ای AUD/USD کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

AUD/USD Fundamental Analysis
AUD/USD pair ne apni session ki shuruat strong upward momentum ke saath ki, price 0.6612 tak pohanch gayi aur apne pehle closing level se 40 pips se zyada ka faida diya. Yeh positive movement US Dollar Index ke girne ki wajah se thi, jisne Australian Dollar ko advantage diya. Market ka focus is waqt US ke October ke Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report par hai, jo expect ki gayi jobs ki aankron se kafi kam thi, sirf 12,000 jobs added, jo forecast ke kaafi neeche tha. Is data ne yeh ummed jagayi hai ke Federal Reserve apni monetary policy ko thoda accommodative bana sakta hai, aur November aur December mein rate cuts ka potential nazar aa raha hai.

Dusri taraf, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ne apni policy rate ko 4.35% par stable rakha hai, global uncertainties ke bawajood economic resilience par focus karte hue. RBA ki consistent approach AUD ki position ko support de rahi hai. Lekin, upcoming US presidential election jese risk factors hain, jo investors ko US dollar ki taraf attract kar sakte hain, aur isse short term mein AUD ke further gains limit ho sakte hain.

Technical Analysis

Technical terms mein, AUD/USD ka 0.6612 se upar jana momentum shift ko reflect karta hai, jahan price ne 34-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA-34) ko finally break kiya. Yeh note karne wali baat hai kyunki pichlay hafte ki consolidation ne pair ko is level ke neeche rakha tha, lekin aaj ki upward move ne isse zyada stable ground par la diya hai. Agar pair EMA-34 ke upar stable rehta hai, to yeh buying interest ka signal de sakta hai, kyunki technical indicators, jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI), bullish momentum ko suggest karte hain. Ek key resistance level 0.6620 par hoga jo is strength ko test karega, aur agar safe-haven flows US dollar ko strengthen karte hain risk sentiment ke badhne ki wajah se, to price mein pullback bhi ho sakta hai. Lekin, agar EMA-34 ke upar stability continue rehti hai, to yeh AUD/USD mein further gains ko support de sakta hai.



Upcoming Move & Trading Strategy

Current setup ko dekhte hue, traders buy strategy consider kar sakte hain agar AUD/USD apni position EMA-34 ke upar maintain karta hai aur 0.6620 resistance ko break karta hai. Target levels 0.6650 tak rakhein aur stop-loss EMA-34 ke neeche set karein, jisse upside opportunity milegi aur downside risk minimize hoga. Agar pair stability lose karta hai aur 0.6580 ke neeche girta hai, to short positions favorable ho sakti hain, jiska target 0.6550 ke support tak ho sakta hai. Fed aur RBA ke developments, aur US election ke market reactions par nazar rakhna zaroori hoga taake AUD/USD momentum mein aane wale changes ko effectively navigate kiya ja sake.

AUD/USD Pair Review
AUD/USD currency pair aaj subah pichlay hafte ke closing price se zyada price par open hui hai aur abhi 0.6595 par trade kar rahi hai. Agar hum D1 time frame par banay gaye candles ko dekhein, to AUD/USD abhi bhi bearish bias mein nazar aata hai. Current daily candle ki position MA 24 aur MA 200 lines ke neeche hai, jabke stochastic indicator 5.3.3 abhi level 20 ke upar hai aur expected hai ke yeh level 50 tak test kare. In indicators ko dekhte hue, aaj ke trading ke liye AUD/USD pair ke bearish trend ko continue karne ka imkaan hai.



NFP News Effect

Last Friday ko release hone wali NFP news ka USD index par zyada asar nahi hua, halanke NFP data negative tha, phir bhi USD index ko apni strength barhati hui nazar ayi, jisne Australian dollar ko phir se neeche daba diya. Is analysis ko dekhte hue, aaj ke liye trading mein hum is pair par sell action ke liye opportunities dekh sakte hain, lekin hamesha apni money management ko properly implement karna zaroori hai taake account ki resilience strong aur maintained rahe.

Trading Plan

Aaj ke liye meri trading plan ke mutabiq, main 0.6595 par Sell AUD/USD ka order place karunga, profit target 0.6565 par rakhunga aur stop loss ko 0.6625 par set karunga. Lot volume ko hum apne trading account ki resistance ke mutabiq adjust kar sakte hain.

Support Zone & Rebound Possibility

Price important support area, 0.6300 ke aas-paas play kar rahi hai. Agar yeh level hold hota hai, to price mein bounce hone ka imkaan hai, jo 0.6350 ya 0.6400 tak ja sakta hai. Lekin agar yeh level break hota hai, to hum price ko 0.6250 tak girte dekh sakte hain.

Stochastic bhi oversold area ke qareeb hai, isliye rebound ka abhi bhi chance hai. Lekin, khas tawajjo deni ki zaroorat hai, khaas kar agar US ya Chinese economic data release hota hai, jo Aussie dollar ko volatile bana sakta hai.

AUD/USD Market Outlook
Greetings and Good Morning guys!
Pichlay hafte, AUD/USD market ne 0.6558 zone ko cross kiya, jo yeh dikhata hai ke bechne walon ka pressure pichlay kuch hafton se barqarar tha. Is ka matlab hai ke AUD/USD ke buyers ko koi khas faida nahi hua. Is dynamic market mein trading karte waqt, traders ke liye technical aur fundamental analysis dono ko apni strategy mein shamil karna zaroori hai.

Technical Analysis
Technical analysis se traders ko key support aur resistance levels, trends aur market patterns samajhne mein madad milti hai, jo unhein entry aur exit points par behtar faislay karne mein madad deti hai.

Fundamental Analysis
Dusri taraf, fundamental analysis jo economic data aur news releases par mabni hota hai, traders ko market ke underlying forces ko samajhne mein madad deta hai jo dollar ki movement ko drive karte hain. Jab technical aur fundamental analysis ko combine kiya jata hai, to traders ko apni strategies ko refine karne mein madad milti hai, jisse wo asani se immediate market trends aur long-term economic indicators ka hisa ban sakte hain, aur week ke events ko achay tareeqay se navigate kar sakte hain.

AUD/USD Trading Strategy
Meri trading strategy ke mutabiq, mujhe lagta hai ke is waqt humein buy order open karna chahiye, kyun ke US Election se US dollar kamzor ho sakta hai. Is week U.S. JOLTS Job Openings report release hone wali hai, jo labor demand aur job opportunities ke hawalay se zaroori indicators hai. Agar JOLTS report strong aati hai aur job openings mein izafa hota hai, to yeh healthy labor market ka indication hoga aur US dollar ko upar le jaa sakta hai, kyun ke US economy par confidence barhta hai.

Consumer Confidence Index
Is ke ilawa, CB Consumer Confidence Index bhi important hai, jo consumer sentiment aur spending ki willingness ke baare mein insights dega. High consumer confidence aksar positive sign hota hai, jo economic activity ke strong hone ko dikhata hai aur US dollar ki strength ko further support deta hai.

Resistance Level
Mujhe lagta hai ke AUD/USD ki market price is hafte resistance zone 0.6665 ko cross kar sakti hai. Midweek ke aas-paas ADP Non-Farm Employment data release hoga, jo Non-Farm Employment report ka preview hoga jo baad mein iss week release hogi.

Have a successful Monday!

Technical Analysis:
Australian Dollar (AUD) ne apni qeemat mein izafa dekha hai jab TD-MI Inflation Gauge October mein 0.3% MoM barh gaya, jo pehle 0.1% tha. Is ke ilawa, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) se expect kiya ja raha hai ke wo apni cash rate ko 4.35% par barqarar rakhe ga Tuesday ke meeting mein.

US Dollar ko safe-haven flows se madad mil sakti hai, kyun ke 5 November ko US presidential election ke results ke hawalay se uncertainty barhi hui hai.

Melbourne Institute ke Inflation Gauge data ke release hone ke baad, Australian Dollar (AUD) ne apni position mazid mazboot ki hai. RBA ki umeed hai ke wo Tuesday ki policy meeting mein cash rate ko 4.35% par barqarar rakhe ga, kyun ke trimmed mean inflation abhi bhi high hai. Yeh hawkish stance jo RBA ne apna rakhi hai, Aussie Dollar ko support de rahi hai aur AUD/USD pair ko bhi barhawa de rahi hai.

TD-MI Inflation Gauge ne October mein 0.3% MoM barhawa dekha, jo pehle ke 0.1% se kaafi zyada hai, aur yeh July ke baad sab se zyada hai, jo RBA ke November policy meeting se pehle aayi hai. Year-on-year, gauge ne 3.0% ka izafa dikhaya, jab ke pichlay reading 2.6% thi.

US Dollar (USD) Friday ko release hone wali weaker-than-expected US October Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data ke baad kamzor hua. Lekin 5 November ko US presidential election ke results ke hawalay se jo uncertainty hai, wo safe-haven flows ko barha sakti hai, jo Greenback ko support de sakti hai.

Traders ab US Federal Reserve (Fed) ke upcoming policy decision par bhi focus kar rahe hain, jisme expected hai ke Fed 25 basis points ka rate cut kar sakta hai is week. CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, November mein quarter-point rate cut ka 99.6% probability hai.



Market Update:

AUD/USD Monday ko 0.6600 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Daily chart yeh signal de raha hai ke bearish bias soft ho sakta hai, kyun ke pair ne nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ko test kiya hai. Lekin 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi bhi 50 ke neeche hai; agar yeh 50 se upar jata hai, to yeh momentum ka shift bearish se bullish taraf indicate karega.

Resistance side par, AUD/USD ko nine-day EMA par 0.6602 par pehla resistance face ho raha hai, aur agla resistance 14-day EMA par 0.6625 par hai. Agar yeh levels break ho jate hain, to pair mazid mazboot ho sakta hai aur 0.6700 ke psychological level ko target kar sakta hai.

Support side par, AUD/USD ko immediate support 3-month low 0.6536 par mil sakta hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to pair 0.6500 ke psychological level ki taraf gir sakta hai.

AUDUSD ke General Points:
Market ke niche aane aur 0.6568 level ko break karne ka mumkin hai Washington session ke dauran. Kaafi saari news events aaj ke liye traders ke liye opportunities aur challenges la rahi hain. US Dollar ke Flash Manufacturing aur Flash Services PMI ke release hone ke sath sath, US New Home Sales aur Unemployment Rate jaise key indicators bhi market mein significant movement la sakte hain. Traders ko apni strategies ko flexible rakhna hoga, taake wo unfolding economic data ke hisaab se apne trading decisions ko behtar bana sakein.




Aam taur par AUDUSD ka market bullish trend par hai, lekin sellers bhi ise 0.6568 level ke neeche push kar sakte hain. Kal ke liye, US Core Durable Goods Orders aur Pending Home Sales ke release hone se trading environment aur complex ho sakta hai. Volatility ka potential zyada hai, isliye traders ko caution ke saath, achi risk management strategies ko apnana zaroori hai, aur broader economic context ko samajhna bhi. Agar aap yeh sab dhyan mein rakhen, to aap aaj ke market ko zyada confidence ke sath navigate kar sakte hain, aur opportunities ko seize karte hue risks ko manage kar sakte hain.

Hum aam tor par key indicators pe focus karte hain, jaise ke Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), jo manufacturing aur services sectors mein economic activity ka leading measure hai. "Flash" ka matlab hai ke yeh reports early estimates hoti hain, jo traders ko economy ke performance ka pehla andaaza deti hain, final data release hone se pehle. US Dollar ke liye, Flash Manufacturing aur Flash Services PMI kaafi important hote hain, kyunki yeh economy ke do sabse bade sectors ki health ko dikhate hain. Mera maana hai ke aaj AUDUSD ka market bullish trend ko follow karega. Is liye, Washington session ke dauran professional strategy follow karna kaafi sensible hoga.

AUD/USD Pair Ki Aaj Ki Movement:
AUD/USD pair ne is subah kaafi significant upward movement dekhi, jo apne recent consolidation se bahar nikal kar gap ke saath shuru hui aur turant apne current trading channel ke upper boundary tak pohnch gayi. Agar yeh pair apni upward trajectory ko continue karna chahta hai aur 0.67 level tak pohnchna chahta hai, to isay is channel se successfully bahar nikalna hoga. Lekin agar gap ko close karne ke liye retracement hota hai, toh bhi mujhe lagta hai ke potential upward reversal ka scenario abhi bhi valid rahega. Sirf ek new low hi is outlook ko invalidate kar sakta hai.

Hello Sabko!
Aaj AUD/USD pair ki developments kaafi interesting lag rahi hain, jo ek possible shift ko dikhati hain prevailing downtrend se. Jabke yeh pair apne recent lows ke aas paas hai, yeh gap ke saath khula hai aur ab 0.66 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Is movement ke bawajood, abhi tak mujhe koi immediate higher targets nazar nahi aa rahe.

US dollar abhi kuch weakness dekh raha hai, lekin yeh abhi tak uncertain hai ke market kaise react karega elections ke aane se pehle aur election ke din. Is situation ko dekhte hue, main abhi current price levels par trade karne mein cautious hoon. Lekin agar AUD/USD pair 0.6550 ke neeche girta hai, aur khas taur par agar yeh 0.6535 tak jata hai, toh main buying opportunities dhoondhna shuru kar dunga.

Short Term Focus: Short term mein, focus is baat par hai ke market apne current channel ki upper boundary ko break kar pata hai ya nahi. Agar yeh level par sustained move hota hai, toh 0.67 tak rally ka chance ho sakta hai. US dollar ki strength is baat mein critical role play karegi, ke kya yeh upward movement sustain ho sakti hai ya nahi.



Broader Market Context: Jab hum broader market context ko analyze karte hain, toh yeh zaroori hai ke hum kisi bhi economic data releases ya geopolitical events par nazar rakhein, jo currency valuations ko affect kar sakte hain. Traders ke liye, informed rehna aur apni strategies ko flexible rakhna is uncertainty ke dauran bohot zaroori hoga.

Conclusion: Aakhri mein, jabke kuch signs hain ke AUD/USD pair rebound kar sakta hai, koi bhi decisive movement is baat par depend karegi ke yeh apne current trading range se breakout karta hai ya nahi, aur US dollar ke against overall sentiment kaisa hai. Key support aur resistance levels ko monitor karna trading decisions ke liye critical hoga aane wale dinon mein.

AUD/USD Pair Ka Review:

AUD/USD ke 1-hour time frame chart ko dekhte hue, kuch dino se ek kaafi strong downward trend nazar aa raha hai, jisme price lagatar orange Moving Average (MA) line ke neeche move kar rahi hai. Yeh MA line ek trend indicator ka kaam karti hai, jo market ke tendencies ko ek certain period ke dauran dikhati hai. Jab price MA ke neeche rehti hai, toh iska matlab hai ke selling pressure abhi bhi dominant hai, jo short-term bearish trend ko indicate karta hai. Lekin, aaj ki recent price movement mein 0.6602 ke aas paas resistance area ki taraf increase dekhi gayi hai. Yeh level ek kaafi strong upper limit lagti hai, kyunki pehle price is level ko kai baar penetrate nahi kar paayi thi. Abhi price resistance line ke kareeb ja rahi hai, jo ek potential market reaction ka indication ho sakti hai, chahe wo price rejection ke form mein ho ya phir breakout ho.

Meri nazar se, jab price resistance ke kareeb pohanchti hai, toh do possible scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla, agar price 0.6602 area ko penetrate karne mein fail ho jati hai, toh price dubara gir sakti hai, aur previous bearish trend continue ho sakta hai. Dusra, agar price is resistance level ko break kar ke uske upar tikti hai, toh trend mein change ho sakta hai ya kam se kam next resistance level, jo 0.6645 ke aas paas hai, uski taraf ek badi correction ho sakti hai.



Trading Plan:

1. Buy Scenario on Breakout:
Agar price 0.6602 ko break kar ke uske upar stay karne mein kaamyaab hoti hai, toh yeh signal ho sakta hai ke buying power market mein enter ho rahi hai. Is case mein, main buy position enter karne ka soch sakta hoon, jiska target next resistance area 0.6645 ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Stop loss is scenario mein 0.6590 ke neeche lagaya ja sakta hai, taake agar false breakout hota hai aur price wapas neeche jati hai toh risk kam ho sake.


2. Sell Scenario on Rejection:
Agar price 0.6602 ke resistance level ko break karne mein fail ho jati hai aur koi bearish signal (jaise bearish candle ya reversal pattern) nazar aata hai, toh yeh sell position enter karne ka acha mauka ho sakta hai. Take profit ka target nearest support area 0.6543 ke aas paas ho sakta hai, aur stop loss resistance level ke thoda upar, jaise 0.6610 ke aas paas, rakha ja sakta hai, taake false breakout ko anticipate kiya ja sake.

Yeh scenario-based trading plan aapke current market situation ko samajh kar apni strategies ko flexible banane mein madad karega.

AUD/USD Pair Ki Aaj Ki Movement:
AUD/USD pair ne is subah kaafi significant upward movement dekhi, jo apne recent consolidation se bahar nikal kar gap ke saath shuru hui aur turant apne current trading channel ke upper boundary tak pohnch gayi. Agar yeh pair apni upward trajectory ko continue karna chahta hai aur 0.67 level tak pohnchna chahta hai, to isay is channel se successfully bahar nikalna hoga. Lekin agar gap ko close karne ke liye retracement hota hai, toh bhi mujhe lagta hai ke potential upward reversal ka scenario abhi bhi valid rahega. Sirf ek new low hi is outlook ko invalidate kar sakta hai.

Hello Sabko!
Aaj AUD/USD pair ki developments kaafi interesting lag rahi hain, jo ek possible shift ko dikhati hain prevailing downtrend se. Jabke yeh pair apne recent lows ke aas paas hai, yeh gap ke saath khula hai aur ab 0.66 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Is movement ke bawajood, abhi tak mujhe koi immediate higher targets nazar nahi aa rahe.

US dollar abhi kuch weakness dekh raha hai, lekin yeh abhi tak uncertain hai ke market kaise react karega elections ke aane se pehle aur election ke din. Is situation ko dekhte hue, main abhi current price levels par trade karne mein cautious hoon. Lekin agar AUD/USD pair 0.6550 ke neeche girta hai, aur khas taur par agar yeh 0.6535 tak jata hai, toh main buying opportunities dhoondhna shuru kar dunga.

Short Term Focus: Short term mein, focus is baat par hai ke market apne current channel ki upper boundary ko break kar pata hai ya nahi. Agar yeh level par sustained move hota hai, toh 0.67 tak rally ka chance ho sakta hai. US dollar ki strength is baat mein critical role play karegi, ke kya yeh upward movement sustain ho sakti hai ya nahi.

Broader Market Context: Jab hum broader market context ko analyze karte hain, toh yeh zaroori hai ke hum kisi bhi economic data releases ya geopolitical events par nazar rakhein, jo currency valuations ko affect kar sakte hain. Traders ke liye, informed rehna aur apni strategies ko flexible rakhna is uncertainty ke dauran bohot zaroori hoga.

Conclusion: Aakhri mein, jabke kuch signs hain ke AUD/USD pair rebound kar sakta hai, koi bhi decisive movement is baat par depend karegi ke yeh apne current trading range se breakout karta hai ya nahi, aur US dollar ke against overall sentiment kaisa hai. Key support aur resistance levels ko monitor karna trading decisions ke liye critical hoga aane wale dinon mein.

**AUD/USD Price Action*

Is waqt hum AUD/USD currency pair ke current price behavior ka jaiza le rahe hain. AUD/USD pair mein ek wazeh downtrend hai, jo 0.6944 ke support level se shuru hua. Maine bechne ke liye kuch signals shanakht kiye hain, jo main istemal karne ka plan bana raha hoon. Filhal, envelopes aur alligator lines dono neeche ki taraf point kar rahe hain, jo bearish outlook ko confirm karte hain. Umeed hai ke price girawat 0.6624 ke platform level se guzregi. Yahan par buyers ke stop-loss orders ki khaas liquidity maujood hai, jo long positions mein hain aur apne risks ko manage kar rahe hain. Ye ghalat signals is wajah se hain ke price aksar ek range mein move kar raha hai.

Pichla break 0.67249 ke support ka Tuesday ko hua, jisme ek confirmed breakout ke baad rebound dekha gaya. Agla sales target ab 0.66607 ke support level par hai.

Hourly chart par, price ek descending channel mein trend kar raha hai. Halankeh pair gir raha hai, lekin ab tak lower boundary tak nahi pohancha. Yeh neeche ki taraf chalna jaari rakhni chahiye jab tak yeh lower boundary par nahi aata, jo ke lagbhag 0.6688 level par hai. Is point tak pahunchne ke baad, ek reversal ho sakta hai, jo price ko channel ki upper boundary ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo shayad 0.6721 ke aas-paas ho.

Total paanch signals the—teen ghalat the, jabke do sahi the. In mein se ek signal Tuesday ko kaam kiya, lekin Wednesday ko ek ghalat signal aaya. Thursday ko teen aur signals aaye, jisme se do bhi ghalat the. Friday ko ek signal kaam kiya, aur Monday girawat ke sath shuru hua, jo 0.67249 ke support level ko todne ki taraf le gaya. Is dauran ek ghalat sell signal aur ek ghalat buy signal dekhe gaye. Tuesday ko phir se ek ghalat buy signal aaya.AUD/USD Price Action
Is waqt hum AUD/USD currency pair ke current price behavior ka jaiza le rahe hain. AUD/USD pair mein ek wazeh downtrend hai, jo 0.6944 ke support level se shuru hua. Maine bechne ke liye kuch signals shanakht kiye hain, jo main istemal karne ka plan bana raha hoon. Filhal, envelopes aur alligator lines dono neeche ki taraf point kar rahe hain, jo bearish outlook ko confirm karte hain. Umeed hai ke price girawat 0.6624 ke platform level se guzregi. Yahan par buyers ke stop-loss orders ki khaas liquidity maujood hai, jo long positions mein hain aur apne risks ko manage kar rahe hain. Ye ghalat signals is wajah se hain ke price aksar ek range mein move kar raha hai.

Pichla break 0.67249 ke support ka Tuesday ko hua, jisme ek confirmed breakout ke baad rebound dekha gaya. Agla sales target ab 0.66607 ke support level par hai.

Hourly chart par, price ek descending channel mein trend kar raha hai. Halankeh pair gir raha hai, lekin ab tak lower boundary tak nahi pohancha. Yeh neeche ki taraf chalna jaari rakhni chahiye jab tak yeh lower boundary par nahi aata, jo ke lagbhag 0.6688 level par hai. Is point tak pahunchne ke baad, ek reversal ho sakta hai, jo price ko channel ki upper boundary ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo shayad 0.6721 ke aas-paas ho.

Total paanch signals the—teen ghalat the, jabke do sahi the. In mein se ek signal Tuesday ko kaam kiya, lekin Wednesday ko ek ghalat signal aaya. Thursday ko teen aur signals aaye, jisme se do bhi ghalat the. Friday ko ek signal kaam kiya, aur Monday girawat ke sath shuru hua, jo 0.67249 ke support level ko todne ki taraf le gaya. Is dauran ek ghalat sell signal aur ek ghalat buy signal dekhe gaye. Tuesday ko phir se ek ghalat buy signal ha

نومبر 8 2024 کو اے یو ڈی/امریکی ڈالرکے لیے پیشن گوئی

کل، آسٹریلوی ڈالر میں 100 پِپس سے زیادہ کا اضافہ ہوا، ممکنہ طور پر ریزرو بینک آف آسٹریلیا کے منگل کو اپنی شرح کو مستحکم رکھنے کے فیصلے پر تاخیر کا ردعمل، کیونکہ امریکی انتخابات نے پہلے بازاروں کو زیر کیا تھا۔ مزید برآں، کل اجناس میں تیزی آئی، اور ڈالر کے مقابلے میں مجموعی طور پر کرنسیوں میں استحکام آیا۔



مارلن آسیلیٹر گروتھ زون میں چلا گیا ہے، جس کا مقصد قیمت کو 0.6727 کے ہدف کی سطح کی طرف بڑھانا ہے۔ اس سطح سے تھوڑا اوپر ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن واقع ہے۔ اگر قیمت اس مضبوط مزاحمت پر قابو پانے میں ناکام ہو جاتی ہے تو، 0.6482 پر پہلا کلیدی ہدف کے ساتھ، ایک نئی درمیانی مدت کے نیچے کی لہر میں الٹ جانے کا امکان ہے۔



ایچ -٤ چارٹ پر، قیمت انڈیکیٹر لائنز اور مزاحمتی سطح دونوں کے اوپر 0.6640 پر مستحکم ہو گئی ہے، جو اب جاری تصحیح کو سپورٹ کرتی ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر نیچے کی طرف مڑ گیا ہے، متوقع نمو سے پہلے تناؤ کو کم کر رہا ہے۔ اگر قیمت اصلاحی زوال کا شکار ہو جاتی ہے اور 0.6640 سے نیچے مستحکم ہوتی ہے تو 0.6570 کی سطح پر واپسی کا امکان ہے۔

تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

AUD/USD ki Technical Analysis
Hello, everyone. Kaise hain sab? Australian Dollar ne pichlay trading week ke muqable mein decline ko continue kiya, kuch losses ab bhi remain hain. Price ne 0.6635 level ke upar rise hone ki koshish ki lekin uspe hold nahi kar saki aur wapas 0.6573 level ke neeche aa gayi, jahan support dubara mil gaya. Issi time ke dauran, target area bhi achieve kiya gaya jo ke peechlay review ke mutabiq expect kiya gaya tha. Price chart abhi bhi supertrend red zone mein hai, jo ke sellers ke control mein hone ki indication hai.

Technically, price ko 200 simple moving average ne reject kar diya. Price ne apna resistance level break karne ki koshish ki lekin FOMC ke impact ke khatam hone se pehle ye attempt fail ho gaya. Aglay week mein, hamen ek sharp rise dekhne ko mil sakti hai jo resistance level ko break kar sakti hai aur stochastic oscillator ke neeche drop ho gaya hai, jo bullishness ka sign dikhay ga.



Ye pair currently weekly lows ke qareeb trade kar raha hai aur kaafi losses face kar chuki hai. Key resistance area abhi bhi untested hai jo ke issay relevant banaye rakhta hai. Agar ye situation barqarar rehni hai, toh ho sakta hai ke local correction ke zariye 0.6573 level ko dubara retest kiya jaye, jo ke main resistance zone ka border hai. Iss area se rebound ke baad pair dobara down move kar sakti hai jiska target 0.6506 aur 0.6433 ke area mein ho sakta hai.

Agar resistance break hota hai aur price 0.6635 pivot level ko cross kar leti hai, toh current situation ko cancel karne ka signal milay ga.

AUD/USD ka H1 (one-hour) chart hai jo current market dynamics aur key support aur resistance levels ko highlight kar raha hai. Is waqt, currency pair ka trend downward hai, jiska asar red moving average line (joh upar ki taraf hain) ke neeche price movement mein dikh raha hai. Chart ke mutabiq, kuch important levels hain jo trader ko madad dein ge future movements ko samajhne mein.
Resistance Level:
0.6598 par set hai, aur yeh woh level hai jahan se price ne kai martaba rejection face kiya hai. Yeh level strong resistance ke tor par kaam kar raha hai aur yahan se agar price break karti hai toh upper trend ki taraf movement ka signal mil sakta hai. Yeh level bullish movement ko rokne mein kafi effective raha hai, aur iske upar close hone par ek potential bullish rally shuru ho sakti hai.
Support Level:
0.6565 ka level hai, jo abhi tak primary support ka kaam kar raha hai. Agar yeh level break ho jata hai toh agla target 0.6539 ka support level hai. Yeh woh area hai jahan buyers ki activity ki umeed ki ja sakti hai. Lekin agar price iss level ko bhi break karti hai toh bearish momentum aur bhi strong ho sakta hai.
Demand Zone:
Chart par green box ke taur par ek demand zone dikhaya gaya hai, jo ke 0.6545 ke kareeb hai. Yeh ek potential buying area ho sakta hai jahan se price rebound kar sakti hai aur buying interest wapas aa sakta hai. Lekin agar yeh demand zone bhi sustain nahi kar pata aur toot jata hai toh yeh bearish trend ko aur mazid barha sakta hai.
Trading Strategy:
Is waqt market ki direction downward hai, lekin trader ko recommend kiya jata hai ke woh support aur resistance levels pe close monitoring karein. Agar price demand zone ke ander se bounce karti hai toh yeh ek buying opportunity ho sakti hai lekin stop loss zaroor set karein. Aksar low-risk trade ke liye wait karna best hota hai jab tak price important levels par reach nahi karti. Traders ko is waqt risk management par focus rakhna chahiye aur impulsive entries se bachna chahiye. Yeh analysis short-term perspective ke liye hai, aur market conditions ke hisaab se regularly update karna zaroori hai

AUD/USD Fundamental Analysis


AUD/USD pair ne apni session ki shuruat strong upward momentum ke saath ki, price 0.6612 tak pohanch gayi aur apne pehle closing level se 40 pips se zyada ka faida diya. Yeh positive movement US Dollar Index ke girne ki wajah se thi, jisne Australian Dollar ko advantage diya. Market ka focus is waqt US ke October ke Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report par hai, jo expect ki gayi jobs ki aankron se kafi kam thi, sirf 12,000 jobs added, jo forecast ke kaafi neeche tha. Is data ne yeh ummed jagayi hai ke Federal Reserve apni monetary policy ko thoda accommodative bana sakta hai, aur November aur December mein rate cuts ka potential nazar aa raha hai.

Dusri taraf, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ne apni policy rate ko 4.35% par stable rakha hai, global uncertainties ke bawajood economic resilience par focus karte hue. RBA ki consistent approach AUD ki position ko support de rahi hai. Lekin, upcoming US presidential election jese risk factors hain, jo investors ko US dollar ki taraf attract kar sakte hain, aur isse short term mein AUD ke further gains limit ho sakte hain.

Technical Analysis

Technical terms mein, AUD/USD ka 0.6612 se upar jana momentum shift ko reflect karta hai, jahan price ne 34-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA-34) ko finally break kiya. Yeh note karne wali baat hai kyunki pichlay hafte ki consolidation ne pair ko is level ke neeche rakha tha, lekin aaj ki upward move ne isse zyada stable ground par la diya hai. Agar pair EMA-34 ke upar stable rehta hai, to yeh buying interest ka signal de sakta hai, kyunki technical indicators, jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI), bullish momentum ko suggest karte hain.


Ek key resistance level 0.6620 par hoga jo is strength ko test karega, aur agar safe-haven flows US dollar ko strengthen karte hain risk sentiment ke badhne ki wajah se, to price mein pullback bhi ho sakta hai. Lekin, agar EMA-34 ke upar stability continue rehti hai, to yeh AUD/USD mein further gains ko support de sakta hai.



Upcoming Move & Trading Strategy

Current setup ko dekhte hue, traders buy strategy consider kar sakte hain agar AUD/USD apni position EMA-34 ke upar maintain karta hai aur 0.6620 resistance ko break karta hai. Target levels 0.6650 tak rakhein aur stop-loss EMA-34 ke neeche set karein, jisse upside opportunity milegi aur downside risk minimize hoga. Agar pair stability lose karta hai aur 0.6580 ke neeche girta hai, to short positions favorable ho sakti hain, jiska target 0.6550 ke support tak ho sakta hai. Fed aur RBA ke developments, aur US election ke market reactions par nazar rakhna zaroori hoga taake AUD/USD momentum mein aane wale changes ko effectively navigate kiya ja

AUD/USD Short-Term View

Is article mein hum AUD/USD currency pair ke current price behavior ko analyze kar rahe hain. Yeh pair US dollar mein halki si pullback aur China ke trade surplus data ke wajah se thoda upar gaya hai, aur RBA Governor Bullock ke cautious remarks ke sath risk sentiment bhi improve ho raha hai. Fed ka faisla abhi intezaar mein hai. Kal se AUD/USD ne US elections ke news ke baad ziada girawat nahi dekhi, aur aaj isko recover karne mein kam effort laga, doosre currency pairs ke muqablay mein. Lekin structure ka minimum level, jo 0.6537 par tha, kal update ho gaya, aur liquidity collect karte hue upar gaya. Abhi yeh pair 0.6638 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke 0.6600 ka psychological level asaani se cross kar chuka hai, aur current week ka maximum level 0.6645 ke aas paas hai.

Bollinger indicator ke mutabiq, do levels identify kiye gaye hain: upper value 0.6656 aur lower value 0.6557.




0.6656 ka level take profit ke liye suitable hai, jabke 0.6557 sales ka target ban sakta hai. Aise movements ke nateejay mein, yeh kaha jaa sakta hai ke ek ascending channel ban raha hai, aur price iske andar move karna jaari rakhega jab yeh maximum level break karega; uske baad zyada chances hain ke rollback ho, aur yeh upper border pe ho sakta hai. Is liye, growth continue karne kaafi possible hai. Market trend ka overbought state bhi is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke bulls apni positions chhod rahe hain, aur RSI indicator dotted line ko cross karte hue 70 mark tak pohanch raha hai. Jab position one third profit mein chali jaye, toh main apna order breakeven par move kar leta hoon. Main fixed stop use karta hoon, jo ke mere liye 20 points hai. Agar situation zyada complex ho jaye, toh main stop ka intezaar nahi karta aur position ko close kar leta hoon, phir market se naye signal ka intezaar karta hoon, kyunki current frame par hamesha naye signals milte rehte hain.

AUD/USD Pair Ka Short-Term Analysis -

AUD/USD pair abhi 0.66823 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai aur pichlay kuch dinon se ek consistent bearish trend dikha raha hai. Yeh movement yeh suggest karti hai ke Australian dollar, U.S. dollar ke muqablay mein kamzor ho raha hai, aur halanke girawat dheere dheere ho rahi thi, ab kuch signals mil rahe hain jo yeh indicate karte hain ke jald hi koi significant shift ho sakti hai. Market ki current dynamics ko dekhte hue, aane walay dinon mein kisi badi movement, chahe woh upar ho ya neeche, ka intezaar kiya jaa sakta hai, jo kay kai economic factors se related ho sakti hai.

Ongoing bearish trend kaafi macroeconomic factors ki wajah se hai, jisme interest rates mein changes, Australia aur U.S. se aane wale economic data, aur external factors jaise ke commodity prices, khaas tor par metals aur natural resources, jo Australia ki economy mein important role play karte hain, shamil hain. Central bank policies bhi important drivers hain, khaas tor pe Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) aur U.S. Federal Reserve ke decisions jo AUD/USD ko directly influence karte hain. Recent mein, Fed ka stance, jo ke higher interest rates ko maintain karne ka hai, U.S. dollar ko baaki currencies, including Australian dollar, ke muqablay mein mazid strong kar raha hai. Lekin agar RBA apni monetary policy mein koi changes kare aur tightening ka rukh apnaaye, toh isse AUD ko support mil sakta hai aur downward trend ko reverse ya kam se kam stabilize kar sakta hai.

Ek aur important factor jo dekhna hai woh hai global economic outlook. Australia kaafi had tak China par dependent hai apne trade ke liye, toh agar China ki economy mein koi fluctuations aati hain, khaas tor par construction aur manufacturing sectors jo Australian exports, jaise ke iron ore, consume karte hain, toh isse AUD/USD par asar pad sakta hai. Agar China apne economy ko boost dene ke liye stimulus measures implement kare ya recovery ke signs dikhaye, toh Australian commodities ki demand barh sakti hai, jo ke Australian dollar ko upar le jaa sakta hai.




Short term mein, geopolitical tensions, economic data releases, aur market sentiment is pair ko affect karte rahenge. Technical analysis yeh suggest karta hai ke market consolidation phase mein hai, jahan movement limited hai, lekin yeh aksar breakout se pehle hota hai. Traders kaafi intezaar kar rahe hain kisi major catalyst ka, jaise ke interest rate announcement ya unexpected economic data, jo ke significant moves laa sakta hai.

Conclusion mein, jabke abhi AUD/USD pair bearish outlook face kar raha hai, lekin significant movement ke chances zyada nazar aa rahe hain. Traders ko key economic indicators, central bank policies, aur global economic conditions, khaas tor pe China ke related, ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake yeh assess kiya jaa sake ke trend downward continue karega ya reverse hoga. Yeh period risks aur opportunities dono laa sakta hai, is liye jo log AUD/USD mein trading kar rahe hain, unke liye yeh ek crucial waqt hai.