ای AUD/USD کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

Simple Moving Average 150 aur Simple Moving Average 60 indicators ka upar ki taraf point karna yeh zahir karta hai ke yeh condition kal hafte ke aakhri din tak barqarar reh sakti hai agar kharidaar market ko 0.6600 ke price level se upar apni hawiat qayam rakhne mein kamyab ho jaate hain. Agar aap MACD indicator ke diye gaye instructions ko monitor karein, toh yeh bohat wazeh hai ke histogram bar ki position zero level ke qareeb choti hoti ja rahi hai, aur peeli nuktay daar MACD signal line ka rukh upar ki taraf mur raha hai jo ke ek bullish trend ki tasweer kasha karta hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator (14) ki lime line ab bhi musalsal level 50 par khel rahi hai. Teeno support indicators ke zariye ki gayi monitoring ke natayij se yeh saabit hota hai ke trend ab bhi bullish direction mein move kar raha hai Jumeraat ke din ke liye chand macroeconomic events schedule hain, aur yeh sab kuch milte julte hain. Germany, UK, EU aur US August ke liye services aur manufacturing sectors mein business activity ke indices release karenge. Yeh data aam tor par market mein koi mazboot reaction nahi ubharta, aur iss waqt market euro aur pound ki khareedari par tawajjo de rahi hai jab ke dollar bech rahi hai. Is liye, mumkin hai ke yeh reports kisi tez downtrend ko trigger na karein. US business activity ke indices ka market par kam asar hoga kyun ke America mein zyada aham ISM reports bhi aanay wale hain. Iske ilawa, US mein unemployment claims ki report bhi release hogi. Aaj ki reports par koi significant reaction sirf tabhi expect ki ja sakti hai agar unke natayij haqeeqat mein hairan kun hon. Jumeraat ke buniyadi events mein kuch khaas note karne layak nahi hai. Jackson Hole symposium shab dair se shuru hoga, aur Jerome Powell aur Andrew Bailey kal khitab karenge. Saturday ko Philip Lane (European Central Bank) bhi khitab karenge. Humein is baat mein koi shak nahi ke market ne pehle hi Powell ke khitab ko madde nazar rakh liya hai, lekin uski dovish rhetoric ab bhi US dollar mein nayi girawat ko provoke kar sakti hai

AUD/USD currency pair ne is haftay ka aghaz kamzori ke saath kiya hai, jahan Monday subah ke Asian session mein yeh pair 0.6792 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Yeh girawat mukhtalif aham asraat ka nateeja hai, jo ke chand central bank figures ke bayanat aur haali economic data se mutasir hain.
Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell ke haali bayan ne market sentiment par kafi asar dala hai. Powell ke bayanat ne ishara diya hai ke US mein aane walay arsay mein bhi unchi interest rates barqarar reh sakti hain, kyunki Fed mehngai ko apne target ki taraf le jaane mein ehtiyaat kar raha hai. Un ke bayanat ne US dollar ko mazid mazboot kiya hai, kyunki unchi rates investors ko dollar mein invest karne ki taraf khench rahi hain. Dusri taraf, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ka rukh bhi AUD/USD ki dynamics mein aham kirdar ada kar raha hai. RBA ke haali bayanat pehlay mahino ke muqablay mein zyada dovish hain. RBA ki ehtiyaat baratne wali approach, jo ke mulki economic challenges aur dheemi inflationary pressures se mutasir hai, Fed ki zyada aggressive monetary policy se bilkul mukhtalif hai. Is wajah se Australian dollar par downward pressure hai, jo AUD/USD pair ki kamzori ko aur barha raha hai.

In central bank signals ke milaap ne Australian dollar ke liye ek challenging environment bana diya hai. Investors apni positions ko adjust kar rahe hain, jab ke Fed aur RBA ke monetary policy ke trajectories mein farq hai. Yeh farq aam tor par US dollar ko mazid mazboot aur Australian dollar ko kamzor banata hai, jo ke AUD/USD exchange rate ke neeche aane mein zahir ho raha hai. Iske ilawa, broader market conditions aur risk sentiment bhi currency movements ko shape karte hain. Global economic outlook, geopolitical developments, aur commodity prices mein utar charhao bhi AUD/USD pair ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, commodity prices, khas tor par Australia ke key exports jaise ke iron ore, Australian dollar ki performance par asar dal sakti hain. Commodity prices ke kamzor hone se AUD par aur zyada pressure a sakta hai, jo ke pair ke haali low levels mein shamil hai.

AUD/USD ka initial resistance level 0.6643 par ho sakta hai. Agar initial resistance level break kar liya gaya, toh agla bullish target 0.7121 ho sakta hai. Agar 0.7121 ke upar close hota hai, toh market price 0.7543 tak ja sakta hai, jo ke 3rd level of resistance hai.
Doosri taraf, AUD/USD ka initial support level 0.6616 par ho sakta hai. Agar initial support level break kar liya gaya, toh agla bearish target 0.6593 ho sakta hai. Agar 0.6593 ke neeche close hota hai, toh market price 0.5843 tak ja sakta hai, jo ke 3rd level of support hai. Trading ke dauran ehtiyaat karein aur support aur resistance areas par dhyaan dein jahan se market apna direction change kar sakti hai.
Friday ke Asian market session mein trading ke dauran lagta hai ke price abhi tak buyers ke control mein hai, jo apni bullish opportunities ko maintain karne ke liye mazeed enter karte ja rahe hain, aur price ko rise karne ka target rakh rahe hain, taake seller's resistance area ko test kiya ja sake 0.6638-0.6640 par, aur yeh area penetrate karna zaroori hai taake ek higher bullish path khul sake, jiska agla target seller's supply resistance area hai 0.6695-0.6700 par, jo ke abhi tak seller ne maintain kiya hua hai.

Canadian Dollar Analysis in Roman Urdu

Canadian dollar Wednesday ko limited movement dikhata hai. European session ke dauran, USD/CAD 1.3555 par trade kar raha hai, 0.08% ka girawat ke sath. Bank of Canada (BoC) ka rate decision aaj announce kiya jayega. BoC se expect kiya ja raha hai ke yeh 25 basis points se rates cut karega, jo ke pehli baar nahi, balki teesri baar ho raha hai, aur yeh kisi bhi major central bank ka sabse zyada rate cut hai.

BoC ki umeed hai ke yeh saal ke baqi waqt aur 2025 tak rates cut karte rahenge, taake Canada ki sluggish economy ko support mil sake. Federal Reserve bhi is mahine aur shayad is saal ke baad rate cuts ki umeed hai, jo BoC ke liye aasan banata hai rates cut karna bina Fed se zyada divergence ke.

Canadian dollar ne August mein 2.2% gain kiya hai greenback ke muqable mein, iska matlab hai ke BoC shayad rate cuts se Canadian dollar par pressure ke bare mein itna concerned nahi hai. Investors aaj ke rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain, magar naye cycle of rate cuts ke bare mein information bhi talash kar rahe hain. Inflation ab BoC ke target range 1% se 3% ke andar reh gayi hai, aur yeh saat consecutive months se is range mein hai.

Federal Reserve ki tarah, policymakers inflation se labor market ki kamzori ki taraf shift kar rahe hain. BoC ka aim hai ke inflation giraaye bina labor market ko collapse kare aur economy ko recession mein na le jaye. US employment data Fed ke rate cut decision ke liye key hoga.

US is haftay employment data release karega jo Fed ke expected rate cut ke size ko determine karega. CME’s FedWatch ke mutabiq, quarter-point cut ke odds 70% se gir kar 59% ho gaye hain, jabke half-point cut ke odds 30% se barh kar 41% ho gaye hain. Aaj baad mein, US JOLT job vacancies release ki jayengi jo expect kiya ja raha hai ke 8.10 million tak gir jayengi, jo ke July mein 8.18 million thi.
Canadian Dollar Analysis in Roman Urdu
Canadian dollar Wednesday ko limited movement dikhata hai. European session ke dauran, USD/CAD 1.3555 par trade kar raha hai, 0.08% ka girawat ke sath. Bank of Canada (BoC) ka rate decision aaj announce kiya jayega. BoC se expect kiya ja raha hai ke yeh 25 basis points se rates cut karega, jo ke pehli baar nahi, balki teesri baar ho raha hai, aur yeh kisi bhi major central bank ka sabse zyada rate cut hai.

BoC ki umeed hai ke yeh saal ke baqi waqt aur 2025 tak rates cut karte rahenge, taake Canada ki sluggish economy ko support mil sake. Federal Reserve bhi is mahine aur shayad is saal ke baad rate cuts ki umeed hai, jo BoC ke liye aasan banata hai rates cut karna bina Fed se zyada divergence ke.

Canadian dollar ne August mein 2.2% gain kiya hai greenback ke muqable mein, iska matlab hai ke BoC shayad rate cuts se Canadian dollar par pressure ke bare mein itna concerned nahi hai. Investors aaj ke rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain, magar naye cycle of rate cuts ke bare mein information bhi talash kar rahe hain. Inflation ab BoC ke target range 1% se 3% ke andar reh gayi hai, aur yeh saat consecutive months se is range mein hai.

Federal Reserve ki tarah, policymakers inflation se labor market ki kamzori ki taraf shift kar rahe hain. BoC ka aim hai ke inflation giraaye bina labor market ko collapse kare aur economy ko recession mein na le jaye. US employment data Fed ke rate cut decision ke liye key hoga.

US is haftay employment data release karega jo Fed ke expected rate cut ke size ko determine karega. CME’s FedWatch ke mutabiq, quarter-point cut ke odds 70% se gir kar 59% ho gaye hain, jabke half-point cut ke odds 30% se barh kar 41% ho gaye hain. Aaj baad mein, US JOLT job vacancies release ki jayengi jo expect kiya ja raha hai ke 8.10 million tak gir jayengi, jo ke July mein 8.18 million thi.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold level 30 ke neeche hover kar raha hai, jo upward correction ka potential suggest karta hai. AUD/USD pair ko immediate support descending channel ke lower boundary ke around reverse support level 0.6470 par mil sakta hai Dusri taraf, resistance pehli baar channel ke upper boundary ke around 0.6520 par encounter hota hai, followed by nine-day exponential moving average (EMA) at 0.6544. Agla significant resistance 0.6575 par hai, jahan "reverse support turned resistance" hai. Is level ke upar breakout AUD/USD pair ko six-month high 0.6798 tak push kar sakta hai. Main buy karne ka plan bana raha hoon. Sab ko profitable trades ki dua NZD/USD ke liye Current Market Situation Chaliye D1 timeframe par NZD/USD currency pair discuss karte hain. Ye last month ke aath tareekh se downward trend mein hai, jo poora mahina continue raha steady decline ke sath. Ye downtrend doosre major pairs se zyada intense raha hai. Wave structure downward move kar raha hai, aur MACD indicator lower sell zone mein hai, apni signal line ke neeche. Third wave complete ho chuki hai, aur agar first wave par Fibonacci retracement apply karein, to hum dekhte hain ke minimum downside targets 161.8 aur 200 levels par reach ho chuke hain Price ascending support line ko hit karta hai jo higher waves ke lows se draw hui hai, break through karte hue but support zone ke near horizontal level 0.5862 ko penetrate karne mein fail. Is se position closing hui sellers se aur new purchases hui, jise fourth wave mein slight rebound aya. Samajhne ki baat ye hai ke mahine ka end abhi abhi hua, monthly results lock karne ka waqt tha, jo price pullback ko lead karta hai. Technical reasons ke liye, four-hour chart par MACD par bullish divergence dikh raha hai. Ab, fifth wave mein decline ka continuation expected hai, jo significant minimum level 0.5862 ko update karega
Maine ye move last Friday ko expect kiya tha, lekin US news ki wajah se nahi hua. Non-farm payroll data forecast se bohot bura tha, US unemployment rate 0.2 points se barh gaya. Resultantly, price ne rally karne ki koshish ki but GBP aur EUR ke tarah surge nahi kar paya. Ye sellers ki strength indicate karta hai. Main ab bhi downward scenario ko likely dekhta hoo

AUD/USD Market Analysis in Roman Urdu
AUD/USD market pair ne Wednesday ko successful trading dekhi jahan buyers ne price ko apne qaboo mein rakha, jab sellers ke selling pressure ko kam karte hue support area ko 0.6690-0.6693 ke price par maintain kiya. Is ne sellers ko yeh mauqa kho diya ke price ko aur neeche bearish taraf dhakel saken, aur phir price kaafi unchi bullish taraf chali gayi jahan buyers ne zabardast buying pressure dala.

Bollinger Bands indicator ko Daily timeframe par use karte hue dekhne se maloom hota hai ke buyers ne successful tareeke se price ko Middle Bollinger Bands area ke ooper, jo ke 0.6705-0.6703 ke price par hai, qaim rakha. Buyers ne kal ki trading ko bullish Doji candle bana kar band kiya, jo yeh batata hai ke AUD/USD market pair mein ab bhi mazeed bullish hone ka mauqa hai, aur is haftay Upper Bollinger Bands area ki taraf target set ho sakta hai.

Thursday ko European market time mein trading ke doran buyers ka momentum qaim tha, aur woh bearish sellers ke resistance ko kamzor karne ki koshish karte rahe. Bullish buyers ka agla target yeh hai ke woh price ko seller's resistance area, jo 0.6752-0.6754 ke qareeb hai, tak le jayein. Agar buyer is area ko valid tareeke se torhne mein kamiyab hota hai, to yeh mazeed bullish movement ka raasta khol sakta hai, jisme agla target seller's supply resistance area, jo ke 0.6815-0.6819 ke qareeb hai, ho sakta hai.

Natija:

- Sell entry tab ki ja sakti hai jab sellers qareebi buyer support area, jo 0.6689-0.6687 par hai, ko successfully torh de. TP target area 0.6655-0.6653 ho ga.

- Buy entry tab ki ja sakti hai jab buyers qareebi seller resistance area, jo 0.6753-0.6755 par hai, ko successfully torh de. TP target area 0.6815-0.6818 ho ga.

AUD/USD Prices ka Gehra Jaiza (Deep Dive)

AUD/USD ke prices ka deep dive analysis karte hain. Aaj ke din ke daily candle ko dekhne ke baad lagta hai ke bearish trend shayad pehle se zyada gehri correction karwa sakta hai. Agar main 0.6478-0.6403 ke support zone se long position mein hota, toh shayad ab tak apni position exit kar chuka hota, kyun ke correction extensive nahi lagti. Misaal ke tor par, price 0.6478 support level tak gir sakta hai. Lekin, yeh bilkul zaruri nahi hai ke northern direction ko bilkul chor diya jaye. Upar ki taraf movement jari rehne ke imkanaat hain, aur mujhe herani nahi hogi agar target 0.7019-0.7129 range tak shift ho jaye. In factors ko dekhte hue, pair agle waqt mein south ki taraf move kar sakta hai, aur 6699 support level tak pohanch sakta hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke buying 6734 resistance level tak pohanch sakti hai. Isliye, mera outlook for the foreseeable future bearish hai, aur trading plan isi expectation ke ird gird rahega.

Australian dollar ke hawale se, main yeh dekhna chahta hoon ke 6699 mark ke neechay break ho, taki ek sustainable decline ho sake, uske baad 6749 level tak rise hoga aur phir price 65 mark tak gir sakta hai. Kya yeh scenario mumkin hai? Main abhi bhi doosre clear opportunities ki talash mein hoon jo pursue ki ja sakti hain. Aaj ka mera outlook zyada bearish hai. Aaj ki trading achi chal rahi hai aur downward ja rahi hai. Hame dekhna hoga ke pair kis tarah se behave karta hai, kya yeh southward movement jari rakhta hai ya koi different path leta hai. Chaliye is pair ke technical analysis ka review karte hain taake recommendations ko dekha ja sake.

Moving averages sale indicate kar rahi hain, technical indicators strongly sale suggest kar rahe hain, aur overall outlook strong hai. Technical analysis yeh indicate karta hai ke pair south ki taraf hi move karta rahega. Ab aaj ke significant news ka impact dekhte hain. US se positive news aayi hai, aur wahan se abhi aur important news expected nahi hai.
AUD/USD Prices ka Gehra Jaiza (Deep Dive)
AUD/USD ke prices ka deep dive analysis karte hain. Aaj ke din ke daily candle ko dekhne ke baad lagta hai ke bearish trend shayad pehle se zyada gehri correction karwa sakta hai. Agar main 0.6478-0.6403 ke support zone se long position mein hota, toh shayad ab tak apni position exit kar chuka hota, kyun ke correction extensive nahi lagti. Misaal ke tor par, price 0.6478 support level tak gir sakta hai. Lekin, yeh bilkul zaruri nahi hai ke northern direction ko bilkul chor diya jaye. Upar ki taraf movement jari rehne ke imkanaat hain, aur mujhe herani nahi hogi agar target 0.7019-0.7129 range tak shift ho jaye. In factors ko dekhte hue, pair agle waqt mein south ki taraf move kar sakta hai, aur 6699 support level tak pohanch sakta hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke buying 6734 resistance level tak pohanch sakti hai. Isliye, mera outlook for the foreseeable future bearish hai, aur trading plan isi expectation ke ird gird rahega.

Australian dollar ke hawale se, main yeh dekhna chahta hoon ke 6699 mark ke neechay break ho, taki ek sustainable decline ho sake, uske baad 6749 level tak rise hoga aur phir price 65 mark tak gir sakta hai. Kya yeh scenario mumkin hai? Main abhi bhi doosre clear opportunities ki talash mein hoon jo pursue ki ja sakti hain. Aaj ka mera outlook zyada bearish hai. Aaj ki trading achi chal rahi hai aur downward ja rahi hai. Hame dekhna hoga ke pair kis tarah se behave karta hai, kya yeh southward movement jari rakhta hai ya koi different path leta hai. Chaliye is pair ke technical analysis ka review karte hain taake recommendations ko dekha ja sake.

Moving averages sale indicate kar rahi hain, technical indicators strongly sale suggest kar rahe hain, aur overall outlook strong hai. Technical analysis yeh indicate karta hai ke pair south ki taraf hi move karta rahega. Ab aaj ke significant news ka impact dekhte hain. US se positive news aayi hai, aur wahan se abhi aur important news expected nahi hai.

AUD/USD currency pair ne is haftay ka aghaz kamzori ke saath kiya hai, jahan Monday subah ke Asian session mein yeh pair 0.6792 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Yeh girawat mukhtalif aham asraat ka nateeja hai, jo ke chand central bank figures ke bayanat aur haali economic data se mutasir hain. Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell ke haali bayan ne market sentiment par kafi asar dala hai. Powell ke bayanat ne ishara diya hai ke US mein aane walay arsay mein bhi unchi interest rates barqarar reh sakti hain, kyunki Fed mehngai ko apne target ki taraf le jaane mein ehtiyaat kar raha hai. Un ke bayanat ne US dollar ko mazid mazboot kiya hai, kyunki unchi rates investors ko dollar mein invest karne ki taraf khench rahi hain. Dusri taraf, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ka rukh bhi AUD/USD ki dynamics mein aham kirdar ada kar raha hai. RBA ke haali bayanat pehlay mahino ke muqablay mein zyada dovish hain. RBA ki ehtiyaat baratne wali approach, jo ke mulki economic challenges aur dheemi inflationary pressures se mutasir hai, Fed ki zyada aggressive monetary policy se bilkul mukhtalif hai. Is wajah se Australian dollar par downward pressure hai, jo AUD/USD pair ki kamzori ko aur barha raha hai.

In central bank signals ke milaap ne Australian dollar ke liye ek challenging environment bana diya hai. Investors apni positions ko adjust kar rahe hain, jab ke Fed aur RBA ke monetary policy ke trajectories mein farq hai. Yeh farq aam tor par US dollar ko mazid mazboot aur Australian dollar ko kamzor banata hai, jo ke AUD/USD exchange rate ke neeche aane mein zahir ho raha hai. Iske ilawa, broader market conditions aur risk sentiment bhi currency movements ko shape karte hain. Global economic outlook, geopolitical developments, aur commodity prices mein utar charhao bhi AUD/USD pair ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, commodity prices, khas tor par Australia ke key exports jaise ke iron ore, Australian dollar ki performance par asar dal sakti hain. Commodity prices ke kamzor hone se AUD par aur zyada pressure a sakta hai, jo ke pair ke haali low levels mein shamil hai.

AUD/USD currency pair ne haal ke sessions mein kaafi volatile trading pattern dikhaya hai, jo kai factors se mutasir hai, jin mein ek taraf dovish Federal Reserve ki expectations hain aur doosri taraf Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ka hawkish rhetoric hai, saath hi mixed economic data bhi asar daal raha hai. Market mein ye anticipation barh rahi hai ke Federal Reserve September mein interest rate cut karega, aur yeh cut aam tor par hone wale 25 basis points se zyada ho sakta hai. Is expectation ko recent U.S. economic data reinforce karta hai, jo ke mazid kamzor labor market ka ishara deta hai. Dusri taraf, RBA ne apna hawkish stance barqarar rakha hai, aur unka kehna hai ke woh qareebi waqt mein interest rates cut nahi karne wale. Yeh monetary policy ka farq jo RBA aur Fed ke darmiyan hai, AUD/USD exchange rate ka ek ahem driver bana hua hai. Australia aur United States dono ke mixed economic data ne pair ke aas paas uncertainty barhayi hai. Jabke Australian private sector employment data ne thoda izafa dikhaya, upcoming U.S. non-farm payrolls report ko closely dekha jaega taake Fed ke policy path ke bare mein maloomat mil sake.

**Technically**, 0.6750 ka level AUD/USD pair ke liye ek significant resistance barrier raha hai. Agar price is level ke upar break karta hai, to is se aur zyada upside movement ke darwaze khul sakte hain, jo ke 0.6820 aur 0.6870-0.6900 resistance levels tak ja sakte hain. 0.6700 ka level kuch support faraham kar raha hai. Agar price is level ke neeche girta hai, to aur zyada decline dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Stochastic oscillator ne bullish crossover dikhaya hai, jo ke upside momentum ka ishara karta hai. Lekin, RSI retreat kar raha hai, jo upward trend mein ek potential pause ko show karta hai. AUD/USD pair abhi bullish aur bearish factors ke darmiyan ek tug-of-war mein phansa hua hai, jisme bullish factors zyada tar dovish Federal Reserve ki expectations par mabni hain, jabke bearish factors mein hawkish RBA rhetoric aur mixed economic data shamil hain. Halanke pair ne thodi resilience dikhayi hai, 0.6750 resistance level abhi bhi ek significant hurdle hai jo cross karna mushkil lag raha hai. Traders ko ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye aur downside risks ko dhyaan mein rakhna chahiye, kyun ke agle chand dino mein pair mein aur volatility dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

correction ka potential suggest karta hai. AUD/USD pair ko immediate support descending channel ke lower boundary ke around reverse support level 0.6470 par mil sakta hai Dusri taraf, resistance pehli baar channel ke upper boundary ke around 0.6520 par encounter hota hai, followed by nine-day exponential moving average (EMA) at 0.6544. Agla significant resistance 0.6575 par hai, jahan "reverse support turned resistance" hai. Is level ke upar breakout AUD/USD pair ko six-month high 0.6798 tak push kar sakta hai. Main buy karne ka plan bana raha hoon. Sab ko profitable trades ki dua NZD/USD ke liye Current Market Situation Chaliye D1 timeframe par NZD/USD currency pair discuss karte hain. Ye last month ke aath tareekh se downward trend mein hai, jo poora mahina continue raha steady decline ke sath. Ye downtrend doosre major pairs se zyada intense raha hai. Wave structure downward move kar raha hai, aur MACD indicator lower sell zone mein hai, apni signal line ke neeche. Third wave complete ho chuki hai, aur agar first wave par Fibonacci retracement apply karein, to hum dekhte hain ke minimum downside targets 161.8 aur 200 levels par reach ho chuke hain Price ascending support line ko hit karta hai jo higher waves ke lows se draw hui hai, break through karte hue but support zone ke near horizontal level 0.5862 ko penetrate karne mein fail. Is se position closing hui sellers se aur new purchases hui, jise fourth wave mein slight rebound aya. Samajhne ki baat ye hai ke mahine ka end abhi abhi hua, monthly results lock karne ka waqt tha, jo price pullback ko lead karta hai. Technical reasons ke liye, four-hour chart par MACD par bullish divergence dikh raha hai. Ab, fifth wave mein decline ka continuation expected hai, jo significant minimum level 0.5862 ko update karega
Maine ye move last Friday ko expect kiya tha, lekin US news ki wajah se nahi hua. Non-farm payroll data forecast se bohot bura tha, US unemployment rate 0.2 points se barh gaya. Resultantly, price ne rally karne ki koshish ki but GBP aur EUR ke tarah surge nahi kar paya. Ye sellers ki strength indicate karta hai. Main ab bhi downward scenario ko likely dekhta hoo

Canadian dollar Wednesday ko limited movement dikhata hai. European session ke dauran, USD/CAD 1.3555 par trade kar raha hai, 0.08% ka girawat ke sath. Bank of Canada (BoC) ka rate decision aaj announce kiya jayega. BoC se expect kiya ja raha hai ke yeh 25 basis points se rates cut karega, jo ke pehli baar nahi, balki teesri baar ho raha hai, aur yeh kisi bhi major central bank ka sabse zyada rate cut hai.
BoC ki umeed hai ke yeh saal ke baqi waqt aur 2025 tak rates cut karte rahenge, taake Canada ki sluggish economy ko support mil sake. Federal Reserve bhi is mahine aur shayad is saal ke baad rate cuts ki umeed hai, jo BoC ke liye aasan banata hai rates cut karna bina Fed se zyada divergence ke.

Canadian dollar ne August mein 2.2% gain kiya hai greenback ke muqable mein, iska matlab hai ke BoC shayad rate cuts se Canadian dollar par pressure ke bare mein itna concerned nahi hai. Investors aaj ke rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain, magar naye cycle of rate cuts ke bare mein information bhi talash kar rahe hain. Inflation ab BoC ke target range 1% se 3% ke andar reh gayi hai, aur yeh saat consecutive months se is range mein hai.

Federal Reserve ki tarah, policymakers inflation se labor market ki kamzori ki taraf shift kar rahe hain. BoC ka aim hai ke inflation giraaye bina labor market ko collapse kare aur economy ko recession mein na le jaye. US employment data Fed ke rate cut decision ke liye key hoga.

US is haftay employment data release karega jo Fed ke expected rate cut ke size ko determine karega. CME’s FedWatch ke mutabiq, quarter-point cut ke odds 70% se gir kar 59% ho gaye hain, jabke half-point cut ke odds 30% se barh kar 41% ho gaye hain. Aaj baad mein, US JOLT job vacancies release ki jayengi jo expect kiya ja raha hai ke 8.10 million tak gir jayengi, jo ke July mein 8.18 million thi.
Canadian Dollar Analysis in Roman Urdu
Canadian dollar Wednesday ko limited movement dikhata hai. European session ke dauran, USD/CAD 1.3555 par trade kar raha hai, 0.08% ka girawat ke sath. Bank of Canada (BoC) ka rate decision aaj announce kiya jayega. BoC se expect kiya ja raha hai ke yeh 25 basis points se rates cut karega, jo ke pehli baar nahi, balki teesri baar ho raha hai, aur yeh kisi bhi major central bank ka sabse zyada rate cut hai.

BoC ki umeed hai ke yeh saal ke baqi waqt aur 2025 tak rates cut karte rahenge, taake Canada ki sluggish economy ko support mil sake. Federal Reserve bhi is mahine aur shayad is saal ke baad rate cuts ki umeed hai, jo BoC ke liye aasan banata hai rates cut karna bina Fed se zyada divergence ke.

Canadian dollar ne August mein 2.2% gain kiya hai greenback ke muqable mein, iska matlab hai ke BoC shayad rate cuts se Canadian dollar par pressure ke bare mein itna concerned nahi hai. Investors aaj ke rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain, magar naye cycle of rate cuts ke bare mein information bhi talash kar rahe hain. Inflation ab BoC ke target range 1% se 3% ke andar reh gayi hai, aur yeh saat consecutive months se is range mein hai.

Federal Reserve ki tarah, policymakers inflation se labor market ki kamzori ki taraf shift kar rahe hain. BoC ka aim hai ke inflation giraaye bina labor market ko collapse kare aur economy ko recession mein na le jaye. US employment data Fed ke rate cut decision ke liye key hoga.

US is haftay employment data release karega jo Fed ke expected rate cut ke size ko determine karega. CME’s FedWatch ke mutabiq, quarter-point cut ke odds 70% se gir kar 59% ho gaye hain, jabke half-point cut ke odds 30% se barh kar 41% ho gaye hain. Aaj baad mein, US JOLT job vacancies release ki jayengi jo expect kiya ja raha hai ke 8.10 million tak gir

USD Ke Muqable Mein AUD Mein Izaafa: Building Permits Data Aur Aanewali CPI Report Ki Ahmiyat


Pair ne hafte ke aakhir par Building Permits data ke foran baad US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein izafa dekha. Ab traders ka rujhan Consumer Price Index (CPI) report ki taraf hai, jo ke RBA (Reserve Bank of Australia) ke monetary policy ke future direction ke hawalay se ahem insights faraham kar sakti hai. Analysts ka andaaza hai ke Australia ke headline inflation mein dusre quarter mein thoda se tezi aayegi, jabke core inflation rate lagbhag barqarar rahegi.
Australian Economic Data Aur China Ka Asar: Nigehdasht Ke Liye Ahm Factors


Australian Retail Sales ka data bhi ghor se dekha jayega. Aanewali dusre quarter ki CPI release bhi domestic monetary policy ke hawalay se mazeed clues faraham kar sakti hai. Kuch economists izafi tightening ke hawalay se ehtiyaat baratne ka mashwara de rahe hain recession ke barhne wale risks ki wajah se. Haal ka data Australia ke private sector growth mein slowdown dikhata hai, jahan manufacturing activity contraction mein hai aur services sector ka growth bhi dheema pad gaya hai.

Australia ke ek aham export mein nuqsaan ne foreign investment flows ko negatively affect kiya hai. Iron ore ki prices recent mein gir gayi hain weak demand outlook ke sabab se, jisme China ke economic challenges bhi ek wazeh wajah hain. China ke Third Plenary Session ke doran kisi baray stimulus ke ilan ki adam mojoodgi aur People's Bank of China (PBoC) ke unexpected rate cut ne China ke economic prospects ke hawalay se concerns barhaye hain, jo ke Australia par seedha asar daalte hain, dono mulkon ke qareebi trading relationship ke sabab se.
AUD/USD: Resistance Aur Support Levels Ke Darmiyan Breakout Ka Ihtimal


Pair abhi kuch key resistance aur support levels ke darmiyan chal raha hai. Ascending channel ki upper boundary 0.6730 par hai, jo ke pehla resistance hai, aur uske kareeb nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 0.6736 par hai. Ahem resistance level 0.6751 par hai, jahan pehle ka support ab resistance mein tabdeel ho gaya hai. Agar is level ke upar breakout hota hai, to AUD/USD pair 0.6826 ka six-month high touch kar sakta hai.

Pair ne 0.6680 ke qareeb resilience dikhai hai, jo ke ek critical support level ho sakta hai. Doosri taraf, resistance ki umeed 0.6760 zone ke aas paas hai, jahan selling pressure pehle se upward movement ko roknay ka sabab bana hai

ge. Pichlay trading day par, main recommend karta hoon ke aap daily chart par nazar daalein, taake hum pair ki overall movement ko samajh sakein. Daily time frame par, price phir se barh gai thi jab ke pehle se hi yeh upar jaane ka rasta khol chuki thi. Magar price abhi bhi roki gayi aur daily resistance area mein reject hui, jo ke 0.6813x ke price range mein hai.
Uske baad, price ne neeche jaane ki koshish ki aur kaafi low level tak pohonch gayi. Meri raye mein, agar price resistance ko paar nahi kar pati, toh yeh wapas daily support area ki taraf jaayegi jo ke 0.6763x ke price range mein hai. Halankeh price dobara se dominant hote hue upar barh gayi, magar apni highest resistance tak nahi pohonchi. Magar is cheez ko samajhna zaroori hai ke aaj ke liye price ka izafa zyada dominant ho sakta hai. Is waqt, sabse behtreen approach yeh hai ke hum intezar karein ke price resistance ko break kare aur agli resistance tak 0.6863x ke price par pohonche, ya phir reject ho kar neeche sup



port 0.6712x ke aas paas gir jaaye. Iss current position mein, upar jaane ka rujhan abhi bhi hai, lekin neeche jaane ka bhi equal chance hai. Meri raye mein, AUD/USD pair ke liye aaj ka mood yeh hai ke agar resistance break ho jaaye toh buy karein, aur agar support break ho jaaye toh sell karein. Yeh last candlestick ke doji form par base karta hai, jo ke buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan balance ko show karta hai. Abhi, AUD/USD pair daily opening level par trade kar raha hai jo ke balance mein lag raha hai. Aage ke price movements ko analyze karne ke liye, hum M30 time frame par nazar daal sakte hain. Yahan par do minor support aur resistance areas hain, ek 0.6787x price ke aas paas upar ki had par aur doosra 0.6778x price ke aas paas neeche ki had par. Yeh do areas aane wale time mein achi entry opportunities de sakti hain.

Aaj hum AUD/USD currency pair ke price action ka tajziya karenge aur apne findings par baat karenge. AUD/USD pair ek upward trend dikhata hai, jisme mazeed growth ke liye kaafi gunjaish hai, khaaskar jab 0.689 ka level ek aham target hai. Magar is potential ke bawajood, pair ab tak 0.679 ke ooper apni position mazboot nahi kar saka hai, aur aaj ke movement se yeh lagta hai ke momentum mein itni taqat nahi hai, lekin koi bara reversal bhi nahi aya. Ek gehri correction ab bhi ho sakti hai, lekin market ki direction kaafi had tak upcoming U.S. economic indicators par depend karegi. Filhal, mein ehtiyat se kaam le raha hoon aur bullish direction ko pasand kar raha hoon, magar 0.6619 ke neeche drop ka imkaan bhi nazar mein hai. Agar bulls price ko 0.6746 ke ooper rokne mein kaamiyab ho jate hain, toh ek northern scenario dekhne ko mil sakta hai.
Mujhe hal hi mein Forex neural network model ki buniyad par ek signal mila hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke pair strong resistance level 0.6758 ki taraf barh sakta hai. Magar price pehle bearish dip kar sakti hai, phir signal ke mutabiq bullish push kar sakti hai. Primary outlook abhi bhi bullish hai, lekin humein dekhna hoga ke yeh forecast kitna theek sabit hota hai. Agar bears ne neechay pakar mazboot kar li toh ek alternative scenario unfold ho sakta hai, jo pair ko bearish side par le ja sakta hai, lekin mera rawaiya mazeed upward movement ka hai. Halanke doosray scenarios bhi mumkin hain, aaj AUD/USD downward trend mein hai. Pair pehle hi 0.6746 support level ke neeche settle ho chuka hai aur apni aam trading range se bahar nikal gaya hai, jo ek naye level ka ishara de raha hai. Daily chart ek solid bearish candle dikhata hai, jo upward movement ke liye challenge ban raha hai.

Tuesday ko spot price ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein shadeed nuqsan ka samna kiya, aur pair lagbhag 0.6740 ke qareeb gir gayi. Is girawat ke piche kuch aham wajahein hain, jin mein Cheen ki musalsal iqtisadi kamzoriyaan aur lohay ki girti hui keematain shamil hain. Aakhri update ke mutabiq, yeh pair abhi 0.6751 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai, jo Australian currency ke liye musalsal challenges ko zahir karti hai. AUD/USD ke Bunyadi Asbaab:
USD Index (DXY), jo ke Greenback ko chand aham currencies ke muqable mein naapta hai, pichlay haftay se ek maidan mein hi hai. Tajiron ko abhi bhi Federal Reserve (Fed) ke rate cuts ke hawalay se zyada wazahat ka intizar hai. Tawajjoh ab agle US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index ki jari honay wali release par hai, jo ke mustaqbil ki Fed policy aur iske nateeje mein USD ki demand par asar andaz ho sakti hai.

Australian economy ki kamzori ke bawajood, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ne ab tak rate cut karne mein hichkichaahat dikhai hai, jis ki waja musalsal barhti hui mehengai hai. Yeh ehtiyaati approach AUD ko mazboot rakhne aur mazeed nuqsan se bachane mein madadgar ho sakti hai. RBA se tawakku hai ke yeh G10 ke dosray central banks ke muqable mein sab se aakhir mein rates reduce karega, jo aakhir kar AUD ki girawat ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

AUD/USD pair ne volatility dikhayi hai, jo ek Fed policy statement ke baad 0.6730 tak gir gayi thi lekin iske baad thora sa recover hui. Muhim resistance levels 50, 100, aur 200-hour simple moving averages (SMAs) par hain, jo ke 0.6674, 0.6645, aur 0.6622 par hain. Agar yeh levels tor diye gaye, toh yeh pair mumkin hai ke 0.6600 mark ko test kare. Doosri taraf, mazeed kamzori se AUD/USD 0.6700 se neeche gir sakti hai aur aaj ke low 0.6730 ke qareeb pohanch sakti hai, jahan 0.6700 ka psychological level dekha ja sakta hai.

Pair ke liye support levels 0.6731 aur 0.6711 par note kiye gaye hain, jabke resistance 0.6781, 0.6800, aur 0.6830 par observe kiya ja raha hai. Maujooda indicator signals kaafi negative hain, lekin oversold condition market correction ke imkaanat paida kar sakti hai. Is ke bawajood, bulls ki momentum kamzor rehne ki wajah se, technical analysis yeh zahir karti hai ke yeh pair sideways trading pattern mein rehti hai, jab tak koi aham bunyadi catalyst saamne nahin aata

Australian dollar (AUD) ne US dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein momentum gain kiya hai jo kuch mukhtalif factors ki wajah se hai. Market ko yeh yakeen hota ja raha hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) September mein monetary policy ko dheela kar sakta hai. Fed Watch tools ke mutabiq, agle mahine 50 basis points ka interest rate cut ho sakta hai aur saal ke end tak total 100 basis points ki kami dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Iske muqablay, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) hawkish stance rakhta hai aur inflation ke concerns ko address karne ke liye interest rates ko aur barhane ke liye tayyar hai. Yeh monetary policies ka divergence AUD/USD ko faida pohnchata hai.
Technical taur par, AUD/USD ne bullish trend dikhaya hai aur 0.6600 convergence level aur 0.6700 mark ko break kar diya hai. Daily chart oscillators bhi positive territory mein hain, jo aage ke upside potential ko darshata hai. Magar, ye abhi overbought zone mein nahi hain, jo aur growth ke liye jagah banata hai. Bullish perspective se, AUD/USD 0.6740 ke upper boundary of ascending channel ko target kar sakta hai. Agar channel ke andar wapas aata hai to bullish bias ko reinforce kar sakta hai aur 7-month high 0.6798 ko test karne ke liye le ja sakta hai. Is level ke upar break hone se currency 0.6880 level tak bhi pohnch sakti hai.

Niche ki taraf, AUD/USD ko 9-day EMA level 0.6684 par support mil sakta hai. Agar is level se niche girta hai to 0.6575 aur 0.6470 ke retrospective levels ko test kar sakta hai. Market sentiment bhi AUD/USD ko influence karta hai. Risk-on sentiment Australian dollar ke liye faida mand hota hai, jabke risk-off sentiment se selling pressure barh sakta hai. Australia aur United States se aane wale economic data bhi AUD/USD ko impact kar sakte hain. Australia se strong economic data currency ko support de sakti hai, jabke weak data downward pressure daal sakti hai. Conversely, United States se strong economic data USD ko kamzor kar sakti hai, jo AUD/USD ke liye faida mand hoga. Long-term outlook AUD/USD ka mukhtalif factors pe depend karta hai, jaise ke Australia aur United States ke beech interest rate differentials, dono mulkon ki economic growth, aur global risk appetite. Jaise Fed apni monetary policy ko dheela karta hai, AUD/USD interest rate differential se faida utha sakta hai. Lekin, dono economies aur global market developments ko monitor karna zaroori hai taake currency pair par potential impact ko assess kiya ja