ای aud/usd کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

Yeh mumkin hai ke is point se ek bearish move ho sakta hai, jo is trading instrument ki price mein significant drop ka sabab ban sakta hai. Yeh tab hoga agar market khulne ke baad AUD/USD pair mazeed upar jaane mein na kamyab ho aur 0.6598 level ke upar consolidate na kare, jo recent price increase mein tha. Agar yeh scenario hota hai, toh yeh downward trend ko trigger kar sakta hai, jahan price seedha bearish ho sakta hai. Yeh scenario tab mazeed mumkin banega agar market khulne ke baad price 0.6514 ke accumulation area tak girti hai aur phir wahan se rise karne ki koshish karti hai. Is surat mein, AUD/USD pair ko 0.6554 level ko paar karne mein mushkilat ho sakti hai. Agar yeh resistance mazboot rehti hai, toh price 0.6554 se bearish direction mein gir sakti hai, aur 0.6449 ke area ka rukh kar sakti hai, jahan significant amounts of money hain. Support ke liye, AUD/USD ascending channel ka lower boundary 0.6630 ke aas paas hai, jo exchange rate ke liye immediate support hai, uske baad 9-day moving average jo 0.6618 ke qareeb hai. Agar yeh moving average ke neeche girti hai, toh pair 0.6575 ke pullback level ko test kar sakta hai. Agar pair is support area ke neeche girti hai, toh yeh bearish bias ko indicate kar sakti hai jo pair ko 0.6470 ke pullback level ki taraf le ja sakti hai
US Dollar ko support milne mein mushkil ho rahi hai jab traders yeh samajhte hain ke Fed rate cuts laazmi hain. Sab ki nigahain Fed ke Chair Jerome Powell par hain Jackson Hole mein, jahan woh cuts ki tasdeeq karenge. US Dollar index 101.00 ke just upar trade kar raha hai aur agar weak sentiment barqarar rehta hai, toh yeh 100.00 tak gir sakta hai. US Dollar (USD) broadly flat trade kar raha hai jabke Wednesday ko US session ke start mein heavy selling hui, jis se ek aur leg lower trigger hui aur 2024 ka fresh low dekha gaya. Nonfarm Payrolls revision ne pehle se estimated 818,000 kam jobs highlight ki, jo ke over a decade mein sabse bari downward revision thi, aur US job market ke hawale se market concerns ko confirm kiya. Baad mein, July meeting ke Fed Minutes release hue, jisme confirm hua ke kuch members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) us waqt rate cut ka keh rahe the, jo September mein lagbhag certain hai. AUD/USD price mazeed advance kar sakti hai daily chart analysis ke mutabiq jo ek bullish bias ke mazboot hone ka ishara de rahi hai. 9-day EMA 50-day EMA

Australian dollar ne haali mein 0.68 level se thoda sa pullback kiya hai, jo pehle market mein kuch noise create kar chuka tha. Ab ye sawal hai ke kya ye pullback koi lasting impact dalega. Is waqt, zyada chinta ki baat nahi lagti, khaaskar jab ye market kaafi time se tight raha hai. Agar Aussie dollar 0.67 level tak girta hai – jahan se Friday ko rebound hua – to ye zaroori nahi ke iska matlab koi significant move hai. Sellers tabhi zyada aggressive honge agar currency is level ke neeche girti hai. Filhaal, ye market restless aur uncertain rehne ki umeed hai.
Bigger context mein global economic growth aur Asia mein developments bhi shamil hain, kyunke Australia commodity exports ke liye is region par heavily dependent hai. Australian dollar ke overbought lagne ki wajah se decline surprising nahi hai aur isse natural correction ke taur par dekha ja sakta hai. Ye pullback market adjustment ko reflect kar sakta hai earnings period ke baad, khaaskar jab pehle haftay mein koi major news nahi hai.

Agar market mein major news nahi hoti, to Australian dollar sideways move karta rahega stable base dhoondte huye. Lekin, agar currency 0.6805 level ko break karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to ye ek zyada sustained uptrend ka signal ho sakta hai, jo long-term bullish phase ka start ho sakta hai. Halanki, Aussie dollar filhaal sirf significant resistance levels ko test kar raha hai aur market kisi decisive move ko le kar cautious hai. Ye hesitation aur uncertainty ka period tab tak continue hone ki umeed hai jab tak clearer signals nahi milte, chaahe woh economic data se ho ya global markets ke trends se.

AUD/USD currency pair ne is haftay ka aghaz kamzori ke saath kiya hai, jahan Monday subah ke Asian session mein yeh pair 0.6792 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Yeh girawat mukhtalif aham asraat ka nateeja hai, jo ke chand central bank figures ke bayanat aur haali economic data se mutasir hain.
Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell ke haali bayan ne market sentiment par kafi asar dala hai. Powell ke bayanat ne ishara diya hai ke US mein aane walay arsay mein bhi unchi interest rates barqarar reh sakti hain, kyunki Fed mehngai ko apne target ki taraf le jaane mein ehtiyaat kar raha hai. Un ke bayanat ne US dollar ko mazid mazboot kiya hai, kyunki unchi rates investors ko dollar mein invest karne ki taraf khench rahi hain. Dusri taraf, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ka rukh bhi AUD/USD ki dynamics mein aham kirdar ada kar raha hai. RBA ke haali bayanat pehlay mahino ke muqablay mein zyada dovish hain. RBA ki ehtiyaat baratne wali approach, jo ke mulki economic challenges aur dheemi inflationary pressures se mutasir hai, Fed ki zyada aggressive monetary policy se bilkul mukhtalif hai. Is wajah se Australian dollar par downward pressure hai, jo AUD/USD pair ki kamzori ko aur barha raha hai.

In central bank signals ke milaap ne Australian dollar ke liye ek challenging environment bana diya hai. Investors apni positions ko adjust kar rahe hain, jab ke Fed aur RBA ke monetary policy ke trajectories mein farq hai. Yeh farq aam tor par US dollar ko mazid mazboot aur Australian dollar ko kamzor banata hai, jo ke AUD/USD exchange rate ke neeche aane mein zahir ho raha hai. Iske ilawa, broader market conditions aur risk sentiment bhi currency movements ko shape karte hain. Global economic outlook, geopolitical developments, aur commodity prices mein utar charhao bhi AUD/USD pair ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, commodity prices, khas tor par Australia ke key exports jaise ke iron ore, Australian dollar ki performance par asar dal sakti hain. Commodity prices ke kamzor hone se AUD par aur zyada pressure a sakta hai, jo ke pair ke haali low levels mein shamil hai.

**AUD/USD Analysis and Market Overview**

On **(date)**, the analysis of the AUD/USD pair on the hourly chart highlighted that the pair found support at 0.6255. This level acted as a crucial support, providing a foundation for the pair's subsequent movements. Following this, the AUD/USD pair demonstrated a significant bullish trend.

The pair initiated a new rally from the 0.6700 support level on **(date)**. This rally marked a notable shift in the market sentiment, as the Australian dollar managed to clear the resistance at 0.6735 and moved into a positive zone relative to the US dollar. This positive shift was in line with previous analysis expectations.

The breakout above the 0.6750 resistance level, along with the 50-hour simple moving average, indicated a strong upward momentum. The pair tested the 0.6825 zone, peaking near 0.6824 before experiencing a minor pullback. This high near 0.6824 signifies the strength of the bullish trend, though the pullback suggests a temporary consolidation or profit-taking phase.

It’s important to note that economic and geopolitical events can significantly impact currency movements. On the economic calendar, today’s events include 2-star and 3-star news releases, which are expected to set a tone for market movements. However, powerful events or unexpected news can disrupt technical analysis forecasts. Thus, traders should always exercise caution and stay updated with the latest news and market developments.

**Disclaimer:** This article reflects the viewpoints of companies operating under the ****** brand (excluding ****** EU). It should not be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation of products or services provided by companies under the ****** brand, nor should it be interpreted as financial advice.

In summary, the recent performance of the AUD/USD pair highlights the dynamic nature of forex markets. The ability of the Australian dollar to break through key resistance levels and the subsequent testing of higher zones indicate a strong bullish trend. However, traders should remain vigilant of economic releases and market events that may influence price movements and potentially alter the current trend.

### AUDUSD Ke H4 Chart Ka Tajziya

Is waqt AUDUSD currency pair ke four-hour chart par ek upward trend dekhne ko mil raha hai. Wave structure apni upward sequence bana raha hai, aur MACD indicator oversold zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke neeche hai. Is se pehle, is indicator par ek triple bearish divergence bhi hui thi, aur dusre indicator, CCI, par bhi aisa hi signal aaya tha. Iske ilawa, ek reversal pattern - ek ascending wedge - bhi tha, jo ke neeche ki taraf successfully break ho chuka hai. Yeh bearish divergence signal successfully confirm ho gaya hai.

Is waqt horizontal support level 0.6698 par hai, aur mujhe iske neeche break ki tawaqu hai, pullback ke baad jo ke resistance par hua tha. Mera maan-na hai ke selling pressure ke neechay, yeh level zyada dair tak nahi rahega aur neeche ki taraf toot jayega. Sell position ke liye behtar entry point resistance level 0.6754 par tha, jise aaj price ne test kiya, lekin abhi bhi sell karne mein dair nahi hui hai. Is soorat mein target 0.6640 hoga.

CCI indicator is waqt oversold zone se upar ki taraf ja raha hai, lekin meri raaye mein, yeh signal sellers ke iraadon ko badalne aur price ko neeche dhakelne ki tawaju ko rok nahi sakta, aur yeh signal asal mein khel chuka hai. Jald hi is level ka breakthrough hoga, aur upward movement ko sell karne ke liye istamal kiya ja sakta hai, jis ke liye chhote intraday period par switch karte hue neeche ki taraf formation dekhne ki zaroorat hogi. Is buniyad par, buying positions ko mudalalat mein nahi laya ja raha.

### Aane Wale Dinon Ki Tawaquaat

Kul mila kar, market mein muhtamim currency pairs se tawaquaat hain ke qareeb mustaqbil mein US dollar mazboot hoga. Yeh wazeh hai ke upward wave kafi arsay se jaari hai, jo paanch waves par mushtamil hai - ek mukammal cycle jo ek bearish divergence par khatam hui. Iske alawa, July ke mahine ke high ke upar breakout bhi hua tha, jo ke is baat ki nishan dehi karta hai ke upward movement ka price target bilkul sahi tor par hasil kiya gaya hai, jo isay ek potential selling zone banata hai, aur yeh price action se tasdeeq hota hai.

### AUD/USD Forum (Australian Dollar - US Dollar): Charts, Reviews

**Wednesday's Trading Analysis**

AUD/USD market pair ne Wednesday ko buyers ke zariye successful control dekha. Buyers ne 0.6690-0.6693 ke support area ko maintain karke selling pressure ko kam kiya, jisse sellers ko price ko bearish trend mein push karne ka mauka nahi mila. Iske baad price bullish movement mein upar gayi, buyers ke strong buying pressure ke saath.

**Bollinger Bands Indicator Analysis**

Daily timeframe par Bollinger bands indicator ka istemal karte hue dekha jaa sakta hai ke price ko buyer ne successfully control kiya. Price ko Middle Bollinger bands area ke upar maintain kiya, jo 0.6705-0.6703 ke daira mein hai. Buyers ne kal ke trading ko bullish Doji candle banakar close kiya, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke AUD/USD market pair ke paas abhi bhi bullish move karne ka mauka hai, is hafte Upper Bollinger bands area ki taraf.

**Thursday's Trading Outlook**

European market time mein Thursday ko dekha gaya ke buyers apni bullish momentum ko maintain karne ki koshish kar rahe hain aur bearish sellers ke resistance ko kam karne ki koshish mein hain. Buyers ka bullish target lagbhag 0.6752-0.6754 ke seller's resistance area tak price ko upar le jaana hoga. Agar buyers is area ko successfully penetrate karne mein kamiyab hote hain, to yeh higher bullish opportunity khol sakta hai, agla target seller's supply resistance area 0.6815-0.6819 ki taraf hoga.

**Conclusion:**

- **Sell Entry**: Agar seller ne 0.6689-0.6687 ke nearest buyer support area ko successfully penetrate kiya, to sell entry ki ja sakti hai, TP target area 0.6655-0.6653 par rahega.

- **Buy Entry**: Agar buyer ne 0.6753-0.6755 ke nearest seller resistance area ke upar successfully penetrate kiya, to buy entry ki ja sakti hai, TP target area 0.6815-0.6818 par rahega

AUD/USD currency pair ka current price movement clearly bearish trend ko darshata hai. Yeh trend death cross signal ke zariye mazid confirm hota hai, jahan 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) ko neeche ki taraf cross karti hai. Aisi situation mein zyada chances hain ke price niche ki taraf move karegi, upar ki taraf nahi. Agar price kuch waqt ke liye upar correction karti hai, to yeh Support-Becomes-Resistance (SBR) area 0.6761 ko dobara test kar sakti hai, jo pehle support tha. Agar price is level ko test karti hai, to shayad thoda upar bounce ho sakta hai, lekin phir se niche ki taraf chalne ke chances hain.
Bearish trend ko aur bhi zyada confirm karne ke liye lower low-lower high price pattern dekha ja sakta hai. Agar price 0.6753 ke previous low se niche girti hai, to yeh structure break hoga aur current trend invalidate ho jayega. Yeh pattern bearish outlook ko reinforce karta hai, kyunki isme series of lower highs aur lower lows dekhne ko milte hain, jo sustained downtrend ko darshata hai. Iske ilawa, jab price trend ko reverse karne ki koshish karti hai, to yeh 0.6824 ke resistance level ke upar naya high establish karne mein nakam rahi hai.

Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator bhi bearish sentiment ko support karta hai. Histogram recently green ho gaya hai, jo short-term bullish movement ka ishara hai, lekin volume level 0 ya negative area ke neeche hi hai, jo downtrend momentum ko strong darshata hai. Stochastic indicator ke parameters agar 50 ke aas-paas ya usse upar hain, to yeh upward movement ka potential dekhata hai. Indicators ke darmiyan yeh divergence darshata hai ke temporary corrections ho sakti hain, lekin overall trend bearish hi rahega.

Trading strategy ke liye, bearish trend ko capitalize karna chahiye. Lower low-lower high pattern aur price ke dono Moving Averages ke neeche trade karne ko dekhte hue, SELL position lena recommended hai. Optimal entry point EMA 50 ya SBR area 0.6761 ke aas-paas hoga. Traders ko entry confirm karne ke liye Stochastic indicator ke parameters ko overbought zone (levels 80-90) mein enter karte hue dekhna chahiye aur AO histogram ko consistently level 0 ke neeche dekhna chahiye. Trade manage karte waqt, take profit target ko support level 0.6700 pe set karein, jo psychological support level bhi hai. Stop loss 0.6796 pe place karein taake risk manage ho aur unexpected upward movements se bachav ho jo bearish trend ko invalidate kar sakti hain.

**AUDUSD Ke H4 Chart Ka Tajziya:**

Filhal, AUDUSD currency pair ke H4 chart par ek upar ki taraf ka trend ban raha hai. Wave structure apni upar ki sequence bana rahi hai, aur MACD indicator oversold zone mein hai aur apne signal line ke neeche hai. Pehlay, is indicator par triple bearish divergence dekha gaya tha, jo ke CCI indicator par bhi nazar aayi thi. Iske ilawa, ek reversal pattern bhi hai - ek ascending wedge jo successfully neeche ki taraf break kiya gaya hai. Ye bearish divergence ka signal confirm ho chuka hai.

Abhi, 0.6698 par ek horizontal support level hai, aur meri ummeed hai ke iske neeche break ho jayega jab pullback resistance level se ho jayegi. Mujhe lagta hai ke selling pressure ke neeche, ye level zyada der tak barqarar nahi rahega aur neeche break ho jayega. Sell position ke liye optimal entry point resistance level 0.6754 tha, jo ke aaj price ne test kiya, magar ab bhi sell karna late nahi hai. Is case mein target 0.6640 hoga.

CCI indicator filhal oversold zone se upar ki taraf move kar raha hai, magar mere khayal se, ye signal sellers ke intention ko price ko neeche push karne se nahi rokh sakta aur correction ko mukammal nahi kar sakta; asal mein, ye signal already play out ho chuka hai. Jaldi hi level breakthrough hone wala hai, aur upar ki movement ko chhote intraday period par switch karke sell karne ke liye dekha ja sakta hai, aur wahan downward formation ki talash ki ja sakti hai.

Upar wale tajziye ke madde nazar, buying positions ko consider nahi kiya ja raha. Market mein dusre major pairs ke zariye US dollar ki strength ki ummeed hai aane wale waqt mein. Yeh zahir hai ke upward wave kaafi waqt se chal rahi hai, jo ke paanch waves ka complete cycle banaati hai jo ek bearish divergence ke sath khatam hoti hai. Iske ilawa, July ke mahine ki high ke upar breakout bhi dekha gaya, jo ke upward movement ke price target ko precisely achieve karne ka indication hai, aur isse yeh ek potential selling zone ban gaya hai, jo price action se confirm hota hai.

# AUD/USD Pair Technical Analysis

**Markeet ka Halat aur Aaj ki Surat-e-Haal**
Is waqt AUD/USD currency pair ke price behavior par guftagu ho rahi hai. Halan ke market mein sell orders ka ghalba hai, magar ek strong upward movement ka potential bhi hai. Yeh baat 0.6759 ke level par sellers ke ijtema se zahir hoti hai. Ek trading strategy ke tor par, aap is price point ke qareeb buy order consider kar sakte hain, jahan pehle target 0.6819 par set karein aur stop-loss 0.6729 se thoda neeche rakhein. Agar price gir kar 0.6729 se neeche stable ho jaye, to humein alternative strategies ko explore karna hoga.

**Trend aur Price Movement**
AUD/USD pair aaj kalmi din guzar raha hai, magar primary trend ab bhi upward hai. Price ab tak naye local highs ko touch nahi kar saki. Yeh baat qabil-e-ghaur hai ke market mein growth ka space ab bhi hai, magar ek significant pullback ideal hoga. Aaj ke din lower movement ki koshish hui, magar yeh moeffaq nahi ho saki. Yeh bhi zaroori hai ke US dollar growth dikha raha hai. In factors ke madde nazar, mein is waqt sidelines par hoon aur market ko observe kar raha hoon.

**Simple Moving Average aur Ainday ke Trends**
Haalan ke current price position simple moving average zone (period 100) se ab bhi upar hai, lekin 0.6768 ke area se kaafi upar chalagaya hai jo ke ek upward trend ka signal hai. Price movement ke pattern se zahir hota hai ke AudUsd market mein candlestick bullish side par rise karne ki koshish kar rahi hai, magar yeh rise abhi tak optimal nahi hai. Ainday ke trend ke liye, meri prediction yeh hai ke candlestick market mein aagey barh sakti hai jese ke kal raat ka bullish journey tha.

**Ainday ka Possible Trend aur Buyers ka Role**
Agar hum market ke price movement ko pichle chand dino se monitor karein, to yeh baat samne aati hai ke bearish trend se bullish trend ki taraf rujhan hai jo buyers koshish kar rahe hain. Abhi market upward zone mein rehne ki koshish kar rahi hai jo aglay developments ke liye ek muhim factor ho sakta hai. Agar kal raat ka bullish aaj bhi jari rehta hai, to candlestick 0.6848 ke price area ko test kar sakti hai, bas zaroorat hai ke doosray buyers se positive response mile taake price ko upar dhakil sakein.

**Current Market Trend aur Ainday ka Signal**
AUD/USD pair agar 4-hour time frame par monitor karein, to lagta hai ke is hafta ek increase ho raha hai, aur market uptrend mein chal rahi hai. Aaj market mein ziada activity nahi hai, aur behtari yeh hai ke kal ya parso ke darmiyan dekhain ke market ka safar kis taraf jaata hai, ya phir shayad aaj raat se kisi aur increase ka signal mile. Amm tor par market ka halat bullish zone ki taraf jaa raha hai magar is waqt consolidate kar raha hai. Agar price barh kar 0.6864

Yeh mumkin hai ke is point se ek bearish move ho sakta hai, jo is trading instrument ki price mein significant drop ka sabab ban sakta hai. Yeh tab hoga agar market khulne ke baad AUD/USD pair mazeed upar jaane mein na kamyab ho aur 0.6598 level ke upar consolidate na kare, jo recent price increase mein tha. Agar yeh scenario hota hai, toh yeh downward trend ko trigger kar sakta hai, jahan price seedha bearish ho sakta hai. Yeh scenario tab mazeed mumkin banega agar market khulne ke baad price 0.6514 ke accumulation area tak girti hai aur phir wahan se rise karne ki koshish karti hai. Is surat mein, AUD/USD pair ko 0.6554 level ko paar karne mein mushkilat ho sakti hai. Agar yeh resistance mazboot rehti hai, toh price 0.6554 se bearish direction mein gir sakti hai, aur 0.6449 ke area ka rukh kar sakti hai, jahan significant amounts of money hain. Support ke liye, AUD/USD ascending channel ka lower boundary 0.6630 ke aas paas hai, jo exchange rate ke liye immediate support hai, uske baad 9-day moving average jo 0.6618 ke qareeb hai. Agar yeh moving average ke neeche girti hai, toh pair 0.6575 ke pullback level ko test kar sakta hai. Agar pair is support area ke neeche girti hai, toh yeh bearish bias ko indicate kar sakti hai jo pair ko 0.6470 ke pullback level ki taraf le ja sakti hai
US Dollar ko support milne mein mushkil ho rahi hai jab traders yeh samajhte hain ke Fed rate cuts laazmi hain. Sab ki nigahain Fed ke Chair Jerome Powell par hain Jackson Hole mein, jahan woh cuts ki tasdeeq karenge. US Dollar index 101.00 ke just upar trade kar raha hai aur agar weak sentiment barqarar rehta hai, toh yeh 100.00 tak gir sakta hai. US Dollar (USD) broadly flat trade kar raha hai jabke Wednesday ko US session ke start mein heavy selling hui, jis se ek aur leg lower trigger hui aur 2024 ka fresh low dekha gaya. Nonfarm Payrolls revision ne pehle se estimated 818,000 kam jobs highlight ki, jo ke over a decade mein sabse bari downward revision thi, aur US job market ke hawale se market concerns ko confirm kiya. Baad mein, July meeting ke Fed Minutes release hue, jisme confirm hua ke kuch members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) us waqt rate cut ka keh rahe the, jo September mein lagbhag certain hai. AUD/USD price mazeed advance kar sakti hai daily chart analysis ke mutabiq jo ek bullish bias ke mazboot hone ka ishara de rahi hai. 9-day EMA 50-day EMA

Mere khayal mein, AUD/USD currency pair ki movement abhi bhi bullish movements ke zair e tasarruf rehne ki poori guzarish hai aur is baat ka imkaan hai ke yeh aagey bhi barh sakti hai. Filhaal mein khud bhi intizaar aur talaash kar raha hoon ke bullish potential ke sath BUY setup banaye jo ke level 0.6855 ke range tak ja sake. Agar yeh target ko haasil karne mein kamyaab hoti hai toh yeh baqiyaat level ki taraf barhne mein mazeed pur-itminan hogi. Lekin agar yeh nakam hoti hai, toh umeed ki jaa sakti hai ke yeh wapas se neeche gir jaye gi. AUD/USD currency pair ki market trend jo ke mazi chand dino se bullish condition mein thi, toh buyers se yeh umeed hai ke unke paas price ko barhane ka mazeed potential ho sakta hai, lekin abhi market ke price downward correction ke sath market ki conditions ko reverse karne ki koshish kar rahi hai, kyun ke market aaj subah se khuli hai. Relative Strength Index indicator ki line abhi bhi level 50 se upar aram se chal rahi hai jo ke bullish trend ki nishani hai. Candlestick ki position abhi bhi 0.6780 ke price level ke upar hai jo ke upward moving market ki taraf ishara kar rahi hai. Is haftay ke price movement mein momentum ko dekhte hue jo ke zyada taur par bullish direction mein move kar raha tha, meri analysis ke mutabiq yeh mumkin hai ke price dobara se bullish trend par aajaye jab tak ke market kal subah band na ho. Bilashuba hum har ek technique ke mutabiq BUY trading entry signals dekh sakte hain. Agar market analysis ke mutabiq move karta hai, toh profit hasil karne ke imkaanaat mein izafa hoga AUD/USD par additional purchasing ke mauqay hain aur yeh cost 0.67622 ke zone ko baad mein cross kar sakti hai. Iske ilawa, yaad rahe ke yeh bohot zaroori hai ke ehtiyaat se kaam liya jaye aur AUD/USD par trading karte waqt high volumes istemal karne se paraheiz kiya jaye, khaas taur par jab news data release ho raha ho. High trading volumes se volatility aur risk mein izafa hota hai, jo ke trades ko manage karna mushkil bana deta hai

Pair ne Thursday ko DXY ke muqablay mein apne upward trend ko dusre consecutive session ke liye continue kiya. Yeh rally largely RBA ke hawkish sentiment ke wajah se hai. Bahut se doosre major central banks ke mukablay mein, RBA ka policy tightening continue karne ka ummeed hai, inflationary pressures aur tight labor market ke chalte.

U.S. Economic Mixed Signals aur Australian Markets par Potential Impact:

U.S. economic indicators mixed signals de rahe hain. CME Group’s FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein 25-basis point rate cut ki probability 88.6% tak kam ho gayi hai, jo ke pichle hafte 94.0% thi. Yeh shift tab aaya hai jab U.S. GDP annualized rate par 2.8% tak badh gaya, jo ke pehle ke 1.4% se kaafi zyada hai aur forecasted 2% se bhi aage nikal gaya. Initial Jobless Claims bhi July 19 ke hafte mein 235,000 tak gir gaya, jo ke pehle ke 243,000 aur anticipated 238,000 se behtar hai.

China mein economic developments bhi Australian markets ke liye potential risk create karte hain, dono countries ke beech close trade relationship ke chalte. Bank of America ka kehna hai ke robust U.S. economic growth Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ko rate cuts delay karne ka flexibility deta hai. Bank ka expectation hai ke Fed December mein rates reduce karna shuru karega, current economic conditions ke strength ke wajah se.

H4 Chart AUD/USD Outlook:

Pair ne mid-0.6700s tak thodi si rise ke baad buyers ka renewed interest dekha, lekin Thursday ke early European session mein naya daily low tak gir gaya. Filhal 0.6721 ke aas-paas hover kar raha hai, pair ne pichle din ke rebound ke baad stall kar gaya hai, jo ke early May se highest level tak pahuncha tha. 20, 100, aur 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA) ke neeche persistent trading, pair ke liye prevailing bearish sentiment ko highlight karta hai.

Negative indicator readings ke bawajood, oversold conditions ek correction ko prompt kar sakti hain. Lekin, weak bullish momentum ke chalte sideways trading ka samna ho sakta hai agar significant fundamental changes na aayein. Key support levels ab 0.6688 aur 0.6650 par hain, jabke resistance levels 0.6800, 0.6850, aur 0.6900 par identify kiye gaye hain.

**AUD/USD Prices mein Trading Opportunities**

Aaj hum AUD/USD currency pair ke price action ko analyse karenge aur apni findings discuss karenge. AUD/USD pair ek upward trend dikhata hai, aur isme further growth ke liye kaafi jagah hai, khaaskar jab ke 0.689 level ek key target bana hua hai. Lekin, is potential ke bawajood, pair abhi tak 0.679 ke upar apni position ko solidify nahi kar paaya, aur aaj ke movement se lagta hai ke solid momentum ki kami hai, halankeh yeh significant reversal bhi nahi hui hai. Ek gehri correction abhi bhi ho sakti hai, lekin market ka direction largely upcoming U.S. economic indicators par depend karega. Filhal, main cautious hoon, bullish direction ko pasand karte hue lekin 0.6619 ke niche girne ki possibility ko bhi maan raha hoon. Agar bulls apni position ko retain kar sakein aur price ko 0.6746 ke upar le ja sakein, toh ek northern scenario play mein aa sakta hai.

**Recent Trading Signal Analysis for AUD/USD**

Mujhe ek recent signal mila hai jo Forex neural network model par base hai, jo indicate kar raha hai ke pair ki price 0.6758 ke strong resistance level ki taraf barh sakti hai. Lekin, price bearish dip bhi de sakti hai pehle se pehle ke bullish push ke liye signal ke mutabiq. Primary outlook abhi bhi bullish hai, lekin humein monitor karna hoga ke yeh forecast sahi rehta hai ya nahi.

Ek alternative scenario bhi develop ho sakta hai agar bears ne lower level par apni position banayi, jo pair ko bearish move kar sakta hai agle strong support level ki taraf. Phir bhi, meri current inclination upar ki taraf move ke liye hai. Halankeh doosre scenarios bhi possible hain, lekin aaj AUD/USD downward trend mein hai. Pair ne already 0.6746 support level ke neeche settle kar liya hai aur apne usual trading range se bahar nikal gaya hai, jo ek nayi level shift ka signal hai. Daily chart par ek solid bearish candle reflect ho rahi hai, jo upward movement ko challenge kar rahi hai.

AUD/USD
U.S. economic data ki wajah se hai, jo Fed ko monetary policy dheela karne par majboor kar sakti hai. Iska natija ye hua ke U.S. dollar kamzor hua hai, jo AUD ko aur barhawa de raha hai.
In supportive factors ke bawajood, nazariya ehtiyaat se bharpur hai. RBA ne indicate kiya hai ke future rate decisions upcoming economic data, jaise consumer confidence aur employment figures, par depend karega. Agar consumer confidence barhta hai to ye consumer spending aur potentially higher inflation ka signal ho sakta hai, jo RBA ko additional rate hikes par consider karne par majboor kar sakta hai.
Iske sath hi, Australia ke labor market conditions bhi crucial hain. Tight labor markets wage growth aur consumer spending ko barha sakte hain, jo demand-driven inflation ko fuel kar sakta hai. Aise mein RBA apni tightening stance ko barqarar rakhne ka fayasla kar sakti hai. Lekin agar labor market kamzor dikhai deta hai, to RBA rate hike cycle ko pause ya reverse bhi kar sakti hai.
AUD/USD currency pair ko RBA ke hawkish stance, China ke strong inflation data, aur U.S. Federal Reserve se rate cut ke expectations se support mil raha hai, jisne U.S. dollar ko kamzor kiya hai.
Lekin, pair ke future direction largely Australia se aane wale economic data aur RBA ke response par depend karegi. Traders ko in developments par nazar rakhni chahiye taake ye assess kiya ja sake ke AUD/USD ka upward trend continue kar sakta hai ya nahi.
Daily chart par, ek noticeable long candle dekhne ko milti hai jo prolonged downward swing ke baad aayi hai, jo suggest karti hai ke sellers ka control kuch kamzor hua hai aur buyers momentum gain kar rahe hain. Ye currently valid bullish signal ko indicate karta hai.



AUD/USD ka initial resistance level 0.6643 par ho sakta hai. Agar initial resistance level break kar liya gaya, toh agla bullish target 0.7121 ho sakta hai. Agar 0.7121 ke upar close hota hai, toh market price 0.7543 tak ja sakta hai, jo ke 3rd level of resistance hai.
Doosri taraf, AUD/USD ka initial support level 0.6616 par ho sakta hai. Agar initial support level break kar liya gaya, toh agla bearish target 0.6593 ho sakta hai. Agar 0.6593 ke neeche close hota hai, toh market price 0.5843 tak ja sakta hai, jo ke 3rd level of support hai. Trading ke dauran ehtiyaat karein aur support aur resistance areas par dhyaan dein jahan se market apna direction change kar sakti hai.
Friday ke Asian market session mein trading ke dauran lagta hai ke price abhi tak buyers ke control mein hai, jo apni bullish opportunities ko maintain karne ke liye mazeed enter karte ja rahe hain, aur price ko rise karne ka target rakh rahe hain, taake seller's resistance area ko test kiya ja sake 0.6638-0.6640 par, aur yeh area penetrate karna zaroori hai taake ek higher bullish path khul sake, jiska agla target seller's supply resistance area hai 0.6695-0.6700 par, jo ke abhi tak seller ne maintain kiya hua hai.

Yeh mumkin hai ke is point se ek bearish move ho sakta hai, jo is trading instrument ki price mein significant drop ka sabab ban sakta hai. Yeh tab hoga agar market khulne ke baad AUD/USD pair mazeed upar jaane mein na kamyab ho aur 0.6598 level ke upar consolidate na kare, jo recent price increase mein tha. Agar yeh scenario hota hai, toh yeh downward trend ko trigger kar sakta hai, jahan price seedha bearish ho sakta hai. Yeh scenario tab mazeed mumkin banega agar market khulne ke baad price 0.6514 ke accumulation area tak girti hai aur phir wahan se rise karne ki koshish karti hai. Is surat mein, AUD/USD pair ko 0.6554 level ko paar karne mein mushkilat ho sakti hai. Agar yeh resistance mazboot rehti hai, toh price 0.6554 se bearish direction mein gir sakti hai, aur 0.6449 ke area ka rukh kar sakti hai, jahan significant amounts of money hain. Support ke liye, AUD/USD ascending channel ka lower boundary 0.6630 ke aas paas hai, jo exchange rate ke liye immediate support hai, uske baad 9-day moving average jo 0.6618 ke qareeb hai. Agar yeh moving average ke neeche girti hai, toh pair 0.6575 ke pullback level ko test kar sakta hai. Agar pair is support area ke neeche girti hai, toh yeh bearish bias ko indicate kar sakti hai jo pair ko 0.6470 ke pullback level ki taraf le ja sakti hai US Dollar ko support milne mein mushkil ho rahi hai jab traders yeh samajhte hain ke Fed rate cuts laazmi hain. Sab ki nigahain Fed ke Chair Jerome Powell par hain Jackson Hole mein, jahan woh cuts ki tasdeeq karenge. US Dollar index 101.00 ke just upar trade kar raha hai aur agar weak sentiment barqarar rehta hai, toh yeh 100.00 tak gir sakta hai. US Dollar (USD) broadly flat trade kar raha hai jabke Wednesday ko US session ke start mein heavy selling hui, jis se ek aur leg lower trigger hui aur 2024 ka fresh low dekha gaya. Nonfarm Payrolls revision ne pehle se estimated 818,000 kam jobs highlight ki, jo ke over a decade mein sabse bari downward revision thi, aur US job market ke hawale se market concerns ko confirm kiya. Baad mein, July meeting ke Fed Minutes release hue, jisme confirm hua ke kuch members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) us waqt rate cut ka keh rahe the, jo September mein lagbhag certain hai. AUD/USD price mazeed advance kar sakti hai daily chart analysis ke mutabiq jo ek bullish bias ke mazboot hone ka ishara de rahi hai. 9-day EMA 50-day EMA