𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

Haal hi mein trading ke mutabiq, British pound ka exchange rate US dollar ke khilaf GBP/USD ne 1.30 mansoobi resistance barrier ke qareeb temporarily ruk gaya, jab US retail sales numbers jari hue, jo ke ittefaq se zyada thay. Agar kal Britain me inflation numbers mansoob daraje se kam ane to karobar ke operashan munafa le saktay hain. British pound US dollar ke khilaf apni haal ki urooj se gira jab US retail sales report ittefaq se zyada nikal aya. Mutabarik trading companies' platforms ke mutabiq... GBP/USD pair din ke doran 1.2940 par 0.20% tak gir gaya, jab retail sales ne June mein maahana bunyadi basis par 0% ka flat reading rekod kata, jabke umeed muqarar -0.3% ki reading thi. Core retail sales 0.4% barh gaye. Ye 0.1% tak ke estimate se behtar tha aur US dollar ke liye aik mazboot surprise hai.

Is waqiye aur is ke asar par tabassum. “Aaj ke data aur aik aur yaad dilane wale hain ke aap kabhi American consumer ko na underestimate karen,” kehtay hain Ali Jafari, CIBC Capital Markets ke economist.

Forex market trading ke mutabiq. Pound ne July mein dollar ke khilaf 2.50% tak izafa kiya, aik saal pehle is waqt tak pohanche hue levels ke qareeb, jo September mein interest rate cut ki barh rahe umeedon ki madad se tha. September mein tasleem ki kursi mein guzarnay ke liye ek siyahdar, muzman data ki darurat hogi. Lekin analysts ke mutabiq, "Kya consumption mein taqat, Fed ke lie shuda saboot ka tamam ballance badal deta hai aur economy mein demand barh sakti hai?" Hamara khayal hai nahi. Inflation aur kamzor hone wale maeeshati shorat se lekar evidence ikhatha karna kaafi hoga ke Fed ko interest rates ko September mein cut karne ke liye raazi kare."

Aam tor par data darshata hai ke exchange rate izafa sirf 1.30 mansoobi resistance level se sirf che pips pehle ruka, jo badi nishane se pehle sell orders ke mutabiq tha. July 2023 mein buland tareen level 1.3142 par tha, lekin British pound ne in levels ko bohot zyada arsay tak barqarar nahi rakh paya.





GBP/USD tajziya:
GBP/USD exchange rate ne takreeban pichle Uchh muskil Federal Reserve statement ke baad aur Britain ke aane wale inflation data ke qareeb itni tezi se izafa kiya. Ye teen consecutive din tak izafa hua aur 1,300 ke psychological point tak pohancha, jo July 2023 se pichhle waqt ke sab se bulandi swing tha. GBP/USD pair ne Monday ke statement ke bad Jerome Powell, Federal Reserve Governor ka, mazboot izafa jari rakhna jari rakha. Us ke statement mein, Powell ne US mein maeeshat darj mahinon mein maeeshat ke numbers ko khush aamd kaha, jo price stability ko dikhate hain. Agar maeeshat continue karne ke bawajood kam hoti rahe to Powell aam interest rates cut karne ke liye raazi hain, walaqin yeh ab tak 2.0% ke upar rehti hai. Ab Fed zyada kamzor ho raha hai labor market se, jo pichhle kuch mahinon mein gir raha hai.

Rozana ka chart dikhata hai ke GBP/USD pair pichle kuch hafton se mazboot northward trend mein chal raha hai. Haal hi mein wo ahem resistance point 1.2830 par badal gaya, jo inverse head aur shoulders pattern ka neckline hai. Ye bhi 78.6% Fibonacci retracement point 1.2905 par uth gaya. Pair ne XABCD pattern ka upper side bhi zarbati signal hai. Price 50-day aur 100-day moving averages ke upar rehta hai.

Usi waqt, Relative Strength Index (RSI) overbought point par chala gaya. Is liye pair girne aur 1.2893 par support par dobara test karne ke ihtimal hai aur phir mazboot trend ko jari rakhne ke liye. Agar yeh hota hai, phir waqt ke sath wo aakhir mein resistance level 1.3100 ko dobara test karega.

London ke trading mein British pound ko Thursday ko weakness ka samna raha, halankeh kuch maqool buniyadi data hone ke bawajood. Ye milaap darasal mehngi ke tezi mein rukawat ke lehaz se chintaon ka izhar karta hai sath hi maeeshati isteqlal ka bhi jari rehna. Office for National Statistics (ONS) ke dawwar jari kiye gaye average earnings data ne maeeshati tezi ke dar mein rukawat ki khabar di, jaisa ke ummeed thi. May tak 3 mahinon mein average saalana earnings (including bonuses) mein izafa 5.7% tak hua, jo ke peechle mahinon mein 5.9% se gir gaya tha. Jaise ke yeh rukawat darshata hai, maeeshati tezi ab bhi price stability ko hasil karne ke zaroori daraje se oopar hai. Lekin, ONS report mein kuch achi khabrein bhi shamil thin. Employers ne May tak ke 3 mahinon mein 19,000 zyada job vacancies bhar diye, joke pehle report mein 140,000 employees ki kami dikhane waale pehlay report se tezi se badh gaya tha. Mazeed, bayrozgari dar 4.4% par barqarar rahi, estimates aur pehle data ke mutabiq. Ye milaap darasal meethahti asnaad ke Bank of England (BoE) ke agle interest rate meeting in August par umeedon par asar dala hai. Khalis wage growth data ke peechay se ayi mazeed expectations ko dhima kar diya gaya hai, khas kar ab dekhtay hue consumer prices ka hilne se. According to the ONS, UK ka Consumer Price Index (CPI) June mein 3.5% tak barh gaya.





Wage growth data ke shurati kamzori ke bawajood, pound dollar ke khilaf humesha mazboot hai. Likha jaa raha hai ke exchange rate taqreeban 1.3044 par hai, ek do saal purane unchi pohanch se dalel di gayi. Technical indicators bhi lambay arsay ke liye mazeed izafa ki khaahish darshate hain. Pound price ab tak apni long-term exponential moving average (EMA) ke upar hai, jo ke mazboot overal urooj darshata hai. Is ke ilawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ne hilne ke pehle 70 ke upar chadhne ki pehli baar in ek saal mein daleel hai, jo ke mazboot momentum ki jaga dikhata hai. In technical indicators ke mutabiq, kuch analysts 1.3140 tak ki potential izafa ki umeed lagate hain. Lekin, nuqsan ke khatre bhi baaqi hain. Agar anay wale data releases UK ki maeeshat ke US ke mukable mein kamzor dikhate hain, to pound naye pressure ka samna kar sakta hai. Is maamlay mein, March mein pohancha pehla uncha 1.2900 aik ahem support level ka kaam kar sakta hai. Ikhtitam mein, British pound ka manzar kamzor wage growth aur maeeshati isteqlal ke darmiyan balance par mabni hai. Halankeh Thursday ko short-term weakness aayi, buniyadi data aur technical indicators lambay arsay ke izafa ki potential darshate hain. Investors ko anay wale data releases aur central bank ke taqreerat ko nazdeek se monitor karna chahiye taa ke pound ka mustaqbil ka raasta theek se samjha jaa sake.

GBP/USD ne current upward trend ke mutabiq Wednesday ko apni izaafi movement ko dobara shuru kardiya. Trend line wazeh tor par ishara kar rahi hai ke pound ka izafa jaari rahega. Lekin, yeh ab kisi bhi had tak hairat angor hai, kyun ke pound ne kai mahinon se ek be maqsad izafa dikhaya hai. Pichle teen quarters mein, hum ne apne readers ka dyaan aksar is baat par murattib kiya hai ke pound ka izafa hone ke liye koi wajah naheen hai, lekin woh phir bhi izafa ho raha hai.
Ek baar phir Wednesday ko pound khareedne ke liye koi wajah na thi, lekin market bullish rahi. UK Consumer Price Index June mein 2.0% tak barh gaya, jo ke peechle mahine ke rate ke barabar tha. Core CPI May ki tarah 3.5% par barqarar raha. Lekin, market ko inflation kam hone ki umeed thi. To phir yeh kyun kisi naye long positions kholne ka sabab banay ke pound par? Ant mein, ab Bank of England (khayali taur par) ye consider kar sakti hai ke inflation girna band ho gaya hai aur phela rate cut taalaag karna zaroori hai! Ye woh tarah ke wajahain hain jo market deta hai. Asal mein, yeh ke inflation hadaf ke daraje tak gir gaya hai dikhata hai ke BoE August mein apna rate kam shuru kar sakta hai. Aur yeh pound ke liye aik mazboot bearish factor hai. 5-minute timeframe par do achi trading signals bani thein. Keemat pehle 1.2980-1.2993 ke ilaqe ko paar kar gayi, jo ke ek khareed signal tha, phir usne kaam kiya aur 1.3043 ke level se bounce kiya, jo ke ek bechna signal tha. Nawjawan traders dono maamlay mein positions khol sakte thein. Pehlay maamley mein qareeban 20 pips ka munafa tha, aur doosrey mein qareeban 25 pips ka tha.





Thursday ke liye trading tips:
Hourly chart par, GBP/USD aik downtrend ke shuru hone ki wazahat ke promising signs dikha raha hai, lekin yeh local upward trend ko mansookh naheen karta. Pair bullish bias dikha raha hai, aur yeh be maqsad movement ko saamne rakh raha hai. Is waqt, pound sterling ne pehlay se aakhri local uncha paar kar liya hai aur maeeshati manzar ko nazar andaz kar raha hai. Market almost har report ko british currency ko khareedne ke liye istemal karti hai.

Thursday ko, pound sterling apni upward movement ko jaari rakhne ki koshish kar sakta hai, aur nawjawan traders ko 1.2980-1.2993 ke ilaqe mein signals banate dekh sakte hain. Is se bounce ki nishani naye musbat trades ka andaza deti hai. Is mark se neeche rukawat yani dhimi giravat ki taraf ishara karta hai.

5M chart par key levels hain 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791-1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913 , 1.2980-1.2993, 1.3043, 1.3102-1.3107, 1.3145. Aaj, UK bayrozgari aur maeeshat par reports jaari karega, jo market naye long positions ke liye istemal kar sakta hai. US minor report jaari karegi job application benefits par. European Central Bank ki meeting aur ECB Head Christine Lagarde ki taqreer bhi traders ke sentiment ko pound ke liye asar karsakti hai.

GBP/USD (British Pound/US Dollar) currency pair forex market mein sab se zyada traders ke darmiyan tehleel ho raha hai, jo ke apni shadeed tabadlaati miqdaar aur significant price movements ke liye mashhoor hai. Is waqt, GBP/USD 1.3007 par trading ho raha hai, aur mojooda trend bearish hai. Halankeh market ki abhi dul hijazi rawayati amal hai, lekin iss itihayatiyan darust karti hain ke GBP/USD ke aane wale dinon mein wazeh movement ka samna ho sakta hai.
Current Market Overview

GBP/USD haal mein bearish trend par gaya hai, jo ke dikhata hai ke British pound US dollar ke muqable mein kamzor ho raha hai. Mukhtalif maqroohimi factors is trend ka hi hissa hai, jin mein iqtisadi data releases, central bank policies, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment shamil hain.

Economic Data Releases: GDP growth, employment figures, inflation rates, aur manufacturing output jese ahem iqtisadi indicators UK aur US se shayad-e-bunyad honay wale is exchange rate par asar andaz ho sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, agar anay wale data mein UK ka iqtisadi performance kamzor ho to yeh GBP/USD ko mazeed kuchla sakti hai. Aam tor par, mazid mazid pakistani iqtisadi data dollar ko pehlaay gi, aur uski bearish trend ko taqwiyat de gi.

Central Bank Policies: Bank of England (BoE) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ki monetary policies ahem hain. Agar Fed interest rates barhane ya asset purchases ko kam karne ki taraf ishaarat de, to is se mazeed market reactions sakht hosakti hain. Halankeh, agar BoE zyada hawkish stance adopt kar leti hai, potential rate hikes ya measures ko tighten karne ki ishara deti hai, to yeh pound ko taqwiyat dekar GBP/USD ko nichay le ja sakti hai.

Geopolitical Events: Brexit, trade negotiations, aur political stability jese events UK aur US mein currency pair par gehray asar daal sakti hain. Unka ittefaq ya negative news is mein buland volatility aur tezi se movement ko le kar sakti hai.

Market Sentiment: Market participants ka kheyal aur sentiments risk ke hawale se currency ke movements ko drive kar sakte hain. Husool-e-maafiyat ya risk se bache hone ke doraan investors aam tor par safe-haven assets jese US dollar ki taraf daurte hain, jis se pound aur zyada kamzor hota hai.





Potential for a Big Movement

Halankah mojooda bearish trend ke bawajood, kuch factors aise hain jo GBP/USD pair mein bade shor se hone ke liye zimmedar hosakte hain:

Economic Surprises: Inexpect iqtisadi data releases jo forecasts se farak se hat kar hoti hain, market ko jhatak sakti hain. Jese UK ke iqtisadi data mein achanak sudhar ya US ke iqtisadi indicators mein tezi se bigar sakti hain, yeh majid trend ko ulat sakti hain aur aham movement chikh sakti hain GBP/USD mein.

Central Bank Announcements: BoE ya Fed se jaari hairat angez ilaanat ya policy shifts market ke achanak reactions ka sabab ban saktay hain. Agar BoE zyada hawkish tone apnaye, potential rate hikes ya measures tight karne ki ishara de, to yeh pound ko taqwiyat de sakti hai, aur GBP/USD ko tezi se uppar le ja sakti hai.

Geopolitical Developments: Koi badey sciencei events jese breakthroughs ya setbacks Brexit se taluqat ya major economies ke darmiyan trade policies mein tabdeeliyan, aik badey volatility peda sakti hain. UK ke siyasi manzar mein misqeeniyat ko door karne wale tanzem ko pound ko taqwiyaat de sakti hain, jab ke negative news bearish trend ko mazeed barha sakti hai.

Technical Factors: Technical analysis bhi potential big movements ke baray mein maalumat farahum kar sakti hai. Ahem support aur resistance levels, trend lines, aur patterns woh jagah batla sakti hain jahan aham buying ya selling pressure nazar aa sakti hai. Agar GBP/USD kisi principle support level ko paar kar leta hai, to yeh bearish trend ko tezi day sakta hai, jab ke kisi major resistance level ke paar barhna reversal ka ishara ho sakta hai.

Conclusion

Ikhtitam mein, jabke GBP/USD abhi 1.3007 par bearish trend ke sath trading ho raha hai, mukhtalif factors yeh zahir karte hain ke aik bada movement anay wale hai. Traders aur investors ko anay wale iqtisadi data releases, central bank policy announcements, geopolitical events, aur technical indicators par nazar rakhni chahiye ta ke market mein hone wale tabadlaat ka andaza utha saken. In factors ka sath mil kar hi tay hoga ke GBP/USD apni nichlay rukh par chalne ya ulatne ka samna karega, ye unke dino mein significant price movements ko lead karayega. In factors ke complexity aur ishlakon ke darmiyan nisbat ko madde nazar rakhte hue GBP/USD ke trading mein hosheyar aur tarteeb parast rawaiya rakhna zaroori hai ta ke kisi bhi significant market changes ka faida uthaya ja sake.

GBP/USD H-1

Is waqt likhte hue, GBP/USD pair chart ke upper half mein 1.30022 par flat trading kar raha hai.

Instaforex company ke indicator par is forum par, pehle hisse mein bulls aur bears ka barabar naqsha hai, jahan pe pehle walon ki taadaad 50.33% ke darmiyan hai. Dusra hissa neutral position dikha raha hai. Aaj yeh pair humein kis tarah ki taajjub aur surprise la skta hai? Mai ne England se aik ahem aur dilchasp khabar release ki highlight ki: unemployment claims mein tabdiliyan. United States: Initial jobless claims and industrial activity index. Is liye hum fundamental analysis bhi karte hain, sath hi sath technical analysis bhi mat bhooliye ga. Chhoti si baat mein, kya aur kahan? Mujhe yakeen hai ke pehle pair 1.2940 level ke tarafi adjust hoga phir uttar ki taraf 1.3130 level par mod lega. Sabko behtreen kamyabi aur hunt par mubarak ho.




GBP/USD H-4

GBP/USD pair ne kal is zone mein dakhil hua. Yahaan aik bara ascending channel ka upper boundary pass hai. Price ne kal breakout attempt kiya, lekin nakam reh gaya aur wapis chala gaya. Ab hum ek consolidation ko progress mein dekh sakte hain, jahan RSI barh rahi hai aur Stochastic ghat rahi hai. Is liye, acha hoga ke hum haalaat ki development ka intezar karein. Haan, jab mai yeh likh raha hoon, to England se kuch news aayi hai, lekin is se price par koi asar nahi hai, aur GBP ke liye aaj koi aur bara news nahi hai (European news ke ilawa jo EUR GBP ko effect kar sakti hai). Agar bad mai yeh phir se buland hota hai, to pehle yeh Bollinger Band upper limit tak pohanchega, jo 1.3027 hai. Hum phir dekhege ke price yeh lines se phir se uthti ya girti hai. Magar, humari nazar lag sakta hai ke ek aur giravat dekhai de, lekin thoda sa uchhal, Bollinger Band midline se aik 1.2981. Is noo ke qareeb, humein dekhna chahiye ke kya price niche ja sakti hai. Agar ja sakti hai, to hum moving averages ke uppar wale aglay support level ki taraf ja sakte hain jo Bollinger Bands ke neeche hai, jo 1.2949/37 area hai. Inn do lines ke aas paas, hum phir se dekhenge ke kya price ek line se guzar kar niktati hai. Agar woh agla hatam utar daite hai, to lower moving averages ek support ke tor par kam kar sakti hain. Halqa support ab 1.2903 par hai, jahan pe price rebound karsakta hai. Transaction ke sath kamyabi ki dua hai.

GBPUSD Analysis 18 July, 2024

Agar h1 timeframe se analyze kiya jaye aur h1 resistance ko breach kar diya jaye, to mujhe ehtiyat se kaam lena padega kyun ke isse GBPUSD aur bhi zyada upar ja sakta hai. Magar, aaj mujhe lagta hai ke GBPUSD ke girne ka zyada moqa hai banisbat upar jane ke. Pehla reason yeh hai ke candle supply area ko breach nahi kar saka jo ke 1.3040 ke price par hai. Jab tak yeh area breach nahi hota, GBPUSD ke liye mushkil hoga ke woh strengthen kare. Dusra reason yeh hai ke large timeframe mein ek evening star ka confirmation candle nazar aaya hai. Aam tor par jab yeh pattern nazar aata hai, to market apni direction reverse kar leta hai, jo pehle upar ja raha tha woh neeche move karne lagta hai.

Agar Ichimoku indicator ka use kar ke analyze karein, to candle position abhi bhi Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke upar hai. Kyun ke candle position abhi bhi Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke upar hai, GBPUSD ka movement rise karne ki taraf hai. Abhi candle position ne blue Kijun Sen line ko touch kar liya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke agar GBPUSD kuch pips drop karta hai, to ek naya intersection ban sakta hai.






Dusri taraf, stochastic indicator ke mutabiq, uski position oversold area mein hai. Yeh is line se zahir hai jo level 20 ko breach kar chuki hai. Yeh yeh batata hai ke kal jo decline hua tha, woh overbought tha. Mujhe ehtiyat se kaam lena padega kyun ke GBPUSD phir se bounce back kar sakta hai kyun ke abhi candle RBS area ko breach nahi kar saka jo ke 1.2991 ke price par hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke yeh area jaldi breach ho jaye taake GBPUSD jaldi neeche ja sake.

Aaj ke analysis ka natija yeh hai ke GBPUSD currency pair ke pass neeche girne ka moqa abhi bhi hai kyun ke candle abhi bhi supply area ko 1.3044 par breach nahi kar saka. Jab tak yeh area breach nahi hota, GBPUSD future mein neeche move karega. Iske ilawa, large timeframe mein bhi ek evening star pattern form ho chuka hai. Isliye, main doston ko recommend karta hoon jo is pair mein trade karte hain ke pehle sell positions open karne par focus karein. Aap nearest support 1.2901 par target place kar sakte hain aur nearest resistance 1.3049 par stop loss place kar sakte hain.

Technical Reference: Buy jab tak yeh 1.29455 ke upar hai
Resistance 1: 1.30270
Resistance 2: 1.30400
Support 1: 1.29625
Support 2: 1.29455

GBPUSD ke upar jane ka moqa European trading session mein aaj dopehar (18/7/24) hai. Yeh opportunity Moving Average (MA) indicator se support hoti hai jo ke rising trend ko dikhata hai, iska matlab hai ke average movement abhi bhi rise karegi aur Stochastic jo oversold area se rebound karta hai yeh indicate karta hai ke price zyada upar ja sakti hai.

GBP/USD currency pair tajziya:
Abhi GBP/USD currency pair D1 chart par taqatwar bearish wave ka aghaz karne ke signs dikha raha hai, jo ke qeemat ko 1.30215 ke zaroori haftawi support level tak nicha le ja sakta hai. Ye level pehle se hi sidewards trade karne ki tendency dikhata hai, jo qeemat ke consolidation zone ki potential darustagi ko darust karta hai. Pichle do hafton mein, pair ne ek wazeh bearish trend ka muzahir kiya hai, jo ke behtareen tor par bearish channels ke andar rahe hai. Is muddat mein, qeemat ne in channels ke mid-lines ke neeche rehne ke saath saath haftawi pivot level 1.2995 ke neeche bhi qeemat mein qaim raha hai. Har koshish ko rokne ke liye muqabla denay wale har pehlu ke sath-e-sath, bearish sentiment ko taqwiyat milti hai, jo ke pivot level ke upar uthne ki har koshish ko resistance ke sath muqable mein atay dekha jata hai, jo ke price action ko pivot level ke upar aur mid-channel lines ke beech mein baandh kar deta hai.
Jab naya hafta shuru hua, GBP/USD bearish channels ke andar trade karna jaari rakha, maujooda downtrend ko yaqeeni banata hua. Ibtidaati halka safar ne qeemat ko haftawi pivot level 1.2995 ke qareeb laaya, lekin ek baar phir, yeh koi bhi upar ke momentum ko banaye rakhne mein kamiyaab nahi hua aur neeche wapas laut gaya.






Yeh wapas udhar qeemat ko ikhtisar mein ek tang range ke andar bandh kar ke rakha hai, jahan pivot level ko taqatwar resistance aur mid-channel lines temporary support ke tor par kaam kar raha hai. Pivot level ko talne mein nakami ki bar-tar hone se market mein taqatwar bearish bias tasdeeq hui hai. Hal hi mein, qeemat mid-channel lines ki taraf wapas ja rahi hai, is support zone ka qeemat mein aham imtehan ka daur tayyar kar rahi hai.
Agar GBP/USD qeemat mid-channel lines ke doar hote hue guzarna kamyaab hota hai, to ye ek mazeed kisi support level 1.2980 ki taraf aur girawat ke raaste ko kholti hai. Ye level ahem hai qeemat ke liye kyun ke is mein ongoing bearish wave ke liye ek potential floor ko darust karta hai. Is support ke neeche guzar jana bechnay ki pressure ko tez kar sakta hai aur ek zahir bearish movement ko la sakti hai. Traders aur analysts in key levels ke qeemat ke action ko closely dekh rahe hain, kyun ke ye GBP/USD ke aane wale dinon mein potential direction ke leye qeemat ke valuable insights faraham karte hain. Pivot level, mid-channel lines aur support levels ke darmiyan ke khilaaf time ke trend ko dictate karenge.

Good afternoon. Abhi tak, GBP/USD chart par koi khaas ghatna nahi ho rahi hai. Bazar ke shamil hone wale log UK se inflation data ka release umeed hai jo currency pair par gehra asar dalne wala hai. Iske baad, tawajjo United States se key economic news par shift hogi, khaaskar dollar ke baray mein. Ye silsila e waqiyat zahir hai ke GBP/USD price mein note able harkatein paida hongi. Filhal, British pound 1.29640-1.2990 ke tang sideways price range ke andar trade kar raha hai. Yeh bohot zyada mumkin hai ke ye range aaj toot jaye, zyada dynamic price action ka aghaz karne wale.
GBP/USD pair ke current trend abhi tak upper trend mein hai, yeh ishara hai ke pound ke liye mazeed izafa ho sakta hai. Yeh upper movement ek combination ke zariye chala hai, jisme market ki rai aur economic indicators pound ko support kar rahe hain. Magar forex market mein precise movements ka pata lagana hamesha mushkil hota hai kyuki mukhtalif influencing variables hoti hain. Agla UK se inflation data khaas baat hai, kyuki ye British economy ki sehat aur Bank of England ke monetary policy decisions par asar dal sakta hai. Agar inflation data expected se zyada aya, to ye pound ko mazeed taqwiyat de sakta hai, upper trend ko reinforce karte hue. Ulta, expected se kam inflation figures bullish sentiment ko kam kar sakti hai aur ek reversal ka sabab ban sakti hai.
Zyada bazar ke context mein, aanay wale U.S. dollar news bhi critical role adaa karega. Key indicators jaise employment data, consumer confidence, aur dosre economic reports dollar ki taqat par bohot asar dal sakte hain. Agar dollar ko taqat aane ke signs ho, to wo GBP/USD pair ke potential gain ko rok sakta hai ya uske current upper trajectory ko reverse kar sakta hai. Dosri taraf, U.S. mein economic weakness ke koi signs dollar ko kamzor kar sakte hain, pound ke liye further support faraham kar sakte hain.
Traders ko is liye mashwara diya jata hai ke ye economic releases par nazar rakhain.






UK inflation data aur U.S. dollar news ke darmiyan ka interplay GBP/USD pair ke near-term direction ko dictate karne wala hai. Jab tak ye data points release nahi hote, currency pair ko apni current range ke andar trade karte dekhne ki umeed hai, lekin breakout movements ki potential bhi hai. Traders ke liye zaroori hai ke vigilant aur responsive rahein in waqiyat ke liye, kyuki ye mauka aur khatra dono paish kar sakte hain. Jaise hamesha, sound risk management aur economic indicators ke mutalliq information rakhna ahem hogi upcoming market movements mein navigational ke liye GBP/USD currency pair mein.

Hum dekhainge kis tarah GBP/USD currency pair ke prices waqt ke sath kaise badal rahe hain. Ghoor karne ke baad, humne hourly chart ka jaaiza liya aur dekha ke Federal Reserve ki ek taqreer ke baad pair gir gaya aur Bank of England ke announcement ke baad support par 1.26072 tak pohancha. Shuru mein aesa lag raha tha ke ek range ban rahi hai, lekin baad mein ak nata unexpectantly barh gaya. Main samjha ke ye is wajah se hua tha ke sellers ke stop-loss orders high volume ke sabab se activate ho gaye, lekin barhte howe reh gaye. Phir, humne notice kiya ke 1.27705 resistance ke upar ek head-and-shoulders pattern numaya hu raha hai. Main ek direction change ka anumaan laga raha tha jis taraf ek giravat ki taraf raasta hai. Main ye predict karta hoon ke ye pair giray ga kyunki ye overbought hai, aur in price levels ko banaye rakhne ke liye koi majboot wajah nahi hai. UK mein inflation 2% par hai, jo dikhata hai ke Bank of England jald hi interest rates kam kar sakta hai kyunki inflation target tak pohanch chuki hai. Ek possible decline 1.27705 support ki taraf suggest ki gayi kyunki 1.29942 resistance ke qareeb double touch tha, seller volume ek giravat ki taraf ishaara kar raha tha. Is ke bawajood, bunyadi factors, khaaskar dollar ke kamzor performance kuch waqt se, ek mukhtalif natija dikhate hain. Jaise ke dollar ke liye demand waqtan fawran ghata sakti hai, lekin GBP/USD ke liye major moves qareeban mumkin nahi hain. Phele hi crucial values ke qareeb 30 meters ke qareeb, aik izafe ke liye 31 ya shayad 33 ki taraf badhawat ki zarurat hai.





Hum taqreer ke hourly chart mein MA mein umeed kar rahe hain, market trends ke mutabiq. Agar pair aur neeche girta hai, to 1.2883 support us rukh ka ishaara deti hai. Magar, daily chart mein koi taqatwar support breakdown nahi dikhata, jo ek dheema neeche ki taraf trend ki taraf ishaara deta hai. Trades mein dakhil hone ke liye, hume sellers ke fa'alana kari mayar aur 1.2854 ke neeche ek movement ke liye dekhna hoga. GBP/USD milti julti trends dikhati hai aur bull might bears ko 1.2883 tak pohanchne se rok nahi sakte. Ye manzar possible consolidation ke sath sath increased activity ka hint dete hain jald hi. Trend ka tasalsul jari rehta hai jo samajhna muskil hota ja raha hai.

Technical analysis of foreign currencies in the GBP/USD pair

British pound ka US dollar ke khilaf rate GBP/USD ne 1.3000 ke psychological resistance level ko tor kar 1.3044 ke resistance level tak peechay jhoola, aur aik saal ki unchi levels ke qareeb qaim hai, baad mein Britain ke June mahine ke inflation rate ne 2% par mazid ho kar stabilize kiya, jise 1.9% ki slow hone ka intezar tha. Services inflation bhi kam hone mein nakam rahi aur 5.7% par qaim ho gayi, jo Bank of England ke 5.1% ke ifraad se oonche thi.

Aam tor par, British Central Bank ke ek rate cut par sharteen August mein 33% ke qareeb giri hain, jab ke CPI release se pehle ye 49% ke qareeb thi. Pichle haftay, Bank of England ke mukhtasir economist Hugh Bell ne tasdeeq di ke service price inflation aur wage growth mazid mazboot hain. Traders ab mazeed data ka intezar kar rahe hain jise is haftay wage growth aur retail sales shamil hain, takay qurz ke rates mein pehla cut hone ki timing ka andaza laga sakein.




Amreeka mein, Federal Reserve ka intezar hai ke September mein interest rates ko kam karne ka aghaz kiya jaye ga, aur saal ke ikhtitam tak aur do aur cuts ki umeed hai. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne ishara diya ke hal intezam ke teht inflation wapas target tak wapas aaye ga aur ye sujhaav diya ke central bank inflation 2% tak pohanchne se pehle interest rates kam kar degi.

GBP/USD forecast

British pound ka US dollar ke khilaf rate GBP/USD ke price break, jesa ke maine pehle zikar kiya, 1.3000 ke psychological resistance level tak, trend par bulls ke control ki taqat ki tasdeeq hai, aur daily chart ke nizaam ke mutabiq, technical indicators buying ke liye mazboot saturation levels ki taraf move karenge agar bulls 1.3065 aur 1.3120 ke resistance levels ki taraf move karenge. Yeh sterling dollar ke aaj ke gain ko Britain mein naukri aur wage figures ke announcement se mutasir karega aur phir haftawar Amreeki jobless claims ke announcement se. Doosri taraf, ishi doran, support 1.2880 ki taraf barkhast honay ka khatra hai current top tak wapas lautein.

GBP/USD PAIR KI JAIZA

Haal hee mein trading ke mutabiq, British pound ke rate ko US dollar ke khilaf GBP/USD ne aik waqt ke liye 1.30 psychological resistance barrier ke qareeb rukawat lagayi, jab Amreeki maaloomaat ke mutabiq retail sales numbers ka izafa hua, jo unanimous tha. Profit-taking operations mazid barh sakti hain agar kal Britain mein inflation numbers manzoori se kam ho. British pound ke recent highs ke baad US dollar ke khilaf gir gaya tha jab US retail sales report consensus se zyada ho gaya. Moatabar trading companies ke platforms ke mutabiq... GBP/USD pair din ke dauran 1.2940 par 0.20% gir gaya, jab ke retail sales ne June mein mahine ke mutabiq flat reading 0% record ki, jabke ummeed -0.3% thi. Core retail sales 0.4% barhi. Ye estimates ko 0.1% se upar karta hai aur US dollar ke liye aik support surprise ka aghaaz hai.

Is waqiye aur uss par tassir ka tajziya karte hue. "Aaj ki data ek aur yad dila deti hai ke aap hamesha American consumer ko underestimate nahi kar sakte," kehte hain Ali Jafari, CIBC Capital Markets ke economist.

Forex market trading ke mutabiq. July mein pound 2.50% tak US dollar ke khilaf barh gaya, ek saal pehle is waqt pe paaye gaye levelon ke dam par, jo ek September interest rate cut ke barhne wale expectations se support mil raha tha. September mein reduction ki manzil ko palatne ke liye mazboot, qaabili, solid data ki zarurat hogi. Lekin analysts ke mutabiq, "kya consumption mein taqat Fed ke lie evidence ka balance badalne ka ishara hai aur economy mein demand barh sakti hai?" Hum ye nahi samajhte. Inflation aur mehengai mein kami se mutalliq bohot saare saboot mootadil hotay jayenge, jin se Fed ko lagne wale September mein interest rates katne mein kaafi saboot mil jaye ga."

Mutalla kahta hai ke exchange rate ka izafa bas chhe pips pehle 1.30 psychological resistance level se rok gaya, jo ke bada mark hone ke baad sell orders lagane ke sath mutabiq hai. Sab se uchi level July 2023 mein 1.3142 par thi, lekin British pound ko ye levels bohot zyada muddat tak barqarar rakhne mein nakami milti hai.





GBP/USD analysis:
GBP/USD exchange rate ne strong upward march jari rakha baad mein relatively pessimistic Federal Reserve statement aur aane wale inflation data ke agle din Britain mein. Teen mukhtalif dinon tak barhta raha, 1,300 par pohncha, jis se July 2023 ke baad apni unchi swing tak pohancha. GBP/USD pair ne Jumeraat ko Federal Reserve Governor Jerome Powell ke statement ke baad mazbooti se barhna jari rakha. Uske bayan mein Powell ne mukhtalif maheenon mein US mehengai numbers ko pasand kiya, jo price stability dikhate hain. Powell is saal qarz ke rates ko kam karne mein comfortable hain agar mehengai ghatne ki sath sath 2.0% se upar rehti hai. Federal Reserve ab mehengai ke lehaz se zyada labor market par tawajjo deti hai, jo kuch maheenon se gir raha hai.

Daily chart dikhata hai ke GBP/USD pair ne chand hafte ke doran mazboot upward trend mein movement ki, nedle mein crucial resistance point 1.2830 ko pechay chod diya, jo inverse head and shoulders pattern ka neckline hai. Ye bhi 78.6% Fibonacci retracement point 1.2905 ke upar chad gaya. Pair ne XABCD pattern ke upper side par chadhne ka ishara bhi diya hai, jo bullish signal hai. Price 50-day aur 100-day moving averages ke upar bana hua hai.

Wahi par, Relative Strength Index (RSI) overbought point par mojood hai. Isliye, pair girne ki sambhavna hai aur support 1.2893 ko dobara test karega aur phir upward trend jari rakhega. Agar ye ho to iska natija ye hoga ke wo aakhir mein resistance level 1.3100 ko dobara test karega.

Peer ko, GBP/USD currency pair ne apne trading activities mein naye josh ka izhar kia, jo is ke musalasala upward rukh ko barqarar rakhne ki nishani thi. Din ke ikhtitam tak kisi numaya izafe tak nahi pohanchne ke bawajood, pair ne behtareen tareeqe se kisi roki hui tehreek ko nazar andaz kia, jis ne British pound ke liye investoron mein barqarar dilchaspi ko markazi tor par dikhaya. Subah ke doran session mein thori der ke liye ek rujhan ke koshish thi; lekin market jald hi mazboot kharidari dabao se jawab diya, jaldi se kisi potential downswing ko khatam karne ka kaam kia. Trading ka din GBP/USD pair ke musbat momentum ke sath shuru hua, jo market mein maujood musarrat sentiment ko reflect kar raha tha. Ye restart investors ke liye mahine bhar dekhnay ke laayak persistent upward trend ko nazar andaz karta tha. Halankeh, trading puri hone se pehle pair ke qeemat mein koi shandar izafa nahi hua, lekin ise apna upward rukh barqarar rakhne mein kamiyabi mili, jo market ke participants ki British pound ke taraf se barqarar dilchaspi ka saboot tha.





Dopahar ke session mein, market dynamics briefly ek minor downswing ka ishara detay rahe, jab sellers foran influence dalne ki koshish ki. Phir bhi, kharidari dabao ki mazbooti ne tahelkaat ko mukhalif kia, jo GBP/USD trading landscape par musallat musarrat sentiment ko mazboot kiya. Ye mazbooti na keval pair ko kisi ahem pullback se mehfooz rakhti thi, balkay ye bhi investoron ke andar British pound mein faisla rakhne ki itmenan ko refocus karta tha. Jab trading ka din agay barta, GBP/USD pair fluctuations ko badiya tareeke se samajhne mein kamiyab raha, jo is ki sakt downward pressure ka mukabla karne ki salahiyat ko dikhata tha. Din ke ikhtitam tak kisi numaya qeemat ke izafa ke bawajood, pair ke musbat momentum ko barqarar rakhne ki salahiyat, market ki British pound ke qeemat barhane ki barqarar dilchaspi ko sangeen karta tha.

GBP/USD D1 chart

Budh ke din, British pound ne US dollar ke khilaf tezi se barh kar char hafton ke uncha tareen point tak pohncha. Ye barhne ka sabab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ka Congress ke samne bayan tha, jise investors ne mustaqbil mein interest rate cuts ke ishara ke tor par samjha. Powell ka hosheyar rawaiya inflation ke progress par market ki umeedon ko barhawa deta raha, aur logon ki umeedain barahne lagiin ke September tak rate kam kya jayega. Jab ke Thursday ko UK ki maali satah par economic data light hai, sirf darmiyani had tak industrial production figures jaari kiye ja rahe hain, sab nazrain US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation report par hongi. Investors, jo rate cut ki umeed rakhte hain, umeedain rakhte hain ke June core inflation rate peshgi ki 3.4% ke annual izafe se kam hoga. Ye umeed Powell ke bayan se aati hai, jise kuch log dovish samjhte hain. Haalaanki, jumeraat ko jaari hone wale mazeed US inflation data aas tak umeedon ko darust kar sakti hain. June core Producer Price Index (PPI) ki tajwez shuda 2.5% saalana izafe tak pohnchne ki umeed hai, jo pehle se 2.3% ke muqablay mein hoti hai. Ye mumkin izafa market ki taqt par raqam kam karne ki umeedon ke liye rukawat ka kaam kar sakta hai.





GBPUSD Pair trading barhne ke sath shuru hui aur ek impulsive wave banayi jo mid-April mein hua aur ab tak aakhri wave bana chuki hai, yaani wave five. Agar aap movement ke shuruaat ko dekhte hain, to aik head aur shoulder pattern ka banavat hota hai jiska range movement kaafi bara hota hai, jo dekhnay ko deta hai ke ye GBPUSD pair trading kaafi ooncha barhne wala hai. Wave teen ke ikhtitam par, qeemat ne bhi ek diagonal ending pattern banaya tha, masalan aik signal ke tor par ke wave four ki formation mein market resistance hogi. Zaroori hai ke jab ye pattern tuta tha, to ek kaafi ahem bearish movement hua tha. lekin wave four mein wave c ke ikhtitam par bhi yahi cheez doharai gai thi jahan market ne ek aur bar signal diya tha usi pattern ke sath, yaani diagonal ending ke tor par, jis ne wave five ke movement ki taraf ulta mor diya. Ye bunyadi moa'asir tajziyaat ko jama kar ke, aur discipline ke sath risk management ko ikhtiyar karte hue, traders farq dar decisions le sakte hain. Technical analysis ka istemal kar ke, jaise ke support aur resistance levels par mutalia aur qeemat ke amal ko numainde karte hue, traders market ki harkatain pehla sakte hain aur behtar tajziya kar sakte hain. Haalaanki ke GBP/USD market pehle ki tavsiyat ko follow kar rahi hai, lekin aaj ke mali hadsat mein bade tabadlon ke liye mumkin hai. Mufeed stop-loss levels ke sath niaatmand kharidari orders set kar ke, aur UK aur US se mukarrah maali indicators se updated rehne se traders ko faida ho sakta hai. Ye variables ka nazron mein rakhe rehna madenyati trends ko samajhne mein madad deta hai aur buyers ke liye 1.2865 zone ko guzarne ka potential bana sakta hai.

GBP/USD KEEMTI TAJZIYA

GBP/USD budh ke din thori si USD kharidari ke ubhaar ke darmiyan kuch had tak kisi hadd tak kam hoti ja rahi hai.
Eik thora overbought RSI nazar aata hai jo bulls ko taza bets lagane se rok raha hai.

Takneek alhalla ishara deti hai ke kam resistance ka safar upper ki taraf hai.
GBP/USD pair Thursday ke Asian session mein halkay dilasaak rawaana hai, lekin kisi mazeed farokht se mehroom hai aur pehle din chuye gaye 1 saal ke urooj ke qareeb hai.

Moka ke qadiyat ke spot keemaat filhal 1.3000 manvi hadd ke darmiyan hain aur hal fehal dekha gaya hai ke guzishta teen hafton ya aise ke nazron mein jari zeyada gardish ko barqarar rakhne ka manzar hai.

US Treasury bond yields mein mazeed chand ilaqa hone se US Dollar (USD) apnay asaasay pehle din ke bohot bade nuksan ka hissa hasil kar raha hai, jo pehli haddar GBP/USD pair ke tor par acting karne wala hai. Magar, yeh keh diya gaya hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) September mein rate-cutting cycle shuru karega, sath hi duniya bhar ke global equity markets mein qawi bullish tone ki buniyad par deenar ko mukhtasar kar sakta hai.

Us doran, jo data Mangal ko shaya hua ke UK mein inflatation umeed se zyada tezi se barh gaya, 2% YoY rate par June mein aaya. Ye aik behtar-than-expected GDP growth ke 0.4% ke sath ata hai jo maukaf rahe ke Bank of England (BoE) August mein interest rate cut ka imkan kam ho. Ye British Pound ko nechay sambhalta hai air further contribute karna chahata hai limit down for the GBP/USD pair, bearish traders ke liye khatarnak karna zaroori hai.

Technichal taur par, pehle bar roz YTD peak ke 1.2895 area se guzrane ko naya start samjha gaya tha, bullish traders ke liye. Magar, daily chart per Relative Strength Index (RSI) overbought halaat dikhata hai aur yeh munasib hai ke zara umerne ke liye matlabi consolidation ya modest pullback ka intezaar kiya jaye. Koi ma'ani farokht taqreeban, magar 1.2965 manvi elaqe ki taraf tawajjo hoti aye gi aur mehdood rahe gi.

Baaqi, haal hi mein YTD peak us waqt set hua tha, Wednesday ko, ke 1.3045 manvi elaqe se mazeed aur top momentum, buldhaniyo ke liye 1.3100 mark phir hasil kerne ko allow karega. Aane wale qadam ke zarra the movement, GBP/USD pair ko 1.3140 region tak utha saka hai, ya July 2023 swig high.

Hello, colleague! Lekin kabhi kabhi aisa lagta hai ke market pe cheezain waisi nahi hain jaise dikhayi deti hain. Haan, ek theory hai ke market ko bade players control karte hain. Lekin agar aisa nahi hai to? Aur agar bade players bhi chhoti machhliyan hain jo Forex ke jaal mein uljhi hui hain jo chalak market makers ne bichaye hain. Lekin yeh market makers kaun hain? Yeh kiske liye kaam karte hain? Kaash main is baat ki teh tak pohanch sakta) Shayad yeh fantastic idea ke koi neuromind hamari zameen ko apne qabze mein le le aur Internet ke zariye sab processes control kare - kya yeh sach ho gaya hai? Toh, yeh ho gaya: GBP/USD ne 30th figure mein dakhil ho gaya. Daily chart pe, wave technique ke mutabiq, yeh saaf hai ke kal ke din price ne resistance at 1.2995 ko paar kar liya, jo maine zigzag spikes ke sath north mein draw kiya tha. Woh slip kar gaye. Lekin aisa lagta hai ke main consolidation wahan nahi hua. Aur subha se, aisa lagta hai ke tendency hai ke yeh support ke neeche dive kare aur bears ki taraf jaye.

Indicators kya dikha rahe hain:

- MA100 slight ascent ka angle set kar raha hai - lagbhag paanch degrees. Lekin yahan sabse important yeh hai ke yeh kitna methodically work out ho raha hai.
- MA18 north ki taraf trend angle ke sath thirty degrees pe pull kar raha hai. Bulls din mein mazboot hain. Aur kyunke humari sari candles filhal sab moving averages ke upar zone mein form ho rahi hain, guiding ones, toh yeh lagta hai ke humare paas buy market hai.
- Dono basement indicator bundles extreme overbought hain, lekin ab tak humare paas koi sell signals ke hints nahi hain.
- Ichimoku cloud filhal bullish colors mein paint hai. Aur forecast perspective mein, aisa lagta hai ke yeh bears ki taraf jaane ke liye tayar nahi hai. Halanke is ka body significant thin ho gaya hai, growth angle ab tak impressive hai.

Toh, agar GBP/USD mein decline hota hai, toh yeh sirf ek correction hi hogi. 1.2900 tak.