ای aud/usd کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

AUDUSD currency pair ab bhi bullish trend par aage barhne ki salahiyat rakhta hai. Agar hum H4 time frame par price action ka jaiza lein, to bullish trend structure phir se banana shuru ho gaya hai jab market ne August ke aakhri din trading session mein qadam rakha. Pichle kuch dinon se bullish movement jo chal rahi hai, wo aalaaqat se upward trend rally hai. Agar hum pichle mahine ke akhir mein sellers ki nakami ko dekhein, jo 0.6650 ke niche nahi ja sake, to is wajah se dusre buyers ko BUY trading positions lene mein zyada confidence mila hai. Is waqt candlestick ki position Simple Moving Average indicator ke upar hai, jo yeh darust karti hai ke market ab bhi buyers ke asar mein hai. Price niche girne ke bawajood yellow SMA 60 indicator ko break nahi kar paya, jo ke yeh darust karta hai ke AUDUSD currency pair ke bullish trend ki taraf wapas aane ki salahiyat hai.

Market ki umeed hai ke wo upar ki taraf barhne ki koshish karega. Meri agle andazay ke mutabiq, market ab bhi aage barhne ki taraf hai. Halanki, market is waqt halki downward correction phase mein hai, lekin bullish movement ka mauqa ab bhi zyada range tak jaane ki umeed hai. Mera andaza hai ke aaj raat tak price mein izafa hoga, lekin range itni wide nahi hogi kyunki is hafte ke darmiyan trend shayad correction phase ke baad apne raahein dobara pakrayega.

Agar price 0.6800 ke upar barh jata hai to yeh is currency pair ke liye bullish safar jaari rakhne ka mazboot signal hoga. Is liye buyers ka dominion ab bhi price ko upar push karne ki taqat rakhta hai. Trading ka option ab bhi BUY transactions ki taraf hai. Natija: AUDUSD currency pair ke market halat ko agar technically dekha jaye to yeh ab bhi bullish hai, isliye is hafte ke trading session mein price ke izafe ki sambhavnayein ab bhi khuli hain. Lekin buyers ke liye behtar yeh hoga ke thoda sabr karein aur 0.6825 level tak rukne ka intezar karein pehle BUY position kholne se pehle. Target price level bullish ko 0.6875 tak pahunchne ki koshish karni chahiye, aur Stop Loss limit ko 0.6790 par rakhna chahiye. Agar agle trade mein price 0.6880 ko penetrate kar leta hai, to bullish trend phase dobara shuru ho sakhai hai

USD pair is waqt taqat dikha raha hai, jabke umeed hai ke Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) apni aane wali meeting mein Tuesday ko Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par barqarar rakhega. Halaankeh Monday ko Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) ke weak data ka intezar hai, Australian Dollar (AUD) ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein mazahmat dikhayi hai.

### Factors Supporting AUD's Strength

1. **Chinese Economy ka Asar**: AUD ki taqat USD ke muqablay mein shayad Chinese Central Bank (PBoC) ke apne banking system mein liquidity inject karne ki wajah se hai. Australia aur China ke darmiyan qareebi trade taluqat hain, is liye Chinese economy mein jo bhi developments hoti hain, wo Australian markets ko bohot zyada asar dalti hain. Hali mein, PBoC ne apne banking system mein CNY 74.5 billion inject kiye hain 14-day reverse repo ke zariye, aur iska rate 1.95% se kum kar ke 1.85% kar diya hai. Is ke ilawa, PBoC ne CNY 160.1 billion bhi inject kiya 7-day reverse repo ke zariye, lekin is rate ko 1.7% par hi rakha.

2. **RBA ke Hawish Expectations**: AUD ko faida ho raha hai RBA ki hawkish expectations ki wajah se. Australia ka strong labor market aur barqarar inflationary pressures RBA ko apni OCR ko 4.35% par barqarar rakhne ki taraf le jaa rahe hain. Ye bhi AUD ki taqat ko barqarar rakhta hai.

### Outlook for USD

Doosri taraf, USD ki value mein kami ki umeed hai, kyunki Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policymakers 2024 ke liye 75 basis points ki rate cuts ka andaza laga rahe hain. Guzishta hafte, Fed ne aggressive 50 basis points ki cut lagayi thi, jis se rate range 4.75-5.00% ho gayi hai.

### Current Market Dynamics

Monday ko AUD/USD pair 0.6820 ke aas-paas trade kar rahi thi. Daily chart ke technical analysis ke mutabiq, yeh pair ascending channel pattern ki lower boundary ko test kar rahi hai, jo ke bullish bias mein kamzori ka ishara deti hai. Lekin, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 ke upar hai, jo qareebi future mein upward momentum ki potential ko darshata hai.

AUD/USD pair is waqt ascending channel ki lower boundary ko test kar rahi hai, jo ke 0.6839 ke nine-month high ke qareeb hai, jo ke pichle September 19 ko dekha gaya tha. Agar yeh pair is level se bounce back karti hai, to yeh upper boundary ke qareeb 0.6890 tak jaa sakti hai.

### Support and Resistance Levels

1. **Support Levels**: Pair ko 0.6771 ke aas-paas support mil sakta hai, jo ke nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke sath coincide karta hai. Agla psychological support level 0.6700 par hai.
2. **Potential Breakdowns**: Agar yeh pair is level ke neeche break hoti hai, to yeh six-week low 0.6622 tak gir sakti hai.






Aaj ke halaat ko dekhte hue, AUD/USD pair mein mazeed volatility ka intezar hai, lekin strong resistance aur support levels ko samajhna traders ke liye zaroori hoga.

Spot price mein moderate appreciation dekhne ko mili hai jab se domestic employment data aur China ke key economic figures release hui hain. Lekin, currency US Dollar ke muqablay mein apni strength barqarar nahi rakh saki, kyun ke copper aur iron ore ki prices gir rahi hain, jo ke Aussie par burden bana hua hai. Commodity prices mein ye girawat aur zyada badi China ke worsening credit data ke baad, jisme commodity surplus aur girti hui demand ne Australian markets par pressure ko barhaya hai.Yeh pair ek ahm mor par hai, jab market participants domestic aur international developments par nazar rakh rahe hain. Jabke RBA ki hawkish policies aur stable global equities support kar rahi hain, lekin currency ab bhi geopolitical uncertainties aur US monetary policy mein changes ke liye vulnerable hai. Aanay wale US inflation figures ek pivotal factor honge, jisme koi bhi surprise Fed ki rate outlook aur AUD/USD ke direction par asar daal sakta hai.Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser ne persistent inflation ko disrupted supply chains aur constrained labor market se link kiya, aur future economic forecasts ke hawalay se significant uncertainty ko highlight kiya. In challenges ke ilawa, Australian dollar, jo ke risk ke liye sensitive maana jata hai, safe-haven flows ke barhawa ki wajah se pressure mein hai, khas tor par Middle East mein escalating geopolitical tensions ki wajah se. Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant ne U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin ko Iran ke military actions ke baare mein inform kiya, jo ke Israel par ek bara strike ke liye tayyari ka ishara de raha hai, aur global concerns ko aur barha raha hai.US Dollar ko momentum hasil karne mein mushkil ka samna hai, kyun ke Federal Reserve se badhtay hue interest rate cuts ki umeed barhti ja rahi hai. Central banks ke darmiyan ye monetary policy ka farq price ke liye favorable raha hai. Lekin, pair ke liye mazeed gains ka potential limited hai jab traders aanay wale US inflation data par focus kar rahe hain, jo ke market sentiment ko significant tor par badal sakta hai. Agar pair ascending channel ko breach karta hai, to bearish pressures samnay aa sakte hain. Channel ke neeche break karne se downward trend start ho sakta hai, jisse pair throwback level of 0.6940 tak push ho sakta hai.

Agar ye support level break hota hai, to bearish outlook mazid solidify ho sakta hai aur pair ko 0.6884 ke aglay key level tak le ja sakta hai. Iske ilawa, 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 0.6903 par ab immediate support provide kar raha hai, followed by lower boundary of the ascending channel jo ke 0.6890 ke qareeb hai, jo 9-day EMA ke sath aligned hai 0.6909 par.
Friday ke doran, spot price 0.6903 ke qareeb trade ho raha tha, ascending channel ke lower boundary ko test kar raha tha. Hourly chart analysis se lagta hai ke pair mein bullish momentum kamzor ho raha hai. 14 day Relative Strength Index (RSI) thoda 50 level se neeche hai, jo growing bearish momentum ka ishara deta hai, jab traders further downside risks se ehtiyaat barat rahe hain.

Filhal, AUD/USD pair lagbhag 0.6907 par trade kar raha hai, aur overall trend bearish momentum dikha raha hai. Market dheere dheere neeche ja raha hai, jo yeh batata hai ke Australian dollar US dollar ke muqable mein kamzor ho raha hai. Iss slow movement ke bawajood kuch aise asaar hain jo yeh ishara dete hain ke aane wale dino mein ek significant shift ho sakta hai, aur pair mein ek bara move dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

Is imkaan ke peeche kaafi factors hain. Pehla, global economic conditions kaafi ahm kirdar ada karte hain currency movements ko influence karne mein. Australian economy mein koi bhi bara development, jaise ke interest rates mein tabdeeli, inflation data, ya trade balances ka asar, Australian dollar ko sharply react karne par majboor kar sakta hai. Isi tarah, US se aane wale economic updates, khaaskar Federal Reserve ki policies ke hawalay se, interest rates aur inflation par, is currency pair ko bhi asar daal sakte hain.Technical analysis ke hawalay se, bearish trend abhi various indicators, jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Averages, se support ho raha hai, jo yeh suggest karte hain ke downward trend abhi barqarar reh sakta hai. Agar AUD/USD key support levels, jaise ke 0.6880, ke neeche break karta hai, to aur girawat ho sakti hai, jo price ko lower targets tak le ja sakti hai, mumkin hai ke 0.6800 ke qareeb bhi ho.Lekin, traders ko potential reversals ke liye bhi tayar rehna chahiye. Agar market kisi unexpected economic news ya geopolitical developments par react karta hai, to AUD/USD mein ek tezi se upward movement ho sakta hai. Jaise, agar US Federal Reserve se koi dovish signals milte hain ya Australia se economic data expect se zyada strong aata hai, to yeh pair ko bullish movement de sakta hai.

AUD/USD Price Forecast
Aaj ka US data calendar kaafi busy hai. Third GDP/PCE second-quarter ka print ziada surprise nahi karega, lekin jobless claims zyada market-moving release ho sakti hai, saath hi August ke durable goods orders aur leading index bhi asar dal sakte hain. Fedspeak side par, Chair Powell pre-recorded remarks denge, aur ek lambi list doosre speakers ki hai: Collins, Bowman, Williams, Barr, Cook aur Kashkari. Har member ke Dot Plot submission par kuch additional information mil sakti hai.

AUD/USD price is waqt 0.6860 ke aas paas hai, jo ke ascending channel ke lower boundary ke qareeb hai. 14-day RSI abhi bhi 50 level se upar hai, jo yeh batata hai ke bullish sentiment abhi tak mazboot hai. Agar price channel mein wapas aa jata hai, toh yeh pair ke liye bullish bias ko aur mazid support dega.

AUD/USD ne pichlay session ki recent losses ko recover kiya hai aur Thursday ko European hours ke dauran 0.6860 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Daily chart ke technical analysis ke mutabiq, pair ne ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary ke upar break karne ki koshish ki. Agar price wapas channel mein aa jata hai, toh yeh bullish outlook ko mazid mazboot karega.

14-day RSI 50 level se upar hai, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke bullish sentiment abhi tak hai. Agar RSI 70 level ki taraf move karta hai, toh yeh upside trend ko aur zyada mazboot karega.

Upar ki taraf, AUD/USD pair ascending channel ke lower boundary ko 0.6860 level par test kar raha hai. Agar yeh rebound hota hai, toh pair ko upper boundary tak le ja sakta hai, jo ke 0.6960 ke aas paas hai.

Support ke hawalay se, AUD/USD pair ko immediate support 9-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par mil sakta hai, jo ke 0.6815 ke qareeb hai. Agla key support level psychological barrier 0.6700 par hai. Agar price is level se neeche girta hai, toh yeh pair ko aur neeche le ja sakta hai, jahan iska six-week low 0.6622 hai.

AUD/USD Price Forecast
Aaj ka US data calendar kaafi busy hai. Third GDP/PCE second-quarter ka print ziada surprise nahi karega, lekin jobless claims zyada market-moving release ho sakti hai, saath hi August ke durable goods orders aur leading index bhi asar dal sakte hain. Fedspeak side par, Chair Powell pre-recorded remarks denge, aur ek lambi list doosre speakers ki hai: Collins, Bowman, Williams, Barr, Cook aur Kashkari. Har member ke Dot Plot submission par kuch additional information mil sakti hai.

AUD/USD price is waqt 0.6860 ke aas paas hai, jo ke ascending channel ke lower boundary ke qareeb hai. 14-day RSI abhi bhi 50 level se upar hai, jo yeh batata hai ke bullish sentiment abhi tak mazboot hai. Agar price channel mein wapas aa jata hai, toh yeh pair ke liye bullish bias ko aur mazid support dega.

AUD/USD ne pichlay session ki recent losses ko recover kiya hai aur Thursday ko European hours ke dauran 0.6860 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Daily chart ke technical analysis ke mutabiq, pair ne ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary ke upar break karne ki koshish ki. Agar price wapas channel mein aa jata hai, toh yeh bullish outlook ko mazid mazboot karega.

14-day RSI 50 level se upar hai, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke bullish sentiment abhi tak hai. Agar RSI 70 level ki taraf move karta hai, toh yeh upside trend ko aur zyada mazboot karega.

Upar ki taraf, AUD/USD pair ascending channel ke lower boundary ko 0.6860 level par test kar raha hai. Agar yeh rebound hota hai, toh pair ko upper boundary tak le ja sakta hai, jo ke 0.6960 ke aas paas hai.

Support ke hawalay se, AUD/USD pair ko immediate support 9-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par mil sakta hai, jo ke 0.6815 ke qareeb hai. Agla key support level psychological barrier 0.6700 par hai. Agar price is level se neeche girta hai, toh yeh pair ko aur neeche le ja sakta hai, jahan iska six-week low 0.6622 hai.

AUD/USD Price Studies
AUD/USD currency pair ki price action ka tajziya hamari guftagu ka markazi mawzoo hoga. Maujooda outlook ke mutabiq AUD/USD pair mein buy orders ka ghalba hai, lekin mein expect karta hoon ke is currency pair mein downward trend aa sakta hai, jo ke 0.6854 level par buyers ki concentration se support hota hai. Ek trading strategy ke tor par, 0.6854 ke qareeb buy position consider karni chahiye, pehla profit target 0.6731 par rakhna chahiye aur stop loss 0.6881 ke thoda upar lagana chahiye. Agar price 0.6881 ke upar consolidate karti hai, toh humein dobara se strategy ka tajziya karna hoga aur dusri possibilities explore karni hongi.

Hourly chart par AUD/USD pair ka uptrend barqarar hai aur yeh 134-period moving average ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke is trend ko confirm karta hai. Choti time frame par price 134-period moving average ke neeche girti nazar aa rahi hai, jo ke is prevailing trend mein ek possible correction ka ishara deti hai. Agar price 0.6881 ke upar stabilize hoti hai, toh phir buying opportunities mumkin ho sakti hain.

4-hour chart par dekha jaye, toh 0.6913 se price ka rebound AUD/USD pair ke trend ko bullish se bearish mein shift kar raha hai. Elliott Wave method ka istemal karte hue ek corrective wave unfold ho rahi hai. Bearish scenario mein, technical indicators, jisme computer analysis bhi shamil hai, selling signals de rahe hain jinko mein use karne ka irada rakhta hoon. CPI positive zone se negative zone mein chala gaya hai, aur momentum oscillator line bhi neeche ki taraf move kar rahi hai.

Strategy ye hai ke price 38.3% aur 50.1% Fibonacci retracement levels se guzre, jahan humara target khaas tor par 0.6803 aur 0.6769 hai. Pehle level par, aap apni profitable short positions ka aadha hissa close kar sakte hain, aur dusre level par baqi ka hissa close karke profit hasil kar sakte hain. Agar price 0.6781 ke neeche girti hai, toh sell scenario relevant ho sakta hai. Filhaal, hourly chart ke uptrend ke mutabiq buying ko tarjeeh di jani chahiye.

AUD/USD Price Studies
AUD/USD currency pair ki price action ka tajziya hamari guftagu ka markazi mawzoo hoga. Maujooda outlook ke mutabiq AUD/USD pair mein buy orders ka ghalba hai, lekin mein expect karta hoon ke is currency pair mein downward trend aa sakta hai, jo ke 0.6854 level par buyers ki concentration se support hota hai. Ek trading strategy ke tor par, 0.6854 ke qareeb buy position consider karni chahiye, pehla profit target 0.6731 par rakhna chahiye aur stop loss 0.6881 ke thoda upar lagana chahiye. Agar price 0.6881 ke upar consolidate karti hai, toh humein dobara se strategy ka tajziya karna hoga aur dusri possibilities explore karni hongi.

Hourly chart par AUD/USD pair ka uptrend barqarar hai aur yeh 134-period moving average ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke is trend ko confirm karta hai. Choti time frame par price 134-period moving average ke neeche girti nazar aa rahi hai, jo ke is prevailing trend mein ek possible correction ka ishara deti hai. Agar price 0.6881 ke upar stabilize hoti hai, toh phir buying opportunities mumkin ho sakti hain.

4-hour chart par dekha jaye, toh 0.6913 se price ka rebound AUD/USD pair ke trend ko bullish se bearish mein shift kar raha hai. Elliott Wave method ka istemal karte hue ek corrective wave unfold ho rahi hai. Bearish scenario mein, technical indicators, jisme computer analysis bhi shamil hai, selling signals de rahe hain jinko mein use karne ka irada rakhta hoon. CPI positive zone se negative zone mein chala gaya hai, aur momentum oscillator line bhi neeche ki taraf move kar rahi hai.

Strategy ye hai ke price 38.3% aur 50.1% Fibonacci retracement levels se guzre, jahan humara target khaas tor par 0.6803 aur 0.6769 hai. Pehle level par, aap apni profitable short positions ka aadha hissa close kar sakte hain, aur dusre level par baqi ka hissa close karke profit hasil kar sakte hain. Agar price 0.6781 ke neeche girti hai, toh sell scenario relevant ho sakta hai. Filhaal, hourly chart ke uptrend ke mutabiq buying ko tarjeeh di jani chahiye.

AUD/USD Price Movement Analysis
Maujooda Market Trends

Hamari guftagu ka markazi mawzoo is waqt AUD/USD currency pair ki price movement hai. Market ka rujhan US dollar ki selling par hai, jo ke apne tor par AUD/USD pair ko bhi mutasir kar raha hai. Yeh pair dheemi magar barqarar taraqqi dikhata raha hai, lekin doosri badi currencies ke muqable mein iska growth rate itna tez nahi raha. Is kay bawajood, yeh kuch ahem levels ko touch kar chuka hai aur critical benchmarks ko test kiya hai, jis se selling opportunities ka socha ja raha hai.

Recent Price Behavior

Aaj ke din, na to koi zyada growth dekhne ko mili aur na hi koi khas girawat. Agar hum H4 chart ka tajziya karein, toh yeh lagta hai ke Australian dollar ek flat correction phase mein daakhil ho sakta hai, jiske baad growth dobara shuru ho sakti hai. Maujooda halat mein mujhe koi waazeh trading opportunities nazar nahi aa rahi. Ek gehri pullback buy ke liye zaroori hai, jabke sell ke liye Friday ke high ka break hona zaroori hai, lekin abhi dono sharaait poori nahi hui hain. Is liye, filhaal mein Australian market ke hawale se side par hoon.

Technical Indicators

Iske ilawa, 4-hour chart par MACD indicator bearish divergence show kar raha hai, jo ke ek mazboot signal hai ke girawat ho sakti hai. Yeh soorat-e-haal jaldi hi materialize ho sakti hai, isliye trading strategy mein ehtiyaat ki zaroorat hai.

China ki Maashi Surat-e-Haal ka Asar

Australian dollar ki recent weakness zyada tar China ki deteriorating economic outlook ke sabab hai. China ka Q2 GDP growth expectations par poora nahi utra, jismein domestic aur international demand mein kami dekhi gayi. In concerns ko tab mazeed barhawa mila jab People's Bank of China (PBoC) ne rate cut ka elaan kiya, lekin Third Plenary Session ke dauran koi khaas spending measures zahir nahi kiye gaye.

Australia ki China ke sath gehri maashi talluqaat ke sabab se AUD par in developments ka asar zabardast hai.

US Dollar ka Asar aur Aane Wali Movements

In challenges ke bawajood, US dollar apni kuch apni struggles ka samna kar sakta hai, kyun ke September mein Federal Reserve (Fed) se rate cut ki umeed barh rahi hai. Yeh development AUD/USD pair par downward pressure ko kam karne mein madadgar ho sakti hai.

Traders ab Global Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo ke US economy ki behtari par zyada roshni daalega aur currency pair ke future movements par asar dal sakta hai.

Nateeja

Nateeji mein, jabke AUD/USD currency pair is waqt stagnant lag raha hai, external maashi factors aur technical indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke traders ko aane walay market shifts ke liye hoshiyaar rehna chahiye.

AUD/USD Price Movement Analysis
Maujooda Market Trends

Hamari guftagu ka markazi mawzoo is waqt AUD/USD currency pair ki price movement hai. Market ka rujhan US dollar ki selling par hai, jo ke apne tor par AUD/USD pair ko bhi mutasir kar raha hai. Yeh pair dheemi magar barqarar taraqqi dikhata raha hai, lekin doosri badi currencies ke muqable mein iska growth rate itna tez nahi raha. Is kay bawajood, yeh kuch ahem levels ko touch kar chuka hai aur critical benchmarks ko test kiya hai, jis se selling opportunities ka socha ja raha hai.

Recent Price Behavior

Aaj ke din, na to koi zyada growth dekhne ko mili aur na hi koi khas girawat. Agar hum H4 chart ka tajziya karein, toh yeh lagta hai ke Australian dollar ek flat correction phase mein daakhil ho sakta hai, jiske baad growth dobara shuru ho sakti hai. Maujooda halat mein mujhe koi waazeh trading opportunities nazar nahi aa rahi. Ek gehri pullback buy ke liye zaroori hai, jabke sell ke liye Friday ke high ka break hona zaroori hai, lekin abhi dono sharaait poori nahi hui hain. Is liye, filhaal mein Australian market ke hawale se side par hoon.

Technical Indicators

Iske ilawa, 4-hour chart par MACD indicator bearish divergence show kar raha hai, jo ke ek mazboot signal hai ke girawat ho sakti hai. Yeh soorat-e-haal jaldi hi materialize ho sakti hai, isliye trading strategy mein ehtiyaat ki zaroorat hai.

China ki Maashi Surat-e-Haal ka Asar

Australian dollar ki recent weakness zyada tar China ki deteriorating economic outlook ke sabab hai. China ka Q2 GDP growth expectations par poora nahi utra, jismein domestic aur international demand mein kami dekhi gayi. In concerns ko tab mazeed barhawa mila jab People's Bank of China (PBoC) ne rate cut ka elaan kiya, lekin Third Plenary Session ke dauran koi khaas spending measures zahir nahi kiye gaye.

Australia ki China ke sath gehri maashi talluqaat ke sabab se AUD par in developments ka asar zabardast hai.

US Dollar ka Asar aur Aane Wali Movements

In challenges ke bawajood, US dollar apni kuch apni struggles ka samna kar sakta hai, kyun ke September mein Federal Reserve (Fed) se rate cut ki umeed barh rahi hai. Yeh development AUD/USD pair par downward pressure ko kam karne mein madadgar ho sakti hai.

Traders ab Global Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo ke US economy ki behtari par zyada roshni daalega aur currency pair ke future movements par asar dal sakta hai.

Nateeja

Nateeji mein, jabke AUD/USD currency pair is waqt stagnant lag raha hai, external maashi factors aur technical indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke traders ko aane walay market shifts ke liye hoshiyaar rehna chahiye.

AUD/USD Price Movement ka Tajziya
Spot Price ka Haal:

Haal hi mein spot price ko achi support mili hai, jo ke second quarter mein mazboot wage growth data ki wajah se hai. Is positive trend ne Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ko hawkish policy apnane par majboor kiya. Guzishta haftay ke meeting mein, RBA ne cash rate 4.35% par chhata lagatar session rakha, iska focus inflation ko 2-3% ke target range mein wapas lana hai. Iska nateeja yeh hai ke AUD/USD pair is waqt 0.6870 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai.

China ke Data ka Asar:

China se aane wale haali data ne bhi market ke perceptions ko mutasir kiya hai. July ke Consumer Price Index (CPI) mein 0.5% ka izafa hua hai, jo ke umeed se zyada hai (0.3%) aur pichle mahine ki reading (0.2%) se bhi behtar hai. Yeh izafa consumer sentiment aur economic stability mein behtari ka izhar karta hai, jo AUD ke liye supportive environment ka sabab bana hai.

AUD/USD ke Fundamentals:

August ke aghaz mein ek arzi girawat ke baad, price exchange rate mein rebound ke asraat dikhayi diye hain, jo ke Japanese Hammer candlestick pattern se zahir hotay hain jo ke chaar ghante aur daily charts par bana. Yeh technical indicator aksar market sentiment mein tabdeeli ka ishara deta hai. Reserve Bank of Australia ka faiz ki sharah ko barqarar rakhne ka faisla unki ehtiyaati policy ko zahir karta hai, jismein inflationary pressures ko manage karna aur achanak policy adjustments se bachna shaamil hai.

Doosri taraf, U.S. Federal Reserve se aane wale insights bhi market expectations mein aham kirdar ada karte hain. Federal Reserve ki Governor Michelle Bowman ne ongoing inflation risks aur mazboot labor market ka zikr kiya, jis se lagta hai ke Fed apni September meeting mein rates cut karne mein hichkichahat ka shikar ho sakta hai. Yeh outlook AUD/USD ke dynamics ko aur zyada pechida bana raha hai, jabke investors global economic signals ka tajziya kar rahe hain.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Sirf do din pehle spot price mein izafa dekhne ko mila, jis par analysts ne 0.6820 level par upward momentum ka zikr kiya, jismein target 0.6900 par rakha gaya tha. Iske baad pair ne mukhtasir tor par 0.6910 ko touch kiya, lekin phir ek sharp pullback hua. Yeh fluctuation yeh dikhata hai ke jab momentum build ho raha tha, ab yeh shaayad dheema ho raha hai, aur ek critical support level 0.6799 par hai. Agar AUD is mark ke neeche gir gaya aur stabilize na kar saka, to aur ziada girawat ka ishara mil sakta hai.

Technical Indicators:

Is waqt AUD/USD pair moderate bullish sentiment show kar raha hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) neutral hai aur 50 range ke qareeb hai, jabke Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) green bars dikhata hai, jo ke upward movement ka ishara hai. Key support levels 0.6740 aur 0.6700 par hain, jabke resistance 0.6940 ke aas paas hai. In levels ko closely monitor karna zaroori hoga taake pair ke future trajectory ka andaza lagaya ja sake.

AUD/USD Price Movement ka Tajziya
Spot Price ka Haal:

Haal hi mein spot price ko achi support mili hai, jo ke second quarter mein mazboot wage growth data ki wajah se hai. Is positive trend ne Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ko hawkish policy apnane par majboor kiya. Guzishta haftay ke meeting mein, RBA ne cash rate 4.35% par chhata lagatar session rakha, iska focus inflation ko 2-3% ke target range mein wapas lana hai. Iska nateeja yeh hai ke AUD/USD pair is waqt 0.6870 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai.

China ke Data ka Asar:

China se aane wale haali data ne bhi market ke perceptions ko mutasir kiya hai. July ke Consumer Price Index (CPI) mein 0.5% ka izafa hua hai, jo ke umeed se zyada hai (0.3%) aur pichle mahine ki reading (0.2%) se bhi behtar hai. Yeh izafa consumer sentiment aur economic stability mein behtari ka izhar karta hai, jo AUD ke liye supportive environment ka sabab bana hai.

AUD/USD ke Fundamentals:

August ke aghaz mein ek arzi girawat ke baad, price exchange rate mein rebound ke asraat dikhayi diye hain, jo ke Japanese Hammer candlestick pattern se zahir hotay hain jo ke chaar ghante aur daily charts par bana. Yeh technical indicator aksar market sentiment mein tabdeeli ka ishara deta hai. Reserve Bank of Australia ka faiz ki sharah ko barqarar rakhne ka faisla unki ehtiyaati policy ko zahir karta hai, jismein inflationary pressures ko manage karna aur achanak policy adjustments se bachna shaamil hai.

Doosri taraf, U.S. Federal Reserve se aane wale insights bhi market expectations mein aham kirdar ada karte hain. Federal Reserve ki Governor Michelle Bowman ne ongoing inflation risks aur mazboot labor market ka zikr kiya, jis se lagta hai ke Fed apni September meeting mein rates cut karne mein hichkichahat ka shikar ho sakta hai. Yeh outlook AUD/USD ke dynamics ko aur zyada pechida bana raha hai, jabke investors global economic signals ka tajziya kar rahe hain.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Sirf do din pehle spot price mein izafa dekhne ko mila, jis par analysts ne 0.6820 level par upward momentum ka zikr kiya, jismein target 0.6900 par rakha gaya tha. Iske baad pair ne mukhtasir tor par 0.6910 ko touch kiya, lekin phir ek sharp pullback hua. Yeh fluctuation yeh dikhata hai ke jab momentum build ho raha tha, ab yeh shaayad dheema ho raha hai, aur ek critical support level 0.6799 par hai. Agar AUD is mark ke neeche gir gaya aur stabilize na kar saka, to aur ziada girawat ka ishara mil sakta hai.

Technical Indicators:

Is waqt AUD/USD pair moderate bullish sentiment show kar raha hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) neutral hai aur 50 range ke qareeb hai, jabke Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) green bars dikhata hai, jo ke upward movement ka ishara hai. Key support levels 0.6740 aur 0.6700 par hain, jabke resistance 0.6940 ke aas paas hai. In levels ko closely monitor karna zaroori hoga taake pair ke future trajectory ka andaza lagaya ja sake.

### AUD/USD Price Analysis in Roman Urdu

Spot price ne moderate appreciation dekhi jab domestic employment data aur China ke ahem economic figures release huye. Magar currency ko US Dollar ke muqable mein apni strength qaim rakhne mein mushkilat hui, kyun ke girte huye copper aur iron ore ke prices ne Aussie ko nuqsan pohanchaya. Commodity prices mein girawat ko China se aane wale pooray credit data ne mazeed bigaar diya. Iske ilawa, commodity surplus aur kam hoti demand ne Australian markets par dabao aur zyada barhadiya.

AUD/USD pair ek ahem mor par hai, jahan market participants domestic aur international developments ko ghore se dekh rahe hain. RBA ki hawkish policies aur global equities ka stability currency ko support de rahi hai, lekin yeh abhi bhi geopolitical uncertainties aur US monetary policy ke tabadlon ke liye vulnerable hai. Aane wale US inflation figures ek pivotal factor honge, aur koi bhi surprises Fed ke rate outlook aur AUD/USD pair ki direction ko asar andaz kar sakte hain.

### Economic aur Geopolitical Factors ka AUD par Asar

RBA ke Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser ne persistent inflation ko disrupted supply chains aur labor market ki kami ke saath link kiya, aur mustaqbil ke economic forecasts par significant uncertainty ko highlight kiya. In challenges ke ilawa, Australian dollar, jo risk sensitivity ke liye mashhoor hai, is waqt pressure mein hai badhti hui safe-haven flows ke sabab se. Yeh flows Middle East mein badhti hui geopolitical tensions ke hawalay se aa rahe hain. Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant ne U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin ko Iran ke military actions ke hawalay se aagah kiya, jo ke Israel par ek bara attack ki tayariyon ka ishara de raha hai, aur yeh global concerns ko mazeed barhane ka sabab ban raha hai.

### RBA ki Hawkish Stance se AUD ko Support, magar US Inflation Loom Kar Raha Hai

US Dollar ko momentum gain karne mein mushkilat ka samna hai, aur yeh mushkilat badhti hui expectations ki wajah se hai ke Federal Reserve bade interest rate cuts ka soch raha hai. Yeh monetary policies ka farq AUD/USD ke liye faidemand raha hai, magar iske mazeed gains ki potential abhi bhi limited hai, kyun ke traders upcoming US inflation data par nazar rakhe huye hain, jo market sentiment ko bara asar de sakta hai.

### AUD/USD ka Technical Tajziya

Agar pair ne ascending channel ko breach kiya, toh is par bearish pressure aasakta hai. Agar yeh channel break hota hai, toh downward trend ka aghaz ho sakta hai, jo pair ko 0.6940 ke throwback level ki taraf push karega. Agar yeh support level bhi break hota hai, toh bearish outlook aur solid ho jayega aur pair ko agle key level 0.6884 ki taraf le jayega. 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) abhi 0.6903 par pair ke liye immediate support ke tor par kaam kar rahi hai, aur iske baad lower boundary of the ascending channel 0.6890 ke qareeb hai, jo nine-day EMA 0.6909 ke saath aligned hai.

ay ko 4.35% par stable rakhega.Monday ko release hone wale kamzor Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data ke bawajood AUD ne US Dollar (USD ) ke muqable mein achi position hasil ki hai. AUD/USD ka strong hona China ke central bank PBoC ke banking system mein liquidity inject karne se bhi related ho sakta hai, kyun ke Australia aur China ke darmiyan qareebi trade relation hai, aur Chinese economy mein developments ka Australian markets par bara asar ho sakta hai.PBoC ne 14-day reverse repo ke zariye banking system mein CNY 74.5 billion ka injection kiya, aur is dauran rate ko 1.95% se kam karke 1.85% kiya gaya. Iske ilawa, PBoC ne 7-day reverse repo ke zariye bhi CNY 160.1 billion ka injection kiya, jisme rate 1.7% par stable raha.AUD ko hawkish expectations se bhi faida mil raha hai, jo ke RBA ki aanay wali interest rate decision ke hawalay se hain, jo Tuesday ko hone wali hai. Expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par stable rakhegi, jo mazboot labor market aur inflationary pressures ko madde nazar rakhtay hue hai. Doosri taraf, US Dollar (USD) ki qeemat mein kami ho sakti hai kyun ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policymakers agle saal 2024 mein 75 basis points (bps) ke rate cuts predict kar rahe hain, jab ke last week unho ne aggressive 50 basis points ka rate cut kiya tha, jis se range 4.75-5.00% ho gayi hai.Monday ko AUD/USD pair 0.6820 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke pair ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai. But 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 se ooper hai, is liye aglay price movement se pair ke trend ka behtar andaza hoga. Is waqt AUD/USD pair ascending channel ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke 0.6839 ke nine-month high ke qareeb hai, jo 19 September ko dekha gaya tha. Agar is level se bounce hota hai, to pair upper boundary tak pohanch sakta hai, jo 0.6890 level ke qareeb hai. Neeche ki taraf, AUD/USD pair ko support 0.6771 par nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par mil sakta hai, aur agla aham support psychological level 0.6700 par hoga. Agar is se neeche break hota hai

, to pair Ok low

Agar hum H4 time frame par price action ka jaiza lein, to bullish trend structure phir se banana shuru ho gaya hai jab market ne August ke aakhri din trading session mein qadam rakha. Pichle kuch dinon se bullish movement jo chal rahi hai, wo aalaaqat se upward trend rally hai. Agar hum pichle mahine ke akhir mein sellers ki nakami ko dekhein, jo 0.6650 ke niche nahi ja sake, to is wajah se dusre buyers ko BUY trading positions lene mein zyada confidence mila hai. Is waqt candlestick ki position Simple Moving Average indicator ke upar hai, jo yeh darust karti hai ke market ab bhi buyers ke asar mein hai. Price niche girne ke bawajood yellow SMA 60 indicator ko break nahi kar paya, jo ke yeh darust karta hai ke AUDUSD currency pair ke bullish trend ki taraf wapas aane ki salahiyat hai.
Market ki umeed hai ke wo upar ki taraf barhne ki koshish karega. Meri agle andazay ke mutabiq, market ab bhi aage barhne ki taraf hai. Halanki, market is waqt halki downward correction phase mein hai, lekin bullish movement ka mauqa ab bhi zyada range tak jaane ki umeed hai. Mera andaza hai ke aaj raat tak price mein izafa hoga, lekin range itni wide nahi hogi kyunki is hafte ke darmiyan trend shayad correction phase ke baad apne raahein dobara pakrayega.

Agar price 0.6800 ke upar barh jata hai to yeh is currency pair ke liye bullish safar jaari rakhne ka mazboot signal hoga. Is liye buyers ka dominion ab bhi price ko upar push karne ki taqat rakhta hai. Trading ka option ab bhi BUY transactions ki taraf hai. Natija: AUDUSD currency pair ke market halat ko agar technically dekha jaye to yeh ab bhi bullish hai, isliye is hafte ke trading session mein price ke izafe ki sambhavnayein ab bhi khuli hain. Lekin buyers ke liye behtar yeh hoga ke thoda sabr karein aur 0.6825 level tak rukne ka intezar karein pehle BUY position kholne se pehle. Target price level bullish ko 0.6875 tak pahunchne ki koshish karni chahiye, aur Stop Loss limit ko 0.6790 par rakhna chahiye. Agar agle trade mein price 0.6880 ko penetrate kar leta hai, to bullish trend phase dobara shuru ho sakhai hai