جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

4GBP/JPY) ne hal hi mein hui girawat ke baad ek hairan kun wapsi ki hai. Thursday ke trading session mein pound ne wapas 203.00 ka aham mark paar kiya, aur kabhi kabhi 204.00 tak bhi pahunch gaya. Yeh turnaround Japanese authorities ki mudakhlat ke andazay ke darmiyan aaya. Halanki Bank of Japan (BOJ) aur Ministry of Finance (MOF) ne apni mudakhlat ka rasmi taur par tasdeeq nahi ki, magar BOJ ke mali operations ka surge forecasts ke muqablay mein unki stance mein tabdeeli ka ishara de raha hai. Kamzor hoti hui yen ko defend karna MOF ke liye mazeed mehnga pad raha hai. Wahin, maqami economic data releases milay julay signals de rahi hain. Thursday ko release hui UK ki average data ne expectations ko meet kiya, magar market forecasts predict kar rahe hain ke aayan wali British retail sales mein 0.4% ka decline hoga, jo pehlay ke 2.9% increase ke mukable mein kaafi baray contrast mein hai. Japan ki national CPI inflation figures bhi Friday ko release hongi. Halanki inflation pehle ke release se zyada hone ki umeed hai, yeh shayad BOJ ko apni ultra-loose monetary policy se hattne par majboor na kar sake. Yeh, aur yen ki pehlay se hi kamzor position
doosri baray currencies ke muqable mein, Japanese currency ke mazeed depreciation ko suggest karte hain. Technical indicators aik zyada complex picture paint kar rahe hain. "Peacock Fish Index" (maybe GBP/JPY ke liye) ne Thursday ko 202.50 ke qareeb support find kiya, jo ek potential bounce ka ishara hai. Magar, price apni 200-hour moving average (EMA) of 204.82 ke niche hai, jo ager selling pressure resume hoti hai toh mazeed decline ka room suggest karta hai. Daily chart kuch umeed deti hai, price 50-day moving average of 201.38 ke upar hold karti hui hai. Mazeed, long-term 200-day moving average of 192.18 se kafi upar bids (offers to buy) hain, jo underlying buying interest ko indicate karti hain. Nateejatan, GBP/JPY ek volatile phase mein hai. Halanki pound ne kuch resilience dikhayi hai, yen ki kamzori aur Japanese authorities ki potential intervention pair ke

GBP/JPY Analysis (H4 Timeframe)
Yeh chart GBP/JPY pair ka hai aur 4-hour (H4) timeframe pe dekha ja raha hai. Is waqt market bullish trend mein hai, jisme price gradually upar ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Chart pe kuch aham levels hain jo hum consider kar sakte hain:

1. Resistance Level (199.725):
Abhi market 199.725 par resistance face kar rahi hai. Yeh level kaafi strong resistance zone ban gaya hai aur yahan se price pehle bhi niche ki taraf reject ho chuki hai. Agar price is level ko successfully breakout karti hai aur upar sustain karti hai, toh aur zyada bullish momentum aasakta hai, jo GBP/JPY ko nayi highs ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

2. Support Levels (195.953 aur 194.586):
Niche ke taraf 195.953 aur 194.586 strong support levels hain. Yeh levels important hain kyunki agar price upar jaane mein nakam hoti hai toh yahan se support mil sakti hai aur buyers wapas enter kar sakte hain. Agar price in dono levels ko break karti hai, toh yeh ek trend reversal ki shuruat ho sakti hai aur market niche ki taraf move kar sakti hai.

3. Moving Averages (MA):
Chart par do yellow lines nazar aa rahi hain, jo moving averages hain aur abhi price ke neeche hain. Yeh moving averages bullish trend ka indication de rahi hain aur support ke taur par bhi kaam kar sakti hain. Jab tak price in moving averages ke upar hai, tab tak trend strong bullish lag raha hai.

4. OsMA Indicator:
Neeche OsMA indicator mixed signal de raha hai. Recent histograms negative hain, jo thodi weakness ya consolidation dikhate hain. Lekin yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh short-term pullback ho aur price wapas bullish momentum gain kare. Summary:
Abhi ke liye, GBP/JPY ka trend bullish hai lekin 199.725 par resistance kaafi strong hai. Agar price is level ko breakout karti hai, toh buying ka acha signal ho sakta hai. Wohi, agar price niche girti hai toh support levels ko monitor karna zaroori hoga. Yeh analysis intraday traders ke liye madadgar ho sakta hai jo short-term moves ke liye focus karte hain.

JPY Analysis (H4 Timeframe) Yeh chart GBP/JPY pair ka hai aur 4-hour (H4) timeframe pe dekha ja raha hai. Is waqt market bullish trend mein hai, jisme price gradually upar ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Chart pe kuch aham levels hain jo hum consider kar sakte hain:

1. Resistance Level (199.725):
Abhi market 199.725 par resistance face kar rahi hai. Yeh level kaafi strong resistance zone ban gaya hai aur yahan se price pehle bhi niche ki taraf reject ho chuki hai. Agar price is level ko successfully breakout karti hai aur upar sustain karti hai, toh aur zyada bullish momentum aasakta hai, jo GBP/JPY ko nayi highs ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

2. Support Levels (195.953 aur 194.586):
Niche ke taraf 195.953 aur 194.586 strong support levels hain. Yeh levels important hain kyunki agar price upar jaane mein nakam hoti hai toh yahan se support mil sakti hai aur buyers wapas enter kar sakte hain. Agar price in dono levels ko break karti hai, toh yeh ek trend reversal ki shuruat ho sakti hai aur market niche ki taraf move kar sakti hai.

3. Moving Averages (MA):
Chart par do yellow lines nazar aa rahi hain, jo moving averages hain aur abhi price ke neeche hain. Yeh moving averages bullish trend ka indication de rahi hain aur support ke taur par bhi kaam kar sakti hain. Jab tak price in moving averages ke upar hai, tab tak trend strong bullish lag raha hai.

4. OsMA Indicator:
Neeche OsMA indicator mixed signal de raha hai. Recent histograms negative hain, jo thodi weakness ya consolidation dikhate hain. Lekin yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh short-term pullback ho aur price wapas bullish momentum gain kare. Summary:
Abhi ke liye, GBP/JPY ka trend bullish hai lekin 199.725 par resistance kaafi strong hai. Agar price is level ko breakout karti hai, toh buying ka acha signal ho sakta hai. Wohi, agar price niche girti hai toh support levels ko monitor karna zaroori hoga. Yeh analysis intraday traders ke liye madadgar ho sakta hai jo short-term moves ke liye focus karte hain.

GBP/JPY currency pair ne Wednesday ki Asian session ke dauraan kuch girawat dekhi, jabke recent teen mahine ki high 199.70 se wapas aayi. Halanki pair ne mazboot upar ki taraf momentum dikhaya hai, lekin recent market ke haalaat ne kuch uncertainty ko janam diya hai. Anay wali UK Autumn Budget, jo ke naye Labour government ke tahat pehli hogi, ek ahem event hai jo GBP/JPY pair par significant asar dal sakta hai. Aas hai ke Chancellor Rachel Reeves ek fiscal plan ka ailan karengi jisme tax increases aur public spending mein izafa shaamil hoga. Yeh potential tor par Bank of England (BoE) ke interest rate path ko mutasir kar sakta hai, jo ke British pound ki value ko bhi asar andaz kar sakta hai. Sath hi, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki monetary policy ka stance abhi bhi uncertain hai. Hukoomat ki ruling coalition ki parliamentary majority khatam hone ki waja se BoJ ke mazeed tightening karne ki salahiyat par shubha paida ho gaya hai. Yeh Japanese yen ko kamzor kar sakta hai, jo GBP/JPY pair ko support de sakta hai.Technical perspective se dekha jaye toh, GBP/JPY pair filhal mixed signals face kar raha hai. Jabke 20-day moving average ne 50-day aur 200-day moving averages ko cross kar lia hai jo potential uptrend ki taraf ishara kar raha hai, wahin falling rising wedge pattern uncertainty ko darj kar raha hai. RSI indicator bhi mixed signals show kar raha hai, jahan Stochastics ne potential decline ka ishara dia hai, lekin RSI aur MACD ab tak bullish territory mein hain. Nateeja yeh hai ke GBP/JPY pair filhal ek flux ki halat mein hai, jahan bullish aur bearish dono factors kirdar ada kar rahe hain. UK Autumn Budget aur BoJ ki monetary policy ke faisle GBP/JPY pair ke future direction ko tay karne mein intehai ahmiyat rakhte hain. Traders ko in events aur technical indicators ko gaur se dekhna chahiye taake informed trading decisions le sakein.Chart par iss waqt kai trading opportunities maujood hain jaise ke neeche dikhaya gaya hai: Waqti level se weekly pivot point tak sell karein aur stop loss ko red channel ke andar set karein. Agar price red channel ki taraf wapas aata hai to yeh ek aur selling opportunity faraham karega, aur agar price broken triangle line tak pohonchta hai aur kamiyabi se retest pattern banata hai to sell entry ki ja sakti hai. Buying opportunities ke liye, woh tab milengi jab price weekly resistance 199.03 par trade karta hai.

GBP/JPY


ek ascending triangle pattern mein trade kar raha hai, jo aam tor par bullish continuation ka signal hota hai. Yeh pattern tab banta hai jab price higher lows aur horizontal resistance ke beech consolidate hoti hai, aur eventually ek bullish breakout ka chance hota hai. Is waqt, GBP/JPY apne resistance ke qareeb hai, aur agar yeh level breakout hota hai, toh aage aur bullish movement ki umeed hai.
Technical Analysis:
Chart par horizontal resistance line 157.60 ke aas-paas hai, aur ascending triangle ke support line kehta hai ke buyers gradually price upar le kar ja rahe hain. Yeh pattern tab aur mazid strong ho sakta hai jab volume mein bhi increase aaye breakout ke waqt. Volume indicator ne ab tak stability dikhayi hai, lekin agar breakout ke doran volume mein khas taur par increase hota hai, toh yeh confirmation ka kaam karega ke buyers ne market mein dominance hasil kar li hai.
Trading Plan:
Entry Point:
Pehla entry point tab consider kiya ja sakta hai jab price 157.60 ke upar close kar jaye. Yeh close breakout ka indication hoga aur buying ka acha mauqa ho sakta hai. Aggressive traders is level ke thodi si close par bhi enter kar sakte hain, lekin conservative traders ke liye ek strong bullish candle ya high volume ka confirmation lena zaroori hai.
Target Levels:
Agar breakout successful hota hai, toh pehla target 158.50 par set kiya ja sakta hai. Yeh woh level hai jahan peh pehle resistance ka samna ho sakta hai. Doosra target 159.50 par ho sakta hai jo ke next major resistance level hai.
Stop Loss:
Risk management ke liye, stop loss ko ascending triangle ki support line ke thodi neeche set karna chahiye, jo ke kareeb 155.50 ho sakta hai. Agar price support line ke neeche close hoti hai, toh yeh pattern fail ho sakta hai aur downtrend ka signal de sakta hai.
Is setup mein ascending triangle aur volume analysis ke madad se buyers ke dominance ka pata chal raha hai, aur isme ek clear bullish breakout ka potential hai. Lekin hamesha risk management ka khayal rakhna chahiye, kyun ke price support line ke neeche ja sakti hai agar bullish momentum na mile. Trading mein hamesha patience aur disciplined strategy ko follow karna chahiye taake risk minimize ho aur potential gains maximize ho.

GBP/JPY pair ke chart mein hum dekh sakte hain ke ek bullish trend dominant hai. Price ke movement aur technical indicators ka analysis karte hue, kuch ahm support aur resistance levels samne aaye hain jo trading decisions mein madadgar sabit ho sakte hain. Sab se pehle, chart mein kuch **strong support levels hain jo potential buying zones ko highlight karte hain. Yeh levels 193.005, 191.427, aur 188.741 par hain. Agar price mein koi correction aati hai, to yeh wo areas hain jahan se price waapas bullish trend resume kar sakti hai. Yeh support zones strong hain aur ye potential reversal points bhi ban sakte hain agar price neeche girti hai.




Doosri taraf, resistance levels bhi mazid bullish momentum ke liye important hain. Jo primary resistance levels nazar aa rahe hain woh 198.536, 200.416, aur 203.253 par hain. Agar price in levels ko break karti hai aur unke upar stable rehti hai, to yeh aur mazid bullish continuation ka signal ho sakta hai. Agar price 198.536 ke upar close hoti hai, to agla target 200.416 aur us ke baad 203.253 ho sakta hai. Technical indicators ka istemal karte hue, hum dekh sakte hain ke Ichimoku Cloud (yaani Kumo) bhi bullish signal de raha hai, kyun ke price cloud ke upar hai. Yeh batata hai ke market mein strong bullish sentiment hai. Saath hi, moving averages (MA) bhi price ke neeche hain, jo support provide karte hain aur trend continuation ka ishara dete hain. Agar moving averages ke neeche close hoti hai, to yeh bearish trend ka pehla signal ho sakta hai, lekin is waqt market bullish lag rahi hai.
Trading Strategy:
Is chart ke mutabiq, agar price 198.536 ke upar close hoti hai, to yeh ek bullish signal ho ga, aur next targets 200.416 aur 203.253 par ho sakte hain. Lekin agar price mein koi pullback aata hai, to support levels par buy entries consider ki ja sakti hain, khas tor par 193.005 ke qareeb. Yeh support level par buying opportunities mil sakti hain.
Is analysis ko dhyan mein rakhte hue, zaroori hai ke stop loss aur risk management ko mad e nazar rakha jaye taake market ke unexpected movements se bachaa ja sake.

JPY Analysis (H4 Timeframe)


Yeh chart GBP/JPY pair ka hai aur 4-hour (H4) timeframe pe dekha ja raha hai. Is waqt market bullish trend mein hai, jisme price gradually upar ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Chart pe kuch aham levels hain jo hum consider kar sakte hain:


1. Resistance Level (199.725):
Abhi market 199.725 par resistance face kar rahi hai. Yeh level kaafi strong resistance zone ban gaya hai aur yahan se price pehle bhi niche ki taraf reject ho chuki hai. Agar price is level ko successfully breakout karti hai aur upar sustain karti hai, toh aur zyada bullish momentum aasakta hai, jo GBP/JPY ko nayi highs ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

2. Support Levels (195.953 aur 194.586):
Niche ke taraf 195.953 aur 194.586 strong support levels hain. Yeh levels important hain kyunki agar price upar jaane mein nakam hoti hai toh yahan se support mil sakti hai aur buyers wapas enter kar sakte hain. Agar price in dono levels ko break karti hai, toh yeh ek trend reversal ki shuruat ho sakti hai aur market niche ki taraf move kar sakti hai.

3. Moving Averages (MA):
Chart par do yellow lines nazar aa rahi hain, jo moving averages hain aur abhi price ke neeche hain. Yeh moving averages bullish trend ka indication de rahi hain aur support ke taur par bhi kaam kar sakti hain. Jab tak price in moving averages ke upar hai, tab tak trend strong bullish lag raha hai.

4. OsMA Indicator:

Neeche OsMA indicator mixed signal de raha hai. Recent histograms negative hain, jo thodi weakness ya consolidation dikhate hain. Lekin yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh short-term pullback ho aur price wapas bullish momentum gain kare. Summary:


Abhi ke liye, GBP/JPY ka trend bullish hai lekin 199.725 par resistance kaafi strong hai. Agar price is level ko breakout karti hai, toh buying ka acha signal ho sakta hai. Wohi, agar price niche girti hai toh support levels ko monitor karna zaroori hoga. Yeh analysis intraday traders ke liye madadgar ho sakta hai jo short-term moves ke liye focus karte hain.

GBP/JPY pair ka trend filhaal bullish hai, jo yeh darshaata hai ke iske price mein aage bhi izafa ka strong chance hai. Recent price decline ka sabab shayad Bank of England ke interest rate cut policy ya Japanese Yen ka ek safe haven asset ke taur par strengthen hona ho sakta hai. Lekin, is haftay GBP/JPY ki volatility zyadatar Pound Sterling ke outlook par depend karegi, jo UK se aanay wale economic data releases par mabni hai. H4time frame par dekha jaye toh price ne 199.53 ka high hit karne ke baad downward correction show kiya, lekin 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level (196.94) tak pahunchne mein kamiyab rahi. Yeh downward correction apna retracement complete kar chuki hai aur ab wapas upar jaane ki potential hai. Halaanki, abhi ka current price movement 50-period Exponential Moving Average aur 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level (197.93) ke aas-paas rukawat face kar raha hai. Agar price false break ya rejection face karti hai, toh downward correction pehle se bhi neeche ja sakti hai, aur 78% Fibonacci retracement level tak pahunch sakti hai.GBP/JPY pair filhaal 196.24 ya 195.34 ke aas-paas trade ho raha hai, jo 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke saath dynamic support ke taur par align karta hai. Price pattern mein abhi bhi higher highs aur higher lows hain, kyunke ab tak koi successful downward rally nahi hui jo ek lower low form kar sake. Price ne pehle ke high 199.77 ko break nahi kiya, jo pehle bhi stopping point tha at 199.53. Yeh darshaata hai ke agar price 196.71 ke low ko successfully breach karti hai, toh yeh ek lower low form kar sakti hai.Stochastic indicator abhi bhi GBP/JPY price mein izafa ka support kar raha hai, kyunke iske parameters 50 level ko cross karke overbought zone (90-80) ki taraf move karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, jo darshaata hai ke buying saturation point abhi tak nahi pohoncha. Iske ilawa, Awesome Oscillator (AO) ka volume histogram downtrend momentum mein kamzori darsha raha hai, kyunke green histogram negative area mein 0 level ke kareeb pohonch raha hai, aur volume zyada wide nahi ho raha.Abhi ke liye, news-driven sentiment buyers ki stability aur higher levels ki taraf possible continuation ka support kar raha hai. News releases par focus rakh kar aur larger time frames, jaise ke daily chart, monitor karke traders overall trend ko achi tarah gauge kar sakte hain aur fundamental data se hone wale shifts ko anticipate kar sakte hain.Overall, current conditions yehi suggest karte hain ke GBP/JPY market mein buyers apne gains ko sustain karne ke liye ache position mein hain. Agar 197.65 resistance ko successfully breach kar liya jaye, toh yeh further gains ke liye rasta saaf karega aur bullish sentiment ko mazid mazboot karega. Sellers ke liye important hai ke upcoming events ko closely observe karein, aur higher levels par market exhaustion ke signs milne par naye opportunities identify karein. Lekin, positive market sentiment aur supportive news ke hote hue, GBP/JPY buyers ke ground hold karne ka strong chance hai. Outlook optimistic nazar aata hai, jisme buyers ke aagay barhne aur favorable conditions ka faida uthate hue pair ko higher push karne ka expectation hai. Agar resistance level ko cross kar liya jaye, toh GBP/JPY ek sustained bullish momentum mein enter kar sakta hai, jo ke un patient buyers ke liye reward ho sakta hai jo is phase mein apni positions hold kiye hue hain.

GBP/JPY ek ascending triangle

pattern mein trade kar raha hai, jo aam tor par bullish continuation ka signal hota hai. Yeh pattern tab banta hai jab price higher lows aur horizontal resistance ke beech consolidate hoti hai, aur eventually ek bullish breakout ka chance hota hai. Is waqt, GBP/JPY apne resistance ke qareeb hai, aur agar yeh level breakout hota hai, toh aage aur bullish movement ki umeed hai. Technical Analysis:

Chart par horizontal resistance line 157.60 ke aas-paas hai, aur ascending triangle ke support line kehta hai ke buyers gradually price upar le kar ja rahe hain. Yeh pattern tab aur mazid strong ho sakta hai jab volume mein bhi increase aaye breakout ke waqt. Volume indicator ne ab tak stability dikhayi hai, lekin agar breakout ke doran volume mein khas taur par increase hota hai, toh yeh confirmation ka kaam karega ke buyers ne market mein dominance hasil kar li hai.
Trading Plan:
Entry Point:
Pehla entry point tab consider kiya ja sakta hai jab price 157.60 ke upar close kar jaye. Yeh close breakout ka indication hoga aur buying ka acha mauqa ho sakta hai. Aggressive traders is level ke thodi si close par bhi enter kar sakte hain, lekin conservative traders ke liye ek strong bullish candle ya high volume ka confirmation lena zaroori hai.
Target Levels:
Agar breakout successful hota hai, toh pehla target 158.50 par set kiya ja sakta hai. Yeh woh level hai jahan peh pehle resistance ka samna ho sakta hai. Doosra target 159.50 par ho sakta hai jo ke next major resistance level hai.
Stop Loss:
Risk management ke liye, stop loss ko ascending triangle ki support line ke thodi neeche set karna chahiye, jo ke kareeb 155.50 ho sakta hai. Agar price support line ke neeche close hoti hai, toh yeh pattern fail ho sakta hai aur downtrend ka signal de sakta hai.
Is setup mein ascending triangle aur volume analysis ke madad se buyers ke dominance ka pata chal raha hai, aur isme ek clear bullish breakout ka potential hai. Lekin hamesha risk management ka khayal rakhna chahiye, kyun ke price support line ke neeche ja sakti hai agar bullish momentum na mile. Trading mein hamesha patience aur disciplined strategy ko follow karna chahiye taake risk minimize ho aur potential gains maximim

GBP/JPY H1 timeframe ke chart ko dekh kar kuch important analysis nikalte hain jo aapke trading decisions mein madadgar sabit ho sakte hain. Chart par clear bearish trend dikh raha hai, jisme red candles dominate kar rahi hain aur price neeche ki taraf move kar rahi hai. MACD indicator bhi negative territory mein hai, jo ke selling pressure ko indicate karta hai. Iska matlab hai ke market mein sellers ka control zyada hai aur price neeche girne ki sambhavana zyada hai.
Resistance Levels:
R1 (198.47), R2 (200.03), aur R3 (200.54) par important resistance levels hain. Agar price in levels tak pohnchti hai to yeh levels price ko upar jane se rok sakte hain. Agar price in resistance levels ko break karne mein successful hoti hai, toh upward trend ka momentum barh sakta hai.
Pivot Level:
Pivot point 197.59 par hai. Yeh level key role play karta hai, kyun ke agar price is level ke neeche close hoti hai toh bearish trend ko further strength mil sakti hai. Pivot level se agar price upar ki taraf move karti hai, toh price short-term mein thodi si correction dikhane ke liye upar ja sakti hai.
Support Levels:
S1 (196.29), S2 (195.41), aur S3 (195.85) support levels hain. Yeh levels price ke neeche move karne par demand zone ki tarah kaam karte hain. Agar price in levels ke neeche break kar jaati hai, toh next support level tak girawat ki sambhavana hai. S1 level 196.29 par abhi price ke close hone ke aas paas hai, agar yeh level break hota hai toh price 195.41 (S2) tak gir sakti hai.
Parabolic SAR aur MACD:
Parabolic SAR green dots ke roop mein upar candles par nazar aa rahe hain, jo ke downward momentum ko indicate karte hain. Agar yeh dots neeche move karte hain, toh price mein reversal ka signal ho sakta hai. MACD negative territory mein hai aur histogram bars bhi neeche dikh rahe hain, jo ke sellers ka dominance aur bearish trend ko reinforce karte hain.
Agar price S1 (196.29) ke neeche close hoti hai, toh aage S2 (195.41) tak girne ka potential ho sakta hai. Agar price pivot level (197.59) ke upar cross karne mein successful hoti hai, toh thodi si bullish correction dekhi ja sakti hai jisme R1 (198.47) tak price pahunch sakti hai.

GBP/JPY ke price movement mein buyer pressure ke ubharne ne Tuesday ke price action ke dauran ek candle chhodi jo thin body aur kaafi lambi lower shadow ke sath banayi gayi thi. Daily high aur low 196.19 aur 193.54 par dekhay gaye hain. EMA 36 daily ka price 195.90 ke qareeb hai, jo Monday se bullish price ko rok raha hai. Ab price isi area mein hai taake usko test kare. EMA 36 ki position daily resistance level 196.74 ke qareeb hai. Agar price EMA 36 daily ko tod kar 196.74 resistance se breakout kare, toh price ke 198.91 daily resistance tak bullish hone ke chances hain.Lekin agar price 196.74 ko todhne mein kamiyab nahi hota aur reject hota hai, toh 194.83 ka area sabse qareeb weakening target hoga, aur yeh price ko EMA 200 daily ke dynamic support par test karne dega, jo 192.95 par hai aur daily support 193.27 ke kareeb cross kar raha hai. Daily timeframe par price EMA 200 ke upar move kar raha hai, jo ek bullish trend ko zahir karta hai. Halanki recent dinon mein price ki slight pressure ne EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily ko EMA 200 ke upar curve kar diya hai. Stochastic indicator ab bhi buyers ki strength dikhata hai jisme lines upwards point kar rahi hain.

Daily timeframe ke analysis ke mutabiq, GBP/JPY ki movement MA100 indicator ke upar hai, jo bullish trend ko support karta hai aur buyers ke liye market ko control mein rakhnay ka mauqa faraham karta hai. Iss haftay ke weekly open par 194.89 tod kar neeche girne se market mein tabdeeli ayi hai. Lekin 193.34 ke support ke qareeb rejection hua, jahan se price ne reversal ki aur bullish candle ke sath dobara weekly open ke upar chala gaya, aur daily open ke qareeb close hua, jo 196.11 par tha.Buyer ke support se price EMA 633 (196.41) aur EMA 200 H1 (196.70) ke qareeb hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 jo pehle neeche ki taraf extend ho rahe thay, ab curve aur taper karte hue upwards crossover bana rahe hain, jo bullish trend continuation ka signal deta hai.

GBP/JPY
GBP/JPY Market Analysis
Introduction
GBP/JPY, jo ke ek popular currency pair hai, forex market mein kaafi zyada trade hota hai. Is pair ko traders zyada tar volatility aur fundamental factors ke basis par monitor karte hain. Yeh pair British Pound aur Japanese Yen ka combination hai, aur dono currencies apni strong economies ki wajah se influence karti hain.


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Fundamental Factors
Is pair ki movement kaafi had tak economic news aur events par depend karti hai. British economy ke data, jaise ke GDP growth, inflation rates, aur Bank of England ke decisions, GBP/JPY ko direct impact karte hain. Dusri taraf, Japan ki low interest rate policy aur Bank of Japan ka monetary stance bhi is pair ke liye kaafi aham hota hai.

Agar koi unexpected economic news aati hai, toh is pair mein kaafi zyada volatility dekhne ko milti hai. For example, agar UK ki inflation rate expectation se zyada hoti hai, toh GBP strengthen hota hai aur GBP/JPY ka pair upar jata hai.


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Technical Analysis
GBP/JPY ki technical analysis mein commonly support aur resistance levels ka use hota hai. Abhi ke liye, agar pair 180.00 ka support todta hai, toh neeche 178.50 ka agla target ho sakta hai. Upar ki taraf, agar 182.50 ka resistance todta hai, toh 185.00 tak ki rally possible hai. Indicators jaise ke RSI aur Moving Averages ka bhi istimaal traders karte hain trend aur momentum ko samajhne ke liye.


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Conclusion
GBP/JPY ek highly volatile aur technically driven pair hai. Iska price action majorly fundamental news aur technical setups par depend karta hai. Beginner traders ko is pair mein enter karte waqt risk management zaroor apply karna chahiye, kyun ke high volatility ke saath high risk bhi hota hai. Accurate analysis aur patience is pair mein trading ke liye zaroori hai.

GBP/JPY pair ka H4 timeframe observe karain toh ye saaf nazar aata hai ke trend bullish se bearish ho gaya hai.EMA 50 ka SMA 200 ke niche cross karna ek death cross signal deta hai, jo aksar downward movement ka izafa karta hai.Agar bullish trend wapas strength lena chahta hai toh price ko consistently resistance level 197.37 (R1) ke upar breakout karna hoga.Agar price yeh level tod de, toh agla target 199.99 (R2) ho sakta hai. Lekin, Japanese Yen ki mazbooti ne price ke izafa ko roka hua hai.Filhaal price structure lower lows aur lower highs bana raha hai,jo ek bearish trend ko signal karta hai.Recent downward rally ne pivot point (PP) 195.82 ko break kar diya aur pichlay low 195.34 se bhi neeche chali gayi. Uske baad price ka upward correction hua jo resistance 197.37 par lower high bana raha hai, khas tor par 197.76 par.Agar downward rally continue karti hai, toh price support level 193.20 (S1) tak jaa sakti hai aur ek naya lower low form kar sakti hai jo 193.54 se neeche ho. Traders ko UK Retail Sales m/m data par bhi focus karna chahiye, kyun ke optimistic data ka result GBP/JPY pair ko upar ki taraf correction de sakta hai.Technical analysis ke mutabiq,Awesome Oscillator (AO) ne downtrend momentum show kiya hai,jahan histogram 0 level ke neeche aur red zone mein hai, jo downward trend ko support karta hai.Saath hi, Stochastic indicator oversold zone (20-10) mein hai, jo yeh batata hai ke price ke neeche girne ki space ab kam hai.Agar Stochastic crossover kare, toh selling saturation ka signal mil sakta hai, jisse price ek upward correction phase mein jaa sakta hai. Abhi ka fresh death cross aur downward price structure bearish outlook confirm karta hai.SELL entry ka best waqt us waqt ho sakta hai jab price upward correction kare aur pivot point (PP) 195.82 ke aas paas pohonche. Take profit ka target 193.20 (S1) par set karein, jab ke stop loss 197.37 (R1) par rakhain. Entry tab confirm karein jab Stochastic indicator level 50 ke aas paas crossover kare aur overbought zone (80-90) ki taraf move kar raha ho.Saath hi,AO ka downward momentum maintain rehna chahiye aur histogram 0 level ke neeche rehna chahiye.Apne money management par mazbooti se amal karein aur trading discipline ko follow karein taake sustainability barqarar rahe.Focused rahein aur apki trading successful ho.

Is haftay,UK ki Monetary Policy, Retail Sales aur CPI rate buyers ki madad karne mein nakam rahi aur GBP/JPY pair 197.00 zone ko qaim nahi rakh saka.Yeh sharply girte hue 194.35 zone ke neeche chala gaya. Sath hi,UK Flash Manufacturing Index bhi kuch khaas behtar nahi raha.Lekin Bank of Japan (BOJ) ki speech ne GBP/JPY sellers ke liye behtareen signals faraham kiye hain.Aane wale bearish market ko madde nazar rakhte hue,GBP/JPY traders ko apni strategies ko adjust karna hoga aur downtrend ke mutabiq tayari karni hogi.Aise mahal mein ehtiyaat aur planning bohot zaroori hai.Conservative trading targets jaise ke sirf 20 pips ka aim karna, ek moasar strategy sabit ho sakti hai.Yeh approach manageable profits lock karne aur risk ko kam karne mein madadgar hai,khaaskar jab trading environment zyada volatile ho.BOJ Insights aur Technical Analysis: BOJ ke governor ke bayanat ne sellers ke liye valuable guidance faraham ki,jo economic strategies aur policy directions ko highlight karti hain aur market sentiment par asar daalti hain.Technical analysis bhi overbought conditions ko darust sabit karte hue yeh signal karta hai ke buyers ki upward momentum gir sakti hai,jo sellers ke liye ek moqa paida karti hai.Bearish Outlook: GBP/JPY pair ka downtrend jaari rehne ka imkaan hai, khas tor par Yen ki current strength aur CPI data ko madde nazar rakha jaye to.Entry Point: Sell orders 193.44 level par place kiye ja sakte hain, jo ek key support point hai aur downward momentum barqarar rehne ki soorat mein turning point sabit ho sakta hai.Take Profit Targets: Reasonable aur conservative TP targets set karna zaroori hai,jo downtrend ke sath align karein.
Japan ki economic data aur BOJ officials ke remarks ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai,kyunke currency markets aise announcements par kaafi volatile ho sakte hain.Aane wale developments ke hawale se GBP/JPY ke neeche girne ka imkaan barhta hai,aur traders ko price fluctuations ke liye tayar rehna chahiye.Conservative targets aur disciplined trading ke zariye traders short-term opportunities se faida utha sakte hain aur apni positions ko unexpected changes ke liye flexible rakh sakte hain.Fundamental aur technical analysis ke insights ke zariye, traders strategic positioning kar sakte hain,jo bearish momentum ka faida uthane ke sath risk ko bhi minimize karay.

GBP/JPY abhi 194.20 ke aaspaas trade kar raha hai, jahan yeh volatility ke daur ke baad kuch stability dikhata hai.Bank of England ke monetary tightening cycle mein potential pause ki umeed ne Pound ko kuch support diya hai, magar pair ka overall outlook abhi bhi balanced hai. Ek taraf,Japanese Yen ki kamzori, jo Bank of Japan ke future interest rate hikes ke hawale se uncertainty aur Japan mein barhti siyasi tensions ki wajah se hui hai, pair ki upward movement mein madadgar rahi hai. Saath hi,US Treasury yields ke recent girawat ne bhi pair ko support diya hai.Lekin UK ke disappointing economic data, jaise ke weaker-than-expected retail sales aur Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) ka contraction, Pound ki strength ko kam kar sakta hai. Geopolitical tensions ke mazeed barhne ka khatra aur economic slowdowns ke asar bhi pair ki performance par asar daal sakte hain.Technical Analysis ke mutabiq, GBP/JPY ne 194.70 ke paas ek mazboot support level establish kiya hai, jo 50-day aur 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) se supported hai.Yeh dikhaata hai ke August se shuru hone wala bullish trend ab bhi barqaraar hai, chahe recent downward correction hua ho. Magar pair 197.35 par ek significant resistance ka samna kar raha hai, jo 20-day SMA aur July-August downtrend ke 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level ke kareeb hai.Agar yeh level break hota hai,to pair mazeed rally karke 199.70 aur shayad 202.00-202.80 range tak ja sakta hai. Neeche ki taraf, agar pair 194.70 support level hold karne mein nakam rehta hai, to deeper correction ka rukh 193.00 ya usse neeche ho sakta hai.Fundamental Analysis ke lehaz se, is haftay Tokyo CPI ek ahem khabar hai jo GBP/JPY market ko asar andaz kar sakti hai.CPI release yen ki strength ko impact kar sakti hai aur market mein volatility paida kar sakti hai.Is liye,traders ko CPI release ke waqt aur uske asraat par nazar rakhni chahiye.Market ke technical setup ke mutabiq, GBP/JPY recent oversold area mein dakhil hua hai,jo corrective rebound ki gunjaish paida karta hai. Sustained weakness ke baad, oversold conditions aksar recovery ke liye rasta banati hain.Agar buyers control hasil karte hain, to GBP/JPY 195.00 zone break kar sakta hai, jo ek significant level hai aur market dynamics mein shift ki nishani ho sakta hai.Magar yeh bhi zaruri hai ke last week GBP/JPY buyers ka performance kuch khaas mazboot nahi tha, is liye ehtiyaat se trade karna zaruri hai.