Gold

hum Gold ke price par baat kareinge. H1 timeframe par dekhne se nazar aata hai ke Thursday aur Friday ke din ke movement ne direction change ki, jahan Thursday ko Gold mein kaafi ziyata decline hua. Mujhe lag raha tha ke yeh movement GOLD ko ek gehre bearish level tak le jayegi aur maine sell bhi kiya jab price 2500 ko breach kar gaya, lekin kisay pata tha ke Friday ko price itni jaldi wapas upar chali jayegi. Upar jaane wali movement lagbhag Thursday ke decline jitni hi strong thi, aur khush kismati se maine pehle apna profit cut kar diya tha jab sell kiya, warna abhi mujhe floating loss ka samna karna padta. Is haftay ke aaghaz mein, hum dekhte hain ke market ek normal upward gap ke sath start hui hai, aur jaldi hi GOLD ne pehla bearish candle form kiya, lekin abhi tak gap area ko properly breach nahi kar saka. Aaj Gold ke movement ke lihaaz se meri technical analysis ke mutabiq price mein wapas rise hone ke asar hain, aur yeh 2520 tak jaa sakta hai. H1 time frame par, Gold ne bullish engulfing candle form ki hai jo ke ek strong signal hai ke GOLD ko 2520 tak BUY karna chahiye. RSI 14 indicator par meri observation yeh hai ke abhi Gold ka price 2510 ke aas paas hai, jo ke overbought nahi hai ya phir zyada saturated buying nahi dikha raha, isliye yeh mumkin hai ke GOLD apna increase continue kare 2514-2520 tak. BUY GOLD ka signal SNR aur Fibonacci methods ke zariye bhi support hota hai, kyun ke jab Gold ka price 2508.50 ko touch karta hai, toh yeh already RBS area mein hota hai. Isliye yeh bhi expected hai ke aaj dopehar tak GOLD wapas ek upward correction kare 2514 tak. Aaj ki meri technical analysis ke mutabiq, maine faisla kiya hai ke BUY GOLD karoon jab tak price 2520 tak pohanchti hai.

Gold ke prices ne 2150 support level se phir se rebound kiya hai jab strong gains ke baad wo lower correction ki taraf gaye thay, jinse unka naya record high 2195 par pohnchna tha. Agar gold prices mazeed barhne lagte hain, toh wo 20-period moving average par 2171 mein resistance encounter kar sakte hain pehle 2185 level ko challenge karte hue. Uske baad, rally naye record level 2195 par pohnchte hi tham sakti hai. Ummeed hai ke gold prices jo 2150 support aur 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of 1984-2195 uptrend at 2145 ko break karte hain, aagey ki taraf pullback ko trigger kar sakein 50-period MA at 2139 tak. Downtrend phir 2123 area aur 38 Fibonacci retracement level tak extend ho sakta hai. Overall, uptrend haal mein bearish moves ke bawajood strong hai char ghantay ki chart par. Agar 200-period moving average ke upar jaaye toh technical outlook zyada neutral ho jayega. Gold price phir se buland hua, jab ke pichle haftay ko market ke harkaat ne dabaya tha. Magar, jo bull run hua woh ab bhi resistance line ya MA 50 line ko tor nahin saka. Subah tak keemat ab bhi MA 50 line ke neeche thi, ek khareedne wale candle ka dhancha tha, lekin halaat kamzor ho rahe thay. Nazar aa raha hai ke mumkin hai ke mumkin hai ke candle chhota hota ja raha hai aur resistance line ya MA 50 line ke qareeb jaane par shadow ka inkar hota hai. Sona ka agla harkat ya aaj ki bhavishyavani, agar mojooda keemat ke halaat dekhein, sona ab bhi bearish mein wapas jaane ki zyada imkaan hai kyun ke jo bullish hua woh abhi tak resistance line ko nahi chhed saka magar khareedne wale kamzor mehsoos kar rahe hain, isliye jo bullishness is waqt hoti hai woh sirf ek keemat ki durusti hai aur phir keemat phir se gir jayegi. Lekin sona phir se buland hone ki mumkinat ka khayal rakhein, kyun ke sona ka trend badal gaya nahi hai (abhi bhi bullish hai) to keemat abhi bhi agle harkat ke liye bullish hone ki mumkinat rakhti hai. Upar di gayi tajziya ke mutabiq, aaj ka sona ka harkat ka andaza phir bhi bearish hone ki mumkinat hai kyun ke keemat abhi tak MA 50 line aur resistance ke neeche hai, isliye aaj sona mein trade karne ke liye bechne ki moqa talash kar sakte hain . Agar keemat phir se barh jaye aur MA 50 line aur 2172.48 ke resistance line ko tor de, to chonke agar keemat resistance line ko tor de to sona ko apni bullish reliance ko dobara shuru karne ki mumkinat hai aur agar highest resistance line 2193.06 ko dobara tor de to phir maloom nahin

haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya.Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein thay, jabke Trump

sone ki qeemat ne jumme ko apna teesra musalsal haftawaar gain darj kiya, jabke America mein afsos ke sath inflation kam hone se Federal Reserve ke taraf se interest rates mein cut hone ki umeedein mazid mazboot ho gayi. Economic calendar ke natayij ke mutabiq... Guzishta hafta dikhaya ke America mein masarf ki qeematein June mein pehli baar chaar saalon mein gir gayi, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut hone ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot banata hai.Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya.Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya.Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein thay, jabke Trump ek goli se zakhmi ho gaye.Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed tashadud siyasi adam mustaqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Aaj ke liye sone ki qeemat ki peshgoi: Neeche diye gaye rozana chart par performance ke mutabiq, sone ki qeemat ek mazboot upward path par hai jo $2400 per ounce ki psychological resistance ke upar move hone se supported hai, aur mazeed gains maqam-e-muqawamat $2420 aur $2435 per ounce tak mazeed technical indicators ko strong levels of saturation with buying ki taraf move karengi. Profit-taking sales tab tak nahi hongi jab tak US dollar ki qeemat recover nahi hoti aur geopolitical tensions calm nahi hoti, jo ke sone ke haal ke gains ke sabse numayan

Gold Price Dynamic
Doston, ham abhi Gold ke price behavior ka jaiza le rahe hain. Mera tajwez hai ke H1 time frame mein technical analysis ke base pe sell position enter karna chahiye. Pichle din ke doosre hisse mein, pair apne opening level ke neeche raha aur wahan band hui. Trading day ke dauran, price quotes ne lower Bollinger Band ko breach kiya, jo ke downward trend ko mazid reinforce karta hai aur aage ke declines ki kafi ummeed hai. Trading karte waqt main RSI indicator ko closely monitor karta hoon aur agar yeh overbought (71 se upar) ya oversold (31 se neeche) conditions dikhata hai, to transactions se gurez karta hoon. Filhal RSI selling ke liye favorable zone mein hai, jo is strategy ko support karta hai. Mera take-profit target Fibonacci level 210% par set hai, jo ke price 2457 ke aas-paas hoti hai. Position ka ek hissa breakeven par secure karne ke baad, main trailing stops ko lower Fib levels ki taraf shift karne ka plan kar raha hoon.

H4 Time Frame:


H4 time frame mein Gold ka Ribbon indicator uptrend dikhata hai, jahan green colour bullish direction ko confirm kar raha hai. M29 time frame par bhi indicator upwards hai, jo ke ongoing uptrend ko support karta hai. 2505.00 level se long positions consider karen aur next target level ki taraf dekhen. Agar Ribbon indicator se koi opposite signal milta hai, to existing positions close karni zaroori hogi. Filhal trading ek defined range mein hai, aur aaj decline ke bawajood, kal upward movement dekhne ko mili thi, lekin naye local highs tak nahi pahuncha. Market pichle levels par steady raha, aur mujhe lagta hai ke ye highs eventually milenge. Dollar kal gira tha despite favorable U.S. data, lekin aaj recovery attempt kar raha hai. Future direction important hai aur abhi koi specific targets nahi hain. Magar, mujhe lagta hai ke hum 2530 se upar ja sakte hain aur main sirf tab sell karunga jab false breakout dekhne ko mile.

Gold ki qeemat $2500/oz par wapis aayi hai jab ke ek lambi intezar ke baad retracement jo Thursday ki US session mein hui thi. Ek majmooiat me mazboot US Dollar, barhti hui US Yields aur Powell ke Jackson Hole Symposium mein address se pehle profit-taking ne isme kirdar ada kiya.

Market ke shirakatdar apne aap ko Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke intehai intezar kiye gaye speech ke liye position kar rahe the. Bohat logon ki umeed thi ke Powell September ke rate cuts ko confirm karega, magar Wednesday ko US jobs data mein downward revision ke baad, market ke shirakatdar samajhte hain ke September mein rate cut ek faisla shuda baat hai. Ab sawal yeh hai ke Powell ke remarks ka market par kya asar hoga?

Jis tarah halat hain, US Dollar ki kamzori aur pichlay hafte ke akhri din par Gold ki barhati hui qeemat is baat ki nishani hai ke September ke rate cut ke bare mein aksar umeedain shayad pehle se hi price mein shamil hain. Bohat se Fed policymakers ne kal yeh tasdeeq ki ke woh September mein rate cuts ko support karte hain aur iske bawajood Gold US session mein struggle karta raha. Yeh is baat ka ishara hai ke September ka rate cut shayad hissa ban chuka hai?

Yeh mera sochna hai Powell ke remarks se pehle aur isliye mujhe uske speech ka asar par shak hai.

Aaj aur bhi bohat se Federal Reserve policymakers ka docket par hona darshata hai ke volatility abhi bhi card par hai. Magar direction ke hawale se, mein Powell ke remarks se koi khaas tabdeeli ki umeed nahi rakhta. Mein kisi bhi 50 bps cut ke zikr par tawajju doonga jo ke kuch din pehle market mein favour mein price ho raha tha. Filhal, futures mein 100 bps se thori kam cuts ka price lag raha hai jo 2024 ke akhir tak hoga.

Technical Analysis Gold (XAU/USD)

Technical standpoint se dekha jaye to Gold mein European session mein rebound kaafi impressive raha hai jab ke precious metal ne $2500/oz handle par peak kar liya. Kal ka dip shayad ek precursor tha jis ne bulls ko reload karne diya aur dusron ko behtar price par entry lene di.

Yeh shayad aaj subha ke recovery ke speed ko wazeh kar sakta hai jab ke Fed Chair Powell stage par anay wala hai.

Kal ka bada bearish engulfing candle ne support talash ki 2472 ke key area par, phir buyers ne wapas aake price ko uper push kiya. Mein Monday se hi aise pullback ka intezar kar raha tha jab ke gold ne $2500/oz mark par high ground hold kiya tha.

Given ke Gold continue karta hai print karna ATH, aakhri key levels talash karna mushkil ho raha hai. Aaj ke US session mein foran resistance ho sakta hai 2514 aur 2531.66 par jo ke is week ka high hai ab tak

dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe. Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya. Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein thay, jabke Trump ek goli se zakhmi ho gaye. Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed tashadud siyasi adam maqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke November mein White

Gold ki Technical Analysis
Hello, everyone. Kaisa chal raha hai sab ka? Pichlay haftay gold prices 2474 se barh kar 2530 level tak pohchi. Is haftay mai expect karta hoon ke yeh movement 2480 level tak barh sakti hai. Pichlay trading week mai gold ne all-time highs ke qareeb limited volatility show ki. Pehlay price 2477 tak girhi, phir rebound hoke 2530 tak barh gayi, aur phir se girne lagi. Yeh abhi tak target zone tak pohchne se rok raha hai, jo ke abhi bhi working mai hai. Isi dauran, price chart super trendy green zone mai rehta hai, jo ke yeh suggest karta hai ke buyers market control kar rahe hain.

Gold prices Wednesday ko barhti rahi amid expectations for Infidia earnings aur reliable inflation data jo ke Federal Reserve se aglay Friday ko release hona hai, jis se market mai negative dynamics dekhi gayi. Gold trades 2560 per ounce tak barh gayi jo ke kal ke close pe 2559 per ounce thi. Current trading session mai precious metal 2538 tak low aur 2561 tak high pohcha. Chart ko neeche dekhein:



Is waqt price mixed trading kar rahi hai, jabke weekly chart neutral hai. Key support areas test hui hain aur quotes higher hold karne mai kamyab rahi hain, jo ke uptrend ki sustainability ko indicate karta hai. Rise ko continue karne ke liye, price ko 2477 level ke upar consolidate karna hoga, jahan main support area ka border hai. Is area ka doosra test aur rebound ek nayi bullish wave form karega, jo ke 2569 aur 2601 ke region ko target karegi.

Agar support level break hota hai aur price 2449 pivot level se neeche move karti hai, to current scenario cancel ho jayega.

Doston, ham abhi Gold ke price behavior ka jaiza le rahe hain. Mera tajwez hai ke H1 time frame mein technical analysis ke base pe sell position enter karna chahiye. Pichle din ke doosre hisse mein, pair apne opening level ke neeche raha aur wahan band hui. Trading day ke dauran, price quotes ne lower Bollinger Band ko breach kiya, jo ke downward trend ko mazid reinforce karta hai aur aage ke declines ki kafi ummeed hai. Trading karte waqt main RSI indicator ko closely monitor karta hoon aur agar yeh overbought (71 se upar) ya oversold (31 se neeche) conditions dikhata hai, to transactions se gurez karta hoon. Filhal RSI selling ke liye favorable zone mein hai, jo is strategy ko support karta hai. Mera take-profit target Fibonacci level 210% par set hai, jo ke price 2457 ke aas-paas hoti hai. Position ka ek hissa breakeven par secure karne ke baad, main trailing stops ko lower Fib levels ki taraf shift karne ka plan kar raha hoon.
H4 Time Frame: H4 time frame mein Gold ka Ribbon indicator uptrend dikhata hai, jahan green color bullish direction ko confirm kar raha hai. M29 time frame par bhi indicator upwards hai, jo ke ongoing uptrend ko support karta hai. 2505.00 level se long positions consider karen aur next target level ki taraf dekhen. Agar Ribbon indicator se koi opposite signal milta hai, to existing positions close karni zaroori hogi. Filhal trading ek defined range mein hai, aur aaj decline ke bawajood, kal upward movement dekhne ko mili thi, lekin naye local highs tak nahi pahuncha. Market pichle levels par steady raha, aur mujhe lagta hai ke ye highs eventually milenge. Dollar kal gira tha despite favorable US data, lekin aaj recovery attempt kar raha hai. Future direction important hai aur abhi koi specific targets nahi hain. Magar, mujhe lagta hai ke hum 2530 se upar ja sakte hain aur main sirf tab sell karunga jab false breakout dekhne ko mile.

Economic calendar ke natayij ke mutabiq... Guzishta hafta dikhaya ke America mein masarf ki qeematein June mein pehli baar chaar saalon mein gir gayi, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut hone ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot banata hai.Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya. Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe. Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya. Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein tha

European Central Bank ke President Christine Lagarde ne kaha ke central bank ko 2% inflation target tak pohanchne mein mazeed waqt lagay ga, aur filhal koi interest rate cuts ka irada nahi hai. Gold market par asar andaz hone wale factors mein US dollar index ka Tuesday ko 105.9 ke aas paas stable rehna shamil hai, jo ke strong Treasury yields se support ho raha hai. Ye stability mazeed government borrowing ke potential aur Donald Trump ke possible doosre term ke natijay mein aayi hai. Trading ke hawale se, US 10-year Treasury yield 4.45% ke kareeb hai, jo ke mahine mein sabse ooncha level hai. Monday ko, US dollar pressure mein tha jab ke American manufacturing activity mein tez downtrend ne Federal Reserve ke interest rates cut karne ke maqoliyat ko mazid barhawa diya. Forex trading mein, US dollar ne kuch nuqsaan euro, British pound, aur Australian dollar ke muqable mein reverse kiya, jab ke New Zealand dollar, yuan, aur yen ke muqable mein apni taqat barqarar rakhi. Japanese currency ne 38 saalon ka sabse neecha level chhoda, jab ke carry trades mazid support ho rahe hain. Gold market par doosra asar US 10-year Treasury yields ka tha jo ek mahine ke high ke kareeb hai. Trading ke hawale se, Tuesday ko US 10-year Treasury bonds yield 4.44% ke kareeb aa gaya, lekin abhi bhi ek mahine ke high ke kareeb tha, jab ke pichlay haftay ke debates aur Supreme Court ke faislay, jo ke pehle presidents ke liye Mazeed immunity diye jane par focus thay, former President Donald Trump ke doosre term ko support karte hain. Pehle presidents ke doosre terms ko inflationary maana gaya hai, jo ke tax cuts, sakhte immigration policies, aur increased import tariffs se fueled hote hain. Is dauran, investors Federal Reserve ke monetary policy outlook ka bhi tajziy

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

Gold ki Market Ane wale Weeks Me Mazeed Upper Ja Sakta Hai

Gold ki price me mazeed izafa abhi kuch waqat k leye stop ho gaya hai, jab ke ab marker ka sari nazar US core PCE inflation data par hai. US Dollar apne week ke gain ko barqarar rakhta hai jab ke Treasury yields me koi khaas tabdeeli nahi aayi. Kia Gold ki qeemat aik upper breakout kar ke naye record haasil kar payegi? RSI ab bhi bullish hai.

Gold ki qeemat Friday subha ko phir se red zone me hai, jab ke Thursday ko $2,530 ke qareeb dubara strong resistance ka samna kiya. Gold khareedne wale ehtiyaat se kaam lete hain aur US core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation data ke intezaar me naye daaw lagane se parhez karte hain.

Gold ki qeemat (XAU/USD) momentum kho deti hai, jab ke US Dollar (USD) Friday ko mazid strong hota hai. US ke mazboot growth report aur Initial Jobless Claims ne US Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September me zyada rate cut ki umeed ko kam kar diya hai, jo ke non-yielding gold par asar dalta hai. Phir bhi, Middle East me badhte hue geopolitical tensions aur Russia aur Ukraine ke darmiyan jang safe-haven demand ko barhawa de sakti hai, jo ke yellow metal ke liye faida mand hai.

Sarmaya kaar ghore se US inflation data ka jaiza lenge, taake Fed ke ainday ke rate cut ke barae me mazid maloomat mil sake. Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, jo ke Fed ka pasandeeda inflation gauge hai, umeed hai ke July me 2.7% YoY ke izafa dikhaye, jo ke June ke 2.6% se thoda zyada hai. Agar PCE ki reading umeed se kam aati hai to ye Fed ko rate cut cycle shuru karne par majboor kar sakti hai, jo ke XAU/USD ke liye tailwind sabit ho sakti hai.

Gold ki qeemat US PCE inflation se naye rukh ka intezaar kar rahi hai

Core PCE Price Index, jo ke US Federal Reserve ka pasandeeda inflation measure hai, is hafta ka sab se aham economic data release hai aur ye Fed ke interest-rate cut ke haalaat ka tayyun karega jo September ke baad ho sakta hai.

Ye data khaas tor par dhyan se dekha jayega, khaas kar Thursday ko US second-quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data ke revision ke baad, jis ne September me bade rate cut ki umeedon ko thanda kar diya.

US economy ne guzashta quarter me salana 3% ke speed se growth ki, jo ke strong consumer spending aur business investment ki wajah se tha, aur government ke pehle wale 2.8% ke estimation se zyada tha. Markets ab sirf 34% chances ko price kar rahi hain ke agle mahine 50 basis point (bp) cut hoga, jo ke aik din pehle 38% tha, CME Group's FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq.

US GDP revision ke baad, US Dollar ne mazboot rebound kiya, jo ke US Treasury bond yields ki recovery ke chalte tha. Magar ye Gold khareedne walon ko roknay me nakam raha, kyun ke unhon ne $2,532 ke record highs ko dobara test kiya.

Gold ki qeemat ne Russia aur Ukraine ke darmiyan naye geopolitical concerns ka faida uthaya, jab ke Ukrainian military ne Thursday ko Rostov Kirov aur Voronezh regions me tel aur artillery depots ko nishana banaya. Israel-Iran tensions bhi Gold ki haven demand ko barqarar rakhti hain.

Is ke ilawa, Spain aur Germany me cooling inflation ne umeed dilaayi ke European Central Bank (ECB) September me rate cut ki taraf ja sakta hai. Duniya bhar me low interest-rate regime ke naye umeed ne bhi Gold ki qeemat me izafa kiya.

Magar, Gold ki qeemat ne Friday subha ko apni recovery momentum ko pause kiya, jab ke traders ab US PCE inflation ke garam print ka intezaar karte hain, jo ke Fed ke mazeed easing ke bets par pani pher sakta hai.

Headline PCE Price Index umeed hai ke July me salana 2.6% ke speed se barega jab ke core PCE index umeed hai ke isi period me 2.7% YoY ke izafa dikhaye. Pichli readings 2.5% aur 2.6% thi. US PCE inflation data ke ilawa, Gold ki qeemat par end-of-the-month flows aur position adjustments ka asar bhi ho sakta hai, jo ke agle hafte ke Nonfarm Payrolls release se pehle hai.

Gold ki qeemat traction kho deti hai, reaffirmed Fed rate cut bets us ke downside ko rok sakti hain

Russia ne is hafta Ukraine par kai air attacks kiye, jis se Moscow ko lagbhag £1.1 billion ka nuqsan hua. Isi dauran, Ukraine ne Belarus ke saath apni border par nigaah rakhne ki hidayat di hai, Sky News ke mutabiq.

US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) ne dusray quarter (Q2) me 3.0% ke salana rate se growth ki, Department of Commerce ne apne Thursday ko release kiye gaye second estimate me bataya. Ye figure pehle wale 2.8% ke estimation aur initial estimate se zyada tha.

US ke weekly Initial Jobless Claims, jo ke 24 August ko khatam hui hafte ke liye thi, 231K par aayi jo ke pichle haftay ke 233K se kam thi, aur market consensus 232K se neeche thi.

Atlanta Fed ke President Raphael Bostic ne Thursday ko kaha ke ye 'move karne ka waqt' ho sakta hai jab ke inflation mazid thandi hoti ja rahi hai aur unemployment rate unki umeed se zyada barh rahi hai, lekin wo monthly jobs report aur do inflation reports se pehle aur saboot dekhna chahte hain jo Fed ke agle meeting se pehle aayengi.

Markets ab September me 25 basis points (bps) ke rate cut ke 66% chances price kar rahi hain, lekin bade rate cut ke chances 34% hain, jo ke pehle US GDP data ke baad 36.5% thay, CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq.

Technical Analysis: Gold ki qeemat lambi duration me bullish hai

Gold ki qeemat din bhar me neeche ja rahi hai. Precious metal ab bhi 5-mahina purana ascending channel ke upper boundary aur all-time high ke neeche rehti hai. Magar, precious metal ka overall outlook strongly bulls ke haq me hai daily timeframe me, jab ke price key 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke ooper barqarar hai. Isi ke sath, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) lagbhag 60.75 par hai, jo ke near-term me potential bullish momentum ka izhar karta hai.



Yellow metal ke liye key resistance level $2,530 ke qareeb confluence ke sath dekha ja sakta hai jo ke all-time high aur trend channel ke upper boundary ka hai. Is ke aage, agla hurdle $2,600 ke psychological mark par hota hai.

Dosri taraf, XAU/USD ke liye initial downside target $2,500 ka round figure ho sakta hai. Agar is level ke neeche decisively break hoti hai to mazid downside potential expose ho sakta hai, jo ke $2,432 (15 August ka low) ki taraf aur aage $2,382 (100-day EMA) ki taraf hota hai.

Gold ki qeemat is haftay apne consolidative phase ko extend karte hue, US PCE inflation data ke baad aik range breakout trigger kar sakti hai. Ye kehne ke bawajood, upside break ke risks likely lagte hain, jab ke symmetrical triangle breakout play me hai aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke ooper mazbut hai. Gold buyers control me rehte hain jab tak wo triangle resistance-turned-support $2,470 ke qareeb barqarar hain. 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) us area ke qareeb aa raha hai, jo ke usay strong support banata hai.

Gold ki qeemat ke liye initial demand area $2,500 ka threshold dekha jata hai, jiske neeche 23 August ka low $2,485 test hoga. Agar is ke neeche sustained breach hota hai to downside ki taraf abovementioned triangle resistance-turned-support $2,470 ke qareeb expose hoti hai.

Dosri taraf, Gold buyers ko daily closing basis par record high $2,532 clear karna hoga, taake agla key barrier $2,550 level par aaye. Is ke ooper acceptance $2,600 round level ko challenge kar sakta hai, jo ke triangle target par measured $2,660 tak le jata hai.

Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)
Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE), jo ke US Bureau of Economic Analysis ke zariye mahina wara basis par release hoti hai, US me consumers ke dwara kharidi gayi cheezon aur services ki prices me tabdeelion ko measure karti hai. YoY reading, prices ka mukabla karti hai reference month me aik saal pehle ke mukable. Price changes consumers ko aik cheez se dosri cheez kharidne par majboor kar sakti hain, aur PCE Deflator is tarah ke substitutions ko bhi dekh sakta hai. Ye isay Federal Reserve ke liye preferred measure of inflation banata hai. Aam tor par, aik high reading US Dollar (USD) ke liye bullish hoti hai, jab ke aik low reading bearish hoti hai.

Halankeh, US ki unemployment rate 225K se barh kar 242K ho gayi hai, aur kal US ka PPI rate bhi negative side par raha, magar market ko in news events se faida nahi mil saka. Ab bhi market seller ke pressure mein hai. Aaj ke trading world mein foreign exchange market ka sentiment is tarah se shape le raha hai ke sellers ne apna mazboot qaima kiya hai. Is trend se yeh andaza hota hai ke currency pairs par downward pressure barqarar rahega, jo ke traders ke liye short-selling strategies se faida uthana ka mauqa hai. Aise environment mein, traders ke liye zaroori hai ke wo ehtiyaat aur samajhdari se kaam lein, khaaskar short-term targets ke sath sell positions kholne ke dauran.

XAU/USD ke case mein, aaj ke din market sellers ke haq mein rahegi. Yeh mumkin hai ke yeh soon 2285 ke area ko cross kar lein. Is waqt market sentiment mein ek stability hai sellers ke darmiyan, jo yeh dikhata hai ke wo mawjudah market conditions ka faida uthane ke liye tayyar hain. Magar yeh stability apne saath kuch risks bhi la sakti hai, kyun ke koi bhi unexpected shift trading dynamics ko foran tabdeel kar sakta hai. Isliye, traders ko zaroori hai ke wo effective risk management strategies ko istamal karein, jaise ke stop-loss tools ka istemal, taake kisi bhi potential loss ko kam kiya ja sake aur apni capital ko mehfooz rakha ja sake. Risk management practices ka dhang se istamal kar ke, traders market volatility ko zyada aitmaad ke sath navigate kar sakte hain, aur unke trading decisions unke risk tolerance aur financial goals ke sath hum ahang ho sakein.

Aaj ke market environment mein technical analysis ka samajhna aur uska faida uthana intehai zaroori hai. Technical analysis traders ko market trends, price patterns, aur potential entry aur exit points ke bare mein qeemti insights faraham karta hai. Yeh traders ko madad deta hai ke wo key support aur resistance levels ko pehchan sakein, jo ke informed trading decisions lene mein zaroori hote hain. Technical indicators aur charting techniques ko istemal kar ke traders apni salahiyat ko enhance kar sakte hain, taake wo trend reversals ko pehchan sakein aur market opportunities se faida utha sakein.

H4 timeframe mein, recent bearish tendencies ke bawajood, Gold mein ek potential bullish turnaround ki signs nazar aa rahi hain. Khaaskar, 5 SMA, 20 SMA, aur 50 SMA ne abhi haal hi mein 2345 level ke upar cross kiya hai, jo ke ek possible upward trajectory ko indicate karte hain. Haal ke downward movement ko tasleem karte hue, Gold ne anticipated level 2296 ko touch kiya. Aaj ke din, 2330 level ka test karna mumkin lagta hai, aur umeed hai ke ek strong bullish trend shuru ho, jo ke iss mahine mein 2370 ke milestone ko target kar sakta hai.

Potential buying opportunities se faida uthane ke liye recommended strategies mein disciplined aur informed decisions lena shamil hai.

XAUUSD H4

Halanki, US unemployment rate 225K se barh kar 242K ho gaya hai aur US PPI rate bhi kal negative raha, lekin market in news events se faida nahi utha paya. Abhi bhi market sellers ke pressure mein hai. Aaj trading duniya mein forex market ka sentiment sellers ke haq mein ban raha hai. Yeh trend currency pairs par sustained downward pressure ko suggest karta hai, jo traders ke liye short-selling strategies ka faida uthane ka mauka de raha hai. Is environment mein, traders ko caution aur prudence baratna zaroori hai, khaaskar short-term targets ke saath sell positions open karte waqt. XAU/USD ke case mein, market aaj bhi sellers ke haq mein rahega aur wo 2285 area ko jaldi cross kar sakte hain. Isliye, market ka sentiment abhi sellers ke behtareen position ko indicate kar raha hai, jo prevailing market conditions ka faida uthane ke liye tayar hain. Lekin, yeh stability risky bhi hai, kyunki koi bhi unexpected shift trading dynamics ko turant badal sakta hai. Isliye, traders ko effective risk management strategies, jaise stop-loss tools ka use karna chahiye, taake potential losses ko mitigate kiya ja sake aur capital ko safeguard kiya ja sake. Discipline ke saath risk management practices ko follow kar ke, traders market volatility ko zyada confidently navigate kar sakte hain aur apne trading decisions ko apni risk tolerance aur financial goals ke sath align kar sakte hain.

Technical analysis ko samajhna aur use karna aaj ke market environment mein crucial hai. Technical analysis market trends, price patterns, aur potential entry aur exit points ke baare mein valuable insights provide karta hai. Yeh traders ko key support aur resistance levels identify karne ke tools deta hai, jo informed trading decisions ke liye zaroori hain. Technical indicators aur charting techniques ka use karke, traders trend reversals ko recognize kar sakte hain aur market opportunities ko effectively capitalize kar sakte hain. Aaj ke XAU/USD market mein dekhte hain kya hota hai. Good luck aur stay safe!

H4 time frame ke andar, recent bearish tendencies ke bawajood, Gold bullish turnaround ke signs dikhata hai. Khaaskar, 5 SMA, 20 SMA, aur 50 SMA ne recently 2345 level ke upar cross kiya hai, jo possible upward trajectory ko indicate karta hai. Recent downward movement ko acknowledge karte hue, Gold ne 2296 level ko reach kiya jaisa ki anticipate kiya gaya tha. Aaj, 2330 level ka test plausible lagta hai, aur is mahine 2370 milestone ko target karte hue robust bullish trend shuru hone ki expectations hain. Potential buying opportunities ka faida uthane ke liye, recommended strategies include:

GOLD ke liye outlook
Assalam Alaikum!
Aisa lagta hai keh sona mashkuk taur par sideways accumulation me fans gaya hai. Mujhe lagta hai keh qimat trendline aur 2,510.39 ki support satah se niche nahin toot sakti hai. Iski buniyad par, mujhe ooper ki taraf reversal ki ummid hai. Agar meri peshan goiyan durust huin to, hadaf 2,538.32 ki muzahmati satah par muqarrar kiya jayega. Khas taur par, qimat oopri trendline ka bhi test kar sakti hai. Wahan se, dhat wapas niche ki taraf palat sakti hai, lekin hamein us muqam uski sakht ka jaizah lene ki zarurat hOGI. Filhal, tawajjoh maujudah hadaf ko hasil karne par hai.
GOLD