ای aud/usd کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

AUD/USD ka rollercoaster kaafi interesting raha hai na?

Kal ki market action ne hum sab ko hairan kar diya, magar aaj ka reversal aur bhi zyada sawal utha raha hai. Jabke US dollar kuch currencies ke muqable mein apni taqat dikha raha hai, lagta hai Aussie dollar ke samne peeche hat raha hai. Kaafi ajeeb behaviour hai, agar mujhse poocho to.

Ab, jitna main kehna chahoon ke mere paas ek crystal ball hai aur main future ko 100% accuracy ke sath predict kar sakta hoon, asal mein market ek unpredictable cheez hai. Lekin jo main dekh raha hoon, usse lagta hai ke AUD/USD increase ka forecast shape lene laga hai. Agar pair 0.650 mark se upar break karne mein kamiyab ho jata hai, to mera target 0.671 tak ka move hai. Ungliyan cross kar lein, dost!

Ab, main yaqeen se nahi keh sakta ke future mein kya hoga, magar current bullish trend mujhe cautiously optimistic bana raha hai. Jis tarah hum week mein aage badh rahe hain, un labor market data releases par nazar rakho – yeh hamisha economic health ka accha indicator hota hai. Aur kal, sabki nazar Fed ke interest rate decision aur press conference mein Powell ke bayan par hogi. Yeh markets mein kuch excitement stir up karne wala hai.

Chalo, ab technical indicators par ek nazar daalte hain. MACD upwards point kar raha hai, jo ek acchi nishani hai, aur CCI bhi kaafi positive lag raha hai. Agar price CCI par 0.6546 level tak retrace kar sakti hai, to yeh kuch buy opportunities consider karne ka sweet spot ho sakta hai. Aur jab hum daily time frame pe zoom out karte hain, candle close, Parabolic indicator, aur moving average sab sahi direction mein point kar rahe hain. Magar, dhyan rakho us Parabolic Curve aur moving average par – agar daily candle inke neeche close hoti hai, to yeh hourly time frame pe kuch sell signals dekhne ka waqt ho sakta hai.




Phew, yeh kaafi technical details thi, magar umeed hai ke yeh tumhein AUD/USD ke bare mein behtar samajh dene mein madad karein. Stay tuned, dost, aur dekhte hain ke markets humein agle kya surprises deti hain!

AUD/USD H-4 Time Frame Chart

#AUD/USD H4 Australian Dollar - US Dollar. Heiken Ashi candlesticks ko TMA (Triangular Moving Average) aur RSI indicators ke sath study karne ke baad, hum yeh nateeja nikal sakte hain ke market ka current preference downtrend aur ek significant sell-off ka hai. Is mein izafa hoga. Heiken Ashi candlestick indicator, jo market mein strength ka current balance dikhata hai, chart par noise ko smooth out karne mein madad karta hai aur is tarah technical analysis aur trading decisions mein accuracy ko badhata hai. Rising TMA channel indicator (red, blue, aur yellow lines) support aur resistance lines form karta hai jo ke two-time smooth moving averages par base karte hain aur instrument ke movement ke current limits ko indicate karte hain. Best results dikhate hue Heiken Ashi ke sath combine hone wala ek supporting oscillator, RSI basement indicator ko use karna faidemand hota hai.




Study ki gayi pair ka chart yeh dikhata hai ke candles red ho gayi hain aur is tarah bears ko prefer karne ka ishara deti hain. Price channel ke upper limit (blue dotted line) ko cross kar ke, maximum point se bounce karti hui apni middle line (yellow dotted line) tak wapas aayi hai. RSI oscillator bhi sell signal ko confirm karta hai, kyunke iska curve down hai aur oversold levels ke qareeb nahi hai. Hum yeh nateeja nikal sakte hain ke price mark 0.64690 par ek profitable short sale transaction ko execute karna chahiye taake channel ke lower limit (red dotted line) tak pahunch sakein. Hum sab jaante hain ke yeh pair stagnant hai, aur in thirty points mein trading bhi unpleasant hoti hai. Main is pair ke liye market se bahar hi rahunga.

AUD/USD

Fundamental Analysis:
June ke liye, Australia ka Consumer Price Index (CPI) anticipated hai ke 3.8% year-over-year increase karega, jo persistent inflation ko highlight karta hai. Dusre quarter mein, CPI inflation annualized rate par 1% grow karne ka projection hai, jo pehle periods ke muqable mein slowdown ko dikhata hai. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) 6 August ko apni monetary policy assess karne ke liye baithegi. Observers ko closely watch karna chahiye kisi bhi alterations in interest rates ya policy announcements ke liye. Filhal, Australian Dollar (AUD) apne lowest level par trade kar raha hai US Dollar (USD) ke against do mahine mein, jo continued weakness ko reflect karta hai.

AUD/USD exchange rate ko global economic conditions aur commodity prices mein shifts, khaaskar Australian exports jaise ke iron ore aur energy se related prices se, bahut zyada influence milta hai. RBA ki monetary policy aur interest rates ke hawale se decisions AUD ki value ko determine karne mein significant role play karte hain. RBA policy ya guidance mein changes Australian Dollar par kafi asar daal sakti hain. Iske ilawa, US economic data, jaise GDP figures aur Federal Reserve actions, aur global market sentiment bhi AUD/USD rate ko affect karte hain. Key partners, jaise China ke sath trade dynamics aur crucial support aur resistance levels ki technical analysis bhi traders ke liye important considerations hain jab AUD/USD pair ke hawale se decisions le rahe hote hain.




Technical Analysis for the AUD/USD Pair:
AUD/USD pair filhal 0.6400 ke significant support ko test kar rahi hai, jo agar break hoti hai to further downside towards 0.6300 ka signal de sakti hai. Resistance 0.6500 ke around noted hai, aur agar yeh level break hota hai to potential rally towards 0.6600 suggest karta hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold zone mein hai, jo possible short-term rebound opportunities ko indicate karta hai. Moving averages bearish trend ko dikhate hain, jo current downtrend ko reinforce karte hain. Traders ko kisi bhi shifts in momentum ya breakout patterns ko in key levels ke around dekhna chahiye for trading signals.

**AUD/USD Potential Buy Setup:**

Market ka price action aaj buy trade ka suggestion de raha hai. Agar price 0.6480 psychological level ko niche ki taraf break karti hai, to yeh short-term bullish outlook ko invalidate kar degi. Is bullish move ka projected target 0.6610 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position ko 0.6558 par close kar sakte hain.

**Daily Outlook:**

Kal, market ne 0.6540 par open kiya aur 0.6544 par close hua. Isliye, market ka sentiment bullish hai. Yeh 0.6558 ka high aur 0.6481 ka low tak pohnchi. Kal ki trading range lagbhag 77 pips thi. Filhal, yeh daily pivot level 0.6535 ke upar move kar rahi hai. Aane wale trading dinon mein, yeh daily resistance level R1 aur R2 ko hit kar sakti hai.

**H4 Outlook:**

Daily time frame ke mutabiq, pair side-way trend mein hai. Lekin, filhal yeh bullish trend mein hai. Niche diye gaye reasons hain:
- Market ne weekly horizontal level 0.6500 ko hit kiya.
- RSI 14 is level par oversold hai.
- Is level par engulfing candlestick pattern nazar aaya.
- Engulfing candlestick formation ke baad bullish rejection ne bullish momentum ko confirm kiya.
- MACD bullish divergence is level par nazar aayi.
- Pair MA 30 ke upar move kar rahi hai.

**Hourly Outlook:**

Market aane wale dinon mein upward move karegi. Niche kuch price actions diye gaye hain:
- Pair ne falling trend-line ko upar ki taraf break kiya.
- Yeh EMA-30 ke upar move kar rahi hai.
- Yeh daily pivot level ke upar open hoti hai.

Main ne forex trading ki hai 10 saalon se. Pichle 2 saalon mein, maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apni technical analysis share karunga. Kripya karke apni suggestions aur improvements zaroor batayein. Main is par aapke saath discuss karne ke liye khush hoonga. Apna support dikhane ke liye "like" button ko click karein.

Chart H4 - USDCHF currency pair. The wave structure is forming its downward sequence, the MACD indicator is decreasing in the oversold zone and below its signal line. Previously, during the uptrend, the price failed to break above the descending resistance line drawn from the peaks of the nearest waves, turned down from the line, and made a new low, along with the low of the previous week. Selling here is not recurrency pair. The wave structure is forming its downwardcommended despite the downtrend as there is a potential buying zone now. The CCI indicator is ready to move up from the oversold zone, also on both indicators used - MACD and CCI, there is a signal for an uptrend - a bullish divergence. It is not confirmed yet, but its presence alone suggests refraining from selling. Confirmation of the divergence will be a sustained move above the resistance level of 0.8774, which will act as a mirror, and in this case, a rise towards the descending line passing above the wave peaks is likely to follow. For now, buying prematurely is not advisable, as it is uncertain how much further the price can drop. Today's noteworthy news: At 15:30 Moscow time: Total number of individuals receiving unemployment benefits in the US, Initial jobless claims in the US, 4-week average of jobless claims in the US, Non-farm productivity level in the US, US labor costs. At 16:45: US Manufacturing PMI. At 17:00: US construction spending, ISM Manufacturing Employment Index, ISM US Manufacturing PMI, ISM US Manufacturing Price Index. We might get stuck at the bottom until the news is released.Chart H4 - USDCHF currency pair. The wave structure is forming its downward sequence, the MACD indicator is decreasing in the oversold zone and below its signal line. Previously, during the uptrend, the price failed to break above the descending resistance line drawn from the peaks of the nearest waves, turned down from the line, and made a new low, along with the low of the previous week. Selling here is not recommended despite the downtrend as there is a potential buying zone now. The CCI indicator is ready to move up from the oversold zone, also on both indicators used - MACD and CCI, there is a signal for an uptrend - a bullish divergence. It is not confirmed yet, but its presence alone suggests refraining from selling. Confirmation of the divergence will be a sustained move above the resistance level of 0.8774, which will act as a mirror, and in this case, a rise towards the descending line passing above the wave peaks is likely to follow. For now, buying prematurely is not advisable, as it is uncertain how much further the price can drop. Today's noteworthy news: At 15:30 Moscow time: Total number of individuals receiving unemployment benefits in the US, Initial jobless claims in the US, 4-week average of jobless claims in the US, Non-farm productivity level in the US, US labor costs. At 16:45: US Manufacturing PMI. At 17:00: US construction spending, ISM Manufacturing Employment Index, ISM US Manufacturing PMI, ISM US Manufacturing Price Index. We might get stuck at the bottom until the news is released.

AUD/USD ka rollercoaster kaafi interesting raha hai na?
Kal ki market action ne hum sab ko hairan kar diya, magar aaj ka reversal aur bhi zyada sawal utha raha hai. Jabke US dollar kuch currencies ke muqable mein apni taqat dikha raha hai, lagta hai Aussie dollar ke samne peeche hat raha hai. Kaafi ajeeb behaviour hai, agar mujhse poocho to.

Ab, jitna main kehna chahoon ke mere paas ek crystal ball hai aur main future ko 100% accuracy ke sath predict kar sakta hoon, asal mein market ek unpredictable cheez hai. Lekin jo main dekh raha hoon, usse lagta hai ke AUD/USD increase ka forecast shape lene laga hai. Agar pair 0.650 mark se upar break karne mein kamiyab ho jata hai, to mera target 0.671 tak ka move hai. Ungliyan cross kar lein, dost!

Ab, main yaqeen se nahi keh sakta ke future mein kya hoga, magar current bullish trend mujhe cautiously optimistic bana raha hai. Jis tarah hum week mein aage badh rahe hain, un labor market data releases par nazar rakho – yeh hamisha economic health ka accha indicator hota hai. Aur kal, sabki nazar Fed ke interest rate decision aur press conference mein Powell ke bayan par hogi. Yeh markets mein kuch excitement stir up karne wala hai.

Chalo, ab technical indicators par ek nazar daalte hain. MACD upwards point kar raha hai, jo ek acchi nishani hai, aur CCI bhi kaafi positive lag raha hai. Agar price CCI par 0.6546 level tak retrace kar sakti hai, to yeh kuch buy opportunities consider karne ka sweet spot ho sakta hai. Aur jab hum daily time frame pe zoom out karte hain, candle close, Parabolic indicator, aur moving average sab sahi direction mein point kar rahe hain. Magar, dhyan rakho us Parabolic Curve aur moving average par – agar daily candle inke neeche close hoti hai, to yeh hourly time frame pe kuch sell signals dekhne ka waqt ho sakta hai.


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Phew, yeh kaafi technical details thi, magar umeed hai ke yeh tumhein AUD/USD ke bare mein behtar samajh dene mein madad karein. Stay tuned, dost, aur dekhte hain ke markets humein agle kya surprises deti hain!

Humaray tajziye mein, hum AUD/USD currency pair ke mojooda pricing behavior ko explore kar rahay hain. Sellers ki activity wazeh hai, jese ke downward-sloping linear regression channel se zahir hai. Instrument abhi 0.65584 ke neechay trade kar raha hai. Main 0.65299 tak sell karne ka soch raha hoon, wahan tak ek correction expect karta hoon, uske baad main short positions par pause lunga. Main pullback ka intezar kar raha hoon pehle ke mazeed sales ka sochun. 0.65584 se sell karna ziada attractive lag raha hai, kyun ke is level ko surpass karne se bullish interest attract ho sakta hai. Ye position mujhe market ki response gauge karne aur apne trades adjust karne ki ijazat deti hai, losses ko minimize karte hue day trading mein quick profits secure karne ka potential milta hai. Hourly chart par dekhne se bhi ek linear regression channel downward point karta hai, jo ke ziada significant channel ke sath aligned hai, jo intense buying pressure ki kami ko suggest karta hai. H1 channel ke zariye ek directional change ki possibility kam hai.


Isliye, main ziada inclined hoon sales pursue karne ke liye rather than buying against the trend of both channels, jo bearish outlook signal karte hain. Critical resistance level 0.65584 hai; isko breach karne se channel ke upper edge 0.65695 tak rise ho sakta hai. Main is point se sell karunga, target karte hue 0.65299 aur 0.65022 ko. Ye targets reach karna channel volatility ko indicate kar sakta hai, jo bullish pullback trigger kar sakti hai. Lekin, main ziada focus trading with the trend par kar raha hoon. Market Ichimoku Cloud tak retrace kar chuki hai, Senkou line 0.65567 ko break karte hue, jab ke Senkou line 0.65475 par intact hai, jo potential rebound aur bullish growth ko suggest karta hai. Agar market cloud ke andar rahti hai, to ek flat trend develop ho sakta hai. Stochastic oscillator, jo ke flat conditions mein khaas tor par effective hai, market movements ko predict karne mein madadgar hai. Agar Stochastic 20 level ke neechay dip karta hai, oversold conditions indicate karte hue, to ye growth ke continuation ki likelihood ko confirm karta hai.

AUD-USD PAIR ANALYSIS:

Trading options AUD-USD currency pair par jab current large time frame se dekha jaaye, toh yeh abhi bhi sideways movement condition mein hai, lekin price movement ka rujhan south ki taraf hai, isliye price ek kaafi lambi bearish trend mein hai. Is waqt ka main trading option yeh hai ke pehle selling action lein, aur yeh aur bhi behtar hoga jab candle change ke baad price movement neechay ki taraf move kare, yaani ke kal ke liye bearish trend price pattern ka ittiba ho.

Sell trading option yahan par current price par ya price level range 0.65250 par open kiya jaa sakta hai, ya is waqt agar dekha jaaye, price consolidation zone se nikal kar initial position par hai. Anticipate karte hue agar price ulta move kare toh hume stance lena chahiye, jabke abhi ke liye yeh selling action lena focus karein us area par. Is waqt, main price ka target kam az kam 0.64000 ki price level area tak rakhunga. Yeh area ek support area hai jo ke doosre qareebi supports se kaafi door hai, toh baad mein aap pehle profit cut kar sakte hain agar baad mein price qareebi support area tak move kare, aur dekhein ke price kya karta hai, kya yeh break down karta hai next sell ke liye ya phir wapas us area mein move up hota hai.
Is waqt, main loss ka target rakhunga agar price upar move karke resistance area ko break out karta hai jo ke price level 0.66000 ke range mein hai, ya phir main position ko cut loss karunga agar price mukhtalif reversal indication deta hai. Aur haan, yahan hum price opportunity dekhenge, kya yeh invalid hota hai ya aage ke future opportunities ke liye higher price increase indication deta hai, toh yahan hum pehle cut loss kar sakte hain ya loss limit set kar sakte hain.

Trading option = 0.65250 Take Profit option = 0.64000 Stop Loss option = CUT LOSS (0.66000)

AUD/USD currency pair ke price action ka tajziyakamzori ne AUD/USD pair ki quotes ko support kiya, jo ab current daily chart trading range ke upper boundary ke qareeb hain. Iske thoda upar ek mazboot resistance level 0.6766 par hai, jo 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke mutabiq hai. Dollar ki yeh kamzori aarzi hai, jo ziada tar US labor market data ke negative hone ki wajah se hai. Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke labor statistics mein thodi si kamzori ke bawajood, non-farm payroll data expectations se behtar aayi, jo ke shayad agle trading week ke aghaz mein US dollar ke bare mein nazariya badal sakti hai. Speculators ne is surat haal se faida uthane ki koshish ki, jo marginal market activity ko barhawa de sakti hai. Lekin, US dollar ke further depreciation ke liye koi compelling indicators nahi hain. Isliye, agar price blue moving average ya 0.6766 resistance se rebound hoti hai, toh main selling ko contemplate karunga, aur 0.6660 support level ki taraf ek corrective decline anticipate karunga.
AUD/USD trading range mein phasa hua hai, aur paanch mahine ke high 0.6713 ko break karne mein nakam raha hai. Lekin, downtrend upward sloping 50-day SMA par ruk gaya hai. Agar buying pressure barqarar rehti hai, toh price pehle 0.6713 resistance level ko retest karne ki koshish karegi, jo December 2023 high 0.6870 ki taraf breakout ki surat mein le ja sakta hai. Agar yeh level hold nahi karta, toh pair 0.6898 double top area ko revisit kar sakta hai jo pichle summer mein identify hua tha. Dosri taraf, reversal ki surat mein, AUD ko immediate support 0.6643 level par milega, jo April aur May mein resistance ka kaam de chuka hai. Zyada severe drop near-term support 0.6590 ko expose kar sakta hai, jo 50-day EMA ke mutabiq hai. Agar decline barqarar rehti hai, toh 0.6558 level, jo pair ke recent range ke lower end par hai, further depreciation se pehle aakhri defense ka kaam karega.
AUD/USD: H4 at 0.6529
Filhal, AUD/USD currency pair bearish outlook ko favor kar rahi hai, jahan sellers resistance levels par control maintain kar rahe hain aur sustained upward momentum ko prevent kar rahe hain. Key technical levels aur 0.6529 par support bearish trend ki strength ko confirm karne ke liye critical hain. Market participants ko aaj ke economic events ko closely monitor karna chahiye sentiment shifts ke potential ke liye, aur current market dynamics ko effectively navigate karne ke liye cautious approach aur small lot sizes adopt karni chahiye.

AUD/USD currency pair ke trading options ko agar current large time frame se dekha jaye to yeh abhi bhi sideways movement mein hain, lekin price movement south ki taraf ja rahi hai, isliye yeh price ek lambi bearish trend mein hai. Is waqt ke liye main trading option yeh hai ke pehle selling action liya jaye, aur agar candle ke change ke baad price movement neeche chali jaye, to iska matlab hai ke bearish trend price pattern follow karegi kal ke liye.
Sell trading option yahan current price par ya price level range 0.65250 par open kiya ja sakta hai, ya agar abhi dekhein, price consolidation zone se nikal rahi hai. Agar price ulta chalti hai to hum baad mein stance le sakte hain. Abhi ke liye selling action lena behtar hai, jo is area par focus kare. Filhal, mera target price kam se kam 0.64000 ke price level tak hai. Yeh area ek support area hai jo mujhe lagta hai ke dusre closest supports se kaafi door hai, isliye baad mein aap profit cut kar sakte hain agar price closer support area ki taraf move kare, aur dekhenge ke price kya karti hai, kya yeh breakdown karegi next sell ke liye ya phir is area mein upar move karegi.

Filhal, mera loss target yeh hai ke agar price resistance area 0.66000 se break out kare, ya agar price reversal indication de, to position ko cut loss karenge. Hum price opportunity dekhenge, kya yeh invalid hai ya future opportunities ke liye higher price increase indication deti hai. Yahan hum early cut loss ya loss limit set kar sakte hain.

Trading option = 0.65250
Take Profit option = 0.64000
Stop Loss option = CUT LOSS (0.66000)

AUD/USD ke price action se aaj buy trade ka suggestion milta hai. Agar price 0.6480 ke psychological level ko neeche break karti hai, to yeh short-term bullish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bull move ka projected target 0.6610 hai. Safe trading ke liye aap apni half position 0.6558 par close kar sakte hain.
Kal market 0.6540 par open hui aur 0.6544 par close hui, isliye market ka sentiment bullish hai. Market ne 0.6558 ki high aur 0.6481 ki low ko touch kiya. Kal ka trading range lagbhag 77 pips tha. Filhal, market daily pivot level 0.6535 ke upar move kar rahi hai. Yeh agle trading dinon mein daily resistance levels R1 aur R2 ko hit kar sakti hai.

Daily time frame ke mutabiq pair sideways trend mein hai, lekin filhal bullish trend mein hai. Iske reasons yeh hain: Market ne weekly horizontal level 0.6500 ko hit kiya. RSI 14 is level par oversold hai. Is level par ek engulfing candlestick pattern appear hua hai. Engulfing candlestick formation ke baad bullish rejection ne end of the day par bullish momentum ko confirm kiya. MACD bullish divergence is level par appear hua. Pair MA 30 ke upar move kar rahi hai.

Aane wale dinon mein market upar ki taraf move karegi. Price actions yeh hain: Pair ne falling trend-line ko upar ki taraf break kiya. Yeh EMA-30 ke upar move kar rahi hai. Yeh daily pivot level ke upar open hoti hai.AUD/USD ke price action se aaj buy trade ka suggestion milta hai. Agar price 0.6480 ke psychological level ko neeche break karti hai, to yeh short-term bullish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bull move ka projected target 0.6610 hai. Safe trading ke liye aap apni half position 0.6558 par close kar sakte hain.

Kal market 0.6540 par open hui aur 0.6544 par close hui, isliye market ka sentiment bullish hai. Market ne 0.6558 ki high aur 0.6481 ki low ko touch kiya. Kal ka trading range lagbhag 77 pips tha. Filhal, market daily pivot level 0.6535 ke upar move kar rahi hai. Yeh agle trading dinon mein daily resistance levels R1 aur R2 ko hit kar sakti hai.

Daily time frame ke mutabiq pair sideways trend mein hai, lekin filhal bullish trend mein hai. Iske reasons yeh hain: Market ne weekly horizontal level 0.6500 ko hit kiya. RSI 14 is level par oversold hai. Is level par ek engulfing candlestick pattern appear hua hai. Engulfing candlestick formation ke baad bullish rejection ne end of the day par bullish momentum ko confirm kiya. MACD bullish divergence is level par appear hua. Pair MA 30 ke upar move kar rahi hai.

Aane wale dinon mein market upar ki taraf move karegi. Price actions yeh hain: Pair ne falling trend-line ko upar ki taraf break kiya. Yeh EMA-30 ke upar move kar rahi hai. Yeh daily pivot level ke upar open hoti hai.

Technical indicators bhi bullish trend ko support karte hain. MACD aur RSI bullish divergence show kar rahe hain, jo ki strong upward movement ka indication hai. Bollinger Bands bhi expand ho rahi hain, jo ki volatility increase hone aur upward trend continuation ka signal deti hain.

Fibonacci retracement ke hisaab se, agar price 0.6500 level ko hold kar leti hai, to agla target 0.6610 tak ho sakta hai. Moving Averages bhi bullish crossover indicate kar rahe hain, jo ki buyers ke liye positive signal hai.

In conclusion, AUD/USD ka short-term bullish outlook strong hai jab tak price 0.6480 ke neeche break nahi karti. Market ka current sentiment bullish hai aur technical indicators bhi upward movement ko support kar rahe hain. Safe trading ke liye, half position ko 0.6558 par close karna aur remaining position ko 0.6610 tak hold karna recommended hai.

AUD/USD
Central banks ke decisions data par heavily dependent hote hain, lekin kabhi-kabhi yeh data kaafi confusing ho sakti hai. Germany aur Netherlands mein consumer prices ghaflatan tez ho gayi hain, jabke Spain aur France mein yeh forecasts se kam rahi hain. Eurozone ki inflation 2.6% bhi Bloomberg ke experts ki estimates se zyada hai. Core inflation 2.9% par anchored hai, aur service prices thoda kam hui hain, 4.1% se 4% tak July mein. Situation complex hai, aur European Central Bank ke September meeting se pehle ek aur report aani hai.

Governing Council member Isabel Schnabel ke mutabiq, trend mein deviations ya to isolated hoti hain ya systematic. Pehli surat mein, rates continue karenge kam hona. Doosri surat mein, data ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai taake premature monetary policy easing se bacha ja sake. Pehli nazar mein, July ka CPI report deposit rate 3.75% par rakhne ke risks ko badhata hai, jo EUR/USD ke liye acha hai. Kal ka distinctly marked level 0.6482, jo din ka low aur April 1 aur March 5 par strong support tha, ne baqi target levels ko 300 pips ke range mein revise kiya, lekin overall downtrend ab bhi intact hai. Subah tak, price 0.6570 level ke neeche consolidate kar rahi hai, lekin yeh 0.6444 (February ka low) ko break karne ka irada rakhti hai. Agar price is level ke neeche consolidate karti hai, to yeh 0.6365 ki taraf girti rahegi. 4-hour chart par, price aur Marlin oscillator ne convergence bana liya hai, jo unki downward movement ko complex bana raha hai. Lekin, yeh lagta hai ke aussie events ke anticipation mein jaldi nahi hai, kal ke U.S. employment data release se pehle. MACD line 0.6570 resistance ko support karti hai. Hum pair ke sideways movement ki ummeed rakhte hain.

AUDUSD ke weak hone ke imkanat bhi hain, kyun ke US se kuch important data expected hai jo ke pichle month se behtar hoga. Technically, weekly chart use karte hue, Middle Bollinger Bands level tak gir sakta hai, jo ke 0.6600 ke price ke aas paas hai aur blue EMA50 area bhi hai. Lekin sellers ke liye ye karna asaan nahi hoga bina strong fundamental data support ke, kyun ke blue EMA50 ke neeche significant support hai green rectangle mein, jo 0.6662 - 0.6637 ke price range mein hai. Ye pehle bhi strong foothold tha price ko upar move karwane ke liye resistance 0.6800 tak. Agar sellers is green rectangle ko penetrate nahi kar sakte to price pull back kar ke upar ja sakti hai higher resistance tak. Lekin, is se trend exchange ka potential nahi khulta, kyun ke pehle daily candlestick ne ek CSAK SELL signal form kiya tha, yani ek candlestick jo Middle BB ke neeche gir ke close hui thi, to ye increase ek correction ya pullback kehlaya ja sakta hai Reentry sell setup complete karne ke liye. Traders sell limit position open kar sakte hain is area mein.
Price action H4 chart pe yeh dikhata hai ke is hafte ke shuruat mein price quotation weekly pivot area se kaafi door open hui hai blue rectangle 0.6724 - 6749 mein, kyun ke sellers price ko significant support area pe press karte hain yellow rectangle 0.6677 - 0.6670 mein . Agar solid penetration hoti hai, to price daily Lower BB area tak gir sakti hai jo 0.6620 ke price pe hai, lekin agar ek bounce hota hai pinbar candlestick ke sath, to price ke paas great potential hai ke weekly pivot area tak rise kare jo ke ab iska resistance hai. Is area se, price expected hai ke downward trend continue karegi following the bearish momentum on the previous daily chart.
Is analysis se actual trading plan kuch is tarah ban sakta hai:

AUDUSD currency pair mein mazboot qabza rakhte hain. Bearish dabao ki koshish hui magar girawat kam nahi hui. Khareedne walay ne bazaar mein barhne ki dar ko barqarar rakha. Abhi to bazaar ki halat mein bullish trend ki moharika mumkin hai. Maujooda qeemat dekhtay hue, mumkin hai ke candlestick mazeed buland uth sakta hai lekin sath hi sath girne ki mumkinat se bhi agah rehna zaroori hai. Ab qeemat kareeb 0.6749 tak pohanch gayi hai. Relative Strength Index indicator par Lime line level 50 ke oper barh saki hai jo ke bullish trend ki mazbooti ko darshata hai. Candlestick ki position par tawajjo dena zaroori hai jo ke yellow Simple Moving Average 60 indicator ke ooper khel rahi hai, jis se ke bazaar abhi bhi mazboot bullish hai. Agar yeh barhne wali qeemat dusre khareedne walon ke asar ka jawab deti hai, to tajarba hai ke mazeed barhne ki taraf 0.6800 qeemat nishana ban sakti hai. Is hafte ke bazaar ki halat dekhtay hue, jahan qeemat abhi bhi barh rahi hai, khareedne walon ke liye faida mand hai kyunki unhe moqa mil raha hai BUY entry ke ideal level par, jis se ke unhe munasib munafa haasil karne ka mauqa mil raha hai , yaad rahe ke bullish trend phir se qabil.tawaan hai.

AUD/USD ke buyers ki performance achi nahi ja rahi hai. Magar, humain is hafta ke US news events se positive umeedain hain. Bara waqt frames lambi muddat ke trends aur ahem support aur resistance levels ko identify karne mein madad karte hain. Yeh approach traders ko behtar faisle lene aur apni strategies ko overall market ke direction ke sath align karne mein madadgar hoti hai.
AUD/USD market ke hawale se, agar hum current market sentiment ke tamam requirements ko follow karain, toh hum apne losses ko minimize aur profit ratio ko maximize kar sakte hain aane wale ghanton mein. Market sentiment ke sath chalna technical aur fundamental dono factors ko analyze karna shamil hai. Is tarah, traders ek achi strategy develop kar sakte hain jo mukhtalif market influencers aur potential scenarios ko madde nazar rakhti ho. Mera umeed hai ke buyers wapas aayenge. Wo phir se 0.6765 zone ko cross kar sakte hain. Magar hum news factors ko nazar andaz nahi kar sakte jo market sentiment ko badal sakti hain. Aakhir mein, AUD/USD ka overall market concept aaj sellers ke haq mein hai, jo AUD/USD ke current market ko support area ki taraf dhakel sakte hain. Haali bearish sentiment se yeh lagta hai ke selling pressure market par dominate karega. Jab sellers control mein aayenge, AUD/USD pair niche move karega aur key support areas ko target karega.
Moreover, AUD/USD pair ke movements ko predict karna technical indicators, market behavior aur broader economic factors ki thorough analysis ko shamil karta hai. Daily high aur low zones ko gaur se dekhna, bearish continuation patterns ko identify karna aur effective risk management strategies ka istemal karna traders ko market mein zyada confidence ke sath navigate karne mein madad deta hai. Economic developments se waqif rehna aur market behavior par nazar rakhna profitable trading decisions lene ki ability ko mazeed barhata hai. Dekhte hain aane wale ghanton mein kya hota hai.
AUD/USD ke liye, pair ne ek aur upward movement dikhayi hai jab minor resistance 0.66309 ko test kiya gaya, jo pehle broken ho chuki thi. Yeh level ab ek new support point ke tor par function kar raha hai. Potential price movement yeh indicate karta hai ke yeh 0.66756 resistance ko test kar sakta hai, jo pehle buyers ko hold back kiya tha. Iss dynamic ko observe karte hue, meine apni trading strategy ko carefully plan kiya hai. Technical analysis mein, support aur resistance levels ka retesting ek common phenomenon hai. Jab price resistance ko access karke uss level ko dobara test karta hai, to yeh aksar apni function support mein badal leta hai. Yeh exactly wo cheez hai jo meine 0.66309 level par observe ki hai. Yeh shift ek positive signal provide karta hai ke buyers ab bhi market ko dominate kar rahe hain, kam az kam filhal ke liye.
Mera trading plan yeh hai ke main resistance level 0.66756 ko closely monitor karoon. Main price movements aur doosre technical indicators ko dekh kar signals ko validate karoon ga. Agar price convincingly 0.66756 resistance ko break karta hai, to main ek buy position open karne ka plan rakhta hoon jahan initial target agle resistance level ya ek significant psychological area par set hoga. Dobara, agar iss level par rejection hota hai, to main ek sell position open karoon ga jahan initial target 0.66309 support level par ya usse bhi niche hoga agar seller pressure strong hota hai.

Aaj hum AUD/USD price chart par tawajju de rahe hain, khaaskar M15 period ka jaiza le rahe hain. Is short-term time frame mein linear regression channel ka positive slope dikhai de raha hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke buyers abhi market par haavi hain. Linear regression channel ka upward slope bullish trend ko darsha raha hai, jo potential buying opportunities ko janam de sakta hai. Magar, ehtiyat baratni chahiye aur higher time frames, jaise ke H1 interval se confirmation ka intizaar karna chahiye trading decisions lene se pehle.

M15 chart par, linear regression channel ka positive slope zahir karta hai ke short-term trend upward hai. Yeh trend traders ko attract kar sakta hai jo short-term market movements par quick gains hasil karna chahte hain. Linear regression channel, jo ke aik statistical tool hai trends ko identify karne ke liye, do lines plot karta hai jo price action ko encompass karti hain, jahan central line average price movement ko represent karti hai. Jab yeh channel upward slope hota hai, to yeh indicate karta hai ke prices aam tor par increase ho rahi hain observed period ke dauran, jo traders ke darmiyan bullish sentiment ko reflect karta hai.

Is positive indication ke bawajood M15 chart par, trend ko higher time frames par confirm karna zaroori hai taake iski sustainability ensure ho sake. H1 chart, jo ek broader perspective provide karta hai, trend ko validate karne ke liye crucial hai. Agar H1 chart par bhi linear regression channel upward movement dikhata hai, to yeh bullish trend ko reinforce karta hai, jo traders ko long positions enter karne mein ziada confidence dega. Yeh multi-time frame analysis false signals ka risk kam karta hai aur trading decisions ki accuracy improve karta hai.

Traders ko dosray technical indicators aur chart patterns ko bhi consider karna chahiye apni analysis ko strengthen karne ke liye. Misal ke taur par, moving averages, jaise ke 50-period aur 200-period moving averages, overall trend direction identify karne mein madadgar ho sakti hain. Agar M15 chart par price in moving averages ke upar ho, to yeh bullish outlook ko mazeed support karti hai. Iske ilawa, higher highs aur higher lows jaise patterns dekhna upward trend ke additional confirmation de sakta hai.