ای aud/usd کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

AUD/USD Currency Pair Analysis
AUD/USD currency pair mein halki gains dekhne ko mil rahi hain, jo ke Monday ke Asian session ke aghaz mein 0.6713 ke ird-gird trade kar rahi hai. Kai factors hain jo is movement ko asar andaz kar rahe hain. Ek ahem event upcoming FOMC meeting hai, jo do din tak chalegi aur Wednesday ko ek rate cut ke saath khatam hone ki umeed hai. Agar U.S. Federal Reserve rate cut karti hai, toh U.S. dollar kamzor ho sakta hai, jo Australian dollar ke liye support provide karega. Jab U.S. mein interest rates kam hote hain, toh U.S. dollar kam attractive ho jata hai, jis se Australian dollar jese currencies zyada appealing lagti hain.

Doosra ahem asar China se aane wala economic data hai, jo ke Australia ka sabse bara trading partner hai. Hali mein Chinese Retail Sales aur Industrial Production figures umeed se kam aaye hain. Yeh kamzor numbers yeh dikhate hain ke China ki economy slow ho rahi hai. Jab China ki economy muskilat ka shikar hoti hai, toh iska aksar Australia ki economy par bura asar hota hai, kyun ke Australia China ko kaafi sara saman export karta hai, jese iron ore waghera. China ke in kamzor numbers ke bawajood, Australian dollar halki gains ko barqarar rakhnay mein kamiyab raha hai. Lekin agar China ki economic situation mazeed kharab hoti hai, toh Australian dollar par zyada pressure aane ka imkaan hai.

Technical Analysis

Technical standpoint se dekha jaye toh AUD/USD is waqt 0.6713 ke qareeb trade kar rahi hai, aur Monday ki trading ke aghaz mein halki gains dikhayi de rahi hain. 0.6700 ka mark ek psychological level lagta hai jise traders ghaur se dekh rahe hain. Agar price is level se ooper rehti hai, toh market isay strength ka signal samajh sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar yeh pair 0.6700 ke neeche girti hai, toh yeh mazeed weakness ka signal ho sakta hai.

Agar technical indicators ka tajziya kiya jaye, toh AUD/USD pair consolidating stage mein hai, yani price ek range ke andar sideways move kar rahi hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke traders zyada wazehiyat ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke shayad FOMC meeting ke baad milay. Agar Federal Reserve rate cut karti hai, toh AUD/USD mein izafa dekha ja sakta hai jab U.S. dollar kamzor hoga. Magar traders ko support aur resistance levels par bhi nazar rakhni chahiye. Support qareeb 0.6685 ke paas hai, aur agar price is level se neeche jati hai, toh zyada selling trigger ho sakti hai. Ooper ki taraf, resistance 0.6745 par hai, aur agar yeh pair is level se ooper jati hai, toh mazeed gains ka raasta khul sakta hai.

Kul mila kar, fundamentals thore mixed hain—China ke kamzor data aur U.S. rate cut ke expected hone ke bawajood—technical picture yeh dikhati hai ke AUD/USD dono directions mein move kar sakti hai, jo bhi halat agle dino mein samne aati hain. Traders ko ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye aur ahem events aur price levels par nazar rakhni chahiye, jo agle move ke hawalay se clues de sakti hain.

AUD/USD Currency Pair Analysis
AUD/USD currency pair mein halki gains dekhne ko mil rahi hain, jo ke Monday ke Asian session ke aghaz mein 0.6713 ke ird-gird trade kar rahi hai. Kai factors hain jo is movement ko asar andaz kar rahe hain. Ek ahem event upcoming FOMC meeting hai, jo do din tak chalegi aur Wednesday ko ek rate cut ke saath khatam hone ki umeed hai. Agar U.S. Federal Reserve rate cut karti hai, toh U.S. dollar kamzor ho sakta hai, jo Australian dollar ke liye support provide karega. Jab U.S. mein interest rates kam hote hain, toh U.S. dollar kam attractive ho jata hai, jis se Australian dollar jese currencies zyada appealing lagti hain.

Doosra ahem asar China se aane wala economic data hai, jo ke Australia ka sabse bara trading partner hai. Hali mein Chinese Retail Sales aur Industrial Production figures umeed se kam aaye hain. Yeh kamzor numbers yeh dikhate hain ke China ki economy slow ho rahi hai. Jab China ki economy muskilat ka shikar hoti hai, toh iska aksar Australia ki economy par bura asar hota hai, kyun ke Australia China ko kaafi sara saman export karta hai, jese iron ore waghera. China ke in kamzor numbers ke bawajood, Australian dollar halki gains ko barqarar rakhnay mein kamiyab raha hai. Lekin agar China ki economic situation mazeed kharab hoti hai, toh Australian dollar par zyada pressure aane ka imkaan hai.

Technical Analysis

Technical standpoint se dekha jaye toh AUD/USD is waqt 0.6713 ke qareeb trade kar rahi hai, aur Monday ki trading ke aghaz mein halki gains dikhayi de rahi hain. 0.6700 ka mark ek psychological level lagta hai jise traders ghaur se dekh rahe hain. Agar price is level se ooper rehti hai, toh market isay strength ka signal samajh sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar yeh pair 0.6700 ke neeche girti hai, toh yeh mazeed weakness ka signal ho sakta hai.

Agar technical indicators ka tajziya kiya jaye, toh AUD/USD pair consolidating stage mein hai, yani price ek range ke andar sideways move kar rahi hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke traders zyada wazehiyat ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke shayad FOMC meeting ke baad milay. Agar Federal Reserve rate cut karti hai, toh AUD/USD mein izafa dekha ja sakta hai jab U.S. dollar kamzor hoga. Magar traders ko support aur resistance levels par bhi nazar rakhni chahiye. Support qareeb 0.6685 ke paas hai, aur agar price is level se neeche jati hai, toh zyada selling trigger ho sakti hai. Ooper ki taraf, resistance 0.6745 par hai, aur agar yeh pair is level se ooper jati hai, toh mazeed gains ka raasta khul sakta hai.

Kul mila kar, fundamentals thore mixed hain—China ke kamzor data aur U.S. rate cut ke expected hone ke bawajood—technical picture yeh dikhati hai ke AUD/USD dono directions mein move kar sakti hai, jo bhi halat agle dino mein samne aati hain. Traders ko ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye aur ahem events aur price levels par nazar rakhni chahiye, jo agle move ke hawalay se clues de sakti hain.

AUD/USD ka Technical Analysis
Australian dollar pichlay trading haftay ki choti se wapas retreat kar gaya hai aur support levels ki taraf wapas aane laga hai. Price ne 0.6804 ke level se recovery ki, jahan pe isay kafi resistance mila, aur gir kar signal zone ki nichli sarhad 0.6701 tak pohanch gaya, jahan pe ruk gaya hai. Yeh humein target zone tak pohanchne nahi deta, jo abhi bhi kaam kar raha hai. Is ke ilawa, price chart super trend red zone mein chala gaya hai, jo yeh dikha raha hai ke sellers apni koshishon ko rok rahe hain Aaj ke din ki technical analysis ki nazar se, is haftay ki trading ke liye zaroori official target 0.6760 tak pohanchne ke baad, hum note karte hain ke price ne upar mention kiye gaye levels ke upar aik base banaya hai, jo ke mohtat short-term hai, aur wazeh positive strength ke signs se support hota hai. Agar price psychological resistance 0.6600 ke upar rehti hai, toh yeh koshish kar sakti hai ke apna mukammal uptrend resume kare, jiska target 0.6710 hai, jo 50-day moving average ke qareeb hai. Is ke upar interval mein gains 0.6818 aur 0.6918 tak barh sakte hain. Dusri taraf, agar price 0.6676 se neechay break karti hai, toh rebound ki koshish ruk sakti hai, aur gold corrective decline ko resume karegi, jiske targets 0.6860 aur 0.6950 hain, jo expected official levels hain Pair maamooli tor pe neeche trade kar raha hai aur recently pohanchi hui weekly low se door hai. Key support area par kafi stress tha aur yeh lagbhag toot gaya tha, lekin is ne apni integrity ko maintain kiya, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke uptrend ko favor kiya jaa sakta hai. Gain ko continue karne ke liye, price ko wapas aana hoga aur 0.6765 ke level ke upar consolidate karna hoga, jo key support area ki sarhad hai. Iss area ki successful retest opposite direction mein aur us ke baad bounce up, ek naye upward movement ko trigger karega jiska target 0.6871 aur 0.6949 hoga
Agar price reversal level 0.6701 ko break karti hai, toh iss se current scenario ko cancel karne ka signal milay ga
Click image for larger version

AUD/USD ka Technical Analysis
Australian dollar pichlay trading haftay ki choti se wapas retreat kar gaya hai aur support levels ki taraf wapas aane laga hai. Price ne 0.6804 ke level se recovery ki, jahan pe isay kafi resistance mila, aur gir kar signal zone ki nichli sarhad 0.6701 tak pohanch gaya, jahan pe ruk gaya hai. Yeh humein target zone tak pohanchne nahi deta, jo abhi bhi kaam kar raha hai. Is ke ilawa, price chart super trend red zone mein chala gaya hai, jo yeh dikha raha hai ke sellers apni koshishon ko rok rahe hain Aaj ke din ki technical analysis ki nazar se, is haftay ki trading ke liye zaroori official target 0.6760 tak pohanchne ke baad, hum note karte hain ke price ne upar mention kiye gaye levels ke upar aik base banaya hai, jo ke mohtat short-term hai, aur wazeh positive strength ke signs se support hota hai. Agar price psychological resistance 0.6600 ke upar rehti hai, toh yeh koshish kar sakti hai ke apna mukammal uptrend resume kare, jiska target 0.6710 hai, jo 50-day moving average ke qareeb hai. Is ke upar interval mein gains 0.6818 aur 0.6918 tak barh sakte hain. Dusri taraf, agar price 0.6676 se neechay break karti hai, toh rebound ki koshish ruk sakti hai, aur gold corrective decline ko resume karegi, jiske targets 0.6860 aur 0.6950 hain, jo expected official levels hain Pair maamooli tor pe neeche trade kar raha hai aur recently pohanchi hui weekly low se door hai. Key support area par kafi stress tha aur yeh lagbhag toot gaya tha, lekin is ne apni integrity ko maintain kiya, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke uptrend ko favor kiya jaa sakta hai. Gain ko continue karne ke liye, price ko wapas aana hoga aur 0.6765 ke level ke upar consolidate karna hoga, jo key support area ki sarhad hai. Iss area ki successful retest opposite direction mein aur us ke baad bounce up, ek naye upward movement ko trigger karega jiska target 0.6871 aur 0.6949 hoga
Agar price reversal level 0.6701 ko break karti hai, toh iss se current scenario ko cancel karne ka signal milay ga

AUD/USD currency pair is waqt ek downward spiral mein hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, char ghanton ke chart par price cloud, Kijun-sen, aur Tenkan-sen signal lines ke neeche trade kar raha hai, aur Chikou-span line bhi price chart ke neeche hai. Ek "dead cross" actively unfold ho raha hai. Bollinger Bands downward slope kar rahi hain, MACD oscillator volumes kam ho rahi hain, Relative Strength Index (RSI) 49 ke neeche hai, aur trend filter oscillator ne laal rang le liya hai, jo ke bears ki rising dominance ko reinforce karta hai. Selling ab bhi priority par hai. Agar market aur neeche jata hai, toh agla target level 0.6621 hoga. Agar bears is threshold ko paar kar lete hain, toh quotes aur gir ke 0.6560 tak ja sakte hain. Main is level ke breakdown ki umeed kar raha hoon, jo downward trend ko 0.6605 ki taraf le jayega, aur shaayad 0.6557 tak, jo ke channel ke neeche wale boundary ke qareeb hai. Medium term mein, maine apne goals 0.6458 aur 0.6349 levels par set kiye hain. **Subah ke analysis ke mutabiq**, AUD/USD ka market exactly bears ki madad kar raha hai aur ab 0.6646 ke level par hai. Ek rejection bulls ko market mein phir se entry lene mein madad dega. Is dauran, market buyers ke haq mein ja raha hai, jo ek wazeh indication hai ke momentum ab upward movement ki taraf shift ho raha hai. Buyers apni strength badha rahe hain, prices ko upar dhakel rahe hain aur ek bullish scenario bana rahe hain. Doosri taraf, sellers ke influence mein kami aa rahi hai, observation technical analysis ke zariye daily aur hourly charts par supported hai. Dono time frames aaj ke din ek bullish scenario ko dikhate hain, jo ke yeh notion reinforce karta hai ke market ab upward movement mein ja raha hai. Daily chart jo ke market movements ka broader perspective deta hai, ek strong upward trend ko dikhata hai, jahan price levels resistance points ko break kar rahe hain. Is dauran, hourly chart jo ke short-term movements par focus karta hai, yeh bullish trend ko confirm karta hai, jo ke recent trading aur unke liye market par dabao dalna mushkil ho raha hai. Aise halat mein, sellers ko sell entry kholni nahi chahiye, kyun ke yeh prevailing trend ke khilaaf hoga. Is waqt sell position lena nuqsan deh ho sakta hai, kyun ke market ka momentum barabar upward movement ko favor kar raha hai, jis se sellers ke liye downward trends ka faida uthana mushkil ho jayega. Pure yaqeen ke sath, ab AUD/USD ka market aane wale ghanton mein ek bullish game shuru karega

AUDUSD market ki soorat-e-haal kal ke trading session mein kharidaaron ke control mein nazar aati hai. Lagta hai ke buyers ka pressure AUDUSD ki qeemat ko niche dhakelne mein bohat zyada taqat rakhta hai. Jo cheez mein AUDUSD market ki soorat-e-haal se samajhta hoon wo yeh hai ke ek bearish trend pattern ban raha hai, jo ke resistance area ki position ke niche aane par mabni hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke bearish trend pattern agle hafte ke trading session mein bhi jaari rahe, kyun ke ek bari seller force ne MA100 indicator ko tor diya hai, jo ke yeh information deti hai ke AUDUSD market iss waqt bearish trend mein hai
Meri taqreebi raaye yeh hai ke sellers AUDUSD market par kabza jaari rakhte huay bearish trend situation ko lambi muddat ke liye jaari rakhne ka irada rakhte hain. H4 timeframe ke mapping ke mutabiq, meri estimate hai ke sellers AUDUSD ki qeemat ko support area 1 tak dhakelne ki koshish karenge. Yeh fasla kaafi zyada hai, lekin kal ke trading mein sellers ki taqat ko dekhte huay, iss baat ke bohat zyada chances hain ke sellers AUDUSD ki qeemat ko kam waqt mein support area 1 tak le jayein Meri trading recommendation AUDUSD market mein yeh hai ke AUDUSD market mein sell entry signal ko dhoondha jaye. Jo cheez mein observe karta hoon wo yeh hai ke trend situation mein reversal nazar aa raha hai, bullish se bearish trend ki taraf, jo ke seller ki taqat ko barhane ka potential trigger ban sakta hai. Agar agle hafte ke trading mein yeh nishaniyan hain ke sellers dobara AUDUSD ki qeemat ko niche dhakel rahe hain, toh yeh sell entry signal ke liye bohat mozoon hai
Shorter timeframes, jaise ke H4 per price action ki study un traders ke liye bohat aham hai jo chote muddat ke movements par faida uthana chahte hain, jab ke bade market trends ke saath alignment mein bhi rehte hain. H4 timeframe khaas tor par emerging trends aur potential entry ya exit points dekhne ke liye faidemand hai. Yeh niche wale zyada volatile timeframes aur lambi muddat ke daily ya weekly charts ke darmiyan ek bridge ka kaam karta hai

Maujooda setup ko dekh kar lagta hai ke AUD/USD short se medium term ke liye upward movement jaari rakhne ki position mein hai. AUD ki recent USD ke muqablay mein mazbooti ko technical indicators aur price action dono support karte hain. Key support aur resistance levels ko nazar mein rakhna chahiye jab tak ke yeh pair bullish environment mein trade kar raha hai. Agar price apni upward momentum ko maintain karti hai, toh agla significant resistance level un traders ke liye ek potential target ho sakta hai jo iss movement se faida uthana

AUD/USD currency pair ke price movement analysis par kaam kar rahe hain. Jumma ke din, is pair ko selling pressure ka saamna karna pada. Agar hum daily chart ko dekhein, toh mujhe kayi dino se ek sideways trend nazar aa raha hai. Sab se aham sawal yeh hai ke kya yeh bearish movement jari rahegi ya koi naya rukh ikhtiyar karegi. Aayiye, Monday ke liye technical analysis ka jaiza lete hain aur dekhte hain ke yeh humein kya raaye deta hai. Moving averages ne buy ka ishara diya hai, technical indicators bhi strongly buying ki taraf raagib hain, aur overall output bhi ek active buy ko zahir karta hai. Yeh technical analysis Monday ke din ek bullish movement ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Ab zara dekhein, Monday ko pair se mutaliq aham khabron ki release par tawajjo dete hain. Australia se aham khabrein aane wali hain, jinke mutabiq tawakku hai ke yeh positivitiy dikhaengi. Main ummed karta hoon ke upward movement hogi, jahan buying 0.6786 ke resistance level tak pohanchne ki imkaan hai aur sale 0.6756 ke support level tak ho sakti hai. Yeh is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke bullish movement shayad sideways trend ki hudood mein rahe. AUD/USD ke liye, EMA indicator jo ke 100 period ke saath hai, iss waqt ek downward trend ko signal kar raha hai, jo ke market entry ko sirf selling opportunities tak mehdood karta hai. Short trend ko jaari rakhne ke liye entry point us waqt relevant hoga jab price Buyers' Zone se neeche solidify karegi. Buyers' Zone ko 0.678 par torne ki koshish ki gayi hai. Jab price 0.680 ke broken level se neeche rukh karegi ya phir 0.675 par fractured Buyers' Zone ko test karne ke liye retrace karegi, toh liquidity collection ek mozoon price entry ke liye muhayya kar sakti hai. Main lower time frame par short market mein enter hone ke liye signal ka intezar kar raha hoon ya phir broken level se neeche price ke perfect rounding ka. Stop order Buyers' Zone par 0.674 par hoga, jo ke mere decision-making ke liye ek critical range hai. Lekin agar instrument mere Protective Order par wapas aata hai, toh yeh mere trading scenario ko invalid kar dega. Decline ke primary targets ka focus lower limit 0.662 ko haasil karne par hai
AUD/USD pair ne volatility dikhayi hai, jo ek Fed policy statement ke baad 0.6730 tak gir gayi thi lekin iske baad thora sa recover hui. Important resistance levels 50, 100, aur 200-hour simple moving averages (SMAs) par hain

Australian dollar ne hafte ke aghaz mein thodi si kami dekhi aur 50-week EMA (exponential moving average) par support milne se pehle retreat kiya. Us ke baad us ne baki hafte mein recovery ki. Is waqt, market aik be-qarari ki haalat mein lag raha hai aur aik wazeh long-term direction tay karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Australian dollar ke liye 200-week EMA tak recover karne ka imkaan hai, jo 0.6850 par hai – aik ahem maqam jo pehle se strong resistance ke tor par kaam karta raha hai.

Ye 0.6850 ka level sirf 200-week EMA ke sath match nahi karta balki currency ke liye tareekhi tor par bhi ek mushkil barrier sabit hua hai. Agar weekly close is level ke upar hota hai, to ye overall trend mein tabdeeli ki nishani ho sakta hai, jo ye suggest karega ke Australian dollar upar jane lagega. Lekin jab tak ye breakthrough nahi hota, market me kuch volatility dekhne ko milti rahegi. Ye yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke Australian dollar ko aksar ek commodity currency mana jata hai, jiska harakat ka taluq duniya bhar mein resources ki demand aur Asian economies, khaaskar China, Malaysia aur Indonesia, ki sehat par hota hai.

Is liye, ye currency aksar volatility ka shikar hoti hai jo ke duniya bhar ke risk factors se mutasir hoti hai. Agar Australian dollar 50-week EMA se neechay girta hai, to ye mazeed downside ki taraf ishara ho sakta hai, jo usay 0.6450 level tak le ja sakta hai. Filhaal, market consolidation kar raha hai aur shayad aik aur attempt karne ki tayyari kar raha hai ke upper resistance levels ko test kar sake.

Akhir mein, Australian dollar ki mustaqbil ki harakat ka daromadar is baat par hai ke kya wo key resistance levels ko break kar pata hai. Agar successful breakout hota hai to ek bara rally shuru ho sakti hai, lekin traders ko ehtiyaat karni chahiye kyun ke ye currency global economic factors aur commodity prices ke liye bohot sensitive hoti hai.

AUD/USD Price Summary

Hum AUD/USD currency pair ki pricing movement analysis par focus kar rahe hain. Mere analysis ke mutabiq, pehle price mein izafa hoga, lekin uske baad girawat ka imkaan hai. Niche diye gaye chart mein ye bataya gaya hai ke main kaise expect karta hoon ke AUD/USD pair behave karega. Mujhe lagta hai ke pair barh kar 14.5% Fibonacci retracement level ko touch karega, phir ulat kar neeche ki taraf correction shuru karega. Pair ne pehle hi 38.1% Fibonacci support level se rebound kiya hai, aur price MA200 se door ja raha hai. Ab hum bearish wave ke pullback phase mein hain. Main mazeed growth ki umeed karta hoon, lekin ye zaroori hai ke 14.5% level kuch challenges paish kar sakta hai. Main expect karta hoon ke US dollar doosri currencies ke against weak ho jayega, magar is case mein strong hone ka imkaan hai. Agarche main itna sure nahi hoon, magar ye potential rise worth considering hai.

Agar hum AUD/USD pair ke prospects ko technical analysis ke zariye dekhein, to hum resistance aur support levels, volume, aur trend indicators par focus kar sakte hain. Haal hi mein, pair ne halki growth dekhi, apne target ko achieve kiya, aur phir pull back kiya. Chart yeh dikhata hai ke pair ne resistance level 0.6634 ko test kiya aur ab 0.6705 par trade kar raha hai. RSI mid-range mein hover kar raha hai, jo thodi si downward momentum ka ishara de raha hai, jab ke Awesome Oscillator (AO) weak sell signal provide kar raha hai. Pair filhal pichle din ke trading range mein hai. Halanki signals minimal hain, magar yeh thodi si girawat ka ishara dete hain jo jald hi reversal ki taraf ja sakti hai. Main expect karta hoon ke price support level 0.6689 tak neeche jayegi, phir rebound hote hue resistance level 0.6734 ki taraf badhegi. H4 chart par, pair ne 0.67317 ke high se reverse kiya hai aur ab bearish trend mein hai. Price middle Bollinger Band ke upar 0.67035 par hai, aur bands abhi bhi upward point kar rahe hain. Jab market Monday ko reopen karegi, to main anticipate karta hoon ke downward trend continue hoga, jo ke 423.5% Fibonacci level 0.66571 tak pohonch sakta hai.

AUD/USD ka Technical Analysis
Australian dollar pichlay trading haftay ki choti se wapas retreat kar gaya hai aur support levels ki taraf wapas aane laga hai. Price ne 0.6804 ke level se recovery ki, jahan pe isay kafi resistance mila, aur gir kar signal zone ki nichli sarhad 0.6701 tak pohanch gaya, jahan pe ruk gaya hai. Yeh humein target zone tak pohanchne nahi deta, jo abhi bhi kaam kar raha hai. Is ke ilawa, price chart super trend red zone mein chala gaya hai, jo yeh dikha raha hai ke sellers apni koshishon ko rok rahe hain Aaj ke din ki technical analysis ki nazar se, is haftay ki trading ke liye zaroori official target 0.6760 tak pohanchne ke baad, hum note karte hain ke price ne upar mention kiye gaye levels ke upar aik base banaya hai, jo ke mohtat short-term hai, aur wazeh positive strength ke signs se support hota hai. Agar price psychological resistance 0.6600 ke upar rehti hai, toh yeh koshish kar sakti hai ke apna mukammal uptrend resume kare, jiska target 0.6710 hai, jo 50-day moving average ke qareeb hai. Is ke upar interval mein gains 0.6818 aur 0.6918 tak barh sakte hain. Dusri taraf, agar price 0.6676 se neechay break karti hai, toh rebound ki koshish ruk sakti hai, aur gold corrective decline ko resume karegi, jiske targets 0.6860 aur 0.6950 hain, jo expected official levels hain Pair maamooli tor pe neeche trade kar raha hai aur recently pohanchi hui weekly low se door hai. Key support area par kafi stress tha aur yeh lagbhag toot gaya tha, lekin is ne apni integrity ko maintain kiya, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke uptrend ko favor kiya jaa sakta hai. Gain ko continue karne ke liye, price ko wapas aana hoga aur 0.6765 ke level ke upar consolidate karna hoga, jo key support area ki sarhad hai. Iss area ki successful retest opposite direction mein aur us ke baad bounce up, ek naye upward movement ko trigger karega jiska target 0.6871 aur 0.6949 hoga
Agar price reversal level 0.6701 ko break karti hai, toh iss se current scenario ko cancel karne ka signal milay ga
Click image for larger version

RBA ka Aakhri Faisla aur AUD Par Asar:

Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ne abhi ke monetary policy announcement ke baad, spot price mein resilience aur strength dikhai hai. RBA ne Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai, jo ke chhati baar hai jab is rate ko bina kisi tabdeeli ke rakha gaya hai. Ye faisla central bank ki inflation ko control karne ki commitment ko darshata hai, halanke economic pressures ab bhi barqarar hain.

RBA ka Policy Faisla aur AUD Par Asar:

RBA ka decision interest rates ko steady rakhne ka ek modest boost Australian Dollar ko mila hai. OCR ko 4.35% par barqarar rakhne se RBA ne yeh signal diya hai ke monetary policy ko restrictive rakha jayega taake inflation ko roka ja sake. RBA ki Governor Michele Bullock ne apne press conference mein kaha ke inflation ko target range tak aane mein zyada waqt lag sakta hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke high interest rates ka silsila lamba chal sakta hai.

Inflation ki Chinta aur Ma'ashi Dastawaizat:

RBA ki koshishon ke bawajood, underlying inflation ab bhi ziddi hai. Latest economic projections kehti hain ke sustainable inflation rate tak pahunchne mein waqt lagega. Yeh data inflationary pressures ke baare mein ehtiyaat barhane ki zaroorat ko barhawa deti hai. RBA Board sabhi policy options ke liye khula hai, jo ke future economic conditions ke unpredictable nature ko darshata hai.

H4 Chart AUD/USD Pair Ki Movement aur Market Reactions:

Spot price ne haal hi mein momentum gain kiya hai, jo Dollar ke girne ke bawajood bullish trend mein chala gaya hai. Pichle Friday ko, pair ne 5 din ka high 0.6737 tak pahunch gaya, aur analysts optimistic hain ke agar key barrier level 0.6771 ko surpass karte hain to exchange rate 0.6800 mark tak pahunch sakta hai, jo forex market mein positive sentiment ke surge ko darshata hai.

Haal ki trading sessions mein, spot price ek defined range ke andar fluctuate kar raha hai. Pair ne 0.6622 par support aur 0.6570 par resistance paayi hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo recently 40 ke aas paas chala gaya hai, buying aur selling pressures ke darmiyan ek balance ko suggest karta hai. Yeh movement bullish sentiment ke potential recovery ko darshata hai, halanke market conditions ab bhi prevailing hain.

D1 Chart Analysis

AUD/USD pair mein downward trend chal raha hai, jo ke Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ki hawkish policy aur Australia ki economic uncertainty ki wajah se hai. Halankeh RBA ne inflation ke khilaf aggressive stance liya hai, lekin 2024 mein rate cut ki umeedain kam hain, jo AUD ki kamzori ka sabab bani hai. Agar price 0.6700 se neeche chali gayi, to aane wale dino mein mazeed losses dekhne ko mil sakte hain.
Technical Indicators:
Relative Strength Index (RSI)Negative territory mein hai, jo sellers ki dominance ko darshata hai.
Bullish crossover ke signs hain, lekin overall trend bearish hai.
Agar price 0.6750 ke level se upar break karti hai, to temporary upward movement ho sakti hai, lekin sustained recovery ke liye 0.6900 level se clear close chahiye.
Market Conditions:
Is hafte ke teesre din market mein halka downward movement dekha gaya. Pehle hafte ki trading mein bearish attempt kafi deep raha, lekin price consolidation ke baad chali gayi thi. Pichle mahine bullish trend dekhne ko mila, aur mujhe lagta hai ke agla trend phir se bullish ho sakta hai.
Candlestick movements ab bhi support level 0.6700 ke aas-paas hain, jo bearish trend ke continuation ka darshata hai agar sellers is level ko todne mein kamiyab hote hain. Is hafte mein, AUD/USD ke liye bearish market opportunity ki umeed hai, kyunki candlestick bearish pattern mein move kar rahi hai aur buyers se significant resistance nahi mil raha.

AUD/USD pair ka analysis bilkul sahi hai, aur recent market movement ke sath milta julta hai. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ka hawkish stance Australian dollar par negative asar daal raha hai, jis ki wajah se yeh downward trend mazid barh raha hai.

Agar hum technical analysis dekhein to:
1. RSI Negative Zone mein hai: Is ka matlab hai ke market mein abhi sellers ka zyada control hai, aur momentum downward trend ko support kar raha hai, khaaskar jab RSI mazid bearish zone mein chala gaya hai.
2. MACD Bearish Trend dikha raha hai: MACD indicator par bearish crossover ne selling pressure ko confirm kar diya hai, aur histogram jo signal line ke neeche hai, yeh aur zyada selling ki nishani hai.
3. Stochastic Crossover:
Stochastic indicator mein bullish crossover ka signal mil raha hai, lekin overall trend abhi bhi bearish lagta hai, aur koi strong reversal signal nahi hai. Agar price 0.6700 ke support level ko todta hai, to bearish trend mazid strong ho sakta hai, lekin agar price 0.6750 ke upar close karta hai, to ek temporary upward movement bhi ho sakta hai.

AUD/USD pair ka recent price action kaafi interesting raha hai, jisme Australian dollar ki performance bulls ke liye kaafi favourable rahi hai. Pichlay haftay AUD/USD ne ek naya annual low 0.6364 hit kiya, lekin phir sharply rebound kar gaya. Ab yeh price resistance level 0.6576 par pohanch gaya hai, jo June ke minimum ke barabar hai. Kuch initial resistance ho sakta hai, lekin Aussie ne apne downward targets poore kar diye hain. Chances hain ke pehli koshish mein na sahi, lekin Aussie yeh resistance tod kar apni upward trajectory continue karega.
Ek chhota support level 0.6511 par ho sakta hai, jo pichle haftay ke low se align karta hai. Is waqt selling ka option viable nahi lagta.
Agar hum D1 timeframe pe movement ko dekhein, to pichle kuch dinon mein candlesticks bullish conditions mein rahi hain, aur kaafi wide range mein move kar rahi hain. Monday ko market bullish move ke sath start hui thi 0.6571 se le kar 0.6608 tak. Tuesday se le kar ab tak candlestick 0.6645 tak rise kar gayi hai, aur buyers dominate karte nazar aa rahe hain, jo weekly movement ko bullish bana rahe hain, aise lagta hai ke monthly upward trend ko continue karna chahte hain.
Agar naya trading week downward pressure ke sath shuru hota hai, to price 0.6699 tak pullback kar sakta hai. Iss hafta ka economic data bhi important hai, jisme manufacturing aur service sector ke PMIs kaafi asar daal sakte hain.

AUD/USD pair ka recent price action kaafi interesting raha hai, jisme Australian dollar ki performance bulls ke liye kaafi favourable rahi hai. Pichlay haftay AUD/USD ne ek naya annual low 0.6364 hit kiya, lekin phir sharply rebound kar gaya. Ab yeh price resistance level 0.6576 par pohanch gaya hai, jo June ke minimum ke barabar hai. Kuch initial resistance ho sakta hai, lekin Aussie ne apne downward targets poore kar diye hain. Chances hain ke pehli koshish mein na sahi, lekin Aussie yeh resistance tod kar apni upward trajectory continue karega.
Ek chhota support level 0.6511 par ho sakta hai, jo pichle haftay ke low se align karta hai.Bullish crossover ke signs hain, lekin overall trend bearish hai.
Agar price 0.6750 ke level se upar break karti hai, to temporary upward movement ho sakti hai, lekin sustained recovery ke liye 0.6900 level se clear close chahiye.
Market Conditions:
Is hafte ke teesre din market mein halka downward movement dekha gaya. Pehle hafte ki trading mein bearish attempt kafi deep raha, lekin price consolidation ke baad chali gayi thi. Pichle mahine bullish trend dekhne ko mila, aur mujhe lagta hai ke agla trend phir se bullish ho sakta hai.
Candlestick movements ab bhi support level 0.6700 ke aas-paas hain, jo bearish trend ke continuation ka darshata hai agar sellers is level ko todne mein kamiyab hote hain. Is hafte mein, AUD/USD ke liye bearish market opportunity ki umeed hai, kyunki candlestick bearish pattern mein move kar rahi hai aur buyers se significant resistance nahi mil raha. Is waqt selling ka option viable nahi lagta.
Agar hum D1 timeframe pe movement ko dekhein, to pichle kuch dinon mein candlesticks bullish conditions mein rahi hain, aur kaafi wide range mein move kar rahi hain. Monday ko market bullish move ke sath start hui thi 0.6571 se le kar 0.6608 tak. Tuesday se le kar ab tak candlestick 0.6645 tak rise kar gayi hai, aur buyers dominate karte nazar aa rahe hain, jo weekly movement ko bullish bana rahe hain, aise lagta hai ke monthly upward trend ko continue karna chahte hain.