𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

GBP/USD, 1.2612 level tak phel gaye, jo ke cheh hafte ki kamzori ki sabsay kam qeemat thi, phir likhnay ke waqt 1.2645 level par stabil ho gayi thi aur ahem American economic releases ke ilaan se pehle. US dollar ke qeemat pehlay hi se euro-centric khatron se aagay hai jo France ke weekend ke elections se dominated ho sakta hai, jo European Central Bank ko aane waale dinon mein mazeed interest rates cut karne par majboor kar sakta hai. Analysts ke mutabiq, Canada aur Australia ke past 24 ghanton mein heran kun taizi se inflation rates ne global inflation ki dobara shuru hone ke khauf ko barhaya hai, jis ne bond yields ko buland kiya hai. Bohat se Fed afraad ne is baat par tanqeed ki hai ke is saal interest rates ko kam karne mein jaldi nahi kiya jaye ga, jo bond markets par dabao dala hai aur aakhir kar US dollar ko pasand kiya hai.
Is lehaz se, Brown Brothers Harriman ke mahir Dr. Win Thein ke mutabiq: "Fed afraad ab bhi sakht hain." Interest rate policy mein United States (lambi muddat ke liye buland interest rates), United Kingdom aur Eurozone ke darmiyan farq US dollar ko support deta hai.
Haal hi mein di gayi bayaniyon ke mutabiq, "Hum abhi tak us maqam par nahi pohanchay hain jahan interest rates ko kam karne ka munasib waqt ho," kehti hain Fed policymaker Michelle Bowman. "Mere economic outlook ke risks aur uncertainty ke baray mein, main monetary policy ke future changes ko tawajjo se gaur se sochnay mein surkhiyaan rakhun gi." Unhon ne bhi apni political position ka zikr kiya hai." Unhon ne bhi bataya hai ke un mein se kai afraad hain jo is saal kisi bhi cut ko nahi dekhtay, jo unhen interest rates ko be-harkat rehnay par yakeen hai. June 12 ko Fed ne jari kiye gaye forecasts ke mutabiq, unke saat colleagues ek cut dekhtay hain, aur un ashtafaa ko do cut dekhte hain. "Main future meetings mein federal funds rate ke target range ko barhane ke liye tayyar rehti hun agar inflation ruk jaye ya palat jaye," Bowman ne izafah kiya.
Apni taraf se, Federal Reserve ke President Lisa De Kock ne cut ko qubool karne ke liye zyada raghib nazar aayi, kehte hue: "Inflation mein mazeed izafa aur kaam ke bazat-e-khalal gradual slow honay ke sath, policy restrictions ke level ko kam karne ke liye kisi bhi waqt munasib ho sakta hai takay economy mein sehat mand balance ko barqarar rakha ja sakay." Unhon ne ye bhi izafah kiya ke is tarah ke kisi adjustment ka waqt economic data ke baray mein kaisa hota hai aur ye economic expectations aur risk balance ke liye kya matlab rakhta hai, is par munhasir hoga. Market ab bhi November ko cut ke liye sab se zyada mumkin maqam samajhti hai, haan ke September mein 70% chances hain ke cut ho sakta hai.
Sterling Dollar forecast aaj:
Daily chart ke performance ke mutabiq, British pound ke qeemat US dollar ke khilaf, GBP/USD, ab bhi bearish hai, aur 1.2600 support ko toornay se trend par bears ka qabza mazboot ho jaye ga. Agla psychological support 1.2445 hoga, jo technical indicators ko strong overbought levels ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo ke ek ahem buying area hai. Dusri taraf, is samay ke doraan, current bearish channel bina resistance 1.2775 ke taraf barhnay ke bina tootay ga nahi.

GBPUSD pair ki price movement high prices 1.2799 ko reach karne ke baad neeche correct ho rahi hai, jo ke lagbhag 1.2800 level ko touch kar sakti thi. Agar aap bearish engulfing candlestick pattern ke reversal signal ko dekhein jo ke long tail/shadow ke sath hai, toh yeh ek accurate signal hai jo prices ko neeche push kar raha hai. Price jo ab EMA 50 ke neeche hai aur FR 38.2 - 1.2752 ke around consolidate ho rahi hai, iske neeche jaane ke chances hain towards FR 50 - 1.2737 jo ke liquidity area ke sath confluent nazar aa raha hai. Iske alawa, price FR 61.8 - 1.2723 ke taraf bhi correct ho sakti hai jo ke SMA 200 ke qareeb dynamic support ke taur par hai.
Downtrend momentum ko Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ne dikhaya hai kyun ke histogram negative area yaani level 0 ke neeche enter kar chuka hai. Downward correction phase tab tak continue hona chahiye jab tak price FR 50 - 1.2737 aur FR 61.8 - 1.2723 ke beech retracement complete na kare. Agar aap Stochastic indicator ke perspective se dekhein, toh yeh possible hai ke price wapas upar move kare. Yeh is liye ke trend direction ab bhi bullish trend condition mein hai aur EMA 50 abhi SMA 200 ke qareeb nahi hai, jo ke weakness ko indicate nahi kar raha. Agar crossing parameter oversold zone mein hai, iska matlab yeh hai ke price sirf FR 38.2 - 1.2752 ke around neeche correct ho rahi hai, phir high prices 1.2799 ko test karegi.
GBP/USD currency pair ko higher drive karne ki concerted efforts dekhi gayi, lekin ab market analysis ek compelling reversal pattern unveil karta hai jo market sentiment ke short side ki taraf shift hone ka hint deta hai. Yeh observation vigilant monitoring aur adaptive trading strategies ki importance ko underscore karta hai jo evolving market dynamics ka faida uthane ke liye tailored honi chahiye. Jaisay traders in fluctuations ko navigate karte hain, technical signals aur underlying fundamental drivers ka comprehensive understanding GBP/USD currency pair ki complexities ko navigate karne mein bohot helpful hogi

Mainay market ka tajziyah kia aur paya ke overall market sentiment thoda sa mutmainana hai. Traders wazai geopolitical developments aur macroeconomic indicators k closely watch kar rahe hain jo currency movements ko influence kar sakte hain. 200-SMA ke 1.2710 ke upar crossover ka potential technical shift signal deta hai aur underlying market confidence ko reflect karta hai. Buyers vital levels ke mohtaj hain, kyunke 1.2750 ke paar jaane se naye trading opportunities ko unlock kar sakte hain aur bullish trend ke liye stage set kar sakte hain. Iske saath hi, market participants ko important economic data releases aur central bank announcements ke aas paas hone wale volatility ke liye alert rehna chahiye. Ye events tezi se price movements ko trigger kar sakte hain aur technical landscape ko change kar sakte hain. Technical indicators ke beech interaction, jaise Bollinger Bands, MACD, aur Fibonacci retracement levels, traders ko changing market conditions mein navigate karne ke liye crucial insights provide karte rahenge. Price Blue 150 MA ke upar indicate karta hai ke ongoing buyer strength hai aur selling pressure ka kami hai. Buyers ke ability prices ko sustain aur elevate karne mein Asia market hours ke doran ek strong demand ko reflect karta hai. Agar ye trend aage continue hota hai, to Yellow 100 MA region agla significant resistance level ban sakta hai, jo bullish traders ke liye ek target offer karega. Iske alawa, market ka current behavior suggest karta hai ke koi bhi retracement limit ho sakta hai jab tak price Blue 50 MA ke upar rahe. Traders ko moving averages ke interactions ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyunke ye potential support aur resistance areas ke liye crucial insights provide karte hain aur unhe valuable information dete hain. Conclusion mein, jab market stability aur potential upward momentum ke signs dikha raha hai, tab traders ko vigilant aur adaptable rehna zaroori hai jo rapidly changing dynamics ko navigate karne mein help karega. Technical levels aur broader economic indicators ko closely observe kar ke, wo informed decisions le sakte hain aur forex market mein emerging opportunities ko seize kar sakte hain. Sabko ek accha trading week ka anjaam aur shubhkamnayein. Is hafte, GBPUSD ne apni tezi se utarte hue movement ke saath kafi surprise diya hai. Pair ab daily range ke resistance ke upar trading kar raha hai, jisme pound ne kafi samay tak trading ki hai. Mere liye ab mukhya sawaal yeh hai ke kya yeh asal breakthrough hai ya phir ek fake breakout hai. Daily timeframe, jaisa ke maine pehle kaha tha, ne ek accha signal pattern provide kia hai ek upward triangle ke form mein, isliye D1 par sab kuch strong aur technically bullish hai, target high 1.30 ke upar hai. Technically sab kuch clear aur samajhne mein aasan hai, bus unclear cheez yeh hai ke dollar ka itna kamzor hona ka reason kya hai, isliye main thoda sa bullish cautious hoon. Aaj Jumma hai, aur tezi ko aage badhana mushkil reverse karne se zyada aasan hai. Iske alawa, pair ab ek lambi, upward impulse ke borders ke andar hai, aur iska support tootna aaj bohot mushkil hai, khaaskar ki overall intraday direction upar ki taraf hai.

munafa hasil kar rahe hain ya abhi bhi nuqsan ka samna kar rahe hain? Chahe apke natije kuch bhi hon, hosla rakhein aur mehnat jaari rakhein, taake apke results waqt ke saath behtar ho aur consistent ho jayein. Chaliye hum GBP/USD currency pair ki movement par ek nazar daalte hain. Technically dekha jaye toh, is pair ki trend clearly bullish hai, kyunki price 50-period moving average ke ooper hai. Yeh bullish trend daily pivot point level 1.26893 ke ooper hone ki bhi wajah se support mil rahi hai. Is analytical data ke saath, aur doosre supporting factors ke saath mila kar, main yeh nateeja nikalta hoon ke is waqt behtar trading option hai buy karna, jahan tak ke target resistance levels one and two ke beech 1.2670 se 1.2693 ke range mein rakha ja sakta hai. Ummeed hai yeh analysis aapki madad karay. GBP/USD ki bullish trend mein kai technical indicators shamil hain. Sab se pehle toh 50-period moving average significant support level hai, jo yeh batata hai ke pair uptrend mein hai. Jab price is moving average ke ooper rehti hai, toh yeh strong buying interest aur sustained upward momentum ko indicate karta hai. Iske alawa, price jo daily pivot point 1.2653 ke ooper hai, yeh bhi bullish sentiment ko reinforce karta hai. Pivot points potential support aur resistance levels determine karne mein crucial hote hain, aur jab price pivot ke ooper hoti hai, toh generally yeh trading day ke liye bullish outlook indicate karta hai.

Maujooda market conditions aur technical indicators ko madde nazar rakhte hue, GBP/USD ko buy karna sab se prudent strategy lagta hai. Target ko 1.2739 se 1.2693 ke resistance levels par rakha ja sakta hai, jo clear profit potential offer karte hain. Yeh resistance levels recent price action aur historical data se derive kiye gaye hain, jo yeh suggest karte hain ke yeh logical points hain jahan price selling pressure encounter kar sakta hai. Lekin agar bullish momentum jaari rahe, toh yeh levels breach ho bhi sakte hain, jo higher prices tak le ja sakta hai. Traders ko in levels ko monitor karna aur apni strategies ko uss ke mutabiq adjust karna zaroori hai.

Is ke ilawa, market sentiment, economic data, aur geopolitical events jaise factors bhi GBP/USD pair ke movement par asar daal sakte hain. Maslan, US ya Japan se positive economic indicators pair ke bullish trend ko strengthen kar sakte hain. Isi tarah, geopolitical stability ya instability currency movements par significant impact daal sakti hai. Is liye, jabke technical analysis trading decisions ke liye strong foundation provide karta hai, broader market conditions ke baray mein informed rehna bhi utna hi zaroori hai.

Maujooda technical analysis ke mutabiq, GBP/USD pair ki bullish trend indicate ho rahi hai, jahan price 50-period moving average aur daily pivot point 1.2673 ke ooper hai. Recommend ki gayi trading strategy buy karna hai, targeting resistance levels 1.2647 se 1.2684 ke beech. Technical analysis ko market conditions ke saath combine kar ke, traders apni decision-making process ko enhance kar sakte hain aur behtar trading outcomes achieve kar sakte hain. Mehnat jaari rakhein, maloomat hasil karte rahein, aur aapki trading kamyabiyaan haas

GBP/USD pair ne consistent upward trajectory dikhayi hai. Constrained range ke bawajood, bullish trend itna robust raha hai ke buyers ki dominance ko sustain kar saka hai. Yeh market behavior higher prices ko favor karne wala sentiment suggest karta hai, jo ke UK se aane wale positive economic data ya USD ki weaker performance ki wajah se driven ho sakta hai. Levels 1.26937 aur 1.27362 ke darmiyan push hona buyer strength mein aik significant gain ko highlight karta hai. Magar, price ka Moving Average line ki taraf aana active seller participation ko bhi signal karta hai, jo resistance create karte hain jo ke bullish trend ko persist karne ke liye overcome karna zaroori hai.
Jab yeh jora is sabz consolidation rectangle mein tha, tab Bank of England ke monetary policy tightening cycle khatm hone ke bare mein kuch bhi maloom nahi tha. Bank of England phir bhi sab se zyada Hawkish bank rahi, jo interest rates ko buland rakhne ka irada rakhti thi. Us waqt Euro/dollar pair gir raha tha, lekin yeh pair range mein trade kar raha tha. Jab maloom hua ke Bank of England apne monetary policy tightening cycle ko khatam kar rahi hai aur wazeh taur par ishara kiya ke jald hi monetary policy ko halka kia jayega, tab yeh pair girne laga, aur selling volume barh gaya, lekin yahan par izaafa hai.
Yeh theek nahi tha ke pair kyun izaafa kar raha tha, kyun ke jab yeh range mein trade kar raha tha, tab Bank of England ke faislay ka intezar tha, aur us faislay ke baad, pair izaafa karna shuru kar diya. Yeh bilkul samajh nahi aya ke kyun, phir maine samjha ke yeh bas seller ke stops ko trigger kar raha hai. Is ke baad, yeh range ke nichle hadood ke qareeb wapis aya. Jaise he maine samjha tha, range ke nichle hadood ke qareeb selling volume barhna shuru ho gaya. Pair 1.23041 ke support se neeche gir gaya, lekin is support se bounce back ho gaya. Yahan par mahangai mein kami shuru ho gayi, lekin phir jab yeh pehle se barh gaya, to wazeh ho gaya ke mahangai tham gayi hai, mazeed girawat nahi hui. Federal Reserve rate cut nahi karegi, aur pair wapis ho gaya.
Aur asal mein, yeh theek nahi tha ke yeh yeh un unchayon par trade kar raha tha. Is ke ilawa, yeh pehle ke unchayon ko bhi update kar diya, kyun ke UK mein mahangai maqsad ke level par pohanch chuki hai. Amuman, is pair ke yeh levels par rehne ka koi wajah nahi hai. Main samjhata hoon ke girawat mazeed jari rahegi takay 1.25623 ke support tak pohanche. Main samajhta hoon ke pair mazeed neeche ja sakta hai 1.25017 ke levels tak, phir palat jayega aur range mein trade karega jab tak mahangai ke data jaari na ho jaye, jo pair ke movement ko zahir kar sakta hai.
GBP/USD pair mein mazeed decline dekha ja sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar price resistance level 1.2686 ke upar break hota hai, toh yeh bullish reversal ka signal hosakta hai.
Nateejatan, traders ko Monday ko market ke khulne ka intizar karna chahiye aur price action ko closely dekhna chahiye. Indicators aur moving averages short-term trend ke continuation ko suggest karte hain, lekin yeh bhi zaroori hai ke un fundamental events aur news headlines ko bhi consider kiya jaye jo price movements ko impact kar sakte hain.

P/USD Analysis Yesterday's Market Activity
GBP/USD ne kal apne previous daily range ka maximum update karne ke baad reverse kiya, aur din ke end tak ek uncertainty candle form hui with a slight bullish advantage. Main apne is instrument ke plans abhi change nahi kar raha aur nearest resistance level ko closely monitor kar raha hoon, jo ke mere analysis ke mutabiq 1.28000 par hai.

Scenarios Near Resistance Level at 1.28000
Priority Scenario:

Consolidation Above 1.28000: Agar price is level ke upar consolidate hota hai aur further growth hoti hai, to next resistance level 1.28938 tak move karne ki umeed hai.
Further Northward Movement: Agar price 1.28938 ke upar consolidate karta hai, to next resistance level 1.29956 tak northward movement expect ki ja sakti hai.
Further Direction: 1.29956 par ek trading setup formation ka intezar karunga jo further trading direction determine karne mein madadgar hoga.
Alternative Scenario:

Reversal Candle Formation at 1.28000: Agar 1.28000 par ek reversal candle form hoti hai, to southward movement resume hone ka plan hai.
Support Levels: Is scenario mein price 1.26568 ya 1.26340 support levels tak wapas aane ki umeed hai.
Bullish Signals: In support levels ke near bullish signals search karunga, upward price movement resume hone ki umeed ke sath.
Current Accumulation and Impulsive Breakout
Mujhe lagta hai ke ongoing accumulation impulsive northward price breakout ke sath end hogi aur buyers nearest resistance levels ko test karne move karenge. Iske baad, market situation ko assess karunga.

Additional Market Insights
Asian Session Movement:
GBP/USD Asian session mein higher edge hua. British pound Euro ke baad lag kar raha hai, jo largely dollar ke recovery ki wajah se hai against a basket of major currencies. Sterling domestic political issues ki wajah se pressure mein hai aur investors UK general election ke start ka intezar kar rahe hain. Britain mein aaj koi economic calendar nahi hai, isliye saari attention Eurozone aur US data par hai.

Fed Coordinator Powell's Speech:
Fed coordinator Powell ki speech 16:30 Moscow time par expected hai. Paar ki upward correction din ke pehle half mein ho sakti hai, magar main scenario downtrend ka continuation hai. Expected reversal point 1.2685 hai aur main is point ke neeche sell karunga with targets at 1.2585 and 1.2535.

Upward Breakout Scenario:
Agar pair rise karta hai aur 1.2685 mark ko break kar ke merge hota hai, to 1.2705 aur 1.2735 levels tak jana expect kiya ja sakta hai. In markers ke base par, main dobara pair ko sell karne ki koshish karunga.

Summary
Current Focus: 1.28000 resistance level par price behavior ko closely monitor karna.
Priority Scenario: Consolidation above 1.28000 with further growth.
Alternative Scenario: Reversal candle formation and southward movement.
Expected Reversal Point: 1.2685 with sell targets at 1.2585 and 1.2535.

Bazaar ab stable hai, 200-SMA agle hafte 1.2650 ke upar ja sakta hai, jisse 1.2715 ke aas paas kharidar ki shakti barh sakti hai. Neeche ke channel 1.2625 se, keemat ke Immediate rise ki ummeed hai monentary policy announcement ke baad. 45% retracement tak 1.2740 tak naye momentum ke shuruaat ka sanket ho sakta hai. Keemat ka action 1.2700 par niche reh gaya hai, 100-day moving average 1.3475 par hai. Phir bhi, negative convergence se sellers ko 1.3600 channel ki taraf dhakelne ke liye badhane ke liye utsaahit kar sakta hai. Halanki 38.8% Fibonacci retracement level majboot momentum ka suchit karta hai, sthaaniya momentum fir bhi short-term ho sakta hai. Bollinger Band indicator aur MACD 1.3680 aur 1.3700 ke beech me positive range me midline ke upar ek bullish move ka suchan karte hain.

4-ghante ka timeframe me, haal ke candles ek descending wedge pattern form karte hain, jisse sanket hota hai ke sellers keemat ko 1.2635 tak kheenche sakte hain. Kharidar interest rates maujooda bearish forces ke khilaf counter kar rahe hain. Ek bearish MACD aur RSI jo neutral se bearish territory me shift ho rahe hain, 30 ke nazdeeki MACD bearish majboot momentum ko darshate hain. Sellers ko 40% reverse divergence point ke baare me vigilant rehna chahiye, kyunki isse downside momentum badh sakta hai. Oversold mahaul profit-taking ke opportunities ko darshaata hai, vishesh rup se pivot points ko target karke. 4-ghante ke chart me, descending wedge pattern aur 1.2790 tak kheenchne ki sambhaavna ek bearish outlook darshaate hain. 200-SMA at 1.2685 aur 1.2765 par resistance ka monitor karna kharidaron aur bechon ke liye mahatvapurn hai. MACD aur RSI indicators bearish sentiment ko mazboot karti hain, jahan potential pullbacks 1.2760 ke aas paas bechne ke opportunities offer karte hain.

GBPUSD currency pair par nazar dalte hain - H4 chart par. Kal, pound ne apni taqat wale izafa ke saath kharidar ko khush kiya. US ki khabar aayi, indicators expected se bura nikle aur keemat tezi se barhti gayi, lekin American ne almost pooray market spectrum ke khilaf neeche girna shuru kar diya. Canadian dollar ke ilawa, shayad woh abhi tak be nambar hai. Wave structure apna tarteeb o tarkeeb upar ki taraf bana rahi hai, MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein barh raha hai aur apni signal line ke upar hai. Aap paanch waves ka izafa dekh sakte hain, ab paanchva wave chal raha hai, haftay ke mojooda maximum ko update kiya gaya hai aur kuch minimum pehle mahine ke maximum ke out ho gaye hain. Yeh ek potential sales zone hai. Paanch waves ek poora cycle hote hain, saath hi MACD indicator par bearish divergence bhi ban gaya hai. Iss ilaqe se sirf sales consider ki jaati hain, factors ki combination nazdeek bhavishya mein kami ka ishara deti hai aur pehla target 1.2838 aur 1.2855 ke support levels ke darmiyan ka ilaqa hai, lagbhag wahan wave ki bottoms ke saath ek chadhne wali line banegi. Doosra target agar supports se guzar gaya toh mojooda izafa wave ke minimum se bahar jaana hoga aur thoda aur neeche support level 1.2778 tak. CCI indicator sales ko support karta hai, yeh upper overheating zone se neeche ja raha hai. Thoda sa chhota level hai, lagbhag 50 points, bikul bikul bechna mumkin hai. Aaj kuch ahem khabrein nahin hain, kal ke mukable mein, kuch madhyam ahemiyat ki khabrein hain. Ek ahem khabar US Producer Price Index ke liye hai.

Dusri taraf, US Dollar ki performance bhi GBP/USD pair par asar daal rahi thi. Tab, US Dollar mein thori kamzori thi kyun ke factors jaise kam thani umeed se economic growth, inflation ki pareshaniyan aur Federal Reserve ki halke hathiyar monetary policy stance ke wajah se Dollar khafeef tha. Federal Reserve ka cautious approach maintain karne ki faisla karne se sath hi interest rate hikes par cautious outlook rakhne se soft US Dollar tha. Dollar ki relative kamzori ne GBP/USD market mein kharidaron ke liye aur bhi lachar kar diya tha, kyun ke yeh British Pound ko relative taur par zyada attractive bana raha tha.

Brace ne North American session ke doran significant volatility ko face kiya, jahan yeh US Bone ke against critical 1.2900 mark se neeche gir gaya. Yeh movement Bank of England (BoE) ke faisle ke baad hui jahan us ne apne current interest rates ko maintain kiya, magar clear hints di ke aanay wale mahino mein ek implicit rate cut ho sakta hai. Iss ke natije mein, brace ab 1.2911 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke 0.39 ka modest increase dikhata hai.
BoE Aur Fed Ki Diverging Policies: Rate Cut Aur Inflation Concerns
BoE Governor Andrew Bailey ke comments ke baad rate cut ki expectations barh gayi hain. Bailey ne apni optimism zahir ki ke inflation targeted 2 position par wapas aa sakti hai. Yeh development Pound par ek shadow dal rahi hai jab ke markets implicit policy shifts ka intezar kar rahe hain, khaaskar UK election ke pehle. Doosri taraf, US Bone ko bhi apni challenges ka samna hai, recent earnings ko capitalize karne mein nakami ke baad aur is tasur ke sath ke Federal Reserve shayad September se rate cuts shuru kar dega.
US CPI Data Aur Market Focus
US CPI data ke release ke baad, market focus ab Friday ke US Producer Price Index (PPI) data par shift ho gaya hai. Agar PPI reading stronger-than-expected hui, jo ke increased wholesale inflation ko dikhaye, to is se immediate interest rate cut ki umeedon ko nuksan ho sakta hai. Core PPI ka projection hai ke yeh June mein 2.5% year-over-year tak barh jaye, jo ke pehle 2.3% thi. Yeh persistent cost pressures ko indicate karta hai jo ke businesses ke liye mushkilat paida kar sakti hain aur Federal Reserve ke desired trajectory se clash kar sakti hain.
GBP/USD Pair Ke Potential Movements
Agar upward momentum barqarar raha, to GBP/USD pair 1.2816-1.2859 resistance zone ko surpass kar sakti hai, aur is se 2024 ka potential high 1.2892 ka raasta khul sakta hai. Iske bar'aks, agar yeh level hold na kar saka to yeh July 2023 ke resistance 1.2994 ki taraf retreat kar sakta hai. Aage chalkar downside ko support mil sakti hai April resistance 1.2708 par, followed by 1.2620-1.2598 area jo ke June aur March lows ko encompass karta hai. Aakhirkar, February low 1.2517 final defensive line ke taur par serve kar sakta hai.
Conclusion
Trading strategies ko market movements aur economic indicators ke mutabiq adjust karna bohot zaroori hai. BoE aur Federal Reserve ke potential rate cuts, inflation trends, aur upcoming economic data releases ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake informed trading decisions liye ja sakein aur potential gains maximize kiye ja sakein.

ke afraad ne jaari kiye thay. Is natijay mein, pound sterling ke qeemat ke nuqsanat US dollar ke khilaf, GBP/USD, 1.2612 level tak phel gaye, jo ke cheh hafte ki kamzori ki sabsay kam qeemat thi, phir likhnay ke waqt 1.2645 level par stabil ho gayi thi aur ahem American economic releases ke ilaan se pehle. US dollar ke qeemat pehlay hi se euro-centric khatron se aagay hai jo France ke weekend ke elections se dominated ho sakta hai, jo European Central Bank ko aane waale dinon mein mazeed interest rates cut karne par majboor kar sakta hai. Analysts ke mutabiq, Canada aur Australia ke past 24 ghanton mein heran kun taizi se inflation rates ne global inflation ki dobara shuru hone ke khauf ko barhaya hai, jis ne bond yields ko buland kiya hai. Bohat se Fed afraad ne is baat par tanqeed ki hai ke is saal interest rates ko kam karne mein jaldi nahi kiya jaye ga, jo bond markets par dabao dala hai aur aakhir kar US dollar ko pasand kiya hai. Is lehaz se, Brown Brothers Harriman ke mahir Dr. Win Thein ke mutabiq: "Fed afraad ab bhi sakht hain." Interest rate policy mein United States (lambi muddat ke liye buland interest rates), United Kingdom aur Eurozone ke darmiyan farq US dollar ko support deta hai.
Haal hi mein di gayi bayaniyon ke mutabiq, "Hum abhi tak us maqam par nahi pohanchay hain jahan interest rates ko kam karne ka munasib waqt ho," kehti hain Fed policymaker Michelle Bowman. "Mere economic outlook ke risks aur uncertainty ke baray mein, main monetary policy ke future changes ko tawajjo se gaur se sochnay mein surkhiyaan rakhun gi." Unhon ne bhi apni political position ka zikr kiya hai." Unhon ne bhi bataya hai ke un mein se kai afraad hain jo is saal kisi bhi cut ko nahi dekhtay, jo unhen interest rates ko be-harkat rehnay par yakeen hai. June 12 ko Fed ne jari kiye gaye forecasts ke mutabiq, unke saat colleagues ek cut dekhtay hain, aur un ashtafaa ko do cut dekhte hain. "Main future meetings mein federal funds rate ke target range ko barhane ke liye tayyar rehti hun agar inflation ruk jaye ya palat jaye," Bowman ne izafah kiya.

Apni taraf se, Federal Reserve ke President Lisa De Kock ne cut ko qubool karne ke liye zyada raghib nazar aayi, kehte hue: "Inflation mein mazeed izafa aur kaam ke bazat-e-khalal gradual slow honay ke sath, policy restrictions ke level ko kam karne ke liye kisi bhi waqt munasib ho sakta hai takay economy mein sehat mand balance ko barqarar rakha ja sakay." Unhon ne ye bhi izafah kiya ke is tarah ke kisi adjustment ka waqt economic data ke baray mein kaisa hota hai aur ye economic expectations aur risk balance ke liye kya matlab rakhta hai, is par munhasir hoga. Market ab bhi November ko cut ke liye sab se zyada mumkin maqam samajhti hai, haan ke September mein 70% chances hain ke cut ho sakta hai.

Sterling Dollar forecast aaj:

Daily chart ke performance ke mutabiq, British pound ke qeemat US dollar ke khilaf, GBP/USD, ab bhi bearish hai, aur 1.2600 support ko toornay se trend par bears ka qabza mazboot ho jaye ga. Agla psychological support 1.2445 hoga, jo technical indicators ko strong overbought levels ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo ke ek ahem buying area hai. Dusri taraf, is samay ke doraan, current bearish channel bina resistance 1.2775 ke taraf barhnay ke bina tootay ga nahi. Aaj, G
Click image for larger versions

GBP/USD pair, bilkul EUR/USD pair ki tarah, peechle do hafton se sideways trade kar raha hai. Is wajah se, flat trend ke andar mazeed izafa ki dusri dar mein kisi khaas wajah ya justification ki zaroorat nahi thi. Din bhar ke dauran, price 1.2633 aur 1.2693 ke darmiyan hi raha. Volatility mamooli se zyada thi. Din bhar ke macroeconomic events toh thay, lekin market ne inhein amuman ignore kar diya.
Macroeconomic events mein se hum US mein ISM Manufacturing Index ko highlight kar sakte hain. Jo keh expected value se bura dikha, lekin dollar sirf din ke doosre hisse mein hi barh gaya. Isi tarah, ek baar phir pair ne be-ittifaq aur be-bunyaad harkatein dikhai. Magar yaad dilate hain ke flat market mein mantiki harkatein bohat kam hoti hain. Pair ne 5-minute timeframe par do trading signals generate kiye. Jumma ko price ne 1.2605-1.2633 ke area se rebound kiya, lekin hum aksar aise signals se trading next week tak avoid karte hain. Peer ko price ne 1.2684-1.2693 ke area se do baar rebound kiya, jis se naye traders ko short position open karne ka mauqa mila. US session ke dauran, price ne 1.2633 ke qareeb target level tak pohancha. Is trade se lagbhag 35 pips ka faida hua. 1.2633 ke level se do rebounds yeh ishara dete hain ke pair aaj upar bhi ja sakta hai.
Trading tips for Tuesday:
Hourly chart par GBP/USD abhi bhi downtrend ke signs dikhata hai, lekin yeh yeh bhi matlab nahi ke pair upar ki taraf nahi ja sakta. Bearish prospects ke hawale se, achchi baat hai ke price ne 1.2693 level ko do baar overcome kiya hai; lekin market aksar technical, fundamental aur macroeconomic factors ke bawajood bhi selling se inkar kar deta hai. Haal hi mein pair mainly sideways move kar raha hai. Price ne descending channel chhod diya hai.
Aaj ke din, British pound mazeed be-ittifaq aur ghair-mantiki harkatein dikha sakta hai. Mushkil se, pair ko is haftay ke economic calendars mein ahem data shamil honay ki wajah se zyada taqatwar harkatein dikhne shuru ho sakti hain, lekin peer ne dikhaya hai ke hum bohat zyada taqatwar harkaton par ummeed nahi kar sakte.
5M chart par key levels hain 1.2457, 1.2502, 1.2541-1.2547, 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791 - 1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, 1.2980. UK mein koi important events ya reports scheduled nahi hain. Dusri taraf, US mein Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ka speech aur JOLTs report jis mein May mein open vacancies ki tadad shamil hai, aane wale hain.
Technical analysis initial support ko 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb 1.2600 par point karti hai, aur further support approximately 1.2500 par ek ascending channel ke lower boundary ke qareeb anticipated hai. In levels ka breach selling pressure ko intensify kar sakta hai, potentially key support 1.2451 ko test kar sakta hai. Is level ke upar ka breakthrough further upward movement ka rasta bana sakta hai, potentially GBP/USD pair ko ascending channel ke upper boundary ke qareeb 1.3000 ko test karne ki taraf push kar sakta hai.

GBP/USD Currency Pair - H4 Chart Analysis
Kal pound ne buyers ko apne powerful growth se khushi di. US se aane wali news ne indicators ko worse than expected dikhaya aur price tez se upar chali gayi. Yeh sirf pound ke against nahi, balki poore market spectrum mein American dollar ka girawat hui. Bas Canadian dollar is se mustasna raha, jo abhi tak mazboot hai. Wave structure apni order upwards bana raha hai, MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein grow kar raha hai aur signal line ke upar hai.
Wave Structure Aur MACD Indicator
Aap dekh sakte hain ke ek growth structure paanch waves ka hai, aur ab paanchwin wave chal rahi hai. Current week ka maximum update ho gaya hai aur kuch maximum last month ke bhi beyond chala gaya hai. Yeh ek potential sales zone hai. Paanch waves ek full cycle hain, plus MACD indicator par ek bearish divergence bhi form hui hai. Is area se sirf sales ko consider kiya ja raha hai. Factors ka combination near future mein decline ko indicate kar raha hai, aur pehla target support levels 1.2838 aur 1.2855 ke darmiyan hai. Yeh lagbhag waves ke bottoms ke saath ek ascending line banayega.
Support Levels Aur Targets
Support levels ko break karne par doosra target current growth wave ke minimum ke beyond jana hai aur support level 1.2778 tak slightly lower jana hai. CCI indicator bhi sales ko support kar raha hai, yeh upper overheating zone se neeche ja raha hai. Abhi bhi kuch free movement choti level tak hai, kariban 50 points, jo ke sell karna mumkin banata hai.
Aaj Ki Market Situation
Aaj kuch zyada important news nahi hai, unlike kal, lekin kuch medium importance news zarur hain. Ek important news US Producer Price Index hai. Is ke ilawa, US Dollar ki performance ne bhi GBP/USD pair ko influence kiya. Us waqt, US Dollar kuch weakness face kar raha tha jis ki wajah se lower-than-expected economic growth, inflation concerns, aur Federal Reserve ka cautious monetary policy stance tha. Fed ka faisla dovish approach maintain karna aur interest rate hikes par cautious outlook ne US Dollar ko softer banaya. Dollar ki yeh relative weakness GBP/USD market mein buyers ko additional impetus de rahi thi, kyun ke yeh British Pound ko relatively zyada attractive banata hai.
Conclusion
GBP/USD pair ki analysis ke mutabiq, ab sales ki zyada opportunities hain kyun ke factors decline ko indicate kar rahe hain. Market movements aur indicators ko closely monitor karna trading decisions mein madadgar hoga. Buyers aur sellers dono ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke wo market ke trends aur economic indicators ko dekhte hue informed decisions lein taake potential gains maximize aur losses minimize ho sakein.

munafa hasil kar rahe hain ya abhi bhi nuqsan ka samna kar rahe hain? Chahe apke natije kuch bhi hon, hosla rakhein aur mehnat jaari rakhein, taake apke results waqt ke saath behtar ho aur consistent ho jayein. Chaliye hum GBP/USD currency pair ki movement par ek nazar daalte hain. Technically dekha jaye toh, is pair ki trend clearly bullish hai, kyunki price 50-period moving average ke ooper hai. Yeh bullish trend daily pivot point level 1.26893 ke ooper hone ki bhi wajah se support mil rahi hai. Is analytical data ke saath, aur doosre supporting factors ke saath mila kar, main yeh nateeja nikalta hoon ke is waqt behtar trading option hai buy karna, jahan tak ke target resistance levels one and two ke beech 1.2670 se 1.2693 ke range mein rakha ja sakta hai. Ummeed hai yeh analysis aapki madad karay. GBP/USD ki bullish trend mein kai technical indicators shamil hain. Sab se pehle toh 50-period moving average significant support level hai, jo yeh batata hai ke pair uptrend mein hai. Jab price is moving average ke ooper rehti hai, toh yeh strong buying interest aur sustained upward momentum ko indicate karta hai. Iske alawa, price jo daily pivot point 1.2653 ke ooper hai, yeh bhi bullish sentiment ko reinforce karta hai. Pivot points potential support aur resistance levels determine karne mein crucial hote hain, aur jab price pivot ke ooper hoti hai, toh generally yeh trading day ke liye bullish outlook indicate karta hai.
Maujooda market conditions aur technical indicators ko madde nazar rakhte hue, GBP/USD ko buy karna sab se prudent strategy lagta hai. Target ko 1.2739 se 1.2693 ke resistance levels par rakha ja sakta hai, jo clear profit potential offer karte hain. Yeh resistance levels recent price action aur historical data se derive kiye gaye hain, jo yeh suggest karte hain ke yeh logical points hain jahan price selling pressure encounter kar sakta hai. Lekin agar bullish momentum jaari rahe, toh yeh levels breach ho bhi sakte hain, jo higher prices tak le ja sakta hai. Traders ko in levels ko monitor karna aur apni strategies ko uss ke mutabiq adjust karna zaroori hai.

Is ke ilawa, market sentiment, economic data, aur geopolitical events jaise factors bhi GBP/USD pair ke movement par asar daal sakte hain. Maslan, US ya Japan se positive economic indicators pair ke bullish trend ko strengthen kar sakte hain. Isi tarah, geopolitical stability ya instability currency movements par significant impact daal sakti hai. Is liye, jabke technical analysis trading decisions ke liye strong foundation provide karta hai, broader market conditions ke baray mein informed rehna bhi utna hi zaroori hai.

Maujooda technical analysis ke mutabiq, GBP/USD pair ki bullish trend indicate ho rahi hai, jahan price 50-period moving average aur daily pivot point 1.2673 ke ooper hai. Recommend ki gayi trading strategy buy karna hai, targeting resistance levels 1.2647 se 1.2684 ke beech. Technical analysis ko market conditions ke saath combine kar ke, traders apni decision-making process ko enhance kar sakte hain aur behtar trading outcomes achieve kar sakte hain. Mehnat jaari rakhein, maloomat hasil karte rahein, aur aapki trading kamyabiyaan haas

Click image for larger version

Assalam-o-Alaikum sab ko, aap sab ke trading activities kaise chal rahi hain? Kya aap apne expected munafa hasil kar rahe hain ya abhi bhi nuqsan ka samna kar rahe hain? Chahe apke natije kuch bhi hon, hosla rakhein aur mehnat jaari rakhein, taake apke results waqt ke saath behtar ho aur consistent ho jayein. Chaliye hum GBP/USD currency pair ki movement par ek nazar daalte hain. Technically dekha jaye toh, is pair ki trend clearly bullish hai, kyunki price 50-period moving average ke ooper hai. Yeh bullish trend daily pivot point level 1.26893 ke ooper hone ki bhi wajah se support mil rahi hai. Is analytical data ke saath, aur doosre supporting factors ke saath mila kar, main yeh nateeja nikalta hoon ke is waqt behtar trading option hai buy karna, jahan tak ke target resistance levels one and two ke beech 1.2670 se 1.2693 ke range mein rakha ja sakta hai. Ummeed hai yeh analysis aapki madad karay.
GBP/USD ki bullish trend mein kai technical indicators shamil hain. Sab se pehle toh 50-period moving average significant support level hai, jo yeh batata hai ke pair uptrend mein hai. Jab price is moving average ke ooper rehti hai, toh yeh strong buying interest aur sustained upward momentum ko indicate karta hai. Iske alawa, price jo daily pivot point 1.2653 ke ooper hai, yeh bhi bullish sentiment ko reinforce karta hai. Pivot points potential support aur resistance levels determine karne mein crucial hote hain, aur jab price pivot ke ooper hoti hai, toh generally yeh trading day ke liye bullish outlook indicate karta hai.

Maujooda market conditions aur technical indicators ko madde nazar rakhte hue, GBP/USD ko buy karna sab se prudent strategy lagta hai. Target ko 1.2739 se 1.2693 ke resistance levels par rakha ja sakta hai, jo clear profit potential offer karte hain. Yeh resistance levels recent price action aur historical data se derive kiye gaye hain, jo yeh suggest karte hain ke yeh logical points hain jahan price selling pressure encounter kar sakta hai. Lekin agar bullish momentum jaari rahe, toh yeh levels breach ho bhi sakte hain, jo higher prices tak le ja sakta hai. Traders ko in levels ko monitor karna aur apni strategies ko uss ke mutabiq adjust karna zaroori hai.

Is ke ilawa, market sentiment, economic data, aur geopolitical events jaise factors bhi GBP/USD pair ke movement par asar daal sakte hain. Maslan, US ya Japan se positive economic indicators pair ke bullish trend ko strengthen kar sakte hain. Isi tarah, geopolitical stability ya instability currency movements par significant impact daal sakti hai. Is liye, jabke technical analysis trading decisions ke liye strong foundation provide karta hai, broader market conditions ke baray mein informed rehna bhi utna hi zaroori hai.

Maujooda technical analysis ke mutabiq, GBP/USD pair ki bullish trend indicate ho rahi hai, jahan price 50-period moving average aur daily pivot point 1.2673 ke ooper hai. Recommend ki gayi trading strategy buy karna hai, targeting resistance levels 1.2647 se 1.2684 ke beech. Technical analysis ko market conditions ke saath combine kar ke, traders apni decision-making process ko enhance kar sakte hain aur behtar trading outcomes achieve kar sakte hain. Mehnat jaari rakhein, maloomat hasil karte rahein, aur aapki trading kamyabiyaan haasil ho, inshaAllah

Assalam-o-Alaikum sab ko, aap sab ke trading activities kaise chal rahi hain? Kya aap apne expected munafa hasil kar rahe hain ya abhi bhi nuqsan ka samna kar rahe hain? Chahe apke natije kuch bhi hon, hosla rakhein aur mehnat jaari rakhein, taake apke results waqt ke saath behtar ho aur consistent ho jayein. Chaliye hum GBP/USD currency pair ki movement par ek nazar daalte hain. Technically dekha jaye toh, is pair ki trend clearly bullish hai, kyunki price 50-period moving average ke ooper hai. Yeh bullish trend daily pivot point level 1.26893 ke ooper hone ki bhi wajah se support mil rahi hai. Is analytical data ke saath, aur doosre supporting factors ke saath mila kar, main yeh nateeja nikalta hoon ke is waqt behtar trading option hai buy karna, jahan tak ke target resistance levels one and two ke beech 1.2670 se 1.2693 ke range mein rakha ja sakta hai. Ummeed hai yeh analysis aapki madad karay.
GBP/USD ki bullish trend mein kai technical indicators shamil hain. Sab se pehle toh 50-period moving average significant support level hai, jo yeh batata hai ke pair uptrend mein hai. Jab price is moving average ke ooper rehti hai, toh yeh strong buying interest aur sustained upward momentum ko indicate karta hai. Iske alawa, price jo daily pivot point 1.2653 ke ooper hai, yeh bhi bullish sentiment ko reinforce karta hai. Pivot points potential support aur resistance levels determine karne mein crucial hote hain, aur jab price pivot ke ooper hoti hai, toh generally yeh trading day ke liye bullish outlook indicate karta hai.

Maujooda market conditions aur technical indicators ko madde nazar rakhte hue, GBP/USD ko buy karna sab se prudent strategy lagta hai. Target ko 1.2739 se 1.2693 ke resistance levels par rakha ja sakta hai, jo clear profit potential offer karte hain. Yeh resistance levels recent price action aur historical data se derive kiye gaye hain, jo yeh suggest karte hain ke yeh logical points hain jahan price selling pressure encounter kar sakta hai. Lekin agar bullish momentum jaari rahe, toh yeh levels breach ho bhi sakte hain, jo higher prices tak le ja sakta hai. Traders ko in levels ko monitor karna aur apni strategies ko uss ke mutabiq adjust karna zaroori hai.

Is ke ilawa, market sentiment, economic data, aur geopolitical events jaise factors bhi GBP/USD pair ke movement par asar daal sakte hain. Maslan, US ya Japan se positive economic indicators pair ke bullish trend ko strengthen kar sakte hain. Isi tarah, geopolitical stability ya instability currency movements par significant impact daal sakti hai. Is liye, jabke technical analysis trading decisions ke liye strong foundation provide karta hai, broader market conditions ke baray mein informed rehna bhi utna hi zaroori hai.

Maujooda technical analysis ke mutabiq, GBP/USD pair ki bullish trend indicate ho rahi hai, jahan price 50-period moving average aur daily pivot point 1.2673 ke ooper hai. Recommend ki gayi trading strategy buy karna hai, targeting resistance levels 1.2647 se 1.2684 ke beech. Technical analysis ko market conditions ke saath combine kar ke, traders apni decision-making process ko enhance kar sakte hain aur behtar trading outcomes achieve kar sakte hain. Mehnat jaari rakhein, maloomat hasil karte rahein, aur aapki trading kamyabiyaan haasil ho, inshaAllah