ای AUD/USD کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

Kal market ne 0.6822 level ko test karte hue girawat dekhi aur daily chart ek seller-friendly situation ko darshata hai. Price ne 0.6804 level tak reach kiya, jo ke AUD/USD ka ek aham border hai, aur traders ke liye ek significant point hai. Ye level aksar ek psychological boundary ke roop mein dekha jata hai, jo market behavior ko prabhavit karta hai aur trading decisions ko guide karta hai. Week ke end ke nazdeek aate hi, Friday ka din traders ke liye bohot crucial ho jata hai, kyunki is din market uncertainty aur volatility barh jati hai. Friday’s trading sessions aksar unpredictable hote hain, aur price movements kabhi-kabhi seasoned traders ko bhi surprise kar deti hain, isliye aise waqt mein cautious rehna zaroori hai.

Aaj selling pressure zahir hai, jo indicate karta hai ke market niche ki taraf ja sakta hai. Traders ko is baat ke liye tayar rehna chahiye ke AUD/USD pair aur gir sakta hai aur 0.6785 level ko test kar sakta hai. Ye level agla point of support hai, aur agar iske neeche break hota hai to market mein aur bhi gehra decline dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Current market conditions mein, sell entries ko patience ke saath hold karna advisable hai. Aise scenarios mein patience key hai, kyunki market ko decisive move karne mein waqt lag sakta hai. Apne trading strategy ko disciplined approach ke saath follow karna zaroori hai, jo market ki uncertainties ko navigate karne mein madad karega. Apni sell positions ko tab tak hold karein jab tak market clear exit signal na de, kyunki isse favorable outcomes milne ke chances hain.

Hamesha informed rahna aur market ke changes ke saath adapt karna important hai. Ye aapko AUD/USD market mein advantageous position de sakta hai, khaaskar key levels jaise 0.6804 aur 0.6785 ke around trading karte waqt aur unpredictable Friday sessions ke dauran. Best of luckily !

Analysis: AUD/USD Trading Insights**
**Recent Market Behavior**

Haal hi mein market ne 0.6822 ka level test kiya, jo ke seller-friendly situation ko darshata hai. Price ne 0.6804 tak niche aayi, jo ek ahem threshold hai AUD/USD currency pair ke liye. Ye level aksar ek psychological boundary ke tor par dekha jata hai jo market behavior ko kaafi had tak influence kar sakti hai aur trading decisions ko guide kar sakti hai.

**Importance of Friday Trading**

Jaisay week khatam hota hai, Fridays traders ke liye zyada ahem ban jati hain. Is din market mein uncertainty aur volatility badh jati hai, jis se price movements aksar unpredictable ho sakti hain. Aise sessions seasoned traders ko bhi surprise kar sakte hain, isliye is waqt zyada ehtiyaat zaroori hai.

**Current Selling Pressure**

Aaj ki trading atmosphere mein evident selling pressure nazar aa raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke market shayad aage bhi niche ja sakti hai. Traders ko yeh tayar rehna chahiye ke AUD/USD pair 0.6785 level ko test kar sakti hai. Ye level next support point hai, aur agar price isse niche girti hai, to market mein deeper decline dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

**Strategy Recommendations**

Maujooda market conditions mein, sell entries ko sabr ke sath hold karna behtar hai. Sabr is waqt bahut zaroori hai, kyunki decisive market movements ko materialize hone mein waqt lag sakta hai. Aik disciplined trading strategy par amal karna zaroori hai jo market uncertainties ko effectively navigate kar sake.

**Maintain Sell Positions**

Apne sell positions ko tab tak active rakhein jab tak market clear exit signal na de. Ye approach aapki trading efforts mein behtareen outcomes achieve karne ke chances ko barhata hai.

**Key Trading Principles**

Market changes ke sath informed aur adaptable rehna successful trading ke liye zaroori hai. Ye adaptability aapko ek advantageous position provide kar sakti hai, khaaskar jab aap key levels jaise 0.6804 aur 0.6785 ke around trading kar rahe hon, Friday ke unpredictable sessions ke doran

Aaj ke liye AUD-USD currency pair ke movement ka mera technical analysis yeh hai ke isme abhi bhi ek correction ka trend nazar aa raha hai jo ke price ko 0.6760 tak le jaa sakta hai. H1 time frame mein, AUD-USD ka movement ek bearish engulfing candle bana raha hai jo ke SELL AUD-USD ke liye ek bohot strong signal hai aur future mein price ko 0.6760 tak le jaane ka imkaan hai. Iske ilawa, RSI 14 indicator ka bhi kehna hai ke AUD-USD ki price 0.6800 pe overbought ho chuki hai, isliye iske niche aane ka aur 10-50 pips tak correction hone ka bahut zyada chance hai. H1 timeframe mein hum clearly dekh sakte hain ke yeh pair abhi bhi bullish scenario mein hai aur Friday ko jo upward movement hui thi usne ek strong bullish condition ko dikhaya tha jo ke 0.680 area ko almost penetrate kar rahi thi, lekin akhir mein yeh fail ho gay. Is hafte ke shuruat mein bhi AUDUSD ne ek careful movement start ki hai, halankeh opening candle mein ek gap bhi tha. Mere khayal mein, main is AUDUSD pair ko tab tak wait karunga jab tak price mid Bb area ko phir se penetrate kar sake, tabhi mai sell karne ke liye interested hoon, lekin iska hona ka chance abhi bhi kam hai kyunki USD is waqt kafi weak Hi.

SELL AUD-USD ka signal SNR aur Fibonacci methods se bhi support hota hai, kyunki jab AUD-USD price 0.67890 par pohnchti hai to yeh SBR area mein hoti hai, isliye SELLERS ke liye entry ka acha waqt ho sakta hai. Mere technical analysis ke natije ke mutabiq, aaj ke liye mein AUD-USD ko 0.6760 tak sell karne ka faisla kiya hai

AUD/USD karansi pair ne hafta kamzor note par shuru kiya hai, jahan Asia session ke aaghaz mein, peer itwaar ko qareeb 0.6792 par position le raha hai. Yeh girawat mukhtalif asar-andaz factors, khas tor par markazi bank ke aham arkaan ke bayanat aur taja economic data ke asar ko zahir karti hai
Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliya bayanat ne bazaar ke jazbaat par khasa asar dala hai. Powell ke bayanat se yeh ishara milta hai ke United States mein sudi nason ka dair tak buland rehne ka imkaan hai, kyunke Fed mehengai par mamoor rehta hai. Unke bayanat ne markazi bank ki yeh kamitment ko wazeh kiya hai ke woh is baat ko yaqini banayenge ke mehengai apne target ki janib qatey andaaz mein barh rahi hai, jis ne US dollar ko mazboot kiya hai. Barhati hui sudi naso ka imkaan sarmaiya karon ko greenback ki taraf khenchta hai, kyunke is mein dusri karansiyon par yield ka faida hai
Dusri taraf, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ki rawayya bhi AUD/USD dynamics mein aham kirdar ada karta hai. RBA ke taja tarin bayanat pichlay mahinoon ke muqablay mein zyada narmi ka imkaan zahir karte hain. RBA ka mohtaat rawayya, jo ke mulki maashi challenges aur mehengai ke dabao mein kami se mutasir hota hai, Fed ki zyada agressive monetary policy ke baraks hai. Is wajah se, Australian dollar par neeche ki taraf dabao hai, jis se AUD/USD pair ki kamzori mein izafa hota hai Inmarkazi bank ke ishaarat ke melange ne Australian dollar ke liye ek mushkil mahol paida kiya hai. Sarmaiya kar rahe log Fed aur RBA ki farq monitary policy trajactories ke hawalay se apni positions adjust kar rahe hain. Yeh ikhtilaf aam tor par ek mazboot US dollar aur kamzor Australian dollar ki taraf le jata hai, jo AUD/USD ke kam exchange rate mein zahir hota hai Iske ilawa, wase bazaar ke halat aur risk sentiments bhi karansi ki harkat ko shape dete hain. Aalami maashi manzar nama, geo-siyasi tahawalat, aur rawayati moliyat ke utar-chadhav bhi AUD/USD pair ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Maslan, rawayati moliyat, khaas tor par Australia ke aham exports jaise ke iron ore, ki qeemat mein girawat Australian dollar ki performance par asar dal sakti hai. Rawayati moliyat ki girti hui qeematain AUD par dabao mein izafa kar sakti hain, jo ke pair ke iss waqt ke kam level mein hissa daal rahi hainKhulasay mein, hafta ki kamzori shuruat AUD/USD pair ke liye, jo ke 0.6792 par trade ho raha hai, US aur Australia ke monitary policy ke nazariyat ke darmiyan taleek ka nateeja hai. Fed ke dair tak buland rate ke mahol ke imkaan ne US dollar ko mazboot kiya hai, jab ke RBA ka mohtaat rawayya Australian dollar par bojh bana hua hai. Yeh ikhtilaf AUD/USD ke exchange rate ko mutasir karne wale pecheeda dynamics ko ujaagar karta hai aur aalamgir karansi bazaar mein wasey rujhanat ko zahir karta hai

Kal market ne 0.6822 level ko test karte hue girawat dekhi aur daily chart ek seller-friendly situation ko darshata hai. Price ne 0.6804 level tak reach kiya, jo ke AUD/USD ka ek aham border hai, aur traders ke liye ek significant point hai. Ye level aksar ek psychological boundary ke roop mein dekha jata hai, jo market behavior ko prabhavit karta hai aur trading decisions ko guide karta hai. Week ke end ke nazdeek aate hi, Friday ka din traders ke liye bohot crucial ho jata hai, kyunki is din market uncertainty aur volatility barh jati hai. Friday's trading sessions aksar unpredictable hote hain, aur price movements kabhi-kabhi seasoned traders ko bhi surprise kar deti hain, isliye aise waqt mein cautious rehna zaroori hai. Aaj selling pressure zahir hai, jo indicate karta hai ke market niche ki taraf ja sakta hai. Traders ko is baat ke liye tayar rehna chahiye ke AUD/USD pair aur gir sakta hai aur 0.6785 level ko test kar sakta hai. Ye level agla point of support hai, aur agar iske neeche break hota hai to market mein aur bhi gehra decline dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Current market conditions mein, sell entries ko patience ke saath hold karna advisable hai. Aise scenarios mein patience key hai, kyunki market ko decisive move karne mein waqt lag sakta hai. Apne trading strategy ko disciplined approach ke saath follow karna zaroori hai, jo market ki uncertainties ko navigate karne mein madad karega. Apni sell positions ko tab tak hold karein jab tak market clear exit signal na de, kyunki isse favorable outcomes milne ke chances hain.

Hamesha informed rahna aur market ke changes ke saath adapt karna important hai. Ye aapko AUD/USD market mein advantageous position de sakta hai, special key levels jaise 0.6804 aur 0.6785 ke around trading karte waqt aur unpredictable Friday sessions ke dauran. Best of luck

AUD/USD H4 chart

Mere khayal mein, AUD/USD currency pair ki movement abhi bhi bullish movements ke zair e tasarruf rehne ki poori guzarish hai aur is baat ka imkaan hai ke yeh aagey bhi barh sakti hai. Filhaal mein khud bhi intizaar aur talaash kar raha hoon ke bullish potential ke sath BUY setup banaye jo ke level 0.6855 ke range tak ja sake. Agar yeh target ko haasil karne mein kamyaab hoti hai toh yeh baqiyaat level ki taraf barhne mein mazeed pur-itminan hogi. Lekin agar yeh nakam hoti hai, toh umeed ki jaa sakti hai ke yeh wapas se neeche gir jaye gi. AUD/USD currency pair ki market trend jo ke mazi chand dino se bullish condition mein thi, toh buyers se yeh umeed hai ke unke paas price ko barhane ka mazeed potential ho sakta hai, lekin abhi market ke price downward correction ke sath market ki conditions ko reverse karne ki koshish kar rahi hai, kyun ke market aaj subah se khuli hai. Relative Strength Index indicator ki line abhi bhi level 50 se upar aram se chal rahi hai jo ke bullish trend ki nishani hai. Candlestick ki position abhi bhi 0.6780 ke price level ke upar hai jo ke upward moving market ki taraf ishara kar rahi hai. Is haftay ke price movement mein momentum ko dekhte hue jo ke zyada taur par bullish direction mein move kar raha tha, meri analysis ke mutabiq yeh mumkin hai ke price dobara se bullish trend par aajaye jab tak ke market kal subah band na ho. Bilashuba hum har ek technique ke mutabiq BUY trading entry signals dekh sakte hain. Agar market analysis ke mutabiq move karta hai, toh profit hasil karne ke imkaanaat mein izafa hoga AUD/USD par additional purchasing ke mauqay hain aur yeh cost 0.67622 ke zone ko baad mein cross kar sakti hai. Iske ilawa, yaad rahe ke yeh bohot zaroori hai ke ehtiyaat se kaam liya jaye aur AUD/USD par trading karte waqt high volumes istemal karne se paraheiz kiya jaye, khaas taur par jab news data release ho raha ho. High trading volumes se volatility aur risk mein izafa hota hai, jo ke trades ko manage karna mushkil bana deta hai. Jab news release hoti hai, toh market mein tez aur anjanahari movements ho sakti hain, jo ke significant losses ka sabab ban sakti hain agar inko theek tarah se manage na kiya jaye. Isliye, yeh munasib hai ke moderate volumes se trading ki jaye aur risk management strategies amal mein laaye jayein, jaise ke stop-loss orders set karna aur predetermined levels par profit lena. Aaj humare liye 0.68355 ka short target ke sath ek buy order kaafi hoga. Aam tor par, humare trading approach ko diversify karna high volatility se mutaliq tabdeeli ko kam karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai. Sirf aik strategy par inhisaar karne ke bajaye, hum technical aur fundamental analysis ke combination ko istemal kar sakte hain taake hum informed trading decisions le saken. Technical analysis mein, price charts ka jaiza lena aur indicators istemal karte hain jo ke patterns aur trends ko identify karte hain, jabke fundamental analysis market par asar andaz hone walay bunyadi maashi factors ko samajhne par tawajjoh deta hai. Technical analysis tools, jaise ke moving averages, trend lines, aur oscillators ka istemal mumkin entries aur exits ko pehchanne mein madad kar sakta hai. Moving averages, jese ke 50-day aur 200-day moving averages, trend ke bare mein insights de sakte hain aur madad karte hain yeh taayun karne mein ke market bullish hai ya bearish phase mein hai. Trend lines support aur resistance levels ko pehchanne mein madad karti hain, jabke oscillators jese ke Relative Strength Index (RSI 14) overbought ya oversold conditions ko zahir karte hain. In tools ko careful price action analysis ke sath milakar humari trading decisions lene ki salahiyat ko behtar bana sakta hai

AUD/USD Forum (Australian Dollar - US Dollar): Charts, Reviews

AUD/USD Analysis

H4 timeframe chart ka tajziya karne se yeh nazar aata hai ke pichle mahine se AUD/USD ki price movement bullish candlesticks se dominate ho rahi hai aur upward trend ki taraf ja rahi hai. Agar August ke shuru mein candlestick yellow Simple Moving Average 60 indicator ke neeche thi, lekin is mahine yeh uske upar aa gayi hai. Is condition se price har din higher level par close ho rahi hai, jo market conditions ko bullish ki taraf indicate karta hai.

Is technical analysis ke liye additional data ke tor par, Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator (14) ki Lime Line jo level 70 ke qareeb hai, yeh signal deti hai ke market strong bullish state mein hai. MACD indicator (12,26,29) par jo broken yellow line hai, wo bhi upward turn kar rahi hai aur histogram bar ki shape bhi lambi ho rahi hai, jo market ke buyers se dominate hone ka signal hai. Saath hi, candlestick ab bhi Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators ke upar comfortable play kar rahi hai, jo market ke upwards movement ko indicate karta hai.

Conclusion:

Market conditions ke indicators ke mutabiq, daily aur H4 timeframes par trend ab bhi bullish hai aur iske upward movement ke continue hone ke umeed hai. Mera opinion hai ke BUY trading position kholna profit kamane ka acha mauka de sakta hai, lekin ideal candlestick position ke liye price ko 0.6825 level tak pohnchne ka intezar karna chahiye. Agle bullish target ko 0.6875 level par rakha ja sakta hai aur stoploss level 0.6790 price level par rakhna chahiye.

Fundamental Analysis

AUD/USD pair Friday ke European session mein lagbhag 0.6800 tak upar gaya. Halankeh Australia ke retail sales July mein flat report kiye gaye Asian trading hours ke doran, aur China ke Manufacturing PMI ki August mein sequentially doobne ki umeed thi, phir bhi Aussie asset ne izafa dekha kyunke Australian Dollar (AUD) mazboot raha.

Australian Bureau of Statistics ne Friday subah kaha ke July mein retail sales mein koi izafa nahi hua, jabke experts ki ummeed thi ke yeh 0.3% se barh kar 0.5% ho jayengi June se. Flat retail sales ka sabab Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ki tight monetary policy aur families ki purchasing power ka kam hona hai inflation ke barhne ki wajah se.

RBA ka jaldi interest rates kam karna na ke barhne ke mamlat mein hai, agar consumer spending Australia mein slow hui hai, kyunke yeh inflation se zyada mushkil se ladega baqi mulkon se. Haal ke inflation figures ke mutabiq, monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) June mein 3.8% se ghata kar 3.5% ho gaya, halankeh yeh forecasts ke 3.4% se ab bhi zyada hai. Market ka kehna hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) 4.35% par end of the year tak barqarar rakhega.

Technical Analysis

AUD/USD ke technical analysis ke mutabiq, bearish momentum dikhai de raha hai 0.6800 ke loss ke sath. Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo ke downward trend mein 58 par hai, selling pressure ke barhne ko indicate karta hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) ke green bars flat hain, jo ke bullish momentum ke fade hone ki nishani hai. Yeh momentum yeh suggest karta hai ke buyers August ke tezi ke baad ab rest kar rahe hain, jo indicators ko overbought territory ke qareeb le aaya tha.

Resistance levels jo dhyan mein rakhna chahiye wo hain 0.6800 (aakhri support) aur 0.6830, jabke key support levels ko monitor karna zaroori hai jo hain 0.6750 aur 0.6730.

Australian Dollar (AUD) ke samne kuch bade challenges hain jo iski potential upside ko limit kar sakte hain. Ek major factor Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ki policy tightening mein reluctance hai, jo ke dusre major central banks ke muqablay mein zyada hai. Yeh hesitation persistent inflationary pressures aur tight labor market ki wajah se hai. Filhal, futures markets RBA ke August mein interest rate hike ka 20% probability assign kar rahe hain. Is waqt, AUD/USD pair 0.6795 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai.

**AUD Par China Ki Economic Decline Aur RBA Ki Policy Ka Pressure**

China ki economic problems ne AUD ko negatively affect kiya hai. Chinese economy ke decline ki wajah se base metal prices, khaaskar iron ore, teen hafton ke low par aa gaye hain. Australia, jo ke duniya ka leading iron ore exporter hai, is decline se adversely affected hua hai. In challenges ke bawajood, RBA ka rate cuts se bachne ka steadfast commitment, jo ke persistently high inflation ke wajah se hai, shayad AUD ki further depreciation ko roke. RBA ki cautious stance suggest karti hai ke yeh last central banks mein se ek ho sakta hai jo rate cuts implement kare, jo currency ko kuch support de sakta hai.

Is hafte, sabki nazar Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index ke June ke data par hogi, jo Friday ko release hone wala hai. Yeh key inflation gauge market ke expectations ko test karega jo Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September mein interest rate reductions ki ummeed kar rahe hain.

**AUD/USD Technical Resistance Aur Support Levels**

Key resistance level ascending channel ke upper boundary par hai, jo ke 0.6818 ke aas-paas hai, aur iske baad psychological level 0.6900 hai. Agar AUD/USD pair descending channel mein wapas chala jata hai, to yeh bearish bias ko kam kar sakta hai aur nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ko 0.6788 par test kar sakta hai. Agar is level ke upar break hota hai, to yeh pair ko descending channel ke upper boundary tak le ja sakta hai jo 0.6765 ke aas-paas hai, aur six-month high 0.6818 ki taraf bhi dekhna hoga.

**Chart Analysis**

Four-hour chart ka analysis yeh dikhata hai ke pair descending channel ke neeche gir gaya hai, jo ke bearish trend ko strengthen kar raha hai. 14-day Commodity Channel Index (CCI thoda 30 level ke upar hai, jo suggest karta hai ke currency pair oversold ho sakta hai aur jaldi correction dekhne ko mil sakti hai. AUD/USD ke liye support psychological level 0.6700 par mil sakta hai, aur additional support 0.6670 par bhi ho sakta hai

AUD/USD currency pair ne is haftay ka aghaz kamzori ke saath kiya hai, jahan Monday subah ke Asian session mein yeh pair 0.6792 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Yeh girawat mukhtalif aham asraat ka nateeja hai, jo ke chand central bank figures ke bayanat aur haali economic data se mutasir hain.

Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell ke haali bayan ne market sentiment par kafi asar dala hai. Powell ke bayanat ne ishara diya hai ke US mein aane walay arsay mein bhi unchi interest rates barqarar reh sakti hain, kyunki Fed mehngai ko apne target ki taraf le jaane mein ehtiyaat kar raha hai. Un ke bayanat ne US dollar ko mazid mazboot kiya hai, kyunki unchi rates investors ko dollar mein invest karne ki taraf khench rahi hain. Dusri taraf, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ka rukh bhi AUD/USD ki dynamics mein aham kirdar ada kar raha hai. RBA ke haali bayanat pehlay mahino ke muqablay mein zyada dovish hain. RBA ki ehtiyaat baratne wali approach, jo ke mulki economic challenges aur dheemi inflationary pressures se mutasir hai, Fed ki zyada aggressive monetary policy se bilkul mukhtalif hai. Is wajah se Australian dollar par downward pressure hai, jo AUD/USD pair ki kamzori ko aur barha raha hai.

In central bank signals ke milaap ne Australian dollar ke liye ek challenging environment bana diya hai. Investors apni positions ko adjust kar rahe hain, jab ke Fed aur RBA ke monetary policy ke trajectories mein farq hai. Yeh farq aam tor par US dollar ko mazid mazboot aur Australian dollar ko kamzor banata hai, jo ke AUD/USD exchange rate ke neeche aane mein zahir ho raha hai. Iske ilawa, broader market conditions aur risk sentiment bhi currency movements ko shape karte hain. Global economic outlook, geopolitical developments, aur commodity prices mein utar charhao bhi AUD/USD pair ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, commodity prices, khas tor par Australia ke key exports jaise ke iron ore, Australian dollar ki performance par asar dal sakti hain. Commodity prices ke kamzor hone se AUD par aur zyada pressure a sakta hai, jo ke pair ke haali low levels mein shamil hai.

AUD/USD ka tajziyah
Assalam Alaikum!
AUD/USD ki trading ke liye mere mansube me buniyadi taur par kuch nahin badla hai. Mai ab bhi mandi ke scenario ki taraf jhuka hua hun. Halankeh, kal qimat ne muqami bulandi ko dobara chuaa aur ek reversal pin bar (movement ke oruj par ek mandi wali candle) tashkil diya. Takniki nuqtah nazar se, yah mandi ke scenario ke tasulsul ki himayat karta hai aur ek reversal ki nishandahi karta hai. Agar ham farz karein keh currency ke jode EUR/USD aur GBP/USD, jin ka baraherast talluq hai, pahle hi kam ho rahe hain, to AUD/USD ke jode ko usi niche ke rujhan par amal karna chahiye. Iske alawa, US dollar index ooper ki taraf durust ho raha hai. Mujhe aaj kami ki tawaqqo hai, jiske hadaf ki satah 0.6762 par muqarrar ki gayi hai. Abhi ke liye, yahi mansubah hai, lekin ham dekhenge keh yah kaise hota hai. Mujhe taraqqi ki koi salahiyat nazar nahin aati hai, halankeh mai ghalat ho sakta hun. Chunkeh bulandi par koi liquidity nahin hai, lehaza is muqam par taraqqi ka koi muhrik nahin hai.

AUD/USD currency pair ne is haftay ka aghaz kamzori ke saath kiya hai, jahan Monday subah ke Asian session mein yeh pair 0.6792 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Yeh girawat mukhtalif aham asraat ka nateeja hai, jo ke chand central bank figures ke bayanat aur haali economic data se mutasir hain.
Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell ke haali bayan ne market sentiment par kafi asar dala hai. Powell ke bayanat ne ishara diya hai ke US mein aane walay arsay mein bhi unchi interest rates barqarar reh sakti hain, kyunki Fed mehngai ko apne target ki taraf le jaane mein ehtiyaat kar raha hai. Un ke bayanat ne US dollar ko mazid mazboot kiya hai, kyunki unchi rates investors ko dollar mein invest karne ki taraf khench rahi hain. Dusri taraf, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ka rukh bhi AUD/USD ki dynamics mein aham kirdar ada kar raha hai. RBA ke haali bayanat pehlay mahino ke muqablay mein zyada dovish hain. RBA ki ehtiyaat baratne wali approach, jo ke mulki economic challenges aur dheemi inflationary pressures se mutasir hai, Fed ki zyada aggressive monetary policy se bilkul mukhtalif hai. Is wajah se Australian dollar par downward pressure hai, jo AUD/USD pair ki kamzori ko aur barha raha hai.

In central bank signals ke milaap ne Australian dollar ke liye ek challenging environment bana diya hai. Investors apni positions ko adjust kar rahe hain, jab ke Fed aur RBA ke monetary policy ke trajectories mein farq hai. Yeh farq aam tor par US dollar ko mazid mazboot aur Australian dollar ko kamzor banata hai, jo ke AUD/USD exchange rate ke neeche aane mein zahir ho raha hai. Iske ilawa, broader market conditions aur risk sentiment bhi currency movements ko shape karte hain. Global economic outlook, geopolitical developments, aur commodity prices mein utar charhao bhi AUD/USD pair ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, commodity prices, khas tor par Australia ke key exports jaise ke iron ore, Australian dollar ki performance par asar dal sakti hain. Commodity prices ke kamzor hone se AUD par aur zyada pressure a sakta hai, jo ke pair ke haali low levels mein shamil hai.

AUD/USD market ke current price behavior par focus karta hai. Market is waqt mixed signals dikha rahi hai, kuch indicators uptrend suggest kar rahe hain, jab ke doosray downtrend indicate karte hain. Is waqt, AUD/USD ki price $0.6643 aur $0.6616 ke darmiyan fluctuate kar rahi hai. Kyun ke USD index aaj upar ja raha hai, AUD/USD bhi upar hi jayega. Is waqt, bulls ne AUD/USD market mein apni dominance barkarar rakhi hui hai. Agar hum is waqt AUD/USD ka chart dekhein, toh is waqt AUD/USD ek bullish candle form kar raha hai. Current momentum indicators suggest karte hain ke bullish forces control mein hain. Khaaskar, Relative Strength Index (RSI) upar ki taraf point kar raha hai aur 50 level ke upar firmly bana hua hai. Saath hi, jab USD late trading mein barh gaya, toh moving average convergence divergence (MACD) ne AUD/USD ke liye ek bara divergence form kiya AUD/USD prices ke rise ke nateeja Meri analysis ka evidence yeh hai ke price ka major trend up hai, aur yeh 20 aur 50 moving averages ke upar trade kar raha hai. Yeh resistance zones ko test kar sakta hai. AUD/USD ka initial resistance level 0.6643 par ho sakta hai. Agar initial resistance level break kar liya gaya, toh agla bullish target 0.7121 ho sakta hai. Agar 0.7121 ke upar close hota hai, toh market price 0.7543 tak ja sakta hai, jo ke 3rd level of resistance hai.
Doosri taraf, AUD/USD ka initial support level 0.6616 par ho sakta hai. Agar initial support level break kar liya gaya, toh agla bearish target 0.6593 ho sakta hai. Agar 0.6593 ke neeche close hota hai, toh market price 0.5843 tak ja sakta hai, jo ke 3rd level of support hai. Trading ke dauran ehtiyaat karein aur support aur resistance areas par dhyaan dein jahan se market apna direction change kar sakti hai.
Friday ke Asian market session mein trading ke dauran lagta hai ke price abhi tak buyers ke control mein hai, jo apni bullish opportunities ko maintain karne ke liye mazeed enter karte ja rahe hain, aur price ko rise karne ka target rakh rahe hain, taake seller's resistance area ko test kiya ja sake 0.6638-0.6640 par, aur yeh area penetrate karna zaroori hai taake ek higher bullish path khul sake, jiska agla target seller's supply resistance area hai 0.6695-0.6700 par, jo ke abhi tak seller ne maintain kiya hukiy

Jumme ko trading ke dauran 0.6755 se 0.6765 ke resistance area level ko penetrate karne mein kamiyabi hasil ki, jo ke 22 August 2024, Jumeraat ko trading ka high ya resistance area tha. Ab hum is support area level ka istemal karke agle trade mein pending buy limit order place kar sakte hain. Technical side se dekha jaye to 0.6800 se 0.6790 ke resistance area jo ke Jumme ke din trading mein form hua, is martaba key resistance area banega. Agar yeh resistance area breakout na kar saka, to Asian trading session mein AUD/USD currency pair ke pehle decline hone ki umeed hai, is se pehle ke yeh 0.6755 - 0.6765 ke support area level ko use karte hue buyers ke liye dubara climb karke aur bhi upar jaye. In conditions ko dekhte hue market ke 0.6797 - 0.6799 ke price par open hone ki umeed hai, jahan qareebi support aur resistance 0.6811 aur 0.6787 ke aas paas ban rahe hain. Aur ye hai planning Monday ke liye:Buy ko maintain kiya jaye agar price 0.6811 ke resistance ko breakout kar sakta hai, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 upwards hang karte huye bullish potential ke sath 0.6846 - 0.7262 level tak ja sakta hai.Agar price correct ho raha ho, to pullback ke dauran 0.6749 ke aas paas buy ki option dekhi ja sakti hai, take profit 0.6773 - 0.6790 tak le sakte hain, ya phir 0.6802 tak.Dusri buy option ye hai ke agar correction continue ho, buyers EMA 200 H1 line ke bounce ka intezar kar sakte hain, take profit 0.6725 - 0.6748 ke aas paas plan karna chahiye.Sell ki option agar price 0.6787 ko breakout karta hai, take profit 0.6772 - 0.6750 tak le sakte hain, lekin yeh risky ho sakta hai, behtar hoga ke 0.6749 area ke breakout ka intezar kiya jaye, jab EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 downside crossover banate hain, take profit 0.6709 - 0.6687 tak le sakte hain.Ek aur sell plan ye hai ke agar price 0.6846 area se reject hota hai, qareebi bearish potential 0.6813 tak hai jo buy positions open karne se behtar options hai. Main behtar entry point ka intezar karunga support level 0.66005 ke qareeb. Price ko is level tak pahunchne ke liye thoda dip hona zaroori hai. Mera profit target 0.67331 hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke yeh strategy plan ke mutabiq unfold hogi. Agar price decline karta hai, to yeh stagnant lag sakta hai—koi bara downward movement na dikhaate huye. Lekin, price confidently upward trend mein surge kar sakta hai.

Australian Dollar (AUD) ke samne kuch bade challenges hain jo iski potential upside ko limit kar sakte hain. Ek major factor Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ki policy tightening mein reluctance hai, jo ke dusre major central banks ke muqablay mein zyada hai. Yeh hesitation persistent inflationary pressures aur tight labor market ki wajah se hai. Filhal, futures markets RBA ke August mein interest rate hike ka 20% probability assign kar rahe hain. Is waqt, AUD/USD pair 0.6795 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai.
**AUD Par China Ki Economic Decline Aur RBA Ki Policy Ka Pressure**

China ki economic problems ne AUD ko negatively affect kiya hai. Chinese economy ke decline ki wajah se base metal prices, khaaskar iron ore, teen hafton ke low par aa gaye hain. Australia, jo ke duniya ka leading iron ore exporter hai, is decline se adversely affected hua hai. In challenges ke bawajood, RBA ka rate cuts se bachne ka steadfast commitment, jo ke persistently high inflation ke wajah se hai, shayad AUD ki further depreciation ko roke. RBA ki cautious stance suggest karti hai ke yeh last central banks mein se ek ho sakta hai jo rate cuts implement kare, jo currency ko kuch support de sakta hai.

Is hafte, sabki nazar Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index ke June ke data par hogi, jo Friday ko release hone wala hai. Yeh key inflation gauge market ke expectations ko test karega jo Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September mein interest rate reductions ki ummeed kar rahe hain.

**AUD/USD Technical Resistance Aur Support Levels**

Key resistance level ascending channel ke upper boundary par hai, jo ke 0.6818 ke aas-paas hai, aur iske baad psychological level 0.6900 hai. Agar AUD/USD pair descending channel mein wapas chala jata hai, to yeh bearish bias ko kam kar sakta hai aur nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ko 0.6788 par test kar sakta hai. Agar is level ke upar break hota hai, to yeh pair ko descending channel ke upper boundary tak le ja sakta hai jo 0.6765 ke aas-paas hai, aur six-month high 0.6818 ki taraf bhi dekhna hoga.

**Chart Analysis**

Four-hour chart ka analysis yeh dikhata hai ke pair descending channel ke neeche gir gaya hai, jo ke bearish trend ko strengthen kar raha hai. 14-day Commodity Channel Index (CCI thoda 30 level ke upar hai, jo suggest karta hai ke currency pair oversold ho sakta hai aur jaldi correction dekhne ko mil sakti hai. AUD/USD ke liye support psychological level 0.6700 par mil sakta hai, aur additional support 0.6670 par bhi ho sakta hai