ای AUD/USD کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

AUD/USD Market Analysis
Pichlay Jumay ke trading session ke doran, currency pair mein 0.31% ki kami dekhne ko mili, aur yeh 0.6800 ke qareeb close hui. Is girawat ka sabab Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ki dovish policy aur China ki economy mein slowdown ke wajah se Australian exports ki demand mein kami ka khauf tha. Lekin Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ka hawkish stance aur Australia ke mixed economic data se AUD ko mazeed girawat se bacha sakta hai. Market ke band hone par, AUD/USD takreeban 0.6810 par trade ho rahi thi.

AUD/USD ke Fundamentals:

Sarmayakar ab aanay wali data releases ka intezar kar rahe hain, jisme Chinese retail sales aur industrial production figures shamil hain. Iske ilawa, Australian wage data for second quarter aur Westpac ka consumer confidence index bhi agle Asian trading session mein center of attention rahega. Khaas tor par, Westpac ke analysts ne RBA ke pehli rate cut ki forecast ko November 2024 se farag February 2025 tak muntaqil kar diya hai. Yeh shift yeh darshaata hai ke RBA ka hawkish stance AUD ko short-term mein support faraham kar sakta hai.

Market ka jazba stable hai, kyun ke traders ab U.S. inflation data ke intizar mein hain. European trading hours ke doran, S&P 500 futures mein nominal izafa dekha gaya, jabke U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke dollar ki value ko chay bari currencies ke khilaf mapi karta hai, 100.50 ke threshold se neeche gir gaya. U.S. Treasury yields bhi 3.84% ke qareeb gir gaye, jo ke sarmayakaron ke ehtiyat ko reflect karta hai.

Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Bullish traders ke liye, agar price 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke upar rehti hai, to yeh ek naye upward trend ki nishandahi kar sakti hai. Oscillators hourly chart par positive territory mein move karte hue dikhayi de rahe hain, jo ke AUD/USD pair ko intermediate hurdle 0.6850 tak le jaa sakta hai, jaha se yeh key resistance levels 0.6900 aur 0.6950 ka rukh kar sakta hai. Yeh 78.6% Fibonacci retracement ke barabar hai jo July-August ki decline se juda hai, aur yeh traders ke liye ek pivotal point ho sakta hai.

Despite Recent Bullish Movements:

Haal ke bullish movements ke bawajood, AUD/USD pair ko 0.6800 level ke qareeb significant resistance ka samna hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi tak neutral zone mein hai, jo ke strong momentum ki kami ko zahir karta hai. Iske ilawa, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) steady bullish traction ko darshaata hai, lekin yeh recovery ek fundamental catalyst ka intezar kar rahi hai jo ke crucial 0.6600 level ko tod sake.

AUD/USD currency pair ke price behavior ke tajziye ke hawalay se hai. AUD/USD filhal ek downward trend mein hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, 4-hour chart par price cloud ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, Kijun-sen aur Tenkan-sen signal lines ke neeche, aur Chikou-span line bhi price chart ke neeche hai. Is waqt ek "dead cross" active hai. Bollinger Bands downward slope par hain, MACD oscillator ke volumes kam ho rahe hain, Relative Strength Index (RSI) 49 se neeche hai, aur trend filter oscillator ne laal rang le liya hai, jo bears ke dominant hone ka saboot deta hai. Iss waqt selling ko tarjeeh di jani chahiye. Agar yeh girawat jari rehti hai, to agla target level 0.6621 hoga. Agar bears is threshold ko tod dete hain, to quotes mazeed gir kar 0.6560 tak ja sakti hain. Main yeh tawaqo karta hoon ke yeh level bhi breakdown hoga, aur downward trend 0.6605 tak jari rahega, jo ke channel ke neeche wali boundary 0.6557 tak bhi pohanch sakta hai. Medium term mein mera target 0.6458 aur 0.6349 ke levels par hai.
Meri analysis jo maine subah share ki thi, us ke mutabiq AUD/USD market bilkul bears ki madad kar rahi hai aur abhi 0.6646 level par hai. Agar yeh rejection hoti hai, to bulls ko dobara market mein entry lene ka moka milega. Iss dauran, market buyers ke haq mein ja rahi hai, jo is baat ka wazeh ishara hai ke momentum ab upward movement ki taraf shift ho raha hai. Buyers ko taqat mil rahi hai aur wo prices ko upar dhakel rahe hain, jo ke ek bullish scenario ka saboot hai. Doosri taraf, sellers apna asar kho rahe hain aur unhein market par dabao dalna mushkil ho raha hai. Aise mein, sellers ke liye sell entry lena munasib nahi hoga, kyun ke yeh prevailing trend ke khilaf hoga. Is waqt sell position lena nuqsan ka sabab ban sakta hai, kyun ke market ka momentum strong bullish trend ko support kar raha hai aur downward movement ka faida uthana mushkil hai. Imandari se, yeh lagta hai ke AUD/USD market agle chand ghanton mein bullish trend shuru kar dega. Yeh observation technical analysis ke zariye bhi support hoti hai jo daily aur hourly charts par available hai. Dono timeframes aaj ke liye bullish scenario ko dikhate hain, jo is baat ko reinforce karta hai ke market upward move kar raha hai. Daily chart, jo market ke movements ka broader perspective deta hai, ek strong upward trend dikhata hai, jahan price levels resistance points ko break kar rahi hain

AUD/USD currency pair ke price ka live evaluation hamari guftagu ke bilkul mutabiq hai. Buyers ki koshishein market mein dekhi ja sakti hain, kyunke AUD/USD ka uptrend 4-hour chart par support level 0.6625 se shuru ho chuka hai. Agar technical analysis ka mutala kiya jaye, toh yahan clear buy signals nazar aa rahe hain, jahan do important indicators ne iss ko confirm kiya hai. MACD oscillator ka histogram negative zone se nikal kar zero ko cross kar gaya hai aur ab positive territory mein chala gaya hai, jabke moving average bhi upward trend kar raha hai. Yeh sab ishaarat karte hain ke price smoothly barh sakti hai aur 0.6824 level ko cross karne ke imkanaat hain.Agar price kam az kam is distance ka aadha hisa tay kar leti hai aur extended position profitable ho jati hai, toh stop loss ko breakeven par lana ehedi ehtiyaat ka hissa hoga. Jaise hi AUD/USD pair resistance area 0.6794 ke kareeb pahunchta hai, sirf ek choti si rukawat 0.6767 par hai, jise candle body ne kuch had tak cross kar liya hai. Agle kuch dinon mein iss candle ka close hona bohot ahmiyat ka hamil hoga. Agar yeh apne mojooda level ke kareeb close hoti hai, toh mujhe umeed hai ke price aage barh kar 0.6794 resistance ko choo legi, jahan mein short karne ka sochunga.
Abhi ke liye, main side par rahunga. AUD/USD pair ke liye overall momentum bearish hai, halankeh sellers ke positions thore kamzor lagte hain. Agar price 0.6774/0.6799 resistance zone ke ooper wapas jati hai, toh yeh mumkin hai ke recent high 0.6823 ko test kare. Sab se qareebi support zone 0.6738/0.6721 ke qareeb hai, jahan se price ya toh wapas upar chal sakti hai ya phir downward trend ko barqarar rakhte hue 0.6621 ke bearish start line ki taraf gir sakti hai.Yeh 0.6621 support level kaafi crucial hai—agar yeh break hota hai, toh pehli downward wave trigger hogi jo AUD/USD pair ko 0.6496 aur 0.6419 tak le ja sakti hai. Jo chart hum dekh rahe hain, us par candles ne blue rang le liya hai, jo bulls ki strength ko indicate karta hai. Price ne channel ke neeche waale hadd ko (red dotted line) cross kiya aur minimum price mark se bounce kar ke wapas middle line (yellow dotted line) tak aa gayi hai. RSI oscillator bhi buy signal ko confirm kar raha hai, kyunke iski curve upward hai aur overbought levels ke kareeb nahi hai

shuru ho gaya hai jab market ne August ke aakhri din trading session mein qadam rakha. Pichle kuch dinon se bullish movement jo chal rahi hai, wo aalaaqat se upward trend rally hai. Agar hum pichle mahine ke akhir mein sellers ki nakami ko dekhein, jo 0.6650 ke niche nahi ja sake, to is wajah se dusre buyers ko BUY trading positions lene mein zyada confidence mila hai. Is waqt candlestick ki position Simple Moving Average indicator ke upar hai, jo yeh darust karti hai ke market ab bhi buyers ke asar mein hai. Price niche girne ke bawajood yellow SMA 60 indicator ko break nahi kar paya, jo ke yeh darust karta hai ke AUDUSD currency pair ke bullish trend ki taraf wapas aane ki salahiyat hai.

Market ki umeed hai ke wo upar ki taraf barhne ki koshish karega. Meri agle andazay ke mutabiq, market ab bhi aage barhne ki taraf hai. Halanki, market is waqt halki downward correction phase mein hai, lekin bullish movement ka mauqa ab bhi zyada range tak jaane ki umeed hai. Mera andaza hai ke aaj raat tak price mein izafa hoga, lekin range itni wide nahi hogi kyunki is hafte ke darmiyan trend shayad correction phase ke baad apne raahein dobara pakrayega.

Agar price 0.6800 ke upar barh jata hai to yeh is currency pair ke liye bullish safar jaari rakhne ka mazboot signal hoga. Is liye buyers ka dominion ab bhi price ko upar push karne ki taqat rakhta hai. Trading ka option ab bhi BUY transactions ki taraf hai. Natija: AUDUSD currency pair ke market halat ko agar technically dekha jaye to yeh ab bhi bullish hai, isliye is hafte ke trading session mein price ke izafe ki sambhavnayein ab bhi khuli hain. Lekin buyers ke liye behtar yeh hoga ke thoda sabr karein aur 0.6825 level tak rukne ka intezar karein pehle BUY position kholne se pehle. Target price level bullish ko 0.6875 tak pahunchne ki koshish karni chahiye, aur Stop Loss limit ko 0.6790 par rakhna chahiye. Agar agle trade mein price 0.6880 ko penetrate kar leta hai, to bullish trend phase dobara shuru ho sakhai hai

pair mazboot hai, jab ke expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate ko Tuesday ko 4.35% par stable rakhega.Monday ko release hone wale kamzor Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data ke bawajood AUD ne US Dollar (USD ) ke muqable mein achi position hasil ki hai. AUD/USD ka strong hona China ke central bank PBoC ke banking system mein liquidity inject karne se bhi related ho sakta hai, kyun ke Australia aur China ke darmiyan qareebi trade relation hai, aur Chinese economy mein developments ka Australian markets par bara asar ho sakta hai.PBoC ne 14-day reverse repo ke zariye banking system mein CNY 74.5 billion ka injection kiya, aur is dauran rate ko 1.95% se kam karke 1.85% kiya gaya. Iske ilawa, PBoC ne 7-day reverse repo ke zariye bhi CNY 160.1 billion ka injection kiya, jisme rate 1.7% par stable raha.AUD ko hawkish expectations se bhi faida mil raha hai, jo ke RBA ki aanay wali interest rate decision ke hawalay se hain, jo Tuesday ko hone wali hai. Expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par stable rakhegi, jo mazboot labor market aur inflationary pressures ko madde nazar rakhtay hue hai. Doosri taraf, US Dollar (USD) ki qeemat mein kami ho sakti hai kyun ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policymakers agle saal 2024 mein 75 basis points (bps) ke rate cuts predict kar rahe hain, jab ke last week unho ne aggressive 50 basis points ka rate cut kiya tha, jis se range 4.75-5.00% ho gayi hai.Monday ko AUD/USD pair 0.6820 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke pair ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai. But 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 se ooper hai, is liye aglay price movement se pair ke trend ka behtar andaza hoga. Is waqt AUD/USD pair ascending channel ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke 0.6839 ke nine-month high ke qareeb hai, jo 19 September ko dekha gaya tha. Agar is level se bounce hota hai, to pair upper boundary tak pohanch sakta hai, jo 0.6890 level ke qareeb hai. Neeche ki taraf, AUD/USD pair ko support 0.6771 par nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par mil sakta hai, aur agla aham support psychological level 0.6700 par hoga. Agar is se neeche break hota hai, to pair six-week low 0.6622 ki taraf

AUD/USD currency pair ke price behavior ke tajziye ke hawalay se hai. AUD/USD filhal ek downward trend mein hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, 4-hour chart par price cloud ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, Kijun-sen aur Tenkan-sen signal lines ke neeche, aur Chikou-span line bhi price chart ke neeche hai. Is waqt ek "dead cross" active hai. Bollinger Bands downward slope par hain, MACD oscillator ke volumes kam ho rahe hain, Relative Strength Index (RSI) 49 se neeche hai, aur trend filter oscillator ne laal rang le liya hai, jo bears ke dominant hone ka saboot deta hai. Iss waqt selling ko tarjeeh di jani chahiye. Agar yeh girawat jari rehti hai, to agla target level 0.6621 hoga. Agar bears is threshold ko tod dete hain, to quotes mazeed gir kar 0.6560 tak ja sakti hain. Main yeh tawaqo karta hoon ke yeh level bhi breakdown hoga, aur downward trend 0.6605 tak jari rahega, jo ke channel ke neeche wali boundary 0.6557 tak bhi pohanch sakta hai. Medium term mein mera target 0.6458 aur 0.6349 ke levels par hai.
Meri analysis jo maine subah share ki thi, us ke mutabiq AUD/USD market bilkul bears ki madad kar rahi hai aur abhi 0.6646 level par hai. Agar yeh rejection hoti hai, to bulls ko dobara market mein entry lene ka moka milega. Iss dauran, market buyers ke haq mein ja rahi hai, jo is baat ka wazeh ishara hai ke momentum ab upward movement ki taraf shift ho raha hai. Buyers ko taqat mil rahi hai aur wo prices ko upar dhakel rahe hain, jo ke ek bullish scenario ka saboot hai. Doosri taraf, sellers apna asar kho rahe hain aur unhein market par dabao dalna mushkil ho raha hai. Aise mein, sellers ke liye sell entry lena munasib nahi hoga, kyun ke yeh prevailing trend ke khilaf hoga. Is waqt sell position lena nuqsan ka sabab ban sakta hai, kyun ke market ka momentum strong bullish trend ko support kar raha hai aur downward movement ka faida uthana mushkil hai. Imandari se, yeh lagta hai ke AUD/USD market agle chand ghanton mein bullish trend shuru kar dega. Yeh observation technical analysis ke zariye bhi support hoti hai jo daily aur hourly charts par available hai. Dono timeframes aaj ke liye bullish scenario ko dikhate hain, jo is baat ko reinforce karta hai ke market upward move kar raha hai. Daily chart, jo market ke movements ka broader perspective deta hai, ek strong upward trend dikhata hai, jahan price levels resistance points ko break kar rahi hain

AUD/USD currency pair ke price behavior ke tajziye ke hawalay se hai. AUD/USD filhal ek downward trend mein hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, 4-hour chart par price cloud ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, Kijun-sen aur Tenkan-sen signal lines ke neeche, aur Chikou-span line bhi price chart ke neeche hai. Is waqt ek "dead cross" active hai. Bollinger Bands downward slope par hain, MACD oscillator ke volumes kam ho rahe hain, Relative Strength Index (RSI) 49 se neeche hai, aur trend filter oscillator ne laal rang le liya hai, jo bears ke dominant hone ka saboot deta hai. Iss waqt selling ko tarjeeh di jani chahiye. Agar yeh girawat jari rehti hai, to agla target level 0.6621 hoga. Agar bears is threshold ko tod dete hain, to quotes mazeed gir kar 0.6560 tak ja sakti hain. Main yeh tawaqo karta hoon ke yeh level bhi breakdown hoga, aur downward trend 0.6605 tak jari rahega, jo ke channel ke neeche wali boundary 0.6557 tak bhi pohanch sakta hai. Medium term mein mera target 0.6458 aur 0.6349 ke levels par hai. Meri analysis jo maine subah share ki thi, us ke mutabiq AUD/USD market bilkul bears ki madad kar rahi hai aur abhi 0.6646 level par hai. Agar yeh rejection hoti hai, to bulls ko dobara market mein entry lene ka moka milega. Iss dauran, market buyers ke haq mein ja rahi hai, jo is baat ka wazeh ishara hai ke momentum ab upward movement ki taraf shift ho raha hai. Buyers ko taqat mil rahi hai aur wo prices ko upar dhakel rahe hain, jo ke ek bullish scenario ka saboot hai. Doosri taraf, sellers apna asar kho rahe hain aur unhein market par dabao dalna mushkil ho raha hai. Aise mein, sellers ke liye sell entry lena munasib nahi hoga, kyun ke yeh prevailing trend ke khilaf hoga. Is waqt sell position lena nuqsan ka sabab ban sakta hai, kyun ke market ka momentum strong bullish trend ko support kar raha hai aur downward movement ka faida uthana mushkil hai. Imandari se, yeh lagta hai ke AUD/USD market agle chand ghanton mein bullish trend shuru kar dega. Yeh observation technical analysis ke zariye bhi support hoti hai jo daily aur hourly charts par available hai. Dono timeframes aaj ke liye bullish scenario ko dikhate hain, jo is baat ko reinforce karta hai ke market upward move kar raha hai. Daily chart, jo market ke movements ka broader perspective deta hai, ek strong upward trend dikhata hai, jahan price levels resistance points ko break ka

AUDUSD currency pair ab bhi bullish trend par aage barhne ki salahiyat rakhta hai. Agar hum H4 time frame par price action ka jaiza lein, to bullish trend structure phir se banana shuru ho gaya hai jab market ne August ke aakhri din trading session mein qadam rakha. Pichle kuch dinon se bullish movement jo chal rahi hai, wo aalaaqat se upward trend rally hai. Agar hum pichle mahine ke akhir mein sellers ki nakami ko dekhein, jo 0.6650 ke niche nahi ja sake, to is wajah se dusre buyers ko BUY trading positions lene mein zyada confidence mila hai. Is waqt candlestick ki position Simple Moving Average indicator ke upar hai, jo yeh darust karti hai ke market ab bhi buyers ke asar mein hai. Price niche girne ke bawajood yellow SMA 60 indicator ko break nahi kar paya, jo ke yeh darust karta hai ke AUDUSD currency pair ke bullish trend ki taraf wapas aane ki salahiyat hai.
Market ki umeed hai ke wo upar ki taraf barhne ki koshish karega. Meri agle andazay ke mutabiq, market ab bhi aage barhne ki taraf hai. Halanki, market is waqt halki downward correction phase mein hai, lekin bullish movement ka mauqa ab bhi zyada range tak jaane ki umeed hai. Mera andaza hai ke aaj raat tak price mein izafa hoga, lekin range itni wide nahi hogi kyunki is hafte ke darmiyan trend shayad correction phase ke baad apne raahein dobara pakrayega.

Agar price 0.6800 ke upar barh jata hai to yeh is currency pair ke liye bullish safar jaari rakhne ka mazboot signal hoga. Is liye buyers ka dominion ab bhi price ko upar push karne ki taqat rakhta hai. Trading ka option ab bhi BUY transactions ki taraf hai. Natija: AUDUSD currency pair ke market halat ko agar technically dekha jaye to yeh ab bhi bullish hai, isliye is hafte ke trading session mein price ke izafe ki sambhavnayein ab bhi khuli hain. Lekin buyers ke liye behtar yeh hoga ke thoda sabr karein aur 0.6825 level tak rukne ka intezar karein pehle BUY position kholne se pehle. Target price level bullish ko 0.6875 tak pahunchne ki koshish karni chahiye, aur Stop Loss limit ko 0.6790 par rakhna chahiye. Agar agle trade mein price 0.6880 ko penetrate kar leta hai, to bullish trend phase dobara shuru ho sakhai hai

AUD/USD ka jo pair hai, is waqt 0.6925 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai aur mojooda trend bearish hai. Bawajood is ke ke market dheemi raftaar se chal rahi hai, kuch aise asar hain jo agle chand dino mein ek bari harkat ka ishara de rahe hain. Kai factors hain jo is aane wali volatility ko bharhawa de sakte hain.
Sab se pehle, Australia aur United States ki maashi surat-e-haal ahm kirdar ada karegi. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) aik ehtiyaati monetary policy stance ko barqarar rakhi hui hai, jo ke inflationary dabao aur economic growth ke darmiyan tawazun banane ki koshish kar rahi hai. Agar RBA ke lehje mein koi ghair mutawaqqa tabdeeli aati hai, chahe woh interest rate mein izafa ho ya kami, to iska gehra asar AUD par parh sakta hai. Dosri taraf, US Federal Reserve ka hawkish rawaiya aur American maeshat ki mazbooti, USD ko support kar rahi hai.

Global market sentiment bhi ek ahm factor hai. AUD ko aksar ek risk-sensitive currency samjha jata hai, is liye agar global risk appetite mein koi tabdeeli hoti hai to is se tez harkatain ho sakti hain. Maslan, agar geopolitical tensions mein izafa hota hai ya global financial markets mein ghair yaqeeni barh jaati hai, to log safe-haven assets jaise ke USD mein panah lene lagte hain, jis se AUD aur kamzor ho sakti hai.

Is ke ilawa, commodity prices, khaaskar iron ore aur doosri Australian exports, AUD ko mutasir karengi. Agar China, jo Australia ka sab se bara tijarati partner hai, se demand mein kami aati hai, to Australian dollar par mazeed dabao parh sakta hai.

Akhir mein, jabke mojooda bearish trend dheemi market ka ishara deta hai, kai factors hain jo AUD/USD pair mein jald aik bari harkat ko janam de sakte hain. Traders ko aane wale economic data, central bank ke faislay, aur global sentiment par nazar rakhni chahiye kyun ke ye factors qareebi mustaqbil mein volatility ko barhawa de sakte hain.

Price Action Analysis: AUD/USD
Hamari guftagu ka mauzu AUD/USD currency pair ke price movements ka tajziya hai. AUD/USD pair ne zyada tar hafta upward trend mein guzara, magar darmiyani waqt mein kuch pullbacks bhi dekhne ko mile jo consistently mutawaqqa thay. Jumma ke din 0.6923 resistance level ko test karne ke bawajood, bears ne mukhtasir arsay ke liye qabza hasil kiya, jiska natija retracement ki surat mein nikla. Pair ne aakhir kar 0.6900 par settle kiya, jo ke in levels ke darmiyan hai, aur ye ishara deta hai ke yeh harkat mukammal nahi hui. Is liye, weekend ke baad sellers is harkat ko mukammal kar sakte hain aur price ko 0.6876 support level ki taraf dhakel sakte hain. Agar bulls jaldi qabza karte hain, to price 0.6923 ke ooper consolidate kar sakti hai, jo buyers ke liye ek acha entry point ho sakta hai. Magar pehlay ke isharay yeh suggest karte hain ke pullback hone ka imkaan zyada hai, us se pehle ke pair ka agla direction wazeh ho. Aik technical algorithm jo neural network ke andar hai, mazeed downward movement ko 0.6880 support level ki taraf dikhata hai. Bears ke paas abhi bhi price ko neeche le jane ki gunjaish hai, jis wajah se yeh scenario mumkin hai.

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Signal yeh dikhata hai ke bearish movement ka imkaan hai, magar outcome hamesha mutawaqqa scenario ke mutabiq nahi hota. Buyers ab bhi interven kar sakte hain, aur price ko sab se qareebi resistance level tak aur shaayad us se bhi aagay le ja sakte hain. Magar ziada door tak tajziya karna behtareen nahi hoga—dekhte hain ke aane walay chand ghanton mein surat-e-haal kaise evolve hoti hai. Price ne aakhir kar 38.1% Fibonacci retracement resistance level ko hit aur break kiya, jisko mein ne sab se qareebi ahm point ke tor par anticipate kiya tha. Agle hafte hum kya umeed kar


sakte hain? Agar price is resistance ke ooper stabilize hoti hai, to buyers ke paas kafi momentum hoga ke pair ko upar le ja saken. Agla target 200-period moving average hoga, jo sirf chand points door hai, is liye yeh reasonable hai ke growth is level tak jari rahe. Aik potential pullback is moving average se ek behtareen buying opportunity faraham kar sakta hai. Agar bulls MA200 ko break karte hain, unka agla maqsood 50% level hoga. Chahe retracement ho ya na ho, setup buyers ke liye promising lagta hai.

USD pair mazboot hai, jab ke expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate ko Tuesday ko 4.35% par stable rakhega.Monday ko release hone wale kamzor Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data ke bawajood AUD ne US Dollar (USD ) ke muqable mein achi position hasil ki hai. AUD/USD ka strong hona China ke central bank PBoC ke banking system mein liquidity inject karne se bhi related ho sakta hai, kyun ke Australia aur China ke darmiyan qareebi trade relation hai, aur Chinese economy mein developments ka Australian markets par bara asar ho sakta hai.PBoC ne 14-day reverse repo ke zariye banking system mein CNY 74.5 billion ka injection kiya, aur is dauran rate ko 1.95% se kam karke 1.85% kiya gaya. Iske ilawa, PBoC ne 7-day reverse repo ke zariye bhi CNY 160.1 billion ka injection kiya, jisme rate 1.7% par stable raha.AUD ko hawkish expectations se bhi faida mil raha hai, jo ke RBA ki aanay wali interest rate decision ke hawalay se hain, jo Tuesday ko hone wali hai. Expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par stable rakhegi, jo mazboot labor market aur inflationary pressures ko madde nazar rakhtay hue hai. Doosri taraf, US Dollar (USD) ki qeemat mein kami ho sakti hai kyun ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policymakers agle saal 2024 mein 75 basis points (bps) ke rate cuts predict kar rahe hain, jab ke last week unho ne aggressive 50 basis points ka rate cut kiya tha, jis se range 4.75-5.00% ho gayi hai.Monday ko AUD/USD pair 0.6820 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke pair ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai. But 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 se ooper hai, is liye aglay price movement se pair ke trend ka behtar andaza hoga. Is waqt AUD/USD pair ascending channel ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke 0.6839 ke nine-month high ke qareeb hai, jo 19 September ko dekha gaya tha. Agar is level se bounce hota hai, to pair upper boundary tak pohanch sakta hai, jo 0.6890 level ke qareeb hai. Neeche ki taraf, AUD/USD pair ko support 0.6771 par nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par mil sakta hai, aur agla aham support psychological level 0.6700 par hoga. Agar is se neeche break hota hai, to pair six-week low 0.6622 ki taraf ja sakta hai

AUD/USD ke jo price movement hai, wo resistance level 0.6839 ko test karne ki koshish kar raha hai taake apni upward rally ko jaari rakh sake. Lekin, jab market bullish trend mein hoti hai, to price ke upar jaane ke chances zyada hote hain. Magar, agar price resistance 0.6839 se reject hota hai ya false break hoti hai, to yeh neeche correct hoke minor support 0.6795 tak aasakti hai. Agar hum observe karein, to price jab upar move karta hai to sirf EMA 50 ke aas paas correct hota hai aur SMA 200 tak nahi girta, jo ke dynamic support ka kaam karta hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke current bullish trend kaafi strong hai kyunki correction zyada neeche nahi ja raha.
Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke perspective se dekhein, to uptrend momentum kamzor hota nazar aa raha hai. Volume histogram jo ke positive area mein hai, level 0 ke kareeb pohanch raha hai aur is baat ka chance hai ke yeh negative area mein cross kar jaye. Stochastic indicator ke perspective se dekhein to yeh price movement ko support kar raha hai ke AUD/USD pair upar move kar sakta hai. Kyunke parameters ne oversold zone (level 20 - 10) ko cross kar liya hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke price decline ab apne selling saturation point par pohanch gaya hai. Agar hum price pattern structure ko dekhein, to yeh ab tak higher high aur higher low condition mein hai. Jab tak 0.6784 ke low prices ka structure break nahi hota, jo ke invalidation level hai, price rally ko continue kar sakta hai.

Aaj jab price neeche move hui, to yeh is channel ke lower boundary 0.6723 par pohanchi. Halanki price is level se thoda neeche gaya, lekin yeh decline sustain nahi ho saka aur ab yeh ruk gaya hai. Mujhe lagta nahi ke yeh reversal ho, aur price upar move karegi. Growth ka target descending channel ki upper limit 0.6773 ho sakta hai. Pair ne aaj aur bhi zyada drop kiya aur initial target ko surpass kar diya. Chart yeh dikhata hai ke pair ne 0.6719 ke support level ko test kiya aur ab 0.6718 par trade kar raha hai. RSI buy zone mein hai, lekin thodi hesitation dikha raha hai, jab ke AO possible oversold situation ko indicate karta hai. Pair ka price previous day's trading range se neeche hai. Halanki signals strong nahi hain, lekin yeh potential growth ko suggest karte hain, jo ke 0.6759 ke resistance level ki taraf move kar sakti hai.

downward trend mein hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, 4-hour chart par price cloud ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, Kijun-sen aur Tenkan-sen signal lines ke neeche, aur Chikou-span line bhi price chart ke neeche hai. Is waqt ek "dead cross" active hai. Bollinger Bands downward slope par hain, MACD oscillator ke volumes kam ho rahe hain, Relative Strength Index (RSI) 49 se neeche hai, aur trend filter oscillator ne laal rang le liya hai, jo bears ke dominant hone ka saboot deta hai. Iss waqt selling ko tarjeeh di jani chahiye. Agar yeh girawat jari rehti hai, to agla target level 0.6621 hoga. Agar bears is threshold ko tod dete hain, to quotes mazeed gir kar 0.6560 tak ja sakti hain. Main yeh tawaqo karta hoon ke yeh level bhi breakdown hoga, aur downward trend 0.6605 tak jari rahega, jo ke channel ke neeche wali boundary 0.6557 tak bhi pohanch sakta hai. Medium term mein mera target 0.6458 aur 0.6349 ke levels par hai.
Meri analysis jo maine subah share ki thi, us ke mutabiq AUD/USD market bilkul bears ki madad kar rahi hai aur abhi 0.6646 level par hai. Agar yeh rejection hoti hai, to bulls ko dobara market mein entry lene ka moka milega. Iss dauran, market buyers ke haq mein ja rahi hai, jo is baat ka wazeh ishara hai ke momentum ab upward movement ki taraf shift ho raha hai. Buyers ko taqat mil rahi hai aur wo prices ko upar dhakel rahe hain, jo ke ek bullish scenario ka saboot hai. Doosri taraf, sellers apna asar kho rahe hain aur unhein market par dabao dalna mushkil ho raha hai. Aise mein, sellers ke liye sell entry lena munasib nahi hoga, kyun ke yeh prevailing trend ke khilaf hoga. Is waqt sell position lena nuqsan ka sabab ban sakta hai, kyun ke market ka momentum strong bullish trend ko support kar raha hai aur downward movement ka faida uthana mushkil hai. Imandari se, yeh lagta hai ke AUD/USD market agle chand ghanton mein bullish trend shuru kar dega. Yeh observation technical analysis ke zariye bhi support hoti hai jo daily aur hourly charts par available hai. Dono timeframes aaj ke liye bullish scenario ko dikhate hain, jo is baat ko reinforce karta hai ke market upward move kar raha hai. Daily chart, jo market ke movements ka broader perspective deta hai, ek strong upward trend dikhata hai, jahan price levels resistance points ko break kar

AUD/USD chart ab tezi se upar aur neeche hone wale price movements ko dikha raha hai, lekin ab tak north ka level break nahi hua hai aur ab humein is trading instrument mein ek clear bullish trend nazar aa raha hai. Halanki, jaisa ke main samajhta hoon, pehle ek aur price hike karke, yeh neeche se liquidity ko remove karna chahte hain, taake expected opening price ko overall formation mein neeche nahi le jaaya ja sake, sirf volume ke hawale se nahi. Yeh is liye kiya ja sakta hai ke naye trading positions banayein, lekin wo 0.6720 ka level test kar sakte hain, jo ke current price se neeche hai. Yeh ek aur scenario hai jo kaam kar sakta hai, aur agar hum 0.6700 ke accumulation area mein move karte hain aur AUD/USD pair ko 0.6680 se neeche nahi le jaana chahta, to is scenario ke mutabiq, wahan se 0.6650 level ke neeche se hum upper range mein fly kar sakte hain.
AUD/USD ne ek significant increase dikhaya Federal Reserve ke interest rate mein kami ki wajah se. Lekin, hafte ke doosray hisse mein price ko 0.6930 ke aas paas resistances ka cluster mila, jise break nahi kar saka. Kisi bhi surat mein, main abhi pair ko sell karne mein jaldi nahi kar raha, kyunke lower timeframes par consolidation ho raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke ek upside breakthrough abhi tayar ho raha hai, aur price increase ka intezaar kiya ja sakta hai 0.6975 tak. Wahan se, main ek possible reversal ka soch raha hoon, jahan pair global downtrend ke framework mein dobara neeche ja sakta hai.

hain, jab ke Fed aur RBA ke monetary policy ke trajectories mein farq hai. Yeh farq aam tor par US dollar ko mazid mazboot aur Australian dollar ko kamzor banata hai, jo ke AUD/USD exchange rate ke neeche aane mein zahir ho raha hai. Iske ilawa, broader market conditions aur risk sentiment bhi currency movements ko shape karte hain. Global economic outlook, geopolitical developments, aur commodity prices mein utar charhao bhi AUD/USD pair ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, commodity prices, khas tor par Australia ke key exports jaise ke iron ore, Australian dollar ki performance par asar dal sakti hain. Commodity prices ke kamzor hone se AUD par aur zyada pressure a sakta hai, jo ke pair ke haali low levels mein shamil hai. AUD/USD ka initial resistance level 0.6643 par ho sakta hai. Agar initial resistance level break kar liya gaya, toh agla bullish target 0.7121 ho sakta hai. Agar 0.7121 ke upar close hota hai, toh market price 0.7543 tak ja sakta hai, jo ke 3rd level of resistance hai. Doosri taraf, AUD/USD ka initial support level 0.6616 par ho sakta hai. Agar initial support level break kar liya gaya, toh agla bearish target 0.6593 ho sakta hai. Agar 0.6593 ke neeche close hota hai, toh market price 0.5843 tak ja sakta hai, jo ke 3rd level of support hai. Trading ke dauran ehtiyaat karein aur support aur resistance areas par dhyaan dein jahan se market apna direction change kar sakti hai. Friday ke Asian market session mein trading ke dauran lagta hai ke price abhi tak buyers ke control mein hai, jo apni bullish opportunities ko maintain karne ke liye mazeed enter karte ja rahe hain, aur price ko rise karne ka target rakh rahe hain, taake seller's resistance area ko test kiya ja sake 0.6638-0.6640 par, aur yeh area penetrate karna zaroori hai taake ek higher bullish path khul sake, jiska agla target seller's supply resistance area hai 0.6695-0.6700 par, jo ke abhi tak seller ne maintain kiya hua hai