aud/usd

Yeh downtrend dheere dheere chal raha hai, jo mukhtalif economic aur geopolitical factors ko reflect karta hai. Is dheere movement ke bawajood, mujhe lagta hai ke AUD/USD pair agle kuch dinon mein significant movement ke liye tayar hai. Yeh analysis technical indicators, economic data, aur market sentiment ke combination par mabni hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke pair ek critical point ke qareeb hai jo ek notable shift lead kar sakta hai. Chaliye market trend ko pichle teen hafton se monitor karte hain, yeh lagta hai ke yeh drastically bearish raha hai. Seller ke strong pressure se price weak ho rahi hai. Yahaan main apni rai dena chahta hoon market ke liye, agar main is haftay ki price movement pattern ko monitor karoon, to lagta hai ke market ab bhi neeche ja raha hai halanki kuch upward correction bhi dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Mere khayal mein, agle haftay bhi price bearish side par wapas aane ki koshish karegi jaise pichle haftay dekha gaya tha, jahan sellers ne candlestick ko highest zone 0.6786 se neeche le jaaya tha. Ab price position 0.6512 area par aa gayi hai, candlestick position ab bhi 100 period ke simple moving average zone se neeche chal rahi hai, jo ke larger time frame mein bearish trend ka continuation dikha rahi hai. Market scenario agle haftay ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke hum sirf price ke wapas neeche jane ka intezar kar rahe hain taake Sell trading signal mil sake. Yeh mumkin hai ke seller price ko aur neeche le jana chahte hain aur 100 period ke simple moving average zone se door le jana chahte hain. Agar main current price movement ko monitor karoon to yeh bearish lagta hai, mujhe lagta hai ke market seller ke asar mein hoga aur dobara girne ka chance hai taake 0.6471 price zone ko test kiya ja sake kyunki calculations aur technical analysis ke mutabiq price movement apni journey ko Downtrend side ki taraf continue kar sakti hai.
AUD/USD pair filhal bearish trend mein hai, aur market dheere dheere move kar raha hai. Lekin, kuch factors suggest karte hain ke ek significant movement imminent ho sakta hai. Technical indicators reversal ya continued decline ki possibility ko point out karte hain, jo depend karta hai ke pair key support levels ko hold kar pata hai ya nahi. Economic factors, khaaskar RBA aur Fed ke policies, bhi pair ke direction determine karne mein crucial role play karenge. Aakhir mein, market sentiment, jo global economic developments se influence hota hai, rapid changes lead kar sakta hai pair ke movement mein. Isliye, traders ko in factors ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur AUD/USD pair mein potential volatility ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye agle kuch dinon mein.

AUD-USD PAIR REVIEW

Buyers ne resistance area level ko 0.6755 ke price se penetrate kiya aur resistance area level ko 0.6765 ke price tak le gaye, jo ke trading Friday, August 23, 2024 ko hua. Yeh resistance area level 0.6755 - 0.6765 ki range mein Thursday, August 22, 2024 ko bhi high ya resistance tha. Is liye hum support area level ko use kar sakte hain pending buy limit order place karne ke liye agle trade mein.

Technical side se, Friday ko banne wala resistance area level, jo ke 0.6800 ke price se lekar 0.6790 ke price tak hai, is dafa key resistance area level banega. Agar resistance area level break nahi hota, to Asian trading session mein AUD/USD currency pair pehle decline ka shikaar ho sakta hai, aur phir support area level 0.6755 - 0.6765 ko buyers ke liye ek foothold banakar, phir se upar chadhne aur zyada uchnay ki ummeed rahegi.

AUD-USD H1 Trading Planning for Monday

Upar diye gaye shira'ati halat ke mutabiq, bazaar ki ummeed hai ke kal Monday ko 0.6797 - 0.6799 ke price par khulega, jahan qareeb qareeb support aur resistance levels 0.6811 aur 0.6787 ke aas paas ban rahe hain. Yahan Monday ke liye trading planning hai:

Buy Plans:

1. Resistance Breakout: Agar price 0.6811 ke resistance ko break karti hai, aur EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 upar ki taraf hanging hain, to bullish potential 0.6846 - 0.7262 tak ho sakta hai.
2. Pullback Opportunity: Agar price correction ke dauran 0.6749 ke aas paas pullback karti hai, to take profit 0.6773 - 0.6790 se lekar 0.6802 tak ho sakta hai.
3. EMA 200 Bounce: Agar correction continue hoti hai, to buyers EMA 200 H1 line par bounce ke momentum ka intezar kar sakte hain. Take profit 0.6725 - 0.6748 ke aas paas prepare kiya jaye.

Sell Plans:

1. Breakout Below 0.6787: Agar price 0.6787 ke level ko break karti hai, to take profit 0.6772 - 0.6750 tak kiya jaye. Lekin, yeh risky ho sakta hai, isliye 0.6749 area me breakout ka intezar karna behtar hoga, jahan EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 downside crossover form karenge, aur take profit 0.6709 - 0.6687 tak ho sakta hai.
2. Rejection from 0.6846: Agar price 0.6846 area se reject hoti hai, to nearest bearish potential 0.6813 tak ho sakta hai.

Buyers ne 23 August 2024, Jumme ko trading ke dauran 0.6755 se 0.6765 ke resistance area level ko penetrate karne mein kamiyabi hasil ki, jo ke 22 August 2024, Jumeraat ko trading ka high ya resistance area tha. Ab hum is support area level ka istemal karke agle trade mein pending buy limit order place kar sakte hain. Technical side se dekha jaye to 0.6800 se 0.6790 ke resistance area jo ke Jumme ke din trading mein form hua, is martaba key resistance area banega. Agar yeh resistance area breakout na kar saka, to Asian trading session mein AUD/USD currency pair ke pehle decline hone ki umeed hai, is se pehle ke yeh 0.6755 - 0.6765 ke support area level ko use karte hue buyers ke liye dubara climb karke aur bhi upar jaye.

In conditions ko dekhte hue market ke 0.6797 - 0.6799 ke price par open hone ki umeed hai, jahan qareebi support aur resistance 0.6811 aur 0.6787 ke aas paas ban rahe hain. Aur ye hai planning Monday ke liye:Buy ko maintain kiya jaye agar price 0.6811 ke resistance ko breakout kar sakta hai, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 upwards hang karte huye bullish potential ke sath 0.6846 - 0.7262 level tak ja sakta hai.Agar price correct ho raha ho, to pullback ke dauran 0.6749 ke aas paas buy ki option dekhi ja sakti hai, take profit 0.6773 - 0.6790 tak le sakte hain, ya phir 0.6802 tak.Dusri buy option ye hai ke agar correction continue ho, buyers EMA 200 H1 line ke bounce ka intezar kar sakte hain, take profit 0.6725 - 0.6748 ke aas paas plan karna chahiye.Sell ki option agar price 0.6787 ko breakout karta hai, take profit 0.6772 - 0.6750 tak le sakte hain, lekin yeh risky ho sakta hai, behtar hoga ke 0.6749 area ke breakout ka intezar kiya jaye, jab EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 downside crossover banate hain, take profit 0.6709 - 0.6687 tak le sakte hain.Ek aur sell plan ye hai ke agar price 0.6846 area se reject hota hai, qareebi bearish potential 0.6813 tak hai jo buy positions open karne se behtar options hai. Main behtar entry point ka intezar karunga support level 0.66005 ke qareeb. Price ko is level tak pahunchne ke liye thoda dip hona zaroori hai. Mera profit target 0.67331 hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke yeh strategy plan ke mutabiq unfold hogi. Agar price decline karta hai, to yeh stagnant lag sakta hai—koi bara downward movement na dikhaate huye. Lekin, price confidently upward trend mein surge kar sakta hai, obstacles, levels, aur critical markers ko asaani se overcome karte hue. Minor hurdles, jaise ke H1 chart par, ka zyada asar nahi hota, jabke daily time frame par bade hurdles bhi progress ko barely slow karte hain. H4 chart par recent mein, daily time frame se 0.6699 ka benchmark, upward movement mein slight pause ka sabab bana, lekin upper movement ka silsila jaari raha.

AUD/USD jor ek multi-week high tak barh gaya hai, jo kuch key factors ke asar se hai. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ne hawkish stance barqarar rakhi hai, jo ke suggest karti hai ke interest rates high reh sakti hain taake inflation ko roka ja sake. Ye nazariya China ke strong inflation data ke saath mazid mazboot hota hai, jo Australia ka major trading partner hai.
Iske ilawa, global markets mein positive risk sentiment ne Aussie ko support diya hai, kyunki traders U.S. Federal Reserve se 50 basis points rate cut ki ummeed kar rahe hain. Ye expectation softer U.S. economic data ki wajah se hai, jo Fed ko monetary policy dheela karne par majboor kar sakti hai. Iska natija ye hua ke U.S. dollar kamzor hua hai, jo AUD ko aur barhawa de raha hai.

In supportive factors ke bawajood, nazariya ehtiyaat se bharpur hai. RBA ne indicate kiya hai ke future rate decisions upcoming economic data, jaise consumer confidence aur employment figures, par depend karega. Agar consumer confidence barhta hai to ye consumer spending aur potentially higher inflation ka signal ho sakta hai, jo RBA ko additional rate hikes par consider karne par majboor kar sakta hai.

Iske sath hi, Australia ke labor market conditions bhi crucial hain. Tight labor markets wage growth aur consumer spending ko barha sakte hain, jo demand-driven inflation ko fuel kar sakta hai. Aise mein RBA apni tightening stance ko barqarar rakhne ka fayasla kar sakti hai. Lekin agar labor market kamzor dikhai deta hai, to RBA rate hike cycle ko pause ya reverse bhi kar sakti hai.

AUD/USD currency pair ko RBA ke hawkish stance, China ke strong inflation data, aur U.S. Federal Reserve se rate cut ke expectations se support mil raha hai, jisne U.S. dollar ko kamzor kiya hai.

Lekin, pair ke future direction largely Australia se aane wale economic data aur RBA ke response par depend karegi. Traders ko in developments par nazar rakhni chahiye taake ye assess kiya ja sake ke AUD/USD ka upward trend continue kar sakta hai ya nahi.

Daily chart par, ek noticeable long candle dekhne ko milti hai jo prolonged downward swing ke baad aayi hai, jo suggest karti hai ke sellers ka control kuch kamzor hua hai aur buyers momentum gain kar rahe hain. Ye currently valid bullish signal ko indicate karta hai.

Hum 0.6730 level tak pohnch chuke hain, aur market ne neeche ki taraf fly karna shuru kar diya hai. Ab hamara goal ye hai ke hum selling se khushi hasil karein. Aaj ke zamane mein paisa sabse zyada chaha jane wala cheez hai. Apne tajurbe se dekha jaye to hum chart ke 0.6650 par wapas aane ka intezar karte hain, aur candle ke edge ko dekhte hain, chahe wo kisi bhi chair se attached ho. Candles ko mazbooti se aur neeche se pakadna zaroori hai! Mujhe 0.6710 par stop loss ko adjust karne se ghabrahat hoti hai. Jab mai stop loss ke sath trade se exit karta hoon, to agle din tak araam leta hoon. Chalain neeche chalte hain.
AUD/USD currency pair aaj achi lag rahi hai. LOY ko aaj ke sales par mabni updated kiya gaya hai, jo ke din ka aakhri action hai. Main kal ke height par sell karne ke liye tayar hoon. Main upar diye gaye entries (0.6780) ko bhi consider karunga. Is surat mein, main stop loss order 0.6740 par lagaunga kyunki price kal se 60% zyada hai. Agar kal ke low 0.6700 ke neeche jaye, to main 60% profit le lunga. AUD/USD currency pair ke behavior ko analyse karte hue, yeh zaroori hai ke moving averages se clear ho raha hai ke current prices uncertain hain, jo ke lagbhag horizontal hain. Lekin, two-month average price ne annual one se slightly rise kiya hai, jo ke potential reversal ka ishara hai. Is possibility ko recent decline ne aur mazid reinforce kiya hai jo ke previous low ke qareeb strong rebound ke sath khatam hui, jahan neeche ek tail lagbhag 140 points lambi thi. Tab se, price steadily climb ho rahi hai, jo shayad bearish journey ke aaghaz ka saboot hai.

Hourly chart par pair ko ek ascending channel ke andar move karte hue dekh raha hoon. Aaj, price channel ke upper boundary tak pohnch gayi hai, 0.6724 ko touch kiya hai. Iss point par main reversal ki umeed kar raha hoon, jahan se pair neeche ki taraf move kar sakta hai. Agar decline hoti hai, to price channel ke lower boundary tak descend kar sakti hai.

Main aise crosses trade karne se bachne ki koshish kar raha hoon, aur iska sabab maine pehle bhi kai martaba bataya hai. AUD/USD technically credible nahi hai, lekin AUD aur USD closely linked hain, zyada tar USD ke through. AUD/USD ke paas koi raasta nahi hai, yeh sirf exist nahi karta. Yeh predict karna mushkil hai ke pehle kaunsa major currency breakout karega, lekin USD clearly sidelines par hai. Entry options kam hain, isliye aage bohat zyada price movement hone wali hai. Signs dekhne ke liye wahan hain.

Simple Moving Average 150 aur Simple Moving Average 60 indicators jo upar ki taraf point kar rahe hain, is condition ke week ke end tak continue karne ke chances hain agar buyers consistently apna dominance market mein 0.6600 ke upar price level par maintain karte hain. Agar MACD indicator ke instructions ko monitor kiya jaye, to yeh bohat clear hai ke histogram bar ka position zero level ke qareeb chota hota ja raha hai, aur yellow dotted MACD signal line ka direction upar ko bend kar raha hai jo ke bullish trend ko illustrate karta hai. Relative Strength Index indicator (14) par Lime line ab tak consistently level 50 par khel rahi hai. Teen support indicators ka monitoring ke natayij ne yeh dikhaya hai ke trend ab tak bullish direction mein move kar raha hai.

/USD pair descending channel mein consolidate ho raha hai, jo bearish sentiment ka ishara hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold level 30 ke neeche hover kar raha hai, jo upward correction ka potential suggest karta hai. AUD/USD pair ko immediate support descending channel ke lower boundary ke around reverse support level 0.6470 par mil sakta hai Dusri taraf, resistance pehli baar channel ke upper boundary ke around 0.6520 par encounter hota hai, followed by nine-day exponential moving average (EMA ) at 0.6544. Agla significant resistance 0.6575 par hai, jahan "reverse support turned resistance" hai. Is level ke upar breakout AUD/USD pair ko six-month high 0.6798 tak push kar sakta hai. Main buy karne ka plan bana raha hoon. Sab ko profitable trades ki dua NZD/USD ke liye Current Market Situation
Chaliye D1 timeframe par NZD/USD currency pair discuss karte hain. Ye last month ke aath tareekh se downward trend mein hai, jo poora mahina continue raha steady decline ke sath. Ye downtrend doosre major pairs se zyada intense raha hai. Wave structure downward move kar raha hai, aur MACD indicator lower sell zone mein hai, apni signal line ke neeche. Third wave complete ho chuki hai, aur agar first wave par Fibonacci retracement apply karein, to hum dekhte hain ke minimum downside targets 161.8 aur 200 levels par reach ho chuke hain
Price ascending support line ko hit karta hai jo higher waves ke lows se draw hui hai, break through karte hue but support zone ke near horizontal level 0.5862 ko penetrate karne mein fail. Is se position closing hui sellers se aur new purchases hui, jise fourth wave mein slight rebound aya. Samajhne ki baat ye hai ke mahine ka end abhi abhi hua, monthly results lock karne ka waqt tha, jo price pullback ko lead karta hai. Technical reasons ke liye, four-hour chart par MACD par bullish divergence dikh raha hai. Ab, fifth wave mein decline ka continuation expected hai, jo significant minimum level 0.5862 ko update karega
Maine ye move last Friday ko expect kiya tha, lekin US news ki wajah se nahi hua. Non-farm payroll data forecast se bohot bura tha, US unemployment rate 0.2 points se barh gaya. Resultantly, price ne rally karne ki koshish ki but GBP aur EUR ke tarah surge nahi kar paya. Ye sellers ki strength indicate karta hai. Main ab bhi downward scenario ko likely dekhta hoo

Currency pair AUDUSD - daily chart period. Is hafte price kaafi barh rahi hai. Lekin abhi bhi yeh general downward trend ke dauran ek correction hi hai. Jab price ne 0.6632 ke main horizontal resistance level ko upar ki taraf break kiya, to price ab clearly purane weekly waves ke tops par banaye gaye main descending line ko test karne ki taraf ja rahi hai, aur wahan pe 0.6782 ka usual horizontal resistance level bhi aata hai. Points mein, wahan tak pohanchne ke liye zyada nahi bacha, lagbhag 50 points. Lekin yahan kharidari karna sahi nahi lagta, price apni akhirat par hai aur ho sakta hai ke specified resistance tak na pohanchay aur pehle hi girna shuru kar de. CCI indicator upper overheating zone mein enter ho chuka hai aur jaldi hi isse nikalne ke liye tayaar hai. Agar price specified resistances tak pohanchti hai, to wahan sale ke formation ko dekh sakte hain aur younger period pe switch kar sakte hain. Aap M15 pe bhi mirror level dekh sakte hain taake support resistance mein tabdeel ho jaye. Abhi ke liye, yahan bechna thoda jaldi hai, support ka kuch bhi nahi hai. Halankeh price bina support ke gir sakti hai, yeh dusre pairs par bhi depend karta hai, market connected hai. For example, euro dollar aur pound dollar lambi growth ke baad downward correction shuru karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Agar yeh shuru hota hai, to yeh pair bhi gir sakti hai, chahe yeh specified targets tak na bhi pohanche. Phir bhi, euro dollar pair sabse important hai, jahan wo hota hai, wahan se baaki majors bhi draw hote hain, jo allies hote hain, aur opponents ulta image mein. Economic calendar ko dekhte hain to kal ki tarah aaj bhi shant hai, kuch khaas important nahi hai, isliye abnormal movements ki ummeed nahi hai. Filhaal intezaar karna hoga, agar thoda aur barhta hai to rebound par sale kar sakte hain. Aaj koi khas news nahi hai, sirf shaam ko Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ke meeting ke minutes hain.

AUD/USD jor ek multi-week high tak barh gaya hai, jo kuch key factors ke asar se hai. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ne hawkish stance barqarar rakhi hai, jo ke suggest karti hai ke interest rates high reh sakti hain taake inflation ko roka ja sake. Ye nazariya China ke strong inflation data ke saath mazid mazboot hota hai, jo Australia ka major trading partner hai.
Iske ilawa, global markets mein positive risk sentiment ne Aussie ko support diya hai, kyunki traders U.S. Federal Reserve se 50 basis points rate cut ki ummeed kar rahe hain. Ye expectation softer U.S. economic data ki wajah se hai, jo Fed ko monetary policy dheela karne par majboor kar sakti hai. Iska natija ye hua ke U.S. dollar kamzor hua hai, jo AUD ko aur barhawa de raha hai.

In supportive factors ke bawajood, nazariya ehtiyaat se bharpur hai. RBA ne indicate kiya hai ke future rate decisions upcoming economic data, jaise consumer confidence aur employment figures, par depend karega. Agar consumer confidence barhta hai to ye consumer spending aur potentially higher inflation ka signal ho sakta hai, jo RBA ko additional rate hikes par consider karne par majboor kar sakta hai.

Iske sath hi, Australia ke labor market conditions bhi crucial hain. Tight labor markets wage growth aur consumer spending ko barha sakte hain, jo demand-driven inflation ko fuel kar sakta hai. Aise mein RBA apni tightening stance ko barqarar rakhne ka fayasla kar sakti hai. Lekin agar labor market kamzor dikhai deta hai, to RBA rate hike cycle ko pause ya reverse bhi kar sakti hai.

AUD/USD currency pair ko RBA ke hawkish stance, China ke strong inflation data, aur U.S. Federal Reserve se rate cut ke expectations se support mil raha hai, jisne U.S. dollar ko kamzor kiya hai.

Lekin, pair ke future direction largely Australia se aane wale economic data aur RBA ke response par depend karegi. Traders ko in developments par nazar rakhni chahiye taake ye assess kiya ja sake ke AUD/USD ka upward trend continue kar sakta hai ya nahi.

Daily chart par, ek noticeable long candle dekhne ko milti hai jo prolonged downward swing ke baad aayi hai, jo suggest karti hai ke sellers ka control kuch kamzor hua hai aur buyers momentum gain kar rahe hain. Ye currently valid bullish signal ko indicate karta hai