ای AUD/USD کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

**AUD/USD Current Analysis aur Outlook**

Filhal, AUD/USD currency pair lagbhag 0.67519 par trade kar raha hai, jo bearish trend ko reflect karta hai. Recent trading sessions mein, pair ne consistent decline dikhayi hai, jo market sentiment aur technical indicators ke downward movement ke potential ko darshata hai.

### Current Technical Scenario

AUD/USD ka ongoing bearish trend kai technical factors se support ho raha hai. Recent price action yeh indicate karti hai ke pair key support levels ko hold karne mein struggle kar raha hai. Sab se significant level 0.67519 hai, jo current positioning ke bawajood, substantial support nahi de sakta agar bearish trend continue hota hai. Descending channel pattern ka hona bhi market mein negative sentiment ko underline karta hai.

### Moving Averages aur Indicators

Moving averages ki analysis bearish bias ko reveal karti hai. 50-day aur 200-day moving averages, jo commonly overall trend ko gauge karne ke liye use kiye jate hain, dikhate hain ke short-term trend long-term trend ke neeche hai. Yeh alignment sustained bearish pressure ko suggest karti hai. 50-day moving average, khaaskar, resistance level ke taur par kaam aayi hai, jo downward movement ko reinforce karti hai.

### Potential for Reversal ya Continuation

Jab ke current trend bearish hai, agle dino mein significant movement ka potential hai. Price current level se rebound karne ki koshish kar sakti hai, khaaskar agar yeh 0.6700 ke aas paas strong support zones ko approach karti hai. Historically, aise levels AUD/USD pair ke liye crucial pivot points rahe hain. Agar price is support ko hold nahi karti, to downward trend ke continuation ka expectation ho sakta hai.

Conversely, agar pair current resistance levels ko break kar leta hai aur 0.6800 ke upar consolidate karta hai, to yeh bearish trend ka potential reversal signal de sakta hai. Yeh recent highs ke upar break hone se support hoga aur yeh suggest karega ke buyers control regain kar rahe hain. Reversal ko confirm karne ke liye, substantial break aur hold above resistance levels zaroori hoga.

### Economic Influences

Kayi economic factors AUD/USD pair ko near future mein influence kar sakte hain. For instance, Australia aur United States ke economic data mein koi significant changes currency pair ke movement ko impact kar sakti hain. Key data points jaise employment figures, inflation rates, aur central bank decisions market expectations ko shape karne mein crucial honge.

### Strategic Recommendations

Traders jo currently positions hold kar rahe hain ya naye positions consider kar rahe hain, unke liye zaroori hai ke price action ko key support aur resistance levels ke aas paas closely monitor karein. Agar pair 0.67519 ke neeche trade karta rahta hai aur rebound ke signs nahi dikhata, to bearish stance maintain karna ya short positions consider karna prudent ho sakta hai. Lekin, agar price reversal ke signs dikhati hai, aur resistance levels ko break karti hai, to trading strategies ko adjust karna wise hoga taake potential bullish trend ko accommodate kiya ja sake.

Summary mein, AUD/USD filhal bearish phase mein hai aur significant resistance levels iske movement ko impact kar rahe hain. Jab ke trend abhi downward hai, economic indicators aur key support aur resistance levels ke aas paas price actions ko closely monitor karna crucial hoga agle significant movement ko determine karne ke liye

Mazboot Australian July employment data Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke liye kuch pareshani ka sabab ban sakta hai. Full-time employment mein mazid izafa ho sakta hai jo RBA ko New Zealand ki tarah poori tarah se easing mood mein jane se rok sakta hai, aur shayad ye Waqt September mein Fed ke liye bhi dekhne ko milay, jaise ke ING ke FX strategist Chris Turner ne kaha. "Iska matlab yeh hai ke Australian Dollar (AUD) cross pairs mein acha perform karega. August ke shuru mein AUD/NZD ke girne ka matlab hai ke investors ne is cross ko upar trade karne ki umeed rakhi thi, magar yen-triggered deleveraging ne isko unwind kar diya. Ab hum dekh sakte hain ke yeh cross mid-July ke 1.1150 highs ko phir se test kare. "Agar Fed September mein cut kare aur US yield curve aur ziada steep ho jaye, to EUR/AUD neeche aana chahiye. Magar yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke China ki macro weakness AUD ko yahan rokh rahi ho. Overall, ek mahine ka target 0.68 hai AUD/USD ke liye. **AUD/USD** Budh ke din, Australian dollar ne 0.6640 ka target level haasil kar liya, phir wahan se (MACD line aur 61.8% Fibonacci level se) neeche chala gaya, aur aaj subah 0.6570 ke support ko chhoo gaya. Yeh izafa Australia mein employment data ke release hone ke wajah se hua—Australia mein July mein 58,200 jobs create hui, jab ke forecast 20,200 thi, aur participation rate 66.9% se barh kar 67.1% hogayi, jiski wajah se ultimately unemployment 4.1% se barh kar 4.2% hogayi. Magar investors ne in data ko overall positive samjha. Iske ilawa, Japan ka GDP dusre quarter mein 3.1% barh gaya, jab ke umeed 2.1% ki thi
Price ko 0.6640 ke strong resistance ko overcome karna hoga ziada substantial movement ke liye, kam az kam 0.6680 ka target level haasil karne ke liye. Jab ke raw materials abhi bhi gir rahe hain, yeh sirf tab mumkin hai jab U.S. dollar globally weak ho jaye. Filhaal, yeh ek neutral position mein hai
4-hour chart mein, price balance line (red moving average) ke upar hai, aur Marlin oscillator wapas growth territory mein chala gaya hai. Nateeja tan, aussie abhi neutral range mein hai 0.6570-0.6640 ke darmiyan. Is range ke beyond breakout hi uske aage ka movement tay karega

Assalam o Alaikum doston, umeed hai ke aap sab theek hain aur is site ka lutf utha rahe hain. Aaj mein NZDUSD pair par baat kar raha hoon. NZDUSD ke D1 time frame par is trading week ne growth ke chand ibtedai asar dikhaye hain, jo ke market ke trends ko naye nazariye se dekhne ka moqa de rahe hain. Jab hum NZDUSD currency pair ke D1 chart ka tajziya karte hain, to guzishta chand hafton ki price movements ko dekhna zaroori hai, taake market ke haalaat ko behtar samajh sakein. Is pair ka trading activity kaafi interesting rahi hai, khaaskar jab isay bade D1 time frame par dekha jaye. Is trading week ke shuruat mein, ek chhoti si upward movement dekhne ko mili, jo shayad yeh impression de rahi thi ke ek possible reversal aane wala hai. Lekin jab hum chart ko qareebi taur par dekhte hain, to yeh wazeh hota hai ke recent growth zyada bare aur dominant downward trend ke context mein ho rahi hai, jo kuch arsay se barqarar hai. Guzishta mahine ki aath tareekh se NZDUSD pair musalsal decline mein hai. Yeh downward trajectory D1 chart par kaafi wazeh hai, jahan currency pair ko barabar selling pressure ka samna hai. Ibtedaai girawat ne ek sustainable bearish trend ko janam diya jo pure mahine tak barqarar raha, aur pair ne repeatedly lower highs aur lower lows hit kiye, jo ke ek strong downtrend ki classic nishani hai.
Is haftay ke shuru mein chhoti si rally ke bawajood, D1 time frame par overall sentiment abhi bhi bearish hai. Jo downward trend guzishta mahine se shuru hua tha, ab tak kisi reversal ka asar nahi dikha raha, aur pair ko significant resistance levels ka samna hai. Traders ke liye iska matlab yeh hai ke jab tak short-term gains ke moqay available ho sakte hain, broader trend un logon ke haq mein hai jo NZDUSD ko short karna chahte hain. Yeh baat bhi yaad rakhni chahiye ke jabke D1 chart ek clear picture de raha hai ongoing trend ki, market conditions tezi se tabdeel ho sakti hain, khaaskar agar naye economic data ya unexpected geopolitical events saamne aate hain. Isliye, traders ko hamesha hoshyaar rehna chahiye aur key support aur resistance levels ko monitor karna chahiye, aur market sentiment mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ko dekhna chahiye jo pair ki direction ko mutasir kar sakti hai.

AUD/USD ne apne nuqsanat ko barhaya, aur aur zyada gir gaya jab Federal Reserve (Fed) ne soodi sharah mein koi tabdeeli nahi ki aur qarza lene ki lagat mein kami nahi ki. Mehngai mein taraqqi ko tasleem karte hue, Fed ke afsaran easing policy ka aghaz karne mein ehtiyaat barat rahe hain. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke press conference ke baad, AUD/USD ka rate 0.6700 aur 0.6840 ke darmiyan utar chadh raha tha. Aakhri update ke mutabiq, AUD/USD 0.6719 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai.

AUD/USD ke Fundamentals:

Australian Dollar ke liye aanay wale mahine aur Q2 Consumer Price Index (CPI) ke data ka asar hoga, jo guzashta hafte release hone wala tha. Doosri quarter ke liye, mehngai ke dabao mein 1% ka thehrav ki tawaqqo hai. Saal dar saal Q2 CPI 3.8% tak barhne ki umeed hai, jo pehle ke 3.6% se zyada hai. Yeh imkaan yeh barha sakta hai ke Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) mazeed policy tightening ka faisla kare.

National Australia Bank ka mutabiq, RBA ka cash rate 4.35% par May 2025 tak barqarar rehne ka imkaan hai. NAB Economics ke recent outlook ke mutabiq, December 2025 tak rate 3.6% tak kam hone ki tawaqqo hai, aur mazeed cuts 2026 tak aa sakte hain. Yeh projection market ke rujhan ko darshata hai ke RBA future monetary policy mein tabdeeli kar sakta hai.


Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Resistance sabse pehle iske trading channel ke uper ke hisse mein aata hai, jo ke lagbhag 0.6770 ke qareeb hai, uske baad ek aham level 0.6800 par hai. Ek aur significant resistance 0.6815 par hai, jahan pehle ka support ab resistance ban gaya hai. Agar is level ke uper breakout hota hai to AUD/USD ko six-month high 0.6798 tak push kiya ja sakta hai.

Filhal, spot price 20, 100, aur 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA) ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke ek predominantly bearish outlook ko mazid reinforce karta hai. Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) pichle hafte 30 aur 37 ke darmiyan oscillate kar raha hai, jo mazeed bearish sentiment ko support karta hai. Iske ilawa, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) abhi bhi flat red bars dikhata hai, jo ke barqarar bearish momentum ko darshata hai.

Aaj Pair ne apne losses ko extend kiya hai, aur mazeed niche gir gayi hai jab ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ne interest rates ko change nahi kiya aur borrowing costs ko reduce karne se bhi parhez kiya. Inflation par progress acknowledge karne ke bawajood, Fed officials easing policy shuru karne ke liye abhi bhi cautious hain. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ki press conference ke baad, pair 0.6700 aur 0.6840 ke beech fluctuate ki. Taza update ke mutabiq, AUD/USD takriban 0.6719 par trade kar raha hai.

**AUD/USD ki Fundamentals:**

Australian Dollar par aanay wale mahine aur Q2 ke Consumer Price Index (CPI) data ka asar hoga, jo ke pichle hafte release hone wale hain. Doosray quarter ke liye, price pressures ke barh kar mustaqil tor par 1% hone ka imkaan hai. Annual basis par, Q2 CPI mein izafa ho kar 3.8% tak pohanchne ki tawaqo hai, jo pichle 3.6% se zyada hai. Yeh anticipated uptick Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ki taraf se further policy tightening ki tawaqoat ko mazeed barha sakta hai.

National Australia Bank ka forecast hai ke RBA ki cash rate May 2025 tak 4.35% par barqarar rahegi. Unke recent outlook ke mutabiq, NAB Economics December 2025 tak rate ko 3.6% par lane ki tawaqo karta hai, jiske saath mazeed cuts ki umeed 2026 tak hai. Yeh projection market ki tawaqoat ko highlight karta hai jo RBA ki future monetary policy adjustments se mutaliq hain.

**Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

Pair ke liye pehla resistance uske trading channel ki upper boundary, yani 0.6770 ke aas paas encounter hota hai, uske baad ek key level 0.6800 par hai. Ek aur significant resistance point 0.6815 par hai, jahan pehle ka support ab resistance ban chuka hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to AUD/USD pair 0.6798 ki six-month high ki taraf push ho sakta hai.

Spot price is waqt 20, 100, aur 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA) se niche trade kar raha hai, jo ke predominantly bearish outlook ko reinforce karta hai. Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) pichlay hafte se 30 aur 37 ke beech oscillate kar raha hai, jo mazeed bearish sentiment ko support karta hai. Is ke ilawa, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) flat red bars dikhata hai, jo sustained bearish momentum ki taraf ishara karte hain.

Aaj AUD/USD market pair ne Thursday ko trading mein buyer ki taraf se mazbooti se apni jagah banaye rakhi. Buyers ne seller ki selling pressure ko withstand kiya aur usse buyer support area 0.6715-0.6718 par dampen kar diya, jisse sellers ne phir se price control kho diya aur buyer ne zyada strong buying pressure apply kiya, jis se price dobara bullish soar hui.

Daily timeframe par Bollinger bands indicator ko use kar ke monitor karne par nazar aata hai ke price ko buyer ne successfuly maintain kiya, aur price ko Middle Bollinger bands area ke upar yani 0.6715-0.6717 ke price par rakha, jo price ke mazeed upar move hone ke chances ko barhata hai Middle Bollinger area se door ho kar, bullish target ki taraf jo Upper Bollinger bands area ki taraf hoga ya kam se kam strong seller supply resistance area 0.6793-0.6795 par penetrate karna zaroori hoga, jo ek zyada bullish rasta Upper Bollinger bands area ki taraf khol dega.

Friday ko trading European market time ke dauran, buyer ne efforts kiye ke woh mazeed enter ho kar bearish pace ko rok saken jo seller ne subha ke session mein shuru ki thi, aur buyer support area 0.6718-0.6715 ko maintain karne ki koshish ki. Agar yeh area seller ke selling pressure ko withstand karne mein kamyab hota hai, to is baat ka yaqeen hai ke price phir se mazeed bullishly upar soar hogi, next target ke saath nearest seller resistance area 0.6750-0.6752 ki taraf. Aur agar yeh area bhi breakout ho jata hai, to price phir se mazeed upar soar karegi next target ki taraf jo ke strong seller supply resistance area 0.6780-0.6783 par hai.
Conclusion:

Sell entry tab ki ja sakti hai jab seller nearest buyer support area 0.6722-0.6720 ko penetrate karne mein kamyab ho jaye, TP target area 0.6693-0.6690 par rakha ja sakta hai.

Buy entry tab ki ja sakti hai jab buyer nearest seller resistance area 0.6750-0.6753 ke upar penetrate karne mein kamyab ho jaye, TP target area 0.6790-0.6793 par rakha ja sakta hai.

**AUD/USD Analysis**

Chaliye AUD/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka analysis karte hain aur dekhenge iska kya matlab ho sakta hai. Main AUD/USD currency pair ka 30-minute time frame par analysis kar raha hoon, jismein Bollinger indicator aur vertical tick volume histograms ka data use kar raha hoon. Filhal, AUD/USD 0.67322 par trade kar raha hai aur yahan ek noticeable selling trend dekha ja raha hai.

Mera plan hai ke main sell positions initiate karun 0.67395 level se, aur profit target set karunga lower Bollinger band par, jo ke 0.67270 hai. Jaise-jaise downward movement continue hoti hai, lower boundary of the Bollinger band thodi bahut niche adjust ho sakti hai, lekin significant change ki umeed nahi hai. Stop loss ko main 0.67395 ke thoda upar set karunga. Agar buyers strength gain karte hain aur 0.67395 level ko cross karte hain, to main buy position open karne par consider karunga, aur upward momentum par focus karunga. Filhal ke liye, main sellers ke side aligned hoon.

0.6749 par ek false breakout ka evidence hai; agar yeh level hold nahi karta, to decline continue karega. Ek correction 0.6824 range se aakar sakti hai, uske baad growth resume ho sakti hai.

AUD/USD pair 0.6749 ke niche dip kar raha hai, jo increased risk aversion ka indication hai. US dollar August ke ISM manufacturing PMI release se pehle strengthen ho raha hai. Australian dollar ka performance bhi RBA Governor Bullock ki Thursday ko hone wali speech par depend karega. Tuesday ke din, Australian dollar 0.6779 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Daily chart par AUD/USD pair nine-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke upar positioned hai, jo short-term bullish trend ko signal karta hai.

Pair resistance level 0.6799 ke qareeb aa raha hai, aur agar yeh level cross hota hai, to price 0.6829-0.6849 range tak barh sakti hai. Support levels 0.6759 aur 0.6739 par hain. Agar price 0.6814 ke upar stabilize hoti hai, to further growth ke chances hain. Agar 0.6784 range breach hoti hai aur hold karti hai, to yeh ek buying opportunity ko signal karega.

Yeh analysis aapko AUD/USD currency pair ke current trend aur potential movements ko samajhne mein madad karega aur trading decisions lene mein guide karega.

AUD/USD currency pair ki market trend jo ke mazi chand dino se bullish condition mein thi, toh buyers se yeh umeed hai ke unke paas price ko barhane ka mazeed potential ho sakta hai, lekin abhi market ke price downward correction ke sath market ki conditions ko reverse karne ki koshish kar rahi hai, kyun ke market aaj subah se khuli hai. Relative Strength Index indicator ki line abhi bhi level 50 se upar aram se chal rahi hai jo ke bullish trend ki nishani hai. Candlestick ki position abhi bhi 0.6780 ke price level ke upar hai jo ke upward moving market ki taraf ishara kar rahi hai. Is haftay ke price movement mein momentum ko dekhte hue jo ke zyada taur par bullish direction mein move kar raha tha, meri analysis ke mutabiq yeh mumkin hai ke price dobara se bullish trend par aajaye jab tak ke market kal subah band na ho. Bilashuba hum har ek technique ke mutabiq BUY trading entry signals dekh sakte hain. Agar market analysis ke mutabiq move karta hai, toh profit hasil karne ke imkaanaat mein izafa hoga AUD/USD par additional purchasing ke mauqay hain aur yeh cost 0.67622 ke zone ko baad mein cross kar sakti hai. Iske ilawa, yaad rahe ke yeh bohot zaroori hai ke ehtiyaat se kaam liya jaye aur AUD/USD par trading karte waqt high volumes istemal karne se paraheiz kiya jaye, khaas taur par jab news data release ho raha ho. High trading volumes se volatility aur risk mein izafa hota hai, jo ke trades ko manage karna mushkil bana deta hai. Jab news release hoti hai, toh market mein tez aur anjanahari movements ho sakti hain, jo ke significant losses ka sabab ban sakti hain agar inko theek tarah se manage na kiya jaye. Isliye, yeh munasib hai ke moderate volumes se trading ki jaye aur risk management strategies amal mein laaye jayein, jaise ke stop-loss orders set karna aur predetermined levels par profit lena. Aaj humare liye 0.68355 ka short target ke sath ek buy order kaafi hoga. Aam tor par, humare trading approach ko diversify karna high volatility se mutaliq tabdeeli ko kam karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai. Sirf aik strategy par inhisaar karne ke bajaye, hum technical aur fundamental analysis ke combination ko istemal kar sakte hain taake hum informed trading decisions

Aaj mein NZDUSD pair par baat kar raha hoon. NZDUSD ke D1 time frame par is trading week ne growth ke chand ibtedai asar dikhaye hain, jo ke market ke trends ko naye nazariye se dekhne ka moqa de rahe hain. Jab hum NZDUSD currency pair ke D1 chart ka tajziya karte hain, to guzishta chand hafton ki price movements ko dekhna zaroori hai, taake market ke haalaat ko behtar samajh sakein. Is pair ka trading activity kaafi interesting rahi hai, special jab isay bade D1 time frame par dekha jaye. Is trading week ke shuruat mein, ek chhoti si upward movement dekhne ko mili, jo shayad yeh impression de rahi thi ke ek possible reversal aane wala hai. Lekin jab hum chart ko qareebi taur par dekhte hain, to yeh wazeh hota hai ke recent growth zyada bare aur dominant downward trend ke context mein ho rahi hai, jo kuch arsay se barqarar hai. Guzishta mahine ki aath tareekh se NZDUSD pair musalsal decline mein hai. Yeh downward trajectory D1 chart par kaafi wazeh hai, jahan currency pair ko barabar selling pressure ka samna hai. Ibtedaai girawat ne ek sustainable bearish trend ko janam diya jo pure mahine tak barqarar raha, aur pair ne repeatedly lower highs aur lower lows hit kiye, jo ke ek strong downtrend ki classic nishani hai.
Is haftay ke shuru mein chhoti si rally ke bawajood, D1 time frame par overall sentiment abhi bhi bearish hai. Jo downward trend guzishta mahine se shuru hua tha, ab tak kisi reversal ka asar nahi dikha raha, aur pair ko significant resistance levels ka samna hai. Traders ke liye iska matlab yeh hai ke jab tak short-term gains ke moqay available ho sakte hain, broader trend un logon ke haq mein hai jo NZDUSD ko short karna chahte hain. Yeh baat bhi yaad rakhni chahiye ke jabke D1 chart ek clear picture de raha hai ongoing trend ki, market conditions tezi se tabdeel ho sakti hain, special agar naye economic data ya unexpected geopolitical events saamne aate hain. Isliye, traders ko hamesha hoshyaar rehna chahiye aur key support aur resistance levels ko monitor karna chahiye, aur market sentiment mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ko dekhna chahiye jo pair ki direction ko mutasir kar sakti hai

AUD/USD ka pair Friday ke North American Session mein apni intraday gains kho deta hai aur negative ho jata hai. Aussie asset 0.6700 ke qareeb gir gaya hai, jo ke United States (US) ke Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data ke baad hua hai, jo ke US Dollar (USD) mein khareedari ki interest ko kafi zyada badha deta hai.

US Dollar Index, jo ke Greenback ki value ko chhe bade currencies ke khilaf track karta hai, ne apni downtrend movement ko reverse kar diya aur 101.40 ke qareeb chadh gaya hai. US NFP report ke mutabiq, jobs demand ki ummeed se kam rahi. Naye payrolls 142K aaye jo ke 160K ke expectation se kam hain, magar July ki release se zyada hain jo ke 89K thi aur jo pehle 114K thi. Unemployment Rate 4.2% par gir gaya hai, jo ke expectation ke mutabiq hai, pichle release se 4.3% ke mukable.

AUD/USD Price Forecast: Downtrend mein wapas aana
AUD/USD short-term downtrend mein wapas aa raha hai. Yeh correction kafi shallow hai aur shayad jaldi khatam ho jayegi, jiska nateeja downtrend ke dobara shuru hone ke roop mein hoga.

AUD/USD ne 29 August ko high se trend reverse kiya aur girna shuru kiya. Is pair ne tab se girte huye peaks establish kiye hain, jo ke indicate karta hai ke short-term trend shayad reverse ho gaya hai aur ab bearish hai. Technical analysis theory ke mutabiq, "the trend is your friend", ab odds downtrend ke extension ki favor mein hain jo ke lower lows ki taraf lead karega.

AUD/USD 4-hour Chart:

AUD ne 4 September ko 0.6685 par bottom banaya aur tab se counter-trend reaction mein upar ki taraf pull back ho raha hai. Yeh correction kafi shallow hai, aur shayad jaldi hi khatam ho jayegi, uske baad bears price ko phir se niche push karenge trend ke mutabiq.

0.6685 ke low ke neeche break hone se downtrend ki continuation confirm ho jayegi. Agla target is se neeche 0.6645 hoga, jo ke uske baad 0.6587 hai, jo ke August rally ka Fibonacci 0.50 ratio retracement level hai.

Pichlay trading day par, main recommend karta hoon ke aap daily chart par nazar daalein, taake hum pair ki overall movement ko samajh sakein. Daily time frame par, price phir se barh gai thi jab ke pehle se hi yeh upar jaane ka rasta khol chuki thi. Magar price abhi bhi roki gayi aur daily resistance area mein reject hui, jo ke 0.6813x ke price range mein hai.
Uske baad, price ne neeche jaane ki koshish ki aur kaafi low level tak pohonch gayi. Meri raye mein, agar price resistance ko paar nahi kar pati, toh yeh wapas daily support area ki taraf jaayegi jo ke 0.6763x ke price range mein hai. Halankeh price dobara se dominant hote hue upar barh gayi, magar apni highest resistance tak nahi pohonchi. Magar is cheez ko samajhna zaroori hai ke aaj ke liye price ka izafa zyada dominant ho sakta hai. Is waqt, sabse behthreen approach yeh hai ke hum intezar karein ke price resistance ko break kare aur agli resistance tak 0.6863x ke price par pohonche, ya phir reject ho kar neeche support 0.6712x ke aas paas gir jaaye. Iss current position mein, upar jaane ka rujhan abhi bhi hai, lekin neeche jaane ka bhi equal chance hai. Meri raye mein, AUD/USD pair ke liye aaj ka mood yeh hai ke agar resistance break ho jaaye toh buy karein, aur agar support break ho jaaye toh sell karein. Yeh last candlestick ke doji form par base karta hai, jo ke buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan balance ko show karta hai. Abhi, AUD/USD pair daily opening level par trade kar raha hai jo ke balance mein lag raha hai. Aage ke price movements ko analyze karne ke liye, hum M30 time frame par nazar daal sakte hain. Yahan par do minor support aur resistance areas hain, ek 0.6787x price ke aas paas upar ki had par aur doosra 0.6778x price ke aas paas neeche ki had par. Yeh do areas aane wale time mein achi entry opportunities de sakti hain. Agar price minor resistance area 0.6787x ko break karti hai, toh hum buy kar sakte hain daily resistance area 0.6812x par sabse qareebi target ke liye. Magar resistance target 0.6863x ke price par bhi dekhnay wala hai. Dusri taraf, agar price girti hai aur minor support area 0.6778x ko break karti hai, toh hum sell kar sakte hain daily support area 0.6763x ke qareebi target aur support 0.6712x ke aglay target ke liye

### **AUD/USD: Price Action Ka Kirdar**

AUD/USD currency pair ki price behaviour ka tajziya darast hai. Jab hum current H1 chart ka jaiza lete hain, to market ke halaat trading ke liye favourable lagte hain, aur is waqt upward bias hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke kuch ahm qadam uthayein. Sabse pehle, higher H4 timeframe par prevailing trend ko sahih tareeqe se identify karna zaroori hai taake market sentiment ko ghalat samajhne se bacha ja sake, jo ke financial losses ka sabab ban sakta hai. Is liye, H4 chart ka tajziya karte hain taake ensure ho ke H1 aur H4 timeframes par trend movements aligned hain.

Iske ilawa, price ne July ka high touch kar liya hai, jo ke is baat ki nishani hai ke growth target pura ho chuka hai. Recent price movements ek potential selling zone ka izhar karte hain. Overall market ka trend ye dikha raha hai ke doosri bari currency pairs bhi qareebi waqt mein U.S. dollar ki strength ke liye tayar hain. Growth wave kaafi waqt se barqarar hai, aur yeh five-wave cycle bana chuki hai jo ke bearish divergence par khatam ho rahi hai. H4 chart ka jaiza lein AUD/USD currency pair ke liye. Wave structure build ho rahi hai jab tak upward trend barqarar hai. MACD indicator lower sales zone mein position hai aur apni signal line ke neeche hai. Pehle, is indicator par ek triple bearish divergence aayi thi aur secondary CCI indicator par bhi. Iske ilawa, ek reversal pattern—aik ascending wedge—ko successfully breakdown kiya gaya tha, aur bearish divergence signal ko effectively confirm kiya gaya tha. Horizontal support level 0.6697 par pressure hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke yeh zyada der tak nahi tik payega aur break ho jayega. Best selling entry point yeh hoga agar price upward retrace kare before yeh support level break ho. Is trade ka target 0.6639 par set hai. Halankeh CCI indicator lower overheating zone se potential upward move ki taraf ishara kar raha hai, lekin yeh signal sellers ko rok nahi payega

AUD/USD Technical Aur Economic Outlook

Friday ko Building Permits data ke release ke baad, pair ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein thodi uchaai dekhi. Traders agle Consumer Price Index (CPI) report ki taraf dekh rahe hain, jo RBA monetary policy ke future direction ke liye potential insights provide kar sakti hai. Analysts ka kehna hai ke Australia ki headline inflation mein thodi re-acceleration hone ki umeed hai dusre quarter ke liye, jabke core inflation rate steady rehne ka expectation hai.

Australian Economic Data Aur China Ka Impact: Key Factors to Watch

Australian Retail Sales data bhi closely scrutinized kiya jayega. Aane wale second-quarter CPI release se domestic monetary policy direction ke baare mein aur clues mil sakte hain. Kuch economists additional tightening se ehtiyaat baratne ka mashwara de rahe hain kyunke recession ke risks barh gaye hain. Recent data ne Australia mein private sector growth ki slow down ko dikhaya hai, manufacturing activity contraction mein hai aur services sector mein growth decelerate ho gayi hai.

Australia ka ek significant export foreign investment flows ko negatively impact kar raha hai. Iron ore prices recently gir gayi hain kyunke China ki economic challenges ke wajah se demand outlook weak hai. China’s Third Plenary Session ke dauran major stimulus announcement na hone aur People’s Bank of China (PBoC) ke unexpected rate cut ne China ke economic prospects ko lekar concerns barha diye hain, jo directly Australia ko affect karte hain given their close trading relationship.

AUD/USD: Resistance Aur Support Levels Ka Navigation

Pair key resistance aur support levels ko navigate kar raha hai. Ascending channel ki upper boundary 0.6730 immediate resistance ke tor par kaam kar rahi hai, aur iske saath nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 0.6736 par hai. Ek significant resistance level 0.6751 hai, jahan pehle support ab resistance mein convert ho gaya hai. Agar is level se breakout hota hai, to AUD/USD pair 0.6826 ke six-month high ki taraf barh sakta hai.

Resistance Aur Support Levels Ka Analysis

In resistance levels ke bawajood, pair ne 0.6680 ke aas paas resilience dikhayi hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke yeh ek critical support level ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, resistance 0.6760 ke zone ke aas paas hone ki umeed hai, jahan pehle selling pressure ne kisi bhi upward movement ko rok diya hai.

**AUD/USD Current Analysis aur Outlook**

Filhal, AUD/USD currency pair lagbhag 0.67519 par trade kar raha hai, jo bearish trend ko reflect karta hai. Recent trading sessions mein, pair ne consistent decline dikhayi hai, jo market sentiment aur technical indicators ke downward movement ke potential ko darshata hai.

### Current Technical Scenario

AUD/USD ka ongoing bearish trend kai technical factors se support ho raha hai. Recent price action yeh indicate karti hai ke pair key support levels ko hold karne mein struggle kar raha hai. Sab se significant level 0.67519 hai, jo current positioning ke bawajood, substantial support nahi de sakta agar bearish trend continue hota hai. Descending channel pattern ka hona bhi market mein negative sentiment ko underline karta hai.

### Moving Averages aur Indicators

Moving averages ki analysis bearish bias ko reveal karti hai. 50-day aur 200-day moving averages, jo commonly overall trend ko gauge karne ke liye use kiye jate hain, dikhate hain ke short-term trend long-term trend ke neeche hai. Yeh alignment sustained bearish pressure ko suggest karti hai. 50-day moving average, khaaskar, resistance level ke taur par kaam aayi hai, jo downward movement ko reinforce karti hai.

### Potential for Reversal ya Continuation

Jab ke current trend bearish hai, agle dino mein significant movement ka potential hai. Price current level se rebound karne ki koshish kar sakti hai, khaaskar agar yeh 0.6700 ke aas paas strong support zones ko approach karti hai. Historically, aise levels AUD/USD pair ke liye crucial pivot points rahe hain. Agar price is support ko hold nahi karti, to downward trend ke continuation ka expectation ho sakta hai.

Conversely, agar pair current resistance levels ko break kar leta hai aur 0.6800 ke upar consolidate karta hai, to yeh bearish trend ka potential reversal signal de sakta hai. Yeh recent highs ke upar break hone se support hoga aur yeh suggest karega ke buyers control regain kar rahe hain. Reversal ko confirm karne ke liye, substantial break aur hold above resistance levels zaroori hoga.

### Economic Influences

Kayi economic factors AUD/USD pair ko near future mein influence kar sakte hain. For instance, Australia aur United States ke economic data mein koi significant changes currency pair ke movement ko impact kar sakti hain. Key data points jaise employment figures, inflation rates, aur central bank decisions market expectations ko shape karne mein crucial honge.

### Strategic Recommendations

Traders jo currently positions hold kar rahe hain ya naye positions consider kar rahe hain, unke liye zaroori hai ke price action ko key support aur resistance levels ke aas paas closely monitor karein. Agar pair 0.67519 ke neeche trade karta rahta hai aur rebound ke signs nahi dikhata, to bearish stance maintain karna ya short positions consider karna prudent ho sakta hai. Lekin, agar price reversal ke signs dikhati hai, aur resistance levels ko break karti hai, to trading strategies ko adjust karna wise hoga taake potential bullish trend ko accommodate kiya ja sake.

Summary mein, AUD/USD filhal bearish phase mein hai aur significant resistance levels iske movement ko impact kar rahe hain. Jab ke trend abhi downward hai, economic indicators aur key support aur resistance levels ke aas paas price actions ko closely monitor karna crucial hoga agle significant movement ko determine karne ke liye

Technical Analysis and Economic Outlook

Yeh pair US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein thoda upar chala gaya hai Building Permits data ke release ke baad Friday ko. Traders agle Consumer Price Index (CPI) report ki taraf dekh rahe hain, jo RBA monetary policy ke future direction ke baare mein potential insights de sakta hai. Analysts ka kehna hai ke Australia ki headline inflation thodi re-accelerate ho sakti hai second quarter mein, jabki core inflation rate steady rahne ki umeed hai.

Australian Economic Data aur China ka Impact: Key Factors to Watch

Australian Retail Sales data ko bhi nazar se guzarna zaroori hai. Aane wale second-quarter CPI release se domestic monetary policy direction ke baare mein aur clues mil sakti hain. Kuch economists additional tightening ke khilaf caution advise kar rahe hain recession risks ke barhne ki wajah se. Recent data ne dikhaya hai ke private sector growth Australia mein dheemi ho gayi hai, manufacturing activity contraction mein hai aur services sector ki growth bhi decelerate ho gayi hai.

Australia ka ek significant export foreign investment flows ko negatively impact kar raha hai. Iron ore prices recent mein gir gayi hain weak demand outlook ki wajah se, jo China ki economic challenges se aur badh gayi hai. China’s Third Plenary Session ke dauran major stimulus announcement ki kami aur People’s Bank of China (PBoC) ki taraf se unexpected rate cut ne China ke economic prospects ke baare mein concerns barhadiye hain, jo directly Australia ko affect karte hain given their close trading relationship.

AUD/USD: Resistance aur Support Levels ko Navigate Karna

Yeh pair key resistance aur support levels ko navigate kar raha hai. Ascending channel ki upper boundary 0.6730 immediate resistance ke roop mein kaam karti hai, jo closely nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 0.6736 ke saath hai. Ek significant resistance level 0.6751 par hai, jahan pehle ka support ab resistance ban gaya hai. Agar is level ke upar breakout hota hai, to AUD/USD pair ko 0.6826 ke six-month high ki taraf push kiya ja sakta hai.

Technical Analysis:

Inspite of in resistance levels, yeh pair 0.6680 ke mark ke aas-paas resilience dikhata hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke yeh ek critical support level ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, resistance 0.6760 ke zone ke aas-paas anticipate kiya ja raha hai, jahan pe selling pressure ne pehle ke upward movement ko rok diya tha.