ای AUD/USD کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

AUD/USD ne naye saal ke buland maqamat par pohanchne ke baad kuch peechay hatega, lekin neeche ki taraf kam zyada rukawat hai. RBA aur Fed ke darmiyan policy ki mukhtalif umeedain market ke acha jazbaat ke darmiyan ek madadgar ke tor par kaam kar rahi hain. China ne ek silsila tareeqo se riyasati paimaish ka elaan kiya hai, jo Australian dollar ko bhi madad de raha hai. AUD/USD jo ke intraday faida hasil karne ki koshish mein hai, ab 0.6870 ke ilake ya phir is se pehle ke naye buland maqamat tak pahunchnay ki koshish karega, jab ke pehla yahan pehla hissa Europe ke pehle hissay mein dikhai dega.

Haalan ke spot daam kuch pips ki reboun mein hain aur ab 0.6835 ke ilake mein trade kar rahe hain, aaj ke din ke liye lagbhag badal nahi rahe. Intraday peechay hatega ke liye koi wazeh wajah nahi hai aur yeh kuch profit-taking ke natije mein hai, khas taur par 250 pips se zyada ki halat se baad jo 0.6620 ke ilake se hui thi.

Koi bhi ahem darja kam karna abhi tak mumkin nahi lagta, RBA aur Fed ke mukhtalif policy ke umeedon ke wajah se.

AUD/USD ne mangal ko ek naya multi-month high se dur hote hue dekha jab RBA ne aaj ke policy meeting mein rates ko behtar rakhne ka faisla kiya, lekin Governor Bullock ki comments ummeed se kam hawkish thi, jo policy ke sakht hone ke liye umeedon ko shift kar rahi thi.

Pullback halki hai kyunki Aussie ko zyada commodity ke daamon se madad mil rahi hai aur Fed/RBA monetary policy ke mukhtalif hone se yeh dikhata hai ke bade bulls sirf ek rukh le rahe hain. Daily chart par mazboot positive momentum aur Tenkan/Kijun-sen formation ek bullish manzar-e-qabul ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain, lekin overbought halat yeh batati hai ke price action extended consolidation mein reh sakta hai.

Pehli support 0.6814/0.6790 ke ilake par hai, jab ke zyada ahem supports 0.6774/66 (Fibo 38.2% of 0.6622/0.6869 / rising 10DMA) par hain, jo neeche ki taraf protection aur bullish structure ko barqarar rakh sakte hain

AUD/USD currency pair ke jaari price behavior par hai. Market ziada tar US dollar ko sell karne par focused hai, aur naturally AUD/USD pair ne bhi usi trend ka paala kiya hai. Pair ki growth steady aur confident rahi hai, lekin kuch doosri major currencies ke muqablay mein itni tez nahi. Phir bhi, yeh significant levels tak pohonch gaya hai aur critical benchmarks ko test kiya hai, jo ke selling opportunities ko consider karne par majboor karta hai. Aaj ke din mein, na to koi barhawa dekhne ko mila aur na hi koi visible decline. H4 chart par lagta hai ke Australian dollar ek flat correction phase mein daakhil ho raha hai, jo aage chal kar uske upward trend ko resume kar sakta hai. Is halat mein, mujhe filhaal koi clear trading options nazar nahi aa rahi. Ek buy position initiate karne ke liye, mujhe ek deeper pullback dekhna hoga, aur selling ko consider karne ke liye last Friday ke high ka break hona zaroori hai—jo ke filhaal nahi ho raha. In reasons ki wajah se, main filhaal Australian market ke hawalay se sidelines par hoon.

Four-hour chart mein MACD indicator ek bearish divergence signal kar raha hai, jo ke ek strong indication hai ke girawat ho sakti hai. Yeh decline jaldi materialize ho sakta hai, aur near term mein ek pullback ka imkaan barh jata hai.

**Recent AUD Weakness aur China ka Asar**

Australian dollar ki haali kamzori ka asal sabab China ki deteriorating economic outlook hai. China ka Q2 GDP growth expected se kam tha, jo ke domestic aur international demand dono mein decline ko reflect karta hai. Ye concerns tab aur zyada bhar gayi jab People’s Bank of China (PBoC) ne rate cut implement kiya, aur Third Plenary Session mein koi significant spending measures ka elaan nahi kiya gaya. Australia ke China ke saath close economic ties hone ki wajah se, AUD ne in developments ka asar mehsoos kiya hai.

In challenges ke bawajood, US dollar ko apni struggles ka samna ho sakta hai Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September mein rate cut expectations ki wajah se. Yeh potential shift AUD/USD pair par downward pressure ko kam kar sakta hai. Traders ab global Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data ke release ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo US economic conditions ke hawalay se zyada insights faraham kar sakt

Monday ke European session ke dauran AUD/USD pair ne 20-mahine ka naya high touch kiya tha kareeban 0.6947 par, lekin uske baad price ne thora stable hone ka rujhan dikhaya. Yeh rally ka thama tab hua jab traders ab Australia ke monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) data ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo ke agle movements ka direction tay karega. Filhal pair 0.6855 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, aur market ke participants apni positions ko dubara assess kar rahe hain key economic data ke aanay se pehle.Broader market ka context abhi bhi riskier assets jese ke Australian Dollar ke liye supportive hai. Investors ka andaza hai ke U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) jaldi interest rates kam kar sakta hai, ho sakta hai September tak. Yeh dovish outlook U.S. dollar ke against hai, jab ke Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) abhi bhi inflation ko control karne ke liye aggressive stance par hai. Yeh combination of local aur global factors AUD/USD ki rally ko support kar rahe hain.Halaanki abhi price ne rally mein pause liya hai, lekin market sentiment abhi bhi positive hai. U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) struggle kar raha hai aur 101.83 ke qareeb low touch kar raha hai, jo ke Australian Dollar ke downside ko cushion kar raha hai. Saath hi, S&P 500 futures European session mein gains dikhate hain, jo investors ka risk assets ke liye confidence highlight karte hain.Technical analysis ke lehaz se, AUD/USD pair apne monthly high 0.6937 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Key indicators jese ke 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo 0.6710 ke aas paas trend kar raha hai, aur Commodity Channel Index (CCI) jo 60.00-80.00 ke bullish range mein oscillate kar raha hai, yeh dono further gains ka indication de rahe hain. Magar sab kuch Australian CPI data par depend karega, jo ya to is rally ko aur reinforce kar sakta hai ya phir price mein correction la sakta hai, depending on results.Summary mein, AUD/USD pair ki rally ke baad price ne stability dikhayi hai lekin short-term outlook abhi bhi positive hai, market sentiment aur technical indicators dono ke lehaz se. Aane wala Australian CPI data critical hoga yeh dekhne ke liye ke yeh bullish trajectory barqarar rehti hai ya price correction ka chance banta hai.

Ab hum AUD/USD currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior ka analysis kar rahe hain. Kal AUD/USD pair 0.6867 tak gira, M15 aur H1 time frames ke support ko break karte hue, lekin baad mein recover karke 0.6917 tak pohoncha, jis ne M15 trend ko bullish bana diya. Phir price ko resistance ka samna karna para, aur ek aur decline dekhne ko mila, jab ke H1 time frame abhi bhi bearish hai. Yeh bearish trend continue ho sakta hai, aur M15 time frame dobara bearish zone mein aa sakta hai, jo price ko 0.6826 tak gira dega. Iss level par pair ko support milne ka chance hai, lekin agar yeh level hold na kar saka, to decline aur zyada ho kar bullish H4 zone 0.6791-0.6761 tak ja sakta hai, jahan se H4 aur daily bullish trends ke hawalay se ek rebound ki umeed hai.M15 trend ko dobara bullish hone ke liye, pair ko aaj ke high 0.6917 ko break karna hoga, jis ke baad pair bearish H1 range 0.6917-0.6931 ko challenge kar sakta hai, aur phir shayad ek pullback ho jaye. Agar H1 bearish trend ka decisive breakout ho gaya, to yeh 0.6944 ke high tak ja sakta hai.Is waqt AUD/USD pair narrow range mein trade kar raha hai, aur 200-period moving average se hourly chart par bounce kar chuka hai, jo buyers ke liye positive sign hai. Agar upward movement continue hui, to pair naye highs ko hit kar sakta hai. Halanki, price ne reversal ke baad kai martaba rollback kiya hai, lekin abhi tak moving average ko retest nahi kiya. Is wajah se, abhi main kisi trade ki recommendation nahi doon ga. Agar 200-period moving average retest ho gaya, to targets four-hour chart par shift ho sakte hain. Weekly chart par price moving average ke qareeb hai, jo buyers ke liye ek target ban sakta hai. Hourly chart par AUD/USD pair uptrend mein hai, aur price 133-period moving average ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo bullish direction ko confirm karta hai.Forecast aur analysis ke lehaz se, 4-hour time frame ka use karte hue, extended regression stop aur reverse indicator ke signals ke zariye currency pair/instrument ka movement predict karte hain. Entry point ke confirmation ke liye RSI (14) ka use hota hai, aur MACD indicator ka standard settings ke saath confirmation liya jata hai. Maximum profit hasil karne ke liye, hum Fibonacci grid lagate hain kal ya aaj ke trading day ke extreme points par, aur market se exit point ka behtareen option choose karte hain.Pehle chart par, jo selected time frame H4 ke sath hai, ek first degree regression line (golden dotted line) dekhi ja sakti hai, jo upward direction ko dikhati hai. Yeh acute angle par hai, jo strong trend movement aur northward dynamics ki taraf ishara karti hai.

AUD/USD Price Recap

Hum filhal AUD/USD currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior ka jaiza le rahe hain. Kal AUD/USD pair 0.6867 tak gir gaya tha, jisme M15 aur H1 time frames ka breakdown dekha gaya, magar baad mein price recover karke 0.6917 tak pohanchi, jo M15 trend ko bullish mein convert kar diya. Magar is level par resistance ka samna karna pada, jiski wajah se dobara girawat hui, aur H1 time frame ab bhi bearish hai. Yeh bearish trend barqarar reh sakta hai, aur M15 waapis bearish territory mein jaa sakta hai, jo price ko 0.6826 tak le ja sakta hai. Is level par pair ko support milne ke imkaan hain, aur price dobara growth ki taraf ja sakti hai, lekin agar support nahi hota, toh girawat mazid barh ke bullish H4 zone 0.6791-0.6761 tak ja sakti hai, jahan se H4 aur daily bullish trends ki madad se rebound hone ke imkaan hain.

M15 trend ko dobara bullish hone ke liye pair ko aaj ke high 0.6917 ko break karna hoga, jisse yeh bearish H1 range 0.6917-0.6931 ko challenge kar sake, phir yeh phir se pull back kar sakta hai. Agar H1 bearish trend ka aik decisively breakout hota hai, toh price 0.6944 ke high tak ja sakti hai.

AUD/USD pair filhal ek narrow range mein trade kar raha hai, jisme hal hi mein hourly chart par 200-period moving average se bounce back dekha gaya hai, aur price ab bhi is crucial level ke upar hai. Yeh buyers ke liye aik positive sign hai, kyunke agar upward movement jari rehti hai, toh pair naye highs ko hit kar sakta hai. Jab ke reversal ke baad price ne kai dafa rollback kiya, ab tak moving average ko dobara retest nahi kiya, jiski wajah se mazeed test ka imkaan baqi hai. Is liye mein filhal koi trades recommend karne se hesitant hoon. Agar 200-period moving average break hota hai, toh targets 4-hour chart par bhi isi level ki taraf shift ho sakte hain.

Weekly chart par price moving average ke qareeb hai, jo ke apne peak se thoda neeche hai, aur yeh buyers ke liye aik target ka kaam kar sakta hai. AUD/USD pair hourly chart par aik uptrend show kar raha hai, jisme price 133-period moving average ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo bullish direction ko confirm karta hai.

Australian dollar (AUD) ne US dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein girawat ka samna kiya jab Thursday ko kuch aham economic data release hui. Risk-sensitive AUD/USD pair par niche ka pressure barh gaya, khaaskar Middle East mein barhti hui geopolitcal tensions ke doran. Israeli Broadcasting Corporation (IBA) ne report kiya ke Israeli security cabinet ne halia Iranian attacks ke jawab mein forceful response dene ka faisla kiya hai.

August ke liye Australia ka trade balance $5.644 billion ka surplus show karta hai, jo ke market expectations se zyada tha aur pichlay mahine ke surplus se thoda behtar tha. Lekin, dono imports aur exports mein girawat dekhi gayi August ke muqablay mein. Is mixed trade data ke bawajood, Australian dollar ko Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke hawkish outlook se support mila. August mein retail sales ka zyada hona, interest rate cut ke imkaan ko kam karta hai. Markets November mein rate cut ke imkaan ko lagbhag nazarandaz kar rahe hain. China, jo ke Australia ka sabse bara trading partner hai, ke taraf se stimulus measures ne commodity prices ko upar rakha, jo ke Australian dollar ko mazeed support faraham karta hai. Traders barabar se US ke aham economic data ka intezar kar rahe hain, jisme September ka ISM Services PMI aur guzishta haftay ke weekly jobless claims bhi shaamil hain.

AUD/USD pair Thursday ko sideways trade kar rahi thi teen bohat zyada volatile sessions ke baad, jo ke isay February 2023 ke baad se apne highest level tak le gaye. US Personal Consumption Expenditures report ko is pair ki near-term direction ka faisla karnay mein aham kirdar ada karte hue dekha gaya. August 5, 2024 ko jo uptrend shuru hui thi, ab tak strong hai, aur isay ek silsila higher highs aur higher lows ka support mil raha hai. Momentum indicators mix nazar aa rahe hain. Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) sharply barh raha hai, jo ke ek strong bullish trend ko zahir karta hai, jabke Relative Strength Index (RSI) apne 50 midpoint ke upar aram se trade kar raha hai. Lekin, Stochastic Oscillator overbought zone mein hover kar raha hai, jo ke uptrend ko khatrey mein daal sakta hai. Agar bulls confident rahain, toh ho sakta hai ke AUD/USD pair trend line ko cross karne ki koshish kare jo ke February 25, 2021 ko establish hui thi. Agar yeh break successful hoti hai, toh 0.6924 par uptrend ka 50% Fibonacci retracement test ho sakta hai, jo October 13, 2022 se February 2, 2023 ke darmiyan tha. Uske baad, 0.7000 level agla logical target ho sakta hai.

**AUD/USD Price Recap**

Hum filhal AUD/USD currency pair ki dynamic pricing behavior ka jaiza le rahe hain. Kal, AUD/USD pair 0.6867 tak gir gaya, jo M15 aur H1 time frames ko todta hai, lekin baad mein yeh 0.6917 tak recover kar gaya, M15 trend ko bullish ki taraf palat kar. Magar, isay resistance ka samna karna pada, jis ki wajah se yeh dobara gir gaya, jabke H1 time frame ab bhi bearish hai. Yeh bearish trend aage bhi jaari reh sakta hai, aur M15 shayad bearish territory ki taraf wapas jaaye, jis se price 0.6826 tak gir sakti hai. Is level par, pair ko support mil sakta hai aur yeh phir se growth ki taraf wapas aa sakta hai, lekin agar yeh hold nahi karta, toh decline aage barh sakti hai bullish H4 zone 0.6791-0.6761 tak, jahan H4 aur daily bullish trends ki wajah se rebound hone ki umeed hai. M15 trend ko bullish ki taraf wapas shift karne ke liye, pair ko aaj ke high 0.6917 ko todna hoga, jo isay bearish H1 range 0.6917-0.6931 ka samna karne ki ijaazat dega, pehle ke mukable phir se pullback karne se pehle. Agar H1 bearish trend ka zyada decisive breakout hota hai, toh yeh 0.6944 tak bhi ja sakta hai.

AUD/USD pair filhal narrow range mein trade kar raha hai, jo recently hourly chart par 200-period moving average se bounce kiya hai, aur is crucial level ke upar reh raha hai. Yeh buyers ke liye ek positive sign hai, kyunki agar upward movement jaari rahi, toh pair naye highs tak pahuncha sakta hai. Jabke price ne reversal ke baad kai dafa rollback kiya hai, lekin ab tak moving average ko dobara test nahi kiya, isliye ek aur test ki sambhavna hai. Is wajah se, main filhal kisi bhi trades ka tajweez dene se katra raha hoon. Agar 200-period moving average ko break kiya jaata hai, toh targets shayad four-hour chart par usi level ki taraf shift ho sakte hain. Weekly chart par, price moving average ke qareeb hai, apne peak se thoda neeche, jo shayad buyers ke liye ek target banega. AUD/USD pair hourly chart par uptrend dikhata hai, jahan price 133-period moving average ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo bullish direction ki tasdiq kar raha hai.

اکتوبر 3 2024 کو اے یو ڈی/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

٠.٦٩٣٣ پر مزاحمتی سطح سے پلٹنے کے بعد، آسٹریلوی ڈالر فیصلہ کن طور پر 0.6827 پر حمایت کی طرف بڑھ رہا ہے۔ اس سطح کی طرف نقل و حرکت آسانی سے ہو رہی ہے، اور مارلن آسیلیٹر کی سگنل لائن اس سپورٹ کو جانچنے والی قیمت کے ساتھ ساتھ منفی زون کے ساتھ باؤنڈری کو چھو سکتی ہے۔



اس وقت، سازگار حالات (جیسے ڈالر مخالف کرنسیوں کی ترقی) میں قیمت کا الٹ پھیر ہو سکتا ہے۔ یہ مرکزی منظر نامہ ہے۔ اگر قیمت 0.6827 کی سطح سے نیچے مستحکم ہوتی ہے، تو یہ ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کو نشانہ بنائے گی اور بعد میں 0.6727 پر سپورٹ کرے گی۔



قیمت چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر دونوں انڈیکیٹر لائنوں سے نیچے سمٹی ہوئی ہے، اور مارلن آسیلیٹر مندی کے علاقے میں گہرا ہو رہا ہے۔ ہم توقع کرتے ہیں کہ قیمت 0.6827 پر پہلی سپورٹ لیول کی جانچ کرے گی۔

تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

"Have a great day and make lots of money everyone! Is waqt mera khareedne aur bechne ka tareeqa mukhtalif complex signals par mabni hai jo ke Heiken Ashi, TMA aur RSI candlesticks se aata hai. Yeh mujhe batate hain ke Forex pair ya instrument itna zyada hai ke ab khareedna mushkil hai. Waqt wahi hai, jaise ke device ke consensus warnings suggest karte hain. Bulls ab ek zabardast activity ke lehar ban gaye hain, aur is silsile mein khareedna ab ek awla tarjeeh hai. Heiken Ashi candlesticks jo ke Japanese candlesticks se mukhtalif hain, yeh price levels ko define aur generalize karte hain. Yeh har reversal moment aur corrective rollbacks ko waqt par pakar lene mein madad karte hain, saath hi impulse shootouts bhi. TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator, jo ke advanced support aur resistance marks draw karta hai moving averages ke saath, bhi ek zabardast resource hai trading mein. Yeh hamesha moving assets ke limits show karta hai.
RSI oscillator, jo ke overbought aur oversold zones ko dikhata hai, istimaal hota hai taake aakhri option chun sakein aur deal ko close kar sakein. Aise tareeqa se buying aur selling instruments ka prioritization technical evaluation process ko behtareen banata hai aur ghalat market entries se bachata hai.
Jis pair ki baat ho rahi hai, uske furnished chart par ek situation aayi hai jisme Heiken Ashi candles ka rang blue ho gaya hai, aur ab bullish mode kaafi dominate karega bearish ke muqable mein. Is waqt market mein long trades ke liye enter karna ek theek qadam ho sakta hai. Prices ne linear channel ki neechi line (red dotted line) ko cross kiya, lekin lowest low tak pohonch kar, center line (yellow dotted line) tak rebound kar gaye. Basement RSI indicator (14) bhi buy signal ko approve karta hai, aur ab koi contradiction nahi hai jo long function ko prefer karne se roke. Is waqat upside dikhai de rahi hai aur overbuying se door hai. Level ke mutabiq mai yeh conclusion nikalta hoon ke buy action ki probability ab zyada hai, aur ek extensive trade start karna bilkul justified hai. Mai upper area border of the channel (blue dotted line) ke near charge quote of 0.69500 par income ka andaza lagata hoon. Jab order value zone mein enter ho jaye, to breakeven ki taraf move karna chahiye, kyun ke market aksar hamari expectations ko galat moves se affect karne ka shauq rakhti hai."

Ab hum AUD/USD currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior ka analysis kar rahe hain. Kal AUD/USD pair 0.6867 tak gira, M15 aur H1 time frames ke support ko break karte hue, lekin baad mein recover karke 0.6917 tak pohoncha, jis ne M15 trend ko bullish bana diya. Phir price ko resistance ka samna karna para, aur ek aur decline dekhne ko mila, jab ke H1 time frame abhi bhi bearish hai. Yeh bearish trend continue ho sakta hai, aur M15 time frame dobara bearish zone mein aa sakta hai, jo price ko 0.6826 tak gira dega. Iss level par pair ko support milne ka chance hai, lekin agar yeh level hold na kar saka, to decline aur zyada ho kar bullish H4 zone 0.6791-0.6761 tak ja sakta hai, jahan se H4 aur daily bullish trends ke hawalay se ek rebound ki umeed hai.M15 trend ko dobara bullish hone ke liye, pair ko aaj ke high 0.6917 ko break karna hoga, jis ke baad pair bearish H1 range 0.6917-0.6931 ko challenge kar sakta hai, aur phir shayad ek pullback ho jaye. Agar H1 bearish trend ka decisive breakout ho gaya, to yeh 0.6944 ke high tak ja sakta hai.Is waqt AUD/USD pair narrow range mein trade kar raha hai, aur 200-period moving average se hourly chart par bounce kar chuka hai, jo buyers ke liye positive sign hai. Agar upward movement continue hui, to pair naye highs ko hit kar sakta hai. Halanki, price ne reversal ke baad kai martaba rollback kiya hai, lekin abhi tak moving average ko retest nahi kiya. Is wajah se, abhi main kisi trade ki recommendation nahi doon ga. Agar 200-period moving average retest ho gaya, to targets four-hour chart par shift ho sakte hain. Weekly chart par price moving average ke qareeb hai, jo buyers ke liye ek target ban sakta hai. Hourly chart par AUD/USD pair uptrend mein hai, aur price 133-period moving average ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo bullish direction ko confirm karta hai.Forecast aur analysis ke lehaz se, 4-hour time frame ka use karte hue, extended regression stop aur reverse indicator ke signals ke zariye currency pair/instrument ka movement predict karte hain. Entry point ke confirmation ke liye RSI (14) ka use hota hai, aur MACD indicator ka standard settings ke saath confirmation liya jata hai. Maximum profit hasil karne ke liye, hum Fibonacci grid lagate hain kal ya aaj ke trading day ke extreme points par, aur market se exit point ka behtareen option choose karte hain.Pehle chart par, jo selected time frame H4 ke sath hai, ek first degree regression line (golden dotted line) dekhi ja sakti hai, jo upward direction ko dikhati hai. Yeh acute angle par hai, jo strong trend movement aur northward dynamics ki taraf ishara karti hai.

Humari guftagu AUD/USD currency pair ke price behaviour assessment par markaz hai. Yeh pair hourly chart par thoda bearish nazar aa raha hai, lekin yeh movement un diligent sellers ki umeedon se door hai. Hum extreme low tak nahi pahunche, isliye ek significant decline ka prediction karna abhi jaldi hai. Jumme ke trading aksar ek key indicator hota hai, jo aane wale predictions ka buniyad tayar karta hai. Kyunki price minimum ke neeche nahi gayi, hum sirf limited drop ke baare mein baat kar sakte hain, jo ke ek full correction nahi, balki ek zigzag pattern hai, jo is situation mein acha fit hota hai. Market jald hi flat phase mein shift ho sakti hai. Main 0.6679 ke aas-paas long positions ke liye potential dekhta hoon. Halankeh koi significant support levels nazar nahi aate, yahan kuch hafton pehle ek noticeable rebound dekha gaya tha. Is rebound ki taqat modest ho sakti hai, jo shayad 0.6729 tak peak kare, uske baad zigzag ka khatma ho sakta hai. Is waqt buying positions se exit karna behtar hoga. Aage dekhte hue, 0.68000 level ke aas-paas ek prominent resistance area nazar aa raha hai, jo liquidity zone aur kuch FVG areas se mark kiya gaya hai jo pehle test nahi hue. Yeh region bulls ke liye ek significant hurdle ban sakta hai, jab price is taraf aati hai to potential profit-taking aur sell-side interest dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Lekin, recent sessions mein dekha gaya upward momentum yeh darshata hai ke buyers ke paas is resistance ko challenge karne ki taqat ho sakti hai. Agar price is resistance ko break kar leti hai, to yeh aage ke gains ka rasta khol sakta hai, shayad 0.68500 ke upar higher liquidity levels ko target karte hue. Neeche ki taraf, 0.67000 ke aas-paas ek key support zone established hai, jahan kai liquidity sweeps hue hain. In liquidity sweeps ki maujoodgi yeh darshati hai ke buyers is level ko defend kar rahe hain, jo potential pullbacks ke khilaf cushion provide karta hai. Agar price is zone ki taraf retrace hoti hai, to yeh dobara buying interest ka samna kar sakti hai, jo isse ek significant support level banata hai.
Summarize karte hue, AUD/USD clear bullish momentum dikhata hai jab key liquidity gaps fill hoti hain aur support zones se reverse hota hai. 0.68000 level agla critical resistance hai, jiska break hone par aage ke upside ki sambhavna hai. Iske baraks, agar price 0.67000 ya isse neeche pullback hoti hai, to yeh buying interest ka samna karegi, agar market conditions favorable rahe. Pair ka overall structure yeh darshata hai ke jab tak key support levels hold hote hain, bullish trend near term

central bank PBoC ke banking system mein liquidity inject karne se bhi related ho sakta hai, kyun ke Australia aur China ke darmiyan qareebi trade relation hai, aur Chinese economy mein developments ka Australian markets par bara asar ho sakta hai.PBoC ne 14-day reverse repo ke zariye banking system mein CNY 74.5 billion ka injection kiya, aur is dauran rate ko 1.95% se kam karke 1.85% kiya gaya. Iske ilawa, PBoC ne 7-day reverse repo ke zariye bhi CNY 160.1 billion ka injection kiya, jisme rate 1.7% par stable raha.AUD ko hawkish expectations se bhi faida mil raha hai, jo ke RBA ki aanay wali interest rate decision ke hawalay se hain, jo Tuesday ko hone wali hai. Expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par stable rakhegi, jo mazboot labor market aur inflationary pressures ko madde nazar rakhtay hue hai. Doosri taraf, US Dollar (USD) ki qeemat mein kami ho sakti hai kyun ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policymakers agle saal 2024 mein 75 basis points (bps) ke rate cuts predict kar rahe hain, jab ke last week unho ne aggressive 50 basis points ka rate cut kiya tha, jis se range 4.75-5.00% ho gayi hai.Monday ko AUD/USD pair 0.6820 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke pair ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai. But 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 se ooper hai, is liye aglay price movement se pair ke trend ka behtar andaza hoga. Is waqt AUD/USD pair ascending channel ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke 0.6839 ke nine-month high ke qareeb hai, jo 19 September ko dekha gaya tha. Agar is level se bounce hota hai, to pair upper boundary tak pohanch sakta hai, jo 0.6890 level ke qareeb hai. Neeche ki taraf, AUD/USD pair ko support 0.6771 par nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par mil sakta hai, aur agla aham support psychological level 0.6700 par hoga. Agar is se neeche break hota hai, to pair six-week

raye mein, agar price resistance ko paar nahi kar pati, toh yeh wapas daily support area ki taraf jaayegi jo ke 0.6763x ke price range mein hai. Halankeh price dobara se dominant hote hue upar barh gayi, magar apni highest resistance tak nahi pohonchi. Magar is cheez ko samajhna zaroori hai ke aaj ke liye price ka izafa zyada dominant ho sakta hai. Is waqt, sabse behthreen approach yeh hai ke hum intezar karein ke price resistance ko break kare aur agli resistance tak 0.6863x ke price par pohonche, ya phir reject ho kar neeche support 0.6712x ke aas paas gir jaaye. Iss current position mein, upar jaane ka rujhan abhi bhi hai, lekin neeche jaane ka bhi equal chance hai. Meri raye mein, AUD/USD pair ke liye aaj ka mood yeh hai ke agar resistance break ho jaaye toh buy karein, aur agar support break ho jaaye toh sell karein. Yeh last candlestick ke doji form par base karta hai, jo ke buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan balance ko show karta hai. Abhi, AUD/USD pair daily opening level par trade kar raha hai jo ke balance mein lag raha hai. Aage ke price movements ko analyze karne ke liye, hum M30 time frame par nazar daal sakte hain. Yahan par do minor support aur resistance areas hain, ek 0.6787x price ke aas paas upar ki had par aur doosra 0.6778x price ke aas paas neeche ki had par. Yeh do areas aane wale time mein achi entry opportunities de sakti hain. AUD/USD currency pair ki movement abhi bhi bullish movements ke zair e tarsarf rehne ki poori guzarish hai aur is baat ka imkaan hai ke yeh aagey bhi barh sakti hai. Filhaal mein khud bhi intizaar aur talaash kar raha hoon ke bullish potential ke sath BUY setup banaye jo ke level 0.6855 ke range tak ja sake. Agar yeh target ko haasil karne mein kamyaab hoti hai toh yeh baqiyaat level ki taraf barhne mein mazeed pur-itminan hogi. Lekin agar yeh nakam hoti hai, toh umeed ki jaa sakti hai ke yeh wapas se neeche gir jaye gi. AUD/USD currency pair ki market trend jo ke mazi chand dino se bullish condition mein thi, toh buyers se yeh umeed hai ke unke paas price ko barhane ka mazeed potential ho sakta hai, lekin abhi market ke price downward correction ke sath market ki conditions Ko reverse karne ki koshish kar rahi hai, kyun ke market aaj subah se khuli hai. Relative Strength Index indicator ki line abhi bhi level 50 se upar aram se chal rahi hai jo ke bullish trend ki nishani hai. Candlestick ki position abhi bhi 0.6780 ke price level ke upar hai jo ke upward moving market ki taraf ishara kar rahi hai. Is haftay ke price movement mein momentum ko dekhte hue jo ke zyada taur par bullish direction mein move kar raha tha, meri analysis ke mutabiq yeh mumkin hai ke price dobara se bullish trend par aajaye jab tak ke

AUD/USD ki jodi ki guzishta raat ki harkat mein, kal ki qeemat ki pre-kot ne 0.6945 ka naya high record kiya, jo pichle level se taqreeban 5 pips ooper tha. Lekin, is ke baad sellers ki taraf se ek significant **bearish engulfing** candle bani, jis ki wajah se overall kal ki upward movement aik "fake out" thi. Aisi price action condition ke sath yeh zahir hota hai ke sellers ne market mein dominance hasil kar liya hai, is liye hum zyada focus sell opportunities dhoondne par kar sakte hain, khaaskar jab qeemat upar ki taraf correction kar rahi ho, taake potential profit aur stop loss ka ratio zyada faidemand ho.

Yeh andaza lagaya gaya hai ke qeemat peelay zone mein daakhil hogi, jo ke weekly pivot 0.6886 - 0.6853 ke darmiyan hai. Yahan se hum kuch profit liquidate kar sakte hain aur baqi ko barqarar rakhte hue agle market reaction ka intezaar karenge.

Aaj subah koi ooper ki taraf harkat dekhne ko nahi mili. Ek sell signal ki waja se qeemat 0.6911 se gir kar 0.6869 tak pohanch gayi. Mazid harkat ka imkaan hai. Aagey chal kar, hum intezaar karte hain ke Non-Farm Payrolls report se pehle dollar ko mazid taqat milegi, kyunki job growth hone ka imkaan hai, jo dollar ko support karegi. Main ab bhi girawat par bet karunga, kyunki yeh zahir hota hai ke hum downward trend mein hain. Meri prediction hai ke hum 0.6777 ka level choo sakte hain, lekin abhi is mein kuch faasla hai. Agar hum 0.6849 tak girte hain, to hum agle ahem support level 0.6820 ke qareeb pohanch jaenge.

Jab ke downside zyada wazeh lagti hai, upar ki taraf movement ko challenges ka samna hoga. Kisi bhi rise ka sabab ek corrective wave ho sakta hai, jo humein 0.6952 tak le ja sakti hai. Yeh ek achi opportunity hogi AUD/USD ko sell karne ki, aur hum shayad 0.690 se sell positions shuru kar sakte hain jab yeh pair aur ooper jaane lage.

AUD/USD Price Forecast

US Dollar (USD) aaj phir mazboot hota nazar aa raha hai, jo ke khatar se bachne ki soorat mein logon ki rujhanat, Middle East mein barhte hue geopolitical tensions, kamzor Japanese Yen (JPY), aur US Federal Reserve (Fed) ki taraf se November mein kisi bhi bade interest-rate cut ke hone ki kam sambhavnaon ke sabab hai.

US Dollar ko is Thursday ko Asian trading mein ek naya jhatka mila jab naye Wazir-e-Azam Shigeru Ishiba ne kaha ke ma'ashi surat-e-haal doosri baar interest-rate barhane ke liye tayar nahi hai, jis se JPY kamzor hua. Lebanon mein aane wali ghalat surat-e-haal bhi Greenback ko mazid barhawa de rahi hai, kyun ke log safe-haven mein invest kar rahe hain.

Iqtisadi calendar aaj phir ek bohot pur-pur day ke liye tayar hai. Har hafte ki Jobless Claims ke ilawa, markets S&P Global Services Purchasing Managers index aur Institute for Supply Management (ISM) ke September ke numbers ka intezar kar rahe hain.

AUD/USD Analysis

AUD/USD has hit upside resistance and reversed lower, indicating a potential short-term trend reversal. The MACD is nearing a cross below its signal line, suggesting bearish momentum.

After what seems to be a false breakout above the top of the range, the pair is now falling back within it. This could signal the beginning of a new short-term downtrend, potentially pushing AUD/USD towards the range lows in the 0.63s, though it's still too soon to confirm this shift.

The blue MACD line is close to crossing below the red signal line, which would reinforce the notion of a trend reversal.

Throughout August and September, AUD/USD appears to have formed a Measured Move pattern, moving from the bottom to the top of the range. This pattern often resembles zig-zags, with waves A and C showing similar lengths or Fibonacci relationships.

The pair has reached an initial upside target based on a 61.8% Fibonacci extension of wave A, approximately at 0.6115. This suggests the previous uptrend may have peaked and that a new downtrend is forming. For further confirmation, a break below the 0.6785 level (the swing low from September 20) would target an initial downside level of 0.6709, aligning with the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA).

However, there remains a risk that the downward move could stall, allowing the uptrend to resume. A break above the September 30 peak at 0.6942 would signal a continuation of the uptrend, aiming for 0.6988 (the swing high from February 14, 2023) and possibly 0.7156 in a bullish scenario (the high from February 2, 2023).