ای AUD/USD کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

Agar hum mojooda market ka tajziya karein, toh buyers ne kaafi achi performance dikhayi hai. Is hafte kuch ahem news events US dollar aur AUD ke hawale se aane wale hain jo AUD/USD market par gehra asar dalenge. Is liye, humein apni trading preferences ko naye market conditions ke mutabiq adjust karna hoga. AUD/USD market mein sellers ka rujhan barh sakta hai, kyun ke aanewali US dollar se mutaliq news events usko mazid mazboot kar sakti hain.

**General Overview**
Haalan ke US dollar ne global factors ke bawajood kaafi mazbooti dikhayi hai, aur is hafte kuch bade economic reports jaise ke inflation data, employment numbers, aur interest rate updates currency ki performance par asar dalenge. Yeh reports Forex market mein volatility ka sabab ban sakti hain, aur AUD/USD pair bhi is se mutasir ho sakta hai. Ek mazboot US dollar AUD par pressure daal sakta hai, jo sellers ke liye control hasil karne ke chances paida kar sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, Australia se aane wali news bhi AUD/USD market ki direction ko influence karegi. Agar Australian economic indicators, jaise ke trade balance data ya central bank ke announcements AUD ki mazbooti ka ishara dete hain, toh buyers apna momentum barqarar rakh sakte hain. Magar US dollar ke hawale se positive news expected hai, is liye market fluctuations ke liye tayar rehna zaroori hai.
Humein apni trading preferences ko naye market conditions ke mutabiq adjust karna hoga. Maslan, AUD/USD mein long positions ko reduce karna aur short positions par focus karna ek acha faisla ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar aanewali US dollar se mutaliq events dollar ki mazbooti barhate hain. Key support aur resistance levels par nazar rakhna zaroori hai taake risks ko achi tarah se manage kiya ja sake. Wasee taur par, main ye expect karta hoon ke AUD/USD market sellers ki taraf lean karegi, kyun ke aanewali US dollar se mutaliq news events usay mazid mazboot kar sakti hain. Latest economic developments se updated rehna aur unke mutabiq strategies adjust karna, aanewale dinon mein AUD/USD market ke potential shifts ko navigate karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai.

**AUD/USD Price Move**

AUD/USD ka price neechay gir chuka hai, lekin ek critical support level 0.6700 ke qareeb hai jo abhi tak break nahi kar raha. Yeh area kafi strong lag raha hai, aur price yahaan se upar ja sakta hai. Agar price 0.6755 ke accumulation zone tak upar jaye aur phir neeche giray, toh is movement ko closely monitor karna zaroori hoga. Agar price ek naya low bana kar wapas upar jaye aur volume barhaye, toh yeh is baat ka signal ho sakta hai ke neeche liquidity absorb ho chuki hai. Aisi surat mein, hum price mein tezi dekh sakte hain jo 0.6926 tak pahunch sakti hai – yeh woh level hai jahan significant funds ho sakte hain.

Wave structure abhi upward trend ko show kar raha hai, lekin RSI abhi lower selling zone mein hai. Halanki yeh signal line se upar hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke ek upward correction ho sakta hai. Pehle bhi meine yeh decline predict kiya tha jab price bohot tez nahi gir raha tha, aur bearish divergence MACD par nazar aa rahi thi. Iske saath ek reversal pattern bhi develop hua – ek ascending wedge – jo eventually break ho gaya.

Ek firm consolidation 0.6906 ke neeche hone se sell signals confirm hue. Yeh level jo pehle support tha, ab resistance ban gaya, aur yahi optimal selling point tha. Yeh analysis bilkul accurate prove hua, khas kar is wajah se ke US dollar pichle kuch hafton mein major currencies ke muqable mein kafi strong tha. Yeh downward pressure continue raha aur AUD/USD pair par bearish momentum barqarar raha.



Daily chart par price ek ascending support line ko touch kar chuka tha, aur MACD mein halki si bullish divergence dekhne ko mili jab indicator oversold zone se nikalne ki koshish kar raha tha. Lekin yeh signal fail hua, aur upward trend toot gaya. Ab mujhe umeed hai ke price 0.6639 tak girayga. Iss se pehle, ek short-term retracement ka chance hai jo 0.6815 tak ja sakta hai – yeh broken line ka retest hoga – uske baad phir downward move expected hai.

Yeh price action batata hai ke market sentiment abhi bhi weak hai, aur momentum bearish side par hai, lekin liquidity traps ke signals ko ignore nahi karna chahiye. Aane wale dinon mein, AUD/USD par closely nazar rakhni hogi taake kisi sudden reversal ko timely identify kiya ja sake.

اکتوبر 23 2024 کو اے یو ڈی/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

گزشتہ روز آسٹریلوی ڈالر میں 22 پِپس کا اضافہ ہوا۔ 0.6640 پر سپورٹ بغیر جانچ کی گئی، جس نے ایک واضح صعودی قیمت چینل (رنگ میں سبز) بنانے میں مدد کی۔ روزانہ چارٹ پر ایک معمولی کنورجنس بھی بنتا ہے، جس کا مقصد قیمت کو 0.6727 پر قریب ترین مزاحمت سے اوپر دھکیلنا ہے، جو ممکنہ طور پر ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن (0.6777) کی طرف حرکت کو متحرک کرتا ہے۔



اگر قیمت امریکی صدارتی انتخابات کی تاریخ کے قریب آنے کے ساتھ ہی ایک غیر جانبدار ریاست کا ہدف رکھتی ہے، تو یہ غیر جانبدار علاقہ 0.6885 کے نشان کے ارد گرد، 0.6827/85 کی رینج تجویز کرنے والے مقامی چینل کی مرکزی لائن ہو سکتا ہے۔ متوقع حد کم ہوسکتی ہے، لیکن مجموعی طور پر، ہم قیمت میں اضافے کے رجحان کا مشاہدہ کرتے ہیں۔

ایچ -٤ چارٹ پر، قیمت ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. انڈیکیٹر لائن کے اوپر مضبوط ہو گئی ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر صفر لائن پر حملہ کر رہا ہے، قیمت کو 0.6727 کے قریب دھکیل رہا ہے۔ یہ مزاحمتی سطح تقریباً 21 اکتوبر کی بلند ترین سطح کے ساتھ ملتی ہے—اسے اہم بناتی ہے۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Is chart ke mutabiq, hum dekh sakte hain ke price ne pehle ek strong bullish trend follow kiya, jahan price ne upper yellow zone ko test kiya. Iske baad, price ne neeche ki taraf movement start ki, aur phir 200-period Moving Average (red line) ke neeche close hui. Yeh signal hai ke bearish trend dominate kar raha hai. Blue aur red lines Moving Averages hain, jo hume market ke short-term aur medium-term trends dikhati hain.

Chart par humein ek downward breakout ka bhi indication milta hai, jahan price neeche arrow ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Yeh batata hai ke agar price lower yellow zone ko break karti hai, toh aur neeche girne ke chances hain. Is level par humne pehle bhi strong support dekha hai, lekin ab agar yeh zone break hota hai, toh market mein sellers ka control barh sakta hai.

Agar hum price ki overall movement dekhein, toh yeh pattern humein suggest karta hai ke market ab ek correction ya decline phase mein enter ho rahi hai. Is chart ke mutabiq, agla major support level lower yellow zone ke kareeb hai, aur yeh dekhna zaroori hoga ke price us zone par kaise react karti hai.

Agar price wahan support le leti hai, toh hum ek bounce ke liye ready ho sakte hain. Warna, agar yeh zone break ho gaya, toh aur bearish pressure aasakta hai jo price ko aur neeche le jaayega. Trading ke liye yeh ek zaroori waqt hai, jahan traders ko stop loss levels set karne chahiye aur apni positions ko dekhna chahiye.

Australia aur China ke darmiyan qareebi trade relation hai, aur Chinese economy mein developments ka Australian markets par bara asar ho sakta hai.PBoC ne 14-day reverse repo ke zariye banking system mein CNY 74.5 billion ka injection kiya, aur is dauran rate ko 1.95% se kam karke 1.85% kiya gaya. Iske ilawa, PBoC ne 7-day reverse repo ke zariye bhi CNY 160.1 billion ka injection kiya, jisme rate 1.7% par stable raha.AUD ko hawkish expectations se bhi faida mil raha hai, jo ke RBA ki aanay wali interest rate decision ke hawalay se hain, jo Tuesday ko hone wali hai. Expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par stable rakhegi, jo mazboot labor market aur inflationary pressures ko madde nazar rakhtay hue hai. Doosri taraf, US Dollar (USD) ki qeemat mein kami ho sakti hai kyun ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policymakers agle saal 2024 mein 75 basis points (bps) ke rate cuts predict kar rahe hain, jab ke last week unho ne aggressive 50 basis points ka rate cut kiya tha, jis se range 4.75-5.00% ho gayi hai.Monday ko AUD/USD pair 0.6820 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke pair ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai. But 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 se ooper hai, is liye aglay price movement se pair ke trend ka behtar andaza hoga. Is waqt AUD/USD pair ascending channel ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke 0.6839 ke nine-month high ke qareeb hai, jo 19 September ko dekha gaya tha. Agar is level se bounce hota hai, to pair upper boundary tak pohanch sakta hai, jo 0.6890 level ke qareeb hai. Neeche ki taraf, AUD/USD pair ko support 0.6771 par nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par mil sakta hai, aur agla aham wave ka nateeja hoga, jo humein 0.6952 tak le ja sakta hai. Yeh ek strong opportunity hogi AUD/USD sell karne ke liye, aur 0.690 se sell positions initiate ki ja sakti hain agar pair mazeed upar jata hai. Ek naya signal aane ka imkaan hai, jo strong support level 0.6857 ki taraf girawat ka ishara kar raha hai. Lekin yeh bhi mumkin hai ke pair neeche jaane se pehle upar ki taraf move kare. Phir bhi, bearish movement abhi tak primary outlook hai. Humein intezar karna padega ke forecast kaam karta hai ya nahi. Agar sellers local support range ke neeche hold karte hain, toh hum ek strong one-way decline dekh sakte hain, jo pair ko sell karne ke estimates ko confirm karega. Agar bears aage barhne mein nakam hotay hain, toh buyers control le sakte hain. Ek false breakout ka imkaan bhi madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Forecast ab bhi bearish movement par focused hai, khaaskar neural network ke clear signal ke madde nazar. Lekin plans badal bhi sakte hain, aur bulls price ko qareebi resistance level tak ya us se bhi upar push kar sakte hain

AUD/USD Price Forecast

US Dollar aksar G20 currencies ke muqable mein aur bhi upar ja raha hai. US equities aage girte ja rahe hain jab markets Fed interest-rate outlook ke liye naye normal ko calibrate kar rahe hain. US Dollar index apni October rally shuru kar raha hai aur ek crucial technical area mein enter kar raha hai.

US Dollar (USD) Wednesday ko aur mazboot hota hai, jo ke US presidential election se pehle ki uncertainty aur equities ke downbeat performance ke baad safe-haven inflow ki wajah se hai. Is beech, US bonds bhi sell off ho rahe hain, jo ye darshata hai ke US rates barh rahe hain; US 10-year benchmark Monday ko 4.07% se lekar Wednesday ko 4.23% tak pahuncha hai. King Dollar wapas scene par hai aur November 5 ke election se pehle uncertainty ke barhne ke saath aur tez ho sakta hai.

US economic front par, Wednesday ke liye markets ke liye bohot halka calendar hai. Existing Home Sales numbers ke ilawa, economic data se kuch khas nahi hai jo current stance ko badal sake. Iske bajaye, US earnings par nazar rakhein, jahan heavyweights jaise Tesla, IBM, Boeing aur Coca-Cola apni earnings release karne wale hain.

AUD/USD Analysis

AUD/USD ne 0.6650 ke neeche naye lower lows bana diye hain. Pair ka medium aur short-term downtrend shayad dobara shuru ho raha hai.

AUD/USD apni girawat ko continue kar raha hai jo September 30 ke highs se shuru hui thi. Wednesday ko, pair purane low 0.6650 ke neeche gir gaya. Lower low ka establishment short aur medium-term downtrend ke continuation ka ishara deta hai, aur technical analysis ke principle ke mutabiq "the trend is your friend," is wajah se aur girawat ke chances zyada hain.

Agla bearish target green 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) par 0.6628 hai. Is level ke neeche girawat aur zyada hone ke liye, September 11 ka swing low aur support level 0.6622 ko todna hoga.

Agar yeh successful hota hai, to price shayad 0.6565 tak gir sakta hai, jo August 15 ka swing low hai.

Momentum, jo Relative Strength Index (RSI) se measure kiya gaya hai, waning bearish pressure dikhata hai, lekin yeh downside par follow-through ki kami ko darshata hai.

AUD/USD

Salam aur subh bakhair sab ko!

AUD/USD ka bazaar kal 0.6680 ke aas-paas pohanch gaya tha. Yeh dikhata hai ke aaj kal bechne wale mazboot hain kyun ke US dollar par kaafi news events hain. Jaise ke US Flash aur Home Sales rate, in se bechne walon ki stability banay rakhne mein madad mil sakti hai. Is liye hum aur investors FOMC Member Waller ki aane wali taqreer par nazar rakh rahe hain, kyun ke unke bayan aksar bazaar ke jazbat par asar daal dete hain, khaaskar mustaqbil ki monetary policy ke hawale se. Waller ke pichle bayanon se yeh pata chalta hai ke unka asar key issues jaise interest rates aur inflation par ho sakta hai. Traders unki taqreer se koi bhi ishara dekhne ki koshish karenge jo Federal Reserve ki rate adjustments ya economic outlook par raushan daal sake. Agar Waller ka lehja dovish hota hai, yani agar woh kehte hain ke Fed aane wale waqt mein rate barhane mein ihtiyaat karega, to bazaar ka rukh positive ho sakta hai, jisse stocks aur risk assets ko faida hoga. Iske baraks, agar unka lehja hawkish hota hai, jo inflation par fikar ya zyada rate hikes ki zaroorat ka ishara dega, to yeh bazaar ka manzar e qabul ko manfi asar daal sakta hai, kyunki zyada rates aksar asset prices ko pressure mein la dete hain. Mujhe umeed hai ke aaj AUD/USD ka bazaar kharidne walon ke haq mein rahega. Woh jald ya baad mein 0.6732 zone ko paar kar sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, traders ko bazaar ke jazbat par nazar rakhni chahiye aur apni strategies mein stop-loss orders shamil karni chahiye. Bazaar ka jazbat traders aur investors ka ek jamaa outlook hota hai kisi khaas bazaar ya asset ke liye, jo economic data, geopolitical events, aur central bank policy jese factors se tayyar hota hai. Jazbat ko samajhna bohot zaroori hai, kyunki yeh potential price trends ka insight faraham karta hai. Misal ke taur par, bullish jazbat yeh darust karta hai ke price barhne ki umeed hai, jabke bearish jazbat aane wale kami ka ishara de sakta hai.

Khush rahiye aur pur sukoon rahiye!

Discussion ka markazi maqsad AUD/USD currency pair ki harkat ka tajziya karna hai. Haal hi mein bazaar ki kharidari ne keemat ko upar ki taraf dhakel diya hai, jo positive nateeje de raha hai. Ab bazaar apne aakhri upar ke rukh mein nazar aa raha hai, is liye mazeed kharidari kaafi khatarnak ho sakti hai. Is waqt 0.66889 ki level se bechne ka amal zyada maqool lagta hai. Agar kharidari ki taqat puri tarah khatam nahi hui hai, tab bhi unchi qeematon par bechne se baad mein achhe nateeje mil sakte hain. Ek aham nishan, jo maujooda short positions ko mazid majboot karega, agar AUD/USD ki keemat 0.66875 ke resistance level se neeche gir jaaye. Beche jaane wale positions ko din ki shuruaati qeemat 0.66575 tak ya us se bhi neeche rakha ja sakta hai, yeh dekhte hue ke sellers kaise maujooda bazaar ki shiraafat par asar daal rahe hain. Ek badalti hui soorat-e-haal mein, agar AUD/USD zyada bullish rukh ikhtiyar kare, toh agar bazaar 0.6731 ki taraf khulta hai aur phir is level se neeche girta hai bina 0.6689 se neeche aaye, toh yeh 0.6800 tak ke volume-accumulated level ki taraf tez udaan de sakta hai, jahan yeh resistance ko test karega.

As asset ki keemat 0.6800 level se neeche gir sakti hai, jo ke neeche ki taraf rukh ko jari rakhegi. Dollar ki karکردگی, jo Friday ko kamzor hui, is keemat par khaas asar dalegi. Filhal, main bechne ka irada nahi rakhta aur lambi positions par focus karne ka plan bana raha hoon, 0.6676 ke aas-paas kharidari karna soch raha hoon kyunke stop-loss ka nuqsan kam hoga. Magar, bearish trend ka ulta hona abhi tasdeeq karne ke liye bohot jaldi hai, aur 0.6761 ka level din ba din zyada ahmiyat ikhtiyar kar raha hai.

AUD/USD chart ka tajziya karte hue, keemat ne haal hi mein apne pichle low ko aur neeche gir kar update kiya, phir se ulta hua aur bullish rukh mein upar ki taraf chala gaya. Yeh harkat yeh darust karti hai ke aakhri keemat ka girna neeche ki levels par liquidity ko puri tarah khatam kar chuka hai, jo shayad chart par highlighted rectangle ke andar ho. Agar keemat neeche nahi girti aur zone ke neeche ki had ko todne mein nakam hoti hai, toh yeh upar ki taraf ke rukh ko jari rakhne ki nishani ban sakti hai. Agar keemat 0.6729 ki taraf barhti hai aur phir us point se peeche hat'ti hai bina 0.6685 se neeche aaye, toh yeh ek mazboot upar ki taraf ki udaan ki taraf le ja sakti hai, jahan keemat 0.6685 se 0.6978 ke volume level tak tezi se barh sakti hai.

Guftagu AUD/USD currency pair ke harkat ka jaiza lene par mabni hai. Haal ke market buying ne price ko upar dhakela hai, jo positive results ka sabab bana hai. Ab market apne aakhri upar ke rukh ki marahil mein hai, jis se mazeed buying kaafi risky lagti hai. Abhi ke level 0.66889 se sell positions kholna zyada logical strategy hai. Agar buyers ki taqat abhi tak khatam nahi hui, toh bhi unchi prices par bechne se baad mein achhe results mil sakte hain.

Ek key signal jo maujooda short positions ko mazboot karega, woh hoga agar AUD/USD price resistance level 0.66875 se neeche girta hai. Sales ko tab tak rakha ja sakta hai jab tak din ka opening price 0.66575 ya is se bhi neeche nahi pahuncha, yeh is baat par depend karega ke sellers current market conditions par kitna asar daal sakte hain.

Ek alternative scenario mein, AUD/USD ek zyada bullish rukh le sakta hai agar market price ke saath 0.6731 ki taraf khulte hai aur phir us level se girte hain bina 0.6689 ke neeche aaye, jis se ek tezi se upar ki taraf barhavat ho sakti hai takay volume-accumulated level 0.6800 par pahunche aur is resistance ko test kare.

Asaami ke price 0.6800 level par haali ke low se neeche gir sakta hai, jo downward trend ko jaari rakhega. Dollar ki performance, jo Friday ko kamzor hui, price par khaas asar dalegi. Filhal, main sell karne ki taraf nahi ja raha, aur main long positions par focus karne ka plan bana raha hoon, 0.6676 ke aas-paas buying karne par, kyunki wahan stop-loss bohot minimal hoga. Lekin, bearish trend reversal ki confirmation ke liye abhi bohot jaldi hai, aur 0.6761 level har guzarne ke sath zyada ahmiyat hasil kar raha hai.

AUD/USD chart ka jaiza lete hue, prices ne haal hi mein apna pichla low update kiya hai, aur is se pehle girawat ke baad bullish direction mein barh gayi hain. Yeh harkat is baat ka ishara de sakti hai ke aakhri girawat ne niche levels par liquidity ko poori tarah khatam kar diya hai, jo chart par highlight kiya gaya rectangle mein ho sakta hai. Agar price neeche nahi girta aur zone ke lower boundary se nahi tutta, toh yeh upar ki taraf price tendency ka jaari rehne ka ishara de sakta hai.

Agar price 0.6729 level ki taraf barhta hai aur phir us point se girta hai bina 0.6685 ke neeche aaye, toh yeh ek mazboot upward surge ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jahan price 0.6685 se lekar volume level 0.6978 tak tezi se barh sakta hai.

**AUD/USD ki Movement ka Jaiza**

AUD/USD pair is waqt moderate decline dekh rahi hai, apne pehle wale 2% rally gains ko retrace karte hue. Yeh movement Fed aur RBA ki monetary policies ke darmiyan tafreeq (divergence) ko reflect karta hai. Jahaan Fed interest rate adjustments pe ehtiyaat se kaam le raha hai, wahin Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ka stable stance Aussie dollar ko support de raha hai, jis ki wajah se Australian dollar ne U.S. dollar (Greenback) ke muqable mein apni strength qaim rakhi hui hai. Abhi AUD/USD pair kareeb 0.6666 level par trade kar rahi hai.

**RBA Meeting Minutes aur Australian Dollar ki Strength:**
RBA ke recent meeting minutes ke mutabiq, board ne is mahine rate hike ka socha tha lekin aakhir mein current rates qaim rakhne ka faisla kiya. Yeh faisla is baat ka izhaar hai ke board ko lagta hai ke rate stable rakhna risks ka behtareen balance hai. Board members is baat pe mutafiq hain ke qareebi arsay mein rate cut ka koi imkaan nahi hai. Yeh stance Australian dollar ko support deta hai, khas kar jab Fed pe dovish expectations ka pressure hai.

**AUD/USD Fundamentals:*
*
Federal Reserve ki Governor Michelle Bowman ne recent statement mein monetary policy mein tabdeeli se pehle ehtiyaat baratne par zor diya hai. Reuters ke mutabiq, Bowman ne warning di ke har economic data point pe zyada react karne se inflation control karne mein rukawat ho sakti hai. Yeh ehtiyaati approach RBA ke stable stance se mukhtalif hai, jo AUD/USD rate mein ek unique dynamic create karti hai.


China ke struggling real estate market ko support karne ki koshish bhi AUD/USD par asar daal rahi hai. Bloomberg ke mutabiq, Chinese government ne local authorities ko special bonds ke zariye unsold properties kharidne ka plan diya hai. Iss saal ke CNY 3.9 trillion ($546 billion) bond allocation ka zyada hissa local governments already use kar chuki hain, lekin yeh clear nahi hai ke baqi funds real estate pe kharch honge ya nahi. China ke trade ties ki wajah se, yeh developments Australian economy pe bhi asar daal sakti hain.

**Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:**
Technical perspective se dekha jaye to AUD/USD pair apna six-week low 0.6621 test kar sakti hai, jo 11 September ko dekha gaya tha. Agar yeh level breach hota hai, to yeh descending channel ke lower boundary ke qareeb 0.6580 ko bhi touch kar sakti hai. Is se pehle, yeh ascending channel ke lower boundary pe 0.6600 ka level test kar sakti hai, aur additional support 0.6586 ke qareeb expected hai. Traders ko in key levels par nazar rakhni chahiye, taake pair ke agle move ko samjha ja sake.

**Summary:**

AUD/USD ki current movement Fed aur RBA ki contrasting monetary policies ke ilawa China ki economic strategies se bhi shape ho rahi hai. Traders ko technical levels ke saath economic developments pe bhi nazar rakhni chahiye, taake possible trading opportunities ko assess kar sakein.

ka consensus warning deta hai, yeh zahir hota hai ke bulls ab zyada active ho gaye hain, aur ab buying ko tarjeeh deni chahiye. Hicken Ashi candlesticks, jo ke price levels ko define karti hain aur regular Japanese candlesticks se mukhtalif hain, meri madad karti hain ke main har reversal moment, corrective rollbacks, aur impulse shootouts ko barwaqt pehchan sakoon. Saath hi, TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator bhi bohat zyada madadgar hai, jo ke chart par support aur resistance ke advanced marks draw karta hai. Yeh indicator us waqt moving assets ke limits ko zahir karta hai jab wo apne maqam par pohonch jata hai. Indicators ko close karne aur deal ko finalize karne ke liye main RSI oscillator ka use karta hoon, jo ke overbought aur oversold zones ko zahir karta hai. Yeh tareeqa instruments ki buying aur selling ko priority dene mein madad karta hai aur ghalat market entries se bachata hai. Ab jo main chart par dekh raha hoon, Hicken Ash candles ka rang ab blue mein badal gaya hai, jo zahir karta hai ke ab bullish mode zyada dominate karega, aur yeh waqt hai ke long trades execute kiye jayen. Prices ne linear channel ke lower line ko cross kar diya tha, lekin neechay ka sabse kam darja choonay ke baad wapas channel ke center line par aa gayi hain. Basement RSI indicator bhi ab buying signal de raha hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke ab yeh trade karne ke liye achha waqt hai. Main expect kar raha hoon ke price 0.69500 ke maqam tak barh sakti hai jo ke channel ke upper border par hai. Jab order value zone mein dakhil ho jaye, to breakeven ki taraf move karne ka mashwara hai kyun ke market kabhi kabhi humari expectations ko ghalat moves se influence karta hai. Ab agar hum AUD/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya karein, to Friday ko AUD/USD pair H1 pivot 0.6835 tak nahi pohonch saka tha aur growth 0.6830 par ruk gayi thi. Lekin support level 0.6783 ne price ko zyada girne se roka. Session 0.6816 se rebound ke saath khatam hua, lekin H1 pivot 7/8 (0.6804) tak gir gaya, jab ke M15 time frame bullish raha. Yeh bullish setup yeh batata hai ke Monday se growth 0.6830 tak jaari reh sakti hai. Agar price neechay 0.6790 ke level se toot jata hai, to meri strategy badal jayegi aur phir yeh decline 0.6769 aur 0.6749 ke zone tak

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Approved
19-10-2024, 06:59 PM

buying ko tarjeeh deni chahiye. Hicken Ashi candlesticks, jo ke price levels ko define karti hain aur regular Japanese candlesticks se mukhtalif hain, meri madad karti hain ke main har reversal moment, corrective rollbacks, aur impulse shootouts ko barwaqt pehchan sakoon. Saath hi, TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator bhi bohat zyada madadgar hai, jo ke chart par support aur resistance ke advanced marks draw karta hai. Yeh indicator us waqt moving assets ke limits ko zahir karta hai jab wo apne maqam par pohonch jata hai. Indicators ko close karne aur deal ko finalize karne ke liye main RSI oscillator ka use karta hoon, jo ke overbought aur oversold zones ko zahir karta hai. Yeh tareeqa instruments ki buying aur selling ko priority dene mein madad karta hai aur ghalat market entries se bachata hai. Ab jo main chart par dekh raha hoon, Hicken Ash candles ka rang ab blue mein badal gaya hai, jo zahir karta hai ke ab bullish mode zyada dominate karega, aur yeh waqt hai ke long trades execute kiye jayen. Prices ne linear channel ke lower line ko cross kar diya tha, lekin neechay ka sabse kam darja choonay ke baad wapas channel ke center line par aa gayi hain. Basement RSI indicator bhi ab buying signal de raha hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke ab yeh trade karne ke liye achha waqt hai. Main expect kar raha hoon ke price 0.69500 ke maqam tak barh sakti hai jo ke channel ke upper border par hai. Jab order value zone mein dakhil ho jaye, to breakeven ki taraf move karne ka mashwara hai kyun ke market kabhi kabhi humari expectations ko ghalat moves se influence karta hai. Ab agar hum AUD/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya karein, to Friday ko AUD/USD pair H1 pivot 0.6835 tak nahi pohonch saka tha aur growth 0.6830 par ruk gayi thi. Lekin support level 0.6783 ne price ko zyada girne se roka. Session 0.6816 se rebound ke saath khatam hua, lekin H1 pivot 7/8 (0.6804) tak gir gaya, jab ke M15 time frame bullish raha. Yeh bullish setup yeh batata hai ke Monday se growth 0.6830 tak jaari reh sakti hai. Agar price neechay 0.6790 ke level se toot jata hai, to meri strategy badal jayegi aur phir yeh decline 0.6769 aur 0.6749 ke zo

qeemti maloomat haasil kar rahe honge. Aaj hum AUD/USD currency pair ka H4 time frame pe jaiza lete hain. Haal hi mein AUD/USD market ke bulls ne mazahmat dikhai, aur pair ko aham 0.6713 level ke upar le gaye. Ye upar ki taraf harkat strong buying interest ka izhar karti hai, jo ke bullish momentum ke qayam rehne ka ishara deti hai. Doosri taraf, sellers yani bears, pressure mein hain aur control hasil karne mein mushkilat ka samna kar rahe hain. Ye dynamic short-term buying opportunities ke liye ek achi surat-e-haal paish kar raha hai, lekin ehtiyaat ke saath optimism bhi maujood hai. AUD/USD ke bullish sentiment ke peeche kuch wajahen hain. Pehle, Australia se aane wale taaza economic data, jaise employment figures aur GDP growth, kaafi acha raha, jis ne Australian Dollar ko support kiya. Is ke ilawa, market sentiment risk assets ki taraf, jin mein commodities aur emerging market currencies shamil hain, behter hua hai, jo AUD ke liye faidamand raha. In factors ne mil kar Australian Dollar ke strength mein izafa kiya hai against the US Dollar. Technical point se dekha jaye to, 0.6702 level ke upar break hona kaafi significant hai, kyun ke ye ek important resistance-turned-support zone hai. Traders aksar aise levels ko bullish trends ke tasdeeq ke liye dekhte hain aur long positions ke liye entry points samajhte hain. Jab tak price is level ke upar rehti hai, ye bullish bias ko reinforce karti hai in the short term. Lekin, jabke bullish momentum mazboot hai, kuch challenges bhi ho sakte hain. Bears jo ke filhal pressure mein hain, agar market sentiment mein koi tabdeeli hoti hai ya koi achanak economic developments hoti hain, to wo wapas control hasil karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Is liye, traders ko hamesha hoshiyaar rehna chahiye aur key support aur resistance levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Traders dekh sakte hain ke AUD/USD ki mazid strength ka tasdeeq tab hoti hai jab price 0.6720 ke upar rehti hai. Agar price recent highs ko break kar leti hai, to ye mazid upside potential ka ishara de sakti hai, jo ke agla psychological level 0.6750 ya us se upar tak target kar sakti hai. Is ke bar’aks, agar pair 0.6720 ke upar rehnay mein nakam hoti hai aur wapas girti hai, to traders pehle ke lows ya moving averages jaise support levels ko dekh sakte hain for potential buying opportunities. AUD/USD ka H4 time frame filhal bullish activity ko reflect kar raha hai, aur pair 0.6700 level se upar hai. Ye suggest karta hai ke buyers dominate kar rahe hain, jabke sellers pressure mein hain. Traders ko overall market sentiment aur technical indicators ka jaiza lena chahiye jab short-term buying opportunities ka andaza lagayein. Hamesha ki tarah, ye zaroori hai ke aap economic news aur global developments se baakhabar rahein jo ke currency pair ki direction pe asar

AUD/USD 1-Hour Chart Ka Tajziya

AUD/USD ka 1-hour chart ek wazeh downtrend dikhata hai, jahan yeh joڑی ab 0.66708 ke aas-paas trade kar rahi hai, aur yeh lagatar lower highs aur lower lows bana rahi hai, jo ke October ke shuruat se hai. Price ko kisi bhi aham upward momentum ko dhoondhne mein mushkilat ka samna hai, aur upar ki taraf break karne ki koshishain baar baar mukhalif liquidity levels (DLiq) par fail hoti rahi hain. Fair Value Gaps (FVG) aur liquidity zones ka ek silsila market ki is tendency ko darshata hai ke yeh liquidity ko grab karne se pehle bearish movement ko jaari rakhta hai. Bechne walon ka market par pakka control dikhata hai, kyunki kai aise areas hain jahan liquidity ko liya gaya hai, khaaskar sell-side par.

Aakhri price action yeh dikhata hai ke AUD/USD ne 0.67000 level ko test karne ke baad niche ki taraf chalna shuru kiya, jahan usne aham resistance ka samna kiya. Is level ko cross karne mein nakami yeh darshata hai ke bechne wale ab bhi dominant hain, jo price ko 0.66700 ke aas-paas ek key support zone ki taraf le ja rahe hain. Yeh support level ahmiyat rakhta hai, kyunki isne pehle kharidaaron ko kuch der ke liye raahat faraham ki hai.

Lekin, overall bearish structure yeh darshata hai ke agar yeh support level toot gaya, toh niche ki taraf chalne ki sambhavana hai. Pichle hafte, market ne ek wazeh bearish momentum dikhaya hai, jahan multiple liquidity grabs ke zariye lower lows banaye gaye hain. 0.67500 ka region pehle ke rally ke koshishon mein ek mazboot resistance zone bana raha hai, lekin har rejection ke sath, yeh joڑی niche ki taraf girne ke kareeb aati ja rahi hai. Chart par key liquidity zones, jo ke 0.67500, 0.67000, aur 0.66700 ke aas-paas hain, price direction ke liye pivotal hain.

Agar yeh joڑی 0.66700 se neeche convincingly break kar jati hai, toh yeh ek sell-off ko trigger kar sakti hai, jo ke 0.66000 ke aas-paas lower liquidity areas ko target karega. Upar ki taraf, kisi bhi meaningful recovery ke liye pehle kai resistance levels ko todna zaroori hoga, jo ke 0.67000 se shuru hota hai, aur phir 0.67500 ke aas-paas ek zyada substantial barrier aata hai. Lekin, agar koi significant bullish pressure nahi aata, toh overall downtrend barqarar rehne ki sambhavana hai, jab bechne wale narrative par control rakhte hain. Filhal, AUD/USD bearish territory mein hai, aur n

AUD/USD pair is abhi 0.6763x range ke andar trade kar raha hai, aur upward momentum ka izhaar kar raha hai, lekin abhi tak apne highest resistance level tak nahi pohoncha. Aaj ke price increase dominate kar sakti hai, lekin ye dekhna zaroori hai ke price resistance todh kar 0.6863x tak jaa sakta hai ya nahi, ya phir price reject ho kar support level 0.6712x ke qareeb wapas gir sakti hai. Is waqt market mein bullish tendency nazar aa rahi hai, magar downward movement ka chance bhi barabar hai. Mere khayal se aaj ka best strategy ye hai ke agar resistance break ho jaye to BUY karen, aur agar support break ho to SELL karen. Ye analysis ek recent doji candlestick formation par mabni hai, jo buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan balance ko represent karti hai. Filhal AUD/USD pair daily opening level par trade kar raha hai, jo balanced market ko show karta hai.

Agar hum M30 time frame dekhen to do minor support aur resistance areas identify kiye gaye hain. Upper boundary 0.6787x ke qareeb hai, jabke lower boundary 0.6778x ke qareeb. Ye dono areas near-future mein acchi entry opportunities de sakte hain.

Abhi market bullish movement ka potential dikha raha hai, aur chances hain ke price upward trend mein continue kare. Main ab ek BUY setup ka wait kar raha hoon, jisme target 0.6855 range ke aas-paas hoga. Agar pair is target ko achieve kar leta hai, to price mazeed higher levels ki taraf confidently move kar sakti hai. Magar agar ye fail ho, to price dobara neeche girne ka imkan hai.

Recent bullish conditions ke madde nazar, umeed hai ke buyers ke paas price ko aur upar push karne ka potential hoga. Lekin market ab kuch downward correction ke signs bhi show kar rahi hai, trend ko reverse karne ki koshish mein hai, kyunke market abhi subah open hui hai. RSI indicator abhi 50 level se upar hai, jo bullish trend ka signal deta hai. Candlestick ki position bhi 0.6780 price level se upar hai, jo upward-moving market ki taraf ishara kar rahi hai.



Is week ka price momentum predominantly bullish raha hai, aur analysis ye suggest karta hai ke price dobara bullish trend mein aa sakta hai, agar kal subah tak koi major shift na aaye. Pair ab kuch critical technical levels ke qareeb hai. Analysts ka kehna hai ke agar 0.6700 support level hold karta hai, to agle dinon mein 0.6740 ke upar break ka chance barh jaye ga. Clear break agar 0.6740 ke upar hoti hai to mazeed gains ka rasta khul sakta hai, jahan next major resistance level 0.6800 hoga. Recent sessions mein Australian dollar ne sirf 0.6700 mark break nahi kiya, balki aur upar surge karte hue intraday high 0.6727 tak pohonch gaya, jo bullish momentum ko reinforce karta hai.