke beyond bhi ja sakti hai. Filhal, sellers ke paas hold karne ke liye kuch zyada nahi hai, sabse qareebi strong level kaafi door, 1.28979 par hai, jo ke lagbhag 90 points door hai.

Isliye, sales ke entry points dhoondhne ke liye, humein agle hafte ek reversal pattern ka formation dekhna hoga. GBP/USD M5 chart: 1 - Pound pair 5-minute chart par trading ke end par bands ke central area mein hai, aur bands khud horizontal ho gaye hain. Humein naya signal milne ke liye, humein upper ya lower band ke beyond active exit ka wait karna chahiye, aur phir evaluate karna chahiye ke bands outward open karenge ya nahi.

2 - AO indicator zero mark ke aas-paas hang kar raha hai aur is tarah se humein koi signals nahi de raha. Best yeh hoga ke positive ya negative zone mein active increase ka wait kiya jaye, jo humein price movement ke direction mein is increase ki baat karne ka mauka dega.

3 - Entry point for purchases 1.29898 level se consider kiya ja sakta hai, price growth 1.30035 level tak jaari reh sakti hai.

4 - Sales 1.29793 level par located ho sakti hain, price drop 1.29706 level tak expect kiya ja sakta hai.

Technical Analysis:

**Support and Resistance Levels:**
- **Immediate Support:** The immediate support level for the GBP/USD pair is just above 1.2600. Should the pair breach this level, it could signal further bearish momentum, potentially leading to a deeper decline.
- **Key Resistance:** On the upside, the pair faces resistance around 1.2750. A break above this resistance level could indicate a potential reversal of the recent downtrend, providing a target for bullish traders.

### Trading Strategies:

#### **For Bearish Traders:**
1. **Sell Position Near Resistance:**
- **Entry Point:** Consider entering a sell position if the price approaches the resistance level at 1.2750 and fails to break through it.
- **Stop-Loss:** Place a stop-loss just above the resistance level, around 1.2780, to protect against a breakout.
- **Target:** Set initial targets around 1.2600. If this support is breached, the next target could be around 1.2500, where further support might be found.

2. **Break Below Support:**
- **Entry Point:** Enter a sell position if the pair breaks below the immediate support at 1.2600, confirming a bearish continuation.
- **Stop-Loss:** Place a stop-loss above the breached support level, around 1.2630.
- **Target:** Aim for targets at 1.2500 initially, with the potential for further declines towards 1.2400 if bearish momentum persists.


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#### **For Bullish Traders:**
1. **Buy Position Near Support:**
- **Entry Point:** Consider entering a buy position if the pair finds support around 1.2600 and shows signs of a bullish reversal.
- **Stop-Loss:** Place a stop-loss just below the support level, around 1.2570, to manage downside risk.
- **Target:** Initial targets can be set around 1.2700, with further potential towards 1.2750 if the bullish momentum continues.

2. **Break Above Resistance:**
- **Entry Point:** Enter a buy position if the pair breaks above the key resistance at 1.2750, indicating a potential trend reversal.
- **Stop-Loss:** Place a stop-loss just below the broken resistance, around 1.2720.
- **Target:** Set targets at 1.2850 initially, with potential further gains towards 1.2900 if bullish momentum strengthens.

### Conclusion:
The GBP/USD pair is at a crucial juncture, with immediate support at 1.2600 and key resistance at 1.2750. For bearish traders, monitoring the resistance level and looking for a break below support can provide entry opportunities. For bullish traders, a bounce from support or a break above resistance offers potential entry points. Regardless of the strategy, using stop-loss orders is essential to manage risk effectively. By carefully analyzing these technical levels, traders can make informed decisions and navigate the market's movements.

USD pair ne consistent upward trajectory dikhayi hai. Constrained range ke bawajood, bullish trend itna robust raha hai ke buyers ki dominance ko sustain kar saka hai. Yeh market behavior higher prices ko favor karne wala sentiment suggest karta hai, jo ke UK se aane wale positive economic data ya USD ki weaker performance ki wajah se driven ho sakta hai. Levels 1.26937 aur 1.27362 ke darmiyan push hona buyer strength mein aik significant gain ko highlight karta hai. Magar, price ka Moving Average line ki taraf aana active seller participation ko bhi signal karta hai, jo resistance create karte hain jo ke bullish trend ko persist karne ke liye overcome karna zaroori hai. Jab yeh jora is sabz consolidation rectangle mein tha, tab Bank of England ke monetary policy tightening cycle khatm hone ke bare mein kuch bhi maloom nahi tha. Bank of England phir bhi sab se zyada Hawkish bank rahi, jo interest rates ko buland rakhne ka irada rakhti thi. Us waqt Euro/dollar pair gir raha tha, lekin yeh pair range mein trade kar raha tha. Jab maloom hua ke Bank of England apne monetary policy tightening cycle ko khatam kar rahi hai aur wazeh taur par ishara kiya ke jald hi monetary policy ko halka kia jayega, tab yeh pair girne laga, aur selling volume barh gaya, lekin yahan par izaafa hai. Yeh theek nahi tha ke pair kyun izaafa kar raha tha, kyun ke jab yeh range mein trade kar raha tha, tab Bank of England ke faislay ka intezar tha, aur us faislay ke baad, pair izaafa karna shuru kar diya. Yeh bilkul samajh nahi aya ke kyun, phir maine samjha ke yeh bas seller ke stops ko trigger kar raha hai. Is ke baad, yeh range ke nichle hadood ke qareeb wapis aya. Jaise he maine samjha tha, range ke nichle hadood ke qareeb selling volume barhna shuru ho gaya. Pair 1.23041 ke support se neeche gir gaya, lekin is support se bounce back ho gaya. Yahan par mahangai mein kami shuru ho gayi, lekin phir jab yeh pehle se barh gaya, to wazeh ho gaya ke mahangai tham gayi hai, mazeed girawat nahi hui. Federal Reserve rate cut nahi karegi, aur pair wapis ho gaya.
Aur asal mein, yeh theek nahi tha ke yeh yeh un unchayon par trade kar raha tha. Is ke ilawa, yeh pehle ke unchayon ko bhi update kar diya, kyun ke UK mein mahangai maqsad ke level par pohanch chuki hai. Amuman, is pair ke yeh levels par rehne ka koi wajah nahi hai. Main samjhata hoon ke girawat mazeed jari rahegi takay 1.25623 ke support tak pohanche. Main samajhta hoon ke pair mazeed neeche ja sakta hai 1.25017 ke levels tak, phir palat jayega aur range mein trade karega jab tak mahangai ke data jaari na ho jaye, jo pair ke movement ko zahir kar sakta hai.

Pichle hafte ke dauran, price ne downward trade kiya jo ek corrective wave consider ki gayi within overall upward trend jo pichle hafte se thi. Iska nateeja ye hua ke is hafte ka agaz ek white triangle mein hua jo do channels se formed hai—ek bullish aur ek bearish. Asian session ke dauran price mein thori movement hui magar ab upward trend start hoti nazar aa rahi hai, aur red channel ko upward break karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Yeh correction ka end aur ek naye upward trend ka agaz signal kar sakta hai. Price behaviour weekly pivot level tak move kar sakti hai. Price possibly upward move kar sakti hai is hafte agar yeh weekly pivot level 1.2880 tak pohanchti hai aur 4-hour candle iske upar close hoti hai. Alternative scenario mein, agar price descending red channel line aur weekly pivot level se resistance face karti hai, toh yeh fall kar sakti hai aur triangle ko downward break karne ki koshish kar sakti hai, jo weekly support levels 1.2780 aur 1.2790 tak further decline ko indicate karti hai.

Aaj sideways price movement dekhi gayi hai jab week ka agaz do price channels ke andar hua: ek rising red channel jo pichle hafte ki upward movement ko represent karta hai aur ek bearish blue channel jo pichle do hafte ko represent karta hai. Price successfully blue channel ko upward break kiya, jo red channel ke andar upward movement ka potential suggest karta hai towards weekly resistance level 1.2950. Upside par, green line jo red channel ke upar extend karti hai aur monthly resistance level 1.2910 tak pohanchti hai, potential upward movement ko represent karti hai. Yeh scenario rely kiya ja sakta hai agar price red channel ko break karti hai aur ek din ke liye iske upar close hoti hai
Pehla scenario yeh hai ke price is level ke upar consolidate karti hai aur upward move karti hai. Agar yeh scenario play out hota hai, toh main expect karunga ke price next resistance level 1.31424 tak move kare. Jab price is resistance level ke upar consolidate karti hai, main further northward movement anticipate karunga, jo resistance level 1.32983 tak hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main ek trading setup ka intezar karunga jo next trading direction determine karne mein madad karega. Beshak, ek more distant northern target ko reach karne ki possibility bhi hai jo, mere analysis ke mutabiq, 1.37488 par located hai, magar yeh situation aur price ke news developments par reaction par depend karta hai. Alternative scenario jab price resistance level 1.29956 ke qareeb hoti hai, ek reversal candle formation aur downward price movement ka resumption involve karta hai. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, toh main expect karunga ke price support level 1.28938 ya support level 1.28604 tak return kare. In support levels ke qareeb, main bullish signals ko dhoondhta rahunga, upward price movement ke resumption ko expect karte hue. Ek more distant southern target ko reach karne ki possibility bhi hai jo, mere analysis ke mutabiq, 1.27399 par located hai. Magar, chahe designated plan implement hota hai, main ek reversal signal ka intezar karunga is support level ke qareeb aur price ko recover upward hota dekhunga. In short, aaj ke liye, main consider karta hoon ke price nearest resistance level ko test karne ke liye move karegi, aur agar buyers apne aap ko iske upar establish karne mein kamyab hote hain, toh main apne targets ko more distant northern objectives adjust karunga

overall upward trend jo pichle hafte se thi. Iska nateeja ye hua ke is hafte ka agaz ek white triangle mein hua jo do channels se formed hai—ek bullish aur ek bearish. Asian session ke dauran price mein thori movement hui magar ab upward trend start hoti nazar aa rahi hai, aur red channel ko upward break karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Yeh correction ka end aur ek naye upward trend ka agaz signal kar sakta hai. Price behaviour weekly pivot level tak move kar sakti hai. Price possibly upward move kar sakti hai is hafte agar yeh weekly pivot level 1.2880 tak pohanchti hai aur 4-hour candle iske upar close hoti hai. Alternative scenario mein, agar price descending red channel line aur weekly pivot level se resistance face karti hai, toh yeh fall kar sakti hai aur triangle ko downward break karne ki koshish kar sakti hai, jo weekly support levels 1.2780 aur 1.2790 tak further decline ko indicate karti hai.
Aaj sideways price movement dekhi gayi hai jab week ka agaz do price channels ke andar hua: ek rising red channel jo pichle hafte ki upward movement ko represent karta hai aur ek bearish blue channel jo pichle do hafte ko represent karta hai. Price successfully blue channel ko upward break kiya, jo red channel ke andar upward movement ka potential suggest karta hai towards weekly resistance level 1.2950. Upside par, green line jo red channel ke upar extend karti hai aur monthly resistance level 1.2910 tak pohanchti hai, potential upward movement ko represent karti hai. Yeh scenario rely kiya ja sakta hai agar price red channel ko break karti hai aur ek din ke liye iske upar close hoti hai
Pehla scenario yeh hai ke price is level ke upar consolidate karti hai aur upward move karti hai. Agar yeh scenario play out hota hai, toh main expect karunga ke price next resistance level 1.31424 tak move kare. Jab price is resistance level ke upar consolidate karti hai, main further northward movement anticipate karunga, jo resistance level 1.32983 tak hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main ek trading setup ka intezar karunga jo next trading direction determine karne mein madad karega. Beshak, ek more distant northern target ko reach karne ki possibility bhi hai jo, mere analysis ke mutabiq, 1.37488 par located hai, magar yeh situation aur price ke news developments par reaction par depend karta hai. Alternative scenario jab price resistance level 1.29956 ke qareeb hoti hai, ek reversal candle formation aur downward price movement ka resumption involve karta hai. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, toh main expect karunga ke price support level 1.28938 ya support level 1.28604 tak return kare. In support levels ke qareeb, main bullish signals ko dhoondhta rahunga, upward price movement ke resumption ko expect karte hue. Ek more distant southern target ko reach karne ki possibility bhi hai jo, mere analysis ke mutabiq, 1.27399 par located hai. Magar, chahe designated plan implement hota hai, main ek reversal signal ka intezar karunga is support level ke qareeb aur price ko recover upward hota dekhunga. In short, aaj ke liye, main consider karta hoon ke price nearest resistance level ko test karne ke liye move karegi, aur agar buyers apne aap ko iske upar establish karne mein kamyab hote hain, toh main apne targets ko more distant northern objectives adjust karunga

GBP/USD H4 Chart

GBPUSD currency pair ki baat karein, to wave structure apna order upwards build kar rahi hai. MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein grow ho raha hai aur apni signal line ke upar hai. Pichlay do hafton se is pair ki price jaise ek jet engine ke saath upar ja rahi hai. MACD par jo divergences itne khoobsurat lag rahe the, woh break ho gaye hain. Lekin abhi bhi rollback ka probability barh gayi hai kyunke full growth cycle work out ho chuki hai.

Aap dekh sakte hain teen waves ka structure, jahan doosri wave choti si short hai beech mein. Aur pehli aur teesri wave takreeban equal length mein hain, jise "two sticks" kehte hain. Pound ke liye price aksar aise move karti hai. CCI indicator upper overheating zone se neeche jane ke liye tayar hai aur is par bearish divergence bhi nazar aa rahi hai. Main assume karta hoon ke horizontal support level 1.2932 tak descent ho sakti hai, jahan se shayad kuch rebound upwards ho. Lekin phir mujhe lagta hai yeh level neeche se break ho jayega kyunke full growth cycle work out ho chuki hai aur rollback ke bagair further growth unlikely hai.

Agar level 1.2932 neeche break ho jata hai, to yeh selling ke liye use ho sakta hai agar price is level ko neeche se resistance ke tor par approach kare. Uske baad, main support level 1.2855 tak decline ka high probability hai. Main further decline ko consider nahi karta kyunke downward trend finally break ho chuki hai aur upward mein turn ho gayi hai. Higher daily period mein ek third wave upward nazar aa rahi hai, jo daily chart par switch karte hi dikhai deti hai. Isliye, main decline expect karta hoon, lekin aisa reversal nahi, agar koi sales mein level 1.2855 se bohot neeche stuck hai, to yeh ek miracle hoga agar price in positions tak wapas aaye. Yahan sirf ek rollback aur continued growth nazar aa rahi hai.





Price is month ke last week mein upward move kar sakti hai. Yeh upward trend green line se push hua jo lower channel line ke upar extend ho kar monthly resistance level 1.2990 tak pohonch gayi. Yeh scenario current level se possible hai. Red line jo support level 1.2680 ke neeche extend hoti hai, decline ki possibility dikhati hai jo 1.2850 tak pohonch sakti hai. Yeh scenario tab reliable hai agar price 1.2840 ke neeche chaar ghantay trade karti hai. Is pair ke liye best trading opportunity current level se buy karna hai, stop loss ko aaj ki lowest trading price ke neeche set karna hai, aur resistance level 1.2990 ke just neeche target karna hai. Short term mein agar price 1.2805 ke neeche stabilize hoti hai, to sell position enter karna advisable hai with target just above the monthly pivot level.

British Pound vs. US Dollar Analysis

British pound ne US dollar ke muqable mein char hafta ke high ko touch kiya hai, jabke investors aane wale interest rate reductions par bet kar rahe hain. Yeh bullish sentiment Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ki recent testimony se shuru hua, jo ke inflation progress ke bare mein cautious thi, lekin markets ne ise zyada dovish stance ke tor par interpret kiya.

Pound ki rally 1.2800 level par resistance ko mila, jo ke yeh suggest karta hai ke elevated levels par kuch weakness ho sakti hai. Agar pound retreat karta hai, to yeh 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke aas paas 1.2600 ko test kar sakta hai. Short-term technical indicators, jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), downtrend ke continuation ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain.




Bulls ko 1.2610 support level ko defend karna hoga aur daily chart par higher lows establish karne honge taake upward momentum maintain ho sake. Agar price 1.2610 se neeche break hoti hai, to further declines 200-day SMA ke paas 1.2570 ya phir 1.2465 aur 1.2300 levels tak ho sakti hain. Market jab long-term trading range ke mid-point 1.2610 ko retest karega, to bulls aur bears ke darmiyan power ka balance crucial hoga pound ke next direction ko determine karne ke liye.

Agar upside reversal hoti hai, to pehla resistance target 20-day SMA hoga usse pehle ke 1.2740 barrier ko break karne ki koshish ki jaye. Agar is level ke upar break hota hai, to sideways channel ka upper limit 1.2820 bhi test kiya ja sakta hai.

Overall, pound ki performance market expectations ke sath closely tied hai regarding interest rate movements, dono UK aur US mein. Investors upcoming US CPI data ko closely watch karenge, jo pound ke near term trajectory ko further influence kar sakta hai.

GBP/USD Analysis

British pound ne US dollar ke mukablay mein chaar hafton ki bulandi haasil kar li hai, jahan sarmaayakaron ne mustaqbil ke interest rate cuts par daanv lagaya hai. Yeh bullish sentiment Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell ke recent testimony se utha, jo ke halan ke mehngai mein kamyabi se mutaliq ehtiyaat barat rahe thay, lekin market ne isay dovish stance ke taur par samjha.

Pound ki rally ko 1.2800 level par muqabla mila, jo ke is buland level par potential weakness ko dikhata hai. Agar pound retreat karta hai, to yeh 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke kareeb 1.2600 ko test kar sakta hai. Short-term technical indicators, jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), downtrend ke continuation ko point out kar rahe hain.




Bulls ko 1.2610 support level ko defend karna hoga aur daily chart par higher lows establish karna hoga taake upward momentum barqarar reh sake. Agar 1.2610 ke neechay breakdown hota hai, to 200-day SMA par 1.2570 ya phir 1.2465 aur 1.2300 levels tak aur zyada declines ho sakte hain. Jab market 1.2610 ke long-term trading range ke mid-point ko retest karegi, to bulls aur bears ke darmiyan power ka balance pound ke agle direction ka taayun karega.

20-day SMA pehla resistance target hona chahiye agar upside reversal hota hai, is se pehle ke 1.2740 barrier ko todne ki koshish ki jaye. Sideways channel ke upper limit 1.2820 ko pair test kar sakta hai agar yeh level break ho jata hai.

Overall, pound ka performance interest rate movements ke market expectations se closely tied rahega, dono UK aur US mein. Sarmaayakaron ki nazar upcoming US CPI data par rahegi, jo ke qareebi muddat mein pound ke trajectory ko mazeed asarandaaz kar sakta hai.

GBP/USD Analysis

GBP/USD currency pair ne recent bullish momentum dikhaya hai, aur multiple timeframes—weekly se le kar H4 (four-hour) chart tak—ka analysis agle haftay ke market movements ke potential insights deta hai. Iss recent bullish momentum ke baad, focus ab un areas par shift ho jata hai jo price pullback ki surat mein targets ban sakte hain.

Haal hi mein, weekly aur daily charts ek imbalance dikhate hain, jo suggest karte hain ke primary buying zone current price levels se kaafi door hai. Jab ke yeh door ka buying zone completely dismiss nahi kiya jana chahiye, lekin yeh immediate future mein target kam lagta hai jab tak significant correction nahi hota.




Immediate term mein, nearest zones of interest daily aur H4 timeframes mein milte hain, specifically 1.2847 se 1.2902 ke darmiyan. Yeh levels probable targets represent karte hain agar price pullback hota hai. Yeh zones current price action ke nazdeek hain aur is liye more immediate areas hain jahan buying interest emerge ho sakta hai.

Analysis yeh indicate karta hai ke hafte ki shuruaat market slightly above the highs of Friday aur pichle hafte ke highs se hogi, jo 1.2989 level ke aas paas hai. Iss context mein, yeh plausible hai ke GBP/USD pair 1.3000 ke psychological resistance level ko retest karne ki koshish kar sakti hai. Yeh level significant hai sirf is liye nahi ke iska psychological impact hai balkay iski proximity to recent highs ke wajah se bhi, jo isay bulls aur bears dono ke liye critical point of interest banata hai.

Traders ko yeh levels ke aas paas price action ke signs dekhne chahiye taake market direction gauge kar sakein. Agar pair 1.2989 aur 1.3000 ke upar sustain nahi kar pati, to yeh potential pullback indicate kar sakta hai towards the aforementioned support zones between 1.2847 and 1.2902. Conversely, agar 1.3000 ke upar successful breach aur sustained trading hoti hai, to yeh continued bullish momentum ko signal kar sakta hai, jo further gains lead kar sakti hai.

Nateejatan, jab ke GBP/USD pair ne strong upward movement dikhaya hai, different timeframes ka analysis key levels ko monitor karne ki importance highlight karta hai for potential pullbacks. Daily aur H4 charts par zones between 1.2847 and 1.2902 sabse probable areas of interest hain agar pullback hota hai. Additionally, 1.2989 to 1.3000 level ek critical resistance zone serve karta hai jo next phase of price action determine kar sakta hai. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur near-term support aur resistance levels consider karne chahiye taake potential market movements effectively navigate kar sakein.

TRADING CHART ON GBP/USD H-4

Happy Monday!

Nayi haftay ki shuruaat GBP/USD currency pair ke liye thodi si US dollar ki taqat ke sath hui hai, jo 1.2961 par thi. Lekin ab bulls dobara se pair par pressure daal rahe hain aur mujhe lagta hai ke woh is hafte ke aane wale dinon mein aham level 1.3000 ko test karne ka iraada rakhte hain, taake ise tor kar 30th figure mein shamil ho sakein. Abhi GBP/USD currency pair ki quotes 1.2976 par trade kar rahi hain, aur four-hour chart par hum dekh rahe hain ke aaj doosri bullish candle shuru ho chuki hai, to abhi ke halat se lagta hai ke British pound ka growth against US dollar ko ek additional boost milega.

Lekin humein H4 Stochastic ko dekhna hoga, jo ke is currency pair ki overbought state ko indicate karne ke baad ab neeche ki taraf ja rahi hai. To yeh bhi mumkin hai ke bears GBP/USD quotes ko support area 1.2945 tak le jayein, taake is pair ki overbought state ko khatam kiya ja sake. Lekin, is surat mein bhi GBP/USD ki price mere sabhi technical indicators se upar rahegi aur mujhe lagta hai ke bears ke liye abhi koi acchi south nahi hai, jab tak koi force majeure nahi hota. Lekin yeh kam hi mumkin hai kyunke aaj koi news nahi hai, siwaye raat mein US Federal Reserve ke head ke speech ke, aur hum already Trump par assassination attempt se judi siyasi unrest ko jhel chuke hain, aur market bhi, to hum technical direction mein hi move karte rahenge, north ko develop karte hue dekhte hue.

GBPUSD Currency Pair Analysis

GBPUSD currency pair mein wave structure upar ki taraf ban rahi hai, MACD indicator upper purchase zone aur apni signal line ke upar badh raha hai. Pichle do hafton se is pair ki price upar ki taraf jaise ek jet engine lagane se tezi se upar ja rahi hai. MACD par sabhi divergences jo bohot khoobsurat lag rahi thi, woh break ho chuki hain. Lekin phir bhi, rollback ki probability ab barh gayi hai kyunki poora growth cycle work out ho chuka hai.

Aap ek three-wave structure dekh sakte hain, jahan second wave ek chhoti si short wave hai jo middle mein hai. Aur pehli aur teesri waves, lagbhag ek length ke hain, jise do sticks kaha jata hai. Pound ke liye yeh price movement aam baat hai. CCI indicator upper overheating zone se neeche jane ke liye tayar hai aur is par ek bearish divergence bhi dikh rahi hai.

Mujhe lagta hai ke price horizontal support level 1.2932 tak neeche jaayegi, jahan se shayad thoda rebound upar ki taraf ho sakta hai. Lekin phir main yeh ummeed karta hoon ke yeh level neeche ki taraf break hoga, kyunki poora growth cycle work out ho chuka hai aur bina rollback ke aur aage badhne ki umeed kam hai. Agar level 1.2932 ke neeche break hota hai, toh ise selling ke liye use kiya ja sakta hai agar price neeche se resistance ke taur par approach karti hai. Aur uske baad, high probability hai ke price main support level 1.2855 ke area tak decline karegi.

Main further decline ko nahi consider karta, kyunki downward trend finally break ho gaya hai aur upward mein badal gaya hai. Higher daily period par, ek third wave upward dikhayi deti hai, jo immediately dikhayi deti hai jab aap daily chart par switch karte hain. Isliye, main decline expect karta hoon, lekin aisa reversal nahi, agar koi sales mein atka hua hai 1.2855 ke level se neeche, toh yeh ek miracle hoga agar price wapas in positions par aaye. Yahan sirf rollback aur continued growth hi visible hai.




Summary:
GBP/USD pair ne strong upward movement dikhayi hai, lekin different timeframes ki analysis se key levels monitor karna important hai potential pullbacks ke liye. Daily aur H4 charts par zones 1.2847 aur 1.2902 ke beech probable areas of interest hain agar pullback hota hai. Additional, 1.2989 se 1.3000 level critical resistance zone hai jo agle phase of price action ko determine kar sakta hai. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur near-term support aur resistance levels ko consider karna chahiye taake effectively market movements ko navigate kar sakein.

GBP/USD currency pair ne is Sunday market close par aik significant reversal experience kiya, jab price ne 4-hour time frame par double top pattern confirm kiya. Yeh reversal tab hua jab price daily time frame par broad supply zone ke kareeb aayi. Current bearish momentum ke madde nazar, price decline karti rahegi aur yeh 1.2660 price level ke demand zone tak pohonch sakti hai, jo sabse najdeek demand zone hai.




Despite ongoing bearish trend, GBP/USD pair ab bhi uptrend ki taraf hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke price rebound kar sakti hai jab yeh sabse najdeek demand zone tak pohonchegi. 4-hour time frame ko analyze karte hue, do potential demand zones identify kiye gaye hain jo future buying opportunities ke liye references ke tor par use kiye ja sakte hain. Is instrument ko apni downward trajectory continue karne ke liye, bears ko 1.2710 support level break karna hoga aur iske neeche consolidate karna hoga. Yeh lower GBP/USD range limits tak ka rasta kholega, specifically 1.2690 aur buyer's zone at 1.2680. Agar price trendline ke upar move karti hai, toh priority selling se buying ki taraf shift hogi. Last impulse level at 1.2652 initial test level ke tor par serve karega. Is level ka break hona medium-term targets ke liye crucial hoga, potentially reaching 1.2700.

Long term mein, trend uptrend se downtrend ki taraf shift ho sakti hai. Yeh shift tab hoga jab price lowest demand zone ko break karegi, jiska support 1.2645 price level par hai. Is support level ka breakdown indicate karega ke uptrend structure compromise ho gaya hai, potentially GBP/USD pair ko downtrend mein convert karte hue. Jab tak yeh uptrend structure collapse nahi hoti, tab tak demand zone tak pohonchne par buy positions open karne ke mauqe hain, bullish reversal ki confirmation ke sath.

As traders, hum market ka analysis kar rahe hain taake aaj ke market ke liye acche entry points dhoond sakein jo hamare trading plans ke mutabiq hon. Bolang relax hota hai jab woh posting karta hai, jo usay har haftay consistent aur increasing bonuses kamane mein madad deti hai. Magar pichla hafta uske liye mushkil tha kuch floating losses ki wajah se, aur woh is hafta achha profit banana chahta hai taake withdrawal (WD) kar sake. Iss wajah se, hum trend confirmation pattern ka intezar kar rahe hain. Chhote traders jaise ke hum, 1.2645 par buy kiye hain, aur kuch pehle ke buyers bhi is level par enter huye hain jab price ne pehle is level ko touch kiya tha, aur unhone apne stop losses 1.2715 par rakhe hain. Kuch traders zyada confident thay aur unhone apne stop losses is level se neeche rakhe hain.

Yeh note karna zaruri hai ke market ka 80% market makers se bana hai. Is scenario mein, market makers chhote traders ke against move karte hain taake liquidity le sakein unke stop losses ko hit kar ke. Hum dekh sakte hain ke market ne yeh kiya, jis se direction sideways se downtrend mein badal gayi. Fundamentally, GBP/USD pair aur doosri pairs Ukraine mein ongoing war aur potential Fed rate hike ke concerns ki wajah se vulnerable hain. Is se GBP/USD pairs ki movement aur depressed ho gayi hai. Aage scheduled news ya fundamental events jinki high impact hai, woh GBP/USD market pairs mein significant volatility cause kar sakti hain. Economic calendar ke mutabiq, Bolang ne identify kiya hai ke aaj kuch news releases ya low-impact fundamentals hain, jaise ke JOLTS Opening. Agar results favorable hotay hain, toh yeh US dollar ko strengthen kar sakta hai, jis se GBP/USD pair weaken ho sakti hai.

GBP/USD pair ki foreign currencies ka technical analysis


US dollar ki qeemat mein girawat aayi jab ek weekly survey ne yeh zahir kiya ke ziada log US unemployment benefits lene ke liye register kar rahe hain, lekin ISM survey ke baad services sector ki activity mein unexpected tezi se slowdown ne pehle hi selling desire ko peak par le aaya. Iske nateeje mein, British pound ki qeemat US dollar ke muqable mein 1.2777 resistance level tak jump ki, jo ke do hafton se zyada mein apni highest level thi, aur Thursday ki trading ke aghaz par 1.2740 level ke ird gird settle hui. Yeh sab American holiday aur British parliamentary elections ke intezar ke doran hua.

Economic calendar ke natayej ke mutabiq... US headline ISM Services PMI June mein 48.8% tak pohanch gaya, jo ke contraction in activity ko indicate karta hai, jabke May mein yeh 53.8% tha. Yeh girawat expectations ke muqable mein significant thi, kyun ke consensus 52.5% reading ke liye tayar tha. Service companies American economy ka sabse bara sector hain. Markets is loss ke size par react kar rahe hain aur bet laga rahe hain ke Federal Reserve September mein US interest rates cut karne ke liye confident feel karega. Is response mein, US bond yields gire, dollar ki qeemat kam hui, aur stock prices barh gayi.

ISM report ne yeh dikhaya ke US companies jo naye orders expect kar rahi hain woh 47.3% tak gir gayi hain, jo ke Great Financial Crisis ke baad se lowest level hai aur 2001 recession se bhi kam hai. Price index June mein 56.3% record hua, jo ke May ki reading 58.1% se 1.8 percentage points kam hai. ING Bank ke analysts ka kehna hai: "Yeh zaroor September rate cut ke case ko mazid strong banata hai kyun ke yeh sab boxes tick karta hai: weak growth, slowing inflation, aur deteriorating jobs market." "Fed ek recession cause nahi karna chahta agar yeh avoid kiya ja sakta hai."

Kal. US Labor Department ne report kiya ke naye claims for unemployment benefits lene wale Americans ki tadaad pichle hafta 4,000 barh kar seasonally adjusted 238,000 tak pohanch gayi. Consensus forecast ek modest level 235 thousand ka tha. US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne Tuesday ko kaha ke agar labor market deteriorate hota hai to interest rates lower karne ka mauka hai. Yeh ek signal tha ke Fed interest rates cut karne ke liye tayar hoga inflation ke 2.0% target tak pohanchne se pehle.

Iska matlab hai ke jobs market par zimmedari hai wo interest rate cuts deliver kare jo kai US households, businesses aur investors crave kar rahe hain.

GBP/USD ka forecast aaj ke liye:

Jaise ke maine pehle mention kiya, GBP/USD price ka resistance 1.2775 ke upar stabilize hone ka success bulls ko further movement higher mein support karega. Agla stop for more bullish control 1.2830 hoga, aur phir 1.3000 psychological resistance area wapas aane ki baat barh rahi hai. Yeh weak US job numbers aur British parliamentary elections ke natayej se sterling mein confidence ki wapsi ki zaroorat hai. Dusri taraf, daily chart par same time period ke doran, support level 1.2600 sabse important rahega bears ke control ki strength ke liye.