ای AUD/USD کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات
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  • #5431 Collapse

    decline ki tendency rakhta hai. Halaanki aik impulsive price hike hui hai, lekin yeh secondary response hai. Observation dikhata hai ke jab price ne 0.6660 ka low hit kiya, to price EMA 50 ke upar utha aur FR 50 (0.6712) par pause kiya. Ab jo price dobara gir raha hai, wo apni decline ko 0.6660 ke neeche barqarar rakhna chahiye. Jab tak AUD/USD pair ki price 0.6762 high ko cross nahi karti, upward correction phase khatam ho jaye ga aur price increase aik lower high pattern tak restricted rahe ga. Lekin kyunke histogram ne ab tak negative zone mai entry nahi ki ya level 0 ke neeche nahi gaya, jo ke downtrend momentum ko denote karta hai, isliye yeh upward correction phase ko support kar sakta hai. Asal mein, yeh prices ko jo abhi tak EMA 50 ke upar stuck hain, unhein upward correct karne mai madad de sakta hai. Yeh conclude kiya ja sakta hai ke price correct hota rahe ga jab tak overbought market ke saturation point ko achieve nahi karta. Agar parameter level 50 tak pohanchta hai, to price ko higher correct karna expect kiya ja sakta hai.Position ka entry point FR 61.8 aur 0.6722 ke darmiyan hai, jo SMA 200 ke sath converge kar raha hai. Confirmation tab hoti hai jab Stochastic indicator parameter overbought zone mai move karne ke baad levels 90 aur 80 par cross karta hai, jo ke buying saturation point ko denote karta hai. AO indicator ka volume histogram kam az kam level 0 ke qareeb positive area mai hai, jo upward momentum ke slowing down ko indicate karta hai.A-B-C patterns aik 5-3-5 wave sequence hain jo zigzag patterns kehlate hain. 10/17/2024 ko hum ne Elliottwave-Forecast members ke sath yeh chart share kiya tha, jo shorter cycles mai price ka rasta dikhata hai. Chart dikhata hai ke August low se bullish sequence ka aik bearish correction ho raha hai. Pehli reaction mai 5 waves ka drop aur wave (A) ki completion hui thi. Is structure ke sath hum predict kar sakte hain ke aik A-B-C zigzag pattern involve ho raha hai jo 5-3-5 wave sequence hai.
    Ab price wave (B) mai hai agar yeh kam az kam 23.6% retracement zone (0.6725) tak extend hota hai. Agar current bounce 0.6725 ke neeche end hota hai, to yeh (B) ke liye kafi nahi hoga. Is surat mai hum isay aik nayi wave 4 (A) ya wave ((ii)) 5 consider kar sakte hain
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    • #5432 Collapse

      AUD/USD ne recent price action mein kaafi volatility show ki hai, jahan critical resistance aur support levels traders ke liye important hain. Filhal, **0.6914** pe pehla resistance point identify kiya gaya hai. Agar price is level ko tod kar upar nikalta hai, to yeh bullish momentum ka signal ho sakta hai, aur yeh pair agle resistance level **0.6943** tak move kar sakta hai. Yeh upward movement ek positive trend ko mazid reinforce kar sakti hai, jo trading sentiment ko improve karegi.

      ### Key Levels to Monitor:
      1. **Resistance 1**: 0.6914
      - Is level ka breakout bullish sentiment ko confirm karega.
      2. **Resistance 2**: 0.6943
      - Yeh target bullish traders ke liye agla milestone banega.

      Agar price **0.6914** ke upar close kar leta hai, to market mein naye participants enter karenge, jisse buying pressure aur zyada ho sakta hai. Volume surges, technical patterns (like trendline breakouts), ya economic data releases se bhi bullish momentum ko support mil sakta hai.

      **Agar breakout fail hota hai** aur price momentum lose karta hai, to pehla support level **0.6896** pe hai. Is level ka retest aur breakdown ek **weaker bullish sentiment** ko indicate karega. Agar price **0.6896** se neeche aata hai, to doosra support level **0.6857** hoga. Yeh breakdown bearish momentum ko trigger kar sakta hai, aur selling pressure market mein dominate karega.

      ---

      ### Fundamental Drivers:
      - **Australian Data**: Employment reports ya GDP growth figures agar strong hote hain, to AUD ko support milega.
      - **U.S. Economic Indicators**: Weak U.S. data AUD/USD ke liye positive sentiment laa sakti hai.
      - **Central Bank Policies**: Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) aur U.S. Federal Reserve dono ki policies pe market kaafi closely react karega, especially interest rates aur inflation forecasts par.

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      Short-term mein market consolidation phase mein hai, jahan price temporarily stable ho sakti hai, magar **trend reversals** ya **confirmations** ke liye traders ko alert rehna hoga. Yeh swings kaafi zaroori levels ko test kar rahe hain, aur agla major move inhi resistance aur support levels par depend karega.
         
      • #5433 Collapse

        decline ki tendency rakhta hai. Halaanki aik impulsive price hike hui hai, lekin yeh secondary response hai. Observation dikhata hai ke jab price ne 0.6660 ka low hit kiya, to price EMA 50 ke upar utha aur FR 50 (0.6712) par pause kiya. Ab jo price dobara gir raha hai, wo apni decline ko 0.6660 ke neeche barqarar rakhna chahiye. Jab tak AUD/USD pair ki price 0.6762 high ko cross nahi karti, upward correction phase khatam ho jaye ga aur price increase aik lower high pattern tak restricted rahe ga. Lekin kyunke histogram ne ab tak negative zone mai entry nahi ki ya level 0 ke neeche nahi gaya, jo ke downtrend momentum ko denote karta hai, isliye yeh upward correction phase ko support kar sakta hai. Asal mein, yeh prices ko jo abhi tak EMA 50 ke upar stuck hain, unhein upward correct karne mai madad de sakta hai. Yeh conclude kiya ja sakta hai ke price correct hota rahe ga jab tak overbought market ke saturation point ko achieve nahi karta. Agar parameter level 50 tak pohanchta hai, to price ko higher correct karna expect kiya ja sakta hai.Position ka entry point FR 61.8 aur 0.6722 ke darmiyan hai, jo SMA 200 ke sath converge kar raha hai. Confirmation tab hoti hai jab Stochastic indicator parameter overbought zone mai move karne ke baad levels 90 aur 80 par cross karta hai, jo ke buying saturation point ko denote karta hai. AO indicator ka volume histogram kam az kam level 0 ke qareeb positive area mai hai, jo upward momentum ke slowing down ko indicate karta hai.A-B-C patterns aik 5-3-5 wave sequence hain jo zigzag patterns kehlate hain. 10/17/2024 ko hum ne Elliottwave-Forecast members ke sath yeh chart share kiya tha, jo shorter cycles mai price ka rasta dikhata hai. Chart dikhata hai ke August low se bullish sequence ka aik bearish correction ho raha hai. Pehli reaction mai 5 waves ka drop aur wave (A) ki completion hui thi. Is structure ke sath hum predict kar sakte hain ke aik A-B-C zigzag pattern involve ho raha hai jo 5-3-5 wave sequence hai.
        Ab price wave (B) mai hai agar yeh kam az kam 23.6% retracement zone (0.6725) tak extend hota hai. Agar current bounce 0.6725 ke neeche end hota hai, to yeh (B) ke liye kafi nahi hoga. Click image for larger version

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        • #5434 Collapse

          Chalo baat karte hain ke AUD/USD currency pair ka price kis tarah se behave kar raha hai aur is se kya analysis nikaala ja sakta hai. M30 timeframe par, AUD/USD pair filhal Ichimoku Cloud ke andar move kar raha hai. Ek bullish indication mili hai, jo bullish engulfing ke zariye hai, aur price do baar 0.6701 level se rebound kar chuki hai, jo is se upar hai. Ichimoku Cloud ka lower level aur 0.6701 level dono ne support diya hai, kyunki dono aligned hain. Ye ek substantial buying opportunity ka ishara hai, jiska pehla target 0.6723 aur 0.6741 hai. 0.6723 par pullback ke baad, ek aur upward movement price ko 0.6800 range tak le ja sakti hai, jo zyada selling pressure trigger kar sakta hai. Commodity Channel Index (CCI) M30 chart par upwards ki taraf ja raha hai, jo upward trend ki maujoodgi ko wazeh tor par dikhata hai. Ye bullish momentum aksar barqarar rahega, is liye selling se parhez karna chahiye jab tak price 0.6701 se neeche nahi girti aur us level ke neeche consolidate nahi hoti. Agar aisa breakdown hota hai, to sales targets 0.6686 aur 0.6661 honge.
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          AUD/USD downtrend se uptrend ki taraf badal raha hai. Ek sloping support line tay ki gayi hai, jo price action ko pichle do trading dinon se guide kar rahi hai. Buyers ke liye faida sirf is support line se rebound aur wahan banne wali bullish engulfing pattern se nahi, balki price ke Ichimoku Cloud ke dono borders se upar move karne se hai. Ye solid buying territory mein wapas aane ki tasdeeq karta hai, jiska agla target 0.6723 hai, uske baad potential surge 0.6763 aur 0.6773 ki taraf ho sakti hai, shayad is se bhi zyada. Hourly chart par CCI oversold territory se bahar aa gaya hai aur ab firmly upward ki taraf ja raha hai, jo further growth potential ka ishara hai. Ye bullish momentum tab tak barqarar rahega jab tak 0.6801 level tak nahi pahunchta, lekin 0.6763 se 0.6723 tak pullback ho sakta hai is se pehle ke price ek aur rebound ke saath upar ki taraf jaaye.
             
          • #5435 Collapse

            decline ki tendency rakhta hai. Halaanki aik impulsive price hike hui hai, lekin yeh secondary response hai. Observation dikhata hai ke jab price ne 0.6660 ka low hit kiya, to price EMA 50 ke upar utha aur FR 50 (0.6712) par pause kiya. Ab jo price dobara gir raha hai, wo apni decline ko 0.6660 ke neeche barqarar rakhna chahiye. Jab tak AUD/USD pair ki price 0.6762 high ko cross nahi karti, upward correction phase khatam ho jaye ga aur price increase aik lower high pattern tak restricted rahe ga. Lekin kyunke histogram ne ab tak negative zone mai entry nahi ki ya level 0 ke neeche nahi gaya, jo ke downtrend momentum ko denote karta hai, isliye yeh upward correction phase ko support kar sakta hai. Asal mein, yeh prices ko jo abhi tak EMA 50 ke upar stuck hain, unhein upward correct karne mai madad de sakta hai. Yeh conclude kiya ja sakta hai ke price correct hota rahe ga jab tak overbought market ke saturation point ko achieve nahi karta. Agar parameter level 50 tak pohanchta hai, to price ko higher correct karna expect kiya ja sakta hai.Position ka entry point FR 61.8 aur 0.6722 ke darmiyan hai, jo SMA 200 ke sath converge kar raha hai. Confirmation tab hoti hai jab Stochastic indicator parameter overbought zone mai move karne ke baad levels 90 aur 80 par cross karta hai, jo ke buying saturation point ko denote karta hai. AO indicator ka volume histogram kam az kam level 0 ke qareeb positive area mai hai, jo upward momentum ke slowing down ko indicate karta hai.A-B-C patterns aik 5-3-5 wave sequence hain jo zigzag patterns kehlate hain. 10/17/2024 ko hum ne Elliottwave-Forecast members ke sath yeh chart share kiya tha, jo shorter cycles mai price ka rasta dikhata hai. Chart dikhata hai ke August low se bullish sequence ka aik bearish correction ho raha hai. Pehli reaction mai 5 waves ka drop aur wave (A) ki completion hui thi. Is structure ke sath hum predict kar sakte hain ke aik A-B-C zigzag pattern involve ho raha hai jo 5-3-5 wave sequence hai.
            Ab price wave (B) mai hai agar yeh kam az kam 23.6% retracement zone (0.6725) tak extend hota hai. Agar current bounce 0.6725 ke neeche end hota hai, to yeh (B) ke liye kafi nahi hoga.
            Click image for larger version

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            • #5436 Collapse

              Kal, AUD/USD ka market 0.6686 zone ko cross kar gaya aur sellers stable rahe. Aaj, US news events buyers ki madad karenge ke wo wapas aayein aur sab nuksan ko samajhdari se recover kar sakein. Traders ke liye, Unemployment Rate aksar sabse zyada dekha jaane wala indicator hota hai, kyunki ye job market ki overall health ko dikhata hai aur consumer spending ko influence kar sakta hai, jo GDP par asar dalta hai. Dusri taraf, PMI reports manufacturing aur services sectors ki current state ka ek jhalak deti hain, jo economic activity par forward-looking perspective provide karti hain.AUD/USD market ek aham lamha darshata hai US dollar ke liye, jahan aage kuch key economic aur political events hone wale hain. Traders ke liye, ye developments dono mauqay aur khatron ko pesh karti hain, is liye alert rehna aur strategies ko naye information ke saath adapt karna zaroori hai. FOMC member Harker ki ek speech Federal Reserve ke monetary policy par valuable insights provide karne ki umeed hai, jo market ki interest rate trends aur US dollar ki overall strength par asar daal sakti hai. Iske saath, Richmond Manufacturing Index ka release US manufacturing sector ki health ka snapshot dega, jo economic activity ka ek aur vital component hai jo market sentiment ko sway kar sakta hai.
              Umeed hai ke AUD/USD market aane wale ghanton mein ya US news data release ke dauran 0.6745 ki resistance zone ko cross karega. Is hafte ki market dynamics ko Existing Home Sales aur Crude Oil Inventories reports ki releases bhi contribute kar rahi hain. Ye dono reports broader economic conditions ke important indicators ke tor par kaam karegi. Existing Home Sales data consumer confidence aur housing market ki state ko dikhata hai, jabke Crude Oil Inventories report energy demand aur supply dynamics ka insight deti hai, jo US economy ki overall trajectory ko samajhne ke liye crucial hain.Mangal ko, AUD/USD pair 0.6660 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Pair ka daily chart technical analysis chhoti muddat ke liye negative perspective dikhata hai, jo nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche hai. Iske ilawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 ke neeche hai, jo pessimistic outlook ko support karta hai.
              Negative direction mein, pair psychological level 0.6600 aur iski aath hafton ki low 0.6622 ko attempt kar sakta hai, jo aakhri baar 11 September ko dekhi gayi thi. 50-day EMA 0.6734 aur nine-day EMA 0.6700 resistance provide kar sakti hain. Is mark ko cross karne par psychological barrier 0.6800 ki taraf move kiya ja sakta hai
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              • #5437 Collapse

                AUD/USD Technical Analysis:

                AUD/USD pair 0.6681 ki taraf recovery karne ki koshish kar raha hai, lekin outlook uncertain hai kyunki yeh ek chhe hafte ke low ke kareeb hai.

                Mazboot US dollar aur rising US government bond yields, jo Donald Trump ki aanewali US presidential election mein confident victory ke expectations se chalu hain, Australian dollar par bhari bojh dal rahe hain.

                Halankeh US Federal Reserve ke November aur December mein interest rate cuts ki umeedain barqarar hain, lekin US economy mein stability ke nishan US dollar ko mazboot bana rahe hain. Lekin, market agle saal monetary policy ke mazeed easing ke expectations ko moderate kar raha hai.

                Domestic front par, Australian labor market ka haal hi ka data positive hai. September ka data 64.1 hazar jobs ke izafa ko darust karta hai, jo expected 25.0 hazar se kaafi zyada hai. Unemployment rate 4.1% par stable hai. Investors ab aane wale PMI data ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo Australian economy ki sehat par mazeed roshni daal sakta hai.

                In positive domestic indicators ke bawajood, Chinese influence Australian dollar ke liye ek critical factor bana hua hai, kyunki yeh Australia ka primary trading partner hai.

                Market mein recent stimulus measures in China ko insufficient dekha ja raha hai, jo AUD ke liye challenges barhata hai. AUD/USD ab 0.6636 ke target level ki taraf neeche ja raha hai. Jab yeh target pohanchta hai, to market in lows par ek naye consolidation zone create kar sakta hai.

                Agar upside ki taraf breakout hota hai, to 0.6790 ki taraf correction ko consider kiya ja sakta hai. MACD indicator is scenario ko support karta hai, iska signal line zero ke neeche hai aur potential upside ke liye tayar hai, jo ek momentum shift ki nishani hai.

                   
                • #5438 Collapse

                  AUD/USD Price Action

                  Chaliye baat karte hain ke AUD/USD currency pair ki price kaise behave kar rahi hai aur is se kya analysis nikaala ja sakta hai. M30 timeframe par, AUD/USD pair filhal Ichimoku Cloud ke andar chal raha hai. Ek bullish indication mili hai, jahan bullish engulfing pattern dekhne ko mila, aur price ne 0.6701 level se do baar rebound kiya hai, aur is level ke upar bana hua hai. Ichimoku Cloud ka lower band aur 0.6701 level dono milkar ek support bana rahe hain. Yeh ek substantial buying opportunity ka izhar karta hai, jahan pehli targets 0.6723 aur 0.6741 hain.

                  Agar price 0.6723 par pullback karta hai, to ek aur upward movement price ko 0.6800 range mein le ja sakti hai, jahan par mazeed selling pressure dekhne ko mil sakta hai. M30 chart par Commodity Channel Index (CCI) upward trend ki taraf ja raha hai, jo is upward trend ki maujoodgi ko wazeh kar raha hai. Yeh bullish momentum jari rehne ki umeed hai, isliye bechne se bachna chahiye jab tak price 0.6701 ke neeche nahi girti aur is level ke neeche consolidate nahi hoti.

                  Agar aisa breakdown hota hai, to sales targets 0.6686 aur 0.6661 honge.

                  **AUD/USD Price Action Analysis**

                  AUD/USD ne downtrend se uptrend ki taraf transition dikhai hai. Ek sloping support line establish hui hai, jo price action ko pichle do trading dinon se guide kar rahi hai. Buyers ke liye faida sirf is support line se rebound aur wahan banne wale bullish engulfing pattern se nahi, balki price ka Ichimoku Cloud ke dono borders ke upar chalna bhi hai. Yeh solid buying territory mein wapas aane ki tasdeeq karta hai, jahan agla target 0.6723 hai, jiske baad 0.6763 aur 0.6773 tak ki potential surge ho sakti hai, ho sakta hai is se bhi upar.

                  Hourly chart par CCI oversold territory se bahar nikal gaya hai aur ab puri tarah se upward ki taraf point kar raha hai, jo mazeed growth potential ka signal hai. Yeh bullish momentum tab tak jari rehne ki umeed hai jab tak 0.6801 level tak nahi pohanchte, lekin 0.6763 se 0.6723 tak ek pullback dekhne ko mil sakta hai, uske baad price phir se upar ki taraf barh sakta hai jab ek aur rebound support line se hota hai.
                     
                  • #5439 Collapse

                    AUD/USD ka price action analyze karte hue, yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke yeh pair recent tor par neeche gir raha hai, lekin 0.6700 ka critical support level pass karne mein reluctant hai. Agar yeh price achanak 0.6755 ki accumulation zone ki taraf barhta hai, phir wahan se dobara neeche girta hai, toh is point ke baad price movement ko closely monitor karna zaroori hoga. Agar price ek nayi low hit kar ke volume ke saath wapas upar aaye, toh iska matlab ho sakta hai ke neeche liquidity complete ho gayi hai. Is surat mein hum 0.6926 tak ka sharp upward move dekh sakte hain, jahan significant fund flows mumkin hain.

                    Wave structure se upward trend ka indication milta hai, magar RSI abhi bhi lower selling zone mein hai. Yeh abhi tak signal line se upar hai, jo yeh hint de raha hai ke ek upward correction aane ka chance hai. Pehle main yeh forecast kar raha tha ke price neeche jaayega, jab price sharply fall nahi kar raha tha bearish divergence ki wajah se jo MACD pe dikh rahi thi. Is divergence ke saath ek reversal pattern bhi tha, yani ascending wedge, jo baad mein toot gaya aur price neeche gir gaya.

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                    0.6906 level ke neeche firm consolidation se sell signals confirm hue. Yeh level resistance banne ke baad hi ek behtareen selling point tha, aur market ne perfectly yeh prediction follow kiya. Yeh outcome zyadatar is wajah se hua kyunke do hafte pehle US dollar ki strength baaqi major currencies ke muqable mein zyada thi. Pichle hafte bhi downward pressure barqarar raha, aur US dollar ne aksar major currencies ke muqable mein mazid strength dikhayi.

                    Jab price ne daily chart pe ek ascending support line ko touch kiya, toh MACD pe slight bullish divergence dikhi, jo oversold zone se nikalne ki koshish thi. Lekin yeh bullish signal fail ho gaya, aur upward trend break kar gaya. Abhi mujhe lagta hai ke price 0.6639 tak gir sakta hai, magar pehle ek brief retracement expected hai 0.6815 tak, jo broken support line ke near ho sakta hai.
                       
                    • #5440 Collapse

                      AUD/USD Price Action

                      Chaliye, AUD/USD currency pair ke price ka kaise rawaya hai aur is se kya tajziya hasil kiya ja sakta hai, us par baat karte hain. M30 timeframe par, AUD/USD pair filhal Ichimoku Cloud ke andar chal raha hai. Ek bullish indication mili hai, jo bullish engulfing ke tor par hai, aur price do martaba 0.6701 level se rebound hui hai, iske upar rahi hai. Ichimoku Cloud ka lower level aur 0.6701 level dono milte hain, jo ek mazboot kharidne ka mauqa dikhata hai, jiske pehle targets 0.6723 aur 0.6741 hain. 0.6723 par pullback ke baad, ek aur upward movement price ko 0.6800 range mein le ja sakti hai, jo zyada bechne ka pressure trigger kar sakta hai. M30 chart par Commodity Channel Index (CCI) upar ki taraf ja raha hai, jo clearly upward trend ki maujoodgi ko dikhata hai. Yeh bullish momentum aage bhi barqarar rehne ki umeed hai, isliye bechne se bacha jana chahiye jab tak price 0.6701 ke neeche nahi girti aur us level ke neeche consolidate nahi hoti. Agar aisa breakdown hota hai, toh sales targets 0.6686 aur 0.6661 honge.

                      AUD/USD shows a transition from a downtrend to an uptrend. A sloping support line has been established, guiding the price action for the past two trading days. Buyers have the advantage not only from the rebound off this support line and the bullish engulfing pattern formed there, but also from the price moving above both borders of the Ichimoku Cloud. This confirms the return to solid buying territory, with the next target being 0.6723, followed by potential surges to 0.6763 and 0.6773, possibly even higher.

                      The CCI on the hourly chart has exited the oversold territory and is now pointing firmly upward, signaling further growth potential. The bullish momentum is likely to persist until the 0.6801 level is reached, though a pullback from 0.6763 to 0.6723 could occur before the price heads higher again after another rebound from the support line.
                         
                      • #5441 Collapse

                        Kal, AUD/USD ka market 0.6686 zone ko cross kar gaya aur sellers stable rahe. Aaj, US news events buyers ki madad karenge ke wo wapas aayein aur sab nuksan ko samajhdari se recover kar sakein. Traders ke liye, Unemployment Rate aksar sabse zyada dekha jaane wala indicator hota hai, kyunki ye job market ki overall health ko dikhata hai aur consumer spending ko influence kar sakta hai, jo GDP par asar dalta hai. Dusri taraf, PMI reports manufacturing aur services sectors ki current state ka ek jhalak deti hain, jo economic activity par forward-looking perspective provide karti hain.AUD/USD market ek aham lamha darshata hai US dollar ke liye, jahan aage kuch key economic aur political events hone wale hain. Traders ke liye, ye developments dono mauqay aur khatron ko pesh karti hain, is liye alert rehna aur strategies ko naye information ke saath adapt karna zaroori hai. FOMC member Harker ki ek speech Federal Reserve ke monetary policy par valuable insights provide karne ki umeed hai, jo market ki interest rate trends aur US dollar ki overall strength par asar daal sakti hai. Iske saath, Richmond Manufacturing Index ka release US manufacturing sector ki health ka snapshot dega, jo economic activity ka ek aur vital component hai jo market sentiment ko sway kar sakta hai. Umeed hai ke AUD/USD market aane wale ghanton mein ya US news data release ke dauran 0.6745 ki resistance zone ko cross karega. Is hafte ki market dynamics ko Existing Home Sales aur Crude Oil Inventories reports ki releases bhi contribute kar rahi hain. Ye dono reports broader economic conditions ke important indicators ke tor par kaam karegi. Existing Home Sales data consumer confidence aur housing market ki state ko dikhata hai, jabke Crude Oil Inventories report energy demand aur supply dynamics ka insight deti hai, jo US economy ki overall trajectory ko samajhne ke liye crucial hain.Mangal ko, AUD/USD pair 0.6660 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Pair ka daily chart technical analysis chhoti muddat ke liye negative perspective dikhata hai, jo nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche hai. Iske ilawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 ke neeche hai, jo pessimistic outlook ko support karta hai.
                        Negative direction mein, pair psychological level 0.6600 aur iski aath hafton ki low 0.6622 ko attempt kar sakta hai, jo aakhri baar 11 September ko dekhi gayi thi. 50-day EMA 0.6734 aur nine-day EMA 0.6700 resistance provide kar sakti hain. Is mark ko cross karne par psychological barrier 0.6800 ki taraf move kiya ja sakta hai
                        Click image for larger version

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                        • #5442 Collapse

                          Meri raye mein, agar price resistance ko paar nahi kar pati, toh yeh wapas daily support area ki taraf jaayegi jo ke 0.6763x ke price range mein hai. Halankeh price dobara se dominant hote hue upar barh gayi, magar apni highest resistance tak nahi pohonchi. Magar is cheez ko samajhna zaroori hai ke aaj ke liye price ka izafa zyada dominant ho sakta hai. Is waqt, sabse behthree approach yeh hai ke hum intezar karein ke price resistance ko break kare aur agli resistance tak 0.6863x ke price par pohonche, ya phir reject ho kar neeche support 0.6712x ke aas paas gir jaaye. Iss current position mein, upar jaane ka rujhan abhi bhi hai, lekin neeche jaane ka bhi equal chance hai. Meri raye mein, AUD/USD pair ke liye aaj ka mood yeh hai ke agar resistance break ho jaaye toh buy karein, aur agar support break ho jaaye toh sell karein. Yeh last candlestick ke doji form par base karta hai, jo ke buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan balance ko show karta hai. Abhi, AUD/USD pair daily opening level par trade kar raha hai jo ke balance mein lag raha hai. Aage ke price movements ko analyze karne ke liye, hum M30 time frame par nazar daal sakte hain. Yahan par do minor support aur resistance areas hain, ek 0.6787x price ke aas paas upar ki had par aur doosra 0.6778x price ke aas paas neeche ki had par. Yeh do areas aane wale time mein achi entry opportunities de sakti hain. AUD/USD currency pair ki movement abhi bhi bullish movements ke zair e tarsarf rehne ki poori guzarish hai aur is baat ka imkaan hai ke yeh aagey bhi barh sakti hai. Filhaal mein khud bhi intizaar aur talaash kar raha hoon ke bullish potential ke sath BUY setup banaye jo ke level 0.6855 ke range tak ja sake. Agar yeh target ko haasil karne mein kamyaab hoti hai toh yeh baqiyaat level ki taraf barhne mein mazeed pur-itminan hogi. Lekin agar yeh nakam hoti hai, toh umeed ki jaa sakti hai ke yeh wapas se neeche gir jaye gi. AUD/USD currency pair ki market trend jo ke mazi chand dino se bullish condition mein thi, toh buyers se yeh umeed hai ke unke paas price ko barhane ka mazeed potential ho sakta hai, lekin abhi market ke price downward correction ke sath market ki conditions Ko reverse karne ki koshish kar rahi hai, kyun ke market aaj subah se khuli hai. Relative Strength Index indicator ki line abhi bhi level 50 se upar aram se chal rahi hai jo ke bullish trend ki nishani hai. Candlestick ki position abhi bhi 0.6780 ke price level ke upar hai jo ke upward moving market ki taraf ishara kar rahi hai. Is haftay ke price movement mein momentum ko dekhte hue jo ke zyada taur par bullish direction mein move kar raha tha, meri analysis ke mutabiq yeh mumkin hai ke price dobara se bullish trend par aajaye jab tak ke market kal subah band na ho Click image for larger version



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                          • #5443 Collapse

                            AUD/USD pair ke liye strategy yeh honi chahiye ke agar resistance level tooti hai to buy karen, aur agar support level tooti hai to sell karen. Yeh tajziya recent doji candlestick formation par mabni hai, jo buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan ek balance ko darshata hai. Filhal, AUD/USD pair daily opening level par trade kar raha hai, jo ke ek balanced market ki nishani hai. Agle price movements ka behtar tajziya karne ke liye, hum M30 time frame ka dekhte hain, jahan do choti support aur resistance areas identify hui hain. Upper boundary 0.6787x ke price level ke aas paas hai, aur lower boundary 0.6778x ke aas paas hai. Yeh dono areas aane wale waqt mein achi entry opportunities faraham kar sakti hain.
                            AUD/USD currency pair ab bhi bullish movement ki potential dikhata hai, aur yeh mumkin hai ke price barhna jaari rakhe. Is waqt, main ek BUY setup banane ka mauqa talash raha hoon jiska target 0.6855 range ke aas paas hoga. Agar pair is target ko hasil kar leta hai, to yeh confidently upar ki taraf aur barh sakta hai. Lekin agar yeh fail hota hai, to price dobara girne ka bhi mumkin hai.

                            Recent bullish conditions ke mad e nazar, yeh expect kiya ja raha hai ke buyers ke paas aur bhi potential hoga price ko upar le jane ke liye. Lekin, market filhal downward correction ke nishan dikhata hai, jo trend ko reverse karne ki koshish kar raha hai, kyunke market aaj subah khuli hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator 50 ke level se kaafi upar hai, jo ke continued bullish trend ka signal hai. Candlestick ka position ab bhi 0.6780 ke price level se upar hai, jo upward-moving market ki taraf ishara kar raha hai.

                            Is haftay ki price momentum ko dekhte hue, jo ke zyadatar bullish raha hai, mera tajziya yeh hai ke price market band hone se pehle bullish trend ki taraf wapas aa sakti hai, agar koi bara tabdeeli nahi hoti

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                            • #5444 Collapse

                              AUD/USD currency pair ki price performance ka jaiza le rahe hain. Umeed hai ke US dollar ki mazid taqat badhne ki taraf rujhan hai, khaaskar is liye ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se interest rates mein koi achanak kami ki ummeed nahi hai. ECB aur doosri central banks ki tarah, Fed bhi ek gradual approach apnane ki umeed hai. Kal ke ibtidaai reports ne kuch concerns uthaye, lekin market ne in par zyada tawajjo nahi di. Technical taur par, pair ka behavior channels mein kaafi dilchasp hai. Pehle upward channel ko torne ke baad aur breakdown ka test karne ke baad, yeh ab descending channel se upar ki taraf nikal gaya hai. Is marahil par, main apne targets ko naye surat-e-haal ke mutabiq dobara dekh raha hoon.
                              Mere tajziya ke mutabiq, mujhe umeed hai ke is mein upar ki taraf movement ho sakti hai, jo 0.686 level par peak kar sakti hai. Agar market is point tak nahi pahunche, to bulls 0.6820 ke kareeb target rakh sakte hain. Yeh scenario tabhi khatam hoga jab trend mein koi significant kamzori aayegi, jo is projected goal tak pahunchnay se roke gi. Filhal, mera primary objective yeh dekhna hai ke AUD/USD 0.6820 mark ki taraf move kare.

                              Is hafte, buyers aur sellers dono ki taqat barabar nazar aa rahi hai. Lambay arse ke perspective se, is mentioned level tak ka upar uthna mumkin hai, uske baad market phir se bearish trend ki taraf shift ho sakta hai. Lekin agar yeh upward momentum nahi aata, to 0.6688 support level ek buying opportunity ban sakta hai corrective move ke taur par. Yeh mumkin hai ke market is plan par chale aur is trajectory ke along waves banaye. Kal ki halki upward movement shayad kamzor US economic data, jaise ke Producer Price Index aur University of Michigan ke figures, ya phir bears ke positions close karne ki wajah se thi. Har surat mein, downtrend ab bhi barqarar hai, aur current price action sirf ek correction lagta hai. Agar yeh correction jaari rahti hai, to buyers price ko 0.6773 resistance level ki taraf push kar sakte hain.

                              Yeh technical setup, broader market sentiment ke saath milkar, yeh darshata hai ke jab ke short-term bullish movement mumkin hai, agar price upward momentum maintain nahi kar payi, to phir downward trend ki taraf wapas jaana ho sakta hai. Traders ko key levels aur market behavior par nazar rakhni chahiye taake apne strategies ko accordingly adjust kar sakein.


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                              • <a href="https://www.instaforex.org/ru/?x=ruforum">InstaForex</a>
                              • #5445 Collapse

                                AUD/USD Price Action ka tajziya abhi chal raha hai. Yeh currency pair pichlay hafte se sideways movement dikha raha hai aur dheere dheere support line 0.6700 ka test kar raha hai. Is waqt price 0.6705 par hai, jo is level ke kareeb hai, lekin yeh abhi bhi pair ko bearish direction mein jane se rok raha hai. MACD steady decline show kar raha hai, aur Bollinger Bands narrow ho gaye hain, jo ke ek qareebi breakout aur uske baad ke girawat ki nishani hai. Is girawat ke potential stop points 0.6681, 0.6651, aur 0.6630 hain, jahan par humein market reaction ko dekhna hoga. Price din ke dauran barh kar resistance level 0.67622 tak pohanchi, lekin us ne higher levels ka test nahi kiya. Main growth ki umeed 0.67916 tak kar raha tha, lekin yeh prediction sahi nahi hui aur girawat aa gayi. Us ke baad price 0.67215 ke support tak pohoch gayi. Monday ko support ke honay ki wajah se, mujhe Tuesday ko 0.67622 resistance ki taraf growth ki umeed thi. Afsoos ke saath, meri forecast ghalat thi, kyun ke candle bearish activity dikha rahi thi aur apni lows ke qareeb trade kar rahi thi. Agar price support 0.66834 ke kareeb close hoti hai, toh main potential decline ki taraf dekhunga, jo ke 0.66485 tak ja sakti hai. Lekin agar price 0.6740 ke upar rehti hai, toh humein upward momentum ka dobarah ana dekhne ko mil sakta hai.
                                Hum oversold range ke qareeb hain, jo ke false breakdown ke chances ko barha sakta hai. Agar hum apni position maintain nahi karte, toh girawat kaafi mumkin hai. Agar 0.6700 range se ek correction hota hai, toh growth ki umeed barh jaayegi. Ek breakout agar 0.6740 ke upar hota hai, toh yeh ek upward trend ke continuation ka signal hoga, jo ke buying ke liye ek acha point ho sakta hai. Reserve Bank of Australia ki taraf se Tuesday ko jari ki gayi report ke mutabiq, central bank interest rate policy ke hawalay se sabhi options ko madde nazar rakh raha hai. RBA ka sabse bara challenge yeh hai ke girti hui inflation aur mazboot labor market ke darmiyan moazna kaise kiya jaye. Girti hui inflation rate cuts ka signal deti hai, lekin mazboot labor market is baat ki taraf ishara karti hai ke rate cuts zaroori nahi hain.

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