ای AUD/USD کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

ya instrument khareedne ke liye bohat high ho chuka hai. Jaise jaise waqt guzarta hai aur device ka consensus warning deta hai, yeh zahir h ota hai ke bulls ab zyada active ho gaye hain, aur ab buying ko tarjeeh deni chahiye. Hicken Ashi candlesticks, jo ke price levels ko define karti hain aur regular Japanese candlesticks se mukhtalif hain, meri madad karti hain ke main har reversal moment, corrective rollbacks, aur impulse shootouts ko barwaqt pehchan sakoon. Saath hi, TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator bhi bohat zyada madadgar hai, jo ke chart par support aur resistance ke advanced marks draw karta hai. Yeh indicator us waqt moving assets ke limits ko zahir karta hai jab wo apne maqam par pohonch jata hai.

Indicators ko close karne aur deal ko finalize karne ke liye main RSI oscillator ka use karta hoon, jo ke overbought aur oversold zones ko zahir karta hai. Yeh tareeqa instruments ki buying aur selling ko priority dene mein madad karta hai aur ghalat market entries se bachata hai. Ab jo main chart par dekh raha hoon, Hicken Ash candles ka rang ab blue mein badal gaya hai, jo zahir karta hai ke ab bullish mode zyada dominate karega, aur yeh waqt hai ke long trades execute kiye jayen. Prices ne linear channel ke lower line ko cross kar diya tha, lekin neechay ka sabse kam darja choonay ke baad wapas channel ke center line par aa gayi hain. Basement RSI indicator bhi ab buying signal de raha hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke ab yeh trade karne ke liye achha waqt hai. Main expect kar raha hoon ke price 0.69500 ke maqam tak barh sakti hai jo ke channel ke upper border par hai. Jab order value zone mein dakhil ho jaye, to breakeven ki taraf move karne ka mashwara hai kyun ke market kabhi kabhi humari expectations ko ghalat moves se influence karta hai.

Ab agar hum AUD/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya karein, to Friday ko AUD/USD pair H1 pivot 0.6835 tak nahi pohonch saka tha aur growth 0.6830 par ruk gayi thi. Lekin support level 0.6783 ne price ko zyada girne se roka. Session 0.6816 se rebound ke saath khatam hua, lekin H1 pivot 7/8 (0.6804) tak gir gaya, jab ke M15 time frame bullish raha. Yeh bullish setup yeh batata hai ke Monday se growth 0.6830 tak jaari reh sakti hai. Agar price neechay 0.6790 ke level se toot jata hai, to meri strategy badal jayegi aur phir yeh decline 0.6769 aur 0.6749 ke zone tak barh sakta hai. Lekin agar bullish support toot gaya, aur pair 0.6699–0.6669 zone ke neeche consolidate karta hai, to ek zyada bara bearish shift dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

Kal audusd pair mein kamzori nazar aayi jo ke trend mein kaafi tabdeeli ka sabab bani. Jumeraat ki Asian session ke dauran, sellers ne subah se hi negative movement ko barqarar rakhne ki koshish ki, jo ke pichle din se shuru hui thi. Aakhir kaar, sellers ne price ko Thursday ke daily open level 0.6887 se door gira diya, EMA 200 H1 ko mukammal tor diya, jiske baad EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ne bhi neeche ki taraf hamesha ke liye extension dikhaayi. Yeh kamzori yahan khatam nahi hui, balke 0.6858 ke resistance ko tor kar price neeche gir gaya. Iss area ko cross karne ke baad, price consolidate hui kyun ke sellers ki taqat kam ho gayi aur yeh consolidation market ke close hone tak, yani 0.6842 par raha. Jummah ke trading mein, yeh static halat barqarar rahi aur price Friday ke daily open 0.6843 aur qareebi resistance 0.6864 ke darmiyan oopar neeche hoti rahi. EMA 200 H1 yeh resistance ke qareeb hai aur filhal 0.6868 ke qeemat par cross kar raha hai. Aise halaat mein, price ab bhi downward trend mein lagti hai. Bearish candles achi tarah se daily time frame par banti hui nazar aa rahi hain, jin ke highs aur lows 0.6891 aur 0.6833 par hain. Kamzori ko filhal EMA 12 daily par roknay ki koshish ki gayi hai.
Waqti tor par, kal ke trading conditions ne bearish current ko reconfirm kar diya hai, jo ke further kamzori ka ishara karti hain. Market saturation ne negative price movements ko trigger kiya hai. Agar EMA 12 daily successfully penetrate ho jata hai, toh bearish price target EMA 36 daily ya daily support 0.6780 ke qareeb hoga. Iss area mein, buyers momentum ka intezaar kar sakte hain, ke trend abhi bhi daily par bullish hai. Prices abhi tak EMA 200 daily aur EMA 633 daily ke oopar chal rahi hain, jahan EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily upward extend kar rahi hain. Stochastic neeche ki taraf point kar raha hai, jo ke market saturation ke signal ka reaction dikhata hai jo pichle chand dinon se dikhayi de raha tha. Kul mila ke, AUDUSD abhi short term mein bearish nazar aata hai. Magar, aaj raat ke payrolls data ke release hone ke baad, paison ke bazar mein aam taur se zyada volatility aasakti hai.

Kal audusd pair mein kamzori nazar aayi jo ke trend mein kaafi tabdeeli ka sabab bani. Jumeraat ki Asian session ke dauran, sellers ne subah se hi negative movement ko barqarar rakhne ki koshish ki, jo ke pichle din se shuru hui thi. Aakhir kaar, sellers ne price ko Thursday ke daily open level 0.6887 se door gira diya, EMA 200 H1 ko mukammal tor diya, jiske baad EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ne bhi neeche ki taraf hamesha ke liye extension dikhaayi. Yeh kamzori yahan khatam nahi hui, balke 0.6858 ke resistance ko tor kar price neeche gir gaya. Iss area ko cross karne ke baad, price consolidate hui kyun ke sellers ki taqat kam ho gayi aur yeh consolidation market ke close hone tak, yani 0.6842 par raha. Jummah ke trading mein, yeh static halat barqarar rahi aur price Friday ke daily open 0.6843 aur qareebi resistance 0.6864 ke darmiyan oopar neeche hoti rahi. EMA 200 H1 yeh resistance ke qareeb hai aur filhal 0.6868 ke qeemat par cross kar raha hai. Aise halaat mein, price ab bhi downward trend mein lagti hai. Bearish candles achi tarah se daily time frame par banti hui nazar aa rahi hain, jin ke highs aur lows 0.6891 aur 0.6833 par hain. Kamzori ko filhal EMA 12 daily par roknay ki koshish ki gayi hai.
Waqti tor par, kal ke trading conditions ne bearish current ko reconfirm kar diya hai, jo ke further kamzori ka ishara karti hain. Market saturation ne negative price movements ko trigger kiya hai. Agar EMA 12 daily successfully penetrate ho jata hai, toh bearish price target EMA 36 daily ya daily support 0.6780 ke qareeb hoga. Iss area mein, buyers momentum ka intezaar kar sakte hain, ke trend abhi bhi daily par bullish hai. Prices abhi tak EMA 200 daily aur EMA 633 daily ke oopar chal rahi hain, jahan EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily upward extend kar rahi hain. Stochastic neeche ki taraf point kar raha hai, jo ke market saturation ke signal ka reaction dikhata hai jo pichle chand dinon se dikhayi de raha tha. Kul mila ke, AUDUSD abhi short term mein bearish nazar aata hai. Magar, aaj raat ke payrolls data ke release hone ke baad, paison ke bazar mein aam taur se zyada volatility aasakti hai.

Monday ko release hone wale kamzor Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data ke bawajood AUD ne US Dollar (USD ) ke muqable mein achi position hasil ki hai. AUD/USD ka strong hona China ke central bank PBoC ke banking system mein liquidity inject karne se bhi related ho sakta hai, kyun ke Australia aur China ke darmiyan qareebi trade relation hai, aur Chinese economy mein developments ka Australian markets par bara asar ho sakta hai.PBoC ne 14-day reverse repo ke zariye banking system mein CNY 74.5 billion ka injection kiya, aur is dauran rate ko 1.95% se kam karke 1.85% kiya gaya. Iske ilawa, PBoC ne 7-day reverse repo ke zariye bhi CNY 160.1 billion ka injection kiya, jisme rate 1.7% par stable raha.AUD ko hawkish expectations se bhi faida mil raha hai, jo ke RBA ki aanay wali interest rate decision ke hawalay se hain, jo Tuesday ko hone wali hai. Expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par stable rakhegi, jo mazboot labor market aur inflationary pressures ko madde nazar rakhtay hue hai. Doosri taraf, US Dollar (USD) ki qeemat mein kami ho sakti hai kyun ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policymakers agle saal 2024 mein 75 basis points (bps) ke rate cuts predict kar rahe hain, jab ke last week unho ne aggressive 50 basis points ka rate cut kiya tha, jis se range 4.75-5.00% ho gayi hai.Monday ko AUD/USD pair 0.6820 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke pair ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai. But 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 se ooper hai, is liye aglay price movement se pair ke trend ka behtar andaza hoga. Is waqt AUD/USD pair ascending channel ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke 0.6839 ke nine-month high ke qareeb hai, jo 19 September ko dekha gaya tha. Agar is level se bounce hota hai, to pair upper boundary tak pohanch sakta hai, jo 0.6890 level ke qareeb hai. Neeche ki taraf, AUD/USD pair ko support 0.6771 par nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par mil sakta hai, aur agla aham support psychological level 0.6700 par hoga.

Filhaal, meri buying aur selling ki strategy complex signals par mabni hai jo main Hicken Ashi, TMA aur RSI candlesticks se hasil karta hoon. Yeh signals mujhe yeh batate hain ke koi Forex pair ya instrument khareedne ke liye bohat high ho chuka hai. Jaise jaise waqt guzarta hai aur device ka consensus warning deta hai, yeh zahir hota hai ke bulls ab zyada active ho gaye hain, aur ab buying ko tarjeeh deni chahiye. Hicken Ashi candlesticks, jo ke price levels ko define karti hain aur regular Japanese candlesticks se mukhtalif hain, meri madad karti hain ke main har reversal moment, corrective rollbacks, aur impulse shootouts ko barwaqt pehchan sakoon. Saath hi, TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator bhi bohat zyada madadgar hai, jo ke chart par support aur resistance ke advanced marks draw karta hai. Yeh indicator us waqt moving assets ke limits ko zahir karta hai jab wo apne maqam par pohonch jata hai.
Indicators ko close karne aur deal ko finalize karne ke liye main RSI oscillator ka use karta hoon, jo ke overbought aur oversold zones ko zahir karta hai. Yeh tareeqa instruments ki buying aur selling ko priority dene mein madad karta hai aur ghalat market entries se bachata hai. Ab jo main chart par dekh raha hoon, Hicken Ash candles ka rang ab blue mein badal gaya hai, jo zahir karta hai ke ab bullish mode zyada dominate karega, aur yeh waqt hai ke long trades execute kiye jayen. Prices ne linear channel ke lower line ko cross kar diya tha, lekin neechay ka sabse kam darja choonay ke baad wapas channel ke center line par aa gayi hain. Basement RSI indicator bhi ab buying signal de raha hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke ab yeh trade karne ke liye achha waqt hai. Main expect kar raha hoon ke price 0.69500 ke maqam tak barh sakti hai jo ke channel ke upper border par hai. Jab order value zone mein dakhil ho jaye, to breakeven ki taraf move karne ka mashwara hai kyun ke market kabhi kabhi humari expec

Filhaal, meri buying aur selling ki strategy complex signals par mabni hai jo main Hicken Ashi, TMA aur RSI candlesticks se hasil karta hoon. Yeh signals mujhe yeh batate hain ke koi Forex pair ya instrument khareedne ke liye bohat high ho chuka hai. Jaise jaise waqt guzarta hai aur device ka consensus warning deta hai, yeh zahir hota hai ke bulls ab zyada active ho gaye hain, aur ab buying ko tarjeeh deni chahiye. Hicken Ashi candlesticks, jo ke price levels ko define karti hain aur regular Japanese candlesticks se mukhtalif hain, meri madad karti hain ke main har reversal moment, corrective rollbacks, aur impulse shootouts ko barwaqt pehchan sakoon. Saath hi, TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator bhi bohat zyada madadgar hai, jo ke chart par support aur resistance ke advanced marks draw karta hai. Yeh indicator us waqt moving assets ke limits ko zahir karta hai jab wo apne maqam par pohonch jata hai. Indicators ko close karne aur deal ko finalize karne ke liye main RSI oscillator ka use karta hoon, jo ke overbought aur oversold zones ko zahir karta hai. Yeh tareeqa instruments ki buying aur selling ko priority dene mein madad karta hai aur ghalat market entries se bachata hai. Ab jo main chart par dekh raha hoon, Hicken Ash candles ka rang ab blue mein badal gaya hai, jo zahir karta hai ke ab bullish mode zyada dominate karega, aur yeh waqt hai ke long trades execute kiye jayen. Prices ne linear channel ke lower line ko cross kar diya tha, lekin neechay ka sabse



kam darja choonay ke baad wapas channel ke center line par aa gayi hain. Basement RSI indicator bhi ab buying signal de raha hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke ab yeh trade karne ke liye achha waqt hai. Main expect kar raha hoon ke price 0.69500 ke maqam tak barh sakti hai jo ke channel ke upper border par hai. Jab order value zone mein dakhil ho jaye, to breakeven ki taraf move karne ka mashwara hai kyun ke market kabhi kabhi humari expectations ko ghalat moves se influence karta hai.
Ab agar hum AUD/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya karein, to Friday ko AUD/USD pair H1 pivot 0.6835 tak nahi pohonch saka tha aur growth 0.6830 par ruk gayi thi. Lekin support level 0.6783 ne price ko zyada girne se roka. Session 0.6816 se rebound ke saath khatam hua, lekin H1 pivot 7/8 (0.6804) tak gir gaya, jab ke M15 time frame bullish raha. Yeh bullish setup yeh batata hai ke Monday se growth 0.6830 tak jaari reh sakti hai. Agar price neechay 0.6790 ke level se toot jata hai, to meri strategy badal jayegi aur phir yeh decline 0.6769 aur 0.6749 ke zone tak barh sakta hai. Lekin agar bullish support toot gaya, aur pair 0.6699–0.6669 zone ke neeche consolidate karta hai, to ek zyada bara bearish shift dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis in Roman Urdu:

Australian dollar ne pichle trading hafte mein rally jaari rakhi, naye local high set kiye aur pehle ke range se bahar nikal gaya, phir choti si correction shuru ki. 0.6765 level ke neeche choti si rukawat ke baad, price ne apni udaan dobara shuru ki aur is barrier ko tezi se paar karte hue 0.6871 level tak pahunch gayi, lekin upar consolidate karne mein nakam rahi aur phir neeche aa gayi. Is tarah, target area poori tarah se achieve ho gaya, jaisa ke pichle review mein umeed ki gayi thi. Is darmiyan, price chart super-trend green zone mein hai, jo buyers ke control mein hone ka ishara hai.

Technically, hum trades mein negative rukh rakhte hain lekin ehtiyaat se kaam lete hain aur persistent negative simple moving average crossovers par rely karte hain jo price ko upar se pressure dalte hain, iske alawa already broken support levels par day trading karte hain. Aane wale ghanton mein, hum bearish trend dekh sakte hain jiska pehla target 0.6849 hoga. Agar is level ke neeche break hota hai, to prices mein nuqsan barh jayega, aur seedha rasta 0.6794 ki taraf khulega.

Doosri taraf, agar 0.6930 ke upar break aur price consolidation hota hai, to prices official growth level par wapas aa jayengi jahan targets 0.7040 aur 0.7100 hain.


**AUD/USD Technical Analysis in Roman Urdu:**

Pair is waqt apne weekly highs se kafi upar trade kar raha hai. Key support areas abhi tak test nahi hue hain aur intact hain, jo upward vector ki relevance ko dikhata hai. Is move ko jaari rakhne ke liye, price ko 0.6804 ke level ke upar consolidate karna hoga, jahan abhi main support area hai. Agar local correction hoti hai, to is area ka retest aur subsequent upward reversal ek aur upward move ki sambhavana dega, jiska target area 0.6949 aur 0.7031 ke darmiyan hoga.

Agar support break hota hai aur price reversal level 0.6701 ke neeche chali jaati hai, to yeh current scenario ko cancel karne ka signal hoga.

Filhaal, meri buying aur selling ki strategy complex signals par mabni hai jo main Hicken Ashi, TMA aur RSI candlesticks se hasil karta hoon. Yeh signals mujhe yeh batate hain ke koi Forex pair ya instrument khareedne ke liye bohat high ho chuka hai. Jaise jaise waqt guzarta hai aur device ka consensus warning deta hai, yeh zahir hota hai ke bulls ab zyada active ho gaye hain, aur ab buying ko tarjeeh deni chahiye. Hicken Ashi candlesticks, jo ke price levels ko define karti hain aur regular Japanese candlesticks se mukhtalif hain, meri madad karti hain ke main har reversal moment, corrective rollbacks, aur impulse shootouts ko barwaqt pehchan sakoon. Saath hi, TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator bhi bohat zyada madadgar hai, jo ke chart par support aur resistance ke advanced marks draw karta hai. Yeh indicator us waqt moving assets ke limits ko zahir karta hai jab wo apne maqam par pohonch jata hai. Indicators ko close karne aur deal ko finalize karne ke liye main RSI oscillator ka use karta hoon, jo ke overbought aur oversold zones ko zahir karta hai. Yeh tareeqa instruments ki buying aur selling ko priority dene mein madad karta hai aur ghalat market entries se bachata hai. Ab jo main chart par dekh raha hoon, Hicken Ash candles ka rang ab blue mein badal gaya hai, jo zahir karta hai ke ab bullish mode zyada dominate karega, aur yeh waqt hai ke long trades execute kiye jayen. Prices ne linear channel ke lower line ko cross kar diya tha, lekin neechay ka sabse kam darja choonay ke baad wapas channel ke center line par aa gayi hain. Basement RSI indicator bhi ab buying signal de raha hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke ab yeh trade karne ke liye achha waqt hai. Main expect kar raha hoon ke price 0.69500 ke maqam tak barh sakti hai jo ke channel ke upper border par hai. Jab order value zone mein dakhil ho jaye, to breakeven ki taraf move karne ka mashwara hai kyun ke market kabhi kabhi humari expectations ko ghalat moves se influence karta hai.
Ab agar hum AUD/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya karein, to Friday ko AUD/USD pair H1 pivot 0.6835 tak nahi pohonch saka tha aur growth 0.6830 par ruk gayi thi. Lekin support level 0.6783 ne price ko zyada girne se roka. Session 0.6816 se rebound ke saath khatam hua, lekin H1 pivot 7/8 (0.6804) tak gir gaya, jab ke M15 time frame bullish raha. Yeh bullish setup yeh batata hai ke Monday se growth 0.6830 tak jaari reh sakti hai. Agar price neechay 0.6790 ke level se toot jata hai, to meri strategy badal jayegi aur phir yeh decline 0.6769 aur 0.6749 ke zone tak barh sakta hai. Lekin agar bullish support toot gaya, aur pair 0.6699–0.6669 zone ke neeche consolidate kart

TMA aur RSI candlesticks se hasil karta hoon. Yeh signals mujhe yeh batate hain ke koi Forex pair ya instrument khareedne ke liye bohat high ho chuka hai. Jaise jaise waqt guzarta hai aur device ka consensus warning deta hai, yeh zahir hota hai ke bulls ab zyada active ho gaye hain, aur ab buying ko tarjeeh deni chahiye. Hicken Ashi candlesticks, jo ke price levels ko define karti hain aur regular Japanese candlesticks se mukhtalif hain, meri madad karti hain ke main har reversal moment, corrective rollbacks, aur impulse shootouts ko barwaqt pehchan sakoon. Saath hi, TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator bhi bohat zyada madadgar hai, jo ke chart par support aur resistance ke advanced marks draw karta hai. Yeh indicator us waqt moving assets ke limits ko zahir karta hai jab wo apne maqam par pohonch jata hai. Indicators ko close karne aur deal ko finalize karne ke liye main RSI oscillator ka use karta hoon, jo ke overbought aur oversold zones ko zahir karta hai. Yeh tareeqa instruments ki buying aur selling ko priority dene mein madad karta hai aur ghalat market entries se bachata hai. Ab jo main chart par dekh raha hoon, Hicken Ash candles ka rang ab blue mein badal gaya hai, jo zahir karta hai ke ab bullish mode zyada dominate karega, aur yeh waqt hai ke long trades execute kiye jayen. Prices ne linear channel ke lower line ko cross kar diya tha, lekin neechay ka sabse kam darja choonay ke baad wapas channel ke center line par aa gayi hain. Basement RSI indicator bhi ab buying signal de raha hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke ab yeh trade karne ke liye achha waqt hai. Main expect kar raha hoon ke price 0.69500 ke maqam tak barh sakti hai jo ke channel ke upper border par hai. Jab order value zone mein dakhil ho jaye, to breakeven ki taraf move karne ka mashwara hai kyun ke market kabhi kabhi humari expectations ko ghalat moves se influence karta hai.
Ab agar hum AUD/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya karein, to Friday ko AUD/USD pair H1 pivot 0.6835 tak nahi pohonch saka tha aur growth 0.6830 par ruk gayi thi. Lekin support level 0.6783 ne price ko zyada girne se roka. Session 0.6816 se rebound ke saath khatam hua, lekin H1 pivot 7/8 (0.6804) tak gir gaya, jab ke M15 time frame bullish raha. Yeh bullish setup yeh batata hai ke Monday se growth 0.6830 tak jaari reh sakti hai. Agar price neechay 0.6790 ke level se toot jata hai, to meri strategy badal jayegi aur phir yeh decline 0.6769 aur 0.6749 ke zone tak barh sakta hai. Lekin agar bullish support toot gaya, aur pair 0.6699–0.6669 zone ke neeche consolidate karta hai, to ek zyada bara bearish shift dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

**AUD/USD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS**

**DAILY TIME FRAME**
Bearish candles daily time frame par achi tarah se formed hain, jinki highs aur lows 0.6891 aur 0.6833 hain. Yeh kamzori EMA 12 daily par roki gayi hai. Is beech, kal ki trading conditions ne bearish current ko phir se tasdeeq kiya hai, jo in halaton ke mazeed kamzori ka sabab ban raha hai. Market saturation ne negative price movements ko trigger kiya hai. Agar EMA 12 daily ko successfully penetrate kiya gaya, to bearish price target EMA 36 daily ya daily support 0.6780 ke aas-paas hoga. Is area mein, buyers momentum ka intezaar kar sakte hain, kyunki daily par trend ab bhi bullish hai.

**MOVING AVERAGES**
Prices EMA 200 daily aur EMA 633 daily ke upar dekhi ja rahi hain, jabke EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily upar ki taraf extend ho rahe hain. Is waqt Stochastic down ki taraf point kar raha hai, jo market saturation signal ke price reaction ka izhar hai, jo pichle kuch dinon se nazar aa raha hai. Overall, AUD/USD short term mein bearish hone ki potential rakhta hai. Lekin, aaj raat payrolls data ke release ki wajah se money market mein zyada volatility ka imkaan hai.

**RESISTANCE LEVELS**
AUD/USD ke liye pehla ahm resistance level 0.6914 hai. Agar bullish momentum continue hota hai, to price pehle resistance level ko tod kar doosre level 0.6943 tak pohanch sakti hai. Doosre resistance level ka breakout ek naya wave AUD/USD ki growth ki taraf le ja sakta hai, aur northward movement continue rahegi.

**SUPPORT LEVELS**
Dousri taraf, agar price reverse hoti hai to 0.6896 ko retest kar sakti hai, jo pehla support level hai. Agar bearish momentum continue raha, to price pehle support level ko tod kar doosre level 0.6857 tak ja sakti hai. Doosre support level ka breakout ek naya wave AUD/USD ki growth ki taraf le ja sakta hai, aur southward movement continue rahegi. Overall, intraday gains AUD/USD price mein shayad limited rahenge, lekin positive trend ab bhi maujood hai.

USD pair mazboot hai, jab ke expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate ko Tuesday ko 4.35% par stable rakhega.Monday ko release hone wale kamzor Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data ke bawajood AUD ne US Dollar (USD ) ke muqable mein achi position hasil ki hai. AUD/USD ka strong hona China ke central bank PBoC ke banking system mein liquidity inject karne se bhi related ho sakta hai, kyun ke Australia aur China ke darmiyan qareebi trade relation hai, aur Chinese economy mein developments ka Australian markets par bara asar ho sakta hai.PBoC ne 14-day reverse repo ke zariye banking system mein CNY 74.5 billion ka injection kiya, aur is dauran rate ko 1.95% se kam karke 1.85% kiya gaya. Iske ilawa, PBoC ne 7-day reverse repo ke zariye bhi CNY 160.1 billion ka injection kiya, jisme rate 1.7% par stable raha.AUD ko hawkish expectations se bhi faida mil raha hai, jo ke RBA ki aanay wali interest rate decision ke hawalay se hain, jo Tuesday ko hone wali hai. Expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par stable rakhegi, jo mazboot labor market aur inflationary pressures ko madde nazar rakhtay hue hai. Doosri taraf, US Dollar (USD) ki qeemat mein kami ho sakti hai kyun ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policymakers agle saal 2024 mein 75 basis points (bps) ke rate cuts predict kar rahe hain, jab ke last week unho ne aggressive 50 basis points ka rate cut kiya tha, jis se range 4.75-5.00% ho gayi hai.Monday ko AUD/USD pair 0.6820 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke pair ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai. But 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 se ooper hai, is liye aglay price movement se pair ke trend ka behtar andaza hoga. Is waqt AUD/USD pair ascending channel ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke 0.6839 ke nine-month high ke qareeb hai, jo 19 September ko dekha gaya tha. Agar is level se bounce hota hai, to pair upper boundary tak pohanch sakta hai, jo 0.6890 level ke qareeb hai. Neeche ki taraf, AUD/USD pair ko support 0.6771 par nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par mil sakta hai, aur agla aham support psychological level 0.6700 par hoga. Agar is se neeche break hota hai, to pair six-week low 0.6622 ki taraf ja sakta hai

AUD/USD currency pair ka tajziya technical analysis par mabni hai, jahan hum khaas taur par resistance aur support levels, volume, aur basement indicators par diqat denge. Chart par Heiken Ashi candles ka silsila aur TMA (Triangular Moving Average) aur RSI indicators ke sath signals market ke bullish mode mein daakhil hone ka ishara dete hain.

Heiken Ashi candles, jo aam Japanese candles se mukhtalif hoti hain, ek smooth aur average price dikhati hain, jo technical analysis ko behtari aur trading decisions mein accuracy ko barhati hai. TMA channel indicator (surkh, neela aur peela lines) do-time smooth moving averages par mabni support aur resistance lines banata hai, jo instrument ke movement ka current range wazeh taur par dikhata hai.

Trade filtering ke liye hum RSI Basement oscillator istamal karte hain, jo Heiken Ashi ke sath mil kar positive results deta hai. Haliye chart par hum dekh sakte hain ke candles ne apna rang badal kar neela kar liya hai, jo bullish driver ke hawi hone ko darshata hai. Price ne channel ki neechay wali hadd (surkh dotted line) ko cross kiya aur minimum point se bounce karte hue wapis middle line (peeli dotted line) ki taraf aa rahi hai. RSI oscillator bhi buy signal ko confirm kar raha hai, kyun ke is waqt is ki curve upside par hai aur overbought levels ke qareeb nahi hai.

Is sab ko madde nazar rakhte hue, hum yeh logical nateeja nikal sakte hain ke upper limit of the channel tak target karte hue market prices ke zariye ek acha waqt paida ho chuka hai ke ek profitable long trade kiya jaye aur sab se behtareen prices par buy positions khuli jayein. Is silsile mein blue dotted line ka mark 0.69900 hai, jo ek significant price point ko zahir karta hai.

Is chart ka current analysis yeh dikhata hai ke market mein bullish sentiment hawi hai aur Heiken Ashi candles ke rang aur TMA channel ke sath price ka bounce karna is trend ko mazid support karta hai. Yeh waqt ek munasib entry point banata hai jahan buyers market ka faida utha sakte hain. Price ki movement ke indicators yeh batate hain ke bullish momentum jaari reh sakta hai jab tak price channel ke andar rahe

AUD/USD Weekly Outlook: Technical Analysis aur Market Trends**
Jaisay hi naye hafte ka aghaz hota hai, AUD/USD pair daily chart par aik aham technical manzar pesh karta hai. Price ne key horizontal resistance level 0.6577 ke upar apni jagah bana li hai. Ab tak, is level ke neeche price ko wapas le jane ki koshishain nakam rahi hain, jo market mein bullish sentiment ko darshata hai.

Recent downward move par lagaye gaye Fibonacci retracement se yeh pata chalta hai ke price pehle 61.8% retracement level par ruk gayi thi. Lekin ab yeh level toot chuka hai, jo ke US dollar ke broad weakening ko darshata hai. Price ab significant technical resistance level 0.6695 tak pohanch gayi hai, jo market ki umeedon ke saath milti hai.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI) ab overbought zone ke nazdeek hai, jo yeh signal deta hai ke current bullish phase shayad momentum kho raha hai. Iska matlab hai ke jabke price thoda upar ja sakti hai, lekin mazeed faide ki sambhavnayein seemit ho sakti hain, khaaskar CCI ke overbought conditions ki wajah se.

Is context mein, jabke price 0.6695 level ki taraf thoda upar ja sakti hai, lekin is baat ki tajaweez dena zaroori hai ke iske baad aik potential corrective pullback aane ki sambhavna hai. Agla key support level jo dekhna hai wo hai 0.6632, jo pehle ki candles ke closing prices se derived hai. Yeh level support ka aik critical point ban sakta hai, aur iski taraf correction ka hona mumkin hai.

Jab price 0.6695 level ke nazdeek ho, to behtar hoga ke M15 chart jese chhote timeframes par potential selling opportunities par nazar rakhein. Traders ko reversal patterns ki talash karni chahiye jahan support level resistance mein tabdeel ho sakta hai, jo 0.6632 support level ki taraf downward move ka signal de sakta hai.

Corrective move ki umeed is baat se bhi mazid barh jaati hai ke aaj kisi aham economic news ki kami hai, jisse immediate fundamental drivers decline ko rokne ke liye na honge. Is ke ilawa, doosri major currency pairs bhi critical levels ke nazdeek hain aur downward correction ke liye tayyar dikh rahe hain, jo broader market pullback ki sambhavna ko barhata hai.

Summary ke tor par, AUD/USD pair ne 0.6577 ke key resistance level ke upar achha performance dikhaya hai aur naye technical resistance level 0.6695 tak pohanch gaya hai. Lekin, CCI ke overbought conditions aur aham news events ki kami ko dekhte hue, 0.6632 support level ki taraf aik corrective pullback ki umeed hai. Traders ko 0.6695 level ke nazdeek potential selling opportunities ko dekhna chahiye, khaaskar chhote timeframes par, aur mazeed bullish positions ka ghor karne se pehle possible retracement ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye.

Australian dollar ne hafte ke aghaz mein thodi si kami dekhi aur 50-week EMA (exponential moving average) par support milne se pehle retreat kiya. Us ke baad us ne baki hafte mein recovery ki. Is waqt, market aik be-qarari ki haalat mein lag raha hai aur aik wazeh long-term direction tay karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Australian dollar ke liye 200-week EMA tak recover karne ka imkaan hai, jo 0.6850 par hai – aik ahem maqam jo pehle se strong resistance ke tor par kaam karta raha hai.

Ye 0.6850 ka level sirf 200-week EMA ke sath match nahi karta balki currency ke liye tareekhi tor par bhi ek mushkil barrier sabit hua hai. Agar weekly close is level ke upar hota hai, to ye overall trend mein tabdeeli ki nishani ho sakta hai, jo ye suggest karega ke Australian dollar upar jane lagega. Lekin jab tak ye breakthrough nahi hota, market me kuch volatility dekhne ko milti rahegi. Ye yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke Australian dollar ko aksar ek commodity currency mana jata hai, jiska harakat ka taluq duniya bhar mein resources ki demand aur Asian economies, khaaskar China, Malaysia aur Indonesia, ki sehat par hota hai.

Is liye, ye currency aksar volatility ka shikar hoti hai jo ke duniya bhar ke risk factors se mutasir hoti hai. Agar Australian dollar 50-week EMA se neechay girta hai, to ye mazeed downside ki taraf ishara ho sakta hai, jo usay 0.6450 level tak le ja sakta hai. Filhaal, market consolidation kar raha hai aur shayad aik aur attempt karne ki tayyari kar raha hai ke upper resistance levels ko test kar sake.

Akhir mein, Australian dollar ki mustaqbil ki harakat ka daromadar is baat par hai ke kya wo key resistance levels ko break kar pata hai. Agar successful breakout hota hai to ek bara rally shuru ho sakti hai, lekin traders ko ehtiyaat karni chahiye kyun ke ye currency global economic factors aur commodity prices ke liye bohot sensitive hoti hai.

Geopolitical Asraat aur Currency Markets

Geopolitical events currency markets par behad asar daal sakte hain. Siyasi stability, trade negotiations, aur international conflicts jaise masail bazar ki rawaiyat par gehra asar dalte hain. Masalan, agar bara muashiyat ke darmiyan trade tensions ya geopolitical conflicts barh jayein, to is se safe-haven currencies jaise ke US Dollar (USD) ki demand mein izafa ho sakta hai. Iss ke muqabil, agar global trade relations mein behtari aaye to risk-sensitive currencies, jaise ke Australian Dollar (AUD), ko faida ho sakta hai. Is liye, traders ke liye zaroori hai ke wo geopolitical ta developments se waqif rahein kyunki yeh AUD/USD exchange rate mein achanak tabdilon ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Technical Analysis ki Ahamiyat

Technical analysis bhi bazar mein ahem tabdilon ka taayun karne mein kirdar ada karta hai. Filhal AUD/USD pair mein bearish trend dekha ja raha hai, jo ek aham support level tak pahunch sakta hai. Yeh ya to trend ki reversal ko janam de sakta hai ya phir trend ke jaari rehne ka ishara kar sakta hai. Traders aksar patterns, support aur resistance levels, aur doosri technical indicators ka istemal karte hain taake wo mustaqbil ke price movements ka andaza laga sakein. Agar AUD/USD pair kisi ahem support level ko tor deta hai, to is se stop-loss orders trigger ho sakte hain, jisse bechne ka pressure barh jata hai aur market mein tezi se kami dekhne ko milti hai. Is ke baraks, agar pair kisi key support level ke upar ruk jata hai, to is se buyers ki taraf se interest barh sakta hai aur bullish reversal khul sakta hai.

Market Sentiment aur Speculative Activities

Market ka jazba aur speculative activities bhi currency movements par asar daalti hain. Traders ki mustaqbil ke economic conditions aur market dynamics par perceptions bazar mein volatility ko barha sakte hain. Badi institutional traders aur hedge funds apni strategies ke mutabiq bazar mein barra sahar bana sakte hain, jo exchange rate par asar daal deti hai. Masalan, agar economic outlook ya geopolitical stability mein achanak tabdilaat aate hain, to in traders ka kaam market ko badalne ke liye bara trade karna ho sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, retail traders—jo aksar market news aur trends se mutasir hote hain—bhi achanak badlav ka sabab ban sakte hain, jo volatility ko aur barhata hai.

Nihayat Mein

Aakhir kar, AUD/USD exchange rate par geopolitical events, technical factors, aur market sentiment ka aik ahem asar hota hai. Geopolitical tensions ya behtari ke waqae currency mein tezi se tabdeeliyon ka sabab ban sakte hain, jabke technical analysis traders ko key price levels ka andaza lagane mein madad karta hai. Is ke ilawa, badi institutions aur retail participants ki speculative trading in moves ko zyada barha sakti hai, jo market ki volatility mein izafa karti hai. Is liye, traders ko chahiye ke wo fundamental aur technical dono factors ko madde nazar rakhein taake wo AUD/USD market mein behtareen faislay kar sakein. In elements ke darmiyan ka intricate interplay samajhna currency pair ke behavior mein mumkinah tabdiilon ka andaza lagane ke liye behad zaroori hai.