ای aud/usd کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

Magar is cheez ko samajhna zaroori hai ke aaj ke liye price ka izafa zyada dominant ho sakta hai. Is waqt, sabse behthree approach yeh hai ke hum intezar karein ke price resistance ko break kare aur agli resistance tak 0.6863x ke price par pohonche, ya phir reject ho kar neeche support 0.6712x ke aas paas gir jaaye. Iss current position mein, upar jaane ka rujhan abhi bhi hai, lekin neeche jaane ka bhi equal chance hai. Meri raye mein, AUD/USD pair ke liye aaj ka mood yeh hai ke agar resistance break ho jaaye toh buy karein, aur agar support break ho jaaye toh sell karein. Yeh last candlestick ke doji form par base karta hai, jo ke buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan balance ko show karta hai. Abhi, AUD/USD pair daily opening level par trade kar raha hai jo ke balance mein lag raha hai. Aage ke price movements ko analyze karne ke liye, hum M30 time frame par nazar daal sakte hain. Yahan par do minor support aur resistance areas hain, ek 0.6787x price ke aas paas upar ki had par aur doosra 0.6778x price ke aas paas neeche ki had par. Yeh do areas aane wale time mein achi entry opportunities de sakti hain. AUD/USD currency pair ki movement abhi bhi bullish movements ke zair e tarsarf rehne ki poori guzarish hai aur is baat ka imkaan hai ke yeh aagey bhi barh sakti hai. Filhaal mein khud bhi intizaar aur talaash kar raha hoon ke bullish potential ke sath BUY setup banaye jo ke level 0.6855 ke range tak ja sake. Agar yeh target ko haasil karne mein kamyaab hoti hai toh yeh baqiyaat level ki taraf barhne mein mazeed pur-itminan hogi. Lekin agar yeh nakam hoti hai, toh umeed ki jaa sakti hai ke yeh wapas se neeche gir jaye gi. AUD/USD currency pair ki market trend jo ke mazi chand dino se bullish condition mein thi, toh buyers se yeh umeed hai ke unke paas price ko barhane ka mazeed potential ho sakta hai, lekin abhi market ke price downward correction ke sath market ki conditions Ko reverse karne ki koshish kar rahi hai, kyun ke market aaj subah se khuli hai. Relative Strength Index indicator ki line abhi bhi level 50 se upar aram se chal rahi hai jo ke bullish trend ki nishani hai. Candlestick ki position abhi bhi 0.6780 ke price level ke upar hai jo ke upward moving market ki taraf ishara kar rahi hai. Is haftay ke price movement mein momentum ko dekhte hue jo ke zyada taur par bullish direction mein move kar raha tha, meri analysis ke mutabiq yeh mumkin hai ke price dobara se bullish trend par aajaye jab tak ke market kal subah band na ho

Hamari guftagu AUD/USD currency pair ke pricing behavior ka tajziya karne par mabni hai. AUD/USD currency pair filhal ek downward spiral mein hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, char ghante ke chart par price cloud, Kijun-sen, aur Tenkan-sen signal lines ke neeche trade ho rahi hai, jabke Chikou-span line bhi price chart ke neeche hai. "Dead cross" actively unfold ho raha hai. Bollinger Bands neeche ki taraf jhuke hue hain, MACD oscillator volumes ghat rahe hain, Relative Strength Index (RSI) 49 ke neeche hai, aur trend filter oscillator laal ho gaya hai, jo bears ki barhati hui taqat ko mazid barhata hai. Selling abhi bhi tarjeeh hai. Agar further declines hoti hain, toh agla target level 0.6621 hai. Agar bears is threshold ko paar karte hain, toh quotes 0.6560 tak gir sakte hain. Main is level ke breakdown ki umeed rakhta hoon, jo downward trend ko 0.6605 ki taraf le ja sakta hai aur shayad 0.6557 tak pahunchega jo channel ke lower boundary ke nazdeek hai. Beech ke doran, meri nazar 0.6458 aur 0.6349 levels par hai.
Is hafte ke teesre din trading session mein, market conditions ek baar phir halki downward movement dekhi gayi. Agar hum is hafte ke shuru ke trading ko dekhein, toh kuch aise points hain jinhe hum review kar sakte hain, khaaskar pichli raat ka bearish attempt jo bohot gehra tha aur sab se uncha price zone chhod gaya. Price ki girawat zaroor agle trading faislay par asar dalti hai, jahan pichle hafte market consolidation ka halat tha. Pichle August mein, dominant market trend bullish tha aur kafi actively move kar raha tha, jo meri andazay ke mutabiq agla trend shayad wapas bullish ho sakta hai. Aaj ki trading mein jo movement hui hai, woh pichle maheen ki bullish trend ki kamzori ke baad fluctuate nahi hui. Sellers market par qabza karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Yeh bohot acha hai agar hum pichle kuch dinon ke market conditions ko dekhein, jahan girawat ka mauqa hai kyunki yeh pehle bullish trend ko continue karne mein nakam raha. Candlestick ki movement ko dekhte hue, jo ke 0.6700 ke support level ke nazdeek kaafi comfortable hai, yeh bearish trend ki tasdeeq karti hai agar seller support level ko break kar sakte hain. Is hafte ke liye AUD/USD pair ke liye, main abhi bhi bearish market ke mauqe par optimistic rahne ki koshish kar raha hoon kyunki candlestick bearish pattern mein bina kisi khaas resistance ke neeche chal rahi hai.

AUD/USD currency pair ke price behavior ke tajziye ke hawalay se hai. AUD/USD filhal ek downward trend mein hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, 4-hour chart par price cloud ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, Kijun-sen aur Tenkan-sen signal lines ke neeche, aur Chikou-span line bhi price chart ke neeche hai. Is waqt ek "dead cross" active hai. Bollinger Bands downward slope par hain, MACD oscillator ke volumes kam ho rahe hain, Relative Strength Index (RSI) 49 se neeche hai, aur trend filter oscillator ne laal rang le liya hai, jo bears ke dominant hone ka saboot deta hai. Iss waqt selling ko tarjeeh di jani chahiye. Agar yeh girawat jari rehti hai, to agla target level 0.6621 hoga. Agar bears is threshold ko tod dete hain, to quotes mazeed gir kar 0.6560 tak ja sakti hain. Main yeh tawaqo karta hoon ke yeh level bhi breakdown hoga, aur downward trend 0.6605 tak jari rahega, jo ke channel ke neeche wali boundary 0.6557 tak bhi pohanch sakta hai. Medium term mein mera target 0.6458 aur 0.6349 ke levels par hai.
Meri analysis jo maine subah share ki thi, us ke mutabiq AUD/USD market bilkul bears ki madad kar rahi hai aur abhi 0.6646 level par hai. Agar yeh rejection hoti hai, to bulls ko dobara market mein entry lene ka moka milega. Iss dauran, market buyers ke haq mein ja rahi hai, jo is baat ka wazeh ishara hai ke momentum ab upward movement ki taraf shift ho raha hai. Buyers ko taqat mil rahi hai aur wo prices ko upar dhakel rahe hain, jo ke ek bullish scenario ka saboot hai. Doosri taraf, sellers apna asar kho rahe hain aur unhein market par dabao dalna mushkil ho raha hai. Aise mein, sellers ke liye sell entry lena munasib nahi hoga, kyun ke yeh prevailing trend ke khilaf hoga. Is waqt sell position lena nuqsan ka sabab ban sakta hai, kyun ke market ka momentum strong bullish trend ko support kar raha hai aur downward movement ka faida uthana mushkil hai. Imandari se, yeh lagta hai ke AUD/USD market agle chand ghanton mein bullish trend shuru kar dega. Yeh observation technical analysis ke zariye bhi support hoti hai jo daily aur hourly charts par available hai. Dono timeframes aaj ke liye bullish scenario ko dikhate hain, jo is baat ko reinforce karta hai ke market upward move kar raha hai. Daily chart, jo market ke movements ka broader perspective deta hai, ek strong upward trend dikhata hai, jahan price levels resistance points ko break kar rah

### AUD/USD Market Analysis
**September 24, 2024**

Price movements ka monitoring karne par, daily timeframe par dekha ja sakta hai ke AUD/USD pair ka trend pichle haftay ke trading session mein bullish direction mein raha. Pichle hafte ki shuruaat mein bhi price kaafi wide range ke saath increase hota raha. Halankeh is mahine ke shuruaat par price ne 0.6625 tak correction kiya, lekin aaj tak market mein price movement ab bhi bullish direction mein jaane ki potential rakhta hai.

AUD/USD currency pair ab bhi Simple Moving Average (SMA) 60 aur 150 indicators ke upar comfortably trade kar raha hai. Is hafte ke shuruaat mein price ko buyers ki taraf se acha encouragement mila hai, aur yeh consistently bullish movement kar raha hai, jo pichle hafte ki opening price level se door ja raha hai. Is wajah se, market ke haalati conditions ko dekhte hue, yeh lagta hai ke trend ki direction ke mutabiq transactions karna ab bhi kaafi mumkin hai, aur yeh increase jo pichle kuch hafton se dekhne ko mil raha hai, jari reh sakta hai.

Jaise ke pichle analysis mein discuss kiya gaya, indicators jo chart par installed hain, unka dekhna bhi kaafi important hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) ka Lime Line jo (14) period par hai, woh 70 ke level ke kareeb upar ja raha hai, jo strong bullish market condition ka ishara hai. MACD ka long histogram bar zero level ke upar hai, aur yellow dotted signal line bhi upar ki taraf chadh rahi hai.

Yeh sab signals yeh dikhate hain ke market ab bhi bullish trend mein hai, aur agar yeh momentum jari rahta hai, toh price aur upar ja sakta hai. Traders ko in indicators par nazar rakhni chahiye aur market ki movements ko dekhna chahiye, taake wo timely decisions le sakein.

Aane wale dinon mein agar price ne is bullish trend ko maintain kiya, toh hum 0.6700 ya us se upar ke levels ko bhi dekh sakte hain. Halankeh market mein volatility bhi dekhne ko mil sakti hai, isliye risk management par bhi dhyan dena zaroori hai.

Agar aapko is analysis se koi madad milti hai ya aapke paas koi sawal hain, toh bejhijhak poochiye! Khush rahen aur trading mein achi luck ke liye dua karen!

AUD/USD Currency Pair Analysis
AUD/USD currency pair mein halki gains dekhne ko mil rahi hain, jo ke Monday ke Asian session ke aghaz mein 0.6713 ke ird-gird trade kar rahi hai. Kai factors hain jo is movement ko asar andaz kar rahe hain. Ek ahem event upcoming FOMC meeting hai, jo do din tak chalegi aur Wednesday ko ek rate cut ke saath khatam hone ki umeed hai. Agar U.S. Federal Reserve rate cut karti hai, toh U.S. dollar kamzor ho sakta hai, jo Australian dollar ke liye support provide karega. Jab U.S. mein interest rates kam hote hain, toh U.S. dollar kam attractive ho jata hai, jis se Australian dollar jese currencies zyada appealing lagti hain.

Doosra ahem asar China se aane wala economic data hai, jo ke Australia ka sabse bara trading partner hai. Hali mein Chinese Retail Sales aur Industrial Production figures umeed se kam aaye hain. Yeh kamzor numbers yeh dikhate hain ke China ki economy slow ho rahi hai. Jab China ki economy muskilat ka shikar hoti hai, toh iska aksar Australia ki economy par bura asar hota hai, kyun ke Australia China ko kaafi sara saman export karta hai, jese iron ore waghera. China ke in kamzor numbers ke bawajood, Australian dollar halki gains ko barqarar rakhnay mein kamiyab raha hai. Lekin agar China ki economic situation mazeed kharab hoti hai, toh Australian dollar par zyada pressure aane ka imkaan hai.

Technical Analysis

Technical standpoint se dekha jaye toh AUD/USD is waqt 0.6713 ke qareeb trade kar rahi hai, aur Monday ki trading ke aghaz mein halki gains dikhayi de rahi hain. 0.6700 ka mark ek psychological level lagta hai jise traders ghaur se dekh rahe hain. Agar price is level se ooper rehti hai, toh market isay strength ka signal samajh sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar yeh pair 0.6700 ke neeche girti hai, toh yeh mazeed weakness ka signal ho sakta hai.

Agar technical indicators ka tajziya kiya jaye, toh AUD/USD pair consolidating stage mein hai, yani price ek range ke andar sideways move kar rahi hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke traders zyada wazehiyat ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke shayad FOMC meeting ke baad milay. Agar Federal Reserve rate cut karti hai, toh AUD/USD mein izafa dekha ja sakta hai jab U.S. dollar kamzor hoga. Magar traders ko support aur resistance levels par bhi nazar rakhni chahiye. Support qareeb 0.6685 ke paas hai, aur agar price is level se neeche jati hai, toh zyada selling trigger ho sakti hai. Ooper ki taraf, resistance 0.6745 par hai, aur agar yeh pair is level se ooper jati hai, toh mazeed gains ka raasta khul sakta hai.

Kul mila kar, fundamentals thore mixed hain—China ke kamzor data aur U.S. rate cut ke expected hone ke bawajood—technical picture yeh dikhati hai ke AUD/USD dono directions mein move kar sakti hai, jo bhi halat agle dino mein samne aati hain. Traders ko ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye aur ahem events aur price levels par nazar rakhni chahiye, jo agle move ke hawalay se clues de sakti hain

waqt, AUD/USD currency pair 0.683713 level ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, jo ke Monday ke trading session ke shuruati hours mein kuch modest gains ko darshata hai. Yeh movement halka lag sakta hai, lekin isne traders ka dhyan khinch liya hai, khaaskar iski key psychological aur technical levels ke nazdeek hone ki wajah se.
0.684300 mark ek ahm psychological level hai jisko traders dhyan se dekh rahe hain. Psychological levels aksar barriers ki tarah kaam karte hain, jo price movement ko support ya resist karte hain, kyunki yeh poore ya round numbers hote hain jin par traders aksar react karte hain. Agar price is 0.684300 resistance level ko cross karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to yeh AUD/USD pair ke liye zyada bullish momentum ka signal ho sakta hai. Yeh aur buyers ko market mein entry dene par majboor kar sakta hai, jo price ko aur upar le ja sakta hai.

Is level ke upar breakout par asar dalne wale mukhya factors mein se ek Federal Reserve ki monetary policy hai. Agar Federal Reserve interest rates ko cut karne ka faisla karta hai, to yeh US dollar ko kamzor kar sakta hai, jisse Australian dollar ka tulna mein appeal badh jaata hai. Kamzor US dollar aam tor par AUD/USD pair ko boost deta hai, kyunki yeh dono currencies inversely related hain. Is tarah, rate cut is pair ko aur upar le jane ka zaroori fuel de sakta hai.

Downside par, traders ko support levels par nazar rakhni chahiye. 0.6835 level ek critical support zone hai. Agar price is level se neeche girti hai, to yeh bearish sentiment ke shuru hone ka ishara kar sakta hai, jo additional selling pressure trigger kar sakta hai. Is support ke neeche girne par AUD ke liye mazeed losses hone ki sambhavna hai, kyunki sellers price ko neeche push kar sakte hain.

Resistance bhi is waqt ke setup mein ek ahm factor hai. 0.6845 level resistance ki tarah kaam kar raha hai aur yeh bhi ek point hai jisko traders dhyan se dekh rahe hain. Agar price is level ko cross karne mein kaamyab hoti hai, to yeh current upward trend ki tasdeeq kar sakta hai. Lekin agar yeh is level ko cross nahi karti, to iska matlab reversal ya consolidation ho sakta hai ek chhoti range mein.

support mil raha hai. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke AUD ko support PBoC ke banking system mein liquidity inject karne ki wajah se mila ho. AUD/USD pair mazboot hai, jab ke expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate ko Tuesday ko 4.35% par stable rakhega.Monday ko release hone wale kamzor Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data ke bawajood AUD ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein achi position hasil ki hai. AUD/USD ka strong hona China ke central bank PBoC ke banking system mein liquidity inject karne se bhi related ho sakta hai, kyun ke Australia aur China ke darmiyan qareebi trade relation hai, aur Chinese economy mein developments ka Australian markets par bara asar ho sakta hai.PBoC ne 14-day reverse repo ke zariye banking system mein CNY 74.5 billion ka injection kiya, aur is dauran rate ko 1.95% se kam karke 1.85% kiya gaya. Iske ilawa, PBoC ne 7-day reverse repo ke zariye bhi CNY 160.1 billion ka injection kiya, jisme rate 1.7% par stable raha.AUD ko hawkish expectations se bhi faida mil raha hai, jo ke RBA ki aanay wali interest rate decision ke hawalay se hain, jo Tuesday ko hone wali hai. Expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par stable rakhegi, jo mazboot labor market aur inflationary pressures ko madde nazar rakhtay hue hai.Doosri taraf, US Dollar (USD) aa

USD pair mazboot hai, jab ke expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate ko Tuesday ko 4.35% par stable rakhega.Monday ko release hone wale kamzor Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data ke bawajood AUD ne US Dollar (USD ) ke muqable mein achi position hasil ki hai. AUD/USD ka strong hona China ke central bank PBoC ke banking system mein liquidity inject karne se bhi related ho sakta hai, kyun ke Australia aur China ke darmiyan qareebi trade relation hai, aur Chinese economy mein developments ka Australian markets par bara asar ho sakta hai.PBoC ne 14-day reverse repo ke zariye banking system mein CNY 74.5 billion ka injection kiya, aur is dauran rate ko 1.95% se kam karke 1.85% kiya gaya. Iske ilawa, PBoC ne 7-day reverse repo ke zariye bhi CNY 160.1 billion ka injection kiya, jisme rate 1.7% par stable raha.AUD ko hawkish expectations se bhi faida mil raha hai, jo ke RBA ki aanay wali interest rate decision ke hawalay se hain, jo Tuesday ko hone wali hai. Expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par stable rakhegi, jo mazboot labor market aur inflationary pressures ko madde nazar rakhtay hue hai. Doosri taraf, US Dollar (USD) ki qeemat mein kami ho sakti hai kyun ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policymakers agle saal 2024 mein 75 basis points (bps) ke rate cuts predict kar rahe hain, jab ke last week unho ne aggressive 50 basis points ka rate cut kiya tha, jis se range 4.75-5.00% ho gayi hai.Monday ko AUD/USD pair 0.6820 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke pair ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai. But 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 se ooper hai, is liye aglay price movement se pair ke trend ka behtar andaza hoga. Is waqt AUD/USD pair ascending channel ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke 0.6839 ke nine-month high ke qareeb hai, jo 19 September ko dekha

AUD-USD Pair Ka Tajweez

AUDUSD ka daam 0.6839 ki resistance ko test karne ki koshish kar raha hai taake apni upar ki rally ko jaari rakh sake. Magar, bullish trend mein daam ka upar jana zyada mumkin hai. Agar 0.6839 ki resistance par koi false break ya rejection hoti hai, to daam 0.6795 ki minor support ki taraf niche aa sakta hai. Jo daam upar ja raha hai, woh sirf EMA 50 ke aas paas thoda correction kar raha hai bina SMA 200 tak niche jaaye. Iska matlab hai ke abhi ka bullish trend kaafi mazboot hai kyunki niche ka correction zyada nahi hai.

Lekin, Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke hawale se dekhein to upar ki taraf momentum kamzor hota ja raha hai. Volume histogram positive area mein level 0 ke kareeb aa raha hai, jo histogram ka negative area mein jana bhi darshata hai. Stochastic indicator ke hawale se, AUDUSD ke daam ki movement ko upar jaane mein support mil raha hai. Yeh isliye kyunki parameters oversold zone (level 20 - 10) ko cross kar chuke hain, jo yeh dikhata hai ke daam ki girawat bechaine ka saturation point tak pohanch gayi hai.

Price pattern structure abhi bhi higher high - higher low condition mein hai. Jab tak 0.6784 ke low prices ka structure nahi toota, jo ke invalidation level hai, daam ki increase rally jaari reh sakti hai.




Setup Entry Position:

Agar hum trend direction ko dekhein jo ke abhi bhi bullish hai aur price pattern structure higher high - higher low hai, to sirf BUY moment ka intezaar karna chahiye. Entry position point minor support 0.6795 par rakha gaya hai. Confirmation tab milegi jab Stochastic indicator parameters oversold zone (level 20 - 10) ko cross karte hain. AO indicator ka histogram wapas green hona chahiye aur volume level 0 ya positive area se upar expand hona chahiye taake uptrend momentum mazboot rahe. Take profit ka target 0.6839 ki resistance ya 0.6856 ke high prices par rakha ja sakta hai jabke stop loss 0.6748 ki support par rakha jaye.

Currency Pair Ka Halat

Iss waqt currency pair ko support mil raha hai kyunke US Dollar (USD) ko Federal Reserve (Fed) ke is September mein interest rate cut ke baray mein barhte huye expectations ki wajah se mushkilat ka samna hai. Aakhri update ke mutabiq, daam 0.6830 ke aas paas trade ho raha hai. Magar, yeh pressure tab kam ho sakta hai jab 50-basis point ka koi bara rate cut hone ki sambhavnayein kam ho rahi hain.

Agar spot price par niche ka pressure aata hai, to kuch crucial support levels par nazar rakhni hogi. Ahem downside supports 0.6800, 0.6780, aur 0.6760 par hain. Agar pair in levels ko todta hai, to yeh market mein bearish sentiment ki tasdiq kar sakta hai.

AUD/USD Ke Buniyadi Pehlu:

China ke ma'ashi indicators AUD ki taqat tay karne mein ahm kirdar ada karte hain. July ka Consumer Price Index (CPI) 0.5% se barh gaya, jo ke mausami asbaab ki wajah se tha. Yeh positive data AUD ko boost diya. Lekin, China se mand demand ke concerns ab bhi hain, jo currency pair ki further gains ko limit kar sakte hain. Traders aane wale Chinese Retail Sales aur Industrial Production data ke sath Australian employment statistics par bhi nazar rakhenge.

AUD ke liye supportive factors ke bawajood, upar ka potential geopolitical tensions ke madde nazar safe-haven flows se roka ja sakta hai. Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant ne US Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin ko bataya hai ke Iran ki fauj ki activities Israel par ek significant strike ki tayyari ka darshan deti hain. Aise developments market sentiment ko asar kar sakte hain, jisse traders zyada cautious approach apna sakte hain.




Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook:

0.6803 ka level foran support ke tor par samne aaya hai, jo 50% Fibonacci retracement level ke sath milta hai. Additional support levels 0.6788 (horizontal zone), 0.6750 (38.2% Fibonacci level), aur psychological mark 0.6700 par hain. Agar market mein buying ka follow-through hota hai, to yeh yeh darshata hai ke saal ke shuruati low se recovery momentum kho rahi hai, jo AUD/USD ko 0.6735 intermediate support level tak le ja sakta hai, jo 0.6600 ki taraf bhi le ja sakta hai.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) filhal neutral zone ke upar 53 par hai, jo thodi bullish trend ko darshata hai. Waqt ke sath, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) mein barhte huye green bars hain, jo bullish recovery ka pata dete hain. Lekin, ek key confirmation ke liye pair ko 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke 0.6811 ke aas paas consolidate karna hoga.

Technical Analysis: AUD/USD

Assalamualaikum, umeed hai ap sab khariyat se ho ge .aaj mein AUD/USD ke price movement ka technical analysis karna chahta hoon. Aasan samajhne ke liye hum chhote time frame par dekhte hain. Is waqt AUD/USD 0.6835 par trade ho raha hai. USD index ne bearish trend ke sath band kiya, isi wajah se AUD/USD kal upar gaya. Is time frame chart par, AUD/USD ka general trend abhi bhi bullish hai. Yeh chart dikhata hai ke buyers abhi control mein hain, magar buyer ki taqat pichle hafte se kam lagti hai.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator bullish direction ki taraf jhuk raha hai, jo bullish bias ko darshata hai. Trend wave bhi bullish taraf hai. Saath hi, bullish Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi AUD/USD bulls ko umeed dene ke liye hai. AUD/USD pair is chart par 50 EMA line ke upar trade kar raha hai.

Technically, AUD/USD price ko is waqt $0.7022 ke aas paas quick resistance mil raha hai. Yeh price kuch dinon mein 0.7526 level ko chhoo sakta hai, jo ke dusra resistance level hai. $0.7998 resistance breakpoint abhi ke AUD/USD price ke liye teesra resistance ka kirdar ada karta hai.




Doosri taraf, AUD/USD price ko is waqt $0.6416 ke aas paas quick support mil raha hai. Yeh price kuch dinon mein 0.5983 level ko bhi chhoo sakta hai, jo ke dusra support level hai. $0.5542 support breakpoint abhi ke AUD/USD price ke liye teesra support hai.

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Economic Impact on AUD/USD

China ki kisi bhi ma'ashi taraqqi ka Australian dollar par gehra asar hota hai. Aaj subah, AUD/USD pair ne 0.6838 ka nau mahine ka uncha darja hasil kiya, jo ke chaar consecutive green candles bana raha hai. Is pair ne 200-day SMA par 0.6620 par ahem support paaya, jo ke medium-term bullish structure ko barqarar rakhta hai. Daily chart par technical oscillators kuch mixed signals de rahe hain. Stochastic ne overbought zone mein %K aur %D lines ke darmiyan bearish crossover kiya hai, lekin RSI ne 50 ke area ke upar apna bullish momentum barqarar rakha hai. Agar upar ki taraf aur pressure aaye, to yeh 0.6870-0.6900 ki resistance zone ko test karne ka raasta khol sakta hai, jo ke December 2023 aur June ke highs ko darshata hai.

Rumors hain ke agle November ki policy meeting mein aggressive interest rate cuts ho sakti hain. Federal Reserve ne haal hi mein 50 basis point ka rate cut announce kiya, jisse federal funds rate 4.75% se 5.00% ke darmiyan aa gaya hai. Yeh move Fed ke labor market conditions ko behtar banane par focus darshata hai.

Interest rate guidance ke hawale se, Fed ka dot plot yeh dikhata hai ke policymakers ummeed karte hain ke federal funds rate saal ke aakhir tak 4.4% tak pahunch jayega. Iska matlab hai ke central bank shayad kam se kam 25 basis point ka cut implement karega. Lekin, traders November aur December ke baqi policy meetings mein 75 basis points ke rate cuts ki ummeed rakhte hain, jismein ek cut 50 basis points tak ho sakta hai. CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, November mein 50 basis points ka cut hone ki sambhavnayein 37% se badhkar 43% tak pahunch gayi hain.

Bari ma'ashi soorat-e-haal par, China ki taraqqiat ka Australian dollar par gehra asar hai, dono mulkon ke darmiyan qareeb trading rishte ki wajah se. Aaj subah, AUD/USD pair ne 0.6838 ka uncha darja hasil kiya. Aaj AUD/USD ka market 0.6814 level par trade ho raha hai, jo is hafte ka overbought level hai. Isliye, AUD/USD ka market bullish trend follow karega.

Is hafte US dollar (USD) ne notable kamzori dikhayi hai, jabke doosri global currencies ne iske muqablay mein kaafi taqat hasil ki hai. Yeh observation buniyadi analysis par mabni hai, jo various economic indicators ko dikhata hai jo USD ki taqat ko negatively asar kar rahe hain. Traders aur market analysts ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke woh in factors ko samjhein jo is market dynamic ko banate hain aur yeh kaise future movements ko asar kar sakte hain.




Ma'ashi data, central bank ke faislay, aur market sentiment sab currency valuations ko shape karne mein ahem kirdar ada karte hain. In elements ko gehra samajh kar, traders informed decisions le sakte hain jo unhe forex market ki tabdeel hoti soorat-e-haal se navigate karne mein madad karte hain. Isliye, AUD/USD dobara 0.6845 ki resistance level ko cross karega.

USD ki kamzori ka asal sabab kuch key economic factors hain, jo buniyadi analysis se samne aaye hain. USD ki girawat ka ek ahem sabab Federal Funds Rate se related disappointing data hai. Federal Reserve, jo is rate ko set karta hai, ne is rate ko negative report kiya hai, jo USD ki overall value par seedha asar dalta hai. Lower Federal Funds Rate ka matlab hai ke borrowing costs sasti hain, jo US dollars ko hold karne ki appeal ko kam karta hai, jab investors higher yields ki talash mein hain.

AUD/USD Currency Pair Ka Halat

AUD/USD currency pair ne haal hi mein jo chhoti si movement dikhayi hai, woh asal mein bearish trend ke jaari rehne ki nishani hai. Traders jo is pattern ka tajziya kar rahe hain, unke liye yeh downtrend se fayda uthane ka mauqa hai, jab woh sell position khol sakte hain. Halankeh turant asar chhota lag raha hai, lekin ek strategic approach se successful trade ki sambhavnayein badh sakti hain.

Sell option ke liye market mein entry ka waqt kaafi ahm hai. Maujooda market conditions bearish trend ko support kar rahi hain, jo yeh darshata hai ke is level par bechna faida mand ho sakta hai. Is strategy ka ek ahem pehlu stop loss ka placement hai. Stop loss ko 0.68392 ke thoda upar rakhna behtar rahega, kyun ke yeh level ek ahm resistance point hai. Agar daam is threshold se upar chala gaya, to yeh darshata hai ke bearish trend kamzor ho raha hai, aur traders ko apne positions ka dobara jaiza lena chahiye.

Dusri taraf, agar daam is level ke neeche rahta hai, to sell setup kaafi faidemand ho sakta hai. Traders ko profits lene ka aim neeche ki taraf rakhna chahiye, khaaskar 0.68300 se 0.68200 ke range mein, jo market ke girne ka kafi space provide karta hai aur traders ko gains secure karne ka mauqa deta hai, jabke risk ko minimize bhi karta hai.

Yeh strategy bearish continuation patterns ke khasiyat par mabni hai. Aam tor par, chhoti consolidation ya chhoti price movements ke baad, market apne downward path par wapas chala jata hai jo ke prevailing trend ke mutabiq hota hai. Jo traders market ki overall direction par nazar rakhte hain, woh in patterns ka faida utha sakte hain.




Iske ilawa, profit-taking range (0.68300 se 0.68200) kaafi wide hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke potential reward risk se zyada hai. Agar daam foran 0.68200 tak na girta hai, tab bhi is range mein mukhtalif levels par profits lene ki ability traders ko flexibility deti hai.

Aakhir mein, jab ke AUD/USD ki recent price action chhoti lagti hai, yeh ek bara bearish trend ka darshan karti hai. Jo traders is pattern ko pehchante hain aur sell position kholte hain, stop loss ko 0.68392 ke upar rakhte hain, aur profit-taking ke liye 0.68300 – 0.68200 range ka target rakhte hain, woh apne liye behtar nateeje ke liye position bana sakte hain. Yeh setup risk ko manage karne aur market momentum ka faida uthane ke darmiyan balance banata hai.

AUD/USD Mein Trading Opportunities

Hamari guftagu ka mauzoo AUD/USD currency pair ke mojooda price behaviour ka tajziya hai. Pichlay trading hafte mein, Australian dollar (AUD) ka US dollar (USD) ke sath thoda izafa hua, jo ke 0.6826 par pahuncha. Yeh sirf ek high nahi, balki is saal ka sab se uncha point hai. Iske ilawa, 0.6873 ka resistance level bhi ahm hai, kyun ke yeh foran tajziya karne ke liye ek dilchasp mauqa pesh karta hai.

Saaf upward trend dekhte huye, agle trading hafte mein AUD/USD pair mein buying opportunities talash karna samajhdari hogi. Filhal, 0.6769 par support level kaafi mazboot lag raha hai long positions shuru karne ke liye, lekin humein thoda sabr karna padega aur kisi bhi mumkin pullback par nazar rakhni hogi—agar aisa hota hai. Magar, jab 0.6826 ka mark cross hota hai, to price reversal ka chance ban sakta hai. Agar Australian dollar gir kar 0.6769 ke neeche stabilize ho jata hai, to bechne par ghor karna behtar ho sakta hai.




Is waqt pair ki movement ka andaza lagana mushkil hai. Thursday ki candle ne continuation dikhane mein kami ki, aur 0.6839 par peak karne ke baad price kaafi stable hai. 0.6622 ke aas paas chhoti fluctuations aur 0.6348 level par zyada significant swings ho sakti hain. Yeh andaza lagana mushkil hai ke koi bada player price ko kaise asar karega. Ab tak, chart yeh darshata hai ke 0.6622 ke low par upward ya sideways movement establish karne ki koshish ki ja rahi hai, lekin upward trajectory abhi bhi mumkin lagti hai.

Friday ko pair ne thodi si girawat dekhi lekin channel ke lower boundary, jo ke 0.6772 level ho sakti thi, ko nahi chhua. Iske bajaye, price ne reversal kiya aur dobara upar ki taraf chadhne lagi. Mujhe umeed hai ke pair Monday se phir se barhna shuru karega, jiska target ascending channel ki upper boundary, jo ke shayad 0.6884 level ke aas paas ho sakta hai.

AUD/USD Currency Pair Ka Halat

Pichle Friday ke trading session mein, currency pair ka 0.31% girawat dekha gaya, jo 0.6800 ke aas paas band hua. Yeh girawat Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ke dovish stance aur Chinese ma'ashiyat mein slow down ki wajah se Australian exports ke liye demand mein kami ke concerns se judi hui hai. Lekin, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ka hawkish position aur Australia se mixed economic data AUD ko aage ki girawat se kuch bachane mein madad de sakta hai. Market band hone par, AUD/USD 0.6810 ke aas paas trade ho raha tha.

AUD/USD Ke Buniyadi Pehlu

Investors ab aane wale data releases ka intezar kar rahe hain, jinmein Chinese retail sales aur industrial production figures shamil hain. Iske ilawa, doosre quarter ka Australian wage data aur Westpac ka consumer confidence index jo July ke liye hai, bhi agle Asian trading session mein kafi tawajjo hasil karne ki umeed hai. Westpac ke analysts ne RBA ke pehle rate cut ka andaaza November 2024 se badal kar February 2025 kar diya hai. Yeh tabdeeli darshati hai ke RBA ka hawkish stance AUD ke liye short-term support faraham kar sakta hai.

Market ka jazba stable hai jab traders U.S. inflation data ke release ke liye tayar ho rahe hain. European trading hours ke dauran, S&P 500 futures ne nominal gains dikhaye, jabke U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), jo dollar ki value ko chhe badi currencies ke muqablay mein measure karta hai, 100.50 ke threshold ke neeche gir gaya. Iske ilawa, 10-year U.S. Treasury yields lagbhag 3.84% tak gir gaye, jo cautious investor sentiment ko darshata hai.

Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook

Bullish traders ke liye, 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke upar strength barqarar rakhna naya upward trend ka signal de sakta hai. Hourly chart par oscillators positive territory mein ja rahe hain, jo AUD/USD pair ko 0.6850 ke intermediate hurdle ki taraf barhane mein madad kar sakta hai, jiska maqsad key resistance levels 0.6900 aur 0.6950 ko touch karna hai. Yeh aakhri level July-August ke decline se 78.6% Fibonacci retracement ke sath align hota hai aur traders ke liye pivotal point banne ki umeed hai.




Conclusion

Halaanki recent bullish movements ke bawajood, AUD/USD pair ko 0.6800 level ke paas significant resistance ka samna hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) neutral zone ke aas paas hai, jo strong momentum ki kami darshata hai. Iske ilawa, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) steady bullish traction ka zikr kar raha hai, yeh darshata hai ke recent recovery kisi fundamental catalyst ka intezar kar rahi hai taake crucial 0.6600 level ko tod sake.