ای aud/usd کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

AUD/USD pair ke current chart analysis ko dekhte hue yeh nazar aa raha hai ke pair abhi tak downtrend mein hai aur selling pressure market mein continue hai. Chart par do Moving Averages dikhayi de rahi hain; aik yellow line aur aik red line. Yeh Moving Averages short aur long-term trend ko represent karti hain. Yellow line, jo ke short-term Moving Average hai, ne red line ko upar se neeche cross kiya hai, jo ke ek strong bearish signal hai aur yeh downtrend ke continuation ko indicate karta hai.
MACD indicator bhi bearish territory mein hai, lekin kuch signs of recovery dikhayi de rahe hain, jahan MACD line aur signal line ke beech mein slightly bullish divergence create ho rahi hai. Yeh divergence ka matlab ho sakta hai ke selling pressure thoda kam ho raha hai aur price mein thodi si upward correction ya consolidation aasakti hai. Lekin yeh tabhi ek strong bullish signal banayega jab MACD line zero line ke upar move kare. RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator bhi chart par available hai jo price ke strength ko measure karta hai. RSI ki value abhi oversold zone ke kareeb hai, yani 30 ke qareeb. Yeh indicate karta hai ke price mein kuch support zone ya demand zone ke kareeb hai aur wahan se reversal ka chance ban sakta hai. Lekin oversold level ka matlab yeh nahi hai ke trend turant change hoga; yeh bas temporary support ko indicate karta hai.
Agar AUD/USD price current level se support lekar upar move karti hai aur yellow Moving Average ko break kar leti hai, toh bullish reversal ka chance ban sakta hai. Aise case mein, short-term traders ke liye buying ka mauqa ho sakta hai lekin risk management zaroori hai kyun ke trend ab tak bearish hi hai. Dosri taraf, agar price yellow Moving Average ke neeche hi rehti hai aur support levels break hote hain, toh yeh downtrend ke continuation ka indication ho sakta hai, aur next support levels par price aur neeche ja sakti hai. Is waqt ke liye, conservative approach yeh hai ke buying entries tab consider ki jayein jab price moving averages ke upar close ho, aur selling entries tab tak favor ki jayein jab tak price downtrend ke channel mein hai.

نومبر 6 2024 کو اے یو ڈی/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

آسٹریلوی ڈالر کل اور آج صبح 0.6570-0.6640 کی غیر جانبدار رینج کے اندر رہا۔ یہ ان سطحوں کی اہمیت کی تصدیق کرتا ہے: اگر قیمت 0.6640 سے اوپر ٹوٹ جاتی ہے، تو یہ ممکنہ طور پر 0.6727 کی طرف بڑھتی رہے گی، جہاں اس کا سامنا ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن سے ہوگا۔ اس کے برعکس، اگر قیمت 0.6570 سے نیچے آتی ہے، تو 0.6482 کا ہدف کھلتا ہے۔



چار گھنٹے کا چارٹ وضاحت کا اضافہ کرتا ہے: قیمت کو 0.6482 کی طرف بڑھنے کے لیے، اسے 0.6570 سے نیچے مضبوط کرنے کی ضرورت ہے، کیونکہ ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن اور ایک نامکمل خلا کی حمایت اس سطح کے بالکل نیچے ہے۔



مارلن آسیلیٹر کی سگنل لائن نیچے کے رجحان کی حد کے قریب پہنچ رہی ہے، جو اس کی غیر جانبداری اور اس لمحے کی نازک نوعیت کی نشاندہی کرتی ہے، بلاشبہ امریکی صدارتی انتخابات کے متوقع نتائج سے منسلک ہے۔

تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Technical Analysis
Australian Dollar ki value gir gayi hai jab traders US presidential election ke results ke hawale se cautious ho gaye hain. Lekin, Aussie Dollar phir se momentum gain kar sakta hai, kyun ke RBA (Reserve Bank of Australia) ki Governor Michele Bullock ne apni hawkish policy ko Tuesday ko dobara confirm kiya.

Georgia ke exit polls yeh indicate kar rahe hain ke Trump ko Harris par 10% ki lead hai, jab ke vote count abhi 1% se bhi kam hai.

Australian Dollar (AUD) apni recent gains ko US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein Wednesday ko retrace karta hai, jab ke market mein US presidential election ke results ka intezaar badh raha hai. Traders Thursday ko US Federal Reserve ke policy announcement ke liye bhi tayar ho rahe hain.

Aussie Dollar us waqt mazid taqatwar ho gaya jab Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ne Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par maintain karne ka faisla kiya, jo ke unka 8th consecutive pause tha. RBA ki Governor Michele Bullock ne hawkish stance ko dobara se reaffirm kiya aur kaha ke persistent inflation risks aur strong labor market ke madde nazar restrictive monetary policy ki zarurat hai.

Is ke ilawa, Australia ke latest Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data ne October mein private sector activity mein positive shift dikhaya. Services sector ki growth ne manufacturing sector ke decline ko offset kiya.



AUD/USD pair Wednesday ko 0.6590 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, aur daily chart par technical indicators bearish trend ka indication de rahe hain. Pair ne nine-day aur 14-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) ko neeche cross kar liya hai, jo ke downward momentum ka signal hai. Iske ilawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi 50 se neeche hai, jo ke bearish outlook ko support karta hai.

AUD/USD pair ke liye immediate support 0.6536 par hai, jo ke 3-month ka low hai. Agar yeh level break ho gaya to pair 0.6500 ke critical psychological support level tak ja sakta hai.

Upar ki taraf, pair ko 0.6603 par nine-day EMA se resistance mil sakta hai, aur 0.6620 par 14-day EMA se bhi resistance ka samna ho sakta hai. Agar yeh levels break ho jate hain, to pair ka momentum strong ho sakta hai aur 0.6700 ke psychological level tak bhi jaa sakta hai.

AUD/USD Price Action Forecast

AUD/USD ke bulls apne pichlay nuqsan ko pura karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, jo ke market mein momentum ke shift ko darshata hai jab ke market recovery ki taraf badh raha hai. Haali mein, market sentiment bears ke haq mein tha, jiski wajah se price neeche gir gayi thi. Ab jab AUD/USD reversal ke signs dikhane laga hai, to investors ko market ki direction ko sahi tareeqe se samajhna zaroori hai. Yeh shift yeh dikhata hai ke indicators aur trends ko monitor karna kitna zaroori hai, kyun ke current price action yeh suggest karta hai ke bullish scenario abhi bhi develop ho raha hai. Aise environment mein un logon ke liye trading opportunities ho sakti hain jo in changes ko pehchaan kar unke mutabiq apne decisions lete hain.

AUD/USD ke investors professional trading tools ka use karke market sentiment ko gauge kar sakte hain aur apne decision-making ko improve kar sakte hain. Tools jaise ke moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), aur doosre oscillators investors ko madad de sakte hain yeh samajhne mein ke market overbought ya oversold zone mein hai.

Abhi ke liye, aisa lag raha hai ke market oversold support level se reverse ho gaya hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke buyers ne enter kiya hai, aur yeh ek aisa support level establish ho sakta hai jahan bulls prices ko upar push kar sakte hain. Bearish pressure ke baad market ne ek aisa level dhoondh liya hai jahan buyers control lene ko tayar hain, jo bullish momentum ke strengthen hone ki probability ko barhata hai.



Sach kehnay ki baat yeh hai ke lagta hai ke AUD/USD ke bulls market mein rahenge, jab ke bears ko upar ke levels par wapis aane mein mushkil ho sakti hai jab ke price action oversold conditions se recover ho raha hai. Jab investors market direction ko track kar rahe hain, to unhein har tarah ke economic ya geopolitical developments par nazar rakhni chahiye jo AUD ya USD ko impact kar sakte hain.

Bulls ka wapis aana ek potential trend reversal ko signal karta hai aur investors ko yeh opportunity deta hai ke woh aise trading strategies consider karein jo bullish sentiment par based ho, yeh expect karte hue ke uptrend AUD/USD ke gains ko support karega aur bears ke liye apni dominance dobara establish karna mushkil ho jayega.

AUD/USD Analysis: Key Economic Aur Technical Levels Ko Samajhna
Yeh meri detailed analysis hai AUD/USD ki. Abhi yeh pair ek important turning point par hai, jahan domestic economic trends aur strong U.S. dollar ke asar ka balance ban raha hai. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ka decision apni benchmark interest rate ko 4.35% par barqarar rakhna, inflation ke dheere dheere kam honay ke bawajood, ek cautious approach ko darshata hai. Abhi ki inflation rate 2.8% hai, jo ke RBA ke target range ke andar hai. Sab ki nazar RBA Governor Michele Bullock ke aane wale statements par hai, jo market sentiment ko kaafi badal sakti hain. Agar RBA December mein rate cuts ke liye open hone ka signal de, to Australian Dollar ko neeche pressure ka samna ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar RBA neutral ya cautiously hawkish stance lete hue inflation ke risks par focus kare, to yeh AUD ko support de sakta hai aur AUD/USD ko 0.6700 ke level tak le ja sakta hai.



Technical Front Par Analysis
Technical taur par, AUD/USD abhi 200-day SMA (Simple Moving Average) ko break karne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo 0.6629 par hai aur ek important resistance level hai. Agar yeh level break ho jata hai, to recovery ke liye raasta khul sakta hai, jahan next target 0.6700 ka psychological level aur 50-day SMA at 0.6730 ho sakta hai. Lekin agar yeh levels breach nahi hote, to yeh pair apne recent lows ko revisit kar sakta hai. Ek aur decline dekhne ko mil sakta hai jo support level 0.6537 ko test kare, aur isse neeche 0.6500 aur August 6 ka low 0.6472 tak bhi jaa sakta hai. Pair ki movement global factors se affect ho rahi hai, khaas taur par U.S. dollar ki strength jo Federal Reserve ki policies aur geopolitical developments se judi hui hai. Is liye AUD/USD dono domestic RBA cues aur broader market forces ke under hai, jo isse sharp volatility ka shikar bana sakte hain.

Trading Strategy
Updated trends ko samajh kar, jaise price movement, volume, aur technical indicators, aap apne trades ko market ki direction ke saath align kar sakte hain. Is tarah aap apne account ko unnecessary risks se bachane mein madad kar sakte hain. Market ko analyze karne ka waqt nikalna impulsive decisions ko kam karta hai aur aapke trades ko zyada calculated aur safer banata hai.

Technical Analysis AUD/USD Hello aur Good Morning mere pyare traders. Aaj main AUD/USD ki upcoming trading sessions ke liye price forecast karne jaa raha hoon. Is waqt AUD/USD 0.6585 par trade kar raha hai. AUD/USD ne negative momentum ke sath shuruat ki thi aur abhi bhi 0.6537 ke mark ki taraf decline karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Is chart par dono technical indicators negative nazar aa rahe hain, jo ye indicate karte hain ke short term mein price decline ho sakti hai. Khaas taur par, Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke neutral threshold ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Saath hi, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) zero ke neeche hai aur iska red signal line positive zone ke neeche point kar raha hai. Moving averages ke mutabiq, short term mein trend bearish hai. 20 EMA aur 50 EMA ye indicate karte hain ke near term mein trend bearish hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke sellers pressure daal rahe hain.



Resistance Levels: AUD/USD ka pehla important resistance level 0.6609 hai. Agar bullish momentum continue hota hai, toh price pehle resistance level ko break karke doosre level 0.6647 tak pahunch sakta hai. Agar doosra resistance level bhi break hota hai, toh AUD/USD mein ek nayi growth wave aa sakti hai aur price upar ki taraf move karega.

Support Levels: Agar price reverse hoti hai, toh 0.6564 pe pehla support level test ho sakta hai. Agar bearish momentum continue hota hai, toh price pehle support level ko break karke doosre level 0.6537 tak jaa sakta hai. Agar doosra support level break hota hai, toh AUD/USD ki downward movement continue ho sakti hai.

Conclusion: Overall, AUD/USD ke price mein intraday gains limited ho sakte hain, lekin negative trend abhi bhi barqarar hai.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis AUD/USD pair ne upar jane ki koshish ki thi lekin wo 0.6622 ke high price ko cross karne mein mushkilat ka samna kar raha tha. Phir price do Moving Average lines ke darmiyan decline kar gayi, jo bearish market conditions ko indicate kar rahi hain. Iske baad jo increase aayi, wo zyada upar nahi ja paayi, aur sirf 0.6614 tak pohanch kar wapas gir gayi, aur 50% Fibonacci Retracement level - 0.6582 par settle ho gayi. Agar price Moving Average lines ke neeche rehti hai, toh retracement continue ho sakta hai, jisme price 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement level - 0.6573 tak jaa sakta hai, ya phir further decline ke saath 78.6% Fibonacci Retracement level - 0.6559 tak bhi pohanch sakta hai. Agar price ka decline 78.6% Fibonacci Retracement level - 0.6559 ko cross kar leta hai, toh ye price pattern structure mein change ka signal dega. Filhal, price higher high - higher low condition mein hai, lekin agar ye 0.6556 ke invalidation level ko break kar leti hai (jo 78.6% Fibonacci Retracement level ke kareeb hai), toh structure lower low - lower high mein convert ho jayega.



Moving Average aur Indicators Analysis:

Moving average lines kabhi-kabhi golden cross signal generate kar sakti hain jab price trend upar jaane lagta hai. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator downward momentum ko show kar raha hai, kyun ke histogram 0 ke neeche ya negative area mein hai, jo AUD/USD pair ke price decline ko support karta hai. Stochastic indicator bhi abhi oversold zone (20-10 level) mein enter karne ke process mein hai, jo price ke girne ki potential ko indicate karta hai, kyun ke selling saturation point tak nahi pahunchi.

Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ka decision bhi ek important factor hai, kyun ke agar market players ka hawkish stance hota hai, toh AUD/USD pair ki price mein impulsive rise ho sakta hai. Analysis ke mutabiq, ek buy position favorable ho sakti hai kyun ke bearish trend ab kamzor ho raha hai, lekin fundamental impact baad mein itna supportive nahi ho sakta.

Trade Setup:

Entry position 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement level (0.6573) ke aas-paas li ja sakti hai, aur take profit target 23.6% Fibonacci Retracement level (0.6603) ya psychological level 0.6600 par ho sakta hai. Stop loss ko 78.6% Fibonacci Retracement level par set kiya jaa sakta hai. Stochastic indicator ko oversold range (20-10) se bahar nikalna hoga tabhi confirmation mil sakta hai. Saath hi, Awesome Oscillator (AO) histogram ko positive values par ya zero line cross karna hoga jo upward trend ka signal dega.

AUD/USD ka pair abhi 0.66030 par hai, aur recent trend kaafi bearish hai. Iska matlab hai ke market mein generally neeche ki taraf movement ho rahi hai, jisme lower highs aur lower lows ka silsila chal raha hai, jo yeh show karta hai ke Australian dollar par U.S. dollar ke muqablay mein pressure barh raha hai. Halanke price neeche ki taraf ja raha hai, lekin yeh aam baat hai ke aise currency pair mein kabhi kabhi consolidation periods dekhne ko milte hain, jahan market dheere dheere move karta hai aur volatility kam hoti hai. Phir bhi, aage chal kar AUD/USD mein koi significant movement ho sakti hai, jo abhi ke price levels ko hila sakti hai.
Economic factors aur global events ka combination currency pairs jese AUD/USD mein badi movements laa sakta hai. Iska ek major factor Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ki monetary policies ka farq hai. Fed ne recently hawkish stance apnaya hai, aur U.S. mein inflation ko control karne ke liye interest rates barhaye hain, jabke RBA ne zyada cautious approach rakhi hai. Yeh farq aam tor par U.S. dollar ko mazid strong karta hai aur Australian dollar ko weak karta hai, kyunke U.S. mein zyada interest rates USD-denominated assets mein investment ko attract karte hain. Agar Fed apni hawkish policy ko continue karta hai, to yeh AUD/USD ke downward trend ko aur barha sakta hai.

Iske ilawa, Australian dollar kaafi had tak commodities, khaas kar iron ore aur un resources par dependent hai jo Australia China jaise bade economies ko export karta hai. Agar China ki demand mein koi shift hota hai, jo ke abhi economic slowdown se guzar raha hai, to AUD par kaafi asar pad sakta hai. Agar China apni economy ko boost karne ke liye stimulus measures announce karta hai, to Australian exports ki demand barh sakti hai, jo AUD ko upar le jaa sakti hai. Yeh ek ahem factor ho sakta hai jo current bearish trend ko reverse kar sakta hai.



Ek aur factor jo dekhna zaroori hai, woh hai global risk sentiment. Australian dollar ko "risk currency" mana jata hai, iska matlab hai ke jab global markets optimistic hote hain to yeh achi performance deta hai, lekin jab markets risk-off mode mein hoti hain to yeh decline karta hai. Aane wale dinon mein, agar U.S. se koi ahem news aati hai, jaise inflation data, geopolitical developments, ya investor sentiment mein badlav, to yeh AUD/USD mein notable movement trigger kar sakti hai.

Overall, jabke short-term trend abhi bearish hai, koi badi shift ya unexpected event AUD/USD pair mein substantial movement la sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke woh economic indicators ko closely monitor karein aur U.S. aur Australian economies ke developments se updated rahein, taake potential movements ko anticipate kiya ja sake.

AUD/USD
Sab ko salam aur Good Morning!

Khushkismati se, AUD/USD ke buyers kal wapas aaye aur 0.6600 zone ko successfully cross kar liya. Aur is hafte RBA ki Monetary Policy bhi buyers ki stability mein madad kar sakti hai. Pichlay hafte, U.S. ka JOLTS Job Openings report traders ka dhyan attract karne wala pehla data point tha. Yeh report labor demand aur mukhtalif industries mein job opportunities ki availability ka pata deti hai. Zyada job openings ka matlab hota hai ke hiring activity strong hai, jo aam tor par dollar ke liye positive sentiment ka sabab banti hai. High job openings yeh show karte hain ke companies apne workforce ko expand karne ki koshish kar rahi hain, jo economic stability aur growth mein confidence ko reflect karta hai. Agar job openings expectations se kam hoti hain, to yeh labor market mein slow down ka indication ho sakta hai, jo dollar ke liye negative ho sakta hai.

JOLTS report ke sath sath, CB Consumer Confidence Index ko bhi closely monitor kiya jayega. Yeh index consumer sentiment ko measure karta hai, jo economic conditions aur future expectations ke hawale se hai. Yeh public ki spending willingness ka idea deta hai. High consumer confidence aam tor par dollar ke liye bullish sign hota hai, kyunke yeh show karta hai ke consumers apni financial stability aur future spending potential ko lekar optimistic hain. Agar consumer confidence girta hai, to yeh consumers ke cautious hone ka signal ho sakta hai, jiska matlab hai ke spending kam ho sakti hai, aur ultimately dollar bhi weak ho sakta hai.

Har haal mein, jo aane wali news data hai, wo AUD/USD ke buyers ki madad karega 0.6644 ke resistance zone ko cross karne mein. Kul mila kar, ADP Non-Farm Employment report release hoga, jo private-sector job growth ka early insight dega. Yeh report official Non-Farm Employment report ka precursor hota hai aur traders ke liye kaafi important hai kyunke yeh hiring trends ka snapshot deta hai. Strong ADP employment numbers aam tor par dollar ke liye positive signal hote hain, kyunke yeh show karte hain ke economy healthy rate par jobs generate kar rahi hai, jo economic growth ko support karta hai.

Aapka din acha guzray, aur Tuesday ko successful banayein!

AUD-USD Pair Analysis
Australia ki Reserve Bank (RBA) ne apni benchmark interest rate 4.35% par maintain karne ka announcement kiya, lekin is ke baad AUD/USD pair mein zyada volatility nahi dekhi gayi. Ab tak, price EMA 50 ke aas paas consolidate ho rahi hai aur upward correction continue karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Agar upward correction price ko 0.6620 ke aas paas ke nearest high prices ko cross karne mein kaamyaab ho jaati hai, to phir ek aur upar ki taraf correction phase ka mauka ho sakta hai.

Lekin yeh note karna zaroori hai ke abhi ka trend direction kaafi strong bullish hai. Yeh is baat se maloom hota hai ke EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke beech ka distance kaafi wide hai. Is liye, is waqt trend ki direction mein koi sudden change hone ka chance kam hai. Agar price upar move kar raha hai to wo sirf correction phase ke liye ho sakta hai, aur phir price neechay jaa sakti hai. Pichlay hafte market khulne par ek gap bana tha, jo shayad jaldi close ho sakta hai agar price EMA 50 ke neeche chali jati hai.

Is dauran, price trend abhi bhi upar ki taraf jaane ka imkaan rakhta hai kyun ke Stochastic indicator ka parameter 50 ke level ke aas paas tha. Yeh is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke market overbought zone ki taraf jaa raha hai, jo level 90-80 tak hota hai, aur isse AUD/USD pair ko upward correction mil sakta hai. Agar parameter level 50 se cross nahi karta, to yeh nahi kaha jaa sakta ke buying ka saturation point aa gaya hai. Halanke trend direction bearish hai, iska matlab yeh nahi ke price movement ek hi direction mein rahega.

Trading recommendations abhi ke liye SELL moment par focus rakh sakti hain, kyun ke bearish trend ka direction abhi tak kamzor nahi hua. Iske alawa, koi structure break nahi hua, jiska matlab hai price pattern abhi bhi lower low - lower high hai. Position ka entry point 0.6665 ke aas paas ke SBR area mein rakha jaa sakta hai, aur take profit ka target 0.6579 ke low prices ho sakte hain. Stop loss ko 0.6724 ke high prices se thoda upar rakha jaa sakta hai. Safe confirmation tab milega jab Stochastic indicator parameter overbought zone (level 90-80) mein cross karne ko confirm kare.

AUD/USD Market Analysis
AUD/USD ka market abhi 0.6560 ke support zone par close ho gaya hai. Australian CPI aur trimmed mean CPI ke recent figures AUD buyers ke liye favorable environment create kar sakte hain, jahan rate ne abhi 0.6565 level ko touch kiya hai. Investors ab upcoming data releases, jaise ke employment statistics, consumer confidence indices, aur Federal Reserve officials ke insights par bhi nazar rakhenge. Yeh developments market sentiment ko influence karenge, khaas taur par U.S. economy aur future monetary policy ke hawale se, jo dollar ki trajectory ke liye crucial signals denge.

Dollar ki current strength ko dekhte hue, strong economic data uski momentum ko support kar sakta hai, jabke agar koi disappointing numbers aati hain to volatility trigger ho sakti hai. Pichlay hafte ka trading U.S. dollar ke liye kaafi favorable tha, jo solid economic reports, technical signals, aur positive market sentiment se boost hua. Key releases, jisme U.S. Flash report, unemployment rate, aur durable goods orders shamil hain, ne dollar ki resilience ko highlight kiya hai, jo U.S. economy ke liye optimistic outlook ko reflect karta hai.



Jese hi mahina khatam ho raha hai, end-of-month flows aur Federal Reserve ki ongoing support dollar ko mazid strengthen kar sakte hain, jo traders ke liye is uncertain global environment mein attractive ban sakta hai. Mere hisaab se, AUD/USD ka market aane wale dinon mein 0.6610 ke resistance zone ko cross kar sakta hai. Main AUD/USD ke liye buy position ki taraf inclined hoon, aur mera short-term target 0.6622 ka level hai. Dollar ka outlook strong hai, kyunke economic fundamentals stable hain, monetary stance supportive hai, aur technical signals favorable hain.

Phir bhi, traders ko agile rehna hoga aur key economic indicators aur sentiment shifts ko closely monitor karna hoga, kyunke currency markets jaldi badal sakte hain. Upcoming data se updated rehna aur broader economic context ko samajhna traders ko behtar decisions lene mein madad dega, jabke U.S. dollar apni resilience dikhata rahega.

Weekend Mubarak Ho!

AUD/USD Pair Analysis
H4 Timeframe

Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ne benchmark interest rate ko 4.35% par maintain karne ka announcement kiya, lekin AUD/USD pair ki price mein zyada intense volatility nahi dekhi gayi. Ab tak, price EMA 50 ke aas paas consolidate ho rahi hai aur upward correction continue karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Agar upward correction ke baad price 0.6620 ke aas paas ke nearest high prices ko cross karne mein kaamyaab ho jaati hai, to aage chal kar higher upward correction ka phase dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

Lekin yeh zaroori hai ke yeh note kiya jaye ke current trend direction abhi bhi kaafi strong bullish hai. Yeh is baat se maloom hota hai ke EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke beech ka distance abhi bhi kaafi wide hai. Is liye, aas-paas ke waqt mein trend ki direction mein koi sudden change ka chance kam hai, aur agar price upar move kar rahi hai to wo sirf correction phase ke liye hoga, uske baad price neeche jaa sakti hai. Pichlay hafte market khulne par ek GAP bana tha, jo shayad jaldi close ho sakta hai agar price EMA 50 ke neeche chali jaati hai.



Is dauran, price trend abhi bhi upar jaane ki taraf hai kyun ke Stochastic indicator ka parameter ab level 50 ke aas paas pahuch gaya hai. Iska matlab hai ke market overbought zone ki taraf move kar raha hai, jo level 90 - 80 tak hota hai, aur isse AUD/USD pair price ko upward correction ka mauka mil sakta hai. Agar Stochastic indicator level 50 ke upar cross nahi karta, to yeh nahi kaha jaa sakta ke buying saturation point aa gaya hai. Halanke trend direction abhi bhi bearish hai, iska matlab yeh nahi ke price movement ek hi direction mein hoga.

Trading recommendations abhi ke liye SELL moment par focused reh sakti hain, kyun ke bearish trend ka direction abhi tak kamzor nahi hua. Iske alawa, structure break nahi hua, is liye price pattern abhi bhi lower low - lower high ke structure mein hai. Position ka entry point 0.6665 ke aas paas ke SBR area mein rakha jaa sakta hai, aur take profit ka target 0.6579 ke low prices ho sakte hain. Stop loss ko 0.6724 ke high prices se thoda upar rakha jaa sakta hai. Safe confirmation tab milega jab Stochastic indicator parameter overbought zone (level 90-80) mein cross karne ko confirm kare.

AUD/USD Market Outlook
Greeting aur Good Morning doston! Aap sab ka weekend successful ho!

AUD/USD ka market abhi 0.6560 ke support zone par close ho gaya hai. Australian CPI aur trimmed mean CPI ke recent figures AUD buyers ke liye zyada favorable environment bana sakte hain, jahan rate abhi 0.6565 level tak pohanch chuka hai. Investors ab upcoming data releases, jaise ke employment statistics, consumer confidence indices, aur Federal Reserve officials se kisi bhi updates par nazar rakhenge. Yeh developments U.S. economy aur future monetary policy ke hawale se market sentiment ko influence kar sakti hain, jo dollar ki trajectory ke liye important signals denge.

Dollar ki current strength ko dekhte hue, agar strong economic data aata hai to usse dollar ki momentum ko support mil sakta hai, lekin agar koi disappointing numbers aati hain to volatility trigger ho sakti hai. Pichlay hafte ka trading U.S. dollar ke liye kaafi favorable tha, jo strong economic reports, technical signals, aur positive market sentiment se boost ho raha tha. Key releases, jaise ke U.S. Flash report, unemployment rate, aur durable goods orders ne dollar ki resilience ko highlight kiya, jo U.S. economy ke liye optimistic outlook ka indication hai.

Jese jese mahina end ho raha hai, end-of-month flows aur Federal Reserve ki ongoing support dollar ko mazid strengthen kar sakti hai, jo current uncertain global environment mein traders ke liye attractive ho sakta hai. Mera yeh andaza hai ke AUD/USD market aane wale dinon mein 0.6610 ke resistance zone ko cross karega. Main AUD/USD ke liye buy position ki taraf inclined hoon, aur mera short-term target 0.6622 ka level hai. Dollar ka outlook abhi bhi strong hai, kyunke stable economic fundamentals, supportive monetary stance, aur favorable technical signals hain.

Phir bhi, traders ko flexible rehna hoga aur key economic indicators aur sentiment shifts ko closely monitor karna hoga, kyunke currency markets jaldi change ho sakte hain. Upcoming data se updated rehna aur broader economic context ko samajhna traders ko behtar decisions lene mein madad dega, jabke U.S. dollar apni resilience dikhata rahega.

Stay calm aur trade smart!

AUD/USD Technical Analysis: Trends aur Critical Levels
Australian dollar abhi bhi ek descending channel ke neeche hai, jahan isne 0.6544 ka dangerous bottom level touch kiya. Tuesday ko, Australian dollar U.S. dollar ke against 0.6560 tak mazboot hua, jo yeh dikhata hai ke yeh currency abhi bhi decline kar rahi hai. Agar hum apne daily chart ko detail mein analyze karein, to short-term bearish bias ki baat ki ja sakti hai, kyunki rate lagatar descending channel ke framework ke andar gir raha hai. Negative tone ko 15-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi support karta hai, jo ab critical 25 ke neeche ke benchmark ke paas hai, jo indicate karta hai ke asset oversold ho sakta hai.



Support ke perspective se, AUD/USD pair shayad downtrend channel ke lower limit ke paas pohanch raha hai, jo 0.6530 par marked hai. Agar price is level se neeche jati hai, to yeh pair ke liye ek negative signal ho sakta hai. Resistance side par, September ka figure 0.6610 pehla important psychological level hai jo traders target karenge. Iske alawa, falling channel ka upper limit 0.6620 par set hai.

Agar price upper barrier ko cross kar leti hai, to buy signal generate hoga, aur upward movement ka chance hoga jo nine-day EMA ko 0.6650 par touch kar sakta hai. Yeh level bulls ke liye ek important area ho sakta hai, aur agar isse breach kiya jata hai, to trend change ho sakta hai.

General taur par, traders ko zyada careful rehna hoga aur in critical levels par zyada focus karna hoga, kyunki inka analysis future trends ko define karega AUD/USD pair ke liye.

AUD/USD Forecast
Hello guys ap sab khairiyat se hon ge.
AUD/USD ki price ab tak H1 aur H4 time frame charts par moving average lines ke neeche trade kar rahi hai. Is wajah se, AUD/USD ka primary trend practically sabhi time frames par bearish hai, jo yeh batata hai ke bears ka control hai.

8 October ko, daily time frame chart par AUD/USD ne 50 EMA line ko neeche break kiya. Is trend change ke baad, price step-by-step neeche girti gayi. Is hafte Wednesday aur Thursday ko AUD/USD ne bullish action dikhaya, jo mere khayal mein RSI indicator ke oversold level tak pohanchne ki wajah se tha. Lekin Friday ko AUD/USD ne ek bearish candle banayi, jo price correction ka end indicate karta hai. Ab bears ke paas ek open path hai.



Maine dekha ke AUD/USD price weekly time frame chart par ek upward channel ko follow kar raha hai. Is pattern ko follow karte hue, price moving average lines ke upar aur neeche move karta raha hai. Pichlay 4 hafton se price decline kar rahi hai, aur pichlay hafte se price moving average lines ke neeche trade kar rahi hai. Isliye, AUD/USD jaldi hi is ascending channel ke bottom level ko test karega. Maine apne expectations ko attached diagram mein illustrate kiya hai.

Akhri kuch mahino mein, monthly time frame chart par price upar gayi thi aur pichlay hafte 50 EMA line ko test karte hue strong bearish engulfing candle bani thi. Isliye, AUD/USD price ka decline lambi duration tak continue karne ka chance hai.Apka trading day Acha rhe.