ای AUD/USD کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

AUD/USD Forum (Australian Dollar - US Dollar): Charts, Reviews

Agar main AUDUSD currency pair ke candlestick movement ki khasusiyat par tawajjoh doon, jo ke daily timeframe chart par dekhne ko mil rahi hain, toh yeh nazar aata hai ke kal raat ki price movement abhi bhi bullish trend ke saath thi, lekin range ziada wasi nahi thi. Yeh condition pichle chand dino jaisi hi hai. Is haftay ke trending market ke rukh ko dekh kar lagta hai ke market ek hi taraf upar ki taraf move kar rahi hai, aur lagta hai ke price ek bullish rally phase se guzar rahi hai. Isliye, is haftay ke trend ki direction abhi bhi pehle ki tarah upar ki taraf move kar rahi hai.

Manday ko market ne 0.6792 ke level se bullish movement shuru ki thi, aur kal raat ki market session tak 0.6827 ke level tak pohanch gayi, aur abhi bhi price 0.6804 ke range mein neeche ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Yeh dekhne ko milta hai ke Thursday ki trading mein closing price level abhi bhi Monday ke market ke opening price level ke upar tha. Waisay bhi, is haftay ke candlestick ki position yeh lagta hai ke 2024 ke sab se unche price level ko form karne ki koshish kar rahi hai, is liye yeh mumkin hai ke AUDUSD currency pair ke paas wapas bullish trend ki taraf move karne ka mauqa hai.

Agla step yeh hai ke main market ke analysis ke liye jo indicators use karta hoon unhein monitor karoon. MACD indicator (12,26,29) par dekhne se pata chalta hai ke ek peeli dotted line upar ki taraf ishara kar rahi hai, aur histogram bar ki position bhi zero level ke upar hai aur woh bhi kaafi lambi size ke saath. Relative Strength Index indicator (14) par dekhne se pata chalta hai ke Lime Line ki position ab level 70 ke qareeb pohanch gayi hai. Isi tarah, peeli Simple Moving Average 60 indicator ki position abhi bhi surkh Simple Moving Average 150 indicator ke upar hai, jo ke daily timeframe mein market trend ka bullish hona dikha raha hai.




Nateeja:

Market conditions ke mutabiq, jo ke kai indicators se hasil hota hai, sab yeh dikhate hain ke daily aur H4 timeframes par market trend abhi bhi bullish hai aur expect kiya ja raha hai ke yeh upward movement continue karega. Waise, meri raaye mein, BUY trading position kholna ek achi opportunity hai jo ke baad mein munafa hasil karne mein madad kar sakta hai, lekin yeh bhi note karna zaroori hai ke ideal candlestick position ka intezar kiya jaye jab tak ke price 0.6825 ke level tak nahi pohanchti. Agla bullish target 0.6875 ke level par rakh sakte hain, aur stoploss level ke liye price level 0.6790 par set kiya jaa sakta hai.

AUD-USD Pair Review

Yeh instrument wazeh taur par ek upward trend dikha raha hai. Average prices dheere dheere barh rahi hain, halaan ke yeh bohot tez nahi hain. Moving average jo ke 60 period par hai, woh 240 period ke moving average se upar hai, aur dono hi upar ki taraf ja rahi hain, aur is waqt ki price bhi in dono ke upar hai. Aur kis cheez ki zaroorat hai khush hone ke liye? Oscillators apne window ki upar wali zone mein hain. Mahana oscillator ke histogram aur hafatwar oscillator ke histogram dono mil kar overbought ki taraf badh rahe hain, jo ke mazeed growth ke liye acha support hai. Lekin, abhi current time scale se junior linear oscillator ne divergence draw kiya hai. Aisa lagta hai ke ek correction shuru ho sakti hai, khaas kar ke jab se yeh instrument calculated reversal level 0.68266 tak pohanch gaya hai. Lekin is baat ko dekhte hue ke senior oscillators purchase zone mein hain, yeh mumkin hai ke increase jari rahe, toh hum yeh maan sakte hain ke instrument ek correction karega aur wapas growth ki taraf aa sakega, taake agle calculated zone 0.6870 ke area tak pohanch sake.



Short trend ko continue karne ke liye entry point tab relevant ho jaye ga jab Buyers Zone ke neeche consolidation ho jaaye. Abhi Buyers Zone - 0.677 ko todne ki koshishain ki ja rahi hain. Jab price today hue level 0.679 ke neeche round karegi, ya phir price Test ke liye wapas aayegi, tode hue Buyers Zone - 0.674 par, liquidity collect karne ke liye, lekin hamare liye market ek achi price degi. Main Short market mein signal ka intezar karunga, ya to chhoti chart par ya poori tarah se price rounding ke neeche tode hue level ke. Stop order Buyers Zone - 0.673 ke peeche set kiya jayega, jo abhi faisla karne ke liye mere liye ek important range hai. Lekin agar instrument mere Protective order tak wapas aata hai, toh mera trading scenario yahan toot jaye ga.

AUD/USD Forum (Australian Dollar - US Dollar): Charts, Reviews

Meri raaye mein, AUDUSD currency pair ki movement abhi bhi bullish movements ke zair-e-asar rehne ki potential rakhti hai aur umeed hai ke yeh izafa karte hue barh sakti hai. Is waqt main khud abhi bhi BUY setup ka intezar kar raha hoon jis mein bullish potential level 0.6855 ke range tak jaane ka hai. Agar price is target ko hasil karne mein kaamyaab hoti hai, toh price mazeed upar ki taraf badhne mein ziyada pur-umeed hogi. Lekin agar yeh kaamyaab nahi hoti, toh price ke wapas neeche girne ki umeed hai. AUDUSD currency pair ke market trend jo ke pichle kuch dinon se bullish condition mein hai, toh buyers se yeh tawakku hai ke unke paas price ko upar le jaane ka acha potential hai. Lekin abhi market mein price ko neeche ki taraf correction ke liye koshish karte hue dekha ja raha hai jab se market aaj subah khuli hai.




Relative Strength Index indicator par Lime line abhi bhi level 50 ke upar aram se move kar rahi hai, jo ke bullish trend ki nishani hai. Candlestick ki position abhi bhi price level 0.6780 ke upar hai, jo ke ek upar ki taraf move karte hue market ko dikha raha hai. Is haftay price movement mein jo momentum dekhne ko mila hai, jo ke zyada taur par bullish direction mein tha, mere analysis ke mutabiq, mumkin hai ke price phir se bullish trend par ho sakti hai jab tak ke market kal subah band na ho jaye. Yaqeenan hum apni apni technique ke mutabiq BUY trading entry ke liye signals talash kar sakte hain. Agar market analysis ke mutabiq move karti hai, toh munafa hasil karne ke potential mein izafa hoga.

Australian Dollar apni position barqarar rakhta hai jabke Retail Sales ne July mein kisi bhi growth ki report nahi di. Australia ki Retail Sales July mein mahana hisaab se bilkul bhi nahi badhi, jabke umeed ki ja rahi thi ke yeh 0.3% barhegi. Iske baraks, US Dollar ko support mila majmue tor par US GDP data ke Q2 ke mazboot hone par.

Australian Dollar (AUD) Friday ke Retail Sales report ke baad abhi bhi stable US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein barqarar hai, jis report ne dikhaya ke July mein mahana hisaab se kisi bhi tarah ki growth nahi hui, jo ke mutawaqa 0.3% se kam hai aur pichle 0.5% ke izafa se bhi kam hai. Lekin, Thursday ko release hone wale US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) ke mazboot data ne AUD/USD pair par dabao dala hai.

AUD/USD pair ko mazeed faide ho sakte hain kyun ke July ke Monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) ke mutawaqa se zyada hone ki wajah se yeh umeed barh gayi hai ke Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) shayad mazeed hawkish policy stance apnaye. RBA ke haal hi ke Minutes se bhi yeh pata chala ke board ke members ne mutafiq honay par yeh kaha ke nazdeek waqt mein rate cut mumkin nahi hai.

US Dollar ko behtar economic data se support mila hai, lekin Federal Reserve ke officials ke dovish comments iske faide ko mehsoor kar sakte hain. Thursday ko Atlanta Fed ke President Raphael Bostic ne yeh suggest kiya ke shayad "rate cuts par move karne ka waqt aa gaya hai" kyun ke inflation thandi ho rahi hai aur berozgaari ki shara umeed se zyada barh rahi hai, Reuters ke mutabiq.

CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, bazaar poori tarah se is umeed mein hain ke September meeting mein Fed kam az kam 25 basis point (bps) ka rate cut karega. Sarmaaya kaar Friday ko release hone wale US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index for July par ghair mamooli tawajjoh de rahe hain, taa ke US ki future interest rates ke rukh par koi ishaara mil sake.

Technical Analysis: Australian Dollar ki position 0.6800 ke qareeb barqarar

Australian Dollar Friday ko taqriban 0.6790 par trade kar raha hai. Daily chart ko dekh kar lagta hai ke AUD/USD pair apne ascending channel ki lower boundary ko test kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ke reinforcement ki taraf ishaara karta hai. Lekin, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi bhi 70 ke mark se thoda neeche hai, jo ke jari bullish trend ko support karta hai.




Resistance ki baat karein, toh AUD/USD pair ascending channel ki lower boundary par, jo ke seven-month high 0.6798 ke qareeb hai, ek barrier ko test kar raha hai. Agar yeh level toot jata hai, toh yeh pair ke liye upper boundary ki taraf rasta khol sakta hai, jo ke 0.6920 ke level ke qareeb hai.

Neeche ki taraf, AUD/USD pair ko support milne ki umeed hai nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb, jo ke 0.6761 level par hai. Agar yeh EMA ke neeche girta hai, toh yeh bullish bias ko kamzor kar sakta hai aur neeche ki taraf pressure daal sakta hai, jisse pair throwback level 0.6575 ko test karne ki taraf ja sakta hai, uske baad ek aur throwback level 0.6470 par hai.

AUD/USD

Aayiye AUD/USD currency pair ke price behavior ke analysis ke maamle par baat karte hain. AUD/USD pair is waqt resistance par 0.6797 ke saath apne saat mahinon ke high ko test kar raha hai. Agar yeh level todne mein kaamyaab hota hai, toh yeh pair ko ascending channel ki upper boundary ke qareeb 0.6919 tak dhakel sakta hai. Iske baraks, pair ko support channel ke lower limit ke qareeb 0.6769 par mil sakta hai, jiske baad 26MA moving average (M-A) 0.6717 par hai. Agar yeh nine-day EMA ke neeche girta hai, toh bullish momentum kam ho sakta hai, jo downward pressure daal kar pair ko 0.6574 retracement level tak le ja sakta hai, aur mazeed girawat 0.6479 tak ja sakti hai. Monday ki Asian session mein, AUD/USD pair apne recent saat mahinon ke high 0.6799 se peeche hat raha hai. Yeh pullback US dollar ki girawat mein ek thode se waqfe ke baad aaya hai jab Fed Chairman Powell ne "dovish" remarks diye aur saath hi saath Middle East mein badhti hui geopolitical tensions ki wajah se bhi aisa ho raha hai.



Hourly chart par dekha jaye toh price abhi bhi ascending channel ke andar hai. Halaanki Friday ko pair aage barh raha tha, lekin yeh channel ki upper boundary tak nahi pohonch saka, jo is baat ki taraf ishaara karta hai ke mazeed upar ki movement ka imkaan hai. Is growth ka target channel ki upper boundary 0.6840 par ho sakta hai. Is level ko pohonchne ke baad, pair shayad apni direction badal kar neeche ki taraf jaana shuru karega, lower boundary 0.6763 ki taraf. H1 time frame ko dekhne se, AUD/USD pair ek bullish trajectory dikha raha hai, jo ke ek 120-period ke moving average se confirm hoti hai, jo price ke neeche hai. Hourly candle ka moving average ke upar 0.6769 par close hona bhi upward trend ko confirm karta hai. Is liye, yeh zyada faidemand hai ke bechne ki bajaye khareedne ko tarjeeh di jaye. Khareedari ko 0.6769 level se sochen, jahan pehla profit target 0.6809 par aur doosra 0.6849 par rakhein, saath hi stop loss 0.6739 par set karein. Bechne ka socha ja sakta hai agar pair 0.6709 ke neeche break karta hai aur wahan settle hota hai, take-profit target 0.6669 par aur stop loss 0.6739 par set karke.

AUD/USD ne saat mahinon ke naye highs ko 0.6800 ke upar dubaara hasil kiya jab Australian CPI umeed se kam thanda hua. US Dollar mein recovery dekhi gayi hai kyunke risk sentiment Fedspeak aur Nvidia ke earnings report se pehle kharab ho gaya hai. AUD/USD ke daily technical setup se nazar aata hai ke qareebi muddat mein aur mazeed gains ki gunjaish hai. AUD/USD ne Wednesday ke din Asian trading mein 0.6800 ke qareeb trade karte hue gains ko wapas lete hue dekha hai, jab ke ek naye saat mahinon ke high 0.6813 tak spike karne ke baad wapas aa gaya.

AUD/USD ne Australian CPI data par khushi zahir ki

Australian Dollar pair ne ek nayi bid wave ko capture kiya aur Australian mahana Consumer Price Index (CPI) data release ke baad 0.6800 ki barrier ko dubaara hasil kiya.

Inflation data se pata chala ke Australia mein consumer prices July mein mutawaqa se kam raftaar se thandi hui hain, jahan 3.5% YoY growth report hui hai, jo ke pehle se 3.4% izafa estimate ki gayi thi aur June ke 3.8% ke izafe se mukhtalif thi.

Australia ke garam inflation data ne Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) se mazeed interest rate hikes ki umeed ko dobaara jagaya, jisne Australian Dollar (AUD) mein ek nayi taqatwar barhat ka raasta saaf kiya.

Lekin, ek risk-averse market environment ne zyada yield dene wale Aussie ke upside ko mehsoor kar diya, jabke US Dollar (USD) ke liye haven demand ko barhaya.

Bazaar bechain hain jab ke woh US AI giant, Nvidia ki bahut intezar ki gayi earnings report ke liye tayyar hain, jisse global stocks mein girawat hui hai. Traders US Federal Reserve (Fed) ke officials ke speeches ka bhi intezar kar rahe hain taake September ke liye aane wale rate cut ki magnitude ke bare mein nayi rahnumai mil sake.

Aane wale waqt ko dekhte hue, yeh pair Fedspeak-driven USD price action aur wasee bazaar ke sentiment ke reham-o-karam par rahega, aur Thursday ke Australian Private Capex data for the second quarter ke liye tayyari kar raha hai.




Technically, AUD/USD abhi bhi mazeed upside ke liye tayar hai, kyunke 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke level se upar north ki taraf ishara kar raha hai jab ke overbought region se zara neeche hai, jo abhi 67 ke qareeb hai. Aage chal kar, daily time frame par kuch bullish crossovers bhi Aussie ke constructive outlook ko mazeed tasdeeq dete hain.

AUD/USD

Yeh pair panchwein musalsal din positive territory mein hai, aur subha ke session mein lagbhag 0.6790 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Is mazbooti ke bawajood, Australia ke Judo Bank Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) ke milay-julay natayij ne Aussie dollar ko koi khaas momentum nahi diya. Ab traders US ke preliminary S&P Global PMIs ke June ke liye release ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo shayad naye direction ka taayun kar sakein. Taza update ke mutabiq, AUD/USD lagbhag 0.6793 ke qareeb trade ho raha hai.

AUD/USD ke Fundamentals:

Pichle chand hafton mein yeh pair downward pressure ka shikar raha hai, jiska sabse bada sabab China ki slow hoti hui economic activity aur iron ore ki qeematon mein girawat hai, jo ke April ke shuru se sabse neechey levels par aa gayi hain. China ke People’s Bank ne Monday ko achanak rate cut kiya, jisne Chinese economy ki kamzori ke hawalay se tashweesh mein mazeed izafa kiya, aur AUD ki girawat ko aur bhi barhaya.

Lekin, yeh baat bhi zair-e-behas hai ke US Federal Reserve (Fed) September mein interest rates cut karna shuru kar sakta hai, jo ke USD ko kamzor kar sakta hai aur AUD/USD pair ko support de sakta hai. CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, September mein Fed rate cut ki lagbhag 96% probability hai, jo AUD/USD ke downside risk ko cap karne mein madadgar sabit ho raha hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Technically, yeh pair haal hi mein 20-day aur 100-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) ke neeche gir gaya hai, jis se yeh tashweesh paida hui hai ke downward trend sirf ek short-term correction nahi ho sakta. Phir bhi, jab tak yeh pair 200-day SMA ke upar rehta hai, yeh downward adjustments ko abhi bhi corrective samjha jaa sakta hai. Key support levels jo dekhne hain unmein psychological 0.6700 level shamil hai, aur mazeed support 0.6677 par hai.



Is waqt yeh pair ek aham no-din ki winning streak experience kar raha hai, jismein July mein lagbhag 3.50% ka faida hua hai. Is positive trend ke bawajood, technical indicators kafi negative signal de rahe hain, jahan Relative Strength Index (RSI) 30 ke qareeb hai, jo ke oversold condition aur ek potential corrective bounce ki taraf ishaara karta hai. Pair ka 20, 100, aur 200-day SMAs ke neeche movement yeh suggest karta hai ke aane wale dinon mein mazeed downward trends dekhne ko mil sakte hain.

AUD-USD Pair Forecast

H1 timeframe par, AUD/USD ek mazboot bullish trend dikhata hai, jiska saboot EMA 50 ki position se milta hai jo EMA 100 ke upar hai. Yeh is baat ki nishani hai ke bullish momentum abhi bhi maujooda price movement mein haavi hai. Iske alawa, ek aham resistance level 0.675035 par break hua hai, jo pehle ek key resistance area tha. Yeh breakout uptrend ke jaari rehne ke liye ek positive signal deta hai, khaaskar jab ke support level 0.66967 par ban chuki hai, jise market ne test kiya hai aur woh ache tareeqe se rahi hai.

Lekin, iss waqt latest high ke aas paas level 0.67969 se ek corrective movement ho rahi hai. Yeh correction price ki natural movement ka hissa hai, jahan significant strength ke baad market aksar retracement karta hai taa ke pehle ke support area ko dobara test kar sake. Is context mein, 0.675035 ka level, jo pehle resistance ka kaam kar raha tha, ab support ke taur par kaam karne ki potential rakhta hai.




Meri trading strategy yeh hai ke main level 0.675035 ke aas paas confirmation ka intezar karun. Main ek bullish rejection candle ki talaash karunga jo ek buy position mein enter karne ka signal hoga. Yeh rejection candle yeh dikhati hai ke jab ke price gira aur support level ko test kiya, buyers ne market mein dobara entry ki aur price ko upar push karne mein kamyab rahe, jo is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke bullish trend ko jaari rakhne ke liye kaafi buying power maujood hai. Agar yeh confirmation hota hai, toh main ek buy position open karne par gaur karunga, umeed hai ke uptrend jaari rahega aur price target aur bhi upar jayega.

AUD/USD Pair Ki Technical Analysis




1-hour chart par AUD/USD pair ki price abhi ek mazboot support area mein move kar rahi hai. Aaj ki trading ke dauran, price do channels ke andar thi. Pehla channel, jo ke laal rang se dikhaya gaya hai, bearish hai aur pichlay din ki price movement ko represent karta hai, jahan price ne nayi peak par pohanchne ke baad neeche ki taraf move kiya tha. Dusra channel, jo ke neelay rang ka hai, iska rukh upar ki taraf hai aur yeh aakhri do trading dinon ki price movement ko darshata hai.

Agar hum aakhri do trading dinon aur channels ki shakl par nazar daalein, toh hum dekhte hain ke humare paas ek upward trend tha jo correction ke baad neeche aaya tha. Ab price dobara upward trend mein wapas aane ki koshish kar rahi hai.

Is liye, yeh price movement ke mumkin rastay hain, aur umeed hai ke price neelay channel ki lower line aur weekly pivot level se support lete hue mazeed barh sakti hai aur mazeed upar ja kar current price peak ko tod kar weekly resistance level 0.6843 tak pohanch sakti hai.

Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke price current peak ko todne mein naakam ho jaye aur iske baad ek downward wave aa jaye.

In hi expectations ke madd-e-nazar, trading ke liye available levels kuch is tarah hain:

1. Pehla level maujooda level hai jahan aap buy kar sakte hain aur stop loss level weekly pivot level se neeche rakh sakte hain aur target level resistance level 0.6843 se neeche set kar sakte hain.

2. Dusra level weekly pivot level se neeche hai, aur yeh ek selling level hai jahan aap sell kar sakte hain jab price weekly pivot level ke neeche do trading hours ke liye stable ho jaye.

AUD/USD

Aaj humari guftagu AUD/USD currency pair ke abhi ke price behaviour par hai. Yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke filhaal average prices mein thora uncertainty hai, jaisa ke moving averages se pata chalta hai, jo lagbhag horizontal hain. Lekin, do mahine ka average price thoda sa annual average se upar aaya hai, jo ke ek potential reversal ka ishara deta hai. Yeh mumkinat is baat se bhi barh jati hai ke hal hi mein decline ke baad price ne pehle ke low ke kareeb strong rebound liya hai, jahan se neeche ki taraf 140 points se zyada ka tail chhoda hai. Uske baad se price aista aista upar ki taraf badh rahi hai, jo shayad uske bearish journey ki shuruaat ho sakti hai.

Main dekh raha hoon ke pair hourly chart par ek ascending channel ke andar move kar raha hai. Aaj, price is channel ki upper boundary tak pohanch gayi hai, jo ke 0.6724 hai. Is jagah par mujhe umeed hai ke ek reversal hoga aur pair neeche ki taraf jaane ki koshish karega. Agar decline hota hai, toh price channel ki lower boundary tak aa sakti hai, jo ke lagbhag 0.6683 hai. Aaj ki trading ke liye, buy karna abhi bhi behtar strategy lagti hai.



Lekin abhi ke level 0.67205 par buy positions kholna utna behtar nahi hoga. Main ek behtar entry point ka intezar karunga jo ke support level 0.66005 ke kareeb ho. Is level par pohanchne ke liye price ko thoda dip hona hoga. Mera profit target 0.67331 par hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke yeh strategy plan ke mutabiq chalegi. Agar price mein decline hota hai, toh shayad lagay ke yeh stagnant hai—koi khaas downward movement nahi dikha rahi. Lekin price confidently upar ki taraf surge kar sakti hai, rasta mein har rok-tok aur levels ko asaani se paar karte hue. H1 chart par jo choti hurdles hain, unka zyada asar nahi hota, jab ke zyada bara hurdles, jaise ke daily time frame par, woh bhi utna progress ko slow nahi karte. H4 chart par, hal hi mein daily time frame ka ek benchmark, 0.6699 ke aas paas, ne upward movement ko thoda pause diya tha, lekin upper benchmark, 0.6711 par, koi khaas farq nahi pada.

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AUD/USD Pair Ki Analysis AUD/USD pair ne kuch arse se aik range mein trade kiya hai, aur meri analysis is baat ki nishandahi karti hai ke yeh pair support level 0.65209 tak gir sakta hai. Yeh level historically ek mazboot base provide karta hai, jo ke take-profit targets set karne ke liye bohot ahem hai. Yeh strategy market ke existing downward trend ke continuation ke expect karne ke mutabiq hai. Lekin, market mein kisi bhi unexpected shift ki surat mein stop-loss mechanisms ko activate karna bohot zaroori hoga taake possible losses se bacha ja sake. Forex markets ki dynamic nature ka demand hota hai ke trader flexible rahe, aur naye resistance levels ko samajhna ek strong trading strategy ka important hissa hota hai. Agar resistance aajata hai, to 0.65379 level pe buy karna ek viable option ban sakta hai, jo ke is support point se potential upward reversal se faida uthane ka moka de sakta hai
Recent Movements Aur Liquidity Considerations
Recent movements ki baat ki jaye to 0.68117 resistance level ki taraf jo rise hui hai, woh bhi noteworthy hai. Yeh rise unexpected thi, primarily US inflation ke stagnant rehne ki wajah se, jo aam tor pe US dollar par downward pressure daalta hai. 0.68117 tak ka yeh surge lagta hai ke seller stops ko remove karne ke liye kiya gaya, jo ke ek liquidity grab ki nishandahi kar raha hai. Aise movements aksar stop-loss orders ko clear karne ke liye hotay hain, taake bade market participants apne trades ke liye behtar entry points hasil kar sakein
Is upward movement ke bawajood, main 0.68117 ke beyond further ascent anticipate nahi kar raha, kyun ke US mein inflationary pressure ki significant kami hai. Stagnant inflation aam tor pe Federal Reserve ke aggressive rate hikes ke prospects ko dampen karta hai, jo dollar ki attractiveness ko kam kar deta hai. Isliye, 0.68117 tak ka yeh rally ziada tar temporary spike lagti hai, na ke aik sustained uptrend ki shuruaat
Summary Aur Strategic Recommendations
Summary mein, AUD/USD pair ki current analysis suggest karti hai ke 0.65938 pe aik strategic sell entry di jaye, take profit ke sath 0.65379 pe, jo ke historical support levels aur recent price movements pe base karti hai. Unexpected rise towards 0.68117, jo lagta hai seller stops ko clear karne ke liye ki gayi thi, potential volatility ki nishandahi karti hai aur yeh emphasize karti hai ke trading decisions mein flexibility zaroori hai. Market structures ko closely monitor karna aur changes ke mutabiq apne strategies ko adjust karna Forex trading ki complexities ko effectively navigate karne ke liye zaroori hai. Chahe yeh pair apni decline ko continue kare ya naye resistance levels ka samna kare, strategies ko accordingly adjust karne ke liye tayar rehna trading success hasil karne ke liye bohot zaroori hai
Future Projections Aur Monitoring
AUD/USD pair mein decline ka phase shayad complete ho gaya hai, jo ke upward movement ke recommencement ki nishandahi karta hai. Yeh development tawajju talab hai, kyun ke aane wale events ke do possible scenarios ho sakte hain. Labor market ne mukhtalif factors ko process kar liya hai, lekin agle hafte mein repercussions unfold honge. Further declines ke hawale se, main is waqt dollar ke against significant growth expect nahi kar raha. Mera khayal hai ke hum upward direction ki taraf jaa rahe hain, jo ke technically ziada stable lag raha hai
Agar daily meframe pe dekha jaye, to chart structure slow down hota nazar aata hai, aur main confident hoon ke upward movement continue karega. Yeh note karna zaroori hai ke current chart ne multiple times is direction ka signal diya hai. Jabke mujhe market mein buyers ke entry ka exact time predict karna mushkil hota hai, main is waqt apni conclusions pe convinced hoon. Main long positions kholne ke liye tayar hoon jab ek significant downward rebound hoga; lekin main is range mein jaldi nahi karunga, aur continuously evaluate karunga ke potential losses ko kaise limit kiya jaye. Generally, main jaldi nahi kar raha, aur believe karta hoon ke aage ke market developments ko monitor karna crucial hai

Australian Dollar ne haali mein 0.68 level se thoda sa pullback kiya hai, jo ke pehle market mein kuch noise generate kar chuka tha. Yeh sabse bada sawal hai ke kya yeh recall koi lamba asar daal sakta hai. Filhaal, zyada fikar ki baat nahi lagti, khas taur par kyunke yeh market lambe waqt se tight hai. Agar Aussie 0.67 level tak bhi gir jata hai – jahan se Friday ko rebound hua tha – toh isse zaroori nahi ke koi bada move signal ho. Sellers tabhi zyada aggressive honge jab currency is level se neeche girti hai. Filhaal, yeh market lagta hai ke restless aur uncertain rahegi.

Yahaan broader context global economic growth aur Asia mein developments ko bhi shaamil karti hai, kyunke Australia ka commodities exports ke liye Asia par kaafi depend hai. Australian Dollar ka overbought lagna decline ko surprising nahi banata aur isse natural correction ke tor par dekha ja sakta hai. Yeh pullback earnings period ke baad market adjustment ko reflect kar sakta hai, khaaskar jab week ke pehle half mein koi major news nahi hai.




Jab market ko drive karne ke liye major news nahi hai, Australian Dollar sideways movement kar sakta hai stable base ke talash mein. Lekin, agar currency 0.6805 level ko break kar leti hai, toh yeh ek sustained uptrend ki shuruaat ka signal ho sakta hai, jo long-term bullish phase ki bhi shanakht de sakta hai. Abhi, Aussie Dollar sirf significant resistance levels ko test kar raha hai aur market kisi decisive move ko lekar cautious hai. Yeh hesitation aur uncertainty ka period tab tak chal sakta hai jab tak clearer signals nahi milte, chaahe economic data se ho ya global markets ke trends se.

AUD/USD Price Activity

Hum AUD/USD currency pair ke price fluctuations ka tajziya karenge. Yeh baat ke price 0.6793 ke upar ke extreme level ke qareeb aayi bina kisi rebound ke aur pichle hafte ko isi high par khatam hui, yeh selling ke liye acha nishan nahi hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke sellers is level par hafte ke end tak mojood nahi the, jo ke yeh indicate karta hai ke yeh ek key selling point nahi tha. Halanki kuch bhi ho sakta hai, magar mojooda price movement upward trend ko support karti hai. Price ke position ke madde nazar, rise itna bada na ho, lekin upward movement ki priority barqarar hai. Recent high ke upar, ek aur potential target 0.68668 hai, jo ke calculated upper reversal level 0.68696 ke qareeb hai. Additional window ke oscillators is upward momentum ko full support dete hain, jahan teeno indicators window ke upar ke hisse mein aur upward trend mein hain.



Four-hour time scale par, do calculated levels instrument ke upward movement ke aage hain. Pehla level average monthly range ke qareeb hai, jo 0.68125 par mark kiya gaya hai, aur yeh suggest karta hai ke 0.68125 aur 0.68225 ke darmiyan rebound ho sakta hai. Dusra level ke aage price pause kar sakti hai pehle level tak pohnchne se pehle, jo 0.68551-0.68696 zone mein hai. Channel ke upper boundary bhi qareeb hai. Daily time frame par, AUD/USD aage growth ke liye tayyar hai, jo ke ek saal se zyada chalne wale event ke end ko mark karta hai. Currency pair ek narrowing triangle ke andar trade ho rahi thi, jo is hafte break out hui. D1 time frame par growth ki third wave imminent hai, lekin iske liye Aussie ko pehli wave ke top 0.6869 level ko break karna hoga. Ab tak sab kuch theek se progress kar raha hai.

AUD/USD currency pair ne is haftay ka aghaz kamzori ke saath kiya hai, jahan Monday subah ke Asian session mein yeh pair 0.6792 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Yeh girawat mukhtalif aham asraat ka nateeja hai, jo ke chand central bank figures ke bayanat aur haali economic data se mutasir hain.

Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell ke haali bayan ne market sentiment par kafi asar dala hai. Powell ke bayanat ne ishara diya hai ke US mein aane walay arsay mein bhi unchi interest rates barqarar reh sakti hain, kyunki Fed mehngai ko apne target ki taraf le jaane mein ehtiyaat kar raha hai. Un ke bayanat ne US dollar ko mazid mazboot kiya hai, kyunki unchi rates investors ko dollar mein invest karne ki taraf khench rahi hain. Dusri taraf, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ka rukh bhi AUD/USD ki dynamics mein aham kirdar ada kar raha hai. RBA ke haali bayanat pehlay mahino ke muqablay mein zyada dovish hain. RBA ki ehtiyaat baratne wali approach, jo ke mulki economic challenges aur dheemi inflationary pressures se mutasir hai, Fed ki zyada aggressive monetary policy se bilkul mukhtalif hai. Is wajah se Australian dollar par downward pressure hai, jo AUD/USD pair ki kamzori ko aur barha raha hai.

In central bank signals ke milaap ne Australian dollar ke liye ek challenging environment bana diya hai. Investors apni positions ko adjust kar rahe hain, jab ke Fed aur RBA ke monetary policy ke trajectories mein farq hai. Yeh farq aam tor par US dollar ko mazid mazboot aur Australian dollar ko kamzor banata hai, jo ke AUD/USD exchange rate ke neeche aane mein zahir ho raha hai. Iske ilawa, broader market conditions aur risk sentiment bhi currency movements ko shape karte hain. Global economic outlook, geopolitical developments, aur commodity prices mein utar charhao bhi AUD/USD pair ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, commodity prices, khas tor par Australia ke key exports jaise ke iron ore, Australian dollar ki performance par asar dal sakti hain. Commodity prices ke kamzor hone se AUD par aur zyada pressure a sakta hai, jo ke pair ke haali low levels mein shamil hai

Mazboot Australian July employment data Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke liye kuch pareshani ka sabab ban sakta hai. Full-time employment mein mazid izafa ho sakta hai jo RBA ko New Zealand ki tarah poori tarah se easing mood mein jane se rok sakta hai, aur shayad ye Waqt September mein Fed ke liye bhi dekhne ko milay, jaise ke ING ke FX strategist Chris Turner ne kaha. "Iska matlab yeh hai ke Australian Dollar (AUD) cross pairs mein acha perform karega. August ke shuru mein AUD/NZD ke girne ka matlab hai ke investors ne is cross ko upar trade karne ki umeed rakhi thi, magar yen-triggered deleveraging ne isko unwind kar diya. Ab hum dekh sakte hain ke yeh cross mid-July ke 1.1150 highs ko phir se test kare. "Agar Fed September mein cut kare aur US yield curve aur ziada steep ho jaye, to EUR/AUD neeche aana chahiye. Magar yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke China ki macro weakness AUD ko yahan rokh rahi ho. Overall, ek mahine ka target 0.68 hai AUD/USD ke liye. **AUD/USD** Budh ke din, Australian dollar ne 0.6640 ka target level haasil kar liya, phir wahan se (MACD line aur 61.8% Fibonacci level se) neeche chala gaya, aur aaj subah 0.6570 ke support ko chhoo gaya. Yeh izafa Australia mein employment data ke release hone ke wajah se hua—Australia mein July mein 58,200 jobs create hui, jab ke forecast 20,200 thi, aur participation rate 66.9% se barh kar 67.1% hogayi, jiski wajah se ultimately unemployment 4.1% se barh kar 4.2% hogayi. Magar investors ne in data ko overall positive samjha. Iske ilawa, Japan ka GDP dusre quarter mein 3.1% barh gaya, jab ke umeed 2.1% ki thi
Price ko 0.6640 ke strong resistance ko overcome karna hoga ziada substantial movement ke liye, kam az kam 0.6680 ka target level haasil karne ke liye. Jab ke raw materials abhi bhi gir rahe hain, yeh sirf tab mumkin hai jab U.S. dollar globally weak ho jaye. Filhaal, yeh ek neutral position mein hai
4-hour chart mein, price balance line (red moving average) ke upar hai, aur Marlin oscillator wapas growth territory mein chala gaya hai. Nateeja tan, aussie abhi neutral range mein hai 0.6570-0.6640 ke darmiyan. Is range ke beyond breakout hi uske aage ka movement tay