ای AUD/USD کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات
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  • #5011 Collapse

    AUD/USD pair ke liye zyada bullish momentum ka signal ho sakta hai. Yeh aur buyers ko market mein entry dene par majboor kar sakta hai, jo price ko aur upar le ja sakta hai.
    Is level ke upar breakout par asar dalne wale mukhya factors mein se ek Federal Reserve ki monetary policy hai. Agar Federal Reserve interest rates ko cut karne ka faisla karta hai, to yeh US dollar ko kamzor kar sakta hai, jisse Australian dollar ka tulna mein appeal badh jaata hai. Kamzor US dollar aam tor par AUD/USD pair ko boost deta hai, kyunki yeh dono currencies inversely related hain. Is tarah, rate cut is pair ko aur upar le jane ka zaroori fuel de sakta hai.
    Downside par, traders ko support levels par nazar rakhni chahiye. 0.6835 level ek critical support zone hai. Agar price is level se neeche girti hai, to yeh bearish sentiment ke shuru hone ka ishara kar sakta hai, jo additional selling pressure trigger kar sakta hai. Is support ke neeche girne par AUD ke liye mazeed losses hone ki sambhavna hai, kyunki sellers price ko neeche push kar sakte hain.
    Resistance bhi is waqt ke setup mein ek ahm factor hai. 0.6845 level resistance ki tarah kaam kar raha hai aur yeh bhi ek point hai jisko traders dhyan se dekh rahe hain. Agar price is level ko cross karne mein kaamyab hoti hai, to yeh current upward trend ki tasdeeq kar sakta hai. Lekin agar yeh is level ko cross nahi karti, to iska matlab reversal ya consolidation ho sakta hai ek chhoti range mein.

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    Akhir mein, AUD/USD is waqt critical levels ke nazdeek trade kar raha hai, jahan support 0.6835 ke aas-paas aur resistance 0.6845 ke aas-paas hai. Traders ko in levels ke ird-gird movements par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunki kisi bhi taraf break hone par significant market action ka signal mil sakta hai. Iske ilawa, Federal Reserve ke potential rate cut ka asar bhi price action par hoga, jisse kamzor US dollar AUD ke liye mazeed gains ka support de sakta hai.

       
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    • #5012 Collapse

      USD currency pair ke price behavior ke tajziye ke hawalay se hai. AUD/USD filhal ek downward trend mein hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, 4-hour chart par price cloud ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, Kijun-sen aur Tenkan-sen signal lines ke neeche, aur Chikou-span line bhi price chart ke neeche hai. Is waqt ek "dead cross" active hai. Bollinger Bands downward slope par hain, MACD oscillator ke volumes kam ho rahe hain, Relative Strength Index (RSI) 49 se neeche hai, aur trend filter oscillator ne laal rang le liya hai, jo bears ke dominant hone ka saboot deta hai. Iss waqt selling ko tarjeeh di jani chahiye. Agar yeh girawat jari rehti hai, to agla target level 0.6621 hoga. Agar bears is threshold ko tod dete hain, to quotes mazeed gir kar 0.6560 tak ja sakti hain. Main yeh tawaqo karta hoon ke yeh level bhi breakdown hoga, aur downward trend 0.6605 tak jari rahega, jo ke channel ke neeche wali boundary 0.6557 tak bhi pohanch sakta hai. Medium term mein mera target 0.6458 aur 0.6349 ke levels par hai. Meri analysis jo maine subah share ki thi, us ke mutabiq AUD/USD market bilkul bears ki madad kar rahi hai aur abhi 0.6646 level par hai. Agar yeh rejection hoti hai, to bulls ko dobara market mein entry lene ka moka milega. Iss dauran, market buyers ke haq mein ja rahi hai, jo is baat ka wazeh ishara hai ke momentum ab upward movement ki taraf shift ho raha hai. Buyers ko taqat mil rahi hai aur wo prices ko upar dhakel rahe hain, jo ke ek bullish scenario ka saboot hai. Doosri taraf, sellers apna asar kho rahe hain aur unhein market par dabao dalna mushkil ho raha hai. Aise mein, sellers ke liye sell entry lena munasib nahi hoga, kyun ke yeh prevailing trend ke khilaf hoga. Is waqt sell position lena nuqsan ka sabab ban sakta hai, kyun ke market ka momentum strong bullish trend ko support kar raha hai aur downward movement ka faida uthana mushkil hai. Imandari se, yeh lagta hai ke AUD/USD market agle chand ghanton mein bullish trend shuru kar dega. Yeh observation technical analysis ke zariye bhi support hoti hai jo daily aur hourly charts par available hai. Dono timeframes aaj ke liye bullish scenario ko dikhate hain, jo is baat ko reinforce karta hai ke market upward move kar raha hai. Daily chart, jo market ke movements ka broader perspective deta hai, ek strong upward trend dikhata hai, jahan price levels resistance points ko break


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      • #5013 Collapse

        Main 0.6679 ke aas-paas long positions ke liye potential dekhta hoon. Halankeh koi significant support levels nazar nahi aate, yahan kuch hafton pehle ek noticeable rebound dekha gaya tha. Is rebound ki taqat modest ho sakti hai, jo shayad 0.6729 tak peak kare, uske baad zigzag ka khatma ho sakta hai. Is waqt buying positions se exit karna behtar hoga.
        Aage dekhte hue, 0.68000 level ke aas-paas ek prominent resistance area nazar aa raha hai, jo liquidity zone aur kuch FVG areas se mark kiya gaya hai jo pehle test nahi hue. Yeh region bulls ke liye ek significant hurdle ban sakta hai, jab price is taraf aati hai to potential profit-taking aur sell-side interest dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Lekin, recent sessions mein dekha gaya upward momentum yeh darshata hai ke buyers ke paas is resistance ko challenge karne ki taqat ho sakti hai. Agar price is resistance ko break kar leti hai, to yeh aage ke gains ka rasta khol sakta hai, shayad 0.68500 ke upar higher liquidity levels ko target karte hue.

        Neeche ki taraf, 0.67000 ke aas-paas ek key support zone established hai, jahan kai liquidity sweeps hue hain. In liquidity sweeps ki maujoodgi yeh darshati hai ke buyers is level ko defend kar rahe hain, jo potential pullbacks ke khilaf cushion provide karta hai. Agar price is zone ki taraf retrace hoti hai, to yeh dobara buying interest ka samna kar sakti hai, jo isse ek significant support level banata hai.

        Summarize karte hue, AUD/USD clear bullish momentum dikhata hai jab key liquidity gaps fill hoti hain aur support zones se reverse hota hai. 0.68000 level agla critical resistance hai, jiska break hone par aage ke upside ki sambhavna hai. Iske baraks, agar price 0.67000 ya isse neeche pullback hoti hai, to yeh buying interest ka samna karegi, agar market conditions favorable rahe



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        • #5014 Collapse

          AUD/USD pair ka Friday ko European trading session ke pehle half mein 0.6900 mark ke neeche ek narrow range mein trade hota raha, jo ke February 2023 ke baad se sab se unchi levels ke qareeb hai. US dollar (USD) ko thodi taqat mili US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index ke release se pehle, jo AUD/USD pair ke liye ek aham resistance factor bana. Lekin, Federal Reserve ke November mein ek aur aggressive rate cut ki umeedon ne dollar bulls ko zyada aggressive bets karne se roka. Market mein positive sentiment, jo ke People's Bank of China (PBOC) ke stimulus measures se support mila, ne risk-sensitive Australian dollar (AUD) ko mazid taqat di. RBA ke restrictive policy stance ke dohraane aur Governor Michelle Bullock ke recent data ke policy outlook par limited impact ke comments suggest karte hain ke AUD/USD pair ka least resistance ka rasta upward hai, jo do hafton ke uptrend ke extension ka imkan barhata hai. AUD/USD pair ne aaj sideways trade kiya, jab ke teen bohot volatile sessions ke baad is ne apni February 2023 ke baad sab se unchi level tak poch gaya. US Personal Consumption Expenditures report is jang ke natije ka taayun karne mein bohot aham kirdar ada kar sakti hai. Jo uptrend 5 August 2024 ko shuru hui thi, wo mazid strong lagti hai, aur higher highs aur higher lows ka silsila is ko support kar raha hai.
          Momentum indicators filhal mixed hain. Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) ne sharply rise kiya hai, jo ke AUD/USD pair ke liye strong bullish trend ko darsha raha hai. Lekin, Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 midpoint ke upar comfortably trade kar raha hai, aur Stochastic Oscillator overbought zone mein hover kar raha hai, jo ke current uptrend ke liye khatra ho sakta hai. Agar bulls confident rahe, to wo AUD/USD pair ko 25 February 2021 ki trend line ke upar push karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Agar yeh successful hua, to 13 October 2022 se 2 February 2023 tak ke uptrend ka 50% Fibonacci retracement, jo 0.6924 par hai, ko test kar sakte hain. Us ke baad, 0.7000 ka level agla logical target ho sakta hai. Aap ke trading strategy ke mutabiq, jab tak channel upward trend mein hai, short trades enter karna aap nahi chahte. Achi strategy yeh hogi ke jab channel ke lower limit par correction aaye, tab buy karna chahiye, taake false entry ke case mein nuqsaan se bacha ja sake. Channel ka upper limit 0.60438 par hai, aur upper part establish hone ke baad ek potential decline ko dekhna bhi zaroori hoga.

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          • #5015 Collapse

            hourly chart par thoda bearish nazar aa raha hai, lekin yeh movement un diligent sellers ki umeedon se door hai. Hum extreme low tak nahi pahunche, isliye ek significant decline ka prediction karna abhi jaldi hai. Jumme ke trading aksar ek key indicator hota hai, jo aane wale predictions ka buniyad tayar karta hai. Kyunki price minimum ke neeche nahi gayi, hum sirf limited drop ke baare mein baat kar sakte hain, jo ke ek full correction nahi, balki ek zigzag pattern hai, jo is situation mein acha fit hota hai. Market jald hi flat phase mein shift ho sakti hai. Main 0.6679 ke aas-paas long positions ke liye potential dekhta hoon. Halankeh koi significant support levels nazar nahi aate, yahan kuch hafton pehle ek noticeable rebound dekha gaya tha. Is rebound ki taqat modest ho sakti hai, jo shayad 0.6729 tak peak kare, uske baad zigzag ka khatma ho sakta hai. Is waqt buying positions se exit karna behtar hoga. Aage dekhte hue, 0.68000 level ke aas-paas ek prominent resistance area nazar aa raha hai, jo liquidity zone aur kuch FVG areas se mark kiya gaya hai jo pehle test nahi hue. Yeh region bulls ke liye ek significant hurdle ban sakta hai, jab price is taraf aati hai to potential profit-taking aur sell-side interest dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Lekin, recent sessions mein dekha gaya upward momentum yeh darshata hai ke buyers ke paas is resistance ko challenge karne ki taqat ho sakti hai. Agar price is resistance ko break kar leti hai, to yeh aage ke gains ka rasta khol sakta hai, shayad 0.68500 ke upar higher liquidity levels ko target karte hue.

            Neeche ki taraf, 0.67000 ke aas-paas ek key support zone established hai, jahan kai liquidity sweeps hue hain. In liquidity sweeps ki maujoodgi yeh darshati hai ke buyers is level ko defend kar rahe hain, jo potential pullbacks ke khilaf cushion provide karta hai. Agar price is zone ki taraf retrace hoti hai, to yeh dobara buying interest ka samna kar sakti hai, jo isse ek significant support level banata hai.

            Summarize karte hue, AUD/USD clear bullish momentum dikhata hai jab key liquidity gaps fill hoti hain aur support zones se reverse hota hai. 0.68000 level agla critical resistance hai, jiska break hone par aage ke upside ki sambhavna hai. Iske baraks, agar price 0.67000 ya isse neeche pullback hoti hai, to yeh buying
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            • #5016 Collapse

              AUD/USD currency pair ke price behavior ke tajziye ke hawalay se hai. AUD/USD filhal ek downward trend mein hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, 4-hour chart par price cloud ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, Kijun-sen aur Tenkan-sen signal lines ke neeche, aur Chikou-span line bhi price chart ke neeche hai. Is waqt ek "dead cross" active hai. Bollinger Bands downward slope par hain, MACD oscillator ke volumes kam ho rahe hain, Relative Strength Index (RSI) 49 se neeche hai, aur trend filter oscillator ne laal rang le liya hai, jo bears ke dominant hone ka saboot deta hai. Iss waqt selling ko tarjeeh di jani chahiye. Agar yeh girawat jari rehti hai, to agla target level 0.6621 hoga. Agar bears is threshold ko tod dete hain, to quotes mazeed gir kar 0.6560 tak ja sakti hain. Main yeh tawaqo karta hoon ke yeh level bhi breakdown hoga, aur downward trend 0.6605 tak jari rahega, jo ke channel ke neeche wali boundary 0.6557 tak bhi pohanch sakta hai. Medium term mein mera target 0.6458 aur 0.6349 ke levels par hai. Meri analysis jo maine subah share ki thi, us ke mutabiq AUD/USD market bilkul bears ki madad kar rahi hai aur abhi 0.6646 level par hai. Agar yeh rejection hoti hai, to bulls ko dobara market mein entry lene ka moka milega. Iss dauran, market buyers ke haq mein ja rahi hai, jo is baat ka wazeh ishara hai ke momentum ab upward movement ki taraf shift ho raha hai. Buyers ko taqat mil rahi hai aur wo prices ko upar dhakel rahe hain, jo ke ek bullish scenario ka saboot hai. Doosri taraf, sellers apna asar kho rahe hain aur unhein market par dabao dalna mushkil ho raha hai. Aise mein, sellers ke liye sell entry lena munasib nahi hoga, kyun ke yeh prevailing trend ke khilaf hoga. Is waqt sell position lena nuqsan ka sabab ban sakta hai, kyun ke market ka momentum strong bullish trend ko support kar raha hai aur downward movement ka faida uthana mushkil hai. Imandari se, yeh lagta hai ke AUD/USD market agle chand ghanton mein bullish trend shuru kar dega. Yeh observation technical analysis ke zariye bhi support hoti hai jo daily aur hourly charts par available hai. Dono timeframes aaj ke liye bullish scenario ko dikhate hain, jo is baat ko reinforce karta hai ke market upward move kar raha hai. Daily chart, jo market ke movements ka broader perspective deta hai, ek strong upward trend dikhata hai, jahan price levels resistance points ko break kar rahi hain

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              • #5017 Collapse

                AUD/USD ke price movement ka ongoing analysis focus mein hai. Aaj subah koi upward movement nahi hui. Ek sell signal ka imkaan tha, jiski wajah se price 0.6911 se gir kar 0.6869 tak aa gayi. Zyada movement ka imkaan hai. Aagey, hum umeed karte hain ke dollar Non-Farm Payrolls report ke samne aane se pehle mazboot hoga, kyun ke job growth ki umeed hai, jo dollar ko boost de sakti hai. Main ab bhi girawat par bet karunga, kyun ke lagta hai ke hum downward trend mein hain. Mera andaza hai ke hum 0.6777 level tak pohanch sakte hain, halan ke yeh abhi thoda door hai. Agar hum 0.6849 tak girte hain, to agla significant support 0.6820 par hoga. Neeche ki taraf ka movement zyada clear lag raha hai, lekin upward movement mein challenges aa sakte hain. Koi bhi rise ek corrective wave ke natije mein ho sakta hai, jo humein 0.6952 tak le ja sakti hai. Yeh ek achhi opportunity ho sakti hai AUD/USD ko sell karne ki, aur shayad hum 0.690 se sell positions initiate kar sakte hain, jab pair aage barhne ke imkaan mein ho.


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                Ek naye signal ka imkaan hai, jo strong support level 0.6857 ki taraf girawat ko indicate kar raha hai. Lekin main yeh imkan rad nahi karta ke shayad pair neeche dive karne se pehle upar jaaye. Iske bawajood, bearish movement hi primary outlook lag raha hai. Humein dekhna hoga ke kya forecast sahi sabit hota hai. Agar sellers local support range ke neeche rehne mein kamiyab hote hain, to hum ek strong one-way decline dekh sakte hain, jo pair ko sell karne ke estimates ko confirm karega. Agar bears fail karte hain, to buyers control le sakte hain. Yeh bhi zaroori hai ke false breakout ka imkaan madde nazar rakha jaye. Forecast abhi bhi bearish movement par focused hai, khaas tor par neural network se milne wale clear signal ke bawajood. Lekin plans tabdeel ho sakte hain, aur bulls price ko nearest resistance level ya usse ooper le ja sakte hain. Hum intezaar karenge ke agle kuch ghante kaise unfold hote hain.
                   
                • #5018 Collapse

                  Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ki monetary policy trajectories mein farq kaafi aham asar dalta hai currency values par. Aam tor par, yeh farq US dollar ko mazboot karta hai jab ke Australian dollar kamzor hota hai, aur yeh trend recent AUD/USD exchange rate ki girawat mein bhi wazeh hai. Iske ilawa, broader market conditions aur overall risk sentiment bhi currency movements ko shape karne mein ahem kirdar ada karte hain. Global economic outlook, geopolitical developments, aur commodity prices ki fluctuations jaise factors bhi AUD/USD pair ko mutasir kar sakte hain.
                  Misal ke tor par, Australian dollar ka performance key commodities ke prices se closely related hai, khaaskar iron ore se, jo Australia ki primary exports mein se ek hai. Agar commodity prices girti hain, to Australian dollar par ziada pressure aa sakta hai, jo AUD/USD pair ke lower levels ka sabab ban sakta hai. Filhaal, AUD/USD ka pehla resistance level 0.6643 par set hai. Agar yeh resistance level break ho jata hai, to agla bullish target 0.7121 tak barh sakta hai. Agar price 0.7121 ke ooper close hota hai, to market 0.7543 tak bhi ja sakti hai, jo teesra resistance level hai.

                  Doosri taraf, AUD/USD pair ka pehla support level 0.6616 ke qareeb hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to agla bearish target 0.6593 par ho sakta hai. Agar price 0.6593 ke neeche close hota hai, to market ka price 0.5843 tak gir sakta hai, jo teesra support level hai. Traders ko ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye aur in support aur resistance areas ko ghaur se dekhna chahiye, kyun ke yeh potential market direction changes ko signal kar sakte hain.

                  Friday ke Asian market session mein lagta hai ke buyers abhi bhi control mein hain, jo actively bullish opportunities dhoond rahe hain aur price ko upward push kar rahe hain. Unka maqasad yeh hai ke sellers ke resistance area ko 0.6638-0.6640 ke aas paas test karein. Agar yeh area successfully penetrate hota hai, to ek higher bullish trajectory ka rasta khul sakta hai, jisme agla target sellers ke supply resistance zone 0.6695-0.6700 par hoga, jo ab tak sellers ke control mein raha hai.

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                  Natija:

                  AUD/USD pair ki dynamics monetary policy divergence, commodity prices ki fluctuations, aur broader market sentiment ka mix hai. Key support aur resistance levels ko monitor karke traders apni positions ko behtar bana sakte hain aur market movements ka faida utha sakte hain. Jaise jaise market evolve karti hai, vigilance aur adaptability traders ke liye zaroori honge successful trading strategies ke liye.
                     
                  • #5019 Collapse

                    Pair par upward pressure aa raha hai jabkay investors closely Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ki hawkish monetary policy stance ko dekh rahe hain. Dosray quarter mein strong wage growth ke bawajood, RBA ke Governor Michele Bullock ne aglay chhay maheenon mein rate cuts ke imkaan ko rad kar diya hai. Bullock ne yeh wazeh kiya ke Australian central bank inflation ke khatrey par hamesha nazar rakhta hai aur agar zarurat hui to rates mazeed barhane ke liye tayar hai. Iss waqt AUD/USD pair 0.6939 ke area ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jo market ka Australian Dollar par confidence reflect karta hai.
                    Australia ke Treasurer Jim Chalmers ne RBA ke iss analysis par ehtiraz kiya ke mulk ki economy bohat zyada mazboot hai. RBA ka ye yaqeen hai ke government ke baray budgets inflation ko lambi muddat tak barqarar rakhnay mein hissa daal rahe hain, lekin Chalmers ka kehna hai ke economy central bank ke khayalat se zyada balanced hai. Iss ikhtilaf ne investors ke liye mazeed complexity paida kar di hai jo mulk ke economy ke mustaqbil aur Australian Dollar ki value ke baray mein andaza lagane ki koshish kar rahe hain.

                    AUD/USD ke Fundamentals:

                    US Dollar ko masail ka samna hai jab ke Wednesday ko Consumer Price Index (CPI) data release hone ke baad July ki US inflation rate mein miyana darja ka izafa dekhne ko mila. Iss ne investors mein Federal Reserve (Fed) ke aglay qadam ke baray mein speculation ko janam diya. Traders ka ziada tawaqo hai ke September mein ek halka 25 basis point rate cut hoga, jiska imkaan 60% hai, lekin CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq 50 basis point cut ka bhi 36% imkaan hai. Aanay walay US Initial Jobless Claims aur Retail Sales data ko bhi anticipate kiya ja raha hai jo market sentiment ko mazeed asar daal sakta hai.

                    Speculation mein mazeed izafa karte huay, Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid ne kaha ke agar inflation subdued rahi to monetary policy ko reduce karna "munasib" ho sakta hai. Schmid ne point out kiya ke abhi Fed ki policy itni restrictive nahi hai aur halan ke Fed apne 2% inflation target ke qareeb hai, lekin ab tak apna maqsood pura nahi kiya. Iss outlook ne US monetary policy ke mustaqbil par mukhtalif rai paida ki hai, khas tor par jab ke global economy abhi bhi uncertainties ka samna kar rahi hai.

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                    Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

                    Daily chart dikhata hai ke 9-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jald 50-day EMA ke ooper cross kar sakta hai. Aam tor par aisa crossover short-term price momentum ko longer-term trend se ziada mazboot dikhata hai, jo AUD/USD pair ke liye ek buying opportunity ki taraf ishara karta hai. Agar yeh bullish momentum barqarar rehta hai, to pair ascending channel ke upper boundary ke qareeb 0.6940 ka area target kar sakta hai. Agar is level ke ooper breakout hota hai, to pair apnay six-month high 0.6946 tak pohanch sakta hai, jo ke early Asian session ke dauran record kiya gaya tha.

                    Pair is waqt ascending channel ke lower boundary ko test kar raha hai, lekin agar yeh level break hota hai, to yeh bullish trend ke kamzor honay ka ishara ho sakta hai. Traders ko ehtiyat karna chahiye, kyun ke downward shift correction ka aghaz kar sakti hai. Mazeed, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi bhi 50 mark se thora ooper hai, jo current bullish momentum ke barqarar honay ko support karta hai lekin market ke overbought territory ke qareeb honay ka bhi ishara deta hai.
                       
                    • #5020 Collapse

                      AUD/USD Price Outlines
                      Aaj hum AUD/USD currency pair ki price action analysis par baat karenge. Pichlay haftay AUD/USD pair ne tawaqo ke mutabiq performance di, jisme growth hui lekin volatility bhi nazar ayi. Khaaskar, Tuesday, Wednesday aur Thursday ko tezi se price fluctuations hui. Tuesday ko stock market 499 points se surge kar gayi jab Reserve Bank of Australia ne apna faisla sunaya ke interest rate ko 4.34% par barqarar rakha jaye ga, sath hi US consumer business confidence data bhi negative tha. Wednesday ko pair mein itna hi girawat hui jab US ke naye gharon ki sales ka data achi performance dikhata tha. Phir Thursday ko, US economic data neutral rehne aur senior Fed officials ke New York forum mein bayanaat ke bawajood pair ne wapis 499 points ka izafa kiya. Hafta ke akhri tak, pair 951 points ka total izafa kar chuki thi. Australian data ya to neutral hai ya negative, is liye pair ki movement zyada tar US data par mabni hogi, jo ke aksar positive forecast kiya gaya hai.

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                      Agar market khulnay ke baad pair dip karta hai aur 0.6878 ka level mazboot rehta hai, jo ke zyada girawat ko roknay mein madad kare, to yeh ek significant liquidity buildup ka ishara ho sakta hai recent high ke ooper. Agar yeh baat sach hai, to market participants liquidity capture karna chahein ge pehle ke price drop ho. Agar pair maximum break karta hai aur badhti hui volumes ke sath girta hai, to yeh liquidity ke ooper price reversal ka ishara ho sakta hai. Agar maximum update hota hai aur liquidity barh jati hai, to hum dekh sakte hain ke pair dramatic tor par gir jaye, jo ke 0.6762 level tak ho sakta hai jahan significant accumulation ho sakti hai. Yeh scenario traders ke liye dilchasp potential paish karta hai, khaaskar agar critical levels jaise ke 0.6878 liquidity-driven movements ko trigger karein. Agar price peak karta hai aur liquidity mukammal hoti hai, to ek tezi se downward move follow kar sakta hai jo ke overall technical setup se mutabiq hoga.
                         
                      • #5021 Collapse

                        EUR/USD daily chart kuch key support aur resistance levels, liquidity zones, aur fair value gaps (FVG) ko highlight karta hai, jo ke recent price movements ko shape karne mein ahem kirdar ada karte hain. June 2024 se ye pair gradual uptrend mein hai, jo ke 1.0600 ke aas-paas ke liquidity zone se rebound karta hua aaya hai, jise downward liquidity (DLiq) ke tor par mark kiya gaya hai. Ye level ek bara support ka kaam kar raha tha, aur yahan se price 1.1000 ke qareeb agle resistance area ki taraf barhi, jo ke chart par nazar aane wale large red-shaded liquidity zone ke lower end ke mutabiq hai. Early September mein price ne 1.1200 ke qareeb resistance face kiya, jo ke ek aise area se mutaliq tha jahan pehli liquidity grabs aur uske baad pullbacks hue the. Ye level mazid seller interest ka historical area tha, jis ki wajah se price ko initial surge ke baad rejection ka samna karna pada. Iss dauran price action ne 1.1050 aur 1.1100 ke darmiyan ek fair value gap (FVG) ko fill kiya, jo ke price ko upar ki taraf push karne mein madadgar sabit hua. Magar, current price 1.10770 par hai aur bullish momentum ab thoda kamzor hota hua lag raha hai, kyun ke pair is resistance zone ke qareeb consolidate kar raha hai.

                        July mein ek aur liquidity zone (DLiq) 1.0850 level ke qareeb bana, jo ke pair ke upward journey ke dauran temporary floor bana. Is zone ko kai dafa retest kiya gaya, uske baad buyers ne kamiyabi se price ko upar ki taraf dhakela. Is ke ilawa, 1.1000 ke level ke neeche FVG ko bhi partial fill kiya gaya, jo ke third quarter of 2024 mein bullish reversal ka sabab bana. Agay dekhte hue, agar price 1.1200 se upar break karne mein naakam rehti hai, toh deeper correction 1.1000 ya 1.0900 levels ki taraf ho sakti hai, jahan liquidity aur fair value gaps temporary support provide kar sakti hain. Dosri taraf, agar bulls phir se control haasil kar lete hain aur 1.1200 resistance ko break karte hain, toh agla target 1.1300 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai, aur price apni uptrend ko jari rakh sakti hai.
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                        • #5022 Collapse

                          AUD/USD pair ki price jo apni upward rally ko continue karne ki koshish kar rahi thi, usay 0.6940 ke resistance level par rukawat ka samna karna para. Price jab neeche aane ki koshish karti hai, toh yeh bhi mazeed neeche nahi ja sakti kyunke wahan 0.6908 ka RBS (Resistance Becomes Support) area hai. Is ke ilawa, price movements zyada tar EMA 50 ke ird gird consolidate karti nazar aati hain, jis se agle price direction ke bare mein koi wazeh tasveeri nahi milti. Lekin, bullish trend ke rukh ko dekhte hue jo abhi tak chal raha hai, yeh umeed ki ja rahi hai ke price resistance level 0.6940 ko cross karne ke baad mazeed upar ja sakti hai. Agar correction hoti hai aur price neeche aati hai, toh sab se pehle support level 0.6878 tak aasakti hai aur phir wahan se bounce kar ke upar jaane ka imkaan hai.

                          Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ka analysis kuch clear nahin hai, kyunke volume histogram abhi tak level 0 ke aas paas hi hai. Is se yeh confirm nahi hota ke abhi market uptrend mein hai ya downtrend mein. Lekin, Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo ke 50 aur 80 ke darmiyan cross kar rahe hain, yeh signal dete hain ke price neeche jaane ka imkaan zyada hai. Jab Stochastic ke parameters 50 level ko cross karke oversold zone ki taraf ja rahe hain, jo ke 20-10 ke darmiyan hoti hai, toh price decline mazeed barh sakta hai.

                          Trading plan ke hawale se, abhi bhi BUY moment ka intezar karna behtar ho sakta hai kyunke bullish trend abhi kamzor nahi para. Yeh is baat se zahir hota hai ke Moving Average lines ke darmiyan kaafi faasla hai, jo ke abhi bhi upward momentum ko support kar raha hai. Entry position ko place karte waqt, price space ko support level 0.6878 se SMA 200 tak as dynamic support istemal kiya ja sakta hai. Is ke liye confirmation ke liye Stochastic indicator ke parameters ko dekha jaaye jab woh oversold zone mein level 20-10 par hote hain. Agar AO indicator ka histogram positive area mein aata hai ya level 0 se upar cross karta hai, toh yeh uptrend momentum ki taraf ishaara karta hai. Resistance 0.6940 ko take profit ke liye maqam ke tor par rakha ja sakta hai, jab ke stop loss ko support 0.6821 ke aas paas place karna zaroori hoga.

                          Is tarah ke technical analysis se trading mein madad mil sakti hai, magar market conditions ko continuously monitor karna aur in indicators ko sahi tareeqe se samajhna bhi bohat zaroori hai.
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                          • #5023 Collapse

                            ne US Dollar (USD ) ke muqable mein achi position hasil ki hai. AUD/USD ka strong hona China ke central bank PBoC ke banking system mein liquidity inject karne se bhi related ho sakta hai, kyun ke Australia aur China ke darmiyan qareebi trade relation hai, aur Chinese economy mein developments ka Australian markets par bara asar ho sakta hai.PBoC ne 14-day reverse repo ke zariye banking system mein CNY 74.5 billion ka injection kiya, aur is dauran rate ko 1.95% se kam karke 1.85% kiya gaya. Iske ilawa, PBoC ne 7-day reverse repo ke zariye bhi CNY 160.1 billion ka injection kiya, jisme rate 1.7% par stable raha.AUD ko hawkish expectations se bhi faida mil raha hai, jo ke RBA ki aanay wali interest rate decision ke hawalay se hain, jo Tuesday ko hone wali hai. Expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par stable rakhegi, jo mazboot labor market aur inflationary pressures ko madde nazar rakhtay hue hai. Doosri taraf, US Dollar (USD) ki qeemat mein kami ho sakti hai kyun ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policymakers agle saal 2024 mein 75 basis points (bps) ke rate cuts predict kar rahe hain, jab ke last week unho ne aggressive 50 basis points ka rate cut kiya tha, jis se range 4.75-5.00% ho gayi hai.Monday ko AUD/USD pair 0.6820 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke pair ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai. But 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 se ooper hai, is liye aglay price movement se pair ke trend ka behtar andaza hoga. Is waqt AUD/USD pair ascending channel ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke 0.6839 ke nine-month high ke qareeb hai, jo 19 September ko dekha gaya tha. Agar is level se bounce hota hai, to pair upper boundary tak pohanch sakta hai, jo 0.6890 level ke qareeb hai. Neeche ki taraf, AUD/USD pair ko support 0.6771 par nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par mil sakta hai, aur agla aham support psychological level 0.6700 par hoga. Agar is se neeche break hota hai, to pair six-week

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                            • #5024 Collapse

                              milti. Lekin, bullish trend ke rukh ko dekhte hue jo abhi tak chal raha hai, yeh umeed ki ja rahi hai ke price resistance level 0.6940 ko cross karne ke baad mazeed upar ja sakti hai. Agar correction hoti hai aur price neeche aati hai, toh sab se pehle support level 0.6878 tak aasakti hai aur phir wahan se bounce kar ke upar jaane ka imkaan hai.
                              Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ka analysis kuch clear nahin hai, kyunke volume histogram abhi tak level 0 ke aas paas hi hai. Is se yeh confirm nahi hota ke abhi market uptrend mein hai ya downtrend mein. Lekin, Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo ke 50 aur 80 ke darmiyan cross kar rahe hain, yeh signal dete hain ke price neeche jaane ka imkaan zyada hai. Jab Stochastic ke parameters 50 level ko cross karke oversold zone ki taraf ja rahe hain, jo ke 20-10 ke darmiyan hoti hai, toh price decline mazeed barh sakta hai.

                              Trading plan ke hawale se, abhi bhi BUY moment ka intezar karna behtar ho sakta hai kyunke bullish trend abhi kamzor nahi para. Yeh is baat se zahir hota hai ke Moving Average lines ke darmiyan kaafi faasla hai, jo ke abhi bhi upward momentum ko support kar raha hai. Entry position ko place karte waqt, price space ko support level 0.6878 se SMA 200 tak as dynamic support istemal kiya ja sakta hai. Is ke liye confirmation ke liye Stochastic indicator ke parameters ko dekha jaaye jab woh oversold zone mein level 20-10 par hote hain. Agar AO indicator ka histogram positive area mein aata hai ya level 0 se upar cross karta hai, toh yeh uptrend momentum ki taraf ishaara karta hai. Resistance 0.6940 ko take profit ke liye maqam ke tor par rakha ja sakta hai, jab ke stop loss ko support 0.6821 ke aas paas place karna zaroori hoga.

                              Is tarah ke technical analysis se trading mein madad mil sakti hai, magar market conditions ko continuously monitor karna aur in indicators ko sahi tareeqe se samajhna bhi bohat zaroori hai.

                              Click image for larger version

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                              • <a href="https://www.instaforex.org/ru/?x=ruforum">InstaForex</a>
                              • #5025 Collapse

                                mazboot hai, jab ke expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate ko Tuesday ko 4.35% par stable rakhega.Monday ko release hone wale kamzor Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data ke bawajood AUD ne US Dollar (USD ) ke muqable mein achi position hasil ki hai. AUD/USD ka strong hona China ke central bank PBoC ke banking system mein liquidity inject karne se bhi related ho sakta hai, kyun ke Australia aur China ke darmiyan qareebi trade relation hai, aur Chinese economy mein developments ka Australian markets par bara asar ho sakta hai.PBoC ne 14-day reverse repo ke zariye banking system mein CNY 74.5 billion ka injection kiya, aur is dauran rate ko 1.95% se kam karke 1.85% kiya gaya. Iske ilawa, PBoC ne 7-day reverse repo ke zariye bhi CNY 160.1 billion ka injection kiya, jisme rate 1.7% par stable raha.AUD ko hawkish expectations se bhi faida mil raha hai, jo ke RBA ki aanay wali interest rate decision ke hawalay se hain, jo Tuesday ko hone wali hai. Expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par stable rakhegi, jo mazboot labor market aur inflationary pressures ko madde nazar rakhtay hue hai. Doosri taraf, US Dollar (USD) ki qeemat mein kami ho sakti hai kyun ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policymakers agle saal 2024 mein 75 basis points (bps) ke rate cuts predict kar rahe hain, jab ke last week unho ne aggressive 50 basis points ka rate cut kiya tha, jis se range 4.75-5.00% ho gayi hai.Monday ko AUD/USD pair 0.6820 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke pair ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai. But 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 se ooper hai, is liye aglay price movement se pair ke trend ka behtar andaza hoga. Is waqt AUD/USD pair ascending channel ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke 0.6839 ke nine-month high ke qareeb hai, jo 19 September ko dekha gaya tha. Agar is level se bounce hota hai, to pair upper boundary tak pohanch sakta hai, jo 0.6890 level ke qareeb hai. Neeche ki taraf, AUD/USD pair ko support 0.6771 par nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par mil sakta hai, aur agla aham support psychological level 0.6700 par hoga. Agar is se neeche break hota hai, to pair six-week low 0.6622 ki taraf Click image for larger version

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