ای AUD/USD کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

AUD/USD pair ab 0.6587 par trade ho raha hai, jisme ek bearish trend nazar aa raha hai. Market abhi dheere chal rahi hai, lekin aane wale dino mein kisi bade movement ki umeed hai. Kayi factors is potential shift mein shamil ho sakte hain, jaise ke ma'ashiyati indicators, sahafati waqiyat, aur central bank ki policies. Traders aur investors in developments ko qareeb se nigrani mein rakhte hain taake market ke movement ka andaza lag sakein.
AUD/USD pair ab 0.6587 par trade ho raha hai, jisme ek bearish trend nazar aa raha hai. Market ki dheemi raftar ke bawajood, aane wale dino mein bade movement ki umeed hai. Mukhtalif factors is par asar daal sakte hain, jaise ma'ashiyati indicators, sahafati waqiyat, ya market ke jazbat mein tabdiliyan. Traders developments ko qareeb se nigrani mein rakhte hain, taake potential opportunities ka faida utha sakein. Lekin, currency ke movement ka peshgoi karna fitri tor par guman aur uncertainty se bhara hai, is liye trading karte waqt hoshyari baratna zaroori hai.

Zarur! Yahan ek 600-word analysis hai:
AUD/USD currency pair 0.6582 par trade ho rahi hai, jo market mein ek bearish trend ko darust karti hai. Ye downtrend yeh dikhata hai ke abhi sellers market sentiment ko dominate kar rahe hain, jo Australian Dollar (AUD) ko US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf tabdeel hone ka dharana dete hain. Lekin, mojooda sust market activity ke bawajood, aane wale dino mein AUD/USD pair mein bade movement ki umeed hai.

Kayi factors is waqt ke bearish sentiment mein shamil hain jo AUD/USD pair ko ghera hua hai. Ek ahem factor ma'ashiyati be-tuklif jo mukhtalif global aur gharelo factors se aati hai. COVID-19 pandemic duniya bhar ki ma'ashiyaat par apna asar jamata hai, jo trade, rozgar, aur overall ma'ashi taraqqi par asar dalta hai. Australia, jo ke aham commodities ka behri hai, khaas tor par China ki taraf export karti hai, global darkhwast aur trade tensions mein izafa hone par mutasir hoti hai. Mazeed, sahafati masail jaise ke trade disputes aur siyasi tensions ke ird gird guman ka mahol bana rehta hai, jo market mein overall risk sentiment ko barhata hai, jo Australian dollar par bojh dalta hai.

Is ke ilawa, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ki ma'ashiyati policies AUD/USD pair ke rukh ko shakal deti hain. RBA ne ma'ashiyati behtari ko support karne ke liye ek mushkil hal monetary policy stance qaim rakha hai, jisme interest rates ko tareekhi darajon par rakhna aur quantitative easing measures ko amal mein lana shamil hai. Mutasir currency pairs ke darmiyan yeh do central banks ke policies ka ikhtilaf US dollar ko Australian dollar ke nisbat mazboot karne ki salahiyat rakhta hai, jo AUD/USD pair ke bearish outlook mein hissa hai.

Technical analysis bhi AUD/USD pair ke potential future movements ke baray mein wazeh karta hai. Chart patterns, jaise ke moving averages, support aur resistance levels, aur momentum indicators, market mein trends aur potential reversal points ko pehchanne mein madadgar ho sakte hain. Haal mein, AUD/USD pair kuch ahem support levels ko test kar sakta hai, jahan indicators oversold conditions ko signal dete hain. Agar ye support levels qaim rehte hain, to exchange rate mein short-term rebound ho sakta hai. Lekin, support levels ka tor phir aur downside momentum ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo pair mein mazeed giravat ka bais ban sakta hai.

Aage dekhte hue, kayi factors AUD/USD pair mein bade movement ko janam dene ke liye zareya ban sakte hain. Ma'ashiyati data releases, jaise ke rozgar figures, inflation rates, aur GDP growth, market sentiment ko mutasir kar sakte hain aur exchange rates mein short-term fluctuations ko barhawa de sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, sahafati developments, trade negotiations, aur central bank announcements market mein volatility ko utpann kar sakte hain, jo currency prices par asar dalta hai. Traders aur investors aane wale events ko nigrani mein rakhein ge taake AUD/USD pair ke future direction ke liye cues hasil kar sakein.

Ikhtitam mein, jabke AUD/USD pair abhi bearish trend ka samna kar raha hai, to kuch isharaat hain jo aane wale dino mein bade movement ki umeed ko dikhate hain. Ma'ashiyati guman, central bank ki policies, aur technical factors sab currency pair ke outlook mein hissa hain. Traders ko hushyar rehna chahiye aur apni strategies ko mutabiq banayein taake AUD/USD pair ke muasharti dynamics mein tabdiliyon ko samajh sakein aur pair ke trading opportunities ka faida utha sakein.

Technical Analysis of Australian dollar/US dollar.

Kal, keema 0.6573 ke oopar chala gaya, jo bearish harkat ka intezaar tha. Aaj, maine dobara market ke daam ko tajziya kiya. Bunyadi data ne meri tajziya ko oopri taraf badal diya. Pichle haftay mein, 0.6573 ke oopar se kamiyabi se qaim rehne ke baad, AUD/USD ne khasa barh kar 0.6701 ke darjat tak pohanch gaya, jo mukhya manzar ke mutabiq tajziya ka nishana hai, jisse yeh nishana karkunah bana diya gaya hai. Isi doran, daam chart ne hari supertrend zone mein wapas laut kar aayi, jisse kharidaron ki taraf se barh chadhao ka zyada saath darust hua.

Ameriki istemal shuda daam shahrah bhi April mein saal bhar mein 3.4% izafa hua, jo is saal ke is mahine ke muqable mein 3.5% se, intezaar ke mutabiq maayarahon ke darjat ko darust karne ke liye barh gaya. Pichle April, daam shahrah, jo khana aur bijli ke daamon ko shamil nahi karta, 0.3% izafa hua, jo pichle mahine se 0.4% izafa tha, intezaar ke mutabiq.

Jodi ab mojooda waqt mein khasa ooncha daam kar rahe hain, haftay ke uchayiyo ke qareeb. Ahem sathiyon ko imtehaan diye gaye aur daam ko rokne mein kamyabi haasil ki, baad mein rebound ko barhaya, jisse upri vector ka ahmiyat darust hoti hai. Uperi raftar ko barqarar rakhne ke liye, mojooda daam ko 0.6635 ke qareeb band daam se anchoring ki zaroorat hai, jo mukhya sathiyon ki hadood ka sarhad hai. Is ilaqa mein ek dobara imtehaan aur baad mein is ilaqa se rebound hone se doosra uparward impulse banega, jiska nishana ilaqa 0.6765 aur 0.6804 hoga.

Agar sathiyon tor jaaye aur daam 0.6573 ke mukhturning se neeche gir jaaye, to maujooda manzar ko mansookh karne ka signal mil jaayega. Neeche chart dekhein:

AUD/USD H1 analyze

AUD/USD jo pair forex market mein sabse zyada trade hone wale pairs mein se ek hai, aaj ke trading session mein interesting price movements dikhara hai. Aayiye is pair ke dynamics ko gahrayee se dekhein aur potential trading opportunities explore karein.

Market Opening aur Price Movement:
Trading day ke shuru hone par, AUD/USD pair ne apni opening mein koi significant gaps nahi dikhaye. Lekin Asian session ke dauran, price mein notable downside correction hua hai. Ye correction temporary momentum shift ki taraf ishara kar sakta hai, jisse traders apni positions ko dobara assess kar rahe hain.

Anticipated Uptrend Resumption:
Maujooda correction ke bawajood, traders mein ye anticipation hai ke AUD/USD pair ka uptrend choti si pullback ke baad dobara resume hoga. Ye sentiment mukhtalif factors ki wajah se hai, jismein fundamental economic indicators, geopolitical developments, aur technical analysis shamil hain.

Traders apni trades ke liye nearest resistance levels ko targets ke tor par dekh rahe hain. In levels mein se khas taur par 0.66799 aur 0.66377 ke resistance levels par tawajju di ja rahi hai. Ye levels crucial points hain jahan significant price action unfold ho sakta hai.

Scenarios Near Resistance Levels:
Upar zikar kiye gaye resistance levels ke qareeb, traders do possible scenarios ko contemplate kar rahe hain jo price action ko shape kar sakte hain. Aayiye har scenario ko tafseel se dekhein:

Scenario: Breakout Above Resistance 0.66799
Is scenario mein, agar price successfuly resistance level 0.66799 ko breach kar leti hai, to ye bullish continuation pattern ko signal kar sakta hai. Jo traders AUD/USD pair par long hain, wo apni positions mein add karne ya new trades initiate karne ka soch sakte hain, anticipating ke aage further upside momentum hoga.

Sab ko acha mood! Chothi ghantay ki chart ke mutabiq, linear regression channel oopar ki taraf jhuk raha hai, jo dikhata hai ke khareedne wale 0.66734 level tak pohanchne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Ab kharidne ka mauqa hai. Lekin behtar hai ke H4 linear regression channel bhi oopar ki taraf move karnay ka intezaar kia jaye kharidari karne se pehle. 0.66420 channel ke neeche se khareedne ka khayal hai, lekin mein un farokht karne walo ka peecha karunga jo 0.66420 ke neeche gir sakte hain aur consolidation ke saath rukawat daal sakte hain. Agar yeh hota hai, to mein khareedna band kar doonga, kyunke H4 trend mein farokht jari rehne ki bulandi hai. Agar bull 0.66710 level ke upar qabza kar lete hain, to mein khareedari jari rakhunga.



Market ka mood khareedar ki taraf shift hoga. Charts ko samajh kar aur data ka tajziya karke, mujhe samajh aata hai ke market ab mazboot downtrend mein hai. Is se paise kamane ke liye, mujhe ye dekhna hoga ke qeemat 0.66710 channel ke urooj tak pohanchti hai aur gir jati hai. Jaise he mein aisi nishani daikhun, mein asbaab dhoondunga jisse asaas bechne ka mauqa mil sake 0.65985 level tak. Agar qeemat maqsad level ko tor deti hai, to farokht jari rahne ke saath mazboot hogi. Lekin yaad rakhein ke is ke baad oopri durusti ho sakti hai, is liye market ko nazarandaz nahi karna chahiye aur bullon ki shurwat se mutaliq mumkin jawab ka intezar karna chahiye. Samajhna zaroori hai ke agar bull 0.66710 level ko paar karte hain, to ye market mein bullish dilchaspi ka ishaara ho sakta hai, jo ke maamla ko dobara tajziya karne aur farokht ko rad karne ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Is liye hamesha market ke tajziya mein tabdeeliyon ka nazarandaz karna zaroori hai aur agar market ki halat badal jati hai to plan ko tabdeel karne ke liye tayar rehna

AUD/USD trading pair mein ek upward trajectory dekha gaya jab market 0.6598 tak dip gaya. Ye movement ek significant event hai jo forex traders aur market analysts ke liye important hai. Chaliye, is movement ko 400 shabdon mein samjhte hain.
Market Context

AUD/USD trading pair, jo Australian Dollar aur US Dollar ka exchange rate dikhata hai, forex market mein ek prominent pair hai. Iski movement ko global economic conditions, commodity prices, aur central bank policies se influence kiya ja sakta hai. Jab market 0.6598 tak dip hua, tab ye ek crucial support level pe aa gaya tha.

Factors Behind the Dip

1. Global Economic Conditions: Global economic slowdown aur uncertainties, jaise ki geopolitical tensions aur trade wars, ne AUD/USD par downward pressure daala. Australian economy ka heavy reliance on commodity exports, particularly to China, bhi is dip ka ek factor tha.

2. US Federal Reserve Policies: US Federal Reserve ke hawkish stance aur interest rate hikes ne US Dollar ko strengthen kiya, jiske karan AUD/USD pair mein dip dekha gaya. Higher US interest rates ne investors ko USD mein invest karne ke liye incentivize kiya, resulting in a stronger dollar.




Recovery and Upward Trajectory

1. Australian EconomResiliencnce: Australian economy ne apni resilience dikhayi, particularly through strong labor market data aur rising commodity prices, jo ki AUD ke liye positive factors the. Iron ore aur coal prices mein recovery ne AUD/USD ko upward push diya.

2. Market Sentiment: Market sentiment mein improvement ne risk-on trade ko encourage kiya. Investors ne safe-haven assets se riskier assets ki taraf shift kiya, jo ki AUD/USD pair ke liye beneficial tha. Risk appetite mein rise ne AUD ko support kiya.

3. Technical Analysis: Technical analysis se bhi clues milte hain. 0.6598 ek significant support level tha jahan se buyers ne entry ki aur short covering hui, jisse upward momentum generate hua. Moving averages aur RSI jaise indicators ne bhi bullish signals diye, jo ki traders ke liye confidence boosters the. Conclusion. AUD/USD pair ka 0.6598 tak dip aur uske baad ka upward trajectory, forex market dynamics aur broader economic factors ka ek classic example hai. Ye movement dikhata hai ki kis tarah se macroeconomic indicators, central bank policies, aur market sentiment currency pairs ko impact kar sakte hain. For traders, ye zaroori hai ki wo in factors ko closely monitor karein aur apne trading strategies ko accordingly adjust karein. Upward trajectory ne investors ko ek naya trading opportunity provide kiya, jo ki strong fundamentals aur positive market sentiment par based tha. In conclusion, AUD/USD ka ye movement ek significant event tha jo future trading decisions ke liye bhi ek learning point hai. Understanding these dynamics can help traders make informed decisions and capitalize on market opportunities.p

Manzar Nigari Takneeki Jaiza Aaj Australian dollar (AUD) ko US dollar (USD) ke muqable mein aik numaya kami ka samna hai. Kal tak apne urooj par pohanchne ke baad, AUD/USD currency pair ne kam ke qeemat par trade karte hue peechay hat gaya hai. Is inqilab ka sabab bazar ko mutassir karne wale mukhtalif factors hain.Sab se pehle, traders haal ki mazeed faiday dene wale charhao se apni nafahat mehfooz kar rahe hain, jo ke currency ki qeemat mein aik fitri sudhar ka sabab ban raha hai. Nafa dene aam amal hai maali bazarat mein, jahan investors wo asasaat farokht karte hain jo ke izafa kar chuke hote hain taake unke faiday haasil ho sakein. Ye harkat currency par nichli dabao paida kar sakti hai jab farokht inteha pasandi ko bharta haiDusra, US dollar mazeed tarah se aam currency ke muqable mein taaqat dikhata hai, na ke sirf AUD ke sath. USD ki yeh mazbooti mukhtalif factors par mustamil hai, jese ke musbat ma’ashi nishanat aur America ki ma’ashi manzar e aam ki mustahkam tawaqqu’. Jab USD mazboot hota hai, to ye aam tor par dosri currencies ki qeemat mein girawat ka sabab banta hai, jese ke AUD, exchange rates mein ulta rishta hone ki wajah seTeesra, aaj Australia mein jari mukhtalif ma’ashi data AUD par nichle dabao ka sabab bana raha hai. Ma’ashi data mukhtalif indicators shamil hai jo ke Australia ki ma’ashi haliyat ke baray mein maloomat faraham karte hain. Jab yeh data mukhtalif hota hai ya market ki tawaqqu’at ko pora nahi karta, to ye investors aur traders ke darmiyan ittefaq ka khoz hota hai, jo currency ko kamzor kar deta haiJab market shirakat daikhti hai, to ab tawajjo US markets ke hone ki taraf shift ho rahi hai. America mein aane wale ahem ma’ashi data ka aik bada hissa jaari hone wala hai, jo ke AUD/USD pair ko mazeed mutassir kar sakta hai. Is mein shamil hai ibtida'i jobless claims ke figures, jo ke amoor e mulazmat ka aik jhalak faraham karte hain, aur tameer sector ki sehat ka data, jo ke ma’ashi afzaish aur mustaqbil ki mustahkam tawaqqu’at faraham kar sakta hai. Is ma’ashi data ka jaari hona foreign exchange market mein shakhsiyat ke izafa ko sabit kar sakta hai. Ibtida'i jobless claims mulazmat ke trends ka aham indicator hain, aur kisi bhi ghair mutawaqqa tabdiliyon ko foran market ke jawabat mein le aati hain. Bilkhushus, tameer sector par data market ke jazbat par asar dal sakta hai, jabke ye aam ma’ashi shirakat ko dikhata haiClick image for larger version

Australian Dollar - US Dollar. Heiken Ashi candles ke readings ko TMA (Triangular Moving Average) aur RSI indicators ke sath analyze karne ke baad, aap dekh sakte hain ke market mein sellers ki strength kamzor hone ki umeed hai aur initiative buyers ko shift ho raha hai. Heiken Ashi candles, normal candles ke muqablay mein, kuch smooth ya average price dikhati hain, jo technical analysis ko asaan banati hain aur trading decisions ki accuracy ko bhi badhati hain. TMA channel indicator (red, blue aur yellow lines) double-smooth moving averages ke base par support aur resistance lines create karta hai aur instrument ke current limits ko reveal karta hai. Hum Basement RSI indicator ko ek additional transaction filtering oscillator ke tor par use karenge jo positive results dikhata hai jab Heiken Ashi ke sath combine kiya jata hai. Currency pair ke studied chart par candles ka color blue mein badal gaya hai, jo bullish interest ki priority strength ko emphasize karta hai. Price ne channel ki lower border (red dotted line) ko cross kiya aur minimum point se bounce karke wapas apni middle line (yellow dotted line) par aayi. RSI oscillator buy signal ko confirm karta hai, kyun ke uski curve upside par hai aur overbought levels ke qareeb nahi hai. Hum ek logical conclusion nikal sakte hain ke profitable long buy transactions ka yeh ek suitable moment hai, taake market quotes channel ki upper border (blue dotted line) par pohanch sakein, jo price level 0.67503 par hai.

### USD/JPY Price Action Forecast
Humari analysis USD/JPY currency pair ke current behavior par focus karti hai. USD/JPY pair is waqt 157.34 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke hourly aur four-hour scales par Envelopes ke mutabiq buying zone mein hai. Jab tak price hourly candle close par 157.13 ke upar rehti hai, focus continued price growth par hona chahiye. Yeh upward trend expected hai ke 158.08 ke resistance level tak persist karega, jahan selling consider ki ja sakti hai agar Euro aur Pound apne targets against US Dollar achieve kar lete hain. Aaj 15:31 par, US inflation par news block release hoga, aur yeh anticipate kiya ja raha hai ke rising inflation ki wajah se US Dollar strengthen hoga.

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USD/JPY kaafi dinon se narrow price range mein consolidate kar raha hai. Bulls pair ko upar push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Extended position mein enter karne se pehle daily candle ka initial resistance level ke upar close hone ka wait karna advisable hai. Four-hour chart uptrend indicate kar raha hai, aur price Ichimoku cloud ke upar trade kar rahi hai, jo strong upward momentum suggest karti hai. Stochastic indicator overbought zone mein hai. Trading session ke dauran, pair ne 157.33 par reversal level ke upar trade kiya. Daily growth targets classic Pivot points ke resistance levels hain. Initial resistance 157.96 ka break hone par ek nayi growth wave trigger hone ki umeed hai, jo pair ko resistance line 159.18 ke paas push karegi. Agar market decline ki taraf shift hota hai, toh support level 155.04 current chart par key reference point hoga.

Takneeki Jaiza Aaj Australian dollar (AUD) ko US dollar (USD) ke muqable mein aik numaya kami ka samna hai. Kal tak apne urooj par pohanchne ke baad, AUD/USD currency pair ne kam ke qeemat par trade karte hue peechay hat gaya hai. Is inqilab ka sabab bazar ko mutassir karne wale mukhtalif factors hain.Sab se pehle, traders haal ki mazeed faiday dene wale charhao se apni nafahat mehfooz kar rahe hain, jo ke currency ki qeemat mein aik fitri sudhar ka sabab ban raha hai. Nafa dene aam amal hai maali bazarat mein, jahan investors wo asasaat farokht karte hain jo ke izafa kar chuke hote hain taake unke faiday haasil ho sakein. Ye harkat currency par nichli dabao paida kar sakti hai jab farokht inteha pasandi ko bharta haiDusra, US dollar mazeed tarah se aam currency ke muqable mein taaqat dikhata hai, na ke sirf AUD ke sath. USD ki yeh mazbooti mukhtalif factors par mustamil hai, jese ke musbat ma’ashi nishanat aur America ki ma’ashi manzar e aam ki mustahkam tawaqqu’. Jab USD mazboot hota hai, to ye aam tor par dosri currencies ki qeemat mein girawat ka sabab banta hai, jese ke AUD, exchange rates mein ulta rishta hone ki wajah seTeesra, aaj Australia mein jari mukhtalif ma’ashi data AUD par nichle dabao ka sabab bana raha hai. Ma’ashi data mukhtalif indicators shamil hai jo ke Australia ki ma’ashi haliyat ke baray mein maloomat faraham karte hain. Jab yeh data mukhtalif hota hai ya market ki tawaqqu’at ko pora nahi karta, to ye investors aur traders ke darmiyan ittefaq ka khoz hota hai, jo currency ko kamzor kar deta haiJab market shirakat daikhti hai, to ab tawajjo US markets ke hone ki taraf shift ho rahi hai. America mein aane wale ahem ma’ashi data ka aik bada hissa jaari hone wala hai, jo ke AUD/USD pair ko mazeed mutassir kar sakta hai. Is mein shamil hai ibtida'i jobless claims ke figures, jo ke amoor e mulazmat ka aik jhalak faraham karte hain, aur tameer sector ki sehat ka data, jo ke ma’ashi afzaish aur mustaqbil ki mustahkam tawaqqu’at faraham kar sakta hai. Is ma’ashi data ka jaari hona foreign exchange market mein shakhsiyat ke izafa ko sabit kar sakta hai. Ibtida'i jobless claims mulazmat ke trends ka aham indicator hain, aur kisi bhi ghair mutawaqqa tabdiliyon ko foran market ke jawabat mein le aati hain. Bilkhushus, tameer sector par data market ke jazbat par asar dal sakta hai, jabke ye aam ma’ashi shirakat ko dikhata haiClick image for larger version

AUDUSD H4
Ab tak AUDUSD pair ke opening mein koi clarity nahi hai. Khair, opening ke baad hi price barhi, magar upar jaane se pehle hi niche aa gayi, upper Bollinger band ko nahi choo paayi, jo is waqt 0.6670 pe hai. Haan, Bollinger Bands abhi bhi flat hain. Saath hi, RSI aur stochastic indicators niche ki taraf dekh rahe hain, halan ke pehla indicator bohot weak hai. Ab price MA pair aur Bollinger average ke cluster mein aa gayi hai, jo 0.6644/6638 ke area mein hai. Dekhna yeh hai ke price in tino averages ke niche jaa sakti hai ya nahi. Agar jaati hai, to phir aage girawat lower Bollinger band ki taraf ho sakti hai, jo abhi 0.6606 pe hai aur wahan se price wapas upar bounce kar sakti hai, khas tor pe jab Bollinger bands flat hain. Agar hum averages se bounce karte hain, to price phir se upper Bollinger band ki taraf lautegi, aur phir dekhte hain ke yeh abhi bhi upar jaa sakti hai ya phir flat rahegi. Trading everyone












hai, buy signal diya hai aur upward move ko support kar raha hai. Agar AUD/USD pair range highs ko reach ya approach karke reverse hoti hai aur Japanese candlestick reversal pattern banti hai, to yeh indication ho sakti hai ke pair sideways trend continue kar raha hai aur downtrend shuru karne wali hai. Signal line ke neeche return, khas tor pe agar yeh positive territory mein hai, additional evidence hogi ke narrow range mein downward movement develop ho rahi hai. Relative Strength Momentum Indicator (RSI) 54 pe hai, jo growth indicate karta hai. 22 May ko, AUD/USD pair ne apna ascending channel chhor diya, jo established upward trend pe shak dalta hai. Magar, further decline weak tha, aur pair jaldi wapas stable ho gayi. Short-term directional trend clear nahi hai, jo suggest karta hai ke trend sideways ho sakta hai. Decisive break below 0.6591 further declines ko confirm karega, with next target likely at 0.6560. Downside pe, decisive break above upper end of range bullish sentiment ko confirm karega aur rally towards 0.6714 ki taraf lead karega. Main aaj pair buy karne ka plan bana raha hoon. Happy trading everyone

Ke Manzar Nigari Takneeki Jaiza Aaj Australian dollar (AUD) ko US dollar (USD) ke muqable mein aik numaya kami ka samna hai. Kal tak apne urooj par pohanchne ke baad, AUD/USD currency pair ne kam ke qeemat par trade karte hue peechay hat gaya hai. Is inqilab ka sabab bazar ko mutassir karne wale mukhtalif factors hain.Sab se pehle, traders haal ki mazeed faiday dene wale charhao se apni nafahat mehfooz kar rahe hain, jo ke currency ki qeemat mein aik fitri sudhar ka sabab ban raha hai. Nafa dene aam amal hai maali bazarat mein, jahan investors wo asasaat farokht karte hain jo ke izafa kar chuke hote hain taake unke faiday haasil ho sakein. Ye harkat currency par nichli dabao paida kar sakti hai jab farokht inteha pasandi ko bharta haiDusra, US dollar mazeed tarah se aam currency ke muqable mein taaqat dikhata hai, na ke sirf AUD ke sath. USD ki yeh mazbooti mukhtalif factors par mustamil hai, jese ke musbat ma’ashi nishanat aur America ki ma’ashi manzar e aam ki mustahkam tawaqqu’. Jab USD mazboot hota hai, to ye aam tor par dosri currencies ki qeemat mein girawat ka sabab banta hai, jese ke AUD, exchange rates mein ulta rishta hone ki wajah seTeesra, aaj Australia mein jari mukhtalif ma’ashi data AUD par nichle dabao ka sabab bana raha hai. Ma’ashi data mukhtalif indicators shamil hai jo ke Australia ki ma’ashi haliyat ke baray mein maloomat faraham karte hain. Jab yeh data mukhtalif hota hai ya market ki tawaqqu’at ko pora nahi karta, to ye investors aur traders ke darmiyan ittefaq ka khoz hota hai, jo currency ko kamzor kar deta haiJab market shirakat daikhti hai, to ab tawajjo US markets ke hone ki taraf shift ho rahi hai. America mein aane wale ahem ma’ashi data ka aik bada hissa jaari hone wala hai, jo ke AUD/USD pair ko mazeed mutassir kar sakta hai. Is mein shamil hai ibtida'i jobless claims ke figures, jo ke amoor e mulazmat ka aik jhalak faraham karte hain, aur tameer sector ki sehat ka data, jo ke ma’ashi afzaish aur mustaqbil ki mustahkam tawaqqu’at faraham kar sakta hai. Is ma’ashi data ka jaari hona foreign exchange market mein shakhsiyat ke izafa ko sabit kar sakta hai. Ibtida'i jobless claims mulazmat ke trends ka aham indicator hain, aur kisi bhi ghair mutawaqqa tabdiliyon ko foran market ke jawabat mein le aati hain. Bilkhushus, tameer sector par data market ke jazbat par asar dal sakta hai, jabke ye aam ma’ashi shirakat ko dikhata haiClick image for larger version

Australian Dollar (AUD) ne Thursday ko jaari hone wale musbat rozgar data ke bawajood mehngai ko samjha aur US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf gir gaya. Ye hairat angaiz waqia is ke bawajood aya ke taqatwar Aussie jobs numbers ke sath aya, Australian Bureau of Statistics ne May mein 39,700 jobs ki izafah darj kiya, jo ke 30,000 ki tawaqo ko peechay chor kar guzishta mahine ke 38,500 ke hasool ko bhi paar kar gaya. Berozgari dar bhi behtar hui, jo ke April mein tawaqo ki gayi 4.1% se 4.0% tak gir gayi. AUD ki kamzori ke peechay wajah lag rahi hai ke mojudah USD ke phir se ubhartay hue hone ki wajah se. Federal Reserve ke June ke imtehan mein iska qadri rukh le kar USD mazboot hua. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ne mustaqbil ki mushahedat ke doran benchmark interest rate ko 5.25% se 5.50% tak sath qaim rakha, jo ke zyadatar market ke mohtamimun ki tawaqo thi. Ye faisla, sath hi investors ke umeedwar hote hue ke Thursday ke baad US ki maqool arziyon aur producer price index figures shamil honge, USD ko mazboot kiya.

Jab ke AUD/USD pair Thursday ko 0.6660 ke aas paas tha. Daily chart ki takhleeq ka takniki jaiza AUD/USD ke darmiyan ek musallas pattern ke andar ek consolidation phase ka izhar karta hai, jo ke ek be-jan market sentiment ko darust karta hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke thora neeche mojood hai, jo ke kisi wazeh rehnumai ki kami ko mazeed wazeh karta hai. Is level ke upar ya neeche faislay mustaqbil ke trend ka ishara kar sakte hain. Aglay dekhiye, AUD/USD ke liye fori support 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb hai jo 0.6604 par hai, isay rectangle pattern ke nichle hadood ke 0.6585 par dekha jata hai. Agar AUD/USD upar ki taraf ko mojooda kiya to woh mazeed takhleeqati halchal ka samna kar sakta hai, yeh shayad 0.6700 ke aas paas ke area ko test kare, shayad May ke uchchatam 0.6714 tak bhi pohonch sake. Jab ke AUD/USD apni 0.63618 ke qareeb se kamiyon se tezabiat ko dur kar raha hai, kuch analysts ke mutabiq girawat abhi khatam nahi hui hai. Unka khayal hai ke jab tak ke qeemat 0.6699 ke neeche rahe, pair ke liye mazeed neeche ki taraf ka rukh mubtala rehta hai, jahan tak 0.6576-0.65002 ka maqsad hai. Magar yeh analysts is waqt AUD/USD ko farokht karne ki taqat nahi dete. Unka tajwez hai ke jab qeemat "neela dabba area" ko paunchti hai, to kharidne ki fa'alat mein izafa hone ka imkan hai, jo ke naye uchchatam ki taraf ya kam az kam aik ahem islahi bounce ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Aaj ke din ek munafe ki trade karne ke liye, teen indicator indicators - Extended Regression Stop and Reverse, RSI aur MACD ka istemal karte hue, hum market entry point ka intekhab karenge. Pehlay forecast par kaam karne ke baad, ek zaroori kaam ye hoga ke sab se munafe ka point maloom kiya jaye jahan transaction ko close kiya ja sake. Is maqsad ke liye, hum current extreme points par ek Fibonacci grid banayenge aur position se nikalne ke liye, qareebi corrective Fibo levels ko madde nazar rakhenge.

Mujoodah chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke pehli degree regression line (sunehri dotted line), jo ke instrument ka direction aur trend condition selected time frame (H4 time frame) mein dikhata hai, north ki taraf 30% ke angle se hai, jo dominant trend ko north ki taraf move hone ko emphasize karta hai. Nonlinear channel, jo qareebi mustaqbil ka andaza lagane ke liye istemal hota hai, yellow green hai aur instrument ki quotation ke mazeed izafa ko dikhata hai, kyun ke yeh north ki taraf oriented hai.

Price ne linear regression Channel 2-and LevelResLine ki red resistance line ko cross kar liya, lekin maximum value (HIGH) 0.67146 par pohanch ke, apni taraqqi ko rok diya aur wapas chali gayi. Instrument ab price level 0.66512 par trading kar raha hai. Upar diye gaye sab points ko dekhte hue, mujhe umeed hai ke market price 2-and LevelResLine (0.65387) channel line ke 50% FIBO level ke neeche break karegi aur mazeed neeche golden main line LR of the linear channel 0.63628 par chali jayegi, jo 0% Fibo level par hai. Ek aur daleel jo transaction ke haq mein hai wo yeh ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators bhi sell entry ki validity ko confirm karte hain, kyun ke yeh overbought zone mein located hain.

AUD/USD

Australian Dollar (AUD) ne Thursday ko jaari hone wale musbat rozgar data ke bawajood US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf girawat dikhai aur is unexpected turn of events ki wajah se hairan reh gaye. Australian Bureau of Statistics ne May mein 39,700 jobs ki izafaat riwayat ki, jo 30,000 se zyada ki ummeedon ko peechay chhod diya aur pichle mahine ki 38,500 jobs ki izafaat ko bhi paar kiya. Berozgaari dar bhi behtar hui, jo April ki 4.1% ke muntazir hone se 4.0% par gir gayi.

AUD ki kamzori ke peechay ka sabab lagta hai ke resurgent USD hai. Federal Reserve ne June ki meeting mein apni hawkish stance announce ki, jis ke baad US Dollar mazboot hua. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ne 5.25% se 5.50% tak benchmark interest rate ko sattayi meeting mein barqarar rakha, jo ke zyadatar market dekhnay walay ke liye taqreeban ummeedon ke mutabiq tha. Is faislay ne, jis ke sath sath investors ke US economic data ke aane ka intezar tha jo Thursday ke baad mein aane wala tha, USD ko taqwiyat di.

Muntazir data mein shamil hain US haftawarwi berozgaari claims aur producer price index figures.



Thursday ko AUD/USD pair 0.6660 ke aas paas ghoom raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis mein dikhaya gaya hai ke AUD/USD rectangle pattern ke andar consolidation phase mein hai, jo ek neutral market sentiment ko darshata hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke thode se neeche hai, jo ke ek clear directional bias ki kami ko aur zyada zahir karta hai. Is level ke upar ya neeche faislay karne se future trend ki nishandahi ki ja sakti hai.

Aage dekhte hue, AUD/USD ka turant support 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb hai jo 0.6604 par hai, uske baad rectangle pattern ke neeche border par 0.6585 par hai. Agar AUD/USD upper momentum hasil kar paata hai, toh wo potential hai ke pattern ke upper border ke aas paas 0.6700 tak ja sakta hai, shayad hi May ke high 0.6714 tak pohanch sake.

Jabki AUD/USD apne 0.63618 ke aas paas ke low se correction kar raha hai, kuch analysts ko lagta hai ke giravat abhi khatam nahi hui hai. Unka kehna hai ke jab tak price 0.6699 ke neeche rahe, pair ke liye aur neeche ki taraf movement ka intezar hai, jiska target range 0.6576 se lekar 0.65002 tak hai. Lekin yeh analysts is waqt AUD/USD ko bechnay ki tavajjo nahi dete. Unka yeh manna hai ke jab price "blue box area" tak pohanchega, toh buying activity barh sakti hai, jo naye highs ki taraf ya kam az kam ek significant corrective bounce ki taraf le ja sakti hai.

Analysis of the AUD/USD pair
AUD/USD pair mein bechne wale zor hain, jo das dinon se neeche ki taraf girte hue hain. Bechne walon ki koshish hai ke 0.6675-0.6695 hare zone ko toorna, jo ek na-test kiya gaya support level hai. Ek inkaar 18 December 2021 ko 05:00 InstaForex broker time par hua, aur buyers ne pink zone ya na-test resistance 0.6130-0.6150 ko toorna nahi. Lagta hai ke ab sellers hare zone ya na-test support 0.6002-0.6010 ko guzarne ki koshish kar rahe hain. 23 December 2021 ko 16:00 server time tak, buyers ka indigo zone ya resistance 0.6180-0.6190 tak pohanchne ka imkan hai. Next, sellers 0.6110-0.6120 tak pohanchne ka umeed karte hain, jo ke gray zone ya kamzor support hai. Agar ye price correct hoti hai, to AUD/USD pair aur neeche gir sakta hai. Magar, agar business inkaar ka samna karta hai, to keemat dobara buland ho sakti hai. Apne trading plan ke hisaab se peer ko, main price ke weak support area ka reaction closely monitor karunga jab wo usmein dakhil hone ki koshish karta hai. Agar price sahi taur par dakhil hoti hai, to bechna ka order lagaya ja sakta hai. Hum nafa ka target 0.6047 par set karenge. 0.6080 ke level ko stop loss ke taur par istemal kiya jayega. Agar price 0.6040 ke upar qaim hoti hai, to bechnay ke zone mein nafa ko bachane ke liye stop-loss orders lagaye jayenge. Abhi, short positions channel ke upper boundary aur 0.6110 ke level ke darmiyan kholi gayi hain. Halankeh, mojooda mein short positions ka hona maynwi nahi hai. Ek bullish safar ka intezar hai jo 0.6692 positions ko nishana banayega, jo doosron ke buyers ke liye keemat buland karne mein madad karega. Ek comfortable trading position dhoondne ke liye, meri raaye ke mutabiq, sirf price ko 0.6662 position tak pohanchne ka intezar karna chahiye. Halankeh keemat zyada tar ek upward trend ki taraf jaati hai, lekin mukhtalif factors ki wajah se market habits ki shuruwat mein keemat mein ek neeche ki correction ho sakti hai.